Disentangling the roles of maternal and paternal age on birth prevalence of down syndrome and other chromosomal disorders using a Bayesian modeling approach

Mediation Analysis of Racial Disparity for Infant Mortality Using Bayesian Estimation of Potential Outcomes

Background/Objectives: While the overall rate of infant mortality in the United States has been decreasing over decades, the racial disparity, defined as the difference between races, has increased. Even though a person's race cannot change, it may be possible to identify factors that mediate or cause this racial disparity. Evaluating the factors that mediate or cause racial disparity is imperative because current clinical recommendations could be based on preventative modalities that are more effective for white women and their children. Methods: A Bayesian approach modeled the data from the full United States National Natality Database for the years 2016 to 2018. The binomial rate parameters for each combination of race and mediators provided the potential outcomes. Estimating the mediation outcomes, including total effect, controlled direct effect, mediated effect, and proportion mediated used common counterfactual definitions for these probabilities. Results: Maternal smoking, low birthweight, and teenage maternity interacted in causing racial disparity for infant mortality. The proportion of racial disparity attributable to low birthweight was approximately 0.73, with only small variations attributable to maternal smoking and teenage maternity. Conclusions: The novel approach facilitated modeling of multiple mediators. Low birthweight caused racial disparity for infant mortality. The model can be extended to evaluate additional mediational factors with the objective of identifying the preventable causes.

The current 'dramatically' high paternal ages at childbirth are not unprecedented

There is strong individual-level evidence that late fatherhood is related to a wide range of health disorders and conditions in offspring. Over the last decades, mean paternal ages at childbirth have risen drastically. This has alarmed researchers from a wide range of fields. However, existing studies have an important shortcoming in that they lack a long-term perspective. This article is a step change in providing such a long-term perspective. We unveil that in many countries the current mean paternal ages at childbirth and proportions of fathers of advanced age at childbirth are not unprecedented. Taking the detected U-shaped trend pattern into account, we discuss individual- and population-level implications of the recent increases in paternal ages at childbirth and highlight important knowledge gaps. At the individual level, some of the biological mechanisms that are responsible for the paternal age-related health risk might, at least to some degree, be counterbalanced by various social factors. Further, how these individual-level effects are linked to population health and human cognitive development might be influenced by various factors, including technical advances and regulations in prenatal diagnostics.

Maternal age and the risk of fetal aneuploidy: A nationwide cohort study of more than 500 000 singleton pregnancies in Denmark from 2008 to 2017

INTRODUCTION

In this register-based study of pregnancies in Denmark, we assessed the associations between maternal age and the risk of fetal aneuploidies (trisomy 21, trisomy 18, trisomy 13, triploidy, monosomy X and other sex chromosome aberrations). Additionally, we aimed to disentangle the maternal age-related effect on fetal aneuploidies by cases with translocation trisomies and mosaicisms.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

We followed a nationwide cohort of 542 375 singleton-pregnant women attending first trimester screening in Denmark between 2008 and 2017 until delivery, miscarriage or termination of pregnancy. We used six maternal age categories and retrieved information on genetically confirmed aneuploidies of the fetus and infant from the national cytogenetic register.

RESULTS

We confirmed the known associations between advanced maternal age and higher risk of trisomy 21, 18, 13 and other sex chromosome aberrations, especially in women aged ≥35 years, whereas we found no age-related associations with triploidy or monosomy X. Cases with translocation trisomies and mosaicisms did not influence the overall reported association between maternal age and aneuploidies.

CONCLUSION

This study provides insight into the accurate risk of fetal aneuploidies that pregnant women of advanced ages encounter.

Paternal age and risk for selected birth defects in a large South American sample

BACKGROUND

The relationship between maternal age (MA) and birth defects (BD) has been extensively studied while much less research, mostly with discordant results, has focused on the risk of paternal age (PA) for BD. Furthermore, no consensus has been reached on the best way to control the association of PA with MA.

OBJECTIVES

The aim of the study was to evaluate the risk of PA increase, at 1-year intervals, for selected BD, especially controlling for the confounding effect of MA.

METHODS

The sample comprised of 27,944 liveborns presenting 1 of 18 selected isolated BD. Conditional logistic regressions were applied to evaluate the risk of advanced PA and its yearly increase, adjusting by MA and other variables.

RESULTS

Of the 18 analyzed BD, only the risk for preaxial polydactyly (PreP) showed a significant association with increasing PA, while advanced MA was of low risk. For esophageal and anal atresia, associations with both PA and MA increases were observed.

CONCLUSIONS

Results support the hypothesis of advanced PA as a risk factor for PreP and helps clarify the so far unexplained nonrandom association between this defect and Down syndrome.

Associations of parental reproductive age and elevated blood pressure in offspring: An observational study

Background

Increased parental reproductive age has been a social trend around the world, and elevated blood pressure in children leads to an approximately two-fold increased risk of hypertension in adulthood. Aim of this study is to assess the associations of parental reproductive age with the risk of elevated blood pressure in offspring, and to explore the influence of offspring lifestyle on the associations.

Methods

Data was obtained from a national school program conducted in 7 Chinese provinces, and the final sample was 39,190 students aged 7-18 years. Anthropometric measurements and questionnaires were designed to collect data of children blood pressure and information respectively.

Results

In this study, 26.7% of children were defined as elevated blood pressure. A U-shaped pattern was observed in the relationship between maternal age and risk of elevated blood pressure, while risk of elevated blood pressure decreased continuously with paternal age increased. After adjustment, offspring of paternal age ≤27 & maternal age ≤26 years and those of paternal age >30 & maternal age >32 years were related to great risk of elevated blood pressure (OR = 1.18, 95% CI: 1.08-1.29, P < 0.001; OR = 1.18, 95% CI: 1.01-1.38, P < 0.05). When stratified by lifestyle status, significant associations between maternal/paternal age and risk of elevated blood pressure were only observed in those with worse lifestyle behaviors, but not in offspring with healthier lifestyle.

Conclusion

Our findings demonstrate that risk of elevated blood pressure in children is independently related to parental reproductive age, and children maintaining a healthy lifestyle may mitigate the adverse effect.

The U-shaped relationship between parental age and the risk of bipolar disorder in the offspring: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Parenthood age may affect the risk for the development of different psychiatric disorders in the offspring, including bipolar disorder (BD). The present systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to appraise the relationship between paternal age and risk for BD and to explore the eventual relationship between paternal age and age at onset of BD. We searched the MEDLINE, Scopus, Embase, PsycINFO online databases for original studies from inception, up to December 2021. Random-effects meta-analyses were conducted. Sixteen studies participated in the qualitative synthesis, of which k = 14 fetched quantitative data encompassing a total of 13,424,760 participants and 217,089 individuals with BD. Both fathers [adjusted for the age of other parent and socioeconomic status odd ratio - OR = 1.29(95%C.I. = 1.13-1.48)] and mothers aged ≤ 20 years [(OR = 1.23(95%C.I. = 1.14-1.33)] had consistently increased odds of BD diagnosis in their offspring compared to parents aged 25-29 years. Fathers aged ≥ 45 years [adjusted OR = 1.29 (95%C.I. = 1.15-1.46)] and mothers aged 35-39 years [OR = 1.10(95%C.I. = 1.01-1.19)] and 40 years or older [OR = 1.2(95% C.I. = 1.02-1.40)] likewise had inflated odds of BD diagnosis in their offspring compared to parents aged 25-29 years. Early and delayed parenthood are associated with an increased risk of BD in the offspring. Mechanisms underlying this association are largely unknown and may involve a complex interplay between psychosocial, genetic and biological factors, and with different impacts according to sex and age range. Evidence on the association between parental age and illness onset is still tentative but it points towards a possible specific effect of advanced paternal age on early BD-onset.

Detection of Embryonic Trisomy 21 in the First Trimester Using Maternal Plasma Cell-Free RNA

Prenatal trisomy 21 (T21) screening commonly involves testing a maternal blood sample for fetal DNA aneuploidy. It is reliable but poses a cost barrier to universal screening. We hypothesized maternal plasma RNA screening might provide similar reliability but at a lower cost. Discovery experiments used plasma cell-free RNA from 20 women 11−13 weeks tested by RNA and miRNA microarrays followed by qRT-PCR. Thirty-six mRNAs and 18 small RNAs of the discovery cDNA were identified by qPCR as potential markers of embryonic T21. The second objective was validation of the RNA predictors in 998 independent pregnancies at 11−13 weeks including 50 T21. Initial analyses identified 9−15 differentially expressed RNA with modest predictive power (AUC < 0.70). The 54 RNAs were then subjected to machine learning. Eleven algorithms were trained on one partition and tested on an independent partition. The three best algorithms were identified by Kappa score and the effects of training/testing partition size and dataset class imbalance on prediction were evaluated. Six to ten RNAs predicted T21 with AUCs up to 1.00. The findings suggest that maternal plasma collected at 11−13 weeks, tested by qRT-PCR, and classified by machine learning, may accurately predict T21 for a lower cost than plasma DNA, thus opening the door to universal screening.

Aurora kinase genetic polymorphisms: an association study in Down syndrome and spontaneous abortion

Aneuploidies, such as Down syndrome (DS), are the leading cause of pregnancy loss. Abnormalities in aurora kinase proteins result in genomic instability and aneuploidy, mainly in tumors. Thus, polymorphisms in Aurora kinase genes could influence the occurrence of DS and spontaneous abortion. A case-control study was conducted including 124 mothers of DS children (DSM) and 219 control mothers (CM) to investigate DS risk according to AURKA and AURKC polymorphisms. Genotyping was performed using TaqMan real-time PCR. The minor allele frequency (MAF) observed in AURKA rs2273535 was, respectively, 0.23 in DSM and 0.20 in CM, whereas the frequency of the AURKC rs758099 T allele was 0.32 in case and 0.33 in control mothers. Statistical analysis showed no significant difference in the distribution of genotypes and allele frequencies between DSM and CM. According to previous history of spontaneous abortion, the AURKA rs2273535 genotypes (TT + AT vs. AA: OR 2.54, 95% CI 1.13-5.71, p = 0.02; AT vs. AA: OR 2.39, 95% CI 1.03-5.51, p = 0.04; T vs. A: OR 2.08, 95% CI 1.12-3.90, p = 0.02) and AURKC rs758099 (TT vs. CC: OR 4.34, 95% CI 1.03-18.02, p = 0.04; TT + CT vs. CC: OR 2.52, 95% CI 1.02-6.23, p = 0.04; T vs. C: OR 2.03, 95% CI 1.09-3.80, p = 0.02) were observed as risk factors for spontaneous abortion in case mothers. Our study suggests a possible relationship between AURKA/AURKC variants and increased risk of spontaneous abortion within Down syndrome mothers.

The role of cellular senescence in female reproductive aging and the potential for senotherapeutic interventions

BACKGROUND

Advanced maternal age is associated with decreased oocyte quantity and quality as well as uterine and placental dysfunctions. These changes lead to infertility, pregnancy complications and birth defects in the offspring. As the mean age of giving birth is increasing worldwide, prevention of age-associated infertility and pregnancy complications, along with the more frequent use of ART, become extremely important. Currently, significant research is being conducted to unravel the mechanisms underlying female reproductive aging. Among the potential mechanisms involved, recent evidence has suggested a contributing role for cellular senescence, a cellular state of irreversible growth arrest characterized by a hypersecretory and pro-inflammatory phenotype. Elucidating the role of senescence in female reproductive aging holds the potential for developing novel and less invasive therapeutic measures to prevent or even reverse female reproductive aging and increase offspring wellbeing.

OBJECTIVE AND RATIONALE

The review will summarize the positive and negative implications of cellular senescence in the pathophysiology of the female reproductive organs during aging and critically explore the use of novel senotherapeutics aiming to reverse and/or eliminate their detrimental effects. The focus will be on major senescence mechanisms of the ovaries, the uterus, and the placenta, as well as the potential and risks of using senotherapies that have been discovered in recent years.

SEARCH METHODS

Data for this review were identified by searches of MEDLINE, PubMed and Google Scholar. References from relevant articles using the search terms ‘Cellular Senescence’, ‘Aging’, ‘Gestational age’, ‘Maternal Age’, ‘Anti-aging’, ‘Uterus’, ‘Pregnancy’, ‘Fertility’, ‘Infertility’, ‘Reproduction’, ‘Implant’, ‘Senolytic’, ‘Senostatic’, ‘Senotherapy’ and ‘Senotherapeutic’ where selected. A total of 182 articles published in English between 2005 and 2020 were included, 27 of which focus on potential senotherapies for reproductive aging. Exclusion criteria were inclusion of the terms ‘male’ and ‘plants’.

OUTCOMES

Aging is a major determinant of reproductive wellbeing. Cellular senescence is a basic aging mechanism, which can be exploited for therapeutic interventions. Within the last decade, several new strategies for the development and repurposing of drugs targeting senescent cells have emerged, such as modulators of the anti-inflammatory response, oxidative stress, DNA damage, and mitochondria and protein dysfunctions. Several studies of female reproductive aging and senotherapies have been discussed that show promising results for future interventions.

WIDER IMPLICATIONS

In most countries of the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development, the average age at which women give birth is above 30 years. Currently, in countries such as the Netherlands, Australia, Spain, Finland, Germany and the UK, birth rates among 30- to 34-year-olds are now higher than in any other age groups. This review will provide new knowledge and scientific advancement on the senescence mechanisms during female reproductive aging, and benefit fundamental and clinical scientists and professionals in the areas of reproduction, cancer, immunobiology and fibrosis.

Down Syndrome in Brazil: Occurrence and Associated Factors

Background: Down syndrome is the most frequent genetic cause of intellectual disability, with an estimated birth prevalence of 14 per 10,000 live births. In Brazil, statistical data on the occurrence of babies born with Down syndrome remain unclear. We aimed to estimate the occurrence of Down syndrome between 2012 and 2018, and to observe its association with maternal, gestational, paternal characteristics, and newborn vitality. Methods: A retrospective study was carried out using secondary data included in the Certificate of Live Birth in a state located in the southeastern region of Brazil. Data analysis was performed in the software Stata 14.1. Pearson’s chi-square test for bivariate analysis, and logistic regression for multivariate analysis were performed, with a 95% confidence interval (CI) and a significance of 5%. Results: We observed that 157 cases of Down syndrome were reported among 386,571 live births, representing an incidence of 4 in 10,000 live births. Down syndrome was associated with maternal age ≥ 35 years, paternal age ≥ 30 years, the performance of six or more prenatal consultations, prematurity, and low birth weight (p < 0.05). Conclusions: Women aged 35 and over were more likely to have children born with Down syndrome. In addition, there is an association of Down syndrome with premature birth, low birth weight, and the number of prenatal consultations (≥6).

Clinical Profiles, Congenital Heart Disease, and Other Comorbidities Among Egyptian Children with Down Syndrome: A Tertiary Center Study

Introduction Down syndrome (DS) is the most common chromosomal disorder. It is accompanied by several comorbidities, which could lead to severe morbidity and mortality. Congenital heart disease (CHD) is one of the most commonly described condition.

Objective This study aimed to determine clinical profiles, dysmorphic features, CHD, and DS associated comorbidities in a tertiary center (Cairo, Egypt).

Patients and Methods This descriptive study included 290 patients diagnosed with DS, who presented to the Clinical Genetics clinic, Cairo University Children Hospitals, from February 2018 to December 2019. The patients' ages ranged from 2 to 4 years old. All patients were evaluated by full history, clinical examination, anthropometric measurements, and assessment of developmental milestones. Patients' diagnostic investigations including karyotype, thyroid function, and echocardiography were checked.

Results The study population consisted of 290 children with DS of which 196 (67.6%) were male, 115 (40%) had CHD, the most prevalent atrial septal defect (ASD), patent ductus arteriosus (PDA), and ventricular septal defect (VSD) accounting for 10.7, 7.1, and 4.2%, respectively. Common dysmorphic features were upward slanting palpebral fissures (98.6%), hypertelorism (97.9%), and sandal gap (60.7%). Thyroid dysfunction was the second prevalent comorbidity, found in 35 patients (12.1%). Global developmental delay was reported affecting language (99%), motor (94.8%), and social (92.8%) domains.

Conclusion The prevalence of CHD among children with DS was 40% with ASD, PDA, and VSD being the commonest. Thyroid dysfunction was the second most common comorbidity. The most prevalent dysmorphic features were upward slanting palpebral fissures, hypertelorism, and sandal gap. Developmental delay was very common, language being the most affected domain.

Immune Dysregulation and the Increased Risk of Complications and Mortality Following Respiratory Tract Infections in Adults With Down Syndrome

The risk of severe outcomes following respiratory tract infections is significantly increased in individuals over 60 years, especially in those with chronic medical conditions, i.e., hypertension, diabetes, cardiovascular disease, dementia, chronic respiratory disease, and cancer. Down Syndrome (DS), the most prevalent intellectual disability, is caused by trisomy-21 in ~1:750 live births worldwide. Over the past few decades, a substantial body of evidence has accumulated, pointing at the occurrence of alterations, impairments, and subsequently dysfunction of the various components of the immune system in individuals with DS. This associates with increased vulnerability to respiratory tract infections in this population, such as the influenza virus, respiratory syncytial virus, SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19), and bacterial pneumonias. To emphasize this link, here we comprehensively review the immunobiology of DS and its contribution to higher susceptibility to severe illness and mortality from respiratory tract infections.

Are paternal or grandmaternal age associated with higher probability of trisomy 21 in offspring? A population-based, matched case-control study, 1995-2015

BACKGROUND

Fetal aneuploidy risk increases with maternal age, but the majority of pregnancies complicated by trisomy 21 occur in younger women. It has been suggested that grandmaternal and/or paternal age may also play a role.

OBJECTIVES

To assess the association between grandmaternal and paternal age and trisomy 21.

METHODS

For the grandmaternal assessments, we included all offspring with trisomy 21 in a statewide birth defects surveillance system (1995-2015) that could be linked to 3-generation matrilineal pedigrees in the Utah Population Database. Ten sex/birth year-matched controls were selected for each case (770 cases and 7700 controls). For the paternal assessments, our cohort included all trisomy 21 cases (1995-2015) where both the mother and father resided in Utah at the time of birth (1409 cases and 14 090 controls). Ages were categorised by 5-year intervals (reference: 25-29 years). Conditional logistic regression, adjusting for potential confounding factors, was used to model the association between grandmaternal and paternal age and trisomy 21.

RESULTS

No association between grandmaternal age and trisomy 21 was detected, whether age was assessed continuously (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 1.01, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.98, 1.03) or categorically after adjusting for grandmaternal and grandpaternal race/ethnicity and grandpaternal age. Compared to fathers aged 20-29 years, fathers <20 years (OR 3.15, 95% CI 1.99, 4.98) and 20-24 years (OR 1.39, 95% CI 1.11, 1.73) had increased odds of trisomy 21 offspring, after adjusting for maternal and paternal race/ethnicity and maternal age. Results were consistent after excluding stillbirths, multiples, and trisomy 21 due to translocation or mosaicism.

CONCLUSIONS

Maternal age is an important risk factor for trisomy 21 offspring; however, this population-based study shows that that young paternal age is also associated with trisomy 21, after taking into account maternal age and race/ethnicity.

The Effects of Parent Ages on Birth Defects

BACKGROUND

Men and women, in the United States, are having children at considerably older ages. This changing demographic has been associated with multiple neonatal adverse birth outcomes that are currently considered to constitute a major public health crisis. The objective of this study was to evaluate the risk of parent age on birth defects and to provide results that can serve as a starting point for more specific mediation modeling. The modeling estimated the effects of parent age on birth defects controlling for confounding between maternal and paternal age and separated the mediating effect of chromosomal disorders, including Down syndrome.

METHODS

Data containing approximately 15,000,000 birth records were obtained from the United States Natality database for the years 2014 to 2018. A Bayesian modeling approach was used to estimate adjusted risks of parent ages both unadjusted and adjusted for the other parent's age and for the mediational effect of chromosomal disorders, including Down syndrome.

RESULTS

Increasing maternal age was associated with increased risks for hypospadias and cyanotic congenital heart disease. Increasing maternal and paternal ages were associated with decreasing risks for gastroschisis. For limb reduction defect, cleft lip and all defects combined, the risk of maternal age was U-shaped with the lowest risks observed at approximately age 35y. Paternal age was not associated with an increase in the birth prevalence of birth defects.

CONCLUSION

Advancing maternal age was associated with increased birth prevalence of hypospadias and cyanotic congenital heart disease and associated with a lower birth prevalence for gastroschisis. Both older and younger maternal ages were related to limb reduction defect and cleft lip. Advancing paternal age was not associated with an increased birth prevalence of birth defects but was associated with a decreased birth prevalence of gastroschisis.

The risks of advancing parental age on neonatal morbidity and mortality are U- or J-shaped for both maternal and paternal ages

BACKGROUND

The biologic implications of delayed parenthood have been blamed for a major public health crisis in the United States, that includes high rates of neonatal morbidity and mortality (NMM). The objective of this study was to evaluate the risk of parent age on NMM and to provide results that can serve as a starting point for more specific mediation modeling.

METHODS

Data containing approximately 15,000,000 birth records were obtained from the United States Natality database for the years 2014 to 2018. A Bayesian modeling approach was used to estimate the both the total effect and the risk adjusted for confounding between parent ages and for mediation by chromosomal disorders including Down syndrome. Outcomes included intra-hospital death and nine measures of neonatal morbidity.

RESULTS

For paternal age, seven NMM (preterm birth, very preterm birth, low Apgar score, treatment with antibiotics, treatment with surfactant, prolonged ventilation, intra-hospital death) had U-shaped risk patterns, two NMM (small for gestational age, admission to neonatal intensive care) had J-shaped risk patterns, one NMM (seizures) was not significantly related to paternal age. For maternal age, three NMM (low Apgar score, treatment with antibiotics and intra-hospital death) had U-shaped risk patterns, four NMM (preterm delivery, very preterm delivery, admission to neonatal intensive care, treatment with surfactant) had J-shaped risk patterns, one NMM (small for gestational age) had a risk declining with age, one NMM (prolonged ventilation) had a risk increasing with age and one NMM (seizures) was not significantly related to maternal age.

CONCLUSIONS

Both advancing maternal and paternal ages had U- or J-shaped risk patterns for neonatal morbidity and mortality.

Review of epidemiological factors (other than maternal age) that determine the prevalence of common autosomal trisomies

The birth prevalence of each common autosomal trisomy (21, 18 and 13) increases with advancing maternal age and this is the most important epidemiological risk factor. Prevalence during pregnancy is also dependent on gestational age. Other factors claimed to influence prevalence include paternal age, ethnicity, family history, premature reproductive aging, parity, twinning, smoking, environmental exposures, maternal medical conditions, and predispositions. We review the evidence for these associations since they may provide insights into causal mechanisms. When investigating potential co-factors it is important to adequately allow for maternal age and minimize its confounding contribution. This is well illustrated by reports of an inverse paternal age effect where there is strong correlation between parental ages. Gestational age at diagnosis, availability of prenatal screening, diagnostic testing, and elective termination of affected pregnancies and healthcare disparities also confound the studies on ethnicity, medical conditions, and predispositions or environmental factors. Data from twin zygosity studies demonstrate the importance of differences in fetal viability for affected pregnancies. We conclude that existing epidemiological evidence for most of the co-factors discussed should currently be considered tenuous; history of Down syndrome, albeit biased, may be an exception. The co-factors may yet provide clues to hitherto poorly understood causal pathways.