Bluetongue disease in sheep in New South Wales - April 2023

In 2016, bluetongue virus (BTV), serotype 16 (BTV-16), was detected in New South Wales (NSW) in sentinel cattle for the first time. Over the next 6 years, BTV-16 has been detected regularly and over an increasing area of the BTV zone in NSW. In April 2023, disease was reported in sheep on two farms on the Northern Tablelands of NSW. The consistent clinical signs included reduced exercise tolerance, facial swelling, serous nasal discharges with encrustation of the nasal plane, subcutaneous oedema of the neck and brisket and variable congestion of the coronary band. Affected sheep were mainly mature ewes and rams, with an estimated morbidity of 20% over a period of 6-8 weeks. Although there were several unexpected deaths, no veterinary examination was sought. Predominantly BTV-16 RNA was detected in sick sheep, with an incidence of infection of approximately 40% in a cross section of one flock. These events represent the first confirmation of disease due to bluetongue virus in NSW. As these cases occurred in a region with a high density of sheep, if there is ongoing transmission of BTV-16 during subsequent summers, further disease might be expected.

Prevalence of malignancies among U.S. male patients with haemophilia: a review of the Haemophilia Surveillance System

The prevalence of malignancies in US male patients with haemophilia, with or without concomitant viral infections, remains unknown. To estimate the prevalence of malignancy in US male patients with haemophilia. We investigated the prevalence of malignancies among male patients with haemophilia using data from a six-state haemophilia surveillance project. Case patients with malignancies were identified using International Classification of Diseases, 9th Revision, Clinical Modification codes abstracted from hospital records and death certificates during the surveillance period. Cancer prevalence rates were calculated for each year during the surveillance and compared with age- and race-specific prevalence rates among the U.S. male population obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) Program. A total of 7 cases of leukaemia, 23 cases of lymphoma and 56 classifiable solid malignancies were identified among 3510 case patients during a total of 15,330 annual data abstraction collections. The rates of leukaemia, lymphoma and liver cancer among case patients were significantly higher than the rates among U.S. males as judged by prevalence ratios of 3.1 [95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.4-7.0] and 2.9 (95% CI =1.8-4.6), respectively. In contrast, the prevalence ratio of prostate cancer was lower than expected at 0.49 (95% CI = 0.31-0.77). Overall the prevalence of most cancers among case patients was similar to that of the U.S. male population. However, patients with haemophilia who have unexplained symptoms should be evaluated for malignancy.

New gene variants associated with venous thrombosis: a replication study in White and Black Americans

BACKGROUND

We evaluated 10 single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) identified in three European case-control studies as risk factors for venous thrombosis.

OBJECTIVES

We sought to replicate the positive findings from this report among Whites and to evaluate the association of these SNPs with venous thrombosis for the first time among Blacks.

PATIENT/METHODS

These SNPs were evaluated in a case-control study of deep vein thrombosis and pulmonary embolism that included 1076 cases and 1239 controls. About 50% of subjects were African Americans. We measured plasma factor (F) XI on a subset of subjects.

RESULTS

Among Whites, positive findings for rs13146272 in the CYP4V2 gene, for rs3087505 in the KLKB1 gene and for rs3756008 and rs2036914 in the F11 gene were found. We did not find significant associations for rs2227589 in the SERPINC1 gene and for rs1613662 in the GP6 gene. Among Blacks, rs2036914 in F11 and rs670659 in RGS7 were related to venous thrombosis, but the study had limited statistical power for many SNPs. Among Blacks, plasma FXI was related to two SNPs and the OR relating to the 90th percentile of the control distribution of plasma FXI was 2.6 (95% CI, 1.4, 5.0).

CONCLUSIONS

Our study supports the finding that genetic variants in the F11 gene are risk factors for venous thrombosis among both Whites and Blacks, although the findings in Blacks require confirmation. A meta-analysis of five case-control studies indicates that rs2227589 in the SERPINC1 gene, rs13146272 in the CYP4V2 gene and rs1613662 in the GP6 gene are risk factors for venous thrombosis among Whites.

The C242T CYBA polymorphism as a major determinant of NADPH oxidase activity in patients with cardiovascular disease

Single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNP) in the CYBA gene encoding p22(phox) have been associated with respiratory burst and cardiovascular phenotypes. We previously reported a reduced phagocytic respiratory burst activity in healthy adults with the C242T SNP, but found no correlation between CYBA SNPs and coronary artery disease (CAD) phenotype. Using lymphoblastoid cells, we hypothesized that CYBA SNPs affect enzyme activity in patients with cardiovascular disease (CVD), but would not be associated with angiographic severity of CAD due to confounding by risk factors. We established lymphoblastoid cell lines from patients with CVD and genotyped the study cohort for CYBA SNPs and phenotyped each subject's coronary angiogram for CAD severity. As quantified by electron spin resonance, superoxide production in picomoles per 10(6) resting lymphoblastoid cells per minute for the CC, CT, and TT genotypes of the C242T SNP were 16.2+/-1.4, n=70, 11.9+/-0.7, n=87, and 11.9+/-1.5, n=28, respectively (P=0.002). The -930(A/G) and A640G SNPs did not affect superoxide production (P > 0.2). Expression of p22(phox) was not affected as determined by real-time RT-PCR and Western blot analysis. The C242T CYBA SNP is associated with altered NADPH oxidase activity in lymphoblastoid cells of patients with CVD. By reducing the influence of confounding environmental factors, lymphoblastoid cell lines could serve as a tool to assess direct genotype/phenotype interactions of candidate genes known to affect atherosclerosis.

Nephrotic syndrome: an under-recognised immune-mediated complication of non-myeloablative allogeneic haematopoietic cell transplantation

Nephrotic syndrome (NS) is an extremely rare complication of myeloablative allogeneic haematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) that usually occurs in association with chronic graft-versus-host disease (C-GVHD). We observed an unexpectedly high incidence of NS in a cohort of 163 consecutive patients undergoing non-myeloablative HCT from a related human leucocyte antigen-compatible donor. Seven patients developed NS at a median 318 d post-transplant (range 119-1203 d; cumulative incidence 6.1%). The median age at onset of NS was 46 years (range 33-59 years); three of the seven patients had no evidence of C-GVHD while four had accompanying limited C-GVHD. At diagnosis, median proteinuria was 16.5 g/24 h (range 3-24 g/24 h). Renal biopsy was performed in four cases and revealed membranous nephropathy. NS was not always associated with other symptoms of C-GVHD, and in contrast to previous reports, usually did not improve with the re-initiation of aggressive immunosuppression, resulting in progressive renal failure necessitating dialysis in three of seven cases. Membranous nephropathy resulting in NS is a previously unrecognised and clinically significant complication of non-myeloablative HCT.

Tests of trait—haplotype association when linkage phase is ambiguous, appropriate for matched case-control and cohort studies with competing risks

The impact of competing risks on tests of association between disease and haplotypes has been largely ignored. We consider situations in which linkage phase is ambiguous and show that tests for disease-haplotype association can lead to rejection of the null hypothesis, even when true, with more than the nominal 5 per cent frequency. This problem tends to occur if a haplotype is associated with overall mortality, even if the haplotype is not associated with disease risk. A small simulation study illustrates the magnitude of bias (high type I error rate) in the context of a cohort study in which a modest number of disease cases (about 350) occur over time. The bias remains even if the score test is based on a logistic model that includes age as a covariate. For cohort studies, we propose a new test based on a modification of the proportional hazards model and for case-control studies, a test based on a conditional likelihood that have the correct size under the null even in the presence of competing risks, and that can be used when haplotype is ambiguous.

Clinical usefulness of a functional assay for the von Willebrand factor cleaving protease (ADAMTS 13) and its inhibitor in a patient with thrombotic thrombocytopenic purpura

Decreased von Willebrand factor cleaving protease activity (VWFCP, ADAMTS 13) leads to persistence of unusually large multimers of von Willebrand factor that bind to platelets, causing platelet aggregates, microangiopathic hemolysis, and thrombocytopenia in patients with thrombotic thrombocytopenic purpura (TTP). The clinical value of measuring ADAMTS 13 and its inhibitor is not fully defined; the case reported here illustrates the usefulness of the assay to help confirm the clinical diagnosis in a patient with other potential causes for thrombotic microangiopathy; the assay also helped in making treatment decisions. A patient with systemic lupus erythematosis (SLE) presented with fever and abdominal pain, thrombocytopenia, and anemia. Thrombotic microangiopathy was diagnosed by the appearance of schistocytes, decreasing platelet count, and evidence of hemolysis. ADAMTS 13 was decreased and an inhibitor was demonstrated in the patient's initial blood sample within 24 hr of admission. Plasma exchange was initiated, and serial assays showed increased ADAMTS 13 activity and decreased inhibitor after each plasma exchange; there was a rebound in inhibitor and a decrease in ADAMTS 13 activity prior to the next exchange that lessened over time. Increasing levels of protease activity correlated with clinical and laboratory improvement. Measurement of ADAMTS 13 activity and its inhibitor aided in the diagnosis of this complicated case of a patient with other potential causes for microangiopathic hemolysis. Subsequent levels correlated with the clinical course, and disappearance of the inhibitor indicated that long-term plasma exchange or other immunosuppressive treatment was not needed.

The beta fibrinogen gene G-455-A polymorphism is a risk factor for Legg-Perthes disease

Legg-Perthes disease is a pediatric hip disorder characterized by avascular necrosis of the femoral head. The etiology of Legg-Perthes disease may involve repeated interruptions of the blood supply to the proximal femur. Thus, the role of thrombosis in Legg-Perthes disease is of interest. The focus of this analysis is an evaluation of the relationship between Legg-Perthes disease and the beta fibrinogen gene G-455-A polymorphism in 55 cases of Legg-Perthes disease and 56 age, race, and gender-matched healthy controls. Parents of subjects completed a questionnaire about their child's lifestyle and medical history. Blood was obtained for plasma and DNA analysis. Study subjects were predominantly white (93%), male (77%) and under age 16 (70%). Cases were more likely to be exposed to passive smoke than were controls (odds ratio 5.6, 95% confidence interval 2.0-12.0). Assuming a dominant genetic model, individuals who possessed either the G/A or A/A genotype were over three times more likely to have Legg-Perthes disease compared to those without the polymorphism (odds ratio 3.4, 95% confidence interval 1.5-7.8). Separate analyzes by smoke exposure revealed that the excess risk of the G-455-A polymorphism occurred in those exposed (odds ratio 7.0) as opposed to those unexposed to passive smoke (odds ratio 1.9). Although this difference in the odds ratios is not statistically significant (P=0.2), it suggests a possible interactive effect of cigarette smoke and the b fibrinogen gene G-455-A polymorphism in the risk of developing Legg-Perthes disease.

The epidemiology of venous thromboembolism in Caucasians and African-Americans: the GATE Study

The aim of this study was to assess, comprehensively, medical and genetic attributes of venous thromboembolism (VTE) in a multiracial American population. The Genetic Attributes and Thrombosis Epidemiology (GATE) study is an ongoing case-control study in Atlanta, Georgia, designed to examine racial differences in VTE etiology and pathogenesis. Between 1998 and 2001, 370 inpatients with confirmed VTE, and 250 control subjects were enrolled. Data collected included blood specimens for DNA and plasma analysis and a medical lifestyle history questionnaire. Comparing VTE cases, cancer, recent surgery, and immobilization were more common in caucasian cases, while hypertension, diabetes, and kidney disease were more prevalent in African-American cases. Family history of VTE was reported with equal frequency by cases of both races (28-29%). Race-adjusted odds ratios for the associations of factor V Leiden and prothrombin G20210A mutations were 3.1 (1.5, 6.7) and 1.9 (0.8, 4.4), respectively. Using a larger external comparison group, the odds ratio for the prothrombin mutation among Caucasians was a statistically significant 2.5 (1.4, 4.3). A case-only analysis revealed a near significant interaction between the two mutations among Caucasians. We found that clinical characteristics of VTE patients differed across race groups. Family history of VTE was common in white and black patients, yet known genetic risk factors for VTE are rare in African-American populations. Our findings underscore the need to determine gene polymorphisms associated with VTE in African-Americans.

Impaired renal function in progressive multiple sclerosis

The authors analyzed renal function in 25 patients with progressive MS. The mean glomerular filtration rate (GFR) was 92 mL/min/1.73 m(2), compared to the predicted GFR of 110 (p < 0.001). Nine of the 25 (36%) patients had abnormally low GFR (<90). The mean serum creatinine for patients with MS was lower than predicted normal values and poorly estimated GFR using standard equations. These data document impaired renal function in patients with progressive MS and have implications for treatment of these patients with potentially nephrotoxic drugs.

Mutations in the factor V, prothrombin and MTHFR genes are not risk factors for recurrent fetal loss

OBJECTIVE

Recurrent fetal loss, defined as the occurrence of three or more consecutive spontaneous abortions regardless of previous live birth, is a condition that affects about 2% of all reproductive-aged women. The role of gene mutations in recurrent pregnancy loss is not fully understood. The present research examined the relationship between factor V Leiden, factor V HR2, prothrombin G20210A and MTHFR and recurrent fetal loss in a case-control study.

METHODS

Women aged 22-45 with a history of three or more fetal losses, being seen at a perinatal medicine clinic in New Jersey or Georgia, were eligible as cases. Overall, the study consisted of 60 women with three or more fetal losses and 92 women with at least one successful pregnancy.

RESULTS

Factor V HR2 and MTHFR were not related to recurrent fetal loss. The prothrombin G20210A mutation appeared to confer an elevation in risk but the association was based upon small numbers and was not statistically significant (OR 4.8, 95% CI 0.50-47.2). Cases were 90% less likely to have the factor V Leiden mutation than controls (OR 0.10, 95% CI 0.01-0.81).

CONCLUSIONS

Our study did not demonstrate that women who are carriers of the factor V, prothrombin, or MTHFR mutations are at higher risk of recurrent fetal loss than women without these mutations. In regards to factor V Leiden, the prevalence in our cases (1.7%) was not statistically different from the known population prevalence of 5%. However, the high prevalence in our controls (14%) was unusual. Factor V Leiden may protect against bleeding in early pregnancy.

The role of protein C, protein S, and resistance to activated protein C in Legg-Perthes disease

OBJECTIVES

It has been hypothesized that Legg-Perthes disease is caused by repeated vascular interruptions of the blood supply to the proximal femur, which are precipitated by coagulation system abnormalities. To test this theory, we conducted a case-control study among 57 patients with Legg-Perthes disease and an equal number of community controls. We measured protein C and protein S and resistance to activated protein C (APC-R) from plasma.

STUDY DESIGN

Participants were placed into 1 of 3 mutually exclusive categories based on the control distribution: 1) normal, defined as either above or within 1 standard deviation below the expected mean; 2) low normal, defined as between 1 and 2 standard deviations below the expected mean; and 3) low, defined as >2 standard deviations below the expected mean. DNA was analyzed to determine the presence of a point mutation in the factor V gene that causes APC-R.

RESULTS

We observed a statistically significant increased risk of Legg-Perthes disease with decreasing levels of protein C and a nearly significant increased risk with decreasing levels of protein S. The factor V gene defect was present in 5 (9%) of 55 cases and 3 (5%) of 56 controls (odds ratio 1.8, 95% confidence interval: 0.4-7.7), but the mean level on the APC-R plasma test was similar for cases and controls. Nine cases and 1 control had 2 low normal or low test results (odds ratio 13.0, 95% confidence interval: 2.2-75).

CONCLUSIONS

Our results support the belief that abnormalities of the coagulation system leading to a thrombophilic state play a role in Legg-Perthes disease; however, larger studies are needed before definitive recommendations for coagulation testing can be made.

von Willebrand disease and other inherited bleeding disorders in women with diagnosed menorrhagia

OBJECTIVE

To estimate the prevalence of von Willebrand disease and other bleeding disorders in women with and without diagnosed menorrhagia.

METHODS

Women with menorrhagia were identified among members of a health maintenance organization in the southeastern United States through a computer search for appropriate International Classification of Diseases, 9th Revision codes. A random sample of members with no such code was selected as controls. The study included 121 women with menorrhagia and 123 controls. Subjects were interviewed in person, and blood was drawn for coagulation testing. Laboratory results for menorrhagia patients were compared with those in controls using race and blood type specific ranges developed from the control group. A test was considered abnormal if it exceeded two standard deviations below the control mean.

RESULTS

Bleeding disorders (von Willebrand disease, factor deficiency, or a platelet abnormality) were diagnosed in 10.7% of menorrhagia patients and 3.2% of controls (P =.02). von Willebrand disease was present in eight menorrhagia patients (6.6%) and in one control (0.8%) (P =.02); separate analyses by race revealed a von Willebrand disease prevalence of 15.9% among white and 1.4% among black menorrhagia patients (P =.01). Women with bleeding disorders did not differ significantly from controls in other symptoms of bleeding.

CONCLUSION

The prevalence of inherited bleeding disorders among white women with menorrhagia was substantial, consistent with European data published recently. For unknown reasons, the prevalence of von Willebrand disease was lower among black women. These findings indicate the importance of considering inherited bleeding disorders as a cause of menorrhagia.

Recombinant human Dnase I (rhDNase) in patients with lupus nephritis

Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is characterized by the production of pathogenic autoantibodies to nucleoprotein antigens, including double-stranded DNA (dsDNA). The deposition of IgG dsDNA immune complexes in glomeruli is thought to be crucial for disease pathogenesis and complement activation. rhDNase catalyzes the hydrolysis of extracellular DNA and has been shown to delay the development of dsDNA antibodies, reduce proteinuria, and delay mortality in a lupus-prone murine model. We conducted a 40d, phase Ib, randomized, double-masked, placebo-controlled trial to determine the safety and pharmacokinetics of rhDNase, and to measure any changes in markers of disease activity in 17 patients with lupus nephritis. Patients were assigned to receive either: (1) 25 microg/kg rhDNase (n = 8); (2) 125 microg/kg rhDNase (n=6); or (3) placebo (n = 3) initial single intravenous (IV) dose followed by 10 subcutaneous (SC) doses. Skin biopsies performed on nine patients pre- and post-treatment were studied for immune complex deposition by immunofluorescence. Serum cytokine levels (sIL2-R, IL-6, IL-10, and TNF-alpha) were analyzed by ELISA. Cytokine secretion and antibody production were measured by ELISPOT analysis and ELISA. Serum hydrolytic activity of rhDNase was achieved after IV administration at 25 and 125 microg/kg, but not after SC administration at either dose. A t 1/2 of 3-4h was estimated from serum concentration profiles following IV administration. Serum dsDNA antibodies were unchanged (mean values: 33 IU/mL vs 39 IU/mL [pre- and post-treatment] for the 25 microg/kg group, and 74 IU/mL vs 74 IU/mL for the 125 microg/kg group, and 14 IU/mL vs 20 IU/mL for the placebo group). Complement levels (C3 and C4) and circulating immune complexes did not change appreciably during the treatment period for any of the groups. Serum cytokine profiles by ELISA revealed no changes in sIL-2 receptor, IL-6, IL-10, or TNF-alpha. There was no change in the number of cells secreting either Th1 or Th2 specific cytokines, nor in the number of cells secreting dsDNA antibodies. Neutralizing antibodies to rhDNase were not detected in serum at any time during the study. Immune complex deposition was unchanged in pre- and post-treatment in skin biopsies in both dose groups. rhDnase was well tolerated without significant adverse events following administration, and treatment was not associated with the development of neutralizing antibodies to rhDNase. Serum rhDNase concentrations capable of hydrolytic activity of rhDNase were achieved for a few hours following IV, but not SC administration. Serum markers of disease activity were unchanged during the study period.

Parents' perceptions of information on immunisations

This study sought to understand parents' experiences of deciding to have their child immunised. A qualitative method was used, involving semi-structured interviews with a purposive sample of 13 parents. Parents identified feelings associated with risk, including those of worry, fear, and responsibility. Influences affecting their decision-making, and ways in which they received information on immunisation, were also identified. Parents made suggestions for changes relating to information giving, discussion time, and the acknowledgement by professionals of parents' worry. Following this study, discussion within the PHCT has resulted in a practice protocol and immunisation template.

Genetic factors associated with thrombosis in pregnancy in a United States population

OBJECTIVE

Polymorphisms in the genes for factor V (factor V Leiden), prothrombin, methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase, and angiotensin-converting enzyme have been associated with the occurrence of venous thrombosis. The objective of this study was to determine the relationships of these polymorphisms to thrombosis during pregnancy.

STUDY DESIGN

This case-control study included 41 case patients with venous thrombosis during pregnancy and 76 control subjects matched for hospital and for race (white vs black) who had a normal pregnancy.

RESULTS

Among white subjects, mutations in the genes for factor V and prothrombin were associated with increased risks of venous thrombosis during pregnancy (factor V: odds ratio, 18.3; 95% confidence interval, 2.7-432; P =.001; prothrombin: odds ratio infinity; 95% lower confidence limit, 1.7; P =.01). No black subject had either of these two mutations. For both black and white subjects the D/D genotype of the gene for angiotensin-converting enzyme entailed increased risk compared with the other genotypes (odds ratio, 2.7; 95% confidence interval, 1.2-6.3; P =.02). The polymorphism in the gene for methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase was unrelated to thrombosis during pregnancy among both blacks and whites.

CONCLUSION

Women who had thrombotic complications during pregnancy demonstrated an increased prevalence of genetic mutations related to coagulation. The additional risk of thrombosis during pregnancy associated with such genetic mutations can be substantial.

Venous thrombosis in relation to fibrinogen and factor VII genes among African-Americans

We evaluated the relation between venous thrombosis and plasma fibrinogen levels, the HaeIII and BcI polymorphisms of the beta fibrinogen gene, and the MspI polymorphisms of the factor VII gene in a case-control study of African-Americans. The study included 91 venous thrombosis cases and 185 control subjects obtained from a hospital in Atlanta, Georgia. High plasma fibrinogen was associated with increased risk of venous thrombosis, but the finding was not statistically significant. There was little association between the HaeIII polymorphisms and the BclI polymorphisms and the risk of venous thrombosis. The prevalence of the M2/M2 genotype of the factor VII gene was higher among cases than controls, but the difference was not statistically significant. The prevalence of the HaeIII H2 allele and the BclI B2 allele of the beta fibrinogen gene, both of which have been associated with slightly higher levels of plasma fibrinogen in most studies, is considerably lower among African-Americans in this study than it is among Whites in the United States and among Northern Europeans. The study is limited by its small size. However, despite this limitation, it supports the belief that increased plasma fibrinogen levels are associated with increased venous thrombosis risk. The study also indicated that the HaeIII and the BclI polymorphisms of the beta fibrinogen gene and the MspI polymorphisms of the factor VII gene are not strong determinants of venous thrombosis.

The role of the t-PA I/D and PAI-1 4G/5G polymorphisms in African-American adults with a diagnosis of myocardial infarction or venous thromboembolism

To determine whether or not the PAI-1 4G/5G and t-PA I/D polymorphisms in African-Americans were linked to cardiovascular disease, the association of these polymorphisms to disease expression was analyzed in a recently completed case-control study of myocardial infarction or venous thromboembolism among African-Americans. All African-Americans patients with a history of venous thromboembolism attending an anticoagulant clinic, and patients with a history of a MI attending a cardiology clinic at a large local urban public hospital were eligible for inclusion as cases in the study. In this study it was observed that there was a statistically significant association between the D allele of the t-PA I/D polymorphism and venous thromboembolism and a nonsignificant association between the D allele and myocardial infarction among African-Americans. t-PA antigen levels were statistically significantly higher among both myocardial infarction and venous thromboembolism cases compared with control subjects. The genotypes were unrelated to t-PA plasma levels. There was no association between either myocardial infarction or venous thromboembolism and the 4G/5G PAI-1 genotype. It was also found that genotype frequencies for both PAI-1 4G/5G and t-PA I/D polymorphisms in African-American adults were different from those reported for both U.S. Causcians and Europeans.

Hemophilia treatment. Predicting the long-term risk of HIV exposure by cryoprecipitate

Most of the world's haemophilia population lives in countries with few medical or financial resources. As such, they cannot easily obtain viral-inactivated clotting product. Many patients are treated with cryoprecipitate made from locally supplied blood. The reasoning for using cryoprecipitate, instead of viral-inactivated products, is based on an unspoken belief that because blood banks can provide reasonably safe products by using modern testing procedures, transmission of HIV and other blood-borne viruses is rare. However, the risk of acquiring a blood-borne infection increases with every exposure, and haemophilia patients treated with cryoprecipitate or fresh-frozen plasma are exposed to hundreds or thousands of donors during their lifetime. The risk that a person infected with HIV will donate blood during the 'window period' is directly related to the incidence of HIV in the country where the donation occurs. To demonstrate the extent of this problem, we devised a model for estimating the risk that a person with haemophilia will encounter HIV-contaminated cryoprecipitate based on the years of treatment and the underlying incidence rate of HIV among blood donors. We applied the model to two countries with different incidence rates of HIV: Venezuela and the United States. We found that a person with haemophilia who receives monthly infusions of cryoprecipitate prepared from plasma of 15 donors over a lifetime of treatment (60 years) is at significant risk of being exposed to HIV. In the United States there is a 2% risk of being exposed to HIV-contaminated blood product, and in Venezuela, the percentage of risk is 40%. Given this degree of risk, medical care providers should carefully evaluate the use of cryoprecipitate except in emergencies or when no viral-inactivated products are available.

An exact method for meta-analysis of case-control and follow-up studies

In this paper, we describe an exact method for estimating a common relative risk across different epidemiologic study designs. The types of studies allowed by the method include case-control studies, follow-up studies with an internal comparison group, and follow-up studies with an external comparison group. Because the method is exact, sparseness of individual studies is not an issue. Those wishing to perform a meta-analysis of case-control studies and follow-up studies in which both the exposure and outcome are rare will find the method particularly useful. To allow one to perform the computations efficiently, we present a partial polynomial multiplication algorithm. We also describe a public-domain computer program that performs the necessary calculations.

Effectiveness of an intervention promoting the female condom to patients at sexually transmitted disease clinics

OBJECTIVES

This study evaluated a behavioral intervention designed to promote female condoms and reduce unprotected sex among women at high risk for acquiring sexually transmitted diseases (STDs).

METHODS

The effect of the intervention on barrier use was evaluated with a pretest-posttest design with 1159 female STD clinic patients.

RESULTS

Among participants with follow-up data, 79% used the female condom at least once and often multiple times. More than one third of those who completed the study used female condoms throughout follow-up. Use of barrier protection increased significantly after the intervention, and high use was maintained during a 6-month follow-up. To account for attrition, the use of protection by all subjects was projected under 3 conservative assumptions. The initial visit and termination visit projections suggest that use increased sharply after the intervention and declined during follow-up but remained elevated compared with the baseline.

CONCLUSIONS

Many clients of public STD clinics will try, and some will continue, to use female condoms when they are promoted positively and when women are trained to use them correctly and to promote them to their partners. A behavioral intervention that promotes both female and male condoms can increase barrier use.

The relationship between polymorphisms in the endothelial cell nitric oxide synthase gene and the platelet GPIIIa gene with myocardial infarction and venous thromboembolism in African Americans

STUDY OBJECTIVES

To determine whether the polymorphic dinucleotide repeats found in intron 4 of the endothelial cell nitric oxide synthase (ecNOS) gene and the platelet GPIIIa PLA(1)/A(2) polymorphism are associated with myocardial infarction (MI) and venous thromboembolism (VTE) in African Americans. Because these two genes may interact physiologically, the third objective was to determine if there was a relationship between the polymorphisms with respect to MI and VTE.

DESIGN

A hospital-based case-control study. After informed consent was obtained, blood used for DNA extraction was drawn from the subjects.

SETTING

The study was conducted in the Anticoagulant Clinic and the Cardiology Clinic at Grady Memorial Hospital in Atlanta Georgia.

PATIENTS

Subjects were recruited from African-American patients with a reported history of MI (n = 110) or VTE (n = 91). Control subjects (n = 185) without a history of cardiovascular or venous disease were recruited from an outpatient clinic.

MEASUREMENTS AND RESULTS

The 393 ecNOS allele was more common among MI cases (36%; p = 0.01) and VTE cases (35%; p = 0.04) than among control subjects (26%). There was no association between the GPIIIa genotypes and either MI or VTE. However, among the MI subjects, there was a strong association between the ecNOS 393/393 genotype and the Pl(A2) allele. It was also found that the frequency of the 393 allele was higher in African-American persons (0.26) compared with what has been reported for Australian Caucasians (0. 14) and Japanese (0.10).

CONCLUSIONS

The 393 allele but not the Pl(A2) allele was significantly associated with both MI and VTE in African Americans. Homozygosity for the 393 allele was significantly associated to the diagnosis of MI prior to the age of 45. The combination of the 393 allele and a Pl(A2) allele was also highly associated with MI. The frequency of the 393 allele was significantly higher in African Americans than what has been reported for other populations. This study furthers not only extends the association of the 393 allele to VTE but has demonstrated an interaction with the Pl(A2) allele with respect to MI.

Mechanical failure of the latex condom in a cohort of women at high STD risk

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Mechanical failure may reduce the efficacy of condoms. Little is known about frequency and determinants of condom failure in groups at high risk of sexually transmitted diseases (STD).

GOAL

To measure condom breakage and slippage rates and evaluate potential determinants of failure among women attending a public STD clinic.

STUDY DESIGN

Women attending an STD clinic participated in a 6-month prospective study of barrier contraception for the prevention of STD. They completed sexual diaries that were reviewed at monthly follow-up visits. No data were collected from the male partners. Baseline characteristics of the participants and time-dependent behaviors were evaluated as potential determinants of condom failure.

RESULTS

Of 21,852 condoms used by 892 women, 500 broke during intercourse (2.3%) and 290 slipped (1.3%). Breakage was more common among young, black, single nulliparae who engaged in high-risk behavior. Slippage was more common among married women with children. Failure rates decreased with condom use, with coital frequency, and with use of spermicides.

CONCLUSION

User characteristics and experience are determinants of breakage and slippage, which are often regarded only as the effect of product design flaws. Attention to modifiable determinants of failure may improve user counseling and product labeling.

Haemophilia therapy: assessing the cumulative risk of HIV exposure by cryoprecipitate

Most of the world's haemophilia population live in countries with developing or emerging economies. As such, they do not have access to viral inactivated clotting product. Many are treated with cryoprecipitate made from locally supplied blood. The rationale for using cryoprecipitate instead of viral inactivated products is based on an implicit belief that because blood banks can provide reasonably safe products by using modern testing procedures, transmission of HIV and other blood-borne viruses is rare. However, the risk of acquiring a blood-borne infection is cumulative, and haemophilia patients treated with cryoprecipitate or fresh-frozen plasma are exposed to hundreds or thousands of donors during their lifetime. The risk that an HIV-infected person will be a donor during the 'window period' is directly related to the incidence of HIV in the country where the donation occurs. To illustrate the extent of this problem, we devise a model for estimating the risk that a person with haemophilia will encounter HIV-contaminated cryoprecipitate as a function of years of treatment and the underlying incidence rate of HIV among blood donors. We apply the model to two countries with different incidence rates of HIV, Venezuela and the USA. Over a lifetime of treatment (60 years), the cumulative risk of HIV exposure for a person with haemophilia receiving monthly infusion of cryoprecipitate prepared from plasma of 15 donors is significant, 2% in the USA and 40% in Venezuela. Considering the cumulative risk for transmitting HIV to patients with haemophilia through cryoprecipitate treatment, medical care providers should carefully evaluate the use of cryoprecipitate in any but emergency conditions or when no virally inactivated products are available.

Correlates of herpes simplex virus seroprevalence among women attending a sexually transmitted disease clinic

BACKGROUND

Infections by herpes simplex viruses type 1 (HSV-1) and type 2 (HSV-2) are common in the United States. Herpes simplex virus type 2 is transmitted sexually, and the prevalence of antibodies to HSV-2 has increased in recent years.

GOALS OF THIS STUDY

The objective of the present study was to estimate the seroprevalence of HSV-1 and HSV-2 antibodies among women attending a sexually transmitted disease (STD) clinic and to evaluate factors associated with HSV-1 and HSV-2 seropositivity.

STUDY DESIGN

The report describes a cross-sectional study conducted at an STD clinic. This study included 1,103 women between the ages of 18 and 35. Eighty-nine percent of the subjects were African Americans. The remaining subjects were white.

RESULTS

The overall prevalence of HSV-1 and HSV-2 antibodies among study subjects was 72% and 64%, respectively. Both HSV-1 and HSV-2 seropositivity were related directly to age and were higher among African Americans than whites. The prevalence of HSV-2 antibodies also increased with the number of lifetime sexual partners, an early age at first coitus, a history of syphilis, and the absence of HSV-1 antibodies. Drug use and recent use of barrier contraception were unrelated to either HSV-1 or HSV-2.

COMMENT

Despite efforts by the public health community to prevent AIDS by promoting safe sexual practices, the prevalence of HSV-2 seropositivity has increased in recent years. Increased numbers of partners and an early age at first coitus are important correlates of HSV-2 infection. Public health interventions to prevent HSV-2 infection should target teenagers. Women of reproductive age attending STD clinics may also comprise an important target for interventions to prevent perinatal herpes.

Prospective study of barrier contraception for the prevention of sexually transmitted diseases: study design and general characteristics of the study group

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

The AIDS epidemic has brought barrier contraceptives to the forefront of public health research. A comprehensive evaluation of the efficacy of barrier contraceptive use in preventing sexually transmitted diseases (STDs), including AIDS, is necessary to inform both potential users and public health policy makers. This study was undertaken to evaluate the efficacy of condoms and vaginal spermicide products, used alone or in combination, in preventing gonorrhea and chlamydia among women attending an STD clinic.

GOAL OF THIS STUDY

To describe the general characteristics of the study group and its follow-up experience.

STUDY DESIGN

Women who met the eligibility criteria were invited to participate. The initial visit included an interview, a behavioral intervention promoting barrier methods, a physical examination, and instructions to complete a sexual diary. Participants received free barrier contraceptives and returned for six monthly follow-up visits. DESIGN RESULTS: Participants (n = 1,122) were low income, single (74%) black (89%) women with a median age of 24. The behavioral intervention led to the use of barrier protection in more than 70% of reported acts of vaginal intercourse. Barriers were used consistently (100% of sexual acts) during 51% of the months of follow-up. A total of 148 cases of gonorrhea (28 per 1,000 months) and 122 cases of chlamydia infection (23 cases per 1,000 months) were diagnosed during follow-up.

CONCLUSION

This study represents a practical solution to a complex set of design considerations. The study protocol was successful in promoting consistent and proper use of barrier methods.

Deletion polymorphism in the angiotensin-converting enzyme gene as a thrombophilic risk factor after hip arthroplasty

Despite thromboprophylaxis, deep vein thrombosis is a common complication of major orthopedic surgery. Predisposing genetic risk factors are unknown. In this case-control study, we investigated the association of the insertion (I)/deletion (D) angiotensin converting enzyme (ACE) gene polymorphism, Factor V Leiden (R506Q) mutation, and 5,10 methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase (MTHFR) gene polymorphism with post-operative venous thrombosis in 85 patients who underwent elective total hip arthroplasty. The odds of a thrombotic event following hip surgery among subjects with the DD genotype of the ACE gene was increased more than 10-fold compared to subjects with the II genotype (odds ratio 11.7 [95% confidence interval 2.3-84.5]); it was increased 5-fold in subjects with the ID genotype compared to the II genotype (odds ratio 5.0 [95% confidence interval 1.1-34.9]). Mean plasma ACE level in control subjects not on ACE inhibitors at the time of study (n=43) was lowest in persons homozygous for the I allele (18.9+/-7.95 U/l), intermediate in patients with the ID genotype (31.6+/-10.8 U/l) and highest in subjects homozygous for the D allele (44.0+/-7.14 U/l). Mean plasma ACE level among cases was higher (33.0 U/l, n=25) than among controls (29.4 U/l, n=43) but this difference was not statistically significant. Neither the Factor V Leiden mutation nor MTHFR gene polymorphism increased the risk of thrombosis following hip replacement. These results demonstrate that the I/D ACE gene polymorphism is a potent risk factor for thrombosis in subjects undergoing total hip arthroplasty.

Prevalence of the prothrombin 20210 G-to-A variant in blacks: infants, patients with venous thrombosis, patients with myocardial infarction, and control subjects

A genetic variation in the prothrombin gene is located in the 3-untranslated region at position 20210 where a G-->A transition occurs. The prevalence of the mutation is 1% to 2% in white populations, and the mutation is associated with an increased risk of venous thrombosis and myocardial infarction. We report the prevalence of the A allele in blacks at birth; in black control subjects with no history of heart attack, stroke, or blood clots; in black patients with venous thrombosis; and in black patients with myocardial infarction. Among 318 infants, the prevalence of the A allele was 0.2% (1 heterozygote), with an exact, one-sided upper 95% confidence limit of 0.7%. Among 185 control subjects the variant was absent, yielding an exact, one-sided upper 95% confidence limit of 0.8% for the A allele. The heterozygous genotype was found in 2 of 91 subjects with deep vein thrombosis and in none of 123 subjects with myocardial infarction. The very low prevalence of the A allele indicates that the prothrombin variant is not a major cause of venous thrombosis or myocardial infarction in blacks.

Surveillance for Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease among persons with hemophilia

BACKGROUND

Although Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease (CJD) has been shown to be transmissible through blood components in rodent models, no human blood-to-blood transmission has been documented. If blood transmission were possible in humans, persons with hemophilia in the United States would be at higher risk of contracting CJD, because they receive large numbers of blood components. Nearly one-half of the hemophilia population contracted HIV in the 1980s, and many of these people have since died with neurologic complications. This study investigated whether some hemophilia patients with neurologic disorders may have died with CJD.

STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS

Hemophilia treatment Centers across the United States were invited to participate in this retrospective surveillance study. The centers were asked to send any available formalin-fixed paraffin block brain samples from hemophilia decedents. Slides were prepared at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and reviewed by three expert neuropathologists. Two slides were stained for the prion protein at the request of one of the neuropathologists.

RESULTS

Specimens from 24 decedents with genetic bleeding disorders were collected and reviewed.The panel found no evidence of CJD in any of the specimens.

CONCLUSIONS

Although the study sample is small, these results support the growing evidence that CJD is not being transmitted in the nation's blood supply.

Psychiatric symptoms and an anterior cranial fossa meningioma

We present a case of a patient admitted to a psychiatric hospital with psychotic symptoms and cognitive impairment but who was subsequently found to have an anterior interhemispheric falx meningioma. There must be a high index of suspicion for organic brain disease in patients over age 45 years presenting with psychotic symptoms and seizures for the first time.

Phase 1 trial of transforming growth factor beta 2 in chronic progressive MS

Transforming growth factor (TGF)-beta2 is a pleiotropic cytokine associated with remissions in multiple sclerosis (MS) and amelioration of allergic encephalomyelitis. We assessed the safety of TGF-beta2 in an open-label trial of 11 patients with secondary progressive (SP) MS. Five patients had a reversible decline in the glomerular filtration rate. There was no change in expanded disability status scale or MRI lesions during treatment. Systemic TGF-beta2 may be associated with reversible nephrotoxicity, and further investigation of its therapeutic potential in MS should be performed with caution.

Determination of serum creatinine prior to iodinated contrast media: is it necessary in all patients?

The risk of contrast-associated nephrotoxicity (CAN) is increased in the presence of preexisting renal disease. Although routine determination of serum creatinine (Cr) prior to imaging studies is the traditional method of assessing renal function, it is a costly and time-consuming practice. The purpose of this study was to investigate whether a patient survey could identify patients with a high likelihood of having normal Cr values and who, therefore, did not require serum testing. A survey was administered to 673 consecutive adult patients who were scheduled for contrast-enhanced computed tomography. Survey questions were designed to elicit a history of renal disorders as well as additional risk factors for CAN. Each patient had a Cr level determined within 48 hours prior to the injection of iodinated contrast media. Cr levels were assessed in the patients who gave negative responses to all survey questions. The degree to which positive responses to each survey question predicted elevated Cr levels was determined using the odds ratio (OR). Among the 673 respondents, 577 (85%) had normal Cr values (< or =1.3 mg/dL for women and < or =1.4 mg/dL for men). Completely negative responses to the questionnaire occurred in 191 (28%) of 673 of respondents, and 176 (92%) of these 191 had normal Cr values. A Cr cutoff value of 1.7 mg/dL is used in our department, i.e., patients with Cr values >1.7 mg/dL usually do not receive iodinated contrast media. Using this Cr cutoff value, 189 (99%) of 191 patients with negative responses had Cr values less than or equal to the cutoff value. The survey questions most strongly associated with elevated Cr values pertained to preexisting renal disease (OR 13.6), proteinuria (OR 8.7), prior kidney surgery (OR 8.1), hypertension (OR 5.4), gout (OR 4.6), and diabetes (OR 3.2). If the survey had been limited to these six questions, completely negative responses would have occurred in 450 (67%) of 673, 424 (94%) of these 450 would have normal Cr values, and 446 (99%) of 450 would have had Cr values at or below the 1.7 mg/dL cutoff for iodinated contrast. A completely negative response to a simple (six question) patient survey prior to iodinated contrast administration can identify a significant fraction of patients with normal Cr levels. Use of this survey could reduce by 67% the number of patients undergoing routine Cr determinations prior to imaging studies. This could reduce costs, decrease delays, and increase patient satisfaction associated with imaging studies.

A pilot study of 2-chloro-2'-deoxyadenosine in the treatment of systemic lupus erythematosus-associated glomerulonephritis

OBJECTIVE

To determine the safety and tolerability, as well as the clinical and immunologic effects, of 2-chloro-2'-deoxyadenosine (2-CdA) in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus-associated glomerulonephritis.

METHODS

In a phase I study, 12 patients with proliferative lupus nephritis received 2-CdA either in weekly escalating intravenous treatments (0.15 mg/kg/week x 4, 0.1875 mg/kg/week x 4, 0.225 mg/kg/week x 4; n = 5) or in a continuous 7-day infusion (0.05 mg/kg/day; n = 7). Safety, renal improvement, and immunologic effects were evaluated for 12 months.

RESULTS

Patients treated with 2-CdA showed peripheral lymphocyte depletion without a significant reduction in neutrophil, monocyte, or platelet numbers or hematocrit levels. Naive and memory T cells were decreased, as were lymphocytes with markers of early and late activation. Peripheral B cell depletion was not associated with significant decreases in serum immunoglobulin levels. Continuous infusion induced better clinical responses than weekly infusions, as evidenced by 1) the percentage of patients showing complete response (43% versus 0%), 2) the percentage with at least 50% reduction in proteinuria (43% versus 20%), 3) the percentage with at least a 50% reduction in urinary dysmorphic red cells (57% versus 0%), and 4) the percentage in whom cellular casts disappeared (43% versus 0%). Several infections occurred; these responded to standard antibiotic therapy.

CONCLUSION

In this pilot study, 2-CdA was safely administered to 12 patients with lupus nephritis. It induced prolonged reductions in lymphocyte populations and may be efficacious in selected patients with lupus nephritis when administered as a continuous infusion.

Relation of three genetic traits to venous thrombosis in an African-American population

A mutation in the Factor V gene (Factor V Leiden), a variant in the 5,10-methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase gene (MTHFR), and an insertion/deletion polymorphism of the angiotensin I-converting enzyme gene (ACE) may be related to abnormal blood clotting. The authors examined the associations between these genetic traits and venous thrombosis among African Americans. This study comprised 93 patients with venous thrombosis and 185 control subjects attending clinics at an urban, public hospital in Atlanta, Georgia, in 1995-1996. Subjects' DNA was extracted from blood and assayed for these genetic traits. Odds ratios were obtained from logistic regression and used as a measure of association between each genetic trait and venous thrombosis. Factor V Leiden was unrelated to venous thrombosis, but the mutation ws too rare among our African-American subjects to evaluate adequately its relation to venous thrombosis. The homozygous and heterozygous genotypes for the V allele of the MTHFR gene were unrelated to venous thrombosis (odds ratio = 0.9, 95% confidence interval 0.5-1.8). Subjects with the deletion/deletion ACE polymorphism experienced a moderate increase in venous thrombosis risk compared with persons with the other genotypes (odds ratio = 1.5, 95% confidence interval 0.9-2.6). However, women with this ACE genotype experienced no increased risk (odds ratio = 0.9, 95% confidence interval 0.5-1.9), whereas men with this genotype had nearly three times the risk (odds ratio = 2.8, 95% confidence interval 1.2-6.2; p value for interaction = 0.06). These data indicate that the prevalence of Factor V Leiden and the V allele of the MTHFR gene is low among African Americans. The D allele of the ACE gene is equally prevalent among African Americans and whites and may be related to venous thrombosis among African-American men.

Estimating a relative risk across sparse case-control and follow-up studies: a method for meta-analysis

Meta-analysis is the quantitative technique of combining results from different studies. There is a variety of procedures available for combining effect measures across epidemiologic studies. None of these methods provides an overall effect estimate when the data are sparse within studies and come from different study designs. In this paper we discuss the statistical relations between case-control studies and two types of follow-up studies. We use these relations to develop an exact methodology for combining results across study designs. We also use these relations to derive Mantel-Haenszel type formulae for summarizing results across studies. We illustrate these techniques with data pertaining to breast implants and connective tissue disease.

Environmental tobacco smoke and lung cancer mortality in the American Cancer Society's Cancer Prevention Study. II

Environmental tobacco smoke (ETS) has been classified as a human lung carcinogen by the United States Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), based both on the chemical similarity of sidestream and mainstream smoke and on slightly higher lung cancer risk in never-smokers whose spouses smoke compared with those married to nonsmokers. We evaluated the relation between ETS and lung cancer prospectively in the US, among 114,286 female and 19,549 male never-smokers, married to smokers, compared with about 77,000 female and 77,000 male never-smokers whose spouses did not smoke. Multivariate analyses, based on 247 lung cancer deaths, controlled for age, race, diet, and occupation. Dose-response analyses were restricted to 92,222 women whose husbands provided complete information on cigarette smoking and date of marriage. Lung cancer death rates, adjusted for other factors, were 20 percent higher among women whose husbands ever smoked during the current marriage than among those married to never-smokers (relative risk [RR] = 1.2, 95 percent confidence interval [CI] = 0.8-1.6). For never-smoking men whose wives smoked, the RR was 1.1 (CI = 0.6-1.8). Risk among women was similar or higher when the husband continued to smoke (RR = 1.2, CI = 0.8-1.8), or smoked 40 or more cigarettes per day (RR = 1.9, CI = 1.0-3.6), but did not increase with years of marriage to a smoker. Most CIs included the null. Although generally not statistically significant, these results agree with the EPA summary estimate that spousal smoking increases lung cancer risk by about 20 percent in never-smoking women. Even large prospective studies have limited statistical power to measure precisely the risk from ETS.

A case-control study of lung cancer at a foundry and two engine plants

A nested case-control study of lung cancer was conducted among workers at an iron foundry and two engine manufacturing plants whose lung cancer mortality rates were slightly higher than expected. The study included 231 lung cancer cases and 408 controls for whom complete work histories were obtained. There was no association between usual plant of employment and lung cancer mortality. The odds ratio for persons employed for 20 or more years in the foundry compared with persons employed in the engine plants was 0.90 (95% confidence interval: 0.55, 1.5). Long-term employment as an engine plant worker was associated with odds ratios slightly, but not statistically significantly, below unity. In the foundry, only usual employment in the material handling departmental group and any employment in the quality control departmental group were statistically significantly directly related to lung cancer risk. However, the number of subjects so employed was small and there was no dose-response relation between length of employment in these departmental groups and lung cancer risk. Cases were less frequently employed than were controls in engine plant machining and assembly jobs and departments. It is concluded that employment in this facility was either unrelated, or only weakly related, to lung cancer risk.

Environmental tobacco smoke and lung cancer mortality in the American Cancer Society's Cancer Prevention Study. II

Environmental tobacco smoke (ETS) has been classified as a human lung carcinogen by the United States Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), based both on the chemical similarity of sidestream and mainstream smoke and on slightly higher lung cancer risk in never-smokers whose spouses smoke compared with those married to nonsmokers. We evaluated the relation between ETS and lung cancer prospectively in the US, among 114,286 female and 19,549 male never-smokers, married to smokers, compared with about 77,000 female and 77,000 male never-smokers whose spouses did not smoke. Multivariate analyses, based on 247 lung cancer deaths, controlled for age, race, diet, and occupation. Dose-response analyses were restricted to 92,222 women whose husbands provided complete information on cigarette smoking and date of marriage. Lung cancer death rates, adjusted for other factors, were 20 percent higher among women whose husbands ever smoked during the current marriage than among those married to never-smokers (relative risk [RR] = 1.2, 95 percent confidence interval [CI] = 0.8-1.6). For never-smoking men whose wives smoked, the RR was 1.1 (CI = 0.6-1.8). Risk among women was similar or higher when the husband continued to smoke (RR = 1.2, CI = 0.8-1.8), or smoked 40 or more cigarettes per day (RR = 1.9, CI = 1.0-3.6), but did not increase with years of marriage to a smoker. Most CIs included the null. Although generally not statistically significant, these results agree with the EPA summary estimate that spousal smoking increases lung cancer risk by about 20 percent in never-smoking women. Even large prospective studies have limited statistical power to measure precisely the risk from ETS.

Simple anthropometric indices associated with ischemic heart disease

In a case-control study of 217 hospitalized incident cases of ischemic heart disease and 261 controls we compared various anthropometric indices for the strength of their associations to the outcome event. The ratio of supine sagittal abdominal diameter to midthigh girth ("abdominal diameter index"; ADI) was the simple index that best discriminated cases from controls for both men (standardized difference, 0.65; p < 0.0001) and women (standardized difference, 0.95; p < 0.0001). The waist-to-thigh ratio of girths (WTR) (standardized difference, 0.57 and 0.90; p < 0.0001) was nearly as strong as the ADI and stronger than the traditional waist-to-hip ratio (standardized difference, 0.34 and 0.68; p < 0.005). After adjustments for age and race, the men's odds ratio for ischemic heart disease (tertile 3 vs. tertile 1) was 5.5 (95% CI, 2.9-10) using ADI and 5.1 (2.6-10) using the WTR. The women's odds ratio was 6.3 (1.9-20) using ADI and 8.7 (2.3-33) using the WTR. Further adjustments for body mass index and cardiovascular risk factors did not substantially change these risk estimates. Similar odds ratios were estimated by analyses restricted to 169 neighborhood-matched case-control pairs. In contrast, increased midthigh girth and subcutaneous fat mass (sum of three skinfolds) were associated with a protective effect against ischemic heart disease. Anthropometry using the ADI or WTR could offer a low-cost, noninvasive method for the clinical or epidemiologic evaluation of ischemic heart disease risk.