Prospective Multicenter Study on the Prognostic and Predictive Impact of Tumor Budding in Stage II Colon Cancer: Results From the SACURA Trial

A novel grading approach predicts worse outcomes in stage pT1 non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer

OBJECTIVE

To develop a prognostically relevant scoring system for stage pT1 non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) incorporating tumour budding, growth pattern and invasion pattern because the World Health Organisation grading system shows limited prognostic value in such patients.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

The tissue specimens and clinical data of 113 patients with stage pT1 NMIBC who underwent transurethral resection of bladder tumour were retrospectively investigated. Tumour budding, and growth and invasion patterns were evaluated and categorised into two grade groups (GGs). GGs and other clinical and histopathological variables were investigated regarding recurrence-free survival (RFS), progression-free survival (PFS), cancer-specific survival (CSS) and overall survival (OS) using univariable and multivariable Cox regression analyses.

RESULTS

The integration of two tumour budding groups, two growth patterns, and two invasion patterns yielded an unfavourable GG (n = 28; 24.7%) that had a high impact on oncological outcomes. The unfavourable GG was identified as an independent RFS and OS predictor (P = 0.004 and P = 0.046, respectively) and linked to worse PFS (P = 0.001) and CSS (P = 0.001), irrespective of the European Association of Urology risk group. The unfavourable GG was associated with higher rates of BCG-unresponsive tumours (P = 0.006). Study limitations include the retrospective, single-centre design, diverse therapies and small cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

We present a morphology-based grading system for stage pT1 NMIBC that correlates with disease aggressiveness and oncological patient outcomes. It therefore identifies a highest risk group of stage pT1 NMIBC patients, who should be followed up more intensively or receive immediate radical cystectomy. The grading incorporates objective variables assessable on haematoxylin and eosin slides and immunohistochemistry, enabling an easy-to-use low-cost approach that is applicable in daily routine. Further studies are needed to validate and confirm these results.

Standardizing data collection in adjuvant colon cancer trials: A consensus project from the IDEA and ACCENT international consortia and national experts

BACKGROUND

Despite contributions provided by the recent clinical trials, several issues and challenges still remain unsolved in adjuvant colon cancer (CC). Hence, further studies should be planned to better refine risk assessment as well as to establish the optimal treatment strategy in the adjuvant setting. However, it is necessary to request adequate, contemporary and relevant variables and report them homogeneously in order to bring maximal information when analyzing their prognostic value.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

The project was devised to gain a consensus from experts engaged in the planning, accrual and analyses of stage II and III CC clinical trials, to identify mandatory and recommended baseline variables in order to i) harmonize future data collection worldwide in clinical trials dedicated to adjuvant treatment of CC; ii) propose guidance for Case Report Forms to be used for clinical trials in this setting. A total of 72 questions related to variables that should be reported and how to report them in adjuvant clinical trials were approved and then voted to reach a final consensus from panelists.

RESULTS

Data items on patient-related factors, histopathological features, molecular profile, circulating biomarkers and blood analyses were analyzed and discussed by the whole expert panel. For each item, we report data supporting the acquired consensus and the relevant issues that were discussed. Nineteen items were deemed to be mandatory for resected stage III patients and 24 for resected stage II disease. In addition, 9 and 4 items were judged as recommended for stage III and II, respectively.

CONCLUSION

In our opinion, these 28 variables should be used and uniformly reported in more comprehensive CRFs as research groups design future clinical trials in the field of adjuvant colon cancer.

Tumor Budding as a Prognostic Marker in Primary Colon Cancer - A Single Center Experience

Introduction: Tumor budding (TB) is considered to be a morphological and prognostic factor relevant to colon cancer (CC). The aim of our study is to assess the TB and to evaluate its relationship to clinicopathological findings within stage II and III CC patients as a single center experience. Materials and methods: A total of 120 CC patients operated between 2018 and 2021 at the University Clinic of Digestive Surgery in Skopje, the Republic of North Macedonia were included in this retrospective, single center study. TB was evaluated by the magnification of 200x along the invasive front of the primary tumor on H&E and CKAE1/AE3 immunohistochemically stained sections. Two grades were used: low grade (TB1, 0-4 TBs) and high-grade, which includes intermediate (TB2, 5-9 TBs) and high grade (TB3 ≥10TBs) of TBs. Results: A statistically significant correlation has been identified between high-grade TB and age (p=0.05) of the patients. There was also a significantly higher occurrence of high-grade TB in patients within stage III CC. Statistically significant correlations were also found in lymph node status (p<0.01), vascular invasion (p<0.05), lymphatic invasion (p<0.01), postoperative relapse (p<0.01), and death (p<0.01). Tumor relapse and death were significantly more frequent in patients with high-grade TB than those with low-grade TB. Patients with registered high-grade TB demonstrated significantly lower relapse-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) rates than patients with low-grade TB over the observation period (RFS: 53.8% vs. 98.5%, p<0.001; OS: 65.4% vs. 97.1%, p<0.001, respectively). Patients with lung and liver postoperative relapses had higher percentage of cases with high-grade TB (94.1%). Conclusion: Our results are highly suggestive that TB should be included as a histological biomarker in the pathology report of patients with stage II and stage III CC, because of its prognostic value.

Prognostic significance of tumour budding in noncolorectal gastrointestinal tract and pancreatobiliary tract: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Tumour budding shows promise as a prognostic factor in various cancers, but its widespread application is hindered by the lack of large, validated studies and standardized criteria. This meta-analysis aims to review and examine the prognostic role of tumour budding specifically in noncolorectal gastrointestinal and pancreatobiliary tract cancers, broadening our perspective on its clinical relevance. The literature review was conducted through PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science from inception till 20 February 2023. Pooled odds ratio (OR) and hazard ratio (HR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) were calculated to assess the relation between tumour budding and clinicopathologic features, as well as overall survival. Each study was evaluated using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale and both heterogeneity and publication bias were analysed. In this meta-analysis of 57 studies across various cancer types, multivariate HR revealed worse overall survival in oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma (HR 3.34 [95% CI 2.21-5.04]), gastric adenocarcinoma (2.03 [1.38-2.99]), pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (2.56 [2.02-3.25]), and biliary tract adenocarcinoma (3.11 [2.46-3.93]) with high-grade tumour budding. Additionally, high-grade tumour budding consistently correlated with adverse clinicopathological features, including lymph node metastasis, lymphovascular invasion, and distant metastasis without any observed inverse association. High heterogeneity was noted. Our study suggests that tumour budding is a valuable prognostic marker in various cancers. Nonetheless, standardized criteria tailored to specific organ types are necessary to enhance its clinical utility.

Tumor habitat and peritumoral region evolution-based imaging features to assess risk categorization of thymomas

AIM

To develop an aggregate model that integrated clinical data, habitat characteristics, and intratumoral and peritumoral features to assess the risk categorization of thymomas.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed 140 thymoma patients (70 low-risk and 70 high-risk), including pathological data. The patients were randomly divided into training cohort (n = 114) and test cohort (n = 26). The k-means clustering was utilized to partition the primary tumor into habitats based on intratumoral radiomic features, 6 distinct habitats were identified. By expanding the region of interest (ROI) mask, 2 peritumoral regions were obtained. Finally, 7 clinical characteristics, 3 habitat values, 20 radiomic features were utilized to develop an aggregated model, to predict the risk of thymoma. Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) interpretation was used for features importance ranking. The accuracy and area under curve (AUC) were used to analyze the performance of the models.

RESULTS

The aggregated model, which utilized the XGBoost classifier, demonstrated the best performance with an AUC of 0.811 and an accuracy of 0.769. In comparison, the radiomic model produced an AUC of 0.654 and an accuracy of 0.692. Additionally, the Intratumoral + peritumoral model exhibited an AUC of 0.728 and an accuracy of 0.769.

CONCLUSION

Our study establishes a novel tool to predict the risk of thymoma with a good performance. If prospectively validated, the model may refine thymoma patient selection for risk-adaptative therapy and improve prognosis.

Clinico-pathological evaluation of tumor budding in the oncological progression of colorectal cancer

INTRODUCTION

Tumor budding (TB), defined as the presence of individual neoplastic cells or isolated groups of up to 4 cells at the front of tumor invasion, has become an adverse prognostic marker in colorectal cancer (CRC) in recent decades. The prognostic impact of TB in CRC remains not clearly defined and histological methods for its evaluation vary depending on the center. The objective of this study is to investigate the association between TB and CRC, in terms of oncological evolution and pathological stage.

METHODS

A retrospective observational study was conducted, including patients undergoing curative oncological surgery for CRC between January 2017 and December 2022. The effects of TB on disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) were evaluated according to the Kaplan-Meier curves.

RESULTS

In 78 cases TB was described in the pathology report. TB was present in 56 patients (71.8%), divided into the following categories: low grade in 22 (39.3%), intermediate grade in 17 (30.4%) and high grade in 17 (30.4%). The proportion of patients who presented lymph node metastases, lympho-vascular and perineural invasion was significantly higher in patients with TB (26.8% vs 0%, P=.008; 41.1% vs 4.5%, P=.002; 16.1% vs 0% P=.054; respectively). DFS was 86.3% in low-grade TB, 75.3% in intermediate-grade TB, and 70.3% in high-grade TB. Cases with intermediate and high grade were associated with a shorter OS compared to the low grade group (93.7% and 75.4% vs 100% P=.012, respectively).

CONCLUSION

These results suggest that TB expression may be a useful risk factor as a prognostic factor for the detection of lymph node metastasis, local recurrence, and distant metastasis in CRC.

Improved Risk-Stratification Scheme for Mismatch-Repair Proficient Stage II Colorectal Cancers Using the Digital Pathology Biomarker QuantCRC

PURPOSE

There is a need to improve current risk stratification of stage II colorectal cancer to better inform risk of recurrence and guide adjuvant chemotherapy. We sought to examine whether integration of QuantCRC, a digital pathology biomarker utilizing hematoxylin and eosin-stained slides, provides improved risk stratification over current American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO) guidelines.

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

ASCO and QuantCRC-integrated schemes were applied to a cohort of 398 mismatch-repair proficient (MMRP) stage II colorectal cancers from three large academic medical centers. The ASCO stage II scheme was taken from recent guidelines. The QuantCRC-integrated scheme utilized pT3 versus pT4 and a QuantCRC-derived risk classification. Evaluation of recurrence-free survival (RFS) according to these risk schemes was compared using the log-rank test and HR.

RESULTS

Integration of QuantCRC provides improved risk stratification compared with the ASCO scheme for stage II MMRP colorectal cancers. The QuantCRC-integrated scheme placed more stage II tumors in the low-risk group compared with the ASCO scheme (62.5% vs. 42.2%) without compromising excellent 3-year RFS. The QuantCRC-integrated scheme provided larger HR for both intermediate-risk (2.27; 95% CI, 1.32-3.91; P = 0.003) and high-risk (3.27; 95% CI, 1.42-7.55; P = 0.006) groups compared with ASCO intermediate-risk (1.58; 95% CI, 0.87-2.87; P = 0.1) and high-risk (2.24; 95% CI, 1.09-4.62; P = 0.03) groups. The QuantCRC-integrated risk groups remained prognostic in the subgroup of patients that did not receive any adjuvant chemotherapy.

CONCLUSIONS

Incorporation of QuantCRC into risk stratification provides a powerful predictor of RFS that has potential to guide subsequent treatment and surveillance for stage II MMRP colorectal cancers.

The Relationship between Tumor Budding and Tumor Deposits in Patients with Stage III Colorectal Carcinoma

Background/Objectives: Recently, some new morphological features of colorectal cancer have been discovered as important prognostic factors; in this paper, we study the relationship between tumor budding (TB) and tumor deposits (TDs). Methods: The retrospective cohort study included 90 patients with pathohistologically confirmed stage III CRC who were treated with radical surgical resection. All hematoxylin and eosin (H and E)-stained slides from each patient were reviewed, and histological parameters were recorded. The samples were divided into two groups with similar sizes: a group without TDs (N = 51) and a control group with TDs (N = 39). The presence and TB grade were further analyzed in these groups and compared with other clinical and histological features. Results: The prevalence of TB in the investigated cohort was unexpectedly high (94.4%). Overall, there were 23 (25.6%) Bd1, 20 (22.2%) Bd2, and 47 (52.2%) Bd3 cases. The presence of TDs was significantly associated with a higher number of TB (p < 0.001, OR 16.3) and, consequently, with a higher TB grade (p = 0.004, OR 11.04). A higher TB grade (p = 0.001, HR 2.28; 95% CI 1.93-4.76) and a growing number of TDs (p = 0.014, HR 1.52; 95% CI 1.09-2.1) were statistically significantly associated with shorter survival. Conclusions: TDs appear more often in patients with higher TB grades in stage III CRC. A higher TB grade and a growing number of TDs were statistically significantly associated with shorter overall survival. These results could give additional emphasis to the importance of TB as an adverse prognostic factor since a strong relationship with TDs has been demonstrated.

The prognostic value of tumor budding in a thoroughly characterized stage II colon cancer population in the context of a national screening program

Tumor budding as a prognostic marker in colorectal cancer has not previously been investigated in a cohort of screened stage II colon cancer patients. We assessed the prognostic significance of tumor budding in a thoroughly characterized stage II colon cancer population comprising surgically resected patients in the Region of Southern Denmark from 2014 to 2016. Tumors were re-staged according to the 8th edition of UICC TNM Classification, undergoing detailed histopathological evaluation and tumor budding assessment following guidelines from the International Tumor Budding Consensus Conference. Prognostic evaluation utilized Kaplan-Meier curves, log-rank tests, and Cox proportional hazard models for time to recurrence (TTR), recurrence-free survival (RFS), and overall survival (OS). Out of 497 patients, 20% were diagnosed through the national colorectal cancer screening program. High-grade tumor budding (Bd3) was found in 19% of tumors and was associated with glandular subtype, perineural invasion, mismatch repair proficient tumors, and tumor recurrence (p < 0.001, p < 0.001, p = 0.045, and p = 0.007 respectively). In multivariable Cox regression, high-grade budding was a significant prognostic factor for TTR compared to low-grade (Bd3 HR 2.617; p = 0.007). An association between tumor budding groups and RFS was observed, and the difference was significant in univariable analysis for high-grade compared to low-grade tumor budding (Bd3 HR 1.461; p = 0.041). No significant differences were observed between tumor budding groups and OS. High-grade tumor budding is a predictor of recurrence in a screened population of patients with stage II colon cancer and should be considered a high-risk factor in a shared decision-making process when stratifying patients to adjuvant chemotherapy.

Elevated postoperative carcinoembryonic antigen guides adjuvant chemotherapy for stage II colon cancer: a multicentre cohort retrospective study

Most clinical doctors rely on high-risk factors recommended by guidelines to decide whether to undergo adjuvant chemotherapy for stage II colon cancer. However, these high-risk factors do not include postoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA). This study aims to explore the elevation of postoperative CEA as a risk factor, in addition to other high-risk factors, to guide adjuvant chemotherapy for patients with stage II colon cancer. A retrospective analysis was conducted on stage II colon cancer patients who underwent curative surgery at Yunnan Cancer Hospital and The Sixth Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-Sen University from April 2008 to January 2019. Patients were classified into three groups based on high-risk factors recommended by guidelines and postoperative CEA levels: low-risk with normal postoperative CEA, low-risk with elevated postoperative CEA and high-risk. COX regression analysis was used to identify independent prognostic factors affecting patients' recurrence free survival (RFS). The Kaplan-Meier method was used to create the patients' RFS curve. The restricted cubic spline (RCS) curve was used to assess the correlation between postoperative CEA and RFS on a continuous scale. Among 761 patients, there were 444 males (62.01%), with a median [IQR] age of 58.0 (18.0-88.0) years. A group of 425 high-risk patients had a 3-year RFS of 82.2% (95% CI 78.5-86.1%), while a group of 291 low-risk patients had a 3-year RFS of 89.7% (95% CI 86.1-93.5%). There was a statistically significant difference between the two groups (HR 1.83; 95% CI 1.22-2.74; P = 0.0067). Among them, the 3-year RFS of 261 low-risk patients with normal postoperative CEA was 93.6% (95% CI 90.5-96.8%), while the 3-year RFS of 30 low-risk patients with elevated postoperative CEA was 57.3% (95% CI 41.8-71.4%). There was a significant difference compared to the 3-year RFS of 425 high-risk patients (overall log-rank P < 0.0001). The multivariate analysis adjusted by the COX proportional hazards model showed that low-risk patients with elevated postoperative CEA patients (HR 14.95, 95% CI 4.51-49.63, P < 0.0001) was independently associated with a 3-year RFS. The restricted cubic spline model showed that in stage II colon cancer patients with tumor diameter > 1.955 ng/mL, the risk of postoperative recurrence increased with increasing postoperative CEA levels. Patients with elevated postoperative CEA levels have a significantly increased risk of recurrence. They should be included as high-risk factors to guide adjuvant chemotherapy for stage II colon cancer.

Neighboring macrophage-induced alteration in the phenotype of colorectal cancer cells in the tumor budding area

BACKGROUND

A higher number of tumor buds in the invasive front of colorectal cancer (CRC) specimens has been shown to contribute to a poor prognosis in CRC patients. Because macrophages (Mφs) have been demonstrated to alter the phenotype of cancer cells, we hypothesized that the phenotype of CRC cells in the tumor budding (TB) area might be changed by the interaction between CRC cells and Mφs.

METHODS

We assessed the expression of topoisomerase 1 in CRC cells to estimate the acquisition of chemoresistance in CRC. To demonstrate the tumor-stromal interaction between CRC cells and Mφs, we assessed two histological findings, the number of Mφs per single CRC cell and the proximity between CRC cells and Mφs by histological spatial analysis using HALO software.

RESULTS

The expression levels of topoisomerase 1 in CRC cells were decreased in deeper areas, especially in the TB area, compared to the surface area. Our histological spatial analysis revealed that 2.6 Mφs located within 60 μm of a single CRC cell were required to alter the phenotype of the CRC cell. Double-immunofluorescence staining revealed that higher Mφs were positive for interleukin-6 (IL-6) in the TB area and that AE1/AE3-positive CRC cells were also positive for phospho-STAT3 (pSTAT3) in the TB area; thus, the IL-6 receptor (IL-6R)/STAT3 signaling pathway in CRC cells was upregulated by IL-6 derived from neighboring Mφs.

CONCLUSION

IL-6 secreted from the neighboring Mφs would alter the phenotype of CRC cells via IL-6R/STAT3 signaling pathway.

Tumor Budding Assessment in Colorectal Carcinoma: Normalization Revisited

Tumor budding (TB) is a powerful prognostic factor in colorectal cancer (CRC). An internationally standardized method for its assessment (International Tumor Budding Consensus Conference [ITBCC] method) has been adopted by most CRC pathology protocols. This method requires that TB counts are reported by field area (0.785 mm 2 ) rather than objective lens and a normalization factor is applied for this purpose. However, the validity of this approach is yet to be tested. We sought to validate the ITBCC method with a particular emphasis on normalization as a tool for standardization. In a cohort of 365 stage I-III CRC, both normalized and non-normalized TB were significantly associated with disease-specific survival and recurrence-free survival ( P <0.0001). Examining both 0.95 and 0.785 mm 2 field areas in a subset of patients (n=200), we found that normalization markedly overcorrects TB counts: Counts obtained in a 0.95 mm 2 hotspot field were reduced by an average of 17.5% following normalization compared with only 3.8% when counts were performed in an actual 0.785 mm 2 field. This resulted in 45 (11.3%) cases being downgraded using ITBCC grading criteria following normalization, compared with only 5 cases (1.3%, P =0.0007) downgraded when a true 0.785 mm 2 field was examined. In summary, the prognostic value of TB was retained regardless of whether TB counts in a 0.95 mm 2 field were normalized. Normalization resulted in overcorrecting TB counts with consequent downgrading of most borderline cases. This has implications for risk stratification and adjuvant treatment decisions, and suggests the need to re-evaluate the role of normalization in TB assessment.

MRI-based radiomic models to predict surgical margin status and infer tumor immune microenvironment in breast cancer patients with breast-conserving surgery: a multicenter validation study

OBJECTIVES

Accurate preoperative estimation of the risk of breast-conserving surgery (BCS) resection margin positivity would be beneficial to surgical planning. In this multicenter validation study, we developed an MRI-based radiomic model to predict the surgical margin status.

METHODS

We retrospectively collected preoperative breast MRI of patients undergoing BCS from three hospitals (SYMH, n = 296; SYSUCC, n = 131; TSPH, n = 143). Radiomic-based model for risk prediction of the margin positivity was trained on the SYMH patients (7:3 ratio split for the training and testing cohorts), and externally validated in the SYSUCC and TSPH cohorts. The model was able to stratify patients into different subgroups with varied risk of margin positivity. Moreover, we used the immune-radiomic models and epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT) signature to infer the distribution patterns of immune cells and tumor cell EMT status under different marginal status.

RESULTS

The AUCs of the radiomic-based model were 0.78 (0.66-0.90), 0.88 (0.79-0.96), and 0.76 (0.68-0.84) in the testing cohort and two external validation cohorts, respectively. The actual margin positivity rates ranged between 0-10% and 27.3-87.2% in low-risk and high-risk subgroups, respectively. Positive surgical margin was associated with higher levels of EMT and B cell infiltration in the tumor area, as well as the enrichment of B cells, immature dendritic cells, and neutrophil infiltration in the peritumoral area.

CONCLUSIONS

This MRI-based predictive model can be used as a reliable tool to predict the risk of margin positivity of BCS. Tumor immune-microenvironment alteration was associated with surgical margin status.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

This study can assist the pre-operative planning of BCS. Further research on the tumor immune microenvironment of different resection margin states is expected to develop new margin evaluation indicators and decipher the internal mechanism.

KEY POINTS

• The MRI-based radiomic prediction model (CSS model) incorporating features extracted from multiple sequences and segments could estimate the margin positivity risk of breast-conserving surgery. • The radiomic score of the CSS model allows risk stratification of patients undergoing breast-conserving surgery, which could assist in surgical planning. • With the help of MRI-based radiomics to estimate the components of the immune microenvironment, for the first time, it is found that the margin status of breast-conserving surgery is associated with the infiltration of immune cells in the microenvironment and the EMT status of breast tumor cells.

High KRT17 expression in tumour budding indicates immunologically 'hot' tumour budding and predicts good survival in patients with colorectal cancer

Objectives

Emerging evidence has demonstrated that tumour budding (TB) is negatively associated with T-lymphocyte infiltration in CRC. Despite extensive research, the molecular characteristics of immunologically 'hot' TB remain poorly understood.

Methods

We quantified the number of TB by haematoxylin-eosin (H&E) sections and the densities of CD3+ and CD8+ T-lymphocytes by immunohistochemistry in a CRC cohort of 351 cases who underwent curative resection. We analysed the differential expression and T-lymphocyte infiltration score of 37 human epithelial keratins in CRC using RNA sequencing from the TCGA dataset. In 278 TB-positive cases, KRT17 expression was evaluated in tumour centre (TC) and TB with a staining score. Patient demographic, clinicopathological features and survival rates were analysed.

Results

In a CRC cohort of 351 cases, low-grade TB was associated with high CD3+ and CD8+ T-cell densities in the invasive margin (IM) but not in the TC. Of 37 human epithelial keratins, only KRT17 expression in TB had an apparent association with TB-grade and T-lymphocyte infiltration. In 278 TB-positive cases, high KRT17 expression in TB (KRT17TB) was negatively associated with low-grade TB and positively associated with high CD3+ and CD8+ T-cell densities in IM. High KRT17TB predicted early tumour grade, absence of lymph node metastasis and absence of tumour deposits. Additionally, patients with high KRT17TB had good overall survival and disease-free survival. Notably, low KRT17TB can specifically identify those patients with a poor prognosis among colorectal cancer patients with low TB and high T-lymphocyte infiltration.

Conclusions

KRT17 can be employed as a new indicator for distinguishing different immunological TBs.

Association of tumor budding with clinicopathological features and prognostic value in stage III-IV colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

Tumor budding (TB) has emerged as a promising independent prognostic biomarker in colorectal cancer (CRC). The prognostic role of TB has been extensively studied and currently affects clinical decision making in patients with stage I and II CRC. However, existing prognostic studies on TB in stage III CRC have been confined to small retrospective cohort studies. Consequently, this study investigated the correlation among TB categories, clinicopathological features, and prognosis in stage III-IV CRC to further enhance the precision and individualization of treatment through refined prognostic risk stratification.

AIM

To analyze the relationship between TB categories and clinicopathological characteristics and assess their prognostic value in stage III-IV CRC to further refine the prognostic risk stratification of stage III-IV CRC.

METHODS

The clinical data of 547 CRC patients were collected for this retrospective study. Infiltration at the front edge of the tumor buds was counted according to the 2016 International Tumor Budding Consensus Conference guidelines.

RESULTS

Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis demonstrated that chemotherapy (P = 0.004), clinical stage IV (P < 0.001), ≥ 4 regional lymph node metastases (P = 0.004), left-sided colonic cancer (P = 0.040), and Bd 2-3 (P = 0.002) were independent prognostic factors in patients with stage III-IV CRC. Moreover, the density of tumor infiltrating lymphocytes was higher in Bd 1 than in Bd 2-3, both in the tumor stroma and its invasive margin.

CONCLUSION

TB has an independent predictive prognostic value in patients with stage III-IV CRC. It is recommended to complete the TB report of stage III-IV CRC cases in the standardized pathological report to further refine risk stratification.

Effects of tumour budding on adjuvant chemotherapy in colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

High tumour budding has been indicated as a risk factor of poor survival in colorectal cancer. This study aimed to investigate the impact of tumour budding grades and the use of adjuvant chemotherapy on prognosis in patients with colorectal cancer.

METHODS

This study included consecutive colorectal cancer patients who underwent radical surgery for primary colorectal adenocarcinoma at The Sixth Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University between 2009 and 2019. Tumour budding was assessed based on the recommendations of the International Tumor Budding Consensus Conference using haematoxylin and eosin (H&E)-stained slides with tumour samples. The primary outcome of interest was to correlate tumour budding with disease-free survival and overall survival; the secondary outcome was investigation of the impact of adjuvant therapy on different tumour budding grades. In addition, a subgroup analysis was performed for the effects of lymphocytic infiltration on adjuvant chemotherapy in patients with Bd3.

RESULTS

Of 709 eligible patients, 412 with colorectal cancer were included. According to the International Tumor Budding Consensus Conference, 210 (50.9 per cent), 127 (30.8 per cent) and 75 (18.2 per cent) were classified as low budding (Bd1), intermediate budding (Bd2) and high budding (Bd3) respectively. Patients with Bd1, Bd2 and Bd3 had 5-year disease-free survival rates of 82.9 per cent, 70.1 per cent and 49.3 per cent respectively, and 5-year overall survival rates of 90 per cent, 79.5 per cent and 62.7 per cent respectively (P <0.001). Adjuvant chemotherapy yielded a significant survival benefit in patients with Bd3 (5-year disease-free survival, 65 per cent versus 31.4 per cent, P <0.001; 5-year overall survival, 84.4 per cent versus 63.1 per cent, P <0.001), but not in those with Bd1 or Bd2. In patients with Bd3, the benefit of adjuvant chemotherapy was maintained in those with low, but not high lymphocytic infiltration.

CONCLUSION

High grade of tumour budding was strongly correlated with poorer survival outcomes in colorectal cancer. Patients with Bd3 benefited from adjuvant chemotherapy, with the exclusion of patients with high lymphocytic infiltration.

CYTOR Facilitates Formation of FOSL1 Phase Separation and Super Enhancers to Drive Metastasis of Tumor Budding Cells in Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma

Tumor budding (TB) is a small tumor cell cluster with highly aggressive behavior located ahead of the invasive tumor front. However, the molecular and biological characteristics of TB and the regulatory mechanisms governing TB phenotypes remain unclear. This study reveals that TB exhibits a particular dynamic gene signature with stemness and partial epithelial-mesenchymal transition (p-EMT). Importantly, nuclear expression of CYTOR is identified to be the key regulator governing stemness and the p-EMT phenotype of TB cells, and targeting CYTOR significantly inhibits TB formation, tumor growth and lymph node metastasis in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC). Mechanistically, CYTOR promotes tumorigenicity and metastasis of TB cells by facilitating the formation of FOSL1 phase-separated condensates to establish FOSL1-dependent super enhancers (SEs). Depletion of CYTOR leads to the disruption of FOSL1-dependent SEs, which results in the inactivation of cancer stemness and pro-metastatic genes. In turn, activation of FOSL1 promotes the transcription of CYTOR. These findings indicate that CYTOR is a super-lncRNA that controls the stemness and metastasis of TB cells through facilitating the formation of FOSL1 phase separation and SEs, which may be an attractive target for therapeutic interventions in HNSCC.

Intratumoral Budding and CD8-Positive T-cell Density in Pretreatment Biopsies as a Predictor of Response to Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy in Advanced Rectal Cancer

BACKGROUND

Neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (CRT) is the standard treatment for advanced rectal cancer. Yet, the response to CRT varies from complete response to zero tumor regression.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The impact of intratumoral budding (ITB) and intratumoral CD8+ cell density on response to CRT and survival were evaluated in biopsy samples from 266 patients with advanced rectal cancer who were treated with long-course neoadjuvant CRT. The expression of epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT) markers was compared between patients with high and low ITB, using data from 174 patients with RNA sequencing.

RESULTS

High ITB was observed in 62 patients (23.3%). There was no association between ITB and CD8+ cell density. The multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that high CD8+ cell density (OR, 2.69; 95% CI, 1.45-4.98; P = .002) was associated with good response to CRT, whereas high ITB (OR, 0.33; 95% CI, 0.14-0.80; P = .014) was associated with poor response. Multivariable Cox regression analysis for survival showed that high CD8+ cell density was associated with better recurrence-free survival (HR, 0.41; 95% CI, 0.24-0.72; P = .002) and overall survival (HR, 0.36; 95% CI, 0.17-0.74; P = .005), but significance values for ITB were marginal (P = .104 for recurrence-free survival and P = .163 for overall survival). The expression of EMT-related genes was not significantly different between patients with high and low ITB.

CONCLUSION

ITB and CD8+ cell density in biopsy samples may serve as useful biomarkers to predict therapy response in patients with rectal cancer treated with neoadjuvant CRT.

Prognostic Value of Tumor Budding for Early Breast Cancer

BACKGROUND

Tumor budding (TB) is a dynamic process associated with the epithelial-mesenchymal transition and a well-established prognostic biomarker for colorectal cancer. As part of the tumor microenvironment, tumor buds demonstrate increased cell motility and invasiveness. Current evidence demonstrates that high levels of TB correlate with disease progression and worst outcomes across different solid tumors. Our work aims to demonstrate the clinical applicability of TB analysis and its utility as a prognostic factor for patients with early breast cancer (EBC).

METHODS

Retrospective, single-center, observational study, enrolling patients with EBC diagnosed in a Portuguese hospital between 2014 and 2015. TB classification was performed according to the International Tumor Budding Conference 2016 guidelines.

RESULTS

A statistically significant relation was found between higher TB score and aggressive clinicopathological features (angiolymphatic/perineural invasion-p < 0.001; tumor size-p = 0.012; nuclear grading-p < 0.001; and Ki-67 index-p = 0.011), higher number of relapses (p < 0.001), and short disease-free survival (DFS) (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

We demonstrate that high TB correlates with shorter DFS and aggressive clinicopathological features used in daily practice to decide on the benefit of chemotherapy for EBC. TB represents a needed prognostic biomarker for EBC, comprising a new factor to be considered in the adjuvant decision-making process by identifying patients at a high risk of relapse and with higher benefit on treatment intensification. Clinical trials incorporating TB are needed to validate its prognostic impact.

Development and Validation of Multi-Omics Thymoma Risk Classification Model Based on Transfer Learning

The paper aims to develop prediction model that integrates clinical, radiomics, and deep features using transfer learning to stratifying between high and low risk of thymoma. Our study enrolled 150 patients with thymoma (76 low-risk and 74 high-risk) who underwent surgical resection and pathologically confirmed in Shengjing Hospital of China Medical University from January 2018 to December 2020. The training cohort consisted of 120 patients (80%) and the test cohort consisted of 30 patients (20%). The 2590 radiomics and 192 deep features from non-enhanced, arterial, and venous phase CT images were extracted and ANOVA, Pearson correlation coefficient, PCA, and LASSO were used to select the most significant features. A fusion model that integrated clinical, radiomics, and deep features was developed with SVM classifiers to predict the risk level of thymoma, and accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, ROC curves, and AUC were applied to evaluate the classification model. In both the training and test cohorts, the fusion model demonstrated better performance in stratifying high and low risk of thymoma. It had AUCs of 0.99 and 0.95, and an accuracy of 0.93 and 0.83, respectively. This was compared to the clinical model (AUCs of 0.70 and 0.51, accuracy of 0.68 and 0.47), the radiomics model (AUCs of 0.97 and 0.82, accuracy of 0.93 and 0.80), and the deep model (AUCs of 0.94 and 0.85, accuracy of 0.88 and 0.80). The fusion model integrating clinical, radiomics and deep features based on transfer learning was efficient for noninvasively stratifying high risk and low risk of thymoma. The models could help to determine surgery strategy for thymoma cancer.

Predictive biomarkers for colorectal cancer: a state-of-the-art systematic review

INTRODUCTION

Colorectal cancer (CRC) poses a substantial health burden, with early detection paramount for improved prognosis. This study aims to evaluate potential CRC biomarkers and detection techniques.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This systematic review, reported in adherence to PRISMA Statement 2020 guidelines, collates the latest research on potential biomarkers and detection/prognosis methods for CRC, spanning the last decade.

RESULTS

Out of the 38 included studies, diverse biomarkers and detection methods emerged, with DNA methylation markers like SFRP2 and SDC2, microRNAs including miR-1290, miR-506, and miR-4316, and serum and plasma markers such as NTS levels and U2 snRNA fragments standing out. Methylated cfDNA and m5C methylation alteration in immune cells of the blood, along with circular RNA, showed promise as diagnostic markers. Meanwhile, techniques involving extracellular vesicles and lateral flow immunoassays exhibited potential for swift and effective CRC screening.

DISCUSSION

Our state-of-the-art review identifies potential biomarkers, including SFRP2, SDC2, miR-1290, miR-506, miR-4316, and U2 snRNA fragments, with significant potential in enhancing CRC detection. However, comprehensive validation studies and a rigorous evaluation of clinical utility and cost-effectiveness remain necessary before integration into routine clinical practice.

CONCLUSION

The findings emphasize the need for continued research into biomarkers and detection methods to improve patient outcomes.

Pseudobudding: ruptured glands do not represent true tumor buds

Tumor budding (TB) is a strong biomarker of poor prognosis in colorectal cancer and other solid cancers. TB is defined as isolated single cancer cells or clusters of up to four cancer cells at the invasive tumor front. In areas with a large inflammatory response at the invasive front, single cells and cell clusters surrounding fragmented glands are observed appearing like TB. Occurrence of these small groups is referred to as pseudobudding (PsB), which arises due to external influences such as inflammation and glandular disruption. Using a combination of orthogonal approaches, we show that there are clear biological differences between TB and PsB. TB is representative of active invasion by presenting features of epithelial-mesenchymal transition and exhibiting increased deposition of extracellular matrix within the surrounding tumor microenvironment (TME), whereas PsB represents a reactive response to heavy inflammation where increased levels of granulocytes within the surrounding TME are observed. Our study provides evidence that areas with a strong inflammatory reaction should be avoided in the routine diagnostic assessment of TB. © 2023 The Authors. The Journal of Pathology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of The Pathological Society of Great Britain and Ireland.

Tumor stromal topography promotes chemoresistance in migrating breast cancer cell clusters

Multicellular clustering provides cancer cells with survival advantages and facilitates metastasis. At the tumor migration front, cancer cell clusters are surrounded by an aligned stromal topography. It remains unknown whether aligned stromal topography regulates the resistance of migrating cancer cell clusters to therapeutics. Using a hybrid nanopatterned model to characterize breast cancer cell clusters at the migration front with aligned stromal topography, we demonstrate that topography-induced migrating cancer cell clusters exhibit upregulated cytochrome P450 family 1 (CYP1) drug metabolism and downregulated glycolysis gene signatures, which correlates with unfavorable prognosis. Screening on approved oncology drugs shows that cancer cell clusters on aligned stromal topography are more resistant to diverse chemotherapeutics. Full-dose drug testings further indicate that topography induces drug resistance of hormone receptor-positive breast cancer cell clusters to doxorubicin and tamoxifen and triple-negative breast cancer cell clusters to doxorubicin by activating the aryl hydrocarbon receptor (AhR)/CYP1 pathways. Inhibiting the AhR/CYP1 pathway restores reactive oxygen species-mediated drug sensitivity to migrating cancer cell clusters, suggesting a plausible therapeutic direction for preventing metastatic recurrence.

Prognostic Factors Among Colonic Adenocarcinomas Invading Into the Muscularis Propria

Depth of invasion through the intestinal wall, categorized as primary tumor stage (pT), is an important prognostic factor in colorectal cancer. However, additional variables that may affect clinical behavior among tumors involving the muscularis propria (pT2) have not been examined at length. We evaluated 109 patients with pT2 colonic adenocarcinomas (median age: 71 y, interquartile range: 59 to 79 y) along various clinicopathologic parameters, including invasion depth, regional lymph node involvement, and disease progression after resection. Tumors extending to the outer muscularis propria (termed pT2b) were associated in multivariate analysis with older patient age (P=0.04), larger tumor size (P<0.001), higher likelihood of lymphovascular invasion (LVI; P=0.03) and higher lymph node stage (pN; P=0.04), compared with tumors limited to the inner muscle layer (pT2a), and LVI was the single most important variable predicting regional lymph node metastasis at resection in these tumors (P=0.001). The Kaplan-Meier analysis during a median clinical follow-up of 59.7 months (interquartile range: 31.5 to 91.2) revealed that disease progression was more likely in pT2 tumors that exhibited, at the time of staging: size >2.5 cm (P=0.039), perineural invasion (PNI; P=0.047), high-grade tumor budding (P=0.036), higher pN stage (P=0.002), and distant metastasis (P<0.001). Proportional hazards (Cox) regression identified high-grade tumor budding (P=0.02) as independently predicting shorter progression-free survival in pT2 tumors. Finally, among cases that would not ordinarily be candidates for adjuvant treatment (ie, pT2N0M0), the presence of high-grade tumor budding was significantly associated with disease progression (P=0.04). These data suggest that, during the diagnosis of pT2 tumors, pathologists may wish to pay particular attention and ensure adequate reporting of certain variables such as tumor size, depth of invasion within the muscularis propria (ie, pT2a vs. pT2b), LVI, PNI, and, especially, tumor budding, as these may affect clinical treatment decisions and proper patient prognostication.

Is there no need to discuss adjuvant chemotherapy in stage II colon cancer patients with high tumor budding and lymphovascular invasion?

PURPOSE

The aim of this study is to evaluate the clinicopathologic associations of tumor budding (Bd) as well as other potential prognosticators including lymphovascular invasion (LVI) in T3/4aN0 colon cancer patients and to investigate their impact on the outcome.

METHODS

The patients were enrolled in three groups according to the number of budding as Bd1 (0-4 buds), Bd2 (5-9 buds), and Bd3 (> 10 buds). These groups were retrospectively compared in terms of demographic features, other tumor characteristics, operative outcomes, recurrences, and survival. The mean follow-up time was 58 ± 22 months.

RESULTS

A total of 194 patients were divided as follows: 97 in Bd1, 41 in Bd2, and 56 in Bd3 groups. The Bd3 group was associated with significantly higher LVI and larger tumor size. The rate of recurrence increased progressively from 5.2% in Bd1 to 9.8% in Bd2 and to 17.9% in Bd3 group (p = 0.03). More importantly, the 5-year overall survival (OS: Bd1 = 92.3% vs. Bd2 = 88% vs. Bd3 = 69.5%, p = 0.03) and disease-free survival (DFS: Bd1 = 87.9% vs. Bd2 = 75.3% vs. Bd3 = 66%, p = 0.02) were significantly worse in Bd3 group. In addition, in the subgroup of patients with the presence of Bd3 and LVI together, the 5-year OS (60% vs. 92%, p = 0.001) and DFS (56.1% vs. 85.4%, p = 0.001) were significantly worse. In multivariate analysis, Bd3+LVI was significantly associated with poor OS and DFS (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

In patients with T3/4aN0 colon cancer, high tumor budding negatively affects long-term oncological outcomes. These findings strongly suggest that adjuvant chemotherapy be considered for the patients with Bd3 and LVI together.

Association of High LAT1 Expression with Poor Prognosis and Recurrence in Colorectal Cancer Patients Treated with Oxaliplatin-Based Adjuvant Chemotherapy

The mammalian target of rapamycin (mTOR) is often activated in several cancers. We focused on two mTOR regulatory mechanisms: oxaliplatin-induced mTOR signaling and L-type amino acid transporter 1 (LAT1)-induced mTOR activation. High LAT1 expression in several cancers is associated with mTOR activation and resistance to chemotherapy. However, the significance of LAT1 has not yet been elucidated in colorectal cancer (CRC) patients treated with post-operative adjuvant chemotherapy. Immunohistochemistry was conducted to examine the significance of membrane LAT1 expression in 98 CRC patients who received adjuvant chemotherapy, including oxaliplatin. In vitro analysis was performed using CRC cell lines to determine the effects of LAT1 suppression on proliferation, oxaliplatin sensitivity, and mTOR signaling. LAT1 expression was associated with cancer aggressiveness and poor prognosis in 98 CRC patients treated with adjuvant chemotherapy. We found that positive LAT1 expression correlated with shorter survival in 43 patients treated with the capecitabine-plus-oxaliplatin (CAPOX) regimen. LAT1 suppression in CRC cells inhibited the proliferation potency and oxaliplatin-induced activation of mTOR signaling, and improved oxaliplatin sensitivity. LAT1 evaluation before adjuvant treatment may therefore be a sensitive marker for oxaliplatin-based regimens. Moreover, LAT1 may be a promising target for patients with refractory CRC.

Clinical Score to Predict Recurrence in Patients with Stage II and Stage III Colon Cancer

Background: The prognosis of patients with stage II and stage III colon cancer is heterogeneous. Clinical and pathological characteristics, such as tumor budding, may help to further refine the recurrence risk. Methods: We included all the patients with localized colon cancer at Hospital Universitario La Paz from October 2016 to October 2021. We built a prognostic score for recurrence in the training cohort based on multivariate cox regression analysis and categorized the patients into two risk groups. Results: A total of 440 patients were included in the training cohort. After a median follow-up of 45 months, 81 (18%) patients had a first tumor recurrence. T4, N2, and high tumor budding remained with a p value <0.05 at the last step of the multivariate cox regression model for time to recurrence (TTR). We assigned 2 points to T4 and 1 point to N2 and high tumor budding. Forty-five percent of the patients were assigned to the low-risk group (score = 0). Compared to the high-risk group (score 1−4), patients in the low-risk group had a significantly longer TTR (hazard ratio for disease recurrence of 0.14 (95%CI: 0.00 to 0.90; p < 0.045)). The results were confirmed in the validation cohort. Conclusions: In our study, we built a simple score to predict tumor recurrence based on T4, N2, and high tumor budding. Patients in the low-risk group, that comprised 44% of the cohort, had an excellent prognosis.

CD4 and FOXP3 as predictive markers for the recurrence of T3/T4a stage II colorectal cancer: applying a novel discrete Bayes decision rule

Background

We recently reported the relapse-free survival (RFS) significance of the combination of CD4⁺ and forkhead box P3⁺ (FOXP3) T-cell densities identified by immunohistochemistry in patients with stage I, II, and III colorectal cancer (CRC) who underwent curative resections. This study was designed to determine the optimal combination of markers that predict recurrence in patients with T factors of T3/T4a stage II CRC by applying a novel Bayes decision rule.

Methods

Using 137 cancer tissue specimens from T3/T4a stage II patients, 12 clinicopathologic and immune factors were analysed as predictive candidates for recurrence.

Results

Our study showed that the combination of low CD4⁺ and low FOXP3⁺ T-cell densities resulted in extremely poor RFS.

Conclusions

Adjuvant chemotherapy may be considered for patients with a combination of low CD4⁺ and low FOXP3⁺ T-cell densities. The discovery of this new prognostic indicator is important for the appropriate management of patients undergoing curative resection for T3/T4a stage II CRC.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12885-022-10181-7.

Evaluation of the Cellular Dissociation Grading, Based on Tumor Budding and Cell Nest Size, in Squamous Cell Carcinoma of the Penis

The "Cellular Dissociation Grade" (CDG) is based on tumor cell budding and cell nest size. Many studies have examined the CDG in squamous cell carcinomas of other organs such as the lungs, oral cavity, pharynx, larynx, cervix and esophagus. In this study, the CDG was examined in 109 cases of invasive penile squamous cell carcinoma that were treated at the University Medicine Rostock between 2014 and 2022. Furthermore, its correlation with the pathologic status of regional lymph nodes (pN) as the main prognostic factor was verified. Finally, cellular dissociation grading was compared with classic WHO grading. The results showed that pN in penile squamous cell carcinoma showed a highly significant association with the CDG and no statistically significant association with WHO grading. These results support the notion that cellular dissociation grading is an important prognostic factor for squamous cell carcinoma.

EPDR1 levels and tumor budding predict and affect the prognosis of bladder carcinoma

Background

Bladder carcinoma is a common malignancy of the urinary system. The previous study showed that EPDR1 expression was significantly related to the carcinogenesis and progression of bladder carcinoma

Methods

We retrospectively reviewed the records of 621 patients who were newly diagnosed with bladder carcinoma between January 2018 and August 2020 at The Affiliated Hospital of Zunyi Medical University. We conducted immunohistochemistry of EPDR1 in tumor tissues. Meanwhile, tumor budding evaluation was also carried out by 2 independent experienced pathologists.

Results

80 patients were included in this study with a median age of 66 years (range; 42–88 years). 45% of the patients (36/80) were non-muscle-invasive bladder carcinoma patients, while 55% of muscle-invasive bladder carcinoma(44/80). The follow-up time was from 6 months to 36 months. We found that there were significant differences in expression of EPDR1 in the tumor pT stages(p<0.05), pM stages(p<0.05), and pN stages(p<0.05). Meanwhile, a higher expression of EPDR1 indicated a worse outcome for the patient(p<0.05). A tendency toward a worse status of the patient was accompanied by a high positive rate (p<0.001). Moreover, the IOD of EPDR1 had a positive relationship with TB (p<0.05). Furthermore, we found that EPDR1 and tumor budding could be crucial factors for affecting the prognosis of bladder carcinoma, even better than pTMN(Riskscore=(0.724)* pT_stage +(4.960) *EPDR1+(4.312)*TB).

Conclusion

In conclusion, bladder cancer patients with higher expression levels of EPDR1 had worse survival outcomes. The combination of TB and EPDR1 levels could predict the prognosis for muscle-invasive bladder cancer patients.

Predictive Value of Circulating Tumor Cells Based on Subtraction Enrichment for Recurrence Risk in Stage II Colorectal Cancer

Current guidelines recommend adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT) for stage II colorectal cancer (CRC) patients by using clinical high risk factors, with which circulating tumor cells (CTCs) were not considered. Here, an assessment to detect CTCs based on subtraction enrichment mediated by magnetic beads conjugated with CD45, immunofluorescence staining of CK, and fluorescence in situ hybridization of CEP8 is established. Both CEP8- and CK-positive CTCs have the potential to improve the risk stratification of stage II CRC patients. Patients with preoperative CTCs of ≥4 had a significantly higher recurrence risk than those with preoperative CTCs of <4 in two external validation cohorts (P < 0.0001). In the subgroup with clinical high risk, when preoperative CTCs were <4, patients did not benefit from ACT (P = 0.5764); however, when preoperative CTCs were ≥4, patients received benefit from ACT (P = 0.0064). Additionally, regardless of clinical risk status and preoperative CTC levels, if postoperative CTC levels were ≥4 for more than three consecutive time points (monitoring time interval, 2-6 months), the recurrence rate was 100%. Our findings suggested that the subtraction enrichment of CTCs could provide a reliable method to stratify the recurrence risk and make therapeutic decisions after surgery in stage II CRC patients.

Copy-number intratumor heterogeneity increases the risk of relapse in chemotherapy-naive stage II colon cancer

Optimal selection of high-risk patients with stage II colon cancer is crucial to ensure clinical benefit of adjuvant chemotherapy. Here, we investigated the prognostic value of genomic intratumor heterogeneity and aneuploidy for disease recurrence. We combined targeted sequencing, SNP arrays, fluorescence in situ hybridization, and immunohistochemistry on a retrospective cohort of 84 untreated stage II colon cancer patients. We assessed the clonality of copy-number alterations (CNAs) and mutations, CD8⁺ lymphocyte infiltration, and their association with time to recurrence. Prognostic factors were included in machine learning analysis to evaluate their ability to predict individual relapse risk. Tumors from recurrent patients displayed a greater proportion of CNAs compared with non-recurrent (mean 31.3% versus 23%, respectively; p = 0.014). Furthermore, patients with elevated tumor CNA load exhibited a higher risk of recurrence compared with those with low levels [p = 0.038; hazard ratio (HR) 2.46], which was confirmed in an independent cohort (p = 0.004; HR 3.82). Candidate chromosome-specific aberrations frequently observed in recurrent cases included gain of the chromosome arm 13q (p = 0.02; HR 2.67) and loss of heterozygosity at 17q22-q24.3 (p = 0.05; HR 2.69). CNA load positively correlated with intratumor heterogeneity (R = 0.52; p < 0.0001). Consistently, incremental subclonal CNAs were associated with an elevated risk of relapse (p = 0.028; HR 2.20), which we did not observe for subclonal single-nucleotide variants and small insertions and deletions. The clinico-genomic model rated an area under the curve of 0.83, achieving a 10% incremental gain compared with clinicopathological markers (p = 0.047). In conclusion, tumor aneuploidy and copy-number intratumor heterogeneity were predictive of poor outcome and improved discriminative performance in early-stage colon cancer. © 2022 The Authors. The Journal of Pathology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of The Pathological Society of Great Britain and Ireland.

Pathologist's perspectives on reporting of tumour budding in colorectal cancer

Purpose

Tumour budding (TB) is an important adverse prognostic factor in colon cancer, which can also guide adjuvant treatment in stage II colorectal carcinoma. The International Tumor Budding Consensus Conference (ITBCC) recommended a three-tiered scoring system to streamline the scoring of budding across the globe. The goal of this survey is to understand the variation in reporting practice, globally.

Methods

A short survey was designed as an online questionnaire and shared via social media platforms and emails to pathology society groups in various countries.

Results

A majority of the 294 respondents (186/294; 63.3%) report budding in colorectal carcinoma. This figure differed significantly from 53.4% in Asia to 97.4% in North America. The most common (56.4%) reason for not reporting TB was because it is yet not a mandatory recommendation in the various datasets (e.g. The College of American Pathologists). The majority (78.9%) of the people who were reporting TB, used the ITBCC scoring system (scoring on a single hotspot 20× field). Most used 10× objective for screening (88.7%) and scored only at the invasive front (88.7%). Immunohistochemistry (8.6%) or deeper cuts (24.2%) were rarely used. TB scoring took 10 minutes or less in most (87.1%).

Conclusion

Though budding is well accepted among specialist gastrointestinal pathologists, it is still not universally accepted as an important prognostic parameter across the globe. The hesitancy for reporting is due to a combination of lack of clinical demand and extra effort and time involved in counting the ITBCC score.

Current Perspectives on the Importance of Pathological Features in Prognostication and Guidance of Adjuvant Chemotherapy in Colon Cancer

There is not a clear consensus on which pathological features and biomarkers are important in guiding prognosis and adjuvant therapy in colon cancer. The Pathology in Colon Cancer, Prognosis and Uptake of Adjuvant Therapy (PiCC UP) Australia and New Zealand questionnaire was distributed to colorectal surgeons, medical oncologists and pathologists after institutional board approval. The aim of this study was to understand current specialist attitudes towards pathological features in the prognostication of colon cancer and adjuvant therapy in stage II disease. A 5-scale Likert score was used to assess attitudes towards 23 pathological features for prognosis and 18 features for adjuvant therapy. Data were analysed using a rating scale and graded response model in item response theory (IRT) on STATA (Stata MP, version 15; StataCorp LP). One hundred and sixty-four specialists (45 oncologists, 86 surgeons and 33 pathologists) participated. Based on IRT modelling, the most important pathological features for prognosis in colon cancer were distant metastases, lymph node metastases and liver metastases. Other features seen as important were tumour rupture, involved margin, radial margin, CRM, lymphovascular invasion and grade of differentiation. Size of tumour, location, lymph node ratio and EGFR status were considered less important. The most important features in decision making for adjuvant therapy in stage II colon cancer were tumour rupture, lymphovascular invasion and microsatellite instability. BRAF status, size of tumour, location, tumour budding and tumour infiltrating lymphocytes were factored as lesser importance. Biomarkers such as CDX2, EGFR, KRAS and BRAF status present areas for further research to improve precision oncology. This study provides the most current status on the importance of pathological features in prognostication and recommendations for adjuvant therapy in Australia and New Zealand. Results of this nationwide study may be useful to help in guiding prognosis and adjuvant treatment in colon cancer.

Oncotype DX testing does not affect clinical practice in stage IIa colon cancer

Although studies have demonstrated the 12-gene Oncotype DX Colon Recurrence Score's (RS) validity in predicting recurrence and influence on physician-patient decision-making, its discriminatory power and inability to predict response to treatment make its clinical impact uncertain. We sought to evaluate the influence of RS in the decision to offer adjuvant chemotherapy after resection of stage IIa colon cancer. A review of patients with stage IIa colon cancer who obtained the RS at a tertiary academic medical center was conducted. The main study outcome was decision to start adjuvant chemotherapy. The association between RS and the decision to obtain adjuvant chemotherapy was evaluated utilizing the Wilcoxon rank-sum test and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. 52 of 105 patients with stage IIa colon cancer underwent RS testing. Overall, seven of 52 patients (13%) received adjuvant chemotherapy. 34 (65%) patients obtained the RS test despite having multiple other recurrence risk factors. There were no significant associations between any patient/tumor characteristic and RS score (all p > 0.08) or starting adjuvant chemotherapy (all p > 0.15). On multivariable analysis, there was no significant effect of RS on the odds of undergoing chemotherapy (OR 1.07, 95% CI 0.98-1.19; p = 0.14). There was no clear association between RS and starting adjuvant chemotherapy (AUC 0.64, 95% CI 0.36-0.91; p = 0.25). RS was not associated with the decision to start adjuvant chemotherapy. Given its lack of association with clinical decision-making and inability to predict clinical outcome, our data suggest the RS should not be obtained in patients with stage IIa colon cancer.

[Tumor budding in colorectal cancer-Information for clinical use and instructions for practical evaluation]

BACKGROUND

Some patients with high-risk colorectal cancer show a worse prognosis within the same UICC stage. Therefore, the identification of additional risk factors is necessary to find the best treatment for these patients.

OBJECTIVE

In which settings can tumor budding help the clinical decision-making process for treatment planning and how should scoring be performed?

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Evaluation of current publications on tumor budding with an emphasis on practical grading and potential problems in the determination of tumor budding.

RESULTS

Tumor budding is a significant risk factor for worse clinical outcome of colorectal cancer and can influence clinical decision-making in pT1 and stage II colorectal cancer. A scoring method was standardized by the ITBCC 2016 and is feasible in everyday practice. Challenges in assessment can be addressed by increasing awareness of potential problem cases.

Breast Cancer Classification Based on Tumor Budding and Stem Cell-Related Signatures Facilitate Prognosis Evaluation

Background

Tumor budding (TB) is emerging as a prognostic factor in multiple cancers. Likewise, the stemness of cancer cells also plays a vital role in cancer progression. However, nearly no research has focused on the interaction of TB and tumor stemness in cancer.

Methods

Tissue microarrays including 229 cases of invasive breast cancer (BC) were established and subjected to pan-cytokeratin immunohistochemical staining to evaluate molecular expression. Univariate and multivariate analyses were applied to identify prognostic factors of BC, and the Chi-square test was used for comparison of categorical variables.

Results

High-grade TB was significantly associated with T stage, lymph node metastasis, tumor node metastasis (TNM) stage, epithelial-mesenchymal transition, and poor disease-free survival (DFS) of BC patients. We also found that the prognostic value of TB varied widely among different subtypes and subgroups. Cox regression analysis then showed that TB grade was an independent prognostic factor. Moreover, cancer stem cell (CSC) markers CD44 and ALDH1A1 were significantly higher in high-grade TB tumors. Consequently, patients were classified into high CSC score subgroup and low CSC score subgroups. Further research found that CSC scores correlated with clinicopathological features and DFS of BC patients. Based on TB grade and CSC scores, we classified BC patients into TB_low-CSCs_low (type I), TB_low-CSCs_high (type II), TB_high-CSCs_low (type III), and TB_high-CSCs_high (type IV) subgroups. Survival analysis showed that patients in the type I subgroup had the best DFS, whereas those in the type IV subgroup had the worst DFS. Finally, a TB-CSC-based nomogram for use in BC was established. The nomogram was well calibrated to predict the probability of 5-year DFS, and the C-index was 0.837. Finally, the area under the curve value for the nomogram (0.892) was higher than that of the TNM staging system (0.713).

Conclusion

The combination of TB grade with CSC score improves the prognostic evaluation of BC patients. A novel nomogram containing TB grade and CSC score provides doctors with a candidate tool to guide the individualized treatment of cancer patients.

Computer extracted features of nuclear morphology in hematoxylin and eosin images distinguish Stage II and IV colon tumors

We assessed the utility of quantitative features of colon cancer nuclei, extracted from digitized hematoxylin and eosin-stained whole slide images (WSIs), to distinguish between Stage II from Stage IV colon cancers. Our discovery cohort comprised 100 Stage II and Stage IV colon cancer cases sourced from the University Hospitals Cleveland Medical Center (UHCMC). We performed initial (independent) model validation on 51 (143) Stage II and 79 (54) Stage IV colon cancer cases from UHCMC (The Cancer Genome Atlas's Colon Adenocarcinoma, TCGA-COAD, cohort). Our approach comprised the following steps, (1) a fully convolutional deep neural network with VGG-18 architecture was trained to locate cancer on WSIs, (2) another deep-learning model based on Mask-RCNN with Resnet-50 architecture was used to segment all nuclei from within the identified cancer region, (3) a total of 26,641 quantitative morphometric features pertaining to nuclear shape, size, and texture were extracted from within and outside tumor nuclei, (4) a random forest classifier was trained to distinguish between Stage II and Stage IV colon cancers using the 5 most discriminatory features selected by the Wilcoxon rank-sum test. Our trained classifier using these top 5 features yielded an AUC of 0.81 and 0.78, respectively, on the held-out cases in UHCMC and TCGA validation sets. For 197 TCGA-COAD cases, the Cox-proportional hazards model yielded a hazard ratio of 2.20 (95% CI: 1.24-3.88) with a concordance index of 0.71 using only top-five features for risk stratification of overall survival. The Kaplan-Meier estimate also showed statistically significant separation between the low-risk and high-risk patients with a log-rank p-value of 0.0097. Finally, unsupervised clustering of the top-five features revealed that Stage IV colon cancers with peritoneal spread were morphologically more similar to Stage II colon cancers with no long-term metastases than Stage IV colon cancers with hematogenous spread. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

High tumor budding predicts a poor prognosis in resected duodenal adenocarcinoma

PURPOSE

Tumor budding is a histological characteristic defined as the presence of small clusters of cancer cells at the invasion front. Its significance in duodenal adenocarcinoma (DA) has not been fully described.

METHODS

A single-center, retrospective study was conducted. Patients who underwent curative surgery for histologically diagnosed DA from January 2006 to December 2018 at Kansai Medical University Hospital were included. Tumor budding was counted per 0.785 mm² and classified as low (0-4 buds), intermediate (5-9 buds), or high (≥ 10 buds).

RESULTS

In total, 47 patients were included. The 5-year overall survival and relapse-free survival rates were 77% and 72%, respectively. High tumor budding was seen in 15 patients (32%). Excluding patients with superficial type (pT1) DA (n = 22), high tumor budding [hazard ratio (HR) 13.4, p = 0.028], regional lymph node metastasis (HR 19.9, p = 0.039), and adjuvant chemotherapy (HR 0.056, p = 0.036) were independent factors related to the overall survival in multivariate analyses. Distant metastases occurred significantly more often in patients who had high tumor budding than in others (p = 0.039).

CONCLUSION

The data suggest that high tumor budding is a predictor of a poor prognosis in resected DA.

Sustainable Clinical Development of Adjuvant Chemotherapy for Colon Cancer

Numerous clinical studies in an adjuvant setting have been conducted and the combination therapy of 5-fluorouracil and oxaliplatin has been established as the standard treatment for Stage III and as an option for high-risk Stage II patients. Biologics such as bevacizumab and antiepidermal growth factor receptor antibodies have failed to show additional survival benefits. The indication of adjuvant chemotherapy has been determined according to the pathological stage. Nevertheless, a pathological diagnosis does not necessarily result in selection of the optimal treatment. To improve treatment decisions, many trials have aimed to stratify patients into treatment groups using genomic testing. Recently, gene signature, Immunoscore, and circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) assays have been reported and among them, ctDNA was shown to be a promising accurate predictive marker for recurrence. Treatment of ctDNA-positive patients with aggressive chemotherapy may reduce recurrence rates. The ultimate goal is to accurately predict the risk of recurrence and to prevent recurrence in colon cancer patients. In this review we focus on the clinical development of adjuvant chemotherapy and stratification of patients according to risk of recurrence and the future direction of adjuvant chemotherapy.

Development and validation of a radiopathomics model to predict pathological complete response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy in locally advanced rectal cancer: a multicentre observational study

BACKGROUND

Accurate prediction of tumour response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy enables personalised perioperative therapy for locally advanced rectal cancer. We aimed to develop and validate an artificial intelligence radiopathomics integrated model to predict pathological complete response in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer using pretreatment MRI and haematoxylin and eosin (H&E)-stained biopsy slides.

METHODS

In this multicentre observational study, eligible participants who had undergone neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy followed by radical surgery were recruited, with their pretreatment pelvic MRI (T2-weighted imaging, contrast-enhanced T1-weighted imaging, and diffusion-weighted imaging) and whole slide images of H&E-stained biopsy sections collected for annotation and feature extraction. The RAdioPathomics Integrated preDiction System (RAPIDS) was constructed by machine learning on the basis of three feature sets associated with pathological complete response: radiomics MRI features, pathomics nucleus features, and pathomics microenvironment features from a retrospective training cohort. The accuracy of RAPIDS for the prediction of pathological complete response in locally advanced rectal cancer was verified in two retrospective external validation cohorts and further validated in a multicentre, prospective observational study (ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04271657). Model performances were evaluated using area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV).

FINDINGS

Between Sept 25, 2009, and Nov 3, 2017, 303 patients were retrospectively recruited in the training cohort, 480 in validation cohort 1, and 150 in validation cohort 2; 100 eligible patients were enrolled in the prospective study between Jan 10 and June 10, 2020. RAPIDS had favourable accuracy for the prediction of pathological complete response in the training cohort (AUC 0·868 [95% CI 0·825-0·912]), and in validation cohort 1 (0·860 [0·828-0·892]) and validation cohort 2 (0·872 [0·810-0·934]). In the prospective validation study, RAPIDS had an AUC of 0·812 (95% CI 0·717-0·907), sensitivity of 0·888 (0·728-0·999), specificity of 0·740 (0·593-0·886), NPV of 0·929 (0·862-0·995), and PPV of 0·512 (0·313-0·710). RAPIDS also significantly outperformed single-modality prediction models (AUC 0·630 [0·507-0·754] for the pathomics microenvironment model, 0·716 [0·580-0·852] for the radiomics MRI model, and 0·733 [0·620-0·845] for the pathomics nucleus model; all p<0·0001).

INTERPRETATION

RAPIDS was able to predict pathological complete response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy based on pretreatment radiopathomics images with high accuracy and robustness and could therefore provide a novel tool to assist in individualised management of locally advanced rectal cancer.

FUNDING

National Natural Science Foundation of China; Youth Innovation Promotion Association of the Chinese Academy of Sciences.

Adjuvant Therapy for Stage II Colon Cancer: ASCO Guideline Update

PURPOSE

To develop recommendations for adjuvant therapy for patients with resected stage II colon cancer.

METHODS

ASCO convened an Expert Panel to conduct a systematic review of relevant studies and develop recommendations for clinical practice.

RESULTS

Twenty-one observational studies and six randomized controlled trials met the systematic review inclusion criteria.

RECOMMENDATIONS

Adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT) is not routinely recommended for patients with stage II colon cancer who are not in a high-risk subgroup. Patients with T4 tumors are at higher risk of recurrence and should be offered ACT, whereas patients with other high-risk factors, including sampling of fewer than 12 lymph nodes in the surgical specimen, perineural or lymphatic invasion, poorly or undifferentiated tumor grade, intestinal obstruction, tumor perforation, or grade BD3 tumor budding, may be offered ACT. The addition of oxaliplatin to fluoropyrimidine-based ACT is not routinely recommended, but may be offered as a result of shared decision making. Patients with mismatch repair deficiency/microsatellite instability tumors should not be routinely offered ACT; if the combination of mismatch repair deficiency/microsatellite instability and high-risk factors results in a decision to offer ACT, oxaliplatin-containing chemotherapy is recommended. Duration of oxaliplatin-containing chemotherapy is also addressed, with recommendations for 3 or 6 months of treatment with capecitabine and oxaliplatin or fluorouracil, leucovorin, and oxaliplatin, with decision making informed by key evidence of 5-year disease-free survival in each treatment subgroup and the rate of adverse events, including peripheral neuropathy.Additional information is available at www.asco.org/gastrointestinal-cancer-guidelines.

Pathological Features and Prognostication in Colorectal Cancer

The prognostication of colorectal cancer (CRC) has traditionally relied on staging as defined by the Union for International Cancer Control (UICC) and American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) TNM staging classifications. However, clinically, there appears to be differences in survival patterns independent of stage, suggesting a complex interaction of stage, pathological features, and biomarkers playing a role in guiding prognosis, risk stratification, and guiding neoadjuvant and adjuvant therapies. Histological features such as tumour budding, perineural invasion, apical lymph node involvement, lymph node yield, lymph node ratio, and molecular features such as MSI, KRAS, BRAF, and CDX2 may assist in prognostication and optimising adjuvant treatment. This study provides a comprehensive review of the pathological features and biomarkers that are important in the prognostication and treatment of CRC. We review the importance of pathological features and biomarkers that may be important in colorectal cancer based on the current evidence in the literature.

Pan-Asian adapted ESMO Clinical Practice Guidelines for the diagnosis treatment and follow-up of patients with localised colon cancer

The most recent version of the European Society for Medical Oncology (ESMO) Clinical Practice Guidelines for the diagnosis, treatment and follow-up of localised colon cancer was published in 2020. It was decided by both the ESMO and the Japanese Society of Medical Oncology (JSMO) to convene a special virtual guidelines meeting in March 2021 to adapt the ESMO 2020 guidelines to take into account the ethnic differences associated with the treatment of localised colon cancer in Asian patients. These guidelines represent the consensus opinions reached by experts in the treatment of patients with localised colon cancer representing the oncological societies of Japan (JSMO), China (CSCO), India (ISMPO), Korea (KSMO), Malaysia (MOS), Singapore (SSO) and Taiwan (TOS). The voting was based on scientific evidence and was independent of the current treatment practices and drug availability and reimbursement situations in the different Asian countries.

Impact of Immunoscore on the Management of Stage II Colon Cancer Patients: A Physician Survey

Simple Summary

Selection of appropriate stage II colon cancer patients for adjuvant chemotherapy (AC) is controversial. A novel immune response classifier has previously been validated to refine patient selection, but its impact on oncologist treatment planning had yet to be described. In this survey, all but one oncologist altered clinical practice recommendations, and recommendations for AC prescriptions were reduced by half (among the Immunoscore-high cases (low recurrence risk)). This study revealed that the Immunoscore results could significantly decrease AC use in patients with stage II colon cancer who may not benefit from it, thereby reducing the administration of nonvalue care.

Abstract

Background: Adjuvant chemotherapy use in stage II colon cancer is controversial. Current prognostic risk factors do not take the tumor immune microenvironment into account. Consideration of the Immunoscore, which measures the host immune response at the tumor site, may assist clinicians in reducing adjuvant chemotherapy use in patients who are unlikely to benefit from it. This study sought to determine the potential clinical utility of the Immunoscore, via its effect on medical oncologists’ recommendations for management of patients with stage II colon cancer. Methods: De-identified vignettes of 10 patients with stage II colon cancer were presented to 25 practicing medical oncologists. Each participant completed surveys indicating recommendations for adjuvant chemotherapy and surveillance strategies. An educational session was subsequently conducted, and the same patient profiles were re-presented but included immunoscore results. Participants were again asked to provide their recommendations. A participant was counted as influenced if their responses were altered after immunoscore test results were provided. Results: All but one participant (96%) altered a management recommendation for ≥1 case. For individual cases, a mean of 55% (range, 40–80%) of participants altered their recommendations for adjuvant chemotherapy and/or surveillance. For the immunoscore-high cases (low-risk of recurrence), recommendations for adjuvant chemotherapy use decreased from 60% to 31%. Conclusions: These results indicate a willingness by oncologists to integrate immunoscore information into clinical practice recommendations. Incorporation of immunoscore data resulted in the reduction of nonvalue care in the simulated population. Confirmation in prospective studies is planned.

Predicting Tumor Budding Status in Cervical Cancer Using MRI Radiomics: Linking Imaging Biomarkers to Histologic Characteristics

BACKGROUND

Our previous study demonstrated that tumor budding (TB) status was associated with inferior overall survival in cervical cancer. The purpose of this study is to evaluate whether radiomic features can predict TB status in cervical cancer patients.

METHODS

Seventy-four patients with cervical cancer who underwent preoperative MRI and radical hysterectomy from 2011 to 2015 at our institution were enrolled. The patients were randomly allocated to the training dataset (n = 48) and test dataset (n = 26). Tumors were segmented on axial gadolinium-enhanced T1- and T2-weighted images. A total of 2074 radiomic features were extracted. Four machine learning classifiers, including logistic regression (LR), random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), and neural network (NN), were used. The trained models were validated on the test dataset.

RESULTS

Twenty radiomic features were selected; all were features from filtered-images and 85% were texture-related features. The area under the curve values and accuracy of the models by LR, RF, SVM and NN were 0.742 and 0.769, 0.782 and 0.731, 0.849 and 0.885, and 0.891 and 0.731, respectively, in the test dataset.

CONCLUSION

MRI-based radiomic features could predict TB status in patients with cervical cancer.