Adjusted estimate of the prevalence of hepatitis delta virus in 25 countries and territories

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Hepatitis delta virus (HDV) is a satellite RNA virus that requires the hepatitis B virus (HBV) for assembly and propagation. Individuals infected with HDV progress to advanced liver disease faster than HBV-monoinfected individuals. Recent studies have estimated the global prevalence of anti-HDV antibodies among the HBV-infected population to be 5-15%. This study aimed to better understand HDV prevalence at the population level in 25 countries/territories.

METHODS

We conducted a literature review to determine the prevalence of anti-HDV and HDV RNA in hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg)-positive individuals in 25 countries/territories. Virtual meetings were held with experts from each setting to discuss the findings and collect unpublished data. Data were weighted for patient segments and regional heterogeneity to estimate the prevalence in the HBV-infected population. The findings were then combined with The Polaris Observatory HBV data to estimate the anti-HDV and HDV RNA prevalence in each country/territory at the population level.

RESULTS

After adjusting for geographical distribution, disease stage and special populations, the anti-HDV prevalence among the HBsAg+ population changed from the literature estimate in 19 countries. The highest anti-HDV prevalence was 60.1% in Mongolia. Once adjusted for the size of the HBsAg+ population and HDV RNA positivity rate, China had the highest absolute number of HDV RNA+ cases.

CONCLUSIONS

We found substantially lower HDV prevalence than previously reported, as prior meta-analyses primarily focused on studies conducted in groups/regions that have a higher probability of HBV infection: tertiary care centers, specific risk groups or geographical regions. There is large uncertainty in HDV prevalence estimates. The implementation of reflex testing would improve estimates, while also allowing earlier linkage to care for HDV RNA+ individuals. The logistical and economic burden of reflex testing on the health system would be limited, as only HBsAg+ cases would be screened.

IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS

There is a great deal of uncertainty surrounding the prevalence of hepatitis delta virus among people living with hepatitis B virus at the population level. In this study, we aimed to better understand the burden in 25 countries and territories, to refine techniques that can be used in future analyses. We found a lower prevalence in the majority of places studied than had been previously reported. These data can help inform policy makers on the need to screen people living with hepatitis B virus to find those coinfected with hepatitis delta virus and at high risk of progression, while also highlighting the pitfalls that other researchers have often fallen into.

Effects of empagliflozin on progression of chronic kidney disease: a prespecified secondary analysis from the empa-kidney trial

BACKGROUND

Sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitors reduce progression of chronic kidney disease and the risk of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in a wide range of patients. However, their effects on kidney disease progression in some patients with chronic kidney disease are unclear because few clinical kidney outcomes occurred among such patients in the completed trials. In particular, some guidelines stratify their level of recommendation about who should be treated with SGLT2 inhibitors based on diabetes status and albuminuria. We aimed to assess the effects of empagliflozin on progression of chronic kidney disease both overall and among specific types of participants in the EMPA-KIDNEY trial.

METHODS

EMPA-KIDNEY, a randomised, controlled, phase 3 trial, was conducted at 241 centres in eight countries (Canada, China, Germany, Italy, Japan, Malaysia, the UK, and the USA), and included individuals aged 18 years or older with an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) of 20 to less than 45 mL/min per 1·73 m2, or with an eGFR of 45 to less than 90 mL/min per 1·73 m2 with a urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (uACR) of 200 mg/g or higher. We explored the effects of 10 mg oral empagliflozin once daily versus placebo on the annualised rate of change in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR slope), a tertiary outcome. We studied the acute slope (from randomisation to 2 months) and chronic slope (from 2 months onwards) separately, using shared parameter models to estimate the latter. Analyses were done in all randomly assigned participants by intention to treat. EMPA-KIDNEY is registered at ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03594110.

FINDINGS

Between May 15, 2019, and April 16, 2021, 6609 participants were randomly assigned and then followed up for a median of 2·0 years (IQR 1·5-2·4). Prespecified subgroups of eGFR included 2282 (34·5%) participants with an eGFR of less than 30 mL/min per 1·73 m2, 2928 (44·3%) with an eGFR of 30 to less than 45 mL/min per 1·73 m2, and 1399 (21·2%) with an eGFR 45 mL/min per 1·73 m2 or higher. Prespecified subgroups of uACR included 1328 (20·1%) with a uACR of less than 30 mg/g, 1864 (28·2%) with a uACR of 30 to 300 mg/g, and 3417 (51·7%) with a uACR of more than 300 mg/g. Overall, allocation to empagliflozin caused an acute 2·12 mL/min per 1·73 m2 (95% CI 1·83-2·41) reduction in eGFR, equivalent to a 6% (5-6) dip in the first 2 months. After this, it halved the chronic slope from -2·75 to -1·37 mL/min per 1·73 m2 per year (relative difference 50%, 95% CI 42-58). The absolute and relative benefits of empagliflozin on the magnitude of the chronic slope varied significantly depending on diabetes status and baseline levels of eGFR and uACR. In particular, the absolute difference in chronic slopes was lower in patients with lower baseline uACR, but because this group progressed more slowly than those with higher uACR, this translated to a larger relative difference in chronic slopes in this group (86% [36-136] reduction in the chronic slope among those with baseline uACR <30 mg/g compared with a 29% [19-38] reduction for those with baseline uACR ≥2000 mg/g; ptrend<0·0001).

INTERPRETATION

Empagliflozin slowed the rate of progression of chronic kidney disease among all types of participant in the EMPA-KIDNEY trial, including those with little albuminuria. Albuminuria alone should not be used to determine whether to treat with an SGLT2 inhibitor.

FUNDING

Boehringer Ingelheim and Eli Lilly.

Impact of primary kidney disease on the effects of empagliflozin in patients with chronic kidney disease: secondary analyses of the EMPA-KIDNEY trial

BACKGROUND

The EMPA-KIDNEY trial showed that empagliflozin reduced the risk of the primary composite outcome of kidney disease progression or cardiovascular death in patients with chronic kidney disease mainly through slowing progression. We aimed to assess how effects of empagliflozin might differ by primary kidney disease across its broad population.

METHODS

EMPA-KIDNEY, a randomised, controlled, phase 3 trial, was conducted at 241 centres in eight countries (Canada, China, Germany, Italy, Japan, Malaysia, the UK, and the USA). Patients were eligible if their estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was 20 to less than 45 mL/min per 1·73 m2, or 45 to less than 90 mL/min per 1·73 m2 with a urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (uACR) of 200 mg/g or higher at screening. They were randomly assigned (1:1) to 10 mg oral empagliflozin once daily or matching placebo. Effects on kidney disease progression (defined as a sustained ≥40% eGFR decline from randomisation, end-stage kidney disease, a sustained eGFR below 10 mL/min per 1·73 m2, or death from kidney failure) were assessed using prespecified Cox models, and eGFR slope analyses used shared parameter models. Subgroup comparisons were performed by including relevant interaction terms in models. EMPA-KIDNEY is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03594110.

FINDINGS

Between May 15, 2019, and April 16, 2021, 6609 participants were randomly assigned and followed up for a median of 2·0 years (IQR 1·5-2·4). Prespecified subgroupings by primary kidney disease included 2057 (31·1%) participants with diabetic kidney disease, 1669 (25·3%) with glomerular disease, 1445 (21·9%) with hypertensive or renovascular disease, and 1438 (21·8%) with other or unknown causes. Kidney disease progression occurred in 384 (11·6%) of 3304 patients in the empagliflozin group and 504 (15·2%) of 3305 patients in the placebo group (hazard ratio 0·71 [95% CI 0·62-0·81]), with no evidence that the relative effect size varied significantly by primary kidney disease (pheterogeneity=0·62). The between-group difference in chronic eGFR slopes (ie, from 2 months to final follow-up) was 1·37 mL/min per 1·73 m2 per year (95% CI 1·16-1·59), representing a 50% (42-58) reduction in the rate of chronic eGFR decline. This relative effect of empagliflozin on chronic eGFR slope was similar in analyses by different primary kidney diseases, including in explorations by type of glomerular disease and diabetes (p values for heterogeneity all >0·1).

INTERPRETATION

In a broad range of patients with chronic kidney disease at risk of progression, including a wide range of non-diabetic causes of chronic kidney disease, empagliflozin reduced risk of kidney disease progression. Relative effect sizes were broadly similar irrespective of the cause of primary kidney disease, suggesting that SGLT2 inhibitors should be part of a standard of care to minimise risk of kidney failure in chronic kidney disease.

FUNDING

Boehringer Ingelheim, Eli Lilly, and UK Medical Research Council.

Bioetics Issues of Artificial Placenta and Artificial Womb Technology

Abstract

The worldwide infertility crisis and the increase in mortality and morbidity among infants, due to preterm births and associated complications, have stimulated research into artificial placenta (AP) and artificial womb (AW) technology as novel solutions. These technologies mimic the natural environment provided in the mother's womb, using chambers that ensure the supply of nutrients to the fetus and disposal of waste substances through an appropriate mechanism. This review aims to highlight the background of AP and AW technologies, revisit their historical development and proposed applications, and discuss challenges and bioethical and moral issues. Further research is required to investigate any negative effects of these new technologies, and ethical concerns pertaining to the structure and operation of this newly developed technology must be addressed and resolved prior to its introduction to the public sphere.

Human Cloning: Biology, Ethics, and Social Implications

Abstract

This scholarly article delves into the multifaceted domains of human cloning, encompassing its biological underpinnings, ethical dimensions, and broader societal implications. The exposition commences with a succinct historical and contextual overview of human cloning, segueing into an in-depth exploration of its biological intri-cacies. Central to this biological scrutiny is a comprehensive analysis of somatic cell nuclear transfer (SCNT) and its assorted iterations. The accomplishments and discoveries in cloning technology, such as successful animal cloning operations and advances in the efficiency and viability of cloned embryos, are reviewed. Future improvements, such as reprogramming procedures and gene editing technology, are also discussed. The discourse extends to ethical quandaries intrinsic to human cloning, entailing an extensive contemplation of values such as human dignity, autonomy, and safety. Furthermore, the ramifications of human cloning on a societal plane are subjected to scrutiny, with a dedicated emphasis on ramifications encompassing personal identity, kinship connections, and the fundamental notion of maternity. Culminating the analysis is a reiteration of the imperative to develop and govern human cloning technology judiciously and conscientiously. Finally, it discusses several ethical and practical issues, such as safety concerns, the possibility of exploitation, and the erosion of human dignity, and emphasizes the significance of carefully considering these issues.

In Memory of Professor Derek Pheby

Abstract

Professor Derek Pheby's passing in November 2022 marked a profound loss for the scientific community. Professor Derek Pheby, a stalwart figure in the fields of autoimmune diseases and bioethics, was known for his dedication to scientific research and patients' support, particularly for those affected by paraneoplastic autoimmune syndromes. Professor Pheby made significant contributions to research, especially about Myalgic Encephalomyelitis/Chronic Fatigue Syndrome (ME/CFS). His leadership of the ME Biobank and scientific coordination of EUROMENE demonstrated his commitment to pushing boundaries and fostering international collaborations. Professor Pheby's scientific work addressed various aspects of ME/CFS, from physician education to patient needs, the development of a post-mortem tissue bank, and effective treatments. Beyond his medical career, Professor Pheby was a crucial member of the Independent Ethics Committee of MAGI, he was a poet, humanitarian, and advocate for child protection. His generosity and boundless spirit left an enduring legacy, fostering innovative research in the pursuit of combating autoimmune diseases.

A Phase 1 Trial of the Safety, Tolerability, and Biological Effects of Intravenous Enadenotucirev (EnAd), a Novel Oncolytic Virus, in Combination with Chemoradiotherapy in Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer (CEDAR)

PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE(S)

Novel treatment combinations are required to increase response rates in rectal cancer. EnAd is an intravenous, tumor selective, oncolytic adenovirus with high affinity for malignant colorectal epithelial cells. Pre-clinical evidence of synergy with radiation warranted further clinical evaluation and assessment of safety in combination with chemoradiation (CRT), 25 × 2Gy and concurrent capecitabine.

MATERIALS/METHODS

EnAd was escalated using 2 dose levels of viral particles (1 × 1012, 3 × 1012), given Monday, Wednesday, Friday over 3 schedules (pre-CRT, pre & post CRT). Toxicity and efficacy were used as dual end points in escalation decisions. A 2-parameter and 3-parameter logistic Time to Event Continual Reassessment Method (TiTE-CRM) were used estimate the dose-toxicity and dose-efficacy relationship, respectively. Results are shown as probability and 95% credible interval (Cr.I). The dose limiting toxicity (DLT) window was 13 weeks. Patients who had not completed their DLT window at the time of a dose decision were included in the safety analysis but down-weighted according to their follow-up time and amount of IMP received. Efficacy was assessed at 13 weeks using MRI Tumor Regression Grade (mrTRG), where mrTRG 1-2 equals response. The trial (NCT03916510) was conducted in 4 UK centers.

RESULTS

A total of 13 patients were enrolled, 12 of whom were evaluable. Median age was 57 (range 31-84), and 10/13 were male. One patient had two G3 adverse events (AE); diarrhea, acute kidney injury. All other adverse events (AEs) were G1 or 2, with no G4/5 events. The most common AE by organ system was gastrointestinal (20.8%, G1). There were two observed DLTs on Dose schedule 3; leg swelling and acute kidney injury. Responses and toxicities increased with escalating schedules of EnAd (Table 1).

CONCLUSION

CEDAR is the first trial to successfully combine an intravenous oncolytic adenovirus with radiation, demonstrating the feasibility and acceptability of this approach, and a new paradigm in radiosensitization in rectal cancer. Within this small Phase I study, EnAd demonstrated an acceptable safety profile with evidence of a higher-than-expected rate of response by mrTRG. Translation analysis of tissue, blood and microbiome for biological correlates of radiation synergy is underway.

FUNDING

PsiOxus, CRUK (A24474).

SPONSOR

University of Oxford.

A qualitative exploration of stakeholder perspectives on the implementation of a whole school approach to mental health and emotional well-being in Wales

Early intervention to support mental health and well-being of school-aged children may be of significant benefit in preventing escalation of mental health problems in later life. While there are limitations to current understanding of the best ways for schools to support mental well-being, a whole school approach (WSA), involving all those who are part of the school system in creating and sustaining a supportive environment where health is prioritized, may be effective. This research explored stakeholder views of this approach, as part of a contract commissioned by the Welsh Government to conduct an evaluability assessment of a WSA. Semistructured focus groups and interviews were completed with stakeholders from the health and education sectors, as well as parents, to explore how a WSA may operate in a Welsh context and barriers and facilitators to potential implementation and outcomes. Findings suggest that existing pressures on schools may impact implementation of a WSA, with school staff already time poor and many staff experiencing their own mental well-being challenges. Implementation may be supported by clear guidance at local and national levels, funding for staff time and training and stakeholder involvement at all stages. Long-term monitoring and evaluation are also needed to understand system changes.

Quantifying the reduction of airborne infectious virus load using a ventilated patient hood

BACKGROUND

Healthcare workers treating SARS-CoV-2 patients are at risk of infection by respiratory exposure to patient-emitted, virus-laden aerosols. Source control devices such as ventilated patient isolation hoods have been shown to limit the dissemination of non-infectious airborne particles in laboratory tests, but data on their performance in mitigating the airborne transmission risk of infectious viruses are lacking.

AIM

We used an infectious airborne virus to quantify the ability of a ventilated hood to reduce infectious virus exposure in indoor environments.

METHODS

We nebulized 10⁹ plaque forming units (pfu) of bacteriophage PhiX174 virus into a ∼30-m³ room when the hood was active or inactive. The airborne concentration of infectious virus was measured by BioSpot-VIVAS and settle plates using plaque assay quantification on the bacterial host Escherichia coli C. The airborne particle number concentration (PNC) was also monitored continuously using an optical particle sizer.

FINDINGS

The median airborne viral concentration in the room reached 1.41 × 10⁵ pfu/m³ with the hood inactive. When active, the hood reduced infectious virus concentration in air samples by 374-fold. The deposition of infectious virus on the surface of settle plates was reduced by 87-fold. This was associated with a 109-fold reduction in total airborne particle number escape rate.

CONCLUSION

A personal ventilation hood significantly reduced airborne particle escape, considerably lowering infectious virus contamination in an indoor environment. Our findings support the further development of source control devices to mitigate nosocomial infection risk among healthcare workers exposed to airborne viruses in clinical settings.

Dual inhibition of EZH2 and G9A/GLP histone methyltransferases by HKMTI-1-005 promotes differentiation of acute myeloid leukemia cells

All-trans-retinoic acid (ATRA)-based differentiation therapy of acute promyelocytic leukemia (APL) represents one of the most clinically effective examples of precision medicine and the first example of targeted oncoprotein degradation. The success of ATRA in APL, however, remains to be translated to non-APL acute myeloid leukemia (AML). We previously showed that aberrant histone modifications, including histone H3 lysine 4 (H3K4) and lysine 27 (H3K27) methylation, were associated with this lack of response and that epigenetic therapy with small molecule inhibitors of the H3K4 demethylase LSD1/KDM1A could reprogram AML cells to respond to ATRA. Serving as the enzymatic component of Polycomb Repressive Complex 2, EZH2/KMT6A methyltransferase plays a critical role in normal hematopoiesis by affecting the balance between self-renewal and differentiation. The canonical function of EZH2 is methylation of H3K27, although important non-canonical roles have recently been described. EZH2 mutation or deregulated expression has been conclusively demonstrated in the pathogenesis of AML and response to treatment, thus making it an attractive therapeutic target. In this study, we therefore investigated whether inhibition of EZH2 might also improve the response of non-APL AML cells to ATRA-based therapy. We focused on GSK-343, a pyridone-containing S-adenosyl-L-methionine cofactor-competitive EZH2 inhibitor that is representative of its class, and HKMTI-1-005, a substrate-competitive dual inhibitor targeting EZH2 and the closely related G9A/GLP H3K9 methyltransferases. We found that treatment with HKMTI-1-005 phenocopied EZH2 knockdown and was more effective in inducing differentiation than GSK-343, despite the efficacy of GSK-343 in terms of abolishing H3K27 trimethylation. Furthermore, transcriptomic analysis revealed that in contrast to treatment with GSK-343, HKMTI-1-005 upregulated the expression of differentiation pathway genes with and without ATRA, while downregulating genes associated with a hematopoietic stem cell phenotype. These results pointed to a non-canonical role for EZH2, which was supported by the finding that EZH2 associates with the master regulator of myeloid differentiation, RARα, in an ATRA-dependent manner that was enhanced by HKMTI-1-005, possibly playing a role in co-regulator complex exchange during transcriptional activation. In summary, our results strongly suggest that addition of HKMTI-1-005 to ATRA is a new therapeutic approach against AML that warrants further investigation.

1231 MANAGING THE DETERIORATING PATIENT IN A REHABILITATION HOSPITAL: THE ROLE OF TREATMENT ESCALATION PLANNING

Introduction

The pandemic has shown how vital patient-centred treatment escalation planning (TEP) is for older people. Locally we have seen inappropriate transfer of dying patients to acute hospitals from rehabilitation units. Mortality review found a lack of useful TEPs in these cases. Baseline data in our rehabilitation hospital showed 54% of patients had a TEP and 16% a decision made about repatriation during acute illness. We aimed to increase the proportion of patients in this setting with a TEP to 80% over six months.

Methods

A multidisciplinary team of doctors, ANPs and senior nurses worked together. We conducted stakeholder engagement to understand the factors that result in transfer of patients and found that completion of TEPs was felt to be an effective way to improve communication out of hours. Our first test of change involved an ANP raising the CPR status and TEP for all new patients at the weekly MDT. We measured the process of what decisions were made once a fortnight. Outcome data on the overall completion of TEPs and repatriation decisions was collected each month.

Results

New decisions were made at each MDT – for example, on one date two new DNACPRs and six new TEPs were completed. Overall TEP completion rate varies however since our first intervention we have seen a sustained increase in the number of TEPs which include consideration of repatriation – from 16% to 60%. Ongoing conversation with doctors in training reveals challenges with ward staff awareness of TEP content and their ability to guide unexpected events out of hours.

Conclusion

Involvement of motivated permanent staff across disciplines has allowed us to ensure escalation plans are being made each week and see a sustained increase.

What is Known About Critical Congenital Heart Disease Diagnosis and Management Experiences from the Perspectives of Family and Healthcare Providers? A Systematic Integrative Literature Review

The experience of diagnosis, decision-making and management in critical congenital heart disease is layered with complexity for both families and clinicians. We synthesise the current evidence regarding the family and healthcare provider experience of critical congenital heart disease diagnosis and management. A systematic integrative literature review was conducted by keyword search of online databases, MEDLINE (Ovid), PsycINFO, Cochrane, cumulative index to nursing and allied health literature (CINAHL Plus) and two journals, the Journal of Indigenous Research and Midwifery Journal from 1990. Inclusion and exclusion criteria were applied to search results with citation mining of final included papers to ensure completeness. Two researchers assessed study quality combining three tools. A third researcher reviewed papers where no consensus was reached. Data was coded and analysed in four phases resulting in final refined themes to summarise the findings. Of 1817 unique papers, 22 met the inclusion criteria. The overall quality of the included studies was generally good, apart from three of fair quality. There is little information on the experience of the healthcare provider. Thematic analysis identified three themes relating to the family experience: (1) The diagnosis and treatment of a critical congenital heart disease child significantly impacts parental health and wellbeing. (2) The way that healthcare and information is provided influences parental response and adaptation, and (3) parental responses and adaptation can be influenced by how and when support occurs. The experience of diagnosis and management of a critical congenital heart disease child is stressful and life-changing for families. Further research is needed into the experience of minority and socially deprived families, and of the healthcare provider, to inform potential interventions at the healthcare provider and institutional levels to improve family experience and support.

Antidepressants Trial in Parkinson's Disease (ADepT-PD): protocol for a randomised placebo-controlled trial on the effectiveness of escitalopram and nortriptyline on depressive symptoms in Parkinson's disease

BACKGROUND

Depressive symptoms are common in patients with Parkinson's disease and depression is a significant predictor of functional impairment, reduced quality of life and general well-being in Parkinson's disease. Despite the high prevalence of depression, evidence on the effectiveness and tolerability of antidepressants in this population is limited. The primary aim of this trial is to establish the clinical and cost effectiveness of escitalopram and nortriptyline for the treatment of depression in Parkinson's disease.

METHODS

This is a multi-centre, double-blind, randomised placebo-controlled trial in 408 people with Parkinson's disease with subsyndromal depression, major depressive disorder or persistent depressive disorder and a Beck Depression Inventory-II (BDI-II) score of 14 or above. Participants will be randomised into one of three groups, receiving either escitalopram, nortriptyline or placebo for 12 months. Trial participation is face-to-face, hybrid or remote. The primary outcome measure is the BDI-II score following 8 weeks of treatment. Secondary outcomes will be collected at baseline, 8, 26 and 52 weeks and following withdrawal, including severity of anxiety and depression scores as well as Parkinson's disease motor severity, and ratings of non-motor symptoms, cognitive function, health-related quality of life, levodopa-equivalence dose, changes in medication, overall clinical effectiveness, capability, health and social care resource use, carer health-related quality of life, adverse effects and number of dropouts.

DISCUSSION

This trial aims to determine the effectiveness of escitalopram and nortriptyline for reducing depressive symptoms in Parkinson's disease over 8 weeks, to provide information on the effect of these medications on anxiety and other non-motor symptoms in PD and on impact on patients and caregivers, and to examine their effect on change in motor severity.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03652870 Date of registration - 29^th August 2018.

Bentracimab demonstrates reversal of antiplatelet effects of ticagrelor: impact of hematocrit and generic versions of ticagrelor in vitro

 

Recent clinical studies demonstrated bentracimab provides immediate and sustained reversal of ticagrelor's antiplatelet effects in patients undergoing surgical procedures or with bleeding. Ticagrelor reversal was assessed by VerifyNow PRUTest (VN) and other platelet function testing assays in Phase I-III studies. As decreases in hematocrit (hct) may impact the VN result, it remains to be demonstrated whether this assay can detect platelet function restoration by bentracimab in bleeding patients with low hct. Additionally, bentracimab utility against generic ticagrelors is unknown. The purpose of this study was to determine the impact of decreased hct and generic forms of ticagrelor on platelet function and subsequent reversal by bentracimab, as measured by light transmission aggregometry (LTA) and VN. The hct level in blood samples collected from healthy volunteers (n=10) was sequentially lowered to 32, 30, 25, 22.5, 20 or 15% by addition of autologous platelet-rich plasma to whole blood with matching platelet counts. Prepared samples were treated with nothing, vehicle, or ticagrelor (3.0 μg/mL) followed by treatment with bentracimab (1.2 mg/mL). In a separate study, blood collected from healthy volunteers (n=10) was treated with nothing, vehicle, ticagrelor or generic ticagrelors (3.0 and 5.6 μg/mL; mean and peak plasma levels in the Phase 1 trial) prior to addition of bentracimab (0, 0.6, 1.2, 1.8 and 2.4 mg/mL; below the reported minimum to peak plasma level) to demonstrate a dose response. Reversal was assessed by either ADP-mediated LTA or VN or both assays. Results show a decrease in hct to &lt;30% significantly increased the PRU in untreated samples (p&lt;0.05). Ticagrelor treatment significantly decreased the PRU in all hct groups (p&lt;0.0001). When normalized to each donor's baseline PRU values, bentracimab reversed the ticagrelor effects within 10-min, restoring the PRU value to 54–73% for all hct groups. PRU values were further restored to 85–93% of baseline PRU after 1-hr treatment. The PRU inhibition for both 10-min and 1-hr treatments were not significantly different across the hct groups, except for the 10-min treatment in the 15% hct group vs. unadjusted hct group (p&lt;0.05), suggesting equivalent reversal by bentracimab across the hct range. In the second study, treatment with generic ticagrelor demonstrated significant platelet inhibition and was comparable to standard ticagrelor. Bentracimab (&gt;0.6 mg/mL) immediately restored platelet function after ticagrelor treatment to 80–100% of baseline using the VN test. LTA data demonstrated similar results to VN, but as expected, reversal was less robust with 5.6 μg/mL ticagrelor + 0.6 mg/mL bentracimab combination (mean 55% of baseline values). Collectively, these data suggest the VN test can effectively measure the antiplatelet effects of ticagrelor and subsequent reversal, even at low hct, and bentracimab is also capable of reversing the antiplatelet effects of generic forms of ticagrelor.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Private company. Main funding source(s): PhaseBio Pharmaceuticals, Inc

The influence of anastomotic techniques on postoperative anastomotic complications: Results of the Oesophago-Gastric Anastomosis Audit

BACKGROUND

The optimal anastomotic techniques in esophagectomy to minimize rates of anastomotic leakage and conduit necrosis are not known. The aim of this study was to assess whether the anastomotic technique was associated with anastomotic failure after esophagectomy in the international Oesophago-Gastric Anastomosis Audit cohort.

METHODS

This prospective observational multicenter cohort study included patients undergoing esophagectomy for esophageal cancer over 9 months during 2018. The primary exposure was the anastomotic technique, classified as handsewn, linear stapled, or circular stapled. The primary outcome was anastomotic failure, namely a composite of anastomotic leakage and conduit necrosis, as defined by the Esophageal Complications Consensus Group. Multivariable logistic regression modeling was used to identify the association between anastomotic techniques and anastomotic failure, after adjustment for confounders.

RESULTS

Of the 2238 esophagectomies, the anastomosis was handsewn in 27.1%, linear stapled in 21.0%, and circular stapled in 51.9%. Anastomotic techniques differed significantly by the anastomosis sites (P < .001), with the majority of neck anastomoses being handsewn (69.9%), whereas most chest anastomoses were stapled (66.3% circular stapled and 19.3% linear stapled). Rates of anastomotic failure differed significantly among the anastomotic techniques (P < .001), from 19.3% in handsewn anastomoses, to 14.0% in linear stapled anastomoses, and 12.1% in circular stapled anastomoses. This effect remained significant after adjustment for confounding factors on multivariable analysis, with an odds ratio of 0.63 (95% CI, 0.46-0.86; P = .004) for circular stapled versus handsewn anastomosis. However, subgroup analysis by anastomosis site suggested that this effect was predominantly present in neck anastomoses, with anastomotic failure rates of 23.2% versus 14.6% versus 5.9% for handsewn versus linear stapled anastomoses versus circular stapled neck anastomoses, compared with 13.7% versus 13.8% versus 12.2% for chest anastomoses.

CONCLUSIONS

Handsewn anastomoses appear to be independently associated with higher rates of anastomotic failure compared with stapled anastomoses. However, this effect seems to be largely confined to neck anastomoses, with minimal differences between techniques observed for chest anastomoses. Further research into standardization of anastomotic approach and techniques may further improve outcomes.

Epidemiology and impact of frailty in patients with atrial fibrillation in Europe

BACKGROUND

Frailty is a medical syndrome characterised by reduced physiological reserve and increased vulnerability to stressors. Data regarding the relationship between frailty and atrial fibrillation (AF) are still inconsistent.

OBJECTIVES

We aim to perform a comprehensive evaluation of frailty in a large European cohort of AF patients.

METHODS

A 40-item frailty index (FI) was built according to the accumulation of deficits model in the AF patients enrolled in the ESC-EHRA EORP-AF General Long-Term Registry. Association of baseline characteristics, clinical management, quality of life, healthcare resources use and risk of outcomes with frailty was examined.

RESULTS

Among 10,177 patients [mean age (standard deviation) 69.0 (11.4) years, 4,103 (40.3%) females], 6,066 (59.6%) were pre-frail and 2,172 (21.3%) were frail, whereas only 1,939 (19.1%) were considered robust. Baseline thromboembolic and bleeding risks were independently associated with increasing FI. Frail patients with AF were less likely to be treated with oral anticoagulants (OACs) (odds ratio 0.70, 95% confidence interval 0.55-0.89), especially with non-vitamin K antagonist OACs and managed with a rhythm control strategy, compared with robust patients. Increasing frailty was associated with a higher risk for all outcomes examined, with a non-linear exponential relationship. The use of OAC was associated with a lower risk of outcomes, except in patients with very/extremely high frailty.

CONCLUSIONS

In this large cohort of AF patients, there was a high burden of frailty, influencing clinical management and risk of adverse outcomes. The clinical benefit of OAC is maintained in patients with high frailty, but not in very high/extremely frail ones.

Single cell multi-omics characterise discrete human tendon cells populations that persist in vitro and on fibrous scaffolds

Chronic tendinopathy represents a growing healthcare burden in the ageing global population. Curative therapies remain elusive as the mechanisms that underlie chronic inflammation in tendon disease remain unclear. Identifying and isolating key pathogenic and reparative cells is essential in developing precision therapies and implantable materials for improved tendon healing. Multiple discrete human tendon cell populations have been previously described ex vivo. To determine if these populations persist in vitro, healthy human hamstring tenocytes were cultured for 8 d on either tissue culture plastic or aligned electrospun fibres of absorbable polydioxanone. Novel single-cell surface proteomics combined with unbiased single-cell transcriptomics (CITE-Seq) was used to identify discrete tenocyte populations. 6 cell populations were found, 4 of which shared key gene expression determinants with ex vivo human cell clusters: PTX3_PAPPA, POSTN_SCX, DCN_LUM and ITGA7_NES. Surface proteomics found that PTX3_PAPPA cells were CD10+CD26+CD54+. ITGA7_NES cells were CD146+ and POSTN_SCX cells were CD90+CD95+CD10+. Culture on the aligned electrospun fibres favoured 3 cell subtypes (DCN_LUM, POSTN_SCX and PTX3_ PAPPA), promoting high expression of tendon-matrix-associated genes and upregulating gene sets enriched for TNF-a and IL-6/STAT3 signalling. Discrete human tendon cell subpopulations persisted in in vitro culture and could be recognised by specific gene and surface-protein signatures. Aligned polydioxanone fibres promoted the survival of 3 clusters, including pro-inflammatory PTX3-expressing CD10+CD26+CD54+ cells found in chronic tendon disease. These results improved the understanding of preferred culture conditions for different tenocyte subpopulations and informed the development of in vitro models of tendon disease.

Evaluation of prognostic risk models for postoperative pulmonary complications in adult patients undergoing major abdominal surgery: a systematic review and international external validation cohort study

BACKGROUND

Stratifying risk of postoperative pulmonary complications after major abdominal surgery allows clinicians to modify risk through targeted interventions and enhanced monitoring. In this study, we aimed to identify and validate prognostic models against a new consensus definition of postoperative pulmonary complications.

METHODS

We did a systematic review and international external validation cohort study. The systematic review was done in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. We searched MEDLINE and Embase on March 1, 2020, for articles published in English that reported on risk prediction models for postoperative pulmonary complications following abdominal surgery. External validation of existing models was done within a prospective international cohort study of adult patients (≥18 years) undergoing major abdominal surgery. Data were collected between Jan 1, 2019, and April 30, 2019, in the UK, Ireland, and Australia. Discriminative ability and prognostic accuracy summary statistics were compared between models for the 30-day postoperative pulmonary complication rate as defined by the Standardised Endpoints in Perioperative Medicine Core Outcome Measures in Perioperative and Anaesthetic Care (StEP-COMPAC). Model performance was compared using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROCC).

FINDINGS

In total, we identified 2903 records from our literature search; of which, 2514 (86·6%) unique records were screened, 121 (4·8%) of 2514 full texts were assessed for eligibility, and 29 unique prognostic models were identified. Nine (31·0%) of 29 models had score development reported only, 19 (65·5%) had undergone internal validation, and only four (13·8%) had been externally validated. Data to validate six eligible models were collected in the international external validation cohort study. Data from 11 591 patients were available, with an overall postoperative pulmonary complication rate of 7·8% (n=903). None of the six models showed good discrimination (defined as AUROCC ≥0·70) for identifying postoperative pulmonary complications, with the Assess Respiratory Risk in Surgical Patients in Catalonia score showing the best discrimination (AUROCC 0·700 [95% CI 0·683-0·717]).

INTERPRETATION

In the pre-COVID-19 pandemic data, variability in the risk of pulmonary complications (StEP-COMPAC definition) following major abdominal surgery was poorly described by existing prognostication tools. To improve surgical safety during the COVID-19 pandemic recovery and beyond, novel risk stratification tools are required.

FUNDING

British Journal of Surgery Society.

935 HOWFIT EXERCISE PLAN: DIGITAL ANALYTICS FOLLOWING SOCIAL MEDIA CAMPAIGN

Introduction

Pandemic-related inactivity has had a considerable impact on older people, with attendant adverse effects on falls, health and wellbeing. HowFit is an innovative fitness plan designed in response to this epidemic to encourage sedentary people to get fit in their own homes. A PR campaign including a 1.4 million household leaflet drop (to mitigate digital exclusion), regional radio and Facebook advertising was embarked upon. We sought to evaluate the effects of the social media campaign on engagement with the HowFit resources online (www.howfittoday.co.uk).

Method

Three data sources were used to quantify the impact of the campaign: Facebook, Google Analytics and HowFit website registration data.

Results

The Facebook advert was seen 604,691 times, by 166,270 people, with 12,129 visiting the website on a least one occasion; average 4.74 pages viewed per visit. Eighty-four per cent were female. This preponderance was mirrored strongly in the number of new, female website visitors and registrations (78.17% and 86.75% respectively). Google Analytics shows that 83.38% of new visitors to the HowFit website were aged under 65 years; 69.5% of new website registrations were aged 60 years and over.

Conclusion

The HowFit social media campaign was successful in reaching a large number of individuals and led directly to engagement with the HowFit website. There was a high proportion of younger viewers/users, though it is uncertain whether these were visiting for themselves or on behalf of older users, and a preponderance of female visitors. If extrapolated to the whole UK, a similar campaign could result in over 3,600,000 interactions with the HowFit publicity and 266,838 people visiting the website at least once. Further work is needed to establish actual exercise patterns and sustainability of the programme while ensuring digital exclusion does not compromise the ability of the target populations to benefit.

Textbook outcome following oesophagectomy for cancer: international cohort study

Background

Textbook outcome has been proposed as a tool for the assessment of oncological surgical care. However, an international assessment in patients undergoing oesophagectomy for oesophageal cancer has not been reported. This study aimed to assess textbook outcome in an international setting.

Methods

Patients undergoing curative resection for oesophageal cancer were identified from the international Oesophagogastric Anastomosis Audit (OGAA) from April 2018 to December 2018. Textbook outcome was defined as the percentage of patients who underwent a complete tumour resection with at least 15 lymph nodes in the resected specimen and an uneventful postoperative course, without hospital readmission. A multivariable binary logistic regression model was used to identify factors independently associated with textbook outcome, and results are presented as odds ratio (OR) and 95 per cent confidence intervals (95 per cent c.i.).

Results

Of 2159 patients with oesophageal cancer, 39.7 per cent achieved a textbook outcome. The outcome parameter ‘no major postoperative complication’ had the greatest negative impact on a textbook outcome for patients with oesophageal cancer, compared to other textbook outcome parameters. Multivariable analysis identified male gender and increasing Charlson comorbidity index with a significantly lower likelihood of textbook outcome. Presence of 24-hour on-call rota for oesophageal surgeons (OR 2.05, 95 per cent c.i. 1.30 to 3.22; P = 0.002) and radiology (OR 1.54, 95 per cent c.i. 1.05 to 2.24; P = 0.027), total minimally invasive oesophagectomies (OR 1.63, 95 per cent c.i. 1.27 to 2.08; P &lt; 0.001), and chest anastomosis above azygous (OR 2.17, 95 per cent c.i. 1.58 to 2.98; P &lt; 0.001) were independently associated with a significantly increased likelihood of textbook outcome.

Conclusion

Textbook outcome is achieved in less than 40 per cent of patients having oesophagectomy for cancer. Improvements in centralization, hospital resources, access to minimal access surgery, and adoption of newer techniques for improving lymph node yield could improve textbook outcome.

Textbook outcome following oesophagectomy for cancer: international cohort study

BACKGROUND

Textbook outcome has been proposed as a tool for the assessment of oncological surgical care. However, an international assessment in patients undergoing oesophagectomy for oesophageal cancer has not been reported. This study aimed to assess textbook outcome in an international setting.

METHODS

Patients undergoing curative resection for oesophageal cancer were identified from the international Oesophagogastric Anastomosis Audit (OGAA) from April 2018 to December 2018. Textbook outcome was defined as the percentage of patients who underwent a complete tumour resection with at least 15 lymph nodes in the resected specimen and an uneventful postoperative course, without hospital readmission. A multivariable binary logistic regression model was used to identify factors independently associated with textbook outcome, and results are presented as odds ratio (OR) and 95 per cent confidence intervals (95 per cent c.i.).

RESULTS

Of 2159 patients with oesophageal cancer, 39.7 per cent achieved a textbook outcome. The outcome parameter 'no major postoperative complication' had the greatest negative impact on a textbook outcome for patients with oesophageal cancer, compared to other textbook outcome parameters. Multivariable analysis identified male gender and increasing Charlson comorbidity index with a significantly lower likelihood of textbook outcome. Presence of 24-hour on-call rota for oesophageal surgeons (OR 2.05, 95 per cent c.i. 1.30 to 3.22; P = 0.002) and radiology (OR 1.54, 95 per cent c.i. 1.05 to 2.24; P = 0.027), total minimally invasive oesophagectomies (OR 1.63, 95 per cent c.i. 1.27 to 2.08; P < 0.001), and chest anastomosis above azygous (OR 2.17, 95 per cent c.i. 1.58 to 2.98; P < 0.001) were independently associated with a significantly increased likelihood of textbook outcome.

CONCLUSION

Textbook outcome is achieved in less than 40 per cent of patients having oesophagectomy for cancer. Improvements in centralization, hospital resources, access to minimal access surgery, and adoption of newer techniques for improving lymph node yield could improve textbook outcome.

The use of biomarkers to stratify surgical care in women with ovarian cancer: Scientific Impact Paper No. 69 March 2022: Scientific Impact Paper No. 69 May 2022

Biomarkers may offer unforeseen insights into clinical diagnosis, as well as the likely course and outcome of a condition. In this paper, the focus is on the use of biological molecules found in body fluids or tissues for diagnosis and prediction of outcome in ovarian cancer patients. In cancer care, biomarkers are being used to develop personalised treatment plans for patients based on the unique characteristics of their tumour. This tailoring of care can be used to pursue specific targets identified by biomarkers, or treat the patient according to specific tumour characteristics. Surgery is one of the core treatments for ovarian cancer, whether it is offered in primary surgery or following chemotherapy in delayed surgery. Biomarkers already exist to guide the treatment of tumours with chemotherapy, but very little research has determined the value of biomarkers in tailoring surgical care for ovarian cancer. Such research is required to identify new biomarkers and assess their effectiveness in a clinical setting as well as to help identify specific tumour types to guide surgery. Biomarkers could help to determine the success of removing the disease surgically, or help to identify tumour deposits that persist after chemotherapy. All of these aspects would improve current practice. This Scientific Impact Paper highlights research that may pave the way towards bespoke surgery according to the biological characteristics of a tumour and aid gynaecological oncologists to provide surgical treatment according to individual need, rather than a blanket approach for all.

Postoperative outcomes in oesophagectomy with trainee involvement

BACKGROUND

The complexity of oesophageal surgery and the significant risk of morbidity necessitates that oesophagectomy is predominantly performed by a consultant surgeon, or a senior trainee under their supervision. The aim of this study was to determine the impact of trainee involvement in oesophagectomy on postoperative outcomes in an international multicentre setting.

METHODS

Data from the multicentre Oesophago-Gastric Anastomosis Study Group (OGAA) cohort study were analysed, which comprised prospectively collected data from patients undergoing oesophagectomy for oesophageal cancer between April 2018 and December 2018. Procedures were grouped by the level of trainee involvement, and univariable and multivariable analyses were performed to compare patient outcomes across groups.

RESULTS

Of 2232 oesophagectomies from 137 centres in 41 countries, trainees were involved in 29.1 per cent of them (n = 650), performing only the abdominal phase in 230, only the chest and/or neck phases in 130, and all phases in 315 procedures. For procedures with a chest anastomosis, those with trainee involvement had similar 90-day mortality, complication and reoperation rates to consultant-performed oesophagectomies (P = 0.451, P = 0.318, and P = 0.382, respectively), while anastomotic leak rates were significantly lower in the trainee groups (P = 0.030). Procedures with a neck anastomosis had equivalent complication, anastomotic leak, and reoperation rates (P = 0.150, P = 0.430, and P = 0.632, respectively) in trainee-involved versus consultant-performed oesophagectomies, with significantly lower 90-day mortality in the trainee groups (P = 0.005).

CONCLUSION

Trainee involvement was not found to be associated with significantly inferior postoperative outcomes for selected patients undergoing oesophagectomy. The results support continued supervised trainee involvement in oesophageal cancer surgery.

706 Frailty Score Is an Independent Predictor of Outcome Following Fragility Fracture

Background

Frailty has been linked to greater hospitalisation, morbidity, and mortality, and is being increasingly recognised as a possible factor affecting outcomes in trauma. A 2017 TARN report identified that further research was needed to determine the effect of frailty on outcomes in trauma patients. With fragility (low energy) fractures now make up a significant burden of trauma within UK hospitals, this retrospective cohort study investigated whether frailty has a significant effect on outcomes in patients presenting with fragility fractures.

Method

Notes from all patients aged &gt;60 admitted to a large District General hospital over 1 year with any fragility fracture were reviewed. Age, injury, length of stay, and mortality were recorded. A Rockwood Clinical Frailty Score (CFS) was assigned retrospectively.

Results

886 patients were reviewed (male:female 266:620, mean age 82.75). CFS was independently associated with a significant increase in mortality, with every step up in CFS increasing 30-day and 1-year odds of death by 54.8% and 56.2% respectively (P &lt; 0.001). Every step up in CFS independently increased percentage length of stay by 10.1%.

Conclusions

CFS independently predicts adverse outcome in hospitalised trauma patients with fragility fractures. CFS should be used routinely to identify patients at risk and may assist in allocating limited orthogeriatric resources and supporting national guidelines. Future research should investigate how resources impact outcomes for patients of varying CFS.

P–553 Women with molar pregnancies have a genetic susceptibility to aneuploid miscarriages

Study question

What causes non-molar miscarriages in women with one hydatidiform mole (HM)?

Summary answer

We found a higher rate of aneuploidies in the non-molar miscarriages of women with HM than in those from women with sporadic or recurrent miscarriages.

What is known already

Women with hydatidiform moles have higher rates of miscarriages and women with recurrent miscarriages have higher rates of moles than women from the general population.

Study design, size, duration

We retrieved archived formalin-fixed paraffin embedded tissues from non-molar miscarriages of patients with one HM and analyzed them for the presence of aneuploidies using single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP)-microarray. We next determined the meiotic origin of the aneuploidies by genotyping the aneuploid non-molar miscarriages along with the parental genomes using microsatellite markers.

Participants/materials, setting, methods

All participants and some of their partners provided written consent to participate in our study, agreed to a blood draw for genotyping analysis, and agreed for us to retrieve their molar and non-molar tissues from various histopathology laboratories for research purposes.

Main results and the role of chance

We demonstrate for the first time that patients with an HM and miscarriages are at higher risk for aneuploid miscarriages [83.3%, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.653–0.944] than women with sporadic (51.5%, 95% CI: 50.3–52.7%, p value = 0.0003828) or recurrent miscarriages (43.8%, 95% CI: 40.7–47.0%, p value = 0.00002). Genotyping the aneuploid miscarriages and the parental genomes demonstrated that most of the aneuploidies originated from errors in maternal meiosis I or II.

Limitations, reasons for caution

We were able to retrieve only 30 non-molar miscarriages from women with one HM for analysis. Expanding such analysis to a larger and independent cohort of miscarriages from such patients will be important to validate our observations.

Wider implications of the findings: Our data suggest common genetic female germline defects predisposing to HM and aneuploid non-molar miscarriages in some patients.

Trial registration number

Not applicable

Mortality from esophagectomy for esophageal cancer across low, middle, and high-income countries: An international cohort study

BACKGROUND

No evidence currently exists characterising global outcomes following major cancer surgery, including esophageal cancer. Therefore, this study aimed to characterise impact of high income countries (HIC) versus low and middle income countries (LMIC) on the outcomes following esophagectomy for esophageal cancer.

METHOD

This international multi-center prospective study across 137 hospitals in 41 countries included patients who underwent an esophagectomy for esophageal cancer, with 90-day follow-up. The main explanatory variable was country income, defined according to the World Bank Data classification. The primary outcome was 90-day postoperative mortality, and secondary outcomes were composite leaks (anastomotic leak or conduit necrosis) and major complications (Clavien-Dindo Grade III - V). Multivariable generalized estimating equation models were used to produce adjusted odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CI95%).

RESULTS

Between April 2018 to December 2018, 2247 patients were included. Patients from HIC were more significantly older, with higher ASA grade, and more advanced tumors. Patients from LMIC had almost three-fold increase in 90-day mortality, compared to HIC (9.4% vs 3.7%, p < 0.001). On adjusted analysis, LMIC were independently associated with higher 90-day mortality (OR: 2.31, CI95%: 1.17-4.55, p = 0.015). However, LMIC were not independently associated with higher rates of anastomotic leaks (OR: 1.06, CI95%: 0.57-1.99, p = 0.9) or major complications (OR: 0.85, CI95%: 0.54-1.32, p = 0.5), compared to HIC.

CONCLUSION

Resections in LMIC were independently associated with higher 90-day postoperative mortality, likely reflecting a failure to rescue of these patients following esophagectomy, despite similar composite anastomotic leaks and major complication rates to HIC. These findings warrant further research, to identify potential issues and solutions to improve global outcomes following esophagectomy for cancer.

Comparison of short-term outcomes from the International Oesophago-Gastric Anastomosis Audit (OGAA), the Esophagectomy Complications Consensus Group (ECCG), and the Dutch Upper Gastrointestinal Cancer Audit (DUCA)

BACKGROUND

The Esophagectomy Complications Consensus Group (ECCG) and the Dutch Upper Gastrointestinal Cancer Audit (DUCA) have set standards in reporting outcomes after oesophagectomy. Reporting outcomes from selected high-volume centres or centralized national cancer programmes may not, however, be reflective of the true global prevalence of complications. This study aimed to compare complication rates after oesophagectomy from these existing sources with those of an unselected international cohort from the Oesophago-Gastric Anastomosis Audit (OGAA).

METHODS

The OGAA was a prospective multicentre cohort study coordinated by the West Midlands Research Collaborative, and included patients undergoing oesophagectomy for oesophageal cancer between April and December 2018, with 90 days of follow-up.

RESULTS

The OGAA study included 2247 oesophagectomies across 137 hospitals in 41 countries. Comparisons with the ECCG and DUCA found differences in baseline demographics between the three cohorts, including age, ASA grade, and rates of chronic pulmonary disease. The OGAA had the lowest rates of neoadjuvant treatment (OGAA 75.1 per cent, ECCG 78.9 per cent, DUCA 93.5 per cent; P < 0.001). DUCA exhibited the highest rates of minimally invasive surgery (OGAA 57.2 per cent, ECCG 47.9 per cent, DUCA 85.8 per cent; P < 0.001). Overall complication rates were similar in the three cohorts (OGAA 63.6 per cent, ECCG 59.0 per cent, DUCA 62.2 per cent), with no statistically significant difference in Clavien-Dindo grades (P = 0.752). However, a significant difference in 30-day mortality was observed, with DUCA reporting the lowest rate (OGAA 3.2 per cent, ECCG 2.4 per cent, DUCA 1.7 per cent; P = 0.013).

CONCLUSION

Despite differences in rates of co-morbidities, oncological treatment strategies, and access to minimal-access surgery, overall complication rates were similar in the three cohorts.

127 Standardising Access to Fracture Fixation Simulation for Core Surgical Trainees

Introduction

Simulation is increasingly being used to augment clinical experience. However, access to simulation varies geographically and national courses can be costly. The Severn School of Surgery aimed to provide a locally run, cost-neutral “Basic Principles in Fracture Fixation” course to standardise access to simulation for core surgical trainees (CSTs).

Method

The course ran from a district general hospital, accommodating lectures, case discussions, and practical stations (screw fixation, plate fixation, dynamic hip screw, and external fixation). Faculty donated their time and a devices company provided kit and dry bones. CSTs organised the course. Pre- and post-course self-rated Intercollegiate Surgical Curriculum Programme (ISCP) global competency ratings in the practical stations were recorded and usefulness of aspects of the course was recorded.

Results

32 candidates attended. Mean self-rated competency increased by at least one global rating in all practical stations (p &lt; 0.05). All aspects of the course were deemed useful (pre-course reading by 27/28, lectures by 31/32, and case discussions by 31/32). No net cost was incurred.

Conclusions

Increases in self-rated competency in surgical skills can be obtained through a cost-neutral, trainee-organised, regional skills course. Pre-course reading, lectures, case discussions, and practical sessions are all useful. This model can be used by others to standardise the simulation curriculum.

30 Informant-Reported Decline Associates with Silent Acute Stroke Lesions and Worse Small Vessel Disease in Mild Stroke Patients

Introduction

Small vessel disease (SVD) commonly causes stroke and dementia. Early clinical predictors of disease progression are lacking. We aimed to determine whether informant reports of chronic cognitive/functional decline, prerequisites for dementia diagnosis, are associated with (a)baseline SVD burden, measured by Fazekas scores and (b)SVD change, measured by incident subcortical Diffusion-weighted Imaging (DWI) lesions.

Method

We prospectively recruited patients with mild ischaemic stroke, performed diagnostic MRI, and invited participants to repeat MRI 3- to 6-monthly. Informants completed the Informant Questionnaire for Cognitive Decline in the Elderly (IQCODE) prior to baseline visit, a 16-item questionnaire which assesses patients’ cognitive and functional decline in the preceding ten years. Scores range from 1–5: a score above 3.3 has high sensitivity/specificity for dementia post-stroke. We conducted linear regression with IQCODE as the dependent variable, adjusting for age, sex, baseline MoCA, disability (modified Rankin Scale).

Results

We recruited 106 participants (mean age 67 years;range 40–86;33% female). Ninety-three informant questionnaires were returned. IQCODE associated with baseline Fazekas score; Fazekas 6 (β = 0.28, p = 0.04) vs. Fazekas 3 (β = 0.03, p = 0.67), R2 = 0.11, adjusted for age, sex, baseline MoCA, disability.

Incident DWI lesions were common (15/106; 14/15 subcortical; no active embolic sources; median 67 days post-stroke). Four were asymptomatic, two reported stroke-like symptoms and nine had neuropsychiatric/non-focal symptoms. IQCODE was higher in those with a new lesion vs. without (β = 0.21, p = 0.02), R2 = 0.09, while age (β = −0.004, p = 0.19), MoCA (β = −0.006, p = 0.56) and disability (β = 0.06, p = 0.2) were not.

Conclusions

Higher SVD burden and incident, mostly “silent” stroke lesions associate more strongly with informant concerns of cognitive/functional decline than age or objective cognitive tests. These findings are novel in an ischaemic stroke population and the first to assess IQCODE/SVD progression. Future work should determine whether combining informant reports with imaging features of small vessel disease improves early detection of dementia.

The novel Mechanical Ventilator Milano for the COVID-19 pandemic

This paper presents the Mechanical Ventilator Milano (MVM), a novel intensive therapy mechanical ventilator designed for rapid, large-scale, low-cost production for the COVID-19 pandemic. Free of moving mechanical parts and requiring only a source of compressed oxygen and medical air to operate, the MVM is designed to support the long-term invasive ventilation often required for COVID-19 patients and operates in pressure-regulated ventilation modes, which minimize the risk of furthering lung trauma. The MVM was extensively tested against ISO standards in the laboratory using a breathing simulator, with good agreement between input and measured breathing parameters and performing correctly in response to fault conditions and stability tests. The MVM has obtained Emergency Use Authorization by U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) for use in healthcare settings during the COVID-19 pandemic and Health Canada Medical Device Authorization for Importation or Sale, under Interim Order for Use in Relation to COVID-19. Following these certifications, mass production is ongoing and distribution is under way in several countries. The MVM was designed, tested, prepared for certification, and mass produced in the space of a few months by a unique collaboration of respiratory healthcare professionals and experimental physicists, working with industrial partners, and is an excellent ventilator candidate for this pandemic anywhere in the world.

The cost-effectiveness of banning highly hazardous pesticides to prevent suicides due to pesticide self-ingestion across 14 countries: an economic modelling study

BACKGROUND

Reducing suicides is a key Sustainable Development Goal target for improving global health. Highly hazardous pesticides are among the leading causes of death by suicide in low-income and middle-income countries. National bans of acutely toxic highly hazardous pesticides have led to substantial reductions in pesticide-attributable suicides across several countries. This study evaluated the cost-effectiveness of implementing national bans of highly hazardous pesticides to reduce the burden of pesticide suicides.

METHODS

A Markov model was developed to examine the costs and health effects of implementing a national ban of highly hazardous pesticides to prevent suicides due to pesticide self-poisoning, compared with a null comparator. We used WHO cost-effectiveness and strategic planning (WHO-CHOICE) methods to estimate pesticide-attributable suicide rates for 100 years from 2017. Country-specific costs were obtained from the WHO-CHOICE database and denominated in 2017 international dollars (I$), discounted at a 3% annual rate, and health effects were measured in healthy life-years gained (HLYGs). We used a demographic projection model beginning with the country population in the baseline year (2017), split by 1-year age group and sex. Country-specific data on overall suicide rates were obtained for 2017 by age and sex from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017 Data Resources. The analysis involved 14 countries spanning low-income to high-income settings, and cost-effectiveness ratios were analysed at the country-specific level and aggregated according to country income group and the proportion of suicides due to pesticides.

FINDINGS

Banning highly hazardous pesticides across the 14 countries studied could result in about 28 000 (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 24 000-32 000) fewer suicide deaths each year at an annual cost of I$0·007 per capita (95% UI 0·006-0·008). In the population-standardised results for the base case analysis, national bans produced cost-effectiveness ratios of $94 per HLYG (95% UI 73-123) across low-income and lower-middle-income countries and $237 per HLYG (95% UI 191-303) across upper-middle-income and high-income countries. Bans were more cost-effective in countries where a high proportion of suicides are attributable to pesticide self-poisoning, reaching a cost-effectiveness ratio of $75 per HLYG (95% UI 58-99) in two countries with proportions of more than 30%.

INTERPRETATION

National bans of highly hazardous pesticides are a potentially cost-effective and affordable intervention for reducing suicide deaths in countries with a high burden of suicides attributable to pesticides. However, our study findings are limited by imperfect data and assumptions that could be improved upon by future studies.

FUNDING

WHO.

Engineering care transitions: Clinician perceptions of barriers to safe medication management during transitions of patient care

Medication safety during care transitions is a significant challenge, especially for older adults prescribed multiple medications. Using a systems approach to understand barriers to and strategies for safe medication management throughout high-risk periods of hospital-to-home transition is one important step in designing effective interventions. Framing the care transition as a collaboration between healthcare and patient "work systems," we conducted semi-structured interviews with 37 clinical team members, representing 10 different professional roles involved in providing transitional care for patients. Thematic analyses identified key strategies used by clinical team members in preparing patients to self-manage medications safely in the home environment: (1) streamlining and coordinating clinical management of medication reconciliation across care settings; (2) building patient capacity and engagement in self-management of medications; and (3) redesigning the transitional process. Our research highlights the value in aligning professionals' care transition goals with patients and caregiver(s) to better prepare them to self-manage medications upon discharge.

Lipoprotein(a) and cardiovascular disease: prediction, attributable risk fraction and estimating benefits from novel interventions

Background

Lipoprotein (a) (Lp(a)) measurement may help guide CVD risk prediction, is thought to be causal in several CVD outcomes, and phase 3 intervention trials of Lp(a) lowering agents are underway. We aimed to investigate the population attributable fraction due to elevated Lp(a) and its utility in CVD risk prediction.

Methods

In 413,724 participants from UK Biobank, associations of serum Lp(a) with composite fatal/nonfatal CVD (n=10,065 events), fatal CVD (n=3247), coronary heart disease (n=16,649), ischaemic stroke (n=3191), and peripheral vascular disease (n=2716) were compared using Cox models. Predictive utility was determined by C-index changes. The population attributable fraction was estimated.

Results

Median Lp(a) was 19.7nmol/L (interquartile interval 7.6–75.3nmol/L). 20.8% had Lp(a) values &gt;100nmol/L; 9.2% had values &gt;175nmol/L. After adjustment for classical risk factors, in participants with no baseline CVD and not taking a statin, 1 standard deviation increment in log Lp(a) was associated with a HR for fatal/nonfatal CVD of 1.09 (95% CI 1.07–1.11). Associations were similar for fatal CVD, coronary heart disease, and peripheral vascular disease. Adding Lp(a) to a prediction model containing traditional CVD risk factors improved the C-index by +0.0017 (95% CI 0.0009, 0.0026). We estimated that having Lp(a) values &gt;100nmol/L accounts for 5.7% of CVD events in the whole cohort. We modelled that an ongoing trial to lower Lp(a) in patients with CVD and Lp(a) above ∼175nmol/L may be expected to reduce CVD risk by 20.3%, assuming causality, and an achieved Lp(a) reduction of 80%.

Conclusions

Population screening for elevated Lp(a) may help to predict CVD and target Lp(a) lowering drugs to those with markedly elevated levels, if such drugs prove efficacious.

Population attributable fractions: Lp(a)

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: Other. Main funding source(s): Chest, Heart, and Stroke Association Scotland and British Heart Foundation

Prometastatic CXCR4 and Histone Methyltransferase EZH2 are Upregulated in SMARCB1/INI1-deficient and TP53-mutated Metastatic Poorly Differentiated Chordoma to the Liver

Introduction/Objective

Chordoma is a rare tumor most commonly arising in the sacrococcygeal region from notochord remnants. Usually, these tumors are locally invasive and recurrent, but do not have the capability to metastasize. A newly described aggressive variant called poorly differentiated chordoma is different than conventional chordoma in that it does not have the well-differentiated histologic appearance of conventional chordoma and also exhibits loss of SMARCB1/INI1.

Methods

Herein, we describe a case of poorly differentiated chordoma with SMARCB1/INI1 loss, concurrent TP53 mutation and Rb1 loss.

Results

The patient is a 55-year-old man with a history of a previously resected sacrococcygeal chordoma, who was found to have new hepatic, lung, and adrenal lesions. Biopsy of the liver showed sheets of malignant epithelioid cells with vacuolated cytoplasm, areas of necrosis, and up to 5 mitoses in one high power field. No physaliferous features or matrix material were seen. After an extensive panel of immunohistochemical markers, the origin of the metastatic tumor could not be determined and the tumor was only positive for Cam5.2, EMA, and CD56. Brachyury was performed due to the patient’s previous history and was positive. Genomic testing showed a SMARCB1 mutation, a TP53 mutation, and RB1 loss. Additional markers were performed and the tumor showed a Ki-67 proliferation index of approximately 80%, mutant p53 protein, loss of INI1, and strong expression of prometastatic CXCR4 and the histone methyltransferase EZH2. The most recent follow-up of the patient showed that the patient was receiving palliative care.

Conclusion

Poorly differentiated chordoma is a highly aggressive variant of chordoma with few cases reported. This case of SMARCB1/INI-deficient, poorly differentiated chordoma also showed concurrent TP53 mutation and loss of RB1, which resulted in malignant transformation with loss of differentiation, cell cycle progression, up-regulation of prometastatic CXCR4 and the histone methyltransferase EZH2 causing aggressive behavior and metastasis.

Change over time in adolescent smoking, cannabis use and their association: findings from the School Health Research Network in Wales

Background

While tobacco smoking has declined among UK youth in recent decades, cannabis use has begun to show some growth. Given their interrelationship, growth in cannabis use may act as a barrier to continued reduction in youth smoking. This paper assesses recent tobacco and cannabis use trends in Wales, and their association, to explore whether change in cannabis use might have impacted youth tobacco smoking prevalence.

Methods

Repeat cross-sectional data on tobacco and cannabis use were obtained from biennial Welsh Student Health and Wellbeing surveys between 2013 and 2019. Data were pooled and analysed using logistic regression with adjustment for school-level clustering.

Results

No change in regular youth tobacco smoking was observed between 2013 and 2019. In contrast, current cannabis use increased during this time, and cannabis users had significantly greater odds of regular tobacco smoking. After adjusting for change in cannabis use, a significant decline in youth tobacco smoking was observed (OR 0.95; 95% confidence intervals: 0.92, 0.97).

Conclusion

Recent growth in cannabis use among young people in Wales may have offset prospective declines in regular tobacco smoking. Further reductions in youth smoking may require more integrated policy approaches to address the co-use of tobacco and cannabis among adolescents.