Predictors of immunological failure of antiretroviral therapy among HIV infected patients in Ethiopia: a matched case-control study

Viral load non-suppression status among women exposed to Dolutegravir-based versus Efavirenz-based regimens in Ethiopia: A before-and-after study

BACKGROUND

High viral load during pregnancy and breastfeeding period is the risk factor for vertical transmission of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). Currently, Dolutegravir (DTG)-based regimens are recommended to attain adequate viral load suppression (VLS) among women. However, its effect on VLS has not been investigated among women in PMTCT care in Ethiopia.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to investigate the rate of viral load non-suppression among women exposed to DTG-based versus Efavirenz (EFV)-based regimens in Ethiopia.

METHODS

An uncontrolled before-and-after study design was conducted among 924 women (462 on EFV-based and 462 on DTG-based regimens) enrolled in PMTCT care from September 2015 to February 2023. The outcome variable was the viral load (VL) non-suppression among women on PMTCT care. A modified Poisson regression model was employed, and the proportion was computed to compare the rate of VL non-suppression in both groups. The risk ratio (RR) with a 95% confidence interval (CI) was calculated to assess viral load non-suppression among women on DTG-based and EFV-based regimens by adjusting for other variables.

RESULTS

The overall rate of non-suppressed VL was 16.2% (95% CI: 14.0-18.8%). Mothers on DTG-based regimens had approximately a 30% (adjusted risk ratio (aRR): 0.70; 95% CI: 0.52-0.94) lesser risk of developing non-suppressed VL than women on EFV-based regimens. Besides, older women were 1.38 times (aRR: 1.38; 95% CI: 1.04-1.83); mothers who did not disclose their HIV status to their partners were 2.54 times (aRR: 2.54; 95% CI: 1.91-3.38); and mothers who had poor or fair adherence to antiretroviral (ARV) drugs were 2.11 times (aRR: 2.11; 95% CI: 1.45-3.07) at higher risk of non-suppressed VL.

CONCLUSION

Women on DTG-based regimens had a significantly suppressed VL compared to those on EFV-based regimens. Thus, administering DTG-based first-line ART regimens should be strengthened to achieve global and national targets on VLS.

Dolutegravir based therapy showed CD4+ T cell count recovery and viral load suppression among ART naïve people living with HIV AIDS: a pilot evaluation

Recently, dolutegravir (DTG)-based combined therapy, a more effective and safer first-line antiretroviral therapy (ART), has been recommended by the World Health Organization for the treatment of Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) since July 2018. However, its effectiveness in CD4+ T-cells count recovery and viral load suppression has not been studied yet in Ethiopia, where HIV is endemic. Therefore, we aimed to conduct a pilot assessment on the effect of DTG-based therapy on CD4+ T-cell count and viral load count among people living with HIV (PLWH) in Ethiopia. A longitudinal prospective cohort study was conducted from July 2020 to February 2021. 109 PLWH who are ART naive but plan to initiate DTG-based therapy were recruited. HIV viral ribonucleic acid (RNA) copies were determined using polymerase chain reaction. To compute the difference in viral load and CD4+ T-cell counts between the baseline, 3rd, and 6th months, a Friedman test was used. The study included 109 PLWH who had never received antiretroviral medication. Participants taking DTG-based treatment showed significantly decreasing median (IQR) values of viral load count (copies/mL) from 446,812 (237649.5-732994.5) at baseline to 34 (23.5-46) at 3 months and 0.0 (0-19) at 6 months of treatment follow-up. Although the treatment increases the proportion of participants with HIV-1 RNA 50 copies/mL from 0 (0% at baseline) to 87 (79.8%) and 100 (91.7%) at the 3rd and 6th months of treatment, respectively, On the other hand, the CD4+ T-cell count increased significantly during treatment: median (IQR): 209 (81.5-417.5) versus 291 (132-522) versus 378 (181-632.5) cells/L at baseline, the 3rd and 6th months of the treatment follow-up period, respectively. We found dolutegravir-based therapy was a promising option with high virological suppression rates and CD4+ T-cell count recovery, demonstrating a restoration of cellular immunity. Moreover, Viral load suppression rates were high after the initiation of the treatment. We recommend further research should be conducted with a larger number of participants to acquire greater awareness of the treatment outcomes.

High baseline body mass index predicts recovery of CD4+ T lymphocytes for HIV/AIDS patients receiving long-term antiviral therapy

The relationship between baseline BMI and CD4+ T cells during follow-up in HIV patients in China requires further evaluation. We conducted a retrospective cohort study based on adult AIDS patients who underwent or received antiretroviral therapy from 2003 to 2019 in Guangxi, China. BMI was divided into categories and compared, and after adjusting for BMI being related to the change in CD4 lymphocyte count, with normal weight as the reference group, the BMI before treatment was positively correlated with the changes in CD4+ T cells at different time periods. Among them, obese patients had significant CD4+ cell gain. In patients with pretreatment CD4+ T lymphocyte counts <200 cells/μL, a higher BMI was associated with an increased likelihood of achieving immunologic reconstitution [≥350 cells/μL: AHR: 1.02(1.01, 1.04), P = 0.004; ≥500 cells/μL: AHR: 1.03 (1.01, 1.05), P = 0.004]. Underweight in HIV patients was a risk factor for poor viral suppression [AHR: 1.24 (1.04, 1.48), P = 0.016]. Our study demonstrated that HIV/AIDS patients receiving ART with higher baseline BMI had better immune reconstitution and that baseline BMI could be an important predictor of immune reconstitution in patients receiving ART. Baseline BMI was not associated with virological failure, but a lower baseline BMI indicated poor viral suppression during follow-up.

Immuno-virological status and its associated factors among HIV-positive patients receiving highly active antiretroviral therapy at delgi primary hospital, northwest Ethiopia, 2020/2021: A cross-sectional study

Background

Highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) improves clinical outcomes by suppressing viral replication and allowing immune reconstitution. It also reduces HIV-related complications including morbidity, mortality, and extended hospitalizations for HIV-positive individuals. Regular assessment for antiretroviral treatment response is fundamentally important to address the factors associated with the poor clinical outcome including immunologic failures among HIV-positive patients on HAART. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate the immuno-virological status and describe its determinants among HIV-positive patients receiving HAART at Delgi primary hospital, Northwest Ethiopia.

Methods

A hospital-based cross-sectional study was conducted at Delgi primary hospital from October 25th through June 19th 2021 among a total of 442 study participants. A systematic random sampling technique was employed to enrol participants in the study. Socio-demographic and clinically related data were collected using a semi-structured questionnaire. About 3–5 ml of venous blood was collected aseptically for CD4⁺ T cell count and viral load test. SPSS version 20 software was used for statistical analysis. Bivariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were conducted to determine the factors associated with immuno-virologic status among HIV-positive patients on HAART. The odds ratio with 95% CI was computed to determine the strength of association. Then, a p-value < 0.05 was considered a statistically significant association. For this study, the results were presented by using frequency summary tables, and texts.

Results

Among the total study participants, 283 (64%) were males and the mean age of the study participants was 37 ± 11.5. The overall immunological and virological failure among highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) receiving participants was found to be 9.5% (42/442, 95%CI:3.23–15.09) and 12.2% (54/442, 95% CI: 2.81–23.04) respectively. In the multivariate analysis, study participants with age ≥50 years old [AOR = 1.97, p = 0.01, 95%CI (0.02–4.03)], participants having current viral load count greater ≥1000 copies/ml [AOR = 3.97, p = 0.03, 95%CI (1.09–5.01)] and having TB-co-infection [AOR = 2.51, p = 0.05, 95%CI (1.02–7.51)] were statistically associated with increased risk of immunological failure. Similarly, TB-coinfected participants were 1.88 (95%CI = 0.89–10.02) times at greater risk for virological failure.

Conclusion

In this study, the magnitude of immuno-virological failure is alarming. This may be shown the need for integrated and substantial commitment to enhancing patient antiretroviral treatment adherence in the study area. Also, regular assessment for antiretroviral treatment response is fundamentally important to address the determinants associated with virological and immunologic failures among HIV-positive patients taking HAART. Furthermore, early initiation of HAART may be imperative to achieve favourable virological suppression and immunological reconstitution.

Prevalence and evaluation of risk factors of anti-retroviral therapy failure among human immunodeficiency virus/acquired immune deficiency syndrome patients in North India

BACKGROUND

The prevalence of anti-retroviral therapy (ART) failure is not uniform in India. In this study we attempted to determine the prevalence and risk factors of treatment failure among patients who were on ART for >1 y.

METHODS

We conducted an ambispective study from 2017 to 2019 in the All India Institute of Medical Sciences, New Delhi, India. Patients and their past medical records were examined to determine clinical, immunological and virological failure.

RESULTS

Among 301 enrolled patients, the majority was male (61.8%), with a mean age of 36.98±10.84 y. The prevalence of ART failure in our study was 10.63% (32/301). Clinical, immunological and virological failure rates were 1.66%, 10.63% and 5.65%, respectively. The maximum chance of failure was the tenofovir-lamivudine-nevirapine (33.3%) regimen followed by the stavudine-lamivudine-nevirapine (30.4%) regimen. Among the nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors, a stavudine-based regimen had a significantly greater chance of failure (25.8%) compared with tenofovir (9.6%) and zidovudine (7.9%) regimens (p<0.005). Low baseline CD4 count and development of tuberculosis after ART initiation were significantly (p<0.05) associated with treatment failure in univariate analysis. Patients with a low peak CD4 count (adjusted odds ratio [AOR 4.26 {95% confidence interval <CI> 1.83 to 9.88}]) and who developed symptoms after ART initiation (AOR 3.77 [95% CI 1.47 to 9.69]) had significantly higher odds of treatment failure in the multivariate analysis (p<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Early identification of risk factors by regular follow-up and selection of the proper ART regimen can reduce the rate of treatment failure.

Immunological Treatment Failure Among Adult Patients Receiving Highly Active Antiretroviral Therapy in East Africa: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Background

Minimizing antiretroviral treatment failure is crucial for improving patient health and for maintaining long-term access to care in low-income settings such as eastern Africa. To develop interventions to support adherence, policymakers must understand the extent and scope of treatment failure in their programs. However, estimates of treatment failure in eastern Africa have been variable and inconclusive.

Objective

This systematic review and meta-analysis sought to determine the pooled prevalence of immunological failure among adults receiving antiretroviral therapy in eastern Africa.

Methods

We performed a systematic search of the PubMed, Google Scholar, Excerpta Medica Database, and the World Health Organization's Hinari portal (which includes the Scopus, African Index Medicus, and African Journals Online databases) databases. Unpublished studies were also accessed from conference websites and university repositories. We used Stata version 14 for data analysis. The Cochrane Q test and I ² test statistic were used to test for heterogeneity across the studies. Due to high levels of heterogeneity, a random effects model was used to estimate the pooled prevalence of immunological failure. Begg and Egger tests of the intercept in the random effects model were used to check for publication bias.

Results

After removing duplicates, 25 articles remained for assessment and screening. After quality screening, 15 articles were deemed eligible and incorporated into the final analysis. The average pooled estimate of immunological treatment failure prevalence was found to be 21.89% (95% CI, 15.14-28.64). In the subgroup analysis conducted by geographic region, the pooled prevalence of immunological treatment failure in Ethiopia was 15.2% (95% CI, 12.27-18.13) while in Tanzania it was 53.93% (95% CI, 48.14-59.73). Neither the results of Egger test or Begg tests suggested publication bias; however, on visual examination, the funnel plot appeared asymmetric. The large heterogeneity across the studies could be explained by study country.

Conclusion

Immunological treatment failure among patients receiving antiretroviral therapy in eastern Africa was high, and greater than previously reported. The relatively low rates of treatment failure found in Ethiopia suggest that its health extension program should be studied as a model for improving adherence in the region. (Curr Ther Res Clin Exp. 2021; 82:XXX-XXX) © 2021 Elsevier HS Journals, Inc.

Prevalence and Predictors of Virological Failure Among Adults Living with HIV in South Wollo Zone, Northeast Ethiopia: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Background

Highly active antiretroviral therapy has dramatically altered progression of HIV infection and significantly improved patients’ quality of life. However, drug resistance with consequent treatment failure raises the need for much more expensive and toxic second-line regimens. Thus, this study aimed at investigating the predictors of virologic failure among adults in Northeast Ethiopia.

Methods

A retrospective cohort study was carried out among adults who started first-line antiretroviral treatment from September 2005 to January 2018. Data were collected from patients’ medical records, entered and validated using EpiData version 3.1 and then exported to SPSS version 20 for analysis. Binary logistic regression was carried out; odds ratio with 95% CI was used to identify covariates associated with virologic failure. Statistical significance was considered at p-value <0.05.

Results

A total of 384 patients with mean age of 35.73±9.44 years were consecutively enrolled; of which, 213 (55.5%) were females, 255 (66.4%) had WHO clinical stage III/IV, and 130 (33.9%) had baseline CD4 count <100 cells/mm³. Mean baseline CD4 count was 179 cells/mm³ (range: 2–853 cells), and 158 (41.1%) participants were on AZT/3TC/NVP. Virological failure was diagnosed among 61 (15.9%) patients. The mean time to virologic failure after initiation of ART was 63.80 months (range: 17–150 months). After adjusting for other confounders, risk of experiencing virologic failure was significantly associated with being divorced (AOR 3.40, 95% CI 1.20–9.59), being naïve to ART (AOR 2.55, 95% CI 1.23–5.28), low (<100) baseline CD4 count (AOR 2.39, 95% CI 1.03–5.54) and nonadherence (AOR 6.73, 95% CI 3.29–13.76).

Conclusion

In this study, the prevalence of antiretroviral treatment failure was 15.9%. Being divorced, being naïve to antiretroviral therapy, low (<100 cells/mm³) baseline CD4 count and nonadherence were found to be significant predictors of virologic failure. ART programs should focus on early HIV diagnosis and ART initiation as well as enhanced adherence support.

Immunological Response During HAART and Determinants of Current CD4+ T-Cell Count Among HIV/AIDS Patients Attending University of Gondar Referral Hospital, Northwest Ethiopia

PURPOSE

After the initiation of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART), successful HAART is characterized by an increase in the CD4+ count. Several factors affect the CD4+ T-cell count. This study aimed to assess the immunological response during HAART and determinants of the current CD4+ T-cell count among HIV/AIDS patients on HAART.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A hospital-based cross-sectional study was conducted from February 1 to April 1, 2017. A total of 423 HIV/AIDS patients on HAART were enrolled using simple random sampling. Descriptive statistics, and bivariate and multiple regression analyses were conducted. Variables with p-value <0.2 in the bivariate analysis were entered in the multiple regression models. p-Values <0.05 and 95% confidence intervals were used to identify determinants of the current CD4+ T-cell count.

RESULTS

The mean CD4+ T-cell count gradually increased until 8 years on HAART but declined thereafter. An increased current CD4+ T-cell count was observed among patients with an initial regimen of pediatric d4T-3TC-NVP [β=185.5, 95% CI (8.8, 362.2)] (p=0.040), with increased baseline CD4+ T-cell count [β=0.468, 95% CI (0.342, 0.594)] (p<0.0001), and with long duration on HAART [β=18.0, 95% CI (9.9, 26.1)] (p<0.0001), whereas a decreased level of current CD4+ T-cell count was observed among males [β=-72.7, 95% CI (-114.5, -30.9)]) (p<0.0001) and those with poor baseline adherence [β=-108.9, 95% CI (-210.9, -7.0)] (p=0.036) and viral load >1000 copies [β=-189.2, 95% CI (-243.5, -134.9)] (p<0.0001).

CONCLUSION

The trend in immunological response was not increased linearly throughout the HAART duration. Sex, type of initial regimen, baseline adherence, baseline CD4+ count, viral load, and duration on HAART were independent determinants of current CD4+ count. These determinants could be addressed by regular monitoring of HIV patients on HAART, and special attention should be paid to male patients.

<p>Evaluation of Antiretroviral Therapy Initiated Among Pregnant Women Under Option B+ by Viral Load and CD4 Count Outcomes in Selected Hospitals of West Shewa Zone, Oromia Region, Ethiopia</p>

Background

Antiretroviral therapy (ART) is effective for the elimination of mother-to-child transmission (eMTCT) of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection, reducing infant mortality and ensuring maternal virologic suppression, while pregnant women require test and treat under Option B+ programs. Therefore, the study aimed to assess the evaluation of antiretroviral therapy initiated among pregnant women under Option B+ by viral load and CD4 count outcomes in selected hospitals of West Shewa Zone, Oromia Region, Ethiopia.

Methods

Hospital-based cross-sectional study design was employed to conduct the study at randomly selected hospitals providing Option B+ services with routine viral load assessment by Oromia Regional Laboratory (ORL) from January 2016 to January 2017. Bivariate and multivariable logistic regression analyses were conducted to determine factors affecting the time to ART initiation following an HIV test and logistic regression was used to determine the correlation between time and treatment outcomes.

Results

The viral load suppression (VL <1000 copies/mL) was achieved in 31% and 58.7% of patients who were on ART treatment for ≤37 months and longer than 38 months, respectively. It was identified that the mean viral load and CD4 count were 197.27 and 629.17, respectively, while 85.3% of the clients had their CD4 count increased from the baseline data. The study revealed that level of ART adherence, completion of full doses, compliance on appointments, duration of the ART uptake and baseline CD4 count were independent predictors of viral load suppression for women started on option B+ and continued on lifelong ART. And this study also revealed that gestational age at ART start, maternal age in years and adherence on medication were independently associated with CD4 response among HIV pregnant women initiated for lifelong ART.

Conclusion

The study results demonstrated that for 89.7% of study respondents, viral load was suppressed of which 80.3% were undetectable (VL= 0 copies/ml³ and 85.3% had increased CD4 count). This study determined the factors associated with viral load suppression and CD4 count improvement. Therefore, these factors should be emphatically considered during Option B+ program development and training to ensure CD4 count improvement and viral load suppression achievements.

HIV/AIDS treatment failure and associated factors in Ethiopia: meta-analysis

Background

The national burden of human immunodeficiency virus treatment failure and associated factors in the Ethiopian context is required to provide evidence towards a renewed ambitious future goal.

Methods

We accessed Ethiopian Universities’ online repository library, Google Scholar, PubMed, Web of Science, and Scopus to get the research articles. We run I-squared statistics to see heterogeneity. Publication bias was checked by using Egger’s regression test. The pooled prevalence was estimated using the DerSimonian-Laird random-effects model. We employed the sensitivity analysis to see the presence of outlier result in the included studies.

Results

The overall human immunodeficiency treatment failure was 15.9% (95% confidence interval: 11.6–20.1%). Using immunological, virological, and clinical definition, human immunodeficiency treatment failure was 10.2% (95% confidence interval: 6.9–13.6%), 5.6% (95% confidence interval: 2.9–8.3%), and 6.3% (95% confidence interval: 4.6–8.0%), respectively. The pooled effects of World Health Organization clinical stage III/IV (Adjusted Odd Ratio = 1.9; 95% CI: 1.3–2.6), presence of opportunistic infections (Adjusted Odd Ratio = 1.8; 95% CI: 1.2–2.4), and poor adherence to highly active antiretroviral therapy (Adjusted Odd Ratio = 8.1; 95% CI: 4.3–11.8) on HIV treatment failure were estimated.

Conclusions

Human immunodeficiency virus treatment failure in Ethiopia found to be high. Being on advanced clinical stage, presence of opportunistic infections, and poor adherence to highly active antiretroviral therapy were the contributing factors of human immunodeficiency virus treatment failure. Human immunodeficiency virus intervention programs need to address the specified contributing factors of human immunodeficiency virus treatment failure. Behavioral intervention to prevent treatment interruption is required to sustain human immunodeficiency virus treatment adherence.

Protocol registration

It has been registered in the PROSPERO database with a registration number of CRD42018100254.

HIV treatment outcomes following antiretroviral therapy initiation and monitoring: A workplace program in Papua, Indonesia

Background

Papua Province, Indonesia is experiencing an on-going epidemic of Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) infection, with an estimated 9-fold greater prevalence than the overall national rate. This study reviewed the treatment outcomes of an HIV-infected cohort on Antiretroviral Therapy (ART) and the predictors in terms of immunological recovery and virological response.

Methods

ART-naïve individuals in a workplace HIV program in southern Papua were retrospectively analyzed. Patients were assessed at 6, 12 and 36 months after ART initiation for treatment outcomes, and risk factors for virological suppression (viral load (VL) <1,000 copies/ml), poor immune response (CD4 <200 cells/mm³) and immunological failure (CD4 <100 cells/ mm³) after at least 6 months on ART, using a longitudinal Generalized Estimating Equations multivariate model.

Results

Assessment of 105 patients were included in the final analysis with a median age of 34 years, 88% male, median baseline CD4 236 cells/ mm³, and VL 179,000 copies/ml. There were 74, 73, and 39 patients at 6, 12, and 36 months follow-up, respectively, with 5 deaths over the entire period. For the three observation periods, 68, 80, and 75% of patents achieved virological suppression, poor immune responders decreased from 15, 16 to 10%, whilst 15, 16, 10% met the immunological failure criteria, respectively. Using multivariate analysis, the independent predictor for viral suppression at 12 and 36 months was ≥1 log decrease in VL at 6 months (OR 19.25, p<0.001). Higher baseline CD4 was significantly correlated with better immunological outcomes, and lower likelihood of experiencing immunological failure (p <0.001).

Conclusion

Virological response at six months after beginning ART is the strongest predictor of viral suppression at 12 and 36 months, and may help in identifying patients needing additional adherence therapy support. Higher baseline CD4 positively affects the immunological outcomes of patients. The findings indicate HIV control programs should prioritize the availability of VL testing and begin ART regardless of CD4 counts in infected patients.

Predictors of first-line antiretroviral therapy failure amongst HIV-infected adult clients at Woldia Hospital, Northeast Ethiopia

BACKGROUND

Due to the limited availability of viral load testing for treatment outcome monitoring in resource limited settings, identifying predictive factors of antiretroviral treatment failure will help in selecting clients who will benefit most from the targeted use of viral load monitoring. Little is known about the predictors of treatment failure in the study area. This study was conducted to determine factors that predict first-line antiretroviral therapy failure among HIV-infected adult clients at Woldia Hospital, Northeast Ethiopia. For this study, antiretroviral therapy treatment failure was defined as the fulfillment of clinical and/or immunological criteria set by WHO.

METHODS

Case-control study was carried out from November to December 2014. Cases were adult clients who were on failing first line regimen and on active follow up while controls were those adult clients on a non-failing first-line regimen for 36 months and above and on active follow up. Data was entered in to Epi Info version 7 and was exported to SPSS version 20 for analysis. Binary logistic regression model was used to identify predictors of ART failure.

RESULTS

A total of 59 cases and 245 controls were included in the analysis. Sixty three percent of the participants were females and the median age at ART enrollment was 33 years (IQR; 28, 40). The median baseline CD4count was not significantly different among cases and controls (105 (IQR = 60-174)vs.131 (IQR = 72.5-189.0); p = 0.301). The median peak CD4 count in the failure group (230 (IQR = 123-387)) was significantly low compared to the non-failure group (463 (IQR = 348.5-577)) [p < 0.001]. High peak CD4count (AOR = 0.993; 95% CI 0.990, 0.996) and longer duration on ART (AOR = 0.923; 95% CI 0.893, 0.954) were protective of treatment failure. In addition stavudine based regimen (AOR = 3.47; 95% CI 1.343, 10.555), low baseline BMI (AOR = 2.75; 95% CI 1.012, 7.457), unemployment (AOR = 4.93; 95% CI 1.493, 16.305) and formal educational level (AOR = 5.15; 95% CI 1.534, 17.276) were independently significant predictors of treatment failure.

CONCLUSIONS

In this setting low peak CD4count, shorter duration on first line ART, d4T based regimen, low baseline BMI, unemployment and formal educational level were significantly associated with increased treatment failure. Retaining patients on their initial first line regimen with appropriate follow up and improving their socioeconomic status through various livelihood initiatives should be strengthened.

Systematic review of statistically-derived models of immunological response in HIV-infected adults on antiretroviral therapy in Sub-Saharan Africa

Introduction

In Sub-Saharan African (SSA) resource limited settings, Cluster of Differentiation 4 (CD4) counts continue to be used for clinical decision making in antiretroviral therapy (ART). Here, HIV-infected people often remain with CD4 counts <350 cells/μL even after 5 years of viral load suppression. Ongoing immunological monitoring is necessary. Due to varying statistical modeling methods comparing immune response to ART across different cohorts is difficult. We systematically review such models and detail the similarities, differences and problems.

Methods

‘Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-Analyses’ guidelines were used. Only studies of immune-response after ART initiation from SSA in adults were included. Data was extracted from each study and tabulated. Outcomes were categorized into 3 groups: ‘slope’, ‘survival’, and ‘asymptote’ models. Wordclouds were drawn wherein the frequency of variables occurring in the reviewed models is indicated by their size and color.

Results

69 covariates were identified in the final models of 35 studies. Effect sizes of covariates were not directly quantitatively comparable in view of the combination of differing variables and scale transformation methods across models. Wordclouds enabled the identification of qualitative and semi-quantitative covariate sets for each outcome category. Comparison across categories identified sex, baseline age, baseline log viral load, baseline CD4, ART initiation regimen and ART duration as a minimal consensus set.

Conclusion

Most models were different with respect to covariates included, variable transformations and scales, model assumptions, modelling strategies and reporting methods, even for the same outcomes. To enable comparison across cohorts, statistical models would benefit from the application of more uniform modelling techniques. Historic efforts have produced results that are anecdotal to individual cohorts only. This study was able to define ‘prior’ knowledge in the Bayesian sense. Such information has value for prospective modelling efforts.

Clinical characteristics of pediatric HIV-1 patients treated with first-line antiretroviral therapy in Vietnam: a nested case-control study

OBJECTIVES

Over the past decades, Vietnam has made great strides in reducing the rate of mortality in HIV-related deaths, due to increased access of antiretroviral therapy (ART); however, given the significantly high level of treatment failure (TF), it is essential to identify markers that describe the failure of ART in HIV-1 infected children.

METHODS

A nested case-control study was conducted with clinical data collected from 101 HIV-infected children [26 TF and 75 treatment success (TS)] at National Hospital of Pediatrics, Vietnam (2008-2012).

RESULTS

The results showed that certain factors including height, weight, vaccination with Hepatitis B, and platelet were significantly different between TF and TS before starting the treatment. In addition, age to start the treatment, CD4 percentage, and opportunistic infection were found to significantly predict treatment outcome most frequently, implying the importance of clinical markers in the treatment response by Cox regression analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

There is an inherent complexity within clinical markers that is challenging to determine HIV-pediatric failure and further research is needed to build a complete picture to guide clinical, evidence-based practice.

Correlation of baseline hormonal disorders with immunological failure and mortality in male HIV patients during follow-up

To assess the effect that hormonal disturbances have on HIV prognosis in male patients. A prospective follow-up study was conducted among male HIV patients who started antiretroviral therapy (ART) between July 1, 2011 and June 30, 2014. The final follow-up session occurred before December 31, 2014. We examined the correlation between pre-ART hormone levels and disease prognosis. The Kaplan-Meier method and the multivariate Cox proportional hazard model were used to identify hormone-related predictors of immunological failure and mortality. During the follow-up of 163 male HIV patients, mortality rate occurred at a rate of 16.0% (26/163). Of these deaths, 84.6% (22/26) were acquired immunodeficiency syndrome-related. Furthermore, 53 patients were found to have suffered from immunological failure. Both pre-ART CD4+ T cell counts and the clinical stage assigned to the patients correlated strongly with dehydroepiandrosterone sulfate levels. Hyponatremia, high cortisol levels, tuberculosis, and being at World Health Organization (WHO)-defined clinical stage 4 were characteristics that associated significantly with mortality. Being at WHO clinical stage 4 was, itself, a factor that significantly associated with immunological failure. High cortisol levels were found to be an important hormonal disorder that associated with mortality. None of the hormones examined in this study had a strong correlation with immunological failure.

Short Communication: SCD14 and SCD163 Levels Are Correlated with VACS Index Scores: Initial Data from the Blunted Immune Recovery in CORE Patients with HIV (BIRCH) Cohort

The relationship between markers of monocyte/macrophage activation (sCD14 and sCD163) and components of the Veterans Aging Cohort Study (VACS) score, which predict mortality in patients with HIV, in immunologic nonresponders (INRs) is not defined. HIV(+) subjects with >12 months of continuous virologic suppression and persistent CD4 <250 cells/mm(3) were enrolled at the CORE Center, Chicago. Subjects had a single visit where history was taken and blood drawn. ELISA assays for sCD14 and sC163 were performed at Blood Systems, CA. Descriptive statistics were performed using SAS. We enrolled 43 subjects with persistent CD4 <250 after a median of 32 months of continuous viral suppression. We found elevated markers of monocyte/macrophage activation; sCD14 and sCD163 correlated with higher VACS scores as well as hepatitis C virus (HCV) coinfection and FIB-4 score, components of the VACS index. In this cohort of immunologic nonresponders, there was a significant correlation between markers of monocyte/macrophage activation and the VACS score. Among components of the VACS index, we did not find a significant association between HCV coinfection and sCD14; however, there was a significant association between HCV coinfection and sCD163.

Pattern and predictors of immunologic recovery in HIV infected patients

Background

Although anti-retroviral therapy has generally improved the survival of HIV infected patients in many developing countries including Ghana, specific socio-demographic factors could still influence outcome of treatment. This study was designed to identify patient-specific factors that could influence the immune recovery of absolute CD4 count in HIV infected patients.

Findings

Hospital records were extracted from two health facilities in Ghana. The impact of socio-demographic factors type of ART and baseline category of CD4 counts were assessed at six monthly interval using robust linear mixed models.

Results

A total of 214 follow up records were reviewed at Komfo Anokye Teaching Hospital (KATH) and the Kumasi South Hospital (KSH). One hundred (46.7 %) were from KATH and 114 (53.3 %) were from KSH. There was a general increase in the level of CD4 counts with time, however this increase significantly slowed down with subsequent reviews (p < 0.001). On the average the rate of CD4 count recovery slowed down by 43.6 cells/µl for every 6 months of follow up (SE = 7.69; p < 0.001). Similarly the recovery of CD4 counts in subjects with an initial high baseline CD4 counts decreased by 192.6 cells/µl (SD error = 42.3, p value ≤0.001). All other variables were not significantly associated with recovery of CD4 counts.

Conclusion

Our study has demonstrated the well-known phenomenon of CD4 counts increasing after administration of ARTs. CD4 counts increased more rapidly in those with relatively lower initial counts, catching up with those with high CD4 count by 2 years post treatment.