Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source and Patent Foramen Ovale: Risk of Paradoxical Embolism Score Validation and Atrial Fibrillation Prediction

An Artificial Intelligence-Driven Approach for Automatic Evaluation of Right-to-Left Shunt Grades in Saline-Contrasted Transthoracic Echocardiography

BACKGROUND

Intracardiac or pulmonary right-to-left shunt (RLS) is a common cardiac anomaly associated with an increased risk of neurological disorders, specifically cryptogenic stroke. Saline-contrasted transthoracic echocardiography (scTTE) is often used for RLS diagnosis. However, the identification of saline microbubbles in the left heart can be challenging for novice residents, potentially leading to a delay in diagnosis and treatment. In this study, we proposed an artificial intelligence (AI)-based algorithm designed to automatically detect microbubbles in scTTE images and evaluate right-to-left shunt grades. This tool aims to support residency training and decrease the workload of cardiologists.

METHODS

A dataset of 23,665 scTTE images obtained from 174 individuals was included in this study. This dataset was partitioned into a training set (n = 20,475) and an internal validation set (n = 3,190) on a patient-level basis. An additional cohort of 33 patients diagnosed with cryptogenic ischemic stroke was enrolled as an external validation set. The proposed algorithm for right-to-left shunt degree classification employed the EfficientNet-b4 model, and the model's performance was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), sensitivity, and specificity, and compared to the performance of residents.

RESULTS

Our AI model demonstrated robust performance with an accuracy of 0.926, sensitivity of 0.827, and specificity of 0.951 on the internal testing dataset. In the external validation set, our AI model exhibited diagnostic accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity of 0.864, 0.818, and 0.909, respectively. In comparison, residents achieved values of 0.727, 0.636, and 0.818, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Our AI model provides a swift, precise, and easily deployable methodology for grading the degree of right-to-left shunt in scTTE, carrying substantial implications for routine clinical practice. Residents can benefit from our artificial intelligence-based algorithm, enhancing both the accuracy and efficiency of RLS diagnosis.

In young patients with stroke of undetermined etiology, large vessel occlusions are less frequent in the group with high-risk patent foramen ovale

INTRODUCTION

Patent foramen ovale (PFO) is present in a significant proportion of young patients with stroke of undetermined etiology, but is not always causal. Therefore, classifications (RoPE, PASCAL) have been developed to determine the probability that PFO is the stroke cause. However, the presence of an initial arterial occlusion as a prediction factor was not studied when these classifications were built. Our aim was to evaluate the presence of arterial occlusion in young patients with stroke of undetermined etiology with/without high-risk PFO.

METHODS

From a prospectively-built monocentric database, we identified patients aged≥18 to<60-years with strokes of undetermined etiology and complete etiological work-up, including transesophageal echocardiography. We divided patients in two groups: (i) with high-risk PFO [i.e. PFO with large interatrial shunt (>30 microbubbles) or associated with atrial septal aneurysm] and (ii) with low-risk/without PFO. We recorded the presence of arterial occlusion and large vessel occlusion (LVO) in the acute phase.

RESULTS

We included 96 patients; 55 (57%) had high-risk PFO. Their median age was 48 (40-52) years, and 28 (29%) were women. The percentages of patients with arterial occlusion and with LVO were lower in the high-risk PFO group than in the low-risk/without PFO group: 11 (20%) versus 19 (46%) (P=0.008), and 5 (9%) versus 15 (37%) (P=0.002), respectively. There was no difference in the median RoPE score between groups (P=0.30).

CONCLUSION

The presence of LVO could represent a "red flag" of PFO causality in stroke of undetermined etiology, and could be implemented in future PFO-related stroke classifications.

Patent Foramen Ovale Closure in Older Patients With Stroke: Patient Selection for Trial Feasibility

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Whether patent foramen ovale (PFO) closure benefits older patients with PFO and cryptogenic stroke is unknown because randomized controlled trials (RCTs) have predominantly enrolled patients younger than 60 years of age. Our objective was to estimate anticipated effects of PFO closure in older patients to predict the numbers needed to plan an RCT.

METHODS

Effectiveness estimates are derived from major observational studies (Risk of Paradoxical Embolism [RoPE] Study and Oxford Vascular Study, together referred to as the "RoPE-Ox" database) and all 6 major RCTs (Systematic, Collaborative, PFO Closure Evaluation [SCOPE] Consortium). To estimate stroke recurrence risk, observed outcomes were calculated for patients older than 60 years in the age-inclusive observational databases (n = 549). To estimate the reduction in the rate of recurrent stroke associated with PFO closure vs medical therapy based on the RoPE score and the presence of high-risk PFO features, a Cox proportional hazards regression model was developed on the RCT data in the SCOPE database (n = 3,740). These estimates were used to calculate sample sizes required for a future RCT.

RESULTS

Five-year risk of stroke recurrence using Kaplan-Meier estimates was 13.7 (95% CI 10.5-17.9) overall, 14.9% (95% CI 10.2-21.6) in those with high-risk PFO features. Predicted relative reduction in the event rate with PFO closure was 12.9% overall, 48.8% in those with a high-risk PFO feature. Using these estimates, enrolling all older patients with cryptogenic stroke and PFO would require much larger samples than those used for prior PFO closure trials, but selectively enrolling patients with high-risk PFO features would require totals of 630 patients for 90% power and 471 patients for 80% power, with an average of 5 years of follow-up.

DISCUSSION

Based on our projections, anticipated effect sizes in older patients with high-risk features make a trial in these subjects feasible. With lengthening life expectancy in almost all regions of the world, the utility of PFO closure in older adults is increasingly important to explore.

Embolic stroke of undetermined source: Focusing on atrial cardiopathy and patent foramen ovale

BACKGROUND

Atrial cardiopathy(AC) and patent foramen ovale (PFO) are two etiologies of embolic strokes of undetermined source (ESUS). We aimed to explore the relationship between them in ESUS.

METHODS

A total of 1146 participants were included from January 2019 to June 2022, which included the ESUS group and non-embolic stroke which includes LAA(large arterial atherosclerosis) + SAO(small artery occlusion) group. AC was defined as the presence of at least one of the following: PTFV1(P-wave terminal force in lead V1) > 4000 μV*ms in the electrocardiograms, NT-proBNP(N-terminal probrain natriuretic peptide) > 250 pg/mL in laboratory tests or LAD(left atrial diameter) > 3.8 cm for women and > 4.0 cm for men in cardiac ultrasound. The presence of PFO was assessed by transthoracic echocardiography, transcranial Doppler ultrasound, transesophageal echocardiography or cardiac MRI. PFO was considered pathogenic if the RoPE score was 7 to 10.

RESULTS

The prevalence of AC and PFO was higher in the ESUS group than the LAA + SAO group. The prevalence of AC was lower in ESUS patients with pathogenic PFO (37.9%) than those without PFO (68.4%) and with incidental PFO (64.0%) (p = 0.006). The prevalence of pathogenic PFO was lower in ESUS patients with AC than those without AC (6.0% vs. 17.8%, p = 0.006). The AUC(area under the curve) of PTFV1 for predicting ESUS was 0.724 [95%CI (0.686-0.762), p < 0.05)], indicating that PTFV1 the most valuable AC biomarker.

CONCLUSIONS

The prevalence of AC is inversely related to the prevalence of pathogenic PFO in ESUS patients. PTFV1 was the most valuable index to predict ESUS among the AC biomarkers.

Acute ischaemic stroke in active cancer versus non-cancer patients: stroke characteristics, mechanisms and clinical outcomes

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Demographics, clinical characteristics, stroke mechanisms and long-term outcomes were compared between acute ischaemic stroke (AIS) patients with active cancer (AC) versus non-cancer patients.

METHODS

Using data from 2003 to 2021 in the Acute STroke Registry and Analysis of Lausanne, a retrospective cohort study was performed comparing patients with AC, including previously known and newly diagnosed cancers, with non-cancer patients. Patients with inactive cancer were excluded. Outcomes were the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score at 3 months, death and cerebrovascular recurrences at 12 months before and after propensity score matching.

RESULTS

Amongst 6686 patients with AIS, 1065 (15.9%) had a history of cancer. After excluding 700 (10.4%) patients with inactive cancer, there were 365 (5.5%) patients with AC and 5621 (84%) non-cancer AIS patients. Amongst AC patients, 154 (42.2%) strokes were classified as cancer related. In multivariable analysis, patients with AC were older (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.02, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.00-1.03), had fewer vascular risk factors and were 48% less likely to receive reperfusion therapies (aOR 0.52, 95% CI 0.35-0.76). Three-month mRS scores were not different in AC patients (aOR 2.18, 95% CI 0.96-5.00). At 12 months, death (adjusted hazard ratio 1.91, 95% CI 1.50-2.43) and risk of cerebrovascular recurrence (sub-distribution hazard ratio 1.68, 95% CI 1.22-2.31) before and after propensity score matching were higher in AC patients.

CONCLUSIONS

In a large institutional registry spanning nearly two decades, AIS patients with AC had less past cerebrovascular disease but a higher 1-year risk of subsequent death and cerebrovascular recurrence compared to non-cancer patients. Antithrombotic medications at discharge may reduce this risk in AC patients.

Patent foramen ovale closure versus drug therapy in patients over 60 years and a follow-up of 5 years

BACKGROUND

The advantages of patent foramen ovale (PFO) closure as protection from a recurrence of stroke remains controversial compared to drug therapy, especially in patients over 60 years.

HYPOTHESIS

The aim of the study is to compare recurrence of stroke in patients over 60 years old with PFO closure versus drug therapy alone.

METHODS

We included 342 patients over 60 years who suffered a crytopgenic stroke, and were also accepted for a PFO closure. 199 patients refused a PFO closure and were treated with medical therapy alone, whereas 143 patients underwent a PFO closure procedure.

RESULTS

The mean follow up time was 5.5 ± 1.5 years. All patients in Group B showed persistent shunt in the follow-up period (n = 199, 100%). In Group A, seven patients were diagnosed with residual shunt during echocardiography examination (5%). A new onset of atrial fibrillation occurred in seven patients in Group A (5%) and six patients in Group B (3%), p = .117. Recurrent stroke occurred in 3 patients in Group A (2%) and 11 patients in Group B (6%), p = .021. One patient died of unknown reason (1%) and two patients were lost due to neurological death (1%) in Group B, whereas no patients in Group A died during the follow-up period.

CONCLUSION

Our results show that strict exclusion of patients over 60 years from PFO closure should be reconsidered. As life expectancies are increasing, patients should be considered for same treatment as younger patients, since the outcomes are improved compared to patients treated with medical therapy alone.

Atrial fibrillation and stroke: State-of-the-art and future directions

Atrial fibrillation (AF) and stroke remain a major cause of morbidity and mortality. The two conditions shared common co-morbidities and risk factors. AF-related strokes are associated with worse clinical outcomes and higher mortality compared to non-AF-related. Early detection of AF is vital for prevention. While various scores have been developed to predict AF in such a high-risk group, they are yet to incorporated into clinical guidelines. Novel markers and predictors of AF including coronary and intracranial arterial calcification have also been studied. There are also ongoing debates on the management of acute stroke in patients with AF, and those who experienced breakthrough stroke while on oral anticoagulants. We provided an overview of the complex interplay between AF and stroke, as well as the treatment and secondary prevention of stroke in AF. We also comprehensively discussed the current evidence and the ongoing conundrums, and highlighted the future directions on the topic.

Synchronous multimode ultrasound for assessing right-to-left shunt: a prospective clinical study

Background

Right-to-left shunt (RLS) is associated with several conditions and causes morbidity. In this study, we aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of synchronous multimode ultrasonography in detecting RLS.

Methods

We prospectively enrolled 423 patients with high clinical suspicion of RLS and divided them into the contrast transcranial Doppler (cTCD) group and synchronous multimode ultrasound group, in which both cTCD and contrast transthoracic echocardiography (cTTE) were performed during the same process of contrast-enhanced ultrasound imaging. The simultaneous test results were compared with those of cTCD alone.

Results

The positive rates of grade II (22.0%:10.0%) and III (12.7%:10.8%) shunts and the total positive rate (82.1748%) in the synchronous multimode ultrasound group were higher than those in the cTCD alone group. Among patients with RLS grade I in the synchronous multimode ultrasound group, 23 had RLS grade I in cTCD but grade 0 in synchronous cTTE, whereas four had grade I in cTCD but grade 0 in synchronous cTTE. Among patients with RLS grade II in the synchronous multimode ultrasound group, 28 had RLS grade I in cTCD but grade II in synchronous cTTE. Among patients with RLS grade III in the synchronous multimode ultrasound group, four had RLS grade I in cTCD but grade III in synchronous cTTE. Synchronous multimode ultrasound had a sensitivity of 87.5% and specificity of 60.6% in the patent foramen ovale (PFO) diagnosis. Binary logistic regression analyses showed that age (odds ratio [OR] = 1.041) and risk of paradoxical embolism score ≥ 7 (OR = 7.798) were risk factors for stroke recurrence, whereas antiplatelets (OR = 0.590) and PFO closure with antiplatelets (OR = 0.109) were protective factors.

Conclusion

Synchronous multimodal ultrasound significantly improves the detection rate and test efficiency, quantifies RLS more accurately, and reduces testing risks and medical costs. We conclude that synchronous multimodal ultrasound has significant potential for clinical applications.

Clinical and Demographic Characteristics, Mechanisms, and Outcomes in Patients With Acute Ischemic Stroke and Newly Diagnosed or Known Active Cancer

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Patients with a new diagnosis of cancer carry an increased risk of acute ischemic stroke (AIS), and this risk varies depending on age, cancer type, stage, and time from diagnosis. Whether patients with AIS with a new diagnosis of neoplasm represent a distinct subset from those with a previously known active malignancy remains unclear. We aimed to estimate the rate of stroke in patients with newly diagnosed cancer (NC) and previously known active cancer (KC) and to compare the demographic and clinical features, stroke mechanisms, and long-term outcomes between groups.

METHODS

Using 2003-2021 data from the Acute STroke Registry and Analysis of Lausanne registry, we compared patients with KC with patients with NC (cancer identified during AIS hospitalization or within the following 12 months). Patients with inactive and no history of cancer were excluded. Outcomes were the modified Rankin scale (mRS) score at 3 months and mortality and recurrent stroke at 12 months. We used multivariable regression analyses to compare outcomes between groups while adjusting for important prognostic variables.

RESULTS

Among 6,686 patients with AIS, 362 (5.4%) had active cancer (AC), including 102 (1.5%) with NC. Gastrointestinal and genitourinary cancers were the most frequent cancer types. Among all patients with AC, 152 (42.5%) AISs were classified as cancer related, with nearly half of these cases attributed to hypercoagulability. In multivariable analysis, patients with NC had less prestroke disability (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 0.62, 95% CI 0.44-0.86) and fewer prior stroke/transient ischemic attack events (aOR 0.43, 95% CI 0.21-0.88) than patients with KC. Three-month mRS scores were similar between cancer groups (aOR 1.27, 95% CI 0.65-2.49) and were predominantly driven by the presence of newly diagnosed brain metastases (aOR 7.22, 95% CI 1.49-43.17) and metastatic cancer (aOR 2.19, 95% CI 1.22-3.97). At 12 months, mortality risk was higher in patients with NC vs patients with KC (hazard ratio [HR] 2.11, 95% CI 1.38-3.21), while recurrent stroke risk was similar between groups (adjusted HR 1.27, 95% CI 0.67-2.43).

DISCUSSION

In a comprehensive institutional registry spanning nearly 2 decades, 5.4% of patients with AIS had AC, a quarter of which were diagnosed during or within 12 months after the index stroke hospitalization. Patients with NC had less disability and prior cerebrovascular disease, but a higher 1-year risk of subsequent death than patients with KC.

Stroke in the young

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

The purpose of this review is to review recent findings regarding stroke epidemiology, etiologies, and treatment in children and young adults.

RECENT FINDINGS

Incidence in young adults is increasing, and incidence, recurrence, and survival is worse in patients with cryptogenic stroke and in developing countries. Careful consideration of patent foramen ovale closure is now recommended in young adults with cryptogenic stroke. Thrombectomy has recently been extended to carefully selected children with acute ischemic stroke, and two recent publications strongly suggest that it can be beneficial for children. Sickle cell is also an important global contributor to stroke burden, but hydroxyurea can be a cost effective medication for stroke prevention in children. Recent advances in genetic testing and treatments may improve outcomes for patients with monogenic causes of stroke, such as deficiency of adenosine deaminase 2, hemophilia, and Fabry's disease.

SUMMARY

Stroke in children and young adults is a morbid disease responsible for enormous indirect societal costs and a high burden of years with disability per affected patient. Recent advances have improved access to care for children with large vessel occlusion and adults with rare causes of stroke. Future research may bring effective treatments for other monogenic causes of stroke as well as increasing access to hyperacute therapies for young stroke patients.

Heart-brain axis: Association of congenital heart abnormality and brain diseases

Brain diseases are a major burden on human health worldwide, and little is known about how most brain diseases develop. It is believed that cardiovascular diseases can affect the function of the brain, and many brain diseases are associated with heart dysfunction, which is called the heart-brain axis. Congenital heart abnormalities with anomalous hemodynamics are common treatable cardiovascular diseases. With the development of cardiovascular surgeries and interventions, the long-term survival of patients with congenital heart abnormalities continues to improve. However, physicians have reported that patients with congenital heart abnormalities have an increased risk of brain diseases in adulthood. To understand the complex association between congenital heart abnormalities and brain diseases, the paper reviews relevant clinical literature. Studies have shown that congenital heart abnormalities are associated with most brain diseases, including stroke, migraine, dementia, infection of the central nervous system, epilepsy, white matter lesions, and affective disorders. However, whether surgeries or other interventions could benefit patients with congenital heart abnormalities and brain diseases remains unclear because of limited evidence.

Recent progress in patent foramen ovale and related neurological diseases: A narrative review

Patent foramen ovale (PFO) is a common congenital cardiac abnormality when the opening of the interatrial septum is not closed in adulthood. This abnormality affects 25% of the general population. With the development of precision medicine, an increasing number of clinical studies have reported that PFO is closely related to various neurological diseases such as stroke, migraine, obstructive sleep apnea, and decompression syndrome. It has also been suggested that PFO closure could be effective for preventing and treating these neurological diseases. Therefore, increasing attention has been given to the prevention, diagnosis, and treatment of PFO-related neurological diseases. By reviewing existing literature, this article focuses on the pathogenesis, epidemiology, and clinical characteristics of PFO-related neurological diseases, as well as the prevention and treatment of different neurological diseases to discuss, and aims to provide current progress for this field and decision-making evidence for clinical practice.

White Matter Lesions Predominantly Located in Deep White Matter Represent Embolic Etiology Rather Than Small Vessel Disease

Background and Purpose

We investigated the correlation between the deep distribution of white matter hyperintensity (WMH) (dWMH: WMH in deep and corticomedullary areas, with minimal periventricular WMH) and a positive agitated saline contrast echocardiography result.

Methods

We retrospectively recruited participants with comprehensive dementia evaluations, an agitated saline study, and brain imaging. The participants were classified into two groups according to WMH-distributions: dWMH and dpWMH (mainly periventricular WMH with or without deep WMH.) We hypothesized that dWMH is more likely associated with embolism, whereas dpWMH is associated with small-vessel diseases. We compared the clinical characteristics, WMH-distributions, and positive rate of agitated saline studies between the two groups.

Results

Among 90 participants, 27 and 12 met the dWMH and dpWMH criteria, respectively. The dWMH-group was younger (62.2±7.5 vs. 78.9±7.3, p<0.001) and had a lower prevalence of hypertension (29.6% vs. 75%, p=0.008), diabetes mellitus (3.7% vs. 25%, p=0.043), and hyperlipidemia (33.3% vs. 83.3%, p=0.043) than the dpWMH-group. Regarding deep white matter lesions, the number of small lesions (<3 mm) was higher in the dWMH-group(10.9±9.7) than in the dpWMH-group (3.1±6.4) (p=0.008), and WMH was predominantly distributed in the border-zones and corticomedullary areas. Most importantly, the positive agitated saline study rate was higher in the dWMH-group than in the dpWMH-group (81.5% vs. 33.3%, p=0.003).

Conclusions

The dWMH-group with younger participants had fewer cardiovascular risk factors, showed more border-zone-distributions, and had a higher agitated saline test positivity rate than the dpWMH-group, indicating that corticomedullary or deep WMH-distribution with minimal periventricular WMH suggests embolic etiologies.

Potential Embolic Sources in Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source Patients with Patent Foramen Ovale

INTRODUCTION

A patent foramen ovale (PFO) may coexist with other potential embolic sources (PESs) in patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS), leading to difficulty in attributing the stroke to either the PFO or other PESs. We aimed to investigate the prevalence and predictors of concomitant PESs in ESUS patients with PFOs.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study was conducted in a tertiary stroke centre. Consecutive patients with ESUS and a concomitant PFO admitted between 2012 and 2021 were included in the study. Baseline characteristics and investigations as a part of stroke workup including echocardiographic and neuroimaging data were collected. PESs were adjudicated by 2 independent neurologists after reviewing the relevant workup.

RESULTS

Out of 1,487 ESUS patients, a total of 309 patients who had a concomitant PFO with mean age of 48.8 ± 13.2 years were identified during the study period. The median Risk of Paradoxical Embolism (RoPE) score for the study cohort was 6 (IQR 5-7.5). Of the 309 patients, 154 (49.8%) only had PFO, 105 (34.0%) patients had 1 other PES, 34 (11.0%) had 2 PES, and 16 (5.2%) had 3 or more PES. The most common PESs were atrial cardiopathy (23.9%), left ventricular dysfunction (22.0%), and cardiac valve disease (12.9%). The presence of additional PESs was associated with age ≥60 years (p < 0.001), RoPE score ≤6 (p ≤0.001), and the presence of comorbidities including diabetes mellitus (p = 0.004), hypertension (p≤ 0.001), and ischaemic heart disease (p = 0.011).

CONCLUSION

A large proportion of ESUS patients with PFOs had concomitant PESs. The presence of concomitant PESs was associated with older age and a lower RoPE score. Further, large cohort studies are warranted to investigate the significance of the PES and their overlap with PFOs in ESUS.

Predictors of Recurrent Stroke After Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source in the RE-SPECT ESUS Trial

Background

We sought to determine recurrent stroke predictors among patients with embolic strokes of undetermined source (ESUS).

Methods and Results

We applied Cox proportional hazards models to identify clinical features associated with recurrent stroke among participants enrolled in RE‐SPECT ESUS (Randomized, Double‐Blind, Evaluation in Secondary Stroke Prevention Comparing the Efficacy and Safety of the Oral Thrombin Inhibitor Dabigatran Etexilate Versus Acetylsalicylic Acid in Patients With Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source) trial, an international clinical trial evaluating dabigatran versus aspirin for patients with ESUS. During a median follow‐up of 19 months, 384 of 5390 participants had recurrent stroke (annual rate, 4.5%). Multivariable models revealed that stroke or transient ischemic attack before the index event (hazard ratio [HR], 2.27 [95% CI, 1.83–2.82]), creatinine clearance <50 mL/min (HR, 1.69 [95% CI, 1.23–2.32]), male sex (HR, 1.60 [95% CI, 1.27–2.02]), and CHA₂DS₂‐VASc ≥4 (HR, 1.55 [95% CI, 1.15–2.08] and HR, 1.66 [95% CI, 1.21–2.26] for scores of 4 and ≥5, respectively) versus CHA₂DS₂‐VASc of 2 to 3, were independent predictors for recurrent stroke.

Conclusions

In RE‐SPECT ESUS trial, expected risk factors previously linked to other common stroke causes were associated with stroke recurrence. These data help define high‐risk groups for subsequent stroke that may be useful for clinicians and for researchers designing trials among patients with ESUS.

Registration

URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT02239120.

Unique Clinicopathologic Subclassifiers of Cryptogenic Cerebral Emboli

INTRODUCTION

Ipsilateral nonstenotic (<50%) internal carotid artery (ICA) plaque, cardiac atriopathy, and patent foramen ovale (PFO) may account for a substantial proportion of embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS).

METHODS

Consecutive stroke patients at our center (2019-2021) with unilateral, anterior circulation ESUS were categorized into the following mutually exclusive etiologies: (1) nonstenotic ipsilateral ICA plaque (NSP, ≥3mm in maximal axial diameter), (2) sex-adjusted mod-to-severe left atrial enlargement (LAE), (3) PFO, and (4) "occult ESUS" (patients who failed to meet criteria for these 3 groups). Descriptive statistics and multivariable logistic regression were used to model group characteristics.

RESULTS

Of 132 included patients, the median age was 65 (IQR 56-73), 74 (56%) of whom were White, and 54 (41%) were female. Twenty-one patients (16%) had NSP proximal to the infarct territory, 17 (13%) had LAE, 9 (7%) had a PFO, and 85 (64%) had no other mechanism. Patients with LAE were older (p=0.004), and had more frequent intracranial occlusions of the internal carotid and proximal middle cerebral artery (p=0.048), while tobacco use was most commonly found among patients with NSP (75%) when compared to other ESUS groups (p=0.02). Five of 9 patients with LAE who underwent outpatient telemetry had paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (56%), while zero patients with PFO or NSP had paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (p=0.005). Older age (adjusted OR [aOR] 1.05, 95%CI 1.03-1.07), coronary artery disease (aOR 3.22, 95%CI 1.61-6.44) and hypertension (aOR 2.16, 95%CI 1.14-4.06) were independently associated with LAE, while only tobacco use was associated with NSP when compared to other ESUS subclassifiers (OR 3.18, 95%CI 1.08-0.42). Age and tobacco use were both inversely associated with PFO (aOR 0.93, 95%CI 0.88-0.98, and aOR 0.10, 95%CI 0.02-0.90, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Certain clinical and radiographic features may be useful in predicting the proximal source of occult cerebral emboli, and can be used for cost-effective outpatient diagnostic testing.

Heterogeneity of Treatment Effects in an Analysis of Pooled Individual Patient Data From Randomized Trials of Device Closure of Patent Foramen Ovale After Stroke

Importance

Patent foramen ovale (PFO)-associated strokes comprise approximately 10% of ischemic strokes in adults aged 18 to 60 years. While device closure decreases stroke recurrence risk overall, the best treatment for any individual is often unclear.

Objective

To evaluate heterogeneity of treatment effect of PFO closure on stroke recurrence based on previously developed scoring systems.

Design, Setting, and Participants

Investigators for the Systematic, Collaborative, PFO Closure Evaluation (SCOPE) Consortium pooled individual patient data from all 6 randomized clinical trials that compared PFO closure plus medical therapy vs medical therapy alone in patients with PFO-associated stroke, and included a total of 3740 participants. The trials were conducted worldwide from 2000 to 2017.

Exposures

PFO closure plus medical therapy vs medical therapy alone. Subgroup analyses used the Risk of Paradoxical Embolism (RoPE) Score (a 10-point scoring system in which higher scores reflect younger age and the absence of vascular risk factors) and the PFO-Associated Stroke Causal Likelihood (PASCAL) Classification System, which combines the RoPE Score with high-risk PFO features (either an atrial septal aneurysm or a large-sized shunt) to classify patients into 3 categories of causal relatedness: unlikely, possible, and probable.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Ischemic stroke.

Results

Over a median follow-up of 57 months (IQR, 24-64), 121 outcomes occurred in 3740 patients. The annualized incidence of stroke with medical therapy was 1.09% (95% CI, 0.88%-1.36%) and with device closure was 0.47% (95% CI, 0.35%-0.65%) (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 0.41 [95% CI, 0.28-0.60]). The subgroup analyses showed statistically significant interaction effects. Patients with low vs high RoPE Score had HRs of 0.61 (95% CI, 0.37-1.00) and 0.21 (95% CI, 0.11-0.42), respectively (P for interaction = .02). Patients classified as unlikely, possible, and probable using the PASCAL Classification System had HRs of 1.14 (95% CI, 0.53-2.46), 0.38 (95% CI, 0.22-0.65), and 0.10 (95% CI, 0.03-0.35), respectively (P for interaction = .003). The 2-year absolute risk reduction was -0.7% (95% CI, -4.0% to 2.6%), 2.1% (95% CI, 0.6%-3.6%), and 2.1% (95% CI, 0.9%-3.4%) in the unlikely, possible, and probable PASCAL categories, respectively. Device-associated adverse events were generally higher among patients classified as unlikely; the absolute risk increases in atrial fibrillation beyond day 45 after randomization with a device were 4.41% (95% CI, 1.02% to 7.80%), 1.53% (95% CI, 0.33% to 2.72%), and 0.65% (95% CI, -0.41% to 1.71%) in the unlikely, possible, and probable PASCAL categories, respectively.

Conclusions and Relevance

Among patients aged 18 to 60 years with PFO-associated stroke, risk reduction for recurrent stroke with device closure varied across groups classified by their probabilities that the stroke was causally related to the PFO. Application of this classification system has the potential to guide individualized decision-making.

Heart-Brain Relationship in Stroke

The patient presenting with stroke often has cardiac-related risk factors which may be involved in the mechanism of the stroke. The diagnostic assessment is predicated on recognition of this potential relationship. Naturally, an accurate history is of utmost importance in discerning a possible cause and effect relationship. The EKG is obviously an important clue as well as it allows immediate assessment for possible cardiac arrhythmia, such as atrial fibrillation, for possible acute ischemic changes reflective of myocardial ischemia, or there may be indirect factors such as the presence of left ventricular hypertrophy, typically seen with longstanding hypertension, which could be indicative of a hypertensive mechanism for a patient presenting with intracerebral hemorrhage. For all presentations in the emergency room, the vital signs are important. An elevated body temperature in a patient presenting with acute stroke raises concern about possible infective endocarditis. An irregular-irregular pulse is an indicator of atrial fibrillation. A markedly elevated blood pressure is not uncommon in both the acute ischemic and acute hemorrhagic stroke setting. One tends to focus on possible cardioembolic stroke if there is the sudden onset of maximum neurological deficit versus the stepwise progression more characteristic of thrombotic stroke. Because of the more sudden loss of vascular supply with embolic occlusion, seizure or syncope at onset tends to be supportive of this mechanism. Different vascular territory involvement on neuroimaging is also a potential indicator of cardioembolic stroke. Identification of a cardiogenic source of embolus in such a setting certainly elevates this mechanism in the differential. There have been major advances in management of acute cerebrovascular disease in recent decades, such as thrombolytic therapy and endovascular thrombectomy, which have somewhat paralleled the advances made in cardiovascular disease. Unfortunately, the successful limitation of myocardial damage in acute coronary syndrome, with intervention, does not necessarily mirror a similar salutary effect on functional outcome with cerebral infarction. The heart can also affect the brain from a cerebral perfusion standpoint. Transient arrhythmias can result in syncope, while cardiac arrest can result in hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy. Cardiogenic dementia has been identified as a mechanism of cognitive impairment associated with severe cardiac failure. Structural cardiac abnormalities can also play a role in brain insult, and this can include tumors, such as atrial myxoma, patent foramen ovale, with the potential for paradoxical cerebral embolism, and cardiomyopathies, such as Takotsubo, can be associated with precipitous cardioembolic events.

[Cryptogenic stroke management : where are we ?]

Cryptogenic stroke is an old definition that designates an ischemic stroke with no identifiable cause. The term of the embolic stroke of undetermined source was then introduced to identify non-lacunar strokes in whom thromboembolism was the likely mechanism. This subgroup of cryptogenic strokes remains heterogeneous with many potential and possibly associated embolic causes. Covert atrial fibrillation is probably less often involved than initially expected, in contrast to intracranial and extracranial atherosclerosis. The cardiologist should be involved in the search of underlying causes of ischemic stroke by helping the neurologist to identify the most likely diagnosis. Further research is necessary to select populations that may benefit from more effective and individualized treatment.

Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source: Approaches in Risk Stratification for Cardioembolism

Ischemic stroke is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. Embolic stroke of undetermined source has been recently proposed to categorize nonlacunar ischemic strokes without confirmed etiology after adequate investigation with a likely embolic stroke mechanism. A strategy of empirical anticoagulation for embolic stroke of undetermined source patients is attractive but may only be beneficial in a select subset of patients. Strategies which would help identify the subset of embolic stroke of undetermined source patients most likely to have cardioembolic origin of stroke, and hence benefit from anticoagulation, are needed. This article will review current evidence which may be useful in the development of a risk stratification approach based on arrhythmia monitoring, cardiac imaging, and clinical risk stratification. This approach may be beneficial in clinical practice in improving patient outcomes and reducing stroke recurrence in this population; however, further work is required with active trials underway.

Non-stenotic Carotid Plaques in Embolic Stroke of Unknown Source

Embolic stroke of unknown source (ESUS) represents one in five ischemic strokes. Ipsilateral non-stenotic carotid plaques are identified in 40% of all ESUS. In this narrative review, we summarize the evidence supporting the potential causal relationship between ESUS and non-stenotic carotid plaques; discuss the remaining challenges in establishing the causal link between non-stenotic plaques and ESUS and describe biomarkers of potential interest for future research. In support of the causal relationship between ESUS and non-stenotic carotid plaques, studies have shown that plaques with high-risk features are five times more prevalent in the ipsilateral vs. the contralateral carotid and there is a lower incidence of atrial fibrillation during follow-up in patients with ipsilateral non-stenotic carotid plaques. However, non-stenotic carotid plaques with or without high-risk features often coexist with other potential etiologies of stroke, notably atrial fibrillation (8.5%), intracranial atherosclerosis (8.4%), patent foramen ovale (5-9%), and atrial cardiopathy (2.4%). Such puzzling clinical associations make it challenging to confirm the causal link between non-stenotic plaques and ESUS. There are several ongoing studies exploring whether select protein and RNA biomarkers of plaque progression or vulnerability could facilitate the reclassification of some ESUS as large vessel strokes or help to optimize secondary prevention strategies.