Post Hoc Analysis of Lung Function Improvement and Patient-Reported Outcomes With Revefenacin in Adults With Moderate-to-Very Severe COPD and Comorbid Anxiety or Depression

Background

Revefenacin, a once-daily, nebulized, long-acting muscarinic antagonist approved in the United States for the maintenance of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), significantly improves lung function and quality of life versus placebo in patients with moderate-to-very severe COPD. Comorbid anxiety and/or depression may alter patients' symptom perception and response to bronchodilators. The impact of revefenacin in patients with COPD with comorbid anxiety and/or depression has not been previously investigated.

Methods

This post hoc subgroup analysis examined data from two 12-week, randomized, phase 3 trials in patients with moderate-to-very severe COPD with the following self-reported subgroups: anxiety only (A), depression only (D), anxiety and depression (+A/+D), and neither anxiety nor depression (-A/-D). We assessed change from baseline in trough forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1) at Day 85 and health status by the St George's Respiratory Questionnaire (SGRQ) and COPD Assessment Test (CAT).

Results

Of 812 patients, 90 (11%), 110 (14%), 141 (17%), and 471 (58%) had A, D, +A/+D, and -A/-D respectively. In revefenacin versus placebo, trough FEV1 significantly improved from baseline at Day 85 across all subgroups as well as the SGRQ and CAT scores in patients with A, +A/+D, and -A/-D. Revefenacin was well tolerated regardless of A/D status, with a minimal incidence of treatment-emergent antimuscarinic adverse events across subgroups.

Conclusion

In this analysis, revefenacin versus placebo significantly improved health outcomes in patients with moderate-to-very severe COPD with A, +A/+D, and -A/-D, but not in patients with D. The safety profile of revefenacin was not affected by comorbid anxiety/depression status.

Dysanapsis is differentially related to lung function trajectories with distinct structural and functional patterns in COPD and variable risk for adverse outcomes

Background

Abnormal lung function trajectories are associated with increased risk of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and premature mortality; several risk factors for following these trajectories have been identified. Airway under-sizing dysanapsis (small airway lumens relative to lung size), is associated with an increased risk for COPD. The relationship between dysanapsis and lung function trajectories at risk for adverse outcomes of COPD is largely unexplored. We test the hypothesis that dysanapsis differentially affects distinct lung function trajectories associated with adverse outcomes of COPD.

Methods

To identify lung function trajectories, we applied Bayesian trajectory analysis to longitudinal FEV1 and FVC Z-scores in the COPDGene Study, an ongoing longitudinal study that collected baseline data from 2007 to 2012. To ensure clinical relevance, we selected trajectories based on risk stratification for all-cause mortality and prospective exacerbations of COPD (ECOPD). Dysanapsis was measured in baseline COPDGene CT scans as the airway lumen-to-lung volume (a/l) ratio. We compared a/l ratios between trajectories and evaluated their association with trajectory assignment, controlling for previously identified risk factors. We also assigned COPDGene participants for whom only baseline data is available to their most likely trajectory and repeated our analysis to further evaluate the relationship between trajectory assignment and a/l ratio measures.

Findings

We identified seven trajectories: supranormal, reference, and five trajectories at increased risk for mortality and exacerbations. Three at-risk trajectories are characterized by varying degrees of concomitant FEV1 and FVC impairments and exhibit airway predominant COPD patterns as assessed by quantitative CT imaging. These trajectories have lower a/l ratio values and increased risk for mortality and ECOPD compared to the reference trajectory. Two at-risk trajectories are characterized by disparate levels of FEV1 and FVC impairment and exhibit mixed airway and emphysema COPD patterns on quantitative CT imaging. These trajectories have markedly lower a/l ratio values compared to both the reference trajectory and airway-predominant trajectories and are at greater risk for mortality and ECOPD compared to the airway-predominant trajectories. These findings were observed among the participants with baseline-only data as well.

Interpretation

The degree of dysanapsis appears to portend patterns of progression leading to COPD. Assignment of individuals-including those without spirometric obstruction-to distinct trajectories is possible in a clinical setting and may influence management strategies. Strategies that combine CT-assessed dysanapsis together with spirometric measures of lung function and smoke exposure assessment are likely to further improve trajectory assignment accuracy, thereby improving early detection of those most at risk for adverse outcomes.

Funding

United States National Institute of Health, COPD Foundation, and Brigham and Women's Hospital.

Pulmonary Rehabilitation Utilization in Older Adults With Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease, 2013 to 2019

RATIONALE

Pulmonary rehabilitation (PR) is very effective in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) for improving exercise tolerance and functional capacity, alleviating dyspnea, and improving respiratory-quality of life. Access to and utilization of PR remains poor.

OBJECTIVE

To assess the trends in PR utilization and factors associated with its use in adults with COPD.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed the utilization of PR in adults with COPD using a 20% Medicare beneficiary population from January 1, 2013, to December 31, 2019. Adults with COPD were identified by (1) ≥2 outpatient visits >30 days apart within 1 year with an encounter diagnosis of COPD or (2) hospitalization with COPD as the primary diagnosis or a primary diagnosis of acute respiratory failure with a secondary discharge diagnosis of COPD. PR utilization in each calendar year was identified using current procedural terminology and healthcare common procedure coding system codes. Factors associated with PR utilization were tested in bivariate and multivariable regression logistic models.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

There was a gradual but modest increase in the percentage of COPD patients utilizing PR; the proportion increased from 2.5% in 2013 to 4.0% in 2019. Overall, the percentage utilizing PR remained low. Factors associated with higher odds of utilizing PR included younger age (66-74 years), White race, higher socioeconomic status, lower comorbidity score, residence in metropolitan urban areas, and sole or co-management by a pulmonologist.

CONCLUSION

Utilization of PR by Medicare beneficiaries with COPD has not changed meaningfully in the past decade and remains low.

Early Evidence of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Obscured by Race-Specific Prediction Equations

Rationale: The identification of early chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is essential to appropriately counsel patients regarding smoking cessation, provide symptomatic treatment, and eventually develop disease-modifying treatments. Disease severity in COPD is defined using race-specific spirometry equations. These may disadvantage non-White individuals in diagnosis and care. Objectives: Determine the impact of race-specific equations on African American (AA) versus non-Hispanic White individuals. Methods: Cross-sectional analyses of the COPDGene (Genetic Epidemiology of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease) cohort were conducted, comparing non-Hispanic White (n = 6,766) and AA (n = 3,366) participants for COPD manifestations. Measurements and Main Results: Spirometric classifications using race-specific, multiethnic, and "race-reversed" prediction equations (NHANES [National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey] and Global Lung Function Initiative "Other" and "Global") were compared, as were respiratory symptoms, 6-minute-walk distance, computed tomography imaging, respiratory exacerbations, and St. George's Respiratory Questionnaire. Application of different prediction equations to the cohort resulted in different classifications by stage, with NHANES and Global Lung Function Initiative race-specific equations being minimally different, but race-reversed equations moving AA participants to more severe stages and especially between the Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) stage 0 and preserved ratio impaired spirometry groups. Classification using the established NHANES race-specific equations demonstrated that for each of GOLD stages 1-4, AA participants were younger, had fewer pack-years and more current smoking, but had more exacerbations, shorter 6-minute-walk distance, greater dyspnea, and worse BODE (body mass index, airway obstruction, dyspnea, and exercise capacity) scores and St. George's Respiratory Questionnaire scores. Differences were greatest in GOLD stages 1 and 2. Race-reversed equations reclassified 774 AA participants (43%) from GOLD stage 0 to preserved ratio impaired spirometry. Conclusions: Race-specific equations underestimated disease severity among AA participants. These effects were particularly evident in early disease and may result in late detection of COPD.

Myeloid Heterogeneity Mediates Acute Exacerbations of Pulmonary Fibrosis

Epidemiological evidence indicates that exposure to particulate matter is linked to the development of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) and increases the incidence of acute exacerbations of IPF. In addition to accelerating the rate of lung function decline, exposure to fine particulate matter (particulate matter smaller than 2.5 μm [PM2.5]) is a risk factor for increased mortality in subjects with IPF. In this article, we show that exposure to PM2.5 mediates monocyte recruitment and fibrotic progression in mice with established fibrosis. In mice with established fibrosis, bronchoalveolar lavage cells showed monocyte/macrophage heterogeneity after exposure to PM2.5. These cells had a significant inflammatory and anti-inflammatory signature. The mixed heterogeneity of cells contributed to the proinflammatory and anti-inflammatory response. Although monocyte-derived macrophages were recruited to the lung in bleomycin-injured mice treated with PM2.5, recruitment of monocytes expressing Ly6Chi to the lung promoted progression of fibrosis, reduced lung aeration on computed tomography, and impacted lung compliance. Ly6Chi monocytes isolated from PM2.5-exposed fibrotic mice showed enhanced expression of proinflammatory markers compared with fibrotic mice exposed to vehicle. Moreover, IPF bronchoalveolar lavage cells treated ex vivo with PM2.5 showed an exaggerated inflammatory response. Targeting Ly6Chi monocyte recruitment inhibited fibrotic progression in mice. Moreover, the adoptive transfer of Ly6Chi monocytes exacerbated established fibrosis. These observations suggest that enhanced recruitment of Ly6Chi monocytes with a proinflammatory phenotype mediates acute exacerbations of pulmonary fibrosis, and targeting these cells may provide a potential novel therapeutic target to protect against acute exacerbations of IPF.

Race-Specific Spirometry Equations Do Not Improve Models of Dyspnea and Quantitative Chest CT Phenotypes

BACKGROUND

Race-specific spirometry reference equations are used globally to interpret lung function for clinical, research, and occupational purposes, but inclusion of race is under scrutiny.

RESEARCH QUESTION

Does including self-identified race in spirometry reference equation formation improve the ability of predicted FEV1 values to explain quantitative chest CT abnormalities, dyspnea, or Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) classification?

STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS

Using data from healthy adults who have never smoked in both the National Health and Nutrition Survey (2007-2012) and COPDGene study cohorts, race-neutral, race-free, and race-specific prediction equations were generated for FEV1. Using sensitivity/specificity, multivariable logistic regression, and random forest models, these equations were applied in a cross-sectional analysis to populations of individuals who currently smoke and individuals who formerly smoked to determine how they affected GOLD classification and the fit of models predicting quantitative chest CT phenotypes or dyspnea.

RESULTS

Race-specific equations showed no advantage relative to race-neutral or race-free equations in models of quantitative chest CT phenotypes or dyspnea. Race-neutral reference equations reclassified up to 19% of Black participants into more severe GOLD classes, while race-neutral/race-free equations may improve model fit for dyspnea symptoms relative to race-specific equations.

INTERPRETATION

Race-specific equations offered no advantage over race-neutral/race-free equations in three distinct explanatory models of dyspnea and chest CT scan abnormalities. Race-neutral/race-free reference equations may improve pulmonary disease diagnoses and treatment in populations highly vulnerable to lung disease.

Phenotypes, Etiotypes, and Endotypes of Exacerbations of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease is a major health problem with a high prevalence, a rising incidence, and substantial morbidity and mortality. Its course is punctuated by acute episodes of increased respiratory symptoms, termed exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (ECOPD). ECOPD are important events in the natural history of the disease, as they are associated with lung function decline and prolonged negative effects on quality of life. The present-day therapy for ECOPD with short courses of antibiotics and steroids and escalation of bronchodilators has resulted in only modest improvements in outcomes. Recent data indicate that ECOPD are heterogeneous, raising the need to identify distinct etioendophenotypes, incorporating traits of the acute event and of patients who experience recurrent events, to develop novel and targeted therapies. These characterizations can provide a complete clinical picture, the severity of which will dictate acute pharmacological treatment, and may also indicate whether a change in maintenance therapy is needed to reduce the risk of future exacerbations. In this review we discuss the latest knowledge of ECOPD types on the basis of clinical presentation, etiology, natural history, frequency, severity, and biomarkers in an attempt to characterize these events.

Returning incidentally discovered Hepatitis C RNA-seq results to COPDGene study participants

The consequences of returning infectious pathogen test results identified incidentally in research studies have not been well-studied. Concerns include identification of an important health issue for individuals, accuracy of research test results, public health impact, potential emotional distress for participants, and need for IRB permissions. Blood RNA-sequencing analysis for non-human RNA in 3984 participants from the COPDGene study identified 228 participants with evidence suggestive for hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. We hypothesized that incidentally discovered HCV results could be effectively returned to COPDGene participants with attention to the identified concerns. In conjunction with a COPDGene Participant Advisory Panel, we developed and obtained IRB approval for a process of returning HCV research results and an HCV Follow-Up Study questionnaire to capture information about previous HCV diagnosis and treatment information and participant reactions to return of HCV results. During phone calls following the initial HCV notification letter, 84 of 124 participants who could be contacted (67.7%) volunteered that they had been previously diagnosed with HCV infection. Thirty-one of these 124 COPDGene participants were enrolled in the HCV Follow-Up Study. Five of the 31 HCV Follow-Up Study participants did not report a previous diagnosis of HCV. For four of these participants, subsequent clinical HCV testing confirmed HCV infection. Thus, 30/31 Follow-Up Study participants had confirmed HCV diagnoses, supporting the accuracy of the HCV research test results. However, the limited number of participants in the Follow-Up Study precludes an accurate assessment of the false-positive and false-negative rates of the research RNA sequencing evidence for HCV. Most HCV Follow-Up Study participants (29/31) were supportive of returning HCV research results, and most participants found the process for returning HCV results to be informative and not upsetting. Newly diagnosed participants were more likely to be pleased to learn about a potentially curable infection (p = 0.027) and showed a trend toward being more frightened by the potential health risks of HCV (p = 0.11). We conclude that HCV results identified incidentally during transcriptomic research studies can be successfully returned to research study participants with a carefully designed process.

Use of the Spirometric "Fixed-Ratio" Underdiagnoses COPD in African-Americans in a Longitudinal Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

COPD diagnosis is tightly linked to the fixed-ratio spirometry criteria of FEV1/FVC < 0.7. African-Americans are less often diagnosed with COPD.

OBJECTIVE

Compare COPD diagnosis by fixed-ratio with findings and outcomes by race.

DESIGN

Genetic Epidemiology of COPD (COPDGene) (2007-present), cross-sectional comparing non-Hispanic white (NHW) and African-American (AA) participants for COPD diagnosis, manifestations, and outcomes.

SETTING

Multicenter, longitudinal US cohort study.

PARTICIPANTS

Current or former smokers with ≥ 10-pack-year smoking history enrolled at 21 clinical centers including over-sampling of participants with known COPD and AA. Exclusions were pre-existing non-COPD lung disease, except for a history of asthma.

MEASUREMENTS

Subject diagnosis by conventional criteria. Mortality, imaging, respiratory symptoms, function, and socioeconomic characteristics, including area deprivation index (ADI). Matched analysis (age, sex, and smoking status) of AA vs. NHW within participants without diagnosed COPD (GOLD 0; FEV1 ≥ 80% predicted and FEV1/FVC ≥ 0.7).

RESULTS

Using the fixed ratio, 70% of AA (n = 3366) were classified as non-COPD, versus 49% of NHW (n = 6766). AA smokers were younger (55 vs. 62 years), more often current smoking (80% vs. 39%), with fewer pack-years but similar 12-year mortality. Density distribution plots for FEV1 and FVC raw spirometry values showed disproportionate reductions in FVC relative to FEV1 in AA that systematically led to higher ratios. The matched analysis demonstrated GOLD 0 AA had greater symptoms, worse DLCO, spirometry, BODE scores (1.03 vs 0.54, p < 0.0001), and greater deprivation than NHW.

LIMITATIONS

Lack of an alternative diagnostic metric for comparison.

CONCLUSIONS

The fixed-ratio spirometric criteria for COPD underdiagnosed potential COPD in AA participants when compared to broader diagnostic criteria. Disproportionate reductions in FVC relative to FEV1 leading to higher FEV1/FVC were identified in these participants and associated with deprivation. Broader diagnostic criteria for COPD are needed to identify the disease across all populations.

Influence of Pulsatility and Inflow Waveforms on Tracheal Airflow Dynamics in Healthy Older Adults

Tracheal collapsibility is a dynamic process altering local airflow dynamics. Patient-specific simulation is a powerful technique to explore the physiological and pathological characteristics of human airways. One of the key considerations in implementing airway computations is choosing the right inlet boundary conditions that can act as a surrogate model for understanding realistic airflow simulations. To this end, we numerically examine airflow patterns under the influence of different profiles, i.e., flat, parabolic, and Womersley, and compare these with a realistic inlet obtained from experiments. Simulations are performed in ten patient-specific cases with normal and rapid breathing rates during the inhalation phase of the respiration cycle. At normal breathing, velocity and vorticity contours reveal primary flow structures on the sagittal plane that impart strength to cross-plane vortices. Rapid breathing, however, encounters small recirculation zones. Quantitative flow metrics are evaluated using time-averaged wall shear stress (TAWSS) and oscillatory shear index (OSI). Overall, the flow metrics encountered in a real velocity profile are in close agreement with parabolic and Womersley profiles for normal conditions, however, the Womersley inlet alone conforms to a realistic profile under rapid breathing conditions.

FEV1/FVC Severity Stages for Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease

Rationale: The diagnosis of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is based on a low FEV1/FVC ratio, but the severity of COPD is classified using FEV1% predicted (ppFEV1). Objectives: To test a new severity classification scheme for COPD using FEV1/FVC ratio, a more robust measure of airflow obstruction than ppFEV1. Methods: In COPDGene (Genetic Epidemiology of COPD) (N = 10,132), the severity of airflow obstruction was categorized by Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) stages 1-4 (ppFEV1 of ⩾80%, ⩾50-80%, ⩾30-50%, and <30%). A new severity classification (STaging of Airflow obstruction by Ratio; STAR) was tested in COPDGene-FEV1/FVC ⩾0.60 to <0.70, ⩾0.50 to <0.60, ⩾0.40 to <0.50, and <0.40, respectively, for stages 1-4-and applied to the combined Pittsburgh SCCOR and Emphysema COPD Research Registry for replication (N = 2,017). Measurements and Main Results: The agreements (weighted Bangdiwala B values) between GOLD and the new FEV1/FVC ratio severity stages were 0.89 in COPDGene and 0.88 in the Pittsburgh cohort. In COPDGene and the Pittsburgh cohort, compared with GOLD staging, STAR provided significant discrimination between the absence of airflow obstruction and stage 1 for all-cause mortality, respiratory quality of life, dyspnea, airway wall thickness, exacerbations, and lung function decline. No major differences were noted for emphysema, small airway disease, and 6-minute-walk distance. The STAR classification system identified a greater number of adults with stage 3/4 disease who would be eligible for lung transplantation and lung volume reduction procedure evaluations. Conclusions: The new STAR severity classification scheme provides discrimination for mortality that is similar to the GOLD classification but with a more uniform gradation of disease severity. STAR differentiates patients' symptoms, disease burden, and prognosis better than the existing scheme based on ppFEV1, and is less sensitive to race/ethnicity and other demographic characteristics.

Causes of and Clinical Features Associated with Death in Tobacco Cigarette Users by Lung Function Impairment

Rationale: Cigarette smoking contributes to the risk of death through different mechanisms. Objectives: To determine how causes of and clinical features associated with death vary in tobacco cigarette users by lung function impairment. Methods: We stratified current and former tobacco cigarette users enrolled in Genetic Epidemiology of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPDGene) into normal spirometry, PRISm (Preserved Ratio Impaired Spirometry), Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) 1-2 COPD, and GOLD 3-4 COPD. Deaths were identified via longitudinal follow-up and Social Security Death Index search. Causes of death were adjudicated after a review of death certificates, medical records, and next-of-kin interviews. We tested associations between baseline clinical variables and all-cause mortality using multivariable Cox proportional hazards models. Measurements and Main Results: Over a 10.1-year median follow-up, 2,200 deaths occurred among 10,132 participants (age 59.5 ± 9.0 yr; 46.6% women). Death from cardiovascular disease was most frequent in PRISm (31% of deaths). Lung cancer deaths were most frequent in GOLD 1-2 (18% of deaths vs. 9-11% in other groups). Respiratory deaths outpaced competing causes of death in GOLD 3-4, particularly when BODE index ⩾7. St. George's Respiratory Questionnaire score ⩾25 was associated with higher mortality in all groups: Hazard ratio (HR), 1.48 (1.20-1.84) normal spirometry; HR, 1.40 (1.05-1.87) PRISm; HR, 1.80 (1.49-2.17) GOLD 1-2; HR, 1.65 (1.26-2.17) GOLD 3-4. History of respiratory exacerbations was associated with higher mortality in GOLD 1-2 and GOLD 3-4, quantitative emphysema in GOLD 1-2, and airway wall thickness in PRISm and GOLD 3-4. Conclusions: Leading causes of death vary by lung function impairment in tobacco cigarette users. Worse respiratory-related quality of life is associated with all-cause mortality regardless of lung function.

Pulmonary Rehabilitation for Adults with Chronic Respiratory Disease: An Official American Thoracic Society Clinical Practice Guideline

Background: Despite the known benefits of pulmonary rehabilitation (PR) for patients with chronic respiratory disease, this treatment is underused. Evidence-based guidelines should lead to greater knowledge of the proven benefits of PR, highlight the role of PR in evidence-based health care, and in turn foster referrals to and more effective delivery of PR for people with chronic respiratory disease. Methods: The multidisciplinary panel formulated six research questions addressing PR for specific patient groups (chronic obstructive pulmonary disease [COPD], interstitial lung disease, and pulmonary hypertension) and models for PR delivery (telerehabilitation, maintenance PR). Treatment effects were quantified using systematic reviews. The Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluation approach was used to formulate clinical recommendations. Recommendations: The panel made the following judgments: strong recommendations for PR for adults with stable COPD (moderate-quality evidence) and after hospitalization for COPD exacerbation (moderate-quality evidence), strong recommendation for PR for adults with interstitial lung disease (moderate-quality evidence), conditional recommendation for PR for adults with pulmonary hypertension (low-quality evidence), strong recommendation for offering the choice of center-based PR or telerehabilitation for patients with chronic respiratory disease (moderate-quality evidence), and conditional recommendation for offering either supervised maintenance PR or usual care after initial PR for adults with COPD (low-quality evidence). Conclusions: These guidelines provide the basis for evidence-based delivery of PR for people with chronic respiratory disease.

Changes in Lung Volumes with Spirometric Disease Progression in COPD

Background

Abnormal lung volumes representing air trapping identify the subset of smokers with preserved spirometry who develop spirometric chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and adverse outcomes. However, how lung volumes evolve in early COPD as airflow obstruction develops remains unclear.

Methods

To establish how lung volumes change with the development of spirometric COPD, we examined lung volumes from the pulmonary function data (seated posture) available in the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs electronic health records (n=71,356) and lung volumes measured by computed tomography (supine posture) available from the COPD Genetic Epidemiology (COPDGene®) study (n=7969) and the SubPopulations and InterMediate Outcome Measures In COPD Study (SPIROMICS) (n=2552) cohorts, and studied their cross-sectional distributions and longitudinal changes across the airflow obstruction spectrum. Patients with preserved ratio-impaired spirometry (PRISm) were excluded from this analysis.

Results

Lung volumes from all 3 cohorts showed similar patterns of distributions and longitudinal changes with worsening airflow obstruction. The distributions for total lung capacity (TLC), vital capacity (VC), and inspiratory capacity (IC) and their patterns of change were nonlinear and included different phases. When stratified by airflow obstruction using Global initiative for chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) stages, patients with GOLD 1 (mild) COPD had larger lung volumes (TLC, VC, IC) compared to patients with GOLD 0 (smokers with preserved spirometry) or GOLD 2 (moderate) disease. In longitudinal follow-up of baseline GOLD 0 patients who progressed to spirometric COPD, those with an initially higher TLC and VC developed mild obstruction (GOLD 1) while those with an initially lower TLC and VC developed moderate obstruction (GOLD 2).

Conclusions

In COPD, TLC, and VC have biphasic distributions, change in nonlinear fashions as obstruction worsens, and could differentiate those GOLD 0 patients at risk for more rapid spirometric disease progression.

Dupilumab for COPD with Type 2 Inflammation Indicated by Eosinophil Counts

BACKGROUND

In some patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), type 2 inflammation may increase exacerbation risk and may be indicated by elevated blood eosinophil counts. Dupilumab, a fully human monoclonal antibody, blocks the shared receptor component for interleukin-4 and interleukin-13, key drivers of type 2 inflammation.

METHODS

In a phase 3, double-blind, randomized trial, we assigned patients with COPD who had a blood eosinophil count of at least 300 per microliter and an elevated exacerbation risk despite the use of standard triple therapy to receive dupilumab (300 mg) or placebo subcutaneously once every 2 weeks. The primary end point was the annualized rate of moderate or severe exacerbations of COPD. Key secondary and other end points that were corrected for multiplicity were the change in the prebronchodilator forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1) and in the scores on the St. George's Respiratory Questionnaire (SGRQ; range, 0 to 100, with lower scores indicating a better quality of life) and the Evaluating Respiratory Symptoms in COPD (E-RS-COPD; range, 0 to 40, with lower scores indicating less severe symptoms).

RESULTS

A total of 939 patients underwent randomization: 468 to the dupilumab group and 471 to the placebo group. The annualized rate of moderate or severe exacerbations was 0.78 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.64 to 0.93) with dupilumab and 1.10 (95% CI, 0.93 to 1.30) with placebo (rate ratio, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.58 to 0.86; P<0.001). The prebronchodilator FEV1 increased from baseline to week 12 by a least-squares (LS) mean of 160 ml (95% CI, 126 to 195) with dupilumab and 77 ml (95% CI, 42 to 112) with placebo (LS mean difference, 83 ml; 95% CI, 42 to 125; P<0.001), a difference that was sustained through week 52. At week 52, the SGRQ score had improved by an LS mean of -9.7 (95% CI, -11.3 to -8.1) with dupilumab and -6.4 (95% CI, -8.0 to -4.8) with placebo (LS mean difference, -3.4; 95% CI, -5.5 to -1.3; P = 0.002). The E-RS-COPD score at week 52 had improved by an LS mean of -2.7 (95% CI, -3.2 to -2.2) with dupilumab and -1.6 (95% CI, -2.1 to -1.1) with placebo (LS mean difference, -1.1; 95% CI, -1.8 to -0.4; P = 0.001). The numbers of patients with adverse events that led to discontinuation of dupilumab or placebo, serious adverse events, and adverse events that led to death were balanced in the two groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Among patients with COPD who had type 2 inflammation as indicated by elevated blood eosinophil counts, those who received dupilumab had fewer exacerbations, better lung function and quality of life, and less severe respiratory symptoms than those who received placebo. (Funded by Sanofi and Regeneron Pharmaceuticals; BOREAS ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT03930732.).

Parameter D: New Measure of Airflow Obstruction

Rationale: Currently used spirometry measures of airflow obstruction are influenced by demographics, predominantly by age, complicating selection of diagnostic thresholds for the presence of airflow obstruction. Objectives: To develop diagnostic thresholds for Parameter D, a new metric for detection of airflow obstruction, which quantifies the rate of rise of expiratory volume over time. Methods: We analyzed spirometry data of normal subjects enrolled in the 2007-2008, 2009-2010, and 2011-2012 NHANES (National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey) cohorts and calculated Parameter D using the expiratory volume-time curve. Relationships between demographics and lung function (forced expiratory volume in 1 second [FEV1], FEV1/forced vital capacity [FVC], and Parameter D) were tested using generalized linear models in NHANES and UK Biobank. The variation in lung function explained by demographics was estimated using R2. A diagnostic threshold was developed for Parameter D using population-based percentiles. Based on concordance between the lower limit of normal (LLN) for FEV1/FVC and the Parameter D threshold, four groups were identified: normal (no airflow obstruction by either criterion), D+chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (D+COPD; positive by Parameter D only), D-COPD (positive by LLN only), and COPD (positive by both criteria), and associations with structural lung disease, exacerbations, and mortality were tested using multivariable analyses. Results: In contrast to FEV1 and FEV1/FVC, demographics cumulatively explained only 9% of the variance in Parameter D in NHANES (n = 4,945) and 3% in UK BioBank (n = 109,623). In COPDGene (Genetic Epidemiology of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease) (n = 9,542), a diagnostic threshold of -3.15 resulted in the identification of an additional 10.8% of participants with airflow obstruction. A total of 3.7% had FEV1/FVC < LLN but were missed by the Parameter D threshold. Compared with subjects in the normal group, after adjustment for age, sex, race, body mass index, pack-years of smoking, and current smoking status, D+COPD was associated with worse structural lung disease (odds ratio [OR] for ⩾5% emphysema, 1.71; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.37-2.12; OR for functional small airway disease ⩾ 15%, 2.1; 95% CI, 1.79-2.67) and significant symptoms (OR for modified Medical Research Council dyspnea score ⩾ 2, 1.25; 95% CI, 1.07-1.47; OR for St. George's respiratory questionnaire ⩾ 25, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.13-1.53), a greater frequency of exacerbations (incidence rate ratio, 1.26; 95% CI, 1.10-1.46), and higher mortality (hazard ratio, 1.32; 95% CI, 1.10-1.57). Over 5 years, 28% of the D+COPD group versus 8% of normal group progressed to COPD by traditional criteria. Conclusions: Parameter D is not affected by age, and a normal population-based diagnostic threshold results in the early identification of additional individuals with airflow obstruction with a substantial amount of structural lung disease and respiratory symptoms.

Rehabilitation for People with Respiratory Disease and Frailty: An Official American Thoracic Society Workshop Report

People with respiratory disease have increased risk of developing frailty, which is associated with worse health outcomes. There is growing evidence of the role of rehabilitation in managing frailty in people with respiratory disease. However, several challenges remain regarding optimal methods of identifying frailty and delivering rehabilitation for this population. The aims of this American Thoracic Society workshop were to outline key definitions and concepts around rehabilitation for people with respiratory disease and frailty, synthesize available evidence, and explore how programs may be adapted to align to the needs and experiences of this population. Across two half-day virtual workshops, 20 professionals from diverse disciplines, professions, and countries discussed key developments and identified opportunities for future research, with additional input via online correspondence. Participants highlighted a "frailty rehabilitation paradox" whereby pulmonary rehabilitation can effectively reduce frailty, but programs are challenging for some individuals with frailty to complete. Frailty should not limit access to rehabilitation; instead, the identification of frailty should prompt comprehensive assessment and tailored support, including onward referral for additional specialist input. Exercise prescriptions that explicitly consider symptom burden and comorbidities, integration of additional geriatric or palliative care expertise, and/or preemptive planning for disruptions to participation may support engagement and outcomes. To identify and measure frailty in people with respiratory disease, tools should be selected on the basis of sensitivity, specificity, responsiveness, and feasibility for their intended purpose. Research is required to expand understanding beyond the physical dimensions of frailty and to explore the merits and limitations of telerehabilitation or home-based pulmonary rehabilitation for people with chronic respiratory disease and frailty.

Radiomics for Improved Detection of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease in Low-Dose and Standard-Dose Chest CT Scans

Background Approximately half of adults with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) remain undiagnosed. Chest CT scans are frequently acquired in clinical practice and present an opportunity to detect COPD. Purpose To assess the performance of radiomics features in COPD diagnosis using standard-dose and low-dose CT models. Materials and Methods This secondary analysis included participants enrolled in the Genetic Epidemiology of COPD, or COPDGene, study at baseline (visit 1) and 10 years after baseline (visit 3). COPD was defined by a forced expiratory volume in the 1st second of expiration to forced vital capacity ratio less than 0.70 at spirometry. The performance of demographics, CT emphysema percentage, radiomics features, and a combined feature set derived from inspiratory CT alone was evaluated. CatBoost (Yandex), a gradient boosting algorithm, was used to perform two classification experiments to detect COPD; the two models were trained and tested on standard-dose CT data from visit 1 (model I) and low-dose CT data from visit 3 (model II). Classification performance of the models was evaluated using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and precision-recall curve analysis. Results A total of 8878 participants (mean age, 57 years ± 9 [SD]; 4180 female, 4698 male) were evaluated. Radiomics features in model I achieved an AUC of 0.90 (95% CI: 0.88, 0.91) in the standard-dose CT test cohort versus demographics (AUC, 0.73; 95% CI: 0.71, 0.76; P < .001), emphysema percentage (AUC, 0.82; 95% CI 0.80, 0.84; P < .001), and combined features (AUC, 0.90; 95% CI: 0.89, 0.92; P = .16). Model II, trained on low-dose CT scans, achieved an AUC of 0.87 (95% CI: 0.83, 0.91) on the 20% held-out test set for radiomics features compared with demographics (AUC, 0.70; 95% CI: 0.64, 0.75; P = .001), emphysema percentage (AUC, 0.74; 95% CI: 0.69, 0.79; P = .002), and combined features (AUC, 0.88; 95% CI: 0.85, 0.92; P = .32). Density and texture features were the majority of the top 10 features in the standard-dose model, whereas shape features of lungs and airways were significant contributors in the low-dose CT model. Conclusion A combination of features representing parenchymal texture and lung and airway shape on inspiratory CT scans can be used to accurately detect COPD. ClinicalTrials.gov registration no. NCT00608764 © RSNA, 2023 Supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Vliegenthart in this issue.

Deep Learning Utilizing Suboptimal Spirometry Data to Improve Lung Function and Mortality Prediction in the UK Biobank

Background

Spirometry measures lung function by selecting the best of multiple efforts meeting pre-specified quality control (QC), and reporting two key metrics: forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1) and forced vital capacity (FVC). We hypothesize that discarded submaximal and QC-failing data meaningfully contribute to the prediction of airflow obstruction and all-cause mortality.

Methods

We evaluated volume-time spirometry data from the UK Biobank. We identified "best" spirometry efforts as those passing QC with the maximum FVC. "Discarded" efforts were either submaximal or failed QC. To create a combined representation of lung function we implemented a contrastive learning approach, Spirogram-based Contrastive Learning Framework (Spiro-CLF), which utilized all recorded volume-time curves per participant and applied different transformations (e.g. flow-volume, flow-time). In a held-out 20% testing subset we applied the Spiro-CLF representation of a participant's overall lung function to 1) binary predictions of FEV1/FVC < 0.7 and FEV1 Percent Predicted (FEV1PP) < 80%, indicative of airflow obstruction, and 2) Cox regression for all-cause mortality.

Findings

We included 940,705 volume-time curves from 352,684 UK Biobank participants with 2-3 spirometry efforts per individual (66.7% with 3 efforts) and at least one QC-passing spirometry effort. Of all spirometry efforts, 24.1% failed QC and 37.5% were submaximal. Spiro-CLF prediction of FEV1/FVC < 0.7 utilizing discarded spirometry efforts had an Area under the Receiver Operating Characteristics (AUROC) of 0.981 (0.863 for FEV1PP prediction). Incorporating discarded spirometry efforts in all-cause mortality prediction was associated with a concordance index (c-index) of 0.654, which exceeded the c-indices from FEV1 (0.590), FVC (0.559), or FEV1/FVC (0.599) from each participant's single best effort.

Interpretation

A contrastive learning model using raw spirometry curves can accurately predict lung function using submaximal and QC-failing efforts. This model also has superior prediction of all-cause mortality compared to standard lung function measurements.

Funding

MHC is supported by NIH R01HL137927, R01HL135142, HL147148, and HL089856.BDH is supported by NIH K08HL136928, U01 HL089856, and an Alpha-1 Foundation Research Grant.DH is supported by NIH 2T32HL007427-41EKS is supported by NIH R01 HL152728, R01 HL147148, U01 HL089856, R01 HL133135, P01 HL132825, and P01 HL114501.PJC is supported by NIH R01HL124233 and R01HL147326.SPB is supported by NIH R01HL151421 and UH3HL155806.TY, FH, and CYM are employees of Google LLC.

Access to Pulmonary Rehabilitation among Medicare Beneficiaries with Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease

Rationale: Pulmonary rehabilitation (PR) remains substantially underused as a treatment modality for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). A major barrier to the uptake of PR is the poor availability of and access to PR. Objectives: To quantify patients' access to PR centers in the United States. Methods: Using the 100% Medicare population with coverage for 2018, four geodesic distance-based buffers of 10-, 15-, 25-, and 50-mi radii around the geographic centroid of each ZIP code with at least one beneficiary with COPD were created. Street addresses of PR centers across the continental United States were geocoded. We calculated the distance between the residential ZIP code centroid and the closest PR center. The proportions of individuals with at least one PR center available within the four distance buffers were calculated overall as well as in metropolitan, micropolitan, small-town, and rural areas. Results: Of 62,930,784 Medicare beneficiaries, 10,376,949 (16.5%) had COPD. There were 1,696 PR centers across the United States, with one PR center for every 6,030 individuals with COPD. Mean distance to the nearest PR center was 12.4 (standard deviation, 16.6) mi. Overall, the proportions of individuals with COPD who had PR centers available within 10-, 15-, 25-, and 50-mi radii were 61.5%, 73.2%, 86.6%, and 97.1%, respectively. Proportions for rural areas were 11.3%, 24.3%, 53.4%, and 88.6%, respectively. Compared with those living in metropolitan areas, those living in rural areas were 95% less likely to have PR centers within 10 mi of their residences (odds ratio, 0.048 [95% confidence interval, 0.039-0.057]). Conclusions: In a nationally representative sample of Medicare beneficiaries, we found that two-fifths of adults with COPD overall, and eight in nine of those in rural areas, have poor access to PR.

Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis is more strongly associated with coronary artery disease than chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

INTRODUCTION

Previous studies have shown that the population attributable risk of low forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV₁) for coronary artery disease (CAD) is substantial. FEV₁ can be low either because of airflow obstruction or ventilatory restriction. It is not known if low FEV₁ arising from spirometric obstruction or restriction are differently associated with CAD.

METHODS

We analyzed high resolution computed tomography (CT) scans acquired at full inspiration in lifetime non-smoker adults with no lung disease (controls) and those with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease enrolled in the Genetic Epidemiology of COPD (COPDGene) study. We also analyzed CT scans of adults with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) from a cohort of patients attending a quaternary referral clinic. Participants with IPF were matched 1:1 by FEV₁ %predicted to adults with COPD and 1:1 by age to lifetime non-smokers. Coronary artery calcium (CAC), a surrogate for CAD, was measured by visual quantification on CT using the Weston score. Significant CAC was defined as Weston score ≥7. Multivariable regression models were used to test the association of the presence of COPD or IPF with CAC, with adjustment for age, sex, body-mass-index, smoking status, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, and hyperlipidemia.

RESULTS

We included 732 subjects in the study; 244 with IPF, 244 with COPD, and 244 lifetime non-smokers. The mean (SD) age was 72.6 (8.1), 62.6 (7.4), and 67.3 (6.6) years, and median (IQR) CAC was 6 (6), 2 (6), and 1 (4), in IPF, COPD, and non-smokers, respectively. On multivariable analyses, the presence of COPD was associated with higher CAC compared to non-smokers (adjusted regression coefficient, β = 1.10 ± SE0.51; P = 0.031). The presence of IPF was also associated with higher CAC compared to non-smokers (β = 03.43 ± SE0.41; P < 0.001). The adjusted odds ratio for having significant CAC was 1.3, 95% CI 0.6 to 2.8; P = 0.53 in COPD and 5.6, 95% CI 2.9 to 10.9; P < 0.001 in IPF, compared to non-smokers. In sex stratified analyses, these associations were mainly noted in women.

CONCLUSION

Adults with IPF displayed higher coronary artery calcium than those with COPD after accounting for age and lung function impairment.

Bronchodilator Responsiveness in Tobacco-Exposed People With or Without COPD

BACKGROUND

Bronchodilator responsiveness (BDR) in obstructive lung disease varies over time and may be associated with distinct clinical features.

RESEARCH QUESTION

Is consistent BDR over time (always present) differentially associated with obstructive lung disease features relative to inconsistent (sometimes present) or never (never present) BDR in tobacco-exposed people with or without COPD?

STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed data from 2,269 tobacco-exposed participants in the Subpopulations and Intermediate Outcome Measures in COPD Study with or without COPD. We used various BDR definitions: change of ≥ 200 mL and ≥ 12% in FEV1 (FEV1-BDR), change in FVC (FVC-BDR), and change in in FEV1, FVC or both (ATS-BDR). Using generalized linear models adjusted for demographics, smoking history, FEV1 % predicted after bronchodilator administration, and number of visits that the participant completed, we assessed the association of BDR group: (1) consistent BDR, (2) inconsistent BDR, and (3) never BDR with asthma, CT scan features, blood eosinophil levels, and FEV1 decline in participants without COPD (Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease [GOLD] stage 0) and the entire cohort (participants with or without COPD).

RESULTS

Both consistent and inconsistent ATS-BDR were associated with asthma history and greater small airways disease (%parametric response mapping functional small airways disease) relative to never ATS-BDR in participants with GOLD stage 0 disease and the entire cohort. We observed similar findings using FEV1-BDR and FVC-BDR definitions. Eosinophils did not vary consistently among BDR groups. Consistent BDR was associated with FEV1 decline over time relative to never BDR in the entire cohort. In participants with GOLD stage 0 disease, both the inconsistent ATS-BDR group (OR, 3.20; 95% CI, 2.21-4.66; P < .001) and consistent ATS-BDR group (OR, 9.48; 95% CI, 3.77-29.12; P < .001) were associated with progression to COPD relative to the never ATS-BDR group.

INTERPRETATION

Demonstration of BDR, even once, describes an obstructive lung disease phenotype with a history of asthma and greater small airways disease. Consistent demonstration of BDR indicated a high risk of lung function decline over time in the entire cohort and was associated with higher risk of progression to COPD in patients with GOLD stage 0 disease.

Prevalence of abnormal spirometry in individuals with a smoking history and no known obstructive lung disease

INTRODUCTION

Recent evidence suggests a high prevalence of undiagnosed chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). These individuals are at risk of exacerbations and delayed treatment. We analyzed an at-risk population for the prevalence of abnormal spirometry to provide clarity into who should undergo early spirometry.

METHODS

We analyzed data from the COPDGene study. Participants with ≥10 pack-years of smoking were included. Individuals with self-reported or physician-diagnosed COPD, asthma, chronic bronchitis, emphysema and/or were on inhalers were excluded. Parsimonious multivariable logistic regression models identified factors associated with abnormal spirometry, defined as either airflow obstruction (AFO) or preserved ratio impaired spirometry. Variables were selected for the final model using a stepwise backward variable elimination process which minimized Akaike information criterion (AIC). Similarly, during the 5-year follow-up period, we assessed factors associated with incident diagnosis of COPD.

RESULTS

Of 5055 individuals, 1064 (21%) had undiagnosed AFO. Age, pack-years, current smoking and a history of acute bronchitis were associated with AFO while body mass index, female sex, and Black race were inversely associated. Among 2800 participants with 5-year follow-up, 532 (19%) had an incident diagnosis of COPD. Associated risk factors included mMRC ≥2, chronic productive cough, respiratory exacerbations during the follow-up period, and abnormal spirometry. Age was inversely associated.

CONCLUSIONS

The prevalence of undiagnosed COPD is high in at-risk populations. We found multiple factors associated with undiagnosed COPD and incident diagnosis of COPD at follow up. These results can be used to identify those at risk for undiagnosed COPD to facilitate earlier diagnosis and treatment.

Lung Function in Women With and Without Human Immunodeficiency Virus

BACKGROUND

Prior studies have found that human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection is associated with impaired lung function and increased risk of chronic lung disease, but few have included large numbers of women. In this study, we investigate whether HIV infection is associated with differences in lung function in women.

METHODS

This was a cross-sectional analysis of participants in the Women's Interagency HIV Study, a racially and ethnically diverse multicenter cohort of women with and without HIV. In 2018-2019, participants at 9 clinical sites were invited to perform spirometry. Single-breath diffusing capacity for carbon monoxide (DLCO) was also measured at selected sites. The primary outcomes were the post-bronchodilator forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1) and DLCO. Multivariable regression modeling was used to analyze the association of HIV infection and lung function outcomes after adjustment for confounding exposures.

RESULTS

FEV1 measurements from 1489 women (1062 with HIV, 427 without HIV) and DLCO measurements from 671 women (463 with HIV, 208 without HIV) met standards for quality and reproducibility. There was no significant difference in FEV1 between women with and without HIV. Women with HIV had lower DLCO measurements (adjusted difference, -0.73 mL/min/mm Hg; 95% confidence interval, -1.33 to -.14). Among women with HIV, lower nadir CD4 + cell counts and hepatitis C virus infection were associated with lower DLCO measurements.

CONCLUSIONS

HIV was associated with impaired respiratory gas exchange in women. Among women with HIV, lower nadir CD4 + cell counts and hepatitis C infection were associated with decreased respiratory gas exchange.

Clinical Markers Associated With Risk of Suicide or Drug Overdose Among Individuals With Smoking Exposure: A Longitudinal Follow-up Study of the COPDGene Cohort

BACKGROUND

Studies have shown that COPD and smoking are associated with increased suicide risk. To date, there are no prospective studies examining suicide risk among individuals with smoking exposure along a spectrum of pulmonary diseases ranging from normal spirometry to severe COPD.

RESEARCH QUESTION

Which clinical variables predict death by suicide or overdose of indeterminate intent in a large cohort of individuals with smoking exposure within the Genetic Epidemiology of COPD (COPDGene) study?

STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS

We studied data from 9,930 participants involved in COPDGene, a multisite, prospective cohort study of individuals with smoking exposure. Primary cause of adjudicated deaths was identified by using death certificates, family reports, and medical records. Time to death by suicide/overdose was examined as the primary outcome in Cox regression models including age, sex, race, BMI, pack-years, current smoking status, airflow limitation (FEV1 % predicted), dyspnea (modified Medical Research Council scale score ≥ 2), 6-min walk distance, supplemental oxygen use, and severe exacerbations in the prior year with time-varying covariates and other causes of death as a competing risk.

RESULTS

The cohort was 47% female and 33% Black (67% White); they had a mean ± SD age of 59.6 ± 9.0 years and a mean FEV1 % predicted of 76.1 ± 25.5. Sixty-three individuals died by suicide/overdose. Factors associated with risk of suicide/overdose were current smoking (hazard ratio [HR], 6.44; 95% CI, 2.64-15.67), use of sedative/hypnotics (HR, 2.33; 95% CI, 1.24-4.38), and dyspnea (HR, 2.23; 95% CI, 1.34-3.70). Lower risk was associated with older age (per-decade HR, 0.45; 95% CI, 0.31-0.67), higher BMI (HR, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.91-0.99), and African-American race (HR, 0.41; 95% CI, 0.23-0.74). Severity of airflow limitation (FEV % predicted) was not associated with suicide risk.

INTERPRETATION

In this well-characterized cohort of individuals with smoking exposure with and without COPD, risk factors for suicide/overdose were identified that emphasize the subjective experience of illness over objective assessments of lung function.

Predicting severe chronic obstructive pulmonary disease exacerbations using quantitative CT: a retrospective model development and external validation study

BACKGROUND

Quantitative CT is becoming increasingly common for the characterisation of lung disease; however, its added potential as a clinical tool for predicting severe exacerbations remains understudied. We aimed to develop and validate quantitative CT-based models for predicting severe chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) exacerbations.

METHODS

We analysed the Subpopulations and Intermediate Outcome Measures In COPD Study (SPIROMICS) cohort, a multicentre study done at 12 clinical sites across the USA, of individuals aged 40-80 years from four strata: individuals who never smoked, individuals who smoked but had normal spirometry, individuals who smoked and had mild to moderate COPD, and individuals who smoked and had severe COPD. We used 3-year follow-up data to develop logistic regression classifiers for predicting severe exacerbations. Predictors included age, sex, race, BMI, pulmonary function, exacerbation history, smoking status, respiratory quality of life, and CT-based measures of density gradient texture and airway structure. We externally validated our models in a subset from the Genetic Epidemiology of COPD (COPDGene) cohort. Discriminative model performance was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), which was also compared with other predictors, including exacerbation history and the BMI, airflow obstruction, dyspnoea, and exercise capacity (BODE) index. We evaluated model calibration using calibration plots and Brier scores.

FINDINGS

Participants in SPIROMICS were enrolled between Nov 12, 2010, and July 31, 2015. Participants in COPDGene were enrolled between Jan 10, 2008, and April 15, 2011. We included 1956 participants from the SPIROMICS cohort who had complete 3-year follow-up data: the mean age of the cohort was 63·1 years (SD 9·2) and 1017 (52%) were men and 939 (48%) were women. Among the 1956 participants, 434 (22%) had a history of at least one severe exacerbation. For the CT-based models, the AUC was 0·854 (95% CI 0·852-0·855) for at least one severe exacerbation within 3 years and 0·931 (0·930-0·933) for consistent exacerbations (defined as ≥1 acute episode in each of the 3 years). Models were well calibrated with low Brier scores (0·121 for at least one severe exacerbation; 0·039 for consistent exacerbations). For the prediction of at least one severe event during 3-year follow-up, AUCs were significantly higher with CT biomarkers (0·854 [0·852-0·855]) than exacerbation history (0·823 [0·822-0·825]) and BODE index 0·812 [0·811-0·814]). 6965 participants were included in the external validation cohort, with a mean age of 60·5 years (SD 8·9). In this cohort, AUC for at least one severe exacerbation was 0·768 (0·767-0·769; Brier score 0·088).

INTERPRETATION

CT-based prediction models can be used for identification of patients with COPD who are at high risk of severe exacerbations. The newly identified CT biomarkers could potentially enable investigation into underlying disease mechanisms responsible for exacerbations.

FUNDING

National Institutes of Health and the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute.

Lower respiratory illnesses in childhood are associated with the presence of air trapping in early adulthood

Several factors occurring in early life, including lower respiratory tract illnesses (LRIs), are involved in determining lung structure and function in adulthood, but the effects of these factors on lung development remain largely unknown. Hereby, we evaluated the parameters from computed tomography (CT) scans performed at the age of 26 years in 39 subjects from the birth cohort of the Tucson Children's Respiratory Study (TCRS) in order to determine the relationship between early childhood factors and lung structural changes in young adult life. We found that participants with LRIs in childhood had increased air trapping at the age of 26 suggesting an association between childhood infections and lung development.

Association Between HIV and Prevalence and Manifestations of Asthma: Analysis of the Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study and Women's Interagency HIV Study

BACKGROUND

The association between HIV and asthma prevalence and manifestations remains unclear, with few studies including women.

SETTING

A retrospective observational cohort study from the Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study and Women's Interagency HIV Study.

METHODS

Asthma was defined in 2 ways: (1) self-report and (2) robust criteria requiring all the following: lack of fixed airflow obstruction, presence of wheeze on the St. George's Respiratory Questionnaire (SGRQ), and report of asthma therapies. Estimates of asthma prevalence and asthma-related manifestations were compared by HIV serostatus.

RESULTS

A total of 1815 men and 2122 women were included. Asthma prevalence did not differ between people with HIV (PWH) and people without HIV regardless of definition: self-report (men, 12.0% vs. 11.2%; women, 24.3% vs. 27.5%) and robust criteria (men, 5.0% vs. 3.4%; women, 12.8% vs. 13.2%). Among men with asthma, worse respiratory symptom burden was reported among those with HIV, regardless of asthma definition. Among women with self-reported asthma, those with HIV had less respiratory symptom burden. Regardless of serostatus, women with robust-defined asthma had similar respiratory symptoms across SGRQ domains and similar frequencies of phlegm, shortness of breath, and wheezing.

CONCLUSIONS

Among PWH and people without HIV, asthma prevalence was 2-fold to 3-fold higher using self-reported definition rather than robust definition. In men and women, HIV was not associated with increased asthma prevalence. In men, HIV was associated with more respiratory symptoms when asthma was self-reported; the relationship was attenuated with the robust criteria. Further studies are needed to explore asthma phenotypes among PWH.

Sex Differences in Airways at Chest CT: Results from the COPDGene Cohort

Background The prevalence of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) in women is fast approaching that in men, and women experience greater symptom burden. Although sex differences in emphysema have been reported, differences in airways have not been systematically characterized. Purpose To evaluate whether structural differences in airways may underlie some of the sex differences in COPD prevalence and clinical outcomes. Materials and Methods In a secondary analyses of a multicenter study of never-, current-, and former-smokers enrolled from January 2008 to June 2011 and followed up longitudinally until November 2020, airway disease on CT images was quantified using seven metrics: airway wall thickness, wall area percent, and square root of the wall thickness of a hypothetical airway with internal perimeter of 10 mm (referred to as Pi10) for airway wall; and lumen diameter, airway volume, total airway count, and airway fractal dimension for airway lumen. Least-squares mean values for each airway metric were calculated and adjusted for age, height, ethnicity, body mass index, pack-years of smoking, current smoking status, total lung capacity, display field of view, and scanner type. In ever-smokers, associations were tested between each airway metric and postbronchodilator forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1)-to-forced vital capacity (FVC) ratio, modified Medical Research Council dyspnea scale, St George's Respiratory Questionnaire score, and 6-minute walk distance. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were created to evaluate the sex-specific association between each airway metric and mortality. Results In never-smokers (n = 420), men had thicker airway walls than women as quantified on CT images for segmental airway wall area percentage (least-squares mean, 47.68 ± 0.61 [standard error] vs 45.78 ± 0.55; difference, -1.90; P = .02), whereas airway lumen dimensions were lower in women than men after accounting for height and total lung capacity (segmental lumen diameter, 8.05 mm ± 0.14 vs 9.05 mm ± 0.16; difference, -1.00 mm; P < .001). In ever-smokers (n = 9363), men had greater segmental airway wall area percentage (least-squares mean, 52.19 ± 0.16 vs 48.89 ± 0.18; difference, -3.30; P < .001), whereas women had narrower segmental lumen diameter (7.80 mm ± 0.05 vs 8.69 mm ± 0.04; difference, -0.89; P < .001). A unit change in each of the airway metrics (higher wall or lower lumen measure) resulted in lower FEV1-to-FVC ratio, more dyspnea, poorer respiratory quality of life, lower 6-minute walk distance, and worse survival in women compared with men (all P < .01). Conclusion Airway lumen sizes quantified at chest CT were smaller in women than in men after accounting for height and lung size, and these lower baseline values in women conferred lower reserves against respiratory morbidity and mortality for equivalent changes compared with men. © RSNA, 2022 Online supplemental material is available for this article.

Robust Measures of Image-Registration-Derived Lung Biomechanics in SPIROMICS

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is an umbrella term used to define a collection of inflammatory lung diseases that cause airflow obstruction and severe damage to the lung parenchyma. This study investigated the robustness of image-registration-based local biomechanical properties of the lung in individuals with COPD as a function of Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) stage. Image registration was used to estimate the pointwise correspondences between the inspiration (total lung capacity) and expiration (residual volume) computed tomography (CT) images of the lung for each subject. In total, three biomechanical measures were computed from the correspondence map: the Jacobian determinant; the anisotropic deformation index (ADI); and the slab-rod index (SRI). CT scans from 245 subjects with varying GOLD stages were analyzed from the SubPopulations and InteRmediate Outcome Measures In COPD Study (SPIROMICS). Results show monotonic increasing or decreasing trends in the three biomechanical measures as a function of GOLD stage for the entire lung and on a lobe-by-lobe basis. Furthermore, these trends held across all five image registration algorithms. The consistency of the five image registration algorithms on a per individual basis is shown using Bland-Altman plots.

Increased chest CT derived bone and muscle measures capture markers of improved morbidity and mortality in COPD

BACKGROUND

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a disease of accelerated aging and is associated with comorbid conditions including osteoporosis and sarcopenia. These extrapulmonary conditions are highly prevalent yet frequently underdiagnosed and overlooked by pulmonologists in COPD treatment and management. There is evidence supporting a role for bone-muscle crosstalk which may compound osteoporosis and sarcopenia risk in COPD. Chest CT is commonly utilized in COPD management, and we evaluated its utility to identify low bone mineral density (BMD) and reduced pectoralis muscle area (PMA) as surrogates for osteoporosis and sarcopenia. We then tested whether BMD and PMA were associated with morbidity and mortality in COPD.

METHODS

BMD and PMA were analyzed from chest CT scans of 8468 COPDGene participants with COPD and controls (smoking and non-smoking). Multivariable regression models tested the relationship of BMD and PMA with measures of function (6-min walk distance (6MWD), handgrip strength) and disease severity (percent emphysema and lung function). Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were used to evaluate the relationship between sex-specific quartiles of BMD and/or PMA derived from non-smoking controls with all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

COPD subjects had significantly lower BMD and PMA compared with controls. Higher BMD and PMA were associated with increased physical function and less disease severity. Participants with the highest BMD and PMA quartiles had a significantly reduced mortality risk (36% and 46%) compared to the lowest quartiles.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings highlight the potential for CT-derived BMD and PMA to characterize osteoporosis and sarcopenia using equipment available in the pulmonary setting.

Lung Function and the Risk of Exacerbation in the β-Blockers for the Prevention of Acute Exacerbations of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Trial

Rationale: The BLOCK COPD (β-Blockers for the Prevention of Acute Exacerbations of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease) study found that metoprolol was associated with a higher risk of severe exacerbation. Objectives: To determine the mechanism underlying these results, we compared changes in lung function over the course of the study between treatment groups and evaluated whether baseline bronchodilator response or early reduction in forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1) or forced vital capacity (FVC) was associated with exacerbation risk. Methods: We compared changes in lung function (FEV1 and FVC) over the treatment period between treatment groups using linear mixed-effect models. Cox proportional hazards models were used to evaluate the association between baseline bronchodilator responsiveness (FEV1, FVC, and combined FEV1 and FVC), early post-randomization (14 d) change in lung function, and the interaction between treatment assignment and these measures with risk of any or severe or very severe exacerbations. Negative binomial models were used to evaluate the relationship between bronchodilator responsiveness, the interaction between bronchodilator responsiveness and treatment assignment, and exacerbation rate. Results: Over the 336-day treatment period, individuals in the metoprolol group had a significantly greater decrease in logarithmic FEV1 from baseline to visit on Day 28 than individuals in the placebo group. Individuals in the metoprolol group had a significantly greater decrease in FVC from baseline to visits on Days 14 and 28, and also a significantly greater decrease in logarithmic FVC from baseline to visits on Days 42 and 112 than individuals in the placebo group. There were no associations between early lung function reduction or interactions between lung function reduction and treatment assignment and time to any or severe or very severe exacerbations. There were no interactions between treatment arm and baseline bronchodilator responsiveness measures on risk or rate of exacerbations. However, those with baseline FVC bronchodilator responsiveness had a higher rate of severe or very severe exacerbations (adjusted rate ratio, 1.62; 95% confidence interval, 1.04-2.48). Conclusions: Metoprolol was associated with reduced lung function during the early part of the treatment period, but these effects were modest and did not persist. Early lung function reduction and baseline bronchodilator responsiveness did not interact with the treatment arm to predict exacerbations; however, baseline FVC bronchodilator responsiveness was associated with a 60% higher rate of severe or very severe exacerbations. Clinical trial registered with www.clinicaltrials.gov (NCT02587351).

Pooled Cohort Probability Score for Subclinical Airflow Obstruction

Rationale: Early detection of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a public health priority. Airflow obstruction is the single most important risk factor for adverse COPD outcomes, but spirometry is not routinely recommended for screening. Objectives: To describe the burden of subclinical airflow obstruction (SAO) and to develop a probability score for SAO to inform potential detection and prevention programs. Methods: Lung function and clinical data were harmonized and pooled across nine U.S. general population cohorts. Adults with respiratory symptoms, inhaler use, or prior diagnosis of COPD or asthma were excluded. A probability score for prevalent SAO (forced expiratory volume in 1 second/forced vital capacity < 0.70) was developed via hierarchical group-lasso regularization from clinical variables in strata of sex and smoking status, and its discriminative accuracy for SAO was assessed in the pooled cohort as well as in an external validation cohort (NHANES [National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey] 2011-2012). Incident hospitalizations and deaths due to COPD (respiratory events) were defined by adjudication or administrative criteria in four of nine cohorts. Results: Of 33,546 participants (mean age 52 yr, 54% female, 44% non-Hispanic White), 4,424 (13.2%) had prevalent SAO. The incidence of respiratory events (Nat-risk = 14,024) was threefold higher in participants with SAO versus those without (152 vs. 39 events/10,000 person-years). The probability score, which was based on six commonly available variables (age, sex, race and/or ethnicity, body mass index, smoking status, and smoking pack-years) was well calibrated and showed excellent discrimination in both the testing sample (C-statistic, 0.81; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.80-0.82) and in NHANES (C-statistic, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.80-0.86). Among participants with predicted probabilities ⩾ 15%, 3.2 would need to undergo spirometry to detect one case of SAO. Conclusions: Adults with SAO demonstrate excess respiratory hospitalization and mortality. A probability score for SAO using commonly available clinical risk factors may be suitable for targeting screening and primary prevention strategies.

Predicting COPD Progression in Current and Former Smokers Using a Joint Model for Forced Expiratory Volume in 1 Second and Forced Expiratory Volume in 1 Second to Forced Vital Capacity Ratio

Understanding baseline characteristics that can predict the progression of lung disease such as chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) for current or former smokers may allow for therapeutic intervention, particularly for individuals at high risk of rapid disease progression or transition from non-COPD to COPD. Classic diagnostic criteria for COPD and disease severity such as the Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease document are based on forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1) and FEV1 to forced vital capacity (FVC) ratio. Modeling changes in these outcomes jointly is beneficial given that they are correlated, and they are both required for specific disease classifications. Here, linear mixed models were used to model changes in FEV1 and FEV1/FVC jointly for 5- and 10-year intervals, using important baseline predictors to better understand the factors that affect disease progression. Participants with predicted loss of FEV1 and/or FEV1/FVC of at least 5% tended to have more emphysema, higher functional residual capacity, higher airway wall thickness as measured by Pi10, lower FVC to total lung capacity ratio and a lower body mass index at baseline, all relative to overall cohort averages. The model developed can be used to predict progression for any potential COPD individual, based on demographic, symptom, computed tomography, and comorbidity variables.

Depressive and anxiety symptoms in patients with COPD: A network analysis

BACKGROUND

Individuals with Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) often develop anxiety and depression, which worsen illness management and prognosis. Physical and psychological symptoms, contextual and illness-related factors display complex reciprocal interactions, which give rise to heterogeneous presentations. Examining the patterns of association between specific physical and psychological symptoms in patients with COPD may help to focus on the precision of the patient-centred care.

RESEARCH QUESTION

We used network analyses to examine the links between symptoms of COPD, depression and anxiety.

METHODS

Data from 1587 individuals with COPD from the COPDGene study were included. We estimated a Bayesian Gaussian Graphical Model to highlight the unique associations between symptoms of COPD (assessed with the COPD Assessment Test), depression and anxiety (assessed with the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS), while examining the role of sociodemographic characteristics, lung function tests, and health status.

RESULTS

Unique Variable Analysis reduced 14 HADS items to Tension/worry (chronic anxiety), Fear/panic (acute anxiety), Restlessness, Anhedonia, Sadness and Slowing. In network analyses, chest-tightness was related to acute anxiety, while cough and weakness were connected with core depressive symptoms (sadness and lack of pleasure). Chronic anxiety was linked with acute anxiety and depressive symptoms. Findings were confirmed accounting for the role of confounders, including lung function, sex, ethnicity and lifestyle factors. A simulation based on our model yielded distinct predictions about anxiety and depression in two participants with similar COPD severity, but different symptom profiles.

CONCLUSION

Network analyses highlighted specific associations between symptoms of COPD, depression and anxiety. Accounting for symptom-level interactions may help to promote personalized treatment approaches.

Lung function impairment and risk of incident heart failure: the NHLBI Pooled Cohorts Study

AIMS

The aim is to evaluate associations of lung function impairment with risk of incident heart failure (HF).

METHODS AND RESULTS

Data were pooled across eight US population-based cohorts that enrolled participants from 1987 to 2004. Participants with self-reported baseline cardiovascular disease were excluded. Spirometry was used to define obstructive [forced expiratory volume in 1 s/forced vital capacity (FEV1/FVC) <0.70] or restrictive (FEV1/FVC ≥0.70, FVC <80%) lung physiology. The incident HF was defined as hospitalization or death caused by HF. In a sub-set, HF events were sub-classified as HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF; EF <50%) or preserved EF (HFpEF; EF ≥50%). The Fine-Gray proportional sub-distribution hazards models were adjusted for sociodemographic factors, smoking, and cardiovascular risk factors. In models of incident HF sub-types, HFrEF, HFpEF, and non-HF mortality were treated as competing risks. Among 31 677 adults, there were 3344 incident HF events over a median follow-up of 21.0 years. Of 2066 classifiable HF events, 1030 were classified as HFrEF and 1036 as HFpEF. Obstructive [adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 1.17, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.07-1.27] and restrictive physiology (adjusted HR 1.43, 95% CI 1.27-1.62) were associated with incident HF. Obstructive and restrictive ventilatory defects were associated with HFpEF but not HFrEF. The magnitude of the association between restrictive physiology and HFpEF was similar to associations with hypertension, diabetes, and smoking.

CONCLUSION

Lung function impairment was associated with increased risk of incident HF, and particularly incident HFpEF, independent of and to a similar extent as major known cardiovascular risk factors.