Can Baseline Patient Clinical and Demographic Characteristics Predict Response to Early Posttraumatic Stress Disorder Interventions After Physical Injury?

OBJECTIVE

A growing evidence base supports stepped care interventions for the early treatment of posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) after physical injury. Few investigations have examined the characteristics of patients who do and do not respond to these interventions.

METHOD

This investigation was a secondary analysis that used previously collected data from three randomized clinical trials of stepped care interventions (patient N = 498). The study hypothesized that a subgroup of patients would manifest persistent PTSD symptoms regardless of randomization to intervention or control conditions, and that characteristics present at the time of baseline injury hospitalization could distinguish patients who would develop persistent symptoms from potential treatment responders. Regression analyses identified baseline patient clinical and demographic characteristics that were associated with persistent PTSD symptoms over the 6-months post-injury. Additional analyses identified treatment attributes of intervention patients who were and were not likely to demonstrate persistent symptoms.

RESULTS

A substantial subgroup of patients (n = 222, 44.6%) demonstrated persistent PTSD symptoms over time. Greater numbers of pre-injury trauma, pre-injury PTSD symptoms, elevated early post-injury PTSD symptoms, unemployment, and non-White race identified patients with persistent symptoms. Patients with ≥3 of these baseline risk characteristics demonstrated diminished treatment responses when compared to patients with <3 characteristics. Intervention patients with ≥3 risk characteristics were less likely to engage in treatment and required greater amounts of interventionist time.

CONCLUSIONS

Injured trauma survivors have readily identifiable characteristics at the time of hospitalization that can distinguish responders to PTSD stepped care interventions versus patients who may be treatment refractory.

Relationship of Neonatal Seizure Burden Before Treatment and Response to Initial Antiseizure Medication

OBJECTIVE

To assess among a cohort of neonates with hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy (HIE) the association of pretreatment maximal hourly seizure burden and total seizure duration with successful response to initial antiseizure medication (ASM).

STUDY DESIGN

This was a retrospective review of data collected from infants enrolled in the HEAL Trial (NCT02811263) between January 25, 2017, and October 9, 2019. We evaluated a cohort of neonates born at ≥36 weeks of gestation with moderate-to-severe HIE who underwent continuous electroencephalogram monitoring and had acute symptomatic seizures. Poisson regression analyzed associations between (1) pretreatment maximal hourly seizure burden, (2) pretreatment total seizure duration, (3) time from first seizure to initial ASM, and (4) successful response to initial ASM.

RESULTS

Among 39 neonates meeting inclusion criteria, greater pretreatment maximal hourly seizure burden was associated with lower chance of successful response to initial ASM (adjusted relative risk for each 5-minute increase in seizure burden 0.83, 95% CI 0.69-0.99). There was no association between pretreatment total seizure duration and chance of successful response. Shorter time-to-treatment was paradoxically associated with lower chance of successful response to treatment, although this difference was small in magnitude (relative risk 1.007, 95% CI 1.003-1.010).

CONCLUSIONS

Maximal seizure burden may be more important than other, more commonly used measures in predicting response to acute seizure treatments.

Emergency Department and Inpatient Utilization Reductions and Cost Savings Associated With Trauma Center Mental Health Intervention: Results From a 5-year Longitudinal Randomized Clinical Trial Analysis

OBJECTIVE

To identify and refer patients at high risk for the psychological sequelae of traumatic injury, the American College of Surgeons Committee on Trauma now requires that trauma centers have in-place protocols. No investigations have documented reductions in utilization and associated potential cost savings associated with trauma center mental health interventions.

BACKGROUND

The investigation was a randomized clinical trial analysis that incorporated novel 5-year emergency department (ED)/inpatient health service utilization follow-up data.

METHODS

Patients were randomized to a mental health intervention, targeting the psychological sequelae of traumatic injury (n = 85) versus enhanced usual care control (n = 86) conditions. The intervention included case management that coordinated trauma center-to-community care linkages, psychotropic medication consultation, and psychotherapy elements. Mixed model regression was used to assess intervention and control group utilization differences over time. An economic analysis was also conducted.

RESULTS

Over the course of the 5-year intervention, patients demonstrated significant reductions in ED/inpatient utilization when compared with control patients [ F (19,3210) = 2.23, P = 0.009]. Intervention utilization reductions were greatest at 3 to 6 months (intervention 15.5% vs control 26.7%, relative risk = 0.58, 95% CI: 0.34, 1.00) and 12 to 15 months (intervention 16.5% vs control 30.6%, relative risk = 0.54, 95% CI: 0.32, 0.91) postinjury time points. The economic analysis suggested potential intervention cost savings.

CONCLUSIONS

Mental health intervention is associated with significant reductions in ED and inpatient utilization, as well as potential cost savings. These findings could be productively integrated into future American College of Surgeons Committee on Trauma policy discussions.

Stepped collaborative care versus American College of Surgeons Committee on Trauma required screening and referral for posttraumatic stress disorder: Clinical trial protocol

BACKGROUND

Each year in the US, approximately 1.5-2.5 million individuals are so severely injured that they require inpatient hospital admissions. The American College of Surgeons Committee on Trauma (College) now requires that trauma centers have in place protocols to identify and refer hospitalized patients at risk injury psychological sequelae. Literature review revealed no investigations that have identified optimal screening, intervention, and referral procedures in the wake of the College requirement.

METHODS

The single-site pragmatic trial investigation will individually randomize 424 patients (212 intervention and 212 control) to a brief stepped care intervention versus College required mental health screening and referral control conditions. Blinded follow-up interviews at 1-, 3-, 6-, and 12-months post-injury will assess the symptoms of PTSD and related comorbidity for all patients. The emergency department information exchange (EDIE) will be used to capture population-level automated emergency department and inpatient utilization data for the intent-to-treat sample. The investigation aims to test the primary hypotheses that intervention patients will demonstrate significant reductions in PTSD symptoms and emergency department/inpatient utilization when compared to control patients. The study incorporates a Rapid Assessment Procedure-Informed Clinical Ethnography (RAPICE) implementation process assessment.

CONCLUSIONS

The overarching goal of the investigation is to advance the sustainable delivery of high-quality trauma center mental health screening, intervention, and referral procedures for diverse injury survivors. An end-of-study policy summit will harness pragmatic trial data to inform the capacity for US trauma centers to implement high-quality acute care mental health screening, intervention and referral services for diverse injured patient populations.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Clinicaltrials.govNCT05632770.

Brain Injury Outcomes after Adjuvant Erythropoietin Neuroprotection for Moderate or Severe Neonatal Hypoxic-Ischemic Encephalopathy: A Report from the HEAL Trial

INTRODUCTION

Erythropoietin (Epo) is a putative neuroprotective therapy that did not improve overall outcomes in a phase 3 randomized controlled trial for neonates with moderate or severe hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy (HIE). However, HIE is a heterogeneous disorder, and it remains to be determined whether Epo had beneficial effects on a subset of perinatal brain injuries.

METHODS

This study was a secondary analysis of neuroimaging data from the High-dose Erythropoietin for Asphyxia and Encephalopathy (HEAL) Trial, which was conducted from 2016 - 2021 at 17 sites involving 23 US academic medical centers. Participants were neonates >36 weeks' gestation undergoing therapeutic hypothermia for moderate or severe HIE who received 5 doses of study drug (Epoetin alpha 1000 U/kg/dose) or placebo in the first week of life. Treatment assignment was stratified by trial site and severity of encephalopathy. The primary outcome was the locus, pattern and acuity of brain injury as determined by three independent readers using a validated HIE Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) scoring system.

RESULTS

Of the 500 infants enrolled in HEAL, 470 (94%) had high quality MRI data obtained at a median of 4.9 days of age (IQR 4.5 - 5.8). The incidence of injury to the deep grey nuclei, cortex, white matter, brainstem and cerebellum was similar between Epo and placebo groups. Likewise, the distribution of injury patterns was similar between groups. Among infants imaged at less than 8 days (n=414), 94 (23%) evidenced only acute, 93 (22%) only subacute and 89 (21%) both acute and subacute injuries, with similar distribution across treatment groups.

CONCLUSION

Adjuvant erythropoietin did not reduce the incidence of regional brain injury. Subacute brain injury was more common than previously reported, which has key implications for the development of adjuvant neuroprotective therapies for this population.

Placental Histologic Abnormalities and 2-Year Outcomes in Neonatal Hypoxic-Ischemic Encephalopathy

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to examine the association between placental abnormalities and neurodevelopmental outcomes in a multicenter cohort of newborn infants with hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy (HIE) that underwent therapeutic hypothermia. We hypothesized that subjects with acute placental abnormalities would have reduced risk of death or neurodevelopmental impairment (NDI) at 2 years of age after undergoing therapeutic hypothermia compared to subjects without acute placental changes.

STUDY DESIGN

Among 500 subjects born at ≥36 weeks gestation with moderate or severe HIE enrolled in the High-dose Erythropoietin for Asphyxia and Encephalopathy (HEAL) Trial, a placental pathologist blinded to clinical information reviewed clinical pathology reports to determine the presence of acute only, chronic only, or both acute and chronic histologic abnormalities. We calculated adjusted relative risks (aRRs) for associations between placental pathologic abnormalities and death or NDI at age 2 years, adjusting for HIE severity, treatment assignment, and site.

RESULT

321/500 subjects (64%) had available placental pathology reports. Placental abnormalities were characterized as acute only (20%), chronic only (21%), both acute and chronic (43%), and none (15%). The risk of death or NDI was not statistically different between subjects with and without an acute placental abnormality (46 vs. 53%, aRR 1.1, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.9, 1.4). Subjects with two or more chronic lesions were more likely to have an adverse outcome than subjects with no chronic abnormalities, though this did not reach statistical significance (55 vs. 45%, aRR 1.24, 95% CI: 0.99, 1.56).

CONCLUSION

Placental pathologic findings were not independently associated with risk of death or NDI in subjects with HIE. The relationship between multiple chronic placental lesions and HIE outcomes deserves further study.

Time to Regain Birthweight and Association with Neurodevelopmental Outcomes among Extremely Preterm Newborns

Objective

Determine association between time to regain birthweight and 2-year neurodevelopment among extremely preterm (EP) newborns.

Study Design

Secondary analysis of the Preterm Erythropoietin Neuroprotection Trial evaluating time to regain birthweight, time from birth to weight nadir, time from nadir to regain birthweight, and cumulative weight loss with 2-year corrected Bayley Scales of Infant and Toddler Development 3rd edition.

Results

Among n = 654 EP neonates, those with shorter nadir-to-regain had lower cognitive scores (2-4 days versus ≥ 8 days: -3.5, [CI -7.0, 0.0]; ≤1 day versus ≥ 8 days: -5.0, [CI -10.2, 0.0]) in fully adjusted stepwise forward regression modeling. Increasingly cumulative weight loss was associated with lower cognitive scores (-50 to <-23 percent-days: -4.0, [95% CI -7.6, -0.4]) and language scores (≤-50 percent-days: -5.7, [CI -9.8, -1.6]; -50 to <-23 percent-days: -6.1, [CI -10.2, -2.0]).

Conclusion

Faster nadir-to-regain and prolonged, severe weight loss are associated with adverse 2-year neurodevelopmental outcomes.

Trial registration

PENUT Trial Registration: NCT01378273. https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT01378273.

Contemporary Definitions of Infant Growth Failure and Neurodevelopmental and Behavioral Outcomes in Extremely Premature Infants at Two Years of Age

Introduction

The association of 2-year neurodevelopmental and behavioral outcomes with in-hospital or post-discharge growth failure (GF) using contemporary definitions for preterm infants is unknown.

Methods

In a secondary analysis of a preterm cohort, changes in anthropometric z-scores were examined between birth and hospital discharge, and from discharge to 2 years. The 2-year evaluation included Bayley Scales of Infant Development (BSID-III) and Child Behavior Checklist (CBCL).

Results

Among 629 infants, accelerated linear growth from birth to discharge was associated with higher BSID-III cognitive scores (+ 3.2 points [IQR 0.02, 6.4]) while in-hospital GF was not associated with any outcomes. Infants with weight GF after discharge had lower BSID-III motor scores (-3.1 points [-5.9, -0.2]). Infants with accelerated weight growth after discharge had increased odds of behavioral problems on the CBCL (aOR 1.9 [1.03, 3.5]).

Discussion

In-hospital and post-hospitalization growth metrics are modestly associated with neurodevelopmental outcomes with length gains apparently most beneficial.

Premature infants born <28 weeks with acute kidney injury have increased bronchopulmonary dysplasia rates

BACKGROUND

Despite a growing understanding of bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD) and advances in management, BPD rates remain stable. There is mounting evidence that BPD may be due to a systemic insult, such as acute kidney injury (AKI). Our hypothesis was that severe AKI would be associated with BPD.

METHODS

We conducted a secondary analysis of premature infants [24-27 weeks gestation] in the Recombinant Erythropoietin for Protection of Infant Renal Disease cohort (N = 885). We evaluated the composite outcome of Grade 2/3 BPD or death using generalized estimating equations. In an exploratory analysis, urinary biomarkers of angiogenesis (ANG1, ANG2, EPO, PIGF, TIE2, FGF, and VEGFA/D) were analyzed.

RESULTS

594 (67.1%) of infants had the primary composite outcome of Grade 2/3 BPD or death. Infants with AKI (aOR: 1.69, 95% CI: 1.16-2.46) and severe AKI (aOR: 2.05, 95% CI: 1.19-3.54). had increased risk of the composite outcome after multivariable adjustment Among 106 infants with urinary biomarkers assessed, three biomarkers (VEGFA, VEGFD, and TIE2) had AUC > 0.60 to predict BPD.

CONCLUSIONS

Infants with AKI had a higher likelihood of developing BPD/death, with the strongest relationship seen in those with more severe AKI. Three urinary biomarkers of angiogenesis may have potential to predict BPD development.

IMPACT

AKI is associated with lung disease in extremely premature infants, and urinary biomarkers may predict this relationship. Infants with AKI and severe AKI have higher odds of BPD or death. Three urinary angiogenesis biomarkers are altered in infants that develop BPD. These findings have the potential to drive future work to better understand the mechanistic pathways of BPD, setting the framework for future interventions to decrease BPD rates. A better understanding of the mechanisms of BPD development and the role of AKI would have clinical care, cost, and quality of life implications given the long-term effects of BPD.

Effectiveness of Spinal Manipulation and Biopsychosocial Self-Management compared to Medical Care for Low Back Pain: A Randomized Trial Study Protocol

Background Chronic low back pain (cLBP) is widespread, costly, and burdensome to patients and health systems. Little is known about non-pharmacological treatments for the secondary prevention of cLBP. There is some evidence that treatments addressing psychosocial factors in higher risk patients are more effective than usual care. However, most clinical trials on acute and subacute LBP have evaluated interventions irrespective of prognosis. Methods We have designed a phase 3 randomized trial with a 2x2 factorial design. The study is also a Hybrid type 1 trial with focus on intervention effectiveness while simultaneously considering plausible implementation strategies. Adults (n = 1000) with acute/subacute LBP at moderate to high risk of chronicity based on the STarT Back screening tool will be randomized in to 1 of 4 interventions lasting up to 8 weeks: supported self-management (SSM), spinal manipulation therapy (SMT), both SSM and SMT, or medical care. The primary objective is to assess intervention effectiveness; the secondary objective is to assess barriers and facilitators impacting future implementation. Primary effectiveness outcome measures are: (1) average pain intensity over 12 months post-randomization (pain, numerical rating scale); (2) average low back disability over 12 months post-randomization (Roland-Morris Disability Questionnaire); (3) prevention of cLBP that is impactful at 10-12 months follow-up (LBP impact from the PROMIS-29 Profile v2.0). Secondary outcomes include: recovery, PROMIS-29 Profile v2.0 measures to assess pain interference, physical function, anxiety, depression, fatigue, sleep disturbance, and ability to participate in social roles and activities. Other patient-reported measures include LBP frequency, medication use, healthcare utilization, productivity loss, STarT Back screening tool status, patient satisfaction, prevention of chronicity, adverse events, and dissemination measures. Objective measures include the Quebec Task Force Classification, Timed Up & Go Test, the Sit to Stand Test, and the Sock Test assessed by clinicians blinded to the patients' intervention assignment. Discussion By targeting those subjects at higher risk this trial aims to fill an important gap in the scientific literature regarding the effectiveness of promising non-pharmacological treatments compared to medical care for the management of patients with an acute episode of LBP and the prevention of progression to a severe chronic back problem. Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03581123.

POS0656 FRAILTY AND RISK OF ADVERSE OUTCOMES IN BIOLOGIC OR TARGETED-SYNTHETIC DMARD TREATED PATIENTS WITH RHEUMATOID ARTHRITIS

Background

Recently, it has been recognized that frailty and pre-frailty are common in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) [1]. Whether frailty status portends an increased risk of adverse outcomes in patients with RA on biologic or targeted synthetic disease modifying anti-rheumatic drugs (b- or tsDMARDs) remains unknown.

Objectives

To evaluate the association between frailty and adverse outcomes in patients with RA exposed to b- or tsDMARDs.

Methods

Using the IBM/Watson MarketScan Commercial Claims and Encounters Databases, we identified all patients with RA who filled new prescriptions (or received infusions) for TNFα antagonists (TNFi), non-TNFi biologics (rituximab, abatacept, tocilizumab) or Janus Kinase inhibitors (JAKi) between 2008-2019. We used a 1-year lookback period without the use of these drugs to identify new users. The date of the first prescription within these three drug categories was the index date. Patients’ frailty risk score was calculated using the Claims-Based Frailty Index (CFI) [2], which estimates a deficit-accumulation frailty index using International Classification of Diseases codes, Current Procedural Terminology codes, and Healthcare Common Procedure Coding System codes in administrative claims data in the 1-year baseline period. The index ranges from 0 (not at all frail) to 1 (severely frail). The primary outcome was time to serious infections (those requiring hospitalization); secondary outcomes: any infection (outpatient or inpatient encounters) and all-cause hospitalizations.

Patients were followed until 1) outcome occurrence; 2) disenrollment; 3) >90 days elapsed (or >180 days for rituximab) without further fills of the first drug categories; 4) they filled/received infusions of b-/tsDMARDs from a different drug category; or 5) 2 years after index. Cox proportional hazards adjusting for demographics, calendar year, serious and/or opportunistic infections in the 12-months prior to index were used to estimate the adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for each outcome. In separate model, we additionally adjusted for comorbidity burden, and health care utilization (HCU).

Results

A total of 62,246 patients with RA met our inclusion criteria of whom 50,910 (82%) started TNFi as their first biologic, 9525 (15%) non-TNFi biologics, and 1811 (3%) JAKi. Among these, 3928 (6%) were considered frail. In multivariable analyses, frail patients had higher risk of serious infections compared to non-frail patients (aHR 2.37, 95% CI 2.05-2.74) which decreased to aHR 1.34, 95% CI 1.13-1.58 (Table 1) after adjusting for comorbidity burden and the HCU. Similarly, frailty was associated with increased risk of any infection (aHR 1.18, 95% CI 1.11-1.25), and all-cause hospitalizations (aHR 1.34, 95% CI 1.21-1.49) relative to non-frail individuals.

Table 1.

Multivariable models evaluating the association between frailty status and inpatient infections as the outcome

Variable#Hazard Ratio (95% Confidence Interval)@Hazard Ratio (95% Confidence Interval)Frail2.37 (2.05, 2.74)1.34 (1.13, 1.58)

#Model adjusts for age, sex, major infection requiring inpatient admission in 12 months prior, concomitant baseline drugs such as csDMARDs, glucocorticoids, NSAIDs and opioids

@Model additionally adjusts for Chalrson comorbidy score and healthcare utilization

Conclusion

Frailty is an important predictor for the risk of adverse outcomes among patients with RA treated with b- or tsDMARDs. Our findings underscore the need for considering this parameter in patient evaluations (even among younger patients) in the clinic.

References

[1]Salaffi F et al: Prevalence of frailty and its associated factors in patients with rheumatoid arthritis: a cross-sectional analysis. Clin Rheumatol 2019

[2]Kim DH et al. Validation of a Claims-Based Frailty Index Against Physical Performance and Adverse Health Outcomes in the Health and Retirement Study. J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci 2019

Acknowledgements

I have no acknowledgements to declare.

Disclosure of Interests

None declared

Stepped Collaborative Care Targeting Posttraumatic Stress Disorder Symptoms and Comorbidity for US Trauma Care Systems: A Randomized Clinical Trial

Importance

To date, few multisite investigations have evaluated early interventions for injured patients with posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) symptoms.

Objective

To simultaneously assess the effectiveness and implementation of a brief stepped collaborative care intervention targeting PTSD and comorbidity.

Design, Setting, and Participants

A stepped-wedge cluster randomized clinical trial was conducted at 25 US level I trauma centers. Participants included hospitalized survivors of physical injury who underwent a 2-step evaluation for PTSD symptoms. Patients reporting high levels of distress on the PTSD Checklist (PCL-C) were randomized (N = 635) per the stepped-wedge protocol to enhanced usual care control (n = 370) or intervention (n = 265) conditions. The study was conducted from January 4, 2016, through November 2018. Data analysis was performed from November 4, 2019, to December 8, 2020.

Interventions

The Trauma Survivors Outcomes and Support collaborative care intervention included proactive injury case management that assisted patients transitioning from hospital inpatient to outpatient and community settings. The intervention also integrated evidence-based pharmacotherapy and psychotherapeutic elements targeting PTSD symptoms and comorbidity.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The primary study outcome was PTSD symptoms assessed with the PCL-C at baseline in the surgical ward and at 3, 6, and 12 months postinjury. Secondary outcomes included depressive symptoms, alcohol use, and physical function. Subgroup analyses examined the effect of baseline risk factors for enduring PTSD and quality of protocol implementation on study outcomes. Primary statistical analyses were conducted using the intent-to-treat sample.

Results

A total of 327 men (51.5%) were included in analysis; mean (SD) age was 39.0 (14.2) years. The investigation attained follow-up of 75% to 80% of the participants at 3 to 12 months. The intervention lasted a mean (SD) of 122 (132) minutes. Mixed model regression analyses revealed statistically significant changes in PCL-C scores for intervention patients compared with control patients at 6 months (difference, -2.57; 95% CI, -5.12 to -0.03; effect size, 0.18; P < .05) but not 12 months (difference, -1.27; 95% CI, -4.26 to 1.73; effect size, 0.08; P = .35). Subgroup analyses revealed larger PTSD treatment effects for patients with 3 or more baseline risk factors for enduring PTSD and for patients, including firearm injury survivors, treated at trauma centers with good or excellent protocol implementation. Intervention effects for secondary outcomes did not attain statistical significance.

Conclusions and Relevance

A brief stepped collaborative care intervention was associated with significant 6-month but not 12-month PTSD symptom reductions. Greater baseline PTSD risk and good or excellent trauma center protocol implementation were associated with larger PTSD treatment effects. Orchestrated efforts targeting policy and funding should systematically incorporate the study findings into national trauma center requirements and verification criteria.

Trial Registration

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02655354.

Transient benefits of climate change for a high-Arctic polar bear (Ursus maritimus) subpopulation

Kane Basin (KB) is one of the world's most northerly polar bear (Ursus maritimus) subpopulations, where bears have historically inhabited a mix of thick multiyear and annual sea ice year-round. Currently, KB is transitioning to a seasonally ice-free region because of climate change. This ecological shift has been hypothesized to benefit polar bears in the near-term due to thinner ice with increased biological production, although this has not been demonstrated empirically. We assess sea-ice changes in KB together with changes in polar bear movements, seasonal ranges, body condition, and reproductive metrics obtained from capture-recapture (physical and genetic) and satellite telemetry studies during two study periods (1993-1997 and 2012-2016). The annual cycle of sea-ice habitat in KB shifted from a year-round ice platform (~50% coverage in summer) in the 1990s to nearly complete melt-out in summer (<5% coverage) in the 2010s. The mean duration between sea-ice retreat and advance increased from 109 to 160 days (p = .004). Between the 1990s and 2010s, adult female (AF) seasonal ranges more than doubled in spring and summer and were significantly larger in all months. Body condition scores improved for all ages and both sexes. Mean litter sizes of cubs-of-the-year (C0s) and yearlings (C1s), and the number of C1s per AF, did not change between decades. The date of spring sea-ice retreat in the previous year was positively correlated with C1 litter size, suggesting smaller litters following years with earlier sea-ice breakup. Our study provides evidence for range expansion, improved body condition, and stable reproductive performance in the KB polar bear subpopulation. These changes, together with a likely increasing subpopulation abundance, may reflect the shift from thick, multiyear ice to thinner, seasonal ice with higher biological productivity. The duration of these benefits is unknown because, under unmitigated climate change, continued sea-ice loss is expected to eventually have negative demographic and ecological effects on all polar bears.

Sleep-HD trial: short and long-term effectiveness of existing insomnia therapies for patients undergoing hemodialysis

BACKGROUND

Patients with end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) treated with hemodialysis (HD) experience many distressing symptoms. One frequently reported symptom is insomnia. There are unique issues about HD treatments and schedules that disrupt regular sleep/wake routines and possibly contribute to the high severity of insomnia. Despite evidence for broad-ranging health effects of insomnia, very few clinical trials have tested the efficacy of treatments for HD patients. Cognitive-behavioral therapy for insomnia (CBT-I) is a recommended first-line therapy but largely inaccessible to HD patients in the United States, partly because they commit considerable amounts of time to thrice-weekly dialysis treatments. Another important reason could be the logistical and reimbursement challenges associated with providing behavioral health care at the dialysis center. CBT-I delivered by telehealth can overcome barriers to access, but its efficacy has never been rigorously tested for these patients. Pharmacotherapy is the most widely used treatment for insomnia; however, some drugs presently used are unsafe as they are associated with a higher risk for death for HD patients (benzodiazepines and zolpidem-like drugs). The efficacy and safety of other medications (trazodone) for the treatment of insomnia has never been tested for patients treated with HD.

METHODS

This trial tests the short- and long-term comparative effectiveness of 6-week treatment with telehealth CBT-I, trazodone, or medication placebo. This will be accomplished with a randomized controlled trial (RCT) in which 126 participants treated with HD in community-based dialysis facilities with chronic insomnia will be assigned 1:1:1 to telehealth CBT-I, trazodone, or medication placebo, respectively; short-term effectiveness of each treatment arm will be determined at the end of 6-weeks of treatment and long-term effectiveness at 25-weeks. The primary and secondary patient-reported outcomes will be assessed with computer-based telephone interviewing by research scientists blinded to treatment assignment; additional secondary outcomes will be assessed by participant interview and actigraphy.

DISCUSSION

This clinical RCT will provide the first evidence for the comparative effectiveness of two distinct approaches for treating chronic insomnia and other patient-reported outcomes for patients receiving maintenance HD.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

NCT03534284 May 23, 2018. SLEEP-HD Protocol Version: 1.3.4 (7/22/2020).

A comparative effectiveness trial of an information technology enhanced peer-integrated collaborative care intervention versus enhanced usual care for US trauma care systems: Clinical study protocol

Annually approximately 2-3 million Americans are so severely injured that they require inpatient hospitalization. The study team, which includes patients, clinical researchers, front-line provider and policy maker stakeholders, has been working together for over a decade to develop interventions that target improvements for US trauma care systems nationally. This pragmatic randomized trial compares a multidisciplinary team collaborative care intervention that integrates front-line trauma center staff with peer interventionists, versus trauma team notification of patient emotional distress with mental health consultation as enhanced usual care. The peer-integrated collaborative care intervention will be supported by a novel emergency department exchange health information technology platform. A total of 424 patients will be randomized to peer-integrated collaborative care (n = 212) and surgical team notification (n = 212) conditions. The study hypothesizes that patient's randomized to peer integrated collaborative care intervention will demonstrate significant reductions in emergency department health service utilization, severity of patient concerns, post traumatic stress disorder symptoms, and physical limitations when compared to surgical team notification. These four primary outcomes will be followed-up at 1- 3-, 6-, 9- and 12-months after injury for all patients. The Rapid Assessment Procedure Informed Clinical Ethnography (RAPICE) method will be used to assess implementation processes. Data from the primary outcome analysis and implementation process assessment will be used to inform an end-of-study policy summit with the American College of Surgeons Committee on Trauma. The policy summit will facilitate acute care practice changes related to patient-centered care transitions over the course of a single 5-year funding cycle. Trial registration: (Clinicaltrials.govNCT03569878).

Patterns of alcohol use and associated characteristics and HIV-related outcomes among a sample of African-American women living with HIV

BACKGROUND

Alcohol use is common among people living with HIV and negatively impacts care and outcomes. African-American women living with HIV are subject to vulnerabilities that may increase risk for alcohol use and associated HIV-related outcomes.

METHODS

We used baseline data from a randomized controlled trial of an HIV-related stigma-reduction intervention among African-American women living with HIV in Chicago and Birmingham (2013-2015). Patterns of alcohol use [any use, unhealthy alcohol use (UAU), heavy episodic drinking (HED)] were measured using the AUDIT-C. We assessed demographic, social, and clinical characteristics which may influence alcohol use and HIV-related outcomes which may be influenced by patterns of alcohol use in bivariate and multivariable analyses.

RESULTS

Among 220 African-American women living with HIV, 54 % reported any alcohol use, 24 % reported UAU, and 27 % reported HED. In bivariate analysis, greater depressive symptoms, lower religiosity, lower social support, marijuana, and crack/cocaine use were associated with patterns of alcohol use (p < 0.05). Marijuana and cocaine/crack use were associated with patterns of alcohol use in adjusted analysis (p < 0.05). In adjusted analysis, any alcohol use and HED were associated with lower likelihood of ART adherence (ARR = 0.72, 95 % CI: 0.53-0.97 and ARR = 0.65, 95 % CI: 0.44-0.96, respectively), and UAU was associated with lack of viral suppression (ARR = 0.78, 95 % CI: 0.63-0.96).

CONCLUSIONS

Findings suggest any and unhealthy alcohol use is common and associated with poor HIV-related outcomes in this population. Regular alcohol screening and intervention should be offered, potentially targeted to subgroups (e.g., those with other substance use).

Clinical exome sequencing vs. usual care for hereditary colorectal cancer diagnosis: A pilot comparative effectiveness study

BACKGROUND

Clinical exome sequencing (CES) provides the advantage of assessing genetic variation across the human exome compared to a traditional stepwise diagnostic approach or multi-gene panels. Comparative effectiveness research methods offer an approach to better understand the patient-centered and economic outcomes of CES.

PURPOSE

To evaluate CES compared to usual care (UC) in the diagnostic work-up of inherited colorectal cancer/polyposis (CRCP) in a randomized controlled trial (RCT).

METHODS

The primary outcome was clinical sensitivity for the diagnosis of inherited CRCP; secondary outcomes included psychosocial outcomes, family communication, and healthcare resource utilization. Participants were surveyed 2 and 4 weeks after results return and at 3-month intervals up to 1 year.

RESULTS

Evolving outcome measures and standard of care presented critical challenges. The majority of participants in the UC arm received multi-gene panels [94.73%]. Rates of genetic findings supporting the diagnosis of hereditary CRCP were 7.5% [7/93] vs. 5.4% [5/93] in the CES and UC arms, respectively (P = 0.28). Differences in privacy concerns after receiving CRCP results were identified (0.88 in UC vs 0.38 in CES, P = 0.05); however, healthcare resource utilization, family communication and psychosocial outcomes were similar between the two arms. More participants with positive results (17.7%) intended to change their life insurance 1  month after the first return visit compared to participants returned a variant of uncertain significance (9.1%) or negative result (4.8%) (P = 0.09).

CONCLUSION

Our results suggest that CES provides similar clinical benefits to multi-gene panels in the diagnosis of hereditary CRCP.

HIV-Related Stigma and Viral Suppression Among African-American Women: Exploring the Mediating Roles of Depression and ART Nonadherence

We used baseline data from a sample of African-American women living with HIV who were recruited to participate in a stigma-reduction intervention in Chicago and Birmingham (2013-2015) to (1) evaluate the relationship between HIV-related stigma and viral suppression, and (2) assess the role of depression and nonadherence to antiretroviral therapy (ART) as mediators. Data from women were included in this secondary analysis if they were on ART, had viral load data collected within 8-weeks of study entry and had complete covariate data. We used logistic regression to estimate the total effect of HIV-related stigma (14-item Stigma Scale for Chronic Illness) on viral suppression (< 200 copies/mL), and serial mediation analysis to estimate indirect effects mediated by depressive symptoms (8-item Patient Health Questionnaire) and ART nonadherence (number of days with missed doses). Among 100 women who met study inclusion criteria, 95% reported some level of HIV-related stigma. In adjusted models, higher levels of HIV-related stigma were associated with lower odds of being virally suppressed (AOR = 0.93, 95% CI = 0.89-0.98). In mediation analysis, indirect effects through depression and ART nonadherence were not significant. Findings suggest that HIV-related stigma is common among African-American women living with HIV, and those who experience higher levels of stigma are less likely to be virally suppressed. However, the mechanisms remain unclear.

Comparative Efficacy of Therapies for Treatment of Depression for Patients Undergoing Maintenance Hemodialysis: A Randomized Clinical Trial

BACKGROUND

Although depression is common among patients receiving maintenance hemodialysis, data on their acceptance of treatment and on the comparative efficacy of various therapies are limited.

OBJECTIVE

To determine the effect of an engagement interview on treatment acceptance (phase 1) and to compare the efficacy of cognitive behavioral therapy (CBT) versus sertraline (phase 2) for treating depression in patients receiving hemodialysis.

DESIGN

Multicenter, parallel-group, open-label, randomized controlled trial. (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT02358343).

SETTING

41 dialysis facilities in 3 U.S. metropolitan areas.

PARTICIPANTS

Patients who had been receiving hemodialysis for at least 3 months and had a Beck Depression Inventory-II score of 15 or greater; 184 patients participated in phase 1, and 120 subsequently participated in phase 2.

INTERVENTION

Engagement interview versus control visit (phase 1) and 12 weeks of CBT delivered in the dialysis facility versus sertraline treatment (phase 2).

MEASUREMENTS

The primary outcome for phase 1 was the proportion of participants who started depression treatment within 28 days. For phase 2, the primary outcome was depressive symptoms measured by the Quick Inventory of Depressive Symptoms-Clinician-Rated (QIDS-C) at 12 weeks.

RESULTS

The proportion of participants who initiated treatment after the engagement or control visit did not differ (66% vs. 64%, respectively; P = 0.77; estimated risk difference, 2.1 [95% CI, -12.1 to 16.4]). Compared with CBT, sertraline treatment resulted in lower QIDS-C depression scores at 12 weeks (effect estimate, -1.84 [CI, -3.54 to -0.13]; P = 0.035). Adverse events were more frequent in the sertraline than the CBT group.

LIMITATION

No randomized comparison was made with no treatment, and persistence of treatment effect was not assessed.

CONCLUSION

An engagement interview with patients receiving maintenance hemodialysis had no effect on their acceptance of treatment for depression. After 12 weeks of treatment, depression scores were modestly better with sertraline treatment than with CBT.

PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE

Patient-Centered Outcomes Research Institute, Dialysis Clinic, Kidney Research Institute, and National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases.

Range contraction and increasing isolation of a polar bear subpopulation in an era of sea-ice loss

Climate change is expected to result in range shifts and habitat fragmentation for many species. In the Arctic, loss of sea ice will reduce barriers to dispersal or eliminate movement corridors, resulting in increased connectivity or geographic isolation with sweeping implications for conservation. We used satellite telemetry, data from individually marked animals (research and harvest), and microsatellite genetic data to examine changes in geographic range, emigration, and interpopulation connectivity of the Baffin Bay (BB) polar bear (Ursus maritimus) subpopulation over a 25-year period of sea-ice loss. Satellite telemetry collected from n = 43 (1991-1995) and 38 (2009-2015) adult females revealed a significant contraction in subpopulation range size (95% bivariate normal kernel range) in most months and seasons, with the most marked reduction being a 70% decline in summer from 716,000 km2 (SE 58,000) to 211,000 km2 (SE 23,000) (p < .001). Between the 1990s and 2000s, there was a significant shift northward during the on-ice seasons (2.6° shift in winter median latitude, 1.1° shift in spring median latitude) and a significant range contraction in the ice-free summers. Bears in the 2000s were less likely to leave BB, with significant reductions in the numbers of bears moving into Davis Strait (DS) in winter and Lancaster Sound (LS) in summer. Harvest recoveries suggested both short and long-term fidelity to BB remained high over both periods (83-99% of marked bears remained in BB). Genetic analyses using eight polymorphic microsatellites confirmed a previously documented differentiation between BB, DS, and LS; yet weakly differentiated BB from Kane Basin (KB) for the first time. Our results provide the first multiple lines of evidence for an increasingly geographically and functionally isolated subpopulation of polar bears in the context of long-term sea-ice loss. This may be indicative of future patterns for other polar bear subpopulations under climate change.

Associations Between Relative Value Units and Patient-Reported Back Pain and Disability

Objective: To describe associations between health care utilization measures and patient-reported outcomes (PROs). Method: Primary data were collected from patients ≥65 years with low back pain visits from 2011 to 2013. Six PROs of pain and functionality were collected 12 and 24 months after the index visits and total and spine-specific relative value units (RVUs) from electronic health records were tabulated over 1 year. We calculated correlation coefficients between RVUs and 12- and 24-month PROs and conducted linear regressions with each 12- and 24-month PRO as the outcome variables and RVUs as predictors of interest. Results: We observed very weak correlations between worse PROs at 12 and 24 months and greater 12-month utilization. In regression analyses, we observed slight associations between greater utilization and worse 12- and 24-month PROs. Discussion: We found that 12-month health care utilization is not strongly associated with PROs at 12 or 24 months.

Lumbar Muscle Cross-Sectional Areas Do Not Predict Clinical Outcomes in Adults With Spinal Stenosis: A Longitudinal Study

BACKGROUND

Minimal longitudinal data exist regarding the role of lumbar musculature in predicting back pain and function. In cross-sectional study designs, there is often atrophy of the segmental multifidus muscle in subjects with low back pain compared with matched controls. However, the cross-sectional design of these studies prevents drawing conclusions regarding whether lumbar muscle characteristics predict or modify future back pain or function.

OBJECTIVE

The primary objective of this study is to determine whether the cross-sectional area (CSA) of lumbar muscles predict functional status or back pain at 6- or 12-month follow-up in older adults with spinal degeneration. The secondary objective is to evaluate whether these muscle characteristics improve outcome prediction above and beyond the prognostic information conferred by demographic and psychosocial variables.

DESIGN

Secondary analysis of a randomized controlled trial.

PARTICIPANTS

A total of 209 adults aged 50 years and older with clinical and radiographic spinal stenosis from the Lumbar Epidural steroid injection for Spinal Stenosis (LESS) trial.

METHODS

Using baseline magnetic resonance images, we calculated CSAs of the lumbar multifidus, psoas, and quadratus lumborum muscles using a standardized protocol by manually tracing the borders of each of the muscles. The relationship between lumbar muscle CSAs and baseline measures was assessed with Pearson or Spearman correlation coefficients. The relationship between lumbar muscle characteristics and 6- and 12-month Roland Morris Disability Questionnaire (RDQ) and back pain Numeric Rating Scale (NRS) responses was further evaluated with multivariate linear regression. A hierarchical approach to the regression was performed: a basic model with factors of conceptual importance including age, gender, BMI, and baseline RDQ score formed the first step. The second and third steps evaluated whether psychosocial variables or muscle measures conferred additional prognostic information to the basic model.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Function as measured by the RDQ and back pain as measured by the NRS at 6- and 12-month follow-up.

RESULTS

Lumbar muscle CSA was not a significant predictor of 6- or 12-month RDQ or pain score in multivariate analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

Cross-sectional areas of lumbar muscles do not predict function or pain at medium- and long-term follow-up in adults with lumbar spinal stenosis.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

III.

Patient and Other Stakeholder Engagement in Patient-Centered Outcomes Research Institute Funded Studies of Patients with Kidney Diseases

Including target populations in the design and implementation of research trials has been one response to the growing health disparities endemic to our health care system, as well as an aid to study generalizability. One type of community-based participatory research is "Patient Centered-Research", in which patient perspectives on the germane research questions and methodologies are incorporated into the study. The Patient-Centered Outcomes Research Institute (PCORI) has mandated that meaningful patient and stakeholder engagement be incorporated into all applications. As of March 2015, PCORI funded seven clinically-focused studies of patients with kidney disease. The goal of this paper is to synthesize the experiences of these studies to gain an understanding of how meaningful patient and stakeholder engagement can occur in clinical research of kidney diseases, and what the key barriers are to its implementation. Our collective experience suggests that successful implementation of a patient- and stakeholder-engaged research paradigm involves: (1) defining the roles and process for the incorporation of input; (2) identifying the particular patients and other stakeholders; (3) engaging patients and other stakeholders so they appreciate the value of their own participation and have personal investment in the research process; and (4) overcoming barriers and challenges that arise and threaten the productivity of the collaboration. It is our hope that the experiences of these studies will further interest and capacity for incorporating patient and stakeholder perspectives in research of kidney diseases.

On longitudinal prediction with time-to-event outcome: Comparison of modeling options

Long-term follow-up is common in many medical investigations where the interest lies in predicting patients' risks for a future adverse outcome using repeatedly measured predictors over time. A key quantity is the likelihood of developing an adverse outcome among individuals who survived up to time s given their covariate information up to time s. Simple, yet reliable, methodology for updating the predicted risk of disease progression using longitudinal markers remains elusive. Two main approaches have been considered in the literature. One approach, based on joint modeling (JM) of failure time and longitudinal covariate process (Tsiatis and Davidian, 2004), derives such longitudinal predictive probability from the joint probability of a longitudinal marker and an event at a given time. A second approach, the partly conditional (PC) modeling (Zheng and Heagerty, 2005), directly models the predictive probability conditional on survival up to a landmark time and information accrued by that time. In this article, we propose new PC models for longitudinal prediction that are more flexible than joint modeling and improve the prediction accuracy over existing PC models. We provide procedures for making inference regarding future risk for an individual with longitudinal measures up to a given time. In addition, we conduct simulations to evaluate both JM and PC approaches in order to provide practical guidance on modeling choices. We use standard measures of predictive accuracy adapted to our setting to explore the predictiveness of the two approaches. We illustrate the performance of the two approaches on a dataset from the End Stage Renal Disease Study (ESRDS).

An effectiveness-implementation hybrid trial study protocol targeting posttraumatic stress disorder and comorbidity

BACKGROUND

Each year in the USA, 1.5-2.5 million Americans are so severely injured that they require inpatient hospitalization. Multiple conditions including posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD), alcohol and drug use problems, depression, and chronic medical conditions are endemic among physical trauma survivors with and without traumatic brain injuries.

METHODS/DESIGN

The trauma survivors outcomes and support (TSOS) effectiveness-implementation hybrid trial is designed to test the delivery of high-quality screening and intervention for PTSD and comorbidities across 24 US level I trauma center sites. The pragmatic trial aims to recruit 960 patients. The TSOS investigation employs a stepped wedge cluster randomized design in which sites are randomized sequentially to initiate the intervention. Patients identified by a 10-domain electronic health record screen as high risk for PTSD are formally assessed with the PTSD Checklist for study entry. Patients randomized to the intervention condition will receive stepped collaborative care, while patients randomized to the control condition will receive enhanced usual care. The intervention training begins with a 1-day on-site workshop in the collaborative care intervention core elements that include care management, medication, cognitive behavioral therapy, and motivational-interviewing elements targeting PTSD and comorbidity. The training is followed by site supervision from the study team. The investigation aims to determine if intervention patients demonstrate significant reductions in PTSD and depressive symptoms, suicidal ideation, alcohol consumption, and improvements in physical function when compared to control patients. The study uses implementation science conceptual frameworks to evaluate the uptake of the intervention model. At the completion of the pragmatic trial, results will be presented at an American College of Surgeons' policy summit. Twenty-four representative US level I trauma centers have been selected for the study, and the protocol is being rolled out nationally.

DISCUSSION

The TSOS pragmatic trial simultaneously aims to establish the effectiveness of the collaborative care intervention targeting PTSD and comorbidity while also addressing sustainable implementation through American College of Surgeons' regulatory policy. The TSOS effectiveness-implementation hybrid design highlights the importance of partnerships with professional societies that can provide regulatory mandates targeting enhanced health care system sustainability of pragmatic trial results.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov NCT02655354 . Registered 27 July 2015.

Rationale and design of A Trial of Sertraline vs. Cognitive Behavioral Therapy for End-stage Renal Disease Patients with Depression (ASCEND)

Major Depressive Disorder (MDD) is highly prevalent in patients with End Stage Renal Disease (ESRD) treated with maintenance hemodialysis (HD). Despite the high prevalence and robust data demonstrating an independent association between depression and poor clinical and patient-reported outcomes, MDD is under-treated when identified in such patients. This may in part be due to the paucity of evidence confirming the safety and efficacy of treatments for depression in this population. It is also unclear whether HD patients are interested in receiving treatment for depression. ASCEND (Clinical Trials Identifier Number NCT02358343), A Trial of Sertraline vs. Cognitive Behavioral Therapy (CBT) for End-stage Renal Disease Patients with Depression, was designed as a multi-center, 12-week, open-label, randomized, controlled trial of prevalent HD patients with comorbid MDD or dysthymia. It will compare (1) a single Engagement Interview vs. a control visit for the probability of initiating treatment for comorbid depression in up to 400 patients; and (2) individual chair-side CBT vs. flexible-dose treatment with a selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor, sertraline, for improvement of depressive symptoms in 180 of the up to 400 patients. The evolution of depressive symptoms will also be examined in a prospective longitudinal cohort of 90 HD patients who choose not to be treated for depression. We discuss the rationale and design of ASCEND, the first large-scale randomized controlled trial evaluating efficacy of non-pharmacologic vs. pharmacologic treatment of depression in HD patients for patient-centered outcomes.

Detecting signals in pharmacogenomic genome-wide association studies

In one common pharmacogenomic scenario, outcome measures are compared for treated and untreated subjects across genotype defined subgroups. The key question is whether treatment benefit (or harm) is particularly strong in certain subgroups, and therefore statistical analysis focuses on the interaction between treatment and genotype. However, genome-wide analysis in such scenarios requires careful statistical thought since, in addition to the usual problems of multiple testing, the marker-defined sample sizes, and therefore power, vary across the individual genotypes being evaluated. The variability in power means the usual practice of using a common p-value threshold across tests has difficulties. The reason is that the use of a fixed threshold, with variable power, implies that the costs of type I and type II errors are varying across tests in a manner which is implicit rather than dictated by the analyst. In this paper we discuss this problem and describe an easily implementable solution based on Bayes factors. We pay particular attention to the specification of priors, which is not a straightforward task. The methods are illustrated using data from a randomized controlled clinical trial in which homocysteine levels are compared in individuals receiving low and high doses of folate supplements and across marker subgroups. The method we describe is implemented in the R computing environment with code available from http://faculty.washington.edu/jonno/cv.html.

Study protocol: the Back Pain Outcomes using Longitudinal Data (BOLD) registry

Background

Back pain is one of the most important causes of functional limitation, disability, and utilization of health care resources for adults of all ages, but especially among older adults. Despite the high prevalence of back pain in this population, important questions remain unanswered regarding the comparative effectiveness of commonly used diagnostic tests and treatments in the elderly. The overall goal of the Back pain Outcomes using Longitudinal Data (BOLD) project is to establish a rich, sustainable registry to describe the natural history and evaluate prospectively the effectiveness, safety, and cost-effectiveness of interventions for patients 65 and older with back pain.

Methods/design

BOLD is enrolling 5,000 patients ≥ 65 years old who present to a primary care physician with a new episode of back pain. We are recruiting study participants from three integrated health systems (Kaiser-Permanente Northern California, Henry Ford Health System in Detroit and Harvard Vanguard Medical Associates/ Harvard Pilgrim Health Care in Boston). Registry patients complete validated, standardized measures of pain, back pain-related disability, and health-related quality of life at enrollment and 3, 6 and 12 months later. We also have available for analysis the clinical and administrative data in the participating health systems’ electronic medical records. Using registry data, we will conduct an observational cohort study of early imaging compared to no early imaging among patients with new episodes of back pain. The aims are to: 1) identify predictors of early imaging and; 2) compare pain, functional outcomes, diagnostic testing and treatment utilization of patients who receive early imaging versus patients who do not receive early imaging. In terms of predictors, we will examine patient factors as well as physician factors.

Discussion

By establishing the BOLD registry, we are creating a resource that contains patient-reported outcome measures as well as electronic medical record data for elderly patients with back pain. The richness of our data will allow better matching for comparative effectiveness studies than is currently possible with existing datasets. BOLD will enrich the existing knowledge base regarding back pain in the elderly to help clinicians and patients make informed, evidence-based decisions regarding their care.

Study protocol- Lumbar Epidural steroid injections for Spinal Stenosis (LESS): a double-blind randomized controlled trial of epidural steroid injections for lumbar spinal stenosis among older adults

Background

Lumbar spinal stenosis is one of the most common causes of low back pain among older adults and can cause significant disability. Despite its prevalence, treatment of spinal stenosis symptoms remains controversial. Epidural steroid injections are used with increasing frequency as a less invasive, potentially safer, and more cost-effective treatment than surgery. However, there is a lack of data to judge the effectiveness and safety of epidural steroid injections for spinal stenosis. We describe our prospective, double-blind, randomized controlled trial that tests the hypothesis that epidural injections with steroids plus local anesthetic are more effective than epidural injections of local anesthetic alone in improving pain and function among older adults with lumbar spinal stenosis.

Methods

We will recruit up to 400 patients with lumbar central canal spinal stenosis from at least 9 clinical sites over 2 years. Patients with spinal instability who require surgical fusion, a history of prior lumbar surgery, or prior epidural steroid injection within the past 6 months are excluded. Participants are randomly assigned to receive either ESI with local anesthetic or the control intervention (epidural injections with local anesthetic alone). Subjects receive up to 2 injections prior to the primary endpoint at 6 weeks, at which time they may choose to crossover to the other intervention.

Participants complete validated, standardized measures of pain, functional disability, and health-related quality of life at baseline and at 3 weeks, 6 weeks, and 3, 6, and 12 months after randomization. The primary outcomes are Roland-Morris Disability Questionnaire and a numerical rating scale measure of pain intensity at 6 weeks. In order to better understand their safety, we also measure cortisol, HbA1c, fasting blood glucose, weight, and blood pressure at baseline, and at 3 and 6 weeks post-injection. We also obtain data on resource utilization and costs to assess cost-effectiveness of epidural steroid injection.

Discussion

This study is the first multi-center, double-blind RCT to evaluate the effectiveness of epidural steroid injections in improving pain and function among older adults with lumbar spinal stenosis. The study will also yield data on the safety and cost-effectiveness of this procedure for older adults.

Trial Registration

Clinicaltrials.gov NCT01238536

Genetic variation in LPAL2, LPA, and PLG predicts plasma lipoprotein(a) level and carotid artery disease risk

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

lipoprotein(a) [Lp(a)] level is an established risk factor for coronary artery disease and has been implicated in carotid artery disease (CAAD). The relationship between genetic variation in the LPA gene region and CAAD risk remains unknown.

METHODS

we genotyped single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in the LPAL2, LPA, and PLG regions in 530 individuals with severe CAAD and 770 controls and kringle IV type 2 (KIV2) repeat length in a subset of 90 individuals.

RESULTS

nine SNPs collectively accounted for 30% of the variance in Lp(a) level. Six SNPs were associated with Lp(a) level after accounting for KIV2 copy number, and the dominant KIV2 allele combined with these markers explained 60% of the variance in Lp(a) level. Five SNPs, including rs10455872, which had an odds ratio of 2.1 per minor allele and haplotypes formed by rs10455872, rs6919346, and rs3123629, were significant predictors of CAAD. After accounting for Lp(a) level, all evidence of CAAD-genotype association in the LPA region was eliminated.

CONCLUSIONS

LPA region SNPs capture some but not all of the effect of KIV2 repeat length on Lp(a) level. There are associations between LPA region SNPs and CAAD that appear to be attributable to effects on Lp(a) level.

Safety and efficacy of video-assisted retroperitoneal debridement for infected pancreatic collections: a multicenter, prospective, single-arm phase 2 study

BACKGROUND

The feasibility of video-assisted retroperitoneal debridement (VARD) for infected pancreatic walled-off necrosis is established. We provide prospective data on the safety and efficacy of VARD.

DESIGN

Multicenter, prospective, single-arm phase 2 study.

SETTING

Six academic medical centers.

PATIENTS

We evaluated 40 patients with pancreatic necrosis who had infection determined using Gram stain or culture.

INTERVENTIONS

Percutaneous drains were placed at enrollment, and computed tomographic scans were repeated at 10 days. Patients who had more than a 75% reduction in collection size were treated with drains. Other patients were treated with VARD. Crossover to open surgery was performed for technical reasons and/or according to surgeon judgment.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Efficacy (ie, successful VARD treatment without crossover to open surgery or death) and safety (based on mortality and complication rates). Patients received follow-up care for 6 months.

RESULTS

We enrolled 40 patients (24 men and 16 women) during a 51-month period. Median age was 53 years (range, 32-82 years). Mean (SD) Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II score at enrollment was 8.0 (5.1), and median computed tomography severity index score was 8. Of the 40 patients, 24 (60%) were treated with minimally invasive intervention (drains with or without VARD). Nine patients (23%) did not require surgery (drains only). For 31 surgical patients, VARD was possible in 60% of patients. Most patients (81%) required 1 operation. In-hospital 30-day mortality was 2.5% (intent-to-treat). Bleeding complications occurred in 7.5% of patients; enteric fistulas occurred in 17.5%.

CONCLUSIONS

This prospective cohort study supports the safety and efficacy of VARD for infected pancreatic walled-off necrosis. Of the patients, 85% were eligible for a minimally invasive approach. We were able to use VARD in 60% of surgical patients. The low mortality and complication rates compare favorably with open debridement. An unexpected finding was that a reduction in collection size of 75% according to the results of computed tomographic scans at 10 to 14 days predicted the success of percutaneous drainage alone.

Interaction between fibrinogen and IL-6 genetic variants and associations with cardiovascular disease risk in the Cardiovascular Health Study

The inflammatory cytokine interleukin-6 (IL-6) is a main regulator of fibrinogen synthesis, though its interaction with fibrinogen genes (FGA, FGB, FGG) and subsequent impact on cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk is not well-studied. We investigated joint associations of fibrinogen and IL6 tagSNPs with fibrinogen concentrations, carotid intima-media thickness, and myocardial infarction or ischemic stroke in 3900 European-American Cardiovascular Health Study participants. To identify combinations of genetic main effects and interactions associated with outcomes, we used logic regression. We also evaluated whether the relationship between fibrinogen SNPs and fibrinogen level varied by IL-6 level using linear regression models with multiplicative interaction terms. Combinations of fibrinogen and IL6 SNPs were significantly associated with fibrinogen level (p < 0.005), but not with other outcomes. Fibrinogen levels were higher in individuals having FGB1437 (rs1800790) and lacking FGA6534 (rs6050) minor alleles; these SNPs interacted with IL6 rs1800796 to influence fibrinogen level. Marginally significant (p= 0.03) interactions between IL-6 level and FGA and FGG promoter SNPs associated with fibrinogen levels were detected. We identified potential gene-gene interactions influencing fibrinogen levels. Although IL-6 responsive binding sites are present in fibrinogen gene promoter regions, we did not find strong evidence of interaction between fibrinogen SNPs and IL6 SNPs or levels influencing CVD.

Association of genetic variation in serum amyloid-A with cardiovascular disease and interactions with IL6, IL1RN, IL1beta and TNF genes in the Cardiovascular Health Study

AIM

Since inflammation is an important contributor to atherosclerosis, gene variants mediating inflammation are of interest. We investigated gene variants in acute phase serum amyloid-A (SAA), a sensitive indicator of inflammatory activity, and their associations with cardiovascular disease (CVD) and HDL cholesterol. Interaction of the SAA genes with genetic variants of their regulators, IL-1, IL-6 and TNF-alpha in influencing CVD was also explored.

METHODS

SNPs characterizing common variation in the SAA1 and SAA2 genes were genotyped in European-(EA) and African-American (AA) participants (n=3969 and n=719) of the Cardiovascular Health Study. Using linear and Cox proportional hazards regression, we assessed associations of SNPs with baseline carotid artery intima-media thickness (cIMT) and risk of incident myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, total CVD events or mortality during 14 years of follow-up.

RESULTS

No associations between SAA SNPs and outcomes were observed in EA, with the exception of total CVD events; each rs4638289 minor allele was associated with an increased risk in obese individuals, HR=1.2 (95%CI: 0.981.4; p=0.086) and decreased risk among non-obese, HR=0.9 (95%CI: 0.80.99; p=0.026). In AA, we observed modest associations between SAA SNPs and cIMT, potentially modified by HDL. SAA SNPs were also associated with lower HDL in EA and AA. Suggestive gene-gene interaction findings for cIMT in AA and CVD mortality in EA were not significant in subsequent model selection tests.

CONCLUSION

Associations of SAA SNPs with cIMT, HDL and total CVD events were identified, unadjusted for multiple testing. These findings should be regarded as hypothesis-generating until confirmed by other studies.

Exploring relative mortality and epoetin alfa dose among hemodialysis patients

BACKGROUND

Confounding-by-indication is a bias in nonexperimental studies that occurs when outcomes are compared for treated and untreated patients and the treatment or medication dose is related to predictors of the outcome. Two recent publications reported that greater epoetin alfa (EPO) doses were associated with increased mortality rates. We assessed whether confounding-by-indication might account for these results.

STUDY DESIGN

We used a retrospective cohort study design.

SETTING & PARTICIPANTS

Hemodialysis patients were randomly selected from a large dialysis organization from July 2000 to June 2002 and were required to have completed a 9-month baseline period.

PREDICTOR

EPO dose assessed during months 7 to 9 of the baseline period and monthly throughout the follow-up period. Hemoglobin (Hb) was assessed as average value during months 4 to 6 of the baseline period and monthly throughout the follow-up period. All other covariates were assessed during months 1 to 6 of the baseline period.

OUTCOME

All-cause mortality during the 1 year of follow-up. Baseline Cox models were fitted with log EPO and Hb with and without adjustment for baseline patient characteristics. Time-dependent models were fitted with time-varying log EPO and Hb and, separately, lagged log EPO and Hb, with adjustment for baseline patient characteristics.

RESULTS

22,955 patients met our inclusion criteria. In the unadjusted model, we observed increased mortality risk with increasing EPO dose (hazard ratio [HR], 1.31 per log unit increase; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.26 to 1.36). Adjustment for baseline patient characteristics resulted in an appreciably decreased HR (HR, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.15 to 1.28). In the lagged time-dependent analyses, estimates ranged from HR of 0.93 (95% CI, 0.92 to 0.95) to HR of 1.01 (95% CI, 0.99 to 1.03) for the 1- and 2-month lagged models, respectively.

LIMITATIONS

This analysis was limited to prevalent hemodialysis patients, and inhospital EPO dosing information was unavailable.

CONCLUSIONS

The observed mortality risk estimates associated with EPO dose in nonexperimental studies in dialysis patients may be highly sensitive to the analytic method used. This highlights the complexity of evaluating the association between EPO dose, Hb level, and mortality in these studies.

Inflammatory response after influenza vaccination in men with and without carotid artery disease

OBJECTIVE

Inflammatory markers are associated with vascular disease; however, variation in the acute phase response (APR) has not been evaluated. We evaluated whether the APR magnitude in men with severe carotid artery disease (CAAD) (>80% stenosis) differed from that of men without stenosis (<15% stenosis).

METHODS AND RESULTS

White males with (n=43) and without (n=61) severe CAAD receiving clinical influenza vaccinations were recruited. Their baseline and 24-hour after -vaccination blood samples were assayed for C-reactive protein (CRP), IL-6, and serum amyloid-a (SAA). In vivo APR to vaccination was measurable and varied among subjects. Adjusted for age, smoking, oral hypoglycemics, aspirin, and stain use, the relative 24-hour changes in levels of ln(CRP), ln(IL-6), and ln(SAA) were higher in men with CAAD than in men without, but only the SAA response was significant (P=0.02); the relative SAA response was 1.6 (95% confidence interval, 1.1 to 2.5) times higher in men with than without CAAD. The APR for all markers appeared to be independent of baseline levels.

CONCLUSIONS

Influenza vaccination results in a mild, but measurable, APR in men with and without CAAD. SAA APR variability may be a predictor of severe vascular disease that is independent of basal SAA level.

Predicting Time to Subsequent Pregnancy

OBJECTIVES

Women in poverty may benefit from avoiding closely spaced pregnancies. This study sought to identify predictive factors that could identify women at risk for closely spaced pregnancies.

METHODS

We studied 20,028 women receiving welfare (cash assistance) from Washington State. Using Cox proportional hazards methods, we estimated the effects of individual- and community-level variables on time from an index birth until a subsequent pregnancy (between June 1992 and December 1999). Prediction models developed in a random half of our data were validated in the other half. Receiver operator characteristic plots appropriate for proportional hazards models were calculated to compare the sensitivity and specificity of each model.

RESULTS

At 5 years of follow-up, the most predictive model contained just individual-level variables (age, education, race, marital status, number of prior pregnancies); the area under the receiver operator characteristic curve was 0.66 (.62-.69). The addition of community-level variables (percent in poverty, with a high school degree or higher, Black, Hispanic, in an urban area; female unemployment rate; income inequality) added little predictive ability. Differences were found between women with different individual- and community-level characteristics, but the results suggest that these factors are not strong predictors of pregnancy spacing.

CONCLUSIONS

Individual- and community-level characteristics are associated with interpregnancy intervals; however, we found little evidence that the selected variables predicted pregnancy interval in a useful manner.

The influence of patient preference on depression treatment in primary care

BACKGROUND

The chronic illness model encourages consideration of patients' treatment preferences. Moreover, research suggests that matching treatment to preference might affect outcomes for patients with depression.

PURPOSE

This investigation explored factors associated with treatment preference matching and the effects of matching on depression treatment outcomes.

METHODS

Treatment preferences were assessed among primary care patients with depression participating in a large randomized trial of depression management. Patients were offered antidepressant medication and/or counseling based on preference and several other factors. Depression was assessed at 3 and 9 months.

RESULTS

Participants who preferred medication were older, were in worse physical health, and were more likely to already be taking antidepressants. Participants who preferred both medication and counseling evidenced greater agreement with the statement that depression is a medical illness. Overall, 72% of participants were matched with their preferred treatment; matched participants demonstrated more rapid improvement in depression symptomatology than unmatched participants.

CONCLUSIONS

Obtaining preferred treatment appears to contribute to improved treatment outcome. Continued attempts to assess for and accommodate treatment preferences might result in better response to depression treatment.

An evaluation of state firearm regulations and homicide and suicide death rates

OBJECTIVE

To determine if any of five different state gun laws were associated with firearm mortality: (1) "shall issue" laws permitting an individual to carry a concealed weapon unless restricted by another statute; (2) a minimum age of 21 years for handgun purchase; (3) a minimum age of 21 years for private handgun possession; (4) one gun a month laws which restrict handgun purchase frequency; and (5) junk gun laws which ban the sale of certain cheaply constructed handguns.

DESIGN

A cross sectional time series study of firearm mortality from 1979 to 1998.

SETTING

All 50 states and the District of Columbia.

SUBJECTS

All residents of the United States.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Firearm homicides, all homicides, firearm suicides, and all suicides.

RESULTS

When a "shall issue" law was present, the rate of firearm homicides was greater, RR 1.11 (95% confidence interval 0.99 to 1.24), than when the law was not present, as was the rate of all homicides, RR 1.08 (95% CI 0.98 to 1.17), although this was not statistically significant. No law was associated with a statistically significant decrease in the rates of firearm homicides or total homicides. No law was associated with a statistically significant change in firearm suicide rates.

CONCLUSION

A "shall issue" law that eliminates most restrictions on carrying a concealed weapon may be associated with increased firearm homicide rates. No law was associated with a statistically significant reduction in firearm homicide or suicide rates.