Cardiovascular Events after New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation in Adults with CKD: Results from the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study

The worsening effect of paroxysmal atrial fibrillation on left ventricular function and deformation in type 2 diabetes mellitus patients: a 3.0 T cardiovascular magnetic resonance feature tracking study

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) has been linked to an increased risk of cardiovascular death, overall mortality and heart failure in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). The present study investigated the additive effects of paroxysmal AF on left ventricular (LV) function and deformation in T2DM patients with or without AF using the cardiovascular magnetic resonance feature tracking (CMR-FT) technique.

METHODS

The present study encompassed 225 T2DM patients differentiated by the presence or absence of paroxysmal AF [T2DM(AF+) and T2DM(AF-), respectively], along with 75 age and sex matched controls, all of whom underwent CMR examination. LV function and global strains, including radial, circumferential and longitudinal peak strain (PS), as well as peak systolic and diastolic strain rates (PSSR and PDSR, respectively), were measured and compared among the groups. Multivariable linear regression analysis was used to examine the factors associated with LV global strains in patients with T2DM.

RESULTS

The T2DM(AF+) group was the oldest, had the highest LV end‑systolic volume index, lowest LV ejection fraction and estimated glomerular filtration rate compared to the control and T2DM(AF-) groups, and presented a shorter diabetes duration and lower HbA1c than the T2DM(AF-) group. LV PS-radial, PS-longitudinal and PDSR-radial declined successively from controls through the T2DM(AF-) group to the T2DM(AF+) group (all p < 0.001). Compared to the control group, LV PS-circumferential, PSSR-radial and PDSR-circumferential were decreased in the T2DM(AF+) group (all p < 0.001) but preserved in the T2DM(AF-) group. Among all clinical indices, AF was independently associated with worsening LV PS-longitudinal (β = 2.218, p < 0.001), PS-circumferential (β = 3.948, p < 0.001), PS-radial (β = - 8.40, p < 0.001), PSSR-radial and -circumferential (β = - 0.345 and 0.101, p = 0.002 and 0.014, respectively), PDSR-radial and -circumferential (β = 0.359 and - 0.14, p = 0.022 and 0.003, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with T2DM, the presence of paroxysmal AF further exacerbates LV function and deformation. Proactive prevention, regular detection and early intervention of AF could potentially benefit T2DM patients.

Kidney Function, Albuminuria, and Risk of Incident Atrial Fibrillation: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE

Atrial fibrillation (AF) and chronic kidney disease (CKD) often coexist. However, it is not known whether CKD is an independent risk factor for incident AF. Therefore, we evaluated the association between markers of CKD-estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and albuminuria-and incident AF.

STUDY DESIGN

Systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies and randomized controlled trials.

SETTING & STUDY POPULATIONS

Participants with measurement of eGFR and/or albuminuria who were not receiving dialysis.

SELECTION CRITERIA FOR STUDIES

Cohort studies and randomized controlled trials were included that reported incident AF risk in adults according to eGFR and/or albuminuria.

ANALYTICAL APPROACH

Age- or multivariate-adjusted risk ratios (RRs) for incident AF were extracted from cohort studies, and RRs for each trial were derived from event data. RRs for incident AF were pooled using random-effects models.

RESULTS

38 studies involving 28,470,249 participants with 530,041 incident AF cases were included. Adjusted risk of incident AF was greater among participants with lower eGFR than those with higher eGFR (eGFR<60 vs≥60mL/min/1.73m2: RR, 1.43; 95% CI, 1.30-1.57; and eGFR<90 vs≥90mL/min/1.73m2: RR, 1.42; 95% CI, 1.26-1.60). Adjusted incident AF risk was greater among participants with albuminuria (any albuminuria vs no albuminuria: RR, 1.43; 95% CI, 1.25-1.63; and moderately to severely increased albuminuria vs normal to mildly increased albuminuria: RR, 1.64; 95% CI, 1.31-2.06). Subgroup analyses showed an exposure-dependent association between CKD and incident AF, with the risk increasing progressively at lower eGFR and higher albuminuria categories.

LIMITATIONS

Lack of patient-level data, interaction between eGFR and albuminuria could not be evaluated, possible ascertainment bias due to variation in the methods of AF detection.

CONCLUSIONS

Lower eGFR and greater albuminuria were independently associated with increased risk of incident AF. CKD should be regarded as an independent risk factor for incident AF.

PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY

Irregular heartbeat, or atrial fibrillation (AF), is the commonest abnormal heart rhythm. AF occurs commonly in people with chronic kidney disease (CKD), and CKD is also common in people with AF. However, CKD in not widely recognized as a risk factor for new-onset or incident AF. In this research, we combined data on more than 28 million participants in 38 studies to determine whether CKD itself increases the chances of incident AF. We found that both commonly used markers of kidney disease (estimated glomerular filtration rate and albuminuria, ie, protein in the urine) were independently associated with a greater risk of incident AF. This finding suggests that CKD should be recognized as an independent risk factor for incident AF.

Frailty and Cardiovascular Outcomes in Adults With CKD: Findings From the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE

Frailty is common in individuals with chronic kidney disease (CKD) and increases the risk of adverse outcomes in adults with kidney failure requiring dialysis. However, this relationship has not been thoroughly evaluated among those with non-dialysis-dependent CKD.

STUDY DESIGN

Prospective cohort study.

SETTING & PARTICIPANTS

2,539 adults in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort Study.

EXPOSURE

Frailty status assessed using 5 criteria: slow gait speed, muscle weakness, low physical activity, exhaustion, and unintentional weight loss.

OUTCOME

Atherosclerotic events, incident heart failure, all-cause death, and cardiovascular death.

ANALYTICAL APPROACH

Cause-specific hazards models.

RESULTS

At study entry, the participants' mean age was 62 years, 46% were female, the mean estimated glomerular filtration rate was 45.4mL/min/1.73m2, and the median urine protein was 0.2mg/day. Frailty status was as follows: 12% frail, 51% prefrail, and 37% nonfrail. Over a median follow-up of 11.4 years, there were 393 atherosclerotic events, 413 heart failure events, 497 deaths, and 132 cardiovascular deaths. In multivariable regression analyses, compared with nonfrailty, both frailty and prefrailty status were each associated with higher risk of an atherosclerotic event (HR, 2.03 [95% CI, 1.41-2.91] and 1.77 [95% CI, 1.35-2.31], respectively) and incident heart failure (HR, 2.22 [95% CI, 1.59-3.10] and 1.39 [95% CI, 1.07-1.82], respectively), as well as higher risk of all-cause death (HR, 2.52 [95% CI, 1.84-3.45] and 1.76 [95% CI, 1.37-2.24], respectively) and cardiovascular death (HR, 3.01 [95% CI, 1.62-5.62] and 1.78 [95% 1.06-2.99], respectively).

LIMITATIONS

Self-report of aspects of the frailty assessment and comorbidities, which may have led to bias in some estimates.

CONCLUSIONS

In adults with CKD, frailty status was associated with higher risk of cardiovascular events and mortality. Future studies are needed to evaluate the impact of interventions to reduce frailty on cardiovascular outcomes in this population.

PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY

Frailty is common in individuals with chronic kidney disease (CKD) and increases the risk of adverse outcomes. We sought to evaluate the association of frailty status with cardiovascular events and death in adults with CKD. Frailty was assessed according to the 5 phenotypic criteria detailed by Fried and colleagues. Among 2,539 participants in the CRIC Study, we found that 12% were frail, 51% were prefrail, and 37% were nonfrail. Frailty status was associated with an increased risk of atherosclerotic events, incident heart failure, and death.

Association of chronic kidney disease with all-cause mortality in patients hospitalized for atrial fibrillation and impact of clinical and socioeconomic factors on this association

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) and chronic kidney disease (CKD) often co-occur, and many of the same clinical factors and indicators of socioeconomic status (SES) are associated with both diseases. The effect of the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) on all-cause mortality in AF patients and the impact of SES on this relationship are uncertain.

Materials and methods

This retrospective study examined 968 patients who were admitted for AF. Patients were divided into four groups based on eGFR at admission: eGFR-0 (normal eGFR) to eGFR-3 (severely decreased eGFR). The primary outcome was all-cause mortality. Cox regression analysis was used to identify the effect of eGFR on mortality, and subgroup analyses to determine the impact of confounding factors.

Results

A total of 337/968 patients (34.8%) died during follow-up. The average age was 73.70 ± 10.27 years and there were 522 males (53.9%). More than 39% of these patients had CKD (eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m²), 319 patients with moderately decreased eGFR and 67 with severely decreased eGFR. After multivariate adjustment and relative to the eGFR-0 group, the risk for all-cause death was greater in the eGFR-2 group (HR = 2.416, 95% CI = 1.366-4.272, p = 0.002) and the eGFR-3 group (HR = 4.752, 95% CI = 2.443-9.242, p < 0.00001), but not in the eGFR-1 group (p > 0.05). Subgroup analysis showed that moderately to severely decreased eGFR only had a significant effect on all-cause death in patients with low SES.

Conclusion

Moderately to severely decreased eGFR in AF patients was independently associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality, especially in those with lower SES.

Aspirin for Primary and Secondary Prevention of Mortality, Cardiovascular Disease, and Kidney Failure in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study

Rationale and Objective

Chronic kidney disease is a risk enhancing factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD) and mortality, and the role of aspirin use is unclear in this population. We investigated the risk and benefits of aspirin use in primary and secondary prevention of CVD in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort Study.

Study Design

Prospective observational cohort.

Setting & Participants

3,664 Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort participants.

Exposure

Aspirin use in patients with and without preexisting CVD.

Outcomes

Mortality, composite and individual CVD events (myocardial infarction, stroke, and peripheral arterial disease), kidney failure (dialysis and transplant), and major bleeding.

Analytical Approach

Intention-to-treat analysis and multivariable Cox proportional hazards model to examine associations of time varying aspirin use.

Results

The primary prevention group was composed of 2,578 (70.3%) individuals. Mean age was 57 ± 11 years, 46% women, 42% Black, and 47% had diabetes. The mean estimated glomerular filtration rate was 45 mL/min/1.73 m2. Median follow-up was 11.5 (IQR, 7.4-13) years. Aspirin was not associated with all-cause mortality in those without preexisting cardiovascular disease (CVD) (HR, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.7-1.01; P = 0.06) or those with CVD (HR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.77-1.02, P = 0.08). Aspirin was not associated with a reduction of the CVD composite in primary prevention (HR, 0.97; 95% CI, 0.77-1.23; P = 0.79) and in secondary prevention because the original study design was not meant to study the effects of aspirin.

Limitations

This is not a randomized controlled trial, and therefore, causality cannot be determined.

Conclusions

Aspirin use in chronic kidney disease patients was not associated with reduction in primary or secondary CVD events, progression to kidney failure, or major bleeding.

Associations of New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation With Risks of Cardiovascular Disease, Chronic Kidney Disease, and Mortality Among Patients With Type 2 Diabetes

OBJECTIVE

Atrial fibrillation (AF) frequently occurs in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D); however, the longitudinal associations of new-onset AF with risks of adverse health outcomes in patients with T2D remain unclear. In this study, we aimed to determine the associations of new-onset AF with subsequent risks of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), heart failure, chronic kidney disease (CKD), and mortality among patients with T2D.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We included 16,551 adults with T2D, who were free of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and CKD at recruitment from the UK Biobank study. Time-varying Cox regression models were used to assess the associations of incident AF with subsequent risks of incident ASCVD, heart failure, CKD, and mortality.

RESULTS

Among the patients with T2D, 1,394 developed AF and 15,157 remained free of AF during the follow-up. Over median follow-up of 10.7-11.0 years, we documented 2,872 cases of ASCVD, 852 heart failure, and 1,548 CKD and 1,776 total death (409 CVD deaths). Among patients with T2D, those with incident AF had higher risk of ASCVD (hazard ratio [HR] 1.85; 95% CI 1.59-2.16), heart failure (HR 4.40; 95% CI 3.67-5.28), CKD (HR 1.68; 95% CI 1.41-2.01), all-cause mortality (HR 2.91; 95% CI 2.53-3.34), and CVD mortality (HR 3.75; 95% CI 2.93-4.80) compared with those without incident AF.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with T2D who developed AF had significantly increased risks of developing subsequent adverse cardiovascular events, CKD, and mortality. Our data underscore the importance of strategies of AF prevention to reduce macro- and microvascular complications in patients with T2D.

Levels and Dynamics of estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate and Recurrent Vascular Events and Death in Patients with Minor Stroke or TIA

BACKGROUND

Impaired kidney function is associated with an increased risk of vascular events in acute stroke patients, when assessed by single measurements of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). It is unknown whether repeated measurements provide additional information for risk prediction.

METHODS

The Systematic Monitoring for Detection of Atrial Fibrillation in Patients with Acute Ischemic Stroke (MonDAFIS) study randomly assigned 3,465 acute ischemic-stroke patients to either standard procedures or an additive Holter-ECG. Baseline eGFR (CKD-epi formula) were dichotomized into values <vs.≥60ml/min/1.73m² . eGFR dynamics were classified based on two in-hospital values: "stable normal" (≥60ml/min/1.73m² ), "increasing" (by at least 15% from baseline, 2nd value ≥60ml/min/1.73m² ), "decreasing" (by at least 15% from baseline ≥60ml/min/1.73m² ), and "stable decreased" (<60ml/min/1.73m² ). The composite endpoint (stroke, major-bleeding, myocardial-infarction, all-cause death) was assessed after 24 months. We estimated hazard ratios in confounder adjusted models.

RESULTS

eGFR at baseline was available in 2,947 and a 2nd value in 1,623 patients. After adjusting for age, stroke severity, cardiovascular risk factors, and randomization, eGFR <60ml/min/1.73m² at baseline (HR 2.2; 95%CI 1.40-3.54) as well as "decreasing" (HR 1.79; 95%CI: 1.07-2.99) and "stable decreased" eGFR (HR 1.64; 95%CI: 1.20-2.24) were independently associated with the composite endpoint. In addition, eGFR<60ml/min/1.73² at baseline (HR 3.02; 95%CI: 1.51-6.10) and "decreasing" eGFR were associated with all-cause death (HR 3.12; 95%CI: 1.63-5.98).

CONCLUSIONS

In addition to patients with low eGFR levels at baseline also those with decreasing eGFR have an increased risk for vascular events and death, hence, repeated estimates of eGFR might add relevant information to risk prediction. Trial registration number Clinicaltrials.gov NCT02204267.

Renal Function Protection as an Important Component of a Comprehensive Approach to the Management of Patients with Atrial Fibrillation

The increase in the life expectancy of the population  is accompanied by an increase in the prevalence of diseases for which old and senile age are risk factors. Atrial fibrillation (AF) and chronic kidney disease (CKD) are two diseases that can coexist in a patient. The risk of ac thromboembolic and hemorrhagic events in this case increases due to the mutual aggravating influence of these diseases. In addition,  these patients have a high incidence of coronary  events, and cardiovascular complications are the main cause of death in patients with AF and CKD. Consequently, such patients require an integrated  approach  to treatment,  and their management is a complex  clinical task. The direct oral anticoagulant rivaroxaban has been most studied in a population  of comorbid  AF and CKD  patients and has proven a high efficacy and safety profile in these patients in randomized controlled trials. In addition,  rivaroxaban has shown  a significant  reduction in the risk of myocardial  infarction  in various patients,  as well as the possibility of preserving renal function to a greater extent compared  with warfarin therapy, and a possible positive effect on reducing  the risk of cognitive impairment.  A single dosing  regimen  can improve adherence  to treatment,  which is one of the key conditions  for achieving  the above effects. Thus, these factors make it possible to achieve comprehensive protection of comorbid  patients with AF and CKD.

Myeloperoxidase is Independently Associated with Incident Heart Failure in Patients with Coronary Artery Disease and Kidney Disease

BACKGROUND

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is associated with high cardiovascular risk and mortality. Myeloperoxidase (MPO) has been linked to adverse events in patients with mild-moderate CKD. We sought to investigate whether MPO levels are associated with adverse outcomes in patients with CKD METHODS: We studied participants with mild to moderate CKD in the prospective chronic renal insufficiency cohort (CRIC). We followed patients for incident heart failure (HF), death, and composite outcome (myocardial infarction, incident peripheral arterial disease, cerebrovascular accident and death). .

RESULTS

A total of 3872 patients were included (2702 without CVD, 1170 with CVD). After multiple adjustments, doubling of MPO in patients with prior CAD was associated with risk of HF (HR 1.15 [1.01-1.30], P=0.032) and mortality (HR 1.16 [1.05-1.30], P=0.005), and composite outcome of MI, PAD, CVA and death (HR 1.12 [1.01-1.25], p=0.031).

CONCLUSIONS

In this cohort of patients with mild to moderate CKD and CAD, MPO levels are independently associated with incident HF, all-cause mortality, and a composite outcome.

6-year change in high sensitivity cardiac troponin T and the risk of atrial fibrillation in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities cohort

BACKGROUND

Circulating high sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) is associated with incidence of atrial fibrillation (AF), but the association of changes in hs-cTnT over time on incident AF has not been explored.

HYPOTHESIS

Six-year increase in circulating hs-cTnT will be associated with increased risk of AF and will contribute to improved prediction of incident AF.

METHODS

We conducted a prospective cohort analysis of 8431 participants from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study. hs-cTnT change was categorized at visit 2 and 4 as undetectable (<5 ng/L), detectable (≥5 ng/L, <14 ng/L), or elevated (≥14 ng/L). We used Cox regression to examine the association between the combination of hs-cTnT categories at two visits and incident AF. We also assessed the impact of adding absolute hs-cTnT change on risk discrimination for AF by C-statistics and net reclassification improvement (NRI).

RESULTS

Over a mean follow-up of 16.5 years, 1629 incident AF cases were diagnosed. Among participants with undetectable hs-cTnT at visit 2, the multivariable HR of AF was 1.28 (95% CI 1.12-1.48) among those with detectable or elevated hs-cTnT at visit 4 compared to those in which hs-cTnT remained undetectable. Among those with detectable hs-cTnT at visit 2, compared to those who remained in the detectable hs-cTnT group, reduction to undetectable at visit 4 was associated with lower risk of AF (HR 0.74, 95% CI 0.59-0.94), while increment to elevated was associated with higher AF risk (HR 1.30, 95% CI 1.01-1.68). Adding hs-cTnT change to our main model with baseline hs-cTnT did not result in significant improvement in the C-statistic or substantial NRI.

CONCLUSION

Six-year increase in circulating hs-cTnT was associated with elevated risk of incident AF.

Association of kidney function and atrial fibrillation progression to clinical outcomes in patients with cardiac implantable electronic devices

BACKGROUND

Kidney function may promote progression of AF.

OBJECTIVE

We evaluated the association of kidney function to AF progression and resultant clinical outcomes in patients with cardiac implantable electronic devices (CIED).

METHODS

We performed a retrospective cohort study using national clinical data from the Veterans Health Administration linked to CIED data from the Carelink® remote monitoring data warehouse (Medtronic Inc, Mounds View, MN). All devices had atrial leads and at least 75% of remote monitoring transmission coverage. Patients were included at the date of the first AF episode lasting ≥6 minutes, and followed until the occurrence of persistent AF in the first year, defined as ≥7 consecutive days with continuous AF. We used Cox regression analyses with persistent AF as a time-varying covariate to examine the association to stroke, myocardial infarction, heart failure and death.

RESULTS

Of, 10,323 eligible patients, 1,771 had a first CIED-detected AF (mean age 69 ± 10 years, 1.2% female). In the first year 355 (20%) developed persistent AF. Kidney function was not associated with persistent AF after multivariable adjustment including CHA₂DS₂-VASc variables and prior medications. Only higher age increased the risk (HR: 1.37 per 10 years; 95% CI:1.22-1.54). Persistent AF was associated to higher risk of heart failure (HR: 2.27; 95% CI: 1.88-2.74) and death (HR: 1.60; 95% CI: 1.30-1.96), but not stroke (HR: 1.28; 95% CI: 0.62-2.62) or myocardial infarction (HR: 1.43; 95% CI: 0.91-2.25).

CONCLUSION

Kidney function was not associated to AF progression, whereas higher age was. Preventing AF progression could reduce the risk of heart failure and death.

[Atrial fibrillation-Syndromic phenotype in HFpEF or primary disease?]

Atrial fibrillation and heart failure with preserved left ventricular (LV) ejection fraction (HFpEF) are of high importance in cardiology due to the increasing number of cases. Both diseases can mutually affect each other and important cardiovascular risk factors, e.g. arterial hypertension, diabetes mellitus, obesity and chronic renal insufficiency can be observed with increasing frequency. Currently proven treatment concepts for patients with heart failure and reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) do not appear to have a comparable prognostic or symptomatic benefit for patients with HFpEF. In addition, there are indications that de novo manifestation of atrial fibrillation in HFpEF patients has been linked to reduced survival. Also, heart and kidney function are negatively affected by atrial fibrillation. Retrospective analyses of patients with HFpEF and atrial fibrillation who had been treated by pulmonary vein isolation could show that interventional treatment of the atrial fibrillation led to an improvement in the New York Heart Association (NYHA) stage and diastolic function. Currently running prospective randomized clinical trials, such as the AMPERE study including patients with HFpEF and atrial fibrillation undergoing pulmonary vein isolation, will hopefully provide reliable prospective randomized data and possibly show an improved symptom control and perhaps also prognostically relevant treatment for HFpEF patients with atrial fibrillation.

Atrial fibrillation and kidney function: a bidirectional Mendelian randomization study

AIMS

The aim of this study was to investigate the causal effects between atrial fibrillation (AF) and kidney function.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We performed a bidirectional summary-level Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis implementing the results from a large-scale genome-wide association study for estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) by the CKDGen (N = 765 348) and AF (N = 588 190) to identify genetic instruments. The inverse variance weighted method was the main MR method used. For replication, an allele score-based MR was performed by individual-level data within a UK Biobank cohort of white British ancestry individuals (N = 337 138). A genetic predisposition to AF was significantly associated with decreased eGFR [for log-eGFR, beta -0.003 (standard error, 0.0005), P < 0.001] and increased risk of chronic kidney disease [beta 0.059 (0.0126), P < 0.001]. The significance remained in MR sensitivity analyses and the causal estimates were consistent when we limited the analysis to individuals of European ancestry. Genetically predicted eGFR did not show a significant association with the risk of AF [beta -0.366 (0.275), P = 0.183]. The results were similar in allele score-based MR, as allele score for AF was significantly associated with reduced eGFR [for continuous eGFR, beta -0.079 (0.021), P < 0.001], but allele score for eGFR did not show a significant association with risk of AF [beta -0.005 (0.008), P = 0.530].

CONCLUSIONS

Our study supports that AF is a causal risk factor for kidney function impairment. However, an effect of kidney function on AF was not identified in this study.

Revisiting the dynamic risk profile of cardiovascular/non-cardiovascular multimorbidity in incident atrial fibrillation patients and five cardiovascular/non-cardiovascular outcomes: A machine-learning approach

BACKGROUND

Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) usually have a heterogeneous co-morbid history, with dynamic changes in risk factors impacting on multiple adverse outcomes. We investigated a large prospective cohort of patients with multimorbidity, using a machine-learning approach, accounting for the dynamic nature of comorbidity risks and incident AF.

METHODS

Using machine-learning, we studied a prospective US cohort using medical/pharmacy databases of 1 091 911 patients, with an incident AF cohort of 14 078 and non-AF cohort of 1 077 833 enrolled in the 4-year study. Five incident clinical outcomes (heart failure, stroke, myocardial infarction, major bleeding, and cognitive impairment) were examined in relationship to AF status (AF vs non-AF), diverse multi-morbid (conditions and medications) history, and demographic parameters (age and gender), with supervised machine-learning techniques.

RESULTS

Complex inter-relationships of various comorbidities were uncovered for AF cases, leading to 6-fold higher risk of heart failure relative to the non-AF cohort (OR 6.02, 95% CI 5.72-6.33), followed by myocardial infarction (OR=2.68), stroke (OR=2.19), and major bleeding (OR=1.36). Supervised machine learning algorithms on the original populations yielded comparable results for both neural network and logistic regression algorithms in terms of discriminant validity, with c-indexes for incident adverse outcomes: heart failure (0.924, 95%CI 0.923-0.925), stroke (0.871, 95%CI 0.869-0.873), myocardial infarction (0.901, 95% CI 0.899-0.903), major bleeding (0.700, 95%CI 0.697-0.703), and cognitive impairment (0.919, 95% CI 0.9170.921). External calibration of all models demonstrated a good fit between the predicted probabilities and observed events. Decision curve analysis demonstrated that the obtained models were much more clinically useful than the "treat all" strategy.

CONCLUSIONS

Complex multimorbidity relationships uncovered using a machine learning approach for incident AF cases have major consequences for integrated care management, with implications for risk stratification and adverse clinical outcomes. This approach may facilitate automated approaches in the presence of multimorbidity, potentially helping decision making.

Prediction of Incident Atrial Fibrillation in Chronic Kidney Disease: The Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort Study

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is common in CKD and associated with poor kidney and cardiovascular outcomes. Prediction models developed using novel methods may be useful to identify patients with CKD at highest risk of incident AF. We compared a previously published prediction model with models developed using machine learning methods in a CKD population.

DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS

We studied 2766 participants in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort study without prior AF with complete cardiac biomarker (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide and high-sensitivity troponin T) and clinical data. We evaluated the utility of machine learning methods as well as a previously validated clinical prediction model (Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology [CHARGE]-AF, which included 11 predictors, using original and re-estimated coefficients) to predict incident AF. Discriminatory ability of each model was assessed using the ten-fold cross-validated C-index; calibration was evaluated graphically and with the Grønnesby and Borgan test.

RESULTS

Mean (SD) age of participants was 57 (11) years, 55% were men, 38% were Black, and mean (SD) eGFR was 45 (15) ml/min per 1.73 m2; 259 incident AF events occurred during a median of 8 years of follow-up. The CHARGE-AF prediction equation using original and re-estimated coefficients had C-indices of 0.67 (95% confidence interval, 0.64 to 0.71) and 0.67 (95% confidence interval, 0.64 to 0.70), respectively. A likelihood-based boosting model using clinical variables only had a C-index of 0.67 (95% confidence interval, 0.64 to 0.70); adding N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, high-sensitivity troponin T, or both biomarkers improved the C-index by 0.04, 0.01, and 0.04, respectively. In addition to N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide and high-sensitivity troponin T, the final model included age, non-Hispanic Black race/ethnicity, Hispanic race/ethnicity, cardiovascular disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, myocardial infarction, peripheral vascular disease, use of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor/angiotensin receptor blockers, calcium channel blockers, diuretics, height, and weight.

CONCLUSIONS

Using machine learning algorithms, a model that included 12 standard clinical variables and cardiac-specific biomarkers N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide and high-sensitivity troponin T had moderate discrimination for incident AF in a CKD population.

Blood pressure-lowering treatment for the prevention of cardiovascular events in patients with atrial fibrillation: An individual participant data meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Randomised evidence on the efficacy of blood pressure (BP)-lowering treatment to reduce cardiovascular risk in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) is limited. Therefore, this study aimed to compare the effects of BP-lowering drugs in patients with and without AF at baseline.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

The study was based on the resource provided by the Blood Pressure Lowering Treatment Trialists' Collaboration (BPLTTC), in which individual participant data (IPD) were extracted from trials with over 1,000 patient-years of follow-up in each arm, and that had randomly assigned patients to different classes of BP-lowering drugs, BP-lowering drugs versus placebo, or more versus less intensive BP-lowering regimens. For this study, only trials that had collected information on AF status at baseline were included. The effects of BP-lowering treatment on a composite endpoint of major cardiovascular events (stroke, ischaemic heart disease or heart failure) according to AF status at baseline were estimated using fixed-effect one-stage IPD meta-analyses based on Cox proportional hazards models stratified by trial. Furthermore, to assess whether the associations between the intensity of BP reduction and cardiovascular outcomes are similar in those with and without AF at baseline, we used a meta-regression. From the full BPLTTC database, 28 trials (145,653 participants) were excluded because AF status at baseline was uncertain or unavailable. A total of 22 trials were included with 188,570 patients, of whom 13,266 (7%) had AF at baseline. Risk of bias assessment showed that 20 trials were at low risk of bias and 2 trials at moderate risk. Meta-regression showed that relative risk reductions were proportional to trial-level intensity of BP lowering in patients with and without AF at baseline. Over 4.5 years of median follow-up, a 5-mm Hg systolic BP (SBP) reduction lowered the risk of major cardiovascular events both in patients with AF (hazard ratio [HR] 0.91, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.83 to 1.00) and in patients without AF at baseline (HR 0.91, 95% CI 0.88 to 0.93), with no difference between subgroups. There was no evidence for heterogeneity of treatment effects by baseline SBP or drug class in patients with AF at baseline. The findings of this study need to be interpreted in light of its potential limitations, such as the limited number of trials, limitation in ascertaining AF cases due to the nature of the arrhythmia and measuring BP in patients with AF.

CONCLUSIONS

In this meta-analysis, we found that BP-lowering treatment reduces the risk of major cardiovascular events similarly in individuals with and without AF. Pharmacological BP lowering for prevention of cardiovascular events should be recommended in patients with AF.

Myocardial Injury and the Risk of Stroke in Patients With Chronic Kidney Disease (From the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort Study)

Patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) are at increased risk for stroke. High-sensitivity troponin (hsTP), a marker of myocardial injury, has been associated with stroke risk in patients without CKD, but whether this applies to patients with CKD is not known. We assessed whether hsTP levels is associated with incident stroke in patients with mild-to-moderate CKD without a history of stroke enrolled in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort. Patients were followed for incident stroke, and the association with hsTP was assessed. A total of 3477 patients without prior stroke were included in this investigation. Over a median follow-up of 7.3 years, 101 (2.8%) patients had an incident stroke. Baseline hsTP was associated with a 9-year risk of stroke (quartile 1: 1.8%, quartile 2: 3.8%, quartile 3: 4.9%, quartile 4: 7.3%; P < .001). After adjusting for traditional stroke risk factors, patients in the fourth quartile (hazard ratio: 2.52, 95% CI: 1.10-5.76, P = .021) had higher risk of stroke when compared with the lowest quartile of hsTP. In conclusion, hsTP levels are associated with increased risk of incident stroke in patients with mild to moderate CKD, and this association remains significant despite the adjustment for traditional risk factors and CKD.

Risk Factors for CKD Progression: Overview of Findings from the CRIC Study

The Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study is an ongoing, multicenter, longitudinal study of nearly 5500 adults with CKD in the United States. Over the past 10 years, the CRIC Study has made significant contributions to the understanding of factors associated with CKD progression. This review summarizes findings from longitudinal studies evaluating risk factors associated with CKD progression in the CRIC Study, grouped into the following six thematic categories: (1) sociodemographic and economic (sex, race/ethnicity, and nephrology care); (2) behavioral (healthy lifestyle, diet, and sleep); (3) genetic (apoL1, genome-wide association study, and renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system pathway genes); (4) cardiovascular (atrial fibrillation, hypertension, and vascular stiffness); (5) metabolic (fibroblast growth factor 23 and urinary oxalate); and (6) novel factors (AKI and biomarkers of kidney injury). Additionally, we highlight areas where future research is needed, and opportunities for interdisciplinary collaboration.

Oral anticoagulation in chronic kidney disease with atrial fibrillation

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) and atrial fibrillation (AF) frequently coexist, amplifying the risk of cardiovascular events and mortality. In patients with CKD stage 3 and non-valvular AF, direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) have shown, compared to vitamin K antagonists (VKA), equal or greater efficacy in the prevention of stroke and systemic embolism, and greater safety. There are no randomizedtrials of the efficacy and safety of DOACs and VKA in advanced CKD. On the other hand, observational studies suggest that DOACs, compared to warfarin, are associated with a lower risk of acute kidney damage and generation/progression of CKD. This paper reviews the epidemiological and pathophysiological aspects of the CKD and AF association, the evidence of the efficacy and safety of warfarin and ACODs in various stages of CKD with AF as well as the comparison between warfarin and ACODs in efficacy and anticoagulant safety, and in its renal effects.

Progression of retinopathy and incidence of cardiovascular disease: findings from the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort Study

PURPOSE

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients often develop cardiovascular disease (CVD) and retinopathy. The purpose of this study was to assess the association between progression of retinopathy and concurrent incidence of CVD events in participants with CKD.

DESIGN

We assessed 1051 out of 1936 participants in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort Study that were invited to have fundus photographs obtained at two timepoints separated by 3.5 years, on average.

METHODS

Using standard protocols, presence and severity of retinopathy (diabetic, hypertensive or other) and vessel diameter calibre were assessed at a retinal image reading centre by trained graders masked to study participants' information. Participants with a self-reported history of CVD were excluded. Incident CVD events were physician adjudicated using medical records and standardised criteria. Kidney function and proteinuria measurements along with CVD risk factors were obtained at study visits.

RESULTS

Worsening of retinopathy by two or more steps in the EDTRS retinopathy grading scale was observed in 9.8% of participants, and was associated with increased risk of incidence of any CVD in analysis adjusting for other CVD and CKD risk factors (OR 2.56, 95% CI 1.25 to 5.22, p<0.01). After imputation of missing data, these values were OR=1.66 (0.87 to 3.16), p=0.12.

CONCLUSION

Progression of retinopathy is associated with higher incidence of CVD events, and retinal-vascular pathology may be indicative of macrovascular disease even after adjustment for kidney diseases and CVD risk factors. Assessment of retinal morphology may provide important information when assessing CVD in patients with CKD.

Elevated Troponin T and Enlarged Left Atrium Are Associated with the Incidence of Atrial Fibrillation in Patients with CKD Stage 4-5

INTRODUCTION

Atrial fibrillation (AF) and CKD are commonly coexisting conditions. However, data on epidemiology of AF in patients with CKD stage 4-5 is scarce.

METHODS

We prospectively enrolled 210 consecutive non-dialysis patients with CKD stage 4-5 between 2013 and 2017. Follow-up data on AF incidence along with medical history, laboratory tests, and echocardiography at baseline were gathered.

RESULTS

At baseline, mean age was 62 years, estimated glomerular filtration rate 12.8 mL/min, and 73/210 (34.8%) participants were female. Altogether, 41/210 (19.5%) patients had a previous diagnosis of AF. After median follow-up of 46 [IQR 27] months, new-onset AF occurred in 33/169 (19.5%) patients (69.9 events/1,000 person-years). In the Cox proportional hazard model, age >60 years (HR 4.27, CI 95% 1.57-11.64, p < 0.01), elevated troponin T (TnT) >50 ng/L (HR 3.61, CI 95% 1.55-8.37, p < 0.01), and left atrial volume index (LAVI) >30 mL/m2 (HR 4.82, CI 95% 1.11-21.00, p = 0.04) were independently associated with the incidence of new-onset AF.

CONCLUSION

The prevalence and incidence of AF was markedly high in this prospective study on patients with CKD stage 4-5. Elevated TnT and increased LAVI were independently associated with the occurrence of new-onset AF in patients with severe CKD.

Anticoagulation in Patients with End-Stage Renal Disease and Atrial Fibrillation: Confusion, Concerns and Consequences

End-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients have a higher prevalence of diabetes mellitus, hypertension, congestive heart failure and advanced age, along with an increased incidence of non-valvular atrial fibrillation (AF), thereby increasing the risk for cerebrovascular accidents. Systemic anticoagulation is therefore recommended in patients with ESRD with AF to reduce the risk and complications from thromboembolism. Paradoxically, these patients are at an increased risk of bleeding due to great degree of platelet dysfunction and impaired interaction between platelet and endothelium. Currently, CHA2DS2-VASc and Hypertension, Abnormal liver/kidney function, Stroke, Bleeding, Labile INR, Elderly, Drugs or alcohol (HAS-BLED) are the recommended models for stroke risk stratification and bleeding risk assessment in patients with AF. There is conflicting data regarding benefits and risks of medications such as antiplatelet agents, warfarin and direct oral anticoagulants in ESRD patients with AF. Moreover, there is no randomized controlled trial data to guide the clinical decision making. Hence, a multi-disciplinary approach with annual re-evaluation of treatment goals and risk-benefit assessment has been recommended. In this article, we review the current recommendations with risks and benefits of anticoagulation in patients with ESRD with AF.

Implications of Kidney Disease in the Cardiac Patient

Cardiovascular and renal diseases share common pathophysiological grounds, risk factors, and therapies. The 2 entities are closely interlinked and often coexist. The prevalence of kidney disease among cardiac patients is increasing. Patients have an atypical clinical presentation and variable disease manifestation versus the general population. Renal impairment limits therapeutic options and worsens prognosis. Meticulous treatment and close monitoring are required to ensure safety and avoid deterioration of kidney and heart functions. This review highlights recent advances in the diagnosis and treatment of cardiac pathologies, including coronary artery disease, arrhythmia, and heart failure, in patients with decreased renal function.

Association of atrial fibrillation and clinical outcomes in adults with chronic kidney disease: A propensity score-matched analysis

Objective

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with adverse outcomes in the general population, but its impact on patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) remains unclear. In this study, we assessed the association between AF and risks of all-cause mortality and stroke in Chinese adults with CKD.

Methods

We enrolled adults aged 45 years or older with CKD (defined as an estimated glomerular filtration rate <60 mL/min per 1.73 m² and/or proteinuria identified using the urine dipstick method) from the Kailuan study between 2008 and 2014. AF was identified by 12-lead electrocardiography or hospital discharge diagnostic codes. Mortality data were collected from the provincial vital statistics, and physician-diagnosed ischemic or hemorrhagic stroke was confirmed in the biennial interview.

Results

Among the 21587 CKD adults, 216 patients were identified with AF, the median follow-up duration was 5.21 years (5.69 ± 1.96 years); During follow-up, there were 70 cases of death, and 16 cases of ischemic stroke and 6 cases of hemorrhagic stroke in the participants with AF in comparison with 2572 cases of death and 656 cases of ischemic stroke and 184 cases of hemorrhagic stroke among the participants without AF. After adjustment for potential confounders, AF was associated with an 86% increase in the rate of death (hazard ratio [HR], 1.86; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.33–2.59, P<0.001), a 104% (HR, 2.04; 95% CI, 1.09–3.83, P = 0.026) and 325% (HR, 4.25; 95% CI, 1.74–10.36, P = 0.001) increase in the rate of ischemic stroke and hemorrhagic stroke, respectively. These associations were still consistent and strong after propensity score-matched analysis.

Conclusion

Our study shows that AF is independently associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality, ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke in Chinese CKD adults. Future studies are required to elucidate the physiological mechanisms underlying this association.

C-X-C motif chemokine receptor 4 aggravates renal fibrosis through activating JAK/STAT/GSK3β/β-catenin pathway

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) has a high prevalence worldwide. Renal fibrosis is the common pathological feature in various types of CKD. However, the underlying mechanisms are not determined. Here, we adopted different CKD mouse models and cultured human proximal tubular cell line (HKC-8) to examine the expression of C-X-C motif chemokine receptor 4 (CXCR4) and β-catenin signalling, as well as their relationship in renal fibrosis. In CKD mice and humans with a variety of nephropathies, CXCR4 was dramatically up-regulated in tubules, with a concomitant activation of β-catenin. CXCR4 expression level was positively correlated with the expression of β-catenin target MMP-7. AMD3100, a CXCR4 receptor blocker, and gene knockdown of CXCR4 significantly inhibited the activation of JAK/STAT and β-catenin signalling, protected against tubular injury and renal fibrosis. CXCR4-induced renal fibrosis was inhibited by treatment with ICG-001, an inhibitor of β-catenin signalling. In HKC-8 cells, overexpression of CXCR4 induced activation of β-catenin and deteriorated cell injury. These effects were inhibited by ICG-001. Stromal cell-derived factor (SDF)-1α, the ligand of CXCR4, stimulated the activation of JAK2/STAT3 and JAK3/STAT6 signalling in HKC-8 cells. Overexpression of STAT3 or STAT6 decreased the abundance of GSK3β mRNA. Silencing of STAT3 or STAT6 significantly blocked SDF-1α-induced activation of β-catenin and fibrotic lesions. These results uncover a novel mechanistic linkage between CXCR4 and β-catenin activation in renal fibrosis in association with JAK/STAT/GSK3β pathway. Our studies also suggest that targeted inhibition of CXCR4 may provide better therapeutic effects on renal fibrosis by inhibiting multiple downstream signalling cascades.

High Sensitivity Troponin and Risk of Incident Peripheral Arterial Disease in Chronic Kidney Disease (from the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort [CRIC] Study)

Patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) are at increased risk for peripheral arterial disease (PAD). A novel biomarker to accurately and reliably predict new onset PAD in high risk patients is needed. High sensitivity troponin (HsTP) is a new assay which allows detection of very low troponin levels with high precision. We sought to explore the association between HsTP and risk of PAD in CKD. The Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) is a prospective cohort of 3,939 individuals with mild to moderate CKD using age related criteria for glomerular filtration rate. High sensitivity troponin T was measured at study enrollment. Patients with previous history of PAD or coronary artery disease were excluded. Patients were followed for new-onset adjudicated PAD, and the association between HsTP and incident PAD was examined. A total of 2,909 participants free of PAD and coronary artery disease at enrollment were included in this analysis. Over a mean follow up 7.4 years [interquartile ranges 5.8 to 8.5] years, 79 (2.7%) patients developed PAD. The 3-, 6-, and 9-year incidence of PAD was 1.00%, 2.03%, and 2.72%, respectively. At 9 years, the cumulative rates of PAD increased with HsTP (Quartile 1: 0.3%, Quartile 2: 2.4%, Quartile 3: 3.7%, Quartile 4: 10.7%; p <0.001). After adjusting for clinical risk factors of PAD, patients in the third quartile (Hazards ratio 5.89, 95% confidence interval: 1.31 to 26.47, p = 0.021) and fourth quartile of HsTP (Hazards ratio 10.24, 95% confidence interval 2.23 to 47.08, p = 0.003) had higher risk of PAD compared with lowest quartile of HsTP. HsTP had good discrimination of PAD at 3 years (area under the curve [AUC] 0.76), 6 years (AUC 0.79) and 9 years (AUC 0.80). Addition of HsTP to Framingham risk score improved model discrimination of PAD. In conclusion, in patients with mild-moderate CKD, HsTP levels are associated with and predictive of risk of incident PAD. This association remains significant despite adjustment for traditional PAD risk factors and chronic kidney disease.

High-sensitivity troponin and the risk of atrial fibrillation in chronic kidney disease: Results from the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) are at an increased risk of atrial fibrillation (AF). There is a need for novel biomarkers to reliably and accurately predict AF in this population. High-sensitivity troponin (HsTP) allows the detection of low troponin concentrations. The utility of HsTP for evaluating the risk of AF in CKD has not been established.

OBJECTIVE

We sought to explore the association between HsTP and the risk of incident AF in CKD.

METHODS

The Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort is a prospective cohort of 3939 individuals with mild to moderate CKD. HsTP was measured at study enrollment. Patients with a history of AF were excluded. Patients were followed for new-onset AF, and the association between HsTP and incident AF was examined using the Cox regression model.

RESULTS

A total of 3217 participants were included. Over a median follow-up period of 7.1 years (interquartile range 5.0-8.4 years), 252 patients developed new-onset AF (12 events per 1000 person-years of follow-up). The incidence of new-onset AF was 2.46%, 7.06%, and 11.5% at 3, 6, and 9 years, respectively. Compared with the lowest quartile of HsTP, patients in the third quartile of HsTP (hazard ratio 2.40; 95% confidence interval 1.58-3.65; P < .001) and the fourth quartile of HsTP (hazard ratio 4.43; 95% confidence interval 2.98-6.59; P < .001) had a higher incidence of AF.

CONCLUSION

HsTP levels are associated with an increased risk of AF in patients with mild to moderate CKD. This association remains significant despite adjustment for traditional AF risk factors and chronic renal disease.

Clinical outcomes and treatment patterns among Medicare patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) and chronic kidney disease

Background

Patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) and chronic kidney disease (CKD) have increased risk of adverse outcomes. This study evaluated treatment with oral anticoagulants and outcomes in elderly NVAF patients with CKD.

Methods

Retrospective observational cohort study of US Medicare fee-for-service patients aged ≥66 years with comorbid CKD (advanced: Stage 4 and higher; less advanced: Stages 1–3) and a new NVAF diagnoses from 2011–2013. All-cause mortality, stroke, major bleeding, and myocardial infarction rates were estimated for 1 year post-NVAF diagnosis. Associations between CKD stage and outcomes were evaluated with multivariate-adjusted Cox regression. We assessed oral anticoagulant (OAC) receipt within 90 days post-NVAF diagnosis and associations between OAC receipt and outcomes.

Results

There were 198,380 eligible patients (79,681 with advanced CKD). After adjustment for age, gender, and comorbidities, advanced CKD was associated with increased mortality (Stage 5 HR 1.47; 95% CI 1.42–1.52), MI (HR 1.48; 95% CI 1.33–1.64), stroke (HR 1.23; 95% CI 1.11–1.37) and major bleed (HR 1.44; 95% CI 1.36–1.53) risks. Among Medicare Part D enrollees who survived ≥90 days post-NVAF diagnosis, 65–71% received no OACs in the first 90 days. Those receiving warfarin (HR 0.73; 95% CI 0.71–0.75) or DOACs (HR 0.52; 95% CI 0.49–0.56) within the first 90 days had reduced mortality in the period 90 days to 1 year following NVAF diagnosis compared to those without.

Conclusion

Elderly NVAF patients with advanced CKD (Stage 4 or higher) had higher mortality risks and serious clinical outcomes than those with less advanced CKD (Stage 1–3). OAC use was low across all CKD stages, but was associated with a lower mortality risk than no OAC use in the first year post-NVAF diagnosis.

Effects of Prevalent and Incident Atrial Fibrillation on Renal Outcome, Cardiovascular Events, and Mortality in Patients with Chronic Kidney Disease

BACKGROUND

Little is known about how incident atrial fibrillation (AF) affects the clinical outcomes in chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients and whether there is a different influence between pre-existing and incident AF.

METHODS

Incident CKD patients from 2000 to 2013 were retrieved from the National Health Insurance Research Database (NHIRD) of Taiwan and they were classified as non-AF (n = 15,251), prevalent AF (n = 612), and incident AF (n = 588). The outcomes of interest were end-stage renal disease (ESRD) requiring dialysis, all-cause mortality, cardiovascular (CV) mortality, acute myocardial infarction (AMI), stroke or systemic thromboembolism.

RESULTS

Compared with CKD patients without AF, those with prevalent or incident AF were associated with higher adjusted rates of ESRD (hazard ratio (HR), 1.40; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.32-1.48; HR, 2.91; 95% CI, 2.74-3.09, respectively), stroke or systemic thromboembolism (HR, 1.89; 95% CI, 1.77-2.03; HR, 1.67; 95% CI, 1.54-1.81, respectively), AMI (HR, 1.24; 95% CI, 1.09-1.41; HR, 1.99; 95% CI, 1.75-2.27, respectively), all-cause mortality (HR, 1.64; 95% CI, 1.56-1.72; HR, 2.17; 95% CI, 2.06-2.29, respectively), and CV mortality (HR, 2.95; 95% CI, 2.62-3.32; HR, 4.61; 95% CI, 4.09-5.20, respectively). Intriguingly, CKD patients with prevalent AF were associated with lower adjusted rates of ESRD, AMI, all-cause mortality, and CV mortality compared with those with incident AF.

CONCLUSION

Both incident and prevalent AF were independently associated with greater risks of AMI, all-cause mortality, CV mortality, ESRD, and stroke or systemic thromboembolism. Our findings are novel in that, compared with prevalent AF, incident AF possessed an even higher risk of some clinical consequences, including ESRD, all-cause mortality, CV mortality, and AMI.

Cardiac Biomarkers and Risk of Atrial Fibrillation in Chronic Kidney Disease: The CRIC Study

Background

We tested associations of cardiac biomarkers of myocardial stretch, injury, inflammation, and fibrosis with the risk of incident atrial fibrillation (AF) in a prospective study of chronic kidney disease patients.

Methods and Results

The study sample was 3053 participants with chronic kidney disease in the multicenter CRIC (Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort) study who were not identified as having AF at baseline. Cardiac biomarkers, measured at baseline, were NT‐proBNP (N‐terminal pro‐B‐type natriuretic peptide), high‐sensitivity troponin T, galectin‐3, growth differentiation factor‐15, and soluble ST‐2. Incident AF (“AF event”) was defined as a hospitalization for AF. During a median follow‐up of 8 years, 279 (9%) participants developed a new AF event. In adjusted models, higher baseline log‐transformed NT‐proBNP (N‐terminal pro‐B‐type natriuretic peptide) was associated with incident AF (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] per SD higher concentration: 2.11; 95% CI, 1.75, 2.55), as was log‐high‐sensitivity troponin T (HR 1.42; 95% CI, 1.20, 1.68). These associations showed a dose–response relationship in categorical analyses. Although log‐soluble ST‐2 was associated with AF risk in continuous models (HR per SD higher concentration 1.35; 95% CI, 1.16, 1.58), this association was not consistent in categorical analyses. Log‐galectin‐3 (HR 1.05; 95% CI, 0.91, 1.22) and log‐growth differentiation factor‐15 (HR 1.16; 95% CI, 0.96, 1.40) were not significantly associated with incident AF.

Conclusions

We found strong associations between higher NT‐proBNP (N‐terminal pro‐B‐type natriuretic peptide) and high‐sensitivity troponin T concentrations, and the risk of incident AF in a large cohort of participants with chronic kidney disease. Increased atrial myocardial stretch and myocardial cell injury may be implicated in the high burden of AF in patients with chronic kidney disease.

Warfarin Dosing and Outcomes in Chronic Kidney Disease: A Closer Look at Warfarin Disposition

BACKGROUND

Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD) is a prevalent worldwide health problem. Patients with CKD are more prone to developing cardiovascular complications such as atrial fibrillation and stroke. This warrants the use of oral anticoagulants, such as warfarin, in this population. While the efficacy and safety of warfarin in this setting remain controversial, a growing body of evidence emphasizes that warfarin use in CKD can be problematic. This review discusses 1) warfarin use, dosing and outcomes in CKD patients; and 2) possible pharmacokinetic mechanisms for altered warfarin dosing and response in CKD.

METHODS

Structured search and review of literature articles evaluating warfarin dosing and outcomes in CKD. Data and information about warfarin metabolism, transport, and pharmacokinetics in CKD were also analyzed and summarized.

RESULTS

The literature data suggest that changes in warfarin pharmacokinetics such as protein binding, nonrenal clearance, the disposition of warfarin metabolites may partially contribute to altered warfarin dosing and response in CKD.

CONCLUSION

Although the evidence to support warfarin use in advanced CKD is still unclear, this synthesis of previous findings may help in improving optimized warfarin therapy in CKD settings.