Comparative Effectiveness of SGLT2 Inhibitors, GLP-1 Receptor Agonists, DPP-4 Inhibitors, and Sulfonylureas on Risk of Kidney Outcomes: Emulation of a Target Trial Using Health Care Databases

Kidney and Cardiovascular Outcomes Among Patients With CKD Receiving GLP-1 Receptor Agonists: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Randomized Trials

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE

Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs) improve cardiac and kidney outcomes in patients with diabetes; however their efficacy in individuals with reduced estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) is uncertain. This study evaluated the effects of GLP-1RAs on kidney and cardiovascular (CV) outcomes in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD).

STUDY DESIGN

Systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) reported through May 25, 2024.

SETTING & STUDY POPULATIONS

Adult participants in RCTs with baseline eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2.

SELECTION CRITERIA FOR STUDIES

RCTs including adults (≥18 years old) with varying degrees of kidney function, including individuals with CKD characterized by a baseline eGFR of less than 60 mL/min/1.73 m2, that compared GLP-1RAs with control treatments with respect to a composite kidney outcome, all-cause mortality, or a composite CV disease outcome. From among 212 screened studies, 12 trials involving that included participants with baseline eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 were included.

DATA EXTRACTION

Two independent investigators extracted the data.

ANALYTICAL APPROACH

Pooled odds ratios (ORs) for composite kidney outcome, all-cause mortality, and composite CV outcome were estimated using random-effects models. Evidence certainty was assessed using the GRADE system.

RESULTS

17,996 RCT participants with baseline eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 were included in analyses. GLP-1RAs were significantly associated with a reduced risk of the composite kidney outcome (OR: 0.85 [95% CI 0.77-0.94]; p=0.001) with low heterogeneity (I2<0.01%). GLP-1RAs were also associated with a reduced the risk of a >30% eGFR decline (OR: 0.78, p=0.004), a >40% decline (OR: 0.76, p=0.01), and a >50% decline (OR: 0.72, p<0.001). Risk of all-cause mortality was also lower in the GLP-1RA group (OR: 0.77 [95% CI 0.60-0.98]; p=0.03), though there was high heterogeneity (I2=71.6%). Composite CV outcomes were also lower with the use of GLP-1R (OR: 0.86 [95% CI 0.74-0.99]; p=0.03; I2=40.3%). Sensitivity analyses restricted to human GLP-1 backbone agents showed enhanced benefits.

LIMITATIONS

Inconsistent kidney outcome definitions, focus on diabetic populations in most studies, and potential publication bias.

CONCLUSIONS

GLP-1RAs improved kidney and cardiovascular outcomes, and survival in patients with CKD enrolled in an array of clinical trials.

Mapping the effectiveness and risks of GLP-1 receptor agonists

Glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs) are increasingly being used to treat diabetes and obesity. However, their effectiveness and risks have not yet been systematically evaluated in a comprehensive set of possible health outcomes. Here, we used the US Department of Veterans Affairs databases to build a cohort of people with diabetes who initiated GLP-1RA (n = 215,970) and compared them to those who initiated sulfonylureas (n = 159,465), dipeptidyl peptidase 4 (DPP4) inhibitors (n = 117,989) or sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitors (n = 258,614), a control group composed of an equal proportion of individuals initiating sulfonylureas, DPP4 inhibitors and SGLT2 inhibitors (n = 536,068), and a control group of 1,203,097 individuals who continued use of non-GLP-1RA antihyperglycemics (usual care). We used a discovery approach to systematically map an atlas of the associations of GLP-1RA use versus each comparator with 175 health outcomes. Compared to usual care, GLP-1RA use was associated with a reduced risk of substance use and psychotic disorders, seizures, neurocognitive disorders (including Alzheimer's disease and dementia), coagulation disorders, cardiometabolic disorders, infectious illnesses and several respiratory conditions. There was an increased risk of gastrointestinal disorders, hypotension, syncope, arthritic disorders, nephrolithiasis, interstitial nephritis and drug-induced pancreatitis associated with GLP-1RA use compared to usual care. The results provide insights into the benefits and risks of GLP-1RAs and may be useful for informing clinical care and guiding research agendas.

Using Trial and Observational Data to Assess Effectiveness: Trial Emulation, Transportability, Benchmarking, and Joint Analysis

Comparisons between randomized trial analyses and observational analyses that attempt to address similar research questions have generated many controversies in epidemiology and the social sciences. There has been little consensus on when such comparisons are reasonable, what their implications are for the validity of observational analyses, or whether trial and observational analyses can be integrated to address effectiveness questions. Here, we consider methods for using observational analyses to complement trial analyses when assessing treatment effectiveness. First, we review the framework for designing observational analyses that emulate target trials and present an evidence map of its recent applications. We then review approaches for estimating the average treatment effect in the target population underlying the emulation, using observational analyses of the emulation data alone and using transportability analyses to extend inferences from a trial to the target population. We explain how comparing treatment effect estimates from the emulation against those from the trial can provide evidence on whether observational analyses can be trusted to deliver valid estimates of effectiveness-a process we refer to as benchmarking-and, in some cases, allow the joint analysis of the trial and observational data. We illustrate different approaches using a simplified example of a pragmatic trial and its emulation in registry data. We conclude that synthesizing trial and observational data-in transportability, benchmarking, or joint analyses-can leverage their complementary strengths to enhance learning about comparative effectiveness, through a process combining quantitative methods and epidemiologic judgments.

Clinical trial emulation in nephrology

Trial emulation, also known as target trial emulation, has significantly advanced epidemiology and causal inference by providing a robust framework for deriving causal relationships from observational data. This approach aims to reduce biases and confounding factors inherent in observational studies, thereby improving the validity of causal inferences. By designing observational studies to mimic randomized controlled trials (RCTs) as closely as possible, researchers can better control for confounding and bias. Key components of trial emulation include defining a clear time-zero, simulating random assignment using techniques like propensity score matching and inverse probability treatment weighting, assessing group comparability by standardized mean differences and establishing a clear comparison strategy. The increasing availability of large-scale real-world databases, such as research cohorts, patient registries, and hospital records, has driven the popularity of target trial emulation. These data sources offer information on patient outcomes, treatment patterns, and disease progression in real-world settings. By applying the principles of target trial emulation to these rich data sources, researchers can design studies that provide robust causal inferences about the effects of interventions, informing clinical guidelines and regulatory decisions. Despite its advantages, trial emulation faces challenges like data quality, unmeasured confounding, and implementation complexity. Future directions include integrating trial emulation with machine learning techniques and developing methods to address unmeasured confounding. Overall, trial emulation represents a significant advancement in epidemiology, offering a valuable tool for deriving accurate and reliable causal inferences from observational data, ultimately improving public health outcomes.

Effects of sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors on chronic kidney disease progression: a multi-state survival model

BACKGROUND

Current guidelines recommend good glycemic control in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) to limit the progression of associated complications with combination therapies. This study aimed to compare the rate of chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression between patients who did or did not receive sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) using a multistate model with two intermediate states (i.e., CKD stage 4 (CKD4) and 5 (CKD5)) and one absorbing state (i.e., death).

METHODS

Data from patients with T2D and CKD stage 3 (CKD3) were retrieved for analysis. Patients treated with SGLT2i were matched 1:2 by prescription date with non-SGLT2i patients. The multistate model was constructed from Cox survival regression models specific to each transition stage. Cumulative failure and transition probabilities were estimated from bootstrapping.

RESULTS

Data from 6582 patients (2194 and 4388 patients in the SGLT2i and non-SGLT2i groups, respectively) were analyzed. At 10-year follow-up, patients in the SGLT2i group were more likely to remain at CKD3 compared to the non-SGLT2i group: 82.3% (95% CI 79.9%, 84.6%) vs 60.4% (57.6%, 63.4%). Transition probabilities to CKD4, CKD5, and death were lower in the SGLT2i group than non-SGLT2i group: 11.3% (9.5%, 13.3%) vs 19.8% (17.4%, 22.2%), 2.4% (1.5%, 3.4%) vs 7.4% (5.8%, 9.0%), and 4.1% (2.9%, 5.3%) vs 12.4% (10.3%, 14.6%), respectively.

CONCLUSION

SGLT2i may delay the decline in renal function and slow CKD progression compared to standard care without SGLT2i.

Comparative renal outcomes of matched cohorts of patients with type 2 diabetes receiving SGLT2 inhibitors or GLP-1 receptor agonists under routine care

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

We compared the effects of sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors (SGLT2i) and glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RA) on renal outcomes in individuals with type 2 diabetes, focusing on the changes in eGFR and albuminuria.

METHODS

This was a multicentre retrospective observational study on new users of diabetes medications. Participant characteristics were assessed before and after propensity score matching. The primary endpoint, change in eGFR, was analysed using mixed-effects models. Secondary endpoints included categorical eGFR-based outcomes and changes in albuminuria. Subgroup and sensitivity analyses were performed to assess robustness of the findings.

RESULTS

After matching, 5701 participants/group were included. Participants were predominantly male, aged 61 years, with a 10 year duration of diabetes, a baseline HbA1c of 64 mmol/mol (8.0%) and BMI of 33 kg/m2. Chronic kidney disease (CKD) was present in 23% of participants. During a median of 2.1 years, from a baseline of 87 ml/min per 1.73 m2, eGFR remained higher in the SGLT2i group compared with the GLP-1RA group throughout the observation period by 1.2 ml/min per 1.73 m2. No differences were detected in albuminuria change. The SGLT2i group exhibited lower rates of worsening CKD class and favourable changes in BP compared with the GLP-1RA group, despite lesser HbA1c decline. SGLT2i also reduced eGFR decline better than GLP-1RA in participants without baseline CKD.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

In individuals with type 2 diabetes, treatment with SGLT2i was associated with better preservation of renal function compared with GLP-1RA, as evidenced by slower decline in eGFR. These findings reinforce SGLT2i as preferred agents for renal protection in this patient population.

A review of the latest real-world evidence studies in diabetic kidney disease: What have we learned about clinical practice and the clinical effectiveness of interventions?

Diabetic nephropathy, also known as diabetic kidney disease (DKD), remains a challenge in clinical practice as this is the major cause of kidney failure worldwide. Clinical trials do not answer all the questions raised in clinical practice and real-world evidence provides complementary insights from randomized controlled trials. Real-life longitudinal data highlight the need for improved screening and management of diabetic nephropathy in primary care. Adherence to the recommended guidelines for comprehensive care appears to be suboptimal in clinical practice in patients with DKD. Barriers to the initiation of sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitors for patients with DKD persist in clinical practice, in particular for the elderly. Attainment of blood pressure targets often remains an issue. Initiation of glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs) in routine clinical practice is associated with a reduced risk of albuminuria progression and a possible beneficial effect on kidney function. Real-world evidence confirms a beneficial effect of SGLT2 inhibitors on the decline of glomerular filtration, even in the absence of albuminuria, with a lower risk of acute kidney injury events compared to GLP-1RA use. In addition, SGLT2 inhibitors confer a lower risk of hyperkalaemia after initiation compared with dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors in patients with DKD. Data from a large population indicate that diuretic treatment increases the risk of a significant decline in glomerular filtration rate in the first few weeks of treatment after SGLT2 inhibitor initiation. The perspective for a global approach targeting multifaceted criteria for diabetic individuals with DKD is emerging based on real-world evidence but there is still a long way to go to achieve this goal.

Sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors and cardiovascular events among patients with type 2 diabetes and low-to-normal body mass index: a nationwide cohort study

BACKGROUND

Patients with low-to-normal body mass index (BMI; < 25.0 kg/m2) were underrepresented in major randomized controlled trials on sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors for type 2 diabetes. The present study aims to investigate the effectiveness of SGLT2 inhibitors for cardiovascular outcomes among patients with type 2 diabetes and low-to-normal BMI, using finer stratification than previous trials.

METHODS

This cohort study with a target trial emulation framework was conducted using insurance claims and health screening records of more than 30 million working-age citizens in Japan acquired from April 1, 2015 to March 31, 2022. 139,783 new users of SGLT2 inhibitors matched to 139,783 users of dipeptidyl protease (DPP) 4 inhibitors with stratification by BMI category (< 20.0, 20.0-22.4, 22.5-24.9, 25.0-29.9, 30.0-34.9, and 35.0 ≤ kg/m2). The primary outcome was a composite of all-cause death, myocardial infarction, stroke, or heart failure. Secondary outcomes were the components of the primary outcome. Cox proportional hazard models were used to compare SGLT2 inhibitors with DPP4 inhibitors in the whole population and subgroups defined by the BMI category.

RESULTS

Among participants, 17.3% (n = 48,377) were female and 31.0% (n = 86,536) had low-to-normal BMI (< 20.0 kg/m2, 1.9% [n = 5,350]; 20.0-22.4 kg/m2, 8.5% [n = 23,818]; and 22.5-24.9 kg/m2, 20.5% [n = 57,368]). Over a median follow-up of 24 months, the primary outcome occurred in 2.9% (n = 8,165) of participants. SGLT2 inhibitors were associated with a decreased incidence of the primary outcome in the whole population (HR [95%CI] = 0.92 [0.89 to 0.96]), but not in patients with low-to-normal BMI (< 20.0 kg/m2, HR [95%CI] = 1.08 [0.80 to 1.46]; 20.0-22.4 kg/m2, HR [95%CI] = 1.04 [0.90 to 1.20]; and 22.5-24.9 kg/m2, HR [95%CI] = 0.92 [0.84 to 1.01]).

CONCLUSIONS

The protective effect of SGLT2 inhibitors on cardiovascular events among patients with type 2 diabetes appeared to decrease with lower BMI and was not significant among patients with low-to-normal BMI (< 25.0 kg/m2). These findings suggest the importance of considering BMI when initiating SGLT2 inhibitors.

Comprehensive Evaluation of the Cardiovascular Protective Effects of Sodium-Glucose Cotransporter 2 Inhibitors in Patients with Advanced Chronic Kidney Disease: A Real-World Evidence

INTRODUCTION

Diabetes, kidney disease, and cardiovascular disease have complex interactions and coexistences that significantly worsen a patient's overall health. Previous research results have shown that SGLT2i hypoglycemic drugs can not only effectively control blood sugar in diabetic patients but also protect the kidneys and heart. This study further focuses on diabetic patients with kidney disease to explore the effectiveness of using SGLT2i hypoglycemic drugs in avoiding heart-related complications or death.

METHODS

This is a multicenter retrospective cohort study using the Taipei Medical University Clinical Research Database (TMUCRD) as the data source. This study selected patients who suffered from both type 2 diabetes and chronic kidney disease from 1 January 2008 to 31 December 2020, as the research team. Integrated or separate 4-point major adverse cardiovascular events (4P-MACE) and mortality were the outcomes of this study. The Kaplan-Meier curves method and Cox proportional hazard regression analysis were used to explore the association between each influencing factor and the outcome.

RESULTS

A total of 5,005 patients with type 2 diabetes and CKD were included in this study, of which 524 patients were stably treated with SGLT2i, 3,952 patients were treated with DPP4i, and 529 patients were treated with TZD. The results showed that the SGLT2i user group had a significantly lower risk of 4P-MACE compared with the SGLT2i nonuser group (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.68, 95% CI [0.49, 0.95], p = 0.024). The SGLT2i group had a significantly lower risk of cardiovascular mortality compared with the DPP4i and TZD groups (HR: 0.37, 95% CI [0.21, 0.65], p < 0.001; HR: 0.42, 95% CI [0.20, 0.90], p = 0.025).

CONCLUSION

This study found that for patients with both diabetes and kidney disease, SGLT2i is a better option than other oral hypoglycemic medications because it can significantly avoid the occurrence of heart-related complications. The results of this study can be used as a reference for clinical medication selection practice.

Exploring Adiposity and Chronic Kidney Disease: Clinical Implications, Management Strategies, Prognostic Considerations

Obesity poses a significant and growing risk factor for chronic kidney disease (CKD), requiring comprehensive evaluation and management strategies. This review explores the intricate relationship between obesity and CKD, emphasizing the diverse phenotypes of obesity, including sarcopenic obesity and metabolically healthy versus unhealthy obesity, and their differential impact on kidney function. We discuss the epidemiological evidence linking elevated body mass index (BMI) with CKD risk while also addressing the paradoxical survival benefits observed in obese CKD patients. Various measures of obesity, such as BMI, waist circumference, and visceral fat assessment, are evaluated in the context of CKD progression and outcomes. Mechanistic insights into how obesity promotes renal dysfunction through lipid metabolism, inflammation, and altered renal hemodynamics are elucidated, underscoring the role of adipokines and the renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system. Furthermore, the review examines current strategies for assessing kidney function in obese individuals, including the strengths and limitations of filtration markers and predictive equations. The management of obesity and associated comorbidities like arterial hypertension, type 2 diabetes mellitus, and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease in CKD patients is discussed. Finally, gaps in the current literature and future research directions aimed at optimizing the management of obesity-related CKD are highlighted, emphasizing the need for personalized therapeutic approaches to mitigate the growing burden of this intertwined epidemic.

Individual treatment effects of sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitors on the risk of chronic kidney disease in patients with type 2 diabetes: A counterfactual prediction model based on real-world data

AIM

To estimate individual treatment effects (ITEs) of sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2is) on lowering the risk of developing chronic kidney disease (CKD) in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and to identify those most probable to benefit from treatment.

METHODS

This study followed a T2D cohort from Ramathibodi Hospital, Thailand, from 2015 to 2022. A counterfactual model was constructed to predict factual and counterfactual risks of CKD if patients did/did not receive SGLT2is. ITEs were estimated by subtracting the factual risk from the counterfactual risk of CKD.

RESULTS

There were 1619 and 15 879 patients included in the SGLT2i and non-SGLT2i groups, respectively. The estimated ITEs varied from -1.19% to -17.51% with a median of -4.49%, that is, 50% of patients had a 4.49% or greater lower CKD risk if they received an SGLT2i. Patients who gained the greatest benefit from SGLT2is were more probable to be male, aged at least 60 years, with a history of diabetes duration of at least 3 months, hypertension, peripheral arterial disease, diabetic retinopathy and low high-density lipoprotein cholesterol.

CONCLUSIONS

Our prediction model provides individualized information that helps target T2D patients who may benefit more from SGLT2is. This could help clinical decision making and implementation of personalized medicine in clinical practice, especially in resource-limited settings.

GLP-1RA vs DPP-4i Use and Rates of Hyperkalemia and RAS Blockade Discontinuation in Type 2 Diabetes

Importance

Hyperkalemia is a common complication in people with type 2 diabetes (T2D) that may limit the use of guideline-recommended renin-angiotensin system inhibitors (RASis). Emerging evidence suggests that glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs) increase urinary potassium excretion, which may translate into reduced hyperkalemia risk.

Objective

To compare rates of hyperkalemia and RASi persistence among new users of GLP-1RAs vs dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (DPP-4is).

Design, Setting, and Participants

This cohort study included all adults with T2D in the region of Stockholm, Sweden, who initiated GLP-1RA or DPP-4i treatment between January 1, 2008, and December 31, 2021. Analyses were conducted between October 1, 2023, and April 29, 2024.

Exposures

GLP-1RAs or DPP-4is.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The primary study outcome was time to any hyperkalemia (potassium level >5.0 mEq/L) and moderate to severe (potassium level >5.5 mEq/L) hyperkalemia. Time to discontinuation of RASi use among individuals using RASis at baseline was assessed. Inverse probability of treatment weights served to balance more than 70 identified confounders. Marginal structure models were used to estimate per-protocol hazard ratios (HRs).

Results

A total of 33 280 individuals (13 633 using GLP-1RAs and 19 647 using DPP-4is; mean [SD] age, 63.7 [12.6] years; 19 853 [59.7%] male) were included. The median (IQR) time receiving treatment was 3.9 (1.0-10.9) months. Compared with DPP-4i use, GLP-1RA use was associated with a lower rate of any hyperkalemia (HR, 0.61; 95% CI, 0.50-0.76) and moderate to severe (HR, 0.52; 95% CI, 0.28-0.84) hyperkalemia. Of 21 751 participants who were using RASis, 1381 discontinued this therapy. The use of GLP-1RAs vs DPP-4is was associated with a lower rate of RASi discontinuation (HR, 0.89; 95% CI, 0.82-0.97). Results were consistent in intention-to-treat analyses and across strata of age, sex, cardiovascular comorbidity, and baseline kidney function.

Conclusions

In this study of patients with T2D managed in routine clinical care, the use of GLP-1RAs was associated with lower rates of hyperkalemia and sustained RASi use compared with DPP-4i use. These findings suggest that GLP-1RA treatment may enable wider use of guideline-recommended medications and contribute to clinical outcomes in this population.

Proteome-wide mendelian randomization identifies novel therapeutic targets for chronic kidney disease

There is an urgent need to pinpoint novel targets for drug discovery in the context of chronic kidney disease (CKD), and the proteome represents a significant pool of potential therapeutic targets. To address this, we performed proteome-wide analyses using Mendelian randomization (MR) and colocalization techniques to uncover potential targets for CKD. We extracted summary-level data from the ARIC study, focusing on 7213 European American (EA) individuals and 4657 plasma proteins. To broaden our analysis, we incorporated genetic association data from Icelandic cohorts, thereby enhancing our investigation into the correlations with chronic kidney disease (CKD), creatinine-based estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFRcrea), and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). We utilized genetic association data from the GWAS Catalog, including CKD (765,348, 625,219 European ancestry and 140,129 non-European ancestry), eGFRcrea (1,004,040, European ancestry), and eGFR (567,460, European ancestry). Employing MR analysis, we estimated the associations between proteins and CKD risk. Additionally, we conducted colocalization analysis to evaluate the existence of shared causal variants between the identified proteins and CKD. We detected notable correlations between levels predicted based on genetics of three circulating proteins and CKD, eGFRcrea, and eGFR. Notably, our colocalization analysis provided robust evidence supporting these associations. Specifically, genetically predicted levels of Transcription elongation factor A protein 2 (TCEA2) and Neuregulin-4 (NRG4) exhibited an inverse relationship with CKD risk, while Glucokinase regulatory protein (GCKR) showed an increased risk of CKD. Furthermore, our colocalization analysis also supported the associations of TCEA2, NRG4, and GCKR with the risk of eGFRcrea and eGFR.

Adverse cardiovascular and kidney outcomes in people with SARS-CoV-2 treated with SGLT2 inhibitors

BACKGROUND

Whether use of SGLT2 inhibitors reduces the risk of cardiovascular and kidney events in people who contracted SARS-CoV-2 infection is not clear.

METHODS

We used the healthcare databases of the United States Department of Veterans Affairs to build a cohort of 107,776 participants on antihyperglycemic therapy and had SARS-CoV-2 infection between March 01, 2020 and June 10, 2023. Within them, 11,588 used SGLT2 inhibitors and 96,188 used other antihyperglycemics. We examined the risks of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE)-a composite of death, myocardial infarction and stroke, and major adverse kidney events (MAKE)-a composite of death, eGFR decline > 50%, and end stage kidney disease after balancing baseline characteristics between groups through inverse probability weighting. Survival analyses were conducted to generate hazard ratio (HR) and absolute risk reduction per 100 person-years (ARR).

RESULTS

Over a median follow up of 1.57 (IQR: 1.05-2.49) years, compared to the control group, SGLT2 inhibitors use is associated with reduced risk of MACE (HR 0.82 (0.77, 0.88), ARR 1.73 (1.21, 2.25)) and reduced risk of MAKE (HR 0.75 (0.71, 0.80), ARR 2.62 (2.13, 3.11)). Compared to the control group, SGLT2 inhibitors use is associated with reduced risk of the secondary outcomes of hospitalization (HR 0.94 (0.90, 0.98), ARR 1.06 (1.36, 1.76)), anemia (HR 0.71 (0.65, 0.76), ARR 2.43 (1.95, 2.90)), and acute kidney injury (HR 0.84 (0.79, 0.89), ARR 1.86 (1.29, 2.42)).

CONCLUSIONS

Among people with SARS-CoV-2 infection on antihyperglycemic therapy, compared to those on other antihyperglycemics, those on SGLT2 inhibitors have less risk of adverse cardiovascular and kidney outcomes.

Kidney and Cardiovascular Effectiveness of SGLT2 Inhibitors vs GLP-1 Receptor Agonists in Type 2 Diabetes

BACKGROUND

Emerging data suggest that glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RAs) improve kidney outcomes for people with type 2 diabetes (T2D). Direct comparisons of the kidney and cardiovascular effectiveness of GLP-1 RA with sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2i), a first-line therapy for this population, are needed.

OBJECTIVES

The authors compared kidney and cardiovascular outcomes for new users of SGLT2i and GLP-1 RAs with T2D.

METHODS

Using propensity score overlap weighting, we analyzed electronic health record data from 20 U.S. health systems contributing to PCORnet between 2015 and 2020. The primary kidney outcome was a composite of sustained 40% estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) decline, incident end-stage kidney disease, or all-cause mortality over 2 years or until censoring. In addition, we examined cardiovascular and safety outcomes.

RESULTS

The weighted study cohort included 35,004 SGLT2i and 47,268 GLP-1 RA initiators. Over a median of 1.2 years, the primary outcome did not differ between treatments (HR: 0.91; 95% CI: 0.81-1.02), although SGLT2i were associated with a lower risk of 40% eGFR decline (HR: 0.77; 95% CI: 0.65-0.91). Risks of mortality (HR: 1.08; 95% CI: 0.92-1.27), a composite of stroke, myocardial infarction, or death (HR: 1.03; 95% CI: 0.93-1.14), and heart failure hospitalization (HR: 0.95; 95% CI: 0.80-1.13) did not differ. Genital mycotic infections were more common for SGLT2i initiators, but other safety outcomes did not differ. The results were similar regardless of chronic kidney disease status.

CONCLUSIONS

SGLT2i and GLP-1 RAs led to similar kidney and cardiovascular outcomes in people with T2D, though SGLT2i initiation was associated with a lower risk of 40% eGFR decline. (Evaluating Comparative Effectiveness of Empagliflozin in Type 2 Diabetes Population With and Without Chronic Kidney Disease; NCT05465317).

Profiles of sulfonylurea use in Diabetes Mellitus type 2: an analysis of clinical practice over the last 10 years

AIMS

Describing the evolution over time in the use of sulfonylureas (SUs) and the characteristics of patients at first prescription and at interruption of treatment with SUs.

METHODS

Retrospective evaluation of data from the Italian Association of Diabetologists (AMD) Annals registry (2010-2020), about T2D patients who started treatment with SUs. The longitudinal probability of remaining on SUs was estimated by Kaplan Meier survival curves.

RESULTS

SU prescription decreased from 30.7 % (2010) to 12.9 % (2020). Patients started on SU were 68.2 ± 11.2 years old, mostly males (55.5 %), with diabetes duration = 10.1 ± 8.3 years, BMI = 29.7 ± 5.5 kg/m2, and HbA1c = 8.3 ± 1.7 % [67 mmol/mol]. After one year, the probability of staying on SU was 85.4 %, 75.9 % after two years, 68.2 % after 3 years, 56.6 % after 5 years. Patients who discontinued SUs had higher BMI and HbA1c, were younger, more often males and treated with insulin. Over time, the percentage of subjects switched to metformin, DPP4i, SGLT2i, and GLP1RA increased, whereas use of glinides, glitazones, acarbose and insulin declined.

CONCLUSIONS

These data suggest a consensus, slowly, but increasingly aligning with the current National indications of dismissing SUs for the treatment of T2D. The new drugs for diabetes should represent a preferable choice in all patients who do not have specific contraindications.

Potential kidney protective effects of glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists

Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs) have gained increasing attention for their potential benefits in people with type 2 diabetes (T2DM) with chronic kidney disease (CKD). This class of medication has demonstrated promising results in reducing albuminuria, preserving estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), and mitigating cardiovascular (CV) risk, making them potential therapeutic options for individuals with CKD. The kidney protective effects of GLP-1RAs extend beyond glycaemic control, and are thought to be attributed to their anti-inflammatory, antioxidant, and natriuretic properties. Despite these promising findings, the use of GLP-RAs has yet to be definitively shown to slow progression to chronic kidney failure, or reduce CV and kidney related death in people with T2DM and CKD. The Research Study to See How Semaglutide (a once weekly subcutaneous administered GLP-1RA) Works Compared to Placebo in People with Type 2 Diabetes and Chronic Kidney Disease (FLOW trial) was recently stopped because of efficacy. The primary end point for the FLOW trial consists of a composite endpoint of (i) onset of chronic kidney failure; (ii) death from kidney failure; (iii) cardiovascular death; and (iv) onset of a persistent ≥50% reduction in eGFR from baseline. It has also been reported by the sponsors of the trial that the primary end point of the trial was reduced by 24% with both CKD and CV outcomes contributing to risk reduction. In anticipation of the results of the FLOW trial being published, we review the current evidence surrounding kidney outcomes and proposed kidney protective pathways associated with GLP-1RA use.

Association between dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitor use and diabetic retinopathy: a systematic review and meta-analysis of real-world studies

BACKGROUND

The purpose of this review was to examine if dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitor (DPP4i) use affects the risk of diabetic retinopathy (DR).

METHODS

Cohort studies published up to 20th July 2023 in the databases of PubMed, CENTRAL, Embase, Scopus, and Web of Science were searched. The adjusted effect size was pooled to calculate the odds ratio (OR).

RESULTS

Seven studies were included. Meta-analysis showed that the use of DPP4i was not associated with any significant change in the risk of DR (OR: 0.86 95% CI: 0.70, 1.06 I2 = 78%). The pooled analysis also found that DPP4i use was not associated with any significant risk of progression of DR (OR: 0.87 95% CI: 0.47, 1.59 I2 = 86%). The results did not change during sensitivity analysis.

CONCLUSION

Present evidence from a limited number of real-world studies shows that DPP4i may not affect the incidence and progression of DR. There is a need for further studies from different countries using accurate definitions of DR and its progression to validate the current results.

SGLT-2 inhibitors, GLP-1 receptor agonists, and DPP-4 inhibitors and risk of hyperkalemia among people with type 2 diabetes in clinical practice: population based cohort study

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the comparative effectiveness of sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 (SGLT-2) inhibitors, glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) receptor agonists, and dipeptidyl peptidase-4 (DPP-4) inhibitors in preventing hyperkalemia in people with type 2 diabetes in routine clinical practice.

DESIGN

Population based cohort study with active-comparator, new user design.

SETTING

Claims data from Medicare and two large commercial insurance databases in the United States from April 2013 to April 2022.

PARTICIPANTS

1:1 propensity score matched adults with type 2 diabetes newly starting SGLT-2 inhibitors versus DPP-4 inhibitors (n=778 908), GLP-1 receptor agonists versus DPP-4 inhibitors (n=729 820), and SGLT-2 inhibitors versus GLP-1 receptor agonists (n=873 460).

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Hyperkalemia diagnosis in the inpatient or outpatient setting. Secondary outcomes were hyperkalemia defined as serum potassium levels ≥5.5 mmol/L and hyperkalemia diagnosis in the inpatient or emergency department setting.

RESULTS

Starting SGLT-2 inhibitor treatment was associated with a lower rate of hyperkalemia than DPP-4 inhibitor treatment (hazard ratio 0.75, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.73 to 0.78) and a slight reduction in rate compared with GLP-1 receptor agonists (0.92, 0.89 to 0.95). Use of GLP-1 receptor agonists was associated with a lower rate of hyperkalemia than DPP-4 inhibitors (0.79, 0.77 to 0.82). The three year absolute risk was 2.4% (95% CI 2.1% to 2.7%) lower for SGLT-2 inhibitors than DPP-4 inhibitors (4.6% v 7.0%), 1.8% (1.4% to 2.1%) lower for GLP-1 receptor agonists than DPP-4 inhibitors (5.7% v 7.5%), and 1.2% (0.9% to 1.5%) lower for SGLT-2 inhibitors than GLP-1 receptor agonists (4.7% v 6.0%). Findings were consistent for the secondary outcomes and among subgroups defined by age, sex, race, medical conditions, other drug use, and hemoglobin A1c levels on the relative scale. Benefits for SGLT-2 inhibitors and GLP-1 receptor agonists on the absolute scale were largest for those with heart failure, chronic kidney disease, or those using mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists. Compared with DPP-4 inhibitors, the lower rate of hyperkalemia was consistently observed across individual agents in the SGLT-2 inhibitor (canagliflozin, dapagliflozin, empagliflozin) and GLP-1 receptor agonist (dulaglutide, exenatide, liraglutide, semaglutide) classes.

CONCLUSIONS

In people with type 2 diabetes, SGLT-2 inhibitors and GLP-1 receptor agonists were associated with a lower risk of hyperkalemia than DPP-4 inhibitors in the overall population and across relevant subgroups. The consistency of associations among individual agents in the SGLT-2 inhibitor and GLP-1 receptor agonist classes suggests a class effect. These ancillary benefits of SGLT-2 inhibitors and GLP-1 receptor agonists further support their use in people with type 2 diabetes, especially in those at risk of hyperkalemia.

Kidney and Cardiovascular Effectiveness of Empagliflozin Compared With Dipeptidyl Peptidase-4 Inhibitors in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes

Placebo-controlled trials of sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitors demonstrate kidney and cardiovascular benefits for patients with type 2 diabetes and chronic kidney disease (CKD). We used real-world data to compare the kidney and cardiovascular effectiveness of empagliflozin to dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (DPP4is), a commonly prescribed antiglycemic medication, in a diverse population with and without CKD. Using electronic health record data from 20 large US health systems, we leveraged propensity overlap weighting to compare the outcomes for empagliflozin and DPP4i initiators with type 2 diabetes between 2016 and 2020. The primary composite kidney outcome included 40% estimated glomerular filtration rate decrease, incident end-stage kidney disease, or all-cause mortality through 2 years or censoring. We also assessed cardiovascular and safety outcomes. Of 62,197 new users, 20,279 initiated empagliflozin and 41,918 initiated DPP4i. Over a median follow-up of 1.1 years, empagliflozin prescription was associated with a lower risk of the primary outcome (hazard ratio [HR] 0.75, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.65 to 0.87) than DPP4is. The risks for mortality (HR 0.76, 95% CI 0.62 to 0.92) and a cardiovascular composite of stroke, myocardial infarction, or all-cause mortality (HR 0.81, 95% CI 0.70 to 0.95) were also lower for empagliflozin initiators. No difference in heart failure hospitalization risk between groups was observed. Genital mycotic infections were more common in patients prescribed empagliflozin (HR 1.72, 95% CI 1.58 to 1.88). Empagliflozin was associated with a lower risk of the primary outcome in patients with CKD (HR 0.68, 95% CI 0.53 to 0.88) and those without CKD (HR 0.79, 95% CI 0.67 to 0.94). In conclusion, the initiation of empagliflozin was associated with a significantly lower risk of kidney and cardiovascular outcomes than DPP4is over a median of just over 1 year. The association with a lower risk for clinical outcomes was apparent even for patients without known CKD at baseline.

Designing target trials using electronic health records: A case study of second-line disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drugs and cardiovascular disease outcomes in patients with rheumatoid arthritis

BACKGROUND

Emulation of the "target trial" (TT), a hypothetical pragmatic randomized controlled trial (RCT), using observational data can be used to mitigate issues commonly encountered in comparative effectiveness research (CER) when randomized trials are not logistically, ethically, or financially feasible. However, cardiovascular (CV) health research has been slow to adopt TT emulation. Here, we demonstrate the design and analysis of a TT emulation using electronic health records to study the comparative effectiveness of the addition of a disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drug (DMARD) to a regimen of methotrexate on CV events among rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients.

METHODS

We used data from an electronic medical records-based cohort of RA patients from Northwestern Medicine to emulate the TT. Follow-up began 3 months after initial prescription of MTX (2000-2020) and included all available follow-up through June 30, 2020. Weighted pooled logistic regression was used to estimate differences in CVD risk and survival. Cloning was used to handle immortal time bias and weights to improve baseline and time-varying covariate imbalance.

RESULTS

We identified 659 eligible people with RA with average follow-up of 46 months and 31 MACE events. The month 24 adjusted risk difference for MACE comparing initiation vs non-initiation of a DMARD was -1.47% (95% confidence interval [CI]: -4.74, 1.95%), and the marginal hazard ratio (HR) was 0.72 (95% CI: 0.71, 1.23). In analyses subject to immortal time bias, the HR was 0.62 (95% CI: 0.29-1.44).

CONCLUSION

In this sample, we did not observe evidence of differences in risk of MACE, a finding that is compatible with previously published meta-analyses of RCTs. Thoughtful application of the TT framework provides opportunities to conduct CER in observational data. Benchmarking results of observational analyses to previously published RCTs can lend credibility to interpretation.

Comparison of estimated glomerular filtration rate change with sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors versus glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists among people with diabetes: A propensity-score matching study

AIM

To compare the risk of developing kidney outcomes with use of glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs) versus use of sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitors among individuals with diabetes.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In this retrospective observational study, we analysed 12 338 individuals with diabetes who newly initiated SGLT2 inhibitors or GLP-1RAs using data from the JMDC claims database. The primary outcome was change in the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), estimated using a linear mixed-effects model. A 1:4 propensity-score-matching algorithm was used to compare the changes in eGFR between GLP-1RA and SGLT2 inhibitor users.

RESULTS

After propensity-score matching, 2549 individuals (median [range] age 52 [46-58] years, 80.6% men) were analysed (510 GLP-1RA new users and 2039 SGLT2 inhibitor new users). SGLT2 inhibitor use was associated with a slower eGFR decline when compared with GLP-1RA use (-1.41 [95% confidence interval -1.63 to -1.19] mL/min/1.73 m2 vs. -2.62 [95% confidence interval -3.15 to -2.10] mL/min/1.73 m2).

CONCLUSIONS

Our analysis demonstrates the potential advantages of SGLT2 inhibitors over GLP-1RAs in terms of kidney outcomes in individuals with diabetes.

Renal effects of GLP-1 receptor agonists and tirzepatide in individuals with type 2 diabetes: seeds of a promising future

PURPOSE

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is one of the most common complications of type 2 diabetes (T2D), and CKD-related disability and mortality are increasing despite the recent advances in diabetes management. The dual GIP/GLP-1 receptor agonist tirzepatide is among the furthest developed multi-agonists for diabetes care and has so far displayed promising nephroprotective effects. This review aims to summarize the evidence regarding the nephroprotective effects of glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RA) and tirzepatide and the putative mechanisms underlying the favorable renal profile of tirzepatide.

METHODS

A comprehensive literature search was performed from inception to July 31st 2023 to select research papers addressing the renal effects of GLP-1RA and tirzepatide.

RESULTS

The pathogenesis of CKD in patients with T2D likely involves many contributors besides hyperglycemia, such as hypertension, obesity, insulin resistance and glomerular atherosclerosis, exerting kidney damage through metabolic, fibrotic, inflammatory, and hemodynamic mechanisms. Tirzepatide displayed an unprecedented glucose and body weight lowering potential, presenting also with the ability to increase insulin sensitivity, reduce systolic blood pressure and inflammation and ameliorate dyslipidemia, particularly by reducing triglycerides levels.

CONCLUSION

Tirzepatide is likely to counteract most of the pathogenetic factors contributing to CKD in T2D, potentially representing a step forward in incretin-based therapy towards nephroprotection. Further evidence is needed to understand its role in renal hemodynamics, fibrosis, cell damage and atherosclerosis, as well as to conclusively show reduction of hard renal outcomes.

Target trial emulation of carfilzomib safety among patients with relapsed/refractory multiple myeloma using a nationwide observational data in Korea

PURPOSE

Carfilzomib, commonly used for relapsed/refractory multiple myeloma (RRMM), has been associated with various adverse events in randomized controlled trials (RCTs). However, real-world safety data for a more diverse population are needed, as carfilzomib received expedited approval. This study aimed to evaluate carfilzomib's safety in Korea by comparing new users of KRd (carfilzomib, lenalidomide, and dexamethasone) to Rd (lenalidomide and dexamethasone) using a nationwide administrative claims database.

METHODS

The retrospective cohort study utilized target trial emulation, focusing on adverse events in various organ systems similar to the ASPIRE trial.

RESULTS

This study included 4,580 RRMM patients between 2007 and 2020, and the KRd group showed significantly higher risks of hematologic adverse events (anemia, neutropenia, thrombocytopenia) and some non-hematologic adverse events (cough, hypokalemia, constipation, hypertension, heart failure) compared to the Rd group. Among non-hematologic adverse events, cardiovascular events (heart failure [HR 2.04; 95% CI 1.24-3.35], hypertension [HR 1.58; 95% CI 1.15-2.17]) had the highest risk in the KRd group.

CONCLUSION

The safety profile of carfilzomib in Korean patients was similar to previous RCTs. Therefore, caution should be exercised when using carfilzomib in Asian individuals with RRMM due to the increased risk of cardiovascular adverse events.

Renal outcomes with sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors in Japanese people with grade 3 chronic kidney disease and type 2 diabetes: Analysis of medical administrative databases

AIM

To evaluate whether sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitor (SGLT2i) therapy is associated with a reduction of renal events compared with other glucose-lowering drugs (oGLDs) among Japanese people with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and grade 3 (G3) chronic kidney disease (CKD) in a real-world clinical practice setting.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

People with T2D who were newly prescribed an SGLT2i or an oGLD from April 2014 to November 2021 (without prior use of index drugs for ≥ 1 year prior to index date) and G3 CKD (estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] ≥ 30 to < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2) were selected from the Medical Data Vision database (MDV-DB) and the Real-World Data database (RWD-DB). SGLT2i and oGLD users were matched (1:1) using propensity score on patient background characteristics. The primary endpoint was a composite of the development of end-stage kidney disease or a sustained decline in eGFR of 50% or more. Hazard ratios (HRs) were estimated using the Cox proportional hazards model.

RESULTS

Overall, 3190 (1595 per group) patients in the MDV-DB and 2572 (1286 per group) patients in the RWD-DB were included in the analyses. The composite outcome was significantly lower in the SGLT2i group than in the oGLD group in the MDV-DB (HR 0.49, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.33 to 0.74, P < 0.001) and in the RWD-DB (HR 0.57, 95% CI 0.37 to 0.88, P = 0.011).

CONCLUSIONS

Japanese people with T2D and G3 CKD initiating an SGLT2i had a lower risk of renal events than people initiating an oGLD.

How valid is a prescription-based multimorbidity index (Rx-risk) in predicting mortality in the Outcomes and Multimorbidity In Type 2 diabetes (OMIT) study? A nation-wide registry-based cohort study from Norway

OBJECTIVE

The prescription-based Rx-risk index has previously been developed to measure multimorbidity. We aimed to adapt and evaluate the validity of the Rx-risk index in prediction of mortality among persons with type 2 diabetes.

DESIGN

Registry-based study.

SETTING

Adults with type 2 diabetes in Norway identified within the 'Outcomes and Multimorbidity In Type 2 diabetes' cohort, with linkage to prescriptions from the Norwegian Prescription Database and mortality from the Population Registry.

PARTICIPANTS

We defined a calibration sample of 42 290 adults diagnosed with type 2 diabetes 1950-2013, and a temporal validation sample of 7085 adults diagnosed 2014-2016 to evaluate the index validity over time PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURE: All-cause mortality METHODS: For the calibration sample, dispensed drug prescriptions in 2013 were used to define 44 morbidity categories. Weights were estimated using regression coefficients from a Cox regression model with 5 year mortality as the outcome and all morbidity categories, age and sex included as covariates. The Rx-risk index was computed as a weighted sum of morbidities. The validity of the index was evaluated using C-statistic and calibration plots.

RESULTS

In the calibration sample, mean (SD) age at start of follow-up and duration of diabetes was 63.8 (12.4) and 10.1 (7.0) years, respectively. The overall C-statistic was 0.82 and varied from 0.74 to 0.85 when stratifying on age groups, sex, level of education and country of origin. In the validation sample, mean (SD) age and duration of diabetes was 59.7 (13.0) and 2.0 (0.8) years, respectively. Despite younger age, shorter duration of diabetes and later time period, the C-index was high both in the total sample (0.84) and separately for men (0.83) and women (0.84).

CONCLUSIONS

The Rx-risk index showed good discrimination and calibration in predicting mortality and thus presents a valid tool to assess multimorbidity among persons with type 2 diabetes.

Use of SGLT2 Inhibitors vs GLP-1 RAs and Anemia in Patients With Diabetes and CKD

Importance

Sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors are associated with lower anemia risk, based on findings from post hoc analyses of the CREDENCE and DAPA-CKD trials; however, the effectiveness of SGLT2 inhibitors in a more generalizable type 2 diabetes (T2D) and chronic kidney disease (CKD) population, with active comparisons pertinent to current practice, is unknown.

Objective

To evaluate and compare anemia incidence between SGLT2 inhibitors and glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RAs) among patients with T2D and CKD stages 1 to 3.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This retrospective cohort study used target trial emulation of an expanded CREDENCE and DAPA-CKD study framework. The study was conducted among adults with T2D and CKD initiating SGLT2 inhibitors or GLP-1 RAs between January 1, 2016, and December 31, 2021, with follow-up until December 31, 2022. The study was conducted at the Chang Gung Medical Foundation, the largest multi-institutional hospital system in Taiwan.

Exposures

Initiation of SGLT2 inhibitors or GLP-1 RAs.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The primary outcome was a composite of anemia outcomes, including anemia event occurrence (hemoglobin level <12-13 g/dL or International Statistical Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification diagnosis codes) or anemia treatment initiation. Changes in hematological parameters, including hemoglobin level, hematocrit level, and red blood cell count, were evaluated during the follow-up period for as long as 3 years.

Results

The cohort included a total of 13 799 patients with T2D and CKD, initiating SGLT2 inhibitors (12 331 patients; mean [SD] age, 62.4 [12.3] years; 7548 [61.2%] male) or GLP-1 RAs (1468 patients; mean [SD] age, 61.5 [13.3] years; 900 [61.3%] male). After the median follow-up period of 2.5 years, patients receiving SGLT2 inhibitors had lower incidence of composite anemia outcomes (hazard ratio [HR], 0.81; 95% CI, 0.73-0.90) compared with those receiving GLP-1 RAs. SGLT2 inhibitors were associated with a lower incidence of anemia events (HR, 0.79; 95% CI, 0.71-0.87) but not with a lower rate of anemia treatment initiation (HR, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.83-1.19). Changes in hematological parameters for SGLT2 inhibitors and GLP-1 RAs throughout the 3-year follow-up period supported the primary analyses.

Conclusions and Relevance

In this multi-institutional cohort study with target trial emulation, SGLT2 inhibitors were associated with a decreased risk of composite anemia outcomes, especially anemia event occurrences. SGLT2 inhibitors may be considered as an adjunct therapy to reduce anemia incidence in patients with T2D and CKD.

A population-based cohort defined risk of hyperkalemia after initiating SGLT-2 inhibitors, GLP1 receptor agonists or DPP-4 inhibitors to patients with chronic kidney disease and type 2 diabetes

Hyperkalemia is a common adverse event in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) and type 2 diabetes and limits the use of guideline-recommended therapies such as renin-angiotensin system inhibitors. Here, we evaluated the comparative effects of sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT-2i), glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RA) and dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (DPP-4i) on the risk of hyperkalemia. We conducted a population-based active-comparator, new-user cohort study using claims data from Medicare and two large United States commercial insurance databases (April 2013-April 2022). People with CKD stages 3-4 and type 2 diabetes who newly initiated SGLT-2i vs. DPP-4i (141671 patients), GLP-1RA vs. DPP-4i (159545 patients) and SGLT-2i vs. GLP-1RA (93033 patients) were included. The primary outcome was hyperkalemia diagnosed in inpatient or outpatient settings. Secondary outcomes included hyperkalemia diagnosed in inpatient or emergency department setting, and serum potassium levels of 5.5 mmol/L or more. Pooled hazard ratios and rate differences were estimated after propensity score matching to adjust for over 140 potential confounders. Initiation of SGLT-2i was associated with a lower risk of hyperkalemia compared with DPP-4i (hazard ratio 0.74; 95% confidence interval 0.68-0.80) and contrasted to GLP-1RA (0.92; 0.86-0.99). Compared with DPP-4i, GLP-1RA were also associated with a lower risk of hyperkalemia (0.80; 0.75-0.86). Corresponding absolute rate differences/1000 person-years were -24.8 (95% confidence interval -31.8 to -17.7), -5.0 (-10.9 to 0.8), and -17.7 (-23.4 to -12.1), respectively. Similar findings were observed for the secondary outcomes, among subgroups, and across single agents within the SGLT-2i and GLP-1RA classes. Thus, SGLT-2i and GLP-1RA are associated with a lower risk of hyperkalemia than DPP-4i in patients with CKD and type 2 diabetes, further supporting the use of these drugs in this population.

Risk of hyperkalaemia in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus prescribed with SGLT2 versus DPP-4 inhibitors

AIMS

To investigate the risk of hyperkalaemia in new users of sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors vs. dipeptidyl peptidase-4 (DPP-4) inhibitors among patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM).

METHODS AND RESULTS

Patients with T2DM who commenced treatment with an SGLT2 or a DPP-4 inhibitor between 2015 and 2019 were collected. A multivariable Cox proportional hazards analysis was applied to compare the risk of central laboratory-determined severe hyperkalaemia, hyperkalaemia, hypokalaemia (serum potassium ≥6.0, ≥5.5, and <3.5 mmol/L, respectively), and initiation of a potassium binder in patients newly prescribed an SGLT2 or a DPP-4 inhibitor. A total of 28 599 patients (mean age 60 ± 11 years, 60.9% male) were included after 1:2 propensity score matching, of whom 10 586 were new users of SGLT2 inhibitors and 18 013 of DPP-4 inhibitors. During a 2-year follow-up, severe hyperkalaemia developed in 122 SGLT2 inhibitor users and 325 DPP-4 inhibitor users. Use of SGLT2 inhibitors was associated with a 29% reduction in incident severe hyperkalaemia [hazard ratio (HR) 0.71, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.58-0.88] compared with DPP-4 inhibitors. Risk of hyperkalaemia (HR 0.81, 95% CI 0.71-0.92) and prescription of a potassium binder (HR 0.74, 95% CI 0.67-0.82) were likewise decreased with SGLT2 inhibitors compared with DPP-4 inhibitors. Occurrence of incident hypokalaemia was nonetheless similar between those prescribed an SGLT2 inhibitor and those prescribed a DPP-4 inhibitor (HR 0.90, 95% CI 0.81-1.01).

CONCLUSION

Our study provides real-world evidence that compared with DPP-4 inhibitors, SGLT2 inhibitors were associated with lower risk of hyperkalaemia and did not increase the incidence of hypokalaemia in patients with T2DM.

Comparative Effectiveness of Alternative Treatment Approaches to Secondary Hyperparathyroidism in Patients Receiving Maintenance Hemodialysis: An Observational Trial Emulation

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE

Optimal approaches to treat secondary hyperparathyroidism (SHPT) in patients on maintenance hemodialysis (HD) have yet to be established in randomized controlled trials (RCTs).

STUDY DESIGN

Two observational clinical trial emulations.

SETTING & PARTICIPANTS

Both emulations included adults receiving in-center HD from a national dialysis organization. The patients who had SHPT in the period between 2009 and 2014, were insured for≥180 days by Medicare as primary payer, and did not have contraindications or poor health status limiting theoretical trial participation.

EXPOSURE

The parathyroid hormone (PTH) Target Trial emulation included patients with new-onset SHPT (first PTH 300-600pg/mL), with 2 arms defined as up-titration of either vitamin D sterols or cinacalcet within 30 days (lower target) or no up-titration (higher target). The Agent Trial emulation included patients with a PTH≥300 pg/mL while on≥6μg weekly of vitamin D sterol (paricalcitol equivalent dose) and no prior history of cinacalcet. The 2 arms were defined by the first dose or agent change within 30 days (vitamin D-favoring [vitamin-D was up-titrated] vs cinacalcet-favoring [cinacalcet was added] vs nondefined [neither applies]). Multiple trials per patient were allowed in trial 2.

OUTCOME

The primary outcome was all-cause death over 24 months; secondary outcomes included cardiovascular (CV) hospitalization or the composite of CV hospitalization or death.

ANALYTICAL APPROACH

Pooled logistic regression.

RESULTS

There were 1,152 patients in the PTH Target Trial (635 lower target and 517 higher target). There were 2,726 unique patients with 6,727 patient trials in the Agent Trial (6,268 vitamin D-favoring trials and 459 cinacalcet-favoring trials). The lower PTH target approach was associated with reduced adjusted hazard of death (HR, 0.71 [95% CI, 0.52-0.93]), CV hospitalization (HR, 0.78 [95% CI, 0.63-0.98]), and their composite (HR, 0.74 [95% CI, 0.61-0.89]). The cinacalcet-favoring approach demonstrated lower adjusted hazard of death compared to the vitamin D-favoring approach (HR, 0.79 [95% CI, 0.62-0.99]), but not of CV hospitalization or the composite outcome.

LIMITATIONS

Potential for residual confounding; low use of cinacalcet with low power.

CONCLUSIONS

SHPT management that is focused on lower PTH targets may lower mortality and CV disease in patients receiving HD. These findings should be confirmed in a pragmatic randomized trial.

PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY

Optimal approaches to treat secondary hyperparathyroidism (SHPT) have not been established in randomized controlled trials. Data from a national dialysis organization was used to identify patients with SHPT in whom escalated treatment may be indicated. The approach to treatment was defined based on observed upward titration of SHPT-controlling medications: earlier titration (lower target) versus delayed titration (higher target); and the choice of medication (cinacalcet vs vitamin D sterols). In the first trial emulation, we estimated a 29% lower rate of death and 26% lower rate of cardiovascular disease or death for patients managed with a lower versus higher target approach. Cinacalcet versus vitamin D-favoring approaches were not consistently associated with outcomes in the second trial emulation. This observational study suggests the need for additional clinical trials of SHPT treatment intensity.

Global trends and focuses of GLP-1RA in renal disease: a bibliometric analysis and visualization from 2005 to 2022

Glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonist (GLP-1RA) is a new class of glucose-lowing agents with the kidney benefit effect. This paper aims at finding the current state and hotspots of the research on GLP-1RA in kidney disease by using bibliometric methodologies and visualization maps to analyze publications and provide the direction for future studies on that topic. Literature information was obtained by retrieving the WoSCC database. Then, software like Microsoft Excel, VOSviewer, and CiteSpace was used to analyze and process obtained data. Bibliometric analysis and visualization of nations, authors, organizations, journals, keywords, and references were also done by VOSviewer and CiteSpace. A total of 991 publications written by 4747 authors from 1637 organizations in 75 countries on GLP-1RA in renal disease in Web of Science Core Collection were retrieved. The number of publications and citations kept growing from 2015 to 2022. The USA, Univ Copenhagen, and Rossing Peter are the leading country, organization, and author on this topic, respectively. All literature was published in 346 journals, and DIABETES OBESITY & METABOLISM is the journal with the most contributions. Meanwhile, most references are from DIABETES CARE. "Cardiovascular outcome" is the most frequent keyword in the total publications, and the reference cited most times is "Liraglutide and Cardiovascular Outcomes in Type 2 Diabetes" by Marso SP. The topic of GLP-1RA in renal disease has attracted more and more attention all over the world. Existing studies are mainly about clinical use in patients with diabetes, and studies on the mechanism are lacking.

Cardiovascular and renal outcomes of GLP-1 receptor agonists vs. DPP-4 inhibitors and basal insulin in type 2 diabetes mellitus: A systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

To compare the cardiovascular and renal outcomes of GLP-1 RA versus DPP4i and basal insulin in the management of T2DM.

METHODS

Data from 22 studies involving over 200,000 participants were pooled using the inverse variance method and random-effects meta-analysis. The review was reported in accordance with PRISMA.

RESULTS

Compared with DPP4i, treatment with GLP-1 RA was associated with a greater benefit on composite cardiovascular outcomes (HR:0.77, 95% CI:0.69-0.87), myocardial infarction (HR:0.82, 95% CI:0.69-0.97), stroke (HR:0.83, 95% CI: 0.74-0.93), cardiovascular mortality (HR:0.76, 95% CI:0.68-0.85) and all-cause mortality (HR:0.65, 95% CI:0.48-0.90). There was no difference in effect on heart failure (HR:0.97, 95% CI:0.82-1.15). Compared with basal insulin, GLP-1 RA was associated with better effects on composite cardiovascular outcomes (HR:0.62, 95% CI:0.48-0.79), heart failure (HR:0.57, 95% CI:0.35-0.92), myocardial infarction (HR:0.70, 95% CI:0.58-0.85), stroke (HR:0.50, 95% CI:0.40-0.63) and all-cause mortality (HR:0.31, 95% CI:0.20-0.48). Evidence from a small number of studies suggests that GLP-1 RA had better effects on composite and individual renal outcomes, such as eGFR, compared with either DPP4i and basal insulin.

CONCLUSION

Available evidence suggests that treating T2DM with GLP-1 RA can yield better benefits on composite and specific cardiorenal outcomes than with DPP4i and basal insulin.

PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER

CRD42022335504.

The implementation of target trial emulation for causal inference: a scoping review

OBJECTIVES

We aim to investigate the implementation of Target Trial Emulation (TTE) for causal inference, involving research topics, frequently used strategies, and issues indicating the need for future improvements.

STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING

We performed a scoping review by following the Joanna Briggs Institute (JBI) guidance and Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses extension for Scoping Reviews (PRISMA-ScR) checklist. A health research-focused librarian searched multiple medical databases, and two independent reviewers completed screening and extraction within covidence review management software.

RESULTS

Our search resulted in 1,240 papers, of which 96 papers were eligible for data extraction. Results show a significant increase in the use of TTE in 2018 and 2021. The study topics varied and focused primarily on cancer, cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases, and infectious diseases. However, not all papers specified well all three critical components for generating robust causal evidence: time-zero, random assignment simulation, and comparison strategy. Some common issues were observed from retrieved papers, and key limitations include residual confounding, limited generalizability, and a lack of reporting guidance that need to be improved.

CONCLUSION

Uneven adherence to the TTE framework exists, and future improvements are needed to progress applications using causal inference with observational data.

Incretins and microvascular complications of diabetes: neuropathy, nephropathy, retinopathy and microangiopathy

Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs, incretin mimetics) and dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (DPP-4is, incretin enhancers) are glucose-lowering therapies with proven cardiovascular safety, but their effect on microvascular disease is not fully understood. Both therapies increase GLP-1 receptor agonism, which is associated with attenuation of numerous pathological processes that may lead to microvascular benefits, including decreased reactive oxygen species (ROS) production, decreased inflammation and improved vascular function. DPP-4is also increase stromal cell-derived factor-1 (SDF-1), which is associated with neovascularisation and tissue repair. Rodent studies demonstrate several benefits of these agents in the prevention or reversal of nephropathy, retinopathy and neuropathy, but evidence from human populations is less clear. For nephropathy risk in human clinical trials, meta-analyses demonstrate that GLP-1RAs reduce the risk of a composite renal outcome (doubling of serum creatinine, eGFR reduction of 30%, end-stage renal disease or renal death), whereas the benefits of DPP-4is appear to be limited to reductions in the risk of albuminuria. The relationship between GLP-1RAs and retinopathy is less clear. Many large trials and meta-analyses show no effect, but an observed increase in the risk of retinopathy complications with semaglutide therapy (a GLP-1RA) in the SUSTAIN-6 trial warrants caution, particularly in individuals with baseline retinopathy. Similarly, DPP-4is are associated with increased retinopathy risk in both trials and meta-analysis. The association between GLP-1RAs and peripheral neuropathy is unclear due to little trial evidence. For DPP-4is, one trial and several observational studies show a reduced risk of peripheral neuropathy, with others reporting no effect. Evidence in other less-established microvascular outcomes, such as microvascular angina, cerebral small vessel disease, skeletal muscle microvascular disease and autonomic neuropathies (e.g. cardiac autonomic neuropathy, gastroparesis, erectile dysfunction), is sparse. In conclusion, GLP-1RAs are protective against nephropathy, whereas DPP-4is are protective against albuminuria and potentially peripheral neuropathy. Caution is advised with DPP-4is and semaglutide, particularly for patients with background retinopathy, due to increased risk of retinopathy. Well-designed trials powered for microvascular outcomes are needed to clarify associations of incretin therapies and microvascular diseases.

Possible Advantage of Glucagon-Like Peptide 1 Receptor Agonists for Kidney Transplant Recipients With Type 2 Diabetes

CONTEXT

Glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) receptor agonists (RAs) have the potential to improve native kidney function.

OBJECTIVE

This work aimed to elucidate the possible protective effects of GLP-1 RAs on kidney graft function after successful kidney transplantation (KTX).

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included all KTX recipients (KTRs) at our facility with type 2 diabetes who were followed up from 1 month post-transplantation for 24 months or longer as of December 31, 2020. We investigated associations between the use of GLP-1 RAs and other antidiabetic medications (non-GLP-1 RAs) and the risk of sustained estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) reduction (40% reduction compared with baseline for 4 months) for KTRs with type 2 diabetes. We calculated the propensity score of initiating GLP-1 RAs compared with that of initiating non-GLP-1 RAs as a function of baseline covariates using logistic regression. The inverse probability of the treatment-weighted odds ratio was estimated to control for baseline confounding variables. Sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitor use was a competing event. The primary outcome was sustained eGFR reduction of at least 40% from baseline for 4 months post-transplantation.

RESULTS

Seventy-three patients were GLP-1 RA users and 73 were non-GLP-1 RA users. Six patients and 1 patient in the non-GLP-1 RA and GLP-1 RA groups had sustained eGFR reduction. GLP-1 RA use after KTX was associated with a lower risk of sustained eGFR reduction.

CONCLUSION

GLP-1 RAs resulted in lower eGFR reduction compared with non-GLP-1 RAs and may contribute to better kidney graft survival after KTX.

Reporting of Observational Studies Explicitly Aiming to Emulate Randomized Trials: A Systematic Review

Importance

Observational (nonexperimental) studies that aim to emulate a randomized trial (ie, the target trial) are increasingly informing medical and policy decision-making, but it is unclear how these studies are reported in the literature. Consistent reporting is essential for quality appraisal, evidence synthesis, and translation of evidence to policy and practice.

Objective

To assess the reporting of observational studies that explicitly aimed to emulate a target trial.

Evidence Review

We searched Medline, Embase, PsycINFO, and Web of Science for observational studies published between March 2012 and October 2022 that explicitly aimed to emulate a target trial of a health or medical intervention. Two reviewers double-screened and -extracted data on study characteristics, key predefined components of the target trial protocol and its emulation (eligibility criteria, treatment strategies, treatment assignment, outcome[s], follow-up, causal contrast[s], and analysis plan), and other items related to the target trial emulation.

Findings

A total of 200 studies that explicitly aimed to emulate a target trial were included. These studies included 26 subfields of medicine, and 168 (84%) were published from January 2020 to October 2022. The aim to emulate a target trial was explicit in 70 study titles (35%). Forty-three studies (22%) reported use of a published reporting guideline (eg, Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology). Eighty-five studies (43%) did not describe all key items of how the target trial was emulated and 113 (57%) did not describe the protocol of the target trial and its emulation.

Conclusion and Relevance

In this systematic review of 200 studies that explicitly aimed to emulate a target trial, reporting of how the target trial was emulated was inconsistent. A reporting guideline for studies explicitly aiming to emulate a target trial may improve the reporting of the target trial protocols and other aspects of these emulation attempts.

Comparative effectiveness of SGLT2 inhibitors, GLP-1 receptor agonists, DPP-4 inhibitors, and sulfonylureas on risk of major adverse cardiovascular events: emulation of a randomised target trial using electronic health records

BACKGROUND

Randomised clinical trials showed that compared with placebo, SGLT2 inhibitors and GLP-1 receptor agonists reduced risk of adverse cardiovascular events. The evidence base for the older antihyperglycaemic drug classes (DPP-4 inhibitors and sulfonylureas) is generally less well developed. Because most randomised trials evaluated one antihyperglycaemic medication versus placebo, a head-to-head comparative effectiveness analysis of the newer drug classes (SGLT2 inhibitors vs GLP-1 receptor agonists) or newer (SGLT2 inhibitors or GLP-1 receptor agonists) versus older (DPP-4 inhibitors or sulfonylureas) drug classes on risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) is not available. In this study, we aimed to evaluate the comparative effectiveness of incident use of SGLT2 inhibitors, GLP-1 receptor agonists, DPP-4 inhibitors, or sulfonylureas on risk of MACE.

METHODS

We first specified the protocol of a four-arm randomised pragmatic clinical trial and then emulated it using the health-care databases of the US Department of Veterans Affairs. We built a cohort of metformin users with incident use of SGLT2 inhibitors, GLP-1 receptor agonists, DPP-4 inhibitors, or sulfonylureas between Oct 1, 2016 and Sept 30, 2021, and followed up until Dec 31, 2022. We used the overlap weighting approach to balance the treatment groups using a battery of predefined variables and a set of algorithmically selected variables from high-dimensional data domains. Both intention-to-treat and per-protocol analyses (the latter estimated the effect of maintained use of the antihyperglycaemic throughout follow-up) were conducted to estimate risk of MACE-defined as a composite endpoint of stroke, myocardial infarction, and all-cause mortality.

FINDINGS

The final cohort consisted of 283 998 new users of SGLT2 inhibitors (n=46 516), GLP-1 receptor agonists (n=26 038), DPP-4 inhibitors (n=55 310), or sulfonylureas (n=156 134). In intention-to-treat analyses, compared with sulfonylureas, SGLT2 inhibitors, GLP-1 receptor agonists, and DPP-4 inhibitors were associated with lower risk of MACE (hazard ratio [HR] 0·77 [95% CI 0·74-0.80], 0·78 [0·74-0·81), and 0·90 [0·86-0.93], respectively). Both SGLT2 inhibitors and GLP-1 receptor agonists were associated with a lower risk of MACE when compared with DPP-4 inhibitors (HR 0·86 [0·82-0·89] and 0·86 [0·82-0·90], respectively). The risk of MACE between SGLT2 inhibitors and GLP-1 receptor agonists yielded an HR of 0·99 (0·94-1·04). In per-protocol analyses, compared with sulfonylureas, SGLT2 inhibitors, GLP1 receptor agonists, and DPP-4 inhibitors were associated with reduced risk of MACE (HR 0·77 [95% CI 0·73-0·82], 0·77 [0·72-0·82], and 0·88 [0·83-0·93], respectively). Both SGLT2 inhibitors and GLP-1 receptor agonists were associated with a lower risk of MACE when compared with DPP-4 inhibitors (HR 0·88 [0·83-0·93] and 0·88 [0·82-0·93], respectively). The risk of MACE between SGLT2 inhibitors and GLP-1 receptor agonists yielded an HR of 1·01 (0·94-1·07).

INTERPRETATION

Both SGLT2 inhibitors and GLP-1 receptor agonists were associated with reduced risk of MACE compared with DPP-4 inhibitors or sulfonylureas. DPP-4 inhibitors were associated with reduced risk of MACE compared with sulfonylureas. There was no statistically significant difference in risk of MACE between SGLT2 inhibitors and GLP-1 receptor agonists. The results provide evidence of the real-world comparative effectiveness of the four most commonly used second-line antihyperglycaemics and could guide choice of antihyperglycaemic therapy.

FUNDING

US Department of Veterans Affairs and the American Society of Nephrology.

The rationale, design and baseline data of FLOW, a kidney outcomes trial with once-weekly semaglutide in people with type 2 diabetes and chronic kidney disease

BACKGROUND

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a common complication of type 2 diabetes (T2D). Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs) improve glycaemic control and lower body weight in people with T2D, and some reduce the risk of cardiovascular (CV) events in those with high CV risk. GLP-1RAs might also have kidney-protective effects. We report the design and baseline data for FLOW (NCT03819153), a trial investigating the effects of semaglutide, a once-weekly (OW) GLP-1RA, on kidney outcomes in participants with CKD and T2D.

METHODS

FLOW is a randomised, double-blind, parallel-group, multinational, phase 3b trial. Participants with T2D, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) ≥50‒≤75 ml/min/1.73 m2 and urine albumin:creatinine ratio (UACR) >300‒<5000 mg/g or eGFR ≥25‒<50 ml/min/1.73 m2 and UACR >100‒<5000 mg/g were randomised 1:1 to OW semaglutide 1.0 mg or matched placebo, with renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system blockade (unless not tolerated/contraindicated). The composite primary endpoint is time to first kidney failure (persistent eGFR <15 ml/min/1.73 m2 or initiation of chronic kidney replacement therapy), persistent ≥50% reduction in eGFR or death from kidney or CV causes.

RESULTS

Enrolled participants (N = 3534) had a baseline mean age of 66.6 years [standard deviation (SD) 9.0], haemoglobin A1c of 7.8% (SD 1.3), diabetes duration of 17.4 years (SD 9.3), eGFR of 47.0 ml/min/1.73 m2 (SD 15.2) and median UACR of 568 mg/g (range 2‒11 852). According to Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes guidelines categorisation, 68.2% were at very high risk for CKD progression.

CONCLUSION

FLOW will evaluate the effect of semaglutide on kidney outcomes in participants with CKD and T2D, and is expected to be completed in late 2024.

Implementation of the trial emulation approach in medical research: a scoping review

BACKGROUND

When conducting randomised controlled trials is impractical, an alternative is to carry out an observational study. However, making valid causal inferences from observational data is challenging because of the risk of several statistical biases. In 2016 Hernán and Robins put forward the 'target trial framework' as a guide to best design and analyse observational studies whilst preventing the most common biases. This framework consists of (1) clearly defining a causal question about an intervention, (2) specifying the protocol of the hypothetical trial, and (3) explaining how the observational data will be used to emulate it.

METHODS

The aim of this scoping review was to identify and review all explicit attempts of trial emulation studies across all medical fields. Embase, Medline and Web of Science were searched for trial emulation studies published in English from database inception to February 25, 2021. The following information was extracted from studies that were deemed eligible for review: the subject area, the type of observational data that they leveraged, and the statistical methods they used to address the following biases: (A) confounding bias, (B) immortal time bias, and (C) selection bias.

RESULTS

The search resulted in 617 studies, 38 of which we deemed eligible for review. Of those 38 studies, most focused on cardiology, infectious diseases or oncology and the majority used electronic health records/electronic medical records data and cohort studies data. Different statistical methods were used to address confounding at baseline and selection bias, predominantly conditioning on the confounders (N = 18/49, 37%) and inverse probability of censoring weighting (N = 7/20, 35%) respectively. Different approaches were used to address immortal time bias, assigning individuals to treatment strategies at start of follow-up based on their data available at that specific time (N = 21, 55%), using the sequential trial emulations approach (N = 11, 29%) or the cloning approach (N = 6, 16%).

CONCLUSION

Different methods can be leveraged to address (A) confounding bias, (B) immortal time bias, and (C) selection bias. When working with observational data, and if possible, the 'target trial' framework should be used as it provides a structured conceptual approach to observational research.

Treatment of obesity-related diabetes: significance of thermogenic adipose tissue and targetable receptors

Diabetes mellitus is mainly classified into four types according to its pathogenesis, of which type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) has the highest incidence rate and is most relevant to obesity. It is characterized by high blood glucose, which is primarily due to insulin resistance in tissues that are responsible for glucose homeostasis (such as the liver, skeletal muscle, and white adipose tissue (WAT)) combined with insufficiency of insulin secretion from pancreatic β-cells. Treatment of diabetes, especially treatment of diabetic complications (such as diabetic nephropathy), remains problematic. Obesity is one of the main causes of insulin resistance, which, however, could potentially be treated by activating thermogenic adipose tissues, like brown and beige adipose tissues, because they convert energy into heat through non-shivering thermogenesis and contribute to metabolic homeostasis. In this review, we summarize the function of certain anti-diabetic medications with known thermogenic mechanisms and focus on various receptor signaling pathways, such as previously well-known and recently discovered ones that are involved in adipose tissue-mediated thermogenesis and could be potentially targeted to combat obesity and its associated diabetes, for a better understanding of the molecular mechanisms of non-shivering thermogenesis and the development of novel therapeutic interventions for obesity-related diabetes and potentially diabetic complications.

Kidney function loss and albuminuria progression with GLP-1 receptor agonists versus basal insulin in patients with type 2 diabetes: real-world evidence

BACKGROUND

In clinical trials enrolling patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) at high cardiovascular risk, many glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RAs) improved albuminuria status and possibly mitigated kidney function loss. However, limited data are available regarding the effects of GLP-1 RAs on albuminuria status and kidney function in real-world settings, including populations with a lower baseline cardiovascular and kidney risk. We assessed the association of GLP-1 RAs initiation with long-term kidney outcomes in the Maccabi Healthcare Services database, Israel.

METHODS

Adults with T2D treated with  ≥ 2 glucose-lowering agents who initiated GLP-1 RAs or basal insulin from 2010 to 2019 were propensity-score matched (1:1) and followed until October 2021 (intention-to-treat [ITT]). In an as-treated (AT) analysis, follow-up was also censored at study-drug discontinuation or comparator-initiation. We assessed the risk of a composite kidney outcome, including confirmed  ≥ 40% eGFR loss or end-stage kidney disease, and the risk of new macroalbuminuria. Treatment-effect on eGFR slopes was assessed by fitting a linear regression model per patient, followed by a t-test to compare the slopes between the groups.

RESULTS

Each propensity-score matched group constituted 3424 patients, 45% women, 21% had a history of cardiovascular disease, and 13.9% were treated with sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors at baseline. Mean eGFR was 90.6 mL/min/1.73 m² (SD 19.3) and median UACR was 14.6 mg/g [IQR 0.0-54.7]. Medians follow-up were 81.1 months (ITT) and 22.3 months (AT). The hazard-ratios [95% CI] of the composite kidney outcome with GLP-1 RAs versus basal insulin were 0.96 [0.82-1.11] (p = 0.566) and 0.71 [0.54-0.95] (p = 0.020) in the ITT and AT analyses, respectively. The respective HRs for first new macroalbuminuria were 0.87 [0.75-0.997] and 0.80 [0.64-0.995]. The use of GLP-1 RA was associated with a less steep eGFR slope compared with basal insulin in the AT analysis (mean annual between-group difference of 0.42 mL/min/1.73 m²/year [95%CI 0.11-0.73]; p = 0.008).

CONCLUSION

Initiation of GLP-1 RAs in a real-world setting is associated with a reduced risk of albuminuria progression and possible mitigation of kidney function loss in patients with T2D and mostly preserved kidney function.

Renoprotective Effect of Thai Patients with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus Treated with SGLT-2 Inhibitors versus DPP-4 Inhibitors: A Real-World Observational Study

Background

Recently, there is a lack of studies comparing the renoprotective effects of sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 (SGLT-2) inhibitors and dipeptidyl peptidase-4 (DPP-4) inhibitors. This study therefore aimed to investigate the renoprotective effects of SGLT-2 inhibitors and DPP-4 inhibitors on Thai patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus.

Methods

Patient medication records of all patients who used those two antidiabetic classes at Fort Wachirawut Hospital were reviewed. Renal function tests, blood glucose levels, and other baseline characteristics were collected. Continuous variables were compared within the group using the Wilcoxon signed-rank test and between groups using the Mann-Whitney U test.

Results

There were 388 and 691 patients with SGLT-2 inhibitors and DPP-4 inhibitors, respectively. The mean estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) of the SGLT-2 inhibitor group was significantly lower from baseline at 18 months of treatment, as well as the DPP-4 inhibitor group. However, the trend of eGFR reduction in patients with baseline eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m² was smaller than those with baseline eGFR ≥60 mL/min/1.73 m². In addition, the fasting blood sugar and haemoglobin A1c levels significantly decreased from baseline in both the groups.

Conclusions

Both SGLT-2 inhibitors and DPP-4 inhibitors showed the same trends of eGFR reductions from baseline in Thai patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus. However, SGLT-2 inhibitors should be considered in patients with impaired renal function rather than in all T2DM patients.

Risks and burdens of incident dyslipidaemia in long COVID: a cohort study

BACKGROUND

Non-clinical evidence and a few human studies with short follow-ups suggest increased risk of dyslipidaemia in the post-acute phase of COVID-19 (ie, >30 days after SARS-CoV-2 infection). However, detailed large-scale controlled studies with longer follow-ups and in-depth assessment of the risks and burdens of incident dyslipidaemia in the post-acute phase of COVID-19 are not yet available. We, therefore, aimed to examine the risks and 1-year burdens of incident dyslipidaemia in the post-acute phase of COVID-19 among people who survive the first 30 days of SARS-CoV-2 infection.

METHODS

In this cohort study, we used the national health-care databases of the US Department of Veterans Affairs to build a cohort of 51 919 participants who had a positive COVID-19 test and survived the first 30 days of infection between March 1, 2020, and Jan 15, 2021; a non-infected contemporary control group (n=2 647 654) that enrolled patients between March 1, 2020, and Jan 15, 2021; and a historical control group (n=2 539 941) that enrolled patients between March 1, 2018, and Jan 15, 2019. Control groups had no evidence of SARS-CoV-2 infection, and participants in all three cohorts were free of dyslipidaemia before cohort enrolment. We then used inverse probability weighting using predefined and algorithmically-selected high dimensional variables to estimate the risks and 1-year burdens of incident dyslipidaemia, lipid-lowering medications use, and a composite of these outcomes. We reported two measures of risk: hazard ratios (HRs) and burden per 1000 people at 12 months. Additionally, we estimated the risks and burdens of incident dyslipidaemia outcomes in mutually exclusive groups based on the care setting of the acute infection (ie, participants who were non-hospitalised, hospitalised, or admitted to intensive care during the acute phase of SARS-CoV-2 infection).

FINDINGS

In the post-acute phase of the SARS-CoV-2 infection, compared with the non-infected contemporary control group, those in the COVID-19 group had higher risks and burdens of incident dyslipidaemia, including total cholesterol greater than 200 mg/dL (hazard ratio [HR] 1·26, 95% CI 1·22-1·29; burden 22·46, 95% CI 19·14-25·87 per 1000 people at 1 year), triglycerides greater than 150 mg/dL (1·27, 1·23-1·31; 22·03, 18·85-25·30), LDL cholesterol greater than 130 mg/dL (1·24, 1·20-1·29; 18·00, 14·98-21·11), and HDL cholesterol lower than 40 mg/dL (1·20, 1·16-1·25; 15·58, 12·52-18·73). The risk and burden of a composite of these abnormal lipid laboratory outcomes were 1·24 (95% CI 1·21-1·27) and 39·19 (95% CI 34·71-43·73), respectively. There was also increased risk and burden of incident lipid-lowering medications use (HR 1·54, 95% CI 1·48-1·61; burden 25·50, 95% CI 22·61-28·50). A composite of any dyslipidaemia outcome (laboratory abnormality or lipid-lowering medications use) yielded an HR of 1·31 (95% CI 1·28-1·34) and a burden of 54·03 (95% CI 49·21-58·92). The risks and burdens of these post-acute outcomes increased in a graded fashion corresponding to the severity of the acute phase of COVID-19 infection (ie, whether patients were non-hospitalised, hospitalised, or admitted to intensive care). The results were consistent in analyses comparing the COVID-19 group to the non-infected historical control group.

INTERPRETATION

Our findings suggest increased risks and 1-year burdens of incident dyslipidaemia and incident lipid-lowering medications use in the post-acute phase of COVID-19 infection. Post-acute care for those with COVID-19 should involve attention to dyslipidaemia as a potential post-acute sequela of SARS-CoV-2 infection.

FUNDING

US Department of Veterans Affairs.

Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor regulates receptor of advanced glycation end products in high glucose-treated rat mesangial cells

BACKGROUND

Hyperglycemia-induced advanced glycation end products (AGEs) and receptor for AGEs (RAGEs) play major roles in diabetic nephropathy progression. In previous study, both glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) and peroxisome proliferator-activated receptors delta (PPARδ) agonists were shown to have anti-inflammatory effect on AGE-treated rat mesangial cells (RMCs). The interaction among PPARδ agonists, GLP-1, and AGE-RAGE axis is, however, still unclear.

METHODS

In this study, the individual and synergic effect of PPARδ agonist (L-165 041) and siRNA of GLP-1 receptor (GLP-1R) on the expression of GLP-1, GLP-1R, RAGE, and cell viability in AGE-treated RMCs were investigated.

RESULTS

L-165 041 enhanced GLP-1R mRNA and protein expression only in the presence of AGE. The expression of RAGE mRNA and protein was enhanced by AGE, attenuated by L-165 041, and siRNA of GLP-1R reversed L-165 041-induced inhibition. Cell viability was also inhibited by AGE. L-165 041 attenuated AGE-induced inhibition and siRNA GLP-1R diminished L-165 041 effect.

CONCLUSION

PPARδ agonists increase GLP-1R expression on RMC in the presence of AGE. PPARδ agonists also attenuate AGE-induced upregulated RAGE expression and downregulated cell viability. The effect of PPARδ agonists needs the cooperation of GLP-1R activation.

Management of type 2 diabetes with a treat-to-benefit approach improved long-term cardiovascular outcomes under routine care

BACKGROUND

Results of cardiovascular outcome trials enabled a shift from "treat-to-target" to "treat-to-benefit" paradigm in the management of type 2 diabetes (T2D). However, studies validating such approach are limited. Here, we examined whether treatment according to international recommendations for the pharmacological management of T2D had an impact on long-term outcomes.

METHODS

This was an observational study conducted on outpatient data collected in 2008-2018 (i.e. prior to the "treat-to-benefit" shift). We defined 6 domains of treatment based on the ADA/EASD consensus covering all disease stages: first- and second-line treatment, intensification, use of insulin, cardioprotective, and weight-affecting drugs. At each visit, patients were included in Group 1 if at least one domain deviated from recommendation or in Group 2 if aligned with recommendations. We used Cox proportional hazard models with time-dependent co-variates or Cox marginal structural models (with inverse-probability of treatment weighing evaluated at each visit) to adjust for confounding factors and evaluate three outcomes: major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), hospitalization for heart failure or cardiovascular mortality (HF-CVM), and all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

We included 5419 patients, on average 66-year old, 41% women, with a baseline diabetes duration of 7.6 years. Only 11.7% had pre-existing cardiovascular disease. During a median follow-up of 7.3 years, patients were seen 12 times at the clinic, and we recorded 1325 MACE, 1593 HF-CVM, and 917 deaths. By the end of the study, each patient spent on average 63.6% of time in Group 1. In the fully adjusted model, being always in Group 2 was associated with a 45% lower risk of MACE (HR 0.55; 95% C.I. 0.46-0.66; p < 0.0001) as compared to being in Group 1. The corresponding HF-CVM and mortality risk were similar (HR 0.56; 95%CI 0.47-0.66, p < 0.0001 and HR 0.56; 95% C.I. 0.45-0.70; p < 0.0001. respectively). Sensitivity analyses confirmed these results. No single domain individually explained the better outcome of Group 2, which remained significant in all subgroups.

CONCLUSION

Managing patients with T2D according to a "treat-to-benefit" approach based international standards was associated with a lower risk of MACE, heart failure, and mortality. These data provide ex-post validation of the ADA/EASD treatment algorithm.

Association Between DPP4 Inhibitor Use and the Incidence of Cirrhosis, ESRD, and Some Cancers in Patients With Diabetes

CONTEXT

There are relatively few data on noncardiovascular (non-CV) long-term clinical outcomes of dipeptidyl peptidase 4 inhibitor (DPP4i) treatment.

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to evaluate some non-CV effects of DPP4is in patients with diabetes.

METHODS

Based on data from the National Health Insurance Service database in Korea (2007-2018), we conducted 3 pairwise comparisons of metformin-combined antidiabetic therapies in adult patients with diabetes: DPP4is vs (1) all other oral antidiabetic agents, (2) sulfonylureas/glinides, and (3) thiazolidinediones (TZDs). Major outcomes were liver cirrhosis, end-stage renal disease (ESRD), and cancers in the liver, kidney, and pancreas. Adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs for the outcomes were estimated using an adjusted Cox model.

RESULTS

Of the 747 124 patients included, 628 217 had received DPP4i therapy for a mean duration of 33.8 ± 25.0 months. Compared with TZD therapy, DPP4i therapy was associated with higher adjusted HRs [95% CIs] for liver cirrhosis (1.267 [1.108-1.449]), ESRD (1.596 [1.139-2.236]), liver cancer (1.117 [1.011-1.235]), and pancreatic cancer (1.158 [1.040-1.290]). Furthermore, apart from liver cirrhosis, a higher risk of each of these outcomes was associated with DPP4i use than with non-DPP4i use. The higher adjusted HRs associated with DPP4i use further increased when patients with long-term exposure to DPP4is were analyzed.

CONCLUSION

DPP4i therapy in patients with diabetes was associated with a higher risk of liver cirrhosis and cancer, ESRD, and pancreatic cancer than TZD therapy and, except for liver cirrhosis, the risk of these outcomes was greater with DPP4i treatment than with non-DPP4i treatment.

Effects of second-line antihyperglycemic drugs on the risk of chronic kidney disease: applying a target trial approach to a hospital-based cohort of Thai patients with type 2 diabetes

BACKGROUND

The reno-protective effect of second-line treatments in type 2 diabetes has been assessed by clinical trials but generalizability to routine clinical practice is still uncertain. We aimed to assess the effectiveness of these treatments, when added to metformin, on the risk of chronic kidney disease (CKD).

METHODS

A real-world, hospital-based, type 2 diabetes cohort was retrospectively assembled at Ramathibodi Hospital from 2010 to 2019. Patients who received sulfonylureas (SU), thiazolidinediones (TZD), dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (DPP4i), or sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2i), as second-line antihyperglycemic treatment were included. Treatment effect models with inverse probability weighting and regression adjustment were used to estimate CKD risk according to treatment.

RESULTS

CKD was identified in 4,132 of the 24,777 patients with type 2 diabetes (16.7%). The CKD incidence (95% CI) was 4.1% (2.2%, 6.9%), 13.5% (12.5%, 14.6%), 14.8% (13.5%, 16.1%), and 18.0% (17.4%, 18.5%) for patients receiving SGLT2i, DPP4i, TZD, and SU treatment, respectively. The average treatment effects (i.e., the difference in CKD risk) for SGLT2i, DPP4i, and TZD compared to SU were - 0.142 (- 0.167, - 0.116), - 0.046 (- 0.059, - 0.034), and - 0.004 (- 0.023, 0.014), respectively, indicating a significant reduction in CKD risk of 14.2% and 4.6% in the SGLT2i and DPP4i groups, respectively, compared to the SU group. Furthermore, SGLT2i significantly reduced CKD risk by 13.7% (10.6%, 16.8%) and 9.5% (6.8%, 12.2%) when compared to TZD and DPP4i, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study identified 14.2%, 13.7%, and 9.5% reduced CKD risk in Thai patients with type 2 diabetes who were treated with SGLT2i compared to those treated with SU, TZD, and DPP4i, respectively, in real-world clinical data. Previous evidence of a reno-protective effect of SGLT2i reported in other populations is consistent with our observations in this Southeast Asian cohort.

Zuogui Wan ameliorates high glucose-induced podocyte apoptosis and improves diabetic nephropathy in db/db mice

Zuogui Wan (ZGW), a well-known traditional Chinese medicine (TCM), has been used to nourish “Kidney-Yin” for a long time in China, implying a protective effect on the kidney. The aim of the present study is to investigate the effect of ZGW on high glucose-induced podocyte apoptosis and diabetic nephropathy (DN) in db/db mice. ZGW (1 g/kg⁻¹/day⁻¹) was administered intragastrically to db/db mice for 8 weeks. HPLC was used for identifying the components of ZGW, biochemical and histopathological approaches were used for evaluating its therapeutic effects, and cultured mouse podocytes were used for further exploring its underlying mechanism in vitro. ZGW improved renal function and podocyte loss and also normalized kidney reactive oxygen species production in db/db mice. The cytotoxicity of ZGW on mouse podocytes was assessed by the LDH assay. The effect of ZGW on podocyte viability and apoptosis was determined with CCK-8 and Annexin-V/PI staining by treatment with high glucose. ZGW attenuated podocyte apoptosis, and oxidative stress was detected by the peroxide-sensitive fluorescent probe 2′,7′-dichlorodihydrofluorescein diacetate (DCF-DA) staining in a dose-dependent manner. Furthermore, ZGW decreased the expression of caspase-3 and phospho-p38 in both the kidney cortex and high glucose-treated podocytes. Thus, our data from in vivo and in vitro studies demonstrated that ZGW improved renal injury in diabetes by inhibiting oxidative stress and podocyte apoptosis.