Machine learning methods for predicting progression from mild cognitive impairment to Alzheimer's disease dementia: a systematic review

A systematic literature review on the significance of deep learning and machine learning in predicting Alzheimer's disease

BACKGROUND

Alzheimer's disease (AD) is the most prevalent cause of dementia, characterized by a steady decline in mental, behavioral, and social abilities and impairs a person's capacity for independent functioning. It is a fatal neurodegenerative disease primarily affecting older adults.

OBJECTIVES

The purpose of this literature review is to investigate various AD detection techniques, datasets, input modalities, algorithms, libraries, and performance evaluation metrics used to determine which model or strategy may provide superior performance.

METHOD

The initial search yielded 807 papers, but only 100 research articles were chosen after applying the inclusion-exclusion criteria. This SLR analyzed research items published between January 2019 and December 2022. The ACM, Elsevier, IEEE Xplore Digital Library, PubMed, Springer and Taylor & Francis were systematically searched. The current study considers articles that used Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI), Positron Emission Tomography (PET), APOe4 genotype, Diffusion Tensor Imaging (DTI) and Cerebrospinal Fluid (CSF) biomarkers. The study was performed following Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses (PRISMA) guidelines.

CONCLUSION

According to the literature survey, most studies (n = 76) used the DL strategy. The datasets used by studies were primarily derived from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) database. The majority of studies (n = 73) used single-modality neuroimaging data, while the remaining used multi-modal input data. In a multi-modality approach, the combination of MRI and PET scans is commonly preferred. Also, Regarding the algorithm used, Convolution Neural Network (CNN) showed the highest accuracy, 100 %, in classifying AD vs. CN subjects whereas the SVM was the most common ML algorithm, with a maximum accuracy of 99.82 %.

Role of Artificial Intelligence in Multinomial Decisions and Preventative Nutrition in Alzheimer's Disease

Alzheimer's disease (AD) affects 50 million people worldwide, an increase of 35 million since 2015, and it is known for memory loss and cognitive decline. Considering the morbidity associated with AD, it is important to explore lifestyle elements influencing the chances of developing AD, with special emphasis on nutritional aspects. This review will first discuss how dietary factors have an impact in AD development and the possible role of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML) in preventative care of AD patients through nutrition. The Mediterranean-DASH diets provide individuals with many nutrient benefits which assists the prevention of neurodegeneration by having neuroprotective roles. Lack of micronutrients, protein-energy, and polyunsaturated fatty acids increase the chance of cognitive decline, loss of memory, and synaptic dysfunction among others. ML software has the ability to design models of algorithms from data introduced to present practical solutions that are accessible and easy to use. It can give predictions for a precise medicine approach to evaluate individuals as a whole. There is no doubt the future of nutritional science lies on customizing diets for individuals to reduce dementia risk factors, maintain overall health and brain function.

Screening Targets and Therapeutic Drugs for Alzheimer's Disease Based on Deep Learning Model and Molecular Docking

Background

Alzheimer's disease (AD) is a neurodegenerative disorder caused by a complex interplay of various factors. However, a satisfactory cure for AD remains elusive. Pharmacological interventions based on drug targets are considered the most cost-effective therapeutic strategy. Therefore, it is paramount to search potential drug targets and drugs for AD.

Objective

We aimed to provide novel targets and drugs for the treatment of AD employing transcriptomic data of AD and normal control brain tissues from a new perspective.

Methods

Our study combined the use of a multi-layer perceptron (MLP) with differential expression analysis, variance assessment and molecular docking to screen targets and drugs for AD.

Results

We identified the seven differentially expressed genes (DEGs) with the most significant variation (ANKRD39, CPLX1, FABP3, GABBR2, GNG3, PPM1E, and WDR49) in transcriptomic data from AD brain. A newly built MLP was used to confirm the association between the seven DEGs and AD, establishing these DEGs as potential drug targets. Drug databases and molecular docking results indicated that arbaclofen, baclofen, clozapine, arbaclofen placarbil, BML-259, BRD-K72883421, and YC-1 had high affinity for GABBR2, and FABP3 bound with oleic, palmitic, and stearic acids. Arbaclofen and YC-1 activated GABAB receptor through PI3K/AKT and PKA/CREB pathways, respectively, thereby promoting neuronal anti-apoptotic effect and inhibiting p-tau and Aβ formation.

Conclusions

This study provided a new strategy for the identification of targets and drugs for the treatment of AD using deep learning. Seven therapeutic targets and ten drugs were selected by using this method, providing new insight for AD treatment.

Radionuclide Imaging of the Neuroanatomical and Neurochemical Substrate of Cognitive Decline in Parkinson's Disease

Cognitive impairment is a frequent manifestation of Parkinson's disease (PD), resulting in decrease in patients' quality of life and increased societal and economic burden. However, cognitive decline in PD is highly heterogenous and the mechanisms are poorly understood. Radionuclide imaging techniques like positron emission tomography (PET) and single photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) have been used to investigate the neurochemical and neuroanatomical substrate of cognitive decline in PD. These techniques allow the assessment of different neurotransmitter systems, changes in brain glucose metabolism, proteinopathy, and neuroinflammation in vivo in PD patients. Here, we review current radionuclide imaging research on cognitive deficit in PD with a focus on predicting accelerating cognitive decline. This research could assist in the development of prognostic biomarkers for patient stratification and have utility in the development of ameliorative or disease-modifying therapies targeting cognitive deficit in PD.

Detecting Alzheimer's Disease Stages and Frontotemporal Dementia in Time Courses of Resting-State fMRI Data Using a Machine Learning Approach

Early, accurate diagnosis of neurodegenerative dementia subtypes such as Alzheimer's disease (AD) and frontotemporal dementia (FTD) is crucial for the effectiveness of their treatments. However, distinguishing these conditions becomes challenging when symptoms overlap or the conditions present atypically. Resting-state fMRI (rs-fMRI) studies have demonstrated condition-specific alterations in AD, FTD, and mild cognitive impairment (MCI) compared to healthy controls (HC). Here, we used machine learning to build a diagnostic classification model based on these alterations. We curated all rs-fMRIs and their corresponding clinical information from the ADNI and FTLDNI databases. Imaging data underwent preprocessing, time course extraction, and feature extraction in preparation for the analyses. The imaging features data and clinical variables were fed into gradient-boosted decision trees with fivefold nested cross-validation to build models that classified four groups: AD, FTD, HC, and MCI. The mean and 95% confidence intervals for model performance metrics were calculated using the unseen test sets in the cross-validation rounds. The model built using only imaging features achieved 74.4% mean balanced accuracy, 0.94 mean macro-averaged AUC, and 0.73 mean macro-averaged F1 score. It accurately classified FTD (F1 = 0.99), HC (F1 = 0.99), and MCI (F1 = 0.86) fMRIs but mostly misclassified AD scans as MCI (F1 = 0.08). Adding clinical variables to model inputs raised balanced accuracy to 91.1%, macro-averaged AUC to 0.99, macro-averaged F1 score to 0.92, and improved AD classification accuracy (F1 = 0.74). In conclusion, a multimodal model based on rs-fMRI and clinical data accurately differentiates AD-MCI vs. FTD vs. HC.

Machine Learning-Based Prediction Models for Cognitive Decline Progression: A Comparative Study in Multilingual Settings Using Speech Analysis

Background

Mild cognitive impairment (MCI) is a condition commonly associated with dementia. Therefore, early prediction of progression from MCI to dementia is essential for preventing or alleviating cognitive decline. Given that dementia affects cognitive functions like language and speech, detecting disease progression through speech analysis can provide a cost-effective solution for patients and caregivers.

Design-Participants

In our study, we examined spontaneous speech (SS) and written Mini Mental Status Examination (MMSE) scores from a 60-patient dataset obtained from the Mugla University Dementia Outpatient Clinic (MUDC) and a 153-patient dataset from the Alzheimer's Dementia Recognition through Spontaneous Speech (ADRess) challenge. Our study, for the first time, analyzed the impact of audio features extracted from SS in distinguishing between different degrees of cognitive impairment using both an Indo-European language and a Turkic language, which exhibit distinct word order, agglutination, noun cases, and grammatical markers.

Results

When each machine learning model was tested on its respective trained language, we attained a 95% accuracy using the random forest classifier on the ADRess dataset and a 94% accuracy on the MUDC dataset employing the multilayer perceptron (MLP) neural network algorithm. In our second experiment, we evaluated the effectiveness of each language-specific machine learning model on the dataset of the other language. We achieved accuracies of 72% for English and 76% for Turkish, respectively.

Conclusion

These findings underscore the cross-language potential of audio features for automated tracking of cognitive impairment progression in MCI patients, offering a convenient and cost-effective option for clinicians or patients.

Deep learning model for individualized trajectory prediction of clinical outcomes in mild cognitive impairment

Objectives

Accurately predicting when patients with mild cognitive impairment (MCI) will progress to dementia is a formidable challenge. This work aims to develop a predictive deep learning model to accurately predict future cognitive decline and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) marker changes over time at the individual level for patients with MCI.

Methods

We recruited 657 amnestic patients with MCI from the Samsung Medical Center who underwent cognitive tests, brain MRI scans, and amyloid-β (Aβ) positron emission tomography (PET) scans. We devised a novel deep learning architecture by leveraging an attention mechanism in a recurrent neural network. We trained a predictive model by inputting age, gender, education, apolipoprotein E genotype, neuropsychological test scores, and brain MRI and amyloid PET features. Cognitive outcomes and MRI features of an MCI subject were predicted using the proposed network.

Results

The proposed predictive model demonstrated good prediction performance (AUC = 0.814 ± 0.035) in five-fold cross-validation, along with reliable prediction in cognitive decline and MRI markers over time. Faster cognitive decline and brain atrophy in larger regions were forecasted in patients with Aβ (+) than with Aβ (-).

Conclusion

The proposed method provides effective and accurate means for predicting the progression of individuals within a specific period. This model could assist clinicians in identifying subjects at a higher risk of rapid cognitive decline by predicting future cognitive decline and MRI marker changes over time for patients with MCI. Future studies should validate and refine the proposed predictive model further to improve clinical decision-making.

Prediction Model for Cognitive Impairment among Disabled Older Adults: A Development and Validation Study

Disabled older adults exhibited a higher risk for cognitive impairment. Early identification is crucial in alleviating the disease burden. This study aims to develop and validate a prediction model for identifying cognitive impairment among disabled older adults. A total of 2138, 501, and 746 participants were included in the development set and two external validation sets. Logistic regression, support vector machine, random forest, and XGBoost were introduced to develop the prediction model. A nomogram was further established to demonstrate the prediction model directly and vividly. Logistic regression exhibited better predictive performance on the test set with an area under the curve of 0.875. It maintained a high level of precision (0.808), specification (0.788), sensitivity (0.770), and F1-score (0.788) compared with the machine learning models. We further simplified and established a nomogram based on the logistic regression, comprising five variables: age, daily living activities, instrumental activity of daily living, hearing impairment, and visual impairment. The areas under the curve of the nomogram were 0.871, 0.825, and 0.863 in the internal and two external validation sets, respectively. This nomogram effectively identifies the risk of cognitive impairment in disabled older adults.

Decoding the Best Automated Segmentation Tools for Vascular White Matter Hyperintensities in the Aging Brain: A Clinician's Guide to Precision and Purpose

Cerebrovascular damage from small vessel disease (SVD) occurs in healthy and pathological aging. SVD markers, such as white matter hyperintensities (WMH), are commonly found in individuals over 60 and increase in prevalence with age. WMHs are detectable on standard MRI by adhering to the STRIVE criteria. Currently, visual assessment scales are used in clinical and research scenarios but is time-consuming and has rater variability, limiting its practicality. Addressing this issue, our study aimed to determine the most precise WMH segmentation software, offering insights into methodology and usability to balance clinical precision with practical application. This study employed a dataset comprising T1, FLAIR, and DWI images from 300 cognitively healthy older adults. WMHs in this cohort were evaluated using four automated neuroimaging tools: Lesion Prediction Algorithm (LPA) and Lesion Growth Algorithm (LGA) from Lesion Segmentation Tool (LST), Sequence Adaptive Multimodal Segmentation (SAMSEG), and Brain Intensity Abnormalities Classification Algorithm (BIANCA). Additionally, clinicians manually segmented WMHs in a subsample of 45 participants to establish a gold standard. The study assessed correlations with the Fazekas scale, algorithm performance, and the influence of WMH volume on reliability. Results indicated that supervised algorithms were superior, particularly in detecting small WMHs, and can improve their consistency when used in parallel with unsupervised tools. The research also proposed a biomarker for moderate vascular damage, derived from the top 95th percentile of WMH volume in healthy individuals aged 50 to 60. This biomarker effectively differentiated subgroups within the cohort, correlating with variations in brain structure and behavior.

Clinical variables contributing to the identification of biologically defined subgroups within cognitively unimpaired and mild cognitive impairment individuals

BACKGROUND

A lack of consensus exists in linking demographic, behavioral, and cognitive characteristics to biological stages of dementia, defined by the ATN (amyloid, tau, neurodegeneration) classification incorporating amyloid, tau, and neuronal injury biomarkers.

METHODS

Using a random forest classifier we investigated whether 27 demographic, behavioral, and cognitive characteristics allowed distinction between ATN-defined groups with the same cognitive profile. This was done separately for three cognitively unimpaired (CU) (112 A-T-N-; 46 A+T+N+/-; 65 A-T+/-N+/-) and three mild cognitive impairment (MCI) (128 A-T-N-; 223 A+T+N+/-; 94 A-T+/-N+/-) subgroups.

RESULTS

Classification-balanced accuracy reached 39% for the CU and 52% for the MCI subgroups. Logical Delayed Recall (explaining 16% of the variance), followed by the Alzheimer's Disease Assessment Scale 13 (14%) and Everyday Cognition Informant (10%), were the most relevant characteristics for classification of the MCI subgroups. Race and ethnicity, marital status, and Everyday Cognition Patient were not relevant (0%).

CONCLUSIONS

The demographic, behavioral, and cognitive measures used in our model were not informative in differentiating ATN-defined CU profiles. Measures of delayed memory, general cognition, and activities of daily living were the most informative in differentiating ATN-defined MCI profiles; however, these measures alone were not sufficient to reach high classification performance.

Cerebral perivascular spaces as predictors of dementia risk and accelerated brain atrophy

Cerebral small vessel disease, an important risk factor for dementia, lacks robust, in vivo measurement methods. Perivascular spaces (PVS) on brain MRI are surrogates for small parenchymal blood vessels and their perivascular compartment, and may relate to brain health. We developed a novel, robust algorithm to automatically assess PVS count and size on MRI, and investigated their relationship with dementia risk and brain atrophy. We analyzed 46,478 clinical measurements of cognitive functioning and 20,845 brain MRI scans from 10,004 participants (71.1±9.7 years-old, 56.6% women). Fewer PVS and larger PVS diameter at baseline were associated with higher dementia risk and accelerated brain atrophy. Longitudinal trajectories of PVS markers were significantly different in non-demented individuals who converted to dementia compared with non-converters. In simulated placebo-controlled trials for treatments targeting cognitive decline, screening out participants less likely to develop dementia based on our PVS markers enhanced the power of the trial. These novel radiographic cerebrovascular markers may improve risk-stratification of individuals, potentially reducing cost and increasing throughput of clinical trials to combat dementia.

Distinct plasma phosphorylated-tau proteins profiling for the differential diagnosis of mild cognitive impairment and Alzheimer's disease by plasmonic asymmetric nanobridge-based biosensor

The differential diagnosis between mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and Alzheimer's disease (AD) has been highly demanded for its effectiveness in preventing and contributing to early diagnosis of AD. To this end, we developed a single plasmonic asymmetric nanobridge (PAN)-based biosensor to differentially diagnose MCI and AD by quantitative profiling of phosphorylated tau proteins (p-tau) in clinical plasma samples, which revealed a significant correlation with AD development and progression. The PAN was designed to have a conductive junction and asymmetric structure, which was unable to be synthesized by the traditional thermodynamical methods. For its unique morphological characteristics, PAN features high electromagnetic field enhancement, enabling the biosensor to achieve high sensitivity, with a limit of detection in the attomolar regime for quantitative analysis of p-tau. By introducing support vector machine (SVM)-based machine learning algorithm, the improved diagnostic system was achieved for prediction of healthy controls, MCI, and AD groups with an accuracy of 94.47 % by detecting various p-tau species levels in human plasma. Thus, our proposed PAN-based plasmonic biosensor has a powerful potential in clinical utility for predicting the onset of AD progression in the asymptomatic phase.

Multiparametric hippocampal signatures for early diagnosis of Alzheimer's disease using 18F-FDG PET/MRI Radiomics

PURPOSE

This study aimed to explore the utility of hippocampal radiomics using multiparametric simultaneous positron emission tomography (PET)/magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) for early diagnosis of Alzheimer's disease (AD).

METHODS

A total of 53 healthy control (HC) participants, 55 patients with amnestic mild cognitive impairment (aMCI), and 51 patients with AD were included in this study. All participants accepted simultaneous PET/MRI scans, including 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose (18F-FDG) PET, 3D arterial spin labeling (ASL), and high-resolution T1-weighted imaging (3D T1WI). Radiomics features were extracted from the hippocampus region on those three modal images. Logistic regression models were trained to classify AD and HC, AD and aMCI, aMCI and HC respectively. The diagnostic performance and radiomics score (Rad-Score) of logistic regression models were evaluated from 5-fold cross-validation.

RESULTS

The hippocampal radiomics features demonstrated favorable diagnostic performance, with the multimodal classifier outperforming the single-modal classifier in the binary classification of HC, aMCI, and AD. Using the multimodal classifier, we achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.98 and accuracy of 96.7% for classifying AD from HC, and an AUC of 0.86 and accuracy of 80.6% for classifying aMCI from HC. The value of Rad-Score differed significantly between the AD and HC (p < 0.001), aMCI and HC (p < 0.001) groups. Decision curve analysis showed superior clinical benefits of multimodal classifiers compared to neuropsychological tests.

CONCLUSION

Multiparametric hippocampal radiomics using PET/MRI aids in the identification of early AD, and may provide a potential biomarker for clinical applications.

Comparing a pre-defined versus deep learning approach for extracting brain atrophy patterns to predict cognitive decline due to Alzheimer's disease in patients with mild cognitive symptoms

BACKGROUND

Predicting future Alzheimer's disease (AD)-related cognitive decline among individuals with subjective cognitive decline (SCD) or mild cognitive impairment (MCI) is an important task for healthcare. Structural brain imaging as measured by magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) could potentially contribute when making such predictions. It is unclear if the predictive performance of MRI can be improved using entire brain images in deep learning (DL) models compared to using pre-defined brain regions.

METHODS

A cohort of 332 individuals with SCD/MCI were included from the Swedish BioFINDER-1 study. The goal was to predict longitudinal SCD/MCI-to-AD dementia progression and change in Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) over four years. Four models were evaluated using different predictors: (1) clinical data only, including demographics, cognitive tests and APOE ε4 status, (2) clinical data plus hippocampal volume, (3) clinical data plus all regional MRI gray matter volumes (N = 68) extracted using FreeSurfer software, (4) a DL model trained using multi-task learning with MRI images, Jacobian determinant images and baseline cognition as input. A double cross-validation scheme, with five test folds and for each of those ten validation folds, was used. External evaluation was performed on part of the ADNI dataset, including 108 patients. Mann-Whitney U-test was used to determine statistically significant differences in performance, with p-values less than 0.05 considered significant.

RESULTS

In the BioFINDER cohort, 109 patients (33%) progressed to AD dementia. The performance of the clinical data model for prediction of progression to AD dementia was area under the curve (AUC) = 0.85 and four-year cognitive decline was R2 = 0.14. The performance was improved for both outcomes when adding hippocampal volume (AUC = 0.86, R2 = 0.16). Adding FreeSurfer brain regions improved prediction of four-year cognitive decline but not progression to AD (AUC = 0.83, R2 = 0.17), while the DL model worsened the performance for both outcomes (AUC = 0.84, R2 = 0.08). A sensitivity analysis showed that the Jacobian determinant image was more informative than the MRI image, but that performance was maximized when both were included. In the external evaluation cohort from ADNI, 23 patients (21%) progressed to AD dementia. The results for predicted progression to AD dementia were similar to the results for the BioFINDER test data, while the performance for the cognitive decline was deteriorated.

CONCLUSIONS

The DL model did not significantly improve the prediction of clinical disease progression in AD, compared to regression models with a single pre-defined brain region.

Predicting mild cognitive impairment in older adults: A machine learning analysis of the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative

AIM

Mild cognitive impairment (MCI) in older adults is potentially devastating, but an accurate prediction model is still lacking. We hypothesized that neuropsychological tests and MRI-related markers could predict the onset of MCI early.

METHODS

We analyzed data from 306 older adults who were cognitive normal (CN) attending the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative sequentially (474 pairs of visits) within 3 years. There were 231 pairs of MCI conversion (CN to MCI), and 242 pairs of CN maintenance (CN to CN). Variables on demographic, neuropsychological tests, genetic, and MRI-related markers were collected. Machine learning was used to construct MCI prediction models, comparing the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) as the primary metric of performance. Important predictors were ranked for the optimal model.

RESULTS

The baseline age of the study sample was 74.8 years old. The best-performing model (gradient boosting decision tree) with 13 variables predicted MCI with an AUC of 0.819, and the rank of variable importance showed that intracranial volume, hippocampal volume, and score from task 4 (word recognition) of the Alzheimer's Disease Assessment Scale were important predictors of MCI.

CONCLUSIONS

With the help of machine learning, fewer neuropsychological tests and MRI-related markers are required to accurately predict MCI within 3 years, thereby facilitating targeted intervention. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2024; 24: 96-101.

Estimating Dementia Onset: AT(N) Profiles and Predictive Modeling in Mild Cognitive Impairment Patients

BACKGROUND

Mild Cognitive Impairment (MCI) usually precedes the symptomatic phase of dementia and constitutes a window of opportunities for preventive therapies.

OBJECTIVES

The objective of this study was to predict the time an MCI patient has left to reach dementia and obtain the most likely natural history in the progression of MCI towards dementia.

METHODS

This study was conducted on 633 MCI patients and 145 subjects with dementia through 4726 visits over 15 years from Alzheimer Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) cohort. A combination of data from AT(N) profiles at baseline and longitudinal predictive modeling was applied. A data-driven approach was proposed for categorical diagnosis prediction and timeline estimation of cognitive decline progression, which combined supervised and unsupervised learning techniques.

RESULTS

A reduced vector of only neuropsychological measures was selected for training the models. At baseline, this approach had high performance in detecting subjects at high risk of converting from MCI to dementia in the coming years. Furthermore, a Disease Progression Model (DPM) was built and also verified using three metrics. As a result of the DPM focused on the studied population, it was inferred that amyloid pathology (A+) appears about 7 years before dementia, and tau pathology (T+) and neurodegeneration (N+) occur almost simultaneously, between 3 and 4 years before dementia. In addition, MCI-A+ subjects were shown to progress more rapidly to dementia compared to MCI-A- subjects.

CONCLUSION

Based on proposed natural histories and cross-sectional and longitudinal analysis of AD markers, the results indicated that only a single cerebrospinal fluid sample is necessary during the prodromal phase of AD. Prediction from MCI into dementia and its timeline can be achieved exclusively through neuropsychological measures.

Machine learning in Alzheimer's disease drug discovery and target identification

Alzheimer's disease (AD) stands as a formidable neurodegenerative ailment that poses a substantial threat to the elderly population, with no known curative or disease-slowing drugs in existence. Among the vital and time-consuming stages in the drug discovery process, disease modeling and target identification hold particular significance. Disease modeling allows for a deeper comprehension of disease progression mechanisms and potential therapeutic avenues. On the other hand, target identification serves as the foundational step in drug development, exerting a profound influence on all subsequent phases and ultimately determining the success rate of drug development endeavors. Machine learning (ML) techniques have ushered in transformative breakthroughs in the realm of target discovery. Leveraging the strengths of large dataset analysis, multifaceted data processing, and the exploration of intricate biological mechanisms, ML has become instrumental in the quest for effective AD treatments. In this comprehensive review, we offer an account of how ML methodologies are being deployed in the pursuit of drug discovery for AD. Furthermore, we provide an overview of the utilization of ML in uncovering potential intervention strategies and prospective therapeutic targets for AD. Finally, we discuss the principal challenges and limitations currently faced by these approaches. We also explore the avenues for future research that hold promise in addressing these challenges.

The Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative in the era of Alzheimer's disease treatment: A review of ADNI studies from 2021 to 2022

The Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) aims to improve Alzheimer's disease (AD) clinical trials. Since 2006, ADNI has shared clinical, neuroimaging, and cognitive data, and biofluid samples. We used conventional search methods to identify 1459 publications from 2021 to 2022 using ADNI data/samples and reviewed 291 impactful studies. This review details how ADNI studies improved disease progression understanding and clinical trial efficiency. Advances in subject selection, detection of treatment effects, harmonization, and modeling improved clinical trials and plasma biomarkers like phosphorylated tau showed promise for clinical use. Biomarkers of amyloid beta, tau, neurodegeneration, inflammation, and others were prognostic with individualized prediction algorithms available online. Studies supported the amyloid cascade, emphasized the importance of neuroinflammation, and detailed widespread heterogeneity in disease, linked to genetic and vascular risk, co-pathologies, sex, and resilience. Biological subtypes were consistently observed. Generalizability of ADNI results is limited by lack of cohort diversity, an issue ADNI-4 aims to address by enrolling a diverse cohort.

Machine Learning-Derived MRI-Based Neurodegeneration Biomarker for Alzheimer's Disease: A Multi-Database Validation Study

BACKGROUND

Pilot study showed that Alzheimer's disease resemblance atrophy index (AD-RAI), a machine learning-derived MRI-based neurodegeneration biomarker of AD, achieved excellent diagnostic performance in diagnosing AD with moderate to severe dementia.

OBJECTIVE

The primary objective was to validate and compare the performance of AD-RAI with conventional volumetric hippocampal measures in diagnosing AD with mild dementia. The secondary objectives were 1) to investigate the association between imaging biomarkers with age and gender among cognitively unimpaired (CU) participants; 2) to analyze whether the performance of differentiating AD with mild dementia from CU will improve after adjustment for age/gender.

METHODS

AD with mild dementia (n = 218) and CU (n = 1,060) participants from 4 databases were included. We investigated the area under curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, and balanced accuracy of AD-RAI, hippocampal volume (HV), and hippocampal fraction (HF) in differentiating between AD and CU participants. Among amyloid-negative CU participants, we further analyzed correlation between the biomarkers with age/gender. We also investigated whether adjustment for age/gender will affect performance.

RESULTS

The AUC of AD-RAI (0.93) was significantly higher than that of HV (0.89) and HF (0.89). Subgroup analysis among A + AD and A- CU showed that AUC of AD-RAI (0.97) was also higher than HV (0.94) and HF (0.93). Diagnostic performance of AD-RAI and HF was not affected by age/gender while that of HV improved after age adjustment.

CONCLUSIONS

AD-RAI achieves excellent clinical validity and outperforms conventional volumetric hippocampal measures in aiding the diagnosis of AD mild dementia without the need for age adjustment.

Systematic reviews of machine learning in healthcare: a literature review

INTRODUCTION

The increasing availability of data and computing power has made machine learning (ML) a viable approach to faster, more efficient healthcare delivery.

METHODS

A systematic literature review (SLR) of published SLRs evaluating ML applications in healthcare settings published between1 January 2010 and 27 March 2023 was conducted.

RESULTS

In total 220 SLRs covering 10,462 ML algorithms were reviewed. The main application of AI in medicine related to the clinical prediction and disease prognosis in oncology and neurology with the use of imaging data. Accuracy, specificity, and sensitivity were provided in 56%, 28%, and 25% SLRs respectively. Internal and external validation was reported in 53% and less than 1% of the cases respectively. The most common modeling approach was neural networks (2,454 ML algorithms), followed by support vector machine and random forest/decision trees (1,578 and 1,522 ML algorithms, respectively).

EXPERT OPINION

The review indicated considerable reporting gaps in terms of the ML's performance, both internal and external validation. Greater accessibility to healthcare data for developers can ensure the faster adoption of ML algorithms into clinical practice.

Genetic analysis of cognitive preservation in the midwestern Amish reveals a novel locus on chromosome 2

INTRODUCTION

Alzheimer disease (AD) remains a debilitating condition with limited treatments and additional therapeutic targets needed. Identifying AD protective genetic loci may identify new targets and accelerate identification of therapeutic treatments. We examined a founder population to identify loci associated with cognitive preservation into advanced age.

METHODS

Genome-wide association and linkage analyses were performed on 946 examined and sampled Amish individuals, aged 76-95, who were either cognitively unimpaired (CU) or impaired (CI).

RESULTS

12 SNPs demonstrated suggestive association (P≤5×10-4) with cognitive preservation. Genetic linkage analyses identified >100 significant (LOD≥3.3) SNPs, some which overlapped with the association results. Only one locus on chromosome 2 retained significance across multiple analyses.

DISCUSSION

A novel significant result for cognitive preservation on chromosome 2 includes the genes LRRTM4 and CTNNA2. Additionally, the lead SNP, rs1402906, impacts the POU3F2 transcription factor binding affinity, which regulates LRRTM4 and CTNNA2.

Artificial intelligence for dementia research methods optimization

Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) approaches are increasingly being used in dementia research. However, several methodological challenges exist that may limit the insights we can obtain from high-dimensional data and our ability to translate these findings into improved patient outcomes. To improve reproducibility and replicability, researchers should make their well-documented code and modeling pipelines openly available. Data should also be shared where appropriate. To enhance the acceptability of models and AI-enabled systems to users, researchers should prioritize interpretable methods that provide insights into how decisions are generated. Models should be developed using multiple, diverse datasets to improve robustness, generalizability, and reduce potentially harmful bias. To improve clarity and reproducibility, researchers should adhere to reporting guidelines that are co-produced with multiple stakeholders. If these methodological challenges are overcome, AI and ML hold enormous promise for changing the landscape of dementia research and care. HIGHLIGHTS: Machine learning (ML) can improve diagnosis, prevention, and management of dementia. Inadequate reporting of ML procedures affects reproduction/replication of results. ML models built on unrepresentative datasets do not generalize to new datasets. Obligatory metrics for certain model structures and use cases have not been defined. Interpretability and trust in ML predictions are barriers to clinical translation.

The Major Hypotheses of Alzheimer's Disease: Related Nanotechnology-Based Approaches for Its Diagnosis and Treatment

Alzheimer's disease (AD) is a well-known chronic neurodegenerative disorder that leads to the progressive death of brain cells, resulting in memory loss and the loss of other critical body functions. In March 2019, one of the major pharmaceutical companies and its partners announced that currently, there is no drug to cure AD, and all clinical trials of the new ones have been cancelled, leaving many people without hope. However, despite the clear message and startling reality, the research continued. Finally, in the last two years, the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approved the first-ever medications to treat Alzheimer's, aducanumab and lecanemab. Despite researchers' support of this decision, there are serious concerns about their effectiveness and safety. The validation of aducanumab by the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services is still pending, and lecanemab was authorized without considering data from the phase III trials. Furthermore, numerous reports suggest that patients have died when undergoing extended treatment. While there is evidence that aducanumab and lecanemab may provide some relief to those suffering from AD, their impact remains a topic of ongoing research and debate within the medical community. The fact is that even though there are considerable efforts regarding pharmacological treatment, no definitive cure for AD has been found yet. Nevertheless, it is strongly believed that modern nanotechnology holds promising solutions and effective clinical strategies for the development of diagnostic tools and treatments for AD. This review summarizes the major hallmarks of AD, its etiological mechanisms, and challenges. It explores existing diagnostic and therapeutic methods and the potential of nanotechnology-based approaches for recognizing and monitoring patients at risk of irreversible neuronal degeneration. Overall, it provides a broad overview for those interested in the evolving areas of clinical neuroscience, AD, and related nanotechnology. With further research and development, nanotechnology-based approaches may offer new solutions and hope for millions of people affected by this devastating disease.

A limbic-predominant amnestic neurodegenerative syndrome associated with TDP-43 pathology

Limbic-predominant age-related TDP-43 encephalopathy (LATE) is a neuropathologically-defined disease that affects 40% of persons in advanced age, but its associated neurological syndrome is not defined. LATE neuropathological changes (LATE-NC) are frequently comorbid with Alzheimer's disease neuropathologic changes (ADNC). When seen in isolation, LATE-NC have been associated with a predominantly amnestic profile and slow clinical progression. We propose a set of clinical criteria for a limbic-predominant amnestic neurodegenerative syndrome (LANS) that is highly associated with LATE-NC but also other pathologic entities. The LANS criteria incorporate core, standard and advanced features that are measurable in vivo, including older age at evaluation, mild clinical syndrome, disproportionate hippocampal atrophy, impaired semantic memory, limbic hypometabolism, absence of neocortical degenerative patterns and low likelihood of neocortical tau, with degrees of certainty (highest, high, moderate, low). We operationalized this set of criteria using clinical, imaging and biomarker data to validate its associations with clinical and pathologic outcomes. We screened autopsied patients from Mayo Clinic (n = 922) and ADNI (n = 93) cohorts and applied the LANS criteria to those with an antemortem predominant amnestic syndrome (Mayo, n = 165; ADNI, n = 53). ADNC, ADNC/LATE-NC and LATE-NC accounted for 35%, 37% and 4% of cases in the Mayo cohort, respectively, and 30%, 22%, and 9% of cases in the ADNI cohort, respectively. The LANS criteria effectively categorized these cases, with ADNC having the lowest LANS likelihoods, LATE-NC patients having the highest likelihoods, and ADNC/LATE-NC patients having intermediate likelihoods. A logistic regression model using the LANS features as predictors of LATE-NC achieved a balanced accuracy of 74.6% in the Mayo cohort, and out-of-sample predictions in the ADNI cohort achieved a balanced accuracy of 73.3%. Patients with high LANS likelihoods had a milder and slower clinical course and more severe temporo-limbic degeneration compared to those with low likelihoods. Stratifying ADNC/LATE-NC patients from the Mayo cohort according to their LANS likelihood revealed that those with higher likelihoods had more temporo-limbic degeneration and a slower rate of cognitive decline, and those with lower likelihoods had more lateral temporo-parietal degeneration and a faster rate of cognitive decline. The implementation of LANS criteria has implications to disambiguate the different driving etiologies of progressive amnestic presentations in older age and guide prognosis, treatment, and clinical trials. The development of in vivo biomarkers specific to TDP-43 pathology are needed to refine molecular associations between LANS and LATE-NC and precise antemortem diagnoses of LATE.

Comparing a pre-defined versus deep learning approach for extracting brain atrophy patterns to predict cognitive decline due to Alzheimer's disease in patients with mild cognitive symptoms

Background

Predicting future Alzheimer's disease (AD)-related cognitive decline among individuals with subjective cognitive decline (SCD) or mild cognitive impairment (MCI) is an important task for healthcare. Structural brain imaging as measured by magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) could potentially contribute when making such predictions. It is unclear if the predictive performance of MRI can be improved using entire brain images in deep learning (DL) models compared to using pre-defined brain regions.

Methods

A cohort of 332 individuals with SCD/MCI were included from the Swedish BioFINDER-1 study. The goal was to predict longitudinal SCD/MCI-to-AD dementia progression and change in Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) over four years. Four models were evaluated using different predictors: 1) clinical data only, including demographics, cognitive tests and APOE e4 status, 2) clinical data plus hippocampal volume, 3) clinical data plus all regional MRI gray matter volumes (N=68) extracted using FreeSurfer software, 4) a DL model trained using multi-task learning with MRI images, Jacobian determinant images and baseline cognition as input. Models were developed on 80% of subjects (N=267) and tested on the remaining 20% (N=65). Mann-Whitney U-test was used to determine statistically significant differences in performance, with p-values less than 0.05 considered significant.

Results

In the test set, 21 patients (32.3%) progressed to AD dementia. The performance of the clinical data model for prediction of progression to AD dementia was area under the curve (AUC)=0.87 and four-year cognitive decline was R2=0.17. The performance was significantly improved for both outcomes when adding hippocampal volume (AUC=0.91, R2=0.26, p-values <0.05) or FreeSurfer brain regions (AUC=0.90, R2=0.27, p-values <0.05). Conversely, the DL model did not show any significant difference from the clinical data model (AUC=0.86, R2=0.13). A sensitivity analysis showed that the Jacobian determinant image was more informative than the MRI image, but that performance was maximized when both were included.

Conclusions

The DL model did not significantly improve the prediction of clinical disease progression in AD, compared to regression models with a single pre-defined brain region.

Psychodynamic-based virtual reality cognitive training system with personalized emotional arousal elements for mild cognitive impairment patients

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Mild cognitive impairment (MCI) is a serious threat to the physical health and quality of life of the elderly, as well as a heavy burden on families and society. The current computer-based rehabilitation training ignores the role of emotions in cognitive impairment rehabilitation, making it difficult to improve patient engagement and efficiency. To address this, a psychodynamics-based cognitive rehabilitation training method with personalized emotional arousal elements was proposed using virtual reality technology.

METHODS

Our proposed method contains four training tasks, which cover (audiovisual memory, attention & processing, working memory, abstract & Logic, spatial pathfinding) and six positive emotional arousal elements (sensory feedback, achievement system, multiplayer interaction, score comparison, relaxation scenarios, and peaceful videos) to motivate participants to persist during cognitive training continuously and maintain a positive mental attitude toward training. The six emotional arousal elements were divided into two personalized combinations-full combination and half combination-based on the results of the pre-assessment and were dynamically distributed throughout both the training tasks and post-training.

RESULTS

Fifteen participants with MCI were recruited to complete the proposed experiment and validate the effectiveness of the system. They were first asked to complete two assessments (e.g., the big five scale and the positive and negative affect scale) to investigate their personalities. Based on the results of the assessments, they were provided with a full or half combination of arousal elements in the training tasks and post-training. Finally, the acceptability of the system and task experience were assessed using questionnaires. Notably, there was a significant increase in training scores for participants who completed a six-week training period (66.7%, 33.4%, and 25.0% for attention and processing, working memory, and abstraction and logic, respectively). The results show that positive emotional arousal had a positive effect on the MCI participants. The training tasks and arousal elements can improve cognitive function and enhance the confidence and engagement of participants. There were no significant differences in cognitive domain training scores between the two groups.

CONCLUSIONS

This personalized cognitive training system has the potential to serve as a convenient solution for complementary treatment of MCI.

Classification of suicidality by training supervised machine learning models with brain MRI findings: A systematic review

BACKGROUND

Suicide is a global public health issue causing around 700,000 deaths worldwide each year. Therefore, identifying suicidal thoughts and behaviors in patients can help lower the suicide-related mortality rate. This review aimed to investigate the feasibility of suicidality identification by applying supervised Machine Learning (ML) methods to Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) data.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic search on PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science to identify studies examining suicidality by applying ML methods to MRI features. Also, the Prediction Model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool (PROBAST) was employed for the quality assessment.

RESULTS

23 studies met the inclusion criteria. Of these, 20 developed prediction models without external validation and 3 developed prediction models with external validation. The performance of ML models varied among the reviewed studies, with the highest reported values of accuracies and Area Under the Curve (AUC) ranging from 51.7 % to 100 % and 0.52 to 1, respectively. Over half of the studies that reported accuracy (12/21) or AUC (13/16) achieved values of ≥0.8. Our comparative analysis indicated that deep learning exhibited the highest predictive performance compared to other ML models. The most commonly identified discriminative imaging features were resting-state functional connectivity and grey matter volume within prefrontal-limbic structures.

LIMITATIONS

Small sample sizes, lack of external validation, heterogeneous study designs, and ML model development.

CONCLUSIONS

Most of the studies developed ML models capable of ML-based suicide identification, although ML models' predictive performance varied across the reviewed studies. Thus, further well-designed is necessary to uncover the true potential of different ML models in this field.

Deep learning combining FDG-PET and neurocognitive data accurately predicts MCI conversion to Alzheimer's dementia 3-year post MCI diagnosis

INTRODUCTION

This study reports a novel deep learning approach to predict mild cognitive impairment (MCI) conversion to Alzheimer's dementia (AD) within three years using whole-brain fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) positron emission tomography (PET) and cognitive scores (CS).

METHODS

This analysis consisted of 150 normal controls (CN), 257 MCI, and 205  AD subjects from ADNI. FDG-PET and CS were obtained at MCI diagnosis to predict AD conversion within three years of MCI diagnosis using convolutional neural networks.

RESULTS

Neurocognitive scores predicted better than FDG-PET per se, but the best model was a combination of FDG-PET, age, and neurocognitive data, yielding an AUC of 0.785 ± 0.096 and a balanced accuracy of 0.733 ± 0.098. Saliency maps highlighted putamen, thalamus, inferior frontal gyrus, parietal operculum, precuneus cortices, calcarine cortices, temporal gyrus, and planum temporale to be important for prediction.

DISCUSSION

Deep learning accurately predicts MCI conversion to AD and provides neural correlates of brain regions associated with AD conversion.

18F-FDG-PET Radiomics Based on White Matter Predicts The Progression of Mild Cognitive Impairment to Alzheimer Disease: A Machine Learning Study

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

To build a model using white-matter radiomics features on positron-emission tomography (PET) and machine learning methods to predict progression from mild cognitive impairment (MCI) to Alzheimer disease (AD).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We analyzed the data of 341 MCI patients from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative, of whom 102 progressed to AD during an 8-year follow-up. The patients were divided into the training (238 patients) and test groups (103 patients). PET-based radiomics features were extracted from the white matter in the training group, and dimensionally reduced to construct a psychoradiomics signature (PS), which was combined with multimodal data using machine learning methods to construct an integrated model. Model performance was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic curves in the test group.

RESULTS

Clinical Dementia Rating (CDR) scores, Alzheimer's Disease Assessment Scale (ADAS) scores, and PS independently predicted MCI progression to AD on multivariate logistic regression. The areas under the curve (AUCs) of the CDR, ADAS and PS in the training and test groups were 0.683, 0.755, 0.747 and 0.737, 0.743, 0.719 respectively, and were combined using a support vector machine to construct an integrated model. The AUC of the integrated model in the training and test groups was 0.868 and 0.865, respectively (sensitivity, 0.873 and 0.839, respectively; specificity, 0.784 and 0.806, respectively). The AUCs of the integrated model significantly differed from those of other predictors in both groups (p < 0.05, Delong test).

CONCLUSION

Our psych radiomics signature based on white-matter PET data predicted MCI progression to AD. The integrated model built using multimodal data and machine learning identified MCI patients at a high risk of progression to AD.

Investigating predictors of progression from mild cognitive impairment to Alzheimer's disease based on different time intervals

BACKGROUND

Mild cognitive impairment (MCI) is the early stage of AD, and about 10-12% of MCI patients will progress to AD every year. At present, there are no effective markers for the early diagnosis of whether MCI patients will progress to AD. This study aimed to develop machine learning-based models for predicting the progression from MCI to AD within 3 years, to assist in screening and prevention of high-risk populations.

METHODS

Data were collected from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative, a representative sample of cognitive impairment population. Machine learning models were applied to predict the progression from MCI to AD, using demographic, neuropsychological test and MRI-related biomarkers. Data were divided into training (56%), validation (14%) and test sets (30%). AUC (area under ROC curve) was used as the main evaluation metric. Key predictors were ranked utilising their importance.

RESULTS

The AdaBoost model based on logistic regression achieved the best performance (AUC: 0.98) in 0-6 month prediction. Scores from the Functional Activities Questionnaire, Modified Preclinical Alzheimer Cognitive Composite with Trails test and ADAS11 (Unweighted sum of 11 items from The Alzheimer's Disease Assessment Scale-Cognitive Subscale) were key predictors.

CONCLUSION

Through machine learning, neuropsychological tests and MRI-related markers could accurately predict the progression from MCI to AD, especially in a short period time. This is of great significance for clinical staff to screen and diagnose AD, and to intervene and treat high-risk MCI patients early.

PRedicting the EVolution of SubjectIvE Cognitive Decline to Alzheimer's Disease With machine learning: the PREVIEW study protocol

BACKGROUND

As disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) for Alzheimer's disease (AD) are becoming a reality, there is an urgent need to select cost-effective tools that can accurately identify patients in the earliest stages of the disease. Subjective Cognitive Decline (SCD) is a condition in which individuals complain of cognitive decline with normal performances on neuropsychological evaluation. Many studies demonstrated a higher prevalence of Alzheimer's pathology in patients diagnosed with SCD as compared to the general population. Consequently, SCD was suggested as an early symptomatic phase of AD. We will describe the study protocol of a prospective cohort study (PREVIEW) that aim to identify features derived from easily accessible, cost-effective and non-invasive assessment to accurately detect SCD patients who will progress to AD dementia.

METHODS

We will include patients who self-referred to our memory clinic and are diagnosed with SCD. Participants will undergo: clinical, neurologic and neuropsychological examination, estimation of cognitive reserve and depression, evaluation of personality traits, APOE and BDNF genotyping, electroencephalography and event-related potential recording, lumbar puncture for measurement of Aβ42, t-tau, and p-tau concentration and Aβ42/Aβ40 ratio. Recruited patients will have follow-up neuropsychological examinations every two years. Collected data will be used to train a machine learning algorithm to define the risk of being carriers of AD and progress to dementia in patients with SCD.

DISCUSSION

This is the first study to investigate the application of machine learning to predict AD in patients with SCD. Since all the features we will consider can be derived from non-invasive and easily accessible assessments, our expected results may provide evidence for defining cost-effective and globally scalable tools to estimate the risk of AD and address the needs of patients with memory complaints. In the era of DMTs, this will have crucial implications for the early identification of patients suitable for treatment in the initial stages of AD.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER (TRN)

NCT05569083.

Significant Acceleration of Regional Brain Aging and Atrophy After Mild Traumatic Brain Injury

Brain regions' rates of age-related volumetric change after traumatic brain injury (TBI) are unknown. Here, we quantify these rates cross-sectionally in 113 persons with recent mild TBI (mTBI), whom we compare against 3 418 healthy controls (HCs). Regional gray matter (GM) volumes were extracted from magnetic resonance images. Linear regression yielded regional brain ages and the annualized average rates of regional GM volume loss. These results were compared across groups after accounting for sex and intracranial volume. In HCs, the steepest rates of volume loss were recorded in the nucleus accumbens, amygdala, and lateral orbital sulcus. In mTBI, approximately 80% of GM structures had significantly steeper rates of annual volume loss than in HCs. The largest group differences involved the short gyri of the insula and both the long gyrus and central sulcus of the insula. No significant sex differences were found in the mTBI group, regional brain ages being the oldest in prefrontal and temporal structures. Thus, mTBI involves significantly steeper regional GM loss rates than in HCs, reflecting older-than-expected regional brain ages.

Predicting the Risk of Alzheimer's Disease and Related Dementia in Patients with Mild Cognitive Impairment Using a Semi-Competing Risk Approach

Alzheimer's disease (AD) and AD-related dementias (AD/ADRD) are a group of progressive neurodegenerative diseases. The progression of AD can be conceptualized as a continuum in which patients progress from normal cognition to preclinical AD (i.e., no symptoms but biological changes in the brain) to mild cognitive impairment (MCI) due to AD (i.e., mild symptoms but not interfere with daily activities), followed by increasing severity of dementia due to AD. Early detection and prediction models for the transition of MCI to AD/ADRD are needed, and efforts have been made to build predictions of MCI conversion to AD/ADRD. However, most existing studies developing such prediction models did not consider the competing risks of death, which may result in biased risk estimates. In this study, we aim to develop a prediction model for AD/ADRD among patients with MCI considering the competing risks of death using a semi-competing risk approach.

Repurposing Non-pharmacological Interventions for Alzheimer's Diseases through Link Prediction on Biomedical Literature

Recently, computational drug repurposing has emerged as a promising method for identifying new pharmaceutical interventions (PI) for Alzheimer's Disease (AD). Non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPI), such as Vitamin E and Music therapy, have great potential to improve cognitive function and slow the progression of AD, but have largely been unexplored. This study predicts novel NPIs for AD through link prediction on our developed biomedical knowledge graph. We constructed a comprehensive knowledge graph containing AD concepts and various potential interventions, called ADInt, by integrating a dietary supplement domain knowledge graph, SuppKG, with semantic relations from SemMedDB database. Four knowledge graph embedding models (TransE, RotatE, DistMult and ComplEX) and two graph convolutional network models (R-GCN and CompGCN) were compared to learn the representation of ADInt. R-GCN outperformed other models by evaluating on the time slice test set and the clinical trial test set and was used to generate the score tables of the link prediction task. Discovery patterns were applied to generate mechanism pathways for high scoring triples. Our ADInt had 162,213 nodes and 1,017,319 edges. The graph convolutional network model, R-GCN, performed best in both the Time Slicing test set (MR = 7.099, MRR = 0.5007, Hits@1 = 0.4112, Hits@3 = 0.5058, Hits@10 = 0.6804) and the Clinical Trials test set (MR = 1.731, MRR = 0.8582, Hits@1 = 0.7906, Hits@3 = 0.9033, Hits@10 = 0.9848). Among high scoring triples in the link prediction results, we found the plausible mechanism pathways of (Photodynamic therapy, PREVENTS, Alzheimer's Disease) and (Choerospondias axillaris, PREVENTS, Alzheimer's Disease) by discovery patterns and discussed them further. In conclusion, we presented a novel methodology to extend an existing knowledge graph and discover NPIs (dietary supplements (DS) and complementary and integrative health (CIH)) for AD. We used discovery patterns to find mechanisms for predicted triples to solve the poor interpretability of artificial neural networks. Our method can potentially be applied to other clinical problems, such as discovering drug adverse reactions and drug-drug interactions.

Illuminating neurodegeneration: a future perspective on near-infrared spectroscopy in dementia research

SIGNIFICANCE

Dementia presents a global healthcare crisis, and neuroimaging is the main method for developing effective diagnoses and treatments. Yet currently, there is a lack of sensitive, portable, and low-cost neuroimaging tools. As dementia is associated with vascular and metabolic dysfunction, near-infrared spectroscopy (NIRS) has the potential to fill this gap.

AIM

This future perspective aims to briefly review the use of NIRS in dementia to date and identify the challenges involved in realizing the full impact of NIRS for dementia research, including device development, study design, and data analysis approaches.

APPROACH

We briefly appraised the current literature to assess the challenges, giving a critical analysis of the methods used. To assess the sensitivity of different NIRS device configurations to the brain with atrophy (as is common in most forms of dementia), we performed an optical modeling analysis to compare their cortical sensitivity.

RESULTS

The first NIRS dementia study was published in 1996, and the number of studies has increased over time. In general, these studies identified diminished hemodynamic responses in the frontal lobe and altered functional connectivity in dementia. Our analysis showed that traditional (low-density) NIRS arrays are sensitive to the brain with atrophy (although we see a mean decrease of 22% in the relative brain sensitivity with respect to the healthy brain), but there is a significant improvement (a factor of 50 sensitivity increase) with high-density arrays.

CONCLUSIONS

NIRS has a bright future in dementia research. Advances in technology - high-density devices and intelligent data analysis-will allow new, naturalistic task designs that may have more clinical relevance and increased reproducibility for longitudinal studies. The portable and low-cost nature of NIRS provides the potential for use in clinical and screening tests.

Admixture Mapping of Peripheral Artery Disease in a Dominican Population Reveals a Novel Risk Locus on 2q35

Peripheral artery disease (PAD) is a form of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, affecting ∼8 million Americans, and is known to have racial and ethnic disparities. PAD has been reported to have significantly higher prevalence in African Americans (AAs) compared to non-Hispanic European Americans (EAs). Hispanic/Latinos (HLs) have been reported to have lower or similar rates of PAD compared to EAs, despite having a paradoxically high burden of PAD risk factors, however recent work suggests prevalence may differ between sub-groups. Here we examined a large cohort of diverse adults in the Bio Me biobank in New York City (NYC). We observed the prevalence of PAD at 1.7% in EAs vs 8.5% and 9.4% in AAs and HLs, respectively; and among HL sub-groups, at 11.4% and 11.5% in Puerto Rican and Dominican populations, respectively. Follow-up analysis that adjusted for common risk factors demonstrated that Dominicans had the highest increased risk for PAD relative to EAs (OR=3.15 (95% CI 2.33-4.25), P <6.44×10 -14 ). To investigate whether genetic factors may explain this increased risk, we performed admixture mapping by testing the association between local ancestry (LA) and PAD in Dominican Bio Me participants (N=1,940) separately for European (EUR), African (AFR) and Native American (NAT) continental ancestry tracts. We identified a NAT ancestry tract at chromosome 2q35 that was significantly associated with PAD (OR=2.05 (95% CI 1.51-2.78), P <4.06×10 -6 ) with 22.5% vs 12.5% PAD prevalence in heterozygous NAT tract carriers versus non-carriers, respectively. Fine-mapping at this locus implicated tag SNP rs78529201 located within a long intergenic non-coding RNA (lincRNA) LINC00607 , a gene expression regulator of key genes related to thrombosis and extracellular remodeling of endothelial cells, suggesting a putative link of the 2q35 locus to PAD etiology. In summary, we showed how leveraging health systems data helped understand nuances of PAD risk across HL sub-groups and admixture mapping approaches elucidated a novel risk locus in a Dominican population.

Artificial Intelligence for Dementia Research Methods Optimization

INTRODUCTION

Machine learning (ML) has been extremely successful in identifying key features from high-dimensional datasets and executing complicated tasks with human expert levels of accuracy or greater.

METHODS

We summarize and critically evaluate current applications of ML in dementia research and highlight directions for future research.

RESULTS

We present an overview of ML algorithms most frequently used in dementia research and highlight future opportunities for the use of ML in clinical practice, experimental medicine, and clinical trials. We discuss issues of reproducibility, replicability and interpretability and how these impact the clinical applicability of dementia research. Finally, we give examples of how state-of-the-art methods, such as transfer learning, multi-task learning, and reinforcement learning, may be applied to overcome these issues and aid the translation of research to clinical practice in the future.

DISCUSSION

ML-based models hold great promise to advance our understanding of the underlying causes and pathological mechanisms of dementia.

Diabetes and cognitive function: An evidence-based current perspective

Several epidemiological studies have clearly identified diabetes mellitus (DM) as a major risk factor for cognitive dysfunction, and it is going to be a major public health issue in the coming years because of the alarming rise in diabetes prevalence across the world. Brain and neural tissues predominantly depend on glucose as energy substrate and hence, any alterations in carbohydrate meta-bolism can directly impact on cerebral functional output including cognition, executive capacity, and memory. DM affects neuronal function and mental capacity in several ways, some of which include hypoperfusion of the brain tissues from cerebrovascular disease, diabetes-related alterations of glucose transporters causing abnormalities in neuronal glucose uptake and metabolism, local hyper- and hypometabolism of brain areas from insulin resistance, and recurrent hypoglycemic episodes inherent to pharmacotherapy of diabetes resulting in neuronal damage. Cognitive decline can further worsen diabetes care as DM is a disease largely self-managed by patients. Therefore, it is crucial to understand the pathobiology of cognitive dysfunction in relation to DM and its management for optimal long-term care plan for patients. A thorough appraisal of normal metabolic characteristics of the brain, how alterations in neural metabolism affects cognition, the diagnostic algorithm for patients with diabetes and dementia, and the management and prognosis of patients when they have this dangerous combination of illnesses is imperative in this context. This evidence-based narrative with the back-up of latest clinical trial reviews elaborates the current understanding on diabetes and cognitive function to empower physicians to manage their patients in day-to-day clinical practice.

Deep Learning for Brain MRI Confirms Patterned Pathological Progression in Alzheimer's Disease

Deep learning (DL) on brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) data has shown excellent performance in differentiating individuals with Alzheimer's disease (AD). However, the value of DL in detecting progressive structural MRI (sMRI) abnormalities linked to AD pathology has yet to be established. In this study, an interpretable DL algorithm named the Ensemble of 3-dimensional convolutional neural network (Ensemble 3DCNN) with enhanced parsing techniques is proposed to investigate the longitudinal trajectories of whole-brain sMRI changes denoting AD onset and progression. A set of 2369 T1-weighted images from the multi-centre Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative and Open Access Series of Imaging Studies cohorts are applied to model derivation, validation, testing, and pattern analysis. An Ensemble-3DCNN-based P-score is generated, based on which multiple brain regions, including amygdala, insular, parahippocampal, and temporal gyrus, exhibit early and connected progressive neurodegeneration. Complex individual variability in the sMRI is also observed. This study combining non-invasive sMRI and interpretable DL in detecting patterned sMRI changes confirmed AD pathological progression, shedding new light on predicting AD progression using whole-brain sMRI.

An app for predicting patient dementia classes using convolutional neural networks (CNN) and artificial neural networks (ANN): Comparison of prediction accuracy in Microsoft Excel

BACKGROUND

Dementia is a progressive disease that worsens over time as cognitive abilities deteriorate. Effective preventive interventions require early detection. However, there are no reports in the literature concerning apps that have been developed and designed to predict patient dementia classes (DCs). This study aimed to develop an app that could predict DC automatically and accurately for patients responding to the clinical dementia rating (CDR) instrument.

METHODS

A CDR was applied to 366 outpatients in a hospital in Taiwan, with assessments on 25 and 49 items endorsed by patients and family members, respectively. The 2 models of convolutional neural networks (CNN) and artificial neural networks (ANN) were applied to examine the prediction accuracy based on 5 classes (i.e., no cognitive decline, very mild, mild, moderate, and severe) in 4 scenarios, consisting of 74 (items) in total, 25 in patients, 49 in family, and a combination strategy to select the best in the aforementioned scenarios using the forest plot. Using CDR scores in patients and their families on both axes, patients were dispersed on a radar plot. An app was developed to predict patient DC.

RESULTS

We found that ANN had higher accuracy rates than CNN with a ratio of 3:1 in the 4 scenarios. The highest accuracy rate (=93.72%) was shown in the combination scenario of ANN. A significant difference was observed between the CNN and ANN in terms of the accuracy rate. An available ANN-based app for predicting DC in patients was successfully developed and demonstrated in this study.

CONCLUSION

On the basis of a combination strategy and a decision rule, a 74-item ANN model with 285 estimated parameters was developed and included. The development of an app that will assist clinicians in predicting DC in clinical settings is required in the near future.

Inter-Hospital Advanced and Mild Alzheimer's Disease Classification Based on Electroencephalogram Measurements via Classical Machine Learning Algorithms

BACKGROUND

In pursuit of diagnostic tools capable of targeting distinct stages of Alzheimer's disease (AD), this study explores the potential of electroencephalography (EEG) combined with machine learning (ML) algorithms to identify patients with mild or moderate AD (ADM) and advanced AD (ADA).

OBJECTIVE

This study aims to assess the classification accuracy of six classical ML algorithms using a dataset of 668 patients from multiple hospitals.

METHODS

The dataset comprised measurements obtained from 668 patients, distributed among control, ADM, and ADA groups, collected from five distinct hospitals between 2011 and 2022. For classification purposes, six classical ML algorithms were employed: support vector machine, Bayesian linear discriminant analysis, decision tree, Gaussian Naïve Bayes, K-nearest neighbor and random forest.

RESULTS

The RF algorithm exhibited outstanding performance, achieving a remarkable balanced accuracy of 93.55% for ADA classification and 93.25% for ADM classification. The consistent reliability in distinguishing ADA and ADM patients underscores the potential of the EEG-based approach for AD diagnosis.

CONCLUSIONS

By leveraging a dataset sourced from multiple hospitals and encompassing a substantial patient cohort, coupled with the straightforwardness of the implemented models, it is feasible to attain notably robust results in AD classification.

Predicting Progression to Clinical Alzheimer's Disease Dementia Using the Random Survival Forest

BACKGROUND

Assessing the risk of developing clinical Alzheimer's disease (AD) dementia, by machine learning survival analysis approaches, among participants registered in Alzheimer's Disease Centers is important for AD dementia management.

OBJECTIVE

To construct a prediction model for the onset time of clinical AD dementia using the National Alzheimer Coordinating Center (NACC) and the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) registered cohorts.

METHODS

A model was constructed using the Random Survival Forest (RSF) approach and internally and externally validated on the NACC cohort and the ADNI cohort. An R package and a Shiny app were provided for accessing the model.

RESULTS

We built a predictive model having the six predictors: delayed logical memory score (story recall), CDR® Dementia Staging Instrument - Sum of Boxes, general orientation in CDR®, ability to remember dates and ability to pay bills in the Functional Activities Questionnaire, and patient age. The C indices of the model were 90.82% (SE = 0.71%) and 86.51% (SE = 0.75%) in NACC and ADNI respectively. The time-dependent AUC and accuracy at 48 months were 92.48% (SE = 1.12%) and 88.66% (SE = 1.00%) respectively in NACC, and 90.16% (SE = 1.12%) and 85.00% (SE = 1.14%) respectively in ADNI.

CONCLUSION

The model showed good prediction performance and the six predictors were easy to obtain, cost-effective, and non-invasive. The model could be used to inform clinicians and patients on the probability of developing clinical AD dementia in 4 years with high accuracy.

Early Detection of Dementia using Risk Classification in MCI: Outcomes of Shanghai Mild Cognitive Impairment Cohort Study

INTRODUCTION

The purpose of this study is to identify the risk factors and risk classification associated with the conversion from mild cognitive impairment (MCI) to Alzheimer's disease (AD) dementia to facilitate early intervention and the design of clinical trials for AD.

METHODS

The study comprised a prospective cohort study of 400 subjects with MCI who had annual follow-ups for 3 years.

RESULTS

During an average follow-up period of 3.5 years, 109 subjects were diagnosed with all cause of dementia, of whom 104 subjects converted to Alzheimer's dementia and 5 subjects converted to other types of dementia. The cumulative conversion rate was 5.5% (95% CI: 3.4, 8.6), 16.3% (95% CI: 12.9, 21.1), and 31.0% (95% CI: 25.4, 36.5) in each of the first 3 follow-up years, respectively. The factors associated with a greater risk of conversion from MCI to AD included smoking status, ApoE4 carrier status, right hippocampal volume (rt. HV), left temporal lobe volume, and scores on the Revised Chinese version of the Alzheimer's Disease Assessment Scale-Cognitive Subscale 13 (ADAS-Cog-C). The risk classification of the ADAS-Cog-C or Preclinical Alzheimer Cognitive Composite (PACC) score combined with the rt. HV showed a conversion difference among the groups at every annual follow-up.

CONCLUSION

A simple risk classification using the rt. HV and neuropsychological test scores, including those from the ADAS-Cog-C and PACC, could be a practicable and efficient approach to indentify individuals at risk of all-cause dementia.

Multi-stage classification of Alzheimer's disease from 18F-FDG-PET images using deep learning techniques

The study aims to implement a convolutional neural network framework that uses the 18F-FDG PET modality of brain imaging to detect multiple stages of dementia, including Early Mild Cognitive Impairment (EMCI) and Late Mild Cognitive Impairment (LMCI), and Alzheimer's disease (AD) from Cognitively Normal (CN), and assess the results. 18F-FDG PET imaging modality for brain were procured from Alzheimer's disease neuroimaging initiative's (ADNI) repository. The ResNet50V2 model layers were utilised for feature extraction, with the final convolutional layers fine-tuned for this dataset's multi-classification objectives. Multiple metrics and feature maps were utilized to scrutinize and evaluate the model's statistical and qualitative inference. The multi-classification model achieved an overarching accuracy of 98.44% and Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 95% on the testing set. Feature maps aided in deducing finer aspects of the model's overall operation. This framework helped classifying from the 18F-FDG PET brain images, the subtypes of Mild Cognitive Impairment (MCI) which include EMCI, LMCI, from AD, CN groups and achieved an all-inclusive sensitivity of 94% and specificity of 95% respectively.

Therapeutic Application of Virtual Reality in the Rehabilitation of Mild Cognitive Impairment: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

This review aimed to quantify the effect of therapeutic application of virtual reality (VR) on cognitive function in individuals with mild cognitive impairment (MCI). We searched for randomized controlled trials involving VR in the interventions provided to individuals with MCI. After searching four international electronic databases, we analyzed six studies involving 279 individuals with MCI. RevMan 5.4 was used for quality assessment and quantitative analysis. Therapeutic application of VR in individuals with MCI resulted in a significant improvement in cognitive function (mean difference = -1.46; 95% confidence interval: -2.53 to -0.39; heterogeneity: χ² = 970.56, df = 18, I² = 98%; and overall effect: Z = 2.67, p = 0.008). However, there was no significant improvement in the subcategories such as global cognition, working memory, executive function, memory function, and attention. In conclusion, feedback stimulation through VR has a potential value in improving cognitive function in individuals with MCI. However, on the basis of the results of the subcategories, a personalized VR program is required for the individual subcategories of cognitive function.

Identifying the presence and severity of dementia by applying interpretable machine learning techniques on structured clinical records

Background

Dementia develops as cognitive abilities deteriorate, and early detection is critical for effective preventive interventions. However, mainstream diagnostic tests and screening tools, such as CAMCOG and MMSE, often fail to detect dementia accurately. Various graph-based or feature-dependent prediction and progression models have been proposed. Whenever these models exploit information in the patients’ Electronic Medical Records, they represent promising options to identify the presence and severity of dementia more precisely.

Methods

The methods presented in this paper aim to address two problems related to dementia: (a) Basic diagnosis: identifying the presence of dementia in individuals, and (b) Severity diagnosis: predicting the presence of dementia, as well as the severity of the disease. We formulate these two tasks as classification problems and address them using machine learning models based on random forests and decision tree, analysing structured clinical data from an elderly population cohort. We perform a hybrid data curation strategy in which a dementia expert is involved to verify that curation decisions are meaningful. We then employ the machine learning algorithms that classify individual episodes into a specific dementia class. Decision trees are also used for enhancing the explainability of decisions made by prediction models, allowing medical experts to identify the most crucial patient features and their threshold values for the classification of dementia.

Results

Our experiment results prove that baseline arithmetic or cognitive tests, along with demographic features, can predict dementia and its severity with high accuracy. In specific, our prediction models have reached an average f1-score of 0.93 and 0.81 for problems (a) and (b), respectively. Moreover, the decision trees produced for the two issues empower the interpretability of the prediction models.

Conclusions

This study proves that there can be an accurate estimation of the existence and severity of dementia disease by analysing various electronic medical record features and cognitive tests from the episodes of the elderly population. Moreover, a set of decision rules may comprise the building blocks for an efficient patient classification. Relevant clinical and screening test features (e.g. simple arithmetic or animal fluency tasks) represent precise predictors without calculating the scores of mainstream cognitive tests such as MMSE and CAMCOG. Such predictive model can identify not only meaningful features, but also justifications of classification. As a result, the predictive power of machine learning models over curated clinical data is proved, paving the path for a more accurate diagnosis of dementia.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12911-022-02004-3.

The Feasibility of Early Alzheimer’s Disease Diagnosis Using a Neural Network Hybrid Platform

Early diagnosis of Alzheimer’s Disease (AD) is critical for disease prevention and cure. However, currently, techniques with the required high sensitivity and specificity are lacking. Recently, with the advances and increased accessibility of data analysis tools, such as machine learning, research efforts have increasingly focused on using these computational methods to solve this challenge. Here, we demonstrate a convolutional neural network (CNN)-based AD diagnosis approach using the surface-enhanced Raman spectroscopy (SERS) fingerprints of human cerebrospinal fluid (CSF). SERS and CNN were combined for biomarker detection to analyze disease-associated biochemical changes in the CSF. We achieved very high reproducibility in double-blind experiments for testing the feasibility of our system on human samples. We achieved an overall accuracy of 92% (100% for normal individuals and 88.9% for AD individuals) based on the clinical diagnosis. Further, we observed an excellent correlation coefficient between our test score and the Clinical Dementia Rating (CDR) score. Our findings offer a substantial indication of the feasibility of detecting AD biomarkers using the innovative combination of SERS and machine learning. We are hoping that this will serve as an incentive for future research in the field.

A multi-expert ensemble system for predicting Alzheimer transition using clinical features

Alzheimer’s disease (AD) diagnosis often requires invasive examinations (e.g., liquor analyses), expensive tools (e.g., brain imaging) and highly specialized personnel. The diagnosis commonly is established when the disorder has already caused severe brain damage, and the clinical signs begin to be apparent. Instead, accessible and low-cost approaches for early identification of subjects at high risk for developing AD years before they show overt symptoms are fundamental to provide a critical time window for more effective clinical management, treatment, and care planning. This article proposes an ensemble-based machine learning algorithm for predicting AD development within 9 years from first overt signs and using just five clinical features that are easily detectable with neuropsychological tests. The validation of the system involved both healthy individuals and mild cognitive impairment (MCI) patients drawn from the ADNI open dataset, at variance with previous studies that considered only MCI. The system shows higher levels of balanced accuracy, negative predictive value, and specificity than other similar solutions. These results represent a further important step to build a preventive fast-screening machine-learning-based tool to be used as a part of routine healthcare screenings.