Subclinical coronary atherosclerosis predicts cardiovascular risk in different stages of hypertension: result of the Heinz Nixdorf Recall Study

The role of coffee and potential mediators in subclinical atherosclerosis: insights from Mendelian randomization study

Background and aims

Coffee contains many bioactive compounds, and its inconsistent association with subclinical atherosclerosis has been reported in observational studies. In this Mendelian randomization study, we investigated whether genetically predicted coffee consumption is associated with subclinical atherosclerosis, as well as the role of potential mediators.

Methods

We first conducted a two-sample Mendelian randomization analysis to examine the causal effect of coffee and its subtypes on subclinical atherosclerosis inferred from coronary artery calcification (CAC). Next, the significant results were validated using another independent dataset. Two-step Mendelian randomization analyses were utilized to evaluate the causal pathway from coffee to subclinical atherosclerosis through potential mediators, including blood pressure, blood lipids, body mass index, and glycated hemoglobin. Mendelian randomization analyses were performed using the multiplicative random effects inverse-variance weighted method as the main approach, followed by a series of complementary methods and sensitivity analyses.

Results

Coffee, filtered coffee, and instant coffee were associated with the risk of CAC (β = 0.79, 95% CI: 0.12 to 1.47, p = 0.022; β = 0.66, 95% CI: 0.17 to 1.15, p = 0.008; β = 0.66, 95% CI: 0.20 to 1.13, p = 0.005; respectively). While no significant causal relationship was found between decaffeinated coffee and CAC (β = -1.32, 95% CI: -2.67 to 0.04, p = 0.056). The association between coffee and CAC was validated in the replication analysis (β = 0.27, 95% CI: 0.07 to 0.48, p = 0.009). Body mass index mediated 39.98% of the effect of coffee on CAC (95% CI: 9.78 to 70.19%, p = 0.009), and 5.79% of the effect of instant coffee on CAC (95% CI: 0.54 to 11.04%, p = 0.030).

Conclusion

Our study suggests that coffee other than decaffeinated coffee increases the risk of subclinical atherosclerosis inferred from CAC. Body mass index mediated 39.98 and 5.79% of the causal effects of coffee and instant coffee on CAC, respectively. Coffee should be consumed with caution, especially in individuals with established cardiovascular risk factors, and decaffeinated coffee appears to be a safer choice.

Predictive value of machine learning algorithm of coronary artery calcium score and clinical factors for obstructive coronary artery disease in hypertensive patients

BACKGROUND

The addition of coronary artery calcium score (CACS) to prediction models has been verified to improve performance. Machine learning (ML) algorithms become important medical tools in an era of precision medicine, However, combined utility by CACS and ML algorithms in hypertensive patients to forecast obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD) on coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) is rare.

METHODS

This retrospective study was composed of 1,273 individuals with hypertension and without a history of CAD, who underwent dual-source computed tomography evaluation. We applied five ML algorithms, coupled with clinical factors, imaging parameters, and CACS to construct predictive models. Moreover, 80% individuals were randomly taken as a training set on which 5-fold cross-validation was done and the remaining 20% were regarded as a validation set.

RESULTS

16.7% (212 out of 1,273) of hypertensive patients had obstructive CAD. Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) posted the biggest area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.83 in five ML algorithms. Continuous net reclassification improvement (NRI) was 0.55 (95% CI (0.39-0.71), p < 0.001), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) was 0.04 (95% CI (0.01-0. 07), p = 0.0048) when the XGBoost model was compared with traditional Models. In the subgroup analysis stratified by hypertension levels, XGBoost still had excellent performance.

CONCLUSION

The ML model incorporating clinical features and CACS may accurately forecast the presence of obstructive CAD on CCTA among hypertensive patients. XGBoost is superior to other ML algorithms.

Identification and Management of Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Risk in South Asian Populations in the U.S

South Asians (SAs, individuals with ancestry from Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Maldives, Nepal, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka) are among the fastest growing ethnic subgroups in the United States. SAs typically experience a high prevalence of diabetes, abdominal obesity, and hypertension, among other cardiovascular disease risk factors, which are often under recognized and undermanaged. The excess coronary heart disease risk in this growing population must be critically assessed and managed with culturally appropriate preventive services. Accordingly, this scientific document prepared by a multidisciplinary group of clinicians and investigators in cardiology, internal medicine, pharmacy, and SA-centric researchers describes key characteristics of traditional and nontraditional cardiovascular disease risk factors, compares and contrasts available risk assessment tools, discusses the role of blood-based biomarkers and coronary artery calcium to enhance risk assessment and prevention strategies, and provides evidenced-based approaches and interventions that may reduce coronary heart disease disparities in this higher-risk population.

Diagnostic Cardiac CT for the Improvement of Cardiovascular Event Prediction

BACKGROUND

The aim of the long-term Heinz Nixdorf Recall Study (observation period 20 years) was to establish the extent to which computed tomography (CT) improves the predictability of cardiovascular events relative to determination of risk factors alone.

METHODS

In the period 2000-2003, study staff examined 4355 probands (53% of them female) aged 45-75 years with no signs of cardiovascular disease. The Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease (ASCVD) score was calculated on the basis of demographic data and cardiovascular risk factors. Cardiac CT was carried out over the same period and coronary artery calcification (CAC) was graded according to the Agatston score.

RESULTS

The median duration of follow-up was 18.2 years for men and 17.8 years for women. Myocardial infarction or stroke occurred in 458 (11%) of the 4154 participants with complete data. Overall, estimation of risk using a combination of ASCVD score and CAC grade was superior to the ASCVD score alone-even after 10 and 20 years. Classification into established risk categories improved by 12.2% (95% confidence interval: [5.3%; 18.1%]). In the highest ASCVD risk category, we observed occurrence of a cardiovascular event over 20 years for 14% [5.0%; 23.1%] of probands with a CAC score = 0 but for 34.2% [27.5%; 41.4%] of those with a CAC score ≥ 400. In the lowest ASCVD risk category, an event occurred in 2.4% [1.4%; 3.7%] of probands with a CAC score = 0 and in 23.5% [2.3%; 35.8%] of those with a CAC score ≥ 400.

CONCLUSION

Even after 20 years, individual risk prediction is improved by addition of CT-based determination of coronary artery calcification to the ASCVD score. Therefore, assessment of ASCVD risk factors should be complemented more widely by cardiac CT in the primary prevention of cardiovascular disease.

Subclinical Hypertension-Mediated Organ Damage (HMOD) in Hypertension: Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease (ASCVD) and Calcium Score

Calcium controls numerous events within the vessel wall. Permeability of the endothelium is calcium dependent, as are platelet activation and adhesion, vascular smooth muscle proliferation and migration, and synthesis of fibrous connective tissue. Double-helix computerized tomography is a noninvasive technique that can detect, measure, and compare coronary calcification in the coronary arteries. Despite some convincing evidence about the prognostic value and usefulness of coronary artery calcium score (CACS) in the stratification of cardiovascular risk in the high risk general population and also in hypertensive patients, current guidelines for the management of hypertension, do not include such evaluation among the recommended procedures to be performed in the majority of patients even with the intent to detect hypertension-mediated organ damage (HMOD) in an early phase. On the contrary, the European Society of Cardiology guidelines for the diagnosis and management of chronic coronary syndromes, the 2019 ACC/AHA Guideline on the Primary Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease, and the 2018 Cholesterol Clinical Practice Guidelines indicate that the evaluation of CACS may be of some usefulness in specific subpopulations, although this view is not accepted in the US Preventive Services Task Force document. Very recently, the European Society of Cardiology Guidelines on cardiovascular disease prevention in clinical practice stated that CACS estimation may be considered to improve risk classification around treatment decision thresholds. In conclusion, the use of CACS as a diagnostic tool is still controversial. While some evidence exists about is ability to improve stratification of cardiovascular risk in primary prevention, in particular in selected patients who are at intermediate or borderline risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, there is insufficient evidence to use it as a standard means to assess HMOD.

Impact of socioeconomic and cardiovascular risk factors on the effect of genetic variants associated with NT-proBNP

N-terminal prohormone of brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) is an established biomarker for diagnosis of heart failure. The study aims to explore whether known cardiovascular risk factors, including education and income as indicators of socioeconomic position (SEP), may interact with the genetic effect of NT-proBNP-related single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNP) to influence plasma levels of NT-proBNP in a population-based study sample. Information on effect alleles of three SNPs previously reported to be related to NT-proBNP was combined individually for 4,520 participants of the Heinz Nixdorf Recall Study to calculate a genetic risk allele sum score (GRS_NT-proBNP). Linear Regression models were used to examine the association of cardiovascular risk factors and GRS_NT-proBNP with log-transformed NT-proBNP levels, as well as cardiovascular risk factor by GRS_NT-proBNP interactions. The GRS_NT-proBNP was associated with NT-proBNP showing 1.13-fold (95% CI 1.10–1.16) higher plasma levels per additional effect allele. Interaction terms included in the regression models gave some indication for interaction of the GRS_NT-proBNP with the SEP indicator income as well as with C-reactive protein. In regression models stratified by income quartiles the strongest genetic effect was observed in the third income quartile showing 1.18-fold (95% CI 1.12–1.25) higher average NT-proBNP levels per additional allele compared to the lowest income quartile with 1.08-fold (95% CI 1.01–1.15) higher NT-proBNP levels. The results of the present study indicate that genetic effects of NT-proBNP increasing alleles are stronger in higher SEP groups. This may be due to a stronger influence of non-genetic cardiovascular risk on NT-proBNP in low SEP groups.

Intracranial Arterial Calcifications: Potential Biomarkers of Stroke Risk and Outcome

Intracranial artery calcifications (IAC), a common and easily identifiable finding on computed tomorgraphy angiography (CTA), has gained recognition as a possible risk factor for ischemic stroke. While atherosclerosis of intracranial arteries is believed to be a mechanism that commonly contributes to ischemic stroke, and coronary artery calcification is well-established as a predictor of both myocardial infarction (MI) and ischemic stroke risk, IAC is not currently used as a prognostic tool for stroke risk or recurrence. This review examines the pathophysiology and prevalence of IAC, and current evidence suggesting that IAC may be a useful tool for prediction of stroke incidence, recurrence, and response to acute ischemic stroke therapy.

Upregulation of Mineralocorticoid Receptor Contributes to Development of Salt-Sensitive Hypertension after Ischemia-Reperfusion Injury in Rats

The ischemia-reperfusion injury (IRI) of rat kidneys is used as a model of acute kidney injury. Salt-sensitive hypertension occurs in rats after IRI, and the distal nephrons play important roles in the development of this condition. We investigated the role of the mineralocorticoid receptor (MR) in the progression of IRI-induced salt-sensitive hypertension in rats. Fourteen days after right-side nephrectomy, IRI was induced by clamping the left renal artery, with sham surgery performed as a control. IRI rats were provided with normal water or water with 1.0% NaCl (IRI/NaCl), or they were implanted with an osmotic mini-pump to infuse vehicle or aldosterone (IRI/Aldo). Esaxerenone, a non-steroidal MR blocker (MRB), was administered to IRI/NaCl and IRI/Aldo rats for 6 weeks. MR expression increased by day 7 post-IRI. Blood pressure and urinary protein excretion increased in IRI/NaCl and IRI/Aldo rats over the 6-week period, but these effects were negated by MRB administration. The MRB attenuated the expression of the gamma-epithelial sodium channel (ENaC) and renal damage. The ENaC inhibitor, amiloride, ameliorated hypertension and renal damage in IRI/NaCl and IRI/Aldo rats. Our findings thus showed that MR upregulation may play a pivotal role in ENaC-mediated sodium uptake in rats after IRI, resulting in the development of salt-sensitive hypertension in response to salt overload or the activation of the renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system.

Association between apnea-hypopnea index and coronary artery calcification: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The present study aimed to evaluate the association between presence and severity of obstructive sleep apnoea (OSA) and the presence of subclinical coronary artery disease (CAD) as assessed by coronary calcium score.

METHODS

Medline, Cochrane, and Google Scholar databases were searched. The presence of coronary artery calcification (CAC) and CAC score were assessed.

RESULTS

Irrespective of the cut-off value of apnoea-hypopnea index (AHI) (5 or 15 events/h), patients in the OSA group had higher rate of CAC presence and mean CAC score than those in the control group. Subgroup analyses of patients monitored with home sleep apnoea testing (HSAT) or in-hospital/laboratory polysomnography showed that the OSA group had higher rate of CAC presence and mean CAC score than the control group, except in the comparison of mean CAC score between AHI ≥5 vs. <5 events/h for patients using HSAT, which was not significant. Pair-wise comparison showed that CAC score may increase with increased OSA severity.

CONCLUSIONS

In participants without symptomatic coronary disease, the presence of OSA was associated with the presence and extent of CAC. However, potential confounders such as age, gender, and BMI and the diversity of CAC scores may affect the association.

Association of Stage 1 Hypertension Defined by the ACC/AHA 2017 Guideline With Asymptomatic Coronary Atherosclerosis

BACKGROUND

This study sought to assess the relationship between stage 1 hypertension and subclinical coronary atherosclerosis.

METHODS

A total of 4,666 individuals with available coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) results from a health checkup were enrolled. The classification of hypertension was adapted from the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association (ACC/AHA) 2017 guideline. The presence of coronary plaques and its characteristics, and other CCTA findings were assessed.

RESULTS

There was a linear relationship between blood pressure (BP), both systolic BP (SBP) and diastolic BP (DBP), and the presence of coronary plaque. Patients were classified into 4 groups according to the BP category: normal BP (SBP <120 mm Hg and DBP <80 mm Hg; n = 2,395; 51.3%), elevated BP (SBP 120-129 mm Hg and DBP <80 mm Hg; n = 467; 10.0%), stage 1 hypertension (SBP 130-139 mm Hg or DBP 80-89 mm Hg; n = 1,139; 24.4%), and stage 2 hypertension (SBP ≥140 mm Hg or DBP ≥90 mm Hg; n = 665; 14.2%). Compared with the normal BP group after multivariate adjustment, the stage 1 hypertension group was significantly associated with the presence of atherosclerotic plaque (adjusted odds ratio [95% confidential interval], 1.37 [1.17-1.62]; P < 0.001), especially in noncalcified and mixed plaques. The relationship between stage 1 hypertension and stenosis >50% was not statistically significant. Isolated diastolic and isolated systolic stage 1 hypertensions were significantly related to the presence of coronary plaque. The elevated BP group was not associated with any positive CCTA findings.

CONCLUSIONS

Stage 1 hypertension was independently associated with subclinical coronary atherosclerosis.

Cardiovascular Risk Assessment in Hypertensive Patients

Hypertension is a highly prevalent and causal risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD). Quantitative cardiovascular (CV) risk assessment is a new paradigm for stratifying hypertensive patients into actionable groups for clinical management and prevention of CVD. The large heterogeneity in hypertensive patients makes this evaluation complex, but recent advances have made CV risk assessment more feasible. In this review, we first describe the prognostic significance of various levels and temporal patterns of blood pressure (BP). We then discuss CV risk prediction equations and the rationale of taking global risk into account in hypertensive patients. Finally, we review several adjunctive biomarkers that may refine risk assessment in certain patients. We observe that, beyond individual cross-sectional measurements, both short-term and long-term BP patterns are associated with incident CVD; that current CV risk prediction performs well, and its incorporation into hypertension management is associated with potential population benefit; and that adjunctive biomarkers of target organ damage show the most promise in sequential screening strategies that target biomarker measurement to patients in whom the results are most likely to change clinical management. Implementation of quantitative risk assessment for CVD has been facilitated by tools and direct electronic health record integrations that make risk estimates accessible for counseling and shared decision making for CVD prevention. However, it should be noted that treatment does not return an individual to the risk of someone who never develops hypertension, underscoring the need for primordial prevention in addition to continued innovation in risk assessment.

Vitamin D and white matter hyperintensities: results of the population-based Heinz Nixdorf Recall Study and 1000BRAINS

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Cross-sectional studies showed an inverse association between serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25OHD) and white matter hyperintensities (WMHs) whereas the few longitudinal studies did not. The association between baseline 25OHD and WMHs at 10-year follow-up in the Heinz Nixdorf Recall Study plus 1000BRAINS was investigated.

METHODS

Data of 505 participants (49% women, 56.2 ± 6.6 years) with 25OHD at baseline (2000-2003) and WMH volume and grade of WMHs using the Fazekas classification at 10-year follow-up were analysed. The association between deseasonalized 25OHD and the base-10 logarithm of WMH volume was evaluated by multiple linear regression, adjusted for age, sex, education, smoking, alcohol consumption, sports, diabetes mellitus, systolic blood pressure and total cholesterol. β-estimators were transformed back (10^β ). Using multiple logistic regression, odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) were calculated to evaluate the association between deseasonalized 25OHD and Fazekas grades (0, absence and 1, punctate foci vs. 2, beginning and 3, large confluence).

RESULTS

Mean 25OHD was 17.0 ± 8.2 ng/ml, and mean deseasonalized 25OHD was 16.9 ± 7.5 ng/ml. Mean WMH volume was 16.6 ± 17.4 ml, range 1-132 ml. Most grade 2-3 WMHs were found to be periventricular (39% of the participants), parietal (32%) and frontal (31%) (temporal 6%, occipital 3%). The linear regression showed an inverse association between 25OHD and WMH volume. On average, a 25OHD increase of 1 ng/ml was associated with a reduced WMH volume by a factor of 0.99 (95% CI 0.98; 1.00) (fully adjusted). There was also some indication for an inverse association between 25OHD and extent of periventricular (OR 0.98 [95% CI 0.96; 1.01]), frontal (0.99 [0.97; 1.02]) and parietal (0.98 [0.95; 1.00]) WMHs according to the Fazekas classification.

CONCLUSIONS

Lower 25OHD may be a risk factor for the occurrence of WMHs.

Long-term all-cause mortality among asymptomatic individuals with 80th percentile of coronary calcium score based on age and gender in the St. Francis Heart Study

OBJECTIVES

High coronary artery calcium score (CAC) is a significant risk factor for cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. We investigated the long-term outcome of subjects with elevated CAC.

METHODS

We studied 1005 participants of The St. Francis Heart Study who were asymptomatic and apparently healthy and had CAC scores at 80th percentile or higher for age and gender. They were randomized to receive atorvastatin 20 mg daily or placebo for up to 5 years. We used an as-treated study design accounting for cross-overs at the end of the original trial. All-cause mortality risk was assessed using adjusted hazard ratios.

RESULTS

Mean age was 59 ± 6 years and 26% (N = 263) were female. After 17 ± 3 years follow-up 176 subjects died. High CAC at baseline was associated with increased mortality risk with adjusted hazard ratio for logarithmic transformed CAC at 1.33 and 95% confidence interval 1.06-1.68. The mortality risk associated with CAC was similar between the group with high-sensitivity CRP ≥2 and <2 mg/dL. Those with a family history of premature coronary artery disease exhibited a higher mortality risk in association with high CAC with an adjusted hazard ratio 1.51 (1.09, 2.09).

CONCLUSION

Elevated CAC is an independent risk for long-term all-cause mortality. The screening of CAC score in addition to identifying conventional risk factors can differentiate asymptomatic individuals with and without increased long-term mortality risk.

The Association between Blood Pressure Trajectories and Risk of Cardiovascular Diseases among Non-Hypertensive Chinese Population: A Population-Based Cohort Study

Although previous studies have discussed the association between trajectories of blood pressure (BP) and risk of cardiovascular diseases (CVDs), the association among the non-hypertensive general population of youth and middle age has not been elucidated. We used the growth mixture model to explore the trajectories of BP among the non-hypertensive Chinese population and applied Cox regression to evaluate the association between trajectories of BP and the risk of stroke or myocardial infarction (MI). Systolic blood pressure (SBP) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP) were categorized into three classes, respectively. Statistically significant associations were observed between SBP trajectories and stroke (range of adjusted hazard ratios (aHR): 1.369-3.837) or MI (rang of aHR = 6.047-13.017). Association between DBP trajectories and stroke (aHR: 3.685) or MI (range of aHR = 1.312-2.821) were also observed, although they did not reach statistical significance. Trajectories of SBP were more important risk factors than that of DBP in stroke and MI in our study population. BP management is important among pre-hypertensive adults to prevent stroke and MI when they age. Well-designed research with a larger sample size is required to confirm our findings and develop efficient methods to prevent CVDs.

Association of Bone Mineral Density and Coronary Artery Calcification in Patients with Osteopenia and Osteoporosis

The aim of this study was to investigate the association between bone mineral density (BMD) and coronary artery calcification (CAC) in adults with osteopenia or osteoporosis. A retrospective medical review study was conducted in a regional hospital in southern Taiwan. Medical records of patients who underwent both a coronary computed tomography scan and a BMD measurement were identified. Multinomial logistic regression analyses were used to assess the association between BMD and CAC levels in patients with osteopenia or osteoporosis. Of the 246 patients, 119 were female and 42.3% had CAC. For patients with osteopenia, after adjusting for the significant factors of CAC, no significant association was observed between BMD with either moderate CAC (0 < CAC score ≤ 100) or high CAC (CAC score > 100). However, in patients with osteoporosis, after adjusting for the significant factors of CAC, BMD in the lumbar spine was inversely associated with moderate CAC (odds ratio = 0.38, p = 0.035). In conclusion, a lower BMD in the lumbar spine was associated with an increased risk of moderate CAC in patients with osteoporosis. It is crucial to take action to maintain bone health, particularly in those who already have osteoporosis, to reduce the risk of developing CAC and its associated morbidity and mortality.

Genetic variations in G-protein signal pathways influence progression of coronary artery calcification: Results from the Heinz Nixdorf Recall study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Coronary artery calcification (CAC) is one of the most sensitive and specific markers of coronary atherosclerosis and believed to be heritable. We hypothesized that functionally relevant single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in the G-protein signal pathway, which have been previously related to coronary artery disease, are associated with CAC progression.

METHODS

3108 participants from the Heinz Nixdorf Recall study with CAC measurements at both baseline (CACb) and 5-year follow-up (CAC5y) were included. We genotyped SNPs rs1042714 (ADRB2), rs6026584 and rs12481583 (GNAS), and rs5443 (GNB3) and defined a priori risk alleles derived from literature data. Regression analyses were applied to measures of 5-year CAC progression, unadjusted, adjusted for age, sex, and adjusted for age, sex, log(CACb+1) as well as for cardiovascular risk factors.

RESULTS

The presence of one or more risk alleles was associated with a 26.9% (95% CI 5.5-52.4) increase in 5-year CAC progression (p = 0.011) and a 29.2% (95% CI 5.9-57.6) accelerated increase of CAC over the 5-year period compared to what was expected with respect to the baseline CAC percentile value (p = 0.012). Each of those risk alleles increased the 5-year CAC progression by 4.4% (95% CI 1.3-7.6, p = 0.006) and resulted in a 4.9% accelerated increase of CAC over the 5-year period (95% CI 1.6-8.4, p = 0.004). These unadjusted data did not change after adjustment.

CONCLUSIONS

Genetic variations in the G-protein signal pathway are associated with CAC progression in a cumulative fashion, indicating the importance of the pathway for genetic heritability in CAC progression and coronary artery disease.

Prehypertension and risk of cardiovascular diseases: a meta-analysis of 47 cohort studies

OBJECTIVE

To assess the association of prehypertension (SBP 120-139 mmHg and/or DBP 80-89 mmHg) and total cardiovascular diseases (CVDs), coronary heart disease (CHD), myocardial infarction (MI), and stroke.

METHODS

PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science were searched for articles published up to 7 November 2018. Normal range BP was considered SBP less than 120 mmHg and DBP less than 80 mmHg. RRs and 95% CIs were pooled using fixed-effects models. Meta-regression was conducted to estimate the heterogeneity among subgroups.

RESULTS

We included 27 articles (47 studies including 491 666 study participants) in the analysis. Prehypertension was associated with total CVDs (RR 1.40, 95% CI 1.34-1.46), CHD (1.40, 1.28-1.52), MI (1.86, 1.50-2.32), and stroke (1.66, 1.56-1.76). Risk of total CVDs, MI, and stroke was increased with low-range prehypertension (low-range: SBP 120-129 mmHg and/or DBP 80-84 mmHg) versus normal BP - RR 1.42 (95% CI 1.29-1.55), 1.43 (1.10-1.86), and 1.52 (1.27-1.81), respectively - and risk of total CVDs, CHD, MI, and stroke was increased with high-range prehypertension (high-range: SBP 130-139 mmHg and/or DBP 85-89 mmHg) - RR 1.81 (95% CI 1.56-2.10), 1.65 (1.13-2.39), 1.99 (1.59-2.50), and 1.99 (1.68-2.36), respectively. The population-attributable risk for the association of total CVDs, CHD, MI, and stroke with prehypertension was 12.09, 13.26, 24.60, and 19.15%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Prehypertension, particularly high-range, is associated with increased risk of total CVDs, CHD, MI, and stroke. Effective control of prehypertension could prevent more than 10% of CVD cases.

Association of bone mineral density and trabecular bone score with cardiovascular disease

Traditionally, osteoporosis and cardiovascular disease (CVD) are considered as separate chronic diseases. Increasing evidence now links osteoporosis with hypertension, abnormal lipid metabolism, atherosclerosis, vascular calcification (VC), and congestive heart failure. VC coexists with bone loss, and aortic calcification is a strong predictor of low bone mineral density (BMD) and fragility fractures. The same holds true for coronary artery calcification (CAC): the lower the BMD, the higher the CAC. Trabecular bone score (TBS) iNsight software can analyze the existing BMD database to obtain the bony microstructure score (TBS). Many TBS-related studies include fracture risk, normal aging, diabetes, potential genes, obesity, and asthma severity prediction. The inverse relationship of TBS to VC may provide insight into bone–vascular interactions in chronic kidney disease. A higher TBS has been associated with moderate, but not high, CAC. One explanation is that bone microstructural remodeling becomes more active during early coronary calcification. Increased risk of 10-year likelihood of hip fracture and major osteoporotic fracture as estimated by the fracture risk assessment tool FRAX^® is significantly and independently associated with more severe CAC scores. Dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry and FRAX^® can be used to predict fracture risk and CAC scores, identifying patients who may benefit from early intervention. This review will discuss the relationship and possible mechanism of BMD, TBS, and FRAX^® with CVD and VC or CAC.

Psoriasis, cardiovascular risk factors and metabolic disorders: sex-specific findings of a population-based study

BACKGROUND

Scientific evidence suggests an association between psoriasis and cardiovascular and metabolic diseases. However, there are hardly any sex-specific results from population-based studies reporting the prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors in patients with psoriasis and point estimates of the association between psoriasis and cardiovascular and metabolic disorders.

OBJECTIVE

Aims are to evaluate the sex-specific prevalence of psoriasis and cardiovascular risk factors, and to estimate sex-specific associations between psoriasis and diabetes type 2 (DM) and metabolic syndrome (MetS).

METHODS

We used data of 3723 participants (45-75 years, 54.1% women) without coronary heart disease and missing data (psoriasis, DM, MetS) from the Heinz Nixdorf Recall study. Standardized information on health outcomes and risk factors was assessed. We performed descriptive statistics and multiple regression analyses to calculate prevalence rate ratios (PR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI).

RESULTS

The prevalence of psoriasis was 3.8% (n = 143), with no differences between sex. We observed more often metabolic and cardiovascular risk factors in women with psoriasis compared to women without psoriasis. Interestingly, in men, this pattern was partly reversed. Multiple regression analyses revealed distinctly elevated PRs for DM for both women and men with psoriasis (fully adjusted PR: 2.43; 95% CI: 1.17-5.07, resp. 2.09; 1.16-3.76). Regarding the MetS, the results were inconsistent, showing a positive association between psoriasis and MetS in women (1.84; 1.14-2.98), but a negative association in men, even though with a wide 95% CI (0.69; 0.42-1.12).

CONCLUSION

The results of our cross-sectional, population-based analysis show a distinct association between psoriasis and DM, whereas for the MetS the results contrasted between men and women, translating in women with MetS showing a higher and in men a lower chance to be psoriatic. Our results emphasize the urgent need for sex-specific research, studying the effects of psoriasis on metabolic disorders as well as effective sex tailored prevention measures.

No difference in medication regimes and dosing in study participants with and without blood pressure control: longitudinal data of the population-based Heinz Nixdorf Recall Study

BACKGROUND

To achieve blood pressure (BP) control adequate dosing of first-line antihypertensive medications is recommended in addition to life-style changes. Given observations that dosing of antihypertensive agents is frequently insufficient, we compared the changes of BP control rates and antihypertensive drug regimens in a prospective German population using a new strategy to analyze medication dosing.

METHODS

This analysis is based on data of the baseline (2000-2003) and the first follow-up examination (2005-2008) of the population-based Heinz Nixdorf Recall study. Participants with hypertension at baseline (BP ≥140/90 mmHg or at least one antihypertensive agent) who participated in both examinations were included.

RESULTS

Of the 4157 participants, 2289 (55.1%) had hypertension at baseline. The prevalence of participants on antihypertensive agents was 60.3% at baseline and increased to 75.1% at follow-up. The mean number of antihypertensive agents was 2 [±1 SD (standard deviation)] initially and at follow-up. The prevalence of medication-controlled BP did not improve over time (baseline: 54.5%, follow-up: 56.5%). When stratifying by medication-controlled BP, the medication dosing rate slightly increased over time without differences between groups [controlled versus uncontrolled BP: 40.9 versus 46.2% (baseline); 50.1 versus 51.9% (follow-up)].

CONCLUSION

Although the prevalence of antihypertensive medication use increased in the study period, the BP control rate did not. In contrast to clinical reasoning, participants with uncontrolled BP did neither receive more agents nor higher dosing despite outcome-relevant hypertension. Our approach to analyze medication dosing suggests a potential to improve cardiovascular outcomes by increasing dosages of antihypertensive agents.

Male-pattern baldness and incident coronary heart disease and risk factors in the Heinz Nixdorf Recall Study

Male-pattern baldness (MPB) is characterized by a progressive hair loss from the frontal and vertex scalp that affects about 80% of men at the age of 80 years. Epidemiological studies show positive associations between MPB and coronary heart disease (CHD) and CHD related risk factors such as blood pressure (BP), diabetes mellitus (DM) or elevated blood lipid levels. The results however vary with regard to the pattern of hair loss (i.e. moderate, severe, frontal or vertex). Further, no study has investigated for a shared genetic determinant between MPB and CHD as well as CHD related risk factors. Using the longitudinal data from the population-based Heinz Nixdorf Recall study we aimed to systematically investigate the association between MPB and incident CHD and CHD risk factors on (i) an epidemiological (N = 1,673 males) and (ii) a genetic (N = 1,357 males) level. The prevalence of any baldness in our study population was 88% (mean age ± SD: 64±7.5 years). Compared to men with ‘no baldness’, in men with any kind of baldness a slightly increased risk for CHD (Hazard ratio [95% confidence interval (95%CI)] = 1.2 [0.8; 1.9]), a slightly higher extend of coronary artery calcification (CAC) (Beta [95%CI] = 0.2 [-0.1; 0.6]), a moderately increased risk for DM (prevalence ratio [95%CI] = 1.4 [0.9; 2.0]) and higher body mass index (BMI) (Beta [95%CI] = 0.6 [0.00003; 1.2]) seem to be indicated in the adjusted model. In contrast, the MPB genetic risk score did not show any association with CHD or CHD risk factors. Taken together, the results of our study suggest a weak association between MPB and a few CHD risk factors (CAC, DM and BMI) but do not point to MPB as a strong surrogate measure for CHD and CHD risk factors in general.

Role of Coronary Artery Calcium for Stratifying Cardiovascular Risk in Adults With Hypertension

We examined the utility of coronary artery calcium (CAC) for cardiovascular risk stratification among hypertensive adults, including those fitting eligibility for SPRINT (Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial). Additionally, we used CAC to identify hypertensive adults with cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality rates equivalent to those observed in SPRINT who may, therefore, benefit from the most intensive blood pressure therapy. Our study population included 16 167 hypertensive patients from the CAC Consortium, among whom 6375 constituted a "SPRINT-like" population. We compared multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios of coronary heart disease and CVD deaths by CAC category (0, 1-99, 100-399, ≥400). Additionally, we generated a CAC-CVD mortality curve for patients aged >50 years to determine what CAC scores were associated with CVD death rates observed in SPRINT. Mean age was 58.1±10.6 years. During a mean follow-up of 11.6±3.6 years, there were 409 CVD deaths and 207 coronary heart disease deaths. Increasing CAC scores were associated with increased coronary heart disease and CVD mortality (coronary heart disease-CAC 100-399: hazard ratio [95% CI] 1.88 [1.04-3.40], CAC ≥400: 4.16 [2.34-7.39]; CVD-CAC 100-399: 1.93 [1.31-2.83], CAC ≥400: 3.51 [2.40-5.13]). A similar increased risk was observed across 10-year atherosclerotic CVD risk categories and in the SPRINT-like population. A CAC score of 220 (confidence range, 165-270) was associated with the CVD mortality rate observed in SPRINT. CAC risk stratifies adults with hypertension, including those who are SPRINT eligible. A CAC score of 220 can identify hypertensive adults with SPRINT-level CVD mortality risk and, therefore, may be reasonable for identifying candidates for aggressive blood pressure therapy.

FRAX® Fracture Risks Are Associated with Coronary Artery Calcification Score

Purpose

To examine the association between fracture risk assessment tool (FRAX) scores and coronary artery calcification (CAC) score in adults.

Methods

The medical records of 81 adults who underwent both coronary computed tomography and bone mineral density (BMD) studies in a package during their health exams were reviewed at a regional hospital in Southern Taiwan. Data collected included health history, anthropomorphic characteristics, clinical laboratory results, and BMD. Fracture risk was determined using FRAX. Univariate and multivariate linear regression analysis were used to assess the association between CAC score and 10-year probability of hip fracture (HF) and major osteoporotic fracture (MOF) determined by FRAX.

Results

The mean age of the patients was 55.8 years, and 63.0% were male. Univariate linear regression analysis showed that increases in MOF and HF risks, as measured by FRAX, were significantly and positively associated with CAC score. Multiple linear regression analysis adjusting for potential confounders showed that CAC score remained significantly associated with four FRAX indicators, including right MOF (r = 0.45, P < 0.001), left MOF (r = 0.31, P = 0.021), right HF (r = 0.38, P = 0.001), and left HF (r = 0.23, P = 0.049).

Conclusions

Increased risks of MOF and HF as determined by FRAX were significantly and independently associated with CAC score.

Value of Progression of Coronary Artery Calcification for Risk Prediction of Coronary and Cardiovascular Events: Result of the HNR Study (Heinz Nixdorf Recall)

Supplemental Digital Content is available in the text.

Background:

Computed tomography (CT) allows estimation of coronary artery calcium (CAC) progression. We evaluated several progression algorithms in our unselected, population-based cohort for risk prediction of coronary and cardiovascular events.

Methods:

In 3281 participants (45–74 years of age), free from cardiovascular disease until the second visit, risk factors, and CTs at baseline (b) and after a mean of 5.1 years (5y) were measured. Hard coronary and cardiovascular events, and total cardiovascular events including revascularization, as well, were recorded during a follow-up time of 7.8±2.2 years after the second CT. The added predictive value of 10 CAC progression algorithms on top of risk factors including baseline CAC was evaluated by using survival analysis, C-statistics, net reclassification improvement, and integrated discrimination index. A subgroup analysis of risk in CAC categories was performed.

Results:

We observed 85 (2.6%) hard coronary, 161 (4.9%) hard cardiovascular, and 241 (7.3%) total cardiovascular events. Absolute CAC progression was higher with versus without subsequent coronary events (median, 115 [Q1–Q3, 23–360] versus 8 [0–83], P<0.0001; similar for hard/total cardiovascular events). Some progression algorithms added to the predictive value of baseline CT and risk assessment in terms of C-statistic or integrated discrimination index, especially for total cardiovascular events. However, CAC progression did not improve models including CAC_5y and 5-year risk factors. An excellent prognosis was found for 921 participants with double-zero CAC_b=CAC_5y=0 (10-year coronary and hard/total cardiovascular risk: 1.4%, 2.0%, and 2.8%), which was for participants with incident CAC 1.8%, 3.8%, and 6.6%, respectively. When CAC_b progressed from 1 to 399 to CAC_5y≥400, coronary and total cardiovascular risk were nearly 2-fold in comparison with subjects who remained below CAC_5y=400. Participants with CAC_b≥400 had high rates of hard coronary and hard/total cardiovascular events (10-year risk: 12.0%, 13.5%, and 30.9%, respectively).

Conclusions:

CAC progression is associated with coronary and cardiovascular event rates, but adds only weakly to risk prediction. What counts is the most recent CAC value and risk factor assessment. Therefore, a repeat scan >5 years after the first scan may be of additional value, except when a double-zero CT scan is present or when the subjects are already at high risk.

Accelerated progression of coronary artery calcification in hypertension but also prehypertension

OBJECTIVE

To determine the role of hypertension for coronary artery calcification (CAC) progression.

METHODS

The population-based Heinz Nixdorf Recall study recruited 4814 participants from a German urban population in 2000-2003. CAC was measured using electron-beam computed tomography at baseline and after 5 years. The present analyses refer to 3481 participants with repeat scan (coronary heart disease until 5 years excluded, age at baseline 45-74 years, and 53.1% women). Blood pressure (BP), Framingham risk factors, and antihypertensive medication were recorded at baseline. BP was staged according to Joint National Committee 7 guidelines. Participants under antihypertensive medication were classified as stage 2. CAC at 5 years was predicted from baseline using our dedicated, publicly available algorithm. CAC progression was accordingly classified as slow, expected, or rapid.

RESULTS

Normotension was found in 20.5%, prehypertension in 27.2%, stage 1 hypertension in 15.8%, and stage 2 (ST2) in 36.5%. The frequency of rapid progression increases with BP stage (normotension: 16.7% to ST2: 21.1%, P = 0.004). Risk factor adjusted relative risk [RR (95% confidence interval), reference: normotension] of rapid progression was for prehypertension: 1.22 (0.98;1.51), stage 1: 1.29 (1.01;1.65), and ST2: 1.45 (1.17;1.79). Risk factor adjusted measures of CAC progression per 10 mmHg SBP were already elevated in women with BP below 140/90 mmHg: CAC onset, RR = 1.22 (1.07;1.40), rapid progression, RR = 1.17 (1.05;1.31), 5-year CAC progression, 6.7% (0.5;13.4). In men below 140/90 mmHg, only RR of rapid progression was considerably increased [RR = 1.11 (0.96;1.29)].

CONCLUSION

CAC progression, a sign of ongoing target organ damage, is already accelerated in prehypertensive patients, a substantial proportion of our urban population.

Clinical indications for coronary artery calcium scoring in asymptomatic patients: Expert consensus statement from the Society of Cardiovascular Computed Tomography

This expert consensus statement summarizes the available data regarding the prognostic value of CAC in the asymptomatic population and its ability to refine individual risk prediction, addresses the limitations identified in the current traditional risk factor-based treatment strategies recommended by the 2013 ACC/AHA Prevention guidelines including use of the Pooled Cohort Equations (PCE), and the US Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) Recommendation Statement for Statin Use for the Primary Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease in Adults. It provides CAC based treatment recommendations both within the context of the shared decision making model espoused by the 2013 ACC/AHA Prevention guidelines and independent of these guidelines.

Coronary Artery Calcium to Guide a Personalized Risk-Based Approach to Initiation and Intensification of Antihypertensive Therapy

BACKGROUND

The use of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk to personalize systolic blood pressure (SBP) treatment goals is a topic of increasing interest. Therefore, we studied whether coronary artery calcium (CAC) can further guide the allocation of anti-hypertensive treatment intensity.

METHODS

We included 3733 participants from the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) with SBP between 120 and 179 mm Hg. Within subgroups categorized by both SBP (120-139 mm Hg, 140-159 mm Hg, and 160-179 mm Hg) and estimated 10-year ASCVD risk (using the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Assocation pooled-cohort equations), we compared multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios for the composite outcome of incident ASCVD or heart failure after further stratifying by CAC (0, 1-100, or >100). We estimated 10-year number-needed-to-treat for an intensive SBP goal of 120 mm Hg by applying the treatment benefit recorded in meta-analyses to event rates within CAC strata.

RESULTS

The mean age was 65 years, and 642 composite events took place over a median of 10.2 years. In persons with SBP <160 mm Hg, CAC stratified risk for events. For example, among those with an ASCVD risk of <15% and who had an SBP of either 120 to 139 mm Hg or 140 to 159 mm Hg, respectively, we found increasing hazard ratios for events with CAC 1 to 100 (1.7 [95% confidence interval, 1.0-2.6] or 2.0 [1.1-3.8]) and CAC >100 (3.0 [1.8-5.0] or 5.7 [2.9-11.0]), all relative to CAC=0. There appeared to be no statistical association between CAC and events when SBP was 160 to 179 mm Hg, irrespective of ASCVD risk level. Estimated 10-year number-needed-to-treat for a SBP goal of 120mmHg varied substantially according to CAC levels when predicted ASCVD risk <15% and SBP <160mmHg (eg, 10-year number-needed-to-treat of 99 for CAC=0 and 24 for CAC>100, when SBP 120-139mm Hg). However, few participants with ASCVD risk <5% had elevated CAC. Furthermore, 10-year number-needed-to-treat estimates were consistently low and varied less among CAC strata when SBP was 160 to 179 mm Hg or when ASCVD risk was ≥15% at any SBP level.

CONCLUSIONS

Combined CAC imaging and assessment of global ASCVD risk has the potential to guide personalized SBP goals (eg, choosing a traditional goal of 140 or a more intensive goal of 120 mm Hg), particularly among adults with an estimated ASCVD risk of 5% to 15% and prehypertension or mild hypertension.

Characteristics of coronary arterial lesions in patients with coronary heart disease and hypertension

Objective

The aim of this study was to investigate the correlations between risk factors such as hypertension and the complex degrees of coronary arterial lesions (CAL).

Methods

We selected 462 patients with coronary heart disease (CHD) with confirmed the stenosis (≥50 %) in at least one major coronary artery on coronary angiography and divided them into the “CHD with hypertension” group (CHD-HT, n = 306) and the CHD group (n = 156). The characteristics of CAL and the occurrence of 2-year postoperative major adverse cardiac cerebrovascular events (MACCE) in the two groups were observed.

Results

The mean SYNTAX scores (SS) was higher in the CHD-HT group than in the CHD group (P < 0.05). The proportions of complex, calcified, and diffused long lesions in the PCI patients’ target vascular lesions, as well as the total MACCE incidence, were significantly higher in the CHD-HT group than in the CHD group (P < 0.05). Logistic multifactor regression analysis showed that age, male sex, hypertension, diabetes, hyperlipidemia, and previous history of myocardial infarction were positively correlated with the SS (P < 0.05).

Conclusions

The patients with CHD-HT exhibited complicated and diffused CAL, and arterial hypertension can be considered as a risk factor for the complexity of coronary lesions in patients with ischemic heart disease.

Coronary artery calcification in clinical practice: what we have learned and why should it routinely be reported on chest CT?

The recent acceptance of low dose chest computed tomography (LDCT) as a screening modality for early lung cancer detection will significantly increase the number of LDCT among high risk population. The target subjects are at the same time at high risk to develop cardiovascular (CV) events. The routine report on coronary artery calcification (CAC) will therefore, enhances the screening benefit by providing the clinicians with an additive powerful risk stratification tool for the management or primary prevention of CV events. This review will provide the radiologists with helpful information for the daily practice regarding on what is CAC, its clinical applications and how to diagnose, quantify and report on CAC while reading the LDCT.

10-Year Coronary Heart Disease Risk Prediction Using Coronary Artery Calcium and Traditional Risk Factors: Derivation in the MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis) With Validation in the HNR (Heinz Nixdorf Recall) Study and the DHS (Dallas Heart Study)

BACKGROUND

Several studies have demonstrated the tremendous potential of using coronary artery calcium (CAC) in addition to traditional risk factors for coronary heart disease (CHD) risk prediction. However, to date, no risk score incorporating CAC has been developed.

OBJECTIVES

The goal of this study was to derive and validate a novel risk score to estimate 10-year CHD risk using CAC and traditional risk factors.

METHODS

Algorithm development was conducted in the MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis), a prospective community-based cohort study of 6,814 participants age 45 to 84 years, who were free of clinical heart disease at baseline and followed for 10 years. MESA is sex balanced and included 39% non-Hispanic whites, 12% Chinese Americans, 28% African Americans, and 22% Hispanic Americans. External validation was conducted in the HNR (Heinz Nixdorf Recall Study) and the DHS (Dallas Heart Study).

RESULTS

Inclusion of CAC in the MESA risk score offered significant improvements in risk prediction (C-statistic 0.80 vs. 0.75; p < 0.0001). External validation in both the HNR and DHS studies provided evidence of very good discrimination and calibration. Harrell's C-statistic was 0.779 in HNR and 0.816 in DHS. Additionally, the difference in estimated 10-year risk between events and nonevents was approximately 8% to 9%, indicating excellent discrimination. Mean calibration, or calibration-in-the-large, was excellent for both studies, with average predicted 10-year risk within one-half of a percent of the observed event rate.

CONCLUSIONS

An accurate estimate of 10-year CHD risk can be obtained using traditional risk factors and CAC. The MESA risk score, which is available online on the MESA web site for easy use, can be used to aid clinicians when communicating risk to patients and when determining risk-based treatment strategies.

Novel contributions of multimodality imaging in hypertension: A narrative review

Hypertension is currently one of the most prevalent illnesses worldwide, and is the second most common cause of heart failure, only behind ischemic cardiomyopathy. The development of novel multimodality imaging techniques in recent years has broadened the diagnostic methods, risk stratification and monitoring of treatment of cardiovascular diseases available for clinicians. Cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) has a great capacity to evaluate cardiac dimensions and ventricular function, is extremely useful in ruling-out ischemic cardiomyopathy, the evaluation of the vascular system, in making the differential diagnosis for resistant hypertension and risk stratification for hypertensive cardiomyopathy and constitutes today, the method of choice to evaluate left ventricular systolic function. Computed tomography (CT) is the method of choice for the evaluation of vascular anatomy, including coronary arteries, and is also able to provide both functional and structural information. Finally, nuclear cardiology studies have been traditionally used to evaluate myocardial ischemia, along with offering the capacity to evaluate ventricular, endothelial and cardiac innervation function; information that is key in directing the treatment of the patient. In this narrative review, the most recent contributions of multimodality imaging to the patient with hypertension (CMR, CT and nuclear cardiology) will be reviewed.

[Arterial hypertension and associated factors in patients submitted to myocardial revascularization]

OBJECTIVE To identify the prevalence of arterial hypertension and associated factors in patients submitted to myocardial revascularization. METHOD Cross-sectional study using the database of a hospital in São Paulo (SP, Brazil) containing 3010 patients with coronary artery disease submitted to myocardial revascularization. A multiple logistic regression was performed to identify variables independently associated with hypertension (statistical significance: p<0.05). RESULTS Prevalence of hypertension was 82.8%. After the variables were adjusted, the associated factors were as follows: age, odds ratio (OR): OR=1.01; 95% confidence interval (CI): CI:1.00-1.02; female gender: (OR=1.77;CI:1.39-2.25); brown-skin race: (OR=1.53;CI:1.07-2.19); obesity: (OR=1.53;CI:1.13-2.06); diabetes: (OR=1.90;CI:1.52-2.39); dyslipidemia: (OR=1.51;CI:1.23-1.85); and creatinine>1.3: (OR=1.37;CI:1.09-1.72). CONCLUSION A high prevalence of arterial hypertension and association with both non-modifiable and modifiable factors was observed.

Prehypertension and the risk of coronary heart disease in Asian and Western populations: a meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The results of studies on the association between prehypertension (blood pressure 120 to 139/80 to 89 mm Hg) and coronary heart disease (CHD) remain controversial. Furthermore, it is unclear whether prehypertension affects the risk of CHD in Asian and Western populations differently. This meta-analysis evaluated the risk of CHD associated with prehypertension and its different subgroups.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The PubMed and Embase databases were searched for prospective cohort studies with data on prehypertension and the risk of CHD. Studies were included if they reported multivariate-adjusted relative risks (RRs) with 95% CIs of CHD from prehypertension. A total of 591 664 participants from 17 prospective cohort studies were included. Prehypertension increased the risk of CHD (RR 1.43, 95% CI 1.26 to 1.63, P<0.001) compared with optimal blood pressure (<120/80 mm Hg). The risk of CHD was higher in Western than in Asian participants (Western: RR 1.70, 95% CI 1.49 to 1.94; Asian: RR 1.25, 95% CI 1.12 to 1.38; ratio of RRs 1.36, 95% CI 1.15 to 1.61). The population-attributable risk indicated that 8.4% of CHD in Asian participants was attributed to prehypertension, whereas this proportion was 24.1% in Western participants.

CONCLUSIONS

Prehypertension, even at the low range, is associated with an increased risk of CHD. This risk is more pronounced in Western than in Asian populations. These results supported the heterogeneity of target-organ damage caused by prehypertension and hypertension among different ethnicities and underscore the importance of prevention of CHD in Western patients with prehypertension.

Prehypertension--prevalence, health risks, and management strategies

Prehypertension (blood pressure 120-139/80-89 mmHg) affects ~25-50% of adults worldwide, and increases the risk of incident hypertension. The relative risk of incident hypertension declines by ~20% with intensive lifestyle intervention, and by 34-66% with single antihypertensive medications. To prevent one case of incident hypertension in adults with prehypertension and a 50% 5-year risk of hypertension, 10 individuals would need to receive intensive lifestyle intervention, and four to six patients would need to be treated with antihypertensive medication. The relative risk of incident cardiovascular disease (CVD) is greater with 'stage 2' (130-139/85-89 mmHg) than 'stage 1' (120-129/80-84 mmHg) prehypertension; only stage 2 prehypertension increases cardiovascular mortality. Among individuals with prehypertension, the 10-year absolute CVD risk for middle-aged adults without diabetes mellitus or CVD is ~10%, and ~40% for middle-aged and older individuals with either or both comorbidities. Antihypertensive medications reduce the relative risk of CVD and death by ~15% in secondary-prevention studies of prehypertension. Data on primary prevention of CVD with pharmacotherapy in prehypertension are lacking. Risk-stratified, patient-centred, comparative-effectiveness research is needed in prehypertension to inform an acceptable, safe, and effective balance of lifestyle and medication interventions to prevent incident hypertension and CVD.

Uncontrolled hypertension is associated with coronary artery calcification and electrocardiographic left ventricular hypertrophy: a case-control study

We conducted a 1:2 matched case-control study in order to evaluate whether the prevalence of coronary artery calcium (CAC) and electrocardiographic left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) or strain was higher in patients with uncontrolled hypertension than in subjects from the general population, and evaluate the association between CAC and LVH in patients with uncontrolled hypertension. Cases were patients with uncontrolled hypertension, whereas the controls were random individuals from the general population without cardiovascular disease. CAC score was assessed using a non-contrast computed tomographic scan. LVH was evaluated using the Sokolow-Lyon voltage combination and Cornell voltage-duration product, respectively. Associations between CAC, LVH and traditional cardiovascular risk factors were tested by means of ordinal, conditional and classic binary logistic regression models. We found that uncontrolled hypertension was independently associated with both an ordinal CAC score category (odds ratio (OR) 3.9 (95% CI, 1.6-9.1), P = 0.002), the presence of CAC score>99 (OR 4.5 (95% CI, 1.4-14.7), P = 0.01) and electrocardiographic LVH (OR 10.1 (95% CI, 3.4-30.2), P < 0.001) on both univariate and multivariable analyses. There was, however, no correlation between CAC and LVH. The lack of an association between CAC and LVH suggests that they are markers of different complications of hypertension and may have independent predictive values. Patients with both CAC and LVH may be at higher risk than those in whom only one of these markers is present.

Grade-response relationship between blood pressure and severity of coronary atherosclerosis in asymptomatic adults: assessment with coronary CT angiography

Hypertension is known to be a strong risk factor for coronary atherosclerosis. We aimed to investigate the prevalence, severity, and plaque characteristics of coronary atherosclerosis according to grade of blood pressure (BP) using coronary CT angiography (CCTA) in asymptomatic adults. We enrolled 8,238 asymptomatic subjects who underwent coronary artery calcium scoring (CACS) and CCTA for health screening purposes. Subjects were classified according to JNC 7 guidelines (normal, systolic BP/diastolic BP < 120/80; pre-hypertension [PH], 120-139/80-89; hypertension stage 1 [H1], 140-159/90-99; hypertension stage 2 [H2], >160/100). Isolated systolic hypertension (ISH; systolic BP > 140, diastolic BP < 80) was additionally categorized. With CCTA, the presence of plaques, severity of stenosis, and plaque types were assessed. Using multiple logistic regression analysis, the adjusted odds ratios (AORs) for plaque, obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD) (luminal stenosis ≥50 %), non-calcified plaque (NCP), and CACS > 100 were assessed according to BP grade. After adjustment for clinical risk factors, the risk of subclinical atherosclerosis, NCP, and CACS > 100 gradually increased from PH stage (all P values for trend <0.05), while the risk of obstructive CAD increased from the H1 stage (AORs of H1 and H2: 1.70 and 2.33, respectively). In the ISH group, the AOR of subclinical atherosclerosis (1.64) was higher than in the H1 group (1.55), while the AOR of obstructive CAD (2.58) was higher than in the H2 group (2.33). Therefore, our study strongly suggests that coronary atherosclerosis in asymptomatic adults shows a grade-response relationship according to hypertension grade.

Arterial blood pressure and long-term exposure to traffic-related air pollution: an analysis in the European Study of Cohorts for Air Pollution Effects (ESCAPE)

BACKGROUND

Long-term exposure to air pollution has been hypothesized to elevate arterial blood pressure (BP). The existing evidence is scarce and country specific.

OBJECTIVES

We investigated the cross-sectional association of long-term traffic-related air pollution with BP and prevalent hypertension in European populations.

METHODS

We analyzed 15 population-based cohorts, participating in the European Study of Cohorts for Air Pollution Effects (ESCAPE). We modeled residential exposure to particulate matter and nitrogen oxides with land use regression using a uniform protocol. We assessed traffic exposure with traffic indicator variables. We analyzed systolic and diastolic BP in participants medicated and nonmedicated with BP-lowering medication (BPLM) separately, adjusting for personal and area-level risk factors and environmental noise. Prevalent hypertension was defined as ≥ 140 mmHg systolic BP, or ≥ 90 mmHg diastolic BP, or intake of BPLM. We combined cohort-specific results using random-effects meta-analysis.

RESULTS

In the main meta-analysis of 113,926 participants, traffic load on major roads within 100 m of the residence was associated with increased systolic and diastolic BP in nonmedicated participants [0.35 mmHg (95% CI: 0.02, 0.68) and 0.22 mmHg (95% CI: 0.04, 0.40) per 4,000,000 vehicles × m/day, respectively]. The estimated odds ratio (OR) for prevalent hypertension was 1.05 (95% CI: 0.99, 1.11) per 4,000,000 vehicles × m/day. Modeled air pollutants and BP were not clearly associated.

CONCLUSIONS

In this first comprehensive meta-analysis of European population-based cohorts, we observed a weak positive association of high residential traffic exposure with BP in nonmedicated participants, and an elevated OR for prevalent hypertension. The relationship of modeled air pollutants with BP was inconsistent.

Association between pre-hypertension and cardiovascular outcomes: a systematic review and meta-analysis of prospective studies

BACKGROUND

The quantitative associations between prehypertension or its separate blood pressure (BP) ranges and the risk of main cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) have not been reliably documented.

METHODS

We performed a comprehensive search of PubMed (1966 to June 2012) and the Cochrane Library (1988 to June 2012) without language restrictions. Prospective studies were included if they reported multivariate-adjusted risk ratios (RRs) and corresponding 95 % confidence intervals (CIs) of desirable outcomes, including fatal or non-fatal incident stroke, coronary heart disease, myocardial infarction (MI) or total CVD events, with respect to prehypertension or its separate BP ranges (low range: 120–129/80–84 mmHg; high range: 130–139/85–89 mmHg) at baseline with normal BP (<120/80 mmHg) as reference. Pooled RRs were estimated using a random-effects model or a fixed-effects model.

RESULTS

Twenty-nine articles met our inclusion criteria, with 1,010,858 participants. Both low-range and high-range prehypertension were associated with a greater risk of developing or dying of total CVD (low-range: RR: 1.24; 95 % CI: 1.10 to 1.39; high range: RR: 1.56; 95 % CI: 1.36 to 1.78), stroke (low-range: RR: 1.35; 95 % CI: 1.10 to 1.66; high-range: RR: 1.95; 95 % CI: 1.69 to 2.24) and myocardial infarction (MI) (low range: RR: 1.43; 95 % CI: 1.10 to 1.86; high range: RR: 1.99; 95 % CI: 1.59 to 2.50). The whole range prehypertension had a 1.44-fold (95 % CI: 1.35 to 1.53), 1.73-fold (95 % CI: 1.61 to 1.85), and 1.79-fold (95 % CI: 1.45 to 2.22) risk of total CVD, stroke, and MI, respectively. There was no evidence of publication bias.

CONCLUSIONS

Prehypertensive patients have a greater risk of incident stroke, MI and total CVD events. The impact was markedly different between the low and high prehypertension ranges

Relationship between cognitive impairment and apparent diffusion coefficient values from magnetic resonance-diffusion weighted imaging in elderly hypertensive patients

Background

The purpose of this study was to determine a new method for the early diagnosis and assessment of mild cognitive impairment in elderly individuals with hypertension. Elderly hypertensive patients with cognitive impairment were assessed by the Montreal Cognitive Assessment (MoCA) and Clinical Dementia Rating Assessment (CDR). Cognitive results were compared to apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) values from magnetic resonance-diffusion weighted imaging.

Methods

A total of 191 patients were categorized into four groups: a control group (normal cognition and no hypertension; n=20); a normal group (hypertension and normal cognition; n=33); an mild cognitive impairment group (n=80); and a vascular dementia group (n=58). The MoCA and CDR tests were used to determine cognition. ADC values in eight brain regions were calculated with magnetic resonance-diffusion weighted imaging. Other characteristics were evaluated, eg, blood pressure, MoCA, and CDR scores, and the comparisons of the four groups were made.

Results

The MoCA and CDR scores differed among the four groups (P<0.001). Systolic and diastolic blood pressure values increased as cognitive function declined (P<0.001). Cognitive function declined as ADC values increased, and they differed between elderly people with and without hypertension (P<0.001). Among elderly hypertensive participants, ADC values were significantly increased in the cortex and hippocampus.

Conclusion

The MoCA and CDR tests were sufficiently sensitive to evaluate cognition. Blood pressure was closely related to cognition, as well as to functional and structural changes in the brain. These alterations were evidenced through changes in the ADC values and were most obvious in the cortex and hippocampus. Greater cognitive decline was observed in elderly participants with hypertension compared to those without. As hypertensive stage increased, greater ADC values were observed.

Progression of coronary artery calcification seems to be inevitable, but predictable - results of the Heinz Nixdorf Recall (HNR) study

Aim

Coronary artery calcification (CAC), as a sign of atherosclerosis, can be detected and progression quantified using computed tomography (CT). We develop a tool for predicting CAC progression.

Methods and results

In 3481 participants (45–74 years, 53.1% women) CAC percentiles at baseline (CAC_b) and after five years (CAC_5y) were evaluated, demonstrating progression along gender-specific percentiles, which showed exponentially shaped age-dependence. Using quantile regression on the log-scale (log(CAC_b+1)) we developed a tool to individually predict CAC_5y, and compared to observed CAC_5y. The difference between observed and predicted CAC_5y (log-scale, mean±SD) was 0.08±1.11 and 0.06±1.29 in men and women. Agreement reached a kappa-value of 0.746 (95% confidence interval: 0.732–0.760) and concordance correlation (log-scale) of 0.886 (0.879–0.893). Explained variance of observed by predicted log(CAC_5y+1) was 80.1% and 72.0% in men and women, and 81.0 and 73.6% including baseline risk factors. Evaluating the tool in 1940 individuals with CAC_b>0 and CAC_b<400 at baseline, of whom 242 (12.5%) developed CAC_5y>400, yielded a sensitivity of 59.5%, specificity 96.1%, (+) and (−) predictive values of 68.3% and 94.3%. A pre-defined acceptance range around predicted CAC_5y contained 68.1% of observed CAC_5y; only 20% were expected by chance. Age, blood pressure, lipid-lowering medication, diabetes, and smoking contributed to progression above the acceptance range in men and, excepting age, in women.

Conclusion

CAC nearly inevitably progresses with limited influence of cardiovascular risk factors. This allowed the development of a mathematical tool for prediction of individual CAC progression, enabling anticipation of the age when CAC thresholds of high risk are reached.

Prehypertension and incidence of cardiovascular disease: a meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Prospective cohort studies of prehypertension and the incidence of cardiovascular disease (CVD) are controversial after adjusting for other cardiovascular risk factors. This meta-analysis evaluated the association between prehypertension and CVD morbidity.

METHODS

Databases (PubMed, EMBASE and the Cochrane Library) and conference proceedings were searched for prospective cohort studies with data on prehypertension and cardiovascular morbidity. Two independent reviewers assessed the reports and extracted data. The relative risks (RRs) of CVD, coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke morbidity were calculated and reported with 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs). Subgroup analyses were conducted on blood pressure, age, gender, ethnicity, follow-up duration, number of participants and study quality.

RESULTS

Pooled data included the results from 468,561 participants from 18 prospective cohort studies. Prehypertension elevated the risks of CVD (RR = 1.55; 95% CI = 1.41 to 1.71); CHD (RR = 1.50; 95% CI = 1.30 to 1.74); and stroke (RR = 1.71; 95% CI = 1.55 to 1.89). In the subgroup analyses, even for low-range prehypertension, the risk of CVD was significantly higher than for optimal BP (RR = 1.46, 95% CI = 1.32 to 1.62), and further increased with high-range prehypertension (RR = 1.80, 95% CI = 1.41 to 2.31). The relative risk was significantly higher in the high-range prehypertensive populations than in the low-range populations (χ2= 5.69, P = 0.02). There were no significant differences among the other subgroup analyses (P>0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Prehypertension, even in the low range, elevates the risk of CVD after adjusting for multiple cardiovascular risk factors.

Estimated kidney function based on serum cystatin C and risk of subsequent coronary artery calcium in young and middle-aged adults with preserved kidney function: results from the CARDIA study

Whether kidney dysfunction is associated with coronary artery calcium (CAC) in young and middle-aged adults who have a cystatin C-derived estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFRcys) greater than 60 mL/min/1.73 m(2) is unknown. In the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults (CARDIA) cohort (recruited in 1985 and 1986 in Birmingham, Alabama; Chicago, Illinois; Minneapolis, Minnesota; and Oakland, California), we examined 1) the association of eGFRcys at years 10 and 15 and detectable CAC over the subsequent 5 years and 2) the association of change in eGFRcys and subsequent CAC, comparing those with stable eGFRcys to those whose eGFRcys increased (>3% annually over 5 years), declined moderately (3%-5%), or declined rapidly (>5%). Generalized estimating equation Poisson models were used, with adjustment for age, sex, race, educational level, income, family history of coronary artery disease, diabetes, body mass index, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and tobacco use. Among 3,070 participants (mean age 35.6 (standard deviation, 4.1) years and mean eGFRcys 106.7 (standard deviation, 18.5) mL/min/1.73 m(2)), 529 had detectable CAC. Baseline eGFRcys was not associated with CAC. Moderate eGFRcys decline was associated with a 33% greater relative risk of subsequent CAC (95% confidence interval: 5, 68; P = 0.02), whereas rapid decline was associated with a 51% higher relative risk (95% confidence interval: 10, 208; P = 0.01) in adjusted models. In conclusion, among young and middle-aged adults with eGFRcys greater than 60 mL/min/1.73 m(2), annual decline in eGFRcys is an independent risk factor for subsequent CAC.

Meta-analysis of cohort studies of baseline prehypertension and risk of coronary heart disease

Prehypertension is a common condition, but the extent to which it increases the risk for coronary heart disease (CHD) is unclear. The aim of this study was to determine the association between baseline prehypertension and risk for CHD by performing a meta-analysis of prospective cohort studies. A systematic search of published research was conducted through January 2013, using electronic databases and bibliographies of retrieved reports. Studies were included if they reported multivariate-adjusted relative risks (RRs) and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of CHD with respect to prehypertension. A random-effects model was used to combine the study-specific risk estimates. Eighteen studies, consisting of 934,106 participants and 14,952 cases, with a median follow-up period of 8.8 years, were included. Prehypertension was associated with a significantly elevated risk for CHD (RR 1.36, 95% CI 1.22 to 1.53). Eight studies consisting of 12 cohorts further provided risk estimates for low-range prehypertension (120/80 to 129/84 mm Hg) and high-range prehypertension (130/85 to 139/89 mm Hg) separately. The risk for CHD increased significantly in high-range prehypertensive populations (RR 1.53, 95% CI 1.19 to 1.97) but not in low-range prehypertensive populations (RR 1.16, 95% CI 0.96 to 1.42). In conclusion, prehypertension is associated with a significantly increased risk for developing CHD, particularly high-range prehypertension. Further well-designed randomized controlled trials are needed to clarify the efficacy of blood pressure reduction in subjects with prehypertension.