The role of PNI to predict survival in advanced hepatocellular carcinoma treated with Sorafenib

Prognostic Nutritional Index as a Prognostic Factor for Very Early-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma

INTRODUCTION

Field factors play more important roles in predicting the outcomes of patients compared with tumor factors in early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, the prognostic ability of noninvasive serum marker scores for hepatic fibrosis and liver functional reserve on very early-stage HCC is still not yet determined. We aimed to investigate the performance of these serum marker scores in predicting the prognoses of patients with very early-stage HCC.

METHODS

A total of 446 patients with very early-stage HCC from 2012 to 2022 were retrospectively enrolled. Serum biomarkers and prognostic scores determining overall survival (OS) were analyzed by Cox proportional hazards model. We compared the Akaike information criterion among the prognostic nutritional index (PNI), aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index, albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score, EZ (easy)-ALBI score, modified ALBI score, fibrosis-4 score, and lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio to determine the predictability on the OS.

RESULTS

After a median follow-up of 41.0 months (interquartile range 36.9-45.1 months), 81 patients died, with a 5-year OS rate of 71.0%. Among the noninvasive serum marker scores, PNI had the best performance in predicting the OS with the lowest Akaike information criterion (846.407) compared with other scores. Moreover, we stratified the patients into high-risk (PNI <45) and low-risk (PNI ≥45) groups. It showed that the 5-year OS rates were 83.4% and 60.8% in the low-risk and high-risk PNI groups, respectively ( P < 0.001).

DISCUSSION

PNI had the best performance in predicting the OS for patients with very early-stage HCC.

Prognostic Value of a Novel Index Combining the Prognostic Nutritional Index and D-Dimer Levels for Gastric Cancer after Gastrectomy

INTRODUCTION

The prognostic nutritional index (PNI) and D-dimer level are two useful measures for gastric cancer prognosis. As they each comprise different factors, it is possible to employ a more useful combined indicator. This study therefore aimed to establish a PNI-D score - which combines the PNI and D-dimer level - and validate its usefulness as a prognostic marker.

METHODS

We collected data from 1,218 patients with gastric cancer who had undergone radical gastrectomy (R0) between January 2004 and December 2015. Patients were divided into three PNI-D score groups based on the following criteria: score 2, low-PNI (≤46) and high D-dimer levels (>1.0 µg/mL); score 1, either low-PNI or high D-dimer levels; and score 0, no abnormality. We defined the PNI-D score as low (score 0 or 1) and high (score 2), respectively.

RESULTS

The PNI-D score was significantly associated with overall, recurrence-free, and disease-specific survival (all log-rank p < 0.0001). The 5-year overall survival rates of patients with PNI-D scores of low and high were 88.1% and 64.7%, respectively; their 5-year recurrence-free survival rates were 86.7% and 61.3%, respectively; and their 5-year disease-specific survival rates were 99.3% and 76.5%, respectively. Cox multivariate analysis revealed that a high-PNI-D score was an independent, statistically significant prognostic factor for poor overall (p = 0.01) survival in patients with gastric cancer.

CONCLUSIONS

The PNI-D is an independent prognostic factor for patients with gastric cancer.

Prognostic significance of psoas muscle index in male hepatocellular carcinoma patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors and tyrosine kinase inhibitors

Currently, the relationship between nutritional indices and the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) and tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs) remains unclear. This study aims to investigate the prognostic value of psoas muscle index (PMI), prognostic nutritional index (PNI), body mass index (BMI), and geriatric nutritional risk index (GNRI) in HCC patients treated with ICIs combined with TKIs. A total of 124 male patients with HCC were included in this study. PNI, PMI, BMI, and GNRI were calculated at the beginning of treatment. The Cox proportional hazards model was used to analyze the effect of various variables. In the univariate analysis, PMI, PNI, GNRI, and ALB were found to impact the outcomes of the patients at different follow-up times. However, the predictive value of these nutritional indices was eliminated when established risk factors were considered. In the multivariate analysis that only included nutrition-related indicators, PMI emerged as an independent prognostic factor for 1-year treatment outcomes. The group with low PMI (≤5.5409 cm2/m2) was found to have a higher risk of death at one year and at the end of the follow-up period.

Comparison of Nutrition Indices for Prognostic Utility in Patients with Sepsis: A Real-World Observational Study

Background: Nutritional status of critically ill patients is an important factor affecting complications and mortality. This study aimed to investigate the impact of three nutritional indices, the Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index (GNRI), Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI), and Controlling Nutritional Status (CONUT), on mortality in patients with sepsis in Japan. Methods: This retrospective observational study used the Medical Data Vision database containing data from 42 acute-care hospitals in Japan. We extracted data on baseline characteristics on admission. GNRI, PNI, and CONUT scores on admission were also calculated. To evaluate the significance of these three nutritional indices on mortality, we used logistic regression to fit restricted cubic spline models and constructed Kaplan–Meier survival curves. Results: We identified 32,159 patients with sepsis according to the inclusion criteria. Of them, 1804 patients were treated in intensive care units, and 3461 patients were non-survivors. When the GNRI dropped below 100, the risk of mortality rose sharply, as did that when the PNI dropped below about 40. An increased CONUT score was associated with increased mortality in an apparent linear manner. Conclusion: In sepsis management, GNRI and PNI values may potentially be helpful in identifying patients with a high risk of death.

Investigation Of The Relationship Between Prognostic Nutrition Index And Mortality In Patients With Femur Fracture

Aim: The incidence of adverse postoperative outcomes in surgeries for femur fractures is high and is associated with malnutrition. In this study, it was aimed to determine the independent factors for 6-month survival in patients with femur fracture and to evaluate the predictive value of the prognostic nutrition index (PNI). Material and Method: One hundred and sixteen patients operated on only for femoral fracture were divided into survival and non-survival groups according to mortality.Demographic characteristics of the patients, operation data, fracture sites, need for intensive care unit and length of stay, postoperative hospital stay, and preoperative laboratory values, prognostic nutrition indices and mortality were evaluated. Results: Twenty-six (22.4%) of 116 patients who were operated for femoral fracture resulted in 6-month mortality. CRP, albumin, prealbumin, crp/albumin ratio and PNI values at admission were independent risk factors for postoperative mortality (p=0.014, p

Validation of the easy-to-use lenvatinib prognostic index to predict prognosis in advanced hepatocellular carcinoma patients treated with lenvatinib

AIM

The identification of new prognostic factors able to stratify hepatocellular carcinoma patients candidate to first-line therapy is urgent. In the present work we validated the prognostic value of the lenvatinib prognostic index.

METHODS

Data of Eastern and Western patients treated with lenvatinib as first-line for Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage B or C hepatocellular carcinoma were recollected. The lenvatinib prognostic index was composed by three classes of risk according with our previous study. The "low risk" group includes patients with prognostic nutritional index (PNI) >43.3 and with previous transarterial chemoembolization. The "medium risk" group includes patients with PNI >43.3, but without previous transarterial chemoembolization and patients with PNI <43.3, albumin-bilirubin grade 1 and Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage B. The "high risk" group includes patients with PNI <43.3, albumin-bilirubin grade 2, and patients with PNI <43.3, albumin-bilirubin grade 1 and Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage C.

RESULTS

A total of 717 patients were included. The median overall survival was 20.7 months (95% CI 16.1-51.6) in patients with low risk (n = 223), 16.7 months (95% CI 13.3-47.0) in patients with medium risk (n = 264), and 10.7 months (95% CI 9.3-12.2) in patients with high risk (n = 230; HR 1, 1.29, and 1.92, respectively; p < 0.0001). Median progression-free survival was 7.3 months (95% CI 6.3-46.5) in patients with low risk, 6.4 months (95% CI 5.3-8.0) in patients with medium risk ,and 4.9 months (95% CI 4.3-5.5) in patients with high risk (HR 1, 1.07, 1.47 respectively; p = 0.0009).

CONCLUSION

The lenvatinib prognostic index confirms its prognostic value on an external cohort of hepatocellular carcinoma patients treated with Lenvatinib.

Changes in Inflammatory Markers Predict the Prognosis of Resected Hepatocellular Carcinoma with Child–Pugh A

(1) Background: The reasons for changes in the inflammatory markers of patients with surgically resected hepatocellular carcinoma are unclear. We aimed to investigate the association of an inflammatory status with the prognosis of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma, who underwent surgical resection. (2) Methods: We retrospectively enrolled 91 patients with Child A hepatocellular carcinoma, who had received surgical resection, to explore the influence of preoperative inflammatory markers and postoperative changes on the prognosis. (3) Results: The platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) and its alteration were independent prognostic factors. Patients with a low PLR had a significantly better recurrence-free survival (RFS) than those with a high PLR (1-year RFS of 88.5% versus 50.0%; 3-year RFS of 62.1% versus 25.0%, p = 0.038). The patients with a low PLR showed a significantly better overall survival (OS) than those with a high PLR (1-year OS of 98.9% versus 75.0%; 3-year OS of 78.2% versus 25.0%, p = 0.005). The patients whose PLR had increased at 6 months after operation showed a worse OS than patients whose PLR had decreased (1-year OS of 96.3% versus 98.4%; 3-year OS of 63.0% versus 79.7%, p = 0.048). However, neither the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio nor Onodera’s prognostic nutritional index had any prognostic significance. (4) Conclusions: The PLR and its alteration are significant prognostic factors for the RFS and OS of patients with Child A hepatocellular carcinoma who had received curative surgery.

Value of Preoperative Hematological Parameters in the Prognosis of Gastric Cancer Patients Undergoing a Total Gastrectomy

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to evaluate the relationships between the albumin/globulin ratio (AGR), neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and platelet/lymphocyte ratio (PLR) and clinicopathological information for gastric cancer patients. In addition, the prognostic values of these hematological parameters for resectable gastric cancer patients undergoing a total gastrectomy were determined.

METHODS

A total of 245 patients with gastric cancer who underwent a total gastrectomy at our hospital between January 1, 2005, and December 30, 2015, were enrolled into this study. The preoperative AGR, NLR, and PLR in the serum samples of the patients were measured. The relationships between the hematological parameters and the disease-free survival (DFS) as well as overall survival (OS) were analyzed by statistical analysis.

RESULTS

The cutoff values of AGR, NLR, and PLR were 1.57, 3.5, and 193, respectively. Univariate analyses demonstrated that a low AGR, a high NLR, and a high PLR were significant risk factors for a poor prognosis. According to multivariate analysis, a high PLR was found to be independently associated with a poor survival. Additionally, when age was considered as a stratified factor, univariate analyses demonstrated that a low AGR had the tendency to be correlated with a shorter DFS in nonelderly patients (<65 years old). A low AGR was significantly correlated with a shorter DFS and OS in elderly patients (≥65 years old).

CONCLUSION

AGR, NLR, and PLR are independent risk factors associated with a poor gastric cancer survival by univariate analysis, and AGR is an independent risk factor for predicting DFS and OS in elderly patients (≥65 years old) with gastric cancer after total gastrectomy.

Early Predictive Value of Circulating Biomarkers for Sorafenib in Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma

INTRODUCTION

Sorafenib is currently the first-line therapeutic regimen for patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, many patients did not experience any benefit and suffered extreme adverse events and heavy economic burden. Thus, the early identification of patients who are most likely to benefit from sorafenib is needed.

AREAS COVERED

This review focused on the clinical application of circulating biomarkers (including conventional biomarkers, immune biomarkers, genetic biomarkers, and some novel biomarkers) in advanced HCC patients treated with sorafenib. An online search on PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, and Cochrane Library was conducted from the inception to Aug 15, 2021. Studies investigating the predictive or prognostic value of these biomarkers were included.

EXPERT OPINION

The distinction of patients who may benefit from sorafenib treatment is of utmost importance. The predictive roles of circulating biomarkers could solve this problem. Many biomarkers can be obtained by liquid biopsy, which is a less or non-invasive approach. The short half-life of sorafenib could reflect the dynamic changes of tumor progression and monitor the treatment response. Circulating biomarkers obtained from liquid biopsy resulted as a promising assessment method in HCC, allowing for better treatment decisions in the near future.

Advanced Hepatocellular Cancer Treated with Sorafenib and Novel Inflammatory Markers

OBJECTIVE

Hepatocellular cancer (HCC) is an aggressive tumor with an increasing incidence in recent years. Life expectancy is limited, especially due to limited effective treatments and tumor biology. In this study, we aimed to examine the effect of neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), prognostic nutritional index (PNI) parameters of treatment efficacy of patients using sorafenib in primary systemic therapy, progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In this study, we retrospectively analyzed 78 patients who used sorafenib as a first-line systemic treatment. NLR, PLR, and PNI values were calculated with the existing formulas. Cut-off values for these markers were determined by performing ROC curve analysis. These values were determined respectively as 2.88, 111.05, and 38.25. Patients were divided into two groups according to this threshold value. OS and PFS values were calculated using a Cox proportional risk model. The effects of markers on OS and PFS were examined based on the cut-off value.

RESULTS

The mean PFS was 7.1 (range 1-46) months, and the mean OS was 14.1 (range 1.5-94) months. The pre-treatment decreased NLR (< 2.88) value was prognostic for higher PFS and OS rates. These values were determined respectively as 9.23 ± 1.79 and 3.45 ± 0.32 months for PFS and 21.17 ± 4.53 and 5.32 ± 0.53 months for OS. Pre-treatment decreased PLR (< 111.05) was found to be a positively significant prognostic value for both survival. These values were determined respectively as 7.37 ± 1.43 months and 3.16 ± 0.47 months for PFS and 21.12 ± 5.52 months and 6.16 ± 0.87 months for OS. And also, low PNI (< 38.25) value was prognostic for lower PFS and rates. These values were determined respectively as 7.47 ± 0.59 months and 3.25 ± 0.21 months for PFS and 16.36 ± 4.37 months and 5.15 ± 0.42 for OS. All three parameters were found to be statistically significant (p < 0.05) for both OS and PFS as independent prognostic markers.

CONCLUSION

Today, as the standard first-line treatment of HCC has shifted to combinations with immunotherapy (IO), IO transportation is not possible in most countries of the world. However, there are also patients who achieve great survival with only sorafenib. The important point is to identify the biomarkers that predict which patient will benefit better from which treatment. With the markers in our study and a scoring system that can be obtained with these markers, it can be evaluated which patient will be given IO combination and which patient will be given only TKI treatment. We think that such a scoring system can be used to identify suitable patients, especially in countries where, for financial reasons, not every patient can access Immunotherapy. The advantage of these tests is that they are inexpensive, easily calculable and standardized.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Number and date of registration: 2021/2088, 01-06-2021, retrospectively registered.

Clinical Value of Prognostic Nutritional Index in Prediction of the Presence and Severity of Neonatal Sepsis

Purpose

The prognostic nutritional index (PNI) is a common indicator of nutritional and inflammatory status and is associated with various diseases such as cancer, cardiovascular diseases and infectious diseases. However, to date, no study has concentrated on the role of PNI in assessing and predicting the presence and severity of neonatal sepsis. Therefore, the present study aimed to explore the association of the PNI with the presence and severity of neonatal sepsis.

Materials and Methods

A total of 1196 neonates with suspected sepsis were enrolled in this study and their complete clinical and laboratory data were collected. PNI was calculated as serum albumin (g/L) + 5 × total lymphocyte count (10⁹/L). Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to identify the risk factors for the presence and severity of neonatal sepsis. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed to evaluate the predictive value of PNI. All statistical analyses were performed using the statistical package SPSS 24.0.

Results

PNI was lower in neonates with sepsis and decreased significantly with the severity of sepsis. The correlation analysis demonstrated that the PNI was negatively correlated with the levels of the inflammatory marker procalcitonin (PCT) and C-reactive protein (CRP), and the length of hospital stay. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that the PNI was independently and inversely associated with the presence and severity of neonatal sepsis. The area under the ROC curve of the PNI was 0.64 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.61–0.67, P < 0.001) for severe sepsis and 0.69 (95% CI: 0.60–0.78, P < 0.001) for septic shock. In addition, our data revealed that PNI was also independently correlated with the length of hospital stay.

Conclusion

PNI is an independent predictor for the presence and severity of neonatal sepsis.

The Systemic Inflammatory Response Identifies Patients with Adverse Clinical Outcome from Immunotherapy in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Systemic inflammation is a hallmark of cancer, and it has a pivotal role in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development and progression. We conducted a retrospective study including 362 patients receiving immune check-point inhibitors (ICIs) across three continents, evaluating the influence of neutrophiles to lymphocytes ratio (NLR), platelets to lymphocytes ratio (PLR), and prognostic nutritional index (PNI) on overall (OS), progression free survival (PFS), and radiologic responses. In our 362 patients treated with immunotherapy, median OS and PFS were 9 and 3.5 months, respectively. Amongst tested inflammatory biomarkers, patients with NLR ≥ 5 had shorter OS (7.7 vs. 17.6 months, p < 0.0001), PFS (2.1 vs. 3.8 months, p = 0.025), and lower objective response rate (ORR) (12% vs. 22%, p = 0.034); similarly, patients with PLR ≥ 300 reported shorter OS (6.4 vs. 16.5 months, p < 0.0001) and PFS (1.8 vs. 3.7 months, p = 0.0006). NLR emerged as independent prognostic factors for OS in univariate and multivariate analysis (HR 1.95, 95%CI 1.45-2.64, p < 0.001; HR 1.73, 95%CI 1.23-2.42, p = 0.002) and PLR remained an independent prognostic factor for both OS and PFS in multivariate analysis (HR 1.60, 95%CI 1.6-2.40, p = 0.020; HR 1.99, 95%CI 1.11-3.49, p = 0.021). Systemic inflammation measured by NLR and PLR is an independent negative prognostic factor in HCC patients undergoing ICI therapy. Further studies are required to understand the biological mechanisms underlying this association and to investigate the predictive significance of circulating inflammatory biomarkers in HCC patients treated with ICIs.

The need for nutritional assessment and interventions based on the prognostic nutritional index for patients with femoral fractures: a retrospective study

Background

The incidence of adverse perioperative outcomes in surgery for femoral fractures is high and associated with malnutrition. Here, we identified independent factors and assessed the predictive value of the prognostic nutritional index (PNI) for perioperative adverse outcomes in patients with femoral fractures.

Methods

This retrospective study included 343 patients who underwent surgery for a single femur fracture. Demographic characteristics, surgery and anaesthesia records and blood test results at admission, 1 day postoperatively and before discharge were evaluated using logistic regression analysis. The discriminatory ability of the independent factors was assessed using the receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, and DeLong’s test was used to compare the area under the curve (AUC).

Results

Overall, 159 patients (46.4%) experienced adverse perioperative outcomes. Amongst these, 123 (35.9%) had lower limb vein thrombus, 68 (19.8%) had hospital-acquired pneumonia, 6 (1.7%) were transferred to the postoperative intensive care unit, 4 (1.2%) had pulmonary embolism, 3 (0.9%) died during hospitalisation and 9 (2.6%) had other adverse outcomes, including incision disunion, renal and liver function impairment, acute heart failure, acute cerebral infarction and stress gastroenteritis. The PNI at admission, age, postoperative hospital stay, time to admission, hypertension, combined injures and surgery type were independent factors for adverse perioperative outcomes. Based on the AUC (PNI at admission: 0.772 [0.723–0.821], P < 0.001; age: 0.678 [0.622–0.734], P < 0.001; postoperative hospital stay: 0.608 [0.548–0.668], P = 0.001; time to admission: 0.585 [0.525–0.646], P = 0.006), the PNI at admission had optimal discrimination ability, indicating its superiority over other independent factors (age vs. PNI at admission, P = 0.002; postoperative hospital stay vs. PNI at admission, P < 0.001; time to admission vs. PNI at admission, P < 0.001).

Conclusions

Patients with femoral fractures require a nutritional assessment and appropriate nutritional intervention at admission, and that the PNI value at admission may be a good nutritional assessment indicator.

[CDK1, CCNB1 and NDC80 are associated with prognosis and progression of hepatitis B virus-associated hepatocellular carcinoma: a bioinformatic analysis]

OBJECTIVE

To identify the key genes involved in the transformation of hepatitis B virus (HBV) into hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and explore the underlying molecular mechanisms.

METHODS

We analyzed the mRNA microarray data of 119 HBV-related HCC tissues and 252 HBV-related non-tumor tissues in GSE55092, GSE84044 and GSE121248 from the GEO database, and the "sva" R package was used to remove the batch effects. Integration analysis was performed to identify the differentially expressed genes (DEGs) in HBV-related liver cancer and liver tissues with HBV infection. The significant DEGs were functionally annotated using GO and KEGG analyses, and the most important modules and hub genes were explored with STRING analysis. Kaplan-Meier and Oncomine databases were used to verify the HCC gene expression data in the TCGA database to explore the correlations of the hub genes with the occurrence, progression and prognosis of HCC. We also examined the expressions of the hub genes in 17 pairs of surgical specimens of HCC and adjacent tissues using RT-qPCR.

RESULTS

We identified a total of 121 DEGs and 3 genetic markers in HCC (P < 0.01). These DEGs included cyclin1 (CDK1), cyclin B1 (CCNB1), and nuclear division cycle 80 (NDC80), which participated in cell cycle, pyrimidine metabolism and DNA replication and were highly correlated (P < 0.05). Analysis of the UALCAN database confirmed high expressions of these 3 genes in HCC tissues, which were correlated with a low survival rate of the patients, as shown by Kaplan-Meier analysis of the prognostic data from the UALCAN database. CDK1, CCNB1 and NDC80 were all correlated with the clinical grading of HCC (P < 0.05). The results of RT-qPCR on the surgical specimens verified significantly higher expressions of CDK1, CCNB1 and NDC80 mRNA in HCC tissues than in the adjacent tissues.

CONCLUSION

CDK1, CCNB1 and NDC80 genes can be used as prognostic markers of HBV-related HCC and may serve as potential targets in preclinical studies and clinical treatment of HCC.

Identification of Regorafenib Prognostic Index (REP Index) via Recursive Partitioning Analysis in Patients with Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma Receiving Systemic Treatment: A Real-World Multi-Institutional Experience

BACKGROUND

The results of the pivotal RESORCE trial led to the approval of the tyrosine kinase inhibitor regorafenib as second-line treatment in advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after sorafenib failure. Data about prognostic factors in a second-line HCC setting are scarce.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the present study was to investigate prognostic factors in a cohort of patients with advanced HCC treated with regorafenib after progressing on sorafenib.

METHODS

We retrieved the data of 259 patients affected by advanced HCC treated with regorafenib as second-line treatment from four different Italian institutions and one South Korean institution and performed a recursive partitioning analysis to build a score system.

RESULTS

At the first-step univariate analysis for overall survival (OS), alkaline phosphatase (ALP) was the most significant parameter and was chosen as the first node in our tree model. In the subpopulation of patients presenting with ALP ≤122 U/L (n=155) at baseline, the most statistically significant split was by progression-free survival (PFS) on previous sorafenib treatment, between patients with a PFS ≥ 6 months (n  =  59) and patients with a PFS < 6 months (n = 96). In the subpopulation of patients with ALP ≤ 122 U/L and PFS to sorafenib ≥ 6 months, the final split was determined between patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related liver disease (n = 22) and patients with no HBV-related liver disease (n = 37). In the subpopulation of patients presenting ALP >122 U/L (n = 104) at baseline, the most statistically significant split was by aspartate aminotransferase (AST) value, between patients with AST ≤ 56 U/L (n = 48) and patients with AST > 56 U/L (n = 56). We built the Regorafenib Prognostic Index (REP index) stratifying the population into "low-risk," "medium-risk," and "high-risk" groups. The difference in median OS between the three risk groups was statistically significant, being 20.8 months (95% confidence interval [CI] 10.0-46.3) in the "low-risk" group, 8.4 months (95% CI 7.2-1435.8) in the "medium-risk" group, and 5.5 months (95% CI 3.5-13.2) in the "high risk" group. The median PFS was 7.7 months (95% CI 3.7-19.3), 2.5 months (95% CI 2.1-28.8), and 2.4 months (95% CI 1.6-9.1) for the "low-risk," "medium-risk," and "high-risk" groups, respectively.

CONCLUSION

The REP index is an independent prognostic factor for OS and PFS in patients with advanced HCC treated with regorafenib.

The importance of the glucose-to-lymphocyte ratio in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma treated with sorafenib

Aim: To show the prognostic significance of the glucose-to-lymphocyte ratio (GLR) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Patients & methods: A total of 150 patients with advanced HCC who were treated with sorafenib in our center between January 2011 and December 2019 were included in the study retrospectively. Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, systemic immune-inflammation index, lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, prognostic nutritional index and GLR were analyzed to assess their prognostic value using Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression analysis before and after propensity score matching (PSM). Results: In univariate analysis before and after PSM, albumin-bilirubin grade, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, systemic immune-inflammation index, lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio, prognostic nutritional index, AFP level and GLR were found to be significantly associated with both progression-free and overall survival. In multivariate analysis before and after PSM, GLR, albumin-bilirubin grade and AFP were determined to be independent prognostic factors for progression-free and overall survival. Conclusion: The GLR prior to sorafenib treatment is a new prognostic biomarker that may predict survival in advanced HCC.

Refining Prognosis in Chemoembolization for Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Immunonutrition and Liver Function

A combination of albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grading and the Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI) was identified recently as a highly predictive tool for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) undergoing tumor ablation. The present study evaluated this combination in patients undergoing transarterial chemoembolization (TACE). Between 2010 and 2020, 280 treatment-naïve patients were retrospectively identified. The influence of ALBI grade, PNI and the novel ALBI-PNI on the median overall survival (OS) was assessed. In the next step, the prognostic ability of the combined approach was compared to established scoring systems. Both ALBI grade 2-3 and a low PNI were highly predictive for median OS (ALBI grade 1-3: 39.0 vs. 16.3 vs. 5.4 months, p < 0.001; high vs. low PNI: 21.4 vs. 7.5, p < 0.001). The combination of both resulted in a median OS of 39.0, 20.1, 10.3, and 5.4 months (p < 0.001). With a Concordance Index (C-Index) of 0.69, ALBI-PNI outperformed each individual score (ALBI 0.65, PNI 0.64) and was also better than BCLC, HAP, mHAP-II, and the Six-and-Twelve score (C-Indices 0.66, 0.60, 0.59, and 0.55). Thus, the easy-to-calculate ALBI-PNI may be a promising stratification tool for patients with HCC undergoing TACE, reflecting both immunonutritive status and liver function.

Identification of lenvatinib prognostic index via recursive partitioning analysis in advanced hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

After the advent of new treatment options for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), the identification of prognostic factors is crucial for the selection of the most appropriate therapy for each patient.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

With the aim to fill this gap, we applied recursive partitioning analysis (RPA) to a cohort of 404 patients treated with lenvatinib.

RESULTS

The application of RPA resulted in a classification based on five variables that originated a new prognostic score, the lenvatinib prognostic index (LEP) index, identifying three groups: low risk [patients with prognostic nutritional index (PNI) >43.3 and previous trans-arterial chemoembolization (TACE)]; medium risk [patients with PNI >43.3 but without previous TACE and patients with PNI <43.3, albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade 1 and Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage B (BCLC-B)]; high risk [patients with PNI <43.3 and ALBI grade 2 and patients with PNI <43.3, albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade 1 and Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage C (BCLC-C)]. Median overall survival was 29.8 months [95% confidence interval (CI) 22.8-29.8 months] in low risk patients (n = 128), 17.0 months (95% CI 15.0-24.0 months) in medium risk (n = 162) and 8.9 months (95% CI 8.0-10.7 months) in high risk (n = 114); low risk hazard ratio (HR) 1 (reference group), medium risk HR 1.95 (95% CI 1.38-2.74), high risk HR 4.84 (95% CI 3.16-7.43); P < 0.0001. The LEP index was validated in a cohort of 127 Italian patients treated with lenvatinib. While the same classification did not show a prognostic value in a cohort of 311 patients treated with sorafenib, we also show a possible predictive role in favor of lenvatinib in the low risk group.

CONCLUSIONS

LEP index is a promising, easy-to-use tool that may be used to stratify patients undergoing systemic treatment of advanced HCC.

The Relationship Between Prognostic Nutritional Index and All-Cause Mortality in Critically Ill Patients: A Retrospective Study

Purpose

The effectiveness and prognostic value of the prognostic nutritional index (PNI) in critically ill patients are unknown. Hence, this study aimed to analyze the relationship between the PNI and all-cause mortality in critically ill patients.

Patients and Methods

Patient data were obtained from the Multiparameter Intelligent Monitoring in Intensive Care III database. The relationship between the PNI and in-hospital mortality was analyzed using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis and a logistic regression model. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to eliminate the bias caused by confounding factors. The Kaplan-Meier curve and Cox regression model were used to test the effect of the PNI on 30-, 90-, 180-, and 365-day mortality.

Results

A low PNI score is an independent risk factor for in-hospital mortality in critically ill patients. A total of 3644 cases were successfully matched using PSM. The PSM group with balanced covariates obtained similar results in the three models, which were statistically significant. The Kaplan-Meier curve and Cox regression model showed that the PNI was negatively correlated with 30-, 90-, 180-, and 365-day all-cause mortality.

Conclusion

The PNI score is an independent risk factor for all-cause mortality in critically ill patients, where a low PNI score is associated with increased mortality.

Role of the prognostic nutritional index in predicting survival in advanced hepatocellular carcinoma treated with regorafenib

AIM

A link has been established between malnutrition, immunological status, and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The prognostic nutritional index (PNI) has been recognized as a prognostic indicator in early-stage HCC and in patients treated with first-line therapy. However, to date, the role of the PNI in HCC patients treated with regorafenib has not been reported.

METHODS

We undertook a multicentric analysis on a cohort of 284 patients affected by advanced HCC treated with regorafenib. The PNI was calculated as follows: 10 × serum albumin concentration (g/dl) + 0.005 × peripheral lymphocyte count (number/mm³ ). Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to investigate the association between PNI and survival outcomes.

RESULTS

A PNI cut-off value of 44.45 was calculated by a receiver operating characteristic analysis. The median overall survival was 12.8 and 7.8 months for patients with high (>44.45) and low (≤44.45) PNI, respectively (hazard ratio, 0.58; 95% confidence interval, 0.43-0.77; p = 0.0002). In the univariate and multivariate analyses, low PNI value and increased serum bilirubin level emerged as independent prognostic factors for overall survival. No differences were found between high and low PNI in terms of progression-free survival (p = 0.14).

CONCLUSION

If validated, the PNI could represent an easy-to-use prognostic tool able to guide the clinical decision-making process in HCC patients treated with regorafenib.

Dynamic changes in practical inflammation and immunity markers in cancer patients receiving immune-enhancing nutritional supplementation during concurrent chemoradiotherapy

BACKGROUND

Immune-enhancing nutrition (IMN) strengthens the systematic inflammatory response and the immune system. Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and absolute lymphocyte count (ALC) are affected during cancer therapies.

OBJECTIVE

We carried out an analysis of the dynamic changes in NLR and ALC over time in cancer patients with or without IMN supplementation.

METHODS

88 cancer patients receiving concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) were randomized into regular diet group, and regular diet and IMN group.Generalized estimation equation models were used to assess associations between patient's characteristics, IMN, and dynamic changes in NLR and ALC over time.

RESULTS

NLR and ALC at preCCRT were significantly associated with dynamic changes in NLR (adjusted β= 1.08, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.64-1.52) and ALC (adjusted β= 0.41, 95% CI: 0.36-0.46). The magnitudes of the NLR and ALC changes through CCRT were lower in patients receiving IMN, although the differences were not statistically significant except ALC at the end of CCRT in head and neck cancer patients (P= 0.023).

CONCLUSION

Dynamic negative changes in both markers were demonstrated throughout CCRT. There were non-significant trend in promising changes in both NLR and ALC values in the whole group in IMN supplementation.

Immunonutritive Scoring in Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma Undergoing Transarterial Chemoembolization: Prognostic Nutritional Index or Controlling Nutritional Status Score?

OBJECTIVES

The Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI) and Controlling Nutritional Status (CONUT) score are immunonutritive scoring systems with proven predictive ability in various cancer entities, including hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We performed the first evaluation of the CONUT score for patients undergoing transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) and compared CONUT and PNI in the ability to predict median overall survival (OS).

METHODS

Between 2010 and 2020, we retrospectively identified 237 treatment-naïve patients with HCC who underwent initial TACE at our institution. Both scores include the albumin level and total lymphocyte count. The CONUT additionally includes the cholesterol level. Both scores were compared in univariate and multivariate regression analyses taking into account established risk factors. In a second step, a subgroup analysis was performed on BCLC stage B patients, for whom TACE is the recommended first-line treatment.

RESULTS

A high CONUT score and low PNI were associated with impaired median OS (8.7 vs. 22.3 months, p<0.001 and 6.8 vs. 20.1 months, p<0.001, respectively). In multivariate analysis, only the PNI remained an independent prognostic predictor (p=0.003), whereas the CONUT score lost its predictive ability (p=0.201). In the subgroup of recommended TACE candidates, both CONUT and PNI were able to stratify patients according to their median OS (6.6 vs. 17.9 months, p<0.001 and 10.3 vs. 22.0 months, p<0.001, respectively). Again, in the multivariate analysis, only the PNI remained an independent prognostic factor (p=0.012).

CONCLUSION

Both scores were able to stratify patients according to their median OS, but only the PNI remained an independent prognostic factor. Therefore, PNI should be preferred when evaluating the nutritional status of patients undergoing TACE.

Biomarkers in Hepatobiliary Cancers: What is Useful in Clinical Practice?

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and biliary tract cancers (BTC) exhibit a poor prognosis with 5-year overall survival rates around 15%, all stages combined. Most of these primary liver malignancies are metastatic at diagnostic, with only limited therapeutic options, relying mainly on systemic therapies. Treatment modalities are different yet partially overlapping between HCC and BTC. The complex molecular profile of BTC yields to several actionable therapeutic targets, contrary to HCC that remains the field of antiangiogenic drugs in non-molecularly selected patients. Immunotherapy is now validated in the first line in HCC in combination with bevacizumab, while clinical activity of single agent immunotherapy appears limited to a subset of patients in BTC, still poorly characterized, and combinations are currently under investigation. In this review, we provide a critical evaluation and grading of clinical relevance on (i) the main prognostic biomarkers in HCC and BTC, (ii) the main theragnostic biomarkers in both tumors, and lastly (iii) what is recommended in clinical practice.

Advances in systemic therapy for the first-line treatment of unresectable HCC

Introduction: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most common and deadliest cancers worldwide. In recent years, several drugs have been approved in first- and second-line setting. Currently, several phase-III trials are ongoing with combinations of checkpoint inhibitors, tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKI) and anti-angiogenic antibodies, which will most likely increase therapeutic options in frontline therapy in the near future.Areas covered: This review summarizes the standard of care in first-line systemic therapy for patients with advanced HCC and provides an outlook on the most promising combinations currently tested in prospective trials.Expert opinion: The recent approval of novel substances has substantially changed the field of palliative treatment strategies in patients with advanced HCC. Immuno-oncology (IO)-based combination therapies will become the next standard of care in frontline HCC. The potent anti-tumor efficacy and good tolerability of these therapies will increase the use of upfront systemic therapy in patients with intermediate stage HCC.

A nomogram based on combining systemic and hepatic inflammation markers for predicting microscopic bile duct tumour thrombus in hepatocellular carcinoma

Background

Bile duct invasion is a relatively rare event and is not well characterised in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). It remains very difficult to diagnose HCC with bile duct tumour thrombus (BDTT) before surgery. Increasing evidence has revealed that inflammation plays a critical role in tumorigenesis. This study aimed to develop nomograms based on systemic and hepatic inflammation markers to predict microscopic BDTT (micro-BDTT) before surgery in HCC.

Methods

A total of 723 HCC patients who underwent hepatectomy as initial therapy between January 2012 and June 2020 were included in the study. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify independent risk factors for micro-BDTT. The nomograms were constructed using significant predictors, including α-fetoprotein (AFP), alkaline phosphatase (ALP), direct bilirubin (DB), prognostic nutritional index (PNI), and γ-glutamyl transferase (γ-GT)/alanine aminotransferase (ALT). The prediction accuracies of the nomograms were evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.

Results

AFP, ALP, DB, PNI, and γ-GT/ALT were independent risk factors for predicting micro-BDTT (P = 0.036, P = 0.004, P = 0.013, P = 0.012, and P = 0.006, respectively), which were assembled into the nomograms. The area under the ROC curve of the nomograms combining PNI and γ-GT/ALT for predicting micro-BDTT was 0.804 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.730–0.878). The sensitivity and specificity values when used in predicting micro-BDTT before surgery were 0.739 (95% CI: 0.612–0.866) and 0.781 (95% CI: 0.750–0.813), respectively.

Conclusions

The nomogram based on combining systemic and hepatic inflammation markers is suitable for predicting micro-BDTT before surgery in HCC patients, leading to a rational therapeutic choice for HCC.

Novel Prognostic Nomogram for Recurrence-Free Survival of Patients With Primary Gastrointestinal Stromal Tumors After Surgical Resection: Combination of Prognostic Nutritional Index and Basic Variables

Background

Gastrointestinal stromal tumor (GIST) is the most common type of mesenchymal tumors in the digestive tract, often recrudescing even after R0 resection. Adjuvant tyrosine kinase inhibitor therapy prolonged recurrence-free survival (RFS). This study aimed to develop a novel nomogram for predicting the RFS of patients following surgical resection of GISTs.

Methods

Clinicopathologic data of patients with GISTs at Tianjin Medical University General Hospital (Tianjin, China) from January 2000 to October 2019 were retrospectively reviewed. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to select the suitable variables from the training cohort to construct a nomogram for 2- and 5-year RFS. The 1,000 bootstrap samples and calibration curves were used to validate the discrimination of the nomogram. The receiver operating characteristic analysis(ROC) was used to compare the predictive ability of the nomogram and present four commonly used risk stratification systems: National Institutes of Health (NIH)–Fletcher staging system; NIH–Miettinen criteria; Modified NIH criteria; and Air Forces Institute of Pathology risk criteria (AFIP).

Results

Univariate and multivariate analyses showed that the tumor site, tumor size, mitotic index, tumor rupture, and prognostic nutritional index were significant factors associated with RFS. These variables were selected to create the nomogram for 2- and 5-year RFS (all P<0.05). The 2- and 5-year the ROC of the nomogram were 0.821 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.740–0.903) and 0.798 (95% CI: 0.739–0.903); NIH–Fletcher criteria were 0.757 (95% CI: 0.667–0.846) and 0.683 (95% CI: 0.613–0.753); NIH–Miettinen criteria were 0.762 (95% CI: 0.678–0.845) and 0.718 (95% CI: 0.653–0.783); Modified NIH criteria were 0.750 (95% CI: 0.661–0.838) and 0.689 (95% CI: 0.619–0.760); and AFIP were 0.777 (95% CI: 0.685–0.869) and 0.708 (95% CI: 0.636–0.780). Hence, the predictive probabilities of our nomogram are better than those of other GIST risk stratification systems.

Conclusion

This nomogram, combining tumor site, tumor size, mitotic index, tumor rupture, and prognostic nutritional index, may assist physicians in providing individualized treatment and surveillance protocols for patients with GISTs following surgical resection.

Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors in the Treatment of HCC

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the typical inflammation-induced neoplasia. It often prospers where a chronic liver disease persists, thus leading a strong rationale for immune therapy. Several immune-based treatments, including immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI), cytokines, adoptive cell transfer, and vaccines, have been tested in the treatment of HCC. In this review, we summarize the role of the ICI in HCC patients in various sets of treatment. As for advanced HCC, the anti-Programmed cell Death protein 1 (PD1) antibodies and the anti-Cytotoxic T-Lymphocyte Antigen 4 (CTLA-4) antibodies have been examined in patients with enthusiastic results in phase I-II-III studies. Overall, this led the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) to approve pembrolizumab, nivolumab, and nivolumab + ipilimumab in the second-line setting. The anti- Programmed Death-Ligand 1 (PDL-1) antibodies have also been evaluated. Thanks to the results obtained from phase III IMbrave study, atezolizumab + bevacizumab is now the standard of care in the first-line advanced setting of HCC. As for localized HCC, the putative immunological effect of locoregional therapies led to evaluate the combination strategy with ICI. This way, chemoembolization, ablation with radiofrequency, and radioembolization combined with ICI are currently under study. Likewise, the study of adjuvant immunotherapy following surgical resection is underway. In addition, the different ICI has been studied in combination with other ICI as well as with multikinase inhibitors and anti-angiogenesis monoclonal antibody. The evidence available suggests that combining systemic therapies and locoregional treatments with ICI may represent an effective strategy in this context.

Lenvatinib for Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Literature Review

Lenvatinib, which is an oral multikinase inhibitor, showed non-inferiority to the sorafenib in terms of overall survival (OS) and a higher objective response rate (ORR) and better progression-free survival (PFS) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). A good liver function and Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) intermediate stage were the key factors in achieving therapeutic efficacy. The management of adverse events plays an important role in continuing lenvatinib treatment. While sequential therapies contributed to prolonging overall survival, effective molecular targeted agents for the administration after lenvatinib have not been established. Repeated transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) was associated with a decline in the liver function and poor therapeutic response in BCLC intermediate patients. Recently, the Asia-Pacific Primary Liver Cancer Expert (APPLE) Consensus Statement proposed the criteria for TACE unsuitability. Upfront systemic therapy may be better for the BCLC intermediate stage HCC patients with a high tumor burden, while selective TACE will be recommended for obtaining a curative response in patients with a low tumor burden. This article reviews the therapeutic response, management of adverse events, post-progression treatment after Lenvatinib, and treatment strategy for BCLC intermediate stage HCC.

Introducing immunotherapy for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma patients: Too early or too fast?

Advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most frequent liver cancer. Immunotherapy has been explored in this disease in order to improve survival outcomes. Nowadays, scientific research is focusing especially on immune checkpoint inhibitors, in particular anti-PD1, anti-PD-L1 and anti-CTLA4 monoclonal antibodies (mAbs), as single-agent or in combination with other immunotherapy agents, target therapies, anti-vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) and other agents targeting specific molecular pathways. Other immunotherapy strategies have been assessed or are under investigation in advanced HCC, namely cytokines, adoptive cell therapy, oncolytic virus, cancer vaccines. Each treatment presents specific efficacy and toxicity profiles, strictly related to their mechanism of action and to advanced HCC tumour microenvironment (TME). The aim of this review is to outline the state-of-the-art of immunotherapy in advanced HCC treatment, highlighting data on already investigated treatment strategies, safety and toxicity (including HBV/HCV-related HCC), and ongoing clinical trials focusing on new promising therapeutic weapons.

The role of prognostic nutritional index for clinical outcomes of gastric cancer after total gastrectomy

The purpose of this article is to evaluate the relationship between the nutrition-based microenvironment and clinicopathological information for gastric cancer patients and to investigate the prognostic value of nutrition index for gastric cancer patients undergoing total gastrectomy. We retrospectively collected clinical information of 245 gastric cancer patients who underwent total gastrectomy in our hospital between January 1st 2005 and December 30th 2015. According to the prognostic nutritional index (PNI) level, they were divided into low PNI (< 43) group and high PNI (≥ 43) group. The relationship between PNI and the disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) were analyzed by statistical analysis. Univariate analyses demonstrated that TNM stage (p = 0.025), patients age (p = 0.042), lymph node metastasis (p = 0.028), tumor differentiation (p = 0.037) and a low PNI (p = 0.033) were closely correlated with a poor prognosis. In multivariate analysis, TNM stage (p = 0.027) and a low PNI (p = 0.041) were found to be independently associated with poor survival. Additionally, when age was considered as a stratified factor, univariate analyses demonstrated that low PNI correlated with shorter DFS in non-elderly (< 65) patients (p = 0.022) and shorter DFS (p = 0.036) and OS (p = 0.047) in elderly (≥ 65) patients. The low prognostic nutritional index is an independent risk factor associated with poor gastric cancer survival which represents the nutritional microenvironment. Patients with low pre-operative prognostic nutritional index levels should be observed more closely after surgery to prevent the occurrence of post-operative complications in the near future.