Maintenance of Normal Blood Pressure From Middle to Older Age: Results From the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study

BACKGROUND

It is unknown whether maintaining normal blood pressure (BP) from middle to older age is associated with improved health outcomes.

METHODS

We estimated the proportion of Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study participants who maintained normal BP from 1987 to 1989 (visit 1) through 1996 to 1998 and 2011 to 2013 (over 4 and 5 visits, respectively). Normal BP was defined as systolic BP <120 mm Hg and diastolic BP <80 mm Hg, without antihypertensive medication. We estimated the risk of cardiovascular disease, dementia, and poor physical functioning after visit 5. In exploratory analyses, we examined participant characteristics associated with maintaining normal BP.

RESULTS

Among 2699 participants with normal BP at baseline (mean age 51.3 years), 47.1% and 15.0% maintained normal BP through visits 4 and 5, respectively. The hazard ratios comparing participants who maintained normal BP through visit 4 but not visit 5 and through visit 5 versus those who did not maintain normal BP through visit 4 were 0.80 (95% CI, 0.63-1.03) and 0.60 (95% CI, 0.42-0.86), respectively, for cardiovascular disease, and 0.85 (95% CI, 0.71-1.01) and 0.69 (95% CI, 0.54-0.90), respectively, for poor physical functioning. Maintaining normal BP through visit 5 was more common among participants with normal body mass index versus obesity at visit 1, those with normal body mass index at visits 1 and 5, and those with overweight at visit 1 and overweight or normal body mass index at visit 5, compared with those with obesity at visits 1 and 5.

CONCLUSIONS

Maintaining normal BP was associated with a lower risk of cardiovascular disease and poor physical functioning.

Use of a Single-Item Ecological Momentary Assessment to Measure Daily Exercise: Agreement with Accelerometer-Measured Exercise

Accelerometers have been used to objectively quantify physical activity, but they can pose a high burden. This study was conducted to determine the feasibility of using a single-item smartphone-based ecological momentary assessment (EMA) in lieu of accelerometers in long-term assessment of daily exercise. Data were collected from a randomized controlled trial of intermittently exercising, otherwise healthy adults (N = 79; 57% female, mean age: 31.9 ± 9.5 years) over 365 days. Smartphone-based EMA self-reports of exercise entailed daily end-of-day responses about physical activity; the participants also wore a Fitbit device to measure physical activity. The Kappa statistic was used to quantify the agreement between accelerometer-determined (24 min of moderate-to-vigorous physical activity [MVPA] within 30 min) and self-reported exercise. Possible demographic predictors of agreement were assessed. Participants provided an average of 164 ± 87 days of complete data. The average within-person Kappa was κ = 0.30 ± 0.22 (range: -0.15-0.73). Mean Kappa ranged from 0.16 to 0.30 when the accelerometer-based definition of an exercise bout varied in duration from 15 to 30 min of MVPA within any 30 min period. Among the correlates examined, sex was significantly associated with agreement; mean agreement was higher among women (κ = 0.37) than men (κ = 0.20). Agreement between EMA self-reported and accelerometer-measured exercise was fair, suggesting that long-term exercise monitoring through a single-item EMA may be acceptable.

Race differences in ambulatory blood pressure monitoring parameters

BACKGROUND

Mean systolic and diastolic blood pressure (SBP and DBP) on ambulatory blood pressure (BP) monitoring (ABPM) are higher among Black compared with White adults. With 48 to 72 BP measurements obtained over 24 h, ABPM can generate parameters other than mean BP that are associated with increased risk for cardiovascular events. There are few data on race differences in ABPM parameters other than mean BP.

METHODS

To estimate differences between White and Black participants in ABPM parameters, we used pooled data from five US-based studies in which participants completed ABPM (n = 2580). We calculated measures of SBP and DBP level, including mean, load, peak, and measures of SBP and DBP variability, including average real variability (ARV) and peak increase.

RESULTS

There were 1513 (58.6%) Black and 1067 (41.4%) White participants with mean ages of 56.1 and 49.0 years, respectively. After multivariable adjustment, asleep SBP and DBP load were 5.7% (95% CI: 3.5-7.9%) and 2.7% (95% CI: 1.1-4.3%) higher, respectively, among Black compared with White participants. Black compared with White participants also had higher awake DBP ARV (0.3 [95%CI: 0.0-0.6] mmHg) and peak increase in DBP (0.4 [95% CI: 0.0-0.8] mmHg). There was no evidence of Black:White differences in awake measures of SBP level, asleep peak SBP or DBP, awake and asleep measures of SBP variability or asleep measures of DBP variability after multivariable adjustment.

CONCLUSION

Asleep SBP load, awake DBP ARV and peak increase in awake DBP were higher in Black compared to White participants, independent of mean BP on ABPM.

Association between cardiac event-induced PTSD symptoms and daily intrusive thoughts about cardiac risk: An ecological momentary assessment study

OBJECTIVE

Posttraumatic stress symptoms (PSS) due to acute cardiac events are common and may lead patients to avoid secondary prevention behaviors. However, patients' daily experience of cardiac event-induced PSS has not been studied after a potentially traumatic cardiac hospitalization.

METHOD

In an observational cohort study, 108 mostly male patients with coronary heart disease were recruited after evaluation for suspected acute coronary syndrome (ACS). One month later, PSS were assessed via telephone-administered PTSD Checklist for DSM-5 (PCL-5). The exposure of interest was elevated (PCL-5 ≥ 20) vs. non-elevated PSS (PCL-5 ≤ 5). The occurrence and severity of cardiac-related intrusive thoughts were assessed 5 times daily for 2 weeks via electronic surveys on a wrist-worn device.

RESULTS

Moderate-to-severe intrusive thoughts were experienced by 48.1% of patients but more commonly by elevated-PSS (n = 36; 66.7%) than non-elevated-PSS (n = 72; 38.9%) patients. After adjustment for demographic and clinical characteristics, elevated- vs. non-elevated-PSS patients had a 9-fold higher odds of experiencing a moderate-to-severe intrusive thought during each 2-h assessment interval (adjusted OR = 9.14, 95% CI [2.99, 27.92], p < .01). After adjustment, intrusive thoughts on a 0-to-6 point scale were over two times as intense for elevated-PSS vs. non-elevated-PSS patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Intrusive thoughts about cardiac risk were common in patients recently evaluated for ACS, but much more prevalent and intense in those with elevated vs non-elevated PSS.

Effects of Daily Posttraumatic Stress Disorder Symptoms on Heart Rate Variability

OBJECTIVE

Posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) is common, debilitating, and associated with an increased risk of health problems, including cardiovascular disease. PTSD is related to poor autonomic function indicated by reduced heart rate variability (HRV). However, very little work has tested the timescale or direction of these effects, given that most evidence comes from cross-sectional studies. Documentation of when effects occur and in what direction can shed light on mechanisms of cardiovascular disease risk and inform treatment. The present study of 169 World Trade Center responders, oversampled for PTSD, tested how daily PTSD symptoms were associated with autonomic function as reflected through HRV.

METHODS

Participants ( N = 169) completed surveys of PTSD symptoms three times a day at 5-hour intervals for 4 days while also wearing ambulatory monitors to record electrocardiograms to derive HRV (i.e., mean absolute value of successive differences between beat-to-beat intervals).

RESULTS

HRV did not predict PTSD symptoms. However, PTSD symptoms during a 5-hour interval predicted reduced HRV at the next 5-hour interval ( β = -0.09, 95% confidence interval = -0.16 to -0.02, p = .008). Results held adjusting for baseline age, current heart problems, and current PTSD diagnosis.

CONCLUSIONS

Findings underscore growing awareness that PTSD symptoms are not static. Even their short-term fluctuations may affect cardiovascular functioning, which could have more severe impacts if disruption accumulates over time. Research is needed to determine if momentary interventions can halt increases in PTSD symptoms or mitigate their impact on cardiovascular health.

Diagnostic Accuracy of Office Blood Pressure Measurement and Home Blood Pressure Monitoring for Hypertension Screening Among Adults: Results From the IDH Study

BACKGROUND

Using high awake blood pressure (BP; ≥130/80 mm Hg) on ambulatory BP monitoring (ABPM) as a reference, the purpose of this study was to determine the accuracy of high office BP (≥130/80 mm Hg) at an initial visit and high confirmatory office BP (≥130/80 mm Hg), and separately, high home BP (≥130/80 mm Hg) among participants with high office BP (≥130/80 mm Hg) at an initial office visit.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The accuracy of office BP measurements using the oscillometric method for detecting high BP on ABPM was determined among 379 participants with complete office BP and ABPM data in the IDH (Improving the Detection of Hypertension) study. For detecting high BP on ABPM, the accuracy of high confirmatory office BP using the oscillometric method and, separately, high home BP was also determined among the subgroup of 122 participants with high office BP at an initial visit and complete home BP monitoring data. High office BP had moderate sensitivity (0.61 [95% CI, 0.53-0.68]) and high specificity (0.85 [95% CI, 0.80-0.90]) for high awake BP. High confirmatory office BP and high home BP had moderate sensitivity (0.69 [95% CI, 0.59-0.79] and 0.79 [95% CI, 0.71-0.87], respectively) and low and moderate specificity (0.44 [95% CI, 0.27-0.61] and 0.72 [95% CI, 0.56-0.88], respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Many individuals with high BP on ABPM do not have high office BP. Confirmatory office BP and home blood pressure monitoring also had limited ability to identify individuals with high BP on ABPM.

Life expectancy associated with different ages at diagnosis of type 2 diabetes in high-income countries: 23 million person-years of observation

BACKGROUND

The prevalence of type 2 diabetes is increasing rapidly, particularly among younger age groups. Estimates suggest that people with diabetes die, on average, 6 years earlier than people without diabetes. We aimed to provide reliable estimates of the associations between age at diagnosis of diabetes and all-cause mortality, cause-specific mortality, and reductions in life expectancy.

METHODS

For this observational study, we conducted a combined analysis of individual-participant data from 19 high-income countries using two large-scale data sources: the Emerging Risk Factors Collaboration (96 cohorts, median baseline years 1961-2007, median latest follow-up years 1980-2013) and the UK Biobank (median baseline year 2006, median latest follow-up year 2020). We calculated age-adjusted and sex-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for all-cause mortality according to age at diagnosis of diabetes using data from 1 515 718 participants, in whom deaths were recorded during 23·1 million person-years of follow-up. We estimated cumulative survival by applying age-specific HRs to age-specific death rates from 2015 for the USA and the EU.

FINDINGS

For participants with diabetes, we observed a linear dose-response association between earlier age at diagnosis and higher risk of all-cause mortality compared with participants without diabetes. HRs were 2·69 (95% CI 2·43-2·97) when diagnosed at 30-39 years, 2·26 (2·08-2·45) at 40-49 years, 1·84 (1·72-1·97) at 50-59 years, 1·57 (1·47-1·67) at 60-69 years, and 1·39 (1·29-1·51) at 70 years and older. HRs per decade of earlier diagnosis were similar for men and women. Using death rates from the USA, a 50-year-old individual with diabetes died on average 14 years earlier when diagnosed aged 30 years, 10 years earlier when diagnosed aged 40 years, or 6 years earlier when diagnosed aged 50 years than an individual without diabetes. Using EU death rates, the corresponding estimates were 13, 9, or 5 years earlier.

INTERPRETATION

Every decade of earlier diagnosis of diabetes was associated with about 3-4 years of lower life expectancy, highlighting the need to develop and implement interventions that prevent or delay the onset of diabetes and to intensify the treatment of risk factors among young adults diagnosed with diabetes.

FUNDING

British Heart Foundation, Medical Research Council, National Institute for Health and Care Research, and Health Data Research UK.

Use of Different Blood Pressure Thresholds to Reduce the Number of Home Blood Pressure Monitoring Days Needed for Detecting Hypertension

BACKGROUND

Home blood pressure (BP) monitoring over a 7-day period is recommended to confirm the diagnosis of hypertension.

METHODS

We determined upper and lower home BP thresholds with >90% positive predictive value and >90% negative predictive value using 1 to 6 days of monitoring to identify high home BP (systolic BP ≥130 mm Hg or diastolic BP ≥80 mm Hg) based on 7 days of home BP monitoring. The sample included 361 adults from the Improving the Detection of Hypertension Study who were not taking antihypertensive medication. We used two 7-day periods, at least 3 days apart, the first being a sampling period and the second a reference period. For each number of days in the sampling period, we determined the percentage of participants who had a high likelihood of having (>90% positive predictive value) or not having (>90% negative predictive value) high BP and would not need to continue home BP monitoring. Only the participants in an uncertain category (ie, positive predictive value ≤90% and negative predictive value ≤90%) after each day were carried forward to the next day of home BP monitoring.

RESULTS

Of the 361 participants (mean [SD] age of 41.3 [13.2] years; 60.4% women), 38.0% had high home BP during the reference period. There were 63.7%, 17.1%, 10.5%, 3.3%, 3.6%, and 1.4% participants who would not need to continue after 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6 days of monitoring.

CONCLUSIONS

In most people, high home BP can be identified or excluded with a high degree of confidence with 3 days or less of monitoring.

Comparison of outcomes for routine versus American Heart Association-recommended technique for blood pressure measurement (CORRECT BP): a randomised cohort study

Background

Optimal clinical care, diagnosis and treatment requires accurate blood pressure (BP) values. The primary objective was to compare BP readings taken while adhering to American Heart Association (AHA) guidelines to those typical of routine clinical care. Specifically studied: the combined effect of feet flat on the floor, back supported, and arm supported with cuff at heart level, while adhering to other guideline recommendations.

Methods

In this prospective, randomised, three-group cohort study, a modified cross-over design was applied in a primary care outpatient office setting in Columbus (OH, USA). Eligible participants were adults (aged ≥18 years) with an arm circumference of ≥18 cm and ≤42 cm who did not have a renal dialysis shunt or a previous or current diagnosis of atrial fibrillation. 150 recruited volunteers meeting the inclusion criteria were randomly randomised into the three groups. Group methodologies were BP readings taken on a fixed-height exam table followed by readings taken in an exam chair with adjustable positioning options (Group A), readings taken in the reverse order, chair then table (Group B), and both sets of readings in the exam chair (Group C). A rest period occurred before each set of readings. Group C was included for the purpose of obtaining an independent estimate of the order effect. The order in which the two types of readings (table vs chair) were taken was randomised. The primary outcome was the difference between the mean of three BP readings taken on the table and the mean of three readings taken in the chair.

Findings

Between September and October, 2022, 150 participants were enrolled in the study; all 150 of whom completed testing: 48 in Group A, 49 in Group B, 53 in Group C. The mean systolic/diastolic BP (SBP/DBP) of readings taken on the table (Group A first readings, Group B second readings) were 7.0/4.5 mmHg higher than those taken in the chair (Group A second readings, Group B first readings); both statistically significant, p < 0.0001. These findings show that AHA-recommended positioning-feet flat on the floor, back supported, arm supported with the BP cuff at heart level-results in substantially lower BP values than improper positioning. The mean SBP/DBP of the first set of readings taken on the chair were 1.6/0.6 mmHg higher than for the second set of readings (Group C, included to estimate order effect).

Interpretation

The observed benefit of proper positioning is sufficient to change the BP classification of several million patients from having hypertension to not having hypertension and therefore avoiding medication and/or intense follow-up.

Funding

Midmark Corporation, Versailles, Ohio, USA.

The Perceived Stress Scale as a Measure of Stress: Decomposing Score Variance in Longitudinal Behavioral Medicine Studies

BACKGROUND

The Perceived Stress Scale (PSS) is a widely used measure designed to assess perceptions of recent stress. However, it is unclear to what extent the construct assessed by the PSS represents factors that are stable versus variable within individuals, and how these components might vary over time.

PURPOSE

Determine the degree to which variability in repeated PSS assessments is attributable to between-person versus within-person variance in two different studies and populations.

METHODS

Secondary analyses utilized data from two studies with up to 13 PSS assessments: An observational study of 127 patients with heart failure followed over 39 months (Study 1), and an experimental study of 73 younger, healthy adults followed over 12 months (Study 2). Multilevel linear mixed modeling was used to estimate sources of variance in the PSS total and subscale scores across assessments.

RESULTS

Between-person variance accounted for a large proportion of the total variance in PSS total scores in Study 1 (42.3%) and Study 2 (51.1%); within-person variance comprised the remainder. Between-person variance was higher for shorter assessment periods (e.g., 1 week), and was comparable when examining only the first 12 months of assessments in each study (52.9% vs. 51.1%).

CONCLUSIONS

Within two samples differing in age and health status, between-person variance accounted for approximately half of the total variation in PSS scores over time. While within-person variance was observed, the construct assessed by the PSS may substantially reflect a more stable characteristic of how an individual perceives stressful life circumstances than previously appreciated.

A Multifaceted Implementation Strategy to Increase Out-of-Office Blood Pressure Monitoring: The EMBRACE Cluster Randomized Clinical Trial

Importance

Few primary care patients complete guideline-recommended out-of-office blood pressure (BP) monitoring prior to having hypertension diagnosed.

Objective

To evaluate the effectiveness of a behavioral theory-informed, multifaceted implementation strategy on out-of-office BP monitoring (ambulatory BP monitoring [ABPM] or home BP monitoring [HBPM]) among patients with new hypertension.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This 2-group, pre-post cluster randomized trial was conducted within a primary care network of 8 practices (4 intervention practices with 99 clinicians; 4 control practices with 55 clinicians) and 1186 patients (857 intervention; 329 control) with at least 1 visit with elevated office BP and no prior hypertension diagnosis between October 2016 and September 2017 (preimplementation period) or between April 2018 and March 2019 (postimplementation period). Data were analyzed from February to July 2023.

Interventions

Usual care (control group) or a multifaceted implementation strategy consisting of an accessible ABPM service; electronic health record (EHR) tools to facilitate test ordering; clinician education, reminders, and feedback relevant to out-of-office BP monitoring; nurse training on HBPM; and patient information handouts.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The primary outcome was patient completion of out-of-office BP monitoring within 6 months of an eligible visit. Secondary outcomes included clinician ordering of out-of-office BP monitoring. Blinded assessors extracted outcomes from the EHR.

Results

A total of 1186 patients (857 intervention; 329 control) were included, with a mean (SD) age of 54 (16) years; 808 (68%) were female, and 549 (48%) were Spanish speaking; among those with race and ethnicity documented, 123 (10%) were Black or African American, and 368 (31%) were Hispanic. Among intervention practices, the percentage of visits resulting in completed out-of-office BP monitoring increased from 0.6% (0% ABPM; 0.6% HBPM) to 5.7% (3.7% ABPM; 2.0% HBPM) between the preimplementation and postimplementation periods (P = .009). Among control practices, the percentage of visits resulting in completed out-of-office BP monitoring changed from 5.4% (0% ABPM; 5.4% HBPM) to 4.3% (0% ABPM; 4.3% HBPM) during the corresponding period (P = .94). The ratio of relative risks (RRs) of out-of-office BP monitoring in the postimplementation vs preimplementation periods for intervention vs control practices was 10.5 (95% CI, 1.9-58.0; P = .01). The ratio of RRs of out-of-office BP monitoring being ordered was 2.2 (95% CI, 0.8-6.3; P = .12).

Conclusions and Relevance

This study found that a theory-informed implementation strategy that included access to ABPM modestly increased out-of-office BP monitoring among patients with elevated office BP but no hypertension diagnosis.

Trial Registration

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03480217.

Cardiovascular variability, sociodemographics, and biomarkers of disease: the MIDUS study

Introduction: Like heart rate, blood pressure (BP) is not steady but varies over intervals as long as months to as short as consecutive cardiac cycles. This blood pressure variability (BPV) consists of regularly occurring oscillations as well as less well-organized changes and typically is computed as the standard deviation of multiple clinic visit-to-visit (VVV-BP) measures or from 24-h ambulatory BP recordings (ABPV). BP also varies on a beat-to-beat basis, quantified by methods that parse variation into discrete bins, e.g., low frequency (0.04-0.15 Hz, LF). However, beat-to-beat BPV requires continuous recordings that are not easily acquired. As a result, we know little about the relationship between LF-BPV and basic sociodemographic characteristics such as age, sex, and race and clinical conditions. Methods: We computed LF-BPV during an 11-min resting period in 2,118 participants in the Midlife in the US (MIDUS) study. Results: LF-BPV was negatively associated with age, greater in men than women, and unrelated to race or socioeconomic status. It was greater in participants with hypertension but unrelated to hyperlipidemia, hypertriglyceridemia, diabetes, elevated CRP, or obesity. LF-diastolic BPV (DBPV), but not-systolic BPV (SBPV), was negatively correlated with IL-6 and s-ICAM and positively correlated with urinary epinephrine and cortisol. Finally, LF-DBPV was negatively associated with mortality, an effect was rendered nonsignificant by adjustment by age but not other sociodemographic characteristics. Discussion: These findings, the first from a large, national sample, suggest that LF-BPV differs significantly from VVV-BP and ABPV. Confirming its relationship to sociodemographic risk factors and clinical outcomes requires further study with large and representative samples.

Comparison of Blood Pressure Measurements from Clinical Practice and a Research Study At Kaiser Permanente Southern California

BACKGROUND

Accurate blood pressure (BP) measurement is essential to identify and manage hypertension. Prior studies have reported a difference between BP measured in routine patient care and in research studies. We aimed to investigate the agreement between BP measured in routine care and research-grade BP in Kaiser Permanente Southern California, a large, integrated healthcare system with initiatives to standardize BP measurements during routine patient care visits.

METHODS

We included adults ≥65 years old with hypertension, taking antihypertensive medication, and participating in the Ambulatory Blood Pressure in Older Adults (AMBROSIA) study in 2019-2021. Clinic BP from routine care visits was extracted from the electronic health record. Research-grade BP was obtained by trained AMBROSIA study staff via an automatic oscillometric device. The mean difference between routine care and research-grade BP, limits of agreement, and correlation were assessed.

RESULTS

We included 309 participants (mean age 75 years; 54% female; 49% non-Hispanic white). Compared with measurements from routine care, mean research-grade systolic BP (SBP) was 0.1 mm Hg higher (95% CI: -1.5 to 1.8) and diastolic BP (DBP) was 0.4 mm Hg lower (95% CI: -1.6 to 0.7). Limits of agreement were -29 to 30 mm Hg for SBP and -21 to 20 mm Hg for DBP. The intraclass correlation coefficient was 0.42 (95% CI: 0.33 to 0.51) for SBP and 0.43 (95% CI: 0.34 to 0.52) for DBP.

CONCLUSIONS

High within-person variation and moderate correlation were present between BP measured in routine care and following a research protocol suggesting the importance of standardized measurements.

How many days are needed? Measurement reliability of wearable device data to assess physical activity

INTRODUCTION/PURPOSE

Physical activity studies often utilize wearable devices to measure participants' habitual activity levels by averaging values across several valid observation days. These studies face competing demands-available resources and the burden to study participants must be balanced with the goal to obtain reliable measurements of a person's longer-term average. Information about the number of valid observation days required to reliably measure targeted metrics of habitual activity is required to inform study design.

METHODS

To date, the number of days required to achieve a desired level of aggregate long-term reliability (typically 0.80) has often been estimated by applying the Spearman-Brown Prophecy formula to short-term test-retest reliability data from studies with single, relatively brief observation windows. Our work, in contrast, utilizes a resampling-based approach to quantify the long-term test-retest reliability of aggregate measures of activity in a cohort of 79 participants who were asked to wear a FitBit Flex every day for approximately one year.

RESULTS

The conventional approach can produce reliability estimates that substantially overestimate the actual test-retest reliability. Six or more valid days of observation for each participant appear necessary to obtain 0.80 reliability for the average amount of time spent in light physical activity; 8 and 10 valid days are needed for sedentary time and moderate/vigorous activity respectively.

CONCLUSION

Protocols that result in 7-10 valid observation days for each participant may be needed to obtain reliable measurements of key physical activity metrics.

An Intensive Longitudinal Assessment Approach to Surveilling Trajectories of Burnout over the First Year of the COVID Pandemic

Frontline clinicians responding to the COVID-19 pandemic are at increased risk of burnout, but less is known about the trajectory of clinician burnout as caseloads increase and decrease. Personal and professional resources, including self-efficacy and hospital support, can attenuate the risk of burnout. Yet, empirical data documenting how burnout and resources changed as the pandemic waxed and waned are limited. This intensive longitudinal prospective study employed ecological momentary assessment methods to examine trajectories of burnout and resources over the pandemic's first year in a New York City hospital. A 10-item survey was emailed every 5 days to frontline clinicians (physicians, nurses, and physician assistants). The primary outcome was a single-item validated measure of burnout; predictors included daily hospital COVID-19-related caseloads and personal and professional resources. Clinicians (n = 398) completed the initial survey and an average of 12 surveys over the year. Initially, 45.3% of staff reported burnout; over the year, 58.7% reported burnout. Following the initial COVID peak, caseloads declined, and burnout levels declined. During the second wave of COVID, as caseloads increased and remained elevated and personal and professional resource levels decreased, burnout increased. This novel application of intensive longitudinal assessment enabled ongoing surveillance of burnout and permitted us to evaluate how fluctuations in caseload intensity and personal and professional resources related to burnout over time. The surveillance data support the need for intensified resource allocation during prolonged pandemics.

Anhedonic Depression Is Not Associated With Risk of Recurrent Major Adverse Cardiac Events and All-Cause Mortality in Acute Coronary Syndrome Patients

BACKGROUND

Depression after acute coronary syndrome (ACS) is common and increases risks of adverse outcomes, but it remains unclear which depression features are most associated with major adverse cardiac events (MACE) and all-cause mortality (ACM).

PURPOSE

To examine whether a subtype of depression characterized by anhedonia and major depressive disorder (MDD) predicts 1-year MACE/ACM occurrence in ACS patients compared to no MDD history. We also consider other depression features in the literature as predictors.

METHODS

Patients (N = 1,087) presenting to a hospital with ACS completed a self-report measure of current depressive symptoms in-hospital and a diagnostic interview assessing MDD within 1 week post-hospitalization. MACE/ACM events were assessed at 1-, 6-, and 12-month follow-ups. Cox regression models were used to examine the association of the anhedonic depression subtype and MDD without anhedonia with time to MACE/ACM, adjusting for sociodemographic and clinical covariates.

RESULTS

There were 142 MACE/ACM events over the 12-month follow-up. The 1-year MACE/ACM in patients with anhedonic depression, compared to those with no MDD, was somewhat higher in an age-adjusted model (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.63, p = .08), but was not significant after further covariate adjustment (HR = 1.24, p = .47). Of the additional depression features, moderate-to-severe self-reported depressive symptoms significantly predicted the risk of MACE/ACM, even in covariate-adjusted models (HR = 1.72, p = .04), but the continuous measure of self-reported depressive symptoms did not.

CONCLUSION

The anhedonic depression subtype did not uniquely predict MACE/ACM as hypothesized. Moderate-to-severe levels of total self-reported depressive symptoms, however, may be associated with increased MACE/ACM risk, even after accounting for potential sociodemographic and clinical confounders.

Factors Associated With Police Bringing Children to a Psychiatric Emergency Room

OBJECTIVE

Sensational headlines describing police entanglements with young children have prompted questions about how often these incidents occur and why. The authors of this cross-sectional study examined the factors associated with police versus nonpolice arrivals to the psychiatric emergency room and those predicting subsequent police arrivals.

METHODS

Electronic medical records of children ages 5.0-12.9 years brought to a comprehensive psychiatric emergency program (CPEP) at a university hospital were reviewed to determine whether a child was brought by police ("police arrival") in response to a 911 call by school personnel, a mental health or other medical professional, or a caregiver. Extracted data included the child's age, sex, race-ethnicity, family makeup, insurance status, arrival status, referral source, diagnosis, disposition, treatment, number of CPEP and police encounters, and occurrences of aggression and suicidality. Multilevel and ordinary logistic regression models were used to identify factors associated with a first and subsequent police arrival.

RESULTS

Of 339 children with CPEP encounters from September 2017 to April 2018, 103 (30%) had had at least one police arrival. Children brought by police were more likely than peers brought by caregivers to be Black or Latinx, have Medicaid, come from families without two parents, and have aggressive outbursts or suicidal behavior. Results from multilevel logistic regression indicated that aggressive outbursts and suicidality were most significantly and consistently associated with experiencing both a first and subsequent police arrival.

CONCLUSIONS

Clinical and sociodemographic differences in police arrivals highlight the need for a comprehensive systems approach for children, especially marginalized youths, who need psychiatric emergency care.

Blood Pressure Control Among US Adults, 2009 to 2012 Through 2017 to 2020

Background:

The National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey data indicate that the proportion of US adults with hypertension that had controlled blood pressure (BP) declined from 2013 to 2014 through 2017 to 2018. We analyzed data from National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2009 to 2012, 2013 to 2016, and 2017 to 2020 to confirm this finding.

Methods:

Hypertension was defined as systolic BP ≥140 mm Hg or diastolic BP ≥90 mm Hg or antihypertensive medication use. BP control among those with hypertension was defined as systolic BP <140 mm Hg and diastolic BP <90 mm Hg.

Results:

The age-adjusted prevalence of hypertension was 31.5% (95% CI, 30.3%–32.8%), 32.0% (95% CI, 30.6%–33.3%), and 32.9% (95% CI, 31.0%–34.7%) in 2009 to 2012, 2013 to 2016, and 2017 to 2020, respectively (P trend=0.218). The age-adjusted prevalence of hypertension increased among non-Hispanic Asian adults from 27.0% in 2011 to 2012 to 33.5% in 2017 to 2020 (P trend=0.003). Among Hispanic adults, the age-adjusted prevalence of hypertension increased from 29.4% in 2009 to 2012 to 33.2% in 2017 to 2020 (P trend=0.029). In 2009 to 2012, 2013 to 2016, and 2017 to 2020, 52.8% (95% CI, 50.0%–55.7%), 51.3% (95% CI, 47.9%–54.6%), and 48.2% (95% CI, 45.7%–50.8%) of US adults with hypertension had controlled BP (P trend=0.034). Among US adults taking antihypertensive medication, 69.9% (95% CI, 67.8%–72.0%), 69.3% (95% CI, 66.6%–71.9%), and 67.7% (95% CI, 65.2%–70.3%) had controlled BP in 2009 to 2012, 2013 to 2016, and 2017 to 2020, respectively (P trend=0.189). Among all US adults with hypertension and those taking antihypertensive medication, a decline in BP control between 2009 to 2012 and 2017 to 2020 occurred among those ≥75 years, women, and non-Hispanic black adults.

Conclusions:

These data confirm that the proportion of US adults with hypertension who have controlled BP has declined.

Abstract P222: Effectiveness Of A Multicomponent Implementation Strategy On Increasing Uptake Of USPSTF Hypertension Screening Recommendations In A Primary Care Network: The Embrace Cluster Randomized Trial

Background: In 2015, the US Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) updated its primary care screening guidelines to recommend out-of-office BP testing with ABPM or HBPM for confirming the diagnosis of hypertension (HTN) in adult patients with high office BP.

Methods: We applied the Behavior Change Wheel framework to develop a theory-informed strategy for increasing the uptake of the USPSTF HTN screening guideline. We then conducted a 2-arm cluster randomized trial in which 8 primary care practices (154 clinicians) in an ambulatory care network serving vulnerable communities in New York City were randomized to receive the implementation strategy (4 practices) or a wait-list control (4 practices). The strategy was implemented from October 2017 to March 2018, and consisted of: 1) clinician education about HTN screening recommendations; 2) clinician information on how to order ABPM and HPBM; 3) patient information on ABPM and HBPM; 4) nurse training on how to teach patients to conduct HBPM; 5) access to an ABPM testing service; 6) clinician feedback on out-of-office BP test ordering; and 7) embedded tools in the EHR to facilitate ABPM and HBPM ordering. The primary outcome was change in the proportion of patients completing ABPM or HBPM in the year before versus year after implementation.

Results: There were 1069 eligible patients (mean age 53±16 years, 67% women) with high office BP but no diagnosis or treatment for HTN. In implementation practices, the proportion of patients with out-of-office BP test ordering increased from 0.5% in the year before implementation to 4.0% in the year after implementation (p<.001) whereas test ordering did not change in control practices (3.1% to 2.8%, p=0.66); p<.001 for interaction. Similarly, out-of-office BP test completion increased from 0.5% to 3.0% (p<.001) in implementation practices whereas test completion did not change in control practices (2.2% to 2.0%, p=0.76); p<.001 for interaction.

Conclusions: A theory-informed implementation strategy increased out-of-office BP testing in adult primary care patients being screened for HTN. Yet, out-of-office BP testing in the context of HTN screening remained low in both implementation and control practices, suggesting a need for more potent implementation strategies.

Relationship quality and objectively measured physical activity before and after implementation of COVID-19 stay-home orders

In a sample of 28 individuals cohabiting with a partner in NYC, Boston, or Chicago, this study tested whether implementation of stay-home orders to combat the spread of COVID-19 disrupted physical activity and whether high-quality romantic relationships buffered adverse effects. Participants provided FitBit data between February and October, 2020. Stay-home orders were associated with a reduction in daily step counts, B = -1595.72, p = 0.018, increased sedentary minutes, B = 33.75, p = 0.002, and reduced daily minutes of light and moderate physical activity, B = -25.01, p = 0.011; B = -0.72, p = 0.021. No moderation effects emerged.

Pooled Cohort Probability Score for Subclinical Airflow Obstruction

Rationale: Early detection of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a public health priority. Airflow obstruction is the single most important risk factor for adverse COPD outcomes, but spirometry is not routinely recommended for screening. Objectives: To describe the burden of subclinical airflow obstruction (SAO) and to develop a probability score for SAO to inform potential detection and prevention programs. Methods: Lung function and clinical data were harmonized and pooled across nine U.S. general population cohorts. Adults with respiratory symptoms, inhaler use, or prior diagnosis of COPD or asthma were excluded. A probability score for prevalent SAO (forced expiratory volume in 1 second/forced vital capacity < 0.70) was developed via hierarchical group-lasso regularization from clinical variables in strata of sex and smoking status, and its discriminative accuracy for SAO was assessed in the pooled cohort as well as in an external validation cohort (NHANES [National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey] 2011-2012). Incident hospitalizations and deaths due to COPD (respiratory events) were defined by adjudication or administrative criteria in four of nine cohorts. Results: Of 33,546 participants (mean age 52 yr, 54% female, 44% non-Hispanic White), 4,424 (13.2%) had prevalent SAO. The incidence of respiratory events (Nat-risk = 14,024) was threefold higher in participants with SAO versus those without (152 vs. 39 events/10,000 person-years). The probability score, which was based on six commonly available variables (age, sex, race and/or ethnicity, body mass index, smoking status, and smoking pack-years) was well calibrated and showed excellent discrimination in both the testing sample (C-statistic, 0.81; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.80-0.82) and in NHANES (C-statistic, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.80-0.86). Among participants with predicted probabilities ⩾ 15%, 3.2 would need to undergo spirometry to detect one case of SAO. Conclusions: Adults with SAO demonstrate excess respiratory hospitalization and mortality. A probability score for SAO using commonly available clinical risk factors may be suitable for targeting screening and primary prevention strategies.

Comparison of the association of masked hypertension defined by the 2017 ACC/AHA BP guideline versus the JNC7 guideline with left ventricular hypertrophy

BACKGROUND

Compared with the Seventh Report of the Joint National Committee (JNC7), the 2017 American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association (ACC/AHA) blood pressure (BP) guideline uses lower BP thresholds to define hypertension and BP control.

METHODS

We pooled data from five US-based studies to compare the association of masked hypertension (MHT) and masked uncontrolled hypertension, defined using the 2017 ACC/AHA guideline ( n  = 1653 without high office BP; <130/80 mmHg) versus the JNC7 guideline ( n  = 2451 without high office BP; <140/90 mmHg), with left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH). MHT and masked uncontrolled hypertension were defined using office BP and awake BP alone and awake, asleep, or 24-h BP. LVH was assessed by echocardiography.

RESULTS

Among participants without high office BP not taking antihypertensive medication, the prevalence of MHT defined by the JNC7 guideline and the 2017 ACC/AHA BP guideline was 25.0 and 33.5% using awake BP only and 37.1 and 52.0% when using awake, asleep, or 24-h BP. The adjusted prevalence ratios for LVH associated with MHT versus sustained normotension defined by the JNC7 and 2017 ACC/AHA BP guidelines were 1.72 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.12-2.64] and 1.56 (95% CI: 0.97-2.51), respectively, when using awake BP only and 2.16 (95% CI: 1.36-3.44) and 1.03 (95% CI: 0.58-1.82), respectively, when using awake, asleep or 24-h BP. There was no evidence that masked uncontrolled hypertension was associated with LVH when defined using the BP thresholds in either the JNC7 or the 2017 ACC/AHA BP guideline.

CONCLUSION

The association of MHT with LVH may depend on the BP thresholds used.

Impact of Asleep and 24-Hour Blood Pressure Data on the Prevalence of Masked Hypertension by Race/Ethnicity

BACKGROUND

We pooled ambulatory blood pressure monitoring data from 5 US studies, including the Jackson Heart Study (JHS), the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults (CARDIA) study, the Masked Hypertension Study, the Improving the Detection of Hypertension Study, and the North Carolina Masked Hypertension Study. Using a cross-sectional study design, we estimated differences in the prevalence of masked hypertension by race/ethnicity when out-of-office blood pressure (BP) included awake, asleep, and 24-hour BP vs. awake BP alone.

METHODS

We restricted the analyses to participants with office systolic BP (SBP) <130 mm Hg and diastolic BP (DBP) <80 mm Hg. High awake BP was defined as mean SBP/DBP ≥130/80 mm Hg, high asleep BP as mean SBP/DBP ≥110/65 mm Hg, and high 24-hour BP as mean SBP/DBP ≥125/75 mm Hg.

RESULTS

Among participants not taking antihypertensive medication (n = 1,292), the prevalence of masked hypertension with out-of-office BP defined by awake BP alone or by awake, asleep, or 24-hour BP was 34.5% and 48.7%, respectively, among non-Hispanic White, 39.7% and 67.6% among non-Hispanic Black, and 19.4% and 35.1% among Hispanic participants. After multivariable adjustment, non-Hispanic Black were more likely than non-Hispanic White participants to have masked hypertension by asleep or 24-hour BP but not awake BP (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 2.14 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.45-3.15) and by asleep or 24-hour BP and awake BP (OR 1.61; 95% CI 1.12-2.32) vs. not having masked hypertension.

CONCLUSIONS

Assessing asleep and 24-hour BP measures increases the prevalence of masked hypertension more among non-Hispanic Black vs. non-Hispanic White individuals.

Predicting Out-of-Office Blood Pressure in a Diverse US Population

BACKGROUND

The PRedicting Out-of-OFfice Blood Pressure (PROOF-BP) algorithm accurately predicted out-of-office blood pressure (BP) among adults with suspected high BP in the United Kingdom and Canada. We tested the accuracy of PROOF-BP in a diverse US population and evaluated a newly developed US-specific algorithm (PROOF-BP-US).

METHODS

Adults with ≥2 office BP readings and ≥10 awake BP readings on 24-hour ambulatory BP monitoring from 4 pooled US studies were included. We compared mean awake BP with predicted out-of-office BP using PROOF-BP and PROOF-BP-US. Our primary outcomes were hypertensive out-of-office systolic BP (SBP) ≥130 mm Hg and diastolic BP (DBP) ≥80 mm Hg.

RESULTS

We included 3,058 adults, mean (SD) age was 52.0 (11.9) years, 38% were male, and 54% were Black. The area under the receiver-operator characteristic (AUROC) curve (95% confidence interval) for hypertensive out-of-office SBP was 0.81 (0.79-0.82) and DBP was 0.76 (0.74-0.78) for PROOF-BP. For PROOF-BP-US, the AUROC curve for hypertensive out-of-office SBP was 0.82 (0.81-0.83) and for DBP was 0.81 (0.79-0.83). The optimal predicted out-of-office BP ranges for out-of-office BP measurement referral were 120-134/75-84 mm Hg for PROOF-BP and 125-134/75-84 mm Hg for PROOF-BP-US. The 2017 American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association BP guideline (referral range 130-159/80-99 mm Hg) would refer 93.1% of adults not taking antihypertensive medications with office BP ≥130/80 mm Hg in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey for out-of-office BP measurement, compared with 53.1% using PROOF-BP and 46.8% using PROOF-BP-US.

CONCLUSIONS

PROOF-BP and PROOF-BP-US accurately predicted out-of-office hypertension in a diverse sample of US adults.

Lung function impairment and risk of incident heart failure: the NHLBI Pooled Cohorts Study

AIMS

The aim is to evaluate associations of lung function impairment with risk of incident heart failure (HF).

METHODS AND RESULTS

Data were pooled across eight US population-based cohorts that enrolled participants from 1987 to 2004. Participants with self-reported baseline cardiovascular disease were excluded. Spirometry was used to define obstructive [forced expiratory volume in 1 s/forced vital capacity (FEV1/FVC) <0.70] or restrictive (FEV1/FVC ≥0.70, FVC <80%) lung physiology. The incident HF was defined as hospitalization or death caused by HF. In a sub-set, HF events were sub-classified as HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF; EF <50%) or preserved EF (HFpEF; EF ≥50%). The Fine-Gray proportional sub-distribution hazards models were adjusted for sociodemographic factors, smoking, and cardiovascular risk factors. In models of incident HF sub-types, HFrEF, HFpEF, and non-HF mortality were treated as competing risks. Among 31 677 adults, there were 3344 incident HF events over a median follow-up of 21.0 years. Of 2066 classifiable HF events, 1030 were classified as HFrEF and 1036 as HFpEF. Obstructive [adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 1.17, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.07-1.27] and restrictive physiology (adjusted HR 1.43, 95% CI 1.27-1.62) were associated with incident HF. Obstructive and restrictive ventilatory defects were associated with HFpEF but not HFrEF. The magnitude of the association between restrictive physiology and HFpEF was similar to associations with hypertension, diabetes, and smoking.

CONCLUSION

Lung function impairment was associated with increased risk of incident HF, and particularly incident HFpEF, independent of and to a similar extent as major known cardiovascular risk factors.

Changes in fall rates from before to during the COVID-19 pandemic: Findings from the prospective AMBROSIA study

Background

COVID-19 social distancing policies resulted in reductions in community movement, however fall rates during this time have not been described.

Methods

This prospective study included adults ≥65 years old participating in the Ambulatory Blood Pressure in Older Adults (AMBROSIA) cohort and who completed ≥1 monthly falls calendar (August 2019-March 2021; n=250). Months were grouped to correspond to the fall 2020 phased re-opening (August-October) and the shelter-in-place policy during the winter 2020 surge (November-January) in Los Angeles, California and compared to the same months, one year earlier (i.e., before the pandemic).

Results

Participants had a mean (SD) age of 75.2 (6.1) years, 49.6% were White, and 53.2% were women. We obtained 2,795 falls calendars during follow-up. Overall, 110 (44.0%) participants reported a total of 421 falls (rate 15.1 per 100 calendar months). The highest monthly fall rate during the pandemic was 22.9 (95% CI 16.4-31.1) per 100 calendar-months in August 2020. The lowest fall rate during the pandemic was 8.6 (95% CI 3.5-17.8) per 100 calendar-months in February 2021. During the pandemic, fall rates in August, September, and October 2020 were higher than the previous year (rate ratio 1.8 [95% CI 1.1-2.9]) and fall rates in November and December 2020 and January 2021 were lower than the previous year (rate ratio 0.5 [95% CI 0.4-0.8]).

Conclusions

As the pandemic continues and older adults resume community mobility after a shelter-in-place period, providers should pay attention to the risk of falls.

Evaluating novel approaches for estimating awake and sleep blood pressure: design of the Better BP Study - a randomised, crossover trial

INTRODUCTION

For many people, blood pressure (BP) levels differ when measured in a medical office versus outside of the office setting. Out-of-office BP has a stronger association with cardiovascular disease (CVD) events compared with BP measured in the office. Many BP guidelines recommend measuring BP outside of the office to confirm the levels obtained in the office. Ambulatory BP monitoring (ABPM) can assess out-of-office BP but is not available in many US practices and some individuals find it uncomfortable. The aims of the Better BP Study are to (1) test if unattended office BP is closer to awake BP on ABPM compared with attended office BP, (2) assess if sleep BP assessed by home BP monitoring (HBPM) agrees with sleep BP from a full night of ABPM and (3) compare the strengths of associations of unattended versus attended office BP, unattended office BP versus awake BP on ABPM and sleep BP on HBPM versus ABPM with markers of end-organ damage.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

We are recruiting 630 adults not taking antihypertensive medication in Birmingham, Alabama, and New York, New York. Participants are having their office BP measured with (attended) and without (unattended) a technician present, in random order, using an automated oscillometric office BP device during each of two visits within one week. Following these visits, participants complete 24 hours of ABPM and one night of HBPM, in random order. Psychosocial factors, anthropometrics, left ventricular mass index and albumin-to-creatinine ratio are also being assessed.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

This study was approved by the University of Alabama at Birmingham and the Columbia University Medical Center Institutional Review Boards. The study results will be disseminated at scientific conferences and published in peer-reviewed journals.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT04307004.

Cost-Effectiveness of Masked Hypertension Screening and Treatment in US Adults With Suspected Masked Hypertension: A Simulation Study

BACKGROUND

Recent US blood pressure (BP) guidelines recommend using ambulatory BP monitoring (ABPM) or home BP monitoring (HBPM) to screen adults for masked hypertension. However, limited evidence exists of the expected long-term effects of screening for and treating masked hypertension.

METHODS

We estimated the lifetime health and economic outcomes of screening for and treating masked hypertension using the Cardiovascular Disease (CVD) Policy Model, a validated microsimulation model. We simulated a cohort of 100,000 US adults aged ≥20 years with suspected masked hypertension (i.e., office BP 120-129/<80 mm Hg, not taking antihypertensive medications, without CVD history). We compared usual care only (i.e., no screening), usual care plus ABPM, and usual care plus HBPM. We projected total direct healthcare costs (2021 USD), quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios. Future costs and QALYs were discounted 3% annually. Secondary outcomes included CVD events and serious adverse events.

RESULTS

Relative to usual care, adding masked hypertension screening and treatment with ABPM and HBPM was projected to prevent 14.3 and 20.5 CVD events per 100,000 person-years, increase the proportion experiencing any treatment-related serious adverse events by 2.7 and 5.1 percentage points, and increase mean total costs by $1,076 and $1,046, respectively. Compared with usual care, adding ABPM was estimated to cost $85,164/QALY gained. HBPM resulted in lower QALYs than usual care due to increased treatment-related adverse events and pill-taking disutility.

CONCLUSIONS

The results from our simulation study suggest screening with ABPM and treating masked hypertension is cost-effective in US adults with suspected masked hypertension.

Serum MicroRNA Transcriptomics and Acute Rejection or Recurrent Hepatitis C Virus in Human Liver Allograft Recipients: A Pilot Study

BACKGROUND

Acute rejection (AR) and recurrent hepatitis C virus (R-HCV) are significant complications in liver allograft recipients. Noninvasive diagnosis of intragraft pathologies may improve their management.

METHODS

We performed small RNA sequencing and microRNA (miRNA) microarray profiling of RNA from sera matched to liver allograft biopsies from patients with nonimmune, nonviral (NINV) native liver disease. Absolute levels of informative miRNAs in 91 sera matched to 91 liver allograft biopsies were quantified using customized real-time quantitative PCR (RT-qPCR) assays: 30 biopsy-matched sera from 26 unique NINV patients and 61 biopsy-matched sera from 41 unique R-HCV patients. The association between biopsy diagnosis and miRNA abundance was analyzed by logistic regression and calculating the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve.

RESULTS

Nine miRNAs-miR-22, miR-34a, miR-122, miR-148a, miR-192, miR-193b, miR-194, miR-210, and miR-885-5p-were identified by both sRNA-seq and TLDA to be associated with NINV-AR. Logistic regression analysis of absolute levels of miRNAs and goodness-of-fit of predictors identified a linear combination of miR-34a + miR-210 (P < 0.0001) as the best statistical model and miR-122 + miR-210 (P < 0.0001) as the best model that included miR-122. A different linear combination of miR-34a + miR-210 (P < 0.0001) was the best model for discriminating NINV-AR from R-HCV with intragraft inflammation, and miR-34a + miR-122 (P < 0.0001) was the best model for discriminating NINV-AR from R-HCV with intragraft fibrosis.

CONCLUSIONS

Circulating levels of miRNAs, quantified using customized RT-qPCR assays, may offer a rapid and noninvasive means of diagnosing AR in human liver allografts and for discriminating AR from intragraft inflammation or fibrosis due to R-HCV.

Potential impact of systematic and random errors in blood pressure measurement on the prevalence of high office blood pressure in the United States

The authors examined the proportion of US adults that would have their high blood pressure (BP) status changed if systolic BP (SBP) and diastolic BP (DBP) were measured with systematic bias and/or random error versus following a standardized protocol. Data from the 2017-2018 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES; n = 5176) were analyzed. BP was measured up to three times using a mercury sphygmomanometer by a trained physician following a standardized protocol and averaged. High BP was defined as SBP ≥130 mm Hg or DBP ≥80 mm Hg. Among US adults not taking antihypertensive medication, 32.0% (95%CI: 29.6%,34.4%) had high BP. If SBP and DBP were measured with systematic bias, 5 mm Hg for SBP and 3.5 mm Hg for DBP higher and lower than in NHANES, the proportion with high BP was estimated to be 44.4% (95%CI: 42.6%,46.2%) and 21.9% (95%CI 19.5%,24.4%). Among US adults taking antihypertensive medication, 60.6% (95%CI: 57.2%,63.9%) had high BP. If SBP and DBP were measured 5 and 3.5 mm Hg higher and lower than in NHANES, the proportion with high BP was estimated to be 71.8% (95%CI: 68.3%,75.0%) and 48.4% (95%CI: 44.6%,52.2%), respectively. If BP was measured with random error, with standard deviations of 15 mm Hg for SBP and 7 mm Hg for DBP, 21.4% (95%CI: 19.8%,23.0%) of US adults not taking antihypertensive medication and 20.5% (95%CI: 17.7%,23.3%) taking antihypertensive medication had their high BP status re-categorized. In conclusions, measuring BP with systematic or random errors may result in the misclassification of high BP for a substantial proportion of US adults.

The association between sleep and psychological distress among New York City healthcare workers during the COVID-19 pandemic

BACKGROUND

Healthcare workers (HCWs) treating patients with COVID-19 report psychological distress. We examined whether disturbed sleep was associated with psychological distress in New York City (NYC) HCWs during the initial peak of the COVID-19 pandemic (April-May 2020).

METHODS

HCWs completed a survey screening for acute stress (4-item Primary Care PTSD screen), depressive (Patient Health Questionaire-2), and anxiety (2-item Generalized Anxiety Disorder scale) symptoms. Insomnia symptoms (modified item from the Insomnia Severity Index) and short sleep (SS, sleep duration <6 h/day) were assessed. Poisson regression analyses predicting psychological distress from SS and insomnia symptoms, adjusting for demographics, clinical role/setting, redeployment status, shifts worked, and multiple comparisons were performed.

RESULTS

Among 813 HCWs (80.6% female, 59.0% white) mean sleep duration was 5.8 ± 1.2 h/night. Prevalence of SS, insomnia, acute stress, depressive, and anxiety symptoms were 38.8%, 72.8%, 57.9%, 33.8%, and 48.2%, respectively. Insomnia symptoms was associated with acute stress (adjusted prevalence ratio [PR]: 1.51, 95% CI: 1.35, 1.69), depressive (PR: 2.04, 95% CI: 1.78, 2.33), and anxiety (PR: 1.74, 95% CI: 1.55, 1.94) symptoms. SS was also associated with acute stress (PR: 1.17, 95% CI: 1.07, 1.29), depressive (PR: 1.36, 95% CI: 1.233, 1.51), and anxiety (PR: 1.38, 95% CI: 1.26, 1.50) symptoms.

LIMITATIONS

Our cross-sectional analysis may preclude the identification of temporal associations and limit causal claims.

CONCLUSIONS

In our study, SS and insomnia were associated with psychological distress symptoms in NYC HCWs during the COVID-19 pandemic. Sleep may be a target for interventions to decrease psychological distress among HCWs.

The Retail Outlet Health Kiosk Hypertension Trial (ROKHYT): Pilot Results

BACKGROUND

Blood pressure (BP) control was only 43.7% in the National Health and Nutrition Survey (NHANES) survey in 2017-2018. Scalable, nonclinic-based strategies to control BP are needed. We therefore conducted a pilot trial of a text-messaging intervention in a national network of retail outlet health kiosks with BP devices. All study procedures were conducted remotely.

METHODS

Eligible individuals (N = 140), based on average BP greater than or equal to 140/90 mm Hg at kiosks during the prior year, were randomized to intervention vs. usual care. Intervention consisted of tailored text messages providing educational information with embedded links to educational videos on topics related to BP control. BP measurements were obtained at kiosks at 3, 6, and 12 months following randomization; control was defined as BP < 140/90 mm Hg. Follow-up at 12 months was curtailed due to SARS-CoV-2. We therefore combined 12-month (N = 62) or carried forward 6-month (N = 61) data as the primary end point.

RESULTS

Participants were 51.4% male, 70.7% white/Caucasian, had mean age of 52.1 years, and mean baseline BP 145.5/91.8 mm Hg. At the end point, 37.7% intervention vs. 27.4% usual care subjects achieved BP control (difference, 10.3%, 95% confidence interval -6.2%, 26.8%). In an intention-to-treat analysis with multiple imputation of missing data, 12-month BP control was 29.0% vs. 19.8% favoring intervention (difference, 9.2%. 95% confidence interval -7.3%, 25.7%); intervention vs. control differences in adjusted mean BP levels were systolic BP: -5.4 mm Hg (95% confidence interval: -13.5, 2.7) and diastolic BP: +0.6 mm Hg (95% confidence interval: -4.2, 5.4).

CONCLUSIONS

These pilot results support the potential for a highly scalable text-messaging intervention to improve BP.

CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION

Trial Number NCT03515681.

The stress, salt excretion, and nighttime blood pressure (SABRE) study: Rationale and study design

Background

Abnormal diurnal patterns of blood pressure (BP) on ambulatory BP monitoring (ABPM), defined by reduced BP dipping or elevated nighttime BP, are associated with increased risk for adverse cardiovascular events. Psychological stress is associated with abnormal diurnal patterns of BP. Exposure to an acute stressor (e.g., mental stress task) normally increases urinary sodium excretion. However, some individuals have sodium retention after stress provocation, revealing substantial between-person variability in the degree of stress-induced sodium excretion. Prior research suggests urinary sodium excretion that does not occur during the daytime may shift toward the nighttime, accompanied by an increase in nighttime BP. Associations between psychological stress and the diurnal patterns of sodium excretion and BP are not yet fully understood.

Design

The study is conducted in both the laboratory and naturalistic environment with a multi-racial/ethnic sample of 211 healthy adults. In the laboratory, change in urinary sodium excretion in response to mental stress tasks is examined with pre-/post-stress assessments of sodium excretion. Changes in angiotensin-II, catecholamines, BP, heart rate, endothelin-1, and cortisol are also assessed. In the 24-hour naturalistic environment, the diurnal patterns of sodium excretion and systolic BP are assessed as daytime-to-nighttime ratio of sodium excretion and ABPM, respectively. Ecological momentary assessments of perceived stress are also collected.

Summary

The SABRE study investigates previously unexplored associations between stress-induced urinary excretion in the laboratory, diurnal patterns of sodium excretion and BP in the naturalistic environment, and ecological stress. It has high potential to advance our understanding of the role of psychological stress in hypertension.

Race/Ethnicity, Spirometry Reference Equations and Prediction of Incident Clinical Events: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) Lung Study

RATIONALE

Normal values for forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1) and forced vital capacity (FVC) are currently calculated using cross-sectional reference equations that include terms for race/ethnicity, an approach that may reinforce disparities and is of unclear clinical benefit.

OBJECTIVES

To determine whether race/ethnic-based spirometry reference equations improve the prediction of incident chronic lower respiratory disease (CLRD) events and mortality compared to race/ethnic-neutral equations.

METHODS

The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) Lung Study, a population-based, prospective cohort study of White, Black, Hispanic, and Asian adults, performed standardized spirometry in 2004-06. Predicted values for spirometry were calculated using race/ethnic-based equations following guidelines and, alternatively, race/ethnic-neutral equations without terms for race/ethnicity. Participants were followed for events through 2019.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

The mean age of 3,344 participants was 65 years and self-reported race/ethnicity was 36% White, 25% Black, 23% Hispanic, and 17% Asian. There were 181 incident CLRD-related events and 547 deaths over a median of 11.6 years. There was no evidence that percent-predicted FEV1 or FVC calculated by race/ethnic-based equations improved the prediction of CLRD-related events compared to that calculated by race/ethnic-neutral equations (difference in C-statistics -0.005, 95% CI -0.013, 0.003, and -0.008, 95% CI -0.016, -0.0006, respectively). Findings were similar for mortality (difference in C-statistics -0.002, 95% CI -0.008, 0.003, and -0.004, 95% CI -0.009, 0.001, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

There was no evidence that race/ethnic-based spirometry reference equations improved the prediction of clinical events compared to race/ethnic-neutral equations. The inclusion of race/ethnicity in spirometry reference equations should be reconsidered.

Association Between Preserved Ratio Impaired Spirometry and Clinical Outcomes in US Adults

Importance

Chronic lung diseases are a leading cause of morbidity and mortality. Unlike chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, clinical outcomes associated with proportional reductions in expiratory lung volumes without obstruction, otherwise known as preserved ratio impaired spirometry (PRISm), are poorly understood.

Objective

To examine the prevalence, correlates, and clinical outcomes associated with PRISm in US adults.

Design, Setting, and Participants

The National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (NHLBI) Pooled Cohorts Study was a retrospective study with harmonized pooled data from 9 US general population-based cohorts (enrollment, 65 251 participants aged 18 to 102 years of whom 53 701 participants had valid baseline lung function) conducted from 1971-2011 (final follow-up, December 2018).

Exposures

Participants were categorized into mutually exclusive groups by baseline lung function. PRISm was defined as the ratio of forced expiratory volume in the first second to forced vital capacity (FEV1:FVC) greater than or equal to 0.70 and FEV1 less than 80% predicted; obstructive spirometry FEV1:FVC ratio of less than 0.70; and normal spirometry FEV1:FVC ratio greater than or equal to 0.7 and FEV1 greater than or equal to 80% predicted.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Main outcomes were all-cause mortality, respiratory-related mortality, coronary heart disease (CHD)-related mortality, respiratory-related events (hospitalizations and mortality), and CHD-related events (hospitalizations and mortality) classified by adjudication or validated administrative criteria. Absolute risks were adjusted for age and smoking status. Poisson and Cox proportional hazards models comparing PRISm vs normal spirometry were adjusted for age, sex, race and ethnicity, education, body mass index, smoking status, cohort, and comorbidities.

Results

Among all participants (mean [SD] age, 53.2 [15.8] years, 56.4% women, 48.5% never-smokers), 4582 (8.5%) had PRISm. The presence of PRISm relative to normal spirometry was significantly associated with obesity (prevalence, 48.3% vs 31.4%; prevalence ratio [PR], 1.68 [95% CI, 1.55-1.82]), underweight (prevalence, 1.4% vs 1.0%; PR, 2.20 [95% CI, 1.72-2.82]), female sex (prevalence, 60.3% vs 59.0%; PR, 1.07 [95% CI, 1.01-1.13]), and current smoking (prevalence, 25.2% vs 17.5%; PR, 1.33 [95% CI, 1.22-1.45]). PRISm, compared with normal spirometry, was significantly associated with greater all-cause mortality (29.6/1000 person-years vs 18.0/1000 person-years; difference, 11.6/1000 person-years [95% CI, 10.0-13.1]; adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 1.50 [95% CI, 1.42-1.59]), respiratory-related mortality (2.1/1000 person-years vs 1.0/1000 person-years; difference, 1.1/1000 person-years [95% CI, 0.7-1.6]; adjusted HR, 1.95 [95% CI, 1.54-2.48]), CHD-related mortality (5.4/1000 person-years vs 2.6/1000 person-years; difference, 2.7/1000 person-years [95% CI, 2.1-3.4]; adjusted HR, 1.55 [95% CI, 1.36-1.77]), respiratory-related events (12.2/1000 person-years vs 6.0/1000 person-years; difference, 6.2/1000 person-years [95% CI, 4.9-7.5]; adjusted HR, 1.90 [95% CI, 1.69-2.14]), and CHD-related events (11.7/1000 person-years vs 7.0/1000 person-years; difference, 4.7/1000 person-years [95% CI, 3.7-5.8]; adjusted HR, 1.30 [95% CI, 1.18-1.42]).

Conclusions and Relevance

In a large, population-based sample of US adults, baseline PRISm, compared with normal spirometry, was associated with a small but statistically significant increased risk for mortality and adverse cardiovascular and respiratory outcomes. Further research is needed to explore whether this association is causal.

Urinary Cell mRNA Profiles Predictive of Human Kidney Allograft Status

Immune monitoring of kidney allograft recipients and personalized therapeutics may help reach the aspirational goal of "one transplant for life." The invasive kidney biopsy procedure, the diagnostic tool of choice, has become safer and the biopsy classification more refined. Nevertheless, biopsy-associated complications, interobserver variability in biopsy specimen scoring, and costs continue to be significant concerns. The dynamics of the immune repertoire make frequent assessments of allograft status necessary, but repeat biopsies of the kidney are neither practical nor safe. To address the existing challenges, we developed urinary cell mRNA profiling and investigated the diagnostic, prognostic, and predictive accuracy of absolute levels of a hypothesis-based panel of mRNAs encoding immunoregulatory proteins. Enabled by our refinements of the PCR assay and by investigating mechanistic hypotheses, our single-center studies identified urinary cell mRNAs associated with T cell-mediated rejection, antibody-mediated rejection, interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy, and BK virus nephropathy. In the multicenter National Institutes of Health Clinical Trials in Organ Transplantation-04, we discovered and validated a urinary cell three-gene signature of T-cell CD3 ε chain mRNA, interferon gamma inducible protein 10 (IP-10) mRNA, and 18s ribosomal RNA that is diagnostic of subclinical acute cellular rejection and acute cellular rejection and prognostic of acute cellular rejection and graft function. The trajectory of the signature score remained flat and below the diagnostic threshold for acute cellular rejection in the patients with no rejection biopsy specimens, whereas a sharp rise was observed during the weeks before the biopsy specimen that showed acute cellular rejection. Our RNA sequencing and bioinformatics identified kidney allograft biopsy specimen gene signatures of acute rejection to be enriched in urinary cells matched to acute rejection biopsy specimens. The urinary cellular landscape was more diverse and more enriched for immune cell types compared with kidney allograft biopsy specimens. Urinary cell mRNA profile-guided clinical trials are needed to evaluate their value compared with current standard of care.

Abstract P117: Comparison Between Routine Clinical And Research Blood Pressure Measurements

Background: Prior studies have found a large difference between blood pressure (BP) when measured routinely in the clinic compared with research studies. We aimed to compare routine clinic BP to research-grade BP in a large, integrated health care system that has initiatives to standardize clinic BP measurements.

Methods: We identified Kaiser Permanente Southern California members ≥ 65 years old diagnosed with hypertension and taking antihypertensive medication from the Ambulatory Blood Pressure in Older Adults (AMBROSIA) study. Research-grade BPs were obtained under standardized conditions by certified research staff using a semi-automatic oscillometric device, pre-programmed to take 3 measurements at 1-minute intervals. The average of the 3 BPs was used. The most recent (prior to study enrollment) routine clinic BP from an outpatient, non-urgent clinical care encounter, measured using a semi-automatic oscillometric device, was obtained via electronic health records. If there were multiple BP readings on the same day, the first reading was used. The mean difference between clinic BP and research-grade BP was tested using paired t-tests, while the Pearson correlation and a Bland-Altman analysis were used to assess level of agreement.

Results: We included 309 participants (mean age 75 ± 6 years; 54% female; 49% non-Hispanic white, 17% non-Hispanic Black, 17% Hispanic, 15% Asian/Pacific Islander). When measured in routine clinic practice and in the research study, the mean (SD) systolic BP (SBP) was 135 (16) mm Hg and 132 (15) mm Hg, respectively, (mean difference = - 2.7 mm Hg; 95% CI -4.6 to -0.9; limits of agreement = -36 to 30 mm Hg) and the mean diastolic BP (DBP) was 70 (10) mm Hg and 69 (10) mm Hg, respectively (mean difference = - 0.9 mm Hg; 95% CI -2.1 to 0.3; limits of agreement = -22 to 20 mm Hg). Pearson correlation analysis showed modest correlations between the two types of BP measurements (SBP r=0.40, p<0.01; DBP r=0.45, p<0.01).

Conclusion: The difference between clinic and research-grade BP was, on average, small, but differences at the individual level were often substantial.

The association of transmission concerns and social distance from loved ones with distress in medical professionals providing care during the COVID-19 pandemic in New York City

BACKGROUND

Health care workers (HCWs) during the COVID-19 pandemic report high levels of psychological distress. We examined whether concerns regarding transmission of COVID-19 to loved ones and social distancing from loved ones were associated with HCWs' distress. We tested whether living with others modified these associations.

METHOD

HCWs at a New York City academic medical center (N = 767; 80.7% female, 58.5% White) enrolled in the COVID-19 Health Care Provider Study and completed a web-based survey between April 9, 2020 and May 11, 2020.

RESULTS

Controlling for demographics, distress regarding potential transmission to loved ones and social distancing from loved ones were each significantly associated with higher odds of a positive screen for acute stress, depression, and anxiety (ORs = 1.29-1.59, all ps < .01). Living with others was associated with lower odds of a positive screen for depression and anxiety, though the protective effect for anxiety was evident only for HCWs with no distress regarding transmission concerns.

CONCLUSIONS

Transmission concerns and social distancing from loved ones were associated with greater odds of psychological distress, whereas living with others was associated with lower odds of distress. Interventions should consider ways to facilitate the ability of HCWs to receive social support from loved ones, while simultaneously protecting their family's health. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2021 APA, all rights reserved).

Abstract P116: VARIATION IN MEAN ARTERIAL PRESSURE (MAP) AND ITS HEMODYNAMIC COMPONENTS DURING 24-HOUR AMBULATORY PULSE WAVE ANALYSIS: IMPACT OF AGE, RACE, GENDER AND BODY SIZE

BP is highly variable within and between individuals but the impact of variation in underlying hemodynamic components is unknown. We tested the feasibility and clinical associations of quantitated variances in MAP and its hemodynamic components [heart rate (HR), stroke volume (SV) and total vascular resistance (TVR)] obtained by 24-hr ambulatory pulse wave analysis (PWA, Mobil-O-Graph, IEM, Stolzberg, DE). BP and PWA were measured every 20 min for 24 hrs. Indexed to body surface area, MAP = HR*[SV index (SVI)]*[TVR index (TVRI)]; ln(MAP) = ln(HR) + ln(SVI) + ln(TVRI); and total MAP variability = var [ln(MAP)] = covariance (cov)[ln(HR), ln(MAP)] + cov[ln(SVI), ln(MAP)] + cov[ln(TVRI), ln(MAP)]. Relative contributions to var[ln(MAP)] for each hemodynamic component (as %) were calculated and associations with demographic characteristics were analyzed by correlations and t-tests. We studied 152 people (49% women, 23% black); mean(SD): # readings 57(11), age 59(16) yr, BMI 29.9(6.5) kg/m 2 , systolic BP 135(18) and MAP 106(14) mmHg. Mean(SD) 24-hr values were: ln(MAP) 4.64 (0.13), ln(HR) 4.20 (0.15), ln(SVI) -3.32 (0.15), and ln(TVRI) 3.75 (0.18). Relative contributions of hemodynamic components to total 24-hr ln(MAP) variation were: TVRI 54(36)%, HR 33(38)%, and SVI 13(40)%. The large SDs of these relative contributions led to analysis of potential contributing factors: TVRI contribution was correlated with 24-hr mean MAP (r=0.24, p=0.003) and was higher (>54%) in males (p=0.03) and blacks (p=0.04); HR contribution was inversely related to MAP (r=-0.26, p=0.001), age (r=-0.29, p=0.0003) and BMI (r=-0.173 p=0.05) and was lower (<33%) in blacks (p=0.008); SVI contribution was correlated with age (r=0.31, p<0.0001) and BMI (r=0.23, p=0.005) and was higher (>13%) in women (p=0.03). We conclude that 24-hr ambulatory PWA can identify components of MAP variation within individuals and their associations with demographic factors. The relative contributions of hemodynamic components (HR, SV, TVR) to 24-hr variability in ln(MAP) varies systematically with 24-hr mean MAP, age, race, gender, and BMI. Theoretical clinical implications may include therapeutic adjustments for extremes of variation in HR (beta-blockers), TVR (vasodilators) or SV (diuretics).

FOXP3 mRNA Profile Prognostic of Acute T Cell-mediated Rejection and Human Kidney Allograft Survival

BACKGROUND

T cell-mediated rejection (TCMR) is the most frequent type of acute rejection and is associated with kidney allograft failure. Almost 40% of TCMR episodes are nonresponsive to therapy, and molecular mechanisms for the nonresponsiveness are unknown. Our single-center study identified that urinary cell FOXP3 mRNA abundance predicts TCMR reversibility and allograft survival.

METHODS

We developed PCR assays and measured absolute copy numbers of transcripts for FOXP3, CD25, CD3E, perforin, and 18S rRNA in 3559 urines from 480 kidney allograft recipients prospectively enrolled in the multicenter Clinical Trials in Organ Transplantation-04. In this replication study, we investigated the association between mRNA profile and TCMR diagnosis, TCMR reversibility, and allograft survival.

RESULTS

18S rRNA normalized levels of mRNA for FOXP3 (P = 0.01, Kruskal-Wallis test), CD25 (P = 0.01), CD3E (P < 0.0001), and perforin (P < 0.0001) were diagnostic of TCMR, but only FOXP3 mRNA level predicted TCMR reversibility (ROC AUC = 0.764; 95% confidence interval, 0.611-0.917; P = 0.008). Multivariable logistic regression analyses showed that urinary cell FOXP3 mRNA level predicted reversal, independent of clinical variables. A composite model of clinical variables and FOXP3 mRNA (AUC = 0.889; 95% CI, 0.781-0.997; P < 0.001) outperformed FOXP3 mRNA or clinical variables in predicting TCMR reversibility (P = 0.01, likelihood ratio test). Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression analyses showed that FOXP3 mRNA level predicts kidney allograft survival (P = 0.047) but not after controlling for TCMR reversal (P = 0.477).

CONCLUSIONS

Urinary cell level of FOXP3 mRNA is diagnostic of TCMR, predicts TCMR reversibility, and is prognostic of kidney allograft survival via a mechanism involving TCMR reversal.

Office, Central, and Ambulatory Blood Pressure for Predicting First Stroke in Older Adults: A Community-Based Cohort Study

[Figure: see text].

SCORE2 risk prediction algorithms: new models to estimate 10-year risk of cardiovascular disease in Europe

AIMS

The aim of this study was to develop, validate, and illustrate an updated prediction model (SCORE2) to estimate 10-year fatal and non-fatal cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk in individuals without previous CVD or diabetes aged 40-69 years in Europe.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We derived risk prediction models using individual-participant data from 45 cohorts in 13 countries (677 684 individuals, 30 121 CVD events). We used sex-specific and competing risk-adjusted models, including age, smoking status, systolic blood pressure, and total- and HDL-cholesterol. We defined four risk regions in Europe according to country-specific CVD mortality, recalibrating models to each region using expected incidences and risk factor distributions. Region-specific incidence was estimated using CVD mortality and incidence data on 10 776 466 individuals. For external validation, we analysed data from 25 additional cohorts in 15 European countries (1 133 181 individuals, 43 492 CVD events). After applying the derived risk prediction models to external validation cohorts, C-indices ranged from 0.67 (0.65-0.68) to 0.81 (0.76-0.86). Predicted CVD risk varied several-fold across European regions. For example, the estimated 10-year CVD risk for a 50-year-old smoker, with a systolic blood pressure of 140 mmHg, total cholesterol of 5.5 mmol/L, and HDL-cholesterol of 1.3 mmol/L, ranged from 5.9% for men in low-risk countries to 14.0% for men in very high-risk countries, and from 4.2% for women in low-risk countries to 13.7% for women in very high-risk countries.

CONCLUSION

SCORE2-a new algorithm derived, calibrated, and validated to predict 10-year risk of first-onset CVD in European populations-enhances the identification of individuals at higher risk of developing CVD across Europe.

Twenty-Five-Year Changes in Office and Ambulatory Blood Pressure: Results From the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults (CARDIA) Study

BACKGROUND

Blood pressure (BP) measured in the office setting increases from early through later adulthood. However, it is unknown to what extent out-of-office BP derived via ambulatory BP monitoring (ABPM) increases over time, and which participant characteristics and risk factors might contribute to these increases.

METHODS

We assessed 25-year change in office- and ABPM-derived BP across sex, race, diabetes mellitus (DM), and body mass index (BMI) subgroups in the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults study using multivariable-adjusted linear mixed effects models.

RESULTS

We included 288 participants who underwent ABPM at the Year 5 Exam (mean [SD] age, 25.1 [3.7]; 45.8% men) and 455 participants who underwent ABPM at the Year 30 Exam (mean [SD] age, 49.5 [3.7]; 42.0% men). Office, daytime, and nighttime systolic BP (SBP) increased 12.8 (95% confidence interval [CI], 7.6-17.9), 14.7 (95% CI, 9.7-19.8), and 16.6 (95% CI, 11.4-21.8) mm Hg, respectively, over 25 years. Office SBP increased 6.5 (95% CI, 2.3-10.6) mm Hg more among black compared with white participants. Daytime SBP increased 6.3 (95% CI, 0.2-12.4) mm Hg more among participants with a BMI ≥25 vs. <25 kg/m2. Nighttime SBP increased 4.7 (95% CI, 0.5-8.9) mm Hg more among black compared with white participants, and 17.3 (95% CI, 7.2-27.4) mm Hg more among participants with vs. without DM.

CONCLUSIONS

Office- and ABPM-derived BP increased more from early through middle adulthood among black adults and participants with DM and BMI ≥25 kg/m2.

Estimated Prevalence of Masked Asleep Hypertension in US Adults

Importance

High blood pressure (BP) during sleep (asleep blood pressure) is associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular disease, but a national prevalence estimate of masked asleep hypertension (high BP while sleeping but without high BP measured in the clinic [clinic BP]) for the United States is lacking.

Objectives

To estimate the prevalence of masked asleep hypertension among US adults by using BP thresholds from the Seventh Report of the Joint National Committee on Prevention, Detection, Evaluation, and Treatment of High Blood Pressure (JNC7) and the 2017 American College of Cardiology-American Heart Association (ACC-AHA) BP guidelines.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This cohort analysis pooled data from 3000 participants in 4 US population-based studies that conducted 24-hour ambulatory BP monitoring (ABPM) and 17 969 participants in the 2011-2016 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) without ABPM. Masked asleep hypertension status in NHANES was imputed using a 2-stage multiple imputation process. Data were collected from 2000 to 2016 and analyzed from March 4, 2019, to June 29, 2020.

Main Outcomes and Measures

High clinic BP was defined as clinic systolic BP (SBP)/diastolic BP (DBP) of at least 140/90 mm Hg using JNC7 and at least 130/80 mm Hg using 2017 ACC-AHA guidelines. High asleep BP was defined as mean asleep SBP/DBP of at least 120/70 mm Hg for JNC7 and at least 110/65 mm Hg for the 2017 ACC-AHA guidelines. Masked asleep hypertension was defined as high asleep BP without high clinic BP.

Results

For the 3000 pooled cohort participants, the mean (SD) age was 52.0 (12.0) years, and 62.6% were women. For the 17 969 NHANES participants, the mean (SD) age was 46.7 (17.5) years, and 51.8% (weighted) were women. The estimated prevalence of masked asleep hypertension among US adults was 18.8% (95% CI, 16.7%-20.8%; 44.4 million US adults) using the JNC7 guideline and 22.7% (95% CI, 20.6%-24.8%; 53.7 million US adults) using the 2017 ACC-AHA guideline criteria. The prevalence of masked asleep hypertension was higher among older adults (aged ≥65 years, 24.4% [95% CI, 20.7%-28.0%]), men (27.0% [95% CI, 24.1%-29.9%]), non-Hispanic Black individuals (28.7% [95% CI, 25.4%-32.0%]), those who were taking antihypertensives (24.4% [95% CI, 21.1%-27.8%]), those who had masked daytime hypertension (44.7% [95% CI, 40.1%-49.3%]), and those with diabetes (27.6% [95% CI, 23.5%-31.8%]), obesity (24.3% [95% CI, 21.8%-26.9%]), or chronic kidney disease (21.5% [95% CI, 17.3%-25.6%]) using the 2017 ACC-AHA guideline. An estimated 11.9% of US adults (28.2 million) had isolated masked asleep hypertension (masked asleep hypertension but without high awake BP) using JNC7 guideline criteria, as did an estimated 13.3% (31.5 million) using 2017 ACC-AHA guideline criteria.

Conclusions and Relevance

These findings suggest that the prevalence of masked asleep hypertension is high among US adults. Data are needed on the cardiovascular risk reduction benefits of treating asleep hypertension.

Association Between Ambulatory Blood Pressure and Coronary Artery Calcification: The JHS

[Figure: see text].

Effects of ambulatory blood pressure monitoring on sleep in healthy, normotensive men and women

OBJECTIVES

To determine the effect of ambulatory blood pressure monitoring (ABPM) on sleep quality among healthy adults and to explore possible effect modification by demographics.

METHODS

We examined data from 192 relatively healthy young (median age: 31; 33% men, 18% with clinic BP >130/80 mmHg) participants in an observational study of sleep and arterial stiffness. Demographic/health questionnaires were completed. A wrist-based accelerometer assessed sleep for seven nights, and sleep duration, wakefulness after sleep onset (WASO), fragmentation (physical restlessness), midpoint, and efficiency were estimated. ABPM was conducted for one 36-h period, including one actigraphy night.

RESULTS

Within-subject comparisons indicated that WASO and fragmentation were higher, midpoint was later, and efficiency was lower on the ABPM night (Ps < 0.001-0.038). Neither age nor sex moderated these associations. Among older adults, a later midpoint and worse fragmentation were observed with ABPM (Ps = 0.002-0.010). There was also a main effect of sex: men demonstrated shorter sleep duration, greater WASO and fragmentation, and less efficiency than women (Ps = 0.002-0.046). With ABPM, women had worse fragmentation and a later midpoint (Ps = 0.002-0.049); for men, WASO and fragmentation were worse (Ps = 0.003-0.023). Importantly, this study does not address whether the effect of wearing ABPM on sleep in turn affects BP during sleep.

CONCLUSIONS

ABPM appears to modestly disturb actigraphy-assessed sleep among healthy adults. Researchers and clinicians should consider the downstream effects of performing ABPM and whether these effects are more pronounced in those who typically experience sleep disturbance.