Dosimetry Reconstruction in Radiopharmaceutical Therapy Using a Sparse Network of External γ-Sensors

PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE(S)

Radiopharmaceutical therapy (RPT) has demonstrated promise in the treatment of neuroendocrine and prostate cancer. Due to the highly varied biodistribution and non-homogeneity of total integrated dose across cancer patients, a system for real-time dosimetry based on continuous measurement is desirable to deliver sufficient dose for tumor ablation while preventing toxicity from off-target uptake by organs at risk (OAR). Single time point imaging (mostly SPECT)-based dosimetry offers a snapshot of the body-wide dose distribution at a given time point, but even single SPECT imaging is generally limited in availability, often leading to significant inaccuracies in estimating total integrated dose. Therefore, accurate personalized dosimetry in RPT is an unmet need and requires continuous dosimetry measurements of tumors and OARs across multiple half-lives of the therapeutic radiopharmaceutical. Using a priori knowledge of tumor and OAR locations from pretherapy imaging, we have developed a novel algorithm that utilizes a network of custom uncollimated, optical fiber-based γ-counting probes to isolate the real-time in vivo tumor and OAR uptake in 177Lu-PSMA-617 and 225Ac-MACROPA-YS5 therapy.

MATERIALS/METHODS

The proposed system was successfully validated in athymic mice models bearing varying numbers of tumors from two human prostate cancer cell lines (PC3-pip, PC3-flu). Uncollimated γ counts using the developed probes were acquired outside of the mice for 10 minutes, starting at 0 hr, 6 hrs, 12 hrs, 24 hrs, and 48 hrs after the injection of 177Lu-PSMA-617. The percent injected activity per mL of tissue (%IA/mL) of each tumor and OAR was reconstructed at every time point and compared to the %IA/mL extracted from SPECT/CT immediately after the recording.

RESULTS

The developed system's %IA/mL reconstruction in PC3-pip tumors, PC3-flu tumors, kidneys, and bladders is highly correlative with the %IA/mL extracted from state-of-art in vivo dosimetry techniques, with %IA/mL ranging from 0.1% to 160% assuming a 29.6 MBq 177Lu-PSMA-617 administration. The least squares linear regression fit between the reconstructed activity and the activity measured from SPECT/CT is given by Estimated %IA/mL = 0.91 x SPECT %IA/mL, with an R2 of 0.991, and Pearson's r of 0.9975. There is a nearly 1:1 mapping between the proposed model and SPECT/CT.

CONCLUSION

A novel dose reconstruction algorithm for personalized dosimetry in RPT that utilizes a sparse set of external γ-counters and a priori knowledge of tumor and OAR locations was developed and validated in in vivo human prostate cancer murine models. The proposed system enables continuous dosimetry measurements of multiple tumors and OAR noninvasively, with high accessibility, high temporal resolution, and across multiple classes of ɑ and β-based RPT. Similar experiments using 225Ac-MACROPA-YS5 are ongoing and additional results will be reported.

Medicolegal claims in general surgery: a 10-year retrospective review of claims against the NHS in England

INTRODUCTION

Every year 12,000 medicolegal claims are brought against the NHS in England at a cost of £8 billion-6.7% of the NHS England budget. In 1,000 of these claims the primary speciality is General Surgery. The aims of this paper were to examine 10 years of claims against General Surgery Departments in NHS England, identify the common causes and injuries, review the associated cost and suggest strategies for improvement.

METHODS

Data regarding medicolegal claims made against NHS General Surgical Departments in England from 2010 to 2020 were obtained from the Clinical Negligence Scheme for Trusts. A retrospective review was undertaken to examine the number of claims, cost of claims closed with and without damages, primary causes and primary injuries.

RESULTS

A total of 10,027 claims were made between 2010 and 2020. Of these, 9,377 were closed in that time, with cost totalling £851,558,930. Of claims closed, an average of 608 per year were closed with damages and 329 without damages. Claims with damages resulted in more than forty-five times greater cost per claim compared with those closed without damages. Overall, cost increased by over 50% between 2010 and 2020. Common causes included 'failure/delay in treatment', 'intraoperative problems' and 'failure/delay in diagnosis'. Common injuries included 'additional/unnecessary operation(s)', 'unnecessary pain', 'fatality' and 'bowel damage/dysfunction'.

CONCLUSION

Medicolegal expenditure represents a serious concern for the NHS, worsening each year. This retrospective review highlights the rising cost along with the most common causes and primary injuries. Action is required at every level of the NHS to improve surgical care, consent and communication with our patients, and by doing so minimise poor outcomes and their resultant medicolegal consequences.

A critical evaluation of physical and manufacturing properties of genuine and counterfeit rotary nickel-titanium endodontic instruments

BACKGROUND

Rotary nickel-titanium (NiTi) instruments are made to exacting standards and are costly to manufacture, and quality control is paramount. Consequently, unauthorized factories make counterfeit instruments that are less expensive and may therefore be attractive to dentists. Little information exists about the metallurgy and manufacturing quality of such instruments. There is the potential for counterfeit instruments to be at higher risk of fracture during treatment, thereby compromising clinical outcomes. The aim of this study was to evaluate physical and manufacturing properties of genuine and counterfeit ProTaper Next™ and Mtwo® rotary NiTi instruments.

METHODS

This study investigated the metallurgical properties, manufacturing quality, microhardness and number of cycles to failure of two commonly used rotary NiTi systems and compared them with counterfeit products purporting to be genuine articles.

RESULTS

Counterfeit instruments were found to be inferior in manufacturing standards and were less resistant to cyclic fatigue when compared to genuine instruments.

CONCLUSIONS

Counterfeit rotary NiTi instruments may be less efficient at preparing root canals and may be at higher risk of fracture during endodontic treatment. Dentists must be aware that, although less expensive, counterfeit instruments may be of dubious manufacturing quality and at higher risk of fracture if used in patients. © 2023 Australian Dental Association.

Clinical and medico-legal considerations in endodontics

Endodontic treatment can be challenging for a number of reasons, including the microscopic nature of the clinical environment, reliance on tactile sensation and lack of direct visualization of the work being performed. Commonly, endodontic patients present with pain and distress, which can exacerbate an already difficult clinical situation. Complications may might arise prior to, or during treatment, despite practising with the utmost care and skill. Preventing and managing these complications can take considerable time and energy, and oftentimes assistance from or referral to more experienced colleagues is required. The aim of this review is to discuss medico-legal considerations in endodontics, with clinical correlations and a focus on the Australian legal landscape. [Correction added on 18 October 2023, after first online publication: The abstract was amended from a structured to an unstructured abstract.].

The endodontic-periodontal juncture: Where two worlds meet. An overview of endo-perio lesions

Endodontic and periodontal infections can be difficult to differentiate from one another and often share common clinical features making diagnosis challenging. The aim of this review is to discuss endodontic and periodontal infections in situations where they occur concurrently, or where one influences the other. The available literature investigating endodontic and periodontal infections was examined for contemporary knowledge regarding endodontic-periodontal interactions. Strategies to facilitate diagnosis and treatment planning are discussed. When endodontic and periodontal infections occur together, or signs and symptoms are similar, diagnosis can be challenging. Determining the primary source of infection is imperative to ensure appropriate treatment planning. The pulp and periodontal tissues are intimately related, with many possible pathways for infection from one to the other. Diagnosis of the primary source of the infection can be difficult and sometimes an inter-disciplinary approach to treatment is required. © 2023 Australian Dental Association.

Four cases of acute comitant esotropia associated with diffuse intrinsic pontine glioma in children

BACKGROUND

Acute acquired concomitant esotropia (AACE) is usually a benign form of strabismus that infrequently is associated with intracranial pathology. Clinicians have noted an increase in its incidence and theorize that it may be related to public health "lockdown" measures taken in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. With an increased incidence of AACE clinicians must firstly differentiate AACE from common accommodative esotropia and secondly recognize AACE as a possible sign of serious neuropathology.Diffuse Intrinsic Pontine Glioma (DIPG) is a devastating diagnosis for affected families. Children typically present at age 6-7 years with cranial nerve palsies, long tract signs, and/or cerebellar signs. Diagnosis is made from characteristic findings on magnetic resonance brain imaging (MRI brain) and treatment includes radiotherapy and palliative care. Two years from diagnosis, 90% of affected children will have died from their disease.

CASE SERIES

We present four cases that attended our pediatric ophthalmology clinic with AACE either as a presenting sign of DIPG or as a clinical finding following a DIPG diagnosis. Patient A (age 5 years) presented to the emergency eye clinic with sudden onset diplopia and intermittent esotropia. Suppression later developed, they had 0.00 logMAR visual acuity either eye, and bilateral physiological hypermetropia. MRI brain imaging requested as a result of the unusual presentation led to the DIPG diagnosis. The other 3 cases (ages 11, 5 & 5 years) were assessed post DIPG diagnosis and found to have an esotropia measuring bigger on 1/3-meter fixation than 6-meter fixation, full ocular motility, physiological hypermetropia or emmetropia, and visual acuity normal for age. Other than patient B (age 11 years), who had papilledema and gaze evoked nystagmus when they were assessed 2 weeks prior to death, no patient had any other clinical eye findings.

CONCLUSIONS

This small series of 4 patients attending our clinic within a 12-month period supports the notion that children presenting with AACE should routinely be offered brain MRI. Not all children with DIPG-associated AACE have significant ophthalmic findings indicative of intracranial pathology. With the potential for increased incidence of AACE related to lockdowns, clinicians should be reminded of the infrequent possibility their patient has a more serious condition.

Risk of stroke in patients with type 2 diabetes receiving semaglutide or a dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitor: a real-world US claims database analysis

Introduction

People with type 2 diabetes (T2D) have a higher risk of stroke than those without, are likely to experience stroke at a younger age, and have worse outcomes. The cardiovascular benefits of glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RAs) in T2D have been demonstrated in randomized controlled trials. A meta-analysis of these data has shown that GLP-1 RAs are associated with a significant reduction in the risk of stroke; however, there remains an evidence gap for the real-world effect of semaglutide specifically on stroke risk.

Purpose

To compare real-world risk of stroke in patients with T2D or T2D + atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) initiating either semaglutide or a dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitor (DPP-4i).

Methods

For inclusion, adults (≥18 years) in a US claims database required a claim indicating initiation of either semaglutide or a DPP-4i (index date) during the index period (1/1/18–30/9/20), a diagnosis code for T2D on or before the index date, and 12 months' continuous enrolment pre-index. Exclusion criteria were a claim for semaglutide, DPP-4i or injectable glucose-lowering medication, or diagnosis code for type 1 or secondary diabetes in the 12 months pre-index; or a claim associated with pregnancy or gestational diabetes any time during the study period. Patients were propensity score matched 1:1 on 27 baseline demographic and clinical characteristics. Patients who also had a diagnosis code for ASCVD pre-index were matched separately on 26 variables. Primary outcome was time to first stroke event during follow-up, defined as a medical claim with stroke as primary diagnosis during inpatient or emergency room visit. Patients with no event were censored at end of enrolment or end of study period (30/9/20), whichever was earliest.

Results

Post-matching, there were 17,920 pairs with T2D and 4234 pairs with T2D+ASCVD. The groups were well matched on baseline characteristics (Table). For T2D, patients initiating semaglutide had a lower risk of stroke than those initiating a DPP-4i (hazard ratio [HR], 0.63; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.41–0.95; p=0.029). This trend was more pronounced for T2D+ASCVD (HR, 0.45 [0.24–0.86]; p=0.015). Overall, 34 patients with T2D receiving semaglutide (0.2%) experienced a stroke event (incidence rate [IR] per 100 person-years, 0.25), compared with 60 patients receiving a DPP-4i (0.3%; IR, 0.40; IR ratio [IRR], 0.62; 95% CI: 0.40–0.95). For the groups with T2D+ASCVD, 13 patients receiving semaglutide (0.3%; IR, 0.40) and 32 receiving a DPP-4i (0.8%; IR, 0.90) experienced a stroke event (IRR, 0.44 [0.23–0.85]). The Figure shows cumulative incidence of stroke over follow-up (median 237–258 days).

Conclusion

This analysis provides initial insights into the potential of semaglutide to reduce real-world stroke risk in patients with T2D. Analyses with additional comparison groups and longer follow-up are needed to determine the broader clinical and economic implications.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Private grant(s) and/or Sponsorship. Main funding source(s): This study was funded by Novo Nordisk A/S. Medical writing support was provided by Oxford PharmaGenesis, Oxford, UK with funding from Novo Nordisk A/S.

Incisional hernia following colorectal cancer surgery according to suture technique: Hughes Abdominal Repair Randomized Trial (HART)

BACKGROUND

Incisional hernias cause morbidity and may require further surgery. HART (Hughes Abdominal Repair Trial) assessed the effect of an alternative suture method on the incidence of incisional hernia following colorectal cancer surgery.

METHODS

A pragmatic multicentre single-blind RCT allocated patients undergoing midline incision for colorectal cancer to either Hughes closure (double far-near-near-far sutures of 1 nylon suture at 2-cm intervals along the fascia combined with conventional mass closure) or the surgeon's standard closure. The primary outcome was the incidence of incisional hernia at 1 year assessed by clinical examination. An intention-to-treat analysis was performed.

RESULTS

Between August 2014 and February 2018, 802 patients were randomized to either Hughes closure (401) or the standard mass closure group (401). At 1 year after surgery, 672 patients (83.7 per cent) were included in the primary outcome analysis; 50 of 339 patients (14.8 per cent) in the Hughes group and 57 of 333 (17.1 per cent) in the standard closure group had incisional hernia (OR 0.84, 95 per cent c.i. 0.55 to 1.27; P = 0.402). At 2 years, 78 patients (28.7 per cent) in the Hughes repair group and 84 (31.8 per cent) in the standard closure group had incisional hernia (OR 0.86, 0.59 to 1.25; P = 0.429). Adverse events were similar in the two groups, apart from the rate of surgical-site infection, which was higher in the Hughes group (13.2 versus 7.7 per cent; OR 1.82, 1.14 to 2.91; P = 0.011).

CONCLUSION

The incidence of incisional hernia after colorectal cancer surgery is high. There was no statistical difference in incidence between Hughes closure and mass closure at 1 or 2 years.

REGISTRATION NUMBER

ISRCTN25616490 (http://www.controlled-trials.com).

Search for Subsolar-Mass Binaries in the First Half of Advanced LIGO's and Advanced Virgo's Third Observing Run

We report on a search for compact binary coalescences where at least one binary component has a mass between 0.2  M_{⊙} and 1.0  M_{⊙} in Advanced LIGO and Advanced Virgo data collected between 1 April 2019 1500 UTC and 1 October 2019 1500 UTC. We extend our previous analyses in two main ways: we include data from the Virgo detector and we allow for more unequal mass systems, with mass ratio q≥0.1. We do not report any gravitational-wave candidates. The most significant trigger has a false alarm rate of 0.14  yr^{-1}. This implies an upper limit on the merger rate of subsolar binaries in the range [220-24200]  Gpc^{-3} yr^{-1}, depending on the chirp mass of the binary. We use this upper limit to derive astrophysical constraints on two phenomenological models that could produce subsolar-mass compact objects. One is an isotropic distribution of equal-mass primordial black holes. Using this model, we find that the fraction of dark matter in primordial black holes in the mass range 0.2  M_{⊙}<m_{PBH}<1.0  M_{⊙} is f_{PBH}≡Ω_{PBH}/Ω_{DM}≲6%. This improves existing constraints on primordial black hole abundance by a factor of ∼3. The other is a dissipative dark matter model, in which fermionic dark matter can collapse and form black holes. The upper limit on the fraction of dark matter black holes depends on the minimum mass of the black holes that can be formed: the most constraining result is obtained at M_{min}=1  M_{⊙}, where f_{DBH}≡Ω_{DBH}/Ω_{DM}≲0.003%. These are the first constraints placed on dissipative dark models by subsolar-mass analyses.

Oncology clinical trial disruption during the COVID-19 pandemic: a COVID-19 and cancer outcomes study

Background

COVID-19 disproportionately impacted patients with cancer as a result of direct infection, and delays in diagnosis and therapy. Oncological clinical trials are resource-intensive endeavors that could be particularly susceptible to disruption by the pandemic, but few studies have evaluated the impact of the pandemic on clinical trial conduct.

Patients and methods

This prospective, multicenter study assesses the impact of the pandemic on therapeutic clinical trials at two large academic centers in the Northeastern United States between December 2019 and June 2021. The primary objective was to assess the enrollment on, accrual to, and activation of oncology therapeutic clinical trials during the pandemic using an institution-wide cohort of (i) new patient accruals to oncological trials, (ii) a manually curated cohort of patients with cancer, and (ii) a dataset of new trial activations.

Results

The institution-wide cohort included 4756 new patients enrolled to clinical trials from December 2019 to June 2021. A major decrease in the numbers of new patient accruals (−46%) was seen early in the pandemic, followed by a progressive recovery and return to higher-than-normal levels (+2.6%). A similar pattern (from −23.6% to +30.4%) was observed among 467 newly activated trials from June 2019 to June 2021. A more pronounced decline in new accruals was seen among academically sponsored trials (versus industry sponsored trials) (P < 0.05). In the manually curated cohort, which included 2361 patients with cancer, non-white patients tended to be more likely taken off trial in the early pandemic period (adjusted odds ratio: 2.60; 95% confidence interval 1.00-6.63), and substantial pandemic-related deviations were recorded.

Conclusions

Substantial disruptions in clinical trial activities were observed early during the pandemic, with a gradual recovery during ensuing time periods, both from an enrollment and an activation standpoint. The observed decline was more prominent among academically sponsored trials, and racial disparities were seen among people taken off trial.

AB1384 CLINICAL SIGNIFICANCE OF DENSE FINE SPECKLED PATTERN ANA

Background

The clinical significance of Dense Fine Speckled (DFS) pattern Anti-nuclear antibodies (ANA) by indirect immunofluorescence method (IIF) is unclear and has been inversely associated with rheumatic disease 12.

Objectives

Our purpose was to determine associations between DFS pattern ANA and the disease categories of inflammatory arthritis, ANA associated rheumatic diseases (AARD), fibromyalgia/chronic pain syndrome/chronic fatigue syndrome and atopic disorder.

Methods

This retrospective study used data from patients tested for ANA by IIF between August 2017 to August 2019 at the University of Minnesota Medical Center. Comparisons between the diagnostic categories listed in objectives were made for patients with negative ANA, positive ANA (any pattern) and DFS pattern. Individual disease diagnoses belonging to the above categories were also analyzed. The inflammatory arthritis category included seropositive rheumatoid arthritis (RA), seronegative RA, RA with unknown serology, ankylosing spondylitis, and psoriatic arthritis. The disease category of AARD included systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), systemic sclerosis, mixed connective tissue disease, idiopathic inflammatory myopathies, Sjogren’s syndrome (SS), and undifferentiated connective tissue disorder (UCTD). Atopic disorders included atopic dermatitis, allergic rhinitis, urticaria, and asthma. Frequency of Raynaud’s phenomenon (RP) was also calculated.

Results

13,845 patients with an ANA during the study period were identified. 9106 (65.8%) had negative ANA and 4739 (34.2%) had positive ANA by IIF (including all patterns). 640 (4.6%) had ANA positive DFS patterns. Relative risk (RR) was calculated for diagnostic categories and individual diseases. For patients with positive ANA and DFS pattern, the RR for diagnostic codes of inflammatory arthritis categories [1.35 (1.07- 1.71), p=0.02] was higher when compared to the frequency of codes in ANA negative. RR for AARD among patients with DFS pattern was also higher [1.78 (1.44- 2.2), p <0.001]. There was no significant difference in the frequency of diagnostic codes of chronic pain/fibromyalgia/chronic fatigue syndrome [1.02 (0.9- 1.2), p=0.84] atopic disorder [0.68 (0.4- 1.15), p=0.16] for DFS+ compared to the ANA group. The frequency of AARD diagnostic codes was lower for patients with DFS pattern [0.64 (0.52- 0.79), p<0.001] compared to ANA positive patients with all other patterns, consistent with published data. There was no significant difference of frequency of diagnostic codes for the rest of the disease categories when comparison was made between ANA positive DFS pattern and ANA positive with other patterns.

Individual disease diagnostic codes of RA were higher among DFS+ patients when compared to ANA- patients. The frequency of diagnostic codes of SLE, SS, UCTD, fibromyalgia, Raynaud’s phenomenon, and autoimmune thyroid disease was also higher among patients with DFS pattern compared to ANA- patients. The frequency of diagnostic codes of seropositive RA was lower among patients with DFS pattern compared to ANA+ with all other patterns. The frequency of diagnostic codes of SLE, SSc, UCTD, and chronic pain was also lower among DFS+ patients, compared to those with ANA of all other patterns, consistent with prior reports.

Conclusion

The frequency of diagnostic codes of RA, SS and Raynaud’s was higher among DFS pattern ANA compared to ANA negative group but was not significantly different from ANA positive with other patterns. This suggests that the presence of a DFS pattern should not be used to indiscriminately exclude the presence of a rheumatic disease.

References

[1]Mariz HA, Sato EI, Barbosa SH, Rodrigues SH, Dellavance A, Andrade LEC. Pattern on the antinuclear antibody-HEp-2 test is a critical parameter for discriminating antinuclear antibody-positive healthy individuals and patients with autoimmune rheumatic diseases. Arthritis Rheum. 2011;63(1):191-200. doi:10.1002/art.30084

[2]Watanabe A, Kodera M, Sugiura K, et al. Anti-DFS70 Antibodies in 597 Healthy Hospital Workers. ARTHRITIS Rheum. 2004;50(3):892-900. doi:10.1002/art.20096

Disclosure of Interests

None declared

A highly virulent variant of HIV-1 circulating in the Netherlands

We discovered a highly virulent variant of subtype-B HIV-1 in the Netherlands. One hundred nine individuals with this variant had a 0.54 to 0.74 log₁₀ increase (i.e., a ~3.5-fold to 5.5-fold increase) in viral load compared with, and exhibited CD4 cell decline twice as fast as, 6604 individuals with other subtype-B strains. Without treatment, advanced HIV-CD4 cell counts below 350 cells per cubic millimeter, with long-term clinical consequences-is expected to be reached, on average, 9 months after diagnosis for individuals in their thirties with this variant. Age, sex, suspected mode of transmission, and place of birth for the aforementioned 109 individuals were typical for HIV-positive people in the Netherlands, which suggests that the increased virulence is attributable to the viral strain. Genetic sequence analysis suggests that this variant arose in the 1990s from de novo mutation, not recombination, with increased transmissibility and an unfamiliar molecular mechanism of virulence.

Improvement in Dysphagia Outcomes Following Clinical Target Volume Reduction in the De-ESCALaTE Study

AIMS

The De-ESCALaTE study showed an overall survival advantage for the administration of synchronous cisplatin chemotherapy with radiotherapy in low-risk oropharyngeal cancer when compared with synchronous cetuximab. During the trial, a radiotherapy quality assurance protocol amendment permitted centres to swap from the original radiotherapy contouring protocol (incorporating the whole oropharynx into the high-dose clinical target volume (CTV); anatomical protocol) to a protocol that incorporated the gross tumour volume with a 10 mm margin into the CTV (volumetric protocol). The purpose of this study was to examine both toxicity and tumour control related to this protocol amendment.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Overall survival and recurrence at 2 years were used to compare tumour control in the two contouring cohorts. For toxicity, the cohorts were compared by both the number of severe (grades 3-5) and all grades acute and late toxicities. In addition, quality of life and swallowing were compared using EORTC-C30 and MD Anderson Dysphagia Inventory, respectively.

RESULTS

Of 327 patients included in this study, 185 were contoured according to the anatomical protocol and 142 by the volumetric protocol. The two cohorts were well balanced, with the exception of significantly more patients in the anatomical cohort undergoing prophylactic feeding tube insertion (P < 0.001). With a minimum of 2 years of follow-up there was no significant difference in overall survival or recurrence between the two contouring protocols. Similarly, there was no significant difference in the rate of reported severe or all grades acute or late toxicity and no sustained significant difference in quality of life. However, there was a significant difference in favour of volumetric contouring in several domains of the MD Anderson Dysphagia Inventory questionnaire at 1 year, which persisted to 2 years in the dysphagia functional (P = 0.002), dysphagia physical (P = 0.009) and dysphagia overall function (P = 0.008) domains.

CONCLUSION

In the context of the unplanned post-hoc analysis of a randomised trial, measurable improvement in long-term dysphagia has been shown following a reduction in the CTV. Further reductions in the CTV should be subject to similar scrutiny within the confines of a prospective study.

Mapping the movement for climate change and health in England: a descriptive review and theory of change analysis

Aims:

There are a growing number of organisations working to address the connections between climate change and health. This article introduces the concept of ‘theories of change’ – the methodology by which organisations or movements hope to bring about social change – and applies it to the current climate change and health movement in England. Through movement mapping, the article describes and offers reflections on the climate change and health ecosystems in England.

Methods:

Organisations working on climate change and health in England were identified and publicly available information was collated to map movement characteristics, target stakeholders and methodologies deployed, using an inductive, iterative approach.

Results:

A total of 98 organisations working on health and climate change (and/or sustainability) were initially identified, of which 70 met the inclusion criteria. Most organisations target two or more stakeholders, with healthcare workers, management structures, and government being most commonly cited. Methodological approaches identified include Formal education programmes; Awareness-raising; Purchasing-procurement power; Advocacy; Financial; Media-messaging; Networking; Knowledge generation; and Policy making, of which education, awareness-raising, and advocacy are most commonly used.

Conclusion:

There is a tendency for climate change and health organisations in England to focus on individual level and sectoral change over system change. More could be made of the potential for the healthcare professions’ voice and messaging for the wider climate movement. Given the rapid boom of climate change and health organisations in recent years, a mind-set shift that recognises different players as part of a cohesive ecosystem with better coordination and collaboration may reduce unnecessary work, and facilitate more cohesive outcomes.

Rewilding European urban spaces

Background

In the context of global climate change, deforestation, biodiversity loss, and the impact of urban living on public health, the rewilding of urban areas and surrounding spaces may offer a host of benefits for physical and mental health as well as improvements to environmental and planetary health. This review offers a contemporary appraisal of the role and impact of rewilding urban areas within Europe, considering the success of existing policies and offering suggestions for future projects.

Findings

Rewilding projects across Europe vary in scale and intensity. Given ongoing urbanisation across much of Europe, there is increasing need for green and natural spaces. Protection and enhancement of natural spaces, development of newly rewilded areas, and increased connectedness of natural spaces represent ways to increase prevalence and access to such spaces. Rewilding offers a number of potential benefits to human health, including restoration of biodiversity which may support food security, and sequestration of carbon dioxide which plays an important role in reducing climate change. Green spaces in cities counteract heat island effects and help to maintain temperatures. There are also documented benefits to mental health and faster recovery times from illness.

Lessons

There is scope to improve rewilding projects to enhance their success across Europe. Current limitations to rewilding projects include:

The lack of a clear definition of rewilding and the broad scope of projects that fall under this concept. Challenges in monitoring and evaluation, and the need for a clear framework for effective evaluation of such projects. Increased and improved communication and advocacy.

Key messages

Rewilding offers a range of potential benefits to human and planetary health, and there is increasing interest in such projects. There are limitations to rewilding projects that must be overcome in order to improve policy and practice in this area.

Approaching the motional ground state of a 10-kg object

The motion of a mechanical object, even a human-sized object, should be governed by the rules of quantum mechanics. Coaxing them into a quantum state is, however, difficult because the thermal environment masks any quantum signature of the object's motion. The thermal environment also masks the effects of proposed modifications of quantum mechanics at large mass scales. We prepared the center-of-mass motion of a 10-kilogram mechanical oscillator in a state with an average phonon occupation of 10.8. The reduction in temperature, from room temperature to 77 nanokelvin, is commensurate with an 11 orders-of-magnitude suppression of quantum back-action by feedback and a 13 orders-of-magnitude increase in the mass of an object prepared close to its motional ground state. Our approach will enable the possibility of probing gravity on massive quantum systems.

Constraints on Cosmic Strings Using Data from the Third Advanced LIGO-Virgo Observing Run

We search for gravitational-wave signals produced by cosmic strings in the Advanced LIGO and Virgo full O3 dataset. Search results are presented for gravitational waves produced by cosmic string loop features such as cusps, kinks, and, for the first time, kink-kink collisions. A template-based search for short-duration transient signals does not yield a detection. We also use the stochastic gravitational-wave background energy density upper limits derived from the O3 data to constrain the cosmic string tension Gμ as a function of the number of kinks, or the number of cusps, for two cosmic string loop distribution models. Additionally, we develop and test a third model that interpolates between these two models. Our results improve upon the previous LIGO-Virgo constraints on Gμ by 1 to 2 orders of magnitude depending on the model that is tested. In particular, for the one-loop distribution model, we set the most competitive constraints to date: Gμ≲4×10^{-15}. In the case of cosmic strings formed at the end of inflation in the context of grand unified theories, these results challenge simple inflationary models.

Constraints on Cosmic Strings Using Data from the Third Advanced LIGO-Virgo Observing Run

We search for gravitational-wave signals produced by cosmic strings in the Advanced LIGO and Virgo full O3 dataset. Search results are presented for gravitational waves produced by cosmic string loop features such as cusps, kinks, and, for the first time, kink-kink collisions. A template-based search for short-duration transient signals does not yield a detection. We also use the stochastic gravitational-wave background energy density upper limits derived from the O3 data to constrain the cosmic string tension Gμ as a function of the number of kinks, or the number of cusps, for two cosmic string loop distribution models. Additionally, we develop and test a third model that interpolates between these two models. Our results improve upon the previous LIGO-Virgo constraints on Gμ by 1 to 2 orders of magnitude depending on the model that is tested. In particular, for the one-loop distribution model, we set the most competitive constraints to date: Gμ≲4×10^{-15}. In the case of cosmic strings formed at the end of inflation in the context of grand unified theories, these results challenge simple inflationary models.

OP0117 REAL-WORLD EFFECTIVENESS OF TNFI VERSUS NON-TNFI BIOLOGICS ON DISEASE ACTIVITY IN PATIENTS WITH RHEUMATOID ARTHRITIS: DATA FROM THE ACR’S RISE REGISTRY

Background:

Our understanding of how medications such as biologic disease modifying anti-rheumatic drugs and targeted small molecules (b/tsDMARDs) influence disease activity in RA is based largely on randomized controlled trials (RCTs). However, most U.S. trials in RA are limited by small sample sizes and have often excluded patients who are older, male, and from racial/ethnic minorities. Whether effectiveness of b/tsDMARDs varies in these populations has largely been unexplored.

Objectives:

We aimed to examine differences in longitudinal RA disease activity by demographic and clinical characteristics using a novel electronic health record data source of rheumatology providers across the U.S. We simulated various treatment assignments of b/tsDMARDs that have been examined in RCTs: namely, TNF-inhibitors (TNFi) and non-TNFi.

Methods:

We included 16,448 individuals from the ACR’s RISE registry with ≥ 2 RA diagnoses (ICD-9: 714.0) ≥ 30 days apart, who had at least 2 recorded clinical disease activity index (CDAI) scores and no historical b/tsDMARD use documented in RISE. b/tsDMARD use and CDAI scores were assessed at each quarter; covariates included sex, race (white, Black, Asian, other), ethnicity (Hispanic/non-Hispanic), age, smoking, obesity, area deprivation index, other DMARD use, RF status, anti-CCP status, and practice type. Longitudinal targeted maximum likelihood estimation estimated the average treatment effect (ATE) of cumulative TNFi vs. non-TNFi use over a 12-month period on CDAI score among the entire population and across various subgroups based on demographic and clinical characteristics, accounting for censoring and time-varying confounding.

Results:

Approximately 75% of patients were female with a mean age of 65.1 (+/- 13.7) years. Sixty percent of patients were white, 8% black, 2% Asian, and 30% other/mixed or unknown race; 6% were Hispanic. The mean CDAI score at baseline was 11.3 (+/- 10.7). For the overall population, there was no significant difference in disease activity between TNFi and non-TNFi at 12 months (ATE= 0.85, 95% CI -0.26, 1.96; Table 1). Stratified analyses found higher disease activity for TNFi compared to non-TNFi among patients of Black and Asian race, non-Hispanic ethnicity, and female sex. Among Black race patients, TNFi use was associated with a 6.08 point higher CDAI score compared to non-TNFi use (95% CI 1.99, 10.17). In contrast, in Hispanic/Latino ethnicity patients, TNFi use was associated with a lower CDAI score compared to non-TNFi use (ATE= -2.64, 95% CI -3.99, -1.30).

Table 1.

Average treatment effect (ATE) of cumulative TNFi vs. non-TNFi use at 12-months on CDAI score in patients with RA

TNFiNon-TNFiATE (95% CI)Overall (n=16,448)8.847.990.85 (-0.26, 1.96)Race White (n=9,814)8.246.811.42 (0.03, 2.81)* Black (n=1,358)13.917.836.08 (1.99, 10.17)* Asian (n=301)6.542.743.80 (2.93, 4.67)*Ethnicity Non-Hispanic (n=14,216)8.927.631.29 (0.08, 2.51)* Hispanic (n=938)5.698.33-2.64 (-3.99, -1.30)*Sex Female (n=12,527)8.987.471.51 (0.31, 2.72)* Male (n=3,921)8.579.49-0.92 (-3.42, 1.58)

*P<0.05

Conclusion:

Results from this RCT simulation study suggest that non-TNFi may have an important role as first-line agents in the treatment of Black and Asian patients, but not Hispanic patients. These novel findings fill gaps where RCTs have not been conducted, highlight the need for inclusion of diverse populations in future trials, and have the potential to lead to a more personalized approach to rheumatologic care.

References:

Disclosure of Interests:

Milena Gianfrancesco: None declared, Jing Li: None declared, Michael Evans: None declared, Maya Petersen: None declared, Gabriela Schmajuk: None declared, Jinoos Yazdany Consultant of: Eli Lilly and Astra Zeneca, unrelated to this project., Grant/research support from: Gilead, unrelated to this project.

18F-FDG-PET in guided dose-painting with intensity modulated radiotherapy in oropharyngeal tumours: A phase I study (FiGaRO)

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

The FiGaRO trial assessed the feasibility and safety of using an FDG-PET-based dose-painting technique to deliver a radiotherapy (RT) boostto the FDG-avid primary tumour in patients with locally advanced high and intermediate risk oropharyngeal cancer.

MATERIALS AND METHOD

Patients underwent a planning 18FDG-PET-CT scan, immobilised in the treatment position, after one cycle of induction chemotherapy. The volume of persistent FDG-avidity in the primary tumour was escalated to 71.5 Gy in30 fractions delivered using a simultaneous integrated boost Intensity Modulated RT (SIB-IMRT) technique. RT was delivered with concomitant Cisplatin following 2 cycles of induction chemotherapy. The primary outcome was the incidence of grade ≥ 3 late mucosal toxicity 12 months post-treatment, with an excess rate of >10% regarded as unacceptable.

RESULTS

Twenty-nine patients were included and twenty-four were treated between 2014 and 2018, in two UK centres. Median follow-up was 36 months (range 4-56 months). Pre-defined planning target volume objectives and organ at risk dose constraints were met in all cases. There were no incidents of acute grade 4 toxicity. There were 4 cases of grade ≥ 3 mucosal toxicity at 12 months post-treatment (19.1%). There were no cases of persistent mucosal ulceration at 12 months. Overall survival at 3-years was 87.5%, 92.9% for intermediate and 70.0% for high risk patients.

CONCLUSION

Late toxicity rates, although higher than anticipated, are comparable to contemporary published data for standard dose chemo-IMRT. Results suggest improved 3y survival rates for high risk patients. This approach merits further investigation. ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02953197.

Use of proteomics to identify biomarkers associated with chronic kidney disease and long-term outcomes in patients with myocardial infarction

BACKGROUND

Patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) have poor outcomes following myocardial infarction (MI). We performed an untargeted examination of 175 biomarkers to identify those with the strongest association with CKD and to examine the association of those biomarkers with long-term outcomes.

METHODS

A total of 175 different biomarkers from MI patients enrolled in the Swedish Web-System for Enhancement and Development of Evidence-Based Care in Heart Disease Evaluated According to Recommended Therapies (SWEDEHEART) registry were analysed either by a multiple reaction monitoring mass spectrometry assay or by a multiplex assay (proximity extension assay). Random forests statistical models were used to assess the predictor importance of biomarkers, CKD and outcomes.

RESULTS

A total of 1098 MI patients with a median estimated glomerular filtration rate of 85 mL min^-1 /1.73 m² were followed for a median of 3.2 years. The random forests analyses, without and with adjustment for differences in demography, comorbidities and severity of disease, identified six biomarkers (adrenomedullin, TNF receptor-1, adipocyte fatty acid-binding protein-4, TNF-related apoptosis-inducing ligand receptor 2, growth differentiation factor-15 and TNF receptor-2) to be strongly associated with CKD. All six biomarkers were also amongst the 15 strongest predictors for death, and four of them were amongst the strongest predictors of subsequent MI and heart failure hospitalization.

CONCLUSION

In patients with MI, a proteomic approach could identify six biomarkers that best predicted CKD. These biomarkers were also amongst the most important predictors of long-term outcomes. Thus, these biomarkers indicate underlying mechanisms that may contribute to the poor prognosis seen in patients with MI and CKD.

(Dis)concordance of comorbidity data and cancer status across administrative datasets, medical charts, and self-reports

Background

Benchmarking outcomes across settings commonly requires risk-adjustment for co-morbidities that must be derived from extant sources that were designed for other purposes. A question arises as to the extent to which differing available sources for health data will be concordant when inferring the type and severity of co-morbidities, how close are these to the “truth”. We studied the level of concordance for same-patient comorbidity data extracted from administrative data (coded from International Classification of Diseases, Australian modification,10th edition [ICD-10 AM]), from the medical chart audit, and data self-reported by men with prostate cancer who had undergone a radical prostatectomy.

Methods

We included six hospitals (5 public and 1 private) contributing to the Prostate Cancer Outcomes Registry-Victoria (PCOR-Vic) in the study. Eligible patients from the PCOR-Vic underwent a radical prostatectomy between January 2017 and April 2018.Health Information Manager’s in each hospital, provided each patient’s associated administrative ICD-10 AM comorbidity codes. Medical charts were reviewed to extract comorbidity data. The self-reported comorbidity questionnaire (SCQ) was distributed through PCOR-Vic to eligible men.

Results

The percentage agreement between the administrative data, medical charts and self-reports ranged from 92 to 99% in the 122 patients from the 217 eligible participants who responded to the questionnaire. The presence of comorbidities showed a poor level of agreement between data sources.

Conclusion

Relying on a single data source to generate comorbidity indices for risk-modelling purposes may fail to capture the reality of a patient’s disease profile. There does not appear to be a ‘gold-standard’ data source for the collection of data on comorbidities.

GW190521: A Binary Black Hole Merger with a Total Mass of 150 M_{⊙}

On May 21, 2019 at 03:02:29 UTC Advanced LIGO and Advanced Virgo observed a short duration gravitational-wave signal, GW190521, with a three-detector network signal-to-noise ratio of 14.7, and an estimated false-alarm rate of 1 in 4900 yr using a search sensitive to generic transients. If GW190521 is from a quasicircular binary inspiral, then the detected signal is consistent with the merger of two black holes with masses of 85_{-14}^{+21}  M_{⊙} and 66_{-18}^{+17}  M_{⊙} (90% credible intervals). We infer that the primary black hole mass lies within the gap produced by (pulsational) pair-instability supernova processes, with only a 0.32% probability of being below 65  M_{⊙}. We calculate the mass of the remnant to be 142_{-16}^{+28}  M_{⊙}, which can be considered an intermediate mass black hole (IMBH). The luminosity distance of the source is 5.3_{-2.6}^{+2.4}  Gpc, corresponding to a redshift of 0.82_{-0.34}^{+0.28}. The inferred rate of mergers similar to GW190521 is 0.13_{-0.11}^{+0.30}  Gpc^{-3} yr^{-1}.

Preeclampsia and the risk of chronic kidney disease: a national registry-based cohort study

Background

Preeclampsia is associated with increased risk of future cardiovascular disease, but evidence for associations with chronic kidney disease (CKD) has been inconsistent to date. We aimed to measure associations between preeclampsia and long-term CKD in a population-based sample of parous women, and to identify whether the risk differs by CKD subtype.

Methods

Using data from the Swedish Medical Birth Register, singleton live births from 1973-2012 were identified and linked to data from the Swedish Renal Register and National Patient Register (up to 2013). Preeclampsia was the main exposure of interest and was treated as a time-dependent variable. The primary outcome was maternal CKD, and this was classified into 5 subtypes: hypertensive, diabetic, glomerular/proteinuric, tubulo-interstitial, other/non-specific CKD. Cox proportional hazard regression models were used for analysis. Women with pre-pregnancy comorbidities were excluded.

Results

The dataset included 1,924,591 unique women who had 3,726,819 singleton pregnancies. The median follow-up was 20.7 (interquartile range 9.9-30.0) years. Overall, 90,964 women (4.7%) experienced preeclampsia and 18,146 (0.9%) developed CKD. Women who had preeclampsia had higher risk of developing any CKD during follow-up (aHR 1.88, 95% CI 1.79-1.98). The risk differed by CKD subtype, and was higher for hypertensive CKD (aHR 3.76, aHR 3.09-4.57), diabetic CKD (aHR 3.45, 95% CI 2.83-4.21) and glomerular/proteinuric CKD (aHR 2.08, 95% CI 1.90-2.29). Women who had preterm preeclampsia, recurrent preeclampsia, or preeclampsia complicated by pre-pregnancy obesity were also at greater risk of any CKD.

Conclusions

Women with a history of preeclampsia are at increased risk of long-term CKD. The risk is most marked for hypertensive CKD, diabetic CKD, and glomerular/proteinuric CKD. The absolute risk of CKD related to preeclampsia is substantial, and these women may warrant systematic renal monitoring in the years following delivery.

Key messages

Preeclampsia is an independent predictor of long-term risk of chronic kidney disease in otherwise healthy parous women. Women with a history of preeclampsia may warrant systematic renal monitoring through additional blood pressure, blood glucose, and proteinuria checks.

Frequency-Dependent Squeezing for Advanced LIGO

The first detection of gravitational waves by the Laser Interferometer Gravitational-Wave Observatory (LIGO) in 2015 launched the era of gravitational-wave astronomy. The quest for gravitational-wave signals from objects that are fainter or farther away impels technological advances to realize ever more sensitive detectors. Since 2019, one advanced technique, the injection of squeezed states of light, is being used to improve the shot-noise limit to the sensitivity of the Advanced LIGO detectors, at frequencies above ∼50  Hz. Below this frequency, quantum backaction, in the form of radiation pressure induced motion of the mirrors, degrades the sensitivity. To simultaneously reduce shot noise at high frequencies and quantum radiation pressure noise at low frequencies requires a quantum noise filter cavity with low optical losses to rotate the squeezed quadrature as a function of frequency. We report on the observation of frequency-dependent squeezed quadrature rotation with rotation frequency of 30 Hz, using a 16-m-long filter cavity. A novel control scheme is developed for this frequency-dependent squeezed vacuum source, and the results presented here demonstrate that a low-loss filter cavity can achieve the squeezed quadrature rotation necessary for the next planned upgrade to Advanced LIGO, known as "A+."

Faire face au traumatisme du patient, quel impact pour les médecins ?

L’exercice de la médecine est un compromis permanent entre la vie et la mort, entre puissance médicale et risque d’échec. Un exercice d’autant plus complexe qu’il est soumis aux contraintes d’une organisation institutionnelle mouvante et d’une charge de travail croissante. Par essence, les psychiatres sont exposés à une charge émotionnelle intense dans leurs échanges avec des patients souffrants et traumatisés, d’autant qu’il leur est recommandé de faire preuve d’empathie. Ainsi les médecins présentent un risque important de burn out, avec 49 % d’épuisement émotionnel chez des psychiatres italiens par exemple. Les comorbidités du burn out restent la dépression, le suicide, les addictions. Le risque suicidaire est plus élevé chez les médecins (les hommes médecins sont 1,4 fois plus à risque de commettre un suicide que les hommes non-médecins) et seulement 1/5 déclarent qu’ils iraient chercher de l’aide s’ils souffraient d’une maladie mentale. Etre thérapeute auprès de victimes de traumatismes peut entraîner une souffrance psychologique cumulée se manifestant sous forme de certains symptômes post-traumatiques révélant un traumatisme vicariant ou secondaire. L’usure de compassion, terme parfois utilisé comme synonyme, est pourtant quant à elle conceptualisée comme la somme de deux entités : le trauma vicariant et le burn out. La vulnérabilité à ces modifications cognitives est d’autant plus grande chez les soignants qu’ils présentent une exposition personnelle à des évènements traumatisants importante. L’élaboration d’échelles d’évaluation validées permet de mener des études sur ces différentes dimensions (« usure de compassion », traumatisme vicariant, burn out,…) parfois comprises comme conséquences néfastes de stratégies de coping dépassées. En France, le développement de la prise en soin des victimes de psychotraumatisme, doit conduire à étudier l’impact de celui-ci sur les personnels soignants.

Prospects for observing and localizing gravitational-wave transients with Advanced LIGO, Advanced Virgo and KAGRA

We present our current best estimate of the plausible observing scenarios for the Advanced LIGO, Advanced Virgo and KAGRA gravitational-wave detectors over the next several years, with the intention of providing information to facilitate planning for multi-messenger astronomy with gravitational waves. We estimate the sensitivity of the network to transient gravitational-wave signals for the third (O3), fourth (O4) and fifth observing (O5) runs, including the planned upgrades of the Advanced LIGO and Advanced Virgo detectors. We study the capability of the network to determine the sky location of the source for gravitational-wave signals from the inspiral of binary systems of compact objects, that is binary neutron star, neutron star-black hole, and binary black hole systems. The ability to localize the sources is given as a sky-area probability, luminosity distance, and comoving volume. The median sky localization area (90% credible region) is expected to be a few hundreds of square degrees for all types of binary systems during O3 with the Advanced LIGO and Virgo (HLV) network. The median sky localization area will improve to a few tens of square degrees during O4 with the Advanced LIGO, Virgo, and KAGRA (HLVK) network. During O3, the median localization volume (90% credible region) is expected to be on the order of 10 5 , 10 6 , 10 7 Mpc 3 for binary neutron star, neutron star-black hole, and binary black hole systems, respectively. The localization volume in O4 is expected to be about a factor two smaller than in O3. We predict a detection count of 1 - 1 + 12 ( 10 - 10 + 52 ) for binary neutron star mergers, of 0 - 0 + 19 ( 1 - 1 + 91 ) for neutron star-black hole mergers, and 17 - 11 + 22 ( 79 - 44 + 89 ) for binary black hole mergers in a one-calendar-year observing run of the HLV network during O3 (HLVK network during O4). We evaluate sensitivity and localization expectations for unmodeled signal searches, including the search for intermediate mass black hole binary mergers.

Quantum-Enhanced Advanced LIGO Detectors in the Era of Gravitational-Wave Astronomy

The Laser Interferometer Gravitational Wave Observatory (LIGO) has been directly detecting gravitational waves from compact binary mergers since 2015. We report on the first use of squeezed vacuum states in the direct measurement of gravitational waves with the Advanced LIGO H1 and L1 detectors. This achievement is the culmination of decades of research to implement squeezed states in gravitational-wave detectors. During the ongoing O3 observation run, squeezed states are improving the sensitivity of the LIGO interferometers to signals above 50 Hz by up to 3 dB, thereby increasing the expected detection rate by 40% (H1) and 50% (L1).

Closed-loop insulin delivery in end-of-life care: a case report

BACKGROUND

Glucose management for people with diabetes approaching the end of life can be very challenging. The aim is to balance a minimally invasive approach with avoidance of symptomatic hypo- and hyperglycaemia.

CASE REPORT

We present a case of a hospitalized individual whose glucose was managed with closed-loop insulin delivery within a randomized controlled trial setting during a period of terminal illness. During the time in which closed-loop insulin delivery was used, glucose control was safe, with no glucose-related harm. The mean ± sd sensor glucose for this individual was 11.3 ± 4.3 mmol/l, percentage of time spent in target glucose range between 6 and 15 mmol/l was 70.5%, time spent in hypoglycaemia was 2.0% and time spent in significant hyperglycaemia >20 mmol/l was 2.6%.

CONCLUSION

Closed-loop systems can accommodate personalized glucose targets and highly variable insulin requirements. Factory-calibrated continuous glucose sensors and insulin pump therapy are less intrusive than finger-stick glucose measurements and insulin injections, respectively. Closed-loop systems may provide a safer and less burdensome approach to glucose management towards the end of life.

Adverse pregnancy outcomes and long-term risk of maternal renal disease: a systematic review

Background

Little is known about the long-term risk of renal disease following adverse pregnancy outcomes, such as hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (HDP), gestational diabetes (GDM) or preterm delivery. We aimed to investigate associations between adverse pregnancy outcomes and maternal chronic kidney disease (CKD) and end-stage kidney disease (ESKD), by synthesising results of relevant studies.

Methods

A systematic search of PubMed, EMBASE and Web of Science was done up to July 2018. Case-control and cohort studies were eligible for inclusion if they provided original effect estimates for associations between adverse pregnancy outcomes (HDP, GDM, preterm) and maternal renal disease (primary outcomes: CKD, ESKD; secondary outcomes: renal hospitalisation, renal mortality). Two independent reviewers extracted data and assessed risk of bias. Random effects meta-analyses were conducted to determine pooled adjusted odds ratio (AOR) and 95% confidence interval (95%CI) for each association.

Results

Of 5,120 studies retrieved, 21 studies met inclusion criteria (4,483,847 participants). HDP was associated with increased odds of ESKD (AOR 6.58, 95%CI 4.06-10.65), CKD (AOR 2.08, 95%CI 1.06-4.10), renal hospitalisation (AOR 2.29, 95%CI 1.42-3.71). The magnitude of association was dependent on HDP subtype: AOR for preeclampsia and ESKD was 4.87 (95%CI 3.01-7.87); gestational hypertension and ESKD was 3.65 (95%CI 2.34-5.67); other HDP (including chronic hypertension) and ESKD was 14.67 (95%CI 3.21-66.97). Preterm delivery was associated with increased odds of ESKD (AOR 2.16, 95%CI 1.64-2.85). GDM was associated with increased odds of CKD among black women (AOR 1.78, 95%CI 1.18-2.70), but not Caucasian women (AOR 0.81, 95%CI 0.58-1.13)

Conclusions

Women who experience adverse pregnancy outcomes have increased odds of renal disease, especially after HDP. Risk stratification and preventive interventions may be needed to reduce the risk of clinically significant renal disease in mothers.

Key messages

This is the first study to summarise the long-term risk of renal disease among women who experience a range of adverse pregnancy outcomes. Women who experience hypertensive disorders in pregnancy, preterm delivery, or gestational diabetes are at increased odds of renal disease.