U.S. Filipino Adults Have Elevated Prevalence of Hypertension Across the Adult Lifespan: Findings From a Cross-Sectional Electronic Health Record Study

Introduction

The prevalence of hypertension increases with age and differs by race and ethnicity. Among U.S. Asian adults, prevalence is higher for Filipino adults than for other major Asian subgroups, but whether this disparity exists across the adult lifespan is unknown. This study examined hypertension prevalence by age decade, comparing Filipino adults with South Asian, Chinese, Black, Hispanic, and White adults.

Methods

This cross-sectional study used 2015-2016 electronic health record data from a Northern California integrated healthcare delivery system for 1,839,603 adults aged 30-79 years, including 128,124 Filipino adults. Hypertension was defined by diagnosis codes. Sex-specific prevalence was calculated by race and ethnicity overall and by 10-year age decade from ages 30-39 years to 70-79 years. The prevalence of hypertension among 5 racial and ethnic groups was compared within each decade (with Filipino as the reference), adjusting for age, English language, diabetes, smoking, and weight category.

Results

Decade-specific prevalence of hypertension among Filipino men and women, respectively, was 9.7% and 8.5% for ages 30-39 years, 26.0% and 23.9% for ages 40-49 years, 45.9% and 44.4% for ages 50-59 years, 65.4% and 63.9% for ages 60-69 years, and 82.1% and 82.9% for ages 70-79 years. Across all age decades, hypertension prevalence among Filipino adults largely tracked with Black adults and was much higher than among South Asian, Chinese, White, and Hispanic adults. This pattern remained after adjusting for covariates, with the largest differences observed for adults aged <60 years.

Conclusions

Similar to Black adults, Filipino adults have persistently higher hypertension prevalence than South Asian, Chinese, Hispanic, and White adults across the adult lifespan. These findings underscore the importance of surveillance and prevention efforts for this high-risk Asian group beginning in early adulthood.

Polygenic risk and incident coronary heart disease in a large multiethnic cohort

Objective

Many studies support the notion that polygenic risk scores (PRS) improve risk prediction for coronary heart disease (CHD) beyond conventional risk factors. However, PRS are not yet considered risk-enhancing factor in guidelines. Our objective was to determine the predictive performance of a commercially available PRS (CARDIO inCode-Score®) compared with the Pooled Cohorts Equations (PCE) in a contemporary, multi-ethnic cohort.

Methods

Participants (n = 63,070; 67 % female; 18 % non-European) without prior CHD were followed from 2007 through 12/31/2022. The association between the PRS and incident CHD was assessed using Cox regression adjusting for genetic ancestry and risk factors. Event rates were estimated by categories of PCE and by low/intermediate/high genetic risk within PCE categories; risk discrimination and net reclassification improvement (NRI) were also assessed.

Results

There were 3,289 incident CHD events during 14 years of follow-up. Adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) for incident CHD per 1 SD increase in PRS was 1.18 (95 % CI:1.14-1.22), and the aHR for the upper vs lower quintile of the PRS was 1.66 (95 % CI:1.49-1.86). The association was consistent in both sexes, in European participants compared with all minority groups combined and was strongest in the first 5 years of follow-up. The increase in the C-statistic was 0.004 (0.747 vs. 0.751; p < 0.0001); the NRI was 2.4 (0.9-3.8) for the entire cohort and 9.7 (7.5-12.0) for intermediate PCE risk individuals. After incorporating high genetic risk, a further 10 percent of participants at borderline/intermediate PCE risk would be candidates for statin therapy.

Conclusion

Inclusion of polygenic risk improved identification of primary prevention individuals who may benefit from more intensive risk factor modification.

TV Viewing From Young Adulthood to Middle Age and Cardiovascular Disease Risk

INTRODUCTION

Few studies have longitudinally examined TV viewing trajectories and cardiovascular disease risk factors. The objective of this study was to determine the association between level and annualized changes in young adult TV viewing and the incidence of cardiovascular disease risk factors from young adulthood to middle age.

METHODS

In 2023, prospective community-based cohort data of 4,318 Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults study participants (1990-1991 to 2015-2016) were analyzed. Individualized daily TV viewing trajectories for each participant were developed using linear mixed models.

RESULTS

Every additional hour of TV viewing at age 23 years was associated with higher odds of incident hypertension (AOR=1.16; 95% CI=1.11, 1.22), diabetes (AOR=1.19; 95% CI=1.11, 1.28), high triglycerides (AOR=1.17; 95% CI=1.08, 1.26), dyslipidemia (AOR=1.10; 95% CI=1.03, 1.16), and obesity (AOR=1.12; 95% CI=1.06, 1.17). In addition, each hourly increase in daily TV viewing was associated with higher annual odds of incident hypertension (AOR=1.26; 95% CI=1.16, 1.37), low high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (AOR=1.15; 95% CI=1.03, 1.30), high triglycerides (AOR=1.32; 95% CI=1.15, 1.51), dyslipidemia (AOR=1.22; 95% CI=1.11, 1.34), and obesity (AOR=1.17; 95% CI=1.07, 1.27) over the follow-up period.

CONCLUSIONS

In this prospective cohort study, higher TV viewing in young adulthood and annual increases in TV viewing were associated with incident hypertension, high triglycerides, and obesity. Young adulthood as well as behaviors across midlife may be important time periods to promote healthful TV viewing behavior patterns.

Diet quality and cardiovascular disease risk among breast cancer survivors in the Pathways Study

BACKGROUND

Women with breast cancer are at higher risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) compared with women without breast cancer. Whether higher diet quality at breast cancer diagnosis lowers this risk remains unknown. We set out to determine if higher diet quality at breast cancer diagnosis was related to lower risk of CVD and CVD-related death.

METHODS

This analysis included 3415 participants from the Pathway Study, a prospective cohort of women diagnosed with invasive breast cancer at Kaiser Permanente Northern California between 2005 and 2013 and followed through December 31, 2021. Scores from 5 diet quality indices consistent with healthy eating were obtained at the time of breast cancer diagnosis. Scores were categorized into ascending quartiles of concordance for each diet quality index, and multivariable adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated. P values were 2-sided.

RESULTS

The Dietary Approaches to Stop Hypertension diet quality index was associated with lower risk of heart failure (HR = 0.53, 95% CI = 0.33 to 0.87; Ptrend = .03), arrhythmia (HR = 0.77, 95% CI = 0.62 to 0.94; Ptrend = .008), cardiac arrest (HR = 0.77, 95% CI = 0.61 to 0.96; Ptrend = .02), valvular heart disease (HR = 0.79, 95% CI = 0.64 to 0.98; Ptrend = .046), venous thromboembolic disease (HR = 0.75, 95% CI = 0.60 to 0.93; Ptrend = .01), and CVD-related death (HR = 0.70, 95% CI = 0.50 to 0.99; Ptrend = .04), when comparing the highest with lowest quartiles. Inverse associations were also found between the healthy plant-based dietary index and heart failure (HR = 0.60, 95% CI = 0.39 to 0.94; Ptrend = .02), as well as the alternate Mediterranean dietary index and arrhythmia (HR = 0.74, 95% CI = 0.60 to 0.93; Ptrend = .02).

CONCLUSION

Among newly diagnosed breast cancer patients, higher diet quality at diagnosis was associated with lower risk of CVD events and death.

Lack of leisure time physical activity and variations in cardiovascular mortality across US communities: a comprehensive county-level analysis (2011-2019)

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the associations between county-level proportions of adults not engaging in leisure-time physical activity (no LTPA) and age-adjusted cardiovascular mortality (AACVM) rates in the overall US population and across demographics.

METHODS

Analysing 2900 US counties from 2011 to 2019, we used the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) databases to obtain annual AACVM rates. No LTPA data were sourced from the CDC's Behavioural Risk Factor Surveillance System survey and county-specific rates were calculated using a validated multilevel regression and poststratification modelling approach. Multiple regression models assessed associations with county characteristics such as socioeconomic, environmental, clinical and healthcare access factors. Poisson generalised linear mixed models were employed to calculate incidence rate ratios (IRR) and additional yearly deaths (AYD) per 100 000 persons.

RESULTS

Of 309.9 million residents in 2900 counties in 2011, 7.38 million (2.4%) cardiovascular deaths occurred by 2019. County attributes such as socioeconomic, environmental and clinical factors accounted for up to 65% (adjusted R2=0.65) of variance in no LTPA rates. No LTPA rates associated with higher AACVM across demographics, notably among middle-aged adults (standardised IRR: 1.06; 95% CI (1.04 to 1.07)), particularly women (1.09; 95% CI (1.07 to 1.12)). The highest AYDs were among elderly non-Hispanic black individuals (AYD=68/100 000).

CONCLUSIONS

Our study reveals a robust association between the high prevalence of no LTPA and elevated AACVM rates beyond other social determinants. The most at-risk groups were middle-aged women and elderly non-Hispanic black individuals. Further, county-level characteristics accounted for substantial variance in community LTPA rates. These results emphasise the need for targeted public health measures to boost physical activity, especially in high-risk communities, to reduce AACVM.

Characterization and synergy studies of Caudoviricete Escherichia phage FS2B infecting multi-drug resistant uropathogenic Escherichia coli isolates

Escherichia coli is one of the most common causes of urinary tract infections. However, a recent upsurge in antibiotic resistance among uropathogenic E. coli (UPEC) strains has provided an impetus to explore alternative antibacterial compounds to encounter this major issue. In this study, a lytic phage against multi-drug-resistant (MDR) UPEC strains was isolated and characterized. The isolated Escherichia phage FS2B of class Caudoviricetes exhibited high lytic activity, high burst size, and a small adsorption and latent time. The phage also exhibited a broad host range and inactivated 69.8% of the collected clinical, and 64.8% of the identified MDR UPEC strains. Further, whole genome sequencing revealed that the phage was 77,407 bp long, having a dsDNA with 124 coding regions. Annotation studies confirmed that the phage carried all the genes associated with lytic life cycle and all lysogeny related genes were absent in the genome. Further, synergism studies of the phage FS2B with antibiotics demonstrated a positive synergistic association among them. The present study therefore concluded that the phage FS2B possesses an immense potential to serve as a novel candidate for treatment of MDR UPEC strains.

Cumulative BMI and incident prediabetes over 30 years of follow-up: The CARDIA study

OBJECTIVE

This study examined how cumulative BMI (cBMI) is associated with incident prediabetes in a biracial observational cohort study followed from young adulthood to middle age.

METHODS

Black and White men and women (n = 4190) from the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults (CARDIA) study, ages 18 to 30 years in 1985 to 1986 and free of prediabetes or diabetes at baseline, were followed for 30 years. Cox regression was used to determine how cBMI was associated with incident prediabetes after controlling for traditional cardiovascular risk factors.

RESULTS

Over 30 years of follow-up, 46.2% of the sample developed prediabetes. Mean cBMI was 801.4 BMI-years for those with prediabetes and 658.3 BMI-years for those without (p < 0.0001). After multivariable adjustment, the hazard rate ratio for the highest cBMI quartile was 2.064 (95% CI: 1.793-2.377) relative to the lowest quartile. The second and third quartiles did not differ from the first quartile, consistent with a nonlinear trend.

CONCLUSIONS

The cumulative burden of higher weight and longer duration was associated with incident prediabetes, but this association was statistically significant only after a higher threshold was reached. Strategies for prevention of prediabetes in middle age may focus on avoiding overweight in young adulthood to limit duration.

Implementation and effectiveness of a physician-focused peer support program

BACKGROUND

The practice of medicine faces a mounting burnout crisis. Physician burnout leads to worse mental health outcomes, provider turnover, and decreased quality of care. Peer support, a viable strategy to combat burnout, has been shown to be well received by physicians.

METHODS

This study evaluates the Peer Outreach Support Team (POST) program, a physician-focused peer support initiative established in a 2-hospital system, using descriptive statistical methodologies. We evaluate the POST program using the Practical Robust Implementation and Sustainability Model (PRISM) framework to describe important contextual factors including characteristics of the intervention, recipients, implementation and sustainability infrastructure, and external environment, and to assess RE-AIM outcomes including reach, effectiveness, adoption, implementation, and maintenance.

RESULTS

This program successfully trained 59 peer supporters across 11 departments in a 2-hospital system over a 3-year period. Trained supporters unanimously felt the training was useful and aided in general departmental culture shift (100% of respondents). After 3 years, 48.5% of physician survey respondents across 5 active departments had had a peer support interaction, with 306 successful interactions recorded. The rate of interactions increased over the 3-year study period, and the program was adopted by 11 departments, representing approximately 60% of all physicians in the 2-hospital system. Important implementation barriers and facilitators were identified. Physician recipients of peer support reported improved well-being, decreased negative emotions and stigma, and perceived positive cultural changes within their departments.

CONCLUSIONS

We found that POST, a physician-focused peer support program, had widespread reach and a positive effect on perceived physician well-being and departmental culture. This analysis outlines a viable approach to support physicians and suggests future studies considering direct effectiveness measures and programmatic adaptations. Our findings can inform and guide other healthcare systems striving to establish peer support initiatives to improve physician well-being.

Association of diabetes with coronary artery calcium in South Asian adults and other race/ethnic groups: The multi-ethnic study of atherosclerosis and the mediators of atherosclerosis in South Asians living in America study

PURPOSE

South Asian (SA) persons have increased risks for diabetes mellitus (DM) and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). We examined whether the association of DM with subclinical atherosclerosis assessed by coronary artery calcium (CAC) differs in SA versus other ethnic groups.

METHODS

We studied adults from the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis and the Mediators of Atherosclerosis in South Asians Living in America studies without ASCVD. CAC was examined among those normoglycemic, pre-DM and DM. Logistic regression examined pre-DM and DM with the odds of any CAC > 0 and CAC ≥ 100.

RESULTS

Among 7562 participants, CAC > 0 and CAC ≥ 100 in those with DM was highest in non-Hispanic White (NHW) (80% and 48%) and SA (72% and 41%) persons. Adjusted Ln (CAC + 1) was highest in NHW (3.68 ± 0.21) and SA (3.60 ± 0.23) (p < .01) DM patients. SA and NHW adults with DM (vs normoglycemic) had highest odds of CAC > 0 (2.13 and 2.27, respectively, p < .01). For CAC ≥ 100, SA and Chinese adults had the highest odds (2.28 and 2.27, respectively, p < .01). Fasting glucose and glycated hemoglobin were most strongly associated with CAC among SA.

CONCLUSIONS

Diabetes mellitus most strongly relates to any CAC in SA and NHW adults and CAC ≥ 100 in SA and Chinese adults, helping to explain the relation of DM with ASCVD in these populations.

Sex Differences in the Association Between Cumulative Use of Cannabis and Cognitive Function in Middle Age: The Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults Study

Background: Cannabis use may impair cognitive function (CF) differently in men and women, due to sex-specific differences in neurobiological mechanisms and environmental risk factors. Objective: Assess sex differences in the association between cumulative exposure to cannabis and cognitive performance in middle age. Methods: We studied participants from the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults (CARDIA) Study, including Black and White men and women 18-30 years old at baseline followed over 30 years. Our cross-sectional analysis of CF scores at year 30 was stratified by sex. We computed categories of cumulative exposure in "cannabis-years" (1 cannabis-year=365 days of use) from self-reported use every 2 to 5 years over 30 years. At years 25 and 30, we assessed CF with the Rey Auditory Verbal Learning Test (verbal memory), the Digit Symbol Substitution Test (processing speed), and the Stroop Interference Test (executive function). At year 30, additional measures included Category and Letter Fluency Test (verbal ability) and the Montreal Cognitive Assessment (global cognition). We computed standardized scores for each cognitive test and applied multivariable adjusted linear regression models for self-reported cumulative cannabis use, excluding participants who used cannabis within 24 h. In a secondary analysis, we examined the association between changes in current cannabis use and changes in CF between years 25 and 30. Results: By year 30, 1,352 men and 1,793 women had measures of CF; 87% (N=1,171) men and 84% (N=1,502) women reported ever cannabis use. Men had a mean cumulative use of 2.57 cannabis-years and women 1.29 cannabis-years. Self-reported cumulative cannabis use was associated with worse verbal memory in men (e.g., -0.49 standardized units [SU] for ≥5 cannabis-years of exposure; 95% CI=-0.76 to -0.23), but not in women (SU=0.02; 95% CI=-0.26 to 0.29). Other measures of CF were not associated with cannabis. Changes in current cannabis use between years 25 and 30 were not associated with CF in men or women. Conclusions: Self-reported cumulative cannabis exposure was associated with worse verbal memory in men but not in women. Researchers should consider stratified analyses by sex when testing the association between cannabis and cognition.

The association of intensive blood pressure treatment and non-fatal cardiovascular or serious adverse events in older adults with mortality: mediation analysis in SPRINT

AIMS

Randomized clinical trials of hypertension treatment intensity evaluate the effects on incident major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) and serious adverse events (SAEs). Occurrences after a non-fatal index event have not been rigorously evaluated. The aim of this study was to evaluate the association of intensive (<120 mmHg) to standard (<140 mmHg) blood pressure (BP) treatment with mortality mediated through a non-fatal MACE or non-fatal SAE in 9361 participants in the Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Logistic regression and causal mediation modelling to obtain direct and mediated effects of intensive BP treatment. Primary outcome was all-cause mortality (ACM). Secondary outcomes were cardiovascular (CVM) and non-CV mortality (non-CVM). The direct effect of intensive treatment was a lowering of ACM [odds ratio (OR) 0.75, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.60-0.94]. The MACE-mediated effect substantially attenuated (OR 0.96, 95% CI: 0.92-0.99) ACM, while the SAE-mediated effect was associated with increased (OR 1.03, 95% CI: 1.01-1.05) ACM. Similar patterns were noted for intensive BP treatment on CVM and non-CVM. We also noted that SAE incidence was 3.9-fold higher than MACE incidence (13.7 vs. 3.5%), and there were a total of 365 (3.9%) ACM cases, with non-CVM being 2.6-fold higher than CVM [2.81% (263/9361) vs. 1.09% (102/9361)]. The SAE to MACE and non-CVM to CVM preponderance was found across all age groups, with the ≥80-year age group having the highest differences.

CONCLUSION

The current analytic techniques demonstrated that intensive BP treatment was associated with an attenuated mortality benefit when it was MACE-mediated and possibly harmful when it was SAE-mediated. Current cardiovascular trial reporting of treatment effects does not allow expansion of the lens to focus on important occurrences after the index event.

Development of cardiometabolic risk factors following endocrine therapy in women with breast cancer

PURPOSE

Studies comparing the effect of aromatase inhibitor (AI) and tamoxifen use on cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors in hormone receptor-positive breast cancer (BC) survivors report conflicting results. We examined associations of endocrine therapy use with incident diabetes, dyslipidemia, and hypertension.

METHODS

The Pathways Heart Study examines cancer treatment exposures with CVD-related outcomes in Kaiser Permanente Northern California members with BC. Electronic health records provided sociodemographic and health characteristics, BC treatment, and CVD risk factor data. Hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) of incident diabetes, dyslipidemia, and hypertension in hormone receptor-positive BC survivors using AIs or tamoxifen compared with survivors not using endocrine therapy were estimated using Cox proportional hazards regression models adjusted for known confounders.

RESULTS

In 8985 BC survivors, mean baseline age and follow-up time was 63.3 and 7.8 years, respectively; 83.6% were postmenopausal. By treatment, 77.0% used AIs, 19.6% used tamoxifen, and 16.0% used neither. Postmenopausal women who used tamoxifen had an increased rate (HR 1.43, 95% CI 1.06-1.92) of developing hypertension relative to those who did not use endocrine therapy. Tamoxifen use was not associated with incident diabetes, dyslipidemia, or hypertension in premenopausal BC survivors. Postmenopausal AI users had higher hazard rates of developing diabetes (HR 1.37, 95% CI 1.05-1.80), dyslipidemia (HR 1.58, 95% CI 1.29-1.92), and hypertension (HR 1.50, 95% CI 1.24-1.82) compared with non-endocrine therapy users.

CONCLUSION

Hormone receptor-positive BC survivors treated with AIs may have higher rates of developing diabetes, dyslipidemia, and hypertension over an average 7.8 years post-diagnosis.

Development of cardiometabolic risk factors following endocrine therapy in women with breast cancer

PURPOSE

Studies comparing the effect of aromatase inhibitor (AI) and tamoxifen use on cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors in hormone-receptor positive breast cancer (BC) survivors report conflicting results. We examined associations of endocrine therapy use with incident diabetes, dyslipidemia, and hypertension.

METHODS

The Pathways Heart Study examines cancer treatment exposures with CVD-related outcomes in Kaiser Permanente Northern California members with BC. Electronic health records provided sociodemographic and health characteristics, BC treatment, and CVD risk factor data. Hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) of incident diabetes, dyslipidemia, and hypertension in hormone-receptor positive BC survivors using AIs or tamoxifen compared with survivors not using endocrine therapy were estimated using Cox proportional hazards regression models adjusted for known confounders.

RESULTS

In 8,985 BC survivors, mean baseline age and follow-up time was 63.3 and 7.8 years, respectively; 83.6% were postmenopausal. By treatment, 77.0% used AIs, 19.6% used tamoxifen, and 16.0% used neither. Postmenopausal women who used tamoxifen had an increased rate (HR: 1.43, 95% CI: 1.06-1.92) of developing hypertension relative to those who did not use endocrine therapy. Tamoxifen use was not associated with incident diabetes, dyslipidemia, or hypertension in premenopausal BC survivors. Postmenopausal AI users had higher hazard rates of developing diabetes (HR: 1.37, 95% CI: 1.05-1.80), dyslipidemia (HR: 1.58, 95% CI: 1.29-1.92) and hypertension (HR: 1.50, 95% CI: 1.24-1.82) compared with non-endocrine therapy users.

CONCLUSION

Hormone-receptor positive BC survivors treated with AIs may have higher rates of developing diabetes, dyslipidemia, and hypertension over an average 7.8 years post-diagnosis.

Incidence, Predictors, and Outcomes of Major Bleeding Among Patients Hospitalized With Acute Heart Failure

Acute heart failure (AHF) is a common etiology of hospitalization and is associated with morbidity, including bleeding. In this study, the authors sought to assess the incidence, types, and associates of major bleeding in patients hospitalized with AHF. The National Inpatient Sample from October 2015 to December 2018 was used to identify patients with AHF. The incidence of common bleeding etiologies, and patient demographics, co-morbidities, associated acute cardiac diagnoses, and invasive procedures, were identified. The multivariable logistic regression was used to identify predictors of bleeding and the association of bleeding episodes with inpatient mortality. During the study period, 1,106,634 patients were admitted with a primary diagnosis of AHF, of whom 58,955 (5.3%) had an episode of bleeding. Common bleeding sources were gastrointestinal (25.7%), hematuria (24%), respiratory (23.6%), and procedure-related bleeding (2.5%). Major bleeding was more common in patients with AHF with preserved ejection fraction (odds ratio 1.14, confidence interval 1.12 to 1.16, p <0.001) versus AHF with reduced ejection fraction and in men (odds ratio 1.3, confidence interval 1.29 to 1.31, p <0.001). Major bleeding was associated with higher mortality (7.0% vs 2.4%, p <0.001), longer length of stay (7 vs 4 days, p <0.001), and higher inpatient costs ($49,658 vs $27,636, p <0.001). In conclusion, major bleeding occurs in 5.3% of patients hospitalized with AHF and is associated with higher inpatient mortality and costs and longer length of stay.

Abstract P453: Apolipoprotein B, Low-Density Lipoprotein Particle Number, Non-High-Denisity Lipoprotein Cholesterol, Low-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol, and Total Cholesterol for Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Risk Prediction in Young Adults

Introduction: Measures of atherogenic particle number (apoB and LDL particle number [LDL-P]) are stronger predictors of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk than measures of cholesterol concentration (LDL-C, non-HDL-C, total cholesterol [TC]) in middle-aged adults. It is unclear if this is true for younger adults.

Methods: Among CARDIA participants (ppts), NMR was used to measure apoB and LDL-P. Non-HDL-C and TC were measured using standard assays; LDL-C was calculated using the Friedewald equation. We stratified the ppts into two age windows: age 20-30y (n=1645) and age 30-40y (n=2922). We used adjusted Cox proportional hazards models to assess the associations of 1SD higher apoB, LDL-P, non-HDL-C, LDL-C, or TC with incident ASCVD events. We substituted each measure of atherogenic lipid burden for TC in a modified Pooled Cohort Equation (PCE) model (with and without HDL-C); and model performance (discrimination and reclassification) was evaluated.

Results: There were 81 and 163 ASCVD events over (median [IQR]) 31.8y (31.1-32.0y) for the age 20-30 age window and over 26.8y (19.1-27.1y) for the 30-40y age window, respectively. In ppts age 20-30y, a 1SD higher apoB, LDL-P, non-HDL-C, and LDL-C were significantly associated with incident ASCVD in demographic adjusted models. The strengths of associations with ASCVD were not significantly different across these measures. For the 30-40y age window, all measures of atherogenic lipoproteins were significantly associated with ASCVD; the strengths of association were not significantly different across atherogenic lipid measures in all models. There were no significant differences in the C-statistic and no improvement in reclassification when each measure was used to replace TC in the PCE model.

Conclusions: ApoB, LDL-P, LDL-C or non-HDL-C may be slightly better markers of long-term ASCVD risk than TC in adults < 30y. However, in adults between 30-40y all measures of atherogenic lipid burden appeared to be equivalent predictors of long-term risk.

Abstract MP32: Body Weight Variability in Young Adulthood and Echocardiographic Precursors of Heart Failure in Later Life: The Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults (CARDIA) Study

Background: The association between variability in body mass index (BMI) in early adulthood and cardiac structure and function in midlife has not been previously examined.

Methods: We examined 2371 Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults (CARDIA) participants who had BMI assessments across 25-years (CARDIA exam year 0 [1985-1986], 2 [1987-1989], 5 [1990-1991], 7 [1992-1993], 10 [1995-1996], 15 [2000-2001], 20 [2005-2006], and 25 [2010-2011]) as well as echocardiography data at the year-25 exam (2010-2011). BMI variability was assessed by standard deviation (SD) across 25 years. Adjusted multivariable linear regression models were used to assess the association between echocardiography variables (dependent variable) and SD of BMI (independent variable). Model 1 was adjusted for standard cardiac risk factors (age, sex, race, education, blood pressure, anti-hypertension medication use, smoking, fasting plasma glucose, alcohol consumption, physical activity, HDL and total cholesterol. Model 2 was additionally adjusted for mean BMI.

Results: Among participants included in the analysis, mean [SD] age at the year 25 exam [2010-2011] was 50.4 [3.6] years; 44.5% were men; and 41.3% were black). In model 1, greater SD of BMI was associated with greater left ventricular mass (β 5.18g, p<0.001), left ventricular global longitudinal strain 0.08, p=0.01, and left atrial volume (β 1.60ml, p<0.001). Additional adjustment for mean BMI, attenuated associations (p>.05 for all). Greater SD of BMI was associated with worse diastolic function (E/é) (β 0.11, p<0.001). Observed association between BMI variability and E/é persisted even after accounting for mean BMI (β 0.08, p=0.01).

Conclusions: Greater body weight variability in young adulthood was associated with modest unfavorable midlife alterations in diastolic function.

Abstract MP67: The Relationship of Cardiorespiratory Fitness, Physical Activity, and Coronary Artery Calcification to Incident Cardiovascular Disease Events in Cardia Participants

Introduction: Coronary artery calcification (CAC) score, physical activity (PA), and cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF) are all associated with cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk. While a U-shaped relationship between PA and CRF with CAC has been reported, CAC presence among highly fit individuals was suggested to be benign.

Objective: To determine interactive associations of PA/CRF and CAC with outcomes in a cohort of middle-aged adults and to evaluate the relationship of PA/CRF with CAC incidence.

Methods: CARDIA participants with CT-assessed CAC at year 20 (2005-06) were included (n=3141, mean age 45y, 57% female, 45% Black). Moderate to vigorous intensity PA (MVPA) was assessed by self-report and accelerometer. CRF was estimated with a treadmill test. Incident CVD events were adjudicated, and mortality data were obtained through 2019. CAC was reassessed at year 25 (2010-11). Cox models assessed hazard ratios (HRs) for CVD and mortality in groups defined by CAC and MVPA/CRF. Logistic models assessed associations with CAC incidence.

Results: At baseline, more favorable CVD risk was found among participants with higher MVPA, higher CRF (> median sex-specific duration), and absence of CAC. During a mean follow-up of 13 years, 166 CVD events and 171 deaths occurred. After multivariable adjustment, compared with no CAC and higher CRF (ref), the HRs (95% CIs) for CVD were 5.04 (2.49-10.20) for CAC and higher CRF, 2.26 (1.24-4.12) for no CAC and lower CRF, and 4.27 (2.24-8.14) for CAC and lower CRF (Figure, left panel). The respective HRs for mortality were 1.12 (0.45-2.77), 1.54 (0.91-2.60), and 3.23 (1.82-5.72) (Figure, right panel). Similar findings were observed with self-reported or accelerometer MVPA replacing CRF. Higher CRF and accelerometer MVPA were dose-responsively associated with a lower probability of developing CAC in a 5-year follow-up (P < .01).

Conclusions: PA and CRF were inversely associated with CAC incidence in middle-aged adults. CAC presence eliminated the cardiovascular risk advantage of high PA or high CRF.

Abstract P678: On the Relationship of Breast Arterial Calcification With Coronary Artery Calcification: A Pilot Study

Breast arterial calcification (BAC) detected in mammograms is an emerging risk-enhancing factor for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). The predictive value of coronary artery calcification (CAC) for risk of ASCVD above and beyond traditional risk factors is well-established in women. However, there are few studies that have simultaneously evaluated BAC and CAC. The Multiethnic study of breast arterial calcium gradation and cardiovascular disease (MINERVA) cohort, a large, racially and ethnically diverse cohort of postmenopausal women aged 60-69 (n=5,059) was recruited in 2012-15 at Kaiser Permanente of Northern California (KPNC). BAC was assessed using a densitometry method, and presence of BAC was defined as a calcium mass score>0 mg. Searching the electronic health record up to 5 years after baseline, we identified 33 women (39% non-white) who underwent cardiac computed tomography (CT) because of medical indication. BAC was present in 33% (11/33) whereas CAC (Agastston score >0) was present in 61% (20/33). Nine (27%) were BAC and CAC -; 7 (21%) were BAC and CAC+; 4 (12%) were BAC+ and CAC -; and 13 (39%) were BAC - and CAC+. The correlation between log (BAC+1) and log (CAC+1) was 0.45 (p=0.02) in the entire sample (n=33) and was 0.68 (p=0.09) in the 7 women who were BAC and CAC+. The concordance, sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV for BAC considering CAC as the gold standard were 0.48, 0.35, 0.69, 0.63 and 0.41, respectively. The unadjusted odds ratio for log (CAC+1)>0 as a function of Log (BAC+1) was 1.21 (95% CI, 0.27-5.38; p=0.80). Although our sample was small, the findings reflect real-world evidence and suggest that BAC and CAC are not entirely overlapping and thus may convey independent predictive information for ASCVD.

Performance of the pooled cohort equation in South Asians: insights from a large integrated healthcare delivery system

South Asian ethnicity is associated with increased atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk and has been identified as a "risk enhancer" in the 2018 American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Guidelines. Risk estimation and statin eligibility in South Asians is not well understood; we studied the accuracy of 10-years ASCVD risk prediction by the pooled cohort equation (PCE), based on statin use, in a South Asian cohort. This is a retrospective cohort study of Kaiser Permanente Northern California South Asian members without existing ASCVD, age range 30-70, and 10-years follow up. ASCVD events were defined as myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, and cardiovascular death. The cohort was stratified by statin use during the study period: never; at baseline and during follow-up; and only during follow-up. Predicted probability of ASCVD, using the PCE was calculated and compared to observed ASCVD events for low < 5.0%, borderline 5.0 to < 7.5%, intermediate 7.5 to < 20.0%, and high ≥ 20.0% risk groups. A total of 1835 South Asian members were included: 773 never on statin, 374 on statins at baseline and follow-up, and 688 on statins during follow-up only. ASCVD risk was underestimated by the PCE in low-risk groups: entire cohort: 1.8 versus 4.9%, p < 0.0001; on statin at baseline and follow-up: 2.58 versus 8.43%, p < 0.0001; on statin during follow-up only: 2.18 versus 7.77%, p < 0.0001; and never on statin: 1.37 versus 2.09%, p = 0.12. In this South Asian cohort, the PCE underestimated risk in South Asians, regardless of statin use, in the low risk ASCVD risk category.

Impact of cancer diagnosis on distribution and trends of cardiovascular hospitalizations in the USA between 2004 and 2017

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

There is limited data on temporal trends of cardiovascular hospitalizations and outcomes amongst cancer patients. We describe the distribution, trends of admissions, and in-hospital mortality associated with key cardiovascular diseases among cancer patients in the USA between 2004 and 2017.

METHODS

Using the Nationwide Inpatient Sample we, identified admissions with five cardiovascular diseases of interest: acute myocardial infarction (AMI), pulmonary embolism (PE), ischaemic stroke, heart failure, atrial fibrillation (AF) or atrial flutter, and intracranial haemorrhage. Patients were stratified by cancer status and type. We estimated crude annual rates of hospitalizations and annual in-hospital all-cause mortality rates.

RESULTS

From >42.5 million hospitalizations with a primary cardiovascular diagnosis, 1.9 million (4.5%) had a concurrent record of cancer. Between 2004 and 2017, cardiovascular admission rates increased by 23.2% in patients with cancer, whilst decreasing by 10.9% in patients without cancer. The admission rate increased among cancer patients across all admission causes and cancer types except prostate cancer. Patients with haematological (9.7-13.5), lung (7.4-8.9), and GI cancer (4.6-6.3) had the highest crude rates of cardiovascular hospitalizations per 100 000 US population. Heart failure was the most common reason for cardiovascular admission in patients across all cancer types, except GI cancer (crude admission rates of 13.6-16.6 per 100 000 US population for patients with cancer).

CONCLUSIONS

In contrast to declining trends in patients without cancer, primary cardiovascular admissions in patients with cancer is increasing. The highest admission rates are in patients with haematological cancer, and the most common cause of admission is heart failure.

Prevalence of prediabetes and diabetes vary by ethnicity among U.S. Asian adults at healthy weight, overweight, and obesity ranges: an electronic health record study

BACKGROUND

Asian adults develop Type 2 diabetes at a lower body mass index (BMI) compared to other racial/ethnic groups. We examined the variation in prevalence of prediabetes and diabetes among Asian ethnic groups within weight strata by comparing middle-aged Chinese, Filipino, South Asian, and White adults receiving care in the same integrated healthcare delivery system.

METHODS

Our retrospective cross-sectional U.S. study examined data from 283,110 (non-Hispanic) White, 33,263 Chinese, 38,766 Filipino, and 17,959 South Asian adults aged 45-64 years who were members of a Northern California health plan in 2016 and had measured height and weight. Prediabetes and diabetes were classified based on laboratory data, clinical diagnoses, or diabetes pharmacotherapy. Age-standardized prevalence of prediabetes and diabetes were compared by race/ethnicity within healthy weight, overweight, and obesity categories, using standard BMI thresholds for White adults (18.5 to < 25, 25 to < 30, ≥ 30 kg/m2) and lower BMI thresholds for Asian adults (18.5 to < 23, 23 to < 27.5, ≥ 27.5 kg/m2). Prevalence ratios (PRs) were used to compare the prevalence of diabetes and prediabetes for Asian groups to White adults in each weight category, adjusted for age and BMI.

RESULTS

Across all weight categories, diabetes prevalence was higher for Asian than White adults, and among Asian groups it was highest for Filipino and South Asian adults. Compared to White, PRs for South Asian men/women at healthy BMI were 1.8/2.8 for prediabetes and 5.9/8.0 for diabetes, respectively. The PRs for Filipino men/women at healthy BMI were 1.8/2.6 for prediabetes and 5.0/7.5 for diabetes, respectively. For Chinese men/women at healthy BMI, the PRs for prediabetes (2.1/2.9) were similar to Filipino and South Asian, but the PRs for diabetes were lower (2.1/3.4).

CONCLUSION

Chinese, Filipino, and South Asian adults have higher prevalence of prediabetes and diabetes than White adults in all weight categories, despite using lower BMI thresholds for weight classification in Asian groups. Within Asian ethnic groups, Filipino and South Asian adults had considerably higher diabetes prevalence than Chinese adults. Our data emphasize the disproportionate metabolic risk among middle-aged Asian adults and underscore the need for diabetes screening among high-risk Asian groups at healthy BMI levels.

Barriers and Opportunities Regarding Implementation of a Machine Learning-Based Acute Heart Failure Risk Stratification Tool in the Emergency Department

Hospital admissions for patients with acute heart failure (AHF) remain high. There is an opportunity to improve alignment between patient risk and admission decision. We recently developed a machine learning (ML)-based model that stratifies emergency department (ED) patients with AHF based on predicted risk of a 30-day severe adverse event. Prior to deploying the algorithm and paired clinical decision support, we sought to understand barriers and opportunities regarding successful implementation. We conducted semi-structured interviews with eight front-line ED providers and surveyed 67 ED providers. Audio-recorded interviews were transcribed and analyzed using thematic analysis, and we had a 65% response rate to the survey. Providers wanted decision support to be streamlined into workflows with minimal disruptions. Most providers wanted assistance primarily with ED disposition decisions, and secondarily with medical management and post-discharge follow-up care. Receiving feedback on patient outcomes after risk tool use was seen as an opportunity to increase acceptance, and few providers (<10%) had significant hesitations with using an ML-based tool after education on its use. Engagement with key front-line users on optimal design of the algorithm and decision support may contribute to broader uptake, acceptance, and adoption of recommendations for clinical decisions.

Physical activity from young adulthood to middle age and premature cardiovascular disease events: a 30-year population-based cohort study

Background

Although physical activity is generally protective of cardiovascular disease (CVD), less is known about how young adult physical activity relates to premature CVD events. The objective of this study was to determine the association between level and change in physical activity from young adulthood to middle age and incidence of premature CVD events before age 60.

Methods

We analyzed data collected across four urban sites from nine visits over 30 years of follow-up (1985–2016) from the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults (CARDIA) study, a prospective community-based cohort study of 5115 Black and White women and men aged 18–30 years at baseline (1985–1986). Linear mixed models were used to develop individualized moderate-to-vigorous intensity self-reported physical activity trajectories per participant. Fatal and nonfatal coronary heart disease (CHD), heart failure, and stroke outcomes were analyzed separately and as a combined CVD event outcome.

Results

Overall, physical activity declined in young adults as they progressed through middle age. Lower physical activity scores (per 100 exercise units) in 18 year-olds were associated with higher odds of premature CHD (AOR 1.14, 95% CI 1.02–1.28), heart failure (AOR 1.21, 95% CI 1.05–1.38), stroke (AOR 1.20, 95% CI 1.04–1.39), and any CVD (AOR 1.15, 95% CI 1.06–1.24) events. Each additional annual 1-unit reduction in the physical activity score was associated with a higher annual odds of incident heart failure (1.07, 95% CI 1.02–1.13), stroke (1.06, 95% CI 1.00–1.13), and CVD (1.04, 95% CI 1.01–1.07) events. Meeting the minimum (AOR 0.74, 95% CI 0.0.57–0.96) and twice the minimum (AOR 0.55, 95% CI 0.34–0.91) Department of Health and Human Services physical activity guidelines through follow up was protective of premature CVD events.

Conclusions

Given recent trends in declining physical activity with age and associated premature CVD events, the transition from young adult to midlife is an important time period to promote physical activity.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12966-022-01357-2.

Coronary Artery Calcium Score to Refine the Use of PCSK9i in Asymptomatic Individuals: A Multicohort Study

Background

The value of coronary artery calcium (CAC) in the allocation of PCSK9i (proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 inhibitors) among individuals without clinically evident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) is unknown for indications that do not require confirmed familial hypercholesterolemia. We aimed to assess the ability of CAC to stratify ASCVD risk under 3 non–familial hypercholesterolemia PCSK9i allocation paradigms.

Methods and Results

We included participants without clinically evident ASCVD from MESA (Multi‐Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis), CARDIA (Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults) study, DHS (Dallas Heart Study), and HNR (Heinz Nixdorf Recall) study. Three PCSK9i eligibility scenarios were defined: a broad scenario informed only by high low‐density lipoprotein cholesterol levels (N=567), a restrictive one combining higher low‐density lipoprotein cholesterol levels and presence of ≥2 additional risk factors (N=127), and a high‐risk scenario where individuals with subclinical organ damage or high estimated risk would be treated to achieve low‐density lipoprotein cholesterol <55 mg/dL (N=471). The high‐risk scenario had the highest ASCVD event rates (27.8% at 10 years). CAC=0 was observed in 35% participants in the broad scenario, 25% in the restrictive scenario, and 16% in the high‐risk scenario. In all, CAC=0 was associated with the lowest incident ASCVD rates at 5 and 10 years, and CAC burden was independently associated with ASCVD events adjusting for traditional risk factors.

Conclusions

CAC may be used to refine the allocation of PCSK9i, potentially leading to a more conservative use if CAC=0. The value of CAC testing is greater in scenarios that use low‐density lipoprotein cholesterol levels and/or traditional risk factors to define PCSK9i eligibility (CAC=0 present in 1 of 3–4 patients), whereas its prevalence is lower when allocation is informed by presence of noncoronary subclinical organ damage.

Association Between Social Vulnerability Index and Cardiovascular Disease: A Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System Study

Background

Social and environmental factors play an important role in the rising health care burden of cardiovascular disease. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention developed the Social Vulnerability Index (SVI) from US census data as a tool for public health officials to identify communities in need of support in the setting of a hazardous event. SVI (ranging from a least vulnerable score of 0 to a most vulnerable score of 1) ranks communities on 15 social factors including unemployment, minoritized groups status, and disability, and groups them under 4 broad themes: socioeconomic status, housing and transportation, minoritized groups, and household composition. We sought to assess the association of SVI with self‐reported prevalent cardiovascular comorbidities and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD).

Methods and Results

We performed a retrospective cohort analysis of adults (≥18 years) in the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System 2016 to 2019. Data regarding self‐reported prevalent cardiovascular comorbidities (including diabetes, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, smoking, substance use), and ASCVD was captured using participants' response to a structured telephonic interview. We divided states on the basis of the tertile of SVI (first—participant lives in the least vulnerable group of states, 0–0.32; to third—participant lives in the most vulnerable group of states, 0.54–1.0). Multivariable logistic regression models adjusting for age, race and ethnicity, sex, employment, income, health care coverage, and association with federal poverty line were constructed to assess the association of SVI with cardiovascular comorbidities. Our study sample consisted of 1 745 999 participants ≥18 years of age. States in the highest (third) tertile of social vulnerability had predominantly Black and Hispanic adults, lower levels of education, lower income, higher rates of unemployment, and higher rates of prevalent comorbidities including hypertension, diabetes, chronic kidney disease, hyperlipidemia, substance use, and ASCVD. In multivariable logistic regression models, individuals living in states in the third tertile of SVI had higher odds of having hypertension (odds ratio (OR), 1.14 [95% CI, 1.11–1.17]), diabetes (OR, 1.12 [95% CI, 1.09–1.15]), hyperlipidemia (OR, 1.09 [95% CI, 1.06–1.12]), chronic kidney disease (OR, 1.17 [95% CI, 1.12–1.23]), smoking (OR, 1.05 [95% CI, 1.03–1.07]), and ASCVD (OR, 1.15 [95% CI, 1.12–1.19]), compared with those living in the first tertile of SVI.

Conclusions

SVI varies across the US states and is associated with prevalent cardiovascular comorbidities and ASCVD, independent of age, race and ethnicity, sex, employment, income, and health care coverage. SVI may be a useful assessment tool for health policy makers and health systems researchers examining multilevel influences on cardiovascular‐related health behaviors and identifying communities for targeted interventions pertaining to social determinants of health.

Moderate-to-vigorous intensity physical activity from young adulthood to middle age and metabolic disease: a 30-year population-based cohort study

OBJECTIVES

To determine the association between moderate-to-vigorous intensity physical activity (MVPA) trajectories (course over age and time) through the adult life course and onset of metabolic disease (diabetes and dyslipidaemia).

METHODS

We analysed prospective community-based cohort data of 5115 participants in the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults study, who were black and white men and women aged 18-30 years at baseline (1985-1986) at four urban sites, collected through 30 years of follow-up. Individualised MVPA trajectories were developed for each participant using linear mixed models.

RESULTS

Lower estimated MVPA score at age 18 was associated with a 12% (95% CI 6% to 18%) higher odds of incident diabetes, a 4% (95% CI 1% to 7%) higher odds of incident low high-density lipoprotein (HDL) and a 6% (95% CI 2% to 11%) higher odds of incident high triglycerides. Each additional annual 1-unit reduction in the MVPA score was associated with a 6% (95% CI 4% to 9%) higher annual odds of diabetes incidence and a 4% (95% CI 2% to 6%) higher annual odds of high triglyceride incidence. Analysing various MVPA trajectory groups, participants who were in the most active group at age 18 (over 300 min/week), but with sharp declines in midlife, had higher odds of high low-density lipoprotein and low HDL incidence, compared with those in the most active group at age 18 with subsequent gains.

CONCLUSION

Given recent trends in declining MVPA across the life course and associated metabolic disease risk, young adulthood is an important time period for interventions to increase and begin the maintenance of MVPA.

Associations of Clinical and Social Risk Factors With Racial Differences in Premature Cardiovascular Disease

BACKGROUND

Racial differences in cardiovascular disease (CVD) are likely related to differences in clinical and social factors. The relative contributions of these factors to Black-White differences in premature CVD have not been investigated.

METHODS

In Black and White adults aged 18 to 30 years at baseline in the CARDIA study (Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults), the associations of clinical, lifestyle, depression, socioeconomic, and neighborhood factors across young adulthood with racial differences in incident premature CVD were evaluated in sex-stratified, multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards models using multiply imputed data assuming missing at random. Percent reduction in the β estimate (log-hazard ratio [HR]) for race quantified the contribution of each factor group to racial differences in incident CVD.

RESULTS

Among 2785 Black and 2327 White participants followed for a median 33.9 years (25th-75th percentile, 33.7-34.0), Black (versus White) adults had a higher risk of incident premature CVD (Black women: HR, 2.44 [95% CI, 1.71-3.49], Black men: HR, 1.59 [1.20-2.10] adjusted for age and center). Racial differences were not statistically significant after full adjustment (Black women: HR, 0.91 [0.55-1.52], Black men: HR 1.02 [0.70-1.49]). In women, the largest magnitude percent reduction in the β estimate for race occurred with adjustment for clinical (87%), neighborhood (32%), and socioeconomic (23%) factors. In men, the largest magnitude percent reduction in the β estimate for race occurred with an adjustment for clinical (64%), socioeconomic (50%), and lifestyle (34%) factors.

CONCLUSIONS

In CARDIA, the significantly higher risk for premature CVD in Black versus White adults was statistically explained by adjustment for antecedent multilevel factors. The largest contributions to racial differences were from clinical and neighborhood factors in women, and clinical and socioeconomic factors in men.

The Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults (CARDIA) Study

BACKGROUND

Resting heart rate can predict cardiovascular disease. Heart rate increases with tobacco smoking, but its association with cannabis use is unclear. We studied the association between current and cumulative cannabis use and heart rate.

METHODS

We used data from the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults (CARDIA) Study, a large prospective cohort of 5115 Black and white women and men followed over 30 years. We explored the association between cannabis exposure and heart rate, adjusted for demographic factors, cardiovascular risk factors, alcohol and other illicit drug use, physical activity, and beta-blockers, in mixed longitudinal models censoring participants with cardiovascular disease.

RESULTS

CARDIA participants contributed to 35,654 individual examinations over 30 years. At the Year 30 examination, 471 out of 3269 (14%) currently used cannabis. In multivariable adjusted models, compared to no current use, using cannabis 5 times per month was associated with lower heart rate of -0.7 beats per minute (95% confidence interval: -1.0 to -0.3), and daily use with lower heart rate of -2.1 beats per minute (95% confidence interval: -3.0 to -1.3, overall P < .001). Cumulative exposure to cannabis use was not associated with heart rate.

CONCLUSION

Recent current cannabis use was associated with lower resting heart rate. The findings appeared to be transient because past cumulative exposure to cannabis was not associated with heart rate. This adds to the growing body of evidence suggesting a lack of deleterious association of cannabis use at a level typical of the general population on surrogate outcomes of cardiovascular disease.

Impact of Asleep and 24-Hour Blood Pressure Data on the Prevalence of Masked Hypertension by Race/Ethnicity

BACKGROUND

We pooled ambulatory blood pressure monitoring data from 5 US studies, including the Jackson Heart Study (JHS), the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults (CARDIA) study, the Masked Hypertension Study, the Improving the Detection of Hypertension Study, and the North Carolina Masked Hypertension Study. Using a cross-sectional study design, we estimated differences in the prevalence of masked hypertension by race/ethnicity when out-of-office blood pressure (BP) included awake, asleep, and 24-hour BP vs. awake BP alone.

METHODS

We restricted the analyses to participants with office systolic BP (SBP) <130 mm Hg and diastolic BP (DBP) <80 mm Hg. High awake BP was defined as mean SBP/DBP ≥130/80 mm Hg, high asleep BP as mean SBP/DBP ≥110/65 mm Hg, and high 24-hour BP as mean SBP/DBP ≥125/75 mm Hg.

RESULTS

Among participants not taking antihypertensive medication (n = 1,292), the prevalence of masked hypertension with out-of-office BP defined by awake BP alone or by awake, asleep, or 24-hour BP was 34.5% and 48.7%, respectively, among non-Hispanic White, 39.7% and 67.6% among non-Hispanic Black, and 19.4% and 35.1% among Hispanic participants. After multivariable adjustment, non-Hispanic Black were more likely than non-Hispanic White participants to have masked hypertension by asleep or 24-hour BP but not awake BP (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 2.14 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.45-3.15) and by asleep or 24-hour BP and awake BP (OR 1.61; 95% CI 1.12-2.32) vs. not having masked hypertension.

CONCLUSIONS

Assessing asleep and 24-hour BP measures increases the prevalence of masked hypertension more among non-Hispanic Black vs. non-Hispanic White individuals.

Abstract 5303: Cardiovascular disease risk associated with breast cancer chemotherapy drugs: The Pathways Heart Study

Purpose: Chemotherapy drugs to treat breast cancer (BC) are cardiotoxic, but few studies have examined the effects of specific chemotherapy combinations on cardiovascular disease (CVD). We examined the additive effects of combinations of BC chemotherapy drugs associated with incident CVD events among women with a history of BC compared to those without.

Methods: The Pathways Heart Study is a cohort study within Kaiser Permanente Northern California (KPNC) examining incident CVD events and risk factors in women with BC. Eligibility criteria included invasive BC diagnosis from 11/2005 to 3/2013, age&ge;21 years, and KPNC membership&ge;12 months at BC diagnosis. Controls without BC were matched 5:1 on birth year and race/ethnicity. KPNC electronic health records were used to collect demographic, clinical, and treatment characteristics. Chemotherapy drugs identified from clinical data included anthracyclines, cyclophosphamides, taxanes, and trastuzumab. Mutually exclusive groups were created according to the types of chemotherapy drugs received. Outcomes identified from ICD9/10 diagnosis codes included incident ischemic heart disease, heart failure (HF)/cardiomyopathy and stroke. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) of the CVD outcome by chemotherapy drug combinations received relative to matched controls.

Results: A total of 6,761 women with BC who received chemotherapy were identified and were matched to 33,801 controls. On average, women were 55.2 years old (standard deviation (SD)=10.9) and were followed for 7.1 years (SD=3.6). Four groups of women with distinct chemotherapy combinations were identified: anthracyclines + cyclophosphamide (AC, 10.5%), AC + taxanes (39.0%), AC + taxanes + trastuzumab (8.8%), and cyclophosphamide + taxanes (20.7%). Women who received AC had a 2.00 (95% CI: 1.27-3.14) increased risk of incident HF/cardiomyopathy relative to matched controls without BC. When taxanes were added to this combination, risk was similar (HR=1.88; 95% CI: 1.44-2.47). However, when trastuzumab was further added, risk of HF/cardiomyopathy increased more than 1.5-fold (HR=3.18; 95% CI: 1.91-5.30). The combined receipt of cyclophosphamide and taxanes was associated with a 1.42 (95% CI: 1.05-1.92) increased risk of developing stroke, but including anthracyclines with this combination inversed the association for stroke (HR: 0.73, 95% CI: 0.54- 0.99). No combinations examined were associated with incidence of ischemic heart disease.

Conclusion: Findings suggest specific chemotherapy drug combinations may differentially affect the risk of incident HF/cardiomyopathy and stroke in BC survivors. Future work will examine dosage and duration of chemotherapy exposure, comparisons of the groups’ characteristics to account for possible confounding by indication, and competing risk analysis.

Citation Format: Hanjie Shen, Eileen Rillamas-Sun, Carlos Iribarren, Richard Cheng, Jamal S. Rana, Mai Nguyen-Huynh, Cecile A. Laurent, Valerie S. Lee, Janise M. Roh, Dawn L. Hershman, Lawrence H. Kushi, Marilyn L. Kwan, Heather Greenlee. Cardiovascular disease risk associated with breast cancer chemotherapy drugs: The Pathways Heart Study [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2022; 2022 Apr 8-13. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2022;82(12_Suppl):Abstract nr 5303.

Real-world management and outcomes of 7 million patients with acute coronary syndrome according to clinical research trial enrolment status: a propensity matched analysis

AIMS

We aimed to determine whether clinical outcomes and invasive care of acute coronary syndrome (ACS) patients participating in trials differed from those of non-participants, particularly including those who were trial eligible.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We included all hospitalizations with a principal diagnosis of ACS in the US National Inpatient Sample between January 2004 and September 2015, stratified by trial enrolment and eligibility using the International Classification of Diseases, ninth revision. We conducted propensity score matching to investigate the following outcomes: all-cause mortality; major bleeding; stroke; composite of mortality, stroke, and cardiac complications [major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCEs)]; coronary angiography (CA); and percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). A total of 7 091 179 weighted ACS hospitalizations were analysed, including 19 684 (0.3%) trial participants and 7 071 495 non-participants (3 485 514 of whom were trial eligible). Trial participants were more likely to receive CA [Δ% 28.73%, 95% confidence interval (CI) 27.22-30.24, P < 0.001] and PCI (Δ% 27.13%, 95% CI 24.86-29.41, P < 0.001), with decreased mortality (Δ% -3.51%, 95% CI -4.72 to -2.31, P < 0.001), MACCEs (Δ% -3.04%, 95% CI -4.55 to -1.53, P < 0.001), and bleeding (Δ% -0.89%, 95% CI -1.59 to -0.19, P = 0.013) compared with non-participants. After accounting for eligibility, trial participants were more likely to undergo CA (Δ% 22.78%, 95% CI 21.58-23.99, P < 0.001) and PCI (Δ% 23.95%, 95% CI 21.77-26.13, P < 0.001), and had no difference in mortality (Δ% -0.21%, 95% CI -0.65 to 0.24, P = 0.362).

CONCLUSION

Among ACS patients, trial enrolment was associated with significantly greater invasive care and lower mortality than among matched non-participants. Trial participants were more likely to be invasively managed even when compared with eligible non-participants, even though there was no difference in mortality.

Risk adjusted 30‐day mortality and serious adverse event rates among a large, multi‐center cohort of emergency department patients with acute heart failure

Background

Admission rates for emergency department (ED) patients with acute heart failure (AHF) remain elevated. Use of a risk stratification tool could improve disposition decision making by identifying low‐risk patients who may be safe for outpatient management.

Methods

We performed a secondary analysis of a retrospective, multi‐center cohort of 26,189 ED patients treated for AHF from January 1, 2017 to December 31, 2018. We applied a 30‐day risk model we previously developed and grouped patients into 4 categories (low, low/moderate, moderate, and high) of predicted 30‐day risk of a serious adverse event (SAE). SAE consisted of death or cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR), intra‐aorta balloon pump, endotracheal intubation, renal failure requiring dialysis, or acute coronary syndrome. We measured the 30‐day mortality and composite SAE rates among patients by risk category according to ED disposition: direct discharge, discharge after observation, and hospital admission.

Results

The observed 30‐day mortality and total SAE rates were less than 1% and 2%, respectively, among 25% of patients in the low and low/moderate risk groups. These rates did not vary significantly by ED disposition. An additional 23% of patients were moderate risk and experienced an approximate 2% 30‐day mortality rate.

Conclusion

Use of a risk stratification tool could help identify lower risk AHF patients who may be appropriate for ED discharge. These findings will help inform prospective testing to determine how this risk tool can augment ED decision making.

Risk of heart failure with preserved versus reduced ejection fraction in women with breast cancer

PURPOSE

While clinical heart failure (HF) is recognized as an adverse effect from breast cancer (BC) treatment, sparse data exist on specific HF phenotypes in affected BC survivors. We examined risk of HF by left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) status in women with a history of BC.

METHODS

14,804 women diagnosed with all stages of invasive BC from 2005 to 2013 and with no history of HF were matched 1:5 to 74,034 women without BC on birth year, race, and ethnicity. LVEF values were extracted from echocardiography studies within 30 days before through 90 days after the HF clinical encounter. HF was stratified into HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF, LVEF ≥ 45%) and HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF, LVEF < 45%). Cumulative incidence rates (CIRs) were estimated with competing risk of overall death. Hazard ratios (HR) were calculated by multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression.

RESULTS

Mean time to HF diagnosis was 5.31 years (range 0.03-13.03) in cases and 5.25 years (range 0.01-12.94) in controls. 10-year CIRs were 1.2% and 0.9% for overall HF, 0.8% and 0.7% for HFpEF, and 0.4% and 0.2% for HFrEF in cases and controls, respectively. In fully adjusted models, an overall significant increased risk of HF in cases versus controls was observed (HR: 1.31, 95% CI 1.14, 1.51). The increased risk was seen for both HFrEF (HR: 1.59, 95% CI 1.22, 2.08) and HFpEF (HR: 1.22; 95% CI 1.03, 1.45).

CONCLUSION

BC survivors experienced higher risk of HF compared with women without BC, and the risk persisted across LVEF phenotypes. Systematic cardio-oncology surveillance should be considered to mitigate this risk in BC patients.

Highlights of Cardiovascular Disease Prevention Studies Presented at the 2022 American College of Cardiology Scientific Sessions

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Focused review highlighting select studies presented at the 2022 American College of Cardiology (ACC) Scientific Sessions.

RECENT FINDINGS

Included studies assessed the impact of a low-sodium diet on heart failure outcomes (SODIUM-HF); outcomes of pregnant patients with chronic hypertension treated with antihypertensive therapies (CHAP); cardiovascular outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes and renal impairment treated with sotagliflozin (SCORED); a safety and efficacy study investigating SLN360, a short interfering RNA targeting lipoprotein(a) (APOLLO); a supermarket and web-based intervention targeting nutrition for cardiovascular risk reduction (SuperWIN); a superiority trial comparing myocardial injury following very mild perioperative hypothermia versus aggressive warming after non-cardiac surgery (PROTECT); and 3-year efficacy outcomes of renal denervation on blood pressure reduction from the SPYRAL HTN-ON MED pilot study. Research presented at the 2022 ACC Scientific Sessions underscores the new potential and meaningful impact of cardiovascular disease prevention and management interventions.

Risk of Cardiovascular Disease in Women With and Without Breast Cancer: The Pathways Heart Study

PURPOSE

To examine cardiovascular disease (CVD) and mortality risk in women with breast cancer (BC) by cancer therapy received relative to women without BC.

METHODS

The study population comprised Kaiser Permanente Northern California members. Cases with invasive BC diagnosed from 2005 to 2013 were matched 1:5 to controls without BC on birth year and race/ethnicity. Cancer treatment, CVD outcomes, and covariate data were from electronic health records. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models estimated hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs of CVD incidence and mortality by receipt of chemotherapy treatment combinations, radiation therapy, and endocrine therapy.

RESULTS

A total of 13,642 women with BC were matched to 68,202 controls without BC. Over a 7-year average follow-up (range < 1-14 years), women who received anthracyclines and/or trastuzumab had high risk of heart failure/cardiomyopathy relative to controls, with the highest risk seen in women who received both anthracyclines and trastuzumab (HR, 3.68; 95% CI, 1.79 to 7.59). High risk of heart failure and/or cardiomyopathy was also observed in women with BC with a history of radiation therapy (HR, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.13 to 1.69) and aromatase inhibitor use (HR, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.07 to 1.60), relative to their controls. Elevated risks for stroke, arrhythmia, cardiac arrest, venous thromboembolic disease, CVD-related death, and death from any cause were also observed in women with BC on the basis of cancer treatment received.

CONCLUSION

Women with BC had increased incidence of CVD events, CVD-related mortality, and all-cause mortality compared with women without BC, and risks varied according to the history of cancer treatment received. Studies are needed to determine how women who received BC treatment should be cared for to improve cardiovascular outcomes.

Association of Low-Density Lipoprotein Testing After an Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Event with Subsequent Statin Adherence and Intensification

PURPOSE

This study aimed to evaluate associations between outpatient low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) testing and subsequent statin adherence and intensification in patients after an atherosclerotic cardiovascular (ASCVD) event.

METHODS

This was a longitudinal study of adult members of Kaiser Permanente Northern California hospitalized with an ASCVD event (myocardial infarction or stroke) during January 01, 2016, to December 31, 2017, with follow-up through December 31, 2019. Outcomes were statin adherence (estimated using continuous medication gap [CMG]) and intensification (defined by an increased dose or switch to a higher-intensity statin) based on pharmacy dispensing. The exposure of interest was first outpatient LDL-C test after an ASCVD event. Baseline for follow-up was LDL-C test date or a date assigned using incidence density sampling. Multivariate logistic regression models were specified to estimate the odds ratios for statin adherence or intensification among those with vs without an LDL-C test, with adjustment for age, sex, race/ethnicity, smoking, hypertension, diabetes, body mass index, and estimated glomerular filtration rate.

RESULTS

There were 19,604 adults hospitalized with ASCVD, including 7054 adults not on high-intensity statins. The mean age was 69.5 years and 33.0% were female. Prevalence of good adherence (continuous medication gap ≤20%) was significantly higher (80.2% vs 75.9%; odds ratio 1.38; 95% confidence interval, 1.28-1.49; P <.001) among participants who had an LDL-C test compared with participants who did not. LDL-C testing was associated with significantly higher rates of treatment intensification (16.1% vs 10.7%; odds ratio 1.51; 95% confidence interval,1.29-1.76; P <0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Low-density lipoprotein cholesterol testing is recommended for patients with a history of ASCVD and may be a high-value and low-cost intervention to improve adherence and statin management.

Association of the 2020 US Presidential Election With Hospitalizations for Acute Cardiovascular Conditions

IMPORTANCE

Prior studies found a higher risk of acute cardiovascular disease (CVD) around population-wide psychosocial or environmental stressors. Less is known about acute CVD risk in relation to political events.

OBJECTIVE

To examine acute CVD hospitalizations following the 2020 presidential election.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This retrospective cohort study examined acute CVD hospitalizations following the 2020 presidential election. Participants were adult members aged 18 years or older at Kaiser Permanente Southern California and Kaiser Permanente Northern California, 2 large, integrated health care delivery systems. Statistical analysis was performed from March to July 2021.

EXPOSURE

2020 US presidential election.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Hospitalizations for acute CVD around the 2020 presidential election were examined. CVD was defined as hospitalizations for acute myocardial infarction (AMI), heart failure (HF), or stroke. Rate ratios (RR) and 95% CIs were calculated comparing rates of CVD hospitalization in the 5 days following the 2020 election with the same 5-day period 2 weeks prior.

RESULTS

Among 6 396 830 adults (3 970 077 [62.1%] aged 18 to 54 years; 3 422 479 [53.5%] female; 1 083 128 [16.9%] Asian/Pacific Islander, 2 101 367 [32.9%] Hispanic, and 2 641 897 [41.3%] White), rates of hospitalization for CVD following the election (666 hospitalizations; rate = 760.5 per 100 000 person-years [PY]) were 1.17 times higher (95% CI, 1.05-1.31) compared with the same 5-day period 2 weeks prior (569 hospitalizations; rate = 648.0 per 100 000 PY). Rates of AMI were significantly higher following the election (RR, 1.42; 95% CI, 1.13-1.79). No significant difference was found for stroke (RR, 1.02; 95% CI, 0.86-1.21) or HF (RR, 1.18; 95% CI, 0.98-1.42).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

Higher rates of acute CVD hospitalization were observed following the 2020 presidential election. Awareness of the heightened risk of CVD and strategies to mitigate risk during notable political events are needed.

Age-Adjusted Mortality Rates and Age and Risk-Associated Contributions to Change in Heart Disease and Stroke Mortality, 2011-2019 and 2019-2020

This cohort study examines the association of age and underlying disease risk with change in heart disease and stroke mortality from 2011 to 2020.

Abstract PD5-03: Development of cardiometabolic risk factors following endocrine therapy: The pathways heart study

Purpose: Endocrine therapy is associated with cardiovascular disease among breast cancer (BC) survivors, with observed opposing effects between aromatase inhibitors (AIs) and tamoxifen. AIs deplete endogenous estrogen levels, while tamoxifen has mixed estrogenic and antiestrogenic activity. Yet, observational studies comparing AI vs. tamoxifen use may be confounded by indication and few have tested their associations with cardiometabolic risk factors. Therefore, we examined the association of AI or tamoxifen use on the incidence of newly diagnosed hypertension, diabetes, and dyslipidemia in a cohort of BC survivors within Kaiser Permanente Northern California (KPNC). Methods: The Pathways Heart Study is an ongoing cohort study within KPNC examining incident CVD outcomes and risk factors in 14,942 women with history of BC. Eligibility was: 1) stage I-IV invasive BC diagnosis between Nov 2005 and Mar 2013; 2) &ge;21 years; and 3) active KPNC membership &ge;12 months at diagnosis. KPNC records were used to collect demographic, socioeconomic, and health characteristics. Endocrine therapy was collected from outpatient pharmacy data. Incident hypertension, diabetes, and dyslipidemia were identified from ICD-9/10 codes, laboratory results, and/or medication use. Hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) from Cox proportional models were used to determine whether AI and tamoxifen use were associated with incident hypertension, diabetes, and dyslipidemia compared to BC survivors not receiving either of these therapies. For each cardiometabolic risk factor, models adjusted for demographic, socioeconomic, and health characteristics and excluded women with the cardiometabolic risk factor at baseline. Results: Among 14,942 women with a history of BC, mean age at baseline was 61.2±12.8 years and mean follow-up time was 7.0±3.5 years (range 1-13.4). The frequency of use was: AI, n=6,070 (40.6%); tamoxifen, n=1,755 (11.8%); and neither, n=7,117 (47.6%). Regression models showed AI use was associated with increased risk of incident hypertension (HR: 1.1, 95% CI: 1.00-1.21) and increased risk of incident dyslipidemia (HR: 1.18, 95% CI: 1.07-1.3) relative to BC survivors who did not use endocrine therapy. (Table). In contrast, tamoxifen use was associated with decreased risk of dyslipidemia (HR: 0.8, 95% CI: 0.68-0.94) relative to BC survivors who did not use endocrine therapy. Neither AI nor tamoxifen use was associated with risk of incident diabetes. Conclusion: Compared to BC survivors who did not use endocrine therapy, women treated with AIs had a higher risk of incident hypertension and dyslipidemia, while women treated with tamoxifen had a lower risk of dyslipidemia. AIs reduce endogenous estrogen levels, which can alter lipid profiles, although prior studies have been inconsistent, possibly due to differences in steroidal and non-steroidal AIs. More work is needed to understand the implications of these associations on long-term cardiovascular health and how to best manage cardiometabolic risk factors in BC survivors with a history of endocrine therapy use.

Table. Adjusted1 hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) of incident cardiometabolic risk factors among women with a history of breast cancer, by endocrine therapy useNo Endocrine Therapy(n=7,117)Endocrine TherapyAromatase inhibitor(n=6,070)Tamoxifen(n=1,755)Incident HypertensionRef1.10 (1.00, 1.21)0.98 (0.85, 1.14)Incident DiabetesRef0.99 (0.87, 1.13)0.98 (0.80, 1.20)Incident DyslipidemiaRef1.18 (1.07, 1.30)0.80 (0.68, 0.94)1Adjusted for age, race/ethnicity, baseline body mass index, AJCC stage, menopausal status, smoking status, education level, income, chemotherapy, radiation therapy, and prevalent cardiovascular disease.

Citation Format: Heather Greenlee, Eileen Rillamas-Sun, Carlos Iribarren, Richard Cheng, Romain Neugebauer, Jamal S. Rana, Mai Nguyen-Huynh, Zaixing Shi, Cecile A. Laurent, Valerie S. Lee, Janise M. Roh, Hanjie Shen, Dawn L. Hershman, Lawrence H. Kushi, Marilyn L. Kwan. Development of cardiometabolic risk factors following endocrine therapy: The pathways heart study [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2021 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2021 Dec 7-10; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2022;82(4 Suppl):Abstract nr PD5-03.

Abstract PD5-01: Cardiovascular disease risk of breast cancer therapies: The pathways heart study

Purpose: Studies on long-term cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk in breast cancer (BC) survivors are limited. We examined CVD risk associated with exposure to specific BC therapies and explored whether body mass index (BMI) or prevalent CVD risk factors at BC diagnosis modified these associations. Methods: The Pathways Heart Study is a prospective cohort study examining incident CVD outcomes and risk factors in women with BC at Kaiser Permanente Northern California (KPNC). Eligible women were diagnosed with stage I-IV invasive BC from 2005-2013, &ge;21 years old, and KPNC members &ge;12 months at diagnosis. KPNC records provided demographic and BC therapy characteristics. Incident CVD outcomes [ischemic heart disease, heart failure/cardiomyopathy (HF/CM), stroke] were assessed from ICD9/10 codes. Multivariable Cox models estimated hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) of each CVD outcome by cancer therapy received compared to not receiving that therapy, excluding those with prevalent CVD. Separate regression models included interaction terms for cancer therapy by overweight, obesity, diabetes, dyslipidemia, and hypertension to test whether the CVD outcome risk varied by presence of these factors at diagnosis. Results: Among 4,181 BC survivors with mean age of 59.6±12.0 years and mean follow-up of 7.9±3.5 years (range: 0.04-13.3), cancer therapies were not associated with incident CVD. However, CVD risks varied by BMI and prevalence of CVD risk factors at BC diagnosis. Normal weight (NW) women who received anthracyclines had higher risk of ischemic heart disease and HF/CM relative to NW women not receiving these therapies; interaction terms indicated HF/CM risk was statistically different than risks for obese women (Table). NW women who received cyclophosphamide or left-sided radiation had higher risk of HF/CM and stroke relative to NW women not receiving these therapies; these risks were statistically different from obese (for cyclophosphamide) or overweight (for radiation) women. Relative to women not receiving these therapies, higher HRs for HF/CM were observed among non-diabetic women who received cyclophosphamide (2.03, CI: 1.22-3.37), non-dyslipidemic women who received anthracyclines (3.65, CI: 1.69-7.87), and non-hypertensive women who received either anthracyclines (4.04, CI: 1.81-9.03) or cyclophosphamide (2.66, CI: 1.23-5.74) (P for interaction range: 0.04 to 0.06). Conclusion: Certain chemotherapy drugs may increase the risk of CVD in NW BC survivors; overweight and obese BC survivors may experience less risk than NW women. While chemotherapy also appears to increase HF/CM risk for women without diabetes, dyslipidemia, and hypertension, these conditions are more prevalent among overweight/obese women. Analysis within these subgroups is needed and forthcoming.

Table. Adjusted HRs (95% CI) of CVD outcomes among breast cancer survivors receiving select cancer therapies* stratified by BMI status at diagnosisBMI Ischemic heart diseaseHeart failure/CardiomyopathyStrokeAnthracycline, n=1283Normal4.22 (1.59, 11.2)5.27 (2.54, 10.9)1.89 (0.79, 4.53)Overweight1.66 (0.73, 3.77)2.17 (1.15, 4.11)0.40 (0.16, 0.99)Obese1.26 (0.56, 2.85)1.1 (0.54, 2.27)a0.33 (0.13, 0.83)aCyclophosphamide, n=1705Normal1.63 (0.61, 4.31)3.28 (1.59, 6.75)2.21 (1.01, 4.84)Overweight1.59 (0.75, 3.39)1.63 (0.9, 2.97)0.73 (0.34, 1.58)Obese0.85 (0.39, 1.86)0.75 (0.38, 1.47)a0.31 (0.13, 0.71)aLeft-Side Radiation, n=1331Normal1.44 (0.56, 3.69)2.04 (1.0, 4.18)2.38 (1.28, 4.42)Overweight1.47 (0.68, 3.16)0.68 (0.34, 1.34)b0.72 (0.37, 1.4)bObese1.32 (0.73, 2.38)1.30 (0.79, 2.16)1.05 (0.61, 1.82)*Cancer therapies with non-significant findings (i.e., Trastuzumab, taxanes, aromatase inhibitors, Tamoxifen, and any-side radiation) are not shown.ap≤0.05 normal weight v. obese; bp≤0.05 normal weight v. overweight

Citation Format: Heather Greenlee, Eileen Rillamas-Sun, Carlos Iribarren, Richard Cheng, Romain Neugebauer, Jamal S. Rana, Mai Nguyen-Huynh, Zaixing Shi, Cecile A. Laurent, Valerie S. Lee, Janise M. Roh, Hanjie Shen, Dawn L. Hershman, Lawrence H. Kushi, Marilyn L. Kwan. Cardiovascular disease risk of breast cancer therapies: The pathways heart study [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2021 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2021 Dec 7-10; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2022;82(4 Suppl):Abstract nr PD5-01.

Simple Nutrient-Based Rules vs. a Nutritionally Rich Plant-Centered Diet in Prediction of Future Coronary Heart Disease and Stroke: Prospective Observational Study in the US

To better understand nutrition paradigm shift from nutrients to foods and dietary patterns, we compared associations of a nutrient-based blood cholesterol-lowering diet vs. a food-based plant-centered diet with risk of coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke. Participants were 4701 adults aged 18-30 years and free of cardiovascular disease at baseline, followed for clinical events from 1985 and 86 to 2018. A plant-centered diet was represented by higher A Priori Diet Quality Score (APDQS). A blood cholesterol-lowering diet was represented by lower Keys Score. Proportional hazards regression was used to calculate hazard ratios (HR). Higher APDQS showed a nutrient-dense composition that is low in saturated fat but high in fiber, vitamins and minerals. Keys Score and APDQS changes were each inversely associated with concurrent plasma low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) change. Over follow-up, 116 CHD and 80 stroke events occurred. LDL-C predicted CHD, but not stroke. APDQS, but not Keys Score, predicted lower risk of CHD and of stroke. Adjusted HRs (95% CIs) for each 1-SD higher APDQS were 0.73 (0.55-0.96) for CHD and 0.70 (0.50-0.99) for stroke. Neither low dietary fat nor low dietary carbohydrate predicted these events. Our findings support the ongoing shift in diet messages for cardiovascular prevention.

Risk of Cardiometabolic Risk Factors in Women With and Without a History of Breast Cancer: The Pathways Heart Study

PURPOSE

The incidence of cardiometabolic risk factors in breast cancer (BC) survivors has not been well described. Thus, we compared risk of hypertension, diabetes, and dyslipidemia in women with and without BC.

METHODS

Women with invasive BC diagnosed from 2005 to 2013 at Kaiser Permanente Northern California (KPNC) were identified and matched 1:5 to noncancer controls on birth year, race, and ethnicity. Cumulative incidence rates of hypertension, diabetes, and dyslipidemia were estimated with competing risk of overall death. Subdistribution hazard ratios (sHRs) were estimated by Fine and Gray regression, adjusted for cardiovascular disease-related risk factors, and stratified by treatment and body mass index (BMI).

RESULTS

A total of 14,942 BC cases and 74,702 matched controls were identified with mean age 61.2 years and 65% non-Hispanic White. Compared with controls, BC cases had higher cumulative incidence rates of hypertension (10.9% v 8.9%) and diabetes (2.1% v 1.7%) after 2 years, with higher diabetes incidence persisting after 10 years (9.3% v 8.8%). In multivariable models, cases had higher risk of diabetes (sHR, 1.16; 95% CI, 1.07 to 1.26) versus controls. Cases treated with chemotherapy (sHR, 1.23; 95% CI, 1.11 to 1.38), left-sided radiation (sHR, 1.29; 95% CI, 1.13 to 1.48), or endocrine therapy (sHR, 1.23; 95% CI, 1.12 to 1.34) continued to have higher diabetes risk. Hypertension risk was higher for cases receiving left-sided radiation (sHR, 1.11; 95% CI, 1.02 to 1.21) or endocrine therapy (sHR, 1.10; 95% CI, 1.03 to 1.16). Normal-weight (BMI < 24.9 kg/m²) cases had higher risks overall and within treatment subgroups versus controls.

CONCLUSION

BC survivors at KPNC experienced elevated risks of diabetes and hypertension compared with women without BC depending on treatments received and BMI. Future studies should examine strategies for cardiometabolic risk factor prevention in BC survivors.

Association of Abdominal Aorta Calcium and Coronary Artery Calcium with Incident Cardiovascular and Coronary Heart Disease Events in Black and White Middle-Aged People: The Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults Study

Background Assessing coronary artery calcium (CAC) is among AHA/ACC prevention guidelines for people at least 40 years old at intermediate risk for coronary heart disease (CHD). To study enhanced risk stratification, we investigated the predictive value of abdominal aorta calcium (AAC) relative to CAC for cardiovascular disease (CVD) and CHD events in Black and White early middle-aged participants, initially free of overt CVD. Methods and Results In the CARDIA (Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults) study, a multi-center, community-based, longitudinal cohort study of CVD risk, the CAC and AAC scores were assessed in 3011 participants in 2010-2011 with follow-up until 2019 for incident CVD and CHD events. Distributions and predictions, overall and by race, were computed. During the 8-year follow-up, 106 incident CVD events (55 were CHD) occurred. AAC scores tended to be much higher than CAC scores. AAC scores were higher in Black women than in White women. CAC predicted CVD with HR 1.77 (1.52-2.06) and similarly for AAC, while only CAC predicted CHD. After adjustment for risk factors and calcium in the other arterial bed, the association of CAC with CVD was independent of risk factors and AAC, while the association of AAC with CVD was greatly attenuated. However, AAC predicted incident CVD when CAC was 0. Prediction did not vary by race. Conclusions AAC predicted CVD nearly as strongly as CAC and could be especially useful as a diagnostic tool when it is an incidental finding or when no CAC is found.