Appraising the role of previously reported risk factors in epithelial ovarian cancer risk: A Mendelian randomization analysis

Extracellular Vesicles in Ovarian Cancer: From Chemoresistance Mediators to Therapeutic Vectors

Ovarian cancer (OC) remains the deadliest gynecological malignancy, with alarming projections indicating a 42% increase in new cases and a 51% rise in mortality by 2040. This review explores the challenges in OC treatment, focusing on chemoresistance mechanisms and the potential of extracellular vesicles (EVs) as drug delivery agents. Despite advancements in treatment strategies, including cytoreductive surgery, platinum-based chemotherapy, and targeted therapies, the high recurrence rate underscores the need for innovative approaches. Key resistance mechanisms include drug efflux, apoptosis disruption, enhanced DNA repair, cancer stem cells, immune evasion, and the complex tumor microenvironment. Cancer-associated fibroblasts and extracellular vesicles play crucial roles in modulating the tumor microenvironment and facilitating chemoresistance. EVs, naturally occurring nanovesicles, emerge as promising drug carriers due to their low toxicity, high biocompatibility, and inherent targeting capabilities. They have shown potential in delivering chemotherapeutics like doxorubicin, cisplatin, and paclitaxel, as well as natural compounds such as curcumin and berry anthocyanidins, enhancing therapeutic efficacy while reducing systemic toxicity in OC models. However, challenges such as low production yields, heterogeneity, rapid clearance, and inefficient drug loading methods need to be addressed for clinical application. Ongoing research aims to optimize EV production, loading efficiency, and targeting, paving the way for novel and more effective therapeutic strategies in OC treatment. Overcoming these obstacles is crucial to unlocking the full potential of EV-based therapies and improving outcomes for OC patients.

Large-scale analysis to identify risk factors for ovarian cancer

OBJECTIVE

Ovarian cancer is characterized by late-stage diagnoses and poor prognosis. We aimed to identify factors that can inform prevention and early detection of ovarian cancer.

METHODS

We used a data-driven machine learning approach to identify predictors of epithelial ovarian cancer from 2920 input features measured 12.6 years (IQR 11.9 to 13.3 years) before diagnoses. Analyses included 221 732 female participants in the UK Biobank without a history of cancer. During the follow-up 1441 women developed ovarian cancer. For factors that contributed to model prediction, we used multivariate logistic regression to evaluate the association with ovarian cancer, with evidence for causality tested by Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses in the Ovarian Cancer Genetics Consortium (25 509 cases).

RESULTS

Greater parity and ever-use of oral contraception were associated with lower ovarian cancer risk (ever vs never OR 0.74, 95% CI 0.66 to 0.84). After adjustment for established risk factors, greater height, weight, and greater red blood cell distribution width were associated with increased ovarian cancer risk, while higher aspartate aminotransferase levels and mean corpuscular volume were associated with lower risk. MR analyses confirmed observational associations with anthropometric/adiposity traits (eg, body fat percentage per standard deviation (SD); OR inverse-variance weighted (ORIVW) 1.28, 95% CI 1.13 to 1.46) and aspartate aminotransferase (ORIVW 0.87, 95% CI 0.78 to 0.98). MR also provided genetic evidence for a protective association of higher total serum protein on ovarian cancer, higher lymphocyte count on serous and endometrioid ovarian cancer, and greater forced expiratory volume in 1 s on serous ovarian cancer among other findings.

CONCLUSIONS

This study shows that certain risk factors for ovarian cancer are modifiable, suggesting that weight reduction and interventions to reduce the number of ovulations may provide potential for future prevention. We also identified blood biomarkers associated with ovarian cancer years before diagnoses, warranting further investigation.

Association of ankylosing spondylitis with cardiovascular disease: a bidirectional two-sample mendelian randomization study

Backgrounds

Current observational investigations hint at a potential linkage between ankylosing spondylitis and cardiovascular wellness. However, the nature of this causality remains to be elucidated. Consequently, this study is designed to evaluate the causal interconnection between ankylosing spondylitis and cardiovascular-related conditions utilizing a bidirectional two-sample Mendelian Randomization (MR) methodology.

Methods

In this study, we conducted Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses using genome-wide association study (GWAS) data. The fixed-effects inverse variance weighted (IVW) model was used as the primary analysis method, and MR-Egger regression and the weighted median method were employed as supplementary approaches. Horizontal pleiotropy and heterogeneity were evaluated using various statistical tests, including MR-PRESSO global test, MR-Egger intercept, and Cochran's Q test.

Results

The MR result demonstrated an increased risk of heart failure in individuals with ankylosing spondylitis (OR: 1.0132, 95% CI = 1.0043-1.0221, p = 0.003). The MR analysis results did not demonstrate a causal relationship between ankylosing spondylitis and other cardiovascular diseases, such as atrial fibrillation, coronary artery disease, ischemic stroke, myocardial infarction, and valvular heart disease (all p > 0.05). No evidence of reverse causality was found between ankylosing spondylitis and mentioned cardiovascular diseases in reverse MR analyses. Sensitivity analysis verified the reliability of the results.

Conclusion

Our MR study indicates a relationship between ankylosing spondylitis and an increased risk of heart failure. Further research is needed to confirm these findings and elucidate the underlying mechanisms involved.

Mediating role of chiro-inositol metabolites on the effects of HLA-DR-expressing CD14 + monocytes in inflammatory bowel disease

BACKGROUND

Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), a chronic inflammatory condition, is caused by several factors involving aberrant immune responses. Genetic factors are crucial in IBD occurrence. Mendelian randomization (MR) can offer a new perspective in understanding IBD's genetic background.

METHODS

Single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) were considered instrumental variables (IVs). We analyzed the relationship between 731 immunophenotypes, 1,400 metabolite phenotypes, and IBD. The total effect was decomposed into indirect and direct effects, and the ratio of the indirect effect to the total effect was calculated.

RESULTS

We identified the causal effects of HLA-DR-expressing CD14 + monocytes on IBD through MR analysis. The phenotype "HLA-DR expression on CD14 + monocytes" showed the strongest association among the selected 48 immune phenotypes. Chiro-inositol metabolites mediated the effect of CD14 + monocytes expressing HLA-DR on IBD. An increase in Chiro-inositol metabolites was associated with a reduced risk of IBD occurrence, accounting for 4.97%.

CONCLUSION

Our findings revealed a new pathway by which HLA-DR-expressing CD14 + monocytes indirectly reduced the risk of IBD occurrence by increasing the levels of Chiro-inositol metabolites. The results provided a new perspective on the immunoregulatory mechanisms underlying IBD, laying a theoretical foundation for developing new therapeutic targets in the future.

Global epidemiology of epithelial ovarian cancer

Globally, ovarian cancer is the eighth most common cancer in women, accounting for an estimated 3.7% of cases and 4.7% of cancer deaths in 2020. Until the early 2000s, age-standardized incidence was highest in northern Europe and North America, but this trend has changed; incidence is now declining in these regions and increasing in parts of eastern Europe and Asia. Ovarian cancer is a very heterogeneous disease and, even among the most common type, namely epithelial ovarian cancer, five major clinically and genetically distinct histotypes exist. Most high-grade serous ovarian carcinomas are now recognized to originate in the fimbrial ends of the fallopian tube. This knowledge has led to more cancers being coded as fallopian tube in origin, which probably explains some of the apparent declines in ovarian cancer incidence, particularly in high-income countries; however, it also suggests that opportunistic salpingectomy offers an important opportunity for prevention. The five histotypes share several reproductive and hormonal risk factors, although differences also exist. In this Review, we summarize the epidemiology of this complex disease, comparing the different histotypes, and consider the potential for prevention. We also discuss how changes in the prevalence of risk and protective factors might have contributed to the observed changes in incidence and what this might mean for incidence in the future.

Vitamin D and human health: evidence from Mendelian randomization studies

We summarized the current evidence on vitamin D and major health outcomes from Mendelian randomization (MR) studies. PubMed and Embase were searched for original MR studies on vitamin D in relation to any health outcome from inception to September 1, 2022. Nonlinear MR findings were excluded due to concerns about the validity of the statistical methods used. A meta-analysis was preformed to synthesize study-specific estimates after excluding overlapping samples, where applicable. The methodological quality of the included studies was evaluated according to the STROBE-MR checklist. A total of 133 MR publications were eligible for inclusion in the analyses. The causal association between vitamin D status and 275 individual outcomes was examined. Linear MR analyses showed genetically high 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) concentrations were associated with reduced risk of multiple sclerosis incidence and relapse, non-infectious uveitis and scleritis, psoriasis, femur fracture, leg fracture, amyotrophic lateral sclerosis, anorexia nervosa, delirium, heart failure, ovarian cancer, non-alcoholic fatty liver disease, dyslipidemia, and bacterial pneumonia, but increased risk of Behçet's disease, Graves' disease, kidney stone disease, fracture of radium/ulna, basal cell carcinoma, and overall cataracts. Stratified analyses showed that the inverse association between genetically predisposed 25(OH)D concentrations and multiple sclerosis risk was significant and consistent regardless of the genetic instruments GIs selected. However, the associations with most of the other outcomes were only pronounced when using genetic variants not limited to those in the vitamin D pathway as GIs. The methodological quality of the included MR studies was substantially heterogeneous. Current evidence from linear MR studies strongly supports a causal role of vitamin D in the development of multiple sclerosis. Suggestive support for a number of other health conditions could help prioritize conditions where vitamin D may be beneficial or harmful.

Research progress in endometriosis-associated ovarian cancer

Endometriosis-associated ovarian cancer (EAOC) is a unique subtype of ovarian malignant tumor originating from endometriosis (EMS) malignant transformation, which has gradually become one of the hot topics in clinical and basic research in recent years. According to clinicopathological and epidemiological findings, precancerous lesions of ovarian clear cell carcinoma (OCCC) and ovarian endometrioid carcinoma (OEC) are considered as EMS. Given the large number of patients with endometriosis and its long time window for malignant transformation, sufficient attention should be paid to EAOC. At present, the pathogenesis of EAOC has not been clarified, no reliable biomarkers have been found in the diagnosis, and there is still a lack of basis and targets for stratified management and precise treatment in the treatment. At the same time, due to the long medical history of patients, the fast growth rate of cancer cells, and the possibility of eliminating the earliest endometriosis-associated ovarian cancer, it is difficult to find the corresponding histological evidence. As a result, few patients are finally diagnosed with EAOC, which increases the difficulty of in-depth study of EAOC. This article reviews the epidemiology, pathogenesis, risk factors, clinical diagnosis, new treatment strategies and prognosis of endometriosis-associated ovarian cancer, and prospects the future direction of basic research and clinical transformation, in order to achieve stratified management and personalized treatment of ovarian cancer patients.

Mendelian randomization reveals apolipoprotein B shortens healthspan and possibly increases risk for Alzheimer's disease

Apolipoprotein B-100 (APOB) is a component of fat- and cholesterol-transporting molecules in the bloodstream. It is the main lipoprotein in low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL) and has been implicated in conditions that end healthspan (the interval between birth and onset of chronic disease). However, APOB's direct relationship with healthspan remains uncertain. With Mendelian randomization, we show that higher levels of APOB and LDL shorten healthspan in humans. Multivariable Mendelian randomization of APOB and LDL on healthspan suggests that the predominant trait accounting for the relationship is APOB. In addition, we provide preliminary evidence that APOB increases risk for Alzheimer's disease, a condition that ends healthspan. If these relationships are causal, they suggest that interventions to improve healthspan in aging populations could include strategies targeting APOB. Ultimately, given that more than 44 million people currently suffer from Alzheimer's disease worldwide, such interventions are needed.

Analysing the causal relationship between potentially protective and risk factors and cutaneous melanoma: A Mendelian randomization study

BACKGROUND

Previous observational studies reported altered melanoma risks in relation to many potential factors, such as coffee intake, smoking habits and photodamage-related conditions. Considering the susceptibility of epidemiological studies to residual confounders, there remains uncertainty about the actual causal roles of these reported factors in melanoma aetiology.

OBJECTIVES

This study aims to investigate the causal association between cutaneous melanoma (CM) and previously reported factors: coffee intake, alcohol consumption, lifetime smoking, socioeconomic status (SES), ease of skin tanning, childhood sunburn and facial ageing, providing insight into its underlying aetiology and preventative strategies.

METHODS

We utilized a two-sample MR analysis on data from the largest meta-analysis summary statistics of confirmed cutaneous melanoma including 30,134 patients. Genetic instrumental variables were constructed by identifying single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) that associate with corresponding factors. Inverse variance weighted (IVW) was the primary MR method. For sensitivity and heterogeneity, MR Egger, weighted median, simple mode, weighted mode and MR Egger intercept tests were examined.

RESULTS

Cutaneous melanoma risks were found to be elevated in association with a predisposition towards ease of skin tanning (IVW: OR = 2.842, 95% CI 2.468-3.274, p < 0.001) and with childhood sunburn history (IVW: OR = 6.317, 95% CI 4.479-8.909, p < 0.001). Repeated MR after removing potential confounders and outliers demonstrated resolved horizontal pleiotropy and statistically significant results that closely mirrored the initial findings. Other potential factors, such as coffee intake, alcohol consumption, smoking and socioeconomic status (SES), indicated insignificant effects on melanoma risk in the analysis, and therefore, our Mendelian randomization study does not support their roles in modifying melanoma risks.

CONCLUSIONS

Our extensive MR analysis provides strong evidence of the causative role of ease of skin tanning and childhood sunburn history in elevating melanoma risk. Curtailing ultraviolet radiation (UVR) exposure may be the single best preventative strategy to reduce melanoma risk.

Endometriosis and epithelial ovarian cancer: a two-sample Mendelian randomization analysis

Endometriosis, a prevalent condition, has long been recognized as a chronic and debilitating ailment affecting an estimated 1790 million women worldwide. Observational studies have established a correlation between endometriosis and ovarian cancer. Thus, we endeavored to employ Two-Sample Mendelian Randomization, utilizing summary statistics from a Genome-Wide Association Study of endometriosis and epithelial ovarian cancer, with genetic markers serving as proxies for epithelial ovarian cancer. The analysis revealed a significant correlation between these entities, with an odds ratio (OR) of 1.23 (95% CI 1.11-1.36). Upon histotype-specific examination, robust evidence emerged for an association of endometriosis with the risk of endometrioid carcinoma (OR 1.49, 95% CI 1.24-1.81), clear cell carcinoma (OR 2.56, 95% CI 1.75-3.73), and low malignant potential tumors (OR 1.28, 95% CI 1.08-1.53). These findings provide a theoretical framework for prospective investigations aimed at enhancing the potential therapeutic efficacy of managing endometriosis in averting the onset and progression of ovarian cancer.

A two-sample Mendelian randomization study of atherosclerosis and dementia

The causality between atherosclerosis and dementia remains unclear. This study aimed to explore the causal effect of atherosclerosis related indicators on dementia risk based on two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) using summary statistics of genome-wide association studies (GWASs). The inverse variance weighted (IVW) method was performed as the main analysis, supplemented by different sensitivity analyses. Suggestive evidence indicated that peripheral arterial disease (PAD) (odds ratio (OR): 0.864, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.797-0.937), coronary atherosclerosis (CoAS) (OR: 0.927, 95% CI: 0.860-0.998) and atherosclerosis, excluding cerebral, coronary, and PAD (ATHSCLE) (OR: 0.812, 95% CI: 0.725-0.909) were inversely associated with the risk of AD. The sensitivity analysis confirmed a suggestive reverse effect of ATHSCLE on the risk of frontotemporal dementia (FTD) (OR, 0.812, 95% CI, 0.725-0.909). Findings provide suggestive evidence that PAD, CoAS, and ATHSCLE might be associated with the risk of AD or FTD, which requires further exploration in larger samples.

The associations of alcoholic liver disease and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease with bone mineral density and the mediation of serum 25-Hydroxyvitamin D: A bidirectional and two-step Mendelian randomization

BACKGROUND

Reduced bone mineral density (BMD) and osteoporosis are common in chronic liver diseases. However, the causal effect of alcoholic liver disease (ALD) and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) on BMD remains uncertain.

OBJECTIVES

This study uses a two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) design to evaluate the genetically predicted effect of ALD and NAFLD on BMDs using summary data from publically available genome-wide association studies (GWASs).

METHODS

The GWAS summary statistics of ALD (1416 cases and 213,592 controls) and NAFLD (894 cases and 217,898 controls) were obtained from the FinnGen consortium. BMDs of four sites (total body, n = 56,284; femoral neck, n = 32,735; lumbar spine, n = 28,498; forearm, n = 8143) were from the GEnetic Factors for OSteoporosis Consortium. Data for alcohol consumption (n = 112,117) and smoking (n = 33,299) and serum 25-Hydroxyvitamin D (25-OHD) level (n = 417,580) were from UK-biobank. We first performed univariate MR analysis with the Inverse Variance Weighted (IVW) method as the primary analysis to investigate the genetically predicted effect of ALD or NAFLD on BMD. Then, multivariate MR and mediation analysis were performed to identify whether the effect was mediated by alcohol consumption, smoking, or serum 25-OHD level.

RESULTS

The MR results suggested a robust genetically predicted effect of ALD on reduced BMD in the femoral neck (FN-BMD) (IVW beta = -0.0288; 95% CI: -0.0488, -0.00871; P = 0.00494) but not the other three sites. Serum 25-OHD level exhibited a significant mediating effect on the association between ALD and reduced FN-BMD albeit the proportion of mediation was mild (2.21%). No significant effects of NAFLD, alcohol consumption, or smoking on BMD in four sites, or reverse effect of BMD on ALD or NAFLD were detected.

CONCLUSION

Our findings confirm the genetically predicted effect of ALD on reduced FN-BMD, and highlight the importance of periodic BMD and serum 25-OHD monitoring and vitamin D supplementation as needed in patients with ALD. Future research is required to validate our results and investigate the probable underlying mechanisms.

Review of mendelian randomization studies on age at natural menopause

Menopause marks the end of the reproductive phase of life. Based on epidemiological studies, abnormal age at natural menopause (ANM) is thought to contribute to a number of adverse outcomes, such as osteoporosis, cardiovascular disease, and cancer. However, the causality of these associations remains unclear. A powerful epidemiological method known as Mendelian randomization (MR) can be used to clarify the causality between ANM and other diseases or traits. The present review describes MR studies that included ANM as an exposure, outcome and mediator. The findings of MR analyses on ANM have revealed that higher body mass index, poor educational level, early age at menarche, early age at first live birth, early age at first sexual intercourse, and autoimmune thyroid disease appear to be involved in early ANM etiology. The etiology of late ANM appears to be influenced by higher free thyroxine 4 and methylene tetrahydrofolate reductase gene mutations. Furthermore, early ANM has been found to be causally associated with an increased risk of osteoporosis, fracture, type 2 diabetes mellitus, glycosylated hemoglobin, and the homeostasis model of insulin resistance level. In addition, late ANM has been found to be causally associated with an increased systolic blood pressure, higher risk of breast cancer, endometrial cancer, endometrioid ovarian carcinoma, lung cancer, longevity, airflow obstruction, and lower risk of Parkinson's disease. ANM is also a mediator for breast cancer caused by birth weight and childhood body size. However, due to the different instrumental variables used, some results of studies are inconsistent. Future studies with more valid genetic variants are needed for traits with discrepancies between MRs or between MR and other types of epidemiological studies.

Insights from Mendelian randomization and genetic correlation analyses into the relationship between endometriosis and its comorbidities

BACKGROUND

Endometriosis remains a poorly understood disease, despite its high prevalence and debilitating symptoms. The overlap in symptoms and the increased risk of multiple other traits in women with endometriosis is becoming increasingly apparent through epidemiological data. Genetic studies offer a method of investigating these comorbid relationships through the assessment of causal relationships with Mendelian randomization (MR), as well as identification of shared genetic variants and genes involved across traits. This has the capacity to identify risk factors for endometriosis as well as provide insight into the aetiology of disease.

OBJECTIVE AND RATIONALE

We aim to review the current literature assessing the relationship between endometriosis and other traits using genomic data, primarily through the methods of MR and genetic correlation. We critically examine the limitations of these studies in accordance with the assumptions of the utilized methods.

SEARCH METHODS

The PubMed database was used to search for peer-reviewed original research articles using the terms 'Mendelian randomization endometriosis' and '"genetic correlation" endometriosis'. Additionally, a Google Scholar search using the terms '"endometriosis" "mendelian randomization" "genetic correlation"' was performed. All relevant publications (n = 21) published up until 7 October 2022 were included in this review. Upon compilation of all traits with published MR and/or genetic correlation with endometriosis, additional epidemiological and genetic information on their comorbidity with endometriosis was sourced by searching for the trait in conjunction with 'endometriosis' on Google Scholar.

OUTCOMES

The association between endometriosis and multiple pain, gynaecological, cancer, inflammatory, gastrointestinal, psychological, and anthropometric traits has been assessed using MR analysis and genetic correlation analysis. Genetic correlation analyses provide evidence that genetic factors contributing to endometriosis are shared with multiple traits: migraine, uterine fibroids, subtypes of ovarian cancer, melanoma, asthma, gastro-oesophageal reflux disease, gastritis/duodenitis, and depression, suggesting the involvement of multiple biological mechanisms in endometriosis. The assessment of causality with MR has revealed several potential causes (e.g. depression) and outcomes (e.g. ovarian cancer and uterine fibroids) of a genetic predisposition to endometriosis; however, interpretation of these results requires consideration of potential violations of the MR assumptions.

WIDER IMPLICATIONS

Genomic studies have demonstrated that there is a molecular basis for the co-occurrence of endometriosis with other traits. Dissection of this overlap has identified shared genes and pathways, which provide insight into the biology of endometriosis. Thoughtful MR studies are necessary to ascertain causality of the comorbidities of endometriosis. Given the significant diagnostic delay of endometriosis of 7-11 years, determining risk factors is necessary to aid diagnosis and reduce the disease burden. Identification of traits for which endometriosis is a risk factor is important for holistic treatment and counselling of the patient. The use of genomic data to disentangle the overlap of endometriosis with other traits has provided insights into the aetiology of endometriosis.

Genomic characterisation of the overlap of endometriosis with 76 comorbidities identifies pleiotropic and causal mechanisms underlying disease risk

Comorbid conditions can be driven by underlying pleiotropic and causal mechanisms that can provide insights into shared molecular and biological processes contributing to disease risk. Endometriosis is a chronic condition affecting one in nine women of reproductive age and poses many challenges including lengthy diagnostic delays and limited treatment efficacy owing to poor understanding of disease aetiology. To shed light on the underlying biological mechanisms and to identify potential risk factors, we examine the epidemiological and genomic relationship between endometriosis and its comorbidities. In the UK Biobank 292 ICD10 codes were epidemiologically correlated with endometriosis diagnosis, including gynaecological, immune, infection, pain, psychiatric, cancer, gastrointestinal, urinary, bone and cardiovascular traits. A subset of the identified comorbidities (n = 76) underwent follow-up genetic analysis. Whilst Mendelian randomisation suggested causality was not responsible for most comorbid relationships, 22 traits were genetically correlated with endometriosis, including pain, gynaecological and gastrointestinal traits, suggestive of a shared genetic background. Pleiotropic genetic variants and genes were identified using gene-based and colocalisation analysis. Shared genetic risk factors and potential target genes suggest a diverse collection of biological systems are involved in these comorbid relationships including coagulation factors, development of the female reproductive tract and cell proliferation. These findings highlight the diversity of traits with epidemiological and genomic overlap with endometriosis and implicate a key role for pleiotropy in the comorbid relationships.

Understanding what patients and physicians need to improve their decision-making about antenatal corticosteroids in late preterm gestation: a qualitative framework analysis

BACKGROUND

It is unclear whether the benefits of administration of antenatal corticosteroids in late preterm gestation outweigh its harms. We sought to understand whether patients and physicians need increased support to decide whether to administer antenatal corticosteroids in late preterm gestation, and their informational needs and preferences for decision-making roles related to this intervention; we also wanted to know if creation of a decision-support tool would be useful.

METHODS

We conducted individual, semistructured interviews with pregnant people, obstetricians and pediatricians in Vancouver, Canada, in 2019. Using a qualitative framework analysis method, we coded, charted and interpreted interview transcripts into categories that formed an analytical framework.

RESULTS

We included 20 pregnant participants, 10 obstetricians and 10 pediatricians. We organized codes into the following categories: informational needs to decide whether to administer antenatal corticosteroids; preferences for decision-making roles regarding this treatment; the need for support to make this treatment decision; and the preferred format and content of a decision-support tool. Pregnant participants wanted to be involved in decision-making about antenatal corticosteroids in late preterm gestation. They wanted information on the medication, respiratory distress, hypoglycemia, parent-neonate bonding and long-term neurodevelopment. There was variation in physician counselling practices, and in how patients and physicians perceived the balance of treatment harms and benefits. Responses suggested a decision-support tool may be useful. Participants desired clear descriptions of risk magnitude and uncertainty.

INTERPRETATION

Pregnant people and physicians would likely benefit from increased support to consider the harms and benefits of antenatal corticosteroids in late preterm gestation. Creation of a decision-support tool may be useful.

Women's reproductive traits and cerebral small-vessel disease: A two-sample Mendelian randomization study

Background

Observational studies have suggested that women's reproductive factors (age at menarche (AAM), age at first birth (AFB), age at first sexual intercourse (AFS), age at natural menopause (ANM), and pregnancy loss) may influence the risk of cerebral small-vessel disease (CSVD) although the causality remains unclear.

Methods

We conducted two-sample univariable Mendelian randomization (UVMR) and multivariable MR (MVMR) to simultaneously investigate the causal relationships between five women's reproductive traits and CSVD clinical [intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) by location or small-vessel ischemic stroke (SVS)] and subclinical measures [white matter hyperintensities (WMH), fractional anisotropy (FA), and mean diffusivity (MD)], utilizing data from large-scale genome-wide association studies of European ancestry. For both UVMR and MVMR, the inverse-variance-weighted (IVW) estimates were reported as the main results. The MR-Egger, weighted median, generalized summary-data-based MR (GSMR), and MR-pleiotropy residual sum and outlier (MR-PRESSO) methods for UVMR and MVMR-Egger, and the MVMR-robust methods for MVMR were used as sensitivity analyses. Sex-combined instruments for AFS and AFB were used to assess the impact of sex instrumental heterogeneity. Positive control analysis was implemented to measure the efficacy of selected genetic instruments.

Results

We found no evidence to support causal associations between genetic liability for women's reproductive factors and the risk of CSVD in UVMR (all P-values &gt; 0.05). Using MVMR, the results were consistent with the findings of UVMR after accounting for body mass index and educational attainment (all P-values &gt; 0.05). Sensitivity analyses also provided consistent results. The putative positive causality was observed between AAM, ANM, and ovarian cancer, ensuring the efficacy of selected genetic instruments.

Conclusion

Our findings do not convincingly support a causal effect of women's reproductive factors on CSVD. Future studies are warranted to investigate specific estrogen-related physiological changes in women, which may inform current researchers on the causal mechanisms involved in cerebral small-vessel disease progression.

A Guide for Selection of Genetic Instruments in Mendelian Randomization Studies of Type 2 Diabetes and HbA1c: Toward an Integrated Approach

In this study we examine the instrument selection strategies currently used throughout the type 2 diabetes and HbA1c Mendelian randomization (MR) literature. We then argue for a more integrated and thorough approach, providing a framework to do this in the context of HbA1c and diabetes. We conducted a literature search for MR studies that have instrumented diabetes and/or HbA1c. We also used data from the UK Biobank (UKB) (N = 349,326) to calculate instrument strength metrics that are key in MR studies (the F statistic for average strength and R2 for total strength) with two different methods ("individual-level data regression" and Cragg-Donald formula). We used a 157-single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) instrument for diabetes and a 51-SNP instrument (with partition into glycemic and erythrocytic as well) for HbA1c. Our literature search yielded 48 studies for diabetes and 22 for HbA1c. Our UKB empirical examples showed that irrespective of the method used to calculate metrics of strength and whether the instrument was the main one or included partition by function, the HbA1c genetic instrument is strong in terms of both average and total strength. For diabetes, a 157-SNP instrument was shown to have good average strength and total strength, but these were both substantially lesser than those of the HbA1c instrument. We provide a careful set of five recommendations to researchers who wish to genetically instrument type 2 diabetes and/or HbA1c. In MR studies of glycemia, investigators should take a more integrated approach when selecting genetic instruments, and we give specific guidance on how to do this.

Serum 25-Hydroxyvitamin D and Cancer Risk: A Systematic Review of Mendelian Randomization Studies

Epidemiological studies suggest that higher serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D is associated with lower risk for several cancers, including breast, prostate, colorectal, and lung cancers. To mitigate confounding, genetic instrumental variables (IVs) have been used to estimate causal associations between 25-hydroxivtamin D and cancer risk via Mendelian randomization (MR). We provide a systematic review of 31 MR studies concerning 25-hydroxyvitamin D and cancer incidence and mortality identified from biomedical databases. MR analyses were conducted almost exclusively in European-ancestry populations and identified no statistically significant associations between higher genetically predicted 25-hydroxyvitamin D and lower risk for total cancer or colorectal, breast, prostate, lung, or pancreatic cancers. In recent studies including ≥80 genetic IVs for 25-hydroxyvitamin D, null associations were reported for total cancer (odds ratio [95% confidence interval] per 1-standard deviation increase: 0.98 [0.93-1.04]), breast (1.00 [0.98-1.02]), colorectal (0.97 [0.88-1.07]), prostate (0.99 [0.98-1.01]), and lung cancer (1.00 [0.93-1.03]). A protective association was observed for ovarian cancer in the Ovarian Cancer Association Consortium (0.78 [0.63-0.96] per 20 nmol/L increase, p-trend = 0.03), but not in the UK Biobank (1.10 [0.80-1.51]). Null associations were reported for other tumor sites (bladder, endometrium, uterus, esophagus, oral cavity and pharynx, kidney, liver, thyroid, or neural cells). An inconsistent protective association for cancer-specific mortality was also observed. Results from MR analyses do not support causal associations between 25-hydroxyvitamin D and risk for cancer incidence or mortality. Studies including non-White populations may be valuable to understand low 25-hydroxyvitamin D as a modifiable risk factor in populations with a higher risk of common cancers, including African ancestry individuals.

Constipation and cardiovascular disease: A two-sample Mendelian randomization analysis

Background

Although several observational studies have suggested positive associations between constipation and cardiovascular disease (CVD), a solid causal association has not been demonstrated. Therefore, a two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) study was performed to investigate the causal associations between constipation and CVD.

Methods

Independent genetic variants strongly associated with constipation were obtained from the FinnGen consortium. Summary-level data for CVD, including coronary artery disease (CAD), myocardial infarction (MI), heart failure (HF), atrial fibrillation (AF), stroke, and its subtypes, were collected from a few extensive genome-wide association studies (GWASs). The inverse-variance weighted methods, weighted median, and MR-Egger were used for the MR estimates. The Cochran's Q test, MR-Egger intercept tests, MR-PRESSO, MR Steiger test, leave-one-out analyses, and funnel plot were used in the sensitivity analysis.

Results

Genetically determined constipation was suggestively associated with AF risk (odds ratio (OR), 1.07; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.01, 1.14; p = 0.016). Constipation and other CVD do not appear to be causally related. It was demonstrated that the results were robust through sensitivity analyses.

Conclusion

This MR study demonstrated suggestive causal associations of constipation on AF, despite no associations achieving a significance value after multiple testing corrections. There was no evidence of an association between constipation and the risk of CAD, MI, HF, stroke, or stroke subtypes.

Causal effects of hypertension on risk of erectile dysfunction: A two-sample Mendelian randomization study

Background

Erection dysfunction has been associated with hypertension in several epidemiological and observational studies. But the causal association between hypertension and erectile dysfunction requires further investigation.

Methods

A two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) was conducted to analyze the causal effect of hypertension on risk of erection dysfunction. Large-scale publicly available genome-wide association study data were used to estimate the putative causality between hypertension and risk of erectile dysfunction. A total of 67 independent single nucleotide polymorphisms were selected as instrumental variables. Inverse-variant weighted, maximum likelihood, weighted median, penalized weighted median, and MR-PRESSO approaches were utilized in MR analyses. Heterogeneity test, horizontal pleiotropy test, and leave-one-out method were used to prove the stability of the results.

Results

In total, all P values were less than 0.05, demonstrating a positive causal link between hypertension and risk of erectile dysfunction in multiple MR methods, such as inverse-variant weighted (random and fixed effect) (OR 3.8315, 95% CI 2.3004-6.3817, P = 0.0085), maximum likelihood (OR 3.8877, 95% CI 2.3224-6.5081, P = 0.0085), weighted median (OR 4.9720, 95% CI 2.3645-10.4550, P = 0.0309), penalized weighted median (OR 4.9760, 95% CI 2.3201-10.6721, P = 0.0355), and MR-PRESSO (OR 3.6185, 95% CI 2.2387-5.8488, P = 0.0092). Sensitivity analysis detected no evidence of heterogeneity, pleiotropy, or outlier single nucleotide polymorphisms.

Conclusion

The study revealed a positive causal link between the presence of hypertension and the risk of erectile dysfunction. More attention should be paid during the management of hypertension with the purpose of preventing erectile dysfunction or improving erectile function.

Endometriosis-Associated Ovarian Cancer: What Are the Implications for Women with Intact Endometrioma Planning for a Future Pregnancy? A Reproductive Clinical Outlook

Endometriosis is a chronic, universal, and prevalent disease estimated to affect up to 1:10 women of reproductive age. Endometriosis-associated ovarian cancer (EAOC) developing at reproductive age is challenging and of concern for women and practitioners alike. This outlook review focuses on the occurrence of EAOC, especially in infertile women or those planning for a future pregnancy, from the perspective of a reproductive endocrinologist, based on recent evidence. Contemporary pathogenesis, genetic profiles, evidence of causality, clinical diagnosis, prognosis, and up-to-date management are discussed. EAOC seems to be merely associated with endometrioma and includes clear-cell and endometrioid ovarian carcinoma. Although endometrioma is frequently found in women of reproductive age (up to 1:18 of women), EAOC appears to be a rare occurrence. These women are of more advanced reproductive age, nulliparous, and hyperestrogenic, with a large-sized unilateral endometrioma (>9 cm) containing solid components and papillary projections. Each case suspected to have EAOC has specific characteristics, and a multidisciplinary discussion and appropriate patient counseling should be conducted to reach an optimal therapeutic plan. Since most of these cases are diagnosed at an early stage with a favorable prognosis, fertility-sparing surgery may be feasible. The pros and cons of fertility preservation techniques should be discussed.

Vascular endothelial growth factor and the risk of venous thromboembolism: a genetic correlation and two-sample Mendelian randomization study

Background

The relationship between vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) and the risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE) has always been one of the concerns in the medical field. However, the causal inferences from published observational studies on this issue may be affected by confounders or reverse causality. We performed a two-sample bidirectional Mendelian randomization (MR) to infer the associations between VEGF and VTE.

Methods

Summary statistics from genome-wide association studies (GWAS) for VEGF and VTE were obtained from published meta-analysis studies and the FinnGen consortium, respectively. Independent genetic variables significantly associated with exposure were selected as instrumental variables. Linkage disequilibrium score regression (LDSC) and five robust MR analytical approaches were conducted to estimate the genetic correlations and causal inference. The MR-Egger intercept, Cochran’s Q, and MR pleiotropy residual sum and outlier (MR-PRESSO) were performed to evaluate the horizontal pleiotropy, heterogeneities, and stability of these genetic variants on outcomes. Notably, replication analyses were performed using different subgroups of VTE.

Results

LDSC failed to identify genetic correlations between VEGF and VTE. Based on 9 SNPs, the circulating VEGF level was positively related to the risk of VTE using inverse variance weighting (IVW) method (odds ratio (OR) = 1.064, 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.009–1.122). Reverse MR analyses showed that genetic liability for VTE was not associated with increased VEGF level (β = -0.021, 95% CI, -0.087-0.045). Pleiotropy-robust methods indicated no bias in any estimates.

Conclusions

Our findings failed to detect coheritability between VEGF and VTE. The suggestive positive effect of the higher VEGF level on the VTE risk may have clinical implications, suggesting that VEGF as a possible predictor and therapeutic target for VTE prevention need to be further warranted.

Inflammatory bowel disease and cardiovascular disease: A two-sample Mendelian randomization analysis

Background

Although epidemiological studies have shown a positive relationship between inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) and risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) outcomes, a solid causal relationship has not been established. Thus, a two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) study was conducted to explore the potential causal effect between IBD and CVD outcomes.

Methods

We performed a two-sample MR analysis to analyze the causal effect of the IBD on CVD outcome by using summary-level genome-wide association studies of European descent. The inverse-variance weighted (IVW) method was used as the main MR analysis, with complementary analyses of MR Egger, maximum likelihood, weighted median, penalized weighted media, simple mode, weighted mode, and MR-PRESSO methods. Multiple sensitivity analyses were used to evaluate the robustness of our results.

Results

All P-values were greater than 0.05 in the IVW method, showing no evidence of a causal association between circulating IBD and CVD. Similar results were observed by using other MR methods. No evidence of heterogeneity, pleiotropy, or outlier single-nucleotide polymorphisms was detected. Sensitivity analyses demonstrated the robustness of the results.

Conclusion

The findings of this study provided no evidence to support that IBD has a large effect on risk of CVD outcomes, which is in contrast to many previous observational reports. Further studies are needed to determine the potential mechanism of association identified in observational studies.

Identifying potential causal effects of age at menopause: a Mendelian randomization phenome-wide association study

Age at natural menopause (ANM) is associated with a range of health-related traits, including bone health, female reproductive cancers, and cardiometabolic health. Our objective was to conduct a Mendelian randomization phenome-wide association study (MR-pheWAS) of ANM. We conducted a hypothesis-free analysis of the genetic risk score (GRS) for ANM with 18,961 health-related traits among 181,279 women in UK Biobank. We also stratified the GRS according to the involvement of SNPs in DNA damage response. We sought to replicate our findings in independent cohorts. We conducted a negative control MR-pheWAS among men. Among women, we identified potential effects of ANM on 221 traits (1.17% of all traits) at a false discovery rate (P value ≤ 5.83 × 10^-4), and 91 (0.48%) potential effects when using Bonferroni threshold (P value ≤ 2.64 × 10^-6). Our findings included 55 traits directly related to ANM (e.g. hormone replacement therapy, gynaecological conditions and menstrual conditions), and liver function, kidney function, lung function, blood-cell composition, breast cancer and bone and cardiometabolic health. Replication analyses confirmed that younger ANM was associated with HbA1c (adjusted mean difference 0.003 mmol/mol; 95% CI 0.001, 0.006 per year decrease in ANM), breast cancer (adjusted OR 0.96; 95% CI 0.95, 0.98), and bone-mineral density (adjusted mean difference - 0.05; 95% CI - 0.07, - 0.03 for lumbar spine). In men, 30 traits were associated with the GRS at a false discovery rate (P value ≤ 5.49 × 10^-6), and 11 potential effects when using Bonferroni threshold (P value ≤ 2.75 × 10^-6). In conclusion, our results suggest that younger ANM has potential causal effects on a range of health-related traits.

Long-term health outcomes in young women with polycystic ovary syndrome: A narrative review

Polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) has long been recognized as a common disorder in young women leading to reproductive and cutaneous sequelae. However, the associated health risks are now known to extend beyond these familiar manifestations to a range of longer-term comorbidities. Here we review the evidence for an association of PCOS with adverse long-term health outcomes, discussing the pathophysiological mechanisms involved in addition to opportunities for therapeutic intervention. Cross-sectional and longitudinal studies point to an increased risk of type 2 diabetes, hypertension and dyslipidaemia, with recent data confirming that these translate to an increased risk of cardiovascular events independently of obesity. Obstructive sleep apnoea, nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and endometrial cancer are also more prevalent, while mental health disorders, notably anxiety and depression, are common but under-appreciated associations. Uncertainties remain as to whether these risks are apparent in all patients with PCOS or are confined to particular subtypes, whether risks persist post-menopausally and how risk may be affected by ethnicity. Further work is also needed in establishing if systematic screening and targeted intervention can lead to improved outcomes. Until such data are available, clinicians managing women with PCOS should counsel patients on long-term health risks and invest in strategies that limit progression to metabolic and non-metabolic morbidities.

Etiopathogenesis of ovarian cancer. An inflamm-aging entity?

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Ovarian cancer (OvCa) is a multifactorial disease.

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Several factors are involved in age-related increases in carcinogenesis.

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Exposure to inflammatory mediators contributes to increased cell division and genetic and epigenetic changes.

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We discuss the current carcinogenic hypotheses, sites of origin, and etiological factors of OvCa.

Ovarian cancer is one of the most common gynecologic cancers and has the highest mortality rate. The risk/protective factors of ovarian cancer suggest that its etiology is multifactorial. Several factors are involved in age-related increases in carcinogenesis, including the accumulation of senescent cells, inflammaging (a chronic inflammatory state that persists in the elderly), and immunosenescence (aging of the immune system) changes associated with poor immune surveillance. At sites of inflammation, exposure to high levels of inflammatory mediators, such as reactive oxygen species, cytokines, prostaglandins, and growth factors, contributes to increased cell division and genetic and epigenetic changes. These exposure-induced changes promote excessive cell proliferation, increased survival, malignant transformation, and cancer development. Furthermore, the proinflammatory tumor microenvironment contributes to ovarian cancer metastasis and chemoresistance.

This narrative review of the literature was carried out to delineate the possible role of inflammaging in the etiopathogenesis of ovarian cancer development. We discuss the current carcinogenic hypotheses, sites of origin, and etiological factors of ovarian cancer. Treatment of inflammation may represent an attractive strategy for both the prevention and therapy of ovarian cancer.

Risk Factors for Ovarian Cancer: An Umbrella Review of the Literature

Several non-genetic factors have been associated with ovarian cancer incidence or mortality. To evaluate the strength and validity of the evidence we conducted an umbrella review of the literature that included systematic reviews/meta-analyses that evaluated the link between non-genetic risk factors and ovarian cancer incidence and mortality. We searched PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews and performed a manual screening of references. Evidence was graded into strong, highly suggestive, suggestive or weak based on statistical significance of the random effects summary estimate and the largest study in a meta-analysis, the number of cases, between-study heterogeneity, 95% prediction intervals, small study effects, and presence of excess significance bias. We identified 212 meta-analyses, investigating 55 non-genetic risk factors for ovarian cancer. Risk factors were grouped in eight broad categories: anthropometric indices, dietary intake, physical activity, pre-existing medical conditions, past drug history, biochemical markers, past gynaecological history and smoking. Of the 174 meta-analyses of cohort studies assessing 44 factors, six associations were graded with strong evidence. Greater height (RR per 10 cm 1.16, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.11-1.20), body mass index (BMI) (RR ≥ 30 kg/m2 versus normal 1.27, 95% CI 1.17-1.38) and three exposures of varying preparations and usage related to hormone replacement therapy (HRT) use increased the risk of developing ovarian cancer. Use of oral contraceptive pill reduced the risk (RR 0.74, 95% CI 0.69-0.80). Refining the significance of genuine risk factors for the development of ovarian cancer may potentially increase awareness in women at risk, aid prevention and early detection.

Applying Mendelian randomization to appraise causality in relationships between nutrition and cancer

Dietary factors are assumed to play an important role in cancer risk, apparent in consensus recommendations for cancer prevention that promote nutritional changes. However, the evidence in this field has been generated predominantly through observational studies, which may result in biased effect estimates because of confounding, exposure misclassification, and reverse causality. With major geographical differences and rapid changes in cancer incidence over time, it is crucial to establish which of the observational associations reflect causality and to identify novel risk factors as these may be modified to prevent the onset of cancer and reduce its progression. Mendelian randomization (MR) uses the special properties of germline genetic variation to strengthen causal inference regarding potentially modifiable exposures and disease risk. MR can be implemented through instrumental variable (IV) analysis and, when robustly performed, is generally less prone to confounding, reverse causation and measurement error than conventional observational methods and has different sources of bias (discussed in detail below). It is increasingly used to facilitate causal inference in epidemiology and provides an opportunity to explore the effects of nutritional exposures on cancer incidence and progression in a cost-effective and timely manner. Here, we introduce the concept of MR and discuss its current application in understanding the impact of nutritional factors (e.g., any measure of diet and nutritional intake, circulating biomarkers, patterns, preference or behaviour) on cancer aetiology and, thus, opportunities for MR to contribute to the development of nutritional recommendations and policies for cancer prevention. We provide applied examples of MR studies examining the role of nutritional factors in cancer to illustrate how this method can be used to help prioritise or deprioritise the evaluation of specific nutritional factors as intervention targets in randomised controlled trials. We describe possible biases when using MR, and methodological developments aimed at investigating and potentially overcoming these biases when present. Lastly, we consider the use of MR in identifying causally relevant nutritional risk factors for various cancers in different regions across the world, given notable geographical differences in some cancers. We also discuss how MR results could be translated into further research and policy. We conclude that findings from MR studies, which corroborate those from other well-conducted studies with different and orthogonal biases, are poised to substantially improve our understanding of nutritional influences on cancer. For such corroboration, there is a requirement for an interdisciplinary and collaborative approach to investigate risk factors for cancer incidence and progression.

A multi-level investigation of the genetic relationship between endometriosis and ovarian cancer histotypes

Endometriosis is associated with increased risk of epithelial ovarian cancers (EOCs). Using data from large endometriosis and EOC genome-wide association meta-analyses, we estimate the genetic correlation and evaluate the causal relationship between genetic liability to endometriosis and EOC histotypes, and identify shared susceptibility loci. We estimate a significant genetic correlation (r_g) between endometriosis and clear cell (r_g = 0.71), endometrioid (r_g = 0.48), and high-grade serous (r_g = 0.19) ovarian cancer, associations supported by Mendelian randomization analyses. Bivariate meta-analysis identified 28 loci associated with both endometriosis and EOC, including 19 with evidence for a shared underlying association signal. Differences in the shared risk suggest different underlying pathways may contribute to the relationship between endometriosis and the different histotypes. Functional annotation using transcriptomic and epigenomic profiles of relevant tissues/cells highlights several target genes. This comprehensive analysis reveals profound genetic overlap between endometriosis and EOC histotypes with valuable genomic targets for understanding the biological mechanisms linking the diseases.

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Endometriosis is genetically correlated with CCOC, ENOC, and HGSOC

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Genetic liability to endometriosis confers risk of these EOC histotypes

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Profound colocalization of genetic associations at endometriosis and EOC risk loci

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Functional annotation highlights shared target genes elucidating the genetic link

Causes and Consequences of Polycystic Ovary Syndrome: Insights From Mendelian Randomization

CONTEXT

Although polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) is the most common endocrinopathy affecting women of reproductive age, risk factors that may cause the syndrome are poorly understood. Based on epidemiologic studies, PCOS is thought to cause several adverse outcomes such as cardiovascular disease; however, the common presence of comorbidities such as obesity may be responsible for such associations, rather than PCOS in and of itself. To overcome the limitations of observational studies, investigators have employed Mendelian randomization (MR), which uses genetic variants to interrogate causality between exposures and outcomes.

EVIDENCE ACQUISITION

To clarify causes and consequences of PCOS, this review will describe MR studies involving PCOS, both as an exposure and as an outcome. The literature was searched using the terms "Mendelian randomization," "polycystic ovary syndrome," "polycystic ovarian syndrome," and "PCOS" (to May 2021).

EVIDENCE SYNTHESIS

MR studies have suggested that obesity, testosterone levels, fasting insulin, serum sex hormone-binding globulin concentrations, menopause timing, male-pattern balding, and depression may play a causal role in PCOS. In turn, PCOS may increase the risk of estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer, decrease the risk of endometrioid ovarian cancer, and have no direct causal effect on type 2 diabetes, coronary heart disease, or stroke.

CONCLUSIONS

The accumulation of genome-wide association studies in PCOS has enabled multiple MR analyses identifying factors that may cause PCOS or be caused by PCOS. This knowledge will be critical to future development of measures to prevent PCOS in girls at risk as well as prevent complications in those who have PCOS.

Systematic review of Mendelian randomization studies on risk of cancer

BACKGROUND

We aimed to map and describe the current state of Mendelian randomization (MR) literature on cancer risk and to identify associations supported by robust evidence.

METHODS

We searched PubMed and Scopus up to 06/10/2020 for MR studies investigating the association of any genetically predicted risk factor with cancer risk. We categorized the reported associations based on a priori designed levels of evidence supporting a causal association into four categories, namely robust, probable, suggestive, and insufficient, based on the significance and concordance of the main MR analysis results and at least one of the MR-Egger, weighed median, MRPRESSO, and multivariable MR analyses. Associations not presenting any of the aforementioned sensitivity analyses were not graded.

RESULTS

We included 190 publications reporting on 4667 MR analyses. Most analyses (3200; 68.6%) were not accompanied by any of the assessed sensitivity analyses. Of the 1467 evaluable analyses, 87 (5.9%) were supported by robust, 275 (18.7%) by probable, and 89 (6.1%) by suggestive evidence. The most prominent robust associations were observed for anthropometric indices with risk of breast, kidney, and endometrial cancers; circulating telomere length with risk of kidney, lung, osteosarcoma, skin, thyroid, and hematological cancers; sex steroid hormones and risk of breast and endometrial cancer; and lipids with risk of breast, endometrial, and ovarian cancer.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite the large amount of research on genetically predicted risk factors for cancer risk, limited associations are supported by robust evidence for causality. Most associations did not present a MR sensitivity analysis and were thus non-evaluable. Future research should focus on more thorough assessment of sensitivity MR analyses and on more transparent reporting.

Serum Estradiol and 20 Site-Specific Cancers in Women: Mendelian Randomization Study

CONTEXT

The causal role of endogenous estradiol in cancers other than breast and endometrial cancer remains unclear.

OBJECTIVE

This Mendelian randomization study assessed the causal associations of endogenous 17β-estradiol (E2), the most potent estrogen, with cancer risk in women.

METHODS

As primary genetic instrument, we used a genetic variant in the CYP19A1 gene that is strongly associated with serum E2 levels. Summary statistics genetic data for the association of the E2 variant with breast, endometrial, and ovarian cancer were obtained from large-scale consortia. We additionally estimated the associations of the E2 variant with any and 20 site-specific cancers in 198 825 women of European descent in UK Biobank. Odds ratios (OR) of cancer per 0.01 unit increase in log-transformed serum E2 levels in pmol/L were estimated using the Wald ratio.

RESULTS

Genetic predisposition to higher serum E2 levels was associated with increased risk of estrogen receptor (ER)-positive breast cancer (OR 1.02; 95% CI, 1.01-1.03; P = 2.5 × 10-3), endometrial cancer overall (OR 1.09; 95% CI, 1.06-1.11; P = 7.3 × 10-13), and endometrial cancer of the endometrioid histology subtype (OR 1.10; 95% CI, 1.07-1.13; P = 2.1 × 10-11). There were suggestive associations with breast cancer overall (OR 1.01; 95% CI, 1.00-1.02; P = 0.02), ovarian cancer of the endometrioid subtype (OR 1.05; 95% CI, 1.01-1.10; P = 0.02), and stomach cancer (OR 1.12; 95% CI, 1.00-1.26; P = 0.05), but no significant association with other cancers.

CONCLUSION

This study supports a role of E2 in the development of ER-positive breast cancer and endometrioid endometrial cancer but found no strong association with other cancers in women.

Atrial fibrillation detected at screening is not a benign condition: outcomes in screen-detected versus clinically detected atrial fibrillation. Results from the Prevention of Renal and Vascular End-stage Disease (PREVEND) study

AIMS

It is unknown whether screen-detected atrial fibrillation (AF) carries cardiovascular risks similar to clinically detected AF. We aimed to compare clinical outcomes between individuals with screen-detected and clinically detected incident AF.

METHODS

We studied 8265 participants (age 49 ± 13 years, 50% women) without prevalent AF from the community-based Prevention of Renal and Vascular End-stage Disease (PREVEND) study. By design of the PREVEND study, 70% of participants had a urinary albumin concentration >10 mg/L. Participants underwent 12-lead ECG screening at baseline and every 3 years. AF was considered screen-detected when first diagnosed during a study visit and clinically detected when first diagnosed during a hospital visit. We analysed data from the baseline visit (1997-1998) up to the third follow-up visit (2008). We used Cox regression with screen-detected and clinically detected AF as time-varying covariates to study the association of screen-detected and clinically detected AF with all-cause mortality, incident heart failure (HF) and vascular events.

RESULTS

During a follow-up of 9.8 ± 2.3 years, 265 participants (3.2%) developed incident AF, of whom 60 (23%) had screen-detected AF. The majority of baseline characteristics were comparable between individuals with screen-detected and clinically detected AF. Unadjusted, both screen-detected and clinically detected AF were strongly associated with mortality, incident HF, and vascular events. After multivariable adjustment, screen-detected and clinically detected AF remained significantly associated with mortality (HR 2.21 (95% CI 1.09 to 4.47) vs 2.95 (2.18 to 4.00), p for difference=0.447) and incident HF (4.90 (2.28 to 10.57) vs 3.98 (2.49 to 6.34), p for difference=0.635). After adjustment, screen-detected AF was not significantly associated with vascular events, whereas clinically detected AF was (1.12 (0.46 to 2.71) vs 1.92 (1.21 to 3.06), p for difference=0.283).

CONCLUSION

Screen-detected incident AF was associated with an increased risk of adverse outcomes, especially all-cause mortality and incident HF. The risk of outcomes was not significantly different between screen-detected AF and clinically detected AF.

Identifying causality, genetic correlation, priority and pathways of large-scale complex exposures of breast and ovarian cancers

BACKGROUND

Genetic correlations, causalities and pathways between large-scale complex exposures and ovarian and breast cancers need systematic exploration.

METHODS

Mendelian randomisation (MR) and genetic correlation (GC) were used to identify causal biomarkers from 95 cancer-related exposures for risk of breast cancer [BC: oestrogen receptor-positive (ER + BC) and oestrogen receptor-negative (ER - BC) subtypes] and ovarian cancer [OC: high-grade serous (HGSOC), low-grade serous, invasive mucinous (IMOC), endometrioid (EOC) and clear cell (CCOC) subtypes].

RESULTS

Of 31 identified robust risk factors, 16 were new causal biomarkers for BC and OC. Body mass index (BMI), body fat mass (BFM), comparative body size at age 10 (CBS-10), waist circumference (WC) and education attainment were shared risk factors for overall BC and OC. Childhood obesity, BMI, CBS-10, WC, schizophrenia and age at menopause were significantly associated with ER + BC and ER - BC. Omega-6:omega-3 fatty acids, body fat-free mass and basal metabolic rate were positively associated with CCOC and EOC; BFM, linoleic acid, omega-6 fatty acids, CBS-10 and birth weight were significantly associated with IMOC; and body fat percentage, BFM and adiponectin were significantly associated with HGSOC. Both GC and MR identified 13 shared factors. Factors were stratified into five priority levels, and visual causal networks were constructed for future interventions.

CONCLUSIONS

With analysis of large-scale exposures for breast and ovarian cancers, causalities, genetic correlations, shared or specific factors, risk factor priority and causal pathways and networks were identified.

Shared Genetics Between Age at Menopause, Early Menopause, POI and Other Traits

Reproductive ageing leading to menopause is characterized by depletion of follicles and its regulating mechanisms are only partly understood. Early age at menopause and premature ovarian insufficiency (POI) are associated with several other traits such as cardiovascular disease, dyslipidemia, osteoporosis and diabetes. In large cohorts of Northern European women hundreds of Single Nucleotide Polymorphisms (SNPs) have been identified to be associated with age at menopause. These SNPs are located in genes enriched for immune and mitochondrial function as well as DNA repair and maintenance processes. Genetic predisposition to earlier menopause might also increase the risk of other associated traits. Increased risk for cardiovascular disease in women has been associated with age at menopause lowering SNPs. Pleiotropy between early age at menopause and increased mortality from coronary artery disease has been observed, implicating that genetic variants affecting age at menopause also affect the risk for coronary deaths. This review will discuss the shared genetics of age at menopause with other traits. Mendelian Randomization studies implicate causal genetic association between age at menopause and age at menarche, breast cancer, ovarian cancer, BMD and type 2 diabetes. Although the shared biological pathways remain to be determined, mechanisms that regulate duration of estrogen exposure remain an important focus.

Using multiple Mendelian randomization approaches and genetic correlations to understand obesity, urate, and gout

Observational studies suggest relationships between obesity, urate, and gout but are possibly confounded. We assessed whether genetically determined obesity, higher urate (and related traits), and gout were causal using multiple Mendelian randomization (MR) approaches and linkage disequilibrium score regression for genetic correlations (rg). For data, we used genome-wide association study summary statistics available through MR-Base. We observed that obesity increased urate (beta = 0.127; 95% CI = 0.098, 0.157; P-value = 1.2E-17; rg = 0.25 [P-value = 0.001]) and triglycerides (beta = 0.082; 95% CI = 0.065, 0.099; P-value = 1.2E-21; rg = 0.23 [P-value = 8.8E-12]) and decreased high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL) (beta = - 0.083; 95% CI = - 0.101, - 0.065; P-value = 2.5E-19; rg = - 0.28; [P-value = 5.2E-24]). Higher triglycerides increased urate (beta = 0.198; 95% CI = 0.146, 0.251; P-value = 8.9E-14; rg = 0.29 [P-value = 0.001]) and higher HDL decreased urate (beta = - 0.109; 95% CI = - 0.148, - 0.071; P-value = 2.7E- 08; rg = - 0.21 [P-value = 9.8E-05]). Higher urate (OR = 1.030; 95% CI = 1.028, 1.032; P-value = 1.1E-130; rg = 0.89 [P-value = 1.7E-55]) and obesity caused gout (OR = 1.003; 95% CI = 1.001, 1.004; P-value = 1.3E-04; rg = 0.23 [P-value = 2.7E-05]). Obesity on gout with urate as a mediator revealed all the effect of obesity on gout occurred through urate. Obesity on low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL) was null (beta = -0.011; 95% CI = -0.030, 0.008; P-value = 2.6E-01; rg = 0.03 [P-value = 0.369]). A multivariable MR of obesity, HDL, and triglycerides on urate showed obesity influenced urate when accounting for HDL and triglycerides. Obesity's impact on urate was exacerbated by it decreasing HDL.

Hormone therapy for ovarian cancer: Emphasis on mechanisms and applications (Review)

Ovarian cancer (OC) remains the leading cause of mortality due to gynecological malignancies. Epidemiological studies have demonstrated that steroid hormones released from the hypothalamic-pituitary-ovarian axis can play a role in stimulating or inhibiting OC progression, with gonadotropins, estrogens and androgens promoting OC progression, while gonadotropin-releasing hormone (GnRH) and progesterone may be protective factors in OC. Experimental studies have indicated that hormone receptors are expressed in OC cells and mediate the growth stimulatory or growth inhibitory effects of hormones on these cells. Hormone therapy agents have been evaluated in a number of clinical trials. The majority of these trials were conducted in patients with relapsed or refractory OC with average efficacy and limited side-effects. A better understanding of the mechanisms through which hormones affect cell growth may improve the efficacy of hormone therapy. In the present review article, the role of hormones (GnRH, gonadotropins, androgens, estrogens and progestins) and their receptors in OC tumorigenesis, and hormonal therapy in OC treatment is discussed and summarized.

Model design for non-parametric phylodynamic inference and applications to pathogen surveillance

Inference of effective population size from genomic data can provide unique information about demographic history, and when applied to pathogen genetic data can also provide insights into epidemiological dynamics. The combination of non-parametric models for population dynamics with molecular clock models which relate genetic data to time has enabled phylodynamic inference based on large sets of time-stamped genetic sequence data. The methodology for non-parametric inference of effective population size is well-developed in the Bayesian setting, but here we develop a frequentist approach based on non-parametric latent process models of population size dynamics. We appeal to statistical principles based on out-of-sample prediction accuracy in order to optimize parameters that control shape and smoothness of the population size over time. We demonstrate the flexibility and speed of this approach in a series of simulation experiments, and apply the methodology to reconstruct the previously described waves in the seventh pandemic of cholera. We also estimate the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions for COVID-19 in England using thousands of SARS-CoV-2 sequences. By incorporating a measure of the strength of these interventions over time within the phylodynamic model, we estimate the impact of the first national lockdown in the UK on the epidemic reproduction number.

Review of Mendelian Randomization Studies on Ovarian Cancer

Ovarian cancer (OC) is one of the deadliest gynecological cancers worldwide. Previous observational epidemiological studies have revealed associations between modifiable environmental risk factors and OC risk. However, these studies are prone to confounding, measurement error, and reverse causation, undermining robust causal inference. Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis has been established as a reliable method to investigate the causal relationship between risk factors and diseases using genetic variants to proxy modifiable exposures. Over recent years, MR analysis in OC research has received extensive attention, providing valuable insights into the etiology of OC as well as holding promise for identifying potential therapeutic interventions. This review provides a comprehensive overview of the key principles and assumptions of MR analysis. Published MR studies focusing on the causality between different risk factors and OC risk are summarized, along with comprehensive analysis of the method and its future applications. The results of MR studies on OC showed that higher BMI and height, earlier age at menarche, endometriosis, schizophrenia, and higher circulating β-carotene and circulating zinc levels are associated with an increased risk of OC. In contrast, polycystic ovary syndrome; vitiligo; higher circulating vitamin D, magnesium, and testosterone levels; and HMG-CoA reductase inhibition are associated with a reduced risk of OC. MR analysis presents a2 valuable approach to understanding the causality between different risk factors and OC after full consideration of its inherent assumptions and limitations.

Understanding decisions about antibiotic prescribing in ICU: an application of the Necessity Concerns Framework

BACKGROUND

Antibiotics are extensively prescribed in intensive care units (ICUs), yet little is known about how antibiotic-related decisions are made in this setting. We explored how beliefs, perceptions and contextual factors influenced ICU clinicians' antibiotic prescribing.

METHODS

We conducted 4 focus groups and 34 semistructured interviews with clinicians involved in antibiotic prescribing in four English ICUs. Focus groups explored factors influencing prescribing, whereas interviews examined decision-making processes using two clinical vignettes. Data were analysed using thematic analysis, applying the Necessity Concerns Framework.

RESULTS

Clinicians' antibiotic decisions were influenced by their judgement of the necessity for prescribing/not prescribing, relative to their concerns about potential adverse consequences. Antibiotic necessity perceptions were strongly influenced by beliefs that antibiotics would protect patients from deterioration and themselves from the ethical and legal consequences of undertreatment. Clinicians also reported concerns about prescribing antibiotics. These generally centred on antimicrobial resistance; however, protecting the individual patient was prioritised over these societal concerns. Few participants identified antibiotic toxicity concerns as a key influencer. Clinical uncertainty often complicated balancing antibiotic necessity against concerns. Decisions to start or continue antibiotics often represented 'erring on the side of caution' as a protective response in uncertainty. This approach was reinforced by previous experiences of negative consequences ('being burnt') which motivated prescribing 'just in case' of an infection. Prescribing decisions were also context-dependent, exemplified by a lower perceived threshold to prescribe antibiotics out-of-hours, input from external team members and local prescribing norms.

CONCLUSION

Efforts to improve antibiotic stewardship should consider clinicians' desire to protect with a prescription. Rapid molecular microbiology, with appropriate communication, may diminish clinicians' fears of not prescribing or of using narrower-spectrum antibiotics.

Body composition and risk of heart failure: protocol for a systematic review and meta-analysis

INTRODUCTION

Although there is strong evidence of an association between general adiposity and incidence of heart failure, previous systematic reviews and meta-analyses have not reliably assessed the association of heart failure risk with other aspects of body composition (such as body fat distribution or lean mass), or between body composition and risk of heart failure subtypes. We aim to conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis of prospective studies to address these uncertainties, and inform efforts to prevent and treat heart failure.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

The Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses for Protocols statement was used as a template for this protocol. A systematic search of Medline, Embase and Global Health from database inception to present will be conducted to identify prospective studies reporting on the associations between major measures of body composition (body mass index, waist circumference, waist-hip ratio, total body fat, visceral adiposity tissue and lean mass) and risk of heart failure. Article screening and selection will be performed by two reviewers independently, and disagreements will be adjudicated by consensus or by a third reviewer. Data from eligible articles will be extracted, and article quality will be assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. Relative risks (and 95% CIs) will be pooled in a fixed effect meta-analysis, if there is no prohibitive heterogeneity of studies as assessed using the Cochrane Q statistic and I2 statistic. Subgroup analyses will be by age, sex, ethnicity and heart failure subtypes. Publication bias in the meta-analysis will be assessed using Egger's test and funnel plots.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

This work is secondary analyses on published data and ethical approval is not required. We plan to publish results in an open-access peer-reviewed journal, present it at international and national conferences, and share the findings on social media.

PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER

CRD42020224584.

Mendelian randomization as a tool for causal inference in human nutrition and metabolism

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

The current review describes the fundamentals of the Mendelian randomization framework and its current application for causal inference in human nutrition and metabolism.

RECENT FINDINGS

In the Mendelian randomization framework, genetic variants that are strongly associated with the potential risk factor are used as instrumental variables to determine whether the risk factor is a cause of the disease. Mendelian randomization studies are less susceptible to confounding and reverse causality compared with traditional observational studies. The Mendelian randomization study design has been increasingly used in recent years to appraise the causal associations of various nutritional factors, such as milk and alcohol intake, circulating levels of micronutrients and metabolites, and obesity with risk of different health outcomes. Mendelian randomization studies have confirmed some but challenged other nutrition-disease associations recognized by traditional observational studies. Yet, the causal role of many nutritional factors and intermediate metabolic changes for health and disease remains unresolved.

SUMMARY

Mendelian randomization can be used as a tool to improve causal inference in observational studies assessing the role of nutritional factors and metabolites in health and disease. There is a need for more large-scale genome-wide association studies to identify more genetic variants for nutritional factors that can be utilized for Mendelian randomization analyses.

A comprehensive re-assessment of the association between vitamin D and cancer susceptibility using Mendelian randomization

Previous Mendelian randomization (MR) studies on 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) and cancer have typically adopted a handful of variants and found no relationship between 25(OH)D and cancer; however, issues of horizontal pleiotropy cannot be reliably addressed. Using a larger set of variants associated with 25(OH)D (74 SNPs, up from 6 previously), we perform a unified MR analysis to re-evaluate the relationship between 25(OH)D and ten cancers. Our findings are broadly consistent with previous MR studies indicating no relationship, apart from ovarian cancers (OR 0.89; 95% C.I: 0.82 to 0.96 per 1 SD change in 25(OH)D concentration) and basal cell carcinoma (OR 1.16; 95% C.I.: 1.04 to 1.28). However, after adjustment for pigmentation related variables in a multivariable MR framework, the BCC findings were attenuated. Here we report that lower 25(OH)D is unlikely to be a causal risk factor for most cancers, with our study providing more precise confidence intervals than previously possible.

Characterizing Endocrine Status, Tumor Hypoxia and Immunogenicity for Therapy Success in Epithelial Ovarian Cancer

Epithelial ovarian cancer is predominantly diagnosed at advanced stages which creates significant therapeutic challenges. As a result, the 5-year survival rate is low. Within ovarian cancer, significant tumor heterogeneity exists, and the tumor microenvironment is diverse. Tumor heterogeneity leads to diversity in therapy response within the tumor, which can lead to resistance or recurrence. Advancements in therapy development and tumor profiling have initiated a shift from a "one-size-fits-all" approach towards precision patient-based therapies. Here, we review aspects of ovarian tumor heterogeneity that facilitate tumorigenesis and contribute to treatment failure. These tumor characteristics should be considered when designing novel therapies or characterizing mechanisms of treatment resistance. Individual patients vary considerably in terms of age, fertility and contraceptive use which innately affects the endocrine milieu in the ovary. Similarly, individual tumors differ significantly in their immune profile, which can impact the efficacy of immunotherapies. Tumor size, presence of malignant ascites and vascular density further alters the tumor microenvironment, creating areas of significant hypoxia that is notorious for increasing tumorigenesis, resistance to standard of care therapies and promoting stemness and metastases. We further expand on strategies aimed at improving oxygenation status in tumors to dampen downstream effects of hypoxia and set the stage for better response to therapy.

Using genetics to decipher the link between type 2 diabetes and cancer: shared aetiology or downstream consequence?

Recent developments in the field of genetics have accelerated our understanding of the aetiology of complex diseases. Type 2 diabetes mellitus and cancer are no exception, with large-scale genome-wide association studies (GWAS) facilitating exploration of the underlying pathology. Here, we discuss how genetics studies can be used to investigate the relationship between these complex diseases. Observational epidemiological studies consistently report that people with type 2 diabetes have a higher risk of several types of cancer. Indeed, type 2 diabetes and cancer share many common risk factors, such as obesity, ageing, poor diet and low levels of physical activity. However, questions remain regarding the biological mechanisms that link these two diseases. Large-scale GWAS of type 2 diabetes and cancer allow us to consider the evidence for shared genetic architecture. Several shared susceptibility genes have been identified, yet tissue specificity and direction of effect must be taken into account when considering common genetic aetiology. We also consider how GWAS, and associated techniques such as Mendelian randomisation, allow us to dissect the link between the two diseases and address questions such as 'Does type 2 diabetes cause cancer or is the increased risk observed driven by higher adiposity or another associated metabolic feature?' Graphical abstract.

Circulating sphingomyelins on estrogen receptor-positive and estrogen receptor-negative breast cancer-specific survival

Aim: This study aims to determine whether a causal relationship exists between circulating sphingomyelins and breast cancer-specific survival, since, if one does, sphingomyelins could be studied as a therapeutic target in the management of breast cancer. Patients/materials & methods: Mendelian randomization is used here to investigate whether higher levels of circulating sphingomyelins impact breast cancer-specific survival for estrogen receptor-negative (ER–) and estrogen receptor-positive (ER+) patients. Results: The results suggest a null effect of sphingomyelins for ER– breast cancer-specific survival and a protective effect for ER+ breast cancer-specific survival. Sensitivity analyses implicate low-density lipoprotein cholesterol as a potential confounder. Conclusion: Future studies should replicate and triangulate the present findings with other methods and tease out the roles of sphingomyelins and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol on breast cancer-specific survival.

Can increasing years of schooling reduce type 2 diabetes (T2D)?: Evidence from a Mendelian randomization of T2D and 10 of its risk factors

A focus in recent decades has involved examining the potential causal impact of educational attainment (schooling years) on a variety of disease and life-expectancy outcomes. Numerous studies have broadly revealed a link suggesting that as years of formal schooling increase so too does health and wellbeing; however, it is unclear whether the associations are causal. Here we use Mendelian randomization, an instrumental variables technique, with a two-sample design, to probe whether more years of schooling are causally linked to type 2 diabetes (T2D) and 10 of its attendant risk factors. The results revealed a protective effect of more schooling years against T2D (odds ratio = 0.39; 95% confidence interval: 0.26, 0.58; P = 3.89 × 10-06), which in turn might be partly mediated by more years of schooling being protective against the following: having a father with T2D, being overweight, having higher blood pressure and higher levels of circulating triglycerides, and having lower levels of HDL cholesterol. More schooling years had no effect on risk for gestational diabetes or polycystic ovarian syndrome and was associated with a decreased likelihood of moderate physical activity. These findings imply that strategies to retain adults in higher education may help reduce the risk for a major source of metabolic morbidity and mortality.

A Mendelian randomization study of telomere length and blood-cell traits

Whether telomere attrition reducing proliferative reserve in blood-cell progenitors is causal has important public-health implications. Mendelian randomization (MR) is an analytic technique using germline genetic variants as instrumental variables. If certain assumptions are met, estimates from MR should be free from most environmental sources of confounding and reverse causation. Here, two-sample MR is performed to test whether longer telomeres cause changes to hematological traits. Summary statistics for genetic variants strongly associated with telomere length were extracted from a genome-wide association (GWA) study for telomere length in individuals of European ancestry (n = 9190) and from GWA studies of blood-cell traits, also in those of European ancestry (n ~ 173,000 participants). A standard deviation increase in genetically influenced telomere length increased red blood cell and white blood cell counts, decreased mean corpuscular hemoglobinand mean cell volume, and had no observable impact on mean corpuscular hemoglobin concentration, red cell distribution width, hematocrit, or hemoglobin. Sensitivity tests for pleiotropic distortion were mostly inconsistent with glaring violations to the MR assumptions. Similar to germline mutations in telomere biology genes leading to bone-marrow failure, these data provide evidence that genetically influenced common variation in telomere length impacts hematologic traits in the population.