Causes of death among people with convulsive epilepsy in rural West China: a prospective study

Epilepsy-related mortality: A cross-sectional study in a tertiary center in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

OBJECTIVE

People with epilepsy (PWE) have higher likelihood of dying prematurely compared to the general population. However, data on epilepsy mortality in some regions of the world are deficient or completely absent. The aim of this study was to investigate epilepsy-related deaths in PWE in a tertiary care center in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

METHODS

PWE who expired in the period from 2016 to 2020 at King Abdulaziz Medical City in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia were included. Demographic data, epilepsy classification, and causes of death were retrieved from the patients' electronic medical records, and death certificates. Death causes were classified based on Devinsky's classification.

RESULTS

We found that 145 PWE died during the study period. The median age at death was 66 years, with an interquartile range of 49-78. Half of the patients who died were male (50.3 %). Of the 145 deaths, 93 (64.1 %) were unrelated to epilepsy, 27 (18.6 %) were due to underlying neurological disease, 15 (10.3 %) were directly due to epilepsy, 7 (4.8 %) were indirectly due to epilepsy, and 3 (2.1 %) were due to acute symptomatic seizures. Sudden unexpected death in epilepsy (SUDEP) has never been recorded as a cause of death in any of the cases.

SIGNIFICANCE

Epilepsy-related deaths are largely overlooked by physicians who document death certificates. More efforts are needed to increase awareness among physicians about SUDEP and epilepsy-related mortality.

Mortality in patients with epilepsy: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

Epilepsy is linked to a significantly higher risk of death, yet public awareness remains low. This study aims to investigate mortality characteristics, to reduce epilepsy-related deaths and improve prevention strategies.

METHODS

This study systematically reviews mortality data in relevant literature from PubMed and Embase up until June 2024. Data quality is assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale, and analysis includes trends, regional differences, and the economic impact of premature death. Global Burden of Disease (GBD) data are used to validate trends. In addition, a review of guidelines and expert statements on sudden unexpected death in epilepsy (SUDEP) is included to explore intervention strategies and recommendations.

RESULTS

Annual mortality rates of epilepsy have gradually declined, mainly due to improvements in low-income countries, while high-income regions have experienced an upward trend. Male patients exhibit higher mortality rates than females. Age-based analysis shows that the elderly contributes most to this increase due to chronic conditions such as cardiovascular disease and pneumonia related to epilepsy. This may be a key factor contributing to the increased mortality among epilepsy patients in aging high-income regions. Accidents and suicides are more prevalent in low-income regions. The highest mortality risks occur in the early years post-diagnosis and during prolonged, uncontrolled epilepsy. SUDEP remains a leading cause of death.

CONCLUSION

This study highlights the impact of gender, region, and disease duration on epilepsy mortality. Future research should focus on elderly epilepsy patients mortality characteristics and personalized interventions for SUDEP.

Mortality of Epilepsy in Chinese Populations: A Comprehensive Review

BACKGROUND

Premature mortality is a significant part of the epilepsy burden and may vary across populations, especially between high-income and lower- and middle-income countries. People with epilepsy in China are approximately a fifth of the global population with epilepsy. Previous studies were unlikely to represent the situation in China due to limitations in design, methods, sample size, follow-up time, and other inherent population heterogeneity.

SUMMARY

By summarising the evidence on the mortality characteristics in Chinese populations with epilepsy in the last 6 decades, we found a median mortality rate of 14.7 (6.8-74.4)/1,000 person-years and a median standardised mortality ratio (SMR) of 4.4 (2.6-12.9) in population-based studies, and a median mortality rate of 12.3 (9.5-101.5)/1,000 person-years and a median SMR of 3.0 (1.5-5.1) in hospital-based studies. Vascular diseases, complications of diabetes, and accidental injuries were the leading causes of death. Risk factors for mortality were reported as older age, male, longer duration, and higher frequency of seizures. Case fatality ratios of status epilepticus in adults were higher than in children, and both increased with follow-up time. Mortality in people with symptomatic epilepsy was high and varied across different primary diseases.

KEY MESSAGES

The highest mortality rate and sudden unexpected death in epilepsy (SUDEP) incidence were reported from the least developed areas in China. Accidental injuries were the most common causes of epilepsy-related deaths, while the incidence of SUDEP may be underestimated in Chinese populations. Further research is warranted to improve the understanding of premature mortality risk so that preventative measures can be introduced to improve the situation.

Cardiovascular Disease Burden, Mortality, and Sudden Death Risk in Epilepsy: A UK Biobank Study

BACKGROUND

Sudden death is the leading cause of mortality in medically refractory epilepsy. Middle-aged persons with epilepsy (PWE) are under investigated regarding their mortality risk and burden of cardiovascular disease (CVD).

METHODS

Using UK Biobank, we identified 7786 (1.6%) participants with diagnoses of epilepsy and 6,171,803 person-years of follow-up (mean 12.30 years, standard deviation 1.74); 566 patients with previous histories of stroke were excluded. The 7220 PWE comprised the study cohort with the remaining 494,676 without epilepsy as the comparator group. Prevalence of CVD was determined using validated diagnostic codes. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to assess all-cause mortality and sudden death risk.

RESULTS

Hypertension, coronary artery disease, heart failure, valvular heart disease, and congenital heart disease were more prevalent in PWE. Arrhythmias including atrial fibrillation/flutter (12.2% vs 6.9%; P < 0.01), bradyarrhythmias (7.7% vs 3.5%; P < 0.01), conduction defects (6.1% vs 2.6%; P < 0.01), and ventricular arrhythmias (2.3% vs 1.0%; P < 0.01), as well as cardiac implantable electric devices (4.6% vs 2.0%; P < 0.01) were more prevalent in PWE. PWE had higher adjusted all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 3.9; 95% confidence interval [CI], 3.01-3.39), and sudden death-specific mortality (HR, 6.65; 95% CI, 4.53-9.77); and were almost 2 years younger at death (68.1 vs 69.8; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Middle-aged PWE have increased all-cause and sudden death-specific mortality and higher burden of CVD including arrhythmias and heart failure. Further work is required to elucidate mechanisms underlying all-cause mortality and sudden death risk in PWE of middle age, to identify prognostic biomarkers and develop preventative therapies in PWE.

Premature mortality risk in individuals with convulsive epilepsy: Results from a longitudinal, prospective, population-based study

OBJECTIVE

To assess premature mortality and identify associated risk factors among individuals with convulsive epilepsy in resource-poor settings using a longitudinal, prospective, population-based approach.

METHOD

The study recruited people with convulsive epilepsy who underwent assessment and management of epilepsy at primary healthcare centers in rural Northwest China, including newly diagnosed individuals and previously identified prevalent cases. All participants were confirmed to have epilepsy by neurologists according to strict criteria and were followed up monthly by primary care physicians. Demographic data and cause of death (COD) were obtained from death certificates or verbal autopsies conducted by neurologists, following the International Classification of Diseases, 10th Edition. The standardized mortality ratio (SMR) and proportionate mortality ratio (PMR) for each cause of death were estimated using the Cause-Of-Death Surveillance Dataset of China (2020). Survival analysis was used to identify risk factors associated with all-cause mortality and death directly due to epilepsy.

RESULTS

During 5.9 years of follow-up with 40,947 person-years, there were 781 (11.2%) deaths among 6967 participants. The risk of premature death in people with convulsive epilepsy was 2.7-fold higher than that in the general population. Young participants had a significantly higher risk (standardized mortality ratio 26.5-52.5) of premature death. The proportionate mortality ratio was higher for cerebrovascular disease (15%), sudden unexpected death in epilepsy (SUDEP) (13.4%), cardiovascular disease (11.7%), status epilepsy (SE) (11.3%), and epilepsy-related accidents (14.0%) than other premature mortality cause of deaths. Additionally, the highest standardized proportional mortality ratio (SPMR) was observed from drowning in all cause of death (10.4, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 7.6-13.8), followed by burning (9.0, 95% CI: 3.7-18.9). Factors that increased the risk of all-cause mortality included male sex, late age of onset, short disease duration, high body mass index, monotherapy, and the frequency of generalized tonic-clonic seizures (GTCS). High frequency of generalized tonic-clonic seizures (> 3 attacks in the last year) was an independent risk factor for premature death directly due to epilepsy (including sudden unexpected death in epilepsy, status epilepsy, and epilepsy-related accidents), while early age of onset (≤ 14 years) and long duration of epilepsy (> 20 years) were independent risk factors for sudden unexpected death in epilepsy. In addition, short duration of epilepsy (≤ 20 years) was an independent risk factor for status epilepsy.

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrated that individuals with poorly controlled seizures are more likely to experience premature death, with most deaths being epilepsy-related and preventable. These findings underline the importance of effective seizure treatment and the potential impact on reducing premature mortality among people with convulsive epilepsy.

An epilepsy type algorithm developed in India is accurate in Sudan: A prospective validation study

PURPOSE

The effects of epilepsy are worse in lower- and middle-income countries (LMICs) where most people with epilepsy live, and where most are untreated. Correct treatment depends on determining whether focal or generalised epilepsy is present. EEG and MRI are usually not available to help so an entirely clinical method is required. We applied an eight-variable algorithm, which had been derived from 503 patients from India using naïve-Bayesian methods, to an adult Sudanese cohort with epilepsy.

METHODS

There were 150 consecutive adult patients with known epilepsy type as defined by two neurologists who had access to clinical information, EEG and neuroimaging ("the gold standard"). We used seven of the eight variables, together with their likelihood ratios, to calculate the probability of focal as opposed to generalised epilepsy in each patient and compared that to the "gold standard". Sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, and Cohen's kappa statistic were calculated.

RESULTS

Mean age was 28 years (range 17-49) and 53% were female. The accuracy of an algorithm comprising seven of the eight variables was 92%, with sensitivity of 99% and specificity of 72% for focal epilepsy. Cohen's kappa was 0.773, indicating substantial agreement. Ninety-four percent of patients had probability scores either less than 0.1 (generalised) or greater than 0.9 (focal).

CONCLUSION

The results confirm the high accuracy of this algorithm in determining epilepsy type in Sudan. They suggest that, in a clinical condition like epilepsy, where a history is crucial, results in one continent can be applied to another. This is especially important as untreated epilepsy and the epilepsy treatment gap are so widespread. The algorithm can be applied to patients giving an individual probability score which can help determine the appropriate anti-seizure medication. It should give epilepsy-inexperienced doctors confidence in managing patients with epilepsy.

Sudden unexpected death in epilepsy: A critical view of the literature

Sudden unexpected death in epilepsy (SUDEP) is a sudden, unexpected, witnessed or unwitnessed, non-traumatic and non-drowning death, occurring in benign circumstances, in an individual with epilepsy, with or without evidence for a seizure and excluding documented status epilepticus in which postmortem examination does not reveal other causes of death. Lower diagnostic levels are assigned when cases met most or all of these criteria, but data suggested more than one possible cause of death. The incidence of SUDEP ranged from 0.09 to 2.4 per 1000 person-years. Differences can be attributed to the age of the study populations (with peaks in the 20-40-year age group) and the severity of the disease. Young age, disease severity (in particular, a history of generalized TCS), having symptomatic epilepsy, and the response to antiseizure medications (ASMs) are possible independent predictors of SUDEP. The pathophysiological mechanisms are not fully known due to the limited data available and because SUDEP is not always witnessed and has been electrophysiologically monitored only in a few cases with simultaneous assessment of respiratory, cardiac, and brain activity. The pathophysiological basis of SUDEP may vary according to different circumstances that make that particular seizure, in that specific moment and in that patient, a fatal event. The main hypothesized mechanisms, which could contribute to a cascade of events, are cardiac dysfunction (included potential effects of ASMs, genetically determined channelopathies, acquired heart diseases), respiratory dysfunction (included postictal arousal deficit for the respiratory mechanism, acquired respiratory diseases), neuromodulator dysfunction, postictal EEG depression and genetic factors.

Mortality among persons with epilepsy in onchocerciasis-endemic and non-endemic areas of sub-Saharan Africa: A systematic review and meta-analysis

PURPOSE

To document epilepsy-related mortality in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) and investigate possible associations with onchocerciasis endemicity.

METHODS

Systematic review with meta-analysis. Searches were performed in PubMed and Google Scholar (search terms: 'epilepsy'; 'mortality/death'; 'sub-Saharan Africa'). Included studies were classified as high-risk or low-risk for onchocerciasis based on documented endemicity data. Pooled mortality rates and annual case fatality rates (CFR) were calculated, and risk factors for mortality among persons with epilepsy (PWE) were investigated using meta-regression analysis.

RESULTS

The 28 eligible studies reported 30 epilepsy surveys, of which 9 (30.0%) were conducted in onchocerciasis high-risk sites. The pooled epilepsy mortality rate was 20.9 (95% CI: 5.9-74.4) per 100,000 person-years, and the pooled CFR was 36.2 (95% CI: 23.9-54.4) per 1,000 PWE per year, albeit with substantial between-study heterogeneity. Compared to onchocerciasis low-risk sites, high-risk sites had higher pooled mortality (342.9 versus 10.0 per 100,000 PY; p<0.001) and CFR (57.0 versus 26.6 per 1,000 PWE per year; p = 0.001). Mortality of PWE was almost five-fold that of people without epilepsy (mortality risk ratio: 4.9; 95% CI: 3.5-6.8). Studies in onchocerciasis high-risk sites and the study which recruited only PWE with nodding syndrome were associated with higher CFR (p = 0.044 and p = 0.002, respectively). The leading causes of epilepsy-related death were status epilepticus (58.5%), drowning (15.7%), and sudden unexpected death in epilepsy (10.1%).

CONCLUSION

Epilepsy mortality remains high in SSA. Most reported causes of death among PWE might be averted by improving seizure control. Better epilepsy prevention and care are urgently needed, particularly in onchocerciasis-endemic settings.

Premature Mortality and Causes of Death Among People With Epilepsy: A Nationwide Population-Based Incident Cohort Study

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

People with epilepsy (PWE) are at risk of premature death with considerable variability according to the study population. We aimed to estimate the risk and causes of death in PWE according to age, disease severity, disease course, comorbidities, and socioeconomic status in Korea.

METHODS

We conducted a nationwide population-based retrospective cohort study using the National Health Insurance database linked with the national death register. Newly treated PWE from 2008 to 2016 who were identified by antiseizure medication (ASM) prescriptions and diagnostic codes for epilepsy/seizure were included and observed until 2017. We assessed all-cause and cause-specific crude mortality rates and standardized mortality ratios (SMRs).

RESULTS

Among 138,998 PWE, 20,095 deaths were identified, and the mean follow-up period was 4.79 years. The SMR was 2.25 in the overall group of PWE, with a higher value in the younger age group at diagnosis and a shorter time interval after diagnosis. The SMR in the monotherapy group was 1.56, while that in the group with 4 or more ASMs was 4.93. PWE without any comorbidities had an SMR of 1.61. PWE who were rural residents had a higher SMR than those who were urban residents (2.47 vs 2.03, respectively). The causes of death among PWE were cerebrovascular disease (18.9%, SMR 4.50), malignant neoplasms outside the CNS (15.7%, SMR 1.37), malignant neoplasms of the CNS (6.7%, SMR 46.95), pneumonia (6.0%, SMR 2.08), and external causes (7.2%, SMR 2.17), including suicide (2.6%, SMR 2.07). Epilepsy itself and status epilepticus accounted for 1.9% of the overall death. The excess mortality associated with pneumonia and external causes was persistently high, whereas the excess mortality associated with malignancy and cerebrovascular diseases tended to decrease with increasing time since diagnosis.

DISCUSSION

This study showed excess mortality in PWE, even in those without comorbidities and those receiving monotherapy. Regional disparities and sustained risks of deaths from external causes over 10 years imply potential points of intervention. In addition to active control of seizures, education about injury prevention, monitoring for suicidal ideation, and efforts to improve accessibility to epilepsy care are all required to reduce mortality.

Mortality, and life expectancy in Epilepsy and Status epilepticus-current trends and future aspects

Patients with epilepsy carry a risk of premature death which is on average two to three times higher than in the general population. The risk of death is not homogenously distributed over all ages, etiologies, and epilepsy syndromes. People with drug resistant seizures carry the highest risk of death compared to those who are seizure free, whose risk is similar as in the general population. Most of the increased risk is directly related to the cause of epilepsy itself. Sudden unexplained death in epilepsy patients (SUDEP) is the most important cause of epilepsy-related deaths especially in the young and middle-aged groups. Population based studies with long-term follow up demonstrated that the first years after diagnosis carry the highest risk of death, while in the later years the mortality decreases. Improved seizure control and being exposed to a specialized comprehensive care centre may help to reduce the risk of death in patients with epilepsy. The mortality of status epilepticus is substantially increased with case fatality rates between 4.6% and 39%, depending on its cause and duration, and the age of the population studied. The epidemiological data on overall and cause specific mortality as well as their determinants and risk factors are critically reviewed and methodological issues pertinent to the studies on mortality of epilepsy and Status epilepticus are discussed.

Pre-Existing Medical Conditions: A Systematic Literature Review of a Silent Contributor to Adult Drowning

Medical conditions can increase drowning risk. No prior study has systematically reviewed the published evidence globally regarding medical conditions and drowning risk for adults. MEDLINE (Ovid), PubMed, EMBASE, Scopus, PsycINFO (ProQuest) and SPORTDiscus databases were searched for original research published between 1 January 2005 and 31 October 2021 that reported adult (≥15 years) fatal or non-fatal drowning of all intents and pre-existing medical conditions. Conditions were grouped into the relevant International Classifications of Diseases (ICD) codes. Eighty-three studies were included (85.5% high-income countries; 38.6% East Asia and Pacific region; 75.9% evidence level III-3). Diseases of the nervous system (n = 32 studies; 38.6%), mental and behavioural conditions (n = 31; 37.3%) and diseases of the circulatory system (n = 25; 30.1%) were the most common categories of conditions. Epilepsy was found to increase the relative risk of drowning by 3.8 to 82 times, with suggested preventive approaches regarding supervised bathing or showering. Drowning is a common suicide method for those with schizophrenia, psychotic disorders and dementia. Review findings indicate people with pre-existing medical conditions drown, yet relatively few studies have documented the risk. There is a need for further population-level research to more accurately quantify drowning risk for pre-existing medical conditions in adults, as well as implementing and evaluating population-level attributable risk and prevention strategies.

Efficacy of Phenobarbital and Prognosis Predictors in Women With Epilepsy From Rural Northeast China: A 10-Year Follow-Up Study

Objective

To investigate the efficacy of phenobarbital (PB), factors associated with it, reasons for early treatment termination, and mortality rates in adult women living in rural Northeast China.

Methods

A prospective study was conducted in seven counties of Jilin Province from 2010 to 2020. Adult women diagnosed with convulsive epilepsy were recruited into the study and baseline demographics recorded upon enrollment. Seizure frequency, prescribed drug dose, and adverse reactions were monitored monthly by door-to-door survey or telephone interview.

Results

A total of 1,333 women were included in the study. During the follow-up period, 169 participants (12.7%) were lost to follow-up, and 100 of them (7.5%) died. The percentage of seizure-free participants was 45.3% in the first year, 74.6% in the third year, and 96.6% in the 10th year. A higher baseline seizure frequency (OR = 1.005, 95% CI: 1.002–1.009), more frequent loss-of-consciousness seizures (OR = 1.620, 95% CI: 1.318–1.990), a higher daily dose of PB in the first year (OR = 1.018, 95% CI: 1.014–1.022), a younger age at onset (OR = 0.990, 95% CI: 0.982–0.998), and more severe drowsiness (OR = 1.727, 95% CI: 1.374–2.173) were associated with an increased risk of seizures in the first year, and the higher baseline seizure frequency was still associated with the occurrence of seizures in the third (OR = 1.007, 95% CI: 1.004–1.010) and fifth year (OR = 1.005, 95% CI: 1.002–1.008). Age at enrollment (HR = 0.983, 95% CI: 0.971–0.994) was the only factor that correlated with withdrawal from the study and with the death of the participant during the follow up period, but the correlation in each case was in opposite directions.

Significance

PB has high effectiveness, retention rate, mild side effects, and tolerability when used as a treatment for epilepsy in women from rural areas. Baseline seizure frequency is an important predictor of prognosis regardless of treatment duration. PB is still a valuable tool for the management of epilepsy in adult women from poverty-stricken areas.

A review of the causes and risk factors for sudden unexpected death in the young

Sudden unexpected death in the young (SUDY) is a tragic event resulting in the fatality of seemingly healthy individuals between the ages of one and 40 years. Whilst studies have been performed on sudden unexpected death in infants, children, and adults respectively, little is known about trends in risk factors and causes of death of SUDY cases. Understanding the factors surrounding these deaths could lead to targeted interventions for at-risk individuals. Hence, a systematic approach to investigate the reported possible causes of SUDY was employed using three major databases and Primo, wherein 67 relevant articles were identified and 2 additional guidelines were read. Sudden unexpected death in epilepsy and sudden cardiac events were well-established causes of death with risk factors such as male predominance, substance use and a familial history identified. It was acknowledged that while the cause of death is established following post-mortem examination in many cases, some remain non-specific or undetermined. Considering the genetic etiology, these cases would be ideal candidates for molecular autopsies in the future. Thus, this review emphasized the significance of acquiring the relevant information to aid in resolving cause of death of these SUDY cases and subsequently highlighted the potential for further studies on risk factors and the value of molecular autopsies.

Mortality and causes of death among people with convulsive epilepsy in northwestern China

OBJECTIVE

We analyzed mortality and causes of death among people with convulsive epilepsy in rural areas of northwestern China.

METHODS

We established a population-based prospective cohort of people with convulsive epilepsy in an epilepsy prevention and management program in rural northwestern China from January 2012 to December 2013. A uniform cause of death questionnaire was used to obtain detailed information on participants who died during the follow-up until December 2016. We calculated the standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) and proportional mortality rate for major causes of death. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was used to investigate the risk factors associated with mortality.

RESULTS

Among 4296 people with convulsive epilepsy, 216 died during a median follow-up of 59 months. The overall mortality rate was 10.9 per 1000 person-years, and the overall SMR was 2.0. Accidents (25.5%) ranked first in the cause of death, followed by status epilepticus (SE) (22.9%), probable sudden unexpected death in epilepsy (SUDEP) (22.7%), cerebrovascular disease (13.0%), and cardiovascular disease (6.5%). Drowning (10.6%), motor vehicle accidents (13.6%), and falls (4.6%) were the major causes of death by accidents. Female participants had a reduced risk of death from accidents with the hazard ratio (HR) of 0.3 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.1-0.6). A high risk of death from cerebrovascular disease (HR: 7.2; 95% CI: 2.1-23.6) was found in participants with an onset age of epilepsy older than 16 years.

SIGNIFICANCE

The risk of death from convulsive epilepsy in rural northwestern China is twice that of the general population. Accidents, SE, and SUDEP are the leading putative causes of death. Educating people with epilepsy in different regions may help reduce death-related events.

Challenges of patients with epilepsy and measures for improving epilepsy care in western China: A qualitative study

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this qualitative study was to explore the challenges that patients with epilepsy (PWEs) face and the opportunities or areas where changes in nursing care may improve epilepsy care in western China.

METHODS

Semi-structured interviews with open-ended questions based on a review of the literature were conducted at the epilepsy center of a tertiary hospital in western China. A total of 18 PWEs, 18 caregivers and 11 neurology nurses were interviewed by using purposive sampling. The data were transcribed verbatim, and a content analysis was used to conduct the framework analysis.

RESULTS

Three key themes were identified, namely, the impact of epilepsy, barriers to epilepsy management, and measures in nursing care for improving epilepsy care. Psychological stress, the side effects of drugs and accidental injury related to seizures were reported to be the main negative impacts on patients. Limited knowledge about epilepsy, poor adherence to therapy, and a lack of effective communication between patients and medical staff were the major barriers to epilepsy management. Strengthening health education, assessing the frequency and type of seizures, screening for psychological disorders and mental intervention, and maintaining continuity of care were identified as crucial measures for nurses to improve epilepsy care.

CONCLUSIONS

This study highlights the challenges among PWEs and opportunities for improving the quality of epilepsy care in western China. Limited knowledge and poor drug adherence are the main barriers to epilepsy management, which might be improved by more health education and continuing care provided by nurses. Assessing seizures, screening for psychological disorders and providing appropriate psychological care would help improve epilepsy care.

Mortality in adult epilepsy patients in Malaysia: a hospital-based study

BACKGROUND

The standardized mortality ratio (SMR) of epilepsy in Asia ranges from 2.5 to 5.1. However, there are no such published data in Malaysia to date. Understanding the mortality rate and related factors will allow us to better assess and monitor the health status of PWE, thereby, preventing premature deaths among PWE. Hence, this study aimed to determine the mortality rate of adults with epilepsy (PWE) at the University Malaya Medical Centre (UMMC), a tertiary hospital in Malaysia.

METHOD

A total of 2218 PWE were recruited retrospectively into this study. Deceased cases from 2009-2018 were identified from the National Registry Department of Malaysia. Age-, gender-, and ethnic-specific SMR were calculated.

RESULT

There was a total of 163 deaths, of which 111 (68.1%) were male. The overall case-fatality rate (CFR) was 7.3%. Male PWE had higher CFR (9.2%) compared to females (5.1%, p<0.001). The annual death rate of PWE was 867 per 100, 000 persons. The overall all-cause SMR was 1.6 (CI 95% 1.3-1.8). The SMR for younger age groups (15-19 and 20-29 years) were higher (5.4-5.5) compared to other age groups (0.4-2.5). Overall SMR for male PWE (1.8, 95% CI 1.5-2.1) was higher than females (1.2, 95% CI 0.9-1.6). However, the SMR for female PWE in the younger age groups (15-19, 20-29 and 30-39 years) was higher. SMR among the Indian PWE was the highest (1.6, 95% CI 1.2-2.0) compared to the Chinese (1.5, 95% CI 1.2-1.9) and the Malays (1.4, 95% 1.0-1.9). The CFR was higher in those with focal epilepsy (8.5% vs. 2.5-3.7% in genetic and other generalized epilepsies, p=0.003), epilepsy with structural cause (9.5% vs. 5.9% in others, p=0.005) and uncontrolled seizures (7.9% vs. 5.2% in seizure-free group, p<0.001).

CONCLUSION

The mortality rate of PWE in Malaysia is higher than that of the general population but lower compared to other Asian countries. Specifically, the rates are higher in the younger age group, male gender, and Indian ethnicity. Those with focal epilepsy, structural causes and uncontrolled seizures have higher mortality rates.

Epilepsy in China: major progress in the past two decades

China has approximately 10 million people with epilepsy. There is a vast epilepsy treatment gap in China, mainly driven by deficiencies in health-care delivery and social discrimination resulting from cultural beliefs about epilepsy. WHO's Global Campaign Against Epilepsy project in China showed that it was possible to treat epilepsy in primary care settings, which was a notable milestone. The China Association Against Epilepsy has been a necessary force to stimulate interest in epilepsy care and research by the medical and scientific community. Nearly 20 different anti-seizure medications are now available in China. Non-pharmacological options are also available, but there are still unmet needs for epilepsy management. The Chinese epilepsy research portfolio is varied, but the areas in which there are the most concentrated focus and expertise are epidemiology and clinical research. The challenges for further improvement in delivering care for people with epilepsy in China are primarily related to public health and reducing inequalities within this vast country.

Long-term seizure, comorbidity and socioeconomic outcomes of patients with convulsive epilepsy in rural West China

PURPOSE

This study aimed to investigate the long-term outcomes of patients with convulsive epilepsy in rural West China and to explore potential related factors.

METHODS

Patients who were provided Phenobarbital as a treatment and followed-up monthly were enrolled from the Convulsive Epilepsy Control and Management Program in West China. Their clinical and demographic information were obtained from the program database and a questionnaire. Seizure outcomes, comorbidities, annual income, marital status, employment and quality of life (QOL) were evaluated as long-term outcomes. Logistic regression was used to analyze the related factors.

RESULTS

Of 473 eligible patients with a median follow-up time of nearly 7 years, 312 (66 %) had one-year terminal remission. A total of 320 (67.7 %) patients had a low annual income (<5000 Yuan), and 198 (41.9 %) patients reported a comorbidity. Among 460 patients of marriageable age, 137 (29.8 %) were unmarried. 60.4 % (333) patients reported improved QOL. Time of follow-up, seizure frequency during early treatment, compliance, annual cost for epilepsy treatment and annual income were related to the seizure outcome. Baseline seizure frequency was associated with comorbidities. Sex, annual cost for epilepsy treatment and seizure outcomes were associated with annual income. Age, sex and age at onset were correlated with current marital status. Compliance and taking traditional Chinese medicine were associated with QOL.

CONCLUSION

The prognosis of epilepsy goes beyond being seizure-free. Comorbidities, income and marriage outcomes in resource-poor areas are less promising. Systematic management considering prognosis-related factors for epilepsy by a collaboration of health providers and society is needed.

Mortality Rates in People With Convulsive Epilepsy in Rural Northeast China

Purpose: To examine the mortality rate and causes of death of phenobarbital (PB) monotherapy and sodium valproate (VPA) monotherapy in patients with convulsive epilepsy in rural northeast China and compare the differences in the results between the two antiepileptic drugs.

Methods: Patients with convulsive epilepsy were recruited by trained public health workers in a project for epilepsy prevention and treatment. Patients were enrolled between January 2010 and December 2018 and were treated with PB or VPA. Mortality rate (MR), the proportional mortality ratio (PMR) for each cause, standardized mortality ratio, and years of potential life lost (YPLL) for sex, age, and cause were estimated based on the 2018 Chinese rural population.

Results: A total of 3,916 patients with convulsive epilepsy enrolled in the study, of whom 3,418 received PB and 498 received VPA. There were 325 reported deaths (300 from the PB group) during the follow-up period. The MRs were 9.96 and 5.73% in the PB and VPA groups, respectively. The overall SMRs were 12.92 (95% confidence intervals [CI]: 11.50–13.93) and 7.39 (95% CI: 4.78–10.91), for the PB and VPA groups, respectively. Cerebrovascular disease and heart disease were the major causes of death in both treatment groups. The average YPLL for the PB group (21.9 years) was higher than that for the VPA group (13.4 years).

Conclusion: This is the first epidemiological study to examine the MR of patients with epilepsy in rural northeast China. Our study is somewhat different from previous studies reported in China, and we provide new relevant data from northeast China.

Cardiac Dysfunction in Neurocritical Care: An Autonomic Perspective

A number of neurologic disorders can cause cardiac dysfunction by involving the conductive system and contractile apparatus of the heart. This is especially prominent in the neurocritical care setting where the spectrum of cardiac dysfunction due to acute neurologic injury ranges from trivial and isolated electrocardiographic changes to malignant arrhythmias and sudden death (Table 1). The mechanism of these cardiac complications is complex and not fully understood. An understanding of the neuroanatomical structures and pathways is of immense importance to comprehend the underlying pathophysiology that culminates as cardiac damage and dysregulation. Once the process is initiated, it can complicate and adversely affect the outcome of primary neurologic conditions commonly seen in the neurocritical care setting. Not only are these cardiac disorders under-recognized, there is a paucity of data to formulate evidence-based guidelines regarding early detection, acute management, and preventive strategies. However, certain details of clinical features and their course combined with location of primary neurologic lesion on neuroimaging and data obtained from laboratory investigations can be of great value to develop a strategy to appropriately manage these patients and to prevent adverse outcome from these cardiac complications. In this review, we highlight the mechanisms of cardiac dysfunction due to catastrophic neurologic conditions or due to stress of critical illness. We also address various clinical syndromes of cardiac dysfunction that occur as a result of the neurologic illness and in turn may complicate the course of the primary neurologic condition.

Global macroeconomic burden of epilepsy and the role for neurosurgery: a modelling study based upon the 2016 Global Burden of Disease data

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Although the significant morbidity and mortality burden associated with epilepsy is well understood, associated economic consequences are yet to be estimated on a global scale. We sought to: (i) estimate the value of lost economic welfare attributable to epilepsy among countries included in the 2016 Global Burden of Disease study, (ii) evaluate differences in disease burden between countries of varied income classification and location, and (iii) understand the proportion of this burden that requires neurosurgical consultation and intervention.

METHODS

Publicly available morbidity and mortality data were incorporated into a 'full-income' model to generate estimates of the cumulative value of lost economic welfare (VLW) related to epilepsy. Results from a survey of neurosurgeons were then used to estimate the VLW attributable to the proportion of disease requiring neurosurgical consultation and intervention.

RESULTS

A total of 195 countries and territories were included in this analysis. We estimate that the cumulative VLW related to epilepsy was $647.37 billion [2016 US dollars (USD), purchasing power parity (PPP)]. Economic welfare losses were equivalent to a mean of 1.45% (±1.00%) of gross domestic product. The value of economic losses attributable to the proportion of the burden necessitating neurosurgical consultation and intervention was $258.95 billion (2016 USD, PPP) and $155.37 billion (2016 USD, PPP) respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results indicate that the economic consequences of epilepsy-related morbidity and mortality are substantial. When considered with evidence supporting the cost-effectiveness of various interventions for improved epilepsy diagnosis and management, our findings suggest that the implementation of simple and affordable measures may avert significant economic loss.

Epilepsy-related and other causes of mortality in people with epilepsy: A systematic review of systematic reviews

BACKGROUND

This systematic review of epilepsy mortality systematic reviews evaluates comparative risks, causes, and risk factors for all-cause mortality in people with epilepsy (PWE) to specifically establish the burden of epilepsy-related deaths.

METHODS

MEDLINE and Embase were searched from conception to 26/12/2018 for systematic reviews evaluating all-cause mortality in PWE of any age. Independent study selection, data extraction and quality assessment were performed. Deaths were separated into epilepsy-related and unrelated using a recently published classification system. Outcomes included standardized mortality ratio (SMR) and mortality rate (MR) in a primary analysis of comparative risks, causes, and risk factors for all-cause and epilepsy-related mortality. A narrative synthesis of review findings was used to present results, including from a secondary analysis of individual epilepsy-related death risk factors.

RESULTS

Six moderate or high-quality systematic reviews were included in the primary analysis, evaluating 103 observational studies. All-cause mortality remained similarly high between 1950 and present (median SMR range 2.2-3.4). Africa had the highest SMR (median 5.4, range 2.6-7.2). SMRs were also higher for children <18 years (median 7.5, range 3.1-22.4) than adults (median 2.6, range 1.3-8.7), and for epilepsy-related (median 3.8, range 0.0-82.4,) than unrelated causes (median 1.7, range 0.7-17.6). Structural brain disease conferred the greatest risk for all-cause mortality (SMR range 24.0-41.5). Common epilepsy-related causes included alcohol, drowning, pneumonia, and suicide. In secondary analysis of nine additional systematic reviews, epilepsy-related death risk factors were reported for sudden unexpected death in epilepsy (SUDEP), drowning and suicide.

CONCLUSIONS

Premature all-cause mortality remains a major problem in PWE globally, particularly in children and young adults, with most being epilepsy-related and potentially preventable. SUDEP is only one of several other common and important epilepsy-related causes of death.

Sudden unexpected death in epilepsy: Risk factors, biomarkers, and prevention

Sudden unexpected death in epilepsy (SUDEP) is one of the most important direct epilepsy-related causes of death, with an incidence in adults of 1.2 per 1000 person-years. Generalized tonic-clonic seizures have consistently emerged as the leading risk factor for SUDEP, particularly when such seizures are uncontrolled. High seizure burden, lack of antiepileptic drug (AED) treatment, polytherapy, intellectual disability, and prone position at the time of death are other key risk factors. Unfortunately, despite advances in treatment, overall mortality rates in epilepsy are rising. It is imperative that we learn more about SUDEP so that effective prevention strategies can be implemented. To help identify persons at greater risk of SUDEP and in need of closer monitoring, biomarkers are needed. Candidate biomarkers include electrocardiographic, electroencephalographic, and imaging abnormalities observed more frequently in those who have died suddenly and unexpectedly. As our knowledge of the pathophysiologic mechanisms behind SUDEP has increased, various preventative measures have been proposed. These include lattice pillows, postictal oxygen therapy, selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors, and inhibitors of opiate and adenosine receptors. Unfortunately, no randomized clinical trials are available to definitively conclude these measures are effective. Rather, gaining the best control of seizures possible (with AEDs, devices, and resective surgery) still remains the intervention with the best evidence to reduce the risk of SUDEP. In this evidence-based review, we explore the incidence of SUDEP and review the risk factors, biomarkers, and latest prevention strategies.

Prevalence and risk factors of depression and anxiety among patients with convulsive epilepsy in rural West China

OBJECTIVES

To explore the prevalence and risk factors of depression and anxiety in patients with convulsive epilepsy (PWE) in rural West China.

METHODS

PWE from rural West China were evaluated for depression and anxiety with the Neurological Disorders Depression Inventory for Epilepsy (C-NDDI-E; Chinese version) and the Generalized Anxiety Disorder-7 (GAD-7; Chinese version). We also assessed their quality of life using the Quality of Life in Epilepsy Inventory (QOLIE-31) and their level of social support using the Social Support Rating Scale (SSRS). We used logistic regression analysis to identify independent risk factors of depression and anxiety and analysis of variance (ANOVA) to investigate the association between quality of life and depression and anxiety.

RESULTS

Of the 458 PWE in our study, 33.4% have anxiety and 52.6% have depression. SSRS (P = 0.03) and seizure frequency (P = 0.007) are independent risk factors of anxiety, and annual income of the patients (P < 0.001) is an independent risk factor of depression. PWE with both depression and anxiety have significantly lower QOLIE-31 total and subtotal scores.

CONCLUSIONS

PWE have a high prevalence of depression and anxiety in rural West China, which may be impacting their quality of life. PWE with depression and anxiety got a worse quality of life, and depression had a greater impact on quality of life for PWE than anxiety. The risk factors of depression and anxiety include seizure frequency and social support, while annual income is an additional risk factor of depression. Identifying risk factors early may be helpful in the timely management of these symptoms.

Overall and cause-specific premature mortality in epilepsy: A systematic review

BACKGROUND

We conducted a systematic review to ascertain the overall mortality and causes of premature mortality in epilepsy.

METHODOLOGY

We searched PubMed and Embase to identify relevant articles reporting mortality in epilepsy. An assessment of the methodological quality and overall quality of evidence of the identified studies was done using appropriate checklists. We extracted data from these studies reporting measures of overall and cause-specific mortality in epilepsy.

RESULTS

Sixty-three articles from fifty-six cohorts met the eligibility criteria, thirty-three population- or community-based and twenty-three hospital- or institutional-based studies. The majority of studies are from high-income countries (HIC). These studies reported overall excess mortality for people with epilepsy, with wide variability reported for population- or community-based studies and from low- and middle-income countries (LMIC). Twenty-seven articles from twenty-three cohorts reported measures of mortality for cause-specific mortality in epilepsy. People with epilepsy from HIC and LMIC have a higher risk of dying from various causes compared with the general population. Those in LMIC, however, have a particularly high chance of dying from external causes such as drowning and suicide. We observed a decrement over time in measures of overall and cause-specific mortality in cohorts.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite the heterogeneity in reports, our findings support the suggestions that people with epilepsy have an increased risk of premature mortality from various causes. Further work is needed to elucidate the mechanisms, to determine biomarkers for predicting those at risk, and to understand the implications of counseling and preventive strategies.

Dead in the water: Epilepsy-related drowning or sudden unexpected death in epilepsy?

OBJECTIVE

Both drowning and sudden unexpected death in epilepsy (SUDEP) are diagnoses of exclusion with predominantly nonspecific autopsy findings. We hypothesized that people with epilepsy found dead in water with no clear sign of submersion could be misdiagnosed as SUDEP.

METHODS

All reported seizure-related deaths undergoing medicolegal investigation in three medical examiner's offices (New York City, Maryland, San Diego County) over different time periods were reviewed to identify epilepsy-related drownings and SUDEPs. Drowning cases that fulfilled inclusion criteria were divided into two groups according to the circumstances of death: definite drowning and possible drowning. The SUDEP group included two sex- and age (±2 years)-matched definite SUDEP/definite SUDEP plus cases for each drowning case.

RESULTS

Of 1346 deaths reviewed, we identified 36 definite (76.6%) and 11 possible drowning deaths (23.4%), most of which occurred in a bathtub (72.3%). There were drowning-related findings, including fluid within the sphenoid sinuses, foam in the airways, clear fluid in the stomach content, and lung hyperinflation in 58.3% (21/36) of the definite drowning group, 45.5% (5/11) of the possible drowning group, and 4.3% of the SUDEP group (4/92). There was no difference in the presence of pulmonary edema/congestion between the definite drowning group, possible drowning group, and SUDEP group. The definite drowning group had a higher mean combined lung weight than the SUDEP group, but there was no difference in mean lung weights between the possible drowning and SUDEP groups or between the possible drowning and definite drowning groups.

SIGNIFICANCE

No distinguishable autopsy finding could be found between SUDEPs and epilepsy-related drownings when there were no drowning-related signs and no clear evidence of submersion. SUDEP could be the cause of death in such possible drowning cases. As most drowning cases occurred in the bathtub, supervision and specific bathing precautions could be effective prevention strategies.

Mortality-specific comorbidity among inpatients with epilepsy: A preliminary cross-sectional study in West China

PURPOSE

The purpose of this study was to investigate the current condition of mortality-specific comorbidity among hospitalized patients with epilepsy (PWE).

METHODS

The discharge abstract records of PWE from over 730,000 admissions were extracted from the hospital medical database. Fourteen mortality-related comorbidities from an epilepsy-specific index (ESI) were selected for the present assessment. The hospital-based prevalence of these comorbidities was estimated. The distributions of PWE with an ESI-based prognostic score were calculated.

RESULTS

A cohort of 11,422 PWE (male 58.5%) was included in the present study. The order of comorbidities in terms of high to low prevalence ranking was as follows: hypertension (19.6%), peripheral vascular disease (8.1%), cardiac arrhythmias (5.8%), dementia (4.6%), renal disease (4.1%), congestive heart failure (3.8%), metastatic cancer (3.4%), brain tumor (2.4%), paraplegia and hemiplegia (2.0%), solid tumor without metastasis (1.7%), anoxic brain injury (1.4%), pulmonary circulation disorders (1.3%), moderate or severe liver disease (1.1%), and aspiration pneumonia (0.2%). High rates of comorbidities in the elderly were also noted. Spearman correlation analysis showed a moderate correlation between the changes in ages and prognostic score with a rho of 0.6 (p<0.001). The percentage of females with a score of 0 was higher than that of males (p<0.001), indicating that the prognostic survival of the majority of females was relatively longer than that of males.

CONCLUSION

Our study demonstrated that the comorbidity burden of female PWE was relatively lower than that of male PWE. High prevalence of cardiac and vascular diseases was found in PWE, thereby affecting the long-term survival rate. Considering that the propensity of increased comorbidity was prevalent with age, we should implement early preventive measures to manage the potential comorbidities associated with mortality, reduce disease burden, and prolong the survival of PWE.

Epilepsy in Asia: Disease burden, management barriers, and challenges

This article reviews the burden of epilepsy in Asia, the challenges faced by people with epilepsy, and the management of epilepsy. Comparison is made with other parts of the world. For this narrative review, data were collected using specified search criteria. Articles investigating the epidemiology of epilepsy, diagnosis, comorbidities and associated mortality, stigmatization, and treatment were included. Epilepsy is a global health care issue affecting up to 70 million people worldwide. Nearly 80% of people with epilepsy live in low- and middle-income countries with limited resources. People with epilepsy are prone to physical and psychological comorbidities, including anxiety and depression, which can negatively impact their quality of life. Furthermore, people with epilepsy are at higher risk of premature death than people without epilepsy. Discrimination or stigmatization of people with epilepsy is common in Asia and can affect their education, work, and marriage opportunities. Access to epilepsy treatment varies throughout Asia. Although highly advanced treatment is available in some countries, up to 90% of people with epilepsy are not adequately treated or are not treated with conventional antiepileptic therapy in resource-limited countries. People in remote areas often do not receive any epilepsy care. First-generation antiepileptic drugs (AEDs) are available, but usually only in urban areas, and second-generation AEDs are not available in all countries. Newer AEDs tend to have more favorable safety profiles than first-generation AEDs and provide options to tailor therapy for individual patients, especially those with comorbidities. Active epilepsy surgery centers are present in some countries, although epilepsy surgery is often underutilized given the number of patients who could benefit. Further epidemiologic research is needed to provide accurate epilepsy data across the Asian region. Coordinated action is warranted to improve access to treatment and care.

Prevalence of epilepsy in China between 1990 and 2015: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

Epilepsy is a major neurological disorder that affects approximately 65 million people worldwide. Globally, the burden of epilepsy is not evenly distributed, with more than 80% of sufferers residing in low– and middle–income countries. This study estimates the burden of epilepsy in mainland China from 1990 to 2015 and explores the variations of burden by age and gender.

Methods

We conducted a systematic review of the peer–reviewed literature from 1990 to 2015 using Chinese and English academic databases (CNKI, WanFang, VIP and PubMed) to identify population–based prospective studies on the prevalence of epilepsy in mainland Chinese. Multilevel mixed–effects logistic regression was used to estimate the prevalence of lifetime epilepsy (LTE), and restricted cubic regression splines were applied to model the functional forms of the non–linear effects of age and LTE prevalence. Random–effect meta–analysis was used to obtain the pooled prevalence of 1–year active epilepsy (AE), 2–year AE and 5–year AE separately. To estimate the number of people with LTE and AE in the years 1990, 2000, and 2015, LTE and AE prevalence were multiplied by the total population of mainland China of the corresponding year.

Findings

Analyses were conducted using 39 prevalence studies that met the inclusion criteria and comprised 77 separate data points (37 on LTE, 16 on 1–year AE, 12 on 2–year AE and 12 on 5–year AE). In 1990, the prevalence of LTE ranged from 1.31‰ (95% CI = 0.85–2.00) in the 0–4 age group to 2.42‰ (95% confidence interval CI = 1.60–3.65) in the 30–34 age group. By 2015, the LTE prevalence had increased to 4.57‰ (95% CI = 2.52–8.27) in the 0–4 group and 8.43‰ (95% CI = 4.71–15.04) in the 30–34 group. Over the 25–year period, the overall prevalence of LTE had steadily increased by 259%, from 1.99‰ (95% CI = 1.31–3.02) in 1990 to 7.15‰ (95% CI = 3.98–12.82) in 2015. The rates of increase were similar across the whole age spectrum, fluctuating around 250%. Between 1990 and 2015, the total number of people with LTE in mainland China increased by 328%, from 2.30 million (95% CI = 1.51–3.49) in 1990 to 9.84 million (95% CI = 5.48–17.64) in 2015. The pooled 1–year, 2–year, and 5–year AE prevalence were 3.79‰ (95% CI = 3.31–4.34), 4.08‰ (95% CI = 3.41–4.89) and 4.19‰ (95% CI = 3.42–5.15).

Conclusions

The burden of LTE in China has increased substantially between 1990 and 2015, with the prevalence of LTE having more than doubled and the number of people with LTE more than tripled. The large amount of AE cases in China calls for optimal management and treatment. More high–quality epidemiological studies on LTE and AE prevalence are still needed.

Incidence of sudden unexpected death in epilepsy in community-based cohort in China

OBJECTIVE

Sudden unexpected death in epilepsy (SUDEP) is associated with the high premature mortality observed among people with epilepsy. It is, however, considered a rare event in China, probably because of lack of awareness and limitation of studies in the country. We aimed to provide some initial estimation of the burden of SUDEP in China.

METHODS

We established a large Chinese community-based cohort of people with epilepsy between January 2010 and December 2011. For any participant who died during follow-up, detailed information on cause of death was obtained using a specifically designed Verbal Autopsy Questionnaire. All cases were reviewed by a multidisciplinary expert panel and reinvestigated if necessary. Sudden unexpected death in epilepsy incidence rates were estimated and case details provided.

RESULTS

The cohort consisted of 1562 people and during a median 5years follow-up, 72 deaths were reported. The all-causes death incidence was 11.23 (95% CI 8.86-14.07) per 1000 person-years. Fifteen died suddenly and unexpectedly in a reasonable state of health in the week preceding death. We recorded detailed information of these 15 deaths. Thirteen were considered to be probable SUDEP and two possible SUDEP. The incidence of probable SUDEP was 2.03 (95% CI 1.13-3.38) per 1000 person-years, and the incidence of all suspected (probable and possible) SUDEP was 2.34 (95% CI 1.36-3.77) per 1000 person-years.

SIGNIFICANCE

The incidence of SUDEP was relatively high among Chinese people with epilepsy when compared with that in previous community-based studies from high-income countries. The burden of SUDEP in China requires further assessments.

Ranking the Leading Risk Factors for Sudden Unexpected Death in Epilepsy

Background

Sudden unexpected death in epilepsy (SUDEP) is rare in well-controlled epilepsy. However, SUDEP is a common cause of death in drug-resistant epilepsy. Over the last 30 years, multiple cohort and population studies have identified clinical risk factors associated with an increased risk for SUDEP.

Objective

To identify and rank the leading SUDEP risk factors from major cohort and population-based studies. The incidence of SUDEP is also evaluated in special clinical situations, including antiepileptic drug treatment, epilepsy surgery, devices, and assignment to placebo in clinical trials.

Methods

A PubMed search for English language human cohort studies for the terms Sudden, Death, and Epilepsy was performed for the years 1987–2017. Risk factors for SUDEP were identified and ranked by the weighted log adjusted odds ratio (OR)/relative risk ratio (RR).

Findings

The top 10 leading risk factors ranked from highest to lowest log adjusted OR/RR are the following: ≥3 GTC seizures per year; ≥13 seizures in the last year; No Antiepileptic Drug (AED) treatment; ≥3 AEDs; ≥3 GTCs in the past year; 11–20 GTC seizures in the last 3 months; age of onset 0–15 years old; IQ < 70; 3–5 AED changes in the last year; ≥3 AEDs. Two risk factors from separate sources (≥3 GTC seizures and ≥3 AEDs) occur twice in the top 10 risk factors.

Conclusion

The top 10 risk factors for SUDEP are identified and ranked. A ranking of the top risk factors could help clinicians identify patients at highest risk for SUDEP.

Terminal seizure frequency and its relation to SUDEP

BACKGROUND

Sudden unexpected death in epilepsy (SUDEP) is a major cause of death in patients with epilepsy. Several risk factors have been implicated, including early age of onset, tonic-clonic seizures and antiepileptic drugs. However, whether patients who die from SUDEP have a greater frequency of seizures in the few months before death is unclear. We investigated the terminal seizure frequency and its relation to SUDEP among a large group of patients with tonic-clonic seizures in rural West China.

METHODS

We used the database from the Convulsive Epilepsy Control and Management Program in West China, which routinely provides phenobarbital (PB) as a treatment for convulsive epilepsy. Patients with probable SUDEP were included according to pre-set criteria. A verbal autopsy was undertaken for each case. By matching each patient's age, sex, date of joining the program, time in follow-up, and baseline seizure frequency, we set up a 1:5 ratio control group. SPSS 21.0 statistics were applied to compare the differences in seizure frequency 3months prior to SUDEP between patients with probable SUDEP and controls. Furthermore, the dynamic changes of terminal seizure frequency 6-9months, 3-6months, and 3months prior to SUDEP was also analyzed.

RESULTS

A total of 41 patients who died from probable SUDEP were identified out of 7844 patients during 10years of follow-up. The SUDEP group had a significantly higher tonic-clonic seizure frequency 3months before their deaths than the control group (p=0.023). At the same time, their seizure-free rate was lower than the control group (p=0.025). Patients with probable SUDEP who were followed up over 12months were further studied as a subgroup. They had more tonic-clonic seizures 3months prior to death compared to the control group (p=0.010). They also had an increase in seizure frequency in their terminal phase (3months prior) compared to an earlier stage (3-6months prior) (p=0.029). Furthermore, the terminal PB dose in the SUDEP group was higher than the control group (p=0.002).

CONCLUSION

Patients who died from SUDEP had more frequent tonic-clonic seizures 3months before their deaths. Higher seizure frequency increases the exposure to peri-ictal pathophysiological events, which possibly relate to SUDEP. This phenomenon may be due to the drug resistance potential of these patients or the high dose of PB. Further research is required to ascertain the underlying mechanisms of SUDEP.

Impact of Drug Manipulation on Seizure Freedom in Adults with Uncontrolled Epilepsy: A Prospective Controlled Study in Rural China

INTRODUCTION

It has been suggested that uncontrolled epilepsy might not necessarily equate to drug resistance when antiepileptic drugs (AEDs) are used at relatively low doses, a practice frequently observed in rural areas of China.

OBJECTIVE

To assess the clinical benefits of further drug manipulation in this situation, we prospectively followed up the outcomes of patients with uncontrolled epilepsy while taking relatively low doses of AEDs.

METHODS

The study included patients aged 16 years and older with uncontrolled epilepsy and who were receiving at least one AED at a dosage below 50% of the World Health Organization (WHO) defined daily dose (DDD) (50% DDD) (Group 1). Patients with drug-resistant epilepsy were included for comparison (Group 2). Both groups were followed-up for at least 2 years. Seizure outcomes after further drug manipulations were recorded at the last follow-up.

RESULTS

A total of 197 patients (55.3% male) were included in Group 1 and 32 (46.9% male) in Group 2; their mean duration of follow-up was 28.85 ± 1.90 and 30.91 ± 2.04 months, respectively. At the last follow-up, 16.8% (33/197) of patients in Group 1 had become seizure-free compared with none in Group 2 (p < 0.001). Seventeen of 93 (18.3%) patients in Group 1 became seizure free after increasing the dosage of baseline AED(s) alone. Only 5.5% (3/55) of patients who had failed to respond to an AED at ≥50% DDD at baseline became seizure free compared with 21.1% (30/142) who did not have such a history (p = 0.001). The number of AEDs taken at a dosage below 50% DDD at baseline was not associated with seizure outcome.

CONCLUSIONS

Uncontrolled epilepsy could become controlled in a substantial proportion of patients by dose increase alone, particularly if there is no history of drug failure at ≥50% DDD.

Premature mortality of epilepsy in low- and middle-income countries: A systematic review from the Mortality Task Force of the International League Against Epilepsy

To determine the magnitude of risk factors and causes of premature mortality associated with epilepsy in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). We conducted a systematic search of the literature reporting mortality and epilepsy in the World Bank-defined LMICs. We assessed the quality of the studies based on representativeness; ascertainment of cases, diagnosis, and mortality; and extracted data on standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) and mortality rates in people with epilepsy. We examined risk factors and causes of death. The annual mortality rate was estimated at 19.8 (range 9.7-45.1) deaths per 1,000 people with epilepsy with a weighted median SMR of 2.6 (range 1.3-7.2) among higher-quality population-based studies. Clinical cohort studies yielded 7.1 (range 1.6-25.1) deaths per 1,000 people. The weighted median SMRs were 5.0 in male and 4.5 in female patients; relatively higher SMRs within studies were measured in children and adolescents, those with symptomatic epilepsies, and those reporting less adherence to treatment. The main causes of death in people with epilepsy living in LMICs include those directly attributable to epilepsy, which yield a mean proportional mortality ratio (PMR) of 27.3% (range 5-75.5%) derived from population-based studies. These direct causes comprise status epilepticus, with reported PMRs ranging from 5 to 56.6%, and sudden unexpected death in epilepsy (SUDEP), with reported PMRs ranging from 1 to 18.9%. Important causes of mortality indirectly related to epilepsy include drowning, head injury, and burns. Epilepsy in LMICs has a significantly greater premature mortality, as in high-income countries, but in LMICs the excess mortality is more likely to be associated with causes attributable to lack of access to medical facilities such as status epilepticus, and preventable causes such as drowning, head injuries, and burns. This excess premature mortality could be substantially reduced with education about the risk of death and improved access to treatments, including AEDs.

A preliminary observation of the adverse effects of phenobarbital among patients with convulsive epilepsy in rural West China

BACKGROUND

This study explored the adverse effect (AE) profile of phenobarbital (PB) among patients with active convulsive epilepsy (ACE) from resource-poor areas.

METHODS

Patients with ACE were enrolled into an epilepsy management project in rural West China. Information was obtained from monthly follow-up questionnaires. The demographic and clinical features of the patients with AE were firstly described. After that, the occurrence rate was estimated for each subtype of AE at three different severity levels (mild, moderate, and serious). Survival analysis was used to determine the potential risk factors of AEs.

RESULTS

A total of 7231 patients (3780 men) were included in the present cohort. During the follow-up time period (average 33.4months), the most common AEs were drowsiness (moderate: 4.4%, serious: 0.68%), dizziness (moderate: 3.7%, serious: 0.5%), and headache (moderate: 2.9%, serious: 0.41%). In the confirmed AE groups (moderate and serious severity levels), the symptoms tended to be transient, with durations of less than 3months. Polytherapy was an independent risk factor for AEs and had an increasing risk when the severity of the AE increased (Hazard Ratio 1.12, 1.55, and 2.52 for mild AE, moderate AE, and serious AE, respectively). Receiving a high dosage of PB (>180mg/day) indicated a slightly elevated risk (Hazard Ratio 1.22 and 1.27 for mild AE and moderate AE, respectively).

CONCLUSION

Phenobarbital demonstrates overall tolerability, and serious AEs were not common. Patients receiving a high dose of PB or polytherapy are at increased risk of developing AEs.

Incidence, Remission and Mortality of Convulsive Epilepsy in Rural Northeast South Africa

Background

Epilepsy is one of the most common neurological conditions globally, estimated to constitute 0.75% of the global burden of disease, with the majority of this burden found in low- and middle- income countries (LMICs). Few studies from LMICs, including much of sub-Saharan Africa, have described the incidence, remission or mortality rates due to epilepsy, which are needed to quantify the burden and inform policy. This study investigates the epidemiological parameters of convulsive epilepsy within a context of high HIV prevalence and an emerging burden of cardiovascular disease.

Methods

A cross-sectional population survey of 82,818 individuals, in the Agincourt Health and Socio-demographic Surveillance Site (HDSS) in rural northeast South Africa was conducted in 2008, from which 296 people were identified with active convulsive epilepsy. A follow-up survey was conducted in 2012. Incidence and mortality rates were estimated, with duration and remission rates calculated using the DISMOD II software package.

Results

The crude incidence for convulsive epilepsy was 17.4/100,000 per year (95%CI: 13.1-23.0). Remission was 4.6% and 3.9% per year for males and females, respectively. The standardized mortality ratio was 2.6 (95%CI: 1.7-3.5), with 33.3% of deaths directly related to epilepsy. Mortality was higher in men than women (adjusted rate ratio (aRR) 2.6 (95%CI: 1.2-5.4)), and was significantly associated with older ages (50+ years versus those 0-5 years old (RR 4.8 (95%CI: 0.6-36.4)).

Conclusions

The crude incidence was lower whilst mortality rates were similar to other African studies; however, this study found higher mortality amongst older males. Efforts aimed at further understanding what causes epilepsy in older people and developing interventions to reduce prolonged seizures are likely to reduce the overall burden of ACE in rural South Africa.

Cause-specific mortality among children and young adults with epilepsy: Results from the U.S. National Child Death Review Case Reporting System

We investigated causes of death in children and young adults with epilepsy by using data from the U.S. National Child Death Review Case Reporting System (NCDR-CRS), a passive surveillance system composed of comprehensive information related to deaths reviewed by local child death review teams. Information on a total of 48,697 deaths in children and young adults 28days to 24years of age, including 551 deaths with epilepsy and 48,146 deaths without epilepsy, was collected from 2004 through 2012 in 32 states. In a proportionate mortality analysis by official manner of death, decedents with epilepsy had a significantly higher percentage of natural deaths but significantly lower percentages of deaths due to accidents, homicide, and undetermined causes compared with persons without epilepsy. With respect to underlying causes of death, decedents with epilepsy had significantly higher percentages of deaths due to drowning and most medical conditions including pneumonia and congenital anomalies but lower percentages of deaths due to asphyxia, weapon use, and unknown causes compared with decedents without epilepsy. The increased percentages of deaths due to pneumonia and drowning in children and young adults with epilepsy suggest preventive interventions including immunization and better instruction and monitoring before or during swimming. State-specific and national population-based mortality studies of children and young adults with epilepsy are recommended.

Excess mortality from mental, neurological and substance use disorders in the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010

AIMS

Mortality-associated burden of disease estimates from the Global Burden of Disease 2010 (GBD 2010) may erroneously lead to the interpretation that premature death in people with mental, neurological and substance use disorders (MNSDs) is inconsequential when evidence shows that people with MNSDs experience a significant reduction in life expectancy. We explore differences between cause-specific and excess mortality of MNSDs estimated by GBD 2010.

METHODS

GBD 2010 cause-specific death estimates were produced using the International Classification of Diseases death-coding system. Excess mortality (all-cause) was estimated using natural history models. Additional mortality attributed to MNSDs as underlying causes but not captured through GBD 2010 methodology is quantified in the comparative risk assessments.

RESULTS

In GBD 2010, MNSDs were estimated to be directly responsible for 840 000 deaths compared with more than 13 million excess deaths using natural history models.

CONCLUSIONS

Numbers of excess deaths and attributable deaths clearly demonstrate the high degree of mortality associated with these disorders. There is substantial evidence pointing to potential causal pathways for this premature mortality with evidence-based interventions available to address this mortality. The life expectancy gap between persons with MNSDs and the general population is high and should be a focus for health systems reform.

A resting-state functional connectivity study in patients at high risk for sudden unexpected death in epilepsy

OBJECTIVE

Seizure-related respiratory and cardiac dysfunctions were once thought to be the direct cause of sudden unexpected death in epilepsy (SUDEP), but both may be secondary to postictal cerebral inhibition. An important issue that has not been explored to date is the neural network basis of cerebral inhibition. Our aim was to investigate the features of neural networks in patients at high risk for SUDEP using a blood oxygen level-dependent (BOLD) resting-state functional connectivity (FC) approach.

SUBJECTS AND METHODS

Resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging (Rs-fMRI) data were recorded from 13 patients at high risk for SUDEP and 12 patients at low risk for SUDEP. Thirteen cerebral regions that are closely related to cardiorespiratory activity were selected as regions of interest (ROIs). The ROI-wise resting-state FC analysis was compared between the two groups.

RESULTS

Compared with patients at low risk for SUDEP, patients at high risk exhibited significant reductions in the resting-state FC between the pons and the right thalamus, the midbrain and the right thalamus, the bilateral anterior cingulate cortex (ACC) and the right thalamus, and the left thalamus and the right thalamus.

CONCLUSIONS

This investigation is the first to use neuroimaging methods in research on the mechanism of SUDEP and demonstrates the abnormally decreased resting-state FC in the ACC-thalamus-brainstem circuit in patients at high risk for SUDEP. These findings highlight the need to understand the fundamental neural network dysfunction in SUDEP, which may fill the missing link between seizure-related cardiorespiratory dysfunction and SUDEP, and provide a promising neuroimaging biomarker for risk prediction of SUDEP.

Premature mortality in poor health and low income adults with epilepsy

OBJECTIVE

To examine mortality and causes of death (CODs) in socioeconomically disadvantaged persons with epilepsy (PWEs) in the United States.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective open cohort analysis using Ohio Medicaid claims data between 1992 and 2008 to assess mortality and COD in 68,785 adult Medicaid beneficiaries with epilepsy. Case fatality (CF), mortality rates (MRs), standardized mortality ratios (SMRs), and years of potential life lost (YPLLs) were calculated. The SMRs were estimated to compare risk of death in PWEs with that in the general Medicaid population with and without disabilities. Proportionate mortality ratios (PMRs), YPLLs, and SMRs for specific COD were also obtained.

RESULTS

There were 12,630 deaths in PWEs. CF was 18.4%, the age-race-sex adjusted MR was 18.6/1,000 person-years (95% confidence interval [CI], 18.3-18.9). The SMR was 1.8 (95% CI, 1.8-1.9) when compared to the general Medicaid population, and was 1.4 (95% CI, 1.3-1.6) when compared to those with disabilities. The average YPLL was 16.9 years (range 1-47 years). Both epilepsy and comorbid conditions significantly contributed to premature mortality in PWEs. Cardiovascular diseases, cancer, and unintentional injuries were the most common COD and account for a large proportion of YPLLs. Deaths from epilepsy-related causes occurred in about 10% of the cases.

SIGNIFICANCE

Socioeconomically deprived PWEs, especially young adults, experience high mortality and die 17 years prematurely. The high mortality in Medicaid beneficiaries with epilepsy affirms that comorbid conditions and epilepsy play a crucial role in premature death. Management of comorbid conditions is, at a minimum, as important as epilepsy management, and therefore deserves more attention from physicians, particularly those who care for Medicaid beneficiaries with epilepsy.

Prevalence of epilepsy--an unknown quantity

The incidence, prevalence, and mortality of epilepsy vary across countries with different economies. Differences can be explained by methodological problems, premature mortality, seizure remission, socioeconomic factors, and stigma. Diagnostic misclassification-one possible explanation-may result from inclusion of patients with acute symptomatic or isolated unprovoked seizures. Other sources of bias include age and ethnic origin of the target population, definitions of epilepsy, retrospective versus prospective ascertainment, sources of cases, and experienced and perceived stigma. Premature mortality is an issue in low-income countries (LICs), where treatment gap, brain infections, and traumatic brain injuries are more common than in high-income countries (HICs). Death rates may reflect untreated continued seizures or inclusion of acute symptomatic seizures. Lack of compliance with antiepileptic drugs has been associated with increased risk for death, increased hospital admissions, motor vehicle accidents, and fractures in poor communities. Epilepsy is a self-remitting clinical condition in up to 50% of cases. Studies in untreated individuals from LICs have shown that the proportion of remissions overlaps that of countries where patients receive treatment. When the identification of patients is based on spontaneous reports (e.g., door-to-door surveys), patients in remission may be less likely to disclose the disease for fear of stigmatization with no concurrent benefits. This might lead to underascertainment of cases when assessing the lifetime prevalence of epilepsy. In LICs, the proportion of people living in poverty is greater than in HICs. Poverty is associated with risk factors for epilepsy, risk for developing epilepsy, and increased mortality. The high incidence and prevalence of epilepsy found in LICs is also observed in low income individuals from HICs. Epileptogenic conditions are associated with an increased mortality. This may partly explain the difference between incidence and lifetime prevalence of epilepsy in LICs. Poverty within LICs and HICs could be a preventable cause of mortality in epilepsy.