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Böhnstedt M, Gampe J, Caljouw MAA, Putter H. Incorporating delayed entry into the joint frailty model for recurrent events and a terminal event. Lifetime Data Anal 2023; 29:585-607. [PMID: 36653684 DOI: 10.1007/s10985-022-09587-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/30/2021] [Accepted: 12/12/2022] [Indexed: 06/13/2023]
Abstract
In studies of recurrent events, joint modeling approaches are often needed to allow for potential dependent censoring by a terminal event such as death. Joint frailty models for recurrent events and death with an additional dependence parameter have been studied for cases in which individuals are observed from the start of the event processes. However, samples are often selected at a later time, which results in delayed entry so that only individuals who have not yet experienced the terminal event will be included. In joint frailty models such left truncation has effects on the frailty distribution that need to be accounted for in both the recurrence process and the terminal event process, if the two are associated. We demonstrate, in a comprehensive simulation study, the effects that not adjusting for late entry can have and derive the correctly adjusted marginal likelihood, which can be expressed as a ratio of two integrals over the frailty distribution. We extend the estimation method of Liu and Huang (Stat Med 27:2665-2683, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1002/sim.3077 ) to include potential left truncation. Numerical integration is performed by Gaussian quadrature, the baseline intensities are specified as piecewise constant functions, potential covariates are assumed to have multiplicative effects on the intensities. We apply the method to estimate age-specific intensities of recurrent urinary tract infections and mortality in an older population.
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Affiliation(s)
- Marie Böhnstedt
- Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany
- Department of Biomedical Data Sciences, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, The Netherlands
| | - Jutta Gampe
- Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany
| | - Monique A A Caljouw
- Department of Public Health and Primary Care, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, The Netherlands
| | - Hein Putter
- Department of Biomedical Data Sciences, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, The Netherlands.
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Reusch C, Scheuerlein A, Grosche L, Meier F, Gampe J, Dammhahn M, van Schaik J, Kerth G. The risk faced by the early bat: individual plasticity and mortality costs of the timing of spring departure after hibernation. OIKOS 2023. [DOI: 10.1111/oik.09654] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/07/2023]
Affiliation(s)
- Christine Reusch
- Applied Zoology and Nature Conservation, Zoological Inst. and Museum, Univ. of Greifswald Greifswald Germany
- Dept of Evolutionary Ecology, Leibniz Inst. for Zoo and Wildlife Research Berlin Germany
| | - Alexander Scheuerlein
- Applied Zoology and Nature Conservation, Zoological Inst. and Museum, Univ. of Greifswald Greifswald Germany
| | - Leo Grosche
- Applied Zoology and Nature Conservation, Zoological Inst. and Museum, Univ. of Greifswald Greifswald Germany
| | - Frauke Meier
- Applied Zoology and Nature Conservation, Zoological Inst. and Museum, Univ. of Greifswald Greifswald Germany
| | - Jutta Gampe
- Laboratory of Statistical Demography, Max‐Planck Inst. for Demographic Research Rostock Germany
| | - Melanie Dammhahn
- Behavioural Biology, Inst. for Neurobiology and Univ. of Münster Münster Germany
| | - Jaap van Schaik
- Applied Zoology and Nature Conservation, Zoological Inst. and Museum, Univ. of Greifswald Greifswald Germany
| | - Gerald Kerth
- Applied Zoology and Nature Conservation, Zoological Inst. and Museum, Univ. of Greifswald Greifswald Germany
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3
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Hale JM, Schneider DC, Gampe J, Mehta NK, Myrskylä M. Rejoinder to "The Prevalence of Cognitive Impairment Is Not Increasing in the United States: A Critique of Hale et al. (2020)". Epidemiology 2021; 32:717-720. [PMID: 34224473 PMCID: PMC8528130 DOI: 10.1097/ede.0000000000001383] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/01/2022]
Abstract
Supplemental Digital Content is available in the text.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jo Mhairi Hale
- From the University of St Andrews, Scotland, United Kingdom
- Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany
| | | | - Jutta Gampe
- Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany
| | - Neil K. Mehta
- The University of Texas Medical Branch, Galveston, TX
| | - Mikko Myrskylä
- Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany
- University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland
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4
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Böhnstedt M, Gampe J, Putter H. Information measures and design issues in the study of mortality deceleration: findings for the gamma-Gompertz model. Lifetime Data Anal 2021; 27:333-356. [PMID: 33630224 PMCID: PMC8238756 DOI: 10.1007/s10985-021-09518-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/27/2020] [Accepted: 02/05/2021] [Indexed: 06/12/2023]
Abstract
Mortality deceleration, or the slowing down of death rates at old ages, has been repeatedly investigated, but empirical studies of this phenomenon have produced mixed results. The scarcity of observations at the oldest ages complicates the statistical assessment of mortality deceleration, even in the parsimonious parametric framework of the gamma-Gompertz model considered here. The need for thorough verification of the ages at death can further limit the available data. As logistical constraints may only allow to validate survivors beyond a certain (high) age, samples may be restricted to a certain age range. If we can quantify the effects of the sample size and the age range on the assessment of mortality deceleration, we can make recommendations for study design. For that purpose, we propose applying the concept of the Fisher information and ideas from the theory of optimal design. We compute the Fisher information matrix in the gamma-Gompertz model, and derive information measures for comparing the performance of different study designs. We then discuss interpretations of these measures. The special case in which the frailty variance takes the value of zero and lies on the boundary of the parameter space is given particular attention. The changes in information related to varying sample sizes or age ranges are investigated for specific scenarios. The Fisher information also allows us to study the power of a likelihood ratio test to detect mortality deceleration depending on the study design. We illustrate these methods with a study of mortality among late nineteenth-century French-Canadian birth cohorts.
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Affiliation(s)
- Marie Böhnstedt
- Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
- Department of Biomedical Data Sciences, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, The Netherlands.
| | - Jutta Gampe
- Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany
| | - Hein Putter
- Department of Biomedical Data Sciences, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, The Netherlands
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5
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Böhnstedt M, Putter H, Dańko A, Dańko MJ, Gampe J. Joint modeling of interval counts of recurrent events and death. Biom J 2020; 63:323-340. [PMID: 32537826 DOI: 10.1002/bimj.201900367] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/29/2019] [Revised: 03/06/2020] [Accepted: 03/31/2020] [Indexed: 11/08/2022]
Abstract
When a recurrent event process is ended by death, this may imply dependent censoring if the two processes are associated. Such dependent censoring would have to be modeled to obtain a valid inference. Moreover, the dependence between the recurrence process and the terminal event may be the primary topic of interest. Joint frailty models for recurrent events and death, which include a separate dependence parameter, have been proposed for exactly observed recurrence times. However, in many situations, only the number of events experienced during consecutive time intervals are available. We propose a method for estimating a joint frailty model based on such interval counts and observed or independently censored terminal events. The baseline rates of the two processes are modeled by piecewise constant functions, and Gaussian quadrature is used to approximate the marginal likelihood. Covariates can be included in a proportional rates setting. The observation intervals for the recurrent event counts can differ between individuals. Furthermore, we adapt a score test for the association between recurrent events and death to the setting in which only individual interval counts are observed. We study the performance of both approaches via simulation studies, and exemplify the methodology in a biodemographic study of the dependence between budding rates and mortality in the species Eleutheria dichotoma.
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Affiliation(s)
- Marie Böhnstedt
- Laboratory of Statistical Demography, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.,Department of Biomedical Data Sciences, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, The Netherlands
| | - Hein Putter
- Department of Biomedical Data Sciences, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, The Netherlands
| | - Aleksandra Dańko
- Department of Biosciences, University of Rostock, Rostock, Germany
| | - Maciej J Dańko
- Laboratory of Population Health, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany
| | - Jutta Gampe
- Laboratory of Statistical Demography, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany
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6
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Höhn A, Gampe J, Lindahl-Jacobsen R, Christensen K, Oksuyzan A. Do men avoid seeking medical advice? A register-based analysis of gender-specific changes in primary healthcare use after first hospitalisation at ages 60+ in Denmark. J Epidemiol Community Health 2020; 74:573-579. [PMID: 32303595 PMCID: PMC7337231 DOI: 10.1136/jech-2019-213435] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/29/2019] [Revised: 02/18/2020] [Accepted: 03/12/2020] [Indexed: 11/03/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND It remains unclear whether women's greater primary healthcare use reflects a lower treatment-seeking threshold or a health disadvantage. We address this question by studying primary healthcare use surrounding a major health shock. METHODS This cohort study utilises routinely-collected healthcare data covering the Danish population aged 60+ years between 1996 and 2011. Using a hurdle model, we investigate levels of non-use and levels of primary healthcare use before and after first inpatient hospitalisation for stroke, myocardial infarction (MI), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and gastrointestinal cancers (GIC). RESULTS Before hospitalisation, irrespective of cause, men were more likely than women to be non-users of primary healthcare (OR (95% CI): stroke 1.802 (1.731 to 1.872); MI 1.841 (1.760 to 1.922); COPD 2.160 (2.028 to 2.292); GIC 1.609 (1.525 to 1.693)). Men who were users had fewer primary healthcare contacts than women (proportional change (eβ) (95% CI): stroke 0.821 (0.806 to 0.836); MI 0.796 (0.778 to 0.814); COPD 0.855 (0.832 to 0.878); GIC 0.859 (0.838 to 0.881)). Following hospitalisation, changes in the probability of being a non-user (OR (95% CI): stroke 0.965 (0.879 to 1.052); MI 0.894 (0.789 to 0.999); COPD 0.755 (0.609 to 0.900); GIC 0.895 (0.801 to 0.988)) and levels of primary healthcare use (eβ (95% CI): stroke 1.113 (1.102 to 1.124); MI 1.112 (1.099 to 1.124); COPD 1.078 (1.063 to 1.093); GIC 1.097 (1.079 to 1.114)) were more pronounced among men. Gender differences widened after accounting for survival following hospitalisation. CONCLUSION Women's consistently higher levels of primary healthcare use are likely to be explained by a combination of a lower treatment-seeking threshold and a health disadvantage resulting from better survival in bad health.
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Affiliation(s)
- Andreas Höhn
- Institute of Genetics and Molecular Medicine, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK .,Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.,Department of Epidemiology, Biostatistics, and Biodemography, University of Southern Denmark, Odense C, Denmark
| | - Jutta Gampe
- Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany
| | - Rune Lindahl-Jacobsen
- Department of Epidemiology, Biostatistics, and Biodemography, University of Southern Denmark, Odense C, Denmark.,Interdisciplinary Centre on Population Dynamics (Cpop), University of Southern Denmark, Odense C, Denmark
| | - Kaare Christensen
- Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.,Danish Aging Research Center, University of Southern Denmark, Odense C, Denmark
| | - Anna Oksuyzan
- Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany
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7
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Oksuzyan A, Sauer T, Gampe J, Höhn A, Wod M, Christensen K, Wastesson JW. Is Who you Ask Important? Concordance Between Survey and Registry Data on Medication Use Among Self- and Proxy-Respondents in the Longitudinal Study of Aging Danish Twins and the Danish 1905-Cohort Study. J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci 2020; 74:742-747. [PMID: 29924318 PMCID: PMC6477639 DOI: 10.1093/gerona/gly104] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/13/2017] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
Background This study investigates the accuracy of the reporting of medication use by proxy- and self-respondents, and it compares the prognostic value of the number of medications from survey and registry data for predicting mortality across self- and proxy-respondents. Methods The study is based on the linkage of the Longitudinal Study of Aging Danish Twins and the Danish 1905–Cohort Study with the Danish National Prescription Registry. We investigated the concordance between survey and registry data, and the prognostic value of medication use when assessed using survey and registry data, to predict mortality for self- and proxy-respondents at intake surveys. Results Among self-respondents, the agreement was moderate (κ = 0.52–0.58) for most therapeutic groups, whereas among proxy-respondents, the agreement was low to moderate (κ = 0.36–0.60). The magnitude of the relative differences was, generally, greater among proxies than among self-respondents. Each additional increase in the total number of medications was associated with 7%–8% mortality increase among self- and 4%–6% mortality increase among proxy-respondents in both the survey and registry data. The predictive value of the total number of medications estimated from either data source was lower among proxies (c-statistic = 0.56–0.58) than among self-respondents (c-statistic = 0.74). Conclusions The concordance between survey and registry data regarding medication use and the predictive value of the number of medications for mortality were lower among proxy- than among self-respondents.
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Affiliation(s)
- Anna Oksuzyan
- Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany
| | - Torsten Sauer
- Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.,Institute for Sociology and Demography, University of Rostock, Germany
| | - Jutta Gampe
- Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany
| | - Andreas Höhn
- Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.,Department of Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Biodemography, Institute of Public Health, University of Southern Denmark, Odense
| | - Mette Wod
- Department of Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Biodemography, Institute of Public Health, University of Southern Denmark, Odense.,Danish Aging Research Center, Institute of Public Health, University of Southern Denmark, Odense
| | - Kaare Christensen
- Department of Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Biodemography, Institute of Public Health, University of Southern Denmark, Odense.,Danish Aging Research Center, Institute of Public Health, University of Southern Denmark, Odense
| | - Jonas W Wastesson
- Aging Research Center, Department of Neurobiology, Care Sciences and Society, Karolinska Institute and Stockholm University, Sweden
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8
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Reusch C, Gampe J, Scheuerlein A, Meier F, Grosche L, Kerth G. Differences in seasonal survival suggest species-specific reactions to climate change in two sympatric bat species. Ecol Evol 2019; 9:7957-7965. [PMID: 31380063 PMCID: PMC6662409 DOI: 10.1002/ece3.5292] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/22/2018] [Revised: 11/19/2018] [Accepted: 12/21/2018] [Indexed: 11/22/2022] Open
Abstract
Long-lived animals with a low annual reproductive output need a long time to recover from population crashes and are, thus, likely to face high extinction risk, if the current global environmental change will increase mortality rates. To aid conservation of those species, knowledge on the variability of mortality rates is essential. Unfortunately, however, individual-based multiyear data sets that are required for that have only rarely been collected for free-ranging long-lived mammals. Here, we used a five-year data set comprising activity data of 1,445 RFID-tagged individuals of two long-lived temperate zone bat species, Natterer's bats (Myotis nattereri) and Daubenton's bats (Myotis daubentonii), at their joint hibernaculum. Both species are listed as being of high conservation interest by the European Habitats Directive. Applying mixed-effects logistic regression, we explored seasonal survival differences in these two species which differ in foraging strategy and phenology. In both species, survival over the first winter of an individual's life was much lower than survival over subsequent winters. Focussing on adults only, seasonal survival patterns were largely consistent with higher winter and lower summer survival but varied in its level across years in both species. Our analyses, furthermore, highlight the importance of species-specific time periods for survival. Daubenton's bats showed a much stronger difference in survival between the two seasons than Natterer's bats. In one exceptional winter, the population of Natterer's bats crashed, while the survival of Daubenton's bats declined only moderately. While our results confirm the general seasonal survival pattern typical for hibernating mammals with higher winter than summer survival, they also show that this pattern can be reversed under particular conditions. Overall, our study points toward a high importance of specific time periods for population dynamics and suggests species-, population-, and age class-specific responses to global climate change.
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Affiliation(s)
- Christine Reusch
- Applied Zoology and Nature Conservation, Zoological Institute and MuseumUniversity of GreifswaldGreifswaldGermany
| | - Jutta Gampe
- Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (MPIDR)RostockGermany
| | | | - Frauke Meier
- Applied Zoology and Nature Conservation, Zoological Institute and MuseumUniversity of GreifswaldGreifswaldGermany
- Echolot – Büro für Fledermauskunde Landschaftsökologie und UmweltbildungMünsterGermany
| | - Lena Grosche
- Applied Zoology and Nature Conservation, Zoological Institute and MuseumUniversity of GreifswaldGreifswaldGermany
- Echolot – Büro für Fledermauskunde Landschaftsökologie und UmweltbildungMünsterGermany
| | - Gerald Kerth
- Applied Zoology and Nature Conservation, Zoological Institute and MuseumUniversity of GreifswaldGreifswaldGermany
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Gampe J, Camarda CG. Guest Editorial: Statistical Modelling in Demographics. STAT MODEL 2019. [DOI: 10.1177/1471082x19852227] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
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10
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Oksuzyan A, Sauer T, Gampe J, Hoehn A, Wod M, Christensen K, Wastesson J. IS WHOM YOU ASK IMPORTANT? REPORTING OF MEDICATION USE BY SELF- AND PROXY-RESPONDENTS. Innov Aging 2018. [DOI: 10.1093/geroni/igy023.3199] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Affiliation(s)
- A Oksuzyan
- Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research
| | | | - J Gampe
- Laboratory of Statistical Demography
| | - A Hoehn
- Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany
| | - M Wod
- Department of Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Biodemography, Institute of Public Health, University of Southern Denmark
| | | | - J Wastesson
- Aging Research Center, Karolinska Institutet
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11
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Fleischer T, Gampe J, Scheuerlein A, Kerth G. Rare catastrophic events drive population dynamics in a bat species with negligible senescence. Sci Rep 2017; 7:7370. [PMID: 28779071 PMCID: PMC5544728 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-017-06392-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 32] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/06/2017] [Accepted: 06/12/2017] [Indexed: 11/09/2022] Open
Abstract
Bats are remarkably long-lived with lifespans exceeding even those of same-sized birds. Despite a recent interest in the extraordinary longevity of bats very little is known about the shape of mortality over age, and how mortality rates are affected by the environment. Using a large set of individual-based data collected over 19 years in four free-ranging colonies of Bechstein's bats (Myotis bechsteinii), we found no increase in the rate of mortality and no decrease in fertility demonstrating no senescence until high ages. Our finding of negligible senescence is highly unusual for long-lived mammals, grouping Bechstein's bats with long-lived seabirds. The most important determinant of adult mortality was one particular winter season, which affected all ages and sizes equally. Apart from this winter, mortality risk did not differ between the winter and the summer season. Colony membership, a proxy for local environmental conditions, also had no effect. In addition to their implications for understanding the extra-ordinary longevity in bats, our results have strong implications for the conservation of bats, since rare catastrophic mortality events can only be detected in individual based long-term field studies. With many bat species globally threatened, such data are crucial for the successful implementation of conservation programs.
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Affiliation(s)
- Toni Fleischer
- Applied Zoology and Conservation, Zoological Institute, University of Greifswald, Johann, Sebastian Bach-Strasse 11/12, 17487, Greifswald, Germany.
- Evolutionary Biodemography, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Konrad-Zuse-Str., 1 D-18057, Rostock, Germany.
| | - Jutta Gampe
- Statistical Demography, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Konrad-Zuse-Str., 1 D-18057, Rostock, Germany
| | - Alexander Scheuerlein
- Evolutionary Biodemography, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Konrad-Zuse-Str., 1 D-18057, Rostock, Germany
| | - Gerald Kerth
- Applied Zoology and Conservation, Zoological Institute, University of Greifswald, Johann, Sebastian Bach-Strasse 11/12, 17487, Greifswald, Germany
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12
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | - Jutta Gampe
- Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; Rostock Germany
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13
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Abstract
Representing the conditional mean in Poisson regression directly as a sum of smooth components can provide a realistic model of the data generating process. Here, we present an approach that allows such an additive decomposition of the expected values of counts. The model can be formulated as a penalized composite link model and can, therefore, be estimated by a modified iteratively weighted least-squares algorithm. Further shape constraints on the smooth additive components can be enforced by additional penalties, and the model is extended to two dimensions. We present two applications that motivate the model and demonstrate the versatility of the approach.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Paul HC Eilers
- Department of Biostatistics, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Rotterdam, the Netherlands
| | - Jutta Gampe
- Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany
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14
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Abstract
Senescence, the increase in mortality and decline in fertility with age after maturity, was thought to be inevitable for all multicellular species capable of repeated breeding. Recent theoretical advances and compilations of data suggest that mortality and fertility trajectories can go up or down, or remain constant with age, but the data are scanty and problematic. Here, we present compelling evidence for constant age-specific death and reproduction rates in Hydra, a basal metazoan, in a set of experiments comprising more than 3.9 million days of observations of individual Hydra. Our data show that 2,256 Hydra from two closely related species in two laboratories in 12 cohorts, with cohort age ranging from 0 to more than 41 y, have extremely low, constant rates of mortality. Fertility rates for Hydra did not systematically decline with advancing age. This falsifies the universality of the theories of the evolution of aging that posit that all species deteriorate with age after maturity. The nonsenescent life history of Hydra implies levels of maintenance and repair that are sufficient to prevent the accumulation of damage for at least decades after maturity, far longer than the short life expectancy of Hydra in the wild. A high proportion of stem cells, constant and rapid cell turnover, few cell types, a simple body plan, and the fact that the germ line is not segregated from the soma are characteristics of Hydra that may make nonsenescence feasible. Nonsenescence may be optimal because lifetime reproduction may be enhanced more by extending adult life spans than by increasing daily fertility.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ralf Schaible
- Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, 18057 Rostock, Germany
| | | | - Maciej J Dańko
- Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, 18057 Rostock, Germany
| | - Jutta Gampe
- Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, 18057 Rostock, Germany
| | | | - James W Vaupel
- Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, 18057 Rostock, Germany; Max-Planck Odense Center on the Biodemography of Aging, DK-5000 Odense, Denmark; Duke Population Research Institute, Duke University, Durham, NC 27708
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15
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Abstract
Ungrouping binned data can be desirable for many reasons: Bins can be too coarse to allow for accurate analysis; comparisons can be hindered when different grouping approaches are used in different histograms; and the last interval is often wide and open-ended and, thus, covers a lot of information in the tail area. Age group-specific disease incidence rates and abridged life tables are examples of binned data. We propose a versatile method for ungrouping histograms that assumes that only the underlying distribution is smooth. Because of this modest assumption, the approach is suitable for most applications. The method is based on the composite link model, with a penalty added to ensure the smoothness of the target distribution. Estimates are obtained by maximizing a penalized likelihood. This maximization is performed efficiently by a version of the iteratively reweighted least-squares algorithm. Optimal values of the smoothing parameter are chosen by minimizing Akaike's Information Criterion. We demonstrate the performance of this method in a simulation study and provide several examples that illustrate the approach. Wide, open-ended intervals can be handled properly. The method can be extended to the estimation of rates when both the event counts and the exposures to risk are grouped.
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Affiliation(s)
- Silvia Rizzi
- Correspondence to Silvia Rizzi, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Konrad-Zuse-Straße 1, 18057 Rostock, Germany (e-mail: )
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Deelen J, Beekman M, Uh HW, Broer L, Ayers KL, Tan Q, Kamatani Y, Bennet AM, Tamm R, Trompet S, Guðbjartsson DF, Flachsbart F, Rose G, Viktorin A, Fischer K, Nygaard M, Cordell HJ, Crocco P, van den Akker EB, Böhringer S, Helmer Q, Nelson CP, Saunders GI, Alver M, Andersen-Ranberg K, Breen ME, van der Breggen R, Caliebe A, Capri M, Cevenini E, Collerton JC, Dato S, Davies K, Ford I, Gampe J, Garagnani P, de Geus EJC, Harrow J, van Heemst D, Heijmans BT, Heinsen FA, Hottenga JJ, Hofman A, Jeune B, Jonsson PV, Lathrop M, Lechner D, Martin-Ruiz C, Mcnerlan SE, Mihailov E, Montesanto A, Mooijaart SP, Murphy A, Nohr EA, Paternoster L, Postmus I, Rivadeneira F, Ross OA, Salvioli S, Sattar N, Schreiber S, Stefánsson H, Stott DJ, Tiemeier H, Uitterlinden AG, Westendorp RGJ, Willemsen G, Samani NJ, Galan P, Sørensen TIA, Boomsma DI, Jukema JW, Rea IM, Passarino G, de Craen AJM, Christensen K, Nebel A, Stefánsson K, Metspalu A, Magnusson P, Blanché H, Christiansen L, Kirkwood TBL, van Duijn CM, Franceschi C, Houwing-Duistermaat JJ, Slagboom PE. Genome-wide association meta-analysis of human longevity identifies a novel locus conferring survival beyond 90 years of age. Hum Mol Genet 2014; 23:4420-32. [PMID: 24688116 PMCID: PMC4103672 DOI: 10.1093/hmg/ddu139] [Citation(s) in RCA: 173] [Impact Index Per Article: 17.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/18/2022] Open
Abstract
The genetic contribution to the variation in human lifespan is ∼25%. Despite the large number of identified disease-susceptibility loci, it is not known which loci influence population mortality. We performed a genome-wide association meta-analysis of 7729 long-lived individuals of European descent (≥85 years) and 16 121 younger controls (<65 years) followed by replication in an additional set of 13 060 long-lived individuals and 61 156 controls. In addition, we performed a subset analysis in cases aged ≥90 years. We observed genome-wide significant association with longevity, as reflected by survival to ages beyond 90 years, at a novel locus, rs2149954, on chromosome 5q33.3 (OR = 1.10, P = 1.74 × 10−8). We also confirmed association of rs4420638 on chromosome 19q13.32 (OR = 0.72, P = 3.40 × 10−36), representing the TOMM40/APOE/APOC1 locus. In a prospective meta-analysis (n = 34 103), the minor allele of rs2149954 (T) on chromosome 5q33.3 associates with increased survival (HR = 0.95, P = 0.003). This allele has previously been reported to associate with low blood pressure in middle age. Interestingly, the minor allele (T) associates with decreased cardiovascular mortality risk, independent of blood pressure. We report on the first GWAS-identified longevity locus on chromosome 5q33.3 influencing survival in the general European population. The minor allele of this locus associates with low blood pressure in middle age, although the contribution of this allele to survival may be less dependent on blood pressure. Hence, the pleiotropic mechanisms by which this intragenic variation contributes to lifespan regulation have to be elucidated.
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Affiliation(s)
- Joris Deelen
- Department of Molecular Epidemiology, Netherlands Consortium for Healthy Ageing
| | - Marian Beekman
- Department of Molecular Epidemiology, Netherlands Consortium for Healthy Ageing
| | - Hae-Won Uh
- Department of Medical Statistics and Bioinformatics
| | - Linda Broer
- Netherlands Consortium for Healthy Ageing, Department of Epidemiology and
| | - Kristin L Ayers
- Institute of Genetic Medicine, International Centre for Life, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne NE1 3BZ, UK
| | - Qihua Tan
- Epidemiology, Institute of Public Health and Department of Clinical Genetics and
| | | | - Anna M Bennet
- Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institute, Stockholm SE-171 77, Sweden
| | - Riin Tamm
- Estonian Genome Center and Institute of Molecular and Cell Biology, University of Tartu, Tartu 51010, Estonia
| | - Stella Trompet
- Department of Cardiology and Department of Gerontology and Geriatrics, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden 2300 RC, The Netherlands
| | | | | | - Giuseppina Rose
- Department of Biology, Ecology and Earth Science, University of Calabria, Rende 87036, Italy
| | - Alexander Viktorin
- Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institute, Stockholm SE-171 77, Sweden
| | | | - Marianne Nygaard
- Epidemiology, Institute of Public Health and Department of Clinical Genetics and
| | - Heather J Cordell
- Institute of Genetic Medicine, International Centre for Life, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne NE1 3BZ, UK
| | - Paolina Crocco
- Department of Biology, Ecology and Earth Science, University of Calabria, Rende 87036, Italy
| | - Erik B van den Akker
- Department of Molecular Epidemiology, Delft Bioinformatics Lab, Delft University of Technology, Delft 2600 GA, The Netherlands
| | | | | | - Christopher P Nelson
- Department of Cardiovascular Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester LE3 9QP, UK National Institute for Health Research Leicester Cardiovascular Biomedical Research Unit, Glenfield Hospital, Leicester LE3 9QP, UK
| | - Gary I Saunders
- Human and Vertebrate Analysis and Annotation, The Wellcome Trust Sanger Institute, The Wellcome Trust Genome Campus, Hinxton, Cambridge CB10 1SA, UK
| | - Maris Alver
- Estonian Genome Center and Institute of Molecular and Cell Biology, University of Tartu, Tartu 51010, Estonia
| | | | - Marie E Breen
- School of Medicine, Dentistry and Biomedical Science, Queens University Belfast, Belfast BT9 7BL, UK Department of Psychiatry, University of Iowa, Iowa City, IA 52242, USA
| | | | - Amke Caliebe
- Institute of Medical Informatics and Statistics, Christian-Albrechts-University, Kiel 24105, Germany
| | - Miriam Capri
- Department of Experimental, Diagnostic and Specialty Medicine and
| | - Elisa Cevenini
- Department of Experimental, Diagnostic and Specialty Medicine and
| | - Joanna C Collerton
- Institute for Ageing and Health, Newcastle University, Campus for Ageing and Vitality, Newcastle upon Tyne NE4 5PL, UK
| | - Serena Dato
- Department of Biology, Ecology and Earth Science, University of Calabria, Rende 87036, Italy
| | - Karen Davies
- Institute for Ageing and Health, Newcastle University, Campus for Ageing and Vitality, Newcastle upon Tyne NE4 5PL, UK
| | - Ian Ford
- Robertson Center for Biostatistics and
| | - Jutta Gampe
- Laboratory of Statistical Demography, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock 18057, Germany
| | - Paolo Garagnani
- Department of Experimental, Diagnostic and Specialty Medicine and
| | - Eco J C de Geus
- Department of Biological Psychology, VU University Amsterdam, Amsterdam 1081 BT, The Netherlands EMGO Institute for Health and Care Research, VU University Medical Center, Amsterdam 1081 BT, The Netherlands
| | - Jennifer Harrow
- Human and Vertebrate Analysis and Annotation, The Wellcome Trust Sanger Institute, The Wellcome Trust Genome Campus, Hinxton, Cambridge CB10 1SA, UK
| | - Diana van Heemst
- Department of Gerontology and Geriatrics, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden 2300 RC, The Netherlands
| | - Bastiaan T Heijmans
- Department of Molecular Epidemiology, Netherlands Consortium for Healthy Ageing
| | | | - Jouke-Jan Hottenga
- Department of Biological Psychology, VU University Amsterdam, Amsterdam 1081 BT, The Netherlands
| | - Albert Hofman
- Netherlands Consortium for Healthy Ageing, Department of Epidemiology and
| | | | - Palmi V Jonsson
- Geriatrics, Landspitali University Hospital, Reykjavik 101, Iceland Faculty of Medicine, University of Iceland, Reykjavik 101, Iceland
| | - Mark Lathrop
- Fondation Jean Dausset-CEPH, Paris 75010, France EMGO Institute for Health and Care Research, VU University Medical Center, Amsterdam 1081 BT, The Netherlands McGill University and Génome Québec Innovation Centre, Montréal, Québec, Canada H3A 1A4
| | | | - Carmen Martin-Ruiz
- Institute for Ageing and Health, Newcastle University, Campus for Ageing and Vitality, Newcastle upon Tyne NE4 5PL, UK
| | - Susan E Mcnerlan
- School of Medicine, Dentistry and Biomedical Science, Queens University Belfast, Belfast BT9 7BL, UK Cytogenetics Laboratory, Belfast Health and Social Care Trust, Belfast BT8 8BH, UK
| | - Evelin Mihailov
- Estonian Genome Center and Estonian Biocentre, Tartu 51010, Estonia
| | - Alberto Montesanto
- Department of Biology, Ecology and Earth Science, University of Calabria, Rende 87036, Italy
| | - Simon P Mooijaart
- Netherlands Consortium for Healthy Ageing, Department of Gerontology and Geriatrics, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden 2300 RC, The Netherlands
| | - Anne Murphy
- School of Medicine, Dentistry and Biomedical Science, Queens University Belfast, Belfast BT9 7BL, UK
| | - Ellen A Nohr
- Section for Epidemiology, Department of Public Health, Aarhus University, Aarhus C DK-8000, Denmark Department of Gynecology and Obstetrics, Institute of Clinical Research, University of Southern Denmark, Odense C DK-5000, Denmark
| | - Lavinia Paternoster
- MRC Centre for Causal Analyses in Translational Epidemiology, School of Social and Community Medicine, University of Bristol, Bristol BS8 2BN, UK
| | - Iris Postmus
- Netherlands Consortium for Healthy Ageing, Department of Gerontology and Geriatrics, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden 2300 RC, The Netherlands
| | - Fernando Rivadeneira
- Netherlands Consortium for Healthy Ageing, Department of Epidemiology and Department of Internal Medicine, Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam 3000 CA, The Netherlands
| | - Owen A Ross
- School of Medicine, Dentistry and Biomedical Science, Queens University Belfast, Belfast BT9 7BL, UK Department of Neuroscience, Mayo Clinic, Jacksonville, FL 32224, USA
| | - Stefano Salvioli
- Department of Experimental, Diagnostic and Specialty Medicine and
| | - Naveed Sattar
- BHF Glasgow Cardiovascular Research Centre, Faculty of Medicine, University of Glasgow, Glasgow G12 8TA, UK
| | - Stefan Schreiber
- Institute of Clinical Molecular Biology and PopGen Biobank, Christian-Albrechts-University and University Hospital Schleswig-Holstein, Kiel 24105, Germany
| | | | - David J Stott
- Institute of Cardiovascular and Medical Sciences, University of Glasgow, Glasgow G12 8QQ, UK
| | - Henning Tiemeier
- Netherlands Consortium for Healthy Ageing, Department of Epidemiology and Department of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry, Erasmus Medical Center-Sophia Children's Hospital, Rotterdam 3000 CA, The Netherlands
| | - André G Uitterlinden
- Netherlands Consortium for Healthy Ageing, Department of Epidemiology and Department of Internal Medicine, Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam 3000 CA, The Netherlands
| | - Rudi G J Westendorp
- Netherlands Consortium for Healthy Ageing, Department of Gerontology and Geriatrics, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden 2300 RC, The Netherlands
| | - Gonneke Willemsen
- Department of Biological Psychology, VU University Amsterdam, Amsterdam 1081 BT, The Netherlands
| | - Nilesh J Samani
- Department of Cardiovascular Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester LE3 9QP, UK National Institute for Health Research Leicester Cardiovascular Biomedical Research Unit, Glenfield Hospital, Leicester LE3 9QP, UK
| | - Pilar Galan
- Université Sorbonne Paris Cité-UREN (Unité de Recherche en Epidémiologie Nutritionnelle), U557 Inserm; U1125 Inra; Cnam; Université Paris 13, CRNH IdF, Bobigny 93017, France
| | - Thorkild I A Sørensen
- Novo Nordisk Foundation Center for Basic Metabolic Research, Section on Metabolic Genetics, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen N DK-2200, Denmark Institute of Preventive Medicine, Bispebjerg and Frederiksberg University Hospitals, Frederiksberg DK-2000, Denmark
| | - Dorret I Boomsma
- Department of Biological Psychology, VU University Amsterdam, Amsterdam 1081 BT, The Netherlands
| | - J Wouter Jukema
- Department of Cardiology and Interuniversity Cardiology Institute of the Netherlands, Utrecht 3501 DG, The Netherlands
| | - Irene Maeve Rea
- School of Medicine, Dentistry and Biomedical Science, Queens University Belfast, Belfast BT9 7BL, UK
| | - Giuseppe Passarino
- Department of Biology, Ecology and Earth Science, University of Calabria, Rende 87036, Italy
| | - Anton J M de Craen
- Department of Gerontology and Geriatrics, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden 2300 RC, The Netherlands
| | - Kaare Christensen
- Epidemiology, Institute of Public Health and Department of Clinical Genetics and Clinical Biochemistry and Pharmacology, Odense University Hospital, Odense C DK-5000, Denmark
| | | | - Kári Stefánsson
- Population Genomics, deCODE Genetics, Reykjavík 101, Iceland
| | - Andres Metspalu
- Estonian Genome Center and Institute of Molecular and Cell Biology, University of Tartu, Tartu 51010, Estonia Estonian Biocentre, Tartu 51010, Estonia
| | - Patrik Magnusson
- Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institute, Stockholm SE-171 77, Sweden
| | | | - Lene Christiansen
- Epidemiology, Institute of Public Health and Department of Clinical Genetics and
| | - Thomas B L Kirkwood
- Institute for Ageing and Health, Newcastle University, Campus for Ageing and Vitality, Newcastle upon Tyne NE4 5PL, UK
| | | | - Claudio Franceschi
- Department of Experimental, Diagnostic and Specialty Medicine and Interdepartmental Centre 'L. Galvani', University of Bologna, Bologna 40126, Italy IRCCS Institute of Neurological Science, Bellaria Hospital, Bologna 40139, Italy CNR-ISOF, Bologna 40129, Italy
| | | | - P Eline Slagboom
- Department of Molecular Epidemiology, Netherlands Consortium for Healthy Ageing,
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Beekman M, Blanché H, Perola M, Hervonen A, Bezrukov V, Sikora E, Flachsbart F, Christiansen L, De Craen AJM, Kirkwood TBL, Rea IM, Poulain M, Robine JM, Valensin S, Stazi MA, Passarino G, Deiana L, Gonos ES, Paternoster L, Sørensen TIA, Tan Q, Helmer Q, van den Akker EB, Deelen J, Martella F, Cordell HJ, Ayers KL, Vaupel JW, Törnwall O, Johnson TE, Schreiber S, Lathrop M, Skytthe A, Westendorp RGJ, Christensen K, Gampe J, Nebel A, Houwing-Duistermaat JJ, Slagboom PE, Franceschi C. Genome-wide linkage analysis for human longevity: Genetics of Healthy Aging Study. Aging Cell 2013; 12:184-93. [PMID: 23286790 DOI: 10.1111/acel.12039] [Citation(s) in RCA: 118] [Impact Index Per Article: 10.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 11/27/2012] [Indexed: 01/04/2023] Open
Abstract
Clear evidence exists for heritability of human longevity, and much interest is focused on identifying genes associated with longer lives. To identify such longevity alleles, we performed the largest genome-wide linkage scan thus far reported. Linkage analyses included 2118 nonagenarian Caucasian sibling pairs that have been enrolled in 15 study centers of 11 European countries as part of the Genetics of Healthy Aging (GEHA) project. In the joint linkage analyses, we observed four regions that show linkage with longevity; chromosome 14q11.2 (LOD = 3.47), chromosome 17q12-q22 (LOD = 2.95), chromosome 19p13.3-p13.11 (LOD = 3.76), and chromosome 19q13.11-q13.32 (LOD = 3.57). To fine map these regions linked to longevity, we performed association analysis using GWAS data in a subgroup of 1228 unrelated nonagenarian and 1907 geographically matched controls. Using a fixed-effect meta-analysis approach, rs4420638 at the TOMM40/APOE/APOC1 gene locus showed significant association with longevity (P-value = 9.6 × 10(-8) ). By combined modeling of linkage and association, we showed that association of longevity with APOEε4 and APOEε2 alleles explain the linkage at 19q13.11-q13.32 with P-value = 0.02 and P-value = 1.0 × 10(-5) , respectively. In the largest linkage scan thus far performed for human familial longevity, we confirm that the APOE locus is a longevity gene and that additional longevity loci may be identified at 14q11.2, 17q12-q22, and 19p13.3-p13.11. As the latter linkage results are not explained by common variants, we suggest that rare variants play an important role in human familial longevity.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | - Markus Perola
- The National Institute for Health and Welfare; THL; Helsinki; FI-00271; Finland
| | - Anti Hervonen
- Tampere School of Public Health; Tampere; FI-33014; Finland
| | | | - Ewa Sikora
- Nencki Istitute for Experimental Biology; NENCKI; Warszawa; 02-093; Poland
| | - Friederike Flachsbart
- Institute of Clinical Molecular Biology; Christian-Albrechts-University Kiel (CAU); Kiel; 24118; Germany
| | - Lene Christiansen
- Danish Aging Research Center; Institute of Public Health; University of Southern Denmark; Odense; DK-5230; Denmark
| | | | - Tom B. L. Kirkwood
- Institute for Ageing and Health; Newcastle University; UNEW; Newcastle; NE1 7RU; UK
| | - Irene Maeve Rea
- Queens University of Belfast; QUB; Belfast; Northern Ireland; BT7 1NN; UK
| | | | | | - Silvana Valensin
- Interdepartmental Centre “Luigi Galvani” CIG; University of Bologna UNIBO; Bologna; 40126; Italy
| | | | | | - Luca Deiana
- UNISS; University of Sassari; 07100; Sassari; Italy
| | | | | | | | | | - Quinta Helmer
- Medical Statistics and Bioinformatics; Leiden University Medical Centre; Leiden; ZC; 2333; The Netherlands
| | | | - Joris Deelen
- Molecular Epidemiology; Leiden University Medical Centre; Leiden; ZC; 2333; The Netherlands
| | | | - Heather J. Cordell
- Institute for Ageing and Health; Newcastle University; UNEW; Newcastle; NE1 7RU; UK
| | - Kristin L. Ayers
- Institute for Ageing and Health; Newcastle University; UNEW; Newcastle; NE1 7RU; UK
| | - James W. Vaupel
- Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; MPIDR; 18057; Rostock; Germany
| | - Outi Törnwall
- The National Institute for Health and Welfare; THL; Helsinki; FI-00271; Finland
| | - Thomas E. Johnson
- Institute for Behavioral Genetics; University of Colorado at Boulder; Boulder; CO 80309-0447; USA
| | - Stefan Schreiber
- Institute of Clinical Molecular Biology; Christian-Albrechts-University Kiel (CAU); Kiel; 24118; Germany
| | - Mark Lathrop
- Foundation Jean Dausset; CEPH; 75010; Paris; France
| | - Axel Skytthe
- Danish Aging Research Center; Institute of Public Health; University of Southern Denmark; Odense; DK-5230; Denmark
| | - Rudi G. J. Westendorp
- Gerontology and Geriatrics; Leiden University Medical Centre; Leiden; ZA; 2333; The Netherlands
| | | | - Jutta Gampe
- Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; MPIDR; 18057; Rostock; Germany
| | - Almut Nebel
- Institute of Clinical Molecular Biology; Christian-Albrechts-University Kiel (CAU); Kiel; 24118; Germany
| | | | | | - Claudio Franceschi
- Interdepartmental Centre “Luigi Galvani” CIG; University of Bologna UNIBO; Bologna; 40126; Italy
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Thompson CK, Schwabe F, Schoof A, Mendoza E, Gampe J, Rochefort C, Scharff C. Young and intense: FoxP2 immunoreactivity in Area X varies with age, song stereotypy, and singing in male zebra finches. Front Neural Circuits 2013; 7:24. [PMID: 23450800 PMCID: PMC3584353 DOI: 10.3389/fncir.2013.00024] [Citation(s) in RCA: 30] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/22/2012] [Accepted: 02/02/2013] [Indexed: 11/21/2022] Open
Abstract
FOXP2 is a transcription factor functionally relevant for learned vocalizations in humans and songbirds. In songbirds, FoxP2 mRNA expression in the medium spiny neurons of the basal ganglia song nucleus Area X is developmentally regulated and varies with singing conditions in different social contexts. How individual neurons in Area X change FoxP2 expression across development and in social contexts is not known, however. Here we address this critical gap in our understanding of FoxP2 as a link between neuronal networks and behavior. We used a statistically unbiased analysis of FoxP2-immunoreactivity (FoxP2-IR) on a neuron-by-neuron basis and found a bimodal distribution of FoxP2-IR neurons in Area X: weakly-stained and intensely-stained. The density of intensely-stained FoxP2-IR neurons was 10 times higher in juveniles than in adults, exponentially decreased with age, and was negatively correlated with adult song stability. Three-week old neurons labeled with BrdU were more than five times as likely to be intensely-stained than weakly-stained. The density of FoxP2-IR putative migratory neurons with fusiform-shaped nuclei substantially decreased as birds aged. The density of intensely-stained FoxP2-IR neurons was not affected by singing whereas the density of weakly-stained FoxP2-IR neurons was. Together, these data indicate that young Area X medium spiny neurons express FoxP2 at high levels and decrease expression as they become integrated into existing neural circuits. Once integrated, levels of FoxP2 expression correlate with singing behavior. Together, these findings raise the possibility that FoxP2 levels may orchestrate song learning and song stereotypy in adults by a common mechanism.
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Bachner M, Loriot Y, Gross-Goupil M, Zucali PA, Horwich A, Germa-Lluch JR, Kollmannsberger C, Stoiber F, Fléchon A, Oechsle K, Gillessen S, Oldenburg J, Cohn-Cedermark G, Daugaard G, Morelli F, Sella A, Harland S, Kerst M, Gampe J, Dittrich C, Fizazi K, De Santis M. 2-¹⁸fluoro-deoxy-D-glucose positron emission tomography (FDG-PET) for postchemotherapy seminoma residual lesions: a retrospective validation of the SEMPET trial. Ann Oncol 2012; 23:59-64. [PMID: 21460378 DOI: 10.1093/annonc/mdr052] [Citation(s) in RCA: 94] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND 2-¹⁸fluoro-deoxy-D-glucose positron emission tomography (FDG-PET) has been recommended in international guidelines in the evaluation of postchemotherapy seminoma residuals. Our trial was designed to validate these recommendations in a larger group of patients. PATIENTS AND METHODS FDG-PET studies in patients with metastatic seminoma and residual masses after platinum-containing chemotherapy were correlated with either the histology of the resected lesion(s) or the clinical outcome. RESULTS One hundred and seventy seven FDG-PET results were contributed. Of 127 eligible PET studies, 69% were true negative, 11% true positive, 6% false negative, and 15% false positive. We compared PET scans carried out before and after a cut-off level of 6 weeks after the end of the last chemotherapy cycle. PET sensitivity, specificity, negative predictive value (NPV), and positive predictive value were 50%, 77%, 91%, and 25%, respectively, before the cut-off and 82%, 90%, 95%, and 69% after the cut-off. PET accuracy significantly improved from 73% before to 88% after the cut-off (P=0.032). CONCLUSION Our study confirms the high specificity, sensitivity, and NPV of FDG-PET for evaluating postchemotherapy seminoma residuals. When carried out at an adequate time point, FDG-PET remains a valuable tool for clinical decision-making in this clinical setting and spares patients unnecessary therapy.
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Affiliation(s)
- M Bachner
- ACR-ITR VIEnna/CEADDP, LBI-ACR VIEnna, and KFJ-Spital, Vienna, Austria
| | - Y Loriot
- Institut Gustave Roussy, Villejuif, France
| | | | - P A Zucali
- Istituto Clinico Humanitas IRCCS, Rozzano (Milan), Italian Germ Cell Cancer Group
| | - A Horwich
- The Royal Marsden Hospital, London and Surrey, UK
| | | | | | - F Stoiber
- Krankenhaus der Barmherzigen Schwestern, Linz, Austria
| | | | - K Oechsle
- Universitätsklinikum Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany
| | - S Gillessen
- Kantonsspital St. Gallen, St. Gallen, Switzerland
| | | | - G Cohn-Cedermark
- Department of Oncology-Pathology, Karolinska Institute and University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden
| | - G Daugaard
- Department of Oncology, 5073 Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - F Morelli
- Casa Sollievo della Sofferenza, San Giovanni Rotondo, Italy
| | - A Sella
- Assaf Harofeh Medical Center, Zerifin, Israel
| | - S Harland
- University College Hospital London, London, UK
| | - M Kerst
- The Netherlands Cancer Institute, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
| | - J Gampe
- Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany
| | - C Dittrich
- ACR-ITR VIEnna/CEADDP, LBI-ACR VIEnna, and KFJ-Spital, Vienna, Austria
| | - K Fizazi
- Institut Gustave Roussy, Villejuif, France
| | - M De Santis
- ACR-ITR VIEnna/CEADDP, LBI-ACR VIEnna, and KFJ-Spital, Vienna, Austria.
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20
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Cournil A, Jeune B, Skytthe A, Gampe J, Passarino G, Robine JM. Handgrip strength: indications of paternal inheritance in three European regions. J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci 2010; 65:1101-6. [PMID: 20584770 DOI: 10.1093/gerona/glq098] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/14/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Handgrip strength is an indicator of overall muscle strength. Poor handgrip strength is a risk factor for disability and mortality. We aimed to investigate the pattern of inheritance of handgrip strength in a sample of parent-offspring pairs from three different European regions in Denmark, France, and Italy. METHODS In this substudy of the European Challenge for Healthy Aging study, handgrip strength was measured in 290 subjects aged 90 years and older and in one of their offspring. RESULTS When all pairs were considered together, parental and offspring handgrip strength were weakly correlated (r = .16; p < .01). However, paternal-offspring correlation was significantly higher than maternal-offspring correlation (r = .26; confidence interval [CI]: 0.11-0.41 versus r = .03; CI: -0.14 to 0.19; p = .04). This difference was particularly marked for daughters (r = -.07; CI: -0.29 to 0.16 for mother-daughter correlation versus r = .31; CI: 0.11-0.49 for father-daughter; p = .01) compared with sons (r = .12; CI: -0.13 to 0.36 for mother-son correlation versus r = .25; CI: 0.00-0.46 for father-son; p = .47). Father-daughter correlation remained higher than mother-daughter when analyses were performed with 144 nondependent parents (r = .32; CI: 0.04; 0.55 versus r = -.25; CI: -0.61 to 0.21; p = .03). These results were similarly observed in the three regions of the study, where mean levels of handgrip strength strongly differed. CONCLUSIONS It suggests that age-related effects on functional health among women could be mediated more through the paternal line than the maternal.
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Affiliation(s)
- Amandine Cournil
- Unité Mixte de Recherche, Institut de Recherche pour le Développement, Université Montpellier 1, Montpellier, France.
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21
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Abstract
In many applications data can be interpreted as indirect observations of a latent distribution. A typical example is the phenomenon known as digit preference, i.e. the tendency to round outcomes to pleasing digits. The composite link model (CLM) is a useful framework to uncover such latent distributions. Moreover, when applied to data showing digit preferences, this approach allows estimation of the proportions of counts that were transferred to neighbouring digits. As the estimating equations generally are singular or severely ill-conditioned, we impose smoothness assumptions on the latent distribution and penalize the likelihood function. To estimate the misreported proportions, we use a weighted least-squares regression with an added L1 penalty. The optimal smoothing parameters are found by minimizing the Akaike’s information Criterion (AIC). The approach is verified by a simulation study and several applications are presented.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Paul H.C. Eilers
- Methodology and Statistics, Faculty of Social and Behavioural Sciences, Utrecht University, The Netherlands. Data Theory Group, Leiden University, The Netherlands
| | - Jutta Gampe
- Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany
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22
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Abstract
We model monthly disease counts on an age-time grid using the two-dimensional varying-coefficient Poisson regression. Since the marginal profile of counts shows a very strong and varying annual cycle, sine and cosine regressors model periodicity, but their coefficients are allowed to vary smoothly over the age and time plane. The coefficient surfaces are estimated using a relatively large tensor product B-spline basis. Smoothness is tuned using difference penalties on the rows and columns of the tensor product coefficients. Heavy over-dispersion occurs, making it impossible to use Akaike's information criterion or Bayesian information criterion based on a Poisson likelihood. It is handled by selective weighting of part of the data and by the use of extended quasi-likelihood. Very efficient computation is achieved with fast array algorithms. The model is applied to monthly deaths due to respiratory diseases, for U.S. females during 1959-1998 and for ages 51-100.
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Affiliation(s)
- Paul H C Eilers
- Faculty of Social and Behavioural Sciences, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands
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23
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Jeune B, Skytthe A, Cournil A, Greco V, Gampe J, Berardelli M, Andersen-Ranberg K, Passarino G, Debenedictis G, Robine JM. Handgrip strength among nonagenarians and centenarians in three European regions. J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci 2006; 61:707-12. [PMID: 16870633 DOI: 10.1093/gerona/61.7.707] [Citation(s) in RCA: 81] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Handgrip strength is an important predictor of disability and mortality among old people. The aim was to compare the grip strength among very old people in three regions of Europe. METHODS In this substudy of the European Challenge for Healthy Aging project, only the long-lived probands were included. The maximum value of three measurements of handgrip strength was selected for the analysis. Adjustment for factors known to be correlated with grip strength was made by linear regression. RESULTS Among 598 very old people (median age = 98 years) a clear North-South gradient was observed: For men, handgrip strength dropped from 24.2 kg in Southern Denmark to 20.8 kg in Languedoc-Roussillon, France and 14.2 kg in Calabria, Italy (p < .0001), whereas for women the drop was smaller (from 12.2 to 9.2 kg; p = .0021). The difference remains significant after adjustment for age, gender, housing, knee height, Activities of Daily Living (ADL) scale score, score on the Six-Item Mini-Mental State Examination, chair stand, and number of age-related diseases, although these factors explain two thirds of the variation in handgrip strength. CONCLUSIONS Among nonagenarians and centenarians in three different European regions, we found a significant North-South gradient in handgrip strength with substantially lower values in Calabria. This finding may be due both to population background differences (e.g., genetic variations, birth weight, childhood growth) and to sociocultural differences (e.g., lifestyle, health care).
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Affiliation(s)
- Bernard Jeune
- Aging Research Center, and Epidemiology, Institute of Public Health, University of Southern Denmark, 5000 Odense C, Denmark.
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24
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Minois N, Frajnt M, Dölling M, Lagona F, Schmid M, Küchenhoff H, Gampe J, Vaupel JW. Symmetrically Dividing Cells of the Fission Yeast Schizosaccharomyces Pombe Do Age. Biogerontology 2006; 7:261-7. [PMID: 16821114 DOI: 10.1007/s10522-006-9025-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/12/2006] [Accepted: 04/04/2006] [Indexed: 11/25/2022]
Abstract
Theories of the evolution of senescence state that symmetrically dividing organisms do not senesce. However, this view is challenged by experimental evidence. We measured by immunofluorescence the occurrence and intensity of protein carbonylation in single and symmetrically dividing cells of Schizosaccharomyces pombe. Cells of S. pombe show different levels of carbonylated proteins. Most cells have little damage, a few show a lot, an observation consistent with the gradual accumulation of carbonylation over time. At reproduction, oxidized proteins are shared between the two resulting cells. These results indicate that S. pombe does age, but does so in a different way from other studied species. Damaged cells give rise to damaged cells. The fact that cells with no or few carbonylated proteins constitute the main part of the population can explain why, although age is not reset to zero in one of the cells during division, the pool of young cells remains large enough to prevent the rapid extinction of the population.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nadège Minois
- Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
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25
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Abstract
Negative senescence is characterized by a decline in mortality with age after reproductive maturity, generally accompanied by an increase in fecundity. Hamilton (1966) ruled out negative senescence: we adumbrate the deficiencies of his model. We review empirical studies of various plants and some kinds of animals that may experience negative senescence and conclude that negative senescence may be widespread, especially in indeterminate-growth species for which size and fertility increase with age. We develop optimization models of life-history strategies that demonstrate that negative senescence is theoretically possible. More generally, our models contribute to understanding of the evolutionary and demographic forces that mold the age-trajectories of mortality, fertility and growth.
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Affiliation(s)
- James W Vaupel
- Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Konrad-Zuse-Str. 1 D-18057 Rostock, Germany.
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26
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Roach DA, Gampe J. Age‐Specific Demography in Plantago: Uncovering Age‐Dependent Mortality in a Natural Population. Am Nat 2004; 164:60-9. [PMID: 15266371 DOI: 10.1086/421301] [Citation(s) in RCA: 42] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/20/2003] [Accepted: 03/10/2004] [Indexed: 11/03/2022]
Abstract
Accurate measures of age-dependent mortality are critical to life-history analysis and measures of fitness, yet these measures are difficult to obtain in natural populations. Age-dependent mortality patterns can be obscured not only by seasonal variation in environmental conditions and reproduction but also by changes in the heterogeneity among individuals in the population over time due to selection. This study of Plantago lanceolata uses longitudinal data from a field study with a large number of individuals to develop a model to estimate the shape of the baseline hazard function that represents the age-dependent risk of mortality. The model developed here uses both constant (genetics, spatial location) and time-varying (temperature, rainfall, reproduction, size) covariates not only to estimate the underlying mortality pattern but also to demonstrate that the risk of mortality associated with fitness components can change with time/age. Moreover, this analysis suggests that increasing size after reproductive maturity may allow this plant species to escape from demographic senescence.
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Affiliation(s)
- Deborah A Roach
- Department of Biology, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia 22904-4328, USA.
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Wittwer-Backofen U, Gampe J, Vaupel JW. Tooth cementum annulation for age estimation: results from a large known-age validation study. Am J Phys Anthropol 2004; 123:119-29. [PMID: 14730646 DOI: 10.1002/ajpa.10303] [Citation(s) in RCA: 82] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/09/2022]
Abstract
Recent research indicates that tooth-cementum annulations (TCA) may be used more reliably than other morphological or histological traits of the adult skeleton to estimate age. Until now, however, confidence intervals for age estimated by this method have not been available for paleodemographic and forensic applications. The present study addresses this problem. Based on a large known-age sample, age estimates by TCA were conducted in a blind study involving 363 teeth. Tooth-root cross sections were made using a refined preparation technique. Improved digital graphic procedures and enhancement strategies were used to produce digital images with a specially adapted software package. This resulted in high concordance between the TCA age estimates and chronological age. Assessment of the method's accuracy, as expressed by 95% confidence intervals, showed that error bounds for age estimates do not exceed 2.5 years. Sex differences, intraindividual correlations, and the effects of periodontal disease were studied. None of these indicators had a quantitative effect on the number of TCA bands when the proposed methodological standard was followed. We conclude that the TCA technique is a reliable method for estimating a subject's age from cementum annulations.
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28
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Komjati M, Breitenecker F, Bratusch-Marrain P, Gampe J, Vierhapper H, Troch I, Waldhäusl W. Contribution by the glycogen pool and adenosine 3',5'-monophosphate release to the evanescent effect of glucagon on hepatic glucose production in vitro. Endocrinology 1985; 116:978-86. [PMID: 2578952 DOI: 10.1210/endo-116-3-978] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/01/2023]
Abstract
To elucidate in vitro the transience of glucagon-induced hepatic glucose release, the effects of glucagon on hepatic glucose production and cAMP release were evaluated in the isolated rat liver preparation perfused by a nonrecirculating system. Glucagon was added to the infusate in stepwise increasing concentrations at 0, 60, and 100 min to give final concentrations of 2.5 X 10(-11), 10(-9), and 5 X 10(-8) M, respectively. Glucagon at 2.5 X 10(-11) M caused cAMP release [basal (mean +/- SD), 11.2 +/- 3.0 pmol/(min X 100 g BW)] to rise rapidly and plateau at 23.3 +/- 7.0 pmol/(min X 100 g BW), whereas hepatic glucose production [basal, 3.7 +/- 1.6 mumol/(min X 100 g BW)] increased only transiently to a maximum of 15.3 +/- 3.1 mumol/(min X 100 g BW) and fell thereafter. The enhanced cAMP release during the consecutive glucagon infusion was accompanied by a transient rise in hepatic glucose production during the second, but not during a third, glucagon infusion. When 3-isobutyl-1-methylxanthine, a potent phosphodiesterase inhibitor, was added to the perfusion medium (0.5 mM), the cAMP response to 2.5 X 10(-11) M glucagon was enhanced [247 +/- 124 pmol/(min X 100 g BW)] as was hepatic glucose production (+ 21%; P less than 0.05). Further augmentation of the glucagon concentration was followed by an increase in hepatic cAMP, but not glucose, release. When glucagon infusion (2.5 X 10(-11) M) was repeated with a glucagon-free period of 30 min in between, no stimulation of cAMP and consecutive glucose release was found during the second period. However, when the second glucagon dose was increased to 10(-9) M, glucose and cAMP release were again stimulated to the same extent as in experiments with no glucagon-free period in between. We conclude that the size of the glycogen pool and the cAMP concentration directly modulate hepatic glucose production and are responsible for evanescent glucagon action. This mechanism can be described by computer simulation.
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