Insulin secretion and sensitivity in the prediction of type 1 diabetes in children with advanced β-cell autoimmunity

Islet autoantibodies as precision diagnostic tools to characterize heterogeneity in type 1 diabetes: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

Islet autoantibodies form the foundation for type 1 diabetes (T1D) diagnosis and staging, but heterogeneity exists in T1D development and presentation. We hypothesized that autoantibodies can identify heterogeneity before, at, and after T1D diagnosis, and in response to disease-modifying therapies.

METHODS

We systematically reviewed PubMed and EMBASE databases (6/14/2022) assessing 10 years of original research examining relationships between autoantibodies and heterogeneity before, at, after diagnosis, and in response to disease-modifying therapies in individuals at-risk or within 1 year of T1D diagnosis. A critical appraisal checklist tool for cohort studies was modified and used for risk of bias assessment.

RESULTS

Here we show that 152 studies that met extraction criteria most commonly characterized heterogeneity before diagnosis (91/152). Autoantibody type/target was most frequently examined, followed by autoantibody number. Recurring themes included correlations of autoantibody number, type, and titers with progression, differing phenotypes based on order of autoantibody seroconversion, and interactions with age and genetics. Only 44% specifically described autoantibody assay standardization program participation.

CONCLUSIONS

Current evidence most strongly supports the application of autoantibody features to more precisely define T1D before diagnosis. Our findings support continued use of pre-clinical staging paradigms based on autoantibody number and suggest that additional autoantibody features, particularly in relation to age and genetic risk, could offer more precise stratification. To improve reproducibility and applicability of autoantibody-based precision medicine in T1D, we propose a methods checklist for islet autoantibody-based manuscripts which includes use of precision medicine MeSH terms and participation in autoantibody standardization workshops.

HOMA-IR and the Matsuda Index as predictors of progression to type 1 diabetes in autoantibody-positive relatives

AIM/HYPOTHESIS

We assessed whether HOMA-IR and the Matsuda Index are associated with transitions through stages of type 1 diabetes.

METHODS

Autoantibody (AAb)-positive relatives of individuals with type 1 diabetes (n=6256) from the TrialNet Pathway to Prevention were studied. Associations of indicators of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR) and insulin sensitivity (Matsuda Index) with BMI percentile (BMIp) and age were assessed with adjustments for measures of insulin secretion, Index60 and insulinogenic index (IGI). Cox regression was used to determine if tertiles of HOMA-IR and Matsuda Index predicted transitions from Not Staged (<2 AAbs) to Stage 1 (≥2 AAbs and normoglycaemia), from Stage 1 to Stage 2 (≥2 AAbs with dysglycaemia), and progression to Stage 3 (diabetes as defined by WHO/ADA criteria).

RESULTS

There were strong associations of HOMA-IR (positive) and Matsuda Index (inverse) with baseline age and BMIp (p<0.0001). After adjustments for Index60, transitioning from Stage 1 to Stage 2 was associated with higher HOMA-IR and lower Matsuda Index (HOMA-IR: HR=1.71, p<0.0001; Matsuda Index, HR=0.40, p<0.0001), as with progressing from Stages 1 or 2 to Stage 3 (HOMA-IR: HR=1.98, p<0.0001; Matsuda Index: HR=0.46, p<0.0001). Without adjustments, associations of progression to Stage 3 were inverse for HOMA-IR and positive for Matsuda Index, opposite in directionality with adjustments. When IGI was used in place of Index60, the findings were similar.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

Progression to Stages 2 and 3 of type 1 diabetes increases with HOMA-IR and decreases with the Matsuda Index after adjustments for insulin secretion. Indicators of insulin secretion appear helpful for interpreting associations of progression to type 1 diabetes with HOMA-IR or the Matsuda Index in AAb-positive relatives.

What is the role of puberty in the development of islet autoimmunity and progression to type 1 diabetes?

In many populations, the peak period of incidence of type 1 diabetes (T1D) has been observed to be around 10-14 years of age, coinciding with puberty, but direct evidence of the role of puberty in the development of T1D is limited. We therefore aimed to investigate whether puberty and the timing of its onset are associated with the development of islet autoimmunity (IA) and subsequent progression to T1D. A Finnish population-based cohort of children with HLA-DQB1-conferred susceptibility to T1D was followed from 7 years of age until 15 years of age or until a diagnosis of T1D (n = 6920). T1D-associated autoantibodies and growth were measured at 3- to 12-month intervals, and pubertal onset timing was assessed based on growth. The analyses used a three-state survival model. IA was defined as being either positive for islet cell antibodies plus at least one biochemical autoantibody (ICA + 1) or as being repeatedly positive for at least one biochemical autoantibody (BC1). Depending on the IA definition, either 303 (4.4%, ICA + 1) or 435 (6.3%, BC1) children tested positive for IA by the age of 7 years, and 211 (3.2%, ICA + 1)) or 198 (5.3%, BC1) developed IA during follow-up. A total of 172 (2.5%) individuals developed T1D during follow-up, of whom 169 were positive for IA prior to the clinical diagnosis. Puberty was associated with an increase in the risk of progression to T1D, but only from ICA + 1-defined IA (hazard ratio 1.57; 95% confidence interval 1.14, 2.16), and the timing of pubertal onset did not affect the association. No association between puberty and the risk of IA was detected. In conclusion, puberty may affect the risk of progression but is not a risk factor for IA.

Heterogeneity of beta-cell function in subjects with multiple islet autoantibodies in the TEDDY family prevention study - TEFA

BACKGROUND

Individuals with multiple islet autoantibodies are at increased risk for clinical type 1 diabetes and may proceed gradually from stage to stage complicating the recruitment to secondary prevention studies. We evaluated multiple islet autoantibody positive subjects before randomisation for a clinical trial 1 month apart for beta-cell function, glucose metabolism and continuous glucose monitoring (CGM). We hypothesized that the number and type of islet autoantibodies in combination with different measures of glucose metabolism including fasting glucose, HbA1c, oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT), intra venous glucose tolerance test (IvGTT) and CGM allows for more precise staging of autoimmune type 1 diabetes than the number of islet autoantibodies alone.

METHODS

Subjects (n = 57) at 2-50 years of age, positive for two or more islet autoantibodies were assessed by fasting plasma insulin, glucose, HbA1c as well as First Phase Insulin Response (FPIR) in IvGTT, followed 1 month later by OGTT, and 1 week of CGM (n = 24).

RESULTS

Autoantibodies against GAD65 (GADA; n = 52), ZnT8 (ZnT8A; n = 40), IA-2 (IA-2A; n = 38) and insulin (IAA; n = 28) were present in 9 different combinations of 2-4 autoantibodies. Fasting glucose and HbA1c did not differ between the two visits. The estimate of the linear relationship between log2-transformed FPIR as the outcome and log2-transformed area under the OGTT glucose curve (AUC) as the predictor, adjusting for age and sex was - 1.88 (- 2.71, - 1.05) p = 3.49 × 10-5. The direction of the estimates for all glucose metabolism measures was positive except for FPIR, which was negative. FPIR was associated with higher blood glucose. Both the median and the spread of the CGM glucose data were significantly associated with higher glucose values based on OGTT, higher HbA1c, and lower FPIR. There was no association between glucose metabolism, autoantibody number and type except that there was an indication that the presence of at least one of ZnT8(Q/R/W) A was associated with a lower log2-transformed FPIR (- 0.80 (- 1.58, - 0.02), p = 0.046).

CONCLUSIONS

The sole use of two or more islet autoantibodies as inclusion criterion for Stage 1 diabetes in prevention trials is unsatisfactory. Staging type 1 diabetes needs to take the heterogeneity in beta-cell function and glucose metabolism into account.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT02605148 , November 16, 2015.

Time to Peak Glucose and Peak C-Peptide During the Progression to Type 1 Diabetes in the Diabetes Prevention Trial and TrialNet Cohorts

OBJECTIVE

To assess the progression of type 1 diabetes using time to peak glucose or C-peptide during oral glucose tolerance tests (OGTTs) in autoantibody-positive relatives of people with type 1 diabetes.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We examined 2-h OGTTs of participants in the Diabetes Prevention Trial Type 1 (DPT-1) and TrialNet Pathway to Prevention (PTP) studies. We included 706 DPT-1 participants (mean ± SD age, 13.84 ± 9.53 years; BMI Z-score, 0.33 ± 1.07; 56.1% male) and 3,720 PTP participants (age, 16.01 ± 12.33 years; BMI Z-score, 0.66 ± 1.3; 49.7% male). Log-rank testing and Cox regression analyses with adjustments (age, sex, race, BMI Z-score, HOMA-insulin resistance, and peak glucose/C-peptide levels, respectively) were performed.

RESULTS

In each of DPT-1 and PTP, higher 5-year diabetes progression risk was seen in those with time to peak glucose >30 min and time to peak C-peptide >60 min (P < 0.001 for all groups), before and after adjustments. In models examining strength of association with diabetes development, associations were greater for time to peak C-peptide versus peak C-peptide value (DPT-1: χ2 = 25.76 vs. χ2 = 8.62; PTP: χ2 = 149.19 vs. χ2 = 79.98; all P < 0.001). Changes in the percentage of individuals with delayed glucose and/or C-peptide peaks were noted over time.

CONCLUSIONS

In two independent at-risk populations, we show that those with delayed OGTT peak times for glucose or C-peptide are at higher risk of diabetes development within 5 years, independent of peak levels. Moreover, time to peak C-peptide appears more predictive than the peak level, suggesting its potential use as a specific biomarker for diabetes progression.

The Multifactorial Progression from the Islet Autoimmunity to Type 1 Diabetes in Children

Type 1 Diabetes (T1D) results from autoimmune destruction of insulin producing pancreatic ß-cells. This disease, with a peak incidence in childhood, causes the lifelong need for insulin injections and necessitates careful monitoring of blood glucose levels. However, despite the current insulin therapies, it still shortens life expectancy due to complications affecting multiple organs. Recently, the incidence of T1D in childhood has increased by 3-5% per year in most developed Western countries. The heterogeneity of the disease process is supported by the findings of follow-up studies started early in infancy. The development of T1D is usually preceded by the appearance of autoantibodies targeted against antigens expressed in the pancreatic islets. The risk of T1D increases significantly with an increasing number of positive autoantibodies. The order of autoantibody appearance affects the disease risk. Genetic susceptibility, mainly defined by the human leukocyte antigen (HLA) class II gene region and environmental factors, is important in the development of islet autoimmunity and T1D. Environmental factors, mainly those linked to the changes in the gut microbiome as well as several pathogens, especially viruses, and diet are key modulators of T1D. The aim of this paper is to expand the understanding of the aetiology and pathogenesis of T1D in childhood by detailed description and comparison of factors affecting the progression from the islet autoimmunity to T1D in children.

Beta cell function in participants with single or multiple islet autoantibodies at baseline in the TEDDY Family Prevention Study: TEFA

Aim

The aim of the present study was to assess beta cell function based on an oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) in participants with single islet autoantibody or an intravenous glucose tolerance test (IvGTT) in participants with multiple islet autoantibodies.

Materials and methods

Healthy participants in Sweden and Finland, between 2 and 49.99 years of age previously identified as positive for a single (n = 30) autoantibody to either insulin, glutamic acid decarboxylase, islet antigen-2, zinc transporter 8 or islet cell antibodies or multiple autoantibodies (n = 46), were included. Participants positive for a single autoantibody underwent a 6-point OGTT while participants positive for multiple autoantibodies underwent an IvGTT. Glucose, insulin and C-peptide were measured from OGTT and IvGTT samples.

Results

All participants positive for a single autoantibody had a normal glucose tolerance test with 120 minutes glucose below 7.70 mmol/L and HbA1c values within the normal range (<42 mmol/mol). Insulin responses to the glucose challenge on OGTT ranged between 13.0 and 143 mIU/L after 120 minutes with C-peptide values between 0.74 and 4.60 nmol/L. In Swedish participants, the first-phase insulin response (FPIR) on IvGTT was lower in those positive for three or more autoantibodies (n = 13; median 83.0 mIU/L; range 20.0-343) compared to those with two autoantibodies (n = 15; median 146 mIU/L; range 19.0-545; P = .0330).

Conclusion

Participants positive for a single autoantibody appeared to have a normal beta cell function. Participants positive for three or more autoantibodies had a lower FPIR as compared to participants with two autoantibodies, supporting the view that their beta cell function had deteriorated.

Teplizumab improves and stabilizes beta cell function in antibody-positive high-risk individuals

We analyzed the effects of a single 14-day course of teplizumab treatment on metabolic function and immune cells among participants in a previously reported randomized controlled trial of nondiabetic relatives at high risk for type 1 diabetes (T1D). In an extended follow-up (923-day median) of a previous report of teplizumab treatment, we found that the median times to diagnosis were 59.6 and 27.1 months for teplizumab- and placebo-treated participants, respectively (HR = 0.457, P = 0.01). Fifty percent of teplizumab-treated but only 22% of the placebo-treated remained diabetes-free. Glucose tolerance, C-peptide area under the curve (AUC), and insulin secretory rates were calculated, and relationships to T cell subsets and function were analyzed. Teplizumab treatment improved beta cell function, reflected by average on-study C-peptide AUC (1.94 versus 1.72 pmol/ml; P = 0.006). Drug treatment reversed a decline in insulin secretion before enrollment, followed by stabilization of the declining C-peptide AUC seen with placebo treatment. Proinsulin:C-peptide ratios after drug treatment were similar between the treatment groups. The changes in C-peptide with teplizumab treatment were associated with increases in partially exhausted memory KLRG1+TIGIT+CD8+ T cells (r = 0.44, P = 0.014) that showed reduced secretion of IFNγ and TNFα. A single course of teplizumab had lasting effects on delay of T1D diagnosis and improved beta cell function in high-risk individuals. Changes in CD8+ T cell subsets indicated that partially exhausted effector cells were associated with clinical response. Thus, this trial showed improvement in metabolic responses and delay of diabetes with immune therapy.

Use of Antiasthmatic Drugs and the Risk of Type 1 Diabetes in Children: A Nationwide Case-Cohort Study

Asthma has been reported to be associated with an increased risk of type 1 diabetes mellitus in childhood, but the reasons are unclear. We examined whether the use of antiasthmatic drugs was associated with the development of type 1 diabetes in childhood in a nationwide, register-based case-cohort study. We identified all children who were born January 1, 1995, through December 31, 2008, in Finland and diagnosed with type 1 diabetes by 2010 (n = 3,342). A 10% random sample from each birth-year cohort was selected as a reference cohort (n = 80,909). Information on all dispensed antiasthmatic drugs (Anatomical Therapeutic Chemical classification system code R03) during 1995-2009 was obtained, and associations between the use of antiasthmatic drugs and the development of type 1 diabetes were investigated using time-dependent and time-sequential Cox regression models. Dispensed inhaled corticosteroids and inhaled β-agonists were associated with an increased risk of type 1 diabetes after adjusting for other antiasthmatic drugs, asthma, sex, and birth decade (hazard ratio = 1.29, 95% confidence interval: 1.09, 1.52, and hazard ratio = 1.22, 95% confidence interval: 1.07, 1.41, respectively). These findings suggest that children using inhaled corticosteroids or inhaled β-agonists might be at increased risk of type 1 diabetes.

Cause or effect? A review of clinical data demonstrating beta cell dysfunction prior to the clinical onset of type 1 diabetes

Background

Limited successes of conventional approaches to type 1 diabetes (T1D) prevention and treatment have highlighted the need for improved understanding of risk factors contributing to or hastening progression to clinical diagnosis.

Scope of review

This review summarizes beta cell function metabolic phenotyping data from clinical studies conducted in at-risk individuals before T1D onset and healthy controls. Data are drawn from studies comparing at-risk individuals who progress to T1D to at-risk individuals who do not progress to T1D, as well as from studies comparing at-risk individuals to controls without a T1D family history.

Major conclusions

Rapid loss of beta cell insulin secretion occurs in the months immediately preceding clinical onset. However, evidence of beta cell dysfunction is present even years earlier. Comparisons to controls without a family history suggest that many individuals in families impacted by T1D have evidence of beta cell dysfunction, even individuals who are unlikely to develop clinical disease. These findings may mean that underlying metabolic beta cell dysfunction contributes to T1D development and may explain some of the heterogeneity observed in the disease.

Genotypes of HLA, TCF7L2, and FTO as potential modifiers of the association between sweetened beverage consumption and risk of LADA and type 2 diabetes

Purpose

Sweetened beverage consumption is associated with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and LADA. We investigated to what extent this association is mediated by BMI and whether it is modified by genotypes of HLA, TCF7L2 rs7903146, or FTO rs9939609.

Methods

Swedish case–control data including incident cases of LADA (n = 386) and T2D (n = 1253) with matched population-based controls (n = 1545) was used. We estimated adjusted ORs of diabetes (95% CI) in relation to sweetened beverage intake (per daily 200 mL serving) and genotypes. The impact of BMI was estimated using causal mediation methodology. Associations with HOMA-IR and HOMA-B were explored through linear regression.

Results

Sweetened beverage intake was associated with increased risk of LADA (OR 1.15, 95% CI 1.03–1.29) and T2D (OR 1.21, 1.11–1.32). BMI was estimated to mediate 17% (LADA) and 56% (T2D) of the total risk. LADA was associated with risk variants of HLA (3.44, 2.63–4.50) and TCF7L2 (1.27, 1.00–1.61) but not FTO. Only among non-carriers of high-risk HLA genotypes was sweetened beverage intake associated with risk of LADA (OR 1.32, 1.06–1.56) and HOMA-IR (beta = 0.162, p = 0.0047). T2D was associated with TCF7L2 and FTO but not HLA, and the risk conferred by sweetened beverages appeared modified by FTO (OR 1.45, 95% CI 1.21–1.73 in non-carriers).

Conclusions

Our findings suggest that sweetened beverages are associated with LADA and T2D partly through mediation by excess weight, but possibly also through other mechanisms including adverse effects on insulin sensitivity. These effects seem more pronounced in individuals without genetic susceptibility.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1007/s00394-019-01893-x) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Exocytosis Protein DOC2B as a Biomarker of Type 1 Diabetes

CONTEXT

Efforts to preserve β-cell mass in the preclinical stages of type 1 diabetes (T1D) are limited by few blood-derived biomarkers of β-cell destruction.

OBJECTIVE

Platelets are proposed sources of blood-derived biomarkers for a variety of diseases, and they show distinct proteomic changes in T1D. Thus, we investigated changes in the exocytosis protein, double C2 domain protein-β (DOC2B) in platelets and islets from T1D humans, and prediabetic nonobese diabetic (NOD) mice.

DESIGN, PATIENTS, AND MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

Protein levels of DOC2B were assessed in platelets and islets from prediabetic NOD mice and humans, with and without T1D. Seventeen new-onset T1D human subjects (10.3 ± 3.8 years) were recruited immediately following diagnosis, and platelet DOC2B levels were compared with 14 matched nondiabetic subjects (11.4 ± 2.9 years). Furthermore, DOC2B levels were assessed in T1D human pancreatic tissue samples, cytokine-stimulated human islets ex vivo, and platelets from T1D subjects before and after islet transplantation.

RESULTS

DOC2B protein abundance was substantially reduced in prediabetic NOD mouse platelets, and these changes were mirrored in the pancreatic islets from the same mice. Likewise, human DOC2B levels were reduced over twofold in platelets from new-onset T1D human subjects, and this reduction was mirrored in T1D human islets. Cytokine stimulation of normal islets reduced DOC2B expression ex vivo. Remarkably, platelet DOC2B levels increased after islet transplantation in patients with T1D.

CONCLUSIONS

Reduction of DOC2B is an early feature of T1D, and DOC2B abundance may serve as a valuable in vivo indicator of β-cell mass and an early biomarker of T1D.

Prediction of Impending Type 1 Diabetes through Automated Dual-Label Measurement of Proinsulin:C-Peptide Ratio

BACKGROUND

The hyperglycemic clamp test, the gold standard of beta cell function, predicts impending type 1 diabetes in islet autoantibody-positive individuals, but the latter may benefit from less invasive function tests such as the proinsulin:C-peptide ratio (PI:C). The present study aims to optimize precision of PI:C measurements by automating a dual-label trefoil-type time-resolved fluorescence immunoassay (TT-TRFIA), and to compare its diagnostic performance for predicting type 1 diabetes with that of clamp-derived C-peptide release.

METHODS

Between-day imprecision (n = 20) and split-sample analysis (n = 95) were used to compare TT-TRFIA (AutoDelfia, Perkin-Elmer) with separate methods for proinsulin (in-house TRFIA) and C-peptide (Elecsys, Roche). High-risk multiple autoantibody-positive first-degree relatives (n = 49; age 5-39) were tested for fasting PI:C, HOMA2-IR and hyperglycemic clamp and followed for 20-57 months (interquartile range).

RESULTS

TT-TRFIA values for proinsulin, C-peptide and PI:C correlated significantly (r2 = 0.96-0.99; P<0.001) with results obtained with separate methods. TT-TRFIA achieved better between-day %CV for PI:C at three different levels (4.5-7.1 vs 6.7-9.5 for separate methods). In high-risk relatives fasting PI:C was significantly and inversely correlated (rs = -0.596; P<0.001) with first-phase C-peptide release during clamp (also with second phase release, only available for age 12-39 years; n = 31), but only after normalization for HOMA2-IR. In ROC- and Cox regression analysis, HOMA2-IR-corrected PI:C predicted 2-year progression to diabetes equally well as clamp-derived C-peptide release.

CONCLUSIONS

The reproducibility of PI:C benefits from the automated simultaneous determination of both hormones. HOMA2-IR-corrected PI:C may serve as a minimally invasive alternative to the more tedious hyperglycemic clamp test.

Continuous glucose monitoring and HbA1c in the evaluation of glucose metabolism in children at high risk for type 1 diabetes mellitus

AIMS

Continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) parameters, self-monitored blood glucose (SMBG), HbA1c and oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) were studied during preclinical type 1 diabetes mellitus.

METHODS

Ten asymptomatic children with multiple (⩾2) islet autoantibodies (cases) and 10 age and sex-matched autoantibody-negative controls from the Type 1 Diabetes Prediction and Prevention (DIPP) Study were invited to 7-day CGM with Dexcom G4 Platinum Sensor. HbA1c and two daily SMBG values (morning and evening) were analyzed. Five-point OGTTs were performed and carbohydrate intake was assessed by food records. The matched pairs were compared with the paired sample t-test.

RESULTS

The cases showed higher mean values and higher variation in glucose levels during CGM compared to the controls. The time spent ⩾7.8mmol/l was 5.8% in the cases compared to 0.4% in the controls (p=0.040). Postprandial CGM values were similar except after the dinner (6.6mmol/l in cases vs. 6.1mmol/l in controls; p=0.023). When analyzing the SMBG values higher mean level, higher evening levels, as well as higher variation were observed in the cases when compared to the controls. HbA1c was significantly higher in the cases [5.7% (39mmol/mol) vs. 5.3% (34mmol/mol); p=0.045]. No differences were observed in glucose or C-peptide levels during OGTT. Daily carbohydrate intake was slightly higher in the cases (254.2g vs. 217.7g; p=0.034).

CONCLUSIONS

Glucose levels measured by CGM and SMBG are useful indicators of dysglycemia during preclinical type 1 diabetes mellitus. Increased evening glucose values seem to be common in children with preclinical type 1 diabetes mellitus.

Dysregulation of glucose metabolism in preclinical type 1 diabetes

Long-term prospective studies have provided valuable information about preclinical type 1 diabetes (T1D). Children who have seroconverted to positive for islet autoantibodies have also, in follow-up, had metabolic tests to understand the timing and development of abnormal glucose tolerance and declining insulin secretion before the clinical diagnosis of T1D. First phase insulin response (FPIR) in the intravenous glucose tolerance test (IVGTT) is lower in the progressors positive for multiple islet autoantibodies in all age groups and as early as 4-6 years before the diagnosis when compared with the non-progressors positive for only islet cell antibodies (ICA). An accelerated decline in FPIR is seen in the progressors during the last 1.5 years before the diagnosis. These results indicate that the progressors may have an early intrinsic defect in beta cell development or function. In the oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) the peak C-peptide response is delayed in the progressors at least 2 years before diagnosis. Glucose levels and HbA1c are increasing about 2 years before clinical diagnosis. An increase in HbA1c and detection of abnormal glucose tolerance in OGTT are useful in the prediction of the timing of clinical onset of T1D. Continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) may be useful in the prediction of T1D as an early indicator of increased glycemic variability but more data from larger series are needed for confirmation. Children followed in the prospective studies are diagnosed earlier and have a decreased frequency of ketoacidosis at the diagnosis of T1D when compared with age-matched cases from the population.

Environmental factors in the etiology of type 1 diabetes, celiac disease, and narcolepsy

The etiology of human leukocyte antigen (HLA)-associated organ-specific autoimmune diseases is incomplete. In type 1 diabetes and celiac disease, the strongest associations are with the HLA-DR3-DQ2 and DR4-DQ8 haplotypes, whereas the DQB1*06:02 allele has a strong negative association. In contrast, narcolepsy, especially as recently triggered by the Pandemrix(®) H1N1 vaccine (GlaxoKlineSmith (GSK), Brentford, Middlesex, UK), did not seem to develop without at least one copy of the latter allele. The overall hypothesis is that the role of these different HLA haplotypes, especially in Finland and Sweden, is related to the immune response to infectious agents that are common in these two populations. The high incidence of both type 1 diabetes and celiac disease in Scandinavia may be the result of the HLA-DR3-DQ2 and DR4-DQ8 haplotypes, and the DQB1*06:02 allele are common because they protected people from succumbing to common infections. The timing of dissecting the autoimmune response is critical to understand the possible role of environmental factors. First, an etiological trigger may be a common virus infecting beta cells or with antigens inducing beta-cell cross reactivity. Second, an autoimmune reaction may ensue, perhaps in response to beta-cell apoptosis or autophagy, resulting in autoantigen-specific T cells and autoantibodies. It is critical in at-risk children to dissect the immune response prior to the appearance of autoantibodies in order to identify cellular reactions in response to environmental factors that are able to induce an HLA-associated immune reaction.

Residual β-Cell Function Predicts Clinical Response After Autologous Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation

New strategies of autologous hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (auto-HSCT) have gained much interest for the treatment of type 1 diabetes mellitus. However, assessing the clinical response and residual β-cell function still has limitations. The aim of the study was to select the optimal quantitative index to assess pre-existing β-cell function and to explore its predictive function for clinical response after auto-HSCT therapy. In this study, all of the patients who had undergone auto-HSCT were clustered into a responder group (Δβ-score > 0) and a nonresponder group (Δβ-score ≤ 0). We compared their quantitative metabolic indexes at baseline and performed receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) analysis to analyze the correlations between the indexes and clinical response. Kaplan-Meier analysis was conducted to compare the cumulative response durations in each quartile of the selected indexes. In an average of 15.13 ± 6.15 months of follow-up, 44 of 112 patients achieved a clinical response. The responder group had lower levels of fasting plasma glucose and quantitative insulin sensitivity check index (QUICKI) but higher levels of fasting C-peptide, fasting insulin, and homeostasis model assessments for insulin resistance (HOMA-IR). ROC analysis showed that HOMA-IR had the largest area under the curve (0.756), which was similar to that of QUICKI. Kaplan-Meier analysis further confirmed that the third quartile (1.3371-1.7018) of HOMA-IR or the second quartile (0.3523-0.3657) of QUICKI was preferential for a prolonged response. In conclusion, HOMA-IR and QUICKI could be optimal measurements for β-cell reserves, and they were predictive for the clinical response after auto-HSCT.

SIGNIFICANCE

The β-score was comprehensive and reliable in evaluating clinical response after autologous hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT). The homeostasis model assessments for insulin resistance and the quantitative insulin sensitivity check index could serve as precise assessments for residual β-cell function and good predictors of clinical response. They might be used to select optimal clinical trial participants or predict the clinical response after auto-HSCT.

Reduced β-cell function in early preclinical type 1 diabetes

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to characterize insulin responses to i.v. glucose during the preclinical period of type 1 diabetes starting from the emergence of islet autoimmunity.

DESIGN AND METHODS

A large population-based cohort of children with HLA-conferred susceptibility to type 1 diabetes was observed from birth. During regular follow-up visits islet autoantibodies were analysed. We compared markers of glucose metabolism in sequential intravenous glucose tolerance tests between 210 children who were positive for multiple (≥2) islet autoantibodies and progressed to type 1 diabetes (progressors) and 192 children testing positive for classical islet-cell antibodies only and remained healthy (non-progressors).

RESULTS

In the progressors, the first phase insulin response (FPIR) was decreased as early as 4-6 years before the diagnosis when compared to the non-progressors (P=0.001). The difference in FPIR between the progressors and non-progressors was significant (P<0.001) in all age groups, increasing with age (at 2 years: difference 50% (95% CI 28-75%) and at 10 years: difference 172% (95% CI 128-224%)). The area under the 10-min insulin curve showed a similar difference between the groups (P<0.001; at 2 years: difference 36% (95% CI 17-58%) and at 10 years: difference 186% (95% CI 143-237%)). Insulin sensitivity did not differ between the groups.

CONCLUSIONS

FPIR is decreased several years before the diagnosis of type 1 diabetes, implying an intrinsic defect in β-cell mass and/or function.

Relationship between glycaemic variability and hyperglycaemic clamp-derived functional variables in (impending) type 1 diabetes

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

We examined whether measures of glycaemic variability (GV), assessed by continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) and self-monitoring of blood glucose (SMBG), can complement or replace measures of beta cell function and insulin action in detecting the progression of preclinical disease to type 1 diabetes.

METHODS

Twenty-two autoantibody-positive (autoAb(+)) first-degree relatives (FDRs) of patients with type 1 diabetes who were themselves at high 5-year risk (50%) for type 1 diabetes underwent CGM, a hyperglycaemic clamp test and OGTT, and were followed for up to 31 months. Clamp variables were used to estimate beta cell function (first-phase [AUC5-10 min] and second-phase [AUC120-150 min] C-peptide release) combined with insulin resistance (glucose disposal rate; M 120-150 min). Age-matched healthy volunteers (n = 20) and individuals with recent-onset type 1 diabetes (n = 9) served as control groups.

RESULTS

In autoAb(+) FDRs, M 120-150 min below the 10th percentile (P10) of controls achieved 86% diagnostic efficiency in discriminating between normoglycaemic FDRs and individuals with (impending) dysglycaemia. M 120-150 min outperformed AUC5-10 min and AUC120-150 min C-peptide below P10 of controls, which were only 59-68% effective. Among GV variables, CGM above the reference range was better at detecting (impending) dysglycaemia than elevated SMBG (77-82% vs 73% efficiency). Combined CGM measures were equally efficient as M 120-150 min (86%). Daytime GV variables were inversely correlated with clamp variables, and more strongly with M 120-150 min than with AUC5-10 min or AUC120-150 min C-peptide.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

CGM-derived GV and the glucose disposal rate, reflecting both insulin secretion and action, outperformed SMBG and first- or second-phase AUC C-peptide in identifying FDRs with (impending) dysglycaemia or diabetes. Our results indicate the feasibility of developing minimally invasive CGM-based criteria for close metabolic monitoring and as outcome measures in trials.

OGTT and random plasma glucose in the prediction of type 1 diabetes and time to diagnosis

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

We assessed the utility of the OGTT and random plasma glucose concentrations in predicting the time to diagnosis of type 1 diabetes.

METHODS

A population-derived cohort of 14,876 newborns with HLA-conferred risk of type 1 diabetes were invited to regular follow-up for islet autoantibodies. When two or more autoantibodies were detected, an OGTT was performed once a year and random plasma glucose analysed twice a year. During follow-up, 567 children developed multiple autoantibodies, 255 (45%) of whom were diagnosed with type 1 diabetes, while 312 remained non-diabetic by December 2011.

RESULTS

Impaired fasting glucose (IFG) and impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) were risk factors for type 1 diabetes (HR 3.2 [95% CI 1.5, 7.0] and 8.3 [95% CI 6.0, 11.5], respectively). When a random plasma glucose value ≥ 7.8 mmol/l was observed, the HR for diabetes was 6.0 (95% CI 4.3, 8.6). The median time to diagnosis after the detection of IFG was 5.2 years (interquartile range [IQR] 3.4, 6.3); after IGT, 0.7 years (IQR 0.3, 1.9); and, after a random plasma glucose ≥ 7.8 mmol/l, 1.0 years (IQR 0.3, 1.5). In a retrospective analysis, both OGTT-derived 2 h plasma glucose and random plasma glucose started to increase 1.5 years before diagnosis (p < 0.001 and p = 0.004, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

Dysglycaemia detected in an OGTT or based on random plasma glucose is a useful marker in the prediction of time to onset of type 1 diabetes in high-risk children. Random plasma glucose is a simple and low-cost measurement with comparable predictive characteristics to that of OGTT-derived 2 h glucose.

Baseline heterogeneity in glucose metabolism marks the risk for type 1 diabetes and complicates secondary prevention

AIMS

Non-diabetic children with multiple islet autoantibodies were recruited to a secondary prevention trial. The objective was to determine the predictive value of baseline (1) HbA1c and metabolic variables derived from intravenous (IvGTT) and oral glucose tolerance tests (OGTT), (2) insulin resistance and (3) number, type and levels of islet autoantibodies, for progression to type 1 diabetes.

METHODS

Children [n = 50, median 5.1 (4-17.9) years] with autoantibodies to glutamate decarboxylase (GAD65A) and at least one of insulinoma-associated protein 2 (IA-2A), insulin or ZnT8 transporter (ZnT8RA, ZnT8WA, ZnT8QA) were screened with IvGTT and OGTT and followed for a minimum of 2 years.

RESULTS

Baseline first phase insulin response (sum of serum-insulin at 1 and 3 min during IvGTT; FPIR) ≤3 μU/mL [HR 4.42 (CI 1.40-14.0) p = 0.011] and maximal plasma glucose ≥11.1 mmol/L measured at 30, 60 and/or 90 min during OGTT [HR 6.13 (CI 1.79-21.0) p = 0.0039] were predictors for progression to diabetes. The combination of FPIR from IvGTT and maximal plasma glucose during OGTT predicted diabetes in 10/12 children [HR 9.17 (CI 2.0-42.0) p = 0.0043]. High-level IA-2A, but not number of autoantibodies, correlated to dysglycemia during OGTT (p = 0.008) and to progression to type 1 diabetes [HR 4.98 (CI 1.09-22.0) p = 0.039].

CONCLUSIONS

Baseline FPIR, maximal plasma glucose ≥11.1 at 30, 60 or 90 min during OGTT and high-level IA-2A need to be taken into account when randomizing islet autoantibody positive non-diabetic children to secondary prevention.