Case-crossover analysis of air pollution health effects: a systematic review of methodology and application

Association of short-term exposure to ambient fine particulate matter and ozone with outpatient visits for anxiety disorders: A hospital-based case-crossover study in South China

BACKGROUND

The short-term adverse effects of ambient fine particulate matter (PM2.5) and ozone (O3) on anxiety disorders (ADs) remained inconclusive.

METHODS

We applied an individual-level time-stratified case-crossover study, which including 126,112 outpatient visits for ADs during 2019-2021 in Guangdong province, China, to investigate the association of short-term exposure to PM2.5 and O3 with outpatient visits for ADs, and estimate excess outpatient visits in South China. Daily residential air pollutant exposure assessments were performed by extracting grid data (spatial resolution: 1 km × 1 km) from validated datasets. We employed the conditional logistic regression model to quantify the associations and excess outpatient visits.

RESULTS

The results of the single-pollutant models showed that each 10 μg/m3 increase of PM2.5 and O3 exposures was significantly associated with a 3.14 % (95 % confidence interval: 2.47 %, 3.81 %) and 0.88 % (0.49 %, 1.26 %) increase in odds of outpatient visits for ADs, respectively. These associations remained robust in 2-pollutant models. The proportion of outpatient visits attributable to PM2.5 and O3 exposures was up to 7.20 % and 8.93 %, respectively. Older adults appeared to be more susceptible to PM2.5 exposure, especially in cool season, and subjects with recurrent outpatient visits were more susceptible to O3 exposure.

LIMITATION

As our study subjects were from one single hospital in China, it should be cautious when generalizing our findings to other regions.

CONCLUSION

Short-term exposure to ambient PM2.5 and O3 was significantly associated with a higher odds of outpatient visits for ADs, which can contribute to considerable excess outpatient visits.

Dust storms and cardiorespiratory emergency department visits in three Southwestern United States: application of a monitoring-based exposure metric

Climate change is projected to increase the risk of dust storms, particularly in subtropical dryland, including the southwestern US. Research on dust storm's health impacts in the US is limited and hindered by challenges in dust storm identification. This study assesses the potential link between dust storms and cardiorespiratory emergency department (ED) visits in the southwestern US. We acquired data for 2005-2016 from eight IMPROVE (Interagency Monitoring of PROtected Visual Environments) sites in Arizona, California, and Utah. We applied a validated algorithm to identify dust storm days at each site. We acquired patient-level ED visit data from state agencies and ascertained visits for respiratory, cardiovascular, and cause-specific subgroups among patients residing in ZIP codes within 50 km of an IMPROVE site. Using a case-crossover design, we estimated short-term associations of ED visits and dust storms, controlling for temporally varying covariates. During 2005-2016, 40 dust storm days occurred at the eight IMPROVE sites. Mean PM10 and PM2.5 levels were three to six times greater on dust storm days compared to non-dust storm days. Over the study period, there were 2 524 259 respiratory and 2 805 925 cardiovascular ED visits. At lags of 1, 2, and 3 days after a dust storm, we observed 3.7% (95% CI: 1.0%, 7.6%), 4.9% (95% CI: 1.1%, 8.9%), and 5.0% (95% CI: 1.3%, 8.9%) elevated odds of respiratory ED visits compared to non-dust storm days. Estimated associations of dust storm days and cardiovascular disease ED visits were largely consistent with the null. Using a monitoring-based exposure metric, we observed associations among dust storms and respiratory ED visits. The results add to growing evidence of the health threat posed by dust storms. The dust storm metric was limited by lack of daily data; future research should consider information from satellite and numerical models to enhance dust storm characterization.

Assessing the impact of specific PM2.5-Bound metallic elements on asthma emergency department visits: A case-crossover study in Taiwan

OBJECTIVES

This study aims to assess the specific PM2.5-bound metallic elements that contribute to asthma emergency department visits by using a case-crossover study design.

METHODS

This study analyzed data from 11,410 asthma emergency department visits as case group and 22,820 non-asthma onset dates occurring one week and two weeks preceding the case day as controls from 2017 to 2020. PM2.5 monitoring data and 35 PM.2.5-bound metallic elements from six different regions in Taiwan were collected. Conditional logistic regression models were used to assess the relationship between asthma and PM2.5-bound metallic elements.

RESULTS

Our investigation revealed a statistically significant risk of asthma emergency department visits associated with PM2.5 exposure at lag 0, 1, 2, and 3 during autumn. Additionally, PM2.5-bound hafnium (Hf), thallium (Tl), rubidium (Rb), and aluminum (Al) exhibited a consistently significant positive correlation with asthma emergency department visits at lags 1, 2, and 3. In stratified analyses by area, age, and sex, PM2.5-bound Hf showed a significant and consistent correlation.

CONCLUSIONS

This study provides evidence of PM2.5-bound metallic elements effects in asthma exacerbations, particularly for Hf. It emphasizes the importance of understanding the origins of these metallic elements and pursuing emission reductions to mitigate regional health risks.

Airborne pollen exposure and risk of hospital admission for allergic rhinitis in Beijing: A time-stratified case-crossover study

BACKGROUND

Airborne pollen is a crucial risk factor in allergic rhinitis (AR). The severity of AR symptoms can vary based on pollen type and concentration. This study aimed to estimate the association between exposure to different pollen types and AR risk.

METHODS

We obtained data from patients admitted to the Beijing Tongren Hospital for AR, and data on pollen concentration, meteorological factors, and fine particulate matter (PM2.5) from 13 districts in Beijing from 2016 to 2019. We used a time-stratified case-crossover study design and calculated odds ratios (ORs) related to the risk of AR associated with a 10 grain/1000 mm2 increase in total pollen concentrations for specific pollen types. A stratified analysis was conducted to assess whether the associations were varied by age and sex.

RESULTS

The OR of AR associated with a 10 grain/1000 mm2 increase in the 7-day average pollen concentration was 1.014 (95% CI: 1.014, 1.015), 1.076 (95% CI: 1.070, 1.082), 1.024 (95% CI: 1.023, 1.025), 1.042 (95% CI: 1.039, 1.045), 1.142 (95% CI: 1.137, 1.147), 1.092 (95% CI: 1.088, 1.097), 1.046 (95% CI: 1.035, 1.058), and 1.026 (95% CI: 1.024, 1.028) for total pollen, Ulmus, Cupressaceae, Populus, Fraxinus, Pinus, Betula, and Artemisia, respectively. Both tree pollen (Ulmus, Cupressaceae, Populus, Fraxinus, Betula, and Pinus) and weed pollen (Artemisia, Chenopodium, and Humulus) were correlated with an increased risk of AR. These associations remained consistent across distinct subgroups defined by both age and sex.

CONCLUSION

Exposure to pollen from trees and weeds might be associated with an increased risk of AR. This research provides valuable scientific support for both clinical practitioners and patients with AR regarding the hazards of pollen exposure.

Impacts of heat and wildfire on preterm birth

BACKGROUND

Climate change continues to increase the frequency, intensity, and duration of heat events and wildfires, both of which are associated with adverse pregnancy outcomes. Few studies simultaneously evaluated exposures to these increasingly common exposures.

OBJECTIVES

We investigated the relationship between exposure to heat and wildfire smoke and preterm birth (PTB).

METHODS

In this time-stratified case-crossover study, participants consisted of 85,806 California singleton PTBs (20-36 gestational weeks) from May through October of 2015-2019. Birthing parent ZIP codes were linked to high-resolution daily weather, PM2.5 from wildfire smoke, and ambient air pollution data. Heat day was defined as a day with apparent temperature >98th percentile within each ZIP code and heat wave was defined as ≥2 consecutive heat days. Wildfire-smoke day was defined as a day with any exposure to wildfire-smoke PM2.5. Conditional logistic regression was used to calculate the odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) comparing exposures during a hazard period (lags 0-6) compared to control periods. Analyses were adjusted for relative humidity, fine particles, and ozone.

RESULTS

Wildfire-smoke days were associated with 3.0% increased odds of PTB (ORlag0: 1.03, CI: 1.00-1.05). Compared with white participants, associations appeared stronger among Black, Hispanic, Asian, and American Indians/Alaskan Native participants. Heatwave days (ORlag2: 1.07, CI: 1.02-1.13) were positively associated with PTB, with stronger associations among those simultaneously exposed to wildfire smoke days (ORlag2: 1.19, CI: 1.11-1.27). Similar findings were observed for heat days and when other temperature metrics (e.g., maximum, minimum) were used.

DISCUSSION

Heat and wildfire increased PTB risk with evidence of synergism. As the occurrence and co-occurrence of these events increase, exposure reduction among pregnant people is critical, especially among racial/ethnic minorities.

Multimorbidity and emergency hospitalisations during hot weather

BACKGROUND

People with chronic diseases are a commonly listed heat-vulnerable group in heat-health action plans. While prior research identifies multiple health conditions that may increase vulnerability to ambient heat, there is minimal evidence regarding the implications of multimorbidity (two or more chronic diseases).

METHODS

From the statewide hospital registry of Queensland, Australia, we identified people aged ≥15 years who had emergency hospitalisation(s) between March 2004 and April 2016 and previously had 0, 1, 2, or ≥3 of five chronic diseases: cardiovascular disease, diabetes, mental disorders, asthma/COPD, and chronic kidney disease. We conducted time-stratified case-crossover analyses to estimate the odds ratio of hospitalisations associated with ambient heat exposure in people with different numbers, types, and combinations of chronic diseases. Ambient heat exposure was defined as a 5 °C increase in daily mean temperature above the median.

FINDINGS

There were 2,263,427 emergency hospitalisations recorded (48.7% in males and 51.3% in females). When the mean temperature increased, hospitalisation odds increased with chronic disease number, particularly in older persons (≥65 years), males, and non-indigenous people. For instance, in older persons with 0, 1, 2, or ≥3 chronic diseases, the odds ratios associated with ambient heat exposure were 1.00 (95% confidence interval: 0.96, 1.04), 1.06 (1.02, 1.09), 1.08 (1.02, 1.14), and 1.13 (1.07, 1.19), respectively. Among the chronic diseases, chronic kidney disease, and asthma/COPD, either existing alone, together, or in combination with other diseases, were associated with the highest odds of hospitalisations under ambient heat exposure.

INTERPRETATION

While individuals with multimorbidity are considered in heat-health action plans, this study suggests the need to consider specifically examining them as a distinct and vulnerable subgroup.

FUNDING

Wellcome.

Seasonal extreme temperatures and short-term fine particulate matter increases pediatric respiratory healthcare encounters in a sparsely populated region of the intermountain western United States

BACKGROUND

Western Montana, USA, experiences complex air pollution patterns with predominant exposure sources from summer wildfire smoke and winter wood smoke. In addition, climate change related temperatures events are becoming more extreme and expected to contribute to increases in hospital admissions for a range of health outcomes. Evaluating while accounting for these exposures (air pollution and temperature) that often occur simultaneously and may act synergistically on health is becoming more important.

METHODS

We explored short-term exposure to air pollution on children's respiratory health outcomes and how extreme temperature or seasonal period modify the risk of air pollution-associated healthcare events. The main outcome measure included individual-based address located respiratory-related healthcare visits for three categories: asthma, lower respiratory tract infections (LRTI), and upper respiratory tract infections (URTI) across western Montana for ages 0-17 from 2017-2020. We used a time-stratified, case-crossover analysis with distributed lag models to identify sensitive exposure windows of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) lagged from 0 (same-day) to 14 prior-days modified by temperature or season.

RESULTS

For asthma, increases of 1 µg/m3 in PM2.5 exposure 7-13 days prior a healthcare visit date was associated with increased odds that were magnified during median to colder temperatures and winter periods. For LRTIs, 1 µg/m3 increases during 12 days of cumulative PM2.5 with peak exposure periods between 6-12 days before healthcare visit date was associated with elevated LRTI events, also heightened in median to colder temperatures but no seasonal effect was observed. For URTIs, 1 unit increases during 13 days of cumulative PM2.5 with peak exposure periods between 4-10 days prior event date was associated with greater risk for URTIs visits that were intensified during median to hotter temperatures and spring to summer periods.

CONCLUSIONS

Delayed, short-term exposure increases of PM2.5 were associated with elevated odds of all three pediatric respiratory healthcare visit categories in a sparsely population area of the inter-Rocky Mountains, USA. PM2.5 in colder temperatures tended to increase instances of asthma and LRTIs, while PM2.5 during hotter periods increased URTIs.

Is short-term exposure to primary gaseous air pollutants associated with AIDS-related deaths? Evidence from a time-stratified case-crossover study

Primary gaseous air pollutants have been associated with death from multiple causes, however, it remains unknown if they play a role in premature mortality among individuals living with HIV/AIDS. Data on HIV/AIDS patients were collected from the Hubei Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, with a total of 1,467 AIDS-related deaths (ARD) between 2013 and 2020. Daily mean sulfur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), and carbon monoxide (CO) were generated by artificial intelligence algorithms combined with big data. We employed a time-stratified case-crossover approach and conditional logistical regression models to investigate the acute effects of primary gaseous air pollutants on ARD. Per interquartile range increase in the concentrations of SO2 was significantly linked with ARD, with a corresponding odds ratio (OR) of 1.17 [95% confidence intervals (CIs): 1.01, 1.35] at lag 4 day. Furthermore, our findings indicated that males exhibited a heightened vulnerability to the adverse effects of SO2 and NO2, for example, the ORs were 1.24 (95% CIs: 1.05, 1.47) and 1.16 (95% CIs: 1.01, 1.34), respectively. Moreover, individuals aged over 65 years were more susceptible to SO2 and CO. Additionally, we identified the warm season as a sensitive period for mortality associated with SO2 and NO2. Our study furnished fresh evidence regarding the detrimental effects of primary gaseous air pollutants on ARD.

Individual Risk Factors of PM2.5 Associated With Wintertime Mortality in Urban Patients With COPD

BACKGROUND

Air pollution contributes to premature mortality, but potential impacts differ in populations with existing disease, particularly for individuals with multiple risk factors. Although COPD increases vulnerability to air pollution, individuals with COPD and other individual risk factors are at the intersection of multiple risks and may be especially susceptible to the effect of acute outdoor air pollution.

RESEARCH QUESTION

What is the association between wintertime air pollution and mortality in patients with COPD and the modifying role of individual risk factors?

STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS

This study evaluated 19,243 deceased veterans with prior COPD diagnosis who had resided in 25 US metropolitan regions (2016-2019). Electronic health records included patient demographic characteristics; smoking status; and comorbidities such as asthma, coronary artery disease (CAD), obesity, and diabetes. Using geocoded addresses, individuals were assigned wintertime fine particulate matter (particulate matter smaller than 2.5 μg in diameter [PM2.5]) and nitrogen dioxide air pollution exposures. Associations between acute air pollution and mortality were estimated by using a time-stratified case-crossover design with a conditional logistic model, and individual risk differences were assessed according to stratified analysis.

RESULTS

A 1.05 (95% CI, 1.02-1.09) mortality risk was estimated for each 10 μg/m3 increase in daily wintertime PM2.5). Older patients and Black individuals displayed elevated risk. Obesity was a substantial air pollution-related mortality risk factor (OR, 1.11; 95% CI, 1.01-1.23), and the estimated risk for individuals with obesity plus CAD or obesity plus diabetes was 16% higher.

INTERPRETATION

Wintertime PM2.5 exposure was associated with elevated mortality risk in people with COPD, but individuals with multiple comorbidities, notably obesity, had high vulnerability. Our study suggests that obesity, CAD, and diabetes are understudied modifiers of air pollution-related risks for people with existing COPD.

Exploring the Modifying Role of GDP and Greenness on the Short Effect of Air Pollutants on Respiratory Hospitalization in Beijing

It is unclear whether Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and greenness have additional modifying effects on the association between air pollution and respiratory system disease. Utilizing a time-stratified case-crossover design with a distributed lag linear model, we analyzed the association between six pollutants (PM2.5, PM10, NO2, SO2, O3, and CO) and 555,498 respiratory hospital admissions in Beijing from 1st January 2016 to 31st December 2019. We employed conditional logistic regression, adjusting for meteorological conditions, holidays and influenza, to calculate percent change of hospitalization risk. Subsequently, we performed subgroup analysis to investigate potential effect modifications using a two-sample z test. Every 10 μg/m3 increase in PM2.5, PM10, NO2, SO2, and O3 led to increases of 0.26% (95%CI: 0.17%, 0.35%), 0.15% (95%CI: 0.09%, 0.22%), 0.61% (95%CI: 0.44%, 0.77%), 1.72% (95%CI: 1.24%, 2.21%), and 0.32% (95%CI: 0.20%, 0.43%) in admissions, respectively. Also, a 1 mg/m3 increase in CO levels resulted in a 2.50% (95%CI: 1.96%, 3.04%) rise in admissions. The links with NO2 (p < 0.001), SO2 (p < 0.001), O3 (during the warm season, p < 0.001), and CO (p < 0.001) were significantly weaker among patients residing in areas with higher levels of greenness. No significant modifying role of GDP was observed. Greenness can help mitigate the effects of air pollutants, while the role of GDP needs further investigation.

Ambient temperature variations and AIDS-related mortality: A time-stratified case-crossover study in 103 counties, China

BACKGROUND

Climate change, characterized by the steady ascent of global temperatures and the escalating unpredictability of climate patterns, poses multifaceted challenges to public health worldwide. However, vulnerable groups, particularly the population affected by HIV/AIDS, have received little attention.

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to examine the impacts of temperature variations on AIDS-related mortality.

METHODS

Data on individuals with HIV/AIDS were collected from the HIV/AIDS Comprehensive Response Information Management System between 2013 and 2019. Temperature variation metrics were constructed by diurnal temperature range (DTR), temperature changes between neighboring days (TCN), and temperature variability (TV0-t). Time-stratified case-crossover design with conditional logistic regression models was used to investigate the associations between ambient temperature variations and AIDS-related mortality.

RESULTS

Each 1 °C elevated in DTR was linked with a 5.28 % [95 % confidence intervals (CIs): 1.61, 9.08] increment in AIDS-related mortality at a lag of 0-6 days. Stronger associations between DTR and AIDS-related mortality were observed in the married than in single, with corresponding excess ORs (%) of 5.33 (95 % CIs: 0.29, 10.62) versus 4.79 (95 % CIs: -0.50, 10.36) for 1 °C increased in DTR at lag 0-6 days. Additionally, we noticed the impact of DTR was more pronounced in the warm season, leading to a 7.32 % (95 % CIs: 0.57, 14.51) elevation in the risks of AIDS-related mortality for 1 °C increase in DTR at lag 0-6 days, while the effect value decreased to 5.16 % (95 % CIs: 0.71, 9.81) in the cold season.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings indicated that DTR might be a significant risk factor for AIDS-related deaths among ambient temperature variation indicators, and underscored the importance of considering temperature variability in public health interventions aimed at mitigating this risk of AIDS-related mortality.

Time-stratified case-crossover studies for aggregated data in environmental epidemiology: a tutorial

The case-crossover design is widely used in environmental epidemiology as an effective alternative to the conventional time-series regression design to estimate short-term associations of environmental exposures with a range of acute events. This tutorial illustrates the implementation of the time-stratified case-crossover design to study aggregated health outcomes and environmental exposures, such as particulate matter air pollution, focusing on adjusting covariates and investigating effect modification using conditional Poisson regression. Time-varying confounders can be adjusted directly in the conditional regression model accounting for the adequate lagged exposure-response function. Time-invariant covariates at the subpopulation level require reshaping the typical time-series data set into a long format and conditioning out the covariate in the expanded stratum set. When environmental exposure data are available at geographical units, the stratum set should combine time and spatial dimensions. Moreover, it is possible to examine effect modification using interaction models. The time-stratified case-crossover design offers a flexible framework to properly account for a wide range of covariates in environmental epidemiology studies.

Extreme temperature events and dementia mortality in Chinese adults: a population-based, case-crossover study

BACKGROUND

The effect of exposure to extreme temperature events (ETEs) on dementia mortality remains largely unknown. We aimed to quantify the association of ETE exposure with dementia mortality.

METHODS

We conducted a population-based, case-crossover study among 57 791 dementia deaths in Jiangsu province, China, during 2015-20. Daily mean temperatures were extracted from a validated grid dataset at each subject's residential address, and grid-specific exposures to heat wave and cold spell were assessed with a combination of their intensity and duration. We applied conditional logistic regression models to investigate cumulative and lag effects for ETE exposures.

RESULTS

Exposure to ETE with each of all 24 definitions was associated with an increased odds of dementia mortality, which was higher when exposed to heat wave. Exposure to heat wave (daily mean temperature ≥95th percentile, duration ≥3 days (d); P95_3d) and cold spell (≤5th percentile, duration ≥3 d; P5_3d) was associated with a 75% (95% CI: 61%, 90%) and 30% (19%, 43%) increase in odds of dementia mortality, respectively. Definitions with higher intensity were generally associated with a higher odds of dementia mortality. We estimated that 6.14% of dementia deaths were attributable to exposure to heat wave (P90_2d) and cold spell (P10_2d). No effect modifications were observed by sex or age, except that the association for heat wave was stronger among women.

CONCLUSIONS

Exposure to both heat wave and cold spell was associated with an increased odds of dementia mortality. Our findings highlight that reducing individual ETE exposures may be helpful in preventing deaths from dementia, especially among women in summer.

Short-term exposure to ozone may trigger the onset of Kawasaki disease: An individual-level, case-crossover study in East China

Kawasaki disease (KD) is an acute, systemic vasculitis that primarily affects children aged under the age of 5. While environmental factors have been linked to the development of KD, the specific role of ozone (O3) pollution in triggering the disease onset remains uncertain. This study aimed to examine the associations between short-term O3 exposure and KD onset in children. Utilizing a satellite-based model with a spatial resolution of 1 × 1 km, we matched 1808 KD patients (out of a total of 6115 eligible individuals) to pre-onset ozone exposures based on their home addresses in East China between 2013 and 2020. Our findings revealed a significant association of O3 exposure with KD onset on the day of onset (lag 0 day). However, this association attenuated and became statistically insignificant on lag 1 and lag 2 days. Each interquartile range (52.32 μg/m3) increase in O3 concentration at lag 0 day was associated with a 16.2% (95% CI: 3.6%, 30.3%) increased risk of KD onset. The E-R curve for O3 exhibited a plateau at low concentrations and then increased rapidly at concentrations ≥75 μg/m3. Notably, these associations were stronger in male children, younger children (<2 years of age) and patients experiencing KD onset during the warm season. This study provides novel epidemiological evidence indicating that short-term O3 exposure is associated with an increased risk of childhood KD onset. These findings emphasized the importance of considering this environmental risk factor in KD prevention strategies.

Health position paper and redox perspectives - Disease burden by transportation noise

Transportation noise is a ubiquitous urban exposure. In 2018, the World Health Organization concluded that chronic exposure to road traffic noise is a risk factor for ischemic heart disease. In contrast, they concluded that the quality of evidence for a link to other diseases was very low to moderate. Since then, several studies on the impact of noise on various diseases have been published. Also, studies investigating the mechanistic pathways underlying noise-induced health effects are emerging. We review the current evidence regarding effects of noise on health and the related disease-mechanisms. Several high-quality cohort studies consistently found road traffic noise to be associated with a higher risk of ischemic heart disease, heart failure, diabetes, and all-cause mortality. Furthermore, recent studies have indicated that road traffic and railway noise may increase the risk of diseases not commonly investigated in an environmental noise context, including breast cancer, dementia, and tinnitus. The harmful effects of noise are related to activation of a physiological stress response and nighttime sleep disturbance. Oxidative stress and inflammation downstream of stress hormone signaling and dysregulated circadian rhythms are identified as major disease-relevant pathomechanistic drivers. We discuss the role of reactive oxygen species and present results from antioxidant interventions. Lastly, we provide an overview of oxidative stress markers and adverse redox processes reported for noise-exposed animals and humans. This position paper summarizes all available epidemiological, clinical, and preclinical evidence of transportation noise as an important environmental risk factor for public health and discusses its implications on the population level.

Ambient PM2.5 and cardiopulmonary mortality in the oldest-old people in China: A national time-stratified case-crossover study

BACKGROUND

Evidence on the associations of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) with cardiopulmonary mortality in the oldest-old (aged 80+ years) people remains limited.

METHODS

We conducted a time-stratified case-crossover study of 1,475,459 deaths from cardiopulmonary diseases in China to estimate the associations between short-term exposure to ambient PM2.5 and cardiopulmonary mortality among the oldest-old people.

FINDINGS

Each 10 μg/m3 increase in PM2.5 concentration (6-day moving average [lag05]) was associated with higher mortality from cardiopulmonary diseases (excess risks [ERs] = 1.69%, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.54%, 1.84%), cardiovascular diseases (ER = 1.72%, 95% CI: 1.54%, 1.90%), and respiratory diseases (ER = 1.62%, 95% CI: 1.33%, 1.91%). Compared to the other groups, females (ER = 1.94%, 95% CI: 1.73%, 2.15%) (p for difference test = 0.043) and those aged 95-99 years (ER = 2.31%, 95% CI: 1.61%, 3.02%) (aged 80-85 years old was the reference, p for difference test = 0.770) presented greater mortality risks. We found 14 specific cardiopulmonary causes associated with PM2.5, out of which emphysema (ER = 3.20%, 95% CI: 1.57%, 4.86%) had the largest association. Out of the total deaths, 6.27% (attributable fraction [AF], 95% CI: 5.72%, 6.82%) were ascribed to short-term PM2.5 exposure.

CONCLUSIONS

This study provides evidence of PM2.5-induced cardiopulmonary mortality and calls for targeted prevention actions for the oldest-old people.

FUNDING

This work was supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China, the National Natural Science Foundation of China, the Foreign Expert Program of the Ministry of Science and Technology, the Natural Science Foundation of Guangdong, China, and the Science and Technology Program of Guangzhou.

Ozone, Heat Wave, and Cardiovascular Disease Mortality: A Population-Based Case-Crossover Study

A case-crossover study among 511,767 cardiovascular disease (CVD) deaths in Jiangsu province, China, during 2015-2021 was conducted to assess the association of exposure to ambient ozone (O3) and heat wave with CVD mortality and explore their possible interactions. Heat wave was defined as extreme high temperature for at least two consecutive days. Grid-level heat waves were defined by multiple combinations of apparent temperature thresholds and durations. Residential O3 and heat wave exposures were assessed using grid data sets (spatial resolution: 1 km × 1 km for O3; 0.0625° × 0.0625° for heat wave). Conditional logistic regression models were applied for exposure-response analyses and evaluation of additive interactions. Under different heat wave definitions, the odds ratios (ORs) of CVD mortality associated with medium-level and high-level O3 exposures ranged from 1.029 to 1.107 compared with low-level O3, while the ORs for heat wave exposure ranged from 1.14 to 1.65. Significant synergistic effects on CVD mortality were observed for the O3 and heat wave exposures, which were generally greater with higher levels of the O3 exposure, higher temperature thresholds, and longer durations of heat wave exposure. Up to 5.8% of the CVD deaths were attributable to O3 and heat wave. Women and older adults were more vulnerable to the exposure to O3 and heat wave exposure. Exposure to both O3 and heat wave was significantly associated with an increased odds of CVD mortality, and O3 and heat wave can interact synergistically to trigger CVD deaths.

Outdoor Alternaria and Cladosporium spores and acute asthma

BACKGROUND

Outdoor Alternaria and Cladosporium spores are ubiquitous. Few studies have assessed their impact on asthma hospitalizations providing conflicting results, mainly focused on vulnerable paediatric populations. We aimed to study the impact of outdoor Alternaria and Cladosporium concentrations on acute hospitalizations in the Capital Region of Denmark.

METHODS

This is a bi-directional case-crossover study with 26 years of national registry data at individual level on acute asthma hospitalizations and daily average data on Alternaria and Cladosporium, pollen (Artemisia, Poaceae), maximal temperature, and air pollution. Conditional logistic regression models were applied to assess the associations. Concentration quartiles at lag 0 were used for categorizing the exposure.

RESULTS

For lags 0-2, the odds of hospitalization were significantly higher for both Alternaria and Cladosporium at concentration quartile 2-4 compared with quartile 1. When stratified for age and sex, odds of hospitalization at Alternaria quartiles 2-4 were significantly higher in males below 40 years at lag 0-2, and at lag 0 in females (18-30 years), while quartiles 2-4 of Cladosporium concentrations were associated with significantly higher odds in boys (0-17 years) at lag 1-3, males (18-39 years) at lag 0-1, females (18-39 years) at lag 1-2, males (40-64 years) at lag 0-2, females (40-64 years) at lag 0 and 2, in seniors (65+ years) male at lag 1-2 and female at lag 0-1. The effect of Alternaria varied significantly depending on the level of Cladosporium (p < .0001).

CONCLUSION

Ambient Alternaria and Cladosporium spores can induce asthma hospitalizations. Males are more susceptible to both genera. Males and females under age 40 years are more susceptible to Alternaria.

Association between outdoor temperature and fatal police shootings in the United States, 2015-2021

Background

Here, we investigate the association between outdoor temperature and fatal police shootings in the United States between 2015 and 2021.

Methods

We conducted a time-stratified case-crossover study. Data on fatal police shootings were from the Washington Post's Fatal Force database and temperature data were from Daymet.

Results

A 5°C increase in maximum same-day temperature was associated with a 1.033 (95% CI = 1.002, 1.065) increased odds of a fatal police shooting. In stratified analyses, the strongest associations were observed in victims who were armed (OR, 1.052 [95% CI = 1.017, 1.088), White (OR, 1.052 [95% CI = 1.006, 1.100), or aged 45+ (OR, 1.110 [95% CI = 1.044, 1.181]). In additional subgroup analyses, relative risks were also generally higher among those who were armed.

Conclusions

There is evidence of an association between outdoor temperature and fatal police shootings in the United States, particularly when the victims were reported as armed. This study cannot determine if the associations are a result of any specific causes (e.g., increased police aggression or other factors).

Hourly Air Pollution Exposure and Emergency Hospital Admissions for Stroke: A Multicenter Case-Crossover Study

BACKGROUND

Daily exposure to ambient air pollution is associated with stroke morbidity and mortality; however, the association between hourly exposure to air pollutants and risk of emergency hospital admissions for stroke and its subtypes remains relatively unexplored.

METHODS

We obtained hourly concentrations of fine particulate matter (PM2.5), respirable particulate matter (PM10), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), sulfur dioxide (SO2), ozone (O3), and carbon monoxide (CO) from the China National Environmental Monitoring Center. We conducted a time-stratified case-crossover study among 86 635 emergency hospital admissions for stroke across 10 hospitals in 3 cities (Jinhua, Hangzhou, and Zhoushan) in Zhejiang province, China, between January 1, 2016 and December 31, 2021. Using a conditional logistic regression combined with a distributed lag linear model, we estimated the association between hourly exposure to multiple air pollutants and risk of emergency hospital admissions for total stroke, ischemic stroke, hemorrhagic stroke, and undetermined type.

RESULTS

Hourly exposure to PM2.5, PM10, NO2, and SO2 was associated with an increased risk of hospital admissions for total stroke and ischemic stroke. The associations were most pronounced during the concurrent hour of exposure and lasted for ≈2 hours. We found that the risk was more pronounced among male patients or those aged <65 years old.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that exposure to PM2.5, PM10, NO2, and SO2, but not CO and O3, is associated with emergency hospital admissions for total stroke or ischemic stroke shortly after exposure. Implementing targeted pollution emission reduction measures may have significant public health implications in controlling and reducing the burden of stroke.

Temperature modifies the association between air pollution and respiratory disease mortality in Cape Town, South Africa

The aim of this 10-year study was to investigate whether and how temperature modifies the association between daily ambient PM10, NO2, SO2 air pollution and daily respiratory disease mortality in Cape Town. A time-stratified case-crossover epidemiological design was applied. Susceptibility by sex and age groups (15-64 years and ≥65 years) was also investigated. On days with medium Tapp levels, NO2 displayed a stronger association with respiratory mortality than PM10 or SO2. Females appeared to be more susceptible to NO2 at medium Tapp levels to males. The 15-64-year-old age group seemed to be more vulnerable to NO2 and PM10 at medium Tapp levels compared to the elderly (≥65 years). At high Tapp levels, females were more susceptible to PM10. The 15-64-year-old group were more vulnerable to NO2 and SO2. The results can be used in present-day early warning systems and in risk assessments to estimate the impact of increased air pollution and temperature.

Synergistic Epidemic or Syndemic: An Emerging Pattern of Human Diseases

Synergistic epidemics refer to the phenomenon where the occurrence and interaction of multiple diseases or health conditions exacerbate their individual impact, leading to complex health challenges and increased vulnerability in populations. Syndemics are a complex, multilevel phenomenon. In a population with biological interactions, a syndemic is the accumulation of two or more concurrent or sequential epidemics, which significantly worsens the situation. Disease concentration, disease interaction, and their underlying social forces, such as poverty and social inequality, are the fundamental concepts. Extensive political, economic, and cultural factors have contributed to cluster epidemics of several infectious diseases, particularly HIV and tuberculosis. Concerning the SAVA (substance abuse, violence, AIDS) syndemic, this narrative review article explores the complex interactions between substance abuse, violence, and HIV/AIDS. Further, it describes in-depth interactions between the COVID-19 syndemic's health conditions, societal factors, biological factors, and global dynamics. The review also emphasizes how infectious and non-communicable diseases interact, emphasizing how having one condition can make the severity and outcomes of another worse. It investigates the causes of synergistic epidemics and the impact of environmental factors. Syndemics acknowledge that the presence of one condition can worsen the severity and progression of others and take into account the intricate relationships between diseases. We can create more efficient plans to enhance health outcomes, lessen disparities, and promote healthier communities by understanding the connections between disorders and the underlying social determinants. This narrative review provides insights into the emerging patterns of human diseases within synergistic epidemics.

Acute Health Effects of Wildfire Smoke Exposure During a Compound Event: A Case-Crossover Study of the 2016 Great Smoky Mountain Wildfires

In 2016, unprecedented intense wildfires burned over 150,000 acres in the southern Appalachian Mountains in the United States. Smoke from these fires greatly impacted the region and exposure to this smoke was significant. A bidirectional case-crossover design was applied to assess the relationship between PM2.5 (a surrogate for wildfire smoke) exposure and respiratory- and cardiovascular-related emergency department (ED) visits in Western North Carolina during these events. For 0-, 3-, and 7-day lags, findings indicated a significant increase in the odds of being admitted to the ED for a respiratory (ORs: 1.055, 95% CI: 1.048-1.063; 1.083, 1.074-1.092; 1.066, 1.058-1.074; respectively) or cardiovascular event (ORs: 1.052, 95% CI: 1.045-1.060; 1.074, 1.066-1.081; 1.067, 1.060-1.075; respectively) for every 5 μg/m3 increase in PM2.5 over a chosen cutpoint of 20.4 μg/m3. For all endpoints assessed except for emphysema, there were statistically significant increases in odds from 5.1% to 8.3%. In general, this increase was most pronounced 3 days after exposure. Additionally, individuals aged 55+ generally experience higher odds of heart disease at the 3- and 7-day lag points, and Black/African Americans generally experience higher odds of asthma at the 3-day lag point. In general, larger fires and increased numbers of fires within counties resulted in higher health burden at same day exposure. In a secondary analysis, the odds of an ED visit increased by over 40% in several cases among people exposed to days above the Environmental Protection Agency 24-hr PM2.5 standard of 35 μg/m3. Our findings provide new understanding on the health impacts of wildfires on rural populations in the southeastern US.

Heat, heatwaves, and ambulance service use: a systematic review and meta-analysis of epidemiological evidence

Ambulance data has been reported to be a sensitive indicator of health service use during hot days, but there is no comprehensive summary of the quantitative association between heat and ambulance dispatches. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to retrieve and synthesise evidence published up to 31 August 2022 about the association between heat, prolonged heat (i.e. heatwaves), and the risk of ambulance dispatches. We initially identified 3628 peer-reviewed papers and included 48 papers which satisfied the inclusion criteria. The meta-analyses showed that, for each 5 °C increase in mean temperature, the risk of ambulance dispatches for all causes and for cardiovascular diseases increased by 7% (95% confidence interval (CI): 5%, 10%) and 2% (95% CI: 1%, 3%), respectively, but not for respiratory diseases. The risk of ambulance dispatches increased by 6% (95% CI: 4%, 7%), 7% (95% CI: 5%, 9%), and 18% (95% CI: 12%, 23%) under low-intensity, severe, and extreme heatwaves, respectively. We observed two potential sources of bias in the existing literature: (1) bias in temperature exposure measurement; and (2) bias in the ascertainment of ambulance dispatch causes. This review suggests that heat exposure is associated with an increased risk of ambulance dispatches, and there is a dose-response relationship between heatwave intensity and the risk of ambulance dispatches. For future studies assessing the heat-ambulance association, we recommend that (1) using data on spatially refined gridded temperature that is either very well interpolated or derived from satellite imaging may be an alternative to reduce exposure measurement bias; and (2) linking ambulance data with hospital admission data can be useful to improve health outcome classification.

Neighborhood violence and socioeconomic deprivation influence associations between acute air pollution and temperature on childhood asthma in New York city

Ambient air pollution, temperature, and social stressor exposures are linked with asthma risk, with potential synergistic effects. We examined associations for acute pollution and temperature exposures, with modification by neighborhood violent crime and socioeconomic deprivation, on asthma morbidity among children aged 5-17 years year-round in New York City. Using conditional logistic regression in a time-stratified, case-crossover design, we quantified percent excess risk of asthma event per 10-unit increase in daily, residence-specific exposures to PM2.5, NO2, SO2, O3, and minimum daily temperature (Tmin). Data on 145,834 asthma cases presenting to NYC emergency departments from 2005 to 2011 were obtained from the New York Statewide Planning and Research Cooperative System (SPARCS). Residence- and day-specific spatiotemporal exposures were assigned using the NYC Community Air Survey (NYCCAS) spatial data and daily EPA pollution and NOAA weather data. Point-level NYPD violent crime data for 2009 (study midpoint) was aggregated, and Socioeconomic Deprivation Index (SDI) scores assigned, by census tract. Separate models were fit for each pollutant or temperature exposure for lag days 0-6, controlling for co-exposures and humidity, and mutually-adjusted interactions (modification) by quintile of violent crime and SDI were assessed. We observed stronger main effects for PM2.5 and SO2 in the cold season on lag day 1 [4.90% (95% CI: 3.77-6.04) and 8.57% (5.99-11.21), respectively]; Tmin in the cold season on lag day 0 [2.26% (1.25-3.28)]; and NO2 and O3 in the warm season on lag days 1 [7.86% (6.66-9.07)] and 2 [4.75% (3.53-5.97)], respectively. Violence and SDI modified the main effects in a non-linear manner; contrary to hypotheses, we found stronger associations in lower-violence and -deprivation quintiles. At very high stressor exposures, although asthma exacerbations were highly prevalent, pollution effects were less apparent-suggesting potential saturation effects in socio-environmental synergism.

Extreme Temperature Events, Fine Particulate Matter, and Myocardial Infarction Mortality

BACKGROUND

Extreme temperature events (ETEs), including heat wave and cold spell, have been linked to myocardial infarction (MI) morbidity; however, their effects on MI mortality are less clear. Although ambient fine particulate matter (PM2.5) is suggested to act synergistically with extreme temperatures on cardiovascular mortality, it remains unknown if and how ETEs and PM2.5 interact to trigger MI deaths.

METHODS

A time-stratified case-crossover study of 202 678 MI deaths in Jiangsu province, China, from 2015 to 2020, was conducted to investigate the association of exposure to ETEs and PM2.5 with MI mortality and evaluate their interactive effects. On the basis of ambient apparent temperature, multiple temperature thresholds and durations were used to build 12 ETE definitions. Daily ETEs and PM2.5 exposures were assessed by extracting values from validated grid datasets at each subject's geocoded residential address. Conditional logistic regression models were applied to perform exposure-response analyses and estimate relative excess odds due to interaction, proportion attributable to interaction, and synergy index.

RESULTS

Under different ETE definitions, the odds ratio of MI mortality associated with heat wave and cold spell ranged from 1.18 (95% CI, 1.14-1.21) to 1.74 (1.66-1.83), and 1.04 (1.02-1.06) to 1.12 (1.07-1.18), respectively. Lag 01-day exposure to PM2.5 was significantly associated with an increased odds of MI mortality, which attenuated at higher exposures. We observed a significant synergistic interaction of heat wave and PM2.5 on MI mortality (relative excess odds due to interaction >0, proportion attributable to interaction >0, and synergy index >1), which was higher, in general, for heat wave with greater intensities and longer durations. We estimated that up to 2.8% of the MI deaths were attributable to exposure to ETEs and PM2.5 at levels exceeding the interim target 3 value (37.5 μg/m3) of World Health Organization air quality guidelines. Women and older adults were more vulnerable to ETEs and PM2.5. The interactive effects of ETEs or PM2.5 on MI mortality did not vary across sex, age, or socioeconomic status.

CONCLUSIONS

This study provides consistent evidence that exposure to both ETEs and PM2.5 is significantly associated with an increased odds of MI mortality, especially for women and older adults, and that heat wave interacts synergistically with PM2.5 to trigger MI deaths but cold spell does not. Our findings suggest that mitigating both ETE and PM2.5 exposures may bring health cobenefits in preventing premature deaths from MI.

Low ambient temperature increases the risk and burden of atrial fibrillation episodes: A nationwide case-crossover study in 322 Chinese cities

BACKGROUND

Non-optimum ambient temperature has recently been acknowledged as an independent risk factor for disease burden, but its impact on atrial fibrillation (AF) episodes was rarely evaluated.

OBJECTIVES

To examine the associations between ambient non-optimum temperature and symptom onset of AF episodes and calculate the corresponding disease burden.

METHODS

We conducted an individual-level, time-stratified, case-crossover analysis based on a nationwide registry, which comprises of 94,711 eligible AF patients from 1993 hospitals in 322 Chinese cities from January 2015 to December 2021. Multiple moving 24 h average temperatures prior to the symptom onset of AF episodes were calculated as lag days. The associations were analyzed using conditional logistic regression combined with distributed lag non-linear models with a duration of lag 0-7 days, after controlling for criteria air pollutants. Stratification analyses were performed to explore possible effect modifiers.

RESULTS

There was a monotonically increasing relationship of AF onset risk with decreasing temperature. The excess AF risk occurred at lag 1 d and lasted for 5 days. Nationally, the cumulative relative risk of AF episode onset associated with extremely low temperature (-9.3 °C) over lag 0-7 d was 1.25 (95 % confidence interval: 1.08, 1.45), compared with the reference temperature (31.5 °C). The exposure-response curve was steeper in the south than in the north where there was levelling-off at lower temperature. Nationally, 7.59 % of acute AF episodes could be attributable to non-optimum temperatures. The attributable fraction was larger for southern residents, males and patients <65 years.

CONCLUSION

This nationwide study provides novel and robust evidence that declining ambient temperature could increase the risk of AF episode onset. We also provide the first-hand evidence that a considerable proportion of acute AF episodes could be attributable to non-optimum temperatures.

Fine and coarse particulate air pollution and out-of-hospital cardiac arrest onset: a nationwide case-crossover study in China

Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) is a global public health concern. Nationwide studies on the effects of short-term exposure to particulate matter (PM) on OHCA risk are rare in regions with high PM levels, and evidence for coarse PM (PM_2.5-10) is limited and inconsistent. To evaluate the associations between fine PM (PM_2.5) and PM_2.5-10 and OHCA onset, a time-stratified case-crossover study was conducted on 77,261 patients with cardiac OHCA in 26 cities across China in 2020. Daily PM_2.5 and PM_2.5-10 concentrations were assessed with high-resolution and full-coverage PM estimations. Conditional logistic regression models were applied in analyses. Each interquartile range of PM increase in 3-day moving average was associated with an increased risk of cardiac OHCA onset of 2.37% (95% CI, 1.20-3.56%) for PM_2.5 and 2.12% (95% CI, 0.70-3.56%) for PM_2.5-10. Stratified analyses showed higher susceptibility in patients over 75 years for PM_2.5 exposure and with diabetes for PM_2.5-10. This first nationwide study in region with high PM levels and great PM variability found not only PM_2.5 but also PM_2.5-10 were associated with a higher risk of OHCA onset, which could add powerful epidemiological evidence to this field and provide new evidence for the formulation of air quality guidelines.

Fine and coarse particulate air pollution and hospital admissions for a wide range of respiratory diseases: a nationwide case-crossover study

BACKGROUND

The associations between fine and coarse particulate matter (PM2.5 and PM2.5-10) air pollution and hospital admissions for full-spectrum respiratory diseases were rarely investigated, especially for age-specific associations. We aim to estimate the age-specific associations of short-term exposures to PM2.5 and PM2.5-10 with hospital admissions for full-spectrum respiratory diseases in China.

METHODS

We conducted an individual-level case-crossover study based on a nationwide hospital-based registry including 153 hospitals across 20 provincial regions in China in 2013-20. We applied conditional logistic regression models and distributed lag models to estimate the exposure- and lag-response associations.

RESULTS

A total of 1 399 955 hospital admission records for various respiratory diseases were identified. The associations of PM2.5 and PM2.5-10 with total respiratory hospitalizations lasted for 4 days, and an interquartile range increase in PM2.5 (34.5 μg/m3) and PM2.5-10 (26.0 μg/m3) was associated with 1.73% [95% confidence interval (95% CI): 1.34%, 2.12%)] and 1.70% (95% CI: 1.31%, 2.10%) increases, respectively, in total respiratory hospitalizations over lag 0-4 days. Acute respiratory infections (i.e. pneumonia, bronchitis and bronchiolitis) were consistently associated with PM2.5 or PM2.5-10 exposure across different age groups. We found the disease spectrum varied by age, including rarely reported findings (i.e. acute laryngitis and tracheitis, and influenza) among children and well-established associations (i.e. chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, asthma, acute bronchitis and emphysema) among older populations. Besides, the associations were stronger in females, children and older populations.

CONCLUSIONS

This nationwide case-crossover study provides robust evidence that short-term exposure to both PM2.5 and PM2.5-10 was associated with increased hospital admissions for a wide range of respiratory diseases, and the spectra of respiratory diseases varied by age. Females, children and older populations were more susceptible.

Associations between hourly ambient particulate matter air pollution and ambulance emergency calls among 3,022,164 patients: time stratified case-crossover study

BACKGROUND

Associations between short-term exposure to ambient particulate matter (PM) air pollutants and mortality or hospital admissions have been well documented in previous studies. Less is known about the associations of hourly exposure to PM air pollutants with ambulance emergency calls (AECs) for all causes and specific causes by conducting a case-crossover study. In addition, different patterns of AECs may be attributed to different seasons and daytime/nighttime periods.

OBJECTIVE

In this study, we quantified the risk of all-cause and cause-specific AECs associated with hourly PM air pollutants between 1 January 2013 and 31 December 2019 in Shenzhen, China. We also examined whether the observed associations of particulate matter air pollutants with AECs for all causes differed across strata defined by sex, age, season, and time of day.

METHODS

We used ambulance emergency dispatch data and environmental data between 1 January 2013 and 31 December 2019 from the Shenzhen Ambulance Emergency Centre and the National Environmental Monitor Station to conduct a time-stratified case-crossover study design to estimate the associations of air pollutants (i.e., PM2.5, PM10) with all-cause AECs and cause-specific AECs. We generated a well-established distributed lag nonlinear model for nonlinear concentration response and nonlinear lag response functions. We used conditional logistic regression to estimate odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs), adjusted for public holidays, season, time of day, day of the week, hourly temperature, and hourly humidity to examine the association of all-cause and cause-specific AECs with hourly air pollutant concentrations.

RESULTS

A total of 3,022,164 patients were identified during the study period in Shenzhen. Each IQR increase in PM2.5 (24.0 µg/m3) and PM10 (34.0 µg/m3) concentrations in 24 hours was associated with an increased risk of AECs (PM2.5: all-cause, 1.8%, 95% CI, 0.8%-2.4%; PM10: all-cause, 2.0%, 95% CI, 1.1%-2.9%). We observed a stronger association of all-cause AECs with PM2.5 and PM10 in the daytime than in the nighttime and in the elderly group than in the younger group (PM2.5 daytime, 1.7%, 95% CI, 0.5%-3.0%; nighttime, 1.4%, 95% CI, 0.3%-2.6%; PM10 daytime, 2.1%, 95% CI, 0.9%-3.4%; nighttime, 1.7%, 95% CI, 0.6%-2.8%; PM2.5 18-64 years, 1.4%, 95% CI, 0.6%-2.1%; ≥65 years, 1.6%, 95% CI, 0.6%-2.6%; PM10 18-64 years, 1.8%, 95% CI, 0.9%-2.6%; ≥65 years, 2.0%, 95% CI, 1.1%-3.0%).

CONCLUSIONS

The risk of all-cause AECs increased consistently with increasing concentrations of PM air pollutants, showing a nearly linear relationship with no apparent thresholds. Particulate matter air pollution increase was associated with a higher risk of AECs for all causes, cardiovascular, respiratory, and reproductive AECs. The results of this study may be valuable to air pollution attributable to the distribution of emergency resources, and consistent air pollution control.

CLINICALTRIAL

Mortality burden based on the associations of ambient PM2.5 with cause-specific mortality in China: Evidence from a death-spectrum wide association study (DWAS)

Although studies have estimated the associations of PM_2.5 with total mortality or cardiopulmonary mortality, few have comprehensively examined cause-specific mortality risk and burden caused by ambient PM_2.5. Thus, this study investigated the association of short-term exposure to PM_2.5 with cause-specific mortality using a death-spectrum wide association study (DWAS). Individual information of 5,450,764 deaths during 2013-2018 were collected from six provinces in China. Daily PM_2.5 concentration in the case and control days were estimated by a random forest model. A time-stratified case-crossover study design was applied to estimate the associations (access risk, ER) of PM_2.5 with cause-specific mortality, which was then used to calculate the population-attributable fraction (PAF) of mortality and the corresponding mortality burden caused by PM_2.5. Each 10 μg/m³ increase in PM_2.5 concentration (lag03) was associated with a 0.80 % [95 % confidence interval (CI): 0.73 %, 0.86 %] rise in total mortality. We found greater mortality effect at PM_2.5 concentrations < 50 μg/m³. Stratified analyses showed greater ERs in females (1.01 %, 95 %CI: 0.91 %, 1.11 %), children ≤ 5 years (2.17 %, 95 %CI: 0.85 %, 3.51 %), and old people ≥ 70 years. We identified 33 specific causes (level 2) of death which had significant associations with PM_2.5, including 16 circulatory diseases, 9 respiratory diseases, and 8 other causes. The PAF estimated based on the overall association between PM_2.5 and total mortality was 3.16 % (95 %CI: 2.89 %, 3.40 %). However, the PAF was reduced to 2.88 % (95 %CI: 1.88 %, 3.81 %) using the associations of PM_2.5 with 33 level 2 causes of death, based on which 250.15 (95 %CI: 163.29, 330.93) thousand deaths were attributable to short-term PM_2.5 exposure across China in 2019. Overall, this study provided a comprehensive picture on the death-spectrum wide association between PM_2.5 and morality in China. We observed robust positive cause-specific associations of PM_2.5 with mortality risk, which may provide more precise basis in assessing the mortality burden of air pollution.

Hot weather and death related to acute cocaine, opioid and amphetamine toxicity in British Columbia, Canada: a time-stratified case-crossover study

BACKGROUND

Previous research has shown that cocaine-associated deaths occur more frequently in hot weather, which has not been described for other illicit drugs or combinations of drugs. The study objective was to evaluate the relation between temperature and risk of death related to cocaine, opioids and amphetamines in British Columbia, Canada.

METHODS

We extracted data on all deaths with cocaine, opioid or amphetamine toxicity recorded as an underlying or contributing cause from BC vital statistics for 1998-2017. We used a time-stratified case-crossover design to estimate the effect of temperature on the risk of death associated with acute drug toxicity during the warmer months (May through September). Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated for each 10°C increase in the 2-day average maximum temperature at the residential location.

RESULTS

We included 4913 deaths in the analyses. A 10°C increase in the 2-day average maximum temperature was associated with an OR of 1.43 (95% CI 1.11-1.86) for deaths with only cocaine toxicity recorded (n = 561), an OR of 1.15 (95% CI 0.99-1.33) for deaths with opioids only (n = 1682) and an OR of 1.11 (95% CI 0.60-2.04) for deaths with amphetamines only (n = 133). There were also elevated effects when toxicity from multiple drugs was recorded. Sensitivity analyses showed differences in the ORs by sex, by climatic region, and when the location of death was used instead of the location of residence.

INTERPRETATION

Increasing temperatures were associated with higher odds of death due to drug toxicity, especially for cocaine alone and combined with other drugs. Targeted interventions are necessary to prevent death associated with toxic drug use during hot weather.

Warm-season temperatures and emergency department visits among children with health insurance

High ambient temperatures have become more likely due to climate change and are linked to higher rates of heat-related illness, respiratory and cardiovascular diseases, mental health disorders, and other diseases. To date, far fewer studies have examined the effects of high temperatures on children versus adults, and studies including children have seldom been conducted on a national scale. Compared to adults, children have behavioral and physiological differences that may give them differential heat vulnerability. We acquired medical claims data from a large database of commercially insured US children aged 0-17 from May to September (warm-season) 2016-2019. Daily maximum ambient temperature and daily mean relative humidity estimates were aggregated to the county level using the Parameter-elevation Relationships on Independent Slopes dataset, and extreme heat was defined as the 95th percentile of the county-specific daily maximum temperature distribution. Using a case-crossover design and temperature lags 0-5 days, we estimated the associations between extreme heat and cause-specific emergency department visits (ED) in children aged <18 years, using the median county-specific daily maximum temperature distribution as the reference. Approximately 1.2 million ED visits in children from 2489 US counties were available during the study period. The 95th percentile of warm-season temperatures ranged from 71 °F to 112 °F (21.7 °C to 44.4 °C). Comparing 95th to the 50th percentile, extreme heat was associated with higher rates of ED visits for heat-related illness; endocrine, nutritional and metabolic diseases; and otitis media and externa, but not for all-cause admissions. Subgroup analyses suggested differences by age, with extreme heat positively associated with heat-related illness for both the 6-12 year (odds ratio [OR]: 1.34, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.16, 1.56) and 13-17 year age groups (OR: 1.55, 95% CI: 1.37, 1.76). Among children with health insurance across the US, days of extreme heat were associated with higher rates of healthcare utilization. These results highlight the importance of individual and population-level actions to protect children and adolescents from extreme heat, particularly in the context of continued climate change.

Short-term air pollution exposure associated with death from kidney diseases: a nationwide time-stratified case-crossover study in China from 2015 to 2019

BACKGROUND

Long-term exposure to air pollution has been associated with the onset and progression of kidney diseases, but the association between short-term exposure to air pollution and mortality of kidney diseases has not yet been reported.

METHODS

A nationally representative sample of 101,919 deaths from kidney diseases was collected from the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention from 2015 to 2019. A time-stratified case-crossover study was applied to determine the associations. Satellite-based estimates of air pollution were assigned to each case and control day using a bilinear interpolation approach and geo-coded residential addresses. Conditional logistic regression models were constructed to estimate the associations adjusting for nonlinear splines of temperature and relative humidity.

RESULTS

Each 10 µg/m³ increment in lag 0-1 mean concentrations of air pollutants was associated with a percent increase in death from kidney disease: 1.33% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.57% to 2.1%) for PM₁, 0.49% (95% CI: 0.10% to 0.88%) for PM_2.5, 0.32% (95% CI: 0.08% to 0.57%) for PM₁₀, 1.26% (95% CI: 0.29% to 2.24%) for NO₂, and 2.9% (95% CI: 1.68% to 4.15%) for SO₂.  CONCLUSIONS: Our study suggests that short-term exposure to ambient PM₁, PM_2.5, PM₁₀, NO₂, and SO₂ might be important environmental risk factors for death due to kidney diseases in China.

Role of oxides of nitrogen in the ozone-cardiorespiratory visit association

Ozone (O₃)-induced health effects vary in terms of severity, from deterioration of lung function and hospitalization to death. Several studies have reported a linear increase in health risks after O₃ exposure. However, current evidence suggests a non-linear U- and J-shaped concentration-response (C-R) function. The potential increasing risks with decreasing O₃ concentrations may seem counterintuitive from the traditional standpoint that decreasing exposure should lead to decreasing health risks. Tus, the question of whether the increasing risks with decreasing concentrations are truly O₃-induced or might be from other C-R mechanisms. If these potential risks were not accounted for, this may have contributed to the risks observed at the low ozone concentration range. In this study, we examined the short-term effects of photochemical oxidant (O_x, parts per billiion) on outpatient cardiorespiratory visits in 21 Japanese cities after adjusting for other air pollutant-specific C-R functions. Daily cardiorespiratory visits from January 1, 2014 to December 31, 2016 were obtained from the Japanese Medical Data Center Co. Ltd. Similar period of meteorological and air pollution variables were obtained from relevant data sources. We utilized a time-stratified case crossover design coupled with the generalized additive mixed model (TSCC-GAMM) to estimate the association between O_x and cardiorespiratory outpatient visits, after adjusting for several covariates. A total of 2,588,930 visits were recorded across the study period, with a mean of 111.87 and a standard deviation of 138.75. The results revealed that crude O_x-cardiorespiratory visits exhibited a U-shaped pattern. However, adjustment of the oxides of nitrogen, particularly nitrogen monoxide (NO), attenuated the lower risk curve and subsequently altered the shape of the C-R function, with a substantial reduction observed during winter. NO- and nitrogen dioxide (NO_2)-adjusted O_x-cardiorespiratory associations increased nearly linearly, without an apparent threshold. Current evidence suggests the importance of adjusting the oxides of nitrogen in estimating the O_x C-R risk functions.

Quantifying the associations of the air pollutant SO2 on outpatient visits for conjunctivitis in Hangzhou, China

The aim of this study is to further investigate the single and cumulative associations of SO₂ on outpatient visits for conjunctivitis. Data from outpatient visits, air pollutants, and meteorology was collected by the Eye Center of the Second Affiliated Hospital of the Zhejiang University School of Medicine, the Environmental Protection Department of Zhejiang Province, and the Meteorological Administration of Zhejiang Province from July 1, 2014, to November 30, 2019. A Poisson generalized linear regression model (PGLM), combined with a distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM), was employed to analyze the association between SO₂ and outpatient visits for conjunctivitis using PM_2.5 and NO₂ as covariates. Of the 539,649 outpatients for conjunctivitis recruited for analysis, 58.1% were female. Obvious single associations of SO₂ were observed in outpatient visits for conjunctivitis, which is consistent with our previous results using a time-stratified case crossover design. A delay in the associations of SO₂ on outpatient visits for conjunctivitis was further confirmed, with the longest lag being 12 days. The strongest lag effect was found at lag 0-11 with RR_95th vs _25th = 1.30 (1.24, 1.37), and RR_90h vs _25th = 1.23 (1.18, 1.28). Furthermore, the results showed that old people may be more sensitive to the associations of SO₂ than adults and the younger ones. Our study provides the first evidence that outpatient visits for conjunctivitis are positively associated with both single and cumulative air pollutant SO₂ exposure, suggesting that people especially elders had better to decrease outdoor activities when the SO₂ concentration is above safe level.

PM2.5-Associated Hospitalization Risk of Cardiovascular Diseases in Wuhan: Cases Alleviated by Residential Greenness

PM_2.5, a type of particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter of less than 2.5 μm, is associated with the occurrence of cardiovascular diseases (CVDs), while greenness seems to be associated with better cardiovascular health. We identified 499,336 CVD cases in Wuhan's 74 municipal hospitals between 2017 and 2019. A high-resolution PM_2.5 model and a normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) map were established to estimate individual exposures. The time-stratified case-crossover design and conditional logistic regression models were applied to explore the associations between PM_2.5 and CVDs under different levels of environmental factors. Greenness could alleviate PM_2.5-induced hospitalization risks of cardiovascular diseases. Compared with patients in the low-greenness group (ER = 0.99%; 95% CI: 0.71%, 1.28%), patients in the high-greenness group (ER = 0.45%; 95% CI: 0.13%, 0.77%) showed a lower increase in total CVD hospitalizations. After dividing the greenness into quartiles and adding long-term PM_2.5 exposure as a control factor, no significant PM_2.5-associated hospitalization risks of CVD were identified in the greenest areas (quartile 4), whether the long-term PM_2.5 exposure level was high or low. Intriguingly, in the least green areas (quartile 1), the PM_2.5-induced excess risk of CVD hospitalization was 0.58% (95% CI: 0.04%, 1.11%) in the long-term high-level PM_2.5 exposure group, and increased to 1.61% (95% CI: 0.95%, 2.27%) in the long-term low-level PM_2.5 exposure group. In the subgroup analysis, males and participants aged 55-64 years showed more significant increases in the PM_2.5-induced risk of contracting CVDs with a reduction in greenness and fine particle exposure conditions. High residential greenness can greatly alleviate the PM_2.5-induced risk of cardiovascular admission. Living in the areas with long-term low-level PM_2.5 may make people more sensitive to short-term increases in PM_2.5, leading to CVD hospitalization.

Associations between short-term exposure of ambient particulate matter and hemodialysis patients death: A nationwide, longitudinal case-control study in China

BACKGROUND

Long-term exposure to particulate air pollutants can lead to an increase in mortality of hemodialysis patients, but evidence of mortality risk with short-term exposure to ambient particulate matter is lacking. This study aimed to estimate the association of short-term exposure to ambient particulate matter across a wide range of concentrations with hemodialysis patients mortality.

METHODS

We performed a time-stratified case-crossover study to estimate the association between short-term exposures to PM_2.5 and PM₁₀ and mortality of hemodialysis patients. The study included 18,114 hemodialysis death case from 279 hospitals in 41 cities since 2013. Daily particulate matter exposures were calculated by the inverse distance-weighted model based on each case's dialysis center address. Conditional logistic regression were implemented to quantify exposure-response associations. The sensitivity analysis mainly explored the lag effect of particulate matter.

RESULTS

During the study period, there were 18,114 case days and 61,726 control days. Of all case and control days, average PM_2.5 and PM₁₀ levels were 43.98 μg/m³ and 70.86 μg/m³, respectively. Each short-term increase of 10 μg/m³ in PM_2.5 and PM₁₀ were statistically significantly associated with a relative increase of 1.07 % (95 % confidence interval [CI]: 0.99 % - 1.15 %) and 0.89 % (95 % CI: 0.84 % - 0.94 %) in daily mortality rate of hemodialysis patients, respectively. There was no evidence of a threshold in the exposure-response relationship. The mean of daily exposure on the same day of death and one-day prior (Lag 01 Day) was the most plausible exposure time window.

CONCLUSIONS

This study confirms that short-term exposure to particulate matter leads to increased mortality in hemodialysis patients. Policy makers and public health practices have a clear and urgent opportunity to pass air quality control policies that care for hemodialysis populations and incorporate air quality into the daily medical management of hemodialysis patients.

Short-term exposure to fine particulate matter constituents and mortality: case-crossover evidence from 32 counties in China

A growing number of studies associated increased mortality with exposures to specific fine particulate (PM_2.5) constituents, while great heterogeneity exists between locations. In China, evidence linking PM_2.5 constituents and mortality was extensively sparse. This study primarily aimed to quantify short-term associations between PM_2.5 constituents and non-accidental mortality among the Chinese population. We collected daily mortality records from 32 counties in China between January 1, 2011, and December 31, 2013. Daily concentrations of main PM_2.5 constituents (organic carbon (OC), elemental carbon (EC), nitrate (NO₃^-), sulfate (SO₄^2-), and ammonium (NH₄⁺)) were estimated using the modified Community Multiscale Air Quality model. Time-stratified case-crossover design with conditional logistic regression models was adopted to estimate mortality risks associated with short-term exposures to PM_2.5 mass and its constituents. Stratification analyses were done by sex, age, and season. A total of 116,959 non-accidental deaths were investigated. PM_2.5 concentrations on the day of death were averaged at 75.7 µg m^-3 (control day: 75.6 µg m^-3), with an interquartile range (IQR) of 65.2 µg m^-3. Per IQR rise in PM_2.5, EC, OC, NO₃^-, SO₄^2-, and NH₄⁺ at lag-04 day was associated with an increase in non-accidental mortality of 2.4% (95% confidence interval, (1.0-3.7), 1.7% (0.8-2.7), 2.9% (1.6-4.3), 2.1% (0.4-3.9), 1.0% (0.2-1.9), and 1.6% (0.3-2.9), respectively. Both PM_2.5 mass and its constituents were strongly associated with elevated cardiovascular mortality risks, but only PM_2.5, EC, and OC were positively associated with respiratory mortality at lag-3 day. PM_2.5 mass and its constituents associated effects on mortality varied among sex- and age-specific subpopulations. Differences in the seasonal pattern of associations exist among PM_2.5 constituents, with stronger effects related to EC and NO₃^- in warm months but SO₄^2- and NH₄⁺ in cold months. Short-term exposures to PM_2.5 compositions were positively associated with increased risks of mortality, particularly those constituents from combustion-related sources.

Association between short-term exposure to ambient air pollution and dementia mortality in Chinese adults

BACKGROUND

Short-term exposure to ambient air pollution has been linked to an increased risk of mortality from a variety of causes, but its effects on mortality from dementia remain largely unknown.

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the association between short-term exposure to ambient air pollution and dementia mortality, and quantitatively assess the excess mortality.

METHODS

In this time-stratified case-crossover study, 47,108 dementia deaths were identified in Jiangsu province, China during 2015-2019. Exposure to particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter ≤ 2.5 μm (PM_2.5), PM₁₀, sulfur dioxide (SO₂), nitrogen dioxide (NO₂), carbon monoxide (CO), and ozone (O₃) was assessed by extracting daily concentrations from a validated grid dataset based on each subject's residential address. Conditional logistic regression models were applied for exposure-response analyses.

RESULTS

There were 47,108 case days and 159,852 control days during the study period. Each 10 μg/m³ increase of lag 04-day exposure to PM_2.5, PM₁₀, and NO₂ was significantly associated with a 1.43 % (95 % CI: 0.77, 2.09 %), 1.06 % (0.59, 1.54 %), and 2.80 % (1.51, 4.10 %) increase in odds of dementia mortality, corresponding to an excess mortality of 4.87 %, 5.50 %, and 6.43 %, respectively. We estimated that reducing ambient air pollutant exposures to the WHO air quality guidelines would avoid up to 4.17 % of the dementia deaths, while the ambient air quality standards in China would only help avoid up to 0.39 %.

CONCLUSIONS

This study provides consistent evidence that short-term exposure to PM_2.5, PM₁₀, and NO₂ is associated with increased odds of dementia mortality, which can be translated to a considerable excess mortality. Our findings highlight a potential approach to prevent deaths from dementia by reducing individual exposures to ambient air pollution, especially in areas with high levels of ambient air pollution.

Neighborhood environmental factors linked to hospitalizations of older people for viral lower respiratory tract infections in Spain: a case-crossover study

BACKGROUND

Lower respiratory tract viral infection (LRTI) is a significant cause of morbidity-mortality in older people worldwide. We analyzed the association between short-term exposure to environmental factors (climatic factors and outdoor air pollution) and hospital admissions with a viral LRTI diagnosis in older adults.

METHODS

We conducted a bidirectional case-crossover study in 6367 patients over 65 years of age with viral LRTI and residential zip code in the Spanish Minimum Basic Data Set. Spain's State Meteorological Agency was the source of environmental data. Associations were assessed using conditional logistic regression. P-values were corrected for false discovery rate (q-values).

RESULTS

Almost all were hospital emergency admissions (98.13%), 18.64% were admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU), and 7.44% died. The most frequent clinical discharge diagnosis was influenza (90.25%). LRTI hospital admissions were more frequent when there were lower values of temperature and O₃ and higher values of relative humidity and NO₂. The regression analysis adjusted by temperatures and relative humidity showed higher concentrations at the hospital admission for NO₂ [compared to the lag time of 1-week (q-value< 0.001) and 2-weeks (q-value< 0.001)] and O₃ [compared to the lag time of 3-days (q-value< 0.001), 1-week (q-value< 0.001), and 2-weeks (q-value< 0.001)] were related to a higher odds of hospital admissions due to viral LRTI. Moreover, higher concentrations of PM₁₀ at the lag time of 1-week (q-value = 0.023) and 2-weeks (q-value = 0.002), and CO at the lag time of 3-days (q-value = 0.023), 1-week (q-value< 0.001) and 2-weeks (q-value< 0.001)], compared to the day of hospitalization, were related to a higher chances of hospital admissions with viral LRTI.

CONCLUSION

Unfavorable environmental factors (low temperatures, high relative humidity, and high concentrations of NO₂, O₃, PM₁₀, and CO) increased the odds of hospital admissions with viral LRTI among older people, indicating they are potentially vulnerable to these environmental factors.

Asthma mortality attributable to ambient temperatures: A case-crossover study in China

BACKGROUND

Whether ambient temperature exposure contributes to death from asthma remains unknown to date. We therefore conducted a case-crossover study in China to quantitatively evaluate the association and burden of ambient temperature exposure on asthma mortality.

METHODS

Using data from the National Mortality Surveillance System in China, we conducted a time-stratified case-crossover study of 15 888 individuals who lived in Hubei and Jiangsu province, China and died from asthma as the underlying cause in 2015-2019. Individual-level exposures to air temperature and apparent temperature on the date of death and 21 days prior were assessed based on each subject's residential address. Distributed lag nonlinear models based on conditional logistic regression were used to quantify exposure-response associations and calculate fraction and number of deaths attributable to non-optimum ambient temperatures.

RESULTS

We observed a reverse J-shaped association between air temperature and risk of asthma mortality, with a minimum mortality temperature of 21.3 °C. Non-optimum ambient temperature is responsible for substantial excess mortality from asthma. In total, 26.3% of asthma mortality were attributable to non-optimum temperatures, with moderate cold, moderate hot, extreme cold and extreme hot responsible for 21.7%, 2.4%, 2.1% and 0.9% of asthma mortality, respectively. The total attributable fraction and number was significantly higher among adults aged less than 80 years in hot temperature.

CONCLUSIONS

Exposure to non-optimum ambient temperature, especially moderate cold temperature, was responsible for substantial excess mortality from asthma. These findings have important implications for planning of public-health interventions to minimize the adverse respiratory damage from non-optimum ambient temperature.

Using the Generalized Synthetic Control Method to Estimate the Impact of Extreme Weather Events on Population Health

BACKGROUND

Traditional epidemiologic approaches such as time-series or case-crossover designs are often used to estimate the effects of extreme weather events but can be limited by unmeasured confounding. Quasi-experimental methods are a family of methods that leverage natural experiments to adjust for unmeasured confounding indirectly. The recently developed generalized synthetic control method that exploits the timing of an exposure is well suited to estimate the impact of acute environmental events on health outcomes. To demonstrate how this method can be used to study extreme weather events, we examined the impact of the 20-26 October 2007 Southern California wildfire storm on respiratory hospitalizations.

METHODS

We used generalized synthetic control to compare the average number of ZIP code-level respiratory hospitalizations during the wildfire storm between ZIP codes that were classified as exposed versus unexposed to wildfire smoke. We considered wildfire exposure eligibility for each ZIP code using fire perimeters and satellite-based smoke plume data. We retrieved respiratory hospitalization discharge data from the Office of Statewide Health Planning and Development. R code to implement the generalized synthetic control method is included for reproducibility.

RESULTS

The analysis included 172 exposed and 578 unexposed ZIP codes. We estimated that the average effect of the wildfire storm among the exposed ZIP codes was an 18% (95% confidence interval: 10% to 29%) increase in respiratory hospitalizations.

CONCLUSIONS

We illustrate the use of generalized synthetic control to leverage natural experiments to quantify the health impacts of extreme weather events when traditional approaches are unavailable or limited by assumptions.

The Effects of Coexposure to Extremes of Heat and Particulate Air Pollution on Mortality in California: Implications for Climate Change

Rationale: Extremes of heat and particulate air pollution threaten human health and are becoming more frequent because of climate change. Understanding the health impacts of coexposure to extreme heat and air pollution is urgent. Objectives: To estimate the association of acute coexposure to extreme heat and ambient fine particulate matter (PM2.5) with all-cause, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality in California from 2014 to 2019. Methods: We used a case-crossover study design with time-stratified matching using conditional logistic regression to estimate mortality associations with acute coexposures to extreme heat and PM2.5. For each case day (date of death) and its control days, daily average PM2.5 and maximum and minimum temperatures were assigned (0- to 3-day lag) on the basis of the decedent's residence census tract. Measurements and Main Results: All-cause mortality risk increased 6.1% (95% confidence interval [CI], 4.1-8.1) on extreme maximum temperature-only days and 5.0% (95% CI, 3.0-8.0) on extreme PM2.5-only days, compared with nonextreme days. Risk increased by 21.0% (95% CI, 6.6-37.3) on days with exposure to both extreme maximum temperature and PM2.5. Increased risk of cardiovascular and respiratory mortality on extreme coexposure days was 29.9% (95% CI, 3.3-63.3) and 38.0% (95% CI, -12.5 to 117.7), respectively, and were more than the sum of individual effects of extreme temperature and PM2.5 only. A similar pattern was observed for coexposure to extreme PM2.5 and minimum temperature. Effect estimates were larger over age 75 years. Conclusions: Short-term exposure to extreme heat and air pollution alone were individually associated with increased risk of mortality, but their coexposure had larger effects beyond the sum of their individual effects.

Association of short-term exposure to ambient PM1 with total and cause-specific cardiovascular disease mortality

BACKGROUND

The acute effects of exposure to ambient particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter ≤1 μm (PM₁) on cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality remain unclear.

OBJECTIVES

To investigate whether short-term exposure to ambient PM₁ was associated with mortality from total and/or cause-specific CVDs, and estimate the excess mortality.

METHODS

A time-stratified case-crossover study was conducted among 1,081,507 CVD deaths in Jiangsu province, China from 2015 to 2020. We assessed daily residential ambient PM₁ exposures using a validated grid dataset for each subject. Conditional logistic regression models and distributed lag linear or nonlinear models were employed to quantify the association of PM₁ exposure with mortality during the same day of CVD death and 1 day prior.

RESULTS

Each 10 μg/m³ increase of PM₁ exposure was significantly associated with a 1.46 % (95 % confidence interval: 1.28 %, 1.65 %), 1.95 % (1.28 %, 2.63 %), 1.16 % (0.86 %, 1.47 %), 1.41 % (1.13 %, 1.69 %), and 1.83 % (1.37 %, 2.30 %) increased odds of mortality from total CVDs, hypertensive diseases (HDs), ischemic heart diseases (IHDs), stroke, and sequelae of stroke, respectively (all p <0.05). No significant association was identified with mortality from pulmonary heart disease or chronic rheumatic heart diseases. The excess fraction of total CVD mortality attributable to PM₁ exposure was 5.71 %, while the cause-specific excess fractions ranged from 4.98 % for IHDs to 7.46 % for HDs. Significantly higher excess fractions were observed for total and certain cause-specific CVD mortality in adults 80 years or older.

CONCLUSIONS

We found that short-term exposure to ambient PM₁ was significantly associated with an increased odds of mortality from total and specific CVDs and may lead to considerable excess mortality especially among older adults. Our findings highlight a potential approach to prevent premature CVD deaths by reducing PM₁ exposures and provide essential quantitative data for the development of future air quality standards for ambient PM₁.

Short-Term Exposure to Ambient Air Pollution and Hospital Admissions for Sequelae of Stroke in Chinese Older Adults

Extensive evidence suggests that ambient air pollution contributes to a higher risk of hospital admissions for cerebrovascular diseases; however, its association with admissions for sequelae of stroke remains unclear. A time-stratified case-crossover study was conducted among 31,810 older adults who were admitted to hospital for sequelae of stroke in Guangzhou, China during 2016-2019. For each subject, daily residential exposure to fine particulate matter (PM_2.5), inhalable particulate matter (PM₁₀), sulfur dioxide (SO₂), nitrogen dioxide (NO₂), carbon monoxide (CO), and ozone (O₃) was extracted from a validated grid data set. Conditional logistic regression models were used for exposure-response analyses. In single-pollutant models, each interquartile range (IQR) increase of lag 04-day exposure to CO (IQR: 0.25 mg/m³) and lag 3-day exposure to O₃ (69.6 μg/m³) was significantly associated with a 4.53% (95% confidence interval: 1.67%, 7.47%) and 5.63% (1.92%, 9.48%) increase in odds of hospital admissions for sequelae of stroke, respectively. These associations did not significantly vary across age or sex. With further adjustment for each of the other pollutants in 2-pollutant models, the association for CO did not change significantly, while the association for O₃ disappeared. We estimated that 7.72% of the hospital admissions were attributable to CO exposures. No significant or consistent association was observed for exposure to PM_2.5, PM₁₀, SO₂, or NO₂. In conclusion, short-term exposure to ambient CO, even at levels below the WHO air quality guideline, was significantly associated with an increased odds of hospital admissions for sequelae of stroke, which may lead to considerable excess hospital admissions.

Risk of illness-related school absenteeism for elementary students with exposure to PM2.5 and O3

Air pollution addresses short-term health effects on morbidity, especially for children. Assessing the impacts of air pollution on elementary students is critical for developing preparedness response strategies for this sensitive group. In the 2016-17 academic year, up to 687,748 groups of illness-related absence records and the information on whether the absentee had gone to a hospital or not were collected from 2564 elementary schools across Jiangsu Province China. We explored the associations between air pollution and illness-related records using a time-stratified case-crossover analysis with distributed lag non-linear design. An increase of 10 μg/m³ in the current-day concentration of PM_2.5 and O₃ was positively associated with illness-related absenteeism overall. The excess risk of absenteeism was 4.52 % (95%CI 4.37-4.67 %) for PM_2.5 and 0.25 % (95%CI 0.01-0.36 %) for O₃. The risk associated with O₃ was boosted for the frequent absentees who tended to have basic diseases or were more vulnerable to infectious diseases. Students in 43.1 % illness-related absenteeism, mainly due to highly infectious diseases, only received home nursing without going to a hospital. The increase in the number of illness cases associated with PM_2.5 and O₃ estimated based on the illness-related absence data was 41.5 % and 18.6 % higher than that evaluated based on hospital visit records. Such underestimations persisted in sensitivity analyses and persisted in subgroups classified by gender or grade. Together, the performance of illness-related absence records far outweighed that of hospital visit data regarding the thorough evaluation of air pollution-related illness cases for elementary students. Improvement in air quality and home health care education are warranted as well for the health benefits of children.

Short-term exposure to ambient air pollution and readmissions for heart failure among 3660 post-discharge patients with hypertension in older Chinese adults

BACKGROUND

Despite ambient air pollution being associated with various adverse cardiovascular outcomes, the acute effects of ambient air pollution on hospital readmissions for heart failure (HF) among post-discharge patients with hypertension remain less understood.

METHODS

We conducted a time-stratified case-crossover study among 3660 subjects 60 years or older who were admitted to hospital for HF after discharge for hypertension in Guangzhou, China during 2016-2019. For each subject, individualised residential exposures to ambient particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter ≤1 µm (PM₁), ≤2.5 µm (PM_2.5), ≤10 µm (PM₁₀), sulfur dioxide (SO₂), nitrogen dioxide (NO₂), carbon monoxide (CO) and ozone were extracted from our validated grid dataset.

RESULTS

An IQR increase of lag 04-day exposure to PM₁ (IQR: 11.6 μg/m³), PM_2.5 (IQR 21.9 μg/m³), PM₁₀ (IQR 35.0 μg/m³), SO₂ (IQR 4.4 μg/m³), NO₂ (IQR 23.3 μg/m³) and CO (IQR 0.25 mg/m³) was significantly associated with a 9.77% (95% CI 2.21% to 17.89%), 8.74% (95% CI 1.05% to 17.00%), 13.93% (95% CI 5.36% to 23.20%), 10.81% (95% CI 1.82% to 20.60%), 14.97% (95% CI 8.05% to 22.34%) and 7.37% (95% CI 0.98% to 14.16%) increase in odds of HF readmissions, respectively. With adjustment for other pollutants, the association for NO₂ exposure remained stable, while the associations for PM₁, PM_2.5, PM₁₀, SO₂ and CO exposures became insignificant. Overall, an estimated 19.86% of HF readmissions were attributable to NO₂ exposure, while reducing NO₂ exposure to the WHO and China air quality standards would avoid 12.87% and 0.54% of readmissions, respectively. No susceptible populations were observed by sex, age or season.

CONCLUSION

Short-term exposure to ambient NO₂ was significantly associated with an increased odds of HF readmissions among post-discharge patients with hypertension in older Chinese adults.

Particulate matter and ozone might trigger deaths from chronic ischemic heart disease

AIMS

To study the association between short-term exposure to air pollutants and mortality of Chronic Ischemic Heart Disease (CIHD).

METHODS

Using a case-crossover design, we investigated 148,443 CIHD deaths from 2015 to 2020 in Jiangsu Province, China. Exposure to six ambient pollutants, including PM₁₀, PM_2.5, NO₂, CO, SO₂, and O_3, was assessed by extracting daily concentrations from validated 10 km × 10 km pollutant grids at each subject's residential address. A conditional logistic regression approach was used to explore the exposure-response relationship with adjustment for temperature and relative humidity. We calculated the Population Attributable Fractions (PAFs) and the attributable deaths number of CIHD.

RESULTS

An increase of 10 μg/m³ in PM₁₀ and PM_2.5 exposure was associated with a 1.16% (95% CI: 0.85-1.48%) and 1.80% (1.36-2.24%) increase in CIHD mortality, respectively. A threshold value of 123 µg/m³ was identified for the association between O₃ exposure and CIHD mortality. Controlling for PM_2.5, each increase of 10 µg/m³ in O₃ (>threshold) was statistically significantly associated with a 0.94% (0.19-1.71%) increase in CIHD mortality, however there was no association between NO₂, SO₂, CO exposure and CIHD mortality. Reducing PM_2.5, PM₁₀ and O₃ to the WHO air quality guidelines would prevent 6.16% (95% CI: 4.70-7.58%), 4.30% (3.18-5.43%) and 1.29% (0.48-4.20%) of CIHD deaths, respectively. During the warm season, mortality and PAFs of CIHD associated with PM_2.5, PM₁₀, and O₃ were significantly higher.

CONCLUSIONS

Short-term exposure to ambient PM_2.5, PM_10, and O₃ might trigger deaths from CIHD. These findings indicate that the premature deaths of CIHD patients can be alleviated by reducing exposure to polluted air.

Environmental factors linked to hospital admissions in young children due to acute viral lower respiratory infections: A bidirectional case-crossover study

OBJECTIVE

This study evaluated the association of the short-term exposure to environmental factors (relative humidity, temperature, NO₂, SO₂, O₃, PM₁₀, and CO) with hospital admissions due to acute viral lower respiratory infections (ALRI) in children under two years before the COVID-19 era.

METHODS

We performed a bidirectional case-crossover study in 30,445 children with ALRI under two years of age in the Spanish Minimum Basic Data Set (MBDS) from 2013 to 2015. Environmental data were obtained from Spain's State Meteorological Agency (AEMET). The association was assessed by conditional logistic regression.

RESULTS

Lower temperature one week before the day of the event (hospital admission) (q-value = 0.012) and higher relative humidity one week (q-value = 0.003) and two weeks (q-value<0.001) before the day of the event were related to a higher odds of hospital admissions. Higher NO₂ levels two weeks before the event were associated with hospital admissions (q-value<0.001). Moreover, higher concentrations on the day of the event for SO₂ (compared to lag time of 1-week (q-value = 0.026) and 2-weeks (q-value<0.001)), O₃ (compared to lag time of 3-days (q-value<0.001), 1-week (q-value<0.001), and 2-weeks (q-value<0.001)), and PM₁₀ (compared to lag time of 2-weeks (q-value<0.001)) were related to an increased odds of hospital admissions for viral ALRI.

CONCLUSION

Short-term exposure to environmental factors (climatic conditions and ambient air contaminants) was linked to a higher likelihood of hospital admissions due to ALRI. Our findings emphasize the importance of monitoring environmental factors to assess the odds of ALRI hospital admissions and plan public health resources.