Forecasting the impact of heart failure in the United States: a policy statement from the American Heart Association

Familial clustering of unexplained heart failure - A Danish nationwide cohort study

AIMS

To determine whether a family history of unexplained heart failure (HF) in first-degree relatives (children or sibling) increases the rate of unexplained HF.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Using Danish nationwide registry data (1978-2017), we identified patients (probands) diagnosed with first unexplained HF (HF without any known comorbidities) in Denmark, and their first-degree relatives. All first-degree relatives were followed from the HF date of the proband and until an event of unexplained HF, exclusion diagnosis, death, emigration, or study end, whichever occurred first. Using the general population as a reference, we calculated adjusted standardized incidence ratios (SIR) of unexplained HF in the three groups of relatives using Poisson regression models. We identified 55,110 first-degree relatives to individuals previously diagnosed with unexplained HF. Having a family history was associated with a significantly increased unexplained HF rate of 2.59 (95%CI 2.29-2.93). The estimate was higher among siblings (SIR 6.67 [95%CI 4.69-9.48]). Noteworthy, the rate of HF increased for all first-degree relatives when the proband was diagnosed with HF in a young age (≤50 years, SIR of 7.23 [95%CI 5.40-9.68]) and having >1 proband (SIR of 5.28 [95%CI 2.75-10.14]). The highest estimate of HF was observed if the proband was ≤40 years at diagnosis (13.17 [95%CI 8.90-19.49].

CONCLUSION

A family history of unexplained HF was associated with a two-fold increased rate of unexplained HF among first-degree relatives. The relative rate was increased when the proband was diagnosed at a young age. These data suggest that screening families of unexplained HF with onset below 50 years is indicated.

Higher systemic inflammation response index is associated with increased risk of heart failure in adults: An observational study

Inflammation has been established to play a crucial role in the onset of heart failure (HF) for many years, and the systemic inflammation response index (SIRI) is a new and comprehensive indicator reflecting the inflammation status in human body. The aim of this investigation was to determine the potential relationship between HF and SIRI in adults. For this investigation, we used cross-sectional data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES), which was conducted from 2009 to 2018. The study utilized multivariable linear regression models to examine the potential independent relationship between HF and SIRI. Additionally, a subgroup analysis and interaction test were carried out. To illustrate the nonlinear relationship, threshold effect analysis and fitted smoothing curves were also used. 26,303 eligible subjects aged ≥ 20 years were enrolled as the final samples. HF participants exhibited significant higher SIRI compared with non-HF participants [1.89 ± 1.33 vs 1.25 ± 0.95 (1000 cells/μL), P < .0001]. Multivariate logistic regression showed that those in the highest SIRI quartile had a significantly greater risk of HF by 130% (OR = 2.30, 95% CI 1.41-3.76; P < .0001). In addition, nonlinear relationship between HF and SIRI with the inflection point of 2.2 (1000 cells/μL) was observed. According to our research, adult HF prevalence and SIRI are positively correlated. This implies that SIRI could be a valuable biomarker for determining HF risk in the clinic.

How adoption of new pharmaceuticals can impact US health system reimbursement under alternative payment models: An economic model measuring the impact of sotagliflozin among patients with heart failure and diabetes

BACKGROUND

Heart failure (HF) is among the leading causes of death in the United States. Further, patients hospitalized because of HF with comorbid diabetes mellitus (DM) are at a significantly increased risk of death and rehospitalization. Results from the SOLOIST-WHF trial show that sotagliflozin lowered rates of readmission among hospitalized patients with HF and comorbid DM. However, it is unclear what the economic impact of the use of sotagliflozin would be on hospitals and health systems, particularly in an age where provider reimbursement is increasingly tied to value.

OBJECTIVE

To quantify the 1-year financial impact on US provider health systems of adopting sotagliflozin relative to standard of care (SoC) across different alternative payment models.

METHODS

This study created a 3-part decision tree model to quantify the financial impact of using sotagliflozin to treat patients hospitalized with HF in a US hospital setting. The model first estimated the clinical and economic outcomes of health systems with current SoC (no sotagliflozin) to treat US patients hospitalized for HF with comorbid DM. Then, using the results from the SOLOIST trial, the changes in clinical and economic outcomes with sotagliflozin adoption were modeled. Finally, the differences in health care utilization between sotagliflozin and SoC arms were translated to differences in health system reimbursement in the context of 3 common alternative payment models (APMs) in addition to the baseline fee-for-service (FFS) model: FFS with the Hospital Readmissions Reduction Program, the Bundled Payments for Care Improvement-Advanced program, and Accountable Care Organizations.

RESULTS

A typical community hospital would have 83.4 patients per year on average with an index HF hospitalization with comorbid DM. The model predicted that sotagliflozin would reduce the probability of hospitalization, emergency department visits, and deaths by 29.3%, 38.5%, and 17.8%, respectively, compared with SoC. For hospitals not participating in APM programs, sotagliflozin resulted in a net loss of $92.94 per person ($7,754 per health system). Conversely, when accounting for provider health system participation in APMs, sotagliflozin adoption increased financial returns by $4,720 per person ($305,604 per health system) under the Hospital Readmissions Reduction Program, $1,200 per person ($100,106 per health system) for the Bundled Payments for Care Improvement-Advanced program, and $1,078 per person ($31,029 per health system) for Accountable Care Organizations. Based on the national average composition of APM reimbursement, sotagliflozin adoption resulted in a $1,576 increase in margin per patient with HF ($105,454 per health system).

CONCLUSIONS

Although sotagliflozin adoption reduced health system revenue in an FFS payment model, it led to a net positive financial impact after accounting for APM bonus payments.

Identification and correction for collider bias in a genome-wide association study of diabetes-related heart failure

Type 2 diabetes (T2D) is a major risk factor for heart failure (HF) and has elevated incidence among individuals with HF. Since genetics and HF can independently influence T2D, collider bias may occur when T2D (i.e., collider) is controlled for by design or analysis. Thus, we conducted a genome-wide association study (GWAS) of diabetes-related HF with correction for collider bias. We first performed a GWAS of HF to identify genetic instrumental variables (GIVs) for HF and to enable bidirectional Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis between T2D and HF. We identified 61 genomic loci, significantly associated with all-cause HF in 114,275 individuals with HF and over 1.5 million controls of European ancestry. Using a two-sample bidirectional MR approach with 59 and 82 GIVs for HF and T2D, respectively, we estimated that T2D increased HF risk (odds ratio [OR] 1.07, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.04-1.10), while HF also increased T2D risk (OR 1.60, 95% CI 1.36-1.88). Then we performed a GWAS of diabetes-related HF corrected for collider bias due to the study design of index cases. After removing the spurious association of TCF7L2 locus due to collider bias, we identified two genome-wide significant loci close to PITX2 (chromosome 4) and CDKN2B-AS1 (chromosome 9) associated with diabetes-related HF in the Million Veteran Program and replicated the associations in the UK Biobank. Our MR findings provide strong evidence that HF increases T2D risk. As a result, collider bias leads to spurious genetic associations of diabetes-related HF, which can be effectively corrected to identify true positive loci.

Trends in heart failure costs for commercially insured patients in the United States (2006-2021)

BACKGROUND

Although prior research has estimated the overarching cost burden of heart failure (HF), a thorough analysis examining medical expense differences and trends, specifically among commercially insured patients with heart failure, is still lacking. Thus, the study aims to examine historical trends and differences in medical costs for commercially insured heart failure patients in the United States from 2006 to 2021.

METHODS

A population-based, cross-sectional analysis of medical and pharmacy claims data (IQVIA PharMetrics® Plus for Academic) from 2006 to 2021 was conducted. The cohort included adult patients (age > = 18) who were enrolled in commercial insurance plans and had healthcare encounters with a primary diagnosis of HF. The primary outcome measures were the average total annual payment per patient and per cost categories encompassing hospitalization, surgery, emergency department (ED) visits, outpatient care, post-discharge care, and medications. The sub-group measures included systolic, diastolic, and systolic combined with diastolic, age, gender, comorbidity, regions, states, insurance payment, and self-payment.

RESULTS

The study included 422,289 commercially insured heart failure (HF) patients in the U.S. evaluated from 2006 to 2021. The average total annual cost per patient decreased overall from $9,636.99 to $8,201.89, with an average annual percentage change (AAPC) of -1.11% (95% CI: -2% to -0.26%). Hospitalization and medication costs decreased with an AAPC of -1.99% (95% CI: -3.25% to -0.8%) and - 3.1% (95% CI: -6.86-0.69%). On the other hand, post-discharge, outpatient, ED visit, and surgery costs increased by an AAPC of 0.84% (95% CI: 0.12-1.49%), 4.31% (95% CI: 1.03-7.63%), 7.21% (95% CI: 6.44-8.12%), and 9.36% (95% CI: 8.61-10.19%).

CONCLUSIONS

The study's findings reveal a rising trend in average total annual payments per patient from 2006 to 2015, followed by a subsequent decrease from 2016 to 2021. This decrease was attributed to the decline in average patient costs within the Medicare Cost insurance category after 2016, coinciding with the implementation of the Medicare Access and CHIP Reauthorization Act (MACRA) of 2015. Additionally, expenses related to surgical procedures, emergency department (ED) visits, and outpatient care have shown substantial growth over time. Moreover, significant differences across various variables have been identified.

Baduanjin for ischemic heart failure with mildly reduced/preserved ejection fraction (BEAR Trial): A randomized controlled trial

AIM

While Baduanjin, a traditional Chinese mind-body exercise, has shown potential health benefits, its efficacy in improving outcomes for heart failure patients with mildly reduced or preserved ejection fraction (HFmrEF/HFpEF) has not been well documented. We aimed to investigate the adjunctive impact of Baduanjin on exercise capacity and quality of life for HFmrEF/HFpEF.

METHODS

Patients with HFmrEF/HFpEF were enrolled in this multicenter randomized clinical trial. All participants were randomized to conventional cardiac rehabilitation with or without an additional 12-week Baduanjin exercise. The primary endpoint was the distance covered in a 6-min walk test (6MWD), while key secondary outcomes included quality of life measured by the Minnesota Living with Heart Failure Questionnaire (MLHFQ) and cardiopulmonary function including anaerobic threshold (VO2 AT).

RESULTS

A total of 120 patients were enrolled, and 109 completed all session and tests. The mean age of the 120 patients was 60.5 years (SD, 9.21 years), and 23 (19.2%) were women. The Baduanjin group exhibited a 6.14% improvement in 6MWD compared to a 1.32% improvement in the control group (median improvement, 25.0 vs. 5.0 m; p < 0.001) at 12th week. The VO2 AT increased by 25.87% in the Baduanjin group versus 3.94% in the control group (p < 0.001). Quality of life also significantly improved in the Baduanjin group as indicated by MLHFQ score changes (-16.8% vs. -3.99%; p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Adding Baduanjin to exercise-based cardiac rehabilitation for patients with ischemic HFmrEF or HFpEF are generally safe and could provide significant improvements in exercise capacity and quality of life.

Aptamer Proteomics for Biomarker Discovery in Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction: The PARAGON-HF Proteomic Substudy

BACKGROUND

Prognostic markers and biological pathways linked to detrimental clinical outcomes in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) remain incompletely defined.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We measured serum levels of 4123 unique proteins in 1117 patients with HFpEF enrolled in the PARAGON-HF (Efficacy and Safety of LCZ696 Compared to Valsartan, on Morbidity and Mortality in Heart Failure Patients With Preserved Ejection Fraction) trial using a modified aptamer proteomic assay. Baseline circulating protein concentrations significantly associated with the primary end point and the timing and occurrence of total heart failure hospitalization and cardiovascular death were identified by recurrent events regression, accounting for multiple testing, adjusted for age, sex, treatment, and anticoagulant use, and compared with published analyses in 2515 patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction from the PARADIGM-HF (Prospective Comparison of ARNI With ACEI to Determine Impact on Global Mortality and Morbidity in Heart Failure) and ATMOSPHERE (Efficacy and Safety of Aliskiren and Aliskiren/Enalapril Combination on Morbidity-Mortality in Patients With Chronic Heart Failure) clinical trials. We identified 288 proteins that were robustly associated with the risk of heart failure hospitalization and cardiovascular death in patients with HFpEF. The baseline proteins most strongly related to outcomes included B2M (β-2 microglobulin), TIMP1 (tissue inhibitor of matrix metalloproteinase 1), SERPINA4 (serpin family A member 4), and SVEP1 (sushi, von Willebrand factor type A, EGF, and pentraxin domain containing 1). Overall, the protein-outcome associations in patients with HFpEF did not markedly differ as compared with patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction. A proteomic risk score derived in patients with HFpEF was not superior to a previous proteomic score derived in heart failure with reduced ejection fraction nor to clinical risk factors, NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide), or high-sensitivity cardiac troponin.

CONCLUSIONS

Numerous serum proteins linked to metabolic, coagulation, and extracellular matrix regulatory pathways were associated with worse HFpEF prognosis in the PARAGON-HF proteomic substudy. Our results demonstrate substantial similarities among serum proteomic risk markers for heart failure hospitalization and cardiovascular death when comparing clinical trial participants with heart failure across the ejection fraction spectrum.

REGISTRATION

URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique Identifiers: NCT01920711, NCT01035255, NCT00853658.

Poor Medication Access as a Driver of Excess Heart-Failure Readmissions Among Patients Living in Economically Deprived Neighborhoods

BACKGROUND

Patients residing in socioeconomically deprived neighborhoods experience higher hospital readmission rates after hospitalization for heart failure (HF). The role of medication access in the excessive readmissions in this group is poorly understood. This study explored patients' perspectives on medication access by individuals living in socioeconomically deprived neighborhoods who had experienced HF readmission.

METHODS

We conducted semistructured in-depth interviews with 25 patients (mean age 61 ± 9 years, 96% Black, 40% women) who were readmitted with acute HF at Emory Healthcare hospitals and were living in highly deprived neighborhoods (top decile of the Social Deprivation Index). Qualitative descriptive analyses of the interviews were performed by using a multilevel coding strategy.

RESULTS

Most patients (84%) highlighted medications as a driver of HF readmission. Patients' reported reasons for lack of medication access included medication costs (60%), having access to refills only through an emergency department or hospitalization (36%), limited access to transportation (12%), and limited understanding of medications' role in disease management (12%).

CONCLUSION

Lack of access to medications for patients with HF who live in socioeconomically distressed neighborhoods exacerbate excess hospitalizations in this vulnerable population. This study focuses on patients' perspectives and experiences and identifies some potentially high-value areas to focus on in trying to enhance access and adherence to evidence-based therapies.

Implantation of short-term biventricular assist device (BiVAD) using the CentriMag™ system: the Manchester technique

Biventricular assist devices (BiVADs) using the CentriMag™ system are being used increasingly as a form of short-term mechanical circulatory support for the treatment of acute cardiogenic shock from any aetiology. They can be used as a bridge to decision, recovery or transplantation. BiVADs are associated with better clinical outcomes when compared to veno-arterial (VA) extracorporeal membrane oxygenator (ECMO) systems. In this paper, we describe a safe and reproducible method of BiVAD implantation using the CentriMag™ system at our institution.

Cellular and molecular mechanisms driving cardiac tissue fibrosis: On the precipice of personalized and precision medicine

Cardiac fibrosis is a significant contributor to heart failure, a condition that continues to affect a growing number of patients worldwide. Various cardiovascular comorbidities can exacerbate cardiac fibrosis. While fibroblasts are believed to be the primary cell type underlying fibrosis, recent and emerging data suggest that other cell types can also potentiate or expedite fibrotic processes. Over the past few decades, clinicians have developed therapeutics that can blunt the development and progression of cardiac fibrosis. While these strategies have yielded positive results, overall clinical outcomes for patients suffering from heart failure continue to be dire. Herein, we overview the molecular and cellular mechanisms underlying cardiac tissue fibrosis. To do so, we establish the known mechanisms that drive fibrosis in the heart, outline the diagnostic tools available, and summarize the treatment options used in contemporary clinical practice. Finally, we underscore the critical role the immune microenvironment plays in the pathogenesis of cardiac fibrosis.

Human Factors Validation of a Wearable, On-Body Infusor for Subcutaneous Administration of Furosemide

Purpose

Furoscix® (subcutaneous furosemide) is administered using a wearable On-Body Infusor (OBI) and is approved for the treatment of congestion associated with heart failure (HF). The purpose of this study was to assess the safe and effective use of the OBI and Instructions for Use (IFU) by patients with HF, caregivers, and healthcare practitioners (HCPs).

Methods

Sixty participants (patients, n=30; caregivers, n=15; HCPs, n=15) were evaluated on completion of OBI use tasks and IFU knowledge tasks in a simulated use environment. Fifteen of the patients received OBI/IFU training before evaluation.

Results

Overall, 893/900 (99.2%) use tasks and 2211/2220 (99.6%) knowledge tasks were completed successfully, without differences due to training. The most common (n=6) use error was failure to wipe skin or cartridge tip with an alcohol wipe. Errors were due to forgetfulness/misinterpretation rather than IFU clarity.

Conclusion

The subcutaneous furosemide OBI can be safely and effectively used by patients, caregivers, and HCPs, regardless of training.

Diagnostic and prognostic significance of miR-320a-3p in patients with chronic heart failure

AIM

The purpose of this study was to investigate the diagnostic and prognostic value of miR-320a-3p in chronic heart failure (CHF).

METHODS

A total of 103 patients with CHF and 95 healthy controls were included in the study population. The expression level of serum miR-320a-3p was detected by qRT-PCR. The diagnostic effect of miR-320a-3p on CHF was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic curve. Kaplan-Meier curve and Cox regression were used to analyze the risk factors for 4-year prognosis of CHF patients. Bioinformatics analysis was used to analyze the possible target genes of miR-320a-3p and related signaling pathways.

RESULTS

Serum miR-320a-3p expression was increased in CHF patients, and the levels of BNP and LVEF were positively and negatively correlated with miR-320a-3p, respectively. The AUC value of ROC curve was 0.866, indicating that miR-320a-3p had high diagnostic accuracy for CHF. Survival curve and Cox analysis showed that high expression of miR-320a-3p was associated with poor prognosis in CHF patients, and age and miR-320a-3p were independent risk factors for prognosis in CHF patients. GO and KEGG analysis showed that the downstream target genes of miR-320a-3p were involved in biological processes such as cell adhesion, stem cell differentiation and neural development, and were enriched in mTOR, TNF, AMPK and other signaling pathways.

CONCLUSIONS

miR-320a-3p increased abnormally in CHF and was related to the severity of CHF. miR-320a-3p has the potential to be a diagnostic and prognostic marker for CHF.

Biologically active adrenomedullin as a marker for residual congestion and early rehospitalization in patients hospitalized for acute heart failure: Data from STRONG-HF

AIMS

Biologically active adrenomedullin (bio-ADM) is a promising marker of residual congestion. The STRONG-HF trial showed that high-intensity care (HIC) of guideline-directed medical therapy (GDMT) improved congestion and clinical outcomes in heart failure (HF) patients. The association between bio-ADM, decongestion, outcomes and the effect size of HIC of GDMT remains to be elucidated.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We measured plasma bio-ADM concentrations in 1005 patients within 2 days prior to anticipated discharge (baseline) and 90 days later. Bio-ADM correlated with most signs of congestion, with the exception of rales. Changes in bio-ADM were strongly correlated with change in congestion status from baseline to day 90 (gamma -0.24; p = 0.0001). Patients in the highest tertile of baseline bio-ADM concentrations were at greater risk than patients in the lowest tertile for the primary outcome of 180-day all-cause mortality or HF rehospitalization (hazard ratio [HR] 2.14, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.42-3.22) and 180-day HF rehospitalization (HR 2.33, 95% CI 1.38-3.94). Areas under the receiver-operating characteristic curves were 0.5977 (95% CI 0.5561-0.6393), 0.5800 (95% CI 0.5356-0.6243), and 0.6159 (95% CI 0.5711-0.6607) for bio-ADM, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and their combination, respectively, suggesting that both bio-ADM and NT-proBNP provided similarly modest discrimination for this outcome. A trend towards better discrimination by combined bio-ADM and NT-proBNP than NT-proBNP alone was found (p = 0.059). HIC improved the primary outcome, irrespective of baseline bio-ADM concentration (interaction p = 0.37). In contrast to NT-proBNP, the 90-day change in bio-ADM did not differ significantly between HIC and usual care.

CONCLUSIONS

Bio-ADM is a marker of congestion and predicts congestion at 3 months after a HF hospitalization. Higher bio-ADM was modestly associated with a higher risk of death and early hospital readmission and may have added value when combined with NT-proBNP.

Correlation between systolic blood pressure and mortality in heart failure patients with hypertension

BACKGROUND

The correlation between systolic blood pressure (SBP) and mortality in hypertensive patients with different phenotypes of heart failure (HF) has not been adequately studied, and optimal blood pressure control targets remain controversial. To explore the link between SBP and prognosis in all or three ejection fraction (EF) phenotypes of HF patients with hypertension.

METHODS

We analyzed 1279 HF patients complicated by hypertension in a retrospective cohort. The SBP <130 mmHg group included 383 patients, and the SBP ≥130 mmHg group included 896 patients. The major end point was all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

Of the 1279 study patients, with a median age of 66.0 ± 12.0 years, 45.3% were female. The proportions of the three subtypes of heart failure complicated with hypertension (HFrEF, HEmrEF, and HFpEF) were 26.8%, 29.3%, and 43.9%, respectively. During the 1-year follow-up, 223 patients experienced all-cause death, and 133 experienced cardiovascular death. Restricted cubic splines showed that the risk of all-cause and cardiovascular death increased gradually as the SBP level decreased in patients with HFrEF and HFmrEF. Furthermore, the multivariate Cox proportional hazards model revealed that SBP <130 mmHg was also associated with an increased risk of all-cause death [hazard ratio (HR) 2.53, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.23-5.20, P  = 0.011] and cardiovascular death (HR 1.91, 95% CI 1.01-3.63, P  = 0.047) in HFrEF patients. A trend toward increased risk was observed among HFmrEF patients, but it was not statistically significant. This trend was not observed in HFpEF patients.

CONCLUSION

In HFrEF patients, SBP <130 mmHg was associated with an increased risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. A trend toward increased risk was observed among HFmrEF patients, but not among HFpEF patients.

Outcomes of outflow graft stenting in HeartMate 3 left ventricular assist devices: A systematic review and individual patient data meta-analysis

PURPOSE

LVAD outflow graft stenosis continues to remain prevalent with a high complication rate. We sought to pool the existing evidence on indications, utilization patterns, and outcomes of transcatheter interventions for outflow graft stenosis in the HeartMate 3 LVAD.

METHODS

An electronic search was performed to identify all studies in the English literature reporting on HeartMate 3 LVAD outflow graft stenting. Patient-level data were extracted for analysis.

RESULTS

Thirteen published reports and one unpublished case comprising a total of 28 patients were included. Median patient age was 68.5 years [Interquartile range: 58, 71] and 25.9% (7/27) were female. Dyspnea [60.7% (17/28)] was the most common presenting symptom. Low flow alarms were present in 60% (15/25) of patients. Findings included external compression [35.7% (10/28)], graft twist [21.4% (6/28)], graft twist and external compression [14.3% (4.28)], intraluminal thrombus [10.7% (3/28)], graft twist and intraluminal thrombus [3.6% (1/28)], and pseudoaneurysm of outflow graft [3.6% (1/28)]. Median time from LVAD implantation to stenting was 2.1 years [1.4, 3]. Immediate flow normalization after stenting was observed in 85.7% (24/28). The 30-day mortality was 12% (3/25). Overall mortality was 12% (3/25) at a median follow-up of 3.9 months [1, 17].

CONCLUSION

Outflow graft stenting in the HeartMate 3 LVAD appears to be a reasonable treatment option for outflow graft stenosis, with low overall rates of complications and mortality. Further refinement of indications and approaches may improve outcomes.

The Heart Failure Patient Foundation Position Statement on Research and Patient Involvement

BACKGROUND

Heart Failure (HF) is a growing global public health problem affecting approximately 64 million people worldwide.

OBJECTIVES

The Heart Failure Patient Foundation developed a position statement to advocate for adult patients with HF to be an active participant in research and for HF leaders to integrate patients throughout the research process.

METHODS

A review of the literature and best practices was conducted. Based on the evidence, the HF Patient Foundation made recommendations regarding the inclusion of adult patients with HF throughout the research process.

RESULTS

Healthcare clinicians, researchers and funding agencies have a role to ensure rigorous quality research is performed and implemented into practice. Inclusion of adult patients with HF throughout the research process can improve the lives of patients and families while advancing HF science.

CONCLUSIONS

The HF Patient Foundation strongly advocates that patients with HF be involved in research from inception of the project through dissemination of findings to improve patient outcomes.

Epidemiology of Heart Failure and the Discovery of the Cardioprotective Effects of SGLT2 Inhibitors

In this video, Javed Butler, MD, introduces the series on the use of SGLT2 inhibitors in heart failure. He discusses the epidemiology of heart failure and the effects of SGLT2 inhibitors on heart failure outcomes. Jonathan Rich, MD, joins to summarize the effects of SGLT2 inhibitors from dedicated trials in patients with heart failure.

Heart Failure With Improved Ejection Fraction: Prevalence, Predictors, and Guideline-Directed Medical Therapy

Recently, a new category of heart failure with improved ejection fraction (HFimpEF) has emerged in the classification system. This is defined as the subgroup of patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) whose left ventricular ejection fraction has recovered partially or completely, with no specific cut-off values established yet in the guidelines. In our review, we aim to provide an overview of prevalence, predictors, mechanism of remodeling, and management strategies regarding HFimpEF. These patients constitute a sizeable cohort among patients with reduced ejection fraction. Certain patient characteristics including younger age and female gender, absence of comorbid conditions, low levels of biomarkers, and non-ischemic etiology were identified as positive predictors. The heart undergoes significant maladaptive changes post failure leading to adverse remodeling influenced etiology and duration. Goal-directed medical therapy including beta-blockers, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEIs), and angiotensin II receptor blockers (ARBs) have notably improved cardiac function by inducing reverse remodeling. Despite a more favorable prognosis compared to HFrEF, patients with improved ejection fraction (EF) still face clinical events and reduced quality of life, and remain at risk of adverse outcomes. Although the evidence is scarce, it is advisable to continue treatment modalities despite improvement in EF, including device therapies, to prevent relapse and clinical deterioration. It is imperative to conduct further research to understand the mechanism leading to EF amelioration and establish guidelines to identify and direct management strategies.

Utility and Validity of the HFA-PEFF and H2FPEF Scores in Patients With Symptomatic Atrial Fibrillation

BACKGROUND

Diagnosis of heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) represents a significant clinical challenge. Two diagnostic scoring tools have been developed to aid the noninvasive diagnosis of HFpEF: the HFA-PEFF (Heart Failure Association Pre-test assessment, Echocardiography and natriuretic peptide, Functional testing, Final etiology) and the H2FPEF scoring systems.

OBJECTIVES

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the performance of these 2 scoring tools for the diagnosis of HFpEF against a gold standard of invasive evaluation in a cohort of patients with AF.

METHODS

The authors recruited consecutive patients with symptomatic AF and preserved ejection fraction who were scheduled for an AF ablation procedure. Gold-standard invasive diagnosis of HFpEF was performed at the AF ablation procedure using mean left atrial pressure at rest and following infusion of 500 mL fluid. Each participant was scored according to the noninvasive HFA-PEFF and H2FPEF scoring systems. Sensitivity and specificity analyses were performed to assess the accuracy of these scoring systems in diagnosing HFpEF.

RESULTS

In total, 120 participants were recruited. HFpEF was diagnosed invasively in 88 (73.3%) participants, whereas 32 (26.7%) had no HFpEF. Using the HFA-PEFF score, 38 (31.7%) participants had a high probability of HFpEF and 82 (68.3%) had low/intermediate probability of HFpEF. Using the H2FPEF tool, 72 (60%) participants had a high probability of HFpEF and 48 (40%) had intermediate probability. A high HFA-PEFF (≥5 points) score could diagnose HFpEF with a sensitivity of 40% and a specificity of 91%, and a high H2FPEF score (≥6 points) could diagnose HFpEF with a sensitivity of 69% and specificity of 66%. Overall diagnostic accuracy was similar using both tools (AUC: 0.663 vs 0.707, respectively; P = 0.636).

CONCLUSIONS

Against a gold standard of invasively diagnosed HFpEF, the HFA-PEFF and H2FPEF scores demonstrate only moderate accuracy in patients with AF and should be utilized with caution in this cohort of patients. (Characterising Left Atrial Function and Compliance in Atrial Fibrillation; ACTRN12620000639921).

Comparison of Short-Term Health Care Utilization Between Telemedicine-Delivered vs In-Person Care Visits for Heart Failure

Background

Patients with heart failure (HF) are a medically complex population with frequent hospitalizations. Downstream health care utilization following primary care delivered by telemedicine compared to in-person is unknown.

Objectives

The purpose of this study was to understand differences in return in-person visits, emergency department (ED) encounters, and hospitalizations following a telemedicine vs an in-person primary care visit for patients with HF seen for a HF-related complaint.

Methods

This was an observational study of all primary care visits for HF from January 1, 2022, to December 31, 2022, in an integrated health care delivery system. We compared 7-day in-person follow-up visits, ED visits, and hospitalizations (all-cause and HF-specific) by index visit type.

Results

We included 3,902 primary care visits with a primary diagnosis of HF. Most visits utilized telephone or video visits (58.4% total; 44.9% telephone, 13.5% video). After adjustment, telephone visits were associated with more in-person follow-up visits (6.14% vs 4.20%; adjusted OR: 1.08-2.21; P < 0.05) but fewer ED visits (6.12% vs 8.07%; adjusted OR: 0.55-0.97; P < 0.05) compared to in-person visits. Most hospitalized patients (74%) had an admitting diagnosis of HF. There was no difference between 7-day all-cause hospitalization following telephone or video visits compared to in-person visits.

Conclusions

Most patients used telemedicine to address HF-specific primary care concerns. Telephone visits were associated with slightly higher short-term in-person primary care follow-up but lower ED utilization. Overall, downstream ED visits and hospitalizations were low. Telephone and video visits appear to offer safe alternatives to in-person care for HF-related primary care and are a promising health care delivery strategy.

Blood pressure and heart failure: focused on treatment

Heart failure (HF) remains a significant global health burden, and hypertension is known to be the primary contributor to its development. Although aggressive hypertension treatment can prevent heart changes in at-risk patients, determining the optimal blood pressure (BP) targets in cases diagnosed with HF is challenging owing to insufficient evidence. Notably, hypertension is more strongly associated with HF with preserved ejection fraction than with HF with reduced ejection fraction. Patients with acute hypertensive HF exhibit sudden symptoms of acute HF, especially those manifested with severely high BP; however, no specific vasodilator therapy has proven beneficial for this type of acute HF. Since the majority of medications used to treat HF contribute to lowering BP, and BP remains one of the most important hemodynamic markers, targeted BP management is very concerned in treatment strategies. However, no concrete guidelines exist, prompting a trend towards optimizing therapies to within tolerable ranges, rather than setting explicit BP goals. This review discusses the connection between BP and HF, explores its pathophysiology through clinical studies, and addresses its clinical significance and treatment targets.

Sacubitril/Valsartan Does Not Change the Use and Dose of Loop Diuretics in Patients With Heart Failure With Reduced Ejection Fraction

Background: There is no standard approach for managing the use or dose of loop diuretics after initiating sacubitril/valsartan. Objective: To investigate longitudinal trends in loop diuretic therapy use and doses during the initial 6 months following sacubitril/valsartan initiation. Methods: This retrospective cohort study included adult patients who were initiated on sacubitril/valsartan in cardiology clinics. Inclusion criteria were patients diagnosed with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (ejection fraction ≤40%) and initiated on sacubitril/valsartan in an outpatient setting. We investigated longitudinal trends in the prevalence of loop diuretic use and furosemide equivalent dose at baseline, 2 weeks, 1 month, 3 month and 6 months following sacubitril/valsartan initiation. Results: A total of 427 patients were included in the final cohort. Compared to the baseline loop diuretic use and dose, there were no significant longitudinal changes in the prevalence of loop diuretic use or the furosemide equivalent dose over the 6 months following sacubitril/valsartan initiation. The use of sacubitril/valsartan was not significantly associated with reductions in the use or dose of loop diuretics over a 6-month follow-up period. Conclusion: The use of sacubitril/valsartan did not significantly change the use or dose of loop diuretics over 6-month follow-up period. Initiation of sacubitril/valsartan may not need a pre-emptive loop diuretic dose reduction.

Mast cells: a novel therapeutic avenue for cardiovascular diseases?

Mast cells are tissue-resident immune cells strategically located in different compartments of the normal human heart (the myocardium, pericardium, aortic valve, and close to nerves) as well as in atherosclerotic plaques. Cardiac mast cells produce a broad spectrum of vasoactive and proinflammatory mediators, which have potential roles in inflammation, angiogenesis, lymphangiogenesis, tissue remodelling, and fibrosis. Mast cells release preformed mediators (e.g. histamine, tryptase, and chymase) and de novo synthesized mediators (e.g. cysteinyl leukotriene C4 and prostaglandin D2), as well as cytokines and chemokines, which can activate different resident immune cells (e.g. macrophages) and structural cells (e.g. fibroblasts and endothelial cells) in the human heart and aorta. The transcriptional profiles of various mast cell populations highlight their potential heterogeneity and distinct gene and proteome expression. Mast cell plasticity and heterogeneity enable these cells the potential for performing different, even opposite, functions in response to changing tissue contexts. Human cardiac mast cells display significant differences compared with mast cells isolated from other organs. These characteristics make cardiac mast cells intriguing, given their dichotomous potential roles of inducing or protecting against cardiovascular diseases. Identification of cardiac mast cell subpopulations represents a prerequisite for understanding their potential multifaceted roles in health and disease. Several new drugs specifically targeting human mast cell activation are under development or in clinical trials. Mast cells and/or their subpopulations can potentially represent novel therapeutic targets for cardiovascular disorders.

Advance Care Planning (ACP) in Medicare Beneficiaries with Heart Failure

BACKGROUND

Heart failure is a leading cause of death in the USA, contributing to high expenditures near the end of life. Evidence remains lacking on whether billed advance care planning changes patterns of end-of-life healthcare utilization among patients with heart failure. Large-scale claims evaluation assessing billed advance care planning and end-of-life hospitalizations among patients with heart failure can fill evidence gaps to inform health policy and clinical practice.

OBJECTIVE

Assess the association between billed advance care planning delivered and Medicare beneficiaries with heart failure upon the type and quantity of healthcare utilization in the last 30 days of life.

DESIGN

This retrospective cross-sectional cohort study used Medicare fee-for-service claims from 2016 to 2020.

PARTICIPANTS

A total of 48,466 deceased patients diagnosed with heart failure on Medicare.

MAIN MEASURES

Billed advance care planning services between the last 12 months and last 30 days of life will serve as the exposure. The outcomes are end-of-life healthcare utilization and total expenditure in inpatient, outpatient, hospice, skilled nursing facility, and home healthcare services.

KEY RESULTS

In the final cohort of 48,466 patients (median [IQR] age, 83 [76-89] years; 24,838 [51.2%] women; median [IQR] Charlson Comorbidity Index score, 4 [2-5]), 4406 patients had an advance care planning encounter. Total end-of-life expenditure among patients with billed advance care planning encounters was 19% lower (95% CI, 0.77-0.84) compared to patients without. Patients with billed advance care planning encounters had 2.65 times higher odds (95% CI, 2.47-2.83) of end-of-life outpatient utilization with a 33% higher expected total outpatient expenditure (95% CI, 1.24-1.42) compared with patients without a billed advance care planning encounter.

CONCLUSIONS

Billed advance care planning delivery to individuals with heart failure occurs infrequently. Prioritizing billed advance care planning delivery to these individuals may reduce total end-of-life expenditures and end-of-life inpatient expenditures through promoting use of outpatient end-of-life services, including home healthcare and hospice.

The favourable alliance between CardioMEMS and levosimendan in patients with advanced heart failure

AIMS

We report the results of a real-world study based on heart failure (HF) patients' continuous remote monitoring strategy using the CardioMEMS system to assess the impact of this device on healthcare outcomes, costs, and patients' management and quality of life.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We enrolled seven patients (69.00 ± 4.88 years; 71.43% men) with HF, implanted with CardioMEMS, and daily remote monitored to optimize both tailored adjustments of home therapy and/or hospital infusions of levosimendan. We recorded clinical, pharmacological, biochemical, and echocardiographic parameters and data on hospitalizations, emergency room access, visits, and costs. Following the implantation of CardioMEMS, we observed a 50% reduction in the total number of hospitalizations and a 68.7% reduction in the number of days in the hospital. Accordingly, improved patient quality of life was recorded with EQ-5D (pre 58.57 ± 10.29 vs. 1 year post 84.29 ± 19.02, P = 0.008). Echocardiographic data show a statistically significant improvement in both systolic pulmonary artery pressure (47.86 ± 8.67 vs. 35.14 ± 9.34, P = 0.022) and E/e' (19.33 ± 5.04 vs. 12.58 ± 3.53, P = 0.023). The Quantikine® HS High-Sensitivity Kit determined elevated interleukin-6 values at enrolment in all patients, with a statistically significant reduction after 6 months (P = 0.0211). From an economic point of view, the net savings, including the cost of CardioMEMS, were on average €1580 per patient during the entire period of observation, while the analysis performed 12 months after the implant vs. 12 months before showed a net saving of €860 per patient. The ad hoc analysis performed on the levosimendan infusions resulted in 315 days of hospital avoidance and a saving of €205 158 for the seven patients enrolled during the observation period.

CONCLUSIONS

This innovative strategy prevents unplanned access to the hospital and contributes to the efficient use of healthcare facilities, human resources, and costs.

Role of Vasoactive Hormone-Induced Signal Transduction in Cardiac Hypertrophy and Heart Failure

Heart failure is the common concluding pathway for a majority of cardiovascular diseases and is associated with cardiac dysfunction. Since heart failure is invariably preceded by adaptive or maladaptive cardiac hypertrophy, several biochemical mechanisms have been proposed to explain the development of cardiac hypertrophy and progression to heart failure. One of these includes the activation of different neuroendocrine systems for elevating the circulating levels of different vasoactive hormones such as catecholamines, angiotensin II, vasopressin, serotonin and endothelins. All these hormones are released in the circulation and stimulate different signal transduction systems by acting on their respective receptors on the cell membrane to promote protein synthesis in cardiomyocytes and induce cardiac hypertrophy. The elevated levels of these vasoactive hormones induce hemodynamic overload, increase ventricular wall tension, increase protein synthesis and the occurrence of cardiac remodeling. In addition, there occurs an increase in proinflammatory cytokines and collagen synthesis for the induction of myocardial fibrosis and the transition of adaptive to maladaptive hypertrophy. The prolonged exposure of the hypertrophied heart to these vasoactive hormones has been reported to result in the oxidation of catecholamines and serotonin via monoamine oxidase as well as the activation of NADPH oxidase via angiotensin II and endothelins to promote oxidative stress. The development of oxidative stress produces subcellular defects, Ca2+-handling abnormalities, mitochondrial Ca2+-overload and cardiac dysfunction by activating different proteases and depressing cardiac gene expression, in addition to destabilizing the extracellular matrix upon activating some metalloproteinases. These observations support the view that elevated levels of various vasoactive hormones, by producing hemodynamic overload and activating their respective receptor-mediated signal transduction mechanisms, induce cardiac hypertrophy. Furthermore, the occurrence of oxidative stress due to the prolonged exposure of the hypertrophied heart to these hormones plays a critical role in the progression of heart failure.

Assessment of Heart Failure Post-discharge Management Strategies, Needs and Acceptance of Mobile Application-based Remote Patient Management in South India

The demand for digital platforms in managing heart failure (HF) is expected to increase with promising effects on readmission and health expenditure. The study aims to explore current post-discharge management strategies and identify the need and acceptance of digital platforms, to ensure the development of a user-friendly mobile application for HF patients. Using a cross-sectional analytical research design, 90 consecutive patients diagnosed with HF who were discharged from a Tertiary Care Center were enrolled. Tele-interview was conducted using a self-developed and validated tool. The mean age of participants was 55.54 ± 10.33 years. The participants' adherence to HF management strategies was low in terms of physical exercise and weight monitoring. More than one-third were willing to self-record their measurements and use a mobile application. The common mobile application features requested were medication information/reminder (88.6%), health education (84.3%), chat with nurses (84.3%), physical activity (81.4%), symptoms (78.6%), diet (78.6%) and weight management (72.9%). The findings from this initial phase of mobile development are expected to help leverage better development of digital interventions for HF patients.

Changes in Donor Utilization and Outcomes for Patients Bridged With Durable Left Ventricular Assist Device

We studied the impact of the 2018 heart allocation policy change on donor characteristics and posttransplant outcomes of left ventricular assist device (LVAD)-bridged heart transplant (HT) recipients. Left ventricular assist device-bridged adult HT recipients from October 2014 to October 2022 in the United Network for Organ Sharing database were categorized into old allocation policy (OAP) and new allocation policy (NAP) cohorts. Baseline characteristics, posttransplant outcomes, and subgroup analyses of unstable and stable LVAD-bridged recipients were assessed. The study included 7,384 HT recipients; 4,345 (58.8%) were transplanted in the OAP era and 3,039 (41.2%) in the NAP era. Old allocation policy recipients were most frequently status 1A at transplantation (71.1%), whereas NAP recipients were most frequently status 3 (40.0%), and status 4 (31.9%). Median donor sequence number (DSN) was higher in the NAP versus OAP era (9 vs. 3, p < 0.001). On multivariable analysis, NAP recipients had 20% higher 1 year mortality compared to OAP (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] = 1.20 [95% confidence interval {CI}: 1.04-1.40], p = 0.01). Status 1 or 2 recipients had 28% higher 1 year mortality compared to status 1A (aHR = 1.28 [95% CI: 1.01-1.63], p = 0.04). Status 1 and 2 LVAD-supported recipients had higher mortality following the 2018 allocation change, indicating the need for closer surveillance of LVAD-bridged patients who may decompensate on the waitlist.

Alterations in the sarcopenia index are associated with inflammation, gut, and oral microbiota among heart failure, left ventricular assist device, and heart transplant patients

BACKGROUND

Sarcopenia, characterized by loss of muscle mass and function, is prevalent in heart failure (HF) and predicts poor outcomes. We investigated alterations in sarcopenia index (SI), a surrogate for skeletal muscle mass, in HF, left ventricular assist device (LVAD), and heart transplant (HT), and assessed its relationship with inflammation and digestive tract (gut and oral) microbiota.

METHODS

We enrolled 460 HF, LVAD, and HT patients. Repeated measures pre/post-procedures were obtained prospectively in a subset of LVAD and HT patients. SI (serum creatinine/cystatin C) and inflammatory biomarkers (C-reactive protein, interleukin-6, tumor necrosis factor-alpha) were measured in 271 and 622 blood samples, respectively. Gut and saliva microbiota were assessed via 16S ribosomal ribonucleic acid sequencing among 335 stool and 341 saliva samples. Multivariable regression assessed the relationship between SI and (1) New York Heart Association class; (2) pre- versus post-LVAD or HT; and (3) biomarkers of inflammation and microbial diversity.

RESULTS

Median (interquartile range) natural logarithm (ln)-SI was -0.13 (-0.32, 0.05). Ln-SI decreased across worsening HF class, further declined at 1 month after LVAD and HT, and rebounded over time. Ln-SI was correlated with inflammation (r = -0.28, p < 0.01), gut (r = 0.28, p < 0.01), and oral microbial diversity (r = 0.24, p < 0.01). These associations remained significant after multivariable adjustment in the combined cohort but not for all individual cohorts. The presence of the gut taxa Roseburia inulinivorans was associated with increased SI.

CONCLUSIONS

SI levels decreased in symptomatic HF and remained decreased long-term after LVAD and HT. In the combined cohort, SI levels covaried with inflammation in a similar fashion and were significantly related to overall microbial (gut and oral) diversity, including specific taxa compositional changes.

The dual prevalence of advanced degrees of obesity and heart failure: a study from the National Inpatient Sample database

BACKGROUND

National prevalence rates for obesity and heart failure (HF) have been steadily increasing, which predisposes patients to higher morbidity and mortality rates.

OBJECTIVES

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the prevalence of HF stages in hospitalized patients according to their body mass index (BMI).

SETTING

Academic institution.

METHODS

National Inpatient Sample data from 2016 to 2018 were examined to identify patients with obesity, HF (presence or absence of advanced HF [AHF]), and cardiogenic shock (CS). The proportion of hospital admissions was determined for each category on the basis of the presence of AHF with/without CS. A comparative analysis was performed between patients with and without AHF, and multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed for the event of AHF. The same analyses were performed for the event of CS.

RESULTS

A total of 3,354,970 hospital admissions were identified. The prevalence of hospital admissions with a diagnosis of AHF and class III obesity and a diagnosis of CS and class III obesity was 21% and .5%, respectively. The prevalence of AHF and other classes of BMI and CS and other classes of BMI was 17% and .5%, respectively. The univariate analysis showed that there were significant variations in 10 factors between hospital admissions with/without the diagnosis of both AHF and CS. Statistical analyses indicated the following findings: Hospitalized patients in higher obesity groups are more likely to have AHF, and they are less likely to have CS compared with those with a BMI of ≤29.9.

CONCLUSIONS

This study revealed that the prevalence of AHF was significantly higher in hospitalized patients with class III obesity. These findings have implications for clinical management, and it can be inferred that these patients are less likely to receive advanced cardiac replacement therapies and might benefit from innovative approaches to address severe dual morbidity.

High Variability of Body Mass Index Is Independently Associated With Incident Heart Failure

BACKGROUND

Heart failure (HF) is a serious condition with increasing prevalence, high morbidity, and increased mortality. Obesity is an established risk factor for HF. Fluctuation in body mass index (BMI) has shown a higher risk of cardiovascular outcomes. We investigated the association between BMI variability and incident HF.

METHODS AND RESULTS

In the UK Biobank, we established a prospective cohort after excluding participants with prevalent HF or cancer at enrollment. A total of 99 368 White participants with ≥3 BMI measures during >2 years preceding enrollment were included, with a median follow-up of 12.5 years. The within-participant variability of BMI was evaluated using standardized SD and coefficient of variation. The association of BMI variability with incident HF was assessed using Fine and Gray's competing risk model, adjusting for confounding factors and participant-specific rate of BMI change. Higher BMI variability measured in both SD and coefficient of variation was significantly associated with higher risk in HF incidence (SD: hazard ratio [HR], 1.05 [95% CI, 1.03-1.08], P<0.0001; coefficient of variation: HR, 1.07 [95% CI, 1.04-1.10], P<0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

Longitudinal health records capture BMI fluctuation, which independently predicts HF incidence.

Self-care behavior and associated factors among adult heart failure patients in outpatient cardiac follow-up unit at Wachemo University Nigist Eleni Comprehensive Specialized Hospital, Southern Ethiopia

BACKGROUND

Heart failure is a serious medical condition that occurs when the heart is unable to pump sufficient blood to meet the needs of the tissues. Good self-care is an essential behavior in long term management and maintenance of physiologic stability, better medical and person-centered outcomes. Poor self-care behavior deteriorates the outcomes of heart failure patients. However, there were no sufficient evidences that illustrate the topic in the country, including the study area.

METHODOLOGY

Institutional based cross-sectional study was conducted among 250 heart failure patients from July 5-August 4, 2021. All adult heart failure patients who fulfill the inclusion criteria and have appointment during study period were included in the study. Interview and medical chart review was used to collect data. Epidata version 3.1 and SPSS version 20 were used for data entry and analysis respectively. Bivariate and multivariable analysis was computed. The model fitness was checked by Hosmer and Lemeshow test.

RESULTS

From the total patients, 240 were interviewed with the response rate of 96%. Among these, 140(58.3%) [95% CI: 52.6, 64.9] had poor self-care behavior. Age>54: 9.891 [2.228, 43.922], poor knowledge: 6.980[1.065, 45.727], depression: 4.973[1.107, 22.338], low social support: 6.060[1.373, 26.739], insomnia: 4.801[1.019, 22.622] and duration with heart failure <1 year: 5.782[1.438, 23.247] were factors associated with poor self-care behavior.

CONCLUSION

In this study, more than half of participants attending at Wachemo University Nigist Eleni Comprehensive Specialized Hospital in outpatient cardiac follow-up unit had poor self-care behavior. Of the study variables, older age, poor knowledge, depressive symptoms, low social support, insomnia and short duration with heart failure were related with poor self-care behavior. Thus, the findings highlight importance of assessing level of self-care behavior and implicate direction to take action to enhance level of self-care behavior.

Burden of heart failure in Asia, 1990-2019: findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

OBJECTIVES

Heart failure (HF) is on the rise as a global health problem, but information on its burden in Asia is limited. This study aimed to assess the burden, trends, and underlying causes of HF in the Asian region.

STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS

Data on HF in Asia from 1990 to 2019, including prevalence, years lived with disability (YLD), and underlying causes, were extracted from the Global Burden of Diseases 2019. The cases, the age-standardized prevalence, and the YLD were compared between the age groups, the sexes, the sociodemographic index, and the locations. The proportion of age-standardized prevalence rates of HF attributable to 16 underlying causes was also analyzed.

RESULTS

In 2019, the age-standardized prevalence rate of HF per 100,000 persons in Asia was 722.45 (95% uncertainty interval [UI]: 591.97-891.64), with an estimated 31.89 million cases (95% UI: 25.94-39.25). From 1990 to 2019, the prevalence of age-standardized HF in Asia decreased by 4.51%, reflecting the global trend (-7.06%). Age-standardized YLD rates of HF exhibited patterns similar to prevalence rates. Among Asian countries, China had the highest age-standardized prevalence rate, followed by Kuwait and Jordan. Hypertensive heart disease was the leading cause of HF, followed by ischemic heart disease and rheumatic heart disease.

CONCLUSIONS

Although the burden of HF in Asia showed a gradual decline between 1990 and 2019, it remains a significant health challenge that requires increased attention. Regional disparities in HF burden are evident, emphasizing the need for urgent prevention and control measures at the regional and national levels.

Outcomes of Percutaneous Revascularization in Severe Ischemic Left Ventricular Dysfunction

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

This article presents a comprehensive review of coronary revascularization versus optimal medical therapy (OMT) in patients with severe ischemic left ventricular dysfunction.

RECENT FINDINGS

The REVIVED-BCIS2 trial randomized 700 patients with extensive coronary artery disease and left ventricular (LV) ejection fraction (LVEF) ≤ 35% and viability in more than four dysfunctional myocardial segments to percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) plus OMT versus OMT alone. Over a median duration of 41 months, there was no difference in the composite of all-cause mortality, heart failure hospitalization, or improvement in LVEF with PCI plus OMT versus OMT alone at 6 and 12 months, quality of life scores at 24 months, or fatal ventricular arrhythmia. The STICH randomized trial was conducted between 2002 and 2007, involving patients with LV dysfunction and coronary artery disease. The patients were assigned to either CABG plus medical therapy or medical therapy alone. At the 5-year follow-up, the trial showed that CABG plus medical therapy reduced cardiovascular disease-related deaths and hospitalizations but no reduction in all-cause mortality. However, a 10-year follow-up showed a significant decrease in all-cause mortality with CABG. The currently available evidence showed no apparent benefit of PCI in severe ischemic cardiomyopathy as compared to OMT, but that CABG improves outcomes in this patient population. The paucity of data on the advantages of PCI in this patient population underscores the critical need for optimization of medical therapy for better survival and quality of life until further evidence from RCTs is available.

Medical Decision-Making and Revascularization in Ischemic Cardiomyopathy

Ischemic cardiomyopathy (ICM) is the most common underlying etiology of heart failure in the United States and is a significant contributor to deaths due to cardiovascular disease worldwide. The diagnosis and management of ICM has advanced significantly over the past few decades, and the evidence for medical therapy in ICM is both compelling and robust. This contrasts with evidence for coronary revascularization, which is more controversial and favors surgical approaches. This review will examine landmark clinical trial results in detail as well as provide a comprehensive overview of the current epidemiology, diagnostic approaches, and management strategies of ICM.

Clinical markers in heart failure: a narrative review

Heart failure is a complex clinical syndrome that is one of the causes of high mortality worldwide. Additionally, healthcare systems around the world are also being burdened by the aging population and subsequently, increasing estimates of patients with heart failure. As a result, it is crucial to determine novel ways to reduce the healthcare costs, rate of hospitalizations and mortality. In this regard, clinical biomarkers play a very important role in stratifying risk, determining prognosis or diagnosis and monitoring patient responses to therapy. This narrative review discusses the wide spectrum of clinical biomarkers, novel inventions of new techniques, their advantages and limitations as well as applications. As heart failure rates increase, cost-effective diagnostic tools such as B-type natriuretic peptide and N-terminal pro b-type natriuretic peptide are crucial, with emerging markers like neprilysin and cardiac imaging showing promise, though larger studies are needed to confirm their effectiveness compared with traditional markers.

Economic Evaluations of Digital Health Interventions for Patients With Heart Failure: Systematic Review

BACKGROUND

Digital health interventions (DHIs) have shown promising results in enhancing the management of heart failure (HF). Although health care interventions are increasingly being delivered digitally, with growing evidence on the potential cost-effectiveness of adopting them, there has been little effort to collate and synthesize the findings.

OBJECTIVE

This study's objective was to systematically review the economic evaluations that assess the adoption of DHIs in the management and treatment of HF.

METHODS

A systematic review was conducted using 3 electronic databases: PubMed, EBSCOhost, and Scopus. Articles reporting full economic evaluations of DHIs for patients with HF published up to July 2023 were eligible for inclusion. Study characteristics, design (both trial based and model based), input parameters, and main results were extracted from full-text articles. Data synthesis was conducted based on the technologies used for delivering DHIs in the management of patients with HF, and the findings were analyzed narratively. The PRISMA (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses) guidelines were followed for this systematic review. The reporting quality of the included studies was evaluated using the CHEERS (Consolidated Health Economic Evaluation Reporting Standards) guidelines.

RESULTS

Overall, 27 economic evaluations were included in the review. The economic evaluations were based on models (13/27, 48%), trials (13/27, 48%), or a combination approach (1/27, 4%). The devices evaluated included noninvasive remote monitoring devices (eg, home telemonitoring using digital tablets or specific medical devices that enable transmission of physiological data), telephone support, mobile apps and wearables, remote monitoring follow-up in patients with implantable medical devices, and videoconferencing systems. Most of the studies (24/27, 89%) used cost-utility analysis. The majority of the studies (25/27, 93%) were conducted in high-income countries, particularly European countries (16/27, 59%) such as the United Kingdom and the Netherlands. Mobile apps and wearables, remote monitoring follow-up in patients with implantable medical devices, and videoconferencing systems yielded cost-effective results or even emerged as dominant strategies. However, conflicting results were observed, particularly in noninvasive remote monitoring devices and telephone support. In 15% (4/27) of the studies, these DHIs were found to be less costly and more effective than the comparators (ie, dominant), while 33% (9/27) reported them to be more costly but more effective with incremental cost-effectiveness ratios below the respective willingness-to-pay thresholds (ie, cost-effective). Furthermore, in 11% (3/27) of the studies, noninvasive remote monitoring devices and telephone support were either above the willingness-to-pay thresholds or more costly than, yet as effective as, the comparators (ie, not cost-effective). In terms of reporting quality, the studies were classified as good (20/27, 74%), moderate (6/27, 22%), or excellent (1/27, 4%).

CONCLUSIONS

Despite the conflicting results, the main findings indicated that, overall, DHIs were more cost-effective than non-DHI alternatives.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

PROSPERO CRD42023388241; https://tinyurl.com/2p9axpmc.

Sex-specific cardiovascular remodeling leads to a divergent sex-dependent development of heart failure in aged hypertensive rats

INTRODUCTION

The prevalence of heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) is continuously rising and predominantly affects older women often hypertensive and/or obese or diabetic. Indeed, there is evidence on sex differences in the development of HF. Hence, we studied cardiovascular performance dependent on sex and age as well as pathomechanisms on a cellular and molecular level.

METHODS

We studied 15-week- and 1-year-old female and male hypertensive transgenic rats carrying the mouse Ren-2 renin gene (TG) and compared them to wild-type (WT) controls at the same age. We tracked blood pressure and cardiac function via echocardiography. After sacrificing the 1-year survivors we studied vascular smooth muscle and endothelial function. Isolated single skinned cardiomyocytes were used to determine passive stiffness and Ca2+-dependent force. In addition, Western blots were applied to analyse the phosphorylation status of sarcomeric regulatory proteins, titin and of protein kinases AMPK, PKG, CaMKII as well as their expression. Protein kinase activity assays were used to measure activities of CaMKII, PKG and angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE).

RESULTS

TG male rats showed significantly higher mortality at 1 year than females or WT male rats. Left ventricular (LV) ejection fraction was specifically reduced in male, but not in female TG rats, while LV diastolic dysfunction was evident in both TG sexes, but LV hypertrophy, increased LV ACE activity, and reduced AMPK activity as evident from AMPK hypophosphorylation were specific to male rats. Sex differences were also observed in vascular and cardiomyocyte function showing different response to acetylcholine and Ca2+-sensitivity of force production, respectively cardiomyocyte functional changes were associated with altered phosphorylation states of cardiac myosin binding protein C and cardiac troponin I phosphorylation in TG males only. Cardiomyocyte passive stiffness was increased in TG animals. On a molecular level titin phosphorylation pattern was altered, though alterations were sex-specific. Thus, also the reduction of PKG expression and activity was more pronounced in TG females. However, cardiomyocyte passive stiffness was restored by PKG and CaMKII treatments in both TG sexes.

CONCLUSION

Here we demonstrated divergent sex-specific cardiovascular adaptation to the over-activation of the renin-angiotensin system in the rat. Higher mortality of male TG rats in contrast to female TG rats was observed as well as reduced LV systolic function, whereas females mainly developed HFpEF. Though both sexes developed increased myocardial stiffness to which an impaired titin function contributes to a sex-specific molecular mechanism. The functional derangements of titin are due to a sex-specific divergent regulation of PKG and CaMKII systems.

A systematic review about the importance of neuropsychological features in heart failure: is at heart the only failure?

Heart failure can lead to cognitive impairment that is estimated to be present in over a quarter of patients. It is important to intervene at a cognitive level to promote brain plasticity through cognitive training programs. Interventions transformed by technology offer the promise of improved cognitive health for heart failure patients. This review was conducted on studies evaluating the role of cognitive rehabilitation in patients with heart failure. We examined clinical trials involving patients with heart failure. Our search was performed on Pubmed, Web of Science and Cochrane library databases. Of the initial 256 studies, 10 studies met the inclusion criteria. Cognitive rehabilitation training has important implications for the treatment and prevention of cognitive decline in heart failure patients with significant recovery for delayed recall memory and a significant time effect for total recall memory and delayed, psychomotor speed and IADL performance. It is important to include the assessment of cognitive functioning in the routine clinical examinations of patients with heart failure, discover the relationship between cognitive function and heart failure, and target cognitive rehabilitation programs that promote brain plasticity.

The Prognostic Accuracy of Get With The Guidelines-Heart Failure Score Alone and with Lactate Among Acute Symptomatic Heart Failure Patients: A Retrospective Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

To evaluate the prognostic accuracy of the Get With The Guidelines-Heart Failure (GWTG-HF) score, Shock Index (SI), Modified Shock Index (MSI), and Age Shock Index (Age-SI) alone and with lactate in patients with acute symptomatic heart failure (HF).

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study was conducted in the emergency department of a tertiary hospital between January 1, 2019, and December 31, 2019. Patients aged >18 years and diagnosed with acute symptomatic HF were consecutively included in the study. Patients referred from another center and missing medical records were excluded. Arrival type, vital parameters, demographic characteristics, comorbid diseases, consciousness status, laboratory results, and outcomes of the patients were recorded. The primary endpoint of the study was in-hospital mortality.

RESULTS

A total of 368 patients were included in the final analysis. The in-hospital mortality rate of the patients was 7.6%. The GWTG-HF score outperformed other scores in predicting in-hospital, 24-hour, and 30-day mortality (area under the curve (AUC) = 0.807, 0.844, and 0.765, P <.001, respectively). The overall performance of the GWTG-HF score with lactate (GWTG-HF+L) was better in predicting in-hospital, 24-hour, and 30-day mortality than the original GWTG-HF score (AUC = 0.872, 0.936, and 0.801, P <.001, respectively). Adding lactate values to the SI, MSI, and Age-SI improved their overall performance for all 3 outcomes.

CONCLUSION

Both the GWTG-HF and GWTG-HF+L scores have acceptable discriminatory power in patients with acute symptomatic HF. The GWTG-HF score, SI, MSI, and Age-SI can be used together with lactate to predict mortality in patients with acute HF.

Incremental value of diastolic wall strain in predicting heart failure events in patients with atrial fibrillation

Diastolic wall strain (DWS), an echocardiographic index based on linear elasticity theory, has been identified as a predictor of heart failure (HF) in patients with sinus rhythm. However, its effectiveness in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients remains uncertain. This study aims to assess DWS as a predictor of HF in AF patients with preserved ejection fraction. We analysed a prospective database of AF patients undergoing transthoracic echocardiography. AF patients with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (< 50%), posterior wall motion abnormality, hypertrophic cardiomyopathy, valvular heart disease, pericardial disease, congenital heart disease, or history of pacemaker/implantable cardioverter-defibrillator implantation or cardiac surgery were excluded. The study followed patients until HF development, death, or last visit. Follow-up for patients who underwent catheter ablation was censored on the date of their procedure. HF was ascertained based on the Framingham criteria. DWS was calculated using a validated formula: DWS = (PWs -PWd)/PWs, where PWs is the posterior wall thickness at end-systole and PWd is the posterior wall thickness at end-diastole. Among 411 study patients (mean age 69.6 years, 66% men), 20 (5%) was underwent catheter ablation and 57 (14%) developed HF during a mean follow-up of 82 months. Cox-proportional hazards demonstrated that low DWS (≤ 0.33) significantly predicted HF events (hazard ratio [HR] 3.28, 95% confidence interval [CI]) 1.81-5.94, P < 0.0001), independent of age (per 10 years; HR 1.99, 95% CI 1.35-2.93, P < 0.001), indexed left ventricular mass (per 10 g/m2; HR 1.16, 95% CI 1.05-1.27, P < 0.01), and indexed left atrial volume (per 10 mL/m2; HR 1.14, 95% CI 1.04-1.24, P < 0.01). Additionally, global log-likelihood ratio chi-square statistics indicated that DWS incrementally predicts HF development beyond age, indexed left ventricular mass, and left atrial volume (P < 0.001).

Historical Redlining and Heart Failure Outcomes Following Hospitalization in the Southeastern United States

BACKGROUND

Historical redlining, a discriminatory lending practice, is an understudied component of the patient risk environment following hospital discharge. We investigated associations between redlining, patient race, and outcomes following heart failure hospitalization.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We followed a hospital-based cohort of Black and White patients using electronic medical records for acute heart failure hospitalizations between 2010 and 2018 (n=6800). Patient residential census tracts were geocoded according to the 1930s Home Owners' Loan Corporation map grades (A/B: best/still desirable, C: declining, D: redlined). We used Poisson regression to analyze associations between Home Owners' Loan Corporation grade and 30-day outcomes (readmissions, mortality, and their composite). One-third of patients resided in historically redlined tracts (n=2034). In race-stratified analyses, there was a positive association between historically declining neighborhoods and composite readmissions and mortality for Black patients (risk ratio [RR], 1.24 [95% CI, 1.003-1.54]) and an inverse association between redlined neighborhoods and 30-day readmissions among White patients (RR, 0.58 [95% CI, 0.39-0.86]). Examining racial disparities across Home Owners' Loan Corporation grades, Black patients had higher 30-day readmissions (RR, 1.86 [95% CI, 1.31-2.65]) and composite readmissions and mortality (RR, 1.32 [95% CI, 1.04-1.65]) only in historically redlined neighborhoods.

CONCLUSIONS

Historical redlining had potentially mixed impacts on outcomes by race, such that residing in less desirable neighborhoods was associated with an elevated risk of an adverse outcome following heart failure hospitalization in Black patients and a reduced risk in White patients. Moreover, racial disparities in patient outcomes were present only in historically redlined neighborhoods. Additional research is needed to explore observed heterogeneity in outcomes.

Prognostic impact of prior LVEF in patients with heart failure with mildly reduced ejection fraction

AIMS

As there is limited evidence regarding the prognostic impact of prior left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) in patients with heart failure with mildly reduced ejection fraction (HFmrEF), this study investigates the prognostic impact of longitudinal changes in LVEF in patients with HFmrEF.

METHODS

Consecutive patients with HFmrEF (i.e. LVEF 41-49% with signs and/or symptoms of HF) were included retrospectively in a monocentric registry from 2016 to 2022. Based on prior LVEF, patients were categorized into three groups: stable LVEF, improved LVEF, and deteriorated LVEF. The primary endpoint was 30-months all-cause mortality (median follow-up). Secondary endpoints included in-hospital and 12-months all-cause mortality, as well as HF-related rehospitalization at 12 and 30 months. Kaplan-Meier and multivariable Cox proportional regression analyses were applied for statistics.

RESULTS

Six hundred eighty-nine patients with HFmrEF were included. Compared to their prior LVEF, 24%, 12%, and 64% had stable, improved, and deteriorated LVEF, respectively. None of the three LVEF groups was associated with all-cause mortality at 12 (p ≥ 0.583) and 30 months (31% vs. 37% vs. 34%; log rank p ≥ 0.376). In addition, similar rates of 12- (p ≥ 0.533) and 30-months HF-related rehospitalization (21% vs. 23% vs. 21%; log rank p ≥ 0.749) were observed. These findings were confirmed in multivariable regression analyses in the entire study cohort.

CONCLUSION

The transition from HFrEF and HFpEF towards HFmrEF is very common. However, prior LVEF was not associated with prognosis, likely due to the persistently high dynamic nature of LVEF in the follow-up period.

Heart failure management with β-blockers: can we do better?

Heart failure (HF) is associated with disabling symptoms, poor quality of life, and a poor prognosis with substantial excess mortality in the years following diagnosis. Overactivation of the sympathetic nervous system is a key feature of the pathophysiology of HF and is an important driver of the process of adverse remodelling of the left ventricular wall that contributes to cardiac failure. Drugs which suppress the activity of the renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system, including β-blockers, are foundation therapies for the management of heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) and despite a lack of specific outcomes trials, are also widely used by cardiologist in patients with HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). Today, expert opinion has moved away from recommending that treatment for HF should be guided solely by the LVEF and interventions should rather address signs and symptoms of HF (e.g. oedema and tachycardia), the severity of HF, and concomitant conditions. β-blockers improve HF symptoms and functional status in HF and these agents have demonstrated improved survival, as well as a reduced risk of other important clinical outcomes such as hospitalisation for heart failure, in randomised, placebo-controlled outcomes trials. In HFpEF, β-blockers are anti-ischemic and lower blood pressure and heart rate. Moreover, β-blockers also reduce mortality in the setting of HF occurring alongside common comorbid conditions, such as diabetes, CKD (of any severity), and COPD. Higher doses of β-blockers are associated with better clinical outcomes in populations with HF, so that ensuring adequate titration of therapy to their maximal (or maximally tolerated) doses is important for ensuring optimal outcomes for people with HF. In principle, a patient with HF could have combined treatment with a β-blocker, renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system inhibitor/neprilysin inhibitor, mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist, and a SGLT2 inhibitor, according to tolerability.

Artificial intelligence predictive analytics in heart failure: results of the pilot phase of a pragmatic randomized clinical trial

OBJECTIVES

We conducted an implementation planning process during the pilot phase of a pragmatic trial, which tests an intervention guided by artificial intelligence (AI) analytics sourced from noninvasive monitoring data in heart failure patients (LINK-HF2).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A mixed-method analysis was conducted at 2 pilot sites. Interviews were conducted with 12 of 27 enrolled patients and with 13 participating clinicians. iPARIHS constructs were used for interview construction to identify workflow, communication patterns, and clinician's beliefs. Interviews were transcribed and analyzed using inductive coding protocols to identify key themes. Behavioral response data from the AI-generated notifications were collected.

RESULTS

Clinicians responded to notifications within 24 hours in 95% of instances, with 26.7% resulting in clinical action. Four implementation themes emerged: (1) High anticipatory expectations for reliable patient communications, reduced patient burden, and less proactive provider monitoring. (2) The AI notifications required a differential and tailored balance of trust and action advice related to role. (3) Clinic experience with other home-based programs influenced utilization. (4) Responding to notifications involved significant effort, including electronic health record (EHR) review, patient contact, and consultation with other clinicians.

DISCUSSION

Clinician's use of AI data is a function of beliefs regarding the trustworthiness and usefulness of the data, the degree of autonomy in professional roles, and the cognitive effort involved.

CONCLUSION

The implementation planning analysis guided development of strategies that addressed communication technology, patient education, and EHR integration to reduce clinician and patient burden in the subsequent main randomized phase of the trial. Our results provide important insights into the unique implications of implementing AI analytics into clinical workflow.

Association of Beta-Blocker Use With Exercise Capacity in Participants With Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction: A Post Hoc Analysis of the RELAX Trial

Patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) often receive β-blocker (BB) therapy for management of co-morbidities. However, the association of BB therapy with exercise capacity and health-related quality of life (HRQL) in HFpEF is not well-studied. In this post hoc analysis of the Phosphodiesterase-5 Inhibition to Improve Clinical Status and Exercise Capacity in HFpEF (RELAX) trial, which included patients with chronic stable HFpEF with peak exercise capacity assessment at baseline and at 12 and 24 weeks of follow-up, we evaluated the association of BB use with the measures of exercise capacity (peak exercise oxygen uptake), anaerobic threshold, and HRQL (Minnesota living with heart failure questionnaire). Separate linear mixed-effect models were constructed for each outcome with adjustment for treatment arm, demographics, medical history, left ventricular ejection fraction, and duration of heart failure. Of the 216 study participants (median age 69 years, 48.2% women), 76% reported BB use at baseline. Participants with (vs without) BB therapy were older (70 vs 63.5 years, p = 0.001) and had a higher prevalence of ischemic heart disease (44% vs 23%, p = 0.01). In the adjusted linear mixed model, BB use over time was not associated with peak exercise oxygen uptake (β 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.2 (-0.31 to 0.7), p = 0.5) and 6-minute walk distance (β 95% CI 14.69 [-14.25 to 43.63], p = 0.3). However, BB use was associated with a higher anaerobic threshold (β 95% CI 0.32 (0.02 to 0.62), p = 0.036) and better HRQL (lower quality of life as assessed by Minnesota living with heart failure questionnaire score) (β 95% CI -6.68 [-10.96 to -2.4], p = 0.002). Future trials are needed to better evaluate the effects of BB on exercise capacity in patients with chronic stable HFpEF.

Serum metabolomics improves risk stratification for incident heart failure

AIMS

Prediction and early detection of heart failure (HF) is crucial to mitigate its impact on quality of life, survival, and healthcare expenditure. Here, we explored the predictive value of serum metabolomics (168 metabolites detected by proton nuclear magnetic resonance [1H-NMR] spectroscopy) for incident HF.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Leveraging data of 68 311 individuals and >0.8 million person-years of follow-up from the UK Biobank cohort, we (i) fitted per-metabolite Cox proportional hazards models to assess individual metabolite associations, and (ii) trained and validated elastic net models to predict incident HF using the serum metabolome. We benchmarked discriminative performance against a comprehensive, well-validated clinical risk score (Pooled Cohort Equations to Prevent HF [PCP-HF]). During a median follow-up of ≈12.3 years, several metabolites showed independent association with incident HF (90/168 adjusting for age and sex, 48/168 adjusting for PCP-HF). Performance-optimized risk models effectively retained key predictors representing highly correlated clusters (≈80% feature reduction). Adding metabolomics to PCP-HF improved predictive performance (Harrel's C: 0.768 vs. 0.755, ΔC = 0.013, [95% confidence interval [CI] 0.004-0.022], continuous net reclassification improvement [NRI]: 0.287 [95% CI 0.200-0.367], relative integrated discrimination improvement [IDI]: 17.47% [95% CI 9.463-27.825]). Models including age, sex and metabolomics performed almost as well as PCP-HF (Harrel's C: 0.745 vs. 0.755, ΔC = 0.010 [95% CI -0.004 to 0.027], continuous NRI: 0.097 [95% CI -0.025 to 0.217], relative IDI: 13.445% [95% CI -10.608 to 41.454]). Risk and survival stratification was improved by integrating metabolomics.

CONCLUSION

Serum metabolomics improves incident HF risk prediction over PCP-HF. Scores based on age, sex and metabolomics exhibit similar predictive power to clinically-based models, potentially offering a cost-effective, standardizable, and scalable single-domain alternative.