Psychosocial factors, health behaviors and risk of cancer incidence: Testing interaction and effect modification in an individual participant data meta-analysis

Depression, anxiety and other psychosocial factors are hypothesized to be involved in cancer development. We examined whether psychosocial factors interact with or modify the effects of health behaviors, such as smoking and alcohol use, in relation to cancer incidence. Two-stage individual participant data meta-analyses were performed based on 22 cohorts of the PSYchosocial factors and CAncer (PSY-CA) study. We examined nine psychosocial factors (depression diagnosis, depression symptoms, anxiety diagnosis, anxiety symptoms, perceived social support, loss events, general distress, neuroticism, relationship status), seven health behaviors/behavior-related factors (smoking, alcohol use, physical activity, body mass index, sedentary behavior, sleep quality, sleep duration) and seven cancer outcomes (overall cancer, smoking-related, alcohol-related, breast, lung, prostate, colorectal). Effects of the psychosocial factor, health behavior and their product term on cancer incidence were estimated using Cox regression. We pooled cohort-specific estimates using multivariate random-effects meta-analyses. Additive and multiplicative interaction/effect modification was examined. This study involved 437,827 participants, 36,961 incident cancer diagnoses, and 4,749,481 person years of follow-up. Out of 744 combinations of psychosocial factors, health behaviors, and cancer outcomes, we found no evidence of interaction. Effect modification was found for some combinations, but there were no clear patterns for any particular factors or outcomes involved. In this first large study to systematically examine potential interaction and effect modification, we found no evidence for psychosocial factors to interact with or modify health behaviors in relation to cancer incidence. The behavioral risk profile for cancer incidence is similar in people with and without psychosocial stress.

Networks of gut bacteria relate to cardiovascular disease in a multi-ethnic population: the HELIUS study

AIMS

Gut microbiota have been linked to blood lipid levels and cardiovascular diseases (CVDs). The composition and abundance of gut microbiota trophic networks differ between ethnicities. We aim to evaluate the relationship between gut microbiotal trophic networks and CVD phenotypes.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We included cross-sectional data from 3860 individuals without CVD history from 6 ethnicities living in the Amsterdam region participating in the prospective Healthy Life in Urban Setting (HELIUS) study. Genetic variants were genotyped, faecal gut microbiota were profiled, and blood and anthropometric parameters were measured. A machine learning approach was used to assess the relationship between CVD risk (Framingham score) and gut microbiota stratified by ethnicity. Potential causal relationships between gut microbiota composition and CVD were inferred by performing two-sample Mendelian randomization with hard CVD events from the Pan-UK Biobank and microbiome genome-wide association studies summary data from a subset of the HELIUS cohort (n = 4117). Microbial taxa identified to be associated with CVD by machine learning and Mendelian randomization were often ethnic-specific, but some concordance across ethnicities was found. The microbes Akkermansia muciniphila and Ruminococcaceae UCG-002 were protective against ischaemic heart disease in African-Surinamese and Moroccans, respectively. We identified a strong inverse association between blood lipids, CVD risk, and the combined abundance of the correlated microbes Christensenellaceae-Methanobrevibacter-Ruminococcaceae (CMR). The CMR cluster was also identified in two independent cohorts and the association with triglycerides was replicated.

CONCLUSION

Certain gut microbes can have a potentially causal relationship with CVD events, with possible ethnic-specific effects. We identified a trophic network centred around Christensenellaceae, Methanobrevibacter, and various Ruminococcaceae, frequently lacking in South-Asian Surinamese, to be protective against CVD risk and associated with low triglyceride levels.

Ethnic variations in metabolic syndrome components and their associations with the gut microbiota: the HELIUS study

BACKGROUND

The occurrence of metabolic syndrome (MetS) and the gut microbiota composition are known to differ across ethnicities yet how these three factors are interwoven is unknown. Also, it is unknown what the relative contribution of the gut microbiota composition is to each MetS component and whether this differs between ethnicities. We therefore determined the occurrence of MetS and its components in the multi-ethnic HELIUS cohort and tested the overall and ethnic-specific associations with the gut microbiota composition.

METHODS

We included 16,209 treatment naïve participants of the HELIUS study, which were of Dutch, African Surinamese, South-Asian Surinamese, Ghanaian, Turkish, and Moroccan descent to analyze MetS and its components across ethnicities. In a subset (n = 3443), the gut microbiota composition (16S) was associated with MetS outcomes using linear and logistic regression models.

RESULTS

A differential, often sex-dependent, prevalence of MetS components and their combinations were observed across ethnicities. Increased blood pressure was commonly seen especially in Ghanaians, while South-Asian Surinamese and Turkish had higher MetS rates in general and were characterized by worse lipid-related measures. Regarding the gut microbiota, when ethnic-independent associations were assumed, a higher α-diversity, higher abundance of several ASVs (mostly for waist and triglyceride-related outcomes) and a trophic network of ASVs of Ruminococcaceae, Christensenellaceae, and Methanobrevibacter (RCM) bacteria were associated with better MetS outcomes. Statistically significant ethnic-specific associations were however noticed for α-diversity and the RCM trophic network. Associations were significant in the Dutch but not always in all other ethnicities. In Ghanaians, a higher α-diversity and RCM network abundance showed an aberrant positive association with high blood pressure measures compared to the other ethnicities. Even though adjustment for socioeconomic status-, lifestyle-, and diet-related variables often attenuated the effect size and/or the statistical significance of the ethnic-specific associations, an overall similar pattern across outcomes and ethnicities remained.

CONCLUSIONS

The occurrence of MetS characteristics among ethnicities is heterogeneous. Both ethnic-independent and ethnic-specific associations were identified between the gut microbiota and MetS outcomes. Across multiple ethnicities, a one-size-fits-all approach may thus be reconsidered in regard to both the definition and/or treatment of MetS and its relation to the gut microbiota.

Worldwide trends in underweight and obesity from 1990 to 2022: a pooled analysis of 3663 population-representative studies with 222 million children, adolescents, and adults

BACKGROUND

Underweight and obesity are associated with adverse health outcomes throughout the life course. We estimated the individual and combined prevalence of underweight or thinness and obesity, and their changes, from 1990 to 2022 for adults and school-aged children and adolescents in 200 countries and territories.

METHODS

We used data from 3663 population-based studies with 222 million participants that measured height and weight in representative samples of the general population. We used a Bayesian hierarchical model to estimate trends in the prevalence of different BMI categories, separately for adults (age ≥20 years) and school-aged children and adolescents (age 5-19 years), from 1990 to 2022 for 200 countries and territories. For adults, we report the individual and combined prevalence of underweight (BMI <18·5 kg/m2) and obesity (BMI ≥30 kg/m2). For school-aged children and adolescents, we report thinness (BMI <2 SD below the median of the WHO growth reference) and obesity (BMI >2 SD above the median).

FINDINGS

From 1990 to 2022, the combined prevalence of underweight and obesity in adults decreased in 11 countries (6%) for women and 17 (9%) for men with a posterior probability of at least 0·80 that the observed changes were true decreases. The combined prevalence increased in 162 countries (81%) for women and 140 countries (70%) for men with a posterior probability of at least 0·80. In 2022, the combined prevalence of underweight and obesity was highest in island nations in the Caribbean and Polynesia and Micronesia, and countries in the Middle East and north Africa. Obesity prevalence was higher than underweight with posterior probability of at least 0·80 in 177 countries (89%) for women and 145 (73%) for men in 2022, whereas the converse was true in 16 countries (8%) for women, and 39 (20%) for men. From 1990 to 2022, the combined prevalence of thinness and obesity decreased among girls in five countries (3%) and among boys in 15 countries (8%) with a posterior probability of at least 0·80, and increased among girls in 140 countries (70%) and boys in 137 countries (69%) with a posterior probability of at least 0·80. The countries with highest combined prevalence of thinness and obesity in school-aged children and adolescents in 2022 were in Polynesia and Micronesia and the Caribbean for both sexes, and Chile and Qatar for boys. Combined prevalence was also high in some countries in south Asia, such as India and Pakistan, where thinness remained prevalent despite having declined. In 2022, obesity in school-aged children and adolescents was more prevalent than thinness with a posterior probability of at least 0·80 among girls in 133 countries (67%) and boys in 125 countries (63%), whereas the converse was true in 35 countries (18%) and 42 countries (21%), respectively. In almost all countries for both adults and school-aged children and adolescents, the increases in double burden were driven by increases in obesity, and decreases in double burden by declining underweight or thinness.

INTERPRETATION

The combined burden of underweight and obesity has increased in most countries, driven by an increase in obesity, while underweight and thinness remain prevalent in south Asia and parts of Africa. A healthy nutrition transition that enhances access to nutritious foods is needed to address the remaining burden of underweight while curbing and reversing the increase in obesity.

FUNDING

UK Medical Research Council, UK Research and Innovation (Research England), UK Research and Innovation (Innovate UK), and European Union.

Healthy ageing in a multi-ethnic population: A descriptive cross-sectional analysis from the HELIUS study

OBJECTIVE

We investigated ethnic health disparities in the Healthy Life in an Urban Setting multi-ethnic cohort using the multidimensional Healthy Ageing Score.

STUDY DESIGN

We conducted a cross-sectional analysis of the study baseline data (2011-2015) collected through questionnaires/physical examinations for 17,091 participants (54.8 % women, mean (SD) age = 44.5 (12.8) years) from South-Asian Surinamese (14.8 %), African Surinamese (20.5 %), Dutch (24.3 %), Moroccan (15.5 %), Turkish (14.9 %), and Ghanaian (10.1 %) origins, living in Amsterdam, the Netherlands.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

We computed the Healthy Ageing Score developed in the Rotterdam Study, which has seven biopsychosocial domains: chronic diseases, mental health, cognitive function, physical function, pain, social support, and quality of life. That score was used to discern between healthy, moderate, and poor ageing. We explored differences in healthy ageing by ethnicity, sex, and age group using multinomial logistic regression.

RESULTS

The Healthy Ageing Score [overall: poor (69.0 %), moderate (24.8 %), and healthy (6.2 %)] differed between ethnicities and was poorer in women and after midlife (cut-off 45 years) across ethnicities (all p < 0.001). In the fully adjusted models in men and women, poor ageing (vs. healthy ageing) was highest in the South-Asian Surinamese [adjusted odds ratios (95 % confidence intervals)] [2.96 (2.24-3.90) and 6.88 (3.29-14.40), respectively] and Turkish [2.80 (2.11-3.73) and 7.10 (3.31-15.24), respectively] vs. Dutch, in the oldest [5.89 (3.62-9.60) and 13.17 (1.77-98.01), respectively] vs. youngest, and in the divorced [1.48 (1.10-2.01) and 2.83 (1.39-5.77), respectively] vs. married. Poor ageing was inversely associated with educational and occupational levels, mainly in men.

CONCLUSIONS

Compared with those of Dutch ethnic origin, ethnic minorities displayed less healthy ageing, which was more pronounced in women, before and after midlife, and was associated with sociodemographic factors.

Sex and ethnic differences in unrecognized myocardial infarctions: Observations on recognition and preventive therapies from the multiethnic population-based HELIUS cohort

Background

Epidemiological studies suggest sex differences in the prevalence and characteristics of unrecognized and recognized myocardial infarction (uMI, rMI). Despite increasingly diverse populations, observations are limited in multiethnic contexts. Gaining better understanding may inform policy makers and healthcare professionals on populations at risk of uMI who could benefit from preventive measures.

Methods

We used baseline data from the multiethnic population-based HELIUS cohort (2011-2015; Amsterdam, the Netherlands). Using logistic regressions, we studied sex differences in the prevalence and proportion of uMIs across ethnic groups. Next, we studied whether symptoms, clinical parameters, and sociocultural factors were associated with uMIs. Finally, we compared secondary preventive therapies in women and men with a uMI or rMI. We relied on pathological Q-waves on a resting electrocardiogram as the electrocardiographic signature for (past) MI.

Results

Overall, and in Turkish and Moroccan subgroups, the prevalence of uMIs was higher in men than women. The proportion of uMIs was similar in women (21.0%) and men (18.4%), yet varied by ethnicity. In women and men, symptoms (chest pain, dyspnea) and clinical parameters (hypertension, hypercholesterolemia), and in women also lower educational level and diabetes were associated with lower odds of uMIs. Women (0.0%) and men (3.6%) with uMI were unlikely to receive secondary preventive therapies compared to those with rMI (28.1-40.9%).

Conclusions

The prevalence of uMIs was higher in men than women, and sex differences in the proportion of uMIs varied somewhat across ethnic groups. People with uMIs did not receive adequate preventative medications, posing a risk for recurrent events.

Sex differences in blood pressure phenotypes over time - the HELIUS study

BACKGROUND

Hypertension can be classified into different phenotypes according to systolic and diastolic blood pressure (BP). In younger adults, these phenotypical differences have different prognostic value for men and women. However, little is known about sex differences in the natural course of different BP phenotypes over time.

METHODS

We used baseline and follow-up data from the multiethnic, population-based HELIUS study to assess differences in BP phenotypes over time in men and women aged < 45 years stratified according to baseline office BP into normotension (<140/<90 mmHg), isolated systolic hypertension (ISH, ≥140/<90 mmHg), isolated diastolic hypertension (IDH, <140/≥90 mmHg) or systolic diastolic hypertension (SDH, ≥140/≥90 mmHg). Logistic regression adjusted for age, ethnicity, and follow-up time was used to assess the risk of hypertension at follow-up (BP ≥140/90 mmHg or use of antihypertensive medication), stratified by sex.

RESULTS

We included 4103 participants [mean age 33.5 years (SD 7.4), 43.4% men] with a median follow-up time of 6.2 years. Compared to normotensive individuals, the age-adjusted odds ratios (OR) for having hypertension at follow-up were 4.78 (95% CI 2.90; 7.76) for ISH, 6.02 (95% CI 3.70; 9.74) for IDH and 33.73 (95% CI 20.35; 58.38) for SDH in men, while in women, OR were 10.08 (95% CI 4.09; 25.56) for ISH, 27.59 (95% CI 14.68; 53.82) for IDH and 50.58 (95% CI 24.78; 114.84) for SDH.

CONCLUSIONS

The risk of hypertension at follow-up was higher among women for all phenotypes compared to men, particularly in those with IDH. Findings of this study emphasize the importance of close BP monitoring in the young, especially in women.

SARS-CoV-2 vaccination uptake in six ethnic groups living in Amsterdam, the Netherlands: A registry-based study within the HELIUS cohort

OBJECTIVE

Ethnic minority groups have experienced a disproportionate burden of COVID-19, and should therefore be especially encouraged to receive SARS-CoV-2 vaccination. This study compared first-dose uptake of the primary SARS-CoV-2 vaccination series across six ethnic groups in Amsterdam, the Netherlands in 2021.

METHODS

We analyzed data from participants of the population-based HELIUS cohort. We linked their data to the SARS-CoV-2 vaccination registry data of the Public Health Service of Amsterdam. We included registry data from January 6, 2021 (the start of the Dutch vaccination campaign) until September 6, 2021 (a date by which all adults in the Netherlands could have received one or two vaccine doses). SARS-CoV-2 vaccination uptake was defined as having received at least one vaccine dose of the primary vaccination series. We examined the association between ethnicity and vaccination uptake using multivariable logistic regression, while accounting for the age and sex distribution of ethnic groups in Amsterdam.

RESULTS

We included 19,006 participants (median age 53 years [interquartile range 41-62], 57% female). SARS-CoV-2 vaccination uptake was highest in the South-Asian Surinamese group (60.3%, 95%CI = 58.2-62.3%), followed by the Dutch (59.6%, 95%CI = 58.0-61.1%), Ghanaian (54.1%, 95%CI = 51.7-56.5%), Turkish (47.7%, 95%CI = 45.9-49.6%), African Surinamese (43.0%, 95%CI = 41.2-44.7%), and Moroccan (35.8%, 95%CI = 34.1-37.5%) groups. After adjusting for age, sex, perceived social support, and presence of relevant comorbidities, participants of African Surinamese, Ghanaian, Turkish and Moroccan origin were significantly less likely to be vaccinated than those of Dutch origin.

CONCLUSIONS

Prevention strategies should continue tailoring to specific ethnic groups to encourage vaccination uptake and reduce barriers to vaccination.

Comparative Analysis of Taxonomic and Functional Gut Microbiota Profiles in Relation to Seroconversion of Thyroid Peroxidase Antibodies in Euthyroid Participants

Background: Previous studies have reported gut microbiome alterations in Hashimoto's autoimmune thyroiditis (HT) patients. Yet, it is unknown whether an aberrant microbiome is present before clinical disease onset in participants susceptible to HT or whether it reflects the effects of the disease itself. In this study, we report for the first time a comprehensive characterization of the taxonomic and functional profiles of the gut microbiota in euthyroid seropositive and seronegative participants. Our primary goal was to determine taxonomic and functional signatures of the intestinal microbiota associated with serum thyroid peroxidase antibodies (TPOAb). A secondary aim was to determine whether different ethnicities warrant distinct reference intervals for accurate interpretation of serum thyroid biomarkers. Methods: In this cross-sectional study, euthyroid participants with (N = 159) and without (N = 1309) TPOAb were selected from the multiethnic (European Dutch, Moroccan, and Turkish) HEalthy Life In an Urban Setting (HELIUS) cohort. Fecal microbiota composition was profiled using 16S rRNA sequencing. Differences between the groups were analyzed based on the overall composition (alpha and beta diversity), as well as differential abundance (DA) of microbial taxa and functional pathways using multiple DA tools. Results: Overall composition showed a substantial overlap between the two groups (p > 0.05 for alpha-diversity; p = 0.39 for beta-diversity), indicating that TPOAb-seropositivity does not significantly differentiate gut microbiota composition and diversity. Interestingly, TPOAb status accounted for only a minor fraction (0.07%) of microbiome variance (p = 0.545). Further exploration of taxonomic differences identified 138 taxa nominally associated with TPOAb status. Among these, 13 taxa consistently demonstrated nominal significance across three additional DA methods, alongside notable associations within various functional pathways. Furthermore, we showed that ethnicity-specific reference intervals for serum thyroid biomarkers are not required, as no significant disparities in serum thyroid markers were found among the three ethnic groups residing in an iodine-replete area (p > 0.05 for thyrotropin, free thyroxine, and TPOAb). Conclusion: These findings suggest that there is no robust difference in gut microbiome between individuals with or without TPOAb in terms of alpha and beta-diversity. Nonetheless, several taxa were identified with nominal significance related to TPOAb presence. Further research is required to determine whether these changes indeed imply a higher risk of overt HT.

Autonomic regulation in different hypertensive phenotypes - the HELIUS study

Background: Hypertension can be classified into different phenotypes based on systolic and diastolic blood pressure (BP) that carry a different prognosis and may therefore be differently associated with sympathetic activity. We assessed the association between cardiac autonomic function determined from continuous finger BP recordings and hypertensive phenotypes. Methods: We included 10,221 individuals aged between 18-70 years from the multi-ethnic HELIUS study. Finger BP was recorded continuously for 3-5 minutes from which cross-correlation baroreflex sensitivity (xBRS) and heart rate variability (HRV) were determined. Hypertension was classified into isolated systolic (ISH; ≥140/<90), diastolic (IDH; <140/≥90) and combined systolic and diastolic hypertension (SDH; ≥140/≥90). Differences were assessed after stratification by age (younger: ≤40, older: >40 years) and sex, using regression with correction for relevant covariates. For xBRS, values were log-transformed. Results: In younger adults with ISH, xBRS was comparable to normotensive individuals in men (ratio 0.92; 95%CI 0.84-1.01) and women (1.00; 95%CI 0.84-1.20), while xBRS was significantly lower in IDH and SDH (ratios between 0.67 and 0.80). In older adults, all hypertensive phenotypes had significantly lower xBRS compared to normotensives. We found a similar pattern for HRV in men, while in women HRV did not differ between phenotypes. Conclusions: In younger men and women ISH is not associated with a shift towards increased sympathetic control, while IDH and SDH in younger and all hypertensive phenotypes in older participants were associated with increased sympathetic control. This suggests that alterations in autonomic regulation could be a contributing factor to known prognostic disparities between hypertensive phenotypes.

Sex differences in associations of plasma metabolites with blood pressure and heart rate variability: The HELIUS study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Since plasma metabolites can modulate blood pressure (BP) and vary between men and women, we examined sex differences in plasma metabolite profiles associated with BP and sympathicovagal balance. Our secondary aim was to investigate associations between gut microbiota composition and plasma metabolites predictive of BP and heart rate variability (HRV).

METHODS

From the HELIUS cohort, we included 196 women and 173 men. Office systolic BP and diastolic BP were recorded, and heart rate variability (HRV) and baroreceptor sensitivity (BRS) were calculated using finger photoplethysmography. Plasma metabolomics was measured using untargeted LC-MS/MS. Gut microbiota composition was determined using 16S sequencing. We used machine learning models to predict BP and HRV from metabolite profiles, and to predict metabolite levels from gut microbiota composition.

RESULTS

In women, best predicting metabolites for systolic BP included dihomo-lineoylcarnitine, 4-hydroxyphenylacetateglutamine and vanillactate. In men, top predictors included sphingomyelins, N-formylmethionine and conjugated bile acids. Best predictors for HRV in men included phenylacetate and gentisate, which were associated with lower HRV in men but not in women. Several of these metabolites were associated with gut microbiota composition, including phenylacetate, multiple sphingomyelins and gentisate.

CONCLUSIONS

Plasma metabolite profiles are associated with BP in a sex-specific manner. Catecholamine derivatives were more important predictors for BP in women, while sphingomyelins were more important in men. Several metabolites were associated with gut microbiota composition, providing potential targets for intervention.

Depression, anxiety, and the risk of cancer: An individual participant data meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Depression and anxiety have long been hypothesized to be related to an increased cancer risk. Despite the great amount of research that has been conducted, findings are inconclusive. To provide a stronger basis for addressing the associations between depression, anxiety, and the incidence of various cancer types (overall, breast, lung, prostate, colorectal, alcohol-related, and smoking-related cancers), individual participant data (IPD) meta-analyses were performed within the Psychosocial Factors and Cancer Incidence (PSY-CA) consortium.

METHODS

The PSY-CA consortium includes data from 18 cohorts with measures of depression or anxiety (up to N = 319,613; cancer incidences, 25,803; person-years of follow-up, 3,254,714). Both symptoms and a diagnosis of depression and anxiety were examined as predictors of future cancer risk. Two-stage IPD meta-analyses were run, first by using Cox regression models in each cohort (stage 1), and then by aggregating the results in random-effects meta-analyses (stage 2).

RESULTS

No associations were found between depression or anxiety and overall, breast, prostate, colorectal, and alcohol-related cancers. Depression and anxiety (symptoms and diagnoses) were associated with the incidence of lung cancer and smoking-related cancers (hazard ratios [HRs], 1.06-1.60). However, these associations were substantially attenuated when additionally adjusting for known risk factors including smoking, alcohol use, and body mass index (HRs, 1.04-1.23).

CONCLUSIONS

Depression and anxiety are not related to increased risk for most cancer outcomes, except for lung and smoking-related cancers. This study shows that key covariates are likely to explain the relationship between depression, anxiety, and lung and smoking-related cancers. PREREGISTRATION NUMBER: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?RecordID=157677.

Socioeconomic Inequalities in Type 2 Diabetes: Mediation Through Status Anxiety?

Objectives: While status anxiety has received attention as a potential mechanism generating health inequalities, empirical evidence is still limited. Studies have been ecological and have largely focused on mental and not physical health outcomes. Methods: We conducted individual-level analyses to assess status anxiety (feelings of inferiority resulting from social comparisons) and resources (financial difficulties) as mediators of the relationship between socioeconomic status (SES) (education/occupation/employment status) and type 2 diabetes (T2D). We used cross-sectional data of 21,150 participants (aged 18-70 years) from the Amsterdam-based HELIUS study. We estimated associations using logistic regression models and estimated mediated proportions using natural effect modelling. Results: Odds of status anxiety were higher among participants with a low SES [e.g., OR = 2.66 (95% CI: 2.06-3.45) for elementary versus academic occupation]. Odds of T2D were 1.49 (95% CI: 1.12-1.97) times higher among participants experiencing status anxiety. Proportion of the SES-T2D relationship mediated was 3.2% (95% CI: 1.5%-7.0%) through status anxiety and 10.9% (95% CI: 6.6%-18.0%) through financial difficulties. Conclusion: Status anxiety and financial difficulties played small but consistent mediating roles. These individual-level analyses underline status anxiety's importance and imply that status anxiety requires attention in efforts to reduce health inequalities.

Are male patients undergoing bariatric surgery less healthy than female patients?

BACKGROUND

Male patients are underrepresented in bariatric surgery (BS) despite a relatively equal proportion of men and women experiencing obesity.

OBJECTIVES

Differences in frequency and severity of obesity-associated medical problems (OAMPs) between men and women undergoing BS or in a control group (HELIUS [HEalthy Life In an Urban Setting]) were evaluated. The hypothesis was that men undergoing BS are less healthy than women.

SETTING

A cross-sectional study of 2 cohorts undergoing BS in 2013 (BS2013) and 2019 (BS2019) and a control group of patients with severe obesity from a general population (HELIUS).

METHODS

Characteristics concerning weight and OAMPs, medication usage, intoxications, postoperative complications (for BS2019) were compared between men and women. Members of the HELIUS cohort were tested for eligibility for BS.

RESULTS

Of 3244 patients included, the majority were female (>78.4%). Median (interquartile range) age and body mass index (kg/m2) in male versus female patients were 47.0 (41.0-53.8) versus 43.0 (36.0-51.0) years and 41.5 (38.4-45.2) versus 42.3 (40.2-45.9), respectively, in BS2013, and 52.0 (39.8-57.0) versus 45.0 (35.0-53.0) years and 40.4 (37.4-43.8) versus 41.3 (39.0-44.1) in BS2019 (P < .05). The rates of men with OAMPs were 71.4% and 82.0% compared with 50.2% and 56.9% of women in BS2013 and BS2019, respectively. Overall medication usage was higher in male patients (P = .014). In BS2019, male patients exhibited a higher median HbA1C (P < .001) and blood pressure (P = .003) and used more antihypertensives and antidiabetics (P = .004). Postoperative complications did not differ between men and women. In the control cohort, 66.5% of men and 66.6% of women were eligible for BS.

CONCLUSION

Men undergoing BS more often experience OAMPs than women, and OAMPs are more advanced in men.

Emotional distress in cancer survivors from various ethnic backgrounds: Analysis of the multi-ethnic HELIUS study

PURPOSE

Insight into emotional distress of cancer survivors from ethnic minority groups in Europe is scarce. We aimed to compare distress levels of survivors from ethnic minorities to that of the majority population, determine whether the association between having cancer (yes vs. no) and distress differs among ethnic groups and investigate sociocultural correlates of distress.

METHODS

Cross-sectional data were derived from HELIUS, a multi-ethnic cohort study conducted in the Netherlands. Of 19,147 participants, 351 were diagnosed with cancer (n = 130 Dutch, n = 75 African Surinamese, n = 53 South-Asian Surinamese, n = 43 Moroccan, n = 28 Turkish, n = 22 Ghanaian). Distress (PHQ-9, MCS-12) and correlates were assessed by self-report. Cancer-related variables were derived from the Netherlands Cancer Registry.

RESULTS

Survivors were on average 7 years post-diagnosis. Survivors from South-Asian Surinamese, Moroccan, Turkish and Ghanaian origin reported more distress than survivors from Dutch origin (effect sizerange : 0.44-1.17; adjusted models). The association between having cancer or not with distress differed in direction between Dutch and the non-Dutch ethnic groups: Non-Dutch cancer patients tended to have more distress than their cancer-free peers, whereas Dutch cancer patients tended to have less distress than their cancer-free peers. For Moroccan and Turkish patients, the acculturation style of separation/marginalization, compared to integration/assimilation, was associated with higher depressive symptoms. In analyses pooling data from all ethnic minorities, lower health literacy, lower emotional support satisfaction and younger age at the time of migration were associated with higher depressive symptoms. Lower health literacy, fewer emotional support transactions, and more frequent attendance at religious services were associated with worse mental health.

CONCLUSION

Cancer survivors from ethnic minorities experience more distress than those from the majority population. Culturally sensitive supportive care should be considered.

The COVID-19 pandemic and temporal change in metabolic risk factors for cardiovascular disease: A natural experiment within the HELIUS study

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, including the restrictive measures taken to reduce the spread of the virus, negatively affected people's health behavior. We explored whether the pandemic also had an effect on metabolic risk factors for cardiovascular disease (CVD) in women and men. We conducted a natural experiment, using data from 6962 participants without CVD at baseline (2011-2015) of six ethnic groups of the HELIUS study in Amsterdam, the Netherlands. We studied whether participants whose follow-up measurements were taken within the 11 months before the pandemic (control group) differed from those whose measurements were taken taken within 6 months after the first lockdown (exposed group). Using sex-stratified linear regressions with inverse probability weighting, we compared changes in baseline- and follow-up data between the control and exposed group in six metabolic risk factors: systolic and diastolic blood pressure (SBP, DBP), total cholesterol (TC), fasting plasma glucose (FPG), hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c), and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). Next, we explored the mediating effect of changes in body-mass index (BMI), alcohol, smoking, depressive symptoms and negative life events at follow-up. We observed less favorable changes in SBP (+1.12mmHg for women, +1.38mmHg for men), DBP (+0.85mmHg, +0.80mmHg) and FPG (only in women, +0.12 mmol/L) over time in the exposed group relative to the control group. Conversely, changes in HbA1c (-0.65 mmol/mol, -0.84 mmol/mol) and eGFR (+1.06 mL/min, +1.04 mL/min) were more favorable in the exposed compared to the control group, respectively. Changes in SBP, DBP, and FPG were partially mediated by changes in behavioral factors, in particular BMI and alcohol consumption. Concluding, the COVID-19 pandemic, in particular behavioral changes associated with restrictive lockdown measures, may have negatively affected several CVD risk factors, in both women and men.

Ethnic differences in blood pressure levels over time: the HELIUS study

AIMS

Hypertension is an important global health burden with major differences in prevalence among ethnic minorities compared with host populations. Longitudinal research on ethnic differences in blood pressure (BP) levels provides the opportunity to assess the efficacy of strategies aimed at mitigating gaps in hypertension control. In this study, we assessed the change in BP levels over time in a multi-ethnic population-based cohort in Amsterdam, the Netherlands.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We used baseline and follow-up data from HELIUS to assess differences in BP over time between participants of Dutch, South Asian Surinamese, African Surinamese, Ghanaian, Moroccan, and Turkish descent. Baseline data were collected between 2011 and 2015 and follow-up data between 2019 and 2021. The main outcome was ethnic differences in systolic BP (SBP) over time determined by linear mixed models adjusted for age, sex, and use of antihypertensive medication. We included 22 109 participants at baseline, from which 10 170 participants had complete follow-up data. The mean follow-up time was 6.3 (1.1) years. Compared with the Dutch population, the mean SBP increased significantly more from baseline to follow-up in Ghanaians [1.78 mmHg, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.77-2.79], Moroccans (2.06 mmHg, 95% CI 1.23-2.90), and the Turkish population (1.30 mmHg, 95% CI 0.38-2.22). Systolic blood pressure differences were in part explained by differences in body mass index (BMI). No differences in SBP trajectory were present between the Dutch and Surinamese population.

CONCLUSION

Our findings indicate a further increase of ethnic differences in SBP among Ghanaian, Moroccan, and Turkish populations compared with the Dutch reference population that are in part attributable to differences in BMI.

Relative contributions of pre-pandemic factors and intra-pandemic activities to differential COVID-19 risk among migrant and non-migrant populations in the Netherlands: lessons for future pandemic preparedness

BACKGROUND

Although risk factors for differences in SARS-CoV-2 infections between migrant and non-migrant populations in high income countries have been identified, their relative contributions to these SARS-CoV-2 infections, which could aid in the preparation for future viral pandemics, remain unknown. We investigated the relative contributions of pre-pandemic factors and intra-pandemic activities to differential SARS-CoV-2 infections in the Netherlands by migration background (Dutch, African Surinamese, South-Asian Surinamese, Ghanaians, Turkish, and Moroccan origin).

METHODS

We utilized pre-pandemic (2011-2015) and intra-pandemic (2020-2021) data from the HELIUS cohort, linked to SARS-CoV-2 PCR test results from Public Health Service of Amsterdam (GGD Amsterdam). Pre-pandemic factors included socio-demographic, medical, and lifestyle factors. Intra-pandemic activities included COVID-19 risk aggravating and mitigating activities such as physical distancing, use of face masks, and other similar activities. We calculated prevalence ratios (PRs) in the HELIUS population that was merged with GGD Amsterdam PCR test data using robust Poisson regression (SARS-CoV-2 PCR test result as outcome, migration background as predictor). We then obtained the distribution of migrant and non-migrant populations in Amsterdam as of January 2021 from Statistics Netherlands. The migrant populations included people who have migrated themselves as well as their offspring. We used PRs and the population distributions to calculate population attributable fractions (PAFs) using the standard formula. We used age and sex adjusted models to introduce pre-pandemic factors and intra-pandemic activities, noting the relative changes in PAFs.

RESULTS

From 20,359 eligible HELIUS participants, 8,595 were linked to GGD Amsterdam PCR test data and included in the study. Pre-pandemic socio-demographic factors (especially education, occupation, and household size) resulted in the largest changes in PAFs when introduced in age and sex adjusted models (up to 45%), followed by pre-pandemic lifestyle factors (up to 23%, especially alcohol consumption). Intra-pandemic activities resulted in the least changes in PAFs when introduced in age and sex adjusted models (up to 16%).

CONCLUSION

Interventions that target pre-pandemic socio-economic status and other drivers of health inequalities between migrant and non-migrant populations are urgently needed at present to better prevent infection disparities in future viral pandemics.

Gut microbiome transitions across generations in different ethnicities in an urban setting-the HELIUS study

BACKGROUND

During the course of history, various important lifestyle changes have caused profound transitions of the gut microbiome. These include the introduction of agriculture and animal husbandry, a shift from a nomadic to a more sedentary lifestyle, and recently increased levels of urbanization and a transition towards a more Western lifestyle. The latter is linked with shifts in the gut microbiome that have a reduced fermentative capability and which are commonly associated with diseases of affluence. In this study, in which 5193 subjects are included, we investigated the direction of microbiome shifts that occur in various ethnicities living in Amsterdam by comparing 1st and 2nd generation participants. We furthermore validated part of these findings with a cohort of subjects that moved from rural Thailand to the USA.

RESULTS

The abundance of the Prevotella cluster, which includes P. copri and the P. stercorea trophic network, diminished in the 2nd generation Moroccans and Turks but also in younger Dutch, whilst the Western-associated Bacteroides/Blautia/Bifidobacterium (BBB) cluster, which has an inverse correlation with α-diversity, increased. At the same time, the Christensenellaceae/Methanobrevibacter/Oscillibacter trophic network, which is positively associated with α-diversity and a healthy BMI, decreased in younger Turks and Dutch. Large compositional shifts were not observed in South-Asian and African Surinamese, in whom the BBB cluster is already dominant in the 1st generation, but ASV-level shifts towards certain species, associated amongst others with obesity, were observed.

CONCLUSION

The Moroccan and Turkish populations, but also the Dutch population are transitioning towards a less complex and fermentative less capable configuration of the gut microbiota, which includes a higher abundance of the Western-associated BBB cluster. The Surinamese, whom have the highest prevalence of diabetes and other diseases of affluence, are already dominated by the BBB cluster. Given the continuous increase in diseases of affluence, this devolution towards low-diversity and fermentatively less capable gut microbiome compositions in urban environments is a worrying development. Video Abstract.

Ancestral and environmental patterns in the association between triglycerides and other cardiometabolic risk factors

BACKGROUND

West Africans and African Americans with substantial (∼80%) West African ancestry are characterized by low levels of triglycerides (TG) compared to East Africans and Europeans. The impact of these varying TG levels on other cardiometabolic risk factors is unclear. We compared the strength of association between TG with hypertension, blood pressure, BMI, waist circumference, type 2 diabetes (T2D), and fasting glucose across West African (WA), East African (EA), and European (EU) ancestry populations residing in three vastly different environmental settings: sub-Saharan Africa, United States, and Europe.

METHODS

We analysed data from four cross-sectional studies that included WA in sub-Saharan Africa (n = 7201), the U.S. (n = 4390), and Europe (n = 6436), EA in sub-Saharan Africa (n = 781), and EU in the U.S. (n = 8670) and Europe (n = 4541). Linear regression analyses were used to test the association between TG and cardiometabolic risk factors.

FINDINGS

Higher adjusted regression coefficients were observed in EU compared with WA ancestry for TG on hypertension (EU β [95% CI]: 0.179 [0.156, 0.203], WA β [95% CI]: 0.102 [0.086, 0.118]), BMI (EU β [95% CI]: 0.028 [0.027, 0.030], WA β [95% CI]: 0.015 [0.014, 0.016]), and waist circumference (EU β [95% CI]: 0.013 [0.013, 0.014], WA β [95% CI]: 0.009 [0.008, 0.009) (all ancestry × trait interaction P-values <0.05), irrespective of environmental differences within ancestry groups. Less consistency was observed among EA. Associations of TG with T2D did not follow ancestry patterns, with substantial variation observed between environments.

INTERPRETATION

TG may not be an equally strong associated with other established cardiometabolic risk factors in West and East Africans in contrast to European ancestry populations. The value of TG for identifying individuals at high risk for developing metabolic disorders needs to be re-evaluated for African ancestry populations.

FUNDING

National Institutes of Health, European Commission, Dutch Heart Foundation, Netherlands Organization for Health Research and Development, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Psychosocial factors may serve as additional eligibility criteria for cardiovascular risk screening in women and men in a multi-ethnic population: The HELIUS study

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) prevention strategies include identifying and managing high risk individuals. Identification primarily occurs through screening or case finding. Guidelines indicate that psychosocial factors increase CVD risk, but their use for screening is not yet recommended. We studied whether psychosocial factors may serve as additional eligibility criteria in a multi-ethnic population without prior CVD. We performed a cross-sectional analysis using baseline data of 10,226 participants of Dutch, South-Asian Surinamese, African Surinamese, Ghanaian, Turkish and Moroccan origin aged 40-70 years, living in Amsterdam, the Netherlands. Using logistic regressions and Akaike Information Criteria, we analyzed whether psychosocial factors (educational level, employment status, occupational level, financial stress, primary earner status, mental health, stress, depression, and social isolation) improved prediction of high CVD risk (SCORE-estimated fatal and non-fatal CVD risk ≥5%) beyond eligibility criteria from history taking (smoking, obesity, family history of CVD). Next, we compared the additional predictive value of psychosocial eligibility criteria in women and men across ethnic groups, using the area under the curve (AUC). Of our sample, 32.7% had a high CVD risk. Only socioeconomic eligibility criteria (employment status and educational level) improved high CVD risk prediction (p < .001 for likelihood-ratio tests). These increased AUCs in women (from 0.563 to 0.682) and men (from 0.610 to 0.664), particularly in Dutch, South-Asian Surinamese, African Surinamese and Moroccan women, and Dutch and Moroccan men. Concluding, socioeconomic eligibility criteria may be considered as additional eligibility criteria for CVD risk screening, as they improve detection of women and men at high CVD risk.

Depression, cardiometabolic disease, and their co-occurrence after childhood maltreatment: an individual participant data meta-analysis including over 200,000 participants

BACKGROUND

Childhood maltreatment is associated with depression and cardiometabolic disease in adulthood. However, the relationships with these two diseases have so far only been evaluated in different samples and with different methodology. Thus, it remains unknown how the effect sizes magnitudes for depression and cardiometabolic disease compare with each other and whether childhood maltreatment is especially associated with the co-occurrence ("comorbidity") of depression and cardiometabolic disease. This pooled analysis examined the association of childhood maltreatment with depression, cardiometabolic disease, and their comorbidity in adulthood.

METHODS

We carried out an individual participant data meta-analysis on 13 international observational studies (N = 217,929). Childhood maltreatment comprised self-reports of physical, emotional, and/or sexual abuse before 18 years. Presence of depression was established with clinical interviews or validated symptom scales and presence of cardiometabolic disease with self-reported diagnoses. In included studies, binomial and multinomial logistic regressions estimated sociodemographic-adjusted associations of childhood maltreatment with depression, cardiometabolic disease, and their comorbidity. We then additionally adjusted these associations for lifestyle factors (smoking status, alcohol consumption, and physical activity). Finally, random-effects models were used to pool these estimates across studies and examined differences in associations across sex and maltreatment types.

RESULTS

Childhood maltreatment was associated with progressively higher odds of cardiometabolic disease without depression (OR [95% CI] = 1.27 [1.18; 1.37]), depression without cardiometabolic disease (OR [95% CI] = 2.68 [2.39; 3.00]), and comorbidity between both conditions (OR [95% CI] = 3.04 [2.51; 3.68]) in adulthood. Post hoc analyses showed that the association with comorbidity was stronger than with either disease alone, and the association with depression was stronger than with cardiometabolic disease. Associations remained significant after additionally adjusting for lifestyle factors, and were present in both males and females, and for all maltreatment types.

CONCLUSIONS

This meta-analysis revealed that adults with a history of childhood maltreatment suffer more often from depression and cardiometabolic disease than their non-exposed peers. These adults are also three times more likely to have comorbid depression and cardiometabolic disease. Childhood maltreatment may therefore be a clinically relevant indicator connecting poor mental and somatic health. Future research should investigate the potential benefits of early intervention in individuals with a history of maltreatment on their distal mental and somatic health (PROSPERO CRD42021239288).

Diminishing benefits of urban living for children and adolescents' growth and development

Optimal growth and development in childhood and adolescence is crucial for lifelong health and well-being1-6. Here we used data from 2,325 population-based studies, with measurements of height and weight from 71 million participants, to report the height and body-mass index (BMI) of children and adolescents aged 5-19 years on the basis of rural and urban place of residence in 200 countries and territories from 1990 to 2020. In 1990, children and adolescents residing in cities were taller than their rural counterparts in all but a few high-income countries. By 2020, the urban height advantage became smaller in most countries, and in many high-income western countries it reversed into a small urban-based disadvantage. The exception was for boys in most countries in sub-Saharan Africa and in some countries in Oceania, south Asia and the region of central Asia, Middle East and north Africa. In these countries, successive cohorts of boys from rural places either did not gain height or possibly became shorter, and hence fell further behind their urban peers. The difference between the age-standardized mean BMI of children in urban and rural areas was <1.1 kg m-2 in the vast majority of countries. Within this small range, BMI increased slightly more in cities than in rural areas, except in south Asia, sub-Saharan Africa and some countries in central and eastern Europe. Our results show that in much of the world, the growth and developmental advantages of living in cities have diminished in the twenty-first century, whereas in much of sub-Saharan Africa they have amplified.

Unexploited potential of risk factor treatment in patients with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease

BACKGROUND

Most patients with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease remain at (very) high risk for recurrent events due to suboptimal risk factor control.

AIM

This study aimed to quantify the potential of maximal risk factor treatment on ten-year and lifetime risk of recurrent atherosclerotic cardiovascular events in patients one year after a coronary event.

METHODS

Pooled data from six studies: RESPONSE 1 and 2, OPTICARE, EUROASPIRE IV and V and HELIUS. Patients aged ≥45 years at ≥6 months after coronary event were included. The SMART-REACH score was used to estimate ten-year and lifetime risk of recurrent atherosclerotic cardiovascular events with current treatment, and potential risk reduction and gains in event-free years with maximal treatment (lifestyle and pharmacological).

RESULTS

In 3,230 atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease patients (24% women), at median (IQR) 1.1 years (1.0-1.8) after index event, ten-year risk was median (IQR) 20% (15%-27%) and lifetime risk 54% (47-63). Whereas 70% used conventional medication, 82% had ≥1 drug-modifiable risk factor not on target. Furthermore, 91% had ≥1 lifestyle-related risk factor not on target. Maximising therapy was associated with a potential reduction of median (IQR) ten-year risk to 6% (4%-8%) and of lifetime risk to 20% (15%-27%), and a median (IQR) gain of 7.3 (5.4-10.4) ASCVD event-free years.

CONCLUSIONS

Among patients with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, maximising current, guideline-based preventive therapy has the potential to mitigate a large part of their risk of recurrent events and to add a clinically important number of event-free years to their lifetime.

Longitudinal changes in quality of life and psychosocial problems of primary school children in a deprived urban neighborhood over the course of a school-based integrated approach

The municipality of Amsterdam implemented a 2-year school-based integrated approach in schools in a deprived neighborhood. The integrated approach targeted the domains of education, health and poverty and the children's school, neighborhood and home environment by involving various agencies and actors. In this study, changes in children's quality of life and psychosocial problems over the course of the integrated approach were examined and evaluated. A dynamic cohort design was used. At five measurement occasions (T1-T5) during 2 years, children from four consecutive grades in five schools filled out a questionnaire (total n = 614). In children between 7 and 13 years, quality of life was measured with the KIDSCREEN-10. In children between 9 and 13 years, psychosocial problems were measured with the Strengths and Difficulties Questionnaire. Generalized estimating equations were applied. Time, sex, age, socio-economic status, ethnic background, grade, and school were included as independent variables. Quality of life was higher from the first follow-up during the approach (T2) until the end of the approach (T4) compared to at the start of the approach (T1). At T5, several months after the approach ended, scores returned back to baseline. Likewise, a reduction in children's psychosocial problems was detected at the end of the approach (T4) compared to at the start of the approach (T1). However, both before and after that time point, no improvements were detected. This study shows that integrated approaches can be beneficial for children's quality of life and psychosocial health, but continued investments may be needed to maintain established improvements.Trial registration NTR6571 (NL6395), August 4 2017 retrospectively registered.

Perceived ethnic discrimination, suicidal ideation and mastery in a multi-ethnic cohort: the HELIUS study

BACKGROUND

The association between perceived ethnic discrimination (PED) and mental health conditions is well studied. However, less is known about the association between PED and suicidal ideation, or the role of positive psychosocial factors in this association.

AIMS

To examine the association between PED and suicidal ideation among ethnic minority groups in Amsterdam, The Netherlands, and investigate whether ethnicity and mastery (people's extent of feeling in control of their lives and environment) moderate this association.

METHOD

Cross-sectional data from the multi-ethnic HELIUS study were analysed (n = 17 053) for participants of South-Asian Surinamese, African Surinamese, Ghanaian, Turkish and Moroccan origin. PED was measured using the Everyday Discrimination Scale, suicidal ideation using item 9 of the Patient Health Questionnaire-9 and mastery using the Pearlin-Schooler Mastery Scale.

RESULTS

Logistic regression analyses demonstrated a small positive association between PED and suicidal ideation (OR = 1.068, 95% CI 1.059-1.077), which did not differ among ethnic minority groups. Mastery did not moderate the association between PED and suicidal ideation among the ethnic minority groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings support the hypothesis that PED is associated with suicidal ideation and this association does not significantly vary between ethnic minority groups. Although higher levels of mastery were associated with lower suicidal ideation, mastery did not moderate the relationship between PED and suicidal ideation. Besides targeting ethnic discrimination as a societal problem, future longitudinal research is needed to investigate whether interventions aimed at improving mastery could reduce suicidal ideation in ethnic minority groups.

ECG Changes during Adult Life in Fabry Disease: Results from a Large Longitudinal Cohort Study

Background: Fabry disease (FD) is an X-linked, lysosomal storage disorder leading to severe cardiomyopathy in a significant proportion of patients. To identify ECG markers that reflect early cardiac involvement and disease progression, we conducted a long term retrospective study in a large cohort of FD patients. Methods: A total of 1995 ECGs from 133 patients with classical FD (64% females, 80% treated with enzyme replacement therapy), spanning 20 years of follow-up, were compared to ECGs from 3893 apparently healthy individuals. Generalized linear mixed models were used to evaluate the effect of age, FD and sex on: P-wave duration, PR-interval, QRS-duration, QTc, Cornell index, spatial QRS-T angle and frontal QRS-axis. Regression slopes and absolute values for each parameter were compared between FD patients and control subjects. Results: At a younger age (<40 years), the Cornell index was higher and frontal QRS-axis more negative in FD patients compared to controls (p < 0.05). For the other ECG parameters, the rate of change, more than the absolute value, was greater in FD patients compared to controls (p < 0.05). From the fifth decade (men) or sixth (women) onwards, absolute values for P-wave duration, QRS-duration, QTc and spatial QRS-T angle were longer and higher in FD patients compared to control subjects. Conclusions: ECG abnormalities indicative of FD are age and sex dependent. Tracking the rate of change in ECG parameters could be a good way to detect disease progression, guiding treatment initiation. Moreover, monitoring ECG changes in FD can be used to evaluate the effectiveness of treatment.

The contribution of smoking to differences in cardiovascular disease incidence between men and women across six ethnic groups in Amsterdam, the Netherlands: The HELIUS study

It is unclear to what extent differences in cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk between men and women are explained by differences in smoking, and whether this contribution to risk is consistent across ethnic groups. In this prospective study, we determined the contribution of smoking to differences in CVD incidence between men and women, also in various ethnic groups. We linked baseline data of 18,058 participants of six ethnic groups from the HELIUS study (Amsterdam, the Netherlands) to CVD incidence data, based on hospital admission and death records from Statistics Netherlands (2013-2019). The contribution of smoking to CVD incidence, as estimated by the population attributable fraction, was higher in men than in women, overall (24.1% versus 15.6%) and across most ethnic groups. Among Dutch participants, however, the contribution of smoking was higher among women (21.0%) than men (16.2%). Using Cox regression analyses, we observed that differences in smoking prevalence explained 22.0% of the overall lower hazard for CVD in women compared to men. Smoking contributed minimally to the lower hazards for CVD in women among participants of Dutch (0%), Ghanaian (4.9%) and Moroccan origin (0%), but explained 28.6% and 48.6% of the lower hazards in women in South-Asian Surinamese and African Surinamese groups, respectively. While smoking prevention and cessation may lead to lower CVD incidence in most groups of men and women, it may not substantially reduce disparities in CVD risk between men and women in most ethnic groups.

Noninvasive tests for nonalcoholic fatty liver disease in a multi-ethnic population: The HELIUS study

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is increasing in prevalence and severity globally, prompting noninvasive testing, yet limited data exist on noninvasive liver tests (NITs) including transient elastography (TE) in ethnically diverse populations. Therefore, we studied prevalence and ethnic differences in NAFLD with NITs in the multi-ethnic HEalthy Life In an Urban Setting (HELIUS) cohort. NITs of liver steatosis (Fatty Liver Index [FLI]) and fibrosis (Fibrosis-4 index [FIB-4], and aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio [APRI]) were assessed in 10,007 participants. A subpopulation of 399 participants, selected on high-risk criteria for NAFLD (obesity, type 2 diabetes mellitus [T2DM], and/or elevated NITs), was examined with TE. FLI was ≥60 in 27.3% of 10,007 participants, indicating steatosis. Most participants (71.8%) had FIB-4 < 1.30, excluding advanced liver fibrosis, and 1.1% (n = 113) had high FIB-4 (FIB-4 ≥ 2.67), indicating likely advanced liver fibrosis. In the TE subpopulation, 37.8% and 17.3% had steatosis and fibrosis (continuation attenuation parameter [CAP] ≥ 280 dB/m, liver stiffness measurement [LSM] ≥ 7.0 kPa, respectively). Turkish participants had highest adjusted odds ratio (OR) for elevated LSM (1.72, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.59-5.01) and Ghanaians the lowest (0.24, 95% CI 0.09-0.65). Ghanaians had lowest adjusted OR for elevated CAP: 0.18 (95% CI 0.09-0.37). In diabetics, CAP and LSM were 17.6% and 14.6% higher than in nondiabetics, respectively. Correlations of FIB-4 and APRI with LSM were absent and weak. Conclusion : Liver steatosis proxy FLI was elevated in 27.3% of this multi-ethnic population. In Turkish background and in those with T2DM, proxies for steatosis and fibrosis were high, whereas in Ghanaian background, NITs were generally low. Together, this warrants awareness for NAFLD among high-risk populations, taking ethnic background into account. The absence of clear correlation between FIB-4 and APRI with LSM questions the accuracy of these fibrosis NITs to detect advanced fibrosis in the general population.

Cardiovascular risk profile after a complicated pregnancy across ethnic groups: The HELIUS study

AIMS

Little is known about how pregnancy complications and cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk are associated, specifically among ethnic minorities. In this study we examined this association in women from six ethnic groups, and the potential value of pregnancy complications as eligibility criterion for CVD risk screening.

METHODS

We conducted a cross-sectional study combining obstetric history from the Dutch perinatal registry with data on cardiovascular risk up to 15 years after pregnancy from the multi-ethnic HELIUS study. We included 2,466 parous women of Dutch, South-Asian Surinamese, African Surinamese, Ghanaian, Turkish and Moroccan origin. Associations were studied across ethnicities and predictive value of pregnancy complications for CVD risk factors above traditional eligibility criteria for CVD risk screening was assessed using Poisson regression.

RESULTS

History of hypertensive disorders of pregnancy and preterm birth were associated with higher prevalence of chronic hypertension and chronic kidney disease across most groups (prevalence ratio 1.6-1.9). Gestational diabetes mellitus was associated with increased type 2 diabetes mellitus risk, particularly in ethnic minority groups (prevalence ratio 4.5-7.7). Associations did not significantly differ across ethnic groups. The prediction models did not improve substantially after adding pregnancy complications to traditional eligibility criteria for CVD risk screening.

CONCLUSION

History of hypertensive disorders of pregnancy, preterm birth and gestational diabetes mellitus is associated with CVD risk factors in parous women, without evidence of a differential association across ethnic groups. However, addition of pregnancy complications to traditional eligibility criteria for CVD risk screening does not substantially improve the prediction of prevalent CVD risk factors.

Ethnic differences in urinary monocyte chemoattractant protein-1 and heparanase-1 levels in individuals with type 2 diabetes: the HELIUS study

INTRODUCTION

We aimed to investigate ethnic differences in two urinary inflammatory markers in participants with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM).

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We included 55 Dutch, 127 South-Asian Surinamese, 92 African Surinamese, 62 Ghanaian, 74 Turkish and 88 Moroccan origin participants with T2DM from the HEalthy LIfe in an Urban Setting study. Using linear regression analyses, we investigated differences in urinary monocyte chemoattractant protein-1 (MCP-1) and heparanase-1 (HPSE-1) levels across ethnic minorities compared with Dutch. Associations between the urinary markers and albuminuria (albumin:creatinine ratio (ACR)) was investigated per ethnicity.

RESULTS

Urinary MCP-1 levels were higher in the Moroccan participants (0.15 log ng/mmol, 95% CI 0.05 to 0.26) compared with Dutch after multiple adjustments. Urinary HPSE-1 levels were lower in the African Surinamese and Ghanaian participants compared with the Dutch, with a difference of -0.16 log mU/mmol (95% CI -0.29 to -0.02) in African Surinamese and -0.16 log mU/mmol (95% CI -0.31 to -0.00) in Ghanaian after multiple adjustments. In all ethnic groups except the Dutch and Ghanaian participants, MCP-1 was associated with ACR. This association remained strongest after multiple adjustment in South-Asian and African Surinamese participants, with an increase in log ACR of 1.03% (95% CI 0.58 to 1.47) and 1.23% (95% CI 0.52 to 1.94) if log MCP-1 increased 1%. Only in the Dutch participants, an association between HPSE-1 and ACR was found, with increase in log ACR of 0.40% (95% CI 0.04 to 0.76) if log HPSE-1 increased 1%.

CONCLUSIONS

We found ethnic differences in urinary MCP-1 and HPSE-1 levels, in a multi-ethnic cohort of participants with T2DM. In addition, we found ethnic differences in the association of MCP-1 and HPSE-1 levels with albuminuria. These findings suggest differences in renal inflammation across ethnic groups.

Association between the reflection magnitude and blood pressure in a multiethnic cohort: the Healthy Life in an Urban Setting study

AIMS

Reflection magnitude (RM), the ratio of the amplitudes of the backward and forward central arterial pressure waves, has been shown to predict cardiovascular events. However, the association with blood pressure (BP) and hypertension is unclear.

METHODS

We assessed RM in 10 195 individuals of Dutch, South-Asian Surinamese, African Surinamese, Ghanaian, Turkish and Moroccan origin aged between 18 and 70 years (54.2% female) participating in the Healthy Life in an Urban Setting study. To determine RM, central arterial pressure and flow were reconstructed from finger BP. Hypertension was defined based on office-BP and medication. Associations with BP, hypertension, and hypertensive organ damage were assessed using linear regression models with correction for relevant covariates.

RESULTS

Mean RM was 62.5% (standard deviation [SD] 8.0) in men and 63.8% (SD 8.1) in women. RM was lowest in Dutch and highest in South-Asian and African participants. RM increased linearly with 1.35 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.23-1.46) for every 10 mmHg increase in systolic BP from 120 mmHg onwards, while the relation with diastolic BP was nonlinear. RM was 2.40 (95% CI 2.04-2.76) higher in hypertensive men and 3.82 (95% CI 3.46-4.19) higher in hypertensive women compared to normotensive men and women. In hypertensive men and women with ECG-based left ventricular hypertrophy or albuminuria RM was 1.64 (95% CI 1.09-2.20) and 0.94 (95% CI 0.37-1.52) higher compared to hypertensive participants without hypertensive organ damage.

CONCLUSION

RM is associated with BP, hypertension and hypertensive organ damage, and may in part explain disparities in hypertension associated cardiovascular risk.

Association between the reflection magnitude and blood pressure in a multiethnic cohort: the Healthy Life in an Urban Setting study

Aims:

Reflection magnitude (RM), the ratio of the amplitudes of the backward and forward central arterial pressure waves, has been shown to predict cardiovascular events. However, the association with blood pressure (BP) and hypertension is unclear.

Methods:

We assessed RM in 10 195 individuals of Dutch, South-Asian Surinamese, African Surinamese, Ghanaian, Turkish and Moroccan origin aged between 18 and 70 years (54.2% female) participating in the Healthy Life in an Urban Setting study. To determine RM, central arterial pressure and flow were reconstructed from finger BP. Hypertension was defined based on office-BP and medication. Associations with BP, hypertension, and hypertensive organ damage were assessed using linear regression models with correction for relevant covariates.

Results:

Mean RM was 62.5% (standard deviation [SD] 8.0) in men and 63.8% (SD 8.1) in women. RM was lowest in Dutch and highest in South-Asian and African participants. RM increased linearly with 1.35 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.23–1.46) for every 10 mmHg increase in systolic BP from 120 mmHg onwards, while the relation with diastolic BP was nonlinear. RM was 2.40 (95% CI 2.04–2.76) higher in hypertensive men and 3.82 (95% CI 3.46–4.19) higher in hypertensive women compared to normotensive men and women. In hypertensive men and women with ECG-based left ventricular hypertrophy or albuminuria RM was 1.64 (95% CI 1.09–2.20) and 0.94 (95% CI 0.37–1.52) higher compared to hypertensive participants without hypertensive organ damage.

Conclusion:

RM is associated with BP, hypertension and hypertensive organ damage, and may in part explain disparities in hypertension associated cardiovascular risk.

Gut microbiome associations with host genotype vary across ethnicities and potentially influence cardiometabolic traits

Previous studies in mainly European populations have reported that the gut microbiome composition is associated with the human genome. However, the genotype-microbiome interaction in different ethnicities is largely unknown. We performed a large fecal microbiome genome-wide association study of a single multiethnic cohort, the Healthy Life in an Urban Setting (HELIUS) cohort (N = 4,117). Mendelian randomization was performed using the multiethnic Pan-UK Biobank (N = 460,000) to dissect potential causality. We identified ethnicity-specific associations between host genomes and gut microbiota. Certain microbes were associated with genotype in multiple ethnicities. Several of the microbe-associated loci were found to be related to immune functions, interact with glutamate and the mucus layer, or be expressed in the gut or brain. Additionally, we found that gut microbes potentially influence cardiometabolic health factors such as BMI, cholesterol, and blood pressure. This provides insight into the relationship of ethnicity and gut microbiota and into the possible causal effects of gut microbes on cardiometabolic traits.

Ethnic Differences in Coronavirus Disease 2019 Hospitalization and Hospital Outcomes in a Multiethnic Population in the Netherlands

Background

Evidence from the United States and United Kingdom suggests that ethnic minority populations are at an increased risk for developing severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); however, data from other West-European countries are scarce.

Methods

We analyzed data from 1439 patients admitted between February 2020 and January 2021 to 4 main hospitals in Amsterdam and Almere, the Netherlands. Differences in the risk for hospitalization were assessed by comparing demographics to the general population. Using a population-based cohort as reference, we determined differences in the association between comorbidities and COVID-19 hospitalization. Outcomes after hospitalization were analyzed using Cox regression.

Results

The hospitalization risk was higher in all ethnic minority groups than in those of Dutch origin, with age-adjusted odds ratios ranging from 2.2 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.7-2.6) in Moroccans to 4.5 (95% CI, 3.2-6.0) in Ghanaians. Hypertension and diabetes were similarly associated with COVID-19 hospitalization. For all other comorbidities, we found differential associations. Intensive care unit admission and mortality during 21-day follow-up after hospitalization was comparable between ethnicities.

Conclusions

The risk of COVID-19 hospitalization was higher in all ethnic minority groups compared to the Dutch, but the risk of adverse outcomes after hospitalization was similar. Our results suggest that these inequalities may in part be attributable to comorbidities that can be prevented by targeted public health prevention measures. More work is needed to gain insight into the role of other potential factors such as social determinants of health, which might have contributed to the ethnic inequalities in COVID-19 hospitalization.

COVID-19 Impacts Across Multiple Life Domains of Vulnerable Socio-Demographic Groups Including Migrants: A Descriptive Cross-Sectional Study

Objectives: We assessed the impacts of COVID-19 on multiple life domains across socio-demographic groups in Netherlands.

Methods: After the first COVID-19 wave, we distributed online questionnaires among 13,031 participants of the multi-ethnic HELIUS cohort. Questionnaires contained questions on changes in income status, healthy behaviors, mental health, and access to non-COVID-19 health care. We then calculated differences in adjusted proportions of participants that reported negative changes across multiple life domains by migration background, age, sex, education, and occupation.

Results: 4,450 individuals (35%) responded, of which 4,294 were included. Older populations and men seemed to be less vulnerable to negative changes in multiple life domains during the COVID-19 pandemic as compared to the pre-pandemic period, while populations with a migration background and lower education/occupation groups seemed to be more vulnerable to negative changes.

Conclusion: Not all populations vulnerable to SARS-CoV-2 infection and mortality are also more vulnerable to COVID-19 impacts across multiple other life domains. Targeted interventions are needed in socio-demographic groups that are most impacted by COVID-19 in various life domains to prevent a further increase of their already increased risk of chronic diseases after the pandemic.

Overall benefits of smoking cessation in patients with ASCVD are underestimated

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: None.

Introduction

New risk prediction models estimate and employ individual ‘treatment benefit’, which can be used to motivate patients with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) to quit smoking and to adhere to beneficial pharmacological interventions. However, this treatment benefit is usually calculated for a limited set of cardiovascular outcomes, i.e. years gained without myocardial infarction or stroke, while ignoring non-cardiovascular health benefits and pharmacological side- and adverse effects. Importantly, treatment effect size of medication is smaller in persistent smokers compared to non-smokers, because of the higher overall mortality of the smokers. By disregarding non-cardiovascular outcomes, the overall benefit of smoking cessation will be underestimated.

Purpose

We estimated and compared the treatment benefits – expressed as ‘gain in years without major cardiovascular events’ – of smoking cessation versus persistent smoking with targeted pharmaceutical interventions in patients with established ASCVD treated with anti-platelet agents, statins and anti-hypertensive drugs.

Methods

We pooled individual-level risk factors data from six large, recent prospective studies: RESPONSE 1 and 2, OPTICARE, EUROASPIRE IV and V and HELIUS. We included patients aged ≥45 years who persisted in smoking ≥6 months after acute coronary syndrome or revascularisation. The primary outcome was SMART-REACH estimated treatment benefit expressed as gain in years without a myocardial infarction or stroke. We compared the cardiovascular treatment benefit of smoking cessation versus the use of one or more pharmaceutical treatments: bempedoic acid, colchicine and PCSK9 inhibitors.

Results

We included 989 smokers with established ASCVD (23% female), with mean age of 60 (SD 8) years at median 1.2 (IQR 1.0-2.0) years post-index event. A mean of 4.81 (95%CI 4.73-4.89) event-free years would be gained through smoking cessation. Persistent smoking with maximal pharmaceutical treatment resulted in a comparable gain of 4.83 (95% CI 4.72-4.93) event-free years.(Figure)

Conclusion

The estimated lifetime treatment benefit of smoking cessation appeared to be comparable to the use of several pharmaceutical treatments combined, even when the analysis was limited to major cardiovascular events. This substantial health benefit underscores smoking cessation to be one of the most important actions to improve the overall health of patients with established ASCVD. To accurately compare treatment options, overall benefits and harms should be considered, in addition to the patients’ preferences, in a shared decision making process.

Lifetime versus 10-year risk of recurrent events in patients with cardiovascular disease: impact of age

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: None.

Introduction

Most risk models for patients with established atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) calculate short-term risk of recurrent events and death, typically for a duration of 10 years. However, lifetime risk estimates may better support the healthcare professional in selecting patients for intensified preventive treatment (1). Also, a cross-sectional study suggested that communicating lifetime risk to ASCVD patients enhances risk perception and willingness for therapy (2). In the new ESC prevention guideline, however, 10-year risk estimates remain standard for ASCVD patients but the additional use of lifetime risk is recommended for communication in the shared decision-making process (3).

Purpose

We therefore aimed to compare estimates of 10-year with lifetime risk of recurrent ASCVD events or death, stratified by age.

Methods

We pooled individual-level data on risk factors from six large, recent prospective studies (RESPONSE 1 and 2, OPTICARE, EUROASPIRE IV and V and HELIUS). We included Dutch patients aged ≥45 years with a follow-up of ≥6 months after acute coronary syndrome or revascularisation. The SMART-REACH models were used to estimate the difference between 10-year and lifetime risk of recurrent myocardial infarction, stroke, or cardiovascular death, stratified by age (&lt;55, 55-65, 65-75, ≥75 years).

Results

In 3,230 ASCVD patients (24% women), mean age 61±8 years, at median follow-up 1.1 (IQR 1.0-1.8) years after index event, SMART-REACH 10-year risk was 23±11% versus lifetime 56±11%. (Figure 1) We found a considerable difference between 10-year and lifetime risk in patients aged 45-55 years (18±8% vs. 61±10%). Discrepancies decreased with increasing age, with similar estimates in the highest (75-85) age group. (Figure 2).

Conclusion

Lifetime risk of a limited set of cardiovascular outcomes rather than 10-year risk may provide a more complete estimate of future ASCVD disease burden, as especially in younger patients 10-year risk is usually low, even in the presence of risk factors.

Prospective analysis of gender-related characteristics in relation to cardiovascular disease

OBJECTIVE

Differences in cardiovascular disease (CVD) incidence between men and women have been widely reported. Next to sex-related (biological) characteristics, gender-related (sociocultural) characteristics may partly explain how these differences arise. In this exploratory study, we examined the associations between selected gender-related characteristics and CVD incidence.

METHODS

We linked baseline data of 18 058 participants without CVD from the population-based, multiethnic HEalthy LIfe in an Urban Setting study (Amsterdam, the Netherlands) to CVD incidence data, based on hospital admission and death records from Statistics Netherlands in 2013-2018. Using Cox regression analyses, we studied associations of time spent on household work, doing home repairs, primary earner status, type of employment, working in a male-dominated or female-dominated occupation and desire for emotional support with CVD incidence, stratified by sex. Analyses were adjusted for age, ethnicity and socioeconomic status.

RESULTS

In men, gender-related characteristics were not associated with higher CVD incidence. In women, homemakers had a higher hazard for CVD compared with full-time workers (HR 2.34, 95% CI 1.35 to 4.04), whereas those spending a moderate amount of time on household work had a lower hazard for CVD than those spending little time (HR 0.56, 95% CI 0.34 to 0.95).

CONCLUSION

Although we found no evidence for associations between gender-related characteristics and CVD incidence in men, being the homemaker and moderate time spent on household work appeared to be associated with CVD incidence in women. Thus, attention to gender-related characteristics might in future help to identify subgroups that may benefit from additional prevention strategies.

Differences in SARS-CoV-2 infections during the first and second wave of SARS-CoV-2 between six ethnic groups in Amsterdam, the Netherlands: A population-based longitudinal serological study

BACKGROUND

Surveillance data in high-income countries have reported more frequent SARS-CoV-2 diagnoses in ethnic minority groups. We examined the cumulative incidence of SARS-CoV-2 and its determinants in six ethnic groups in Amsterdam, the Netherlands.

METHODS

We analysed participants enrolled in the population-based HELIUS cohort, who were tested for SARS-CoV-2-specific antibodies and answered COVID-19-related questions between June 24-October 9, 2020 (after the first wave) and November 23, 2020-March 31, 2021 (during the second wave). We modelled SARS-CoV-2 incidence from January 1, 2020-March 31, 2021 using Markov models adjusted for age and sex. We compared incidence between ethnic groups over time and identified determinants of incident infection within ethnic groups.

FINDINGS

2,497 participants were tested after the first wave; 2,083 (83·4%) were tested during the second wave. Median age at first visit was 54 years (interquartile range=44-61); 56·6% were female. Compared to Dutch-origin participants (15·9%), cumulative SARS-CoV-2 incidence was higher in participants of South-Asian Surinamese (25·0%; adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]=1·66; 95%CI=1·16-2·40), African Surinamese (28·9%, aHR=1·97; 95%CI=1·37-2·83), Turkish (37·0%; aHR=2·67; 95%CI=1·89-3·78), Moroccan (41·9%; aHR=3·13; 95%CI=2·22-4·42), and Ghanaian (64·6%; aHR=6·00; 95%CI=4·33-8·30) origin. Compared to those of Dutch origin, differences in incidence became wider during the second versus first wave for all ethnic minority groups (all p-values for interaction<0·05), except Ghanaians. Having household members with suspected SARS-CoV-2 infection, larger household size, and low health literacy were common determinants of SARS-CoV-2 incidence across groups.

INTERPRETATION

SARS-CoV-2 incidence was higher in the largest ethnic minority groups of Amsterdam, particularly during the second wave. Prevention measures, including vaccination, should be encouraged in these groups.

FUNDING

ZonMw, Public Health Service of Amsterdam, Dutch Heart Foundation, European Union, European Fund for the Integration of non-EU immigrants.

Gut microbiota of adults with asthma is broadly similar to non-asthmatics in a large population with varied ethnic origins

Bacterial gut communities might predispose children to develop asthma. Yet, little is known about the role of these micro-organisms in adult asthmatics. We aimed to profile the relationship between fecal microbiota and asthma in a large-scale, ethnically diverse, observational cohort of adults. Fecal microbiota composition of 1632 adults (172 asthmatics and 1460 non-asthmatics) was analyzed using 16S ribosomal RNA gene sequencing. Using extremely randomized trees machine learning models, we assessed the discriminatory ability of gut bacterial features to identify asthmatics from non-asthmatics. Asthma contributed 0.019% to interindividual dissimilarities in intestinal microbiota composition, which was not significant (P = .97). Asthmatics could not be distinguished from non-asthmatics based on individual microbiota composition by an extremely randomized trees classifier model (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve = 0.54). In conclusion, there were no prominent differences in fecal microbiota composition in adult asthmatics when compared to non-asthmatics in an urban, large-sized and ethnically diverse cohort.

SARS-CoV-2 antibody prevalence and correlates of six ethnic groups living in Amsterdam, the Netherlands: a population-based cross-sectional study, June-October 2020

OBJECTIVES

It has been suggested that ethnic minorities have been disproportionally affected by the COVID-19. We aimed to determine whether prevalence and correlates of past SARS-CoV-2 exposure varied between six ethnic groups in Amsterdam, the Netherlands.

DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS

Participants aged 25-79 years enrolled in the Healthy Life in an Urban Setting population-based prospective cohort (n=16 889) were randomly selected within ethnic groups and invited to participate in a cross-sectional COVID-19 seroprevalence substudy.

OUTCOME MEASURES

We tested participants for SARS-CoV-2-specific antibodies and collected information on SARS-CoV-2 exposures. We estimated prevalence and correlates of SARS-CoV-2 exposure within ethnic groups using survey-weighted logistic regression adjusting for age, sex and calendar time.

RESULTS

Between 24 June and 9 October 2020, we included 2497 participants. Adjusted SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence was comparable between ethnic Dutch (24/498; 5.1%, 95% CI 2.8% to 7.4%), South-Asian Surinamese (22/451; 4.9%, 95% CI 2.2% to 7.7%), African Surinamese (22/400; 8.3%, 95% CI 3.1% to 13.6%), Turkish (30/408; 7.9%, 95% CI 4.4% to 11.4%) and Moroccan (32/391; 7.2%, 95% CI 4.2% to 10.1%) participants, but higher among Ghanaians (95/327; 26.3%, 95% CI 18.5% to 34.0%). 57.1% of SARS-CoV-2-positive participants did not suspect or were unsure of being infected, which was lowest in African Surinamese (18.2%) and highest in Ghanaians (90.5%). Correlates of SARS-CoV-2 exposure varied across ethnic groups, while the most common correlate was having a household member suspected of infection. In Ghanaians, seropositivity was associated with older age, larger household sizes, living with small children, leaving home to work and attending religious services.

CONCLUSIONS

No remarkable differences in SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence were observed between the largest ethnic groups in Amsterdam after the first wave of infections. The higher infection seroprevalence observed among Ghanaians, which passed mostly unnoticed, warrants wider prevention efforts and opportunities for non-symptom-based testing.

The association between gender-related characteristics and type 2 diabetes risk in a multi-ethnic population: The HELIUS study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Men and women have different type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) risks, which have been reported across populations of different ethnicity. Where differences in T2DM risk for sex (biological) have been studied, research on gender (socio-cultural) and T2DM risk is lacking. We explored, in a multi-ethnic population, the association of six gender-related characteristics with incident T2DM over 3 years, and the mediation by known risk factors for T2DM.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We included 9605 women and 7080 men of the multi-ethnic HELIUS study (Amsterdam, the Netherlands). We studied associations between gender-related characteristics and incident T2DM, using Cox regression. After a median of 3.0 years (IQR 2.0; 4.0), 198 (2.1%) women and 137 (1.9%) men developed T2DM. A lower T2DM risk was observed in those not being the primary earner (HR 0.67; 95% CI 0.47; 0.93) and a higher desired level of social support (HR 0.62; 95% CI 0.44; 0.87). Hours spent on household work, home repairs, type of employment and male- or female-dominated occupation were not associated with T2DM incidence. No evidence for effect modification by biological sex or ethnicity was found. Known risk factors of T2DM did not mediate the observed associations.

CONCLUSION

Gender-related characteristics, not being the primary earner and a higher desired social support were associated with reduced T2DM risk, and this was not mediated by known risk factors for T2DM.

Physical Activity and Dietary Composition Relate to Differences in Gut Microbial Patterns in a Multi-Ethnic Cohort-The HELIUS Study

Physical activity (PA) at recommended levels contributes to the prevention of non-communicable diseases, such as atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (asCVD) and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). Since the composition of the gut microbiota is strongly intertwined with dietary intake, the specific effect of exercise on the gut microbiota is not known. Moreover, multiple other factors, such as ethnicity, influence the composition of the gut microbiota, and this may be derived by distinct diet as well as PA patterns. Here we aim to untangle the associations between PA and the gut microbiota in a sample (n = 1334) from the Healthy Life In an Urban Setting (HELIUS) multi-ethnic cohort. The associations of different food groups and gut microbiota were also analyzed. PA was monitored using subjective (n = 1309) and objective (n = 162) methods, and dietary intake was assessed with ethnic-specific food frequency questionnaire (FFQ). The gut microbiota was profiled using 16S rRNA gene amplicon sequencing, and the functional composition was generated with the Phylogenetic Investigation of Communities by Reconstruction of Unobserved States (PICRUSt2). Associations were assessed using multivariable and machine learning models. In this cohort, a distinct gut microbiota composition was associated with meeting the Dutch PA norm as well as with dietary intake, e.g., grains. PA related parameters such as muscle strength and calf circumference correlated with gut microbiota diversity. Furthermore, gut microbial functionality differed between active and sedentary groups. Differential representation of ethnicities in active and sedentary groups in both monitor methods hampered the detection of ethnic-specific effects. In conclusion, both PA and dietary intake were associated with gut microbiota composition in our multi-ethnic cohort. Future studies should further elucidate the role of ethnicity and diet in this association.

Prospective analysis of gender-related characteristics in relation to cardiovascular disease

Background

Cardiovascular diseases (CVD) are a major public health problem in men and women worldwide. Differences in CVD incidence between men and women have been widely reported, although explanations for these differences remain unclear. Next to sex-related (biological) characteristics, gender-related (sociocultural) characteristics may partly explain how these differences arise. We aimed to establish the associations between selected gender-related characteristics and CVD incidence.

Methods

We linked baseline data of 18,058 participants without CVD from the population-based, multi-ethnic HELIUS study (Amsterdam, the Netherlands) to CVD incidence data, based on hospital admission and death records from Statistics Netherlands in 2013-2018. Using Cox regression analyses, we studied associations of time spent on household work, doing home repairs, primary earner status, type of employment, performing a male-dominated or female-dominated occupation, and desire for emotional support with CVD incidence, overall (with or without adjustment for sex) and stratified by sex. Analyses were adjusted for age, ethnicity, and socioeconomic status.

Results

In the fully adjusted analyses, most gender-related characteristics were not associated with higher CVD incidence, overall and among men. In women, homemakers had a higher hazard for CVD compared to fulltime workers (hazard ratio [HR] 2.34, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.35-4.04), whereas those spending a moderate amount of time on household work had a lower hazard for CVD than those spending little time (HR 0.56, 95% CI 0.34-0.95).

Conclusions

Although most gender-related characteristics were not associated with CVD incidence in men, being the homemaker and time spent on household work were associated with CVD incidence in women. Thus, attention to gender-related characteristics may in future help to identify subgroups that may benefit from additional prevention strategies.

Key messages

Some gender-related characteristics are relevant for cardiovascular disease risk, particularly in women. Attention to gender-related characteristics may in future help to identify subgroups that may benefit from additional prevention strategies.

Associations between plasma metabolite profiles and blood pressure: the HELIUS study

Background

Blood pressure (BP) is regulated by plasma metabolites from different neurohumoral and cardiometabolic systems. Since there are established differences in hypertension pathogenesis and treatment response between ethnicities, we hypothesized that plasma metabolites may be differently associated with BP across ethnic groups.

Purpose

To investigate associations between plasma metabolite profiles and BP in a multi-ethnic population-based cohort.

Methods

From the Healthy Living In an Urban Setting (HELIUS) study, 369 subjects (mean age 52±11 years, 51%F) of African and non-African descent were included. Office systolic (136±21 mmHg) and diastolic (83±12 mmHg) BP levels were recorded. Plasma metabolites were measured semi-quantitively with LC-MS (Metabolon) from fasting plasma samples. Associations between metabolite profiles and BP were assessed with machine learning prediction models using the XGBoost algorithm with nested cross-validation. Associations between the resulting best predictors and BP were assessed with linear regression models while adjusting for age, sex, estimated glomerular filtration rate and diabetes.

Results

Plasma metabolite profiles explained 14.1% of systolic BP variance and 10.6% of diastolic BP variance. These were attenuated to 3.1% and 1.4% respectively, when using residuals of BP after adjusting for age and sex. Top predictors for both systolic and diastolic BP included N-formylmethionine, several acylcarnitines and polyunsaturated fatty acids such as hexadecadienoate. These metabolites were significantly associated with higher systolic BP with estimates ranging from 3.0 to 4.5 mmHg per 1 SD increase in the adjusted models. Associations with hexadecadienoate, dihomolinoleate and catecholamine metabolites, including vanillactate had significant interactions (p&lt;0.05) with ethnicity, and were only significant in subjects of non-African descent.

Conclusions

Plasma metabolome composition explained a large proportion of BP variance, but this association was attenuated when adjusting for confounders. Polyunsaturated fatty acids and catecholamine metabolites were only associated with BP in the non-African descent subjects. N-formylmethionine was the most consistent predictor for systolic BP across all subgroups. Future studies could focus on translating these findings in vitro in order to decipher the role of N-formylmethionine in BP regulation.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public grant(s) – EU funding. Main funding source(s): Dutch Heart Foundation, the Netherlands Organization for Health Research and Development, the European Integration Fund and the European Union (Seventh Framework Programme) Explained variances of machine learningLinear regression models

Modifiable lifetime risk for recurrent major cardiovascular events: observations in a contemporary pooled cohort

Introduction

The major modifiable risk factors for atherosclerosis – lifestyle, hypertension, diabetes and cholesterol – collectively account for 80 to 90% of disease burden. Currently, the majority of coronary patients does not meet the guideline-directed treatment targets for these risk factors, resulting in high levels of residual risk. An increasing number of novel preventive drugs aims to reduce this residual risk, but are not considered cost-effective when added routinely to all patients. Quantifying the potential lifetime risk reduction one year after an acute coronary syndrome (ACS) may aid in optimum use of available treatment and value-based use of novel drugs.

Purpose

The purpose of this analysis was to quantify the loss of lifetime risk reduction due to suboptimal modifiable risk factor control in patients with prior ACS or revascularisation.

Methods

We pooled six recent prospective studies (Response 1 [1] and 2 [2], Opticare [3], EuroAspire IV [4] and V [5] and HELIUS [6]) with Dutch patients (n=3,230, 24% women) at mean age 61±8 years and follow-up at median 1.1 [IQR 1.0–1.8] years after an ACS or revascularisation. We investigated individual lifestyle- and drug-modifiable risk factors at guideline-directed targets. Using the SMART-REACH model [7], we calculated % reduction of individual residual lifetime risk for myocardial infarction, stroke, or cardiovascular death and event free years gained by the change from current treatment to a (simulated) guideline-directed optimal situation.

Results

Risk factor control was far from optimal: only 7% met all lifestyle-related risk targets, whereas 10% met none: 30% persist smoking, 79% was overweight (BMI ≥25 kg/m2), of which 40% obese (BMI ≥30 kg/m2), and 45% reported insufficient physical activity (&lt;150 minutes per week). Systolic blood pressure ≥140 mmHg was found in 40%, and LDL-cholesterol ≥1.8 mmol/L or ≥2.5 mmol/L (depending on the target at that time) in 65%. Basic preventive medication use was, however, common: 87% used antithrombotic agents, 85% lipid lowering drugs and 86% any blood pressure lowering drugs. By the change from current to optimal guideline-directed treatment, residual lifetime risk for cardiovascular events and cardiovascular death would decrease from a mean of 54±11% to 25±10% (Figure 1), and a median of 7.4 [IQR 5.2–10.6] event free years would be gained (Figure 2).

Conclusion

Suboptimal risk factor control resulted in avoidable high residual lifetime risk of myocardial infarction, stroke, or cardiovascular death and loss of event free years in patients with prior ACS or revascularisation. This finding highlights the unexploited potential of optimised use of available lifestyle- and drug treatment to significantly reduce residual lifetime risk.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None. Figure 1. Modifiable residual lifetime riskFigure 2. Lifetime benefit in CVD event free years