A population-based prospective study on obesity-related non-communicable diseases in northern Iran: rationale, study design, and baseline analysis

Background

Iran is facing an epidemiological transition with the increasing burden of non-communicable diseases, such as obesity-related disorders and cardiovascular diseases (CVDs). We conducted a population-based prospective study to assess the prevalence and incidence rates of CVDs and obesity-related metabolic disorders and to evaluate the predictive ability of various CVD risk assessment tools in an Iranian population.

Method

We enrolled 5,799 participants in Amol, a city in northern Iran, in 2009-2010 and carried out the first repeated measurement (RM) after seven years (2016-2017). For all participants, demographic, anthropometric, laboratory, hepatobiliary imaging, and electrocardiography data have been collected in the enrollment and the RM. After enrollment, all participants have been and will be followed up annually for 20 years, both actively and passively.

Results

We adopted a multidisciplinary approach to overcome barriers to participation and achieved a 7-year follow-up success rate of 93.0% with an active follow-up of 5,394 participants aged 18-90 years. In the RM, about 64.0% of men and 81.2% of women were obese or overweight. In 2017, about 16.2% and 5.2% of men had moderate or severe non-alcoholic fatty liver disease, while women had a significantly higher prevalence of metabolic syndrome (35.9%), and type 2 diabetes mellitus (20.9%) than men. Of 160 deceased participants, 69 cases (43.1%) died due to CVDs over seven years.

Conclusion

The most prevalent obesity-related chronic disease in the study was metabolic syndrome. Across the enrollment and RM phases, women exhibited a higher prevalence of obesity-related metabolic disorders. Focusing on obesity-related metabolic disorders in a population not represented previously and a multidisciplinary approach for enrolling and following up were the strengths of this study. The study outcomes offer an evidence base for future research and inform policies regarding non-communicable diseases in northern Iran.

Expression of MicroRNA-155 in Patients with Non-Hodgkin Lymphoma, Coronavirus Disease 2019, or Both: A Cross-Sectional Study

Background

Non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL) is the eleventh leading cause of cancer-related death in the world. Diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) is the most common type of NHL. Up to winter 2021-2022, the death toll caused by the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has exceeded 5.6 million worldwide. Possible molecular mechanisms involved in the systemic inflammation, and cytokine storm in COVID-19 patients are still not fully understood. MicroRNA-155 (miR-155) plays a role in the post-transcriptional gene regulation of hematopoiesis, oncogenesis, and inflammation. The present study aimed to evaluate the expression of miR-155 in patients with DLBCL and/or COVID-19.

Methods

A cross-sectional study was conducted from July to December 2020 in Tehran (Iran) to evaluate the expression of miR-155 in adult patients diagnosed with DLBCL and/or COVID-19. The real-time polymerase chain reaction technique was used to evaluate the expression of miR-155 in the sera of 92 adults who were either healthy or suffering from DLBCL and/or COVID-19. Relative quantification of gene expression was calculated in terms of cycle threshold (Ct) value. Data were analyzed using SPSS software, and P<0.05 was considered statistically significant.

Results

The expression of miR-155 was not associated with the sex or age of the participants. In comparison with healthy individuals (-ΔCt -1.92±0.25), the expression of miR-155 increased in patients with COVID-19 (1.95±0.14), DLBCL (2.25±0.16), or both (4.33±0.65).

Conclusion

The expression of miR-155 increased in patients with DLBCL and/or COVID-19.

Predictive ability of six obesity measures to identify 7-year fatal and non-fatal cardiovascular events: A population-based cohort study

Background

Globally, most people die from cardiovascular diseases. We aimed to compare predictive ability of six obesity indices, including body mass index, waist circumference, waist-to-hip ratio, waist-to-height ratio, conicity index, and abdominal volume index, to identify people at risk of fatal and non-fatal cardiovascular events, in a cohort study.

Methods

We studied 5147 participants in a baseline population-based cohort study conducted in northern Iran. The obesity measures were calculated in enrollment phase (2009–2010), and the cardiovascular events were recorded during a 7-year follow-up phase (2010–2017). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses and Cox hazard regression models were applied, considering the obesity measures as predictors, and the 7-year cardiovascular events as outcomes. Multiple Cox models were adjusted by age, prior history of cardiovascular diseases, chronic kidney diseases, insulin resistance, diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia, hypertension, and smoking status.

Results

Conicity index showed the highest performance in predicting 7-year fatal and non-fatal cardiovascular events with areas under the ROC curve of 0.77 [95% confidence interval: 0.71–0.82], and 0.63 [0.59–0.68] in men, and 0.80 [0.74–0.87], and 0.65 [0.60–0.71] in women, respectively. In multiple Cox models, the obesity measures had no significant associations with cardiovascular events in women. In men, only waist-to-height ratio was independently associated with 7-year non-fatal cardiovascular events (hazard ratio: 1.19 [95% confidence interval: 1.01–1.38]).

Conclusions

Although waist-to-height ratio had an independent association with 7-year non-fatal cardiovascular events in men, conicity index showed the best ability to predict 7-year fatal and non-fatal cardiovascular events in our study.

SARS-CoV-2 Seroprevalence Among Health Care Workers in Major Private and Public Hospitals With COVID-19 Patient's Referral in Tehran, Iran

Estimating the prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 antibody seropositivity among health care workers (HCWs) is crucial. In this study, the seroprevalence of anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibodies among HCWs of five hospitals of Tehran, Iran with high COVID-19 patient's referrals from April to June, 2020, was assessed. In this cross-sectional study, HCWs from three public and two private hospitals, selected randomly as a pilot, were included. Participants were asked questions on their demographic characteristics, medical history, hospital role, and usage of personal protective equipment (PPE). Iran FDA-approved SARS-CoV-2 ELISA kits were used to detect IgG and IgM antibodies in blood samples. The seroprevalence was estimated on the basis of ELISA test results and adjusted for test performance. Among the 2,065 participants, 1,825 (88.4%) and 240 (11.6%) HCWs were recruited from public and private hospitals, respectively. A total of 340 HCWs were tested positive for SARS-CoV-2-specific IgG or IgM antibodies, and 17.9% of seropositive individuals were asymptomatic. The overall test performance-adjusted seroprevalence estimate among HCWs was 22.6 (95% CI: 20.2–25.1), and PPE usage was significantly higher among HCWs of public vs. private hospitals (66.5 vs. 20.0%). This study found that seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 among HCWs was higher in private hospitals (37.0%; 95% CI: 28.6–46.2) than public hospitals (20.7%; 95% CI: 18.2–23.3), and also highest among assistant nurses and nurses, and lowest among janitor or superintendent categories. The PPE usage was especially suboptimal among HCWs in private hospitals. Continued effort in access to adequate PPE and regular screening of hospital staff for detecting asymptomatic personnel, especially during the upcoming wave of infection, are warranted.

Prevalence, awareness, treatment, and control of hypertension based on ACC/AHA versus JNC7 guidelines in the PERSIAN cohort study

In this cross-sectional population-based study, we used the baseline data of the Prospective Epidemiologic Research Studies in IrAN cohort study collected in Iran from 2014 to 2020. The main outcomes were the prevalence of hypertension and proportion of awareness, treatment, and control based on the 2017 ACC/AHA guideline compared to the seventh report of the Joint National Committee (JNC7). Of the total of 163,770 participants, aged 35-70 years, 55.2% were female. The sex-age standardized prevalence of hypertension was 22.3% (95% CI 20.6, 24.1) based on the JNC7 guideline and 36.5% (31.1, 41.8) based on the ACC/AHA guideline. A total of 24,312 participants [14.1% (10.1, 18.1)] were newly diagnosed based on the ACC/AHA guideline. Compared to adults diagnosed with hypertension based on the JNC7 guideline, the newly diagnosed participants were mainly young literate males who had low levels of risk factors and were free from conventional comorbidities of hypertension. About 30.7% (25.9, 35.4) of them (4.3% of the entire population) were eligible for pharmacologic intervention based on the ACC/AHA guideline. Implementation of the new guideline may impose additional burden on health systems. However, early detection and management of elevated blood pressure may reduce the ultimate burden of hypertension in Iran.

Comparison of risk assessment tools for cardiovascular diseases: results of an Iranian cohort study

OBJECTIVES

Several popular cardiovascular risk assessment tools have been developed in Western countries; however, the predictive abilities of these tools have not been evaluated in Middle Eastern countries. The present study aimed to determine the abilities of cardiovascular risk assessment tools in a population-based study in Northern Iran.

STUDY DESIGN

Population-based cohort study in Northern Iran.

METHODS

In total, 2883 individuals (1629 men and 1254 women), aged 40-74 years, were included in the study. We determined the predictive abilities of the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association (ACC/AHA) risk prediction tool, the Framingham general cardiovascular risk profile in primary care settings, and the Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation (SCORE) equations for low- and high-risk European countries. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was used to determine the predictive abilities of these four risk assessment tools.

RESULTS

Based on areas under curve (AUC) values and related 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs), the discriminative abilities of the ACC/AHA tool, the Framingham approach, and the SCORE for low- and high-risk European countries to estimate non-fatal cardiovascular disease (CVD) events were 0.6625, 0.6517, 0.6476 and 0.6458, respectively, in men, and 0.7722, 0.7525, 0.7330 and 0.7331, respectively, in women. Moreover, the abilities of these four tools to estimate fatal CVD events were found to be 0.8614, 0.8329, 0.7996 and 0.7988 in men, and 0.8779, 0.8372, 0.8535 and 0.8518 in women, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The cardiovascular risk assessment tools investigated in this study showed acceptable predictive abilities in women. The ACC/AHA approach showed slightly better performance compared with the SCORE tool; however, the SCORE tool benefited from the lowest cost compared with all the other tools.

Dynamics of the COVID-19 Clinical Findings and the Serologic Response

The factors affecting the dynamics of lengthening of symptoms and serologic responses are not well known. In order to see how the serologic responses change in relation to the clinical features, we selected a group of 472 adults with a positive IgM/IgG antibody test result from a baseline study of the anti-SARS-CoV-2 seropositivity, assessed their COVID-19 and past medical histories, and followed them up in about 3 months. Nearly one-fourth of the subjects were asymptomatic at the baseline; 12.8% subjects became symptomatic at the follow-up (FU) when 39.8% of the subjects had some persisting symptoms. At the baseline, 6.1% showed anti-SARS-CoV-2 IgM positive, 59.3% only for IgG, and 34.5% for both. At the FU, these figures declined to 0.6, 54.0, and 4.4%, respectively, with the mean IgM and IgG levels declining about 6.3 and 2.5 folds. Blood group A was consistently linked to both sustaining and flipping of the gastrointestinal (GI) and respiratory symptoms. The baseline IgM level was associated with GI symptoms and pre-existing cirrhosis in multivariate models. Both of the baseline and FU IgG levels were strongly associated with age, male, and lung involvement seen in chest computed tomography (CT)-scan. Finally, as compared with antibody decayers, IgM sustainers were found to be more anosmic [mean difference (MD): 11.5%; P = 0.047] with lower body mass index (BMI) (MD: 1.30 kg/m²; P = 0.002), while IgG sustainers were more commonly females (MD: 19.2%; P = 0.042) with shorter diarrhea duration in the FU (MD: 2.8 days; P = 0.027). Our findings indicate how the anti-SARS-CoV-2 serologic response and COVID-19 clinical presentations change in relation to each other and basic characteristics.

Persian manual therapy method for chronic low-back pain with lumbar radiculopathy; a randomized controlled trial

BACKGROUND

Manual therapy is a non-surgical approach for management of musculoskeletal symptoms. This study investigated safety and efficacy of a Persian manual therapy method (Fateh technique) for management of chronic low-back pain (LBP) and radiculopathy.

METHODS

In this controlled trial, 52 eligible patients with chronic LBP and lumbar radiculopathy were randomly assigned into two intervention groups; one received a 16-min soft tissue manipulation for four weekly sessions and did two daily home active exercises. The other group only did the two daily exercises for four weeks. Roland-Morris disability score, Visual Analogue Scale scores of LBP, radiculopathy and paresthesia, and finger-to-floor test result were assessed at the baseline, and in fourth and eighth weeks of trial.

RESULTS

Data of 48 participants was analyzed. Distributions of age, sex, and duration of symptoms in two groups were the same. Fateh technique respectively decreased pain, radiculopathy, paresthesia, and disability, by 4.28 [95% confidence interval: 3.36-5.19], 3.85 [2.67-5.03], 1.32 [0.37-2.27], and 4.58 [3.23-5.93] units, and increased body flexibility by 35.42 [6.91-63.92] millimeters. Compared with home exercise, Fateh technique was associated with greater changes in all outcomes. No adverse event has occurred.

CONCLUSIONS

Fateh technique is safe and effective for management of LBP and radiculopathy in patients without severe progressive symptoms.

Metabolic syndrome and cardiovascular risk assessment tools' estimations of 10-year cardiovascular risk: a population-based study

Background: This cross-sectional study determines the association between 10-year cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk, estimated using four CVD risk assessment tools, and metabolic syndrome (MetS) in northern Iranian general population. Methods: We used the data of 2371 participants aged 40-74 without any history of diabetes mellitus from a cohort study conducted among 6140 subjects aged 10-90 years in northern Iran. Three definitions of MetS were used. The four CVD risk assessment tools used to estimate the 10-year CVD risk included pooled cohort equations of ACC/AHA, Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation (SCORE) equations (for low-risk and high-risk European countries), and Framingham general cardiovascular risk profile for use in primary care. Logistic regression was used to determine the association between various definitions of MetS and 10-year CVD risk of ≥5%, ≥ 7.5%, and ≥10%, based on the related risk assessment tools. Results: In men, univariate logistic regression analysis showed the strongest association between 10-year risk of ≥0.1 estimated by Framingham risk profile and the three definitions of MetS. In women, the 10-year risks by Framingham risk profile and SCORE equations for high-risk European countries had stronger associations with various definitions of MetS than others. No significant associations were detected between estimated risks of four risk assessment tools and various definitions of MetS in multivariate logistic regression analyses. Conclusion: No independent associations were observed between estimations of 10-year CVD risk using four risk assessment tools and various definitions of MetS.

Prospective Epidemiological Research Studies in Iran (the PERSIAN Cohort Study): Rationale, Objectives, and Design

Noncommunicable diseases (NCDs) account for 76% of deaths in Iran, and this number is on the rise, in parallel with global rates. Many risk factors associated with NCDs are preventable; however, it is first necessary to conduct observational studies to identify relevant risk factors and the most appropriate approach to controlling them. Iran is a multiethnic country; therefore, in 2014 the Ministry of Health and Medical Education launched a nationwide cohort study-Prospective Epidemiological Research Studies in Iran (PERSIAN)-in order to identify the most prevalent NCDs among Iran's ethnic groups and to investigate effective methods of prevention. The PERSIAN study consists of 4 population-based cohorts; the adult component (the PERSIAN Cohort Study), described in this article, is a prospective cohort study including 180,000 persons aged 35-70 years from 18 distinct areas of Iran. Upon joining the cohort, participants respond to interviewer-administered questionnaires. Blood, urine, hair, and nail samples are collected and stored. To ensure consistency, centrally purchased equipment is sent to all sites, and the same team trains all personnel. Routine visits and quality assurance/control measures are taken to ensure protocol adherence. Participants are followed for 15 years postenrollment. The PERSIAN study is currently in the enrollment phase; cohort profiles will soon emerge.

The Evaluation of Diagnostic and Predictive Values of Helicobacter pylori Stool Antigen Test in Iranian Patients with Dyspepsia

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Iran, as a developing country, is experiencing high burdens of Helicobacter pylori (Hp)-associated non-communicable diseases. Hp stool antigen test (HpSA) is widely used as an inexpensive and feasible noninvasive method to diagnose Hp infection, instead of invasive approaches. The current study aimed at evaluating the diagnostic and predictive values of HpSA test for Hp infection in Iranian patients with dyspepsia.

METHODS

The current cross sectional study was performed on 100 patients with dyspepsia. Gastric mucosal specimens were taken, processed, and examined according to the standard protocols. Simultaneously, stool samples were obtained and sent to laboratory for further analyses. Hp stool antigen titers were assessed using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) technique.

RESULTS

Stool antigen titers were not associated with gender (P-value=0.284), but correlated to age (r=0.213, P-value=0.034). Considering 0.385 as a cutoff point, the HpSA test had 80.4% sensitivity and 85.7% specificity.

CONCLUSION

Based on cost-effectiveness of HpSA test, the current study findings corroborated the use of HpSA test to detect and follow-up patients with Hp infection, as an alternative method to detect Hp rather than invasive procedures.

The PERSIAN Cohort: Providing the Evidence Needed for Healthcare Reform

In the past, communicable diseases caused the highest mortality in Iran. Improvements in socioeconomic status and living standards including access to safe drinking water, along with the inception of Health Houses in the 1980s, have changed disease patterns, decreasing the spread of and deaths from infectious and communicable diseases. The incidence and prevalence of non-communicable diseases (NCD), however, have now increased in Iran, accounting for nearly 80% of deaths and disabilities. Without interventions, NCD are predicted to impose a substantial human and economic burden in the next 2 decades. However, Iran's health system is not equipped with the necessary policies to combat this growth and must refocus and reform. Therefore, in the year 2013, the Ministry of Health and Medical Education funded a well-designed nationwide cohort study-Prospective Epidemiological Research Studies in IrAN (PERSIAN)-in order to assess the burden of NCD and investigate the risk factors associated with them in the different ethnicities and geographical areas of Iran. The PERSIAN Cohort, which aims to include 200000 participants, has 4 components: Adult (main), Birth, Youth and Elderly, which are being carried out in 22 different regions of Iran. Having an enormous dataset along with a biobank of blood, urine, hair and nail samples, the PERSIAN Cohort will serve as an important infrastructure for future implementation research and will provide the evidence needed for new healthcare policies in order to better control, manage and prevent NCD.

The Prevalence of Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease and Diabetes Mellitus in an Iranian Population

BACKGROUND Type II diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) are important causes of morbidity and mortality worldwide. We aimed to estimate the prevalence of DM in the context of NAFLD. METHODS In this cross-sectional study, we studied 5052 participants, aged 18 years and older, of a baseline population-based cohort in northern Iran (N=6143). The prevalence of DM was estimated in individuals with and without NAFLD. The association between NAFLD and T2DM was evaluated using logistic regression with the adjustment of confounding effects of age, sex, body mass index, lipid profiles, and fasting insulin. RESULTS In men, the prevalence (95% confidence interval) of T2DM was 5.34% (4.35%-6.34%) and 15.06% (13.12%-17.00%) in individuals without and with NAFLD, respectively (p <0.001). In women without NAFLD, the prevalence was 8.27% (6.83%-9.71%) while in the presence of NAFLD, the prevalence was 27.21% (24.59%-29.83%), (p <0.001). In univariate analysis, the chance of having T2DM was 3.700 (3.130-4.380) times more in patients with NAFLD compared with subjects without NAFLD (p<0.001). This chance was reduced (Odds Ratio=1.976, 95% CI: 1.593-2.451, p <0.001) after removing the effects of other variables. CONCLUSION The prevalence of T2DM is increased in the context of NAFLD. This condition may be considered as an independent predictor of T2DM.