Social disparities in the prevalence of multimorbidity - A register-based population study

In Pursuit of a Person-Centered Approach to Care Delivery: A Qualitative Descriptive Study of the Patient Experience of a Long-Term Conditions Clinic in General Practice

Innovative ways of working are emerging in health care to meet the complex needs of people living with multiple long-term conditions. While these initiatives are often measured for their health and economic outcomes, few studies prioritize the patient experience. This qualitative descriptive study is one of a few studies exploring the patient experience of attending a dedicated long-term conditions annual review clinic in a primary care setting in England. The service model aims to provide a person-centered, holistic approach to the management and support of people living with multiple long-term conditions. The study presents findings from in-depth interviews with 12 participants. Data analyzed through framework analysis revealed four themes relating to the patient experience: the clinic as a place, continuity, staying healthy, and partnership opportunities. Results highlight the challenges to providing personalized care. We found that attendance at the clinic prompted self-care behaviors, however, patients wanted a more holistic, integrated, and consistent service that provided continuity of therapeutic relationships that involved them in decision-making and care planning. We conclude that the experience of patients in this study suggests this service model can enable patients to manage their health and improve well-being, however, while a person-centered philosophy may underpin service models, our research shows that ensuring this philosophy is born out in service delivery and recognized by patients is problematic. Therefore, service providers need to recognize the values and perspectives of patients, aligning these with the design and delivery of services.

The extent and burden of high multimorbidity on older adults in the US: a descriptive analysis of Medicare beneficiaries

BACKGROUND

The impact of multimorbidity (≥ 2 chronic diseases) on the well-being of older adults is substantial but variable. The burden of multimorbidity varies by the number and kinds of conditions, and timing of onset. The impact varies by age, race, ethnicity, socioeconomic status, and health indicators. Large scale longitudinal surveys linked to medical claims provide unique opportunities to characterize this variability.

METHODS

We analyzed Medicare-linked Health and Retirement Study data for respondents 65 and older with 3 or more years of fee-for-service coverage (n = 17,199; 2000-2016). We applied standardized claims algorithms for operationalizing 21 chronic diseases. We compared multimorbidity levels, demographics, and outcomes at baseline and over time and escalation to high multimorbidity levels (≥ 5 conditions).

RESULTS

At baseline, 51.2% had no multimorbidity, 36.5% had multimorbidity, and 12.4% had high multimorbidity. Loss of function, cognitive decline, and higher healthcare utilization were up to ten times more prevalent in the high multimorbidity group. Greater rates of high multimorbidity were seen among non-Hispanic Black and Hispanic groups, those with lower wealth, younger birth cohorts, and adults with obesity. Rates of transition to high multimorbidity varied greatly and was highest among Hispanic and respondents with lower education.

CONCLUSIONS

The development and progression of multimorbidity in old age is influenced by many factors. Higher levels of multimorbidity are associated with sociodemographic characteristics, suggesting possible mitigation strategies.

Has multimorbidity and frailty in adult hospital admissions changed over the last 15 years? A retrospective study of 107 million admissions in England

BACKGROUND

Few studies have quantified multimorbidity and frailty trends within hospital settings, with even fewer reporting how much is attributable to the ageing population and individual patient factors. Studies to date have tended to focus on people over 65, rarely capturing older people or stratifying findings by planned and unplanned activity. As the UK's national health service (NHS) backlog worsens, and debates about productivity dominate, it is essential to understand these hospital trends so health services can meet them.

METHODS

Hospital Episode Statistics inpatient admission records were extracted for adults between 2006 and 2021. Multimorbidity and frailty was measured using Elixhauser Comorbidity Index and Soong Frailty Scores. Yearly proportions of people with Elixhauser conditions (0, 1, 2, 3 +) or frailty syndromes (0, 1, 2 +) were reported, and the prevalence between 2006 and 2021 compared. Logistic regression models measured how much patient factors impacted the likelihood of having three or more Elixhauser conditions or two or more frailty syndromes. Results were stratified by age groups (18-44, 45-64 and 65 +) and admission type (emergency or elective).

RESULTS

The study included 107 million adult inpatient hospital episodes. Overall, the proportion of admissions with one or more Elixhauser conditions rose for acute and elective admissions, with the trend becoming more prominent as age increased. This was most striking among acute admissions for people aged 65 and over, who saw a 35.2% absolute increase in the proportion of admissions who had three or more Elixhauser conditions. This means there were 915,221 extra hospital episodes in the last 12 months of the study, by people who had at least three Elixhauser conditions compared with 15 years ago. The findings were similar for people who had one or more frailty syndromes. Overall, year, age and socioeconomic deprivation were found to be strongly and positively associated with having three or more Elixhauser conditions or two or more frailty syndromes, with socioeconomic deprivation showing a strong dose-response relationship.

CONCLUSIONS

Overall, the proportion of hospital admissions with multiple conditions or frailty syndromes has risen over the last 15 years. This matches smaller-scale and anecdotal reports from hospitals and can inform how hospitals are reimbursed.

Estimating the prevalence of mental disorders in patients with newly diagnosed cancer in relation to socioeconomic status: a multicenter prospective observational study

BACKGROUND

The purpose of this study was to provide the 4-week prevalence estimates of mental disorders in newly diagnosed cancer patients in relation to socioeconomic status (SES).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We enrolled newly diagnosed patients with a confirmed solid tumor within 2 months of diagnosis. We calculated patients' SES on the basis of their educational level, professional qualification, income and occupational status. We used the Structured Clinical Interview for Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, Fifth Edition-Clinical Version (SCID-5-CV) to assess the 4-week prevalence of mental disorders in addition to a comorbidity questionnaire to assess the level of physical impairment.

RESULTS

We identified a total of 1702 patients with mixed cancers after reviewing their medical records and contacting them in person or by post due to coronavirus pandemic patient safety restrictions. 1030 patients (53.2% men, mean age 60.2 years) had completed SCID-5-CV. When weighted according to the SES distribution to account for over- and under-sampling of SES groups, 20.9% [95% confidence interval (CI) 18.1% to 23.6%] of patients were diagnosed with any mental disorder. The most prevalent were depressive disorders (9.9%, 95% CI 7.9% to 11.9%), trauma and stress-related disorders (6.3%, 95% CI 4.7% to 7.9%) and anxiety disorders (4.2%, 95% CI 2.9% to 5.6%). We found no difference in any mental disorder between patients with high, medium or low SES. Multivariate logistic regression analyses revealed higher proportion of patients with any mental disorder in patients younger than 60 years [odds ratio (OR) 0.42; P < 0.001], in patients without a partner (OR 1.84; P < 0.001), in women with tumor in female genital organs (OR 2.45; P < 0.002) and in those with a higher level of impairment (OR 1.05, 95% CI 1.03-1.07; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

SES had no significant influence on mental comorbidity in early cancer survivorship.

Transition of care in a Danish context: translation, cross-cultural adaptation and content validation of CTM-15 and PACT-M

BACKGROUND

Transition of care from hospitalisation to home is a complex process with potential patient safety risks, especially for patients with multimorbidity. Traditionally, the quality of transition of care has been evaluated primarily through readmission rates. However, interpreting the readmission rates presents challenges, and readmission rates fail to capture the patient's perspective on the quality of the care transition. Insight into the patient's experience with their care or a health service can be provided through the use of patient-reported experience measures (PREMs), and the two PREMs Care Transitions Measure 15 (CTM-15) and Partners at Care Transitions Measure part 1 and 2 (PACT-M1 and PACT-M2) assess on the quality of transition of care from the patients' perspective. The aim of this study was to translate, culturally adapt, and assess content validity of CTM-15, PACT-M1, and PACT-M2 for Danish-speaking patients with multimorbidity.

METHODS

A two-step approach was used for content validation, involving cognitive debriefing and interviews with patients, representing the target group, as well as quantitative data collection from healthcare professionals representing all three sectors of the Danish healthcare system. The patients were systematically interviewed regarding the aspects of content validity; comprehensibility, relevance, and comprehensiveness. The healthcare professionals assessed the relevance and comprehensiveness of each item through questionnaires, allowing the calculation of a content validity index (CVI). An item CVI ≥ 0.78 is considered good.

RESULTS

The results of the qualitative data indicated that both CTM-15 and the PACT-M questionnaires were considered relevant, and comprehensible, and comprehensive to the target group. The CVI computed at item level determined that PACT-M1 and PACT-M2 demonstrated excellent content validity among the healthcare professionals, whereas the CVI for two items of the CTM-15 fell below the threshold value for "good".

CONCLUSION

The Danish versions of the PACT-M questionnaires demonstrated good content validity, and the CTM-15 demonstrated acceptable content validity based on qualitative data from patients and quantitative data from healthcare professionals. Further validation of the questionnaires, by assessing their construct validity and reliability is recommended.

Clusters from chronic conditions in the Danish adult population

Multimorbidity, the presence of 2 or more chronic conditions in a person at the same time, is an increasing public health concern, which affects individuals through reduced health related quality of life, and society through increased need for healthcare services. Yet the structure of chronic conditions in individuals with multimorbidity, viewed as a population, is largely unmapped. We use algorithmic diagnoses and the K-means algorithm to cluster the entire 2015 Danish multimorbidity population into 5 clusters. The study introduces the concept of rim data as an additional tool for determining the number of clusters. We label the 5 clusters the Allergies, Chronic Heart Conditions, Diabetes, Hypercholesterolemia, and Musculoskeletal and Psychiatric Conditions clusters, and demonstrate that for 99.32% of the population, the cluster allocation can be determined from the diagnoses of 4-5 conditions. Clusters are characterized through most prevalent conditions, absent conditions, over- or under-represented conditions, and co-occurrence of conditions. Clusters are further characterized through socioeconomic variables and healthcare service utilizations. Additionally, geographical variations throughout Denmark are studied at the regional and municipality level. We find that subdivision into municipality levels suggests that the Allergies cluster frequency is positively associated with socioeconomic status, while the subdivision suggests that frequencies for clusters Diabetes and Hypercholesterolemia are negatively correlated with socioeconomic status. We detect no indication of association to socioeconomic status for the Chronic Heart Conditions cluster and the Musculoskeletal and Psychiatric Conditions cluster. Additional spatial variation is revealed, some of which may be related to urban/rural populations. Our work constitutes a step in the process of characterizing multimorbidity populations, leading to increased comprehension of the nature of multimorbidity, and towards potential applications to individual-based care, prevention, the development of clinical guidelines, and population management.

Social determinants of health and emergency department visits among older adults with multimorbidity: insight from 2010 to 2018 National Health Interview Survey

BACKGROUND

Multimorbidity is prevalent among older adults and is associated with adverse health outcomes, including high emergency department (ED) utilization. Social determinants of health (SDoH) are associated with many health outcomes, but the association between SDoH and ED visits among older adults with multimorbidity has received limited attention. This study aimed to examine the association between SDoH and ED visits among older adults with multimorbidity.

METHODS

A cross-sectional analysis was conducted among 28,917 adults aged 50 years and older from the 2010 to 2018 National Health Interview Survey. Multimorbidity was defined as the presence of two or more self-reported diseases among 10 common chronic conditions, including diabetes, hypertension, asthma, stroke, cancer, arthritis, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and heart, kidney, and liver diseases. The SDoH assessed included race/ethnicity, education level, poverty income ratio, marital status, employment status, insurance status, region of residence, and having a usual place for medical care. Logistic regression models were used to examine the association between SDoH and one or more ED visits.

RESULTS

Participants' mean (± SD) age was 68.04 (± 10.66) years, and 56.82% were female. After adjusting for age, sex, and the number of chronic conditions in the logistic regression model, high school or less education (adjusted odds ratio [AOR]: 1.10, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.02-1.19), poverty income ratio below the federal poverty level (AOR: 1.44, 95% CI: 1.31-1.59), unmarried (AOR: 1.19, 95% CI: 1.11-1.28), unemployed status (AOR: 1.33, 95% CI: 1.23-1.44), and having a usual place for medical care (AOR: 1.46, 95% CI 1.18-1.80) was significantly associated with having one or more ED visits. Non-Hispanic Black individuals had higher odds (AOR: 1.28, 95% CI: 1.19-1.38), while non-Hispanic Asian individuals had lower odds (AOR: 0.71, 95% CI: 0.59-0.86) of one or more ED visits than non-Hispanic White individuals.

CONCLUSION

SDoH factors are associated with ED visits among older adults with multimorbidity. Systematic multidisciplinary team approaches are needed to address social disparities affecting not only multimorbidity prevalence but also health-seeking behaviors and emergent healthcare access.

Shaping research for people living with co-existing mental and physical health conditions: A research priority setting initiative from the United Kingdom

INTRODUCTION

Those with severe and enduring mental ill health are at greater risk of long-term physical health conditions and have a reduced life expectancy as a result. Multiple factors compound this health inequality, and the need for setting research priorities in this area is highlighted with physical and mental healthcare services being separate, and limited multimorbidity research.

METHODS

The aim of this exercise was to work in partnership with healthcare professionals and carers, family, friends and individuals with lived experience of both mental and physical health conditions, to set research priorities to help people with mental health conditions to look after their physical health. The exercise was guided by the James Lind Alliance approach. For this, a steering group was set up, two surveys were completed and a final priority workshop was conducted.

RESULTS

This priority setting exercise guided by people's needs and lived experience has produced a set of well-defined research topics. Initially, 555 research questions were suggested in the first survey, which were refined to 54 questions for the second survey. A priority setting workshop was then conducted to get the final 10 priorities.

CONCLUSIONS

Taking these topics forward to improve services and treatment for both mental and physical ill health may in turn improve physical health and lessen the reduced life expectancy of those living with mental ill health.

PATIENT OR PUBLIC CONTRIBUTION

This work was completed in collaboration with people who have lived experience of mental ill health and physical health conditions, as well as carers, family and friends. Their contribution has been significant for this work from piloting surveys, amending language used and educating the researchers and contributing to this paper. The initial work was completed with a steering group and continued with surveys and workshops.

How valid is a prescription-based multimorbidity index (Rx-risk) in predicting mortality in the Outcomes and Multimorbidity In Type 2 diabetes (OMIT) study? A nation-wide registry-based cohort study from Norway

OBJECTIVE

The prescription-based Rx-risk index has previously been developed to measure multimorbidity. We aimed to adapt and evaluate the validity of the Rx-risk index in prediction of mortality among persons with type 2 diabetes.

DESIGN

Registry-based study.

SETTING

Adults with type 2 diabetes in Norway identified within the 'Outcomes and Multimorbidity In Type 2 diabetes' cohort, with linkage to prescriptions from the Norwegian Prescription Database and mortality from the Population Registry.

PARTICIPANTS

We defined a calibration sample of 42 290 adults diagnosed with type 2 diabetes 1950-2013, and a temporal validation sample of 7085 adults diagnosed 2014-2016 to evaluate the index validity over time PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURE: All-cause mortality METHODS: For the calibration sample, dispensed drug prescriptions in 2013 were used to define 44 morbidity categories. Weights were estimated using regression coefficients from a Cox regression model with 5 year mortality as the outcome and all morbidity categories, age and sex included as covariates. The Rx-risk index was computed as a weighted sum of morbidities. The validity of the index was evaluated using C-statistic and calibration plots.

RESULTS

In the calibration sample, mean (SD) age at start of follow-up and duration of diabetes was 63.8 (12.4) and 10.1 (7.0) years, respectively. The overall C-statistic was 0.82 and varied from 0.74 to 0.85 when stratifying on age groups, sex, level of education and country of origin. In the validation sample, mean (SD) age and duration of diabetes was 59.7 (13.0) and 2.0 (0.8) years, respectively. Despite younger age, shorter duration of diabetes and later time period, the C-index was high both in the total sample (0.84) and separately for men (0.83) and women (0.84).

CONCLUSIONS

The Rx-risk index showed good discrimination and calibration in predicting mortality and thus presents a valid tool to assess multimorbidity among persons with type 2 diabetes.

Implementation and external validation of the Cambridge Multimorbidity Score in the UK Biobank cohort

BACKGROUND

Patients with multiple conditions present a growing challenge for healthcare provision. Measures of multimorbidity may support clinical management, healthcare resource allocation and accounting for the health of participants in purpose-designed cohorts. The recently developed Cambridge Multimorbidity scores (CMS) have the potential to achieve these aims using primary care records, however, they have not yet been validated outside of their development cohort.

METHODS

The CMS, developed in the Clinical Research Practice Dataset (CPRD), were validated in UK Biobank participants whose data is not available in CPRD (the cohort used for CMS development) with available primary care records (n = 111,898). This required mapping of the 37 pre-existing conditions used in the CMS to the coding frameworks used by UK Biobank data providers. We used calibration plots and measures of discrimination to validate the CMS for two of the three outcomes used in the development study (death and primary care consultation rate) and explored variation by age and sex. We also examined the predictive ability of the CMS for the outcome of cancer diagnosis. The results were compared to an unweighted count score of the 37 pre-existing conditions.

RESULTS

For all three outcomes considered, the CMS were poorly calibrated in UK Biobank. We observed a similar discriminative ability for the outcome of primary care consultation rate to that reported in the development study (C-index: 0.67 (95%CI:0.66-0.68) for both, 5-year follow-up); however, we report lower discrimination for the outcome of death than the development study (0.69 (0.68-0.70) and 0.89 (0.88-0.90) respectively). Discrimination for cancer diagnosis was adequate (0.64 (0.63-0.65)). The CMS performs favourably to the unweighted count score for death, but not for the outcomes of primary care consultation rate or cancer diagnosis.

CONCLUSIONS

In the UK Biobank, CMS discriminates reasonably for the outcomes of death, primary care consultation rate and cancer diagnosis and may be a valuable resource for clinicians, public health professionals and data scientists. However, recalibration will be required to make accurate predictions when cohort composition and risk levels differ substantially from the development cohort. The generated resources (including codelists for the conditions and code for CMS implementation in UK Biobank) are available online.

Measuring the Effect of the Early assessment Team (MEET) for patients referred to outpatient mental health care: a study protocol for a randomised controlled trial

BACKGROUND

Referrals to specialised mental health care (such as community mental health centres; CMHC) have increased over the last two decades. Patients often have multifaceted problems, which cannot only be solved by such care. Resources are limited, and triaging is challenging. A novel method which approaches patients early and individually upon referral to a CMHC-possibly with a brief intervention-is an Early assessment Team (EaT). In an EaT, two therapists meet the patient early in the process and seek to solve the present problem, often involving community services, primary health care, etc.; attention is paid to symptoms and functional strife, rather than diagnoses. This is in contrast to treatment as usual (TAU), where the patient (after being on a waiting list) meets one therapist, who focuses on history and situation to assign a diagnosis and eventually start a longitudinal treatment. The aim of this study is to describe and compare EaT and TAU regarding such outcomes as work and social adjustment, mental health, quality of life, use of health services, and patient satisfaction. The primary outcome is a change in perceived function from baseline to 12-month follow-up, measured by the Work and Social Adjustment Scale.

METHOD

Patients (18 years and above; n = 588) referred to outpatient health care at a CMHC are randomised to EaT or TAU. Measures (patient self-reports and clinician reports, patients' records, and register data) are collected at baseline, after the first and last meeting, and at 2, 4, 8, 12, and 24 months after inclusion. Some participants will be invited to participate in qualitative interviews.

TRIAL DESIGN

The study is a single-centre, non-blinded, RCT with two conditions involving a longitudinal and mixed design (quantitative and qualitative data).

DISCUSSION

This study will examine an intervention designed to determine early on which patients will benefit from parallel or other measures than assessment and treatment in CMHC and whether these will facilitate their recovery. Findings may potentially contribute to the development of the organisation of mental health services.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov NCT05087446. Registered on 21 October 2021.

Effectiveness of an adaptive, multifaceted intervention to enhance care for patients with complex multimorbidity in general practice: protocol for a pragmatic cluster randomised controlled trial (the MM600 trial)

INTRODUCTION

Patients with complex multimorbidity face a high treatment burden and frequently have low quality of life. General practice is the key organisational setting in terms of offering people with complex multimorbidity integrated, longitudinal, patient-centred care. This protocol describes a pragmatic cluster randomised controlled trial to evaluate the effectiveness of an adaptive, multifaceted intervention in general practice for patients with complex multimorbidity.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

In this study, 250 recruited general practices will be randomly assigned 1:1 to either the intervention or control group. The eligible population are adult patients with two or more chronic conditions, at least one contact with secondary care within the last year, taking at least five repeat prescription drugs, living independently, who experience significant problems with their life and health due to their multimorbidity. During 2023 and 2024, intervention practices are financially incentivised to provide an extended consultation based on a patient-centred framework to eligible patients. Control practices continue care as usual. The primary outcome is need-based quality of life. Outcomes will be evaluated using linear and logistic regression models, with clustering considered. The analysis will be performed as intention to treat. In addition, a process evaluation will be carried out and reported elsewhere.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

The trial will be conducted in compliance with the protocol, the Helsinki Declaration in its most recent form and good clinical practice recommendations, as well as the regulation for informed consent. The study was submitted to the Danish Capital Region Ethical Committee (ref: H-22041229). As defined by Section 2 of the Danish Act on Research Ethics in Research Projects, this project does not constitute a health research project but is considered a quality improvement project that does not require formal ethical approval. All results from the study (whether positive, negative or inconclusive) will be published in peer-reviewed journals.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT05676541.

Patients' experiences of GP consultations following the introduction of the new GP contract in Scotland: a cross-sectional survey

BACKGROUND

The new Scottish GP contract commenced in April 2018 with a stated aim of mitigating health inequalities.

AIM

To determine the health characteristics and experiences of patients consulting GPs in deprived urban (DU), affluent urban (AU), and remote and rural (RR) areas of Scotland.

DESIGN AND SETTING

In 2022, a postal survey of a random sample of adult patients from 12 practices who had consulted a GP within the previous 30 days was undertaken.

METHOD

Patient characteristics and consultation experiences in the three areas (DU, AU, RR) were evaluated using validated measures including the Consultation and Relational Empathy (CARE) Measure and Patient Enablement Instrument (PEI).

RESULTS

In total, 1053 responses were received. In DU areas, multimorbidity was more common (78% versus 58% AU versus 68% RR, P<0.01), complex presentations (where the consultation addressed both psychosocial and physical problems) were more likely (16% versus 10% AU versus 11% RR, P<0.05), and more consultations were conducted by telephone (42% versus 31% AU versus 31% RR, P<0.01). Patients in DU areas reported lower satisfaction (82% DU completely, very, or fairly satisfied versus 90% AU versus 86% RR, P<0.01), lower perceived GP empathy (mean CARE score 38.9 versus 42.1 AU versus 40.1 RR, P<0.05), lower enablement (mean PEI score 2.6 versus 3.2 AU versus 2.8 RR, P<0.01), and less symptom improvement (P<0.01) than those in AU or RR areas. Face-to-face consultations were associated with significantly higher satisfaction, enablement, and perceived GP empathy than telephone consultations in RR areas (all P<0.05).

CONCLUSION

Four years after the start of the new GP contract in Scotland, patients' experiences of GP consultations suggest that the inverse care law persists.

Using hypergraphs to quantify importance of sets of diseases by healthcare resource utilisation: A retrospective cohort study

Rates of Multimorbidity (also called Multiple Long Term Conditions, MLTC) are increasing in many developed nations. People with multimorbidity experience poorer outcomes and require more healthcare intervention. Grouping of conditions by health service utilisation is poorly researched. The study population consisted of a cohort of people living in Wales, UK aged 20 years or older in 2000 who were followed up until the end of 2017. Multimorbidity clusters by prevalence and healthcare resource use (HRU) were modelled using hypergraphs, mathematical objects relating diseases via links which can connect any number of diseases, thus capturing information about sets of diseases of any size. The cohort included 2,178,938 people. The most prevalent diseases were hypertension (13.3%), diabetes (6.9%), depression (6.7%) and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (5.9%). The most important sets of diseases when considering prevalence generally contained a small number of diseases, while the most important sets of diseases when considering HRU were sets containing many diseases. The most important set of diseases taking prevalence and HRU into account was diabetes & hypertension and this combined measure of importance featured hypertension most often in the most important sets of diseases. We have used a single approach to find the most important sets of diseases based on co-occurrence and HRU measures, demonstrating the flexibility of the hypergraph approach. Hypertension, the most important single disease, is silent, underdiagnosed and increases the risk of life threatening co-morbidities. Co-occurrence of endocrine and cardiovascular diseases was common in the most important sets. Combining measures of prevalence with HRU provides insights which would be helpful for those planning and delivering services.

Continuity and discontinuity of care among older patients in Danish general practice: a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Continuity of care (COC) for older adults has been associated with lower use of healthcare services, decreased risk of hospitalisation, and lower mortality. However, research on COC in older adults is limited by short time periods and small sample sizes. Long-term COC can only develop if the patient stays with the general practice for ≥10 years. Therefore, research that focuses on long duration and broader populations is needed.

AIM

To measure the extent of longitudinal site-level COC in general practice and listing duration of the patient-general practice relation for all older Danish citizens.

DESIGN & SETTING

Retrospective cohort study of all patients aged ≥65 years on 31 December 2021 listed with a Danish general practice (N = 1 144 941 persons).

METHOD

Individual-level register data were used on start and end dates for listing with a general practice to analyse site-level COC by number of changes and listing duration of the patient-general practice relation from January 2007-December 2021.

RESULTS

During the 15 years, 39.3% of older adults did not change general practice. Among the remaining 60.7%, who experienced discontinuity of care, 34.0% changed once, 16.3% changed twice, and 6.3% changed three times. Overall, <5% changed general practice >3 times. The duration of the patient-general practice relations were on average 9.5 years. Overall, 27.5% lasted 0-4 years, 33.7% lasted 5-9 years, and 38.8% lasted ≥10 years.

CONCLUSION

Danish general practice provides high levels of site-level COC for their older patients. On average, patients aged ≥65 years changed general practice once and had a patient-general practice relation length of 9.5 years.

Effects of gender and socio-environmental factors on health-care access in oncology: a comprehensive, nationwide study in France

Background

Gender-based disparities in health-care are common and can affect access to care. We aimed to investigate the impact of gender and socio-environmental indicators on health-care access in oncology in France.

Methods

Using the national health insurance system database in France, we identified patients (aged ≥18 years) who were diagnosed with solid invasive cancers between the 1st of January 2018 and the 31st of December 2019. We ensured that only incident cases were identified by excluding patients with an existing cancer diagnosis in 2016 and 2017; skin cancers other than melanoma were also excluded. We extracted 71 socio-environmental variables related to patients' living environment and divided these into eight categories: inaccessibility to public transport, economic deprivation, unemployment, gender-related wage disparities, social isolation, educational barriers, familial hardship, and insecurity. We employed a mixed linear regression model to assess the influence of age, comorbidities, and all eight socio-environmental indices on health-care access, while evaluating the interaction with gender. Health-care access was measured using absolute and relative cancer care expertise indexes.

Findings

In total, 594,372 patients were included: 290,658 (49%) women and 303,714 (51%) men. With the exception of unemployment, all socio-environmental indices, age, and comorbidities were inversely correlated with health-care access. However, notable interactions with gender were observed, with a stronger association between socio-environmental factors and health-care access in women than in men. In particular, inaccessibility to public transport (coefficient for absolute cancer care expertise index = -1.10 [-1.22, -0.99], p < 0.0001), familial hardship (-0.64 [-0.72, -0.55], p < 0.0001), social isolation (-0.38 [-0.46, -0.30], p < 0.0001), insecurity (-0.29 [-0.37, -0.21], p < 0.0001), and economic deprivation (-0.13 [-0.19, -0.07], p < 0.0001) had a strong negative impact on health-care access in women.

Interpretation

Access to cancer care is determined by a complex interplay of gender and various socio-environmental factors. While gender is a significant component, it operates within the context of multiple socio-environmental influences. Future work should focus on developing targeted interventions to address these multifaceted barriers and promote equitable health-care access for both genders.

Funding

None.

Association between educational level and self-reported musculoskeletal pain and physical functioning in Danes 60-70 years old from 2010 to 2017: a longitudinal analysis of trends over time on data from the Danish Health and Morbidity Survey

OBJECTIVES

The aims of this study were to investigate the association between educational level and musculoskeletal pain and physical function, respectively, in persons 60-70 years old, and to investigate if the association changed from 2010 to 2017.

DESIGN AND PARTICIPANTS

This is a sex-stratified, cross-sectional study based on data from the Danish Health and Morbidity Survey in 2010 (n=15 165) and in 2017 (n=14 022).Self-reported data from respondents who were 60-70 years old and reported data for pain or physical function, sociodemographic, education and behavioural factors were included.

PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURES

Prevalence of pain and physical limitations.

RESULTS

Among men, a high educational level was associated with reduced odds of pain compared with low educational level (OR 0.56 (95% CI 0.41; 0.74)). Medium and high educational levels were associated with reduced odds of pain in women (0.74 (0.59; 0.92) and 0.64 (0.41; 1.00), respectively). High educational level was associated with reduced odds of physical limitations in men (0.35 (0.19; 0.65)) and women (0.33 (0.14; 0.78)). The interaction terms between time and education were not associated with pain and physical function, respectively.

CONCLUSION

High education was associated with reduced musculoskeletal pain and reduced limitations of physical function. The association between education and musculoskeletal pain and physical function did not change significantly over time. Musculoskeletal pain during the past 14 days and chronic pain among old men and women 60-70 years and their level of physical function contribute to important knowledge of a group near the retirement age. The future perspectives illustrate trends and importance of focusing on adapting job accommodations for senior workers.

Oral health and type 2 diabetes in a socioeconomic perspective

AIMS

This study aimed to examine the association between type 2 diabetes and poor self-rated oral health, and to investigate whether such association is modified by socioeconomic position.

METHODS

We conducted a cross-sectional study, including a population aged 18-75 years with self-reported type 2 diabetes (N = 41,884) and a sex-, age- and municipality-matched reference population from the Health in Central Denmark survey (2020). Multivariable logistic regression was used, and effect modification of indicators of socioeconomic position was examined.

RESULTS

Oral health was rated as poor in 37.0% of the population with type 2 diabetes and in 23.8% of the reference population without diabetes. Individuals with diabetes had higher risk of poor oral health (adjusted odds ratio (OR) 1.46 (95% CI: 1.39; 1.53)) than references. Interaction was seen between type 2 diabetes and highest attained education (p < 0.001). Stratified analyses showed higher risk of poor oral health in people with type 2 diabetes across all educational levels.

CONCLUSIONS

People with type 2 diabetes were more likely to rate their oral health as poor than the reference population. Low education strengthened the association between diabetes and poor oral health.

Reynolds N, R. Barnes M, Hull S, Finer S, Mathur R. Ethnic differences in early onset multimorbidity and associations with health service use, long-term prescribing, years of life lost, and mortality: A cross-sectional study using clustering in the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink

BACKGROUND

The population prevalence of multimorbidity (the existence of at least 2 or more long-term conditions [LTCs] in an individual) is increasing among young adults, particularly in minority ethnic groups and individuals living in socioeconomically deprived areas. In this study, we applied a data-driven approach to identify clusters of individuals who had an early onset multimorbidity in an ethnically and socioeconomically diverse population. We identified associations between clusters and a range of health outcomes.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

Using linked primary and secondary care data from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink GOLD (CPRD GOLD), we conducted a cross-sectional study of 837,869 individuals with early onset multimorbidity (aged between 16 and 39 years old when the second LTC was recorded) registered with an English general practice between 2010 and 2020. The study population included 777,906 people of White ethnicity (93%), 33,915 people of South Asian ethnicity (4%), and 26,048 people of Black African/Caribbean ethnicity (3%). A total of 204 LTCs were considered. Latent class analysis stratified by ethnicity identified 4 clusters of multimorbidity in White groups and 3 clusters in South Asian and Black groups. We found that early onset multimorbidity was more common among South Asian (59%, 33,915) and Black (56% 26,048) groups compared to the White population (42%, 777,906). Latent class analysis revealed physical and mental health conditions that were common across all ethnic groups (i.e., hypertension, depression, and painful conditions). However, each ethnic group also presented exclusive LTCs and different sociodemographic profiles: In White groups, the cluster with the highest rates/odds of the outcomes was predominantly male (54%, 44,150) and more socioeconomically deprived than the cluster with the lowest rates/odds of the outcomes. On the other hand, South Asian and Black groups were more socioeconomically deprived than White groups, with a consistent deprivation gradient across all multimorbidity clusters. At the end of the study, 4% (34,922) of the White early onset multimorbidity population had died compared to 2% of the South Asian and Black early onset multimorbidity populations (535 and 570, respectively); however, the latter groups died younger and lost more years of life. The 3 ethnic groups each displayed a cluster of individuals with increased rates of primary care consultations, hospitalisations, long-term prescribing, and odds of mortality. Study limitations include the exclusion of individuals with missing ethnicity information, the age of diagnosis not reflecting the actual age of onset, and the exclusion of people from Mixed, Chinese, and other ethnic groups due to insufficient power to investigate associations between multimorbidity and health-related outcomes in these groups.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings emphasise the need to identify, prevent, and manage multimorbidity early in the life course. Our work provides additional insights into the excess burden of early onset multimorbidity in those from socioeconomically deprived and diverse groups who are disproportionately and more severely affected by multimorbidity and highlights the need to ensure healthcare improvements are equitable.

Multimorbidity, Treatment, and Determinants among Chronic Patients Attending Primary Health Facilities in Tshwane, South Africa

The growing burden of non-communicable diseases amidst the largest burden of HIV in South Africa leads to disease combinations of multimorbidity with the complexity of care. We conducted a cross-sectional study to assess multimorbidity, medication adherence, and associated factors among out-patients with chronic diseases in primary health care (PHC) facilities in Tshwane, South Africa. A structured questionnaire was used to collect data on comorbidities and medication adherence, along with socio-demographic and lifestyle factors. Logistic regression models were used to analyse the determinants of multimorbidity and medication adherence. In all 400 patients with chronic diseases (mean age: 47 ± 12 years) living in poor environments, common chronic conditions were hypertension (62%), diabetes (45%), HIV (44%), TB (33%), hypercholesterolemia (18%), and gout (13%). The proportion of concordant comorbidity (i.e., diseases with similar risk profiles and management) was 72%, more than 28% of discordant comorbidity (i.e., diseases not related in pathogenesis or management). Most patients had two coexisting chronic conditions (75%), while few had more than two chronic conditions (23%) and single-occurring conditions (2%). Prevalence rates for common multimorbidity patterns were 25% (HIV and TB), 17% (hypertension and diabetes), 9% (hypertension, diabetes, and hypercholesterolemia), and 2% (hypertension diabetes and HIV), while medication adherence was estimated at 74%. In multivariate analysis, multimorbidity was associated with an older age and lower socio-economic status, while medication non-adherence was associated with a younger age and socio-economic factors. The study highlights the presence of multimorbidity among primary care patients attributed to hypertension, diabetes, HIV, and TB in South Africa with non-adherence to medication in one-third of patients. Policies are needed for education on multimorbidity with a need to optimize lifestyle modifications, perhaps proactive outreach or nursing contact with high-risk patients with public-health-sensitive conditions, such as HIV and/or TB, as well as patients with a history of non-adherence to medications. Considerations should be given to the development of a medication adherence scale for multiple chronic conditions beyond assessing adherence to a single index medication.

Effectiveness of holistic assessment-based interventions in improving outcomes in adults with multiple long-term conditions and/or frailty: an umbrella review protocol

OBJECTIVE

This umbrella review will synthesize evidence on the effectiveness of holistic assessment-based interventions in improving health outcomes in adults (aged ≥18) with multiple long-term conditions and/or frailty.

INTRODUCTION

Health systems need effective, evidence-based interventions to improve health outcomes for adults with multiple long-term conditions. Holistic assessment-based interventions are effective in older people admitted to hospital (usually called "comprehensive geriatric assessments" in that context); however, the evidence is inconclusive on whether similar interventions are effective in community settings.

INCLUSION CRITERIA

We will include systematic reviews examining the effectiveness of community and/or hospital holistic assessment-based interventions in improving health outcomes for community-dwelling and hospitalized adults aged ≥ 18 with multiple long-term conditions and/or frailty.

METHODS

The review will follow the JBI methodology for umbrella reviews. MEDLINE, Embase, PsycINFO, CINAHL Plus, Scopus, ASSIA, Cochrane Library, and the TRIP Medical Database will be searched to identify reviews published in English from 2010 till the present. This will be followed by a manual search of reference lists of included reviews to identify additional reviews. Two reviewers will independently screen titles and abstracts against the selection criteria, followed by screening of full texts. Methodological quality will be assessed using the JBI critical appraisal checklist for systematic reviews and research syntheses and data will be extracted using an adapted and piloted JBI data extraction tool. The summary of findings will be presented in tabular format, with narrative descriptions and visual indications. The citation matrix will be generated and the corrected covered area calculated to analyze the overlap in primary studies across the reviews.

REVIEW REGISTRATION

PROSPERO CRD42022363217.

Small-area deprivation index does not improve the capability of multisource comorbidity score in mortality prediction

Background

The stratification of the general population according to health needs allows to provide better-tailored services. A simple score called Multisource Comorbidity Score (MCS) has been developed and validated for predicting several outcomes. The aim of this study was to evaluate whether the ability of MCS in predicting 1-year mortality improves by incorporating socioeconomic data (as measured by a deprivation index).

Methods

Beneficiaries of the Italian National Health Service who in the index year (2018) were aged 50-85 years and were resident in the Sicily region for at least 2 years were identified. For each individual, the MCS was calculated according to his/her clinical profile, and the deprivation index of the census unit level of the individual's residence was collected. Frailty models were fitted to assess the relationship between the indexes (MCS and deprivation index) and 1-year mortality. Akaike information criterion and Bayesian information criterion statistics were used to compare the goodness of fit of the model that included only MCS and the model that also contained the deprivation index. The models were further compared by means of the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).

Results

The final cohort included 1,062,221 individuals, with a mortality rate of 15.6 deaths per 1,000 person-years. Both MCS and deprivation index were positively associated with mortality.The goodness of fit statistics of the two models were very similar. For MCS only and MCS plus deprivation index models, Akaike information criterion were 17,013 and 17,038, respectively, whereas Bayesian information criterion were 16,997 and 17,000, respectively. The AUC values were 0.78 for both models.

Conclusion

The present study shows that socioeconomic features as measured by the deprivation index did not improve the capability of MCS in predicting 1-year risk of death. Future studies are needed to investigate other sources of data to enhance the risk stratification of populations.

Prevalence and characteristics of mental and physical disorders among female prisoners: a mixed-methods systematic review

PURPOSE

This study aims to provide an overview and quality appraisal of the current scientific evidence concerning the prevalence and characteristics of mental and physical disorders among sentenced female prisoners.

DESIGN/METHODOLOGY/APPROACH

A mixed-methods systematic literature review.

FINDINGS

A total of 4 reviews and 39 single studies met the inclusion criteria for the review. Mental disorders were the main area of investigation in the majority of single studies, with substance abuse, particularly drug abuse, as the most consistently gender biased disorder, with higher prevalence among women than men in prison. The review identified a lack of updated systematic evidence on the presence of multi-morbidity.

ORIGINALITY/VALUE

This study provides an up-to-date overview and quality appraisal of the current scientific evidence concerning the prevalence and characteristics of mental and physical disorders among female prisoners.

Prevalence of multimorbidity and its associations with hospitalisation or death in Japan 2014-2019: a retrospective cohort study using nationwide medical claims data in the middle-aged generation

OBJECTIVE

To describe the prevalence of multimorbidity and its associations with clinical outcomes across age groups.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study using nationwide medical claims data.

SETTING

Carried out in Japan between April 2014 and March 2019.

PARTICIPANTS

N=246 671 Japanese individuals aged 20-74 enrolled in the health insurance were included into the baseline data set for fiscal year (FY) 2014. Of those, N=181 959 individuals were included into the cohort data set spanning FY2014-FY2018.

EXPOSURES

Multimorbidity was defined as having ≥2 of 15 chronic conditions according to the International Classification of Diseases 10th Revision codes of the Charlson Comorbidity Index.

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOMES

Primary outcome: the standardised prevalence of multimorbidity across age groups was evaluated using data from FY2014 and extrapolated to the Japanese total population.

SECONDARY OUTCOME

hospitalisation or death events were traced by month using medical claims data and insurer enrolment data. Associations between multimorbidity and 5-year hospitalisation and/or death events across age groups were analysed using a Cox regression model.

RESULTS

The standardised prevalence rate of multimorbidity in the nationwide Japanese total population was estimated to 26.1%. The prevalence rate with age was increased, approximately 5% (ages 20-29), 10% (30-39), 20% (40-49), 30% (50-59), 50% (60-69) and 60% (70-74). Compared with individuals aged 20-39 without multimorbidity, those with multimorbidity had a higher incidence of clinical events in any age group (HR=2.43 (95% CI 2.30 to 2.56) in ages 20-39, HR=2.55 (95% CI 2.47 to 2.63) in ages 40-59 and HR=3.41 (95% CI 3.23 to 3.53) in ages ≥60). The difference in the incidence of clinical events between multimorbidity and no multimorbidity was larger than that between age groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Multimorbidity is already prevalent in the middle-aged generation and is associated with poor clinical outcomes. These findings underscore the significance of multimorbidity and highlight the urgent need for preventive intervention at the public healthcare level.

Longitudinal models for the progression of disease portfolios in a nationwide chronic heart disease population

BACKGROUND AND AIM

With multimorbidity becoming increasingly prevalent in the ageing population, addressing the epidemiology and development of multimorbidity at a population level is needed. Individuals subject to chronic heart disease are widely multimorbid, and population-wide longitudinal studies on their chronic disease trajectories are few.

METHODS

Disease trajectory networks of expected disease portfolio development and chronic condition prevalences were used to map sex and socioeconomic multimorbidity patterns among chronic heart disease patients. Our data source was all Danish individuals aged 18 years and older at some point in 1995-2015, consisting of 6,048,700 individuals. We used algorithmic diagnoses to obtain chronic disease diagnoses and included individuals who received a heart disease diagnosis. We utilized a general Markov framework considering combinations of chronic diagnoses as multimorbidity states. We analyzed the time until a possible new diagnosis, termed the diagnosis postponement time, in addition to transitions to new diagnoses. We modelled the postponement times by exponential models and transition probabilities by logistic regression models.

FINDINGS

Among the cohort of 766,596 chronic heart disease diagnosed individuals, the prevalence of multimorbidity was 84.36% and 88.47% for males and females, respectively. We found sex-related differences within the chronic heart disease trajectories. Female trajectories were dominated by osteoporosis and male trajectories by cancer. We found sex important in developing most conditions, especially osteoporosis, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and diabetes. A socioeconomic gradient was observed where diagnosis postponement time increases with educational attainment. Contrasts in disease portfolio development based on educational attainment were found for both sexes, with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and diabetes more prevalent at lower education levels, compared to higher.

CONCLUSIONS

Disease trajectories of chronic heart disease diagnosed individuals are heavily complicated by multimorbidity. Therefore, it is essential to consider and study chronic heart disease, taking into account the individuals' entire disease portfolio.

Multimorbidity, healthcare utilization, and quality of life for older patients undergoing surgery: A prospective study

Multimorbidity (≥2 chronic illnesses) is a worldwide healthcare challenge. Patients with multimorbidity have a reduced quality of life and higher mortality than healthy patients and use healthcare resources more intensively. This study investigated the prevalence of multimorbidity; examined the effects of multimorbidity on healthcare utilization; healthcare costs of multimorbidity; and compared the associations between the health-related quality of life (HRQoL) of older patients undergoing surgery and multimorbidity, the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), the Simple Frailty Questionnaire (FRAIL), and the American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) physical status classifications. This prospective cohort study enrolled 360 patients aged > 65 years scheduled for surgery at a university hospital. Data were collected on their demographics, preoperative medical profiles, healthcare costs, and healthcare utilization (the quantification or description of the use of services, such as the number of preoperative visits, multiple-department consultations, surgery waiting time, and hospital length of stay). Preoperative-assessment data were collected via the CCI, FRAIL questionnaire, and ASA classification. HRQoL was derived using the EQ-5D-5L questionnaire. The 360 patients had a mean age of 73.9 ± 6.6 years, and 37.8% were men. Multimorbidity was found in 285 (79%) patients. The presence of multimorbidity had a significant effect on healthcare utilization (≥2 preoperative visits and consultations with ≥2 departments). However, there was no significant difference in healthcare costs between patients with and without multimorbidity. At the 3-month postoperative, patients without multimorbidity had significantly higher scores for HRQoL compared to those with multimorbidity (HRQoL = 1.00 vs 0.96; P < .007). While, patients with ASA Class > 2 had a significantly lower median HRQoL than patients with ASA Class ≤2 at postoperative day 5 (HRQoL = 0.76; P = .018), 1-month (HRQoL = 0.90; P = .001), and 3-months (HRQoL = 0.96; P < .001) postoperatively. Multimorbidity was associated with a significant increase in the healthcare utilization of the number of preoperative visits and a greater need for multiple-department consultations. In addition, multimorbidity resulted in a reduced HRQoL during hospital admission and 3-months postoperatively. In particular, the ASA classification > 2 apparently reduced postoperative HRQoL at day 5, 1-month, and 3-months lower than the ASA classification ≤2.

Individual-Level Socioeconomic Position and Long-Term Prognosis in Danish Heart-Transplant Recipients

Socioeconomic deprivation can limit access to healthcare. Important gaps persist in the understanding of how individual indicators of socioeconomic disadvantage may affect clinical outcomes after heart transplantation. We sought to examine the impact of individual-level socioeconomic position (SEP) on prognosis of heart-transplant recipients. A population-based study including all Danish first-time heart-transplant recipients (n = 649) was conducted. Data were linked across complete national health registers. Associations were evaluated between SEP and all-cause mortality and first-time major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE) during follow-up periods. The half-time survival was 15.6 years (20-year period). In total, 330 (51%) of recipients experienced a first-time cardiovascular event and the most frequent was graft failure (42%). Both acute myocardial infarction and cardiac arrest occurred in ≤5 of recipients. Low educational level was associated with increased all-cause mortality 10-20 years post-transplant (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 1.95, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.19-3.19). During 1-10 years post-transplant, low educational level (adjusted HR 1.66, 95% CI 1.14-2.43) and low income (adjusted HR 1.81, 95% CI 1.02-3.22) were associated with a first-time MACE. In a country with free access to multidisciplinary team management, low levels of education and income were associated with a poorer prognosis after heart transplantation.

Self-reported psychological symptoms and severe stress events, but not patients' gender, affect illness representation and medical advice by lay-referral network advisors

People who experience symptoms tend to discuss their ailments with other individuals who create their own illness representations, acting as intuitive physicians. We conducted two experimental studies to examine lay-referral network advisors' (i.e., acquaintances) representation of illness etiology and their recommendation to undergo health screenings for a man or woman with physical (vs. both physical and psychological) symptoms and a severe stressful (vs. no stressful) period in life. The presence of psychological and physical symptoms (Studies 1 and 2) and severe stressful life events (Study 2) affects lay-referral network advisors' disease representation. These factors cause participants to attribute symptoms etiology to psychological rather than organic factors and recommend more psychological screenings rather than physical ones. The simultaneous presence of psychological and physical symptoms and severe stressful events increases the likelihood of attributing the illness etiology to psychological factors, which increases participants' willingness to recommend psychological screenings. Study variables were unaffected by patient gender. The main findings, limitations, and future directions are discussed.

Assessing the risk of endogeneity bias in health and mortality inequalities research using composite measures of multiple deprivation which include health-related indicators: A case study using the Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation and population health and mortality data

The inclusion of health-related indicators in composite measures of multiple deprivation introduces a risk of endogeneity bias when using the latter in health inequalities research. This bias may ultimately result in the inappropriate allocation of healthcare resources and maintenance of preventable health inequalities. Mitigation strategies to avoid this bias include removing the health-related indicators or using single constituent domains (such as income or employment class) in isolation. These strategies have not been widely validated. This study used population-level health and mortality data with a contemporary composite measure of multiple deprivation (Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation; SIMD) to assess these mitigation strategies. The differences between deprivation methods (original, health excluded, and income domain) were negligible. The results of quantitative research on health inequalities are unlikely to be affected by endogeneity bias.

Home-Based Health Care Interventions for People Aged 75 Years and Above With Chronic, Noninflammatory Musculoskeletal Pain: A Scoping Review

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Chronic, noninflammatory musculoskeletal pain is common in the aged population and management can be challenging for older people due to multimorbidity, social isolation, and physical frailty. The aim of this scoping review is to summarize and discuss the evidence related to home-based health care interventions for older adults, with chronic, musculoskeletal pain.

METHODS

A review of the literature using 8 electronic databases (Embase, MEDLINE, CINAHL, PubMed, Cochrane Library, Physiotherapy Evidence Database [PEDro], Scopus, and Web of Science) was performed, following the PRISMA-ScR guidelines. English language published studies that assessed home-based health care intervention/s, in men and women 75 years and older, with chronic, noninflammatory musculoskeletal pain where included. Two authors independently reviewed the articles and extracted data into a preformulated chart.

RESULTS AND DISCUSSION

The database search identified 4722 studies of which 7 studies met the inclusion criteria. Six of the 7 studies were randomized controlled trials and 5 studies focused on a single-site pain. The type of home-based interventions in the included studies was physical therapy (n = 2), psychotherapy (n = 3), and multimodal therapy (combination of multiple therapies) (n = 2). Participation completion rate was more than 74% in 6 out of 7 studies. Most studies used pain and/or physical function as their primary outcome (n = 6). Music therapy showed a statistically significant reduction in visual analog scale score for pain, and there was a trend toward improvement of pain and function in the physical therapy studies. No significant differences in outcomes between intervention and control groups were observed in the multimodal studies.

CONCLUSION

This review highlights the scarcity of evidence related to home-based health interventions in older people 75 years and older, living with chronic, noninflammatory musculoskeletal pain. The findings were that physical, psychotherapeutic, and multimodal interventions are usually well tolerated and can be delivered as a safe self-management option. There remains a substantial need for more high-quality research with wider range of home-based interventions and comprehensive assessment of outcomes for this age group.

Physical multimorbidity, depressive symptoms, and social participation in adults over 50 years of age: findings from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing

OBJECTIVES

The aim of the current study was to identify specific patterns of physical multimorbidity and examine how these patterns associated with changes in social participation over time.

METHODS

We used latent class analysis to identify clusters of physical multimorbidity in 11,391 older adults. Mixed effects regression models were used to assess associations between physical multimorbidity clusters and changes in social participation over 15 years.

RESULTS

Four clusters of physical multimorbidity were identified. All physical multimorbidity clusters were associated with a reduction in cultural engagement (e.g. visits to theatre, cinema, museums) over time, with the strongest association seen in the complex/multisystem cluster (β = -0.26, 95% CI = -0.38 to -0.15). Similar results emerged for leisure activities. Adjusting for depressive symptoms fully attenuated some associations. All physical multimorbidity clusters were associated with an increase in civic participation over time.

CONCLUSIONS

Physical multimorbidity reduced some aspects of social participation over time, with specific combinations of conditions having increased risk of reductions.

Supplemental data for this article is available online at http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/13607863.2021.2017847.

Catalogue of socioeconomic disparities and characteristics of 199+ chronic conditions-A nationwide register-based population study

BACKGROUND

Real-world information on socioeconomic differences within and between chronic conditions represents an important data source for treatments and decision-makers executing and prioritising healthcare resources.

AIMS

The aim of this study was to estimate the prevalence and mean of socioeconomic disparities from educational, income, and socioeconomic positions of 199 chronic conditions and disease groups, including sex and age group estimates, for use in planning of care services and prioritisation, by healthcare professionals, decision-makers and researchers.

METHODS

The study population includes all Danish residents 16 years and above, alive on 1 January 2013 (n = 4,555,439). The data was established by linking seven national registers encompassing educational achievements, incomes, socioeconomic positions, hospital- and general practice services, and filled-in out-of-hospital prescriptions. The health register data were used to identify the 199+ chronic conditions. Socioeconomic differences were primarily measured as differences in educational prevalence levels from low to high educational achievements using a ratio. Furthermore, multiple binary logistic regression models were carried out to control for potential confounding and residual correlations of the crude estimates.

RESULTS

The prevalence of having one or more chronic conditions for patients with no educational achievement was 768 per thousand compared to 601.3 for patients with higher educational achievement (ratio 1.3). Across disease groups, the highest educational differences were found within disease group F-mental and behavioural (ratio 2.5), E-endocrine, nutritional and metabolic disease (ratio 2.4), I-diseases of the circulatory system (ratio 2.1) and, K-diseases of the digestive system (ratio 2.1). The highest educational differences among the 29 common diseases were found among schizophrenia (ratio 5.9), hyperkinetic disorders (ratio 5.2), dementia (ratio 4.9), osteoporosis (ratio 3.9), type 2 diabetes (ratio 3.8), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease COPD (ratio 3.3), heart conditions and stroke (ratios ranging from 2.3-3.1).

CONCLUSIONS

A nationwide catalogue of socioeconomic disparities for 199+ chronic conditions and disease groups is catalogued and provided. The catalogue findings underline a large scope of socioeconomic disparities that exist across most chronic conditions. The data offer essential information on the socioeconomic disparities to inform future socially differentiated treatments, healthcare planning, etiological, economic, and other research areas.

Education and income-related inequalities in multimorbidity among older Brazilian adults

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to evaluate the existence of socioeconomic inequalities related to the prevalence of multimorbidity in the Brazilian population aged 60 and older.

METHODS

This was a cross-sectional study with data from the last Brazilian National Health Survey (PNS) collected in 2019. Multimorbidity was the dependent variable and was defined as the presence of two or more chronic diseases. All the diseases were assessed based on a self-reported previous medical diagnosis. Education and per capita family income were the measures of socioeconomic position. Socioeconomic inequalities related to multimorbidity were assessed using two complex measures of inequality; the Slope Index of Inequality (SII) and the Concentration Index (CI).

RESULTS

The prevalence of multimorbidity in Brazil was 56.5% 95% CI (55.4; 57.6) and varied from 46.9% (44.3; 49.6) in the North region to 59.3% (57.0; 61.5) in the South region. In general, individuals with higher socioeconomic positions had a lower prevalence of multimorbidity. Significant absolute and relative income inequalities were observed in the South region [SII -9.0; CI -0.054], Southeast [SII -9.8; CI -0.06], and Middle-east [SII -10.4; CI -0.063]. Absolute and relative education inequalities were significant for the country and two of its regions (Southeast [SII -12.7; CI -0.079] and South [SII -19.0; CI -0.109]).

CONCLUSIONS

The prevalence of multimorbidity is high in Brazil and all of its macro-regions. The significant findings concerning the inequalities suggest that the distribution of this condition is more concentrated among those with lower education and income.

Dynamics of multimorbidity and frailty, and their contribution to mortality, nursing home and home care need: A primary care cohort of 1 456 052 ageing people

BACKGROUND

Prevalence of both multimorbidity and frailty increases with age, but more evidence is needed to elucidate their relationship and their association with other health-related outcomes. We analysed the dynamics of both conditions as people age and calculate the associated risk of death, nursing home admission, and need for home care.

METHODS

Data were drawn from the primary care electronic health records of a longitudinal cohort of people aged 65 or older in Catalonia in 2010-2019. Frailty and multimorbidity were measured using validated instruments (eFRAGICAP, a cumulative deficit model; and SNAC-K, respectively), and their longitudinal evolution was described. Cox regression models accounted for the competing risk of death and adjusted by sex, socioeconomical status, and time-varying age, alcohol and smoking.

FINDINGS

We included 1 456 052 patients. Prevalence of multimorbidity was consistently high regardless of age, while frailty almost quadrupled from 65 to 99 years. Frailty worsened and also changed with age: up to 84 years, it was more related to concurrent diseases, and afterwards, to frailty-related deficits. While concurrent diseases contributed more to mortality, frailty-related deficits increased the risk of institutionalisation and the need for home care.

INTERPRETATION

The nature of people's multimorbidity and frailty vary with age, as does their impact on health status. People become frailer as they age, and their frailty is more characterised by disability and other symptoms than by diseases. Mortality is most associated with the number of comorbidities, whereas frailty-related deficits are associated with needing specialised care.

FUNDING

Instituto de Salud Carlos III through PI19/00535, and the PFIS Grant FI20/00040 (Co-funded by European Regional Development Fund/European Social Fund).

Catalogue of multimorbidity mean based severity and associational prevalence rates between 199+ chronic conditions-A nationwide register-based population study

BACKGROUND

Real-world data on multimorbidity represents an important but underutilised source of evidence for the planning of healthcare services, including prevention, treatments, and health economic modelling.

AIMS

This study aimed to estimate means of multimorbidity and provide associated prevalence rates and frequencies between 199 x 199 chronic conditions and disease groups based on the total adult Danish population and sex, age, and educational attainment. Thus, this study provides an off-the-shelf catalogue for use in treatments and planning by clinicians, decision-makers and researchers.

METHODS

The study population contained all Danish residents above 16 years on 1 January 2013 (n = 4,555,439). The data was based on the linkage of six national registers covering hospital contacts, services in general practice, filled-in out-of-hospital prescriptions, and educational attainments. The health registers were used to identify the 199 chronic conditions based on the ICD-10 classification system.

RESULTS

The mean number of chronic conditions (NCC) was 2.2. The mean increased with age, women had a higher mean than men, and there was a social gradient with the mean increasing with lower educational attainment. The mean NCC varied from 3.3-9.8 among all conditions. Across disease groups, the highest mean NCC were found within disease group N (chronic renal failure, mean = 8.8), D (in situ and benign neoplasms; mean = 6.5), K (diseases of the digestive system; mean = 5.7), and H (diseases of the eye and the ear; mean = 5.6). The highest mean NCC among the 29 common diseases was heart failure, ischemic heart diseases, angina pectoris, stroke, and dementia, with a mean above 6.5. Several prevalent conditions like hypertension, arthritis, chronic lower respiratory diseases, depression, type 2 diabetes, and overweight transcended other conditions regarding the associated prevalence rates. As one of the most frequent, hypertensive diseases were highly associated with arthritis (50.4%), depression (37.4%), type 2 diabetes (75.4%), cancers (49.7%), and being overweight (39.7%)-meaning that 50.4% of people with arthritis, 37.4% of people with depression and so on also had hypertensive diseases. The largest differences in means between individuals with no educational attainment and individuals with high educational attainment were found within disease groups J (diseases of the respiratory system, ratio = 1.8), Q (congenital malformations, deformations, and chromosomal abnormalities, ratio = 1.7), and B (viral hepatitis and human immunodeficiency virus disease, ratio = 1.7).

CONCLUSIONS

The current study provides a nationwide off-the-shelf catalogue of multimorbidity means and real-world associations estimates of 199+ chronic conditions for future clinical treatments and health care systems planning. The findings described are just one example of numerous results and underline that multimorbidity is highly prevalent in the adult Danish population and that it is a vital condition transcending all future medical treatment. The data offer essential information on the multimorbidity burden of disease in future differentiated treatments, healthcare planning, and economic, aetiological, and other research.

Heart Rehabilitation for All (HeRTA): Protocol for a feasibility study and pilot randomized trial

Introduction

Today, 50% of people with cardiac disease do not participate in rehabilitation. The HeRTA-study aims to develop and test a sustainable rehabilitation model supporting vulnerable patients in participating in rehabilitation and long-term physical activity.

Methods

A feasibility study with a non-blinded pilot randomized trial was developed in collaboration with partners and cardiac patients to test a multi-component rehabilitation intervention across hospital, municipality, and civil society. The study runs from January 2020 to December 2024. Eligibility criteria for participants: a) diagnosed with either ischemic heart disease, persistent atrial fibrillation, heart failure, or have had cardiac valve surgery, b) residents in Hvidovre Hospitals uptake area, c) cognitively functional, d) physically able to participate in rehabilitation. Patient recruitment will be located at Hvidovre Hospital, Capital Region of Denmark, data collection at Hvidovre Hospital, Rehabilitation Center Albertslund, the Danish Heart Association, and in two municipalities (Hvidovre and Brøndby). Patients in the control group have access to usual care at the hospital: rehabilitation-needs-assessment, patient education, and physical training. After or instead of hospital rehabilitation, the patient can be referred to municipal rehabilitation with patient education, and a total of 12 weeks of physical training across sectors. Patients in the intervention group will in addition to usual care, have access to an information book about cardiac disease, patient supporters from the Danish Heart Association, Information materials to inform employers about the employees’ rehabilitation participation, a rehabilitation goal setting plan, a support café for relatives, and follow-up phone calls from physiotherapists 1 and 3 months after rehabilitation to support physical activities. Patients with vulnerabilities will additionally receive patient education conducted in small groups, pro-active counselling by a cardiac nurse, psychologist, or social worker, paid transportation to rehabilitation, and paid membership in a sports association. Patients are computer block-randomized so patients with vulnerability are distributed evenly in the two study arms by stratifying on a) a cut-off score of ≥ 5 in the Tilburg Frailty Indicator questionnaire and/or b) need of language translator support. A power calculation, based on an estimated 20% difference in participation proportion between groups, 80% power, a type 1 error of 5% (two-tailed), results in 91 participants in each study arm. The primary outcome: rehabilitation participation (attending ≥ two activities: patient education, smoking cessation, dietary counseling, and physical training) and reaching at least 50% attendance. Secondary outcomes: health-related quality of life, coping strategies, level of physical activities, and sustainability regarding participation in active communities after rehabilitation. The study is registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT05104658).

Results

Differences between changes in outcomes between groups will be analyzed according to the intention-to-treat principle. Sensitivity analysis and analysis of the effect of the combined activities will be made. A process evaluation will clarify the implementation of the model, the partnership, and patients’ experiences.

Conclusion

Cross-sectoral collaborations between hospitals, municipalities, and organizations in civil society may lead to sustainable and affordable long-term physical activities for persons with chronic illness. The results can lead to improve cross-sectoral collaborations in other locations and patient groups.

Racial and socioeconomic disparities in ocular surface squamous neoplasia: a National Cancer Database analysis

PURPOSE

A retrospective population-based study to investigate racial and socioeconomic disparities in patients diagnosed with ocular surface squamous neoplasia (OSSN).

METHODS

To explore racial disparity, we selected OSSN patients with known age, insurance, gender and zip code-level income and education from the National Cancer Database (NCDB). Comparisons of clinical and socioeconomic variables stratified by race were made with the chi-square or Mann-Whitney tests. Survival outcome was examined a Cox regression model.

RESULTS

Of the 2,402 identified patients from 2004 to 2015, 117 were black. Unadjusted differences were found between groups in regard to age, histology, insurance, income, and education. Black patients in comparison to white patients were younger (mean age: 62 years vs. 70 years; p < .001), represented a higher proportion of Medicaid use (10.3% vs. 3.2%; p < .001) or uninsured (10.3% vs. 2.7%; p < .001), and were more likely to reside in areas of low educational attainment (32.5% vs. 16.1% of whites; p < .001). Multivariate analysis found significantly higher risk of death in patients who were male (HR: 1.66, 95% CI 1.37-2.01) or black (HR: 1.57, 95% CI 1.03-2.38).

CONCLUSION

Disparities in socioeconomic factors were observed in black patients with OSSN. OSSN occurred earlier in blacks, who were also socioeconomically disadvantaged and faced higher risk of death.

The epidemiology of multimorbidity in France: Variations by gender, age and socioeconomic factors, and implications for surveillance and prevention

Background

Robust public health and health system response to the increasing burden of multimorbidity worldwide requires detailed epidemiological examination of its key sociodemographic and geographic determinants. We investigated the role of gender, age and socioeconomic and geographic factors on multimorbidity (i.e., having two or more conditions) in the adult population in France and examined implications for surveillance and prevention.

Methods

We used data from two large nationwide representative surveys with cross-sectional and longitudinal health and socio-demographic indicators, conducted in France between 2008 and 2014. Morbidity counts and frequent dyads/triads of conditions independently impacting mortality, activity limitations, and perceived health were investigated with regard to differences in gender, age, socioeconomic (education, occupation and income) and geography (size of the urban unit and region).

Results

The component conditions of multimorbidity varied with gender and age. Women experienced multimorbidity 23–31% more frequently and at a younger age (5–15 years earlier) than men. Multimorbidity increased with age while its associations with most health indicators weakened with it. Multimorbidity was strongly and independently associated with socioeconomic indicators, with a strong inverse dose-response relationship with education, but less consistently with geographic factors.

Conclusions

Multimorbidity has diverse and variable components and impacts across gender and age. It is strongly associated with socioeconomic factors, notably educational level, for which causality appears likely. Consideration of this diversity and variability, its common occurrence in dyads and triads, and its impact on health outcomes according to age and gender may contribute to efficient surveillance and support the identification of prevention strategies targeting middle-aged men and women.

Decomposing urban-rural differences in multimorbidity among older adults in India: a study based on LASI data

BACKGROUND

Multimorbidity is defined as the co-occurrence of two or more than two diseases in the same person. With rising longevity, multimorbidity has become a prominent concern among the older population. Evidence from both developed and developing countries shows that older people are at much higher risk of multimorbidity; however, urban-rural differential remained scarce. Therefore, this study examines urban-rural differential in multimorbidity among older adults by decomposing the risk factors of multimorbidity and identifying the covariates that contributed to the change in multimorbidity.

METHODS

The study utilized information from 31,464 older adults (rural-20,725 and urban-10,739) aged 60 years and above from the recent release cross-sectional data of the Longitudinal Ageing Study in India (LASI). Descriptive, bivariate, and multivariate decomposition analysis techniques were used.

RESULTS

Overall, significant urban-rural differences were found in the prevalence of multimorbidity among older adults (difference: 16.3; p < 0.001). The multivariate decomposition analysis revealed that about 51% of the overall differences (urban-rural) in the prevalence of multimorbidity among older adults was due to compositional characteristics (endowments). In contrast, the remaining 49% was due to the difference in the effect of characteristics (Coefficient). Moreover, obese/overweight and high-risk waist circumference were found to narrow the difference in the prevalence of multimorbidity among older adults between urban and rural areas by 8% and 9.1%, respectively. Work status and education were found to reduce the urban-rural gap in the prevalence of multimorbidity among older adults by 8% and 6%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

There is a need to substantially increase the public sector investment in healthcare to address the multimorbidity among older adults, more so in urban areas, without compromising the needs of older adults in rural areas.

Rehabilitation Research in Denmark Between 2001 and 2020: A Scoping Review

The demand for rehabilitation has increased, and evidence is rapidly growing; however, a rehabilitative health strategy receives less attention than treatment. Knowledge of what is being researched, who are the target groups and who contributes to rehabilitation research is deficient. We did not find any reviews mapping rehabilitation research regarding the research questions. The objective was to identify and synthesize existing scientific evidence on rehabilitation research published by Danish institutions between 2001 and 2021. The research questions to be explored were: Among which study groups has rehabilitation research been published?. Which types of studies on rehabilitation have been published?. Which institutions have been involved in rehabilitation research?

Methods

The process was guided according to the Joanna Briggs Institute's (JBI's) scoping review methodology. Four databases were searched. All types of peer-reviewed studies on any target group and rehabilitation setting, with any affiliation to a Danish institution, were eligible to be included. Studies referring to population and the type of design were categorized. Institutions were counted as Danish first authorship.

Results

The search revealed 3,100 studies, and following screening 1,779 were included. A total of 24 broad study groups were identified, mostly diagnosis-based health conditions. Musculoskeletal, cancer, and cardiac had 342, 228, and 174 studies, respectively. A total of 1,545 had a Danish first authorship, most of the Danish publications came from hospitals (56.6%) and universities (28.4%). The publication trend showed an almost linear development, with a 10-15% increase during the period.

Conclusion

Following screening 1,779 studies were included involving 24 broad study groups. Most categories were diagnosis-based; musculoskeletal, cancer, and cardiac health conditions encompassed most studies. All study designs were represented, and 1/10 were secondary studies. The majority (87%) of studies had a Danish first authorship. The majority of first affiliations were among hospitals followed by universities. A few municipalities were presented although they are yet to have research responsibility. Publication trends showed an increase primarily from 2013.

Systematic Review Registration

https://osf.io/, identifier [10.17605/OSF.IO/2AENX].

Age- and Sex-Specific Differences in Multimorbidity Patterns and Temporal Trends on Assessing Hospital Discharge Records in Southwest China: Network-Based Study

Background

Multimorbidity represents a global health challenge, which requires a more global understanding of multimorbidity patterns and trends. However, the majority of studies completed to date have often relied on self-reported conditions, and a simultaneous assessment of the entire spectrum of chronic disease co-occurrence, especially in developing regions, has not yet been performed.

Objective

We attempted to provide a multidimensional approach to understand the full spectrum of chronic disease co-occurrence among general inpatients in southwest China, in order to investigate multimorbidity patterns and temporal trends, and assess their age and sex differences.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective cohort analysis based on 8.8 million hospital discharge records of about 5.0 million individuals of all ages from 2015 to 2019 in a megacity in southwest China. We examined all chronic diagnoses using the ICD-10 (International Classification of Diseases, 10th revision) codes at 3 digits and focused on chronic diseases with ≥1% prevalence for each of the age and sex strata, which resulted in a total of 149 and 145 chronic diseases in males and females, respectively. We constructed multimorbidity networks in the general population based on sex and age, and used the cosine index to measure the co-occurrence of chronic diseases. Then, we divided the networks into communities and assessed their temporal trends.

Results

The results showed complex interactions among chronic diseases, with more intensive connections among males and inpatients ≥40 years old. A total of 9 chronic diseases were simultaneously classified as central diseases, hubs, and bursts in the multimorbidity networks. Among them, 5 diseases were common to both males and females, including hypertension, chronic ischemic heart disease, cerebral infarction, other cerebrovascular diseases, and atherosclerosis. The earliest leaps (degree leaps ≥6) appeared at a disorder of glycoprotein metabolism that happened at 25-29 years in males, about 15 years earlier than in females. The number of chronic diseases in the community increased over time, but the new entrants did not replace the root of the community.

Conclusions

Our multimorbidity network analysis identified specific differences in the co-occurrence of chronic diagnoses by sex and age, which could help in the design of clinical interventions for inpatient multimorbidity.

Polypharmacy occurrence and the related risk of premature death among older adults in Denmark: A nationwide register-based cohort study

Background

Polypharmacy, defined as the concurrent use of ≥5 medications, increases the risk of drug-drug and drug-disease interactions as well as non-adherence to drug therapy. This may have negative health consequences particularly among older adults due to age-related pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic changes. This study aims to uncover the occurrence of polypharmacy among older adults in Denmark and investigate how polypharmacy relates to mortality.

Method

This nationwide register-based study included 1,338,058 adults aged 65+ years between January 2013 and December 2017 in Denmark. Polypharmacy prevalence was measured at time of inclusion while incidence and the association between polypharmacy and mortality were measured over the five-year follow-up using Cox regression. In an attempt to adjust for confounding by indication, propensity scores with overlap weighting were introduced to the regression model.

Results

At time of inclusion, polypharmacy prevalence was 29% and over the five years follow-up, 47% of the remaining adults transitioned into polypharmacy. Identified risk factors included multimorbidity (2+ morbidities: HR = 3.51; 95% CI = 3.48–3.53), age (95+ years: HR = 2.85; 95% CI = 2.74–2.96), socioeconomic factors (Highest income quartile: HR = 0.81; 95% CI = 0.80–0.81), region of birth region (Non-western migrants: HR = 0.77; 95% CI = 0.75–0.79), marital status (Divorced: HR = 1.10; 95% CI = 1.10–1.12) and year of inclusion (2017: HR = 1.19; 95% CI = 1.19–1.22). Further analyses showed that polypharmacy involves many different drug cocktails with medication for the cardiovascular system (95%), blood and blood-forming organs (69%), alimentary tract and metabolism (61%) and nervous system (54%) contributing the most. After adjustment for propensity scores with OW, both polypharmacy (HR = 3.48, CI95% = 3.41–3.54) and excessive polypharmacy (HR = 3.48, CI95% = 3.43–3.53) increased the risk of death substantially.

Conclusion

A considerable proportion of older adults in Denmark were exposed to polypharmacy dependent on health status, socio-economic status, and societal factors. The associated three- to four-fold mortality risk indicate a need for further exploration of the appropriateness of polypharmacy among older adults.

Models of care for improving health-related quality of life, mental health, or mortality in persons with multimorbidity: A systematic review of randomized controlled trials

Objectives

To categorize and examine the effectiveness regarding health-related quality of life (HRQoL), mental health, and mortality of care models for persons with multimorbidity in primary care, community care, and hospitals through a systematic review.

Methods

We searched PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials up to May 2020. One author screened titles and abstracts, and to validate, a second author screened 5% of the studies. Two authors independently extracted data and assessed risk of bias using the tool by the Cochrane Effective Practice and Organisation of Care group. Study inclusion criteria were (1) participants aged ≥ 18 years with multimorbidity; (2) referred to multimorbidity or two or more specific chronic conditions in the title or abstract; (3) randomized controlled design; and (4) HRQoL, mental health, or mortality as primary outcome measures. We used the Foundation Framework to categorize the models and the PRISMA-guideline for reporting.

Results

In this study, the first to report effectiveness of care models in patients with multimorbidity in hospital settings, we included 30 studies and 9,777 participants with multimorbidity. 12 studies were located in primary care, 9 in community care, and 9 in hospitals. HRQoL was reported as the primary outcome in 12 studies, mental health in 17 studies, and mortality in three studies-with significant improvements in 5, 14, and 2, respectively. The studies are presented according to settings.

Conclusions

Although 20 of the care models reported positive effects, the variations in populations, settings, model elements, and outcome measures made it difficult to conclude on which models and model elements were effective.

Multimorbidity and mortality: A data science perspective

Background

With multimorbidity becoming the norm rather than the exception, the management of multiple chronic diseases is a major challenge facing healthcare systems worldwide.

Methods

Using a large, nationally representative database of electronic medical records from the United Kingdom spanning the years 2005–2016 and consisting over 4.5 million patients, we apply statistical methods and network analysis to identify comorbid pairs and triads of diseases and identify clusters of chronic conditions across different demographic groups. Unlike many previous studies, which generally adopt cross-sectional designs based on single snapshots of closed cohorts, we adopt a longitudinal approach to examine temporal changes in the patterns of multimorbidity. In addition, we perform survival analysis to examine the impact of multimorbidity on mortality.

Results

The proportion of the population with multimorbidity has increased by approximately 2.5 percentage points over the last decade, with more than 17% having at least two chronic morbidities. We find that the prevalence and the severity of multimorbidity, as quantified by the number of co-occurring chronic conditions, increase progressively with age. Stratifying by socioeconomic status, we find that people living in more deprived areas are more likely to be multimorbid compared to those living in more affluent areas at all ages. The same trend holds consistently for all years in our data. In general, hypertension, diabetes, and respiratory-related diseases demonstrate high in-degree centrality and eigencentrality, while cardiac disorders show high out-degree centrality.

Conclusions

We use data-driven methods to characterize multimorbidity patterns in different demographic groups and their evolution over the past decade. In addition to a number of strongly associated comorbid pairs (e.g., cardiac-vascular and cardiac-metabolic disorders), we identify three principal clusters: a respiratory cluster, a cardiovascular cluster, and a mixed cardiovascular-renal-metabolic cluster. These are supported by established pathophysiological mechanisms and shared risk factors, and largely confirm and expand on the results of existing studies in the medical literature. Our findings contribute to a more quantitative understanding of the epidemiology of multimorbidity, an important pre-requisite for developing more effective medical care and policy for multimorbid patients.

Multisite musculoskeletal pain in the general population: a cross-sectional survey

BACKGROUND

Epidemiological studies focusing on multisite musculoskeletal pain have revealed that the prevalence of multisite pain is high in general populations.

OBJECTIVE

To ascertain the prevalence of multisite musculoskeletal pain in the last 12 months and in the last seven days, in a population-based sample and investigate its association with demographic, socioeconomic, behavioral, reported morbidity and ergonomic variables.

DESIGN AND SETTING

Cross-sectional population-based survey in Bauru, São Paulo (Brazil).

METHODS

600 individuals were interviewed. The following data were collected: participants' characteristics, through a precoded questionnaire; physical activity level, through the International Physical Activity Questionnaire; and musculoskeletal symptoms, through the Nordic questionnaire. Descriptive, bivariate and Poisson regression analyses were performed.

RESULTS

The prevalence of multisite musculoskeletal pain was 46.5% (confidence interval, CI 42.5 to 50.5) in the last 12 months and 26.1% (CI 22.8 to 29.8) in the last seven days. The variables associated with multisite pain in the last 12 months were female sex, presence of hypertension, diabetes mellitus or depression, watching TV more than three times a week and working in a seated position. Formerly smoking was a protection factor. The variables associated with multisite pain in the last seven days were female sex, age group 60 years and over, low income, presence of comorbidities of hypertension, diabetes mellitus or depression and working in a seated position.

CONCLUSION

There was high prevalence of multisite musculoskeletal pain, which was associated with demographic, socioeconomic, work-related, electronic device-related and reported morbidity variables.

The effect of disease onset chronology on mortality among patients with multimorbidity: A Danish nationwide register study

Background

Multimorbidity is associated with increased mortality. Certain combinations of diseases are known to be more lethal than others, but the limited knowledge of how the chronology in which diseases develop impacts mortality may impair the development of effective clinical interventions for patients with multimorbidity.

Objective

To explore if in multimorbidity the chronology of disease onset is associated with mortality. Design: A prospective nationwide cohort study, including 3,986,209 people aged ≥18 years on 1 January 2000, was performed. We included ten diagnosis groups: lung, musculoskeletal, endocrine, mental, cancer, neurological, gastrointestinal, cardiovascular, kidney, and sensory organs. We defined multimorbidity as the presence of at least two diagnoses from two diagnosis groups (out of ten). To determine mortality, logistic regression models were used to calculate odds ratios (OR) and ratio of ORs (RORs).

Results

For most combinations of multimorbidity, the chronology of disease onset does not change mortality. However, when multimorbidity included mental health diagnoses, mortality was in general higher if the mental health diagnosis appeared first. If multimorbidity included heart and sensory diagnoses, mortality was higher if these developed second. For the majority of multimorbidity combinations, there was excess mortality if multimorbidity was diagnosed simultaneously, rather than consecutively, for example, heart and kidney (3.58 ROR; CI 2.39–5.36), or mental health and musculoskeletal diagnoses (2.38 ROR; CI 1.70–3.32).

Conclusions

Overall, in multimorbidity, the chronology in which diseases develop is not associated with mortality, with few exceptions. For almost all combinations of multimorbidity, diagnoses act synergistically in relation to mortality if diagnosed simultaneously.