Acute pancreatitis: recent advances through randomised trials

Pancreatic necrosis volume is closely associated with late-onset vascular complications after discharge in necrotizing pancreatitis

PURPOSE

To explore the incidence, dynamic changes, prognostic factors and prognosis of late-onset vascular complications after discharge in patients with necrotizing pancreatitis (NP), and determine the relationship between the pancreatic necrosis volume (PNV) and late-onset vascular complications.

METHODS

This was a retrospective cohort study that included NP patients who did not have any vascular complications during index hospitalization. Computed tomography (CT) examinations were performed, and the PNV was calculated based on the picture archiving and communication system. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was employed to determine the potential prognostic factors for late-onset vascular complications after discharge.

RESULTS

A total of 35.6 % (37/104) of the patients had late-onset portal venous system involvement during the one-year follow-up period, including 35 patients with stenosis and 2 patients with occlusion. No venous thrombosis or arterial vascular complications were observed. PNV > 134 cm3 (OR, 7.08, 95 % CI 1.83-27.36; P = 0.005) and pancreatic necrosis involving the body and/or tail of the pancreas (OR, 10.05; 95 % CI, 2.66-38.02; P = 0.001) were prognostic factors for abnormal patency of the portal venous system. The abnormal patency of the portal venous system tended to persist during follow-up, and gastric varices were observed in 32.4 % (12/37) of the patients in the abnormal patency group without any symptoms.

CONCLUSIONS

Late-onset vascular complications involving venous stenosis or occlusion were common in NP patients after discharge, approximately one third of whom developed gastric varices. PNV and the location of necrosis were closely associated with the development of these complications.

Predictive value of thrombin-antithrombin III complex and tissue plasminogen activator-inhibitor complex biomarkers in assessing the severity of early-stage acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND AND AIM

The development of acute pancreatitis (AP) is strongly linked to blood clotting and fibrinolysis issues. Modern clinical practices now utilize advanced blood markers like thrombin-antithrombin III complex (TAT), plasmin-α2-plasmin inhibitor complex, thrombomodulin (TM), and tissue plasminogen activator-inhibitor complex (t-PAIC) to assess thrombosis risk. Our study used a highly sensitive chemiluminescence technique to measure these markers in AP patients, aiming to determine their early predictive value for AP severity.

METHODS

There were 173 patients with AP, all of whom developed symptoms within 72 h; 102 individuals had onset symptoms within 48 h. The biomarkers were measured upon admission before determining the severity of AP.

RESULTS

The levels of TAT, plasmin-α2-plasmin inhibitor complex, TM, and t-PAIC were significantly higher in the severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) group compared with the mild acute pancreatitis and moderate severe acute pancreatitis groups. For the patients within 72 h of onset, TAT, TM, and t-PAIC predicted the occurrence of SAP. For the patients within 48 h of onset, TAT and t-PAIC predicted the occurrence of SAP. The area under the curve (AUC) of prediction models is similar to Bedside Index for Severity in Acute Pancreatitis (BISAP) but significantly higher than C-reactive protein (P < 0.05). Notably, t-PAIC had a larger AUC than TAT, BISAP, and C-reactive protein.

CONCLUSION

In the initial 48 h, plasma TAT and t-PAIC levels may predict the development of SAP. Within 72 h, plasma levels of TAT, TM, and t-PAIC may predict the development of SAP, and the TAT + TM + t-PAIC prediction model achieved a maximum AUC of 0.915, comparable to BISAP.

Application of a Machine Learning Predictive Model for Recurrent Acute Pancreatitis

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Acute pancreatitis is the main cause of hospitalization for pancreatic disease. Some patients tend to have recurrent episodes after experiencing an episode of acute pancreatitis. This study aimed to construct predictive models for recurrent acute pancreatitis (RAP).

METHODS

A total of 531 patients who were hospitalized for the first episode of acute pancreatitis at the Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University from January 2018 to December 2019 were enrolled in the study. We confirmed whether the patients had a second episode until December 31, 2021, through an electronic medical record system and telephone or WeChat follow-up. Clinical and follow-up data of patients were collected and randomly allocated to the training and test sets at a ratio of 7:3. The training set was used to select the best model, and the selected model was tested with the test set. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, accuracy, decision curve, and calibration plots were used to assess the efficacy of the models. Shapley additive explanation values were used to explain the model.

RESULTS

Considering multiple indices, XGBoost was the best model. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves, accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value of the XGBoost model in the test set were 0.779, 0.763, 0.883, 0.647, 0.341, and 0.922, respectively. According to the Shapley additive explanation values, drinking, smoking, higher levels of triglyceride, and the occurrence of ANC are associated with RAP.

CONCLUSION

The XGBoost model shows good performance in predicting RAP, which may help identify high-risk patients.

Oral high-carbohydrate solution as an alternative dietary modality in patients with acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES

Early enteral feeding is crucial in acute pancreatitis (AP) to preserve the intestinal mucosa, prevent bacterial overgrowth, and prevent progression to pancreatic necrosis, multi-organ failure, and death. However, the optimal early diet remains unclear. This study compared an oral carbohydrate solution (OCS) diet versus a conventional diet (CD) in patients with AP.

METHODS

We retrospectively enrolled 538 patients diagnosed with AP in 2018-2022: 346 received a CD and 192 received an OCS diet. Because of differences in AP severity between groups, we performed 1:1 propensity score matching to obtain comparable groups (n = 182 in each). The CD group progressed from a liquid diet to soft foods and finally solid foods. The OCS group followed the same progression but received OCS instead of a liquid diet. Primary outcomes were the rate of recurrent postprandial pain after initiating the dietary intervention and hospital length of stay (LOS). Secondary outcomes included intensive care unit admission, mortality, 28-day hospital readmission, and AP-related complications.

RESULTS

After propensity score matching, baseline characteristics of the OCS and CD groups were comparable. The rate of recurrent pain was significantly higher in the CD group than in the OCS group (13.2 % vs. 3.8 %, p < 0.001), but hospital LOS was similar between groups (CD vs. OCS: 9.2 days vs. 8.7 days, p = 0.533). There were no significant differences in secondary outcomes between groups.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with AP, OCS diet was associated with a lower rate of recurrent postprandial pain compared to a CD. Thus, OCS appears to be a beneficial dietary alternative for initial management of AP.

Clinical Outcomes of Diabetes Mellitus on Moderately Severe Acute Pancreatitis and Severe Acute Pancreatitis

Objective

To analyze the influence of diabetes mellitus on the clinical outcomes of moderately severe acute pancreatitis (MSAP) and severe acute pancreatitis (SAP).

Methods

This retrospective study included patients diagnosed with MSAP and SAP at Shanxi Bethune Hospital from January 1, 2017, to December 31, 2021. Clinical data were collected, including patient demographics, 24-hour laboratory indicators, and inflammation indices. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to compare outcomes before and after matching. Patients were randomized into training and validation sets (7:3) to develop and validate a clinical prediction model for infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN).

Results

Among 421 patients, 79 had diabetes at admission. Before PSM, diabetic patients had higher incidences of peripancreatic fluid (71% vs 47%, p<0.001) and IPN (48% vs 10%, p<0.001), higher surgical intervention rates (24% vs 12%, p=0.008), and significant differences in abdominocentesis (22% vs 11%, p=0.014). After PSM, 174 patients were matched, and the diabetes group still showed higher incidences of peripancreatic fluid (69% vs 47%, p=0.008), IPN (48% vs 11%, p<0.001), and surgical intervention rates (27% vs 13%, p=0.037). Diabetes, modified CT severity index (MCTSI), serum calcium, and HDL-c were identified as independent risk factors for IPN. The prediction model demonstrated good predictive value.

Conclusion

In MSAP and SAP patients, diabetes mellitus can exert an influence on their clinical outcome and is an independent risk factor for IPN. The alignment diagram and web calculator constructed on the basis of diabetes mellitus, modified CT severity index (MCTSI), serum calcium and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-c) have good predictive value and clinical guidance for the occurrence of IPN in MSAP and SAP.

Appropriate Use of Antibiotics in Acute Pancreatitis: A Scoping Review

BACKGROUND

While selective use of antibiotics for infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN) in acute pancreatitis (AP) is recommended, studies indicate a high rate of inadequate treatment.

METHODS

A search of PubMed, Scopus, and Cochrane databases was conducted, focusing on primary research and meta-analyses. Data were categorized based on core concepts, and a narrative synthesis was performed.

RESULTS

The search identified a total of 1016 publications. After evaluating 203 full texts and additional sources from the grey literature, 80 studies were included in the review. The answers obtained were: (1) Preventive treatment does not decrease the incidence of IPN or mortality. Given the risks of bacterial resistance and fungal infections, antibiotics should be reserved for highly suspected or confirmed IPN; (2) The diagnosis of IPN does not always require microbiological samples, as clinical suspicion or computed tomography signs can suffice. Early diagnosis and treatment may be improved by using biomarkers such as procalcitonin and novel microbiological methods; (3) When indicated, early initiation of antibiotics is a key determinant in reducing mortality associated with IPN; (4) Antibiotics with good penetration into pancreatic tissue covering Gram-negative and Gram-positive bacteria should be used. Routine antifungal therapy is not recommended; (5) The step-up approach, including antibiotics, is the standard for IPN management; (6) Antibiotic duration should be kept to a minimum and should be based on the quality of source control and patient condition.

CONCLUSIONS

Early antibiotic therapy is essential for the treatment of IPN, but prophylactic antibiotics are not recommended in AP. High-quality randomized controlled trials are required to better understand the role of antibiotics and antifungals in AP management.

Immune-Enhancing Treatment among Acute Necrotizing Pancreatitis Patients with Metabolic Abnormalities: A Post Hoc Analysis of a Randomized Clinical Trial

Background/Aims

Metabolic syndrome is common in patients with acute pancreatitis and its components have been reported to be associated with infectious complications. In this post hoc analysis, we aimed to evaluate whether metabolic abnormalities impact the effect of immune-enhancing thymosin alpha-1 (Tα1) therapy in acute necrotizing pancreatitis (ANP) patients.

Methods

All data were obtained from the database for a multicenter randomized clinical trial that evaluated the efficacy of Tα1 in ANP patients. Patients who discontinued the Tα1 treatment prematurely were excluded. The primary outcome was 90-day infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN) after randomization. Three post hoc subgroups were defined based on the presence of hyperglycemia, hypertriglyceridemia, or both at the time of randomization. In each subgroup, the correlation between Tα1 and 90-day IPN was assessed using the Cox proportional-hazards regression model. Multivariable propensity-score methods were used to control potential bias.

Results

Overall, 502 participants were included in this post hoc analysis (248 received Tα1 treatment and 254 received matching placebo treatment). Among them, 271 (54.0%) had hyperglycemia, 371 (73.9%) had hypertriglyceridemia and 229 (45.6%) had both. Tα1 therapy was associated with reduced incidence of IPN among patients with hyperglycemia (18.8% vs 29.7%: hazard ratio, 0.80; 95% confidence interval, 0.37 to 0.97; p=0.03), but not in the other subgroups. Additional multivariate regression models using three propensity-score methods yielded similar results.

Conclusions

Among ANP patients with hyperglycemia, immune-enhancing Tα1 treatment was associated with a reduced risk of IPN (ClinicalTrials.gov, Registry number: NCT02473406).

Establishment of trypsinogen-2 Amplification Luminescent Proximity Homogeneous Assay and its Application in Acute Pancreatitis

We aim to develop an amplified luminescence proximity homogeneous assay (AlphaLISA) for quantification of trypsinogen-2 levels in human serum for the diagnosis of acute pancreatitis. Based on new amplified luminescence proximity homogeneity assay (AlphaLISA) method, carboxyl-modified donor and acceptor beads were coupled to capture and detection antibodies. A double antibody sandwich immunoassay was used to detect the concentration of trypsinogen-2 in serum. The method had good linearity (> 0.998). The intra - analysis precision was between 1.54% and 2.20% (< 10%), the inter-analysis precision was between 3.17% and 6.94% (< 15%), and the recovery was between 96.23% and 103.45%. The cross-reactivity of carbohydrate antigen 242 (CA242) and T-cell immunoglobulin mucin-3 (Tim-3) were 0.09% and 0.93%, respectively. The detection time only needed 15 min. The results of trypsinogen-2-AlphaLISA and time-resolved fluorescence immunoassay were consistent (ρ = 0.9019). In addition, serum trypsinogen-2 concentration in patients with acute pancreatitis [239.23 (17.83-807.58) ng/mL] was significantly higher than that in healthy controls [20.54 (12.10-39.73) ng/mL]. When the cut-off value was 35.38ng/mL, the sensitivity and specificity were 91.8% and 96.67%, and the positive detection rate was 91.80%. We have successfully established a trypsinogen-2-AlphaLISA method, which can promote the timely diagnosis of acute pancreatitis.

High-flow nasal cannula oxygen therapy is equally effective to noninvasive ventilation for mild-moderate acute respiratory distress syndrome in patients with acute pancreatitis: A single-center, retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

The use of high-flow nasal cannula (HFNC) oxygen therapy is gaining popularity for the treatment of acute hypoxic respiratory failure. However, limited evidence exists regarding the effectiveness of HFNC for acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) in patients with acute pancreatitis (AP).

METHODS

This retrospective analysis focused on AP patients with mild-moderate ARDS, who were treated with either HFNC or noninvasive ventilation (NIV) in the emergency medicine department, from January 2020 to December 2022. The primary endpoint was treatment failure, defined as either invasive ventilation or a switch to any other study treatment (NIV for patients in the NFNC group and vice versa).

RESULTS

A total of 146 patients with AP (68 in the HFNC group and 78 in the NIV group) were included in this study. The treatment failure rate in the HFNC group was 17.6% and 19.2% in the NIV group - a risk difference of -1.6% (95% CI, -11.3 to 14.0%; P = 0.806). The most common causes of failure in the HFNC group were aggravation of respiratory distress and hypoxemia. However, in the NIV group, the most common reasons for failure were treatment intolerance and exacerbation of respiratory distress. Treatment intolerance in the HFNC group was significantly lower than that in the NIV group (16.7% vs 60.0%, 95% CI -66.8 to -6.2; P = 0.023). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that body mass index (≥28), acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II score (≥15), partial arterial oxygen tension/fraction of inspired oxygen (≤200), and respiratory rate (≥32/min) at 1 hour were independent predictors of HFNC failure.

CONCLUSION

In AP patients with mild-moderate ARDS, the usage of HFNC did not lead to a higher rate of treatment failure when compared to NIV. HFNC is an ideal choice of respiratory support for patients with NIV intolerance, but clinical application should pay attention to the influencing factors of its treatment failure.

Inhibition of aquaporin-9 ameliorates severe acute pancreatitis and associated lung injury by NLRP3 and Nrf2/HO-1 pathways

Inflammation, apoptosis and oxidative stress play crucial roles in the deterioration of severe acute pancreatitis-associated acute respiratory distress syndrome (SAP-ARDS). Unfortunately, despite a high mortality rate of 45 %[1], there are limited treatment options available for ARDS outside of last resort options such as mechanical ventilation and extracorporeal support strategies[2]. This study investigated the potential therapeutic role and mechanisms of AQP9 inhibitor RG100204 in two animal models of severe acute pancreatitis, inducing acute respiratory distress syndrome: 1) a sodium-taurocholate induced rat model, and 2) and Cerulein and lipopolysaccharide induced mouse model. RG100204 treatment led to a profound reduction in inflammatory cytokine expression in pancreatic, and lung tissue, in both models. In addition, infiltration of CD68 + and CD11b + cells into these tissues were reduced in RG100204 treated SAP animals, and edema and SAP associated tissue damage were improved. Moreover, we demonstrate that RG100204 reduced apoptosis in the lungs of rat SAP animals, and reduces NF-κB signaling, NLRP3, expression, while profoundly increasing the Nrf2-dependent anti oxidative stress response. We conclude that AQP9 inhibition is a promising strategy for the treatment of pancreatitis and its systemic complications, such as ARDS.

Development and validation of a nomogram combining pain score with laboratory indicators for predicting persistent organ failure in acute pancreatitis: a retrospective cohort study

Background

Acute pancreatitis is an inflammatory disease that can lead to persistent organ failure (POF), which is associated with increased morbidity and mortality. Early prediction of POF in AP can significantly improve patient outcomes.

Objective

To develop and validate a nomogram that combines pain score with laboratory indicators for predicting POF in patients with AP.

Methods

A retrospective cohort study was conducted, including patients diagnosed with AP. Pain score and laboratory indicators were collected within the first 24 h of admission. A nomogram was developed using logistic regression models and validated in a separate cohort.

Results

There were 807 patients in the training cohort and 375 patients in the internal validation cohort.Multivariate logistic regression demonstrated that pain score, serum creatinine, hematocrit, serum calcium, and serum albumin were independent risk factors for the incidence of POF in patients with AP. The area under the curve of the nomogram constructed from the above factors were 0.924, respectively. The model demonstrated good calibration and discrimination in both the development and validation cohorts.

Conclusion

The nomogram had a good performance in predicting POF in patients with AP and can be used to guide clinical decision-making.

Normal saline versus Ringer's solution and critical-illness mortality in acute pancreatitis: a nationwide inpatient database study

BACKGROUND

Fluid resuscitation is fundamental in acute pancreatitis (AP) treatment. However, the optimal choice between normal saline (NS) and Ringer's solution (RS), and its impact on mortality in critically ill patients, remains controversial. This retrospective cohort study, utilizing a national Japanese inpatient database, investigates this question.

METHODS

Using the Japanese Diagnosis Procedure Combination database between July 2010 and March 2021, we identified adult patients hospitalized in intensive care units (ICU) or high-dependency care units (HDU) for AP who survived at least three days and received sufficient fluid resuscitation (≥ [10 ml/kg/hr*1 h + 1 ml/kg/hr*71 h] ml) within three days of admission including emergency room infusions. Patients were classified into groups based on the predominant fluid type received: the NS group (> 80% normal saline) and the RS group (> 80% Ringer's solution). Propensity score matching was employed to reduce potential confounding factors and facilitate a balanced comparison of in-hospital mortality between the two groups.

RESULTS

Our analysis included 8710 patients with AP. Of these, 657 (7.5%) received predominantly NS, and 8053 (92.5%) received predominantly RS. Propensity score matching yielded 578 well-balanced pairs for comparison. The NS group demonstrated significantly higher in-hospital mortality than the RS group (12.8% [474/578] vs. 8.5% [49/578]; risk difference, 4.3%; 95% confidence interval, 0.3% to 8.3%).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients admitted to ICU or HDU with AP receiving adequate fluid resuscitation, RS can be a preferred infusion treatment compared to NS.

Construction and validation of a nomogram for predicting survival in elderly patients with severe acute pancreatitis: a retrospective study from a tertiary center

PURPOSE

There is a lack of adequate models specifically designed for elderly patients with severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) to predict the risk of death. This study aimed to develop a nomogram for predicting the overall survival of SAP in elderly patients.

METHODS

Elderly patients diagnosed with SAP between January 1, 2017 and December 31, 2022 were included in the study. Risk factors were identified through least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression analysis. Subsequently, a novel nomogram model was developed using multivariable logistic regression analysis. The predictive performance of the nomogram was evaluated using metrics such as the receiver operating characteristic curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

RESULTS

A total of 326 patients were included in the analysis, with 260 in the survival group and 66 in the deceased group. Multivariate logistic regression indicated that age, respiratory rate, arterial pH, total bilirubin, and calcium were independent prognostic factors for the survival of SAP patients. The nomogram demonstrated a performance comparable to sequential organ failure assessment (P = 0.065). Additionally, the calibration curve showed satisfactory predictive accuracy, and the DCA highlighted the clinical application value of the nomogram.

CONCLUSION

We have identified key demographic and laboratory parameters that are associated with the survival of elderly patients with SAP. These parameters have been utilized to create a precise and user-friendly nomogram, which could be an effective and valuable clinical tool for clinicians.

From pancreas to lungs: The role of immune cells in severe acute pancreatitis and acute lung injury

BACKGROUND

Severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) is a potentially lethal inflammatory pancreatitis condition that is usually linked to multiple organ failure. When it comes to SAP, the lung is the main organ that is frequently involved. Many SAP patients experience respiratory failure following an acute lung injury (ALI). Clinicians provide insufficient care for compounded ALI since the underlying pathophysiology is unknown. The mortality rate of SAP patients is severely impacted by it.

OBJECTIVE

The study aims to provide insight into immune cells, specifically their roles and modifications during SAP and ALI, through a comprehensive literature review. The emphasis is on immune cells as a therapeutic approach for treating SAP and ALI.

FINDINGS

Immune cells play an important role in the complicated pathophysiology ofSAP and ALI by maintaining the right balance of pro- and anti-inflammatory responses. Immunomodulatory drugs now in the market have low thepeutic efficacy because they selectively target one immune cell while ignoring immune cell interactions. Accurate management of dysregulated immune responses is necessary. A critical initial step is precisely characterizing the activity of the immune cells during SAP and ALI.

CONCLUSION

Given the increasing incidence of SAP, immunotherapy is emerging as a potential treatment option for these patients. Interactions among immune cells improve our understanding of the intricacy of concurrent ALI in SAP patients. Acquiring expertise in these domains will stimulate the development of innovative immunomodulation therapies that will improve the outlook for patients with SAP and ALI.

Functional role of IL-19 in a mouse model of L-arginine-induced pancreatitis and related lung injury

IL-19 is a member of IL-10 family and is mainly produced by macrophages. Acute pancreatitis (AP) is an inflammatory disease characterized by acinar cell injury and necrosis. In the present study, the role of IL-19 in AP and AP-associated lung injury in mice was explored using L-arginine-induced pancreatitis. Experimental pancreatitis was induced by intraperitoneal injection of L-arginine in wild-type (WT) and IL-19 gene-deficient (IL-19 KO) mice. Among the mice treated with L-arginine, the serum amylase level was significantly increased in the IL-19 KO mice, and interstitial edema, analyzed using hematoxylin and eosin-stained sections, was aggravated mildly in IL-19 KO mice compared with WT mice. Furthermore, the mRNA expression of tumor necrosis factor-α was significantly upregulated in IL-19 KO mice treated with L-arginine compared with WT mice treated with L-arginine. IL-19 mRNA was equally expressed in the pancreases of both control and L-arginine-treated WT mice. The conditions of lung alveoli were then evaluated in WT and IL-19 KO mice treated with L-arginine. In mice with L-arginine-induced pancreatitis, the alveolar area was remarkedly decreased, and expression of lung myeloperoxidase was significantly increased in IL-19 KO mice compared with WT mice. In the lungs, the mRNA expression of IL-6 and inducible nitric oxide synthase was significantly increased in IL-19 KO mice compared with WT mice. In summary, IL-19 was proposed to alleviate L-arginine-induced pancreatitis by regulating TNF-α production and to protect against AP-related lung injury by inhibiting neutrophil migration.

Is Contemporary Open Pancreatic Necrosectomy Still Useful In The Minimally Invasive Era?

BACKGROUND

Previous studies have shown that open pancreatic necrosectomy for infected pancreatic necrosis was associated with high morbidity and mortality. However, these results were mostly concluded from historical cohorts with traditional early necrosectomy in the absence of a minimally invasive step-up approach.

OBJECTIVE

To explore the value of contemporary open pancreatic necrosectomy for infected pancreatic necrosis in the minimally invasive era.

METHODS

A post hoc analysis was performed in a prospective maintained database of 320 patients with infected pancreatic necrosis from January 2011 to December 2022 at a large Chinese tertiary hospital.

RESULTS

A total of 320 patients with infected pancreatic necrosis received either a minimally invasive step-up approach (245, 76.6%) or open pancreatic necrosectomy (75, 23.4%), which included upfront open pancreatic necrosectomy (32, 10.0%) and salvage open pancreatic necrosectomy (43, 13.4%). Upfront open pancreatic necrosectomy was associated with similar morbidity and mortality rates but fewer surgical interventions compared with a minimally invasive step-up approach. However, salvage open pancreatic necrosectomy was associated with significantly higher mortality (48.8% vs 18.8%, P = .007), gastrointestinal fistula (44.2% vs 18.8%, P = .021), hemorrhage (48.8% vs 15.6%, P = .003), and intensive care unit stay (25 vs 7 days, P = .040) compared with upfront open pancreatic necrosectomy. Multivariate analysis suggested that multiple organ failure (hazard ratio = 5.1; 95% confidence interval, 1.4-18.2, P = .013) and synchronous critical acute pancreatitis (hazard ratio = 3.0; 95% confidence interval, 1.1-8.6, P = .040) were 2 independent risk factors of death for patients who received open pancreatic necrosectomy.

CONCLUSION

Patients undergoing upfront open pancreatic necrosectomy received fewer surgical interventions with comparable efficacy compared to the minimally invasive step-up approach. Salvage open pancreatic necrosectomy was potentially lifesaving, though it carried high morbidity and mortality. Multiple organ failure and synchronous critical acute pancreatitis were 2 independent risk factors of death for patients who received open pancreatic necrosectomy.

Predictive value of the Ranson and BISAP scoring systems for the severity and prognosis of acute pancreatitis: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

To systematically assess and compare the predictive value of the Ranson and Bedside Index of Severity in Acute Pancreatitis (BISAP) scoring systems for the severity and prognosis of acute pancreatitis (AP).

METHODS

PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, and Web of Science were systematically searched until February 15, 2023. Outcomes in this analysis included severity and prognosis [mortality, organ failure, pancreatic necrosis, and intensive care unit (ICU) admission]. The revised Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies (QUADAS-2) tool was used to evaluate the quality of diagnostic accuracy studies. The threshold effect was evaluated for each outcome. The sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratio (PLR), negative likelihood ratio (NLR), diagnostic odds ratio (DOR), and the area under the summary receiver operating characteristic (SROC) curve (AUC) as well as 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated. The DeLong test was used for AUC comparisons. For the outcome evaluated by over 9 studies, publication bias was assessed using the Deeks' funnel plot asymmetry test.

RESULTS

Totally 17 studies of 5476 AP patients were included. For severity, the pooled sensitivity of the Ranson and BISAP was 0.95 (95%CI: 0.87, 0.98) and 0.67 (95%CI: 0.27, 0.92); the pooled specificity of the Ranson and BISAP was 0.74 (0.52, 0.88) and 0.95 (95%CI: 0.85, 0.98); the pooled AUC of the Ranson and BISAP was 0.95 (95%CI: 0.93, 0.97) and 0.94 (95%CI: 0.92, 0.96) (P = 0.480). For mortality, the pooled sensitivity of the Ranson and BISAP was 0.89 (95%CI: 0.73, 0.96) and 0.77 (95%CI: 0.58, 0.89); the pooled specificity of the Ranson and BISAP was 0.79 (95%CI: 0.68, 0.87) and 0.90 (95%CI: 0.86, 0.93); the pooled AUC of the Ranson and BISAP was 0.91 (95%CI: 0.88, 0.93) and 0.92 (95%CI: 0.90, 0.94) (P = 0.480). For organ failure, the pooled sensitivity of the Ranson and BISAP was 0.84 (95%CI: 0.76, 0.90) and 0.78 (95%CI: 0.60, 0.90); the pooled specificity of the Ranson and BISAP was 0.84 (95%CI: 0.63, 0.94) and 0.90 (95%CI: 0.72, 0.97); the pooled AUC of the Ranson and BISAP was 0.86 (95%CI: 0.82, 0.88) and 0.90 (95%CI: 0.87, 0.93) (P = 0.110). For pancreatic necrosis, the pooled sensitivity of the Ranson and BISAP was 0.63 (95%CI: 0.35, 0.84) and 0.63 (95%CI: 0.23, 0.90); the pooled specificity of the Ranson and BISAP was 0.90 (95%CI: 0.77, 0.96) and 0.93 (95%CI: 0.89, 0.96); the pooled AUC of the Ranson and BISAP was 0.87 (95%CI: 0.84, 0.90) and 0.93 (95%CI: 0.91, 0.95) (P = 0.001). For ICU admission, the pooled sensitivity of the Ranson and BISAP was 0.86 (95%CI: 0.77, 0.92) and 0.63 (95%CI: 0.52, 0.73); the pooled specificity of the Ranson and BISAP was 0.58 (95%CI: 0.55, 0.61) and 0.84 (95%CI: 0.81, 0.86); the pooled AUC of the Ranson and BISAP was 0.92 (95%CI: 0.81, 1.00) and 0.86 (95%CI: 0.67, 1.00) (P = 0.592).

CONCLUSION

The Ranson score was an applicable tool for predicting severity and prognosis of AP patients with reliable diagnostic accuracy in resource and time-limited settings. Future large-scale studies are needed to verify the findings.

Potential Predictors of Severe and Recurrent Pancreatitis in Children: A Single-Center Experience

OBJECTIVES

Severe pancreatitis often requires intensive care; therefore, early detection is important. This study aimed to evaluate the possible predictors of pancreatitis severity in children. Furthermore, we evaluated the prevalence of pancreatitis recurrence and related factors.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed the medical records of patients aged younger than 18 years who were diagnosed with acute pancreatitis between January 2017 and June 2022. Acute pancreatitis was diagnosed and classified based on the revised Atlanta criteria.

RESULTS

A total of 64 patients were enrolled, and severe pancreatitis was observed in 10 (15.6%) patients. Patients with severe pancreatitis were younger and had higher C-reactive protein levels than those with mild pancreatitis. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves of C-reactive protein levels at admission and 48 hours after diagnosis were 0.612 (95% confidence interval, 0.379-0.844) and 0.873 (95% confidence interval, 0.537-0.983), respectively. Fourteen patients (21.9%) experienced further episodes of recurrent pancreatitis. Patients with recurrent pancreatitis were older (13.7 vs 11.4 years, P = 0.022) and prominently boys (85.7 vs 52%, P = 0.022) compared with those without recurrence. Obesity was observed in 4 (0.6%) patients, which was confirmed in all recurrence groups and was statistically significant.

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrated the feasibility of C-reactive protein in the early risk assessment of patients with acute pancreatitis and highlighted the potential risk of recurrence in patients with obesity.

Laparoscopic necrosectomy for acute necrotizing pancreatitis: mesocolon-preserving approach and outcomes

The surgical treatment of acute necrotizing pancreatitis has significantly evolved in recent years with the advent of enhanced imaging techniques and minimally invasive surgery. Various minimally invasive techniques, such as video-assisted retroperitoneal debridement (VARD) and endoscopic transmural necrosectomy (ETN), have been employed in the management of acute necrotizing pancreatitis and are often part of step-up approaches. However, almost all reported step-up approaches only employ a fixed minimally invasive technique prior to open surgery. In contrast, we implemented different minimally invasive techniques during the treatment of acute pancreatitis based on the extent of pancreatic necrosis. For acute necrotizing pancreatitis of the pancreatic bed with or without extension into the left retroperitoneum, we performed mesocolon-preserving laparoscopic necrosectomy for debridment. The quantitative indication for pancreatic debridment in our institute has been described previously. For acute necrotizing pancreatitis of the pancreatic bed with or without extension into the left retroperitoneum, mesocolon-preserving laparoscopic necrosectomy was performed for debridment. To safeguard the mesocolon, the pancreatic bed was entered via the gastrocolic ligament, and the left retroperitoneum was accessed via the lateral peritoneal attachments of the descending colon. Of the 77 patients requiring pancreatic debridment, 41 patients were deemed suitable for mesocolon-preserving laparoscopic necrosectomy by multiple disciplinary team and informed consent was acquired. Of these 41 patients, 27 underwent percutaneous drainage, 10 underwent transluminal drainage, and 2 underwent transluminal necrosectomy prior to laparoscopic necrosectomy. Two patients (4.88%) died of sepsis, three patients (7.32%) required further laparotomic necrosectomy, and five patients (12.20%) required additional percutaneous drainage for residual infection. Three patients (7.32%) experienced duodenal fistula, all of which were cured through non-surgical treatments. Nineteen patients (46.34%) developed pancreatic fistula that persisted for over 3 weeks, with 17 being successfully treated non-surgically. The remaining two patients had pancreatic fistulas that lasted over 3 months; an internal drainage procedure has been planned for them. No patient developed colonic fistula. Mesocolon-preserving laparoscopic necrosectomy proved to be safe and effective in selected patients. It can serve as a supplementary procedure for step-up approaches or as an alternative to other debridment procedures such as VARD, ETN, and laparotomic necrosectomy.

Gastrodin ameliorates acute pancreatitis by modulating macrophage inflammation cascade via inhibition the p38/NF-κB pathway

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a prevalent, destructive, non-infectious pancreatic inflammatory disease, which is usually accompanied with systemic manifestations and poor prognosis. Gastrodin (4-hydroxybenzyl alcohol 4-O-β-d-glucopyranoside) has ideal anti-inflammatory effects in various inflammatory diseases. However, its potential effects on AP had not been studied. In this study, serum biochemistry, H&E staining, immunohistochemistry, immunofluorescence, western blot, real-time quantitative PCR (RT-qPCR) were performed to investigate the effects of Gastrodin on caerulein-induced AP pancreatic acinar injury model in vivo and lipopolysaccharide (LPS) induced M1 phenotype macrophage model in vitro. Our results showed that Gastrodin treatment could significantly reduce the levels of serum amylase and serum lipase while improving pancreatic pathological morphology. Additionally, it decreased secretion of inflammatory cytokines and chemokines, and inhibited the levels of p-p38/p38, p-IκB/IκB as well as p-NF-κB p-p65/NF-κB p65. Overall our findings suggested that Gastrodin might be a promising therapeutic option for patients with AP by attenuating inflammation through inhibition of the p38/NF-κB pathway mediated macrophage cascade.

Pathophysiology of severe gallstone pancreatitis: A new paradigm

Severe gallstone pancreatitis (GSP) refractory to maximum conservative therapy has wide clinical variations, and its pathophysiology remains controversial. This Editorial aimed to investigate the pathophysiology of severe disease based on Opie’s theories of obstruction, the common channel, and duodenal reflux and describe its types. Severe GSP might be a hybrid disease with pathology polarized between acute cholangitis with mild pancreatitis (biliary type) and necrotizing pancreatitis uncomplicated with biliary tract disease (pancreatic type), in which hepatobiliary and pancreatic lesion severity is inversely related to the presence or absence of impacted ampullary stones. Severe GSP is caused by stones that are persistently impacted at the ampulla with biliopancreatic obstruction (biliary type), and probably, stones that are either temporarily lodged at the duodenal orifice or passed into the duodenum, thereby permitting reflux of bile or possible duodenal contents into the pancreas (pancreas type). When the status of the stones and the presence or absence of impacted ampullary stones with biliopancreatic obstruction are determined, the clinical course and outcome can be predicted. Gallstones represent the main cause of acute pancreatitis globally, and clinicians are expected to encounter GSP more often. Awareness of the etiology and pathogenesis of severe disease is mandatory.

Nutrition in Pancreatic Diseases: A Roadmap for the Gastroenterologist

While common pancreatic diseases, such as acute pancreatitis (AP), chronic pancreatitis (CP), and pancreatic cancer (PC), may greatly impact the normal pancreatic physiology and contribute to malnutrition, the adequate nutritional approach when those conditions are present significantly influences patients' prognosis. In patients with AP, the goals of nutritional care are to prevent malnutrition, correct a negative nitrogen balance, reduce inflammation, and improve outcomes such as local and systemic complications and mortality. Malnutrition in patients with CP is common but often a late manifestation of the disease, leading to decreased functional capacity and quality of life and increased risk of developing significant osteopathy, postoperative complications, hospitalization, and mortality. Cancer-related malnutrition is common in patients with PC, and it is now well recognized that early nutritional support can favorably impact survival, not only by increasing tolerance and response to disease treatments but also by improving quality of life and decreasing postoperative complications. The aim of this review was to emphasize the role of nutrition and to propose a systematic nutritional approach in patients with AP, CP, and PC.

Prediction of survival in patients with infected pancreatic necrosis: a prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN) is a severe complication of acute pancreatitis, with mortality rates ranging from 15 to 35%. However, limited studies exist to predict the survival of IPN patients and nomogram has never been built. This study aimed to identify predictors of mortality, estimate conditional survival (CS), and develop a CS nomogram and logistic regression nomogram for real-time prediction of survival in IPN patients.

METHODS

A prospective cohort study was performed in 335 IPN patients consecutively enrolled at a large Chinese tertiary hospital from January 2011 to December 2022. The random survival forest method was first employed to identify the most significant predictors and capture clinically relevant nonlinear threshold effects. Instantaneous death risk and CS was first utilized to reveal the dynamic changes in the survival of IPN patients. A Cox model-based nomogram incorporating CS and a logistic regression-based nomogram were first developed and internally validated with a bootstrap method.

RESULTS

The random survival forest model identified seven foremost predictors of mortality, including the number of organ failures, duration of organ failure, age, time from onset to first intervention, hemorrhage, bloodstream infection, and severity classification. Duration of organ failure and time from onset to first intervention showed distinct thresholds and nonlinear relationships with mortality. Instantaneous death risk reduced progressively within the first 30 days, and CS analysis indicated gradual improvement in real-time survival since diagnosis, with 90-day survival rates gradually increasing from 0.778 to 0.838, 0.881, 0.974, and 0.992 after surviving 15, 30, 45, 60, and 75 days, respectively. After further variables selection using step regression, five predictors (age, number of organ failures, hemorrhage, time from onset to first intervention, and bloodstream infection) were utilized to construct both the CS nomogram and logistic regression nomogram, both of which demonstrated excellent performance with 1000 bootstrap.

CONCLUSION

Number of organ failures, duration of organ failure, age, time from onset to first intervention, hemorrhage, bloodstream infection, and severity classification were the most crucial predictors of mortality of IPN patients. The CS nomogram and logistic regression nomogram constructed by these predictors could help clinicians to predict real-time survival and optimize clinical decisions.

Inhibition of circulating exosomes release with GW4869 mitigates severe acute pancreatitis-stimulated intestinal barrier damage through suppressing NLRP3 inflammasome-mediated pyroptosis

Intestinal barrier dysfunction frequently occurs as a complication in cases of severe acute pancreatitis (SAP); however, no effective therapeutic methods are available because the precise mechanism remains obscure. Recent research has elucidated the role of circulating exosomes in the progression of SAP. Therefore, the present study explored whether inhibiting circulating exosomes release would improve intestinal barrier injury triggered via SAP and investigated the possible underlying mechanism. In vivo, we found that circulating exosomes release exhibited a considerable increase in SAP rats than in SO rats, and GW4869, a suppressor of exosomes release, significantly decreased exosomes release in SAP rats. We also observed that GW4869 suppressed NLRP3 inflammasome-mediated pyroptosis within the intestine and alleviated intestinal barrier injury within SAP. Moreover, the inflammatory response and remote organ (kidney and lung) injury associated with SAP improved after GW4869 treatment. In vitro, we confirmed that depletion of exosomes with GW4869 could partially abolish the destructive effects of SAP rat plasma on the viability and barrier function of IEC-6 cells. In summary, our findings show that the suppression of the release of circulating exosomes effectively inhibits the process of pyroptosis mediated by the NOD-like receptor protein 3 (NLRP3) inflammasome and, therefore, mitigates intestinal barrier dysfunction in SAP, suggesting that circulating exosomes may be a potential target for treating SAP.

Comparison of Fluid Resuscitation with Lactate Ringer's Versus Normal Saline in Acute Pancreatitis: An Updated Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Fluid resuscitation is one of the main therapies for acute pancreatitis (AP). There is still no consensus on the type of fluid resuscitation. This study investigated the differences between lactate Ringer's (LR) and normal saline (NS) in treating AP.

METHODS

Two authors systematically searched Web of Science, Embase (via OVID), Cochrane Library, and PubMed to find all published research before July, 2023. The odds of moderately severe/severe AP and intensive care unit (ICU) admission are set as primary endpoints.

RESULTS

This meta-analysis included 5 RCTs and 4 observational studies with 1424 AP patients in LR (n = 651) and NS (n = 773) groups. The results suggested that the odds of moderately severe/severe AP (OR 0.48; 95%Cl 0.34 to 0.67; P < 0.001) and ICU admission (OR 0.37; 95%Cl 0.16 to 0.87; P = 0.02) were lower in the LR group compared to NS group. In addition, the LR group had lower rates of local complications (OR 0.54; 95%Cl 0.32 to 0.92; P = 0.02), lower level of CRP, as well as a shorter hospital stay (WMD, - 1.09 days; 95%Cl - 1.72 to - 0.47 days; P < 0.001) than the NS group. Other outcomes, such as mortality, the rate of organ failure, SIRS, acute fluid collection, pancreatic necrosis, pseudocysts, and volume overload, did not differ significantly between two groups (P > 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

LR is preferred over NS as it decreases the odds of moderately severe/severe AP, the rate of ICU admission, local complication, and length of hospital stay. However, large-scale RCT are lacking to support these evidence.

Hesperidin Alleviates Acute Necrotizing Pancreatitis by Activating SIRT1 - Molecular Docking, Molecular Dynamics Simulation, and Experimental Validation

BACKGROUND

Acute necrotizing pancreatitis is a serious pancreatic injury with limited effective treatments. This study aims to investigate the therapeutic effects of hesperidin on Larginine- induced acute pancreatitis and its potential targets.

METHODS

The authors induced acute pancreatitis in mice by administering two hourly intraperitoneal injections of L-arginine-HCl, and evaluated the impact of hesperidin on pancreatic and lung tissues, plasma amylase activity, and myeloperoxidase content. Additionally, necrosis and mitochondrial function was tested in primary pancreatic acinar cells. The interactions between hesperidin and proteins involved in necrosis and mitochondrial dysfunction were further invested using in silico molecular docking and molecular dynamic simulations.

RESULTS

Hesperidin effectively ameliorated the severity of acute necrotizing pancreatitis by reducing plasma amylase, pancreatic MPO, serum IL-6 levels, pancreatic edema, inflammation, and pancreatic necrosis. Hesperidin also protected against acute pancreatitis-associated lung injury and prevented acinar cell necrosis, mitochondrial membrane potential loss, and ATP depletion. In addition, hesperidin exhibited a high binding affinity with SIRT1 and increased the protein levels of SIRT1. The SIRT1 inhibitor EX527 abolished the protective effect of hesperidin against necrosis in acinar cells.

CONCLUSION

These findings indicate that hesperidin alleviates the severity of acute necrotizing pancreatitis by activating SIRT1, which may provide insight into the mechanisms of natural compounds in treating AP. Hesperidin has potential as a therapeutic agent for acute necrotizing pancreatitis and provides a new approach for novel therapeutic strategies.

Treatment and diagnosis of hyperlipidemia acute pancreatitis in pregnancy associated with pre‑pregnancy obesity and diabetes: A case report

Hyperlipidemia acute pancreatitis (HLAP) is a specific type of pancreatitis mainly caused by elevated serum triglyceride (TG) levels. Therefore, knowledge of patients' medical history is crucial to the identification of those at high risk of HLAP. Diabetes and obesity are associated with high levels of triglycerides, a risk factor for the development of HLAP, which should be controlled before pregnancy. Moreover, HLAP is associated with additional diagnostic and management challenges related to hyperlipidemia (HL) and pregnancy. HLAP during pregnancy has a rapid onset and rapid progression, and complications are more likely to damage the function of multiple organs. HLAP is more common after 28 weeks of pregnancy, the cause is mostly high TG and the serum TG of the patient is often >1,000 mg/d1. Clinicians should be alert to the occurrence of server acute pancreatitis (AP). Therefore, clinicians need to identify and implement effective treatment in a timely manner to control the progression of HLAP during pregnancy and improve pregnancy outcomes. The present study reported the case of a 26-year-old pregnant patient who was hospitalized for epigastric pain at 35 weeks and 2 days of gestation. Medical and family history reported previous diagnoses of diabetes and obesity (weight before pregnancy, 103 kg; BMI, 36.40 kg/m2). Laboratory tests demonstrated high levels of lipase and amylase, a notable systemic inflammatory response, HL, coagulopathy, hypoproteinemia and hyperglycemia. Abdominal ultrasonography demonstrated a hypoechoic pancreatic head. A clinical diagnosis of AP was confirmed using CT scanning. Initial interventions for HLAP included aggressive intravenous hydration, bowel rest, pain control and a combination of heparin and insulin. Lipid-lowering agents were administered to reduce serum lipid levels. Hemoperfusion and continuous renal replacement therapy were also used to rapidly counteract the elevated lipid levels. Antibiotics were administered in the present case because inflammatory markers such as leukocytes, neutrophils and C-reactive protein were elevated. The patient and newborn were discharged 11 days after hospitalization, with an improvement in maternal clinical health and the infant was healthy. When evaluating pregnant patients with pre-obesity and diabetes presenting with abdominal pain, obstetricians should consider HLAP. Timely diagnosis and multi-team precision treatment are effective for good outcomes for mother and baby.

HDL inhibits pancreatic acinar cell NLRP3 inflammasome activation and protect against acinar cell pyroptosis in acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Recent clinical studies have shown that serum high-density lipoprotein (HDL) levels are correlated with acute pancreatitis (AP) severity. We aimed to investigate the role of HDL in pancreatic necrosis in AP.

EXPERIMENTAL APPROACH

ApoA-I is the main constitution and function component of HDL. The roles of healthy human-derived HDL and apoA-I mimic peptide D4F were demonstrated in AP models in vivo and in vitro. Constitutive Apoa1 genetic inhibition on AP severity, especially pancreatic necrosis was assessed in both caerulein and sodium taurocholate induced mouse AP models. In addition, constitutive (Casp1-/-) and acinar cell conditional (Pdx1CreNlrp3Δ/Δ and Pdx1CreGsdmdΔ/Δ) mice were used to explore the effects of HDL on acinar cell pyroptosis in AP.

KEY RESULTS

Apoa1 knockout dramatically aggravated pancreatic necrosis. Human-derived HDL protected against acinar cell death in vivo and in vitro. We found that mimic peptide D4F also protected against AP very well. Constitutive Casp1 or acinar cell-conditional Nlrp3 and Gsdmd genetic inhibition could counteract the protective effects of HDL, implying HDL may exert beneficial effects on AP through inhibiting acinar cell pyroptosis.

CONCLUSION AND IMPLICATIONS

This work demonstrates the protective role of HDL and apoA-I in AP pathology, potentially driven by the inhibition of NLRP3 inflammasome signaling and acinar cell pyroptosis. Mimic peptides have promise as specific therapies for AP.

Microenvironment of pancreatic inflammation: calling for nanotechnology for diagnosis and treatment

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a common and life-threatening digestive disorder. However, its diagnosis and treatment are still impeded by our limited understanding of its etiology, pathogenesis, and clinical manifestations, as well as by the available detection methods. Fortunately, the progress of microenvironment-targeted nanoplatforms has shown their remarkable potential to change the status quo. The pancreatic inflammatory microenvironment is typically characterized by low pH, abundant reactive oxygen species (ROS) and enzymes, overproduction of inflammatory cells, and hypoxia, which exacerbate the pathological development of AP but also provide potential targeting sites for nanoagents to achieve early diagnosis and treatment. This review elaborates the various potential targets of the inflammatory microenvironment of AP and summarizes in detail the prospects for the development and application of functional nanomaterials for specific targets. Additionally, it presents the challenges and future trends to develop multifunctional targeted nanomaterials for the early diagnosis and effective treatment of AP, providing a valuable reference for future research.

Investigating COVID-19 Pandemic Effects on Acute Pancreatitis Development-From the Perspective of Alcohol Sales (Consumption) in a Japanese Regional Hospital

[Aim and Background] People's lifestyles changed considerably due to the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. The number of patients with acute pancreatitis (AP) can be expected to decrease as alcohol consumption decreases. This study was conducted to assess COVID-19 pandemic effects on AP patients in a Japanese regional hospital. [Methods] Based on the first and second states of emergency declarations in Tochigi Prefecture, the survey periods were set as follows: period A, 16 April-14 May; period B, 15 May-13 January; period C, 14 January-7 February; and period D, 8 February-15 April. Using data acquired in 2017, 2018, 2019, and 2020, we retrospectively reviewed the number of patients admitted to our hospital with a diagnosis of AP, and their clinical characteristics. [Results] According to a National Tax Agency survey, the average alcohol sales per adult in Tochigi Prefecture were 71.3 L in 2017 before the pandemic, and 64.0 L in 2021 under the pandemic. The number of AP patients in 2020 was 38% lower than in 2017. Comparing 2017 with 2020, the number of alcoholic AP patients was lower in 2020 (p = 0.007). [Conclusions] The findings suggest that COVID-19-pandemic-related lifestyle changes contributed to the decrease in AP patients.

Immune response mechanisms in acute and chronic pancreatitis: strategies for therapeutic intervention

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is one of the most common inflammatory diseases of the gastrointestinal tract and a steady rising diagnosis for inpatient hospitalization. About one in four patients, who experience an episode of AP, will develop chronic pancreatitis (CP) over time. While the initiating causes of pancreatitis can be complex, they consistently elicit an immune response that significantly determines the severity and course of the disease. Overall, AP is associated with a significant mortality rate of 1-5%, which is caused by either an excessive pro-inflammation, or a strong compensatory inhibition of bacterial defense mechanisms which lead to a severe necrotizing form of pancreatitis. At the time-point of hospitalization the already initiated immune response is the only promising common therapeutic target to treat or prevent a severe disease course. However, the complexity of the immune response requires fine-balanced therapeutic intervention which in addition is limited by the fact that a significant proportion of patients is in danger of development or progress to recurrent and chronic disease. Based on the recent literature we survey the disease-relevant immune mechanisms and evaluate appropriate and promising therapeutic targets for the treatment of acute and chronic pancreatitis.

Severe Acute Pancreatitis Prediction: A Model Derived From a Prospective Registry Cohort

Background Severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) has a mortality rate as high as 40%. Early identification of SAP is required to appropriately triage and direct initial therapies. The purpose of this study was to develop a prognostic model that identifies patients at risk for developing SAP of patients managed according to a guideline-based standardized early medical management (EMM) protocol. Methods This single-center study included all patients diagnosed with acute pancreatitis (AP) and managed with the EMM protocol Methodist Acute Pancreatitis Protocol (MAPP) between April 2017 and September 2022. Classification and regression tree (CART®; Professional Extended Edition, version 8.0; Salford Systems, San Diego, CA), univariate, and logistic regression analyses were performed to develop a scoring system for AP severity prediction. The accuracy of the scoring system was measured by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. Results A total of 516 patients with mild (n=436) or moderately severe and severe (n=80) AP were analyzed. CART analysis identified the cutoff values: creatinine (CR) (1.15 mg/dL), white blood cells (WBC) (10.5 × 109/L), procalcitonin (PCT) (0.155 ng/mL), and systemic inflammatory response system (SIRS). The prediction model was built with a multivariable logistic regression analysis, which identified CR, WBC, PCT, and SIRS as the main predictors of severity. When CR and only one other predictor value (WBC, PCT, or SIRS) met thresholds, then the probability of predicting SAP was >30%. The probability of predicting SAP was 72% (95%CI: 0.59-0.82) if all four of the main predictors were greater than the cutoff values. Conclusions Baseline laboratory cutoff values were identified and a logistic regression-based prognostic model was developed to identify patients treated with a standardized EMM who were at risk for SAP.

Percutaneous Endoscopic Necrosectomy

Patients with acute pancreatitis might develop infected necrotic fluid collections which are associated with significant morbidity and mortality. Patients with infected necrotizing pancreatitis not responding to antibiotics require drainage and subsequent necrosectomy (Step-up approach). Percutaneous endoscopic necrosectomy (PEN) has evolved as a minimally invasive approach for necrosectomy through the percutaneous catheter route using a flexible endoscope and can be done under conscious sedation. It is best suited for predominantly laterally placed infected necrotic fluid collections and also can be performed at the bedside for sick patients admitted to an ICU. PEN has a clinical success rate of 80% with minimal adverse events.

High expression of P-selectin induces neutrophil extracellular traps via the PSGL-1/Syk/Ca2+/PAD4 pathway to exacerbate acute pancreatitis

Background

Excessive neutrophil extracellular traps (NETs) is involved in the progression of acute pancreatitis (AP) but the mechanisms controlling NETs formation in AP are not fully understood. Therefore, our study sought to investigate the mechanism of the highly expressed P-selectin stimulating the formation of NETs in AP.

Methods

NETs formation was detected by flow cytometry, immunofluorescence staining, and cf-DNA and MPO-DNA complexes were measured as biomarkers of NETs formation. Neutrophils treated with P-selectin and pharmacological inhibitors were examined by western blot, immunofluorescence staining and flow cytometry. Mouse model of AP was established by caerulein and the effect of inhibiting P-selectin by PSI-697 on the level of NETs and PAD4 in pancreatic tissue was observed. The severity of AP was evaluated by histopathological score and the detection of serum amylase and lipase.

Results

Patients with AP had elevated levels of NETs and P-selectin compared with healthy volunteers. Stimulation of P-selectin up-regulated the expression of PSGL-1, increased the phosphorylation of Syk, mediated intracellular calcium signal and led to the activation and expression of PAD4, which modulated NETs formation in neutrophils. Pretreament with PSI-697 blunted NETs formation and PAD4 expression in the pancreatic tissue, and ameliorated the severity of AP in mice.

Conclusion

Taken together, these results suggest that P-selectin induces NETs through PSGL-1 and its downstream Syk/Ca2+/PAD4 signaling pathway, and that targeting this pathway might be a promising strategy for the treatment of AP.

A Clinic-Radiomics Model for Predicting the Incidence of Persistent Organ Failure in Patients with Acute Necrotizing Pancreatitis

Background

Persistent organ failure (POF) is the leading cause of death in patients with acute necrotizing pancreatitis (ANP). Although several risk factors have been identified, there remains a lack of efficient instruments to accurately predict the incidence of POF in ANP.

Methods

Retrospectively, the clinical and imaging data of 178 patients with ANP were collected from our database, and the patients were divided into training (n = 125) and validation (n = 53) cohorts. Through computed tomography image acquisition, the volume of interest segmentation, and feature extraction and selection, a pure radiomics model in terms of POF prediction was established. Then, a clinic-radiomics model integrating the pure radiomics model and clinical risk factors was constructed. Both primary and secondary endpoints were compared between the high- and low-risk groups stratified by the clinic-radiomics model.

Results

According to the 547 selected radiomics features, four models were derived from features. A clinic-radiomics model in the training and validation sets showed better predictive performance than pure radiomics and clinical models. The clinic-radiomics model was evaluated by the ratios of intervention and mechanical ventilation, intensive care unit (ICU) stays, and hospital stays. The results showed that the high-risk group had significantly higher intervention rates, ICU stays, and hospital stays than the low-risk group, with the confidence interval of 90% (p < 0.1 for all).

Conclusions

This clinic-radiomics model is a useful instrument for clinicians to evaluate the incidence of POF, facilitating patients' and their families' understanding of the ANP prognosis.

Post-pancreatectomy Acute Pancreatitis in Distal Pancreatectomies - a Rare Bird According to the New Definition

BACKGROUND

Post-pancreatectomy acute pancreatitis (PPAP) is a recently identified clinical condition characterized by sustained elevated serum amylase levels for at least 48 h post-operatively, consistent radiological findings, and relevant clinical features. The purpose of this study was to determine the frequency of PPAP after DP, to investigate the rate of major complications in patients with sustained or transiently elevated serum amylase activity, and to explore the usability of CT as a prerequisite for the diagnosis of PPAP.

METHODS

This retrospective single-center observational study included consecutive patients 18 years or older who underwent DP at Karolinska University Hospital between 2008 and 2020. The two serum amylase levels on post-operative days (POD) 1 and 2 were correlated with post-operative major complications by logistic regression analyses.

RESULTS

Of the 403 patients who underwent DP, 14% (n = 58) had sustained elevated serum amylase levels according to PPAP criteria, and 31% (n = 126) had transiently elevated serum amylase levels on either POD1 or POD2. Of the patients with sustained elevated levels, 45% (n = 26) developed major complications, but less than 2% (n = 1) showed imaging findings consistent with acute pancreatitis. Of the 126 patients who exhibited only transiently elevated serum amylase on either POD1 or POD2, 38% (n = 48) developed major complications. The frequency of PPAP was 0.25% (n = 1).

CONCLUSION

These findings indicate that PPAP after DP is rare and that computed tomography has limited usability for diagnosing PPAP. The findings also suggest that transiently elevated serum amylase may be an early indicator of acute pancreatitis, especially when peaked.

The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Outcomes in Acute Pancreatitis: A Propensity Score Matched Study Comparing before and during the Pandemic

We aimed to evaluate the outcomes and survival of patients with acute pancreatitis who shared the same clinical form, age, and sex before the pandemic, during the pandemic, and among those with confirmed COVID-19 infection upon hospital admission. This consideration used the sparse data in the existing literature on the influence of the pandemic and COVID-19 infection on patients with acute pancreatitis. To accomplish this, we conducted a multicentric, retrospective case-control study using propensity score matching with a 2:1 match of 28 patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection and acute pancreatitis, with 56 patients with acute pancreatitis pre-pandemic, and 56 patients with acute pancreatitis during the pandemic. The study outcome demonstrated a six-fold relative risk of death in patients with acute pancreatitis and SARS-CoV-2 infection compared to those with acute pancreatitis before the pandemic. Furthermore, restrictive measures implemented during the pandemic period led to a partial delay in the care of patients with acute pancreatitis, which likely resulted in an impairment of their immune state. This, in certain circumstances, resulted in a restriction of surgical treatment indications, leading to a three-fold relative risk of death in patients with acute pancreatitis during the pandemic compared to those with acute pancreatitis before the pandemic.

Establishment and Validation of a Nomogram Prediction Model for the Severe Acute Pancreatitis

Background

Severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) can progress to lung and kidney dysfunction, and blood clotting within 48 hours of its onset, and is associated with a high mortality rate. The aim of this study was to establish a reliable diagnostic prediction model for the early stage of severe pancreatitis.

Methods

The clinical data of patients diagnosed with acute pancreatitis from October 2017 to June 2022 at the Shangluo Central Hospital were collected. The risk factors were screened by least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis. A novel nomogram model was then established by multivariable logistic regression analysis.

Results

The data of 436 patients with acute pancreatitis, 45 (10.3%) patients had progressed to SAP. Through univariate and LASSO regression analyses, the neutrophils (P <0.001), albumin (P < 0.001), blood glucose (P < 0.001), serum calcium (P < 0.001), serum creatinine (P < 0.001), blood urea nitrogen (P < 0.001) and procalcitonin (P = 0.005) were identified as independent predictive factors for SAP. The nomogram built on the basis of these factors predicted SAP with sensitivity of 0.733, specificity of 0.9, positive predictive value of 0.458 and negative predictive value of 0.967. Furthermore, the concordance index of the nomogram reached 0.889 (95% CI, 0.837-0.941), and the area under the curve (AUC) in receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis was significantly higher than that of the APACHEII and ABISAP scoring systems. The established model was validated by plotting the clinical decision curve analysis (DCA) and clinical impact curve (CIC).

Conclusion

We established a nomogram to predict the progression of early acute pancreatitis to SAP with high discrimination and accuracy.

Ulinastatin in the treatment of severe acute pancreatitis: A single-center randomized controlled trial

BACKGROUND

Severe acute pancreatitis (AP) is one of the most common diseases of the gastrointestinal tract and carries a significant financial burden with high disability and mortality. There are no effective drugs in the clinical management of severe AP, and there is an absence of evidence-based medicine concerning the treatment of severe AP.

AIM

To explore whether ulinastatin (UTI) can improve the outcome of severe AP.

METHODS

The present research included patients who were hospitalized in intensive critical care units (ICUs) after being diagnosed with severe AP. Patients received UTI (400000 IU) or placebos utilizing computer-based random sequencing (in a 1:1 ratio). The primary outcome measures were 7-d mortality, clinical efficacy, inflammatory response, coagulation function, infection, liver function, renal function, and drug-related adverse effects were evaluated.

RESULTS

A total of 181 individuals were classified into two groups, namely, the placebo group (n = 90) and the UTI group (n = 91). There were no statistically significant differences in baseline clinical data between the two groups. The 7-d mortality and clinical efficacy in the UTI group were remarkably improved compared with those in the placebo group. UTI can protect against hyperinflammation and improve coagulation dysfunction, infection, liver function, and renal function. UTI patients had markedly decreased hospital stays and hospitalization expenditures compared with the placebo group.

CONCLUSION

The findings from the present research indicated that UTI can improve the clinical outcomes of patients with severe AP and has fewer adverse reactions.

IRAK3-mediated suppression of pro-inflammatory MyD88/IRAK signaling affects disease severity in acute pancreatitis

Acute pancreatitis (AP), which is characterized by self-digestion of the pancreas by its own prematurely activated digestive proteases, is a major reason for hospitalization. The autodigestive process causes necrotic cell death of pancreatic acinar cells and the release of damage associated molecular pattern which activate macrophages and drive the secretion of pro-inflammatory cytokines. The MYD88/IRAK signaling pathway plays an important role for the induction of inflammatory responses. Interleukin-1 receptor associated kinase-3 (IRAK3) is a counter-regulator of this pathway. In this study, we investigated the role of MYD88/IRAK using Irak3-/- mice in two experimental animal models of mild and severe AP. IRAK3 is expressed in macrophages as well as pancreatic acinar cells where it restrains NFκB activation. Deletion of IRAK3 enhanced the migration of CCR2⁺ monocytes into the pancreas and triggered a pro-inflammatory type 1 immune response characterized by significantly increased serum levels of TNFα, IL-6, and IL-12p70. Unexpectedly, in a mild AP model this enhanced pro-inflammatory response resulted in decreased pancreatic damage, whereas in a severe AP model, induced by partial pancreatic duct ligation, the increased pro-inflammatory response drives a severe systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) and is associated with an increased local and systemic damage. Our results indicate that complex immune regulation mechanism control the course of AP, where moderate pro-inflammation not necessarily associates with increased disease severity but also drives tissue regenerative processes through a more effective clearance of necrotic acinar cells. Only when the pro-inflammation exceeds a certain systemic level, it fuels SIRS and increases disease severity.

Predictive value of serum apolipoprotein A-I in the organ failure of acute pancreatitis: a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Organ failure (OF) largely governs the outcomes and mortality in patients with acute pancreatitis (AP), but there is a lack of optimal prognostic biomarker for OF. This study is designed to investigate whether the serum apolipoprotein A-I (Apo A-I) level can predict OF in patients with AP.

METHODS

A total of 424 patients with AP were reviewed in the study, and we finally got 228 patients eligible for analysis. Patients were divided into two groups based on serum Apo A-I level. Demographic information and clinical materials were retrospectively collected. The primary outcome was the occurrence of OF. Univariate and multivariate binary logistic regression were conducted to analyze the relationship between Apo A-I and OF. Additionally, we used receiver operating characteristic analysis to clarify the predictive value of serum Apo A-I level for OF and mortality.

RESULTS

Ninety-two patients and 136 patients were included in Apo A-I low and non-low groups, respectively. The occurrence of OF was significantly different in the two groups (35.9 vs. 9.6%, p < 0.001). Moreover, serum Apo A-I level markedly decreased across disease severity based on the 2012 Revised Atlanta Classification of AP. The decrease of serum apolipoprotein A-I was an independent risk factor for organ failure (OR: 6.216, 95% CI: 2.610, 14.806, p < 0.001). The area under the curve of serum Apo A-I was 0.828 and 0.889 for OF and mortality of AP, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Serum Apo A-I level in the early stage of the disease has a high predictive value for OF of AP.

Increased incidence and reduced mortality after first attack of acute pancreatitis over an 18-year period

AIMS

To determine time trends in the incidence and etiology of acute pancreatitis and identify predictors for in-hospital mortality.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Retrospective study of 1722 patients with acute pancreatitis admitted to Akershus University Hospital between January 2000 and December 2017. Data were obtained from electronic patient files and computed tomography scans. We estimated a logistic regression model to assess differences in associations between patient characteristics and in-hospital mortality in two time periods, 2000-2009 (first period) and 2010-2018 (second period).

RESULTS

First attack of acute pancreatitis (FAAP) was identified in 1579 patients (91.7%). The incidence of FAAP increased from 20.1/100,000 during the first period to 27.7/100,000 in the second period (p = .011). Etiology showed no differences between the two time periods. Gallstone was the most frequent etiology (47.2%). In total, 187 patients (11.8%) had necrotizing pancreatitis; more in the second period compared to the first (14.2 vs. 7.7%; p < .001). The overall mortality rate was 3.9%. Mortality rates decreased for both inflammatory and necrotizing pancreatitis during the study period. Age and comorbidity according to Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) were predictors of in-hospital mortality (OR 1.07, 95% CI 0.07; 0.40 and 13.58, 95% CI 3.88; 47.52), as were alcohol and organ failure (OR 7.20, 95% CI 2.02; 25.67 and OR 34.15, 95% CI 8.94; 130.53, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

The incidence of FAAP is increasing in southeast Norway. The etiology has remained unchanged over an 18-year period, with gallstones being the most frequent cause. The outcomes for both inflammatory and necrotic pancreatitis are improving.

Acute Pancreatitis: Current Clinical Approaches, Molecular Pathophysiology, and Potential Therapeutics

OBJECTIVE

Severe acute pancreatitis (SAP), pancreatic inflammation leading to multiorgan failure, is associated with high morbidity and mortality. There is a critical need to identify novel therapeutic strategies to improve clinical outcomes for SAP patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A comprehensive literature review was performed to identify current clinical strategies, known molecular pathophysiology, and potential therapeutic targets for SAP.

RESULTS

Current clinical approaches focus on determining which patients will likely develop SAP. However, therapeutic options are limited to supportive care and fluid resuscitation. The application of a novel 5-cytokine panel accurately predicting disease outcomes in SAP suggests that molecular approaches will improve impact of future clinical trials in AP.

CONCLUSIONS

Inflammatory outcomes in acute pancreatitis are driven by several unique molecular signals, which compound to promote both local and systemic inflammation. The identification of master cytokine regulators is critical to developing therapeutics, which reduce inflammation through several mechanisms.

The Role of Microbiota in Pancreatic Cancer

Pancreatic cancer (PC) has an unfavorable prognosis with few effective therapeutic options. This has led researchers to investigate the possible links between microbiota and PC. A disrupted gut microbiome can lead to chronic inflammation, which is involved in the pathogenesis of PC. In addition, some bacterial strains can produce carcinogens that promote the growth of cancer cells. Research has also focused on pancreatic and oral microbiota. Changes in these microbiota can contribute to the development and progression of PC. Furthermore, patients with periodontal disease have an increased risk of developing PC. The potential use of microbiota as a prognostic marker or to predict patients' responses to chemotherapy or immunotherapy is also being explored. Overall, the role of microbiota-including the gut, pancreatic, and oral microbiota-in PC is an active research area. Understanding these associations could lead to new diagnostic and therapeutic targets for this deadly disease.

Age-period-cohort analysis of pancreatitis epidemiological trends from 1990 to 2019 and forecasts for 2044: a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

Objective

Pancreatitis poses a serious medical problem worldwide. This study aims to explore the epidemiological trends of pancreatitis from 1990 to 2019, analyze the association between disease burden and age, period and birth cohort, and subsequently present a forecast of pancreatitis incidence and deaths.

Methods

Epidemiologic data were gathered from the Global Health Data Exchange query tool. Joinpoint regression model was used to calculate the average annual percentage changes (AAPCs). Age-period-cohort analysis was utilized to estimate the independent effects of age, period and birth cohort. We also predicted the global epidemiological trends to 2044.

Results

Globally, the incident cases and deaths of pancreatitis increased 1.63-and 1.65-fold from 1990 to 2019, respectively. Joinpoint regression analysis showed that the age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and age-standardized death rate (ASDR) decreased over the past three decades. The age effect indicates that older people have higher age-specific incidence and death rates. The period effect on incidence and deaths showed downward trends from 1990 to 2019. The cohort effect demonstrated that incidence and death risk peaked in the earlier birth cohort and were lower in the latest birth cohort. Incident cases and deaths of pancreatitis may significantly increase in the next 25 years. The ASIRs were predicted to slightly increase, while the ASDRs were predicted to decrease.

Conclusion

Epidemiologic patterns and trends of pancreatitis across age, period and birth cohort may provide novel insight into public health. Limitations of alcohol use and prevention strategies for pancreatitis are necessary to reduce future burden.

Nomogram development and validation for predicting minimally invasive step-up approach failure in infected necrotizing pancreatitis patients: a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Previous studies have shown that minimally invasive treatment for infected necrotizing pancreatitis (INP) may be safer and more effective than open necrosectomy (ON), but ON is still irreplaceable in a portion of INP patients. Furthermore, there is a lack of tools to identify INP patients at risk of minimally invasive step-up approach failure (eventually received ON or died), which may enable appropriate treatment for them. Our study aims to identify risk factors that can predict minimally invasive step-up approach failure in INP patients and to develop a nomogram for early prediction.

METHODS

Multivariate logistic regression was performed to evaluate the association between minimally invasive step-up approach failure and factors regarding demographics, disease severity, laboratory index, and the location of extrapancreatic necrotic collections. A novel nomogram was developed, and its performance was validated both internally and externally by its discrimination, calibration, and clinical usefulness.

RESULTS

There were 267, 89, and 107 patients in the training, internal, and external validation cohorts, respectively. Multivariate logistic regression demonstrated that the computed tomography severity index (CTSI) greater than 8 points, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) score of 16 points or more, early spontaneous bleeding, fungi infection, granulocyte and platelet decrease within 30 days of acute pancreatitis onset, and extrapancreatic necrosis collection located in small bowel mesentery were independent risk factors for minimally invasive step-up approach failure. The area under the curve and coefficient of determination ( R2 ) of the nomogram constructed from the above factors were 0.920 and 0.644, respectively. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed that the model had good fitness ( P =0.206). In addition, the nomogram performed well in both the internal and external validation cohorts.

CONCLUSIONS

The nomogram had a good performance in predicting minimally invasive step-up approach failure, which may help clinicians distinguish INP patients at risk of minimally invasive step-up approach failure early.

Potential of extracellular vesicles for early prediction of severity and potential risk stratification in critical inflammatory diseases

Some acute inflammatory diseases are often exacerbated during or after hospitalization, leading to some severe manifestations like systemic inflammatory response syndrome, multiple organ failure, and high mortality. Early clinical predictors of disease severity are urgently needed to optimize patient management for better prognosis. The existing clinical scoring system and laboratory tests cannot circumvent the problems of low sensitivity and limited specificity. Extracellular vesicles (EVs) are heterogeneous nanosecretory vesicles containing various biomolecules related to immune regulation, inflammation activation, and inflammation-related complications. This review provides an overview of EVs as inflammatory mediators, inflammatory signaling pathway regulators, promoters of inflammatory exacerbation, and markers of severity and prognosis. Currently, although relevant biomarkers are clinically available or are in the preclinical research stage, searching for new markers and detection methods is still warranted, as the problems of low sensitivity/specificity, cumbersome laboratory operation and high cost still plague clinicians. In-depth study of EVs might open a door in the search for novel predictors.

Impact of increased alcohol consumption during the COVID-19-related lockdowns on admissions with liver disease, gastrointestinal bleeding and pancreatitis in Melbourne, Victoria

This audit collates data on alcohol-related gastrointestinal (GI) admissions at Monash Health, Victoria, during the prolonged, coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)-related lockdown July to October 2020 compared with the same periods in 2019 and 2021. We found a 58% increase in admissions in 2020 and a 16% increase in 2021, which also increased disproportionately to overall health service emergency presentations. Self-reported alcohol consumption increased by 2.5-fold and was greatest in 2020. Clinical severity was unchanged and cirrhosis was the only factor associated with severe disease. This study suggests an association between the pandemic-related lockdown, alcohol consumption and alcohol-related GI hospitalisation. Our study provides support for resourcing and adapting alcohol and other drug services during and beyond the COVID-19 lockdown.

The Hospital Frailty Risk Score Predicts Poor Prognoses in Middle-Aged and Older Patients With Acute Pancreatitis: A Nationwide Retrospective Cohort Study in Japan

OBJECTIVES

Frailty risk may be associated with poor prognoses in acute pancreatitis patients. However, this has not been shown with adjustments for prognosis-related factors. This study aimed to determine whether frailty risk is associated with poor prognoses in acute pancreatitis patients, even after adjusting for prognosis-related factors.

METHODS

The study included 7001 middle-aged and older patients (mean age, 66.2 ± 14.5 years, 65.3% male) 40 years or older who were registered in a Japanese nationwide database. Frailty risk was defined as a Hospital Frailty Risk Score ≥5 points. Outcomes were 30-day and in-hospital mortality, length of stay, and 30-day readmission rate.

RESULTS

Frailty risk was independently positively associated with 30-day mortality (odds ratio [OR], 1.847; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.118-3.051) and in-hospital mortality (OR, 2.504; 95% CI, 1.677-3.739) after adjustment for acute pancreatitis severity and patient characteristics. In addition, frailty risk was positively associated with a longer length of stay (coefficient, 11.393; 95% CI, 9.631-13.154). However, no association was found between frailty risk and the 30-day readmission rate (OR, 1.092; 95% CI, 0.793-1.504).

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings highlight the importance of rapid and automated frailty risk assessment using the Hospital Frailty Risk Score for the early identification of high-risk acute pancreatitis patients.