Biomarkers improve mortality prediction by prognostic scales in community-acquired pneumonia

Metabolic Disturbances Associated with In-Hospital Complication and Mortality in Different Types of Pneumonia

Bakground: The mortality rate from community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) or coronavirus disease 19 (COVID-19) is high, especially in hospitalized patients. This study aimed to assess the disturbances of glucose and lipid metabolism with in-hospital complications and short-term outcomes for patients with pneumonia with different etiologies. Methods: This observational study comprised 398 patients divided as follows: 155 with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) pneumonia, 129 participants with viral CAP, and 114 with bacterial pneumonia. Results: Fasting plasma glucose (FPG) at admission and glycemic variation during hospitalization was linked with acute kidney injury (AKI) in bacterial CAP. Compared with a value <110 mg/dL for FPG at admission, levels between 110 and 126 mg/dL are associated with mortality in both COVID-19 (OR = 3.462, 95% CI: 1.275-9.398, p = 0.015) and bacterial CAP participants (OR = 0.254; 95% CI: 0.069-0.935, p = 0.039), while a value ≥126 mg/dL was linked with mortality only in patients with SARS-CoV-2 (OR = 3.577, 95% CI: 1.166-10.976, p = 0.026). No relation between lipid biomarkers and complications or in-hospital outcomes was observed in all three participant groups. Conclusions: Patients with bacterial CAP are more prone to developing AKI due to increased FBG at admission and glycemic variations during hospitalization, while elevated FBG values at admission are associated with mortality in both COVID-19 and bacterial CAP.

Improving prognostication of pneumonia among elderly patients: usefulness of suPAR

PURPOSE

Elderly patients with suspected pneumonia represent a significant proportion of hospital admissions, which is a prognostic challenge for physicians. Our research aimed to assess the prognosis of patients with pneumonia using soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR) combined with clinical data.

METHODS

In a prospective observational study including 164 patients > 65 years (mean age 84.2 (+/-7.64) years) who were hospitalized for a suspicion of pneumonia, suPAR was assessed for each patient, as was the prognosis score (PSI, CURB65) and inflammatory biomarkers (C-reactive protein, procalcitonin, white blood cells). The prognostic value of the suPAR for 30-day mortality was assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses. Optimal cut-offs with corresponding sensitivity (SE) and specificity (SP) were determined using the Youden index.

RESULTS

A suPAR > 5.1 ng/mL was predictive of 30-day mortality with a sensitivity of 100% and a specificity of 40.4%. A combination of the following parameters exhibited an SE of 100% (95% CI, 100-100) for an SP value of 64.9% (95% CI, 57.6-72.2) when at least two of them were above or below the following cut-off threshold values: suPAR > 9.8 ng/mL, BMI < 29.3 kg/m2 and PSI > 106.5.

CONCLUSION

The suPAR seems to be a promising biomarker that can be combined with the PSI and BMI to improve the prognosis of pneumonia among elderly patients. Prospective studies with larger populations are needed to confirm whether this new approach can improve patient outcomes.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT02467192), 27th may 2015.

Prevalence and impact of malnutrition on outcomes and mortality of under-five years children with pneumonia: a study from Upper Egypt

Malnutrition has adverse impacts on under-five children with pneumonia. The purpose of this study was to address the prevalence and impact of malnutrition on under-five years children with pneumonia, admitted to a tertiary large children hospital in Upper Egypt. This study is a prospective case-control study. All under-five children diagnosed with pneumonia who were admitted to Assiut University Children's Hospital (AUCH) from January 1st to December 31st, 2021, were enrolled. Based on their nutritional assessment, the studied participants were classified into 2 groups: (1): Children with pneumonia and with nutritional deficiency considered as cases, and (2): Children with pneumonia and without nutritional deficiency considered as controls. Three hundred-fifty cases and 154 control subjects were enrolled, respectively. 93.4%, 31.1%, and 61.7% of the cases had underweight, stunting, and wasting, respectively. Among those cases, there were significant differences between survivors and non-survivors with regard to some clinicodemographic factors, laboratory parameters, and anthropometric parameters. Lack of compulsory vaccination, presence of sepsis, and blood transfusion (OR 2.874, 95% CI 0.048 - 2.988, p = 0.004, 2.627, 0.040 - 2.677, p = 0.009, and 4.108, 0.134 - 3.381, p < 0.001, respectively) were significant independent predictors for mortality among malnourished children with pneumonia.    Conclusion: Malnutrition has a high prevalence in under-five children with pneumonia in our locality. It has adverse effects on the outcomes and in-hospital mortality of those children. Lack of compulsory vaccination, presence of sepsis, and blood transfusion were significant independent predictors of mortality in malnourished children with pneumonia. Larger multicenter studies are warranted. What is Known: • Malnutrition has adverse impacts on under-five children with pneumonia. • Malnutrition could be a reason for in-hospital mortality among under-five children with pneumonia. What is New: • Malnutrition has a high prevalence in under-five children with pneumonia in Upper Egypt, with its adverse effects on the outcomes and mortality of those children. • Lack of vaccination, presence of sepsis, and blood transfusion are significant independent predictors of mortality in malnourished children with pneumonia in Upper Egypt.

Diagnostic and Prognostic Roles of Procalcitonin and Other Tools in Community-Acquired Pneumonia: A Narrative Review

Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is among the most common causes of death and one of the leading healthcare concerns worldwide. It can evolve into sepsis and septic shock, which have a high mortality rate, especially in critical patients and comorbidities. The definitions of sepsis were revised in the last decade as "life-threatening organ dysfunction caused by a dysregulated host response to infection". Procalcitonin (PCT), C-reactive protein (CRP), and complete blood count, including white blood cells, are among the most commonly analyzed sepsis-specific biomarkers also used in pneumonia in a broad range of studies. It appears to be a reliable diagnostic tool to expedite care of these patients with severe infections in the acute setting. PCT was found to be superior to most other acute phase reactants and indicators, including CRP as a predictor of pneumonia, bacteremia, sepsis, and poor outcome, although conflicting results exist. In addition, PCT use is beneficial to judge timing for the cessation of antibiotic treatment in most severe infectious states. The clinicians should be aware of strengths and weaknesses of known and potential biomarkers in expedient recognition and management of severe infections. This manuscript is intended to present an overview of the definitions, complications, and outcomes of CAP and sepsis in adults, with special regard to PCT and other important markers.

Validation of risk prediction for outcomes of severe community-acquired pneumonia among under-five children in Amhara region, Northwest Ethiopia

BACKGROUND

Globally there are over 1,400 cases of pneumonia per 100,000 children every year, where children in South Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa are disproportionately affected. Some of the cases develop poor treatment outcome (treatment failure or antibiotic change or staying longer in the hospital or death), while others develop good outcome during interventions. Although clinical decision-making is a key aspect of the interventions, there are limited tools such as risk scores to assist the clinical judgment in low-income settings. This study aimed to validate a prediction model and develop risk scores for poor outcomes of severe community-acquired pneumonia (SCAP).

METHODS

A cohort study was conducted among 539 under-five children hospitalized with SCAP. Data analysis was done using R version 4.0.5 software. A multivariable analysis was done. We developed a simplified risk score to facilitate clinical utility. Model performance was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and calibration plot. Bootstrapping was used to validate all accuracy measures. A decision curve analysis was used to evaluate the clinical and public health utility of our model.

RESULTS

The incidence of poor outcomes of pneumonia was 151(28%) (95%CI: 24.2%-31.8%). Vaccination status, fever, pallor, unable to breastfeed, impaired consciousness, CBC abnormal, entered ICU, and vomiting remained in the reduced model. The AUC of the original model was 0.927, 95% (CI (0.90, 0.96), whereas the risk score model produced prediction accuracy of an AUC of 0.89 (95%CI: 0.853-0.922. Our decision curve analysis for the model provides a higher net benefit across ranges of threshold probabilities.

CONCLUSIONS

Our model has excellent discrimination and calibration performance. Similarly, the risk score model has excellent discrimination and calibration ability with an insignificant loss of accuracy from the original. The models can have the potential to improve care and treatment outcomes in the clinical settings.

Diagnostic and Prognostic Value of Deregulated Circulating Long Non-coding RNA TUG1 in Elderly Patients with Severe Pneumonia

To investigate the expression pattern of long non-coding RNA TUG1 in elderly patients with severe community-acquired pneumonia (sCAP) and evaluate its diagnostic and prognostic value for sCAP. Serum TUG1 levels were detected in 130 sCAP patients and 122 healthy volunteers via qRT-PCR method. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and k-M plot were drawn for the diagnostic and prognostic value evaluation. A diminished trend of TUG1 was detected in the serum of sCAP cases, and negatively correlated with the concentration of TNF-α, CRP, suPAR and sTREM-1. Among the 130 cases, 30 cases died from sCAP within 30 days after admission. Serum TUG1 had the diagnostic value for 30-day mortality prediction with the AUC of 0.823. In the non-survival group, more cases had old age, high CURB score and PSI score. K-M plot demonstrated that cases with low TUG1 levels showed poor survival than those carrying high TUG1 levels. Serum TUG1 was an independent risk factor for death in elderly patients with sCAP within 30 days after admission. Serum TUG1 was at low expression in sCAP patients, and it had the predictive value for the clinical prognosis of elderly sCAP patients.

Additive effectiveness of acrylonitrile-co-methallyl sulfonate surface-treated membranes in the treatment of pneumonia: A propensity score-matched retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

The acrylonitrile-co-methallyl sulfonate surface-treated (AN69ST) membrane has cytokine adsorption capacity and is used for treating sepsis. This study aimed to compare the effects of continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT) using the AN69ST membrane with those of CRRT using other membranes for patients with pneumonia-associated sepsis.

METHODS

This retrospective, propensity score-matched, cohort study was based on a nationwide Japanese inpatient database. We included data from adults hospitalized with a primary diagnosis of pneumonia, who received CRRT using either the AN69ST membrane or another membrane within 2 days of admission, and who were discharged from the hospitals between September 2014, and March 2017. Propensity score matching was used to compare in-hospital mortality between the two groups.

RESULTS

Eligible patients (N = 2393) were categorized into an AN69ST group (N = 631) and a non-AN69ST group (N = 1762). The overall in-hospital mortality rate was 38.9%. Among the 545 propensity-matched patient pairs, the in-hospital mortality rate was significantly lower in the AN69ST group than in the non-AN69ST group (35.8 vs. 41.8%, p = 0.046).

CONCLUSIONS

Among patients with pneumonia-associated sepsis treated with CRRT, CRRT with the AN69ST membrane was associated with a significantly lower in-hospital mortality than CRRT with standard membranes.

The Role of Biomarkers in Influenza and COVID-19 Community-Acquired Pneumonia in Adults

Pneumonia is a growing problem worldwide and remains an important cause of morbidity, hospitalizations, intensive care unit admission and mortality. Viruses are the causative agents in almost a fourth of cases of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) in adults, with an important representation of influenza virus and SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia. Moreover, mixed viral and bacterial pneumonia is common and a risk factor for severity of disease. It is critical for clinicians the early identification of the pathogen causing infection to avoid inappropriate antibiotics, as well as to predict clinical outcomes. It has been extensively reported that biomarkers could be useful for these purposes. This review describe current evidence and provide recommendations about the use of biomarkers in influenza and SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia, focusing mainly on procalcitonin (PCT) and C-reactive protein (CRP). Evidence was based on a qualitative analysis of the available scientific literature (meta-analyses, randomized controlled trials, observational studies and clinical guidelines). Both PCT and CRP levels provide valuable information about the prognosis of influenza and SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia. Additionally, PCT levels, considered along with other clinical, radiological and laboratory data, are useful for early diagnosis of mixed viral and bacterial CAP, allowing the proper management of the disease and adequate antibiotics prescription. The authors propose a practical PCT algorithm for clinical decision-making to guide antibiotic initiation in cases of influenza and SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia. Further well-design studies are needed to validate PCT algorithm among these patients and to confirm whether other biomarkers are indeed useful as diagnostic or prognostic tools in viral pneumonia.

A new predictive tool consolidating CURB-65 with procalcitonin and albumin to assess short-term mortality in hospitalized elderly patients with infectious disease: A retrospective study of a patient cohort

BACKGROUND

Hospitalized elderly patients are often at risk of life-threatening infectious diseases such as pneumonia and urinary tract infection, thus diagnostic tools for bacterial infections are demanded. We developed a new predictive tool consolidating modified CURB-65, procalcitonin (PCT) and albumin (Alb).

METHOD

This is a retrospective study. Modified CURB-65 (mCURB-65) score, PCT, Alb, and various cardiovascular/respiratory/renal functions were measured. Survival analyses were conducted to assess 30-days mortality of elderly patients using mCURB-65 score, PCT and Alb. The consolidated scores were compared with the number of patients died.

RESULTS

There were 445 elderly patients included. Kaplan-Meier survival curves showed significant differences between the high and low groups of mCURB-65, PCT and Alb (log-rank test, P < .001). Cox proportional regression showed that the hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) for high mCURB-65, high Alb, and high PCT were all significant, 1.95 (1.24-3.05), 0.50 (0.32-0.77), and 2.09 (1.32-3.31), respectively. The consolidated scores showed tendency of increase with proportion of the number of patients died.

CONCLUSIONS

The consolidated score consisted of mCURB-65, PCT and Alb can be a useful tool to predict short-term mortality of the hospitalized elderly patients with infectious disease.

N-myc and STAT interactor is a novel biomarker of severity in community-acquired pneumonia: a prospective study

Objectives

To tested the ability of N-myc and STAT interactor (NMI) levels in patients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) to predict the severity of the disease.

Methods

Prospective observational analysis of patients with CAP was performed. The NMI levels in serum of 394 CAP patients on admission were measured by immunoassay. Thirty-day mortality and intensive care unit (ICU) admission were set as clinical outcomes. The predicting value of NMI for clinical outcomes was determined by receiver operating characteristic curve and logistic regression analysis. The internal validity was assessed using cross-validation with bootstrap resampling.

Results

NMI was an independent risk factor for both 30-day mortality and admission to ICU for CAP patients. The area under curve (AUC) of NMI to predict mortality was 0.91 (95% CI: 0.86–0.96), and that to predict ICU admission was 0.92 (95% CI: 0.88–0.97), significantly higher than that of other biomarkers including procalcitonin and C-reactive protein. The proportion of clinical outcomes notably rose as NMI levels elevated (P < 0.001). The AUCs of the new score systems including NMI (N-PSI and N-CURB65 score) to predict outcomes were significantly higher than the original score systems.

Conclusions

NMI is a novel biomarker for predicting CAP severity superior to former biomarkers in 30-day mortality and ICU admission.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12931-022-02139-x.

A retrospective observational study of biomarker levels and severity assessment in pediatric community-acquired pneumonia

METHODS

A retrospective chart review was conducted on children (aged 60 days to 18 years) diagnosed with CAP, and admitted to a regional, tertiary hospital (Charleston, WV, USA) for 3 years (2015-2018). Patients were stratified into 2 severity cohorts, mild (no ICU care), and moderate/severe (required ICU care). Biomarker values were then compared between the severity cohorts and area under the curve (AUC), and cut-off values and performance characteristics were calculated.

RESULTS

A total of 108 patients met inclusion criteria with 46% having moderate/severe CAP. Elevated levels of CRP (51.7 mg/L in mild vs. 104.8 mg/L in moderate/severe, P = .003, PCT (0.29 ng/ml in mild vs. 4.02 ng/mL in moderate/severe, P = .001) and band counts (8% in mild vs. 15% moderate/severe, P = .009) were associated with increased pneumonia severity. In predicting moderate/severe CAP, PCT had the highest AUC of 0.77 (P = .001) followed by bands AUC of 0.69 (P = .009) and CRP AUC of 0.67 (P = .003). Cut-off for PCT of 0.55 ng/mL had a sensitivity of 83% and a specificity of 65%. Cut-off level of 53.1 mg/L for CRP had a sensitivity of 79% and specificity of 52%. Cut off level of 12.5% bands had a sensitivity of 61% and specificity of 71%. In a multivariable model controlled for patient demographics and other biomarker levels, only PCT levels significantly predicted moderate/severe CAP (adjusted odds ratio: 1.40 [95% CI, 1.14-1.73], P = .002).

CONCLUSION

Biomarkers, in particular PCT, obtained early in hospitalization may perform as possible predictors for CAP severity in children and be beneficial in guiding CAP management. However, biomarkers in pneumonia should not drive severity assessment or patient management independent of clinical presentation.

A literature review of severity scores for adults with influenza or community-acquired pneumonia - implications for influenza vaccines and therapeutics

Influenza vaccination and antiviral therapeutics may attenuate disease, decreasing severity of illness in vaccinated and treated persons. Standardized assessment tools, definitions of disease severity, and clinical endpoints would support characterizing the attenuating effects of influenza vaccines and antivirals. We review potential clinical parameters and endpoints that may be useful for ordinal scales evaluating attenuating effects of influenza vaccines and antivirals in hospital-based studies. In studies of influenza and community-acquired pneumonia, common physiologic parameters that predicted outcomes such as mortality, ICU admission, complications, and duration of stay included vital signs (hypotension, tachypnea, fever, hypoxia), laboratory results (blood urea nitrogen, platelets, serum sodium), and radiographic findings of infiltrates or effusions. Ordinal scales based on these parameters may be useful endpoints for evaluating attenuating effects of influenza vaccines and therapeutics. Factors such as clinical and policy relevance, reproducibility, and specificity of measurements should be considered when creating a standardized ordinal scale for assessment.

The ARREST Pneumonia Clinical Trial. Rationale and Design

Patients hospitalized for pneumonia are at high risk for mortality. Effective therapies are therefore needed. Recent randomized clinical trials suggest that systemic steroids can reduce the length of hospital stays among patients hospitalized for pneumonia. Furthermore, preliminary findings from a feasibility study demonstrated that early treatment with a combination of an inhaled corticosteroid and a bronchodilator can improve oxygenation and reduce risk of respiratory failure in patients at risk of acute respiratory distress syndrome. Whether such a combination administered early is effective in reducing acute respiratory failure (ARF) among patients hospitalized with pneumonia is unknown. Here we describe the ARREST Pneumonia (Arrest Respiratory Failure due to Pneumonia) trial designed to address this question. ARREST Pneumonia is a two-arm, randomized, double-blinded, placebo-controlled trial designed to test the efficacy of a combination of an inhaled corticosteroid and a β-agonist compared with placebo for the prevention of ARF in hospitalized participants with severe pneumonia. The primary outcome is ARF within 7 days of randomization, defined as a composite endpoint of intubation and mechanical ventilation; need for high-flow nasal cannula oxygen therapy or noninvasive ventilation for >36 hours (each alone or combined); or death within 36 hours of being placed on respiratory support. The planned enrollment is 600 adult participants at 10 academic medical centers. In addition, we will measure selected plasma biomarkers to better understand mechanisms of action. The trial is funded by the U.S. National Heart Lung and Blood Institute.Clinical trial registered with www.clinicaltrials.gov (NCT04193878).

Early and Significant Reduction in C-Reactive Protein Levels After Corticosteroid Therapy Is Associated With Reduced Mortality in Patients With COVID-19

BACKGROUND

Corticosteroids may be beneficial in a subset of patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), but predictors of therapeutic response remain unknown. C-reactive protein (CRP) is a routinely measured biomarker, and reduction in its levels after initiation of therapy may predict inpatient mortality.

METHODS

In this retrospective cohort study, the charts of patients who were admitted to Montefiore Medical Center between March 10, 2020, and May 2, 2020 for the management of COVID-19 were examined. Of all patients who met inclusion criteria, patients who received corticosteroid treatment were categorized as CRP responders (≥50% CRP level reduction) and CRP nonresponders (<50% CRP level reduction) based on change in CRP within 72 hours of corticosteroid treatment initiation. The outcomes of interest were two-fold: (1) CRP response after treatment with corticosteroid, and (2) differences in mortality among patients with CRP response compared those without.

RESULTS

Of 2,707 patients admitted during the study period, 324 received corticosteroid treatment. Of patients who received corticosteroid treatment, CRP responders had reduced risk of death compared with risk among CRP nonresponders (25.2% vs 47.8%; unadjusted odds ratio [OR], 0.37; 95% CI, 0.21-0.65; P <.001). This effect remained strong and significant after adjustment for potential confounders (adjusted OR, 0.27; 95% CI, 0.14-0.54; P <.001).

CONCLUSION

Reduction in CRP by 50% or more within 72 hours of initiating corticosteroid therapy potentially predicts inpatient mortality. This may serve as an early biomarker of response to corticosteroid therapy in patients with COVID-19.

C-reactive protein for simple prediction of mortality in patients with acute non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding: A retrospective analysis

In upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB), scoring systems using multiple variables were developed to predict patient outcomes. We evaluated serum C-reactive protein (CRP) for simple prediction of patient mortality after acute non-variceal UGIB.The associated factors for 30-day mortality was investigated by regression analysis in patients with acute non-variceal UGIB (N = 1232). The area under the receiver operating characteristics (AUROC) curve was analyzed with serum CRP in these patients and a prospective cohort (N = 435). The discriminant validity of serum CRP was compared to other prognostic scoring systems by means of AUROC curve analysis.Serum CRP was significantly higher in the expired than survived patients (median, 4.53 vs 0.49; P < .001). The odds ratio of serum CRP was 4.18 (2.10-9.27) in multivariate analysis. The odds ratio of high serum CRP was higher than Rockall score (4.15 vs 1.29), AIMS65 (3.55 vs 1.71) and Glasgow-Blatchford score (4.32 vs 1.08) in multivariate analyses. The AUROC of serum CRP at bleeding was 0.78 for 30-day mortality (P < .001). In the validation set, serum CRP was also significantly higher in the expired than survived patients, of which AUROC was 0.73 (P < .001). In predicting 30-day mortality, the AUROC with serum CRP was not inferior to that of other scoring systems.Serum CRP at bleeding can be simply used to identify the patients with high mortality after acute non-variceal UGIB.

Biomarker-Concordant Steroid Use in Critically Ill Patients with Pneumonia

Objectives

To evaluate the frequency and consequences of prescribing corticosteroids for pneumonia in a biomarker-concordant manner.

Patients and Methods

This was a single-center retrospective cohort study of adults with pneumonia admitted to the medical intensive care unit (ICU) at Mayo Clinic in Rochester, Minnesota, between January 1, 2009, and June 30, 2014. Steroid use was “biomarker concordant” if given when C-reactive protein (CRP) was ≥150 mg/L or withheld when CRP was <150 mg/L, and vice versa for biomarker discordant.

Results

Of 3481 ICU admissions with community-acquired pneumonia, 169 (4.9%) had CRPs measured within 48 hours of admission to the ICU. Steroid use in the ICU was biomarker concordant in 88 (52%) patients and biomarker discordant in 81 (48%) patients. Biomarker-concordant steroid use was associated with faster resolution of lung injury: median fraction of inspired oxygen on day 3 (0.4 [0.3, 0.5] vs 0.3 [0.21, 0.4], P=.005), day 4 (0.35 [0.3, 0.5] vs 0.28 [0.21, 0.38], P=<.001), and day 5 (0.30 [0.24, 0.45] vs 0.28 [0.21, 0.40], P=.03), and increased ICU (3.5; 95% CI, 0.5 to 6.4, P=.02), and hospital-free days (3.6; 95% CI, 0.4 to 6.8, P=.03) on multivariate analysis.

Conclusions

In critically ill patients with community-acquired pneumonia, steroid use is rarely biomarker informed and often discordant with inflammatory biomarker levels. Biomarker-concordant steroid use was associated with a faster recovery of hypoxemia and increased ICU- and hospital-free days. Future well-designed prospective studies are justified to test the potential value of biomarker-concordant steroid therapy.

Mean platelet volume change (∆MPV) and red blood cell distribution width (RDW) as promising markers of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) outcome

Background

Prognostic markers play an essential role in the proper management of community-acquired pneumonia. This research work aimed to evaluate the association of RDW and /or MPV with mortality and morbidity in patients with CAP to improve the yield of already used prognostic scores.

Results

The current study enrolled 153 patients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). Out of them, 101 (64%) patients improved while 52 (36%) died. It was noticed that each of delta MPV and RDW (P < 0.001) had positive significant correlation with PSI and CURB-65. Delta MPV and RDW was significantly higher in patients who died (2.61 ± 1.01 vs. 1.78 ± 0.76; P = 0.01 for delta MPV and 16.50 ± 3.54 vs. 15.50 ± 2.81; P = 0.02 for RDW).

Conclusion

Initial RDW and rising MPV during hospitalization for CAP is associated with more severe clinical characteristics and high mortality. Moreover, the use of RDW and delta MPV in patients admitted with CAP can improve the performance of prognostic scales.

Development and Internal Validation of a Prediction Model to Risk Stratify Children with Suspected Community-Acquired Pneumonia

BACKGROUND

Although community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is one of the most common infections in children, no tools exist to risk stratify children with suspected CAP. We developed and validated a prediction model to risk stratify and inform hospitalization decisions in children with suspected CAP.

METHODS

We performed a prospective cohort study of children age 3 months to 18 years with suspected CAP in a pediatric emergency department (ED). Primary outcome was disease severity, defined as mild (discharge home or hospitalization for <24 hours with no oxygen or intravenous (IV) fluids), moderate (hospitalization <24 hours with oxygen or IV fluids, or hospitalization >24 hours), or severe (intensive care unit (ICU) stay for >24 hours, septic shock, vasoactive agents, positive-pressure ventilation, chest drainage, extracorporeal membrane oxygenation, or death). Ordinal logistic regression and bootstrapped backwards selection were used to derive and internally validate our model.

RESULTS

Of 1128 children, 371 (32.9%) developed moderate disease and 48 (4.3%) severe disease. Severity models demonstrated excellent discrimination (optimism-corrected c-indices of 0.81) and outstanding calibration. Severity predictors in the final model included respiratory rate, systolic blood pressure, oxygenation, retractions, capillary refill, atelectasis or pneumonia on chest radiograph, and pleural effusion.

CONCLUSIONS

We derived and internally validated a score that accurately predicts disease severity in children with suspected CAP. Once externally validated, this score has potential to facilitate management decisions by providing individualized risk estimates that can be used in conjunction with clinical judgment to improve the care of children with suspected CAP.

Clinical and laboratory predictors of 30-day mortality in severe acute malnourished children with severe pneumonia

OBJECTIVE

To determine the predictors of mortality within 30 days of hospital admission in a diarrhoeal disease hospital in Bangladesh.

METHODS

Cohort study of hospitalised children aged 0-59 months with severe acute malnutrition (SAM) and severe pneumonia in Dhaka Hospital, icddr,b, Bangladesh from April 2015 to March 2017. Those discharged were followed up, and survival status at 30 days from admission was determined. Children who died were compared with the survivors in terms of clinical and laboratory biomarkers. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used for calculating adjusted odds ratio for death within 30 days of hospital admission.

RESULTS

We enrolled 191 children. Mortality within 30 days of admission was 6% (14/191). After adjusting for potential confounders (hypoxia, CRP and haematocrit) in logistic regression analysis, independent factors associated with death were female sex (aOR = 5.80, 95% CI: 1.34-25.19), LAZ <-4 (aOR = 6.51, 95% CI: 1.49-28.44) and Polymorphonuclear Leucocytes (PMNL) (>6.0 × 10⁹ /L) (aOR = 1.06, 95% CI: 1.01-1.11). Using sex, Z-score for length for age (LAZ), and PMNL percentage, we used random forest and linear regression models to achieve a cross-validated AUC of 0.83 (95% CI: 0.82, 0.84) for prediction of 30-day mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

The results of our data suggest that female sex, severe malnutrition (<-4 LAZ) and higher PMNL percentage were prone to be associated with 30-day mortality in children with severe pneumonia. Association of these factors may be used in clinical decision support for prompt identification and appropriate management for prevention of mortality in this population.

Systemic Inflammatory Response and Outcomes in Community-Acquired Pneumonia Patients Categorized According to the Smoking Habit or Presence of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease

The systemic inflammatory response (SIR) may help to predict clinical progression, treatment failure, and prognosis in community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). Exposure to tobacco smoke may affect the SIR; the role of smoking in CAP has not been consolidated. We evaluated the SIR and outcomes of hospitalized CAP patients stratified by smoking habits and the presence of COPD. This retrospective analysis was conducted at the Hospital Clinic of Barcelona. Baseline, clinical, microbiological, and laboratory variables were collected at admission, using C-reactive protein (CRP) levels as a marker of SIR. The study outcomes were pleural complications, hospital stay, non-invasive and invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV), and intensive care unit (ICU) admission. We also considered the in-hospital and 30-day mortality. Data were grouped by smoking habit (non-, former-, and current-smokers) and the presence of COPD. Current smokers were younger, had fewer comorbidities, and fewer previous pneumonia episodes. CRP levels were higher in current smokers than in other groups. Current smokers had a higher risk of pleural complications independent of CRP levels, the presence of pleuritic pain, and a higher platelet count. Current smokers more often required IMV and ICU admission. Current smokers have a greater inflammatory response and are at increased risk of pleural complications.

Impact of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease on mortality in community acquired pneumonia: a meta-analysis

Background: The aim of the present study was to systematically review the exiting literature and to proceed a meta-analysis to determine the impact of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) on mortality in patients with community acquired pneumonia. Materials & methods: Eligible studies were searched from PubMed, Cochrane Library and EMBASE. Odds ratios (ORs) with 95% CIs were used as effect estimates. Results: Twenty cohort studies were included. Analysis of unadjusted data revealed nonsignificant short- and long-term mortality associated with COPD. Analysis of adjusted 30-days mortality showed similarly no association between COPD and increased 30-days mortality (OR: 1.06, [0.68, 1.44]) but a positive association when COPD was confirmed spirometrically (OR: 1.84, [1.06, 2.62]). Conclusion: There is still no evidence to clear the impact of COPD on mortality in patients with community acquired pneumonia. More prospective studies with spirometrically-defined COPD and adequate adjustment for confounders are needed.

Ischemic Necrosis of Lower Extremity in COVID-19: A Case Report

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), which is caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), is an acute infectious disease that spreads mainly via the respiratory route. Elderly patients or those with underlying diseases are more seriously affected. We report a case of COVID-19 infection in a geriatric patient with arteriovenous thrombosis of the right lower limb. Despite persistent anticoagulant therapy, the patient's arterial thrombosis continued to progress and presented with ischemic necrosis of the lower extremity. After amputation in this case, the levels of D-dimer and inflammatory cytokine increased progressively, and he presented with acute myocardial infarction, which progressed rapidly to multisystem organ failure. However, whether coronavirus can directly cause the damage of the cardiovascular system and thrombosis needs further investigation.

Admission IL-32 concentration predicts severity and mortality of severe community-acquired pneumonia independently of etiology

BACKGROUND

Severe community-acquired pneumonia (SCAP) is a critical disorder with high morbidity and mortality, usually manifested as acute respiratory failure and septic shock generally caused by exaggerated systemic inflammation. Interleukin-32 (IL-32), a pro-inflammatory cytokine, has been reported involved in various infectious diseases. We investigated the efficacy of the plasma IL-32 as a biomarker for evaluating the severity and clinical outcomes in SCAP patients.

METHODS

A total of 124 adult immunocompetent SCAP patients and 87 healthy controls were enrolled in this observational, prospective cohort study.

RESULTS

We found that PBMCs IL-32 mRNA and plasma IL-32 concentrations on admission of SCAP patients were significantly higher than healthy controls. Plasma IL-32 concentrations closely correlated with increasing severity scores, the need for vasopressor support or invasive mechanical ventilation but not with the etiology. The area under the curve (AUC) for predicting 30-day mortality using IL-32 was 0.812, is superior to WBCs and CRP. Incorporation of IL-32 with the severity scores were shown to improve the prognostic accuracy considerably. Furthermore, the 30-day cumulative survival rate in high IL-32 concentration group was significantly lower than that in the low concentration group. In a multivariate Cox regression analysis, higher IL-32 concentration and higher PSI score were recognized as the independent risk factors for survival, and the relative risks were 2.568 and 3.362, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Admission IL-32 concentration closely related to the severity and mortality of SCAP, and it may be served as a potential biomarker to help clinical judgment and management.

How biomarkers can improve pneumonia diagnosis and prognosis: procalcitonin and mid-regional-pro-adrenomedullin

Aim: The diagnostic and prognostic role of procalcitonin (PCT) and mid-regional-pro-adrenomedullin (MR-proADM) were investigated in patients with pneumonia. Material & methods: A total of 168 and 77 patients with pneumonia enrolled in two different hospital settings, an internal medicine unit and an emergency unit were included in the study. PCT and MR-proADM plasma concentrations and pneumonia severity index score were measured. Median values were compared by Mann–Whitney’s test. Receiver operating characteristic analysis and rank correlation were used to define the diagnostic and prognostic accuracy. Results: PCT confirmed the diagnostic role at values 0.08–0.10 ng/ml and MR-proADM the prognostic role for severe pneumonia. Significant correlation (p < 0.0001) between MR-proADM and pneumonia severity index score indicated expression of pneumonia severity. Conclusion: This combination of biomarkers presents a high positive predictive value in pneumonia diagnosis and prognosis.

Biomarkers in Community-Acquired Pneumonia (Cardiac and Non-Cardiac)

Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) remains the first cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide due to infection. Several aspects such as severity and host response are related to its clinical course and outcome. Beyond the acute implications that the infection provokes in the host, pneumonia also has long-term negative consequences. Among them, cardiovascular complications and mortality are the most outstanding. Therefore, an adequate recognition and stratification of the risk of complications and mortality is crucial. Many biomarkers have been studied for these reasons, considering that each biomarker mirrors a different aspect. Moreover, the clinical application of many of them is still being deliberated because of their limitations and the heterogeneity of the disease. In this review, we examine some of the most relevant biomarkers that we have classified as cardiac and non-cardiac. We discuss some classic biomarkers and others that are considered novel biomarkers, which are mainly involved in cardiovascular risk.

Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia associated thrombosis at Beijing Children's hospital

Background

With the increase of awareness of mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia (MPP), we found thrombosis in severe MPP (SMPP) was not rare. The aim of the study was to investigate the clinical characteristics, treatment, and long-term prognosis of MPP-associated thrombosis.

Methods

We retrospectively reviewed the medical records of 43 children with MPP-associated thrombosis between January 2013 and June 2019 at Beijing Children’s Hospital. The results of blood coagulation studies, autoimmune antibody, thrombophilia screening, contrast-enhanced lung computed tomography, echocardiography, and blood vessel ultrasonography were analyzed, as were treatment outcomes.

Results

Forty-two patients were diagnosed with SMPP. D-dimer was higher than 5.0 mg/L in 58.1% (25/43) of patients. The mean D-dimer level was 11.1 ± 12.4 mg/L. Anticardiolipin-IgM was positive in 60.0% of patients, β2-glycoprotein-IgM in 64.0%, and lupus anticoagulant in 42.1%. Chest imaging revealed pulmonary consolidation with lobe distribution in all patients (2/3–1 lobe in 10 patients, > 1 lobe in 29 patients). In our experience, thrombosis can occur in a vessel of any part of the body, and it can be initially detected as late as 31 days after disease onset. Thrombosis in the brain and abdomen can occur early, at 5 days after disease onset. Pulmonary vessels were the most commonly involved sites in the current study, and accordingly chest pain was the most common symptom (32.6%), followed by neurological symptoms (14.0%) and abdominal pain (9.3%). Thirty-five percent of patients were asymptomatic with regard to thrombosis. All patients underwent anticoagulant therapy, and thrombus absorption took > 3 months in most patients. All patients were followed until October 2019, at which time 41 were asymptomatic and 2 had mild recurrent cough.

Conclusions

SMPP with pulmonary consolidation (> 2/3 lobe) was the most strongly associated risk factor for thrombosis. Thrombosis-associated symptoms may be subtle, even absent. Elevated D-dimer, specifically > 11.1 mg/L (even > 5.0 mg/L), would assist in the early diagnosis of thrombosis. The long-term prognosis of thrombosis was good after timely administration of anticoagulant therapy.

Molecular Diagnostics in Pulmonary Infections

Infection of the lung parenchyma, or pneumonia, accounts for over four million deaths per year worldwide (Ferkol and Schraufnagel, Ann Am Thorac Soc 11:404–406, 2014). The condition is common, but also over-diagnosed, in part due to relatively poor laboratory and radiographic diagnostics. Indeed, we continue to rely on antiquated tools such as sputum culture and chest X-ray – the former of which lacks speed and sensitivity, and the latter specificity (Albaum et al. Chest 110:343–50, 1996). The resulting presumptive diagnoses of pneumonia lead to excessive use of empiric broad spectrum antibiotics; indeed, by some estimates, 30–70% of antibiotic prescriptions for lower respiratory tract infection are inappropriate (Kraus, PLoS One 12(3): e0174584, 2017). This approach begets microbial resistance, exposes patients to medication side effects, and puts patients at risk of potentially life-threatening complications including Clostridium difficile colitis.

To improve diagnostic certainty in patients with suspected pneumonia, we must begin to consider and implement emerging technologies for efficient and accurate characterization of host responses to infection and identification of pathogens. In this chapter, we will discuss precision diagnostics already in common practice and those poised to be, and how these tools may ultimately enable personalization in the diagnosis of pneumonia.

Adjunct corticosteroid treatment in patients with pneumonia: A precision medicine approach

Pneumonia is the leading infectious cause of death worldwide. While inflammation is critically important in host response to microbial invasion, exaggerated inflammation can damage the lungs, contributing to respiratory failure and mortality. Corticosteroids are effective in reducing inflammation and can also cause immune suppression. Presently, clinicians are unable to reliably distinguish between exaggerated and appropriate immune response and thus cannot rapidly identify patients most likely to benefit from adjunctive corticosteroids. In this review, we propose a biomarker-guided, precision medicine approach to corticosteroid treatment, aimed to give these medications at appropriate dose and time and only to patients who have exaggerated inflammation.

Hot topics and current controversies in community-acquired pneumonia

Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is one of the most common infectious diseases, as well as a major cause of death both in developed and developing countries, and it remains a challenge for physicians around the world. Several guidelines have been published to guide clinicians in how to diagnose and take care of patients with CAP. However, there are still many areas of debate and uncertainty where research is needed to advance patient care and improve clinical outcomes. In this review we highlight current hot topics in CAP and present updated evidence around these areas of controversy.

Community-acquired pneumonia is the most frequent cause of infectious death worldwide; however, there are several areas of controversy that should be addressed to improve patient care. This review presents the available data on these topics.http://bit.ly/2ShnH7A

Meta-analysis of Calibration, Discrimination, and Stratum-Specific Likelihood Ratios for the CRB-65 Score

BACKGROUND

The CRB-65 score is recommended as a decision support tool to help identify patients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) who can safely be treated as outpatients.

OBJECTIVE

To perform an updated meta-analysis of the accuracy, discrimination, and calibration of the CRB-65 score using a novel approach to calculation of stratum-specific likelihood ratios.

DESIGN

Meta-analysis of accuracy, discrimination, and calibration.

METHODS

We searched PubMed, Google, previous systematic reviews, and reference lists of included studies. Data was abstracted and quality assessed in parallel by two investigators. The quality assessment used an adaptation of the TRIPOD and PROBAST criteria. Measures of discrimination, calibration, and stratum-specific likelihood ratios are reported.

KEY RESULTS

Twenty-nine studies met our inclusion criteria and provided usable data. Most studies were set in Europe, none in North America, and 12 were judged to be at low risk of bias. The pooled estimate of area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.74 (95% CI 0.71-0.77) for all studies. Calibration was good although there was significant heterogeneity; the pooled estimate of the ratio of observed to expected mortality for all studies was 1.04 (95% CI 0.91-1.19). The corresponding values for studies at low risk of bias where patients could be treated as outpatients or inpatients were 0.76 (0.70-0.81) and 0.88 (0.69-1.13). Summary estimates of stratum-specific likelihood ratios for all studies were 0.19 for the low-risk group, 1.1 for the moderate-risk group, and 4.5 for the high-risk group, and 0.13, 1.3, and 5.6 for studies at low risk of bias where patients could be treated as outpatients or inpatients.

CONCLUSIONS

The CRB-65 is useful for identifying low-risk patients for outpatient therapy. Given a 4% overall mortality risk, patients classified as low risk by the CRB-65 had an outpatient mortality risk of no more than 0.5%.

Prognostic Value of Procalcitonin in Pneumonia among Patients Admitted to Intensive Care Unit

Objectives Pneumonia is one of the leading causes of death in the intensive care unit (ICU). Many biomarkers for predicted prognosis have been suggested; among these, procalcitonin (PCT) is known to increase in cases of bacterial infection. However, there have been many debates regarding whether PCT is an appropriate prognostic marker for pneumonia. Therefore, we investigated whether PCT can serve as a biomarker for pneumonia, and compared it with CURB-65, which is a known tool for predicting the prognosis of pneumonia. Methods Levels of PCT and CURB-65 scores were compared between 30-day non-survival (n = 30) and survival (n = 101) patients. Relationships between PCT and CURB-65 were determined by using linear regression analysis, as well as by using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis and calculation of the area under the curve (AUC). High and low PCT groups were compared. Results High PCT and high CURB-65 score were positively associated with 30-day mortality. For the prediction of 30-day mortality, initial PCT and CURB-65 exhibited AUCs of 0.63 and 0.66; these were not significantly different (P = 0.132). We found that the high PCT group had a higher rate of initial treatment failure (91%, P = 0.004). Conclusions Initial PCT can be a prognostic biomarker for mortality in severe pneumonia, similar to the CURB-65 score. Initial high PCT was positively associated with initial treatment failure.

Personalizing the Management of Pneumonia

Pneumonia is a highly prevalent disease with considerable morbidity and mortality. However, diagnosis and therapy still rely on antiquated methods, leading to the vast overuse of antimicrobials, which carries risks for both society and the individual. Furthermore, outcomes in severe pneumonia remain poor. Genomic techniques have the potential to transform the management of pneumonia through deep characterization of pathogens as well as the host response to infection. This characterization will enable the delivery of selective antimicrobials and immunomodulatory therapy that will help to offset the disorder associated with overexuberant immune responses.

Clinical prognostic significance of serum high mobility group box-1 protein in patients with community-acquired pneumonia

Objective

To investigate the relationship between serum high mobility group box-1 protein (HMGB-1) levels and prognosis in patients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP).

Methods

This prospective study included 35 patients who attended our hospital from January 2016 to December 2016. Pneumonia severity was defined by pneumonia severity index (PSI). Serum levels of C-reactive protein (CRP), cortisol, and HMGB-1 were analyzed in relation to disease severity and clinical outcome.

Results

High HMGB-1 levels were associated with high cortisol levels. High HMGB-1 and high cortisol were both significantly associated with high white blood cell count and high serum CRP, compared with low HMGB-1 and low cortisol, respectively. PSI score and 30-day mortality were also significantly higher in patients with high HMGB-1 or high cortisol levels compared with patients with low HMGB-1 or cortisol levels, respectively. CRP, cortisol, and HMGB-1 levels were all significantly higher in patients who died compared with survivors.

Conclusion

HMGB-1 was associated with clinical outcomes and was an independent risk factor for 30-day mortality in patients with CAP. Serum HMGB-1 levels were also positively correlated with serum levels of cortisol. These results demonstrate a role for HMGB-1 in CAP, and suggest possible new therapeutic targets for patients with CAP.

Severity scoring systems for pneumonia: current understanding and next steps

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

To describe the current understanding and clinical applicability of severity scoring systems in pneumonia management.

RECENT FINDINGS

Severity scores in community-acquired pneumonia are strong markers of mortality, but are not necessarily clinical decision-aid tools. The use of severity scores to support outpatient care in low-risk patients has moderate-to-strong evidence available in the literature, mainly for the pneumonia severity index, and must be applied together with clinical judgment. It is not clear that severity scores are helpful to guide empiric antibiotic treatment. The inclusion of biomarkers and performance status might improve the predictive performance of the well known severity scores in community-acquired pneumonia. We should improve our methods for score evaluation and move toward the development of decision-aid tools.

SUMMARY

The application of the available evidence favors the use of severity scoring systems to improve the delivery of care for pneumonia patients. The incorporation of new methodologies and the formulation of different questions other than mortality prediction might help the further development of severity scoring systems, and enhance their support to the clinical decision-making process for the pneumonia-management cascade.

Management of Acute Respiratory Failure Due to Community-Acquired Pneumonia: A Systematic Review

Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is a leading cause of mortality worldwide. CAP mortality is driven by the development of sepsis and acute respiratory failure (ARF). We performed a systematic review of the available English literature published in the period 1 January 1997 to 31 August 2017 and focused on ARF in CAP. The database searches identified 189 articles—of these, only 29 were retained for data extraction. Of these 29 articles, 12 addressed ARF in CAP without discussing its ventilatory management, while 17 evaluated the ventilatory management of ARF in CAP. In the studies assessing the ventilatory management, the specific treatments addressed were: high-flow nasal cannula (HFNC) (n = 1), continuous positive airway pressure (n = 2), non-invasive ventilation (n = 9), and invasive mechanical ventilation (n = 5). When analyzed, non-invasive ventilation (NIV) success rates ranged from 20% to 76% and they strongly predicted survival, while NIV failure led to an increased risk of adverse outcome. In conclusion, ARF in CAP patients may require both ventilatory and non-ventilatory management. Further research is needed to better evaluate the use of NIV and HFNC in those patients. Alongside the prompt administration of antimicrobials, the potential use of steroids and the implementation of severity scores should also be considered.

Procalcitonin is not an independent predictor of 30-day mortality, albeit predicts pneumonia severity in patients with pneumonia acquired outside the hospital

Background

Procalcitonin (PCT) is a useful marker for pneumonia. However, its clinical usefulness in elderly patients has not been studied extensively. This study aimed to assess the relationship between PCT and prognosis and pneumonia severity in elderly patients with pneumonia acquired outside the hospital.

Methods

Data considered relevant to pneumonia severity and prognosis were retrospectively obtained from clinical charts of all patients with pneumonia who were admitted to our hospital from 2010 to 2017. The primary outcome was 30-day mortality in elderly patients (aged ≥75 years), and the relationship between PCT levels and pneumonia severity, as determined by the pneumonia severity index (PSI) was also examined.

Results

Data were collected from 667 patients, of which 436 were elderly patients. Multivariate and receiver operating characteristic curve analysis revealed that albumin, body mass index, and PSI class rather than PCT are important factors related to 30-day mortality in elderly patients. PCT was also not an independent prognostic factor in younger patients. PCT levels significantly differed by pneumonia severity (mild, moderate, and severe) in both younger (p < 0.001) and elderly (p < 0.0001) patients, with levels increasing as severity increased. In contrast, C-reactive protein (CRP) levels and white blood cell counts did not significantly differ by pneumonia severity in younger and elderly patients. A subgroup analysis focused on Streptococcus pneumoniae pneumonia revealed that PCT levels differed by severity in elderly patients (p = 0.03), with levels increasing as severity increased.

Conclusion

PCT was not an independent predictor of 30-day mortality in both of elderly and younger patients. PCT levels, but not CRP levels, significantly increased with increasing pneumonia severity in younger and elderly patients, although the degree of increase tended to be lower in elderly patients compared to younger patients for the same severity. PCT levels also significantly increased with increasing pneumonia severity in elderly patients with Streptococcus pneumoniae pneumonia.

Integrated traditional Chinese and conventional medicine in treatment of severe community-acquired pneumonia: study protocol for a randomized placebo-controlled trial

Background

Community-acquired pneumonia, especially severe community-acquired pneumonia (SCAP), remains the leading cause of death in the world. Despite advances in antimicrobial therapy, the mortality rates due to SCAP have not decreased significantly since antibiotics became routinely available. Traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) has been used for treating pneumonia for thousands of years. It is popular and widely practiced in Asia. In recent decades, evidence from both clinicians and patients suggests that TCM has some beneficial effect on SCAP. Thus, this study aims to compare the efficacy of a combination of a conventional drug and TCM to the conventional drug alone, to provide a scientific basis for clinical decisions.

Methods/design

A prospective, multi-center, single-blinded, double-dummy, and randomized controlled clinical trial is being conducted to test the therapeutic effects of a combination of conventional medicine and TCM versus conventional medicine in the treatment of SCAP. A total of 198 patients will be enrolled in this study, with 99 in each treatment group (combination group or conventional medicine group). The TCM will be administered twice daily for 28 days. All patients will be followed for 3 months. The primary outcome measure is treatment failure, which is defined as clinical deterioration. Secondary outcome measures are time to clinical stability, length of hospital stay, in-hospital mortality, SOFA questionnaire, quality of life and cost of treatment.

Discussion

It is hypothesized that the combination of a conventional drug and TCM will reduce treatment failure, time to clinical stability, length hospital of stays, and in-hospital mortality, and improve the quality of life of SCAP patients.

Trial registration

ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03185923. Registered on 20 June 2017.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s13063-018-3005-9) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

The usefulness of serum procalcitonin, C-reactive protein, soluble triggering receptor expressed on myeloid cells 1 and Clinical Pulmonary Infection Score for evaluation of severity and prognosis of community-acquired pneumonia in elderly patients

AIMS

To comparatively analyze the usefulness of serum procalcitonin (PCT), C-reactive protein (CRP), soluble triggering receptor expressed on myeloid cells 1 (sTREM-1) and Clinical Pulmonary Infection Score (CPIS) for assessing the severity and prognosis of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) in the elderly.

METHODS

A total of 214 elderly patients with CAP and 106 healthy persons were enrolled in this prospective study. On the admission day, serum inflammatory markers, including CRP, PCT, sTREM-1, and CPIS were analyzed. By severity, the CAP patients were subdivided into non-severe CAP group and severe CAP group. By outcome, the patients were classified into survival group and death group. The efficiency of three inflammatory markers and CPIS on predicting prognosis of pneumonia patients was then analyzed.

RESULTS

The serum inflammatory markers and CPIS were significantly higher in CAP patients than in healthy controls. These biomarkers and CPIS were significantly higher in patients with severe CAP than in patients with non-severe CAP. Compared with patients who would survive, these markers and CPIS were significantly higher in patients who would die. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis showed that the area under the curve and sensitivity were higher for serum sTREM-1 than for other indicators, while the specificity of serum PCT was the highest.

CONCLUSIONS

Serum CRP, PCT, and sTREM-1 and CPIS determined on the admission day are effective indicators to evaluate the severity and prognosis of CAP in the elderly. The prognostic value of PCT and sTREM-1 is better than that of CRP and CPIS.

Combined vitamin C, hydrocortisone, and thiamine therapy for patients with severe pneumonia who were admitted to the intensive care unit: Propensity score-based analysis of a before-after cohort study

PURPOSE

To evaluate the efficacy of combined vitamin C, hydrocortisone, and thiamine in patients with severe pneumonia.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

All consecutive patients with severe pneumonia who were treated with the vitamin C protocol (6 g of vitamin C per day) in June 2017-January 2018 (n = 53) were compared to all consecutive patients with severe pneumonia who were treated in June 2016-January 2017 (n = 46). Propensity score analysis was used to adjust for potential baseline differences between the groups.

RESULTS

In the propensity-matched cohort (n = 36/group), the treated patients had significantly less hospital mortality than the control group (17% vs. 39%; P = 0.04). The vitamin C protocol associated independently with decreased mortality in propensity score-adjusted analysis (adjusted odds ratio = 0.15, 95% confidence interval = 0.04-0.56, P = 0.005). Relative to the control group, the treatment group had a significantly higher median improvement in the radiologic score at day 7 compared with baseline (4 vs. 2; P = 0.045). The vitamin C protocol did not increase the rates of acute kidney injury or superinfection.

CONCLUSIONS

Combined vitamin C, hydrocortisone, and thiamine therapy may benefit patients with severe pneumonia.

A small pericardial effusion is a marker of complicated hospitalization in patients with community-acquired pneumonia

OBJECTIVE

Although often asymptomatic, presence of small pericardial effusion (SPE) is shown to be associated with adverse events and increased mortality in various conditions. This study aimed to evaluate the frequency and prognostic importance of SPE in a cohort of patients hospitalized for community-acquired pneumonia (CAP).

METHODS

We prospectively followed 154 consecutive adult patients hospitalized with CAP. The severity of CAP was evaluated with the pneumonia severity index (PSI) and the CURB-65 (confusion, urea, respiratory rate, arterial blood pressure and age) score. All patients underwent transthoracic echocardiography within the first 48h of admission. Patients were followed-up until hospital discharge or death. The outcomes of interest were length of stay in hospital and complicated hospitalization (CH) which is defined as intensive care unit admission, need for mechanical ventilation or in-hospital mortality. This study was registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT02441855.

RESULTS

A total 34 episodes of CHs occurred in 21 (13.6%) patients. Older patients and those with more co-morbid conditions such as diabetes, coronary artery diseases, cerebrovascular diseases, and chronic obstructive pulmonary diseases tended to have a higher rate of CH. Patients with CH had higher N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide, troponin and creatinine levels on admission compared to patients without CH. Patients with CH had also higher CURB-65 and PSI scores and had longer durations of stay compared to patients with uncomplicated course. SPE was noted in 24 (15.6%) of the patients in our study cohort. Incidence of CH was greater for patients with a SPE (26 CHs occurred in 14 of the 24 patients) compared to those without an effusion (8 CHs occurred in 7 of the 130 patients, p<0.001). Logistic multivariate analysis revealed that the presence of SPE was an independent predictor of CH (OR: 3.26; 95% CI: 2.19-8.71; p=0.008).

CONCLUSION

This study is the first to demonstrate that the presence of SPE is associated with increased adverse events in patients with CAP.

Diagnostic and predictive values of procalcitonin in bloodstream infections for nosocomial pneumonia

PURPOSE

We evaluated the diagnostic accuracy of PCT to distinguish between gram-negative (GN) and gram-positive (GP) bloodstream infections nosocomial pneumonia (NP) patients and compared PCT levels with the pneumonia severity index (PSI) for predicting mortality.

METHODS

Data were collected retrospectively for blood culture-positive NP patients between January 2014 and August 2016. PCT levels were compared between patients with GN versus GP infections. Outcome variables included 28- and 60-day mortality.

RESULTS

PCT level was higher in GN infections than in GP infections. PCT could differentiate between GN and GP infections with an AUC value of 0.706. At a PCT cutoff of 5.4 ng/mL, the specificity for GN infections were 80.3%. The AUCs for 28- and 60-day mortality were 0.758 and 0.759 for PSI, and 0.620 and 0.634 for PCT. Serum PCT level was less predictive of mortality in GN NP patients compared with that for GP NP patients. There was a significantly positive correlation between PCT and PSI, and the correlation in GP NP patients was better than that in GN NP patients.

CONCLUSIONS

PCT could differentiate between GN and GP bloodstream infections in patients with NP. However, PCT levels were less predictive of mortality compared with the PSI.

Cytokine responses, microbial aetiology and short-term outcome in community-acquired pneumonia

BACKGROUND

The inflammatory response to community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is orchestrated through activation of cytokine networks and the complement system. We examined the association of multiple cytokines and the terminal complement complex (TCC) with microbial aetiology, disease severity and short-term outcome.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Plasma levels of 27 cytokines and TCC were analysed in blood samples obtained at hospital admission, clinical stabilization and 6-week follow-up from 247 hospitalized adults with CAP. Fourteen mediators were included in final analyses. Adverse short-term outcome was defined as intensive care unit (ICU) admission and 30-day mortality.

RESULTS

Cytokine and TCC levels were dynamic in the clinical course of CAP, with highest levels seen at admission for most mediators. Admission levels of cytokines and TCC did not differ between groups of microbial aetiology. High admission levels of IL-6 (odds ratio [OR] 1.47, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.18-1.84, P = .001), IL-8 (OR 1.79, 95% CI 1.26-2.55, P = .001) and MIP-1β (OR 2.28, 95% CI 1.36-3.81, P = .002) were associated with a CURB-65 severity score of ≥3, while IL-6 (OR 1.37, 95% CI 1.07-1.74, P = .011) and MIP-1β (OR 1.86, 95% CI 1.03-3.36, P = .040) were associated with a high risk of an adverse short-term outcome.

CONCLUSIONS

In this CAP cohort, admission levels of IL-6, IL-8 and MIP-1β were associated with disease severity and/or adverse short-term outcome. Still, for most mediators, only nonsignificant variations in inflammatory responses were observed for groups of microbial aetiology, disease severity and short-term outcome.

Management of community-acquired pneumonia in immunocompetent adults: updated Swedish guidelines 2017

Based on expert group work, Swedish recommendations for the management of community-acquired pneumonia in adults are here updated. The management of sepsis-induced hypotension is addressed in detail, including monitoring and parenteral therapy. The importance of respiratory support in cases of acute respiratory failure is emphasized. Treatment with high-flow oxygen and non-invasive ventilation is recommended. The use of statins or steroids in general therapy is not found to be fully supported by evidence. In the management of pleural infection, new data show favourable effects of tissue plasminogen activator and deoxyribonuclease installation. Detailed recommendations for the vaccination of risk groups are afforded.

Predictors of treatment failure and clinical stability in patients with community acquired pneumonia

Community acquired pneumonia (CAP) is the leading infectious cause of mortality worldwide with approximately 10% of patients hospitalized requiring intensive care unit (ICU) admission. The ability to predict clinical stability (CS) and treatment failure (TF) enables the clinician to alter antibiotics appropriately, facilitate a timely ICU admission, or arrange a suitable discharge. The detection of CS and TF can be difficult and changes in clinical signs may be subtle or delayed. Thus clinical scores and biomarkers are routinely used to identify severity and monitor clinical progression. The evidence, however, is vast and the definitive role of these systems is at times difficult to elucidate. The aim of this review is to analyse the current literature and to provide a rational and clinically focused view of the predictive utility of various systems used to identify CS and TF in CAP.

Lymphopenic Community Acquired Pneumonia (L-CAP), an Immunological Phenotype Associated with Higher Risk of Mortality

The role of neutrophil and lymphocyte counts in blood as prognosis predictors in Community Acquired Pneumonia (CAP) has not been adequately studied. This was a derivation-validation retrospective study in hospitalized patients with CAP and no prior immunosuppression. We evaluated by multivariate analysis the association between neutrophil and lymphocyte counts and mortality risk at 30-days post hospital admission in these patients. The derivation cohort (n=1550 patients) was recruited in a multi-site study. The validation cohort (n=2846 patients) was recruited in a single-site study. In the derivation cohort, a sub-group of lymphopenic patients, those with <724lymphocytes/mm³, showed a 1.93-fold increment in the risk of mortality, independently of the CURB-65 score, critical illness, and receiving an appropriate antibiotic treatment. In the validation cohort, patients with <724lymphocytes/mm³ showed a 1.86-fold increment in the risk of mortality. The addition of 1 point to the CURB-65 score in those patients with <724lymphocytes/mm³ improved the performance of this score to identify non-survivors in both cohorts. In conclusion, lymphopenic CAP constitutes a particular immunological phenotype of the disease which is associated with an increased risk of mortality. Assessing lymphocyte counts could contribute to personalized clinical management in CAP.