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Marateb HR, Mansourian M, Koochekian A, Shirzadi M, Zamani S, Mansourian M, Mañanas MA, Kelishadi R. Prevention of Cardiometabolic Syndrome in Children and Adolescents Using Machine Learning and Noninvasive Factors: The CASPIAN-V Study. INFORMATION 2024; 15:564. [DOI: 10.3390/info15090564] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/14/2024] Open
Abstract
Cardiometabolic syndrome (CMS) is a growing concern in children and adolescents, marked by obesity, hypertension, insulin resistance, and dyslipidemia. This study aimed to predict CMS using machine learning based on data from the CASPIAN-V study, which involved 14,226 participants aged 7–18 years, with a CMS prevalence of 82.9%. We applied the XGBoost algorithm to analyze key noninvasive variables, including self-rated health, sunlight exposure, screen time, consanguinity, healthy and unhealthy dietary habits, discretionary salt and sugar consumption, birthweight, and birth order, father and mother education, oral hygiene behavior, and family history of dyslipidemia, obesity, hypertension, and diabetes using five-fold cross-validation. The model achieved high sensitivity (94.7% ± 4.8) and specificity (78.8% ± 13.7), with an area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.867 ± 0.087, indicating strong predictive performance and significantly outperformed triponderal mass index (TMI) (adjusted paired t-test; p < 0.05). The most critical selected modifiable factors were sunlight exposure, screen time, consanguinity, healthy and unhealthy diet, dietary fat type, and discretionary salt consumption. This study emphasizes the clinical importance of early identification of at-risk individuals to implement timely interventions. It offers a promising tool for CMS risk screening. These findings support using predictive analytics in clinical settings to address the rising CMS epidemic in children and adolescents.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hamid Reza Marateb
- Biomedical Engineering Research Centre (CREB), Automatic Control Department (ESAII), Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya-Barcelona Tech (UPC), 08028 Barcelona, Spain
| | - Mahsa Mansourian
- Department of Medical Physics, School of Medicine, Isfahan University of Medical Sciences, Isfahan 81746-73461, Iran
| | - Amirhossein Koochekian
- Child Growth and Development Research Center, Research Institute for Primordial Prevention of Non-Communicable Disease, Isfahan University of Medical Sciences, Isfahan 81746-73461, Iran
| | - Mehdi Shirzadi
- Biomedical Engineering Research Centre (CREB), Automatic Control Department (ESAII), Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya-Barcelona Tech (UPC), 08028 Barcelona, Spain
| | - Shadi Zamani
- Biomedical Engineering Department, Engineering Faculty, University of Isfahan, Isfahan 81746-73441, Iran
| | - Marjan Mansourian
- Biomedical Engineering Research Centre (CREB), Automatic Control Department (ESAII), Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya-Barcelona Tech (UPC), 08028 Barcelona, Spain
| | - Miquel Angel Mañanas
- Biomedical Engineering Research Centre (CREB), Automatic Control Department (ESAII), Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya-Barcelona Tech (UPC), 08028 Barcelona, Spain
- Biomedical Research Networking Center in Bioengineering, Biomaterials, and Nanomedicine (CIBER-BBN), 28029 Madrid, Spain
| | - Roya Kelishadi
- Child Growth and Development Research Center, Research Institute for Primordial Prevention of Non-Communicable Disease, Isfahan University of Medical Sciences, Isfahan 81746-73461, Iran
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Mosli RH. Sibship Composition and BMI Z-Score Among Saudi Preschoolers: A Cross-Sectional Study. Cureus 2024; 16:e56485. [PMID: 38638783 PMCID: PMC11026033 DOI: 10.7759/cureus.56485] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 03/17/2024] [Indexed: 04/20/2024] Open
Abstract
Background and objective The association between sibship composition and child body mass index (BMI) has not been investigated in any Arab/Middle Eastern populations. In light of this, this study aimed to examine the association of the number of siblings, number of older siblings, and number of younger siblings with child BMI z-score (BMIz) among preschoolers in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA). Methods A total of 209 mothers and their children were recruited from preschools in Jeddah, KSA. Mothers reported their responses to the study questionnaire via telephone. Child anthropometry was objectively measured; BMIz was calculated based on age- and sex-specific World Health Organization (WHO) growth standards and reference data. We used hierarchical multiple linear regression to examine the association between sibship composition variables and child BMIz, independent of the effect of potential confounders, and to evaluate changes in model fit. Results The number of siblings was negatively associated with child BMIz [b = -0.18, 95% confidence interval (CI) = -0.35, -0.06, p<0.01, adjusted R2 = 0.16]. There was a negative association between the number of older siblings and child BMIz (b = -0.23, 95% CI = -0.38, -0.11, p<0.01, adjusted R2 = 0.21) as well as between the number of older sisters and child BMIz (b = -0.18, 95% CI = -0.52, -0.09, p<0.01, adjusted R2 = 0.19). However, there were no significant associations between the number of older brothers or the number of younger siblings and child BMIz. Conclusions Based on our findings, sibship composition was found to be associated with BMIz among a sample of preschoolers in KSA. More research is needed to further establish this association and to understand the underlying mechanism of the association of the greater number of older siblings and older sisters with lower BMIz.
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Affiliation(s)
- Rana H Mosli
- Department of Clinical Nutrition, Faculty of Applied Medical Sciences, King Abdulaziz University, Jeddah, SAU
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Keenan K, Barclay K, Goisis A. Health outcomes of only children across the life course: An investigation using Swedish register data. POPULATION STUDIES 2023; 77:71-90. [PMID: 35102810 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2021.2020886] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/19/2022]
Abstract
Only children (with no full biological siblings) are a growing subgroup in many high-income settings. Previous studies have largely focused on the short-term developmental outcomes of only children, but there is limited evidence on their health outcomes. Using Swedish population register data for cohorts born 1940-75, we compare the health of only children with that of children from multi-child sibling groups, taking into account birth order, family size, and presence of half-siblings. Only children showed lower height and fitness scores, were more likely to be overweight/obese in late adolescence, and experienced higher later-life mortality than those with one or two siblings. However, only children without half-siblings were consistently healthier than those with half-siblings, suggesting that parental disruption confers additional disadvantages. The health disadvantage was attenuated but not fully explained by adjustment for parental characteristics and after using within-family maternal cousin comparison designs.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Kieron Barclay
- Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research.,Stockholm University.,Swedish Collegium for Advanced Study
| | - Alice Goisis
- Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research.,University College London
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Björkegren E, Svaleryd H. Birth order and health disparities throughout the life course. Soc Sci Med 2023; 318:115605. [PMID: 36630815 DOI: 10.1016/j.socscimed.2022.115605] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/19/2022] [Revised: 11/22/2022] [Accepted: 12/08/2022] [Indexed: 12/13/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Research has shown ample evidence of how birth order affects health; however, these studies focus on specific health outcomes and ages. OBJECTIVE We provide a comprehensive picture of the effects of birth order on health disparities over the life course. METHOD We study the effects of birth order from birth to age 70 on hospitalizations, visits to open care facilities and mortality using Swedish register data from 1987 to 2016. We identify the effects by comparing siblings within the same family. RESULTS We find that firstborns have worse health at birth. In adolescence, the birth-order effects switch direction, and younger siblings are more likely to be hospitalized and visit open care facilities. From early age younger siblings receive more care for injuries, in adolescence for drug and alcohol abuse, and from middle age for diseases of the circulatory system compared to older siblings. Younger siblings also stay longer in hospital. Age 0-2, younger siblings are more likely to be hospitalized for infections, diseases of the respiratory system, eyes and ears, whereas the pattern is the opposite for children age 3-6. Firstborns are more likely to receive care for depression and ADHD in childhood and endocrine diseases after age 50. INTERPRETATION Birth order affects health over the life-cycle and this is likely due to biological factors as well as parental behavior and the family environment. Firstborns have worse health at birth, but in adolescence the effects switch direction due to health issues related to younger siblings engaging in more risky behavior. For small children, having siblings at home increases the risk of being hospitalized for infections, diseases of the respiratory system, eyes and ears. The adverse conditions in utero for firstborns may be the cause of increased risk of metabolic syndromes such as obesity and diabetes later in life.
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Affiliation(s)
- Evelina Björkegren
- Department of Economics, Stockholm University, 106 91, Stockholm, Box 514, Sweden.
| | - Helena Svaleryd
- Department of Economics, Uppsala University, 751 20, Uppsala, Sweden.
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Exploring the Associations between Single-Child Status and Childhood High Blood Pressure and the Mediation Effect of Lifestyle Behaviors. Nutrients 2022; 14:nu14030500. [PMID: 35276857 PMCID: PMC8839388 DOI: 10.3390/nu14030500] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/05/2022] [Revised: 01/16/2022] [Accepted: 01/18/2022] [Indexed: 02/07/2023] Open
Abstract
Background: This study aimed to assess the association between single-child status and childhood high blood pressure (HBP) and to explore the role of lifestyle behaviors in this relationship. Methods: This study used data from a cross-sectional survey of 50,691 children aged 7~18 years in China. Linear and logistic regression models were used to assess the relationship between single-child status and HBP, and interactions between single-child status and lifestyle behaviors were also evaluated. Mediation analysis was conducted to detect the mediation effect of lifestyle behaviors. Results: Of the participants enrolled, 67.2% were single children and 49.4% were girls. Non-single children were associated with a greater risk of HBP, especially in girls (OR = 1.11, 95%CI: 1.03~1.19). Meat consumption and sedentary behavior mediated 58.9% of the association between single-child status and HBP (p < 0.01). When stratified by sleeping duration, non-single girls of insufficient sleep and hypersomnia showed a higher risk of HBP (p < 0.05) than single-child peers, but not in those with adequate sleep. Conclusion: Findings suggest that non-single children had an increased risk of HBP, and keeping healthy lifestyle behaviors could help to mitigate the adverse impact in non-single children.
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Nilsson PM, Sundquist J, Sundquist K, Li X. Sibling rank and sibling number in relation to cardiovascular disease and mortality risk: a nationwide cohort study. BMJ Open 2021; 11:e042881. [PMID: 34035122 PMCID: PMC8162087 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2020-042881] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/30/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The number and rank order of siblings could be of importance for risk of cardiovascular disease and mortality. Previous studies have used only fatal events for risk prediction. We, therefore, aimed to use also non-fatal coronary and cardiovascular events in fully adjusted models. METHODS From the Multiple-Generation Register in Sweden, data were used from 1.36 million men and 1.32 million women (born 1932-1960), aged 30-58 years at baseline and with follow-up from 1990 to 2015. Mean age at follow-up was 67 years (range 55-83 years). Fatal and non-fatal events were retrieved from national registers. RESULTS Compared with men with no siblings, those with 1-2 siblings had a lower, and those with four or more siblings had a higher adjusted risk of cardiovascular events. Again, compared with men with no siblings, those with more than one sibling had a lower total mortality risk, and those with three or more siblings had an increased risk of coronary events.Correspondingly, compared with women with no siblings those women with three siblings or more had an increased risk of cardiovascular events, and those with two siblings or more had an increased risk of coronary events. Women with one sibling or more were at lower total mortality risk, following full adjustment. CONCLUSION Being first born is associated with a favourable effect on non-fatal cardiovascular and coronary events for both men and women. The underlying biological mechanisms for this should be studied in a sociocultural context.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Jan Sundquist
- Center for Primary Health Care Research, Lund University, Malmö, Sweden
| | | | - Xinjun Li
- Center for Primary Health Care Research, Lund University, Malmö, Sweden
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Ounjaijean S, Wongthanee A, Kulprachakarn K, Rerkasem A, Pruenglampoo S, Mangklabruks A, Rerkasem K, Derraik JGB. Higher maternal BMI early in pregnancy is associated with overweight and obesity in young adult offspring in Thailand. BMC Public Health 2021; 21:724. [PMID: 33853557 PMCID: PMC8048216 DOI: 10.1186/s12889-021-10678-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/14/2020] [Accepted: 03/22/2021] [Indexed: 01/10/2023] Open
Abstract
Background Rates of overweight and obesity among women of reproductive age have been steadily increasing worldwide and in Thailand. There is mounting evidence that maternal obesity during pregnancy is associated with an increased risk of obesity and other adverse health outcomes in the offspring, but such data are lacking for Thailand. We examined the associations between maternal body mass index (BMI) and anthropometry (particularly the likelihood of obesity) and cardiometabolic parameters in young adult offspring. Methods This was a prospective follow-up study of a birth cohort in Chiang Mai (Thailand). Pregnant women carrying singletons were recruited at their first antenatal visit (< 24 weeks of gestation) and followed until delivery in 1989–1990. Participants were their young adult offspring followed up in 2010. Maternal BMI was recorded at the first antenatal visit. The offspring underwent clinical assessments, including anthropometry, lipid profile, insulin sensitivity (HOMA-IR), blood pressure, and carotid intima-media thickness. The primary outcome of interest was the likelihood of obesity in the offspring. Results We assessed 628 young adults (54% were females) at 20.6 ± 0.5 years of age (range 19.1–22.1 years). The young adult offspring of mothers with overweight/obesity was 14.1 kg (95%CI 9.7, 18.5; p < 0.0001) and 9.4 kg (95% CI 6.1, 12.8; p < 0.0001) heavier than those born to mothers with underweight or normal weight, respectively, and had BMI 3.46 kg/m2 (95%CI 2.26, 4.67; p < 0.0001) and 5.27 kg/m2 (95%CI 3.67, 8.68; p < 0.0001) greater, respectively. For every 1-kg/m2 increase in maternal BMI, the adjusted odds ratio (aOR) of offspring obesity was 25% greater (95%CI 1.10, 1.42; p < 0.001). Thus, the aOR of obesity in offspring of mothers with overweight/obesity was 4.6 times greater (95%CI 1.86, 11.26; p < 0.001) and nearly 17-fold greater (95%CI 1.96, 146.4; p = 0.010) compared to young adults born to mothers with normal weight or underweight, respectively. There were no observed associations between maternal BMI status and offspring metabolism or blood pressure. Discussion Maternal overweight/obesity early in pregnancy was associated with increased BMI and greater odds of obesity in their young adult offspring in Thailand. These findings highlight the public health importance of fostering healthier lifestyle choices among women of reproductive age.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sakaewan Ounjaijean
- NCD Center of Excellence, Research Institute for Health Sciences, Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai, 50200, Thailand
| | - Antika Wongthanee
- Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai, Thailand
| | - Kanokwan Kulprachakarn
- NCD Center of Excellence, Research Institute for Health Sciences, Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai, 50200, Thailand
| | - Amaraporn Rerkasem
- NCD Center of Excellence, Research Institute for Health Sciences, Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai, 50200, Thailand
| | - Sakda Pruenglampoo
- NCD Center of Excellence, Research Institute for Health Sciences, Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai, 50200, Thailand
| | - Ampica Mangklabruks
- NCD Center of Excellence, Research Institute for Health Sciences, Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai, 50200, Thailand.,Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai, Thailand
| | - Kittipan Rerkasem
- NCD Center of Excellence, Research Institute for Health Sciences, Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai, 50200, Thailand. .,Department of Surgery, Faculty of Medicine, Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai, Thailand.
| | - José G B Derraik
- NCD Center of Excellence, Research Institute for Health Sciences, Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai, 50200, Thailand. .,Department of Women's and Children's Health, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden. .,Liggins Institute, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand. .,Children's Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China.
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8
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Aurpibul L, Butler ÉM, Wongthanee A, Rerkasem A, Pruenglampoo S, Mangklabruks A, Rerkasem K, Derraik JGB. Birth order is associated with an increased risk of obesity in young adults in Thailand. J Epidemiol Community Health 2020; 75:305-308. [PMID: 33148680 DOI: 10.1136/jech-2019-213572] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/26/2019] [Revised: 05/23/2020] [Accepted: 09/28/2020] [Indexed: 11/03/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND There is a growing body of evidence showing that early life events are associated with increased risk of cardiovascular and metabolic diseases later in adult life. However, there is a paucity of data in this field from Asian populations. In this study, we examined the association of birth order with obesity risk and cardiometabolic outcomes in young adults in Thailand. METHODS Participants were the offspring from a birth cohort study in Chiang Mai (northern Thailand), who were followed up at ~20.5 years of age. Clinical assessments included anthropometry, blood pressure, fasting blood samples and carotid intima-media thickness. Insulin sensitivity was estimated using homeostatic model assessment of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR). Participants were stratified into two groups: first-borns and later-borns. Health outcomes between groups were compared using multivariable models adjusting for important confounders, in particular maternal body mass index (BMI). RESULTS A total of 559 participants were studied: 316 first-borns (46% males) and 243 later-borns (47% males). Adjusted models showed anthropometric differences, with first-borns being 2.3 kg heavier (p=0.023) with a BMI 0.86 kg/m2 greater (p=0.019) than later-borns. Thus, rates of obesity were higher in first-borns than in later-borns (6.6% vs 2.9%), so that first-borns had an adjusted relative risk of obesity 3.3 times greater than later-borns [95% CI 1.42 to 7.88; p=0.006]. There were no observed differences in cardiovascular or metabolic parameters assessed, including HOMA-IR. CONCLUSION As observed in other populations, first-borns in Thailand had greater BMI and an increased risk of obesity in young adulthood. However, we observed no other cardiometabolic differences between first- and later-borns.
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Affiliation(s)
- Linda Aurpibul
- NCD Center of Excellence, Research Institute for Health Sciences, Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai, Thailand
| | - Éadaoin M Butler
- A Better Start - National Science Challenge, The University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand.,Liggins Institute, The University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand
| | - Antika Wongthanee
- Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai, Thailand
| | - Amaraporn Rerkasem
- NCD Center of Excellence, Research Institute for Health Sciences, Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai, Thailand
| | - Sakda Pruenglampoo
- NCD Center of Excellence, Research Institute for Health Sciences, Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai, Thailand
| | - Ampica Mangklabruks
- Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai, Thailand
| | - Kittipan Rerkasem
- NCD Center of Excellence, Research Institute for Health Sciences, Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai, Thailand .,Department of Surgery, Faculty of Medicine, Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai, Thailand
| | - José G B Derraik
- NCD Center of Excellence, Research Institute for Health Sciences, Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai, Thailand.,A Better Start - National Science Challenge, The University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand.,Liggins Institute, The University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand.,Department of Women's and Children's Health, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden.,Endocrinology Department, Children's Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China
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Barclay KJ, Kolk M. Birth Intervals and Health in Adulthood: A Comparison of Siblings Using Swedish Register Data. Demography 2018; 55:929-955. [PMID: 29785527 PMCID: PMC5992250 DOI: 10.1007/s13524-018-0673-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/03/2023]
Abstract
A growing body of research has examined whether birth intervals influence perinatal outcomes and child health as well as long-term educational and socioeconomic outcomes. To date, however, very little research has examined whether birth spacing influences long-term health. We use contemporary Swedish population register data to examine the relationship between birth-to-birth intervals and a variety of health outcomes in adulthood: for men, height, physical fitness, and the probability of falling into different body mass index categories; and for men and women, mortality. In models that do not adjust carefully for family background, we find that short and long birth intervals are clearly associated with height, physical fitness, being overweight or obese, and mortality. However, after carefully adjusting for family background using a within-family sibling comparison design, we find that birth spacing is generally not associated with long-term health, although we find that men born after very long birth intervals have a higher probability of being overweight or obese in early adulthood. Overall, we conclude that birth intervals have little independent effect on long-term health outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kieron J Barclay
- Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Konrad-Zuse-Straße 1, 18057, Rostock, Germany. .,Department of Social Policy, London School of Economics and Political Science, London, UK. .,Demography Unit, Department of Sociology, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden.
| | - Martin Kolk
- Demography Unit, Department of Sociology, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden.,Centre for the Study of Cultural Evolution, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden.,Institute for Futures Studies, Stockholm, Sweden
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Maternal pre-pregnancy BMI and offspring body composition in young adulthood: the modifying role of offspring sex and birth order. Public Health Nutr 2017; 20:3084-3089. [PMID: 28851474 DOI: 10.1017/s1368980017002191] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/21/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To investigate if the association between maternal pre-pregnancy BMI and offspring's body composition in late adolescence and young adulthood varies by offspring birth order and sex. DESIGN Family cohort study, with data from registers, questionnaires and physical examinations. The main outcome under study was offspring body composition (percentage fat mass (%FM), percentage lean mass (%LM)) measured by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry. SETTING Uppsala, Sweden. SUBJECTS Two hundred and twenty-six siblings (first-born v. second-born; average age 19 and 21 years) and their mothers. RESULTS In multivariable linear regression models, maternal pre-pregnancy BMI was positively associated with daughter's %FM, with stronger estimates for first-born (β=0·97, 95 % CI 0·14, 1·80) v. second-born daughters (β=0·64, 95 % CI 0·08, 1·20). Mother's BMI before her first pregnancy was associated with her second-born daughter's body composition (β=1·05, 95 % CI 0·31, 1·79 (%FM)) Similar results albeit in the opposite direction were observed for %LM. No significant associations were found between pre-pregnancy BMI and %FM (β=0·59, 95 % CI-0·27, 1·44 first-born; β=-0·13, 95 % CI-0·77, 0·52 second-born) or %LM (β=-0·54, 95 % CI-1·37, 0·28 first-born; β=0·11, 95 % CI-0·52, 0·74 second-born) for sons. CONCLUSIONS A higher pre-pregnancy BMI was associated with higher offspring %FM and lower offspring %LM in late adolescence and young adulthood, with stronger associations for first-born daughters. Preventing obesity at the start of women's reproductive life might reduce the risk of obesity in her offspring, particularly for daughters.
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Associations of Birth Order with Early Adolescent Growth, Pubertal Onset, Blood Pressure and Size: Evidence from Hong Kong's "Children of 1997" Birth Cohort. PLoS One 2016; 11:e0153787. [PMID: 27088360 PMCID: PMC4835083 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0153787] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/27/2015] [Accepted: 04/04/2016] [Indexed: 12/01/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Birth order has been proposed as a cardiovascular risk factor, because the lower birth weight and greater infant weight gain typical of firstborns could programme metabolism detrimentally. Methods We examined the associations of birth order (firstborn or laterborn) with birth weight-for-gestational age, length/height and body mass index (BMI) z-scores during infancy, childhood, and puberty using generalized estimating equations, with age at pubertal onset using interval-censored regression and with age-, sex- and height-standardized blood pressure, height and BMI z-scores at 13 years using linear regression in a population-representative Chinese birth cohort: “Children of 1997” (n = 8,327). Results Compared with laterborns, firstborns had lower birth weight-for-gestational age (mean difference = -0.18 z-score, 95% confidence interval (CI) -0.23, -0.14), lower infant BMI (-0.09 z-score, 95% CI -0.14, -0.04), greater childhood height (0.10 z-score, 95% CI 0.05, 0.14) and BMI (0.08 z-score, 95% CI 0.03, 0.14), but not greater pubertal BMI (0.05 z-score, 95% CI -0.02, 0.11), adjusted for sex, parental age, birthplace, education and income. Firstborns had earlier onset of pubic hair (time ratio = 0.988, 95% CI 0.980, 0.996), but not breast or genitalia, development. Firstborns had greater BMI (0.07 z-score, 95% CI 0.002, 0.15), but not height (0.05 z-score, 95% CI -0.01, 0.11), at 13 years, but similar blood pressure. Conclusions Differences by birth order continue into early adolescence with firstborns being heavier with earlier pubic hair development, which could indicate long-term cardiovascular risk.
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Mosli RH, Miller AL, Peterson KE, Kaciroti N, Rosenblum K, Baylin A, Lumeng JC. Birth order and sibship composition as predictors of overweight or obesity among low-income 4- to 8-year-old children. Pediatr Obes 2016; 11:40-6. [PMID: 25735955 PMCID: PMC4558390 DOI: 10.1111/ijpo.12018] [Citation(s) in RCA: 35] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/26/2014] [Accepted: 01/27/2015] [Indexed: 11/27/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE This study aimed to examine the association of birth order and number and sex of siblings with overweight or obesity among 4- to 8-year-olds. METHODS This is a cross-sectional study involving 273 low-income mother-child dyads. Questionnaires and anthropometry were completed. Multiple logistic regression was used to examine the association of birth order, having younger siblings, having older siblings, having at least one brother and having at least one sister with odds of overweight or obesity. Analyses were repeated to additionally include non-biological siblings. Models were adjusted for potential confounders and intermediate variables. RESULTS Prevalence of child overweight or obesity was 42.5%. Adjusting for covariates, only children and youngest siblings had higher odds of overweight or obesity compared with oldest siblings (odds ratio [OR]: 4.18, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.67, 10.46 and OR: 3.21, 95% CI: 1.41, 7.33, respectively). Having one or more younger siblings and having at least one brother were associated with lower odds (OR: 0.38, 95% CI: 0.21, 0.69 and OR: 0.47, 95% CI: 0.28, 0.81, respectively). Including non-biological siblings did not meaningfully change the associations. CONCLUSION Birth order and sibship composition are associated with overweight or obesity among 4- to 8-year-olds. Future studies identifying the underlying behavioural mechanism can help inform family-based intervention programmes.
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Affiliation(s)
- R. H. Mosli
- Human Nutrition Program, Department of Environmental Health Sciences, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA,Clinical Nutrition Department, Faculty of Applied Medical Sciences, King Abdulaziz University, Jedddah, KSA
| | - A. L. Miller
- Department of Health Behavior and Health Education, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA,Center for Human Growth and Development, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA
| | - K. E. Peterson
- Human Nutrition Program, Department of Environmental Health Sciences, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA,Center for Human Growth and Development, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA,Department of Nutrition, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA
| | - N. Kaciroti
- Center for Human Growth and Development, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA
| | - K. Rosenblum
- Center for Human Growth and Development, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA,Department of Psychiatry, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA
| | - A. Baylin
- Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA
| | - J. C. Lumeng
- Human Nutrition Program, Department of Environmental Health Sciences, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA,Center for Human Growth and Development, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA,Department of Pediatrics and Communicable Diseases, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA
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13
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Derraik JGB, Ahlsson F, Lundgren M, Jonsson B, Cutfield WS. First-borns have greater BMI and are more likely to be overweight or obese: a study of sibling pairs among 26,812 Swedish women. J Epidemiol Community Health 2015; 70:78-81. [PMID: 26311896 DOI: 10.1136/jech-2014-205368] [Citation(s) in RCA: 17] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/14/2014] [Accepted: 07/27/2015] [Indexed: 11/04/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND A number of large studies have shown phenotypic differences between first-borns and later-borns among adult men. In this study, we aimed to assess whether birth order was associated with height and BMI in a large cohort of Swedish women. METHODS Information was obtained from antenatal clinic records from the Swedish National Birth Register over 20 years (1991-2009). Maternal anthropometric data early in pregnancy (at approximately 10-12 weeks of gestation) were analysed on 13,406 pairs of sisters who were either first-born or second-born (n=26,812). RESULTS Early in pregnancy, first-born women were of BMI that was 0.57 kg/m(2) (2.4%) greater than their second-born sisters (p<0.0001). In addition, first-borns had greater odds of being overweight (OR 1.29; p<0.0001) or obese (OR 1.40; p<0.0001) than second-borns. First-borns were also negligibly taller (+1.2 mm) than their second-born sisters. Of note, there was a considerable increase in BMI over the 18-year period covered by this study, with an increment of 0.11 kg/m(2) per year (p<0.0001). CONCLUSIONS Our study corroborates other large studies on men, and the steady reduction in family size may contribute to the observed increase in adult BMI worldwide.
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Affiliation(s)
- José G B Derraik
- Liggins Institute, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand
| | - Fredrik Ahlsson
- Department of Women's and Children's Health, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden
| | - Maria Lundgren
- Department of Women's and Children's Health, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden
| | - Björn Jonsson
- Department of Women's and Children's Health, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden
| | - Wayne S Cutfield
- Liggins Institute, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand
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14
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Abstract
The aim of the study was to reveal the ethnic and socioeconomic factors associated with height and body mass index (BMI) of children during the period of political and social transition in Lithuania in 1990-2008. Data were derived from the personal health records of 1491 children (762 boys and 729 girls) born in 1990 in Vilnius city and region. Height and BMI from birth up to the age of 18 years were investigated. Children were divided into groups according to their ethnicity, place of residence, father's and mother's occupation and birth order. Height and BMI were compared between the groups; a Bonferroni correction was applied. A multiple linear regression model was used to measure the effects of the independent variables on height and BMI. Girls living in Vilnius city were significantly taller in later life at the ages of 8 and 11 years. Sons of mothers employed as office workers appeared to be significantly taller at the ages of 7, 12, 14 and 15 years compared with the sons of labourers. First-born girls were taller at the age of 7 years than later-born girls of the same age (124.48±5.11 cm and 122.92±5.14 cm, respectively, p<0.001). Later-born children of both sexes had higher BMIs at birth compared with first-borns; however, first-born girls had higher BMIs at the age of 11 years compared with their later-born peers (17.78±2.87 kg/m² and 16.79±2.14 kg/m² respectively, p<0.001). In the multiple linear regression model, the five tested independent variables explained only up to 18% of total variability. Boys were more sensitive to ethnic and socioeconomic factors: ethnicity appeared to be a significant predictor of boys' height at the age of 5 years (p<0.001), while birth order (p<0.001) predicted boys' BMI at birth. In general, ethnicity, place of residence, father's and mother's occupation and birth order were not associated with children's height and BMI in most age groups.
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15
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He JR, Xia HM, Liu Y, Xia XY, Mo WJ, Wang P, Cheng KK, Leung GM, Feng Q, Schooling CM, Qiu X. A new birthweight reference in Guangzhou, southern China, and its comparison with the global reference. Arch Dis Child 2014; 99:1091-7. [PMID: 24962952 DOI: 10.1136/archdischild-2013-305923] [Citation(s) in RCA: 25] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/04/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To formulate a new birthweight reference for different gestational ages in Guangzhou, southern China, and compare it with the currently used reference in China and the global reference. DESIGN AND SETTING All singleton live births of more than 26 weeks' gestational age recorded in the Guangzhou Perinatal Health Care and Delivery Surveillance System for the years 2009, 2010 and 2011 (n=510 837) were retrospectively included in the study. In addition, the study sample was supplemented by all singleton live births (n=3538) at gestational ages 26-33 weeks from 2007 and 2008. We used Gaussian mixture models and robust regression to exclude outliers of birth weight and then applied Generalized Additive Models for Location, Scale, and Shape (GAMLSS) to generate smoothed percentile curves separately for gender and parity. RESULTS Of infants defined as small for gestational age (SGA) in the new reference, 15.3-47.7% (depending on gestational age) were considered appropriate for gestational age (AGA) by the currently used reference of China. Of the infants defined as SGA by the new reference, 9.2% with gestational ages 34-36 weeks and 14.3% with 37-41 weeks were considered AGA by the global reference. At the 50th centile line, the new reference curve was similar to that of the global reference for gestational ages 26-33 weeks and above the global reference for 34-40 weeks. CONCLUSIONS The new birthweight reference based on birthweight data for neonates in Guangzhou, China, differs from the reference currently used in China and the global reference, and appears to be more relevant to the local population.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jian-Rong He
- Division of Birth Cohort Study, Guangzhou Women and Children's Medical Center, Guangzhou, China Department of Health Care, Guangzhou Women and Children's Medical Center, Guangzhou, China
| | - Hui-Min Xia
- Division of Birth Cohort Study, Guangzhou Women and Children's Medical Center, Guangzhou, China
| | - Yu Liu
- Division of Birth Cohort Study, Guangzhou Women and Children's Medical Center, Guangzhou, China Department of Health Care, Guangzhou Women and Children's Medical Center, Guangzhou, China
| | - Xiao-Yan Xia
- Division of Birth Cohort Study, Guangzhou Women and Children's Medical Center, Guangzhou, China Department of Health Care, Guangzhou Women and Children's Medical Center, Guangzhou, China
| | - Wei-Jian Mo
- Department of Health Care, Guangzhou Women and Children's Medical Center, Guangzhou, China
| | - Ping Wang
- Department of Health Care, Guangzhou Women and Children's Medical Center, Guangzhou, China
| | - Kar Keung Cheng
- Department of Public Health and Epidemiology, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
| | - Gabriel M Leung
- School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, SAR, China
| | - Qiong Feng
- Department of Health Care, Guangzhou Women and Children's Medical Center, Guangzhou, China
| | - C Mary Schooling
- School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, SAR, China CUNY School of Public Health at Hunter College, New York, New York, USA
| | - Xiu Qiu
- Division of Birth Cohort Study, Guangzhou Women and Children's Medical Center, Guangzhou, China Department of Health Care, Guangzhou Women and Children's Medical Center, Guangzhou, China
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Gaillard R, Rurangirwa AA, Williams MA, Hofman A, Mackenbach JP, Franco OH, Steegers EAP, Jaddoe VWV. Maternal parity, fetal and childhood growth, and cardiometabolic risk factors. Hypertension 2014; 64:266-74. [PMID: 24866145 DOI: 10.1161/hypertensionaha.114.03492] [Citation(s) in RCA: 43] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Abstract
We examined the associations of maternal parity with fetal and childhood growth characteristics and childhood cardiometabolic risk factors in a population-based prospective cohort study among 9031 mothers and their children. Fetal and childhood growth were repeatedly measured. We measured childhood anthropometrics, body fat distribution, left ventricular mass, blood pressure, blood lipids, and insulin levels at the age of 6 years. Compared with nulliparous mothers, multiparous mothers had children with higher third trimester fetal head circumference, length and weight growth, and lower risks of preterm birth and small-size-for-gestational-age at birth but a higher risk of large-size-for-gestational-age at birth (P<0.05). Children from multiparous mothers had lower rates of accelerated infant growth and lower levels of childhood body mass index, total fat mass percentage, and total and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol than children of nulliparous mothers (P<0.05). They also had a lower risk of childhood overweight (odds ratio, 0.75 [95% confidence interval, 0.63–0.88]). The risk of childhood clustering of cardiometabolic risk factors was not statistically significantly different (odds ratio, 0.82; 95% confidence interval, 0.64–1.05). Among children from multiparous mothers only, we observed consistent trends toward a lower risk of childhood overweight and lower cholesterol levels with increasing parity (P<0.05). In conclusion, offspring from nulliparous mothers have lower fetal but higher infant growth rates and higher risks of childhood overweight and adverse metabolic profile. Maternal nulliparity may have persistent cardiometabolic consequences for the offspring.
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17
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Jelenkovic A, Silventoinen K, Tynelius P, Helle S, Rasmussen F. Sex of preceding sibling and anthropometrics of subsequent offspring at birth and in young adulthood: A population-based study in Sweden. AMERICAN JOURNAL OF PHYSICAL ANTHROPOLOGY 2014; 154:471-8. [DOI: 10.1002/ajpa.22534] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/10/2013] [Accepted: 04/30/2014] [Indexed: 11/08/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Aline Jelenkovic
- Department of Genetics; Physical Anthropology and Animal Physiology, University of the Basque Country UPV/EHU; Leioa Spain
- IKERBASQUE, Basque Foundation for Science; Bilbao Spain
- Department of Public Health; Hjelt Institute, University of Helsinki; Helsinki Finland
| | - Karri Silventoinen
- Department of Public Health; Hjelt Institute, University of Helsinki; Helsinki Finland
- Population Research Unit; Department of Social Research; University of Helsinki; Helsinki Finland
| | - Per Tynelius
- Child and Adolescent Public Health Epidemiology; Department of Public Health Sciences; Karolinska Institutet; Stockholm Sweden
| | - Samuli Helle
- Section of Ecology; Department of Biology; University of Turku; Turku Finland
| | - Finn Rasmussen
- Child and Adolescent Public Health Epidemiology; Department of Public Health Sciences; Karolinska Institutet; Stockholm Sweden
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18
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Among overweight middle-aged men, first-borns have lower insulin sensitivity than second-borns. Sci Rep 2014; 4:3906. [PMID: 24503677 PMCID: PMC3915551 DOI: 10.1038/srep03906] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/09/2013] [Accepted: 01/10/2014] [Indexed: 12/30/2022] Open
Abstract
We aimed to assess whether birth order affects metabolism and body composition in overweight middle-aged men. We studied 50 men aged 45.6 ± 5.5 years, who were overweight (BMI 27.5 ± 1.7 kg/m(2)) but otherwise healthy in Auckland, New Zealand. These included 26 first-borns and 24 second-borns. Insulin sensitivity was assessed by the Matsuda method from an oral glucose tolerance test. Other assessments included DXA-derived body composition, lipid profiles, 24-hour ambulatory blood pressure, and carotid intima-media thickness. First-born men were 6.9 kg heavier (p = 0.013) and had greater BMI (29.1 vs 27.5 kg/m(2); p = 0.004) than second-borns. Insulin sensitivity in first-born men was 33% lower than in second-borns (4.38 vs 6.51; p = 0.014), despite adjustment for fat mass. There were no significant differences in ambulatory blood pressure, lipid profile or carotid intima-media thickness between first- and second-borns. Thus, first-born adults may be at a greater risk of metabolic and cardiovascular diseases.
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The association of birth order with later body mass index and blood pressure: a comparison between prospective cohort studies from the United Kingdom and Brazil. Int J Obes (Lond) 2013; 38:973-9. [PMID: 24097298 PMCID: PMC4024316 DOI: 10.1038/ijo.2013.189] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/27/2013] [Revised: 08/29/2013] [Accepted: 09/24/2013] [Indexed: 01/15/2023]
Abstract
Background: Previous studies have found greater adiposity and cardiovascular risk in first born children. The causality of this association is not clear. Examining the association in diverse populations may lead to improved insight. Methods: We examine the association between birth order and body mass index (BMI), systolic and diastolic blood pressure (SBP/DBP) in the 2004 Pelotas cohort from southern Brazil and the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children (ALSPAC) from Bristol, south-west England, restricting analysis to families with two children in order to remove confounding by family size. Results: No consistent differences in BMI, SBP or DBP were observed comparing first and second born children. Within the Pelotas 2004 cohort, first born females were thinner, with lower SBP and DBP; for example, mean difference in SBP comparing first with second born was −0.979 (95% confidence interval −2.901 to 0.943). In ALSPAC, first born females had higher BMI, SBP and DBP. In both cohorts, associations tended to be in the opposite direction in males, although no statistical evidence for gender interactions was found. Conclusions: The findings do not support an association between birth order and BMI or blood pressure. Differences to previous studies may be explained by differences in populations and/or confounding by family size in previous studies.
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