Common genetic variants do not predict recurrent events in coronary heart disease patients

Background

It is unclear whether genetic variants identified from single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) strongly associated with coronary heart disease (CHD) in genome-wide association studies (GWAS), or a genetic risk score (GRS) derived from them, can help stratify risk of recurrent events in patients with CHD.

Methods

Study subjects were enrolled at the close-out of the LIPID randomised controlled trial of pravastatin vs placebo. Entry to the trial had required a history of acute coronary syndrome 3–36 months previously, and patients were in the trial for a mean of 36 months. Patients who consented to a blood sample were genotyped with a custom designed array chip with SNPs chosen from known CHD-associated loci identified in previous GWAS. We evaluated outcomes in these patients over the following 10 years.

Results

Over the 10-year follow-up of the cohort of 4932 patients, 1558 deaths, 898 cardiovascular deaths, 727 CHD deaths and 375 cancer deaths occurred. There were no significant associations between individual SNPs and outcomes before or after adjustment for confounding variables and for multiple testing. A previously validated 27 SNP GRS derived from SNPs with the strongest associations with CHD also did not show any independent association with recurrent major cardiovascular events.

Conclusions

Genetic variants based on individual single nucleotide polymorphisms strongly associated with coronary heart disease in genome wide association studies or an abbreviated genetic risk score derived from them did not help risk profiling in this well-characterised cohort with 10-year follow-up. Other approaches will be needed to incorporate genetic profiling into clinically relevant stratification of long-term risk of recurrent events in CHD patients.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12872-022-02520-0.

Estimating the impact of child and early adolescent depression on subsequent educational attainment: secondary analysis of an existing data linkage

AIMS

Depression is thought to be associated with lower subsequent educational attainment during school. But, without longitudinal studies which take account of prior attainment and other potential confounders, estimates of the impact of clinically recognised depression in childhood and early adolescence are unknown. We investigated whether a clinical diagnosis of depression is associated with lower subsequent educational attainment, and whether the association is modified by gender, ethnicity and socioeconomic status.

METHODS

We conducted a secondary analysis of an existing administrative data linkage between national educational data and a large mental healthcare provider in London, UK (2007-2013). Depression diagnosis before age 15 (exposure) was measured from electronic health records, and subsequent educational attainment at age 15-16 (outcome) was measured from educational records. We fitted logistic regression models and adjusted for gender, ethnicity, socioeconomic status, relative age in school year, neurodevelopmental disorder diagnosis and prior attainment. We investigated effect modifiers using interaction terms.

RESULTS

In total, n = 63 623 were included in analysis, of whom n = 242 had record of a depression diagnosis before age 15. Depression was associated with lower odds of subsequently achieving expected attainment levels in national exams, after adjustment for all covariates (odds ratio = 0.60, 95% confidence interval = 0.43 to 0.84, p = 0.003). There was no evidence that gender, ethnicity or socioeconomic status modified this association.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings support a relationship between depression and lower subsequent educational attainment. This highlights the need for tailored educational interventions to support children and adolescents with depression, particularly in the lead up to key educational milestones.

984 Changing the Management of Epistaxis in the Covid-19 Era

Aim

Epistaxis in the Covid pandemic is a concerning problem facing otolaryngologists due to high droplet concentration and increased virulence in nasal secretions. Furthermore, safe ambulation of patients reduces Covid exposure and preserves essential resources. This study assessed the implementation of ENT UK recommended altered epistaxis management during the Covid pandemic.

Method

Patients presenting to a medium-sized community hospital with unrelenting epistaxis had a rapid rhino (RR) inserted. Able patients were ambulated and given an appointment for RR removal. Previously all patients were admitted. A comparative retrospective analysis of patients referred with epistaxis was conducted using electronic care records from March – August 2019 versus the same period in 2020. Follow-up phone-call was also employed. Admissions, bed days, RR complications and patient satisfaction was assessed. Data was analysed student t-tests.

Results

A significant reduction in admissions (n = 91; P < 0.001) and bed days (n = 104; P < 0.001) was observed. Only 2 out of the 68 patients ambulated required medical assistance prior to their scheduled appointment (3%; P < 0.001). The majority of patients were satisfied (91%) and reported no bleeding (94%). No RR dislodgement occurred (0%) and most patients were pleased to avoid admission (92%). 70% of patients reported severe pain following RR insertion.

Conclusions

Ambulation of patients presenting to ED with unrelenting epistaxis managed with RR insertion is a safe alternative to previous practice with few complications. Furthermore, patients are largely satisfied although reported severe pain post RR insertion needs addressed. Finally, this altered management reduces contact and preserves resources as our hospitals face overwhelming pressures.

Investigating the influence of thought interference and somatic passivity on outcomes in patients with psychosis

Introduction

Of the many studies describing psychotic symptoms in schizophrenia, few have investigated their direct influence on prognosis.

Objectives

We aimed to apply natural language-processing (NLP) algorithms in routine healthcare records to identify reported somatic passivity and thought interference symptoms (thought broadcasting, insertion and withdrawal), and determine associations with prognosis by an analysis of routine outcomes.

Methods

Four algorithms were thus developed on de-identified mental healthcare data from a large south London provider and were applied to ascertain recorded symptoms over the three months following first presentation to that service in a cohort of patients with a primary schizophreniform disorder (ICD-10 F20-F29) diagnosis. The primary binary dependent variable for logistic regression analyses was any negative outcome (Mental Health Act section, >2 antipsychotics prescribed, >22 days spent in crisis care) over the subsequent 2 years, adjusted for age, gender, ethnic group, neighbourhood deprivation, diagnostic group, and recorded paranoia, persecutory delusions or auditory hallucinations.

Results

In 9,323 patients, final models indicated significant associations of this composite outcome with baseline somatic passivity (prevalence 4.9%; adjusted odds ratio 1.61, 95% CI 1.37-1.88), thought insertion (10.7%; 1.24, 1.15-1.55) and thought withdrawal (4.9%; 1.36, 1.10-1.69), but not independently with thought broadcast (10.3%; 1.05, 0.91-1.22).

Conclusions

Symptoms traditionally central to the diagnosis of schizophrenia, but under-represented in current diagnostic frameworks, were thus identified as important predictors of short- to medium-term prognosis.

Disclosure

No conflict of interest - past support from Janssen; GSK; Takeda; Induction Healthcare; Holmusk; the NIHR; SLaM NHS Trust; the MRC; KCL; the NIHR ARC; KCH NHS Trust; the Academy of Medical Sciences; The Wellcome Trust; BHF; Arthritis Research UK; the Roya

Insights from electronic health record data to improve mental health service delivery during the COVID-19 pandemic

Background

Remote consultation technology has been rapidly adopted due to the COVID-19 pandemic. However, some healthcare settings have faced barriers in implementation. We present a study to investigate changes in rates of remote consultation during the pandemic using a large electronic health record (EHR) dataset.

Methods

The Clinical Record Interactive Search tool (CRIS) was used to examine de-identified EHR data of people receiving mental healthcare in South London, UK. Data from around 37,500 patients were analysed for each week from 7th January 2019 and 20th September 2020 using linear regression and locally estimated scatterplot smoothing (LOESS) to investigate changes in the number of clinical contacts (in-person, remote or non-attended) with mental healthcare professionals and prescribing of antipsychotics and mood stabilisers. The data are presented in an interactive dashboard: http://rpatel.co.uk/TelepsychiatryDashboard.

Results

The frequency of in-person contacts was substantially reduced following the onset of the pandemic (β coefficient: -5829.6 contacts, 95% CI -6919.5 to -4739.6, p<0.001), while the frequency of remote contacts increased significantly (β coefficient: 3338.5 contacts, 95% CI 3074.4 to 3602.7, p<0.001). Rates of remote consultation were lower in older adults than in working age adults, children and adolescents. Despite the increase in remote contact, antipsychotic and mood stabiliser prescribing remained at similar levels.

Conclusions

The COVID-19 pandemic has been associated with a marked increase in remote consultation, particularly among younger patients. However, there was no evidence that this has led to changes in prescribing. Further work is needed to support older patients in accessing remote mental healthcare.

Disclosure

All authors have completed the ICMJE uniform disclosure form at www.icmje.org/coi_disclosure.pdf and declare: RS has received funding from Janssen, GSK and Takeda outside the submitted work. RP has received funding from Janssen, Induction Healthcare and H

Associations between psychosocial burden and prognostic biomarkers in patients with stable coronary heart disease – a STABILITY substudy

Background

Psychosocial burden is associated with increased risk of cardiovascular (CV) events in patients with stable coronary heart disease (CHD). The underlying mechanisms linking psychosocial burden and CHD are unclear and might be explained by studying biomarkers known to be associated with CV risk.

Methods

15,608 patients in the STABILITY trial completed a questionnaire on to what extent they were feeling down, had loss of interest, experienced financial stress and if they were living alone. Levels of high-sensitivity (hs) C-reactive protein (hs-CRP), interleukin-6 (IL-6), hs-troponin T (hs-TnT) and N-terminal pro-B type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) were assessed at baseline. Associations between levels of psychosocial burden (sometimes, often/always vs. never/rarely) and biomarkers were evaluated in a linear model where geometric mean ratio of the log-transformed biomarker were calculated.

Results

Adjusted associations (age, gender and established CV risk factors) are presented in the table.

Conclusion

Psychosocial burden in patients with stable CHD was independently associated with elevated biomarkers. The underlying association is likely to be complex and involve multiple pathways.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: Private company. Main funding source(s): The STABILITY study was funded by GlaxoSmithKline. Roche Diagnostics, Rotkreuz, Switzerland, supported the research by providing the GDF-15 assay free of charge.

Guidelines for the management of diabetes services and patients during the COVID-19 pandemic

The UK National Diabetes Inpatient COVID Response Group was formed at the end of March 2020 to support the provision of diabetes inpatient care during the COVID pandemic. It was formed in response to two emerging needs. First to ensure that basic diabetes services are secured and maintained at a time when there was a call for re-deployment to support the need for general medical expertise across secondary care services. The second was to provide simple safe diabetes guidelines for use by specialists and non-specialists treating inpatients with or suspected of COVID-19 infection. To date the group, comprising UK-based specialists in diabetes, pharmacy and psychology, have produced two sets of guidelines which will be continually revised as new evidence emerges. It is supported by Diabetes UK, the Association of British Clinical Diabetologists and NHS England.

Perioperative intravenous contrast administration and the incidence of acute kidney injury after major gastrointestinal surgery: prospective, multicentre cohort study

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to determine the impact of preoperative exposure to intravenous contrast for CT and the risk of developing postoperative acute kidney injury (AKI) in patients undergoing major gastrointestinal surgery.

METHODS

This prospective, multicentre cohort study included adults undergoing gastrointestinal resection, stoma reversal or liver resection. Both elective and emergency procedures were included. Preoperative exposure to intravenous contrast was defined as exposure to contrast administered for the purposes of CT up to 7 days before surgery. The primary endpoint was the rate of AKI within 7 days. Propensity score-matched models were adjusted for patient, disease and operative variables. In a sensitivity analysis, a propensity score-matched model explored the association between preoperative exposure to contrast and AKI in the first 48 h after surgery.

RESULTS

A total of 5378 patients were included across 173 centres. Overall, 1249 patients (23·2 per cent) received intravenous contrast. The overall rate of AKI within 7 days of surgery was 13·4 per cent (718 of 5378). In the propensity score-matched model, preoperative exposure to contrast was not associated with AKI within 7 days (odds ratio (OR) 0·95, 95 per cent c.i. 0·73 to 1·21; P = 0·669). The sensitivity analysis showed no association between preoperative contrast administration and AKI within 48 h after operation (OR 1·09, 0·84 to 1·41; P = 0·498).

CONCLUSION

There was no association between preoperative intravenous contrast administered for CT up to 7 days before surgery and postoperative AKI. Risk of contrast-induced nephropathy should not be used as a reason to avoid contrast-enhanced CT.

Reversible spin storage in metal oxide-fullerene heterojunctions

We show that hybrid MnO_x/C₆₀ heterojunctions can be used to design a storage device for spin-polarized charge: a spin capacitor. Hybridization at the carbon-metal oxide interface leads to spin-polarized charge trapping after an applied voltage or photocurrent. Strong electronic structure changes, including a 1-eV energy shift and spin polarization in the C₆₀ lowest unoccupied molecular orbital, are then revealed by x-ray absorption spectroscopy, in agreement with density functional theory simulations. Muon spin spectroscopy measurements give further independent evidence of local spin ordering and magnetic moments optically/electronically stored at the heterojunctions. These spin-polarized states dissipate when shorting the electrodes. The spin storage decay time is controlled by magnetic ordering at the interface, leading to coherence times of seconds to hours even at room temperature.

6070Association of blood pressure measures with brain structure and function: the Southall and Brent REvisited (SABRE) study

Background

In our rapidly ageing society, dementia and neurocognitive decline are significant global public health problems. Blood pressure (BP), an established cardiovascular risk factor, has been extensively studied with respect to brain structure and function; however, findings across the literature differ depending on the BP component in consideration, and the use of brachial rather than central BP.

Purpose

We set out to assess associations between detailed measures of brain structure and function with comprehensive measures of central and peripheral BP. Furthermore, we performed comprehensive mediation analyses on the associations to investigate potential micro and macro vascular mediatory pathways.

Methods

A community-based sample of 1438 individuals (69.7±6.2 years) from a tri-ethnic cohort. underwent vascular, cognitive and MRI based structural brain measures. BP measures included central (cSBP (Pulsecor)) and peripheral systolic BP (pSBP), diastolic BP (DBP), brachial (bPP) and central pulse pressure (cPP), and mean arterial pressure (MAP). Cognitive assessments comprised tests which explored global/overall function (CSID), executive function and memory. For brain structure, hippocampal brain volume was our key measure. Potential macro- and microvascular mediators included: arterial stiffness (cfPWV), carotid intima-media thickness, retinopathy, white matter hyperintensities and infarcts. Multivariable regression analyses were used to assess associations of BP components with cognitive function scores and brain volumes, adjusted for age, sex and ethnicity as well as macro- and microvascular risk factors. Multiple imputation was performed to account for missing data.

Results

After adjusting for age, sex and ethnicity, both cSBP and pSBP were negatively associated with memory (data are β±SE (z-score) −0.014±0.006, p=0.04), while DBP was positively associated with hippocampal volume (0.006±0.003, p=0.03). cPP was negatively associated with memory (−0.020±0.009, p=0.03), executive function (−0.018±0.006, p=0.002) and hippocampal volume (−0.007±0.003, p=0.005), while bPP was negatively associated with CSID (−0.008±0.004, p=0.04), memory (−0.020±0.008, p=0.02), executive function (−0.016±0.005, p=0.002) and hippocampal volume (−0.006±0.002, p=0.007). There was a stronger association between both PP measures and brain structure and function than with the other BP components, especially MAP. There was little difference in association between cPP and bPP measures with brain structure and function. Furthermore, these associations do not appear to be mediated by either macro- or microvascular disease.

Conclusion

These results suggest that there is a direct association between increased PP and a decline in brain structure and function. This implies that older patients with suboptimal PP control may be at increased risk of developing cognitive impairment and that measuring PP offers mechanistic information above and beyond conventional BP measures.

Acknowledgement/Funding

Wellcome Trust, British Heart Foundation

P2751Case-controlled study of predictors of waitlist, operative and late mortality for patients undergoing aortic stenosis interventions

Background

Surgical or transcatheter aortic valve interventions are both effective treatments for severe aortic stenosis. Although risk factors of procedural-related mortality are well established, there is paucity of literature for predictors of death whilst awaiting these procedures. We assessed the predictors of waitlist, operative and long term mortality for aortic stenosis interventions at our centre.

Methods

2966 patients were referred for aortic stenosis interventions during 2005- 2018, and excluding 412 who didn't have a procedure and was off the waitlist for another reason, 26 patients (1%) died whilst still on the waitlist. Controls (n=267) were randomly selected. Clinical characteristics and outcomes were obtained for comparative and multivariable analysis.

Results

The mean time of referral for intervention to death on waitlist and intervention were 69 and 104 days respectively (P=0.14). Independent predictors of death on waitlist include outpatient surgery, peripheral vascular disease, lower haemoglobin and impaired right ventricular function. Operative and late mortality occurred in 15 (5.6%) and 72 (29%), with 1, 5 and 10 year survival of 93%, 82% and 63%. Poor mobility independently predicted operative mortality, while inpatient surgery and poor mobility predicted late mortality. EuroSCORE II discriminated waitlist, operative and late mortality with c-statistics 0.70, 0.64 and 0.67 respectively (P<0.05 for both).

Conclusions

Key and differing predictors of mortality were identified before and after aortic stenosis procedures. Earlier surgery should be considered for those with predictors of death on waitlist, and cautious approach mandated for selecting aortic valve surgery in frail patients with poor mobility.

Trajectories of Physical Work Capacity in Early Symptomatic Osteoarthritis of Hip and Knee: Results from the Cohort Hip and Cohort Knee (CHECK) Study

Purpose To evaluate the 5-year course of physical work capacity of participants with early symptomatic osteoarthritis (OA) of the hip and/or the knee; to identify trajectories and explore the relationship between trajectories and covariates. Methods In a prospective cohort study, physical work capacity was measured at baseline, using a test protocol (functional capacity evaluation) consisting of work-related physical activities. Participants were invited to participate in 1, 2 and 5 year follow-up measurements. Multilevel analysis and latent classes analysis were performed, in models with test performances as dependent variables and age, sex, work status, self-reported function (Western Ontario McMasters Arthritis Scale-WOMAC), body mass index (BMI) and time as independent variables. Multiple imputation was used to control for the influence of missing data. Results At baseline and after 1, 2 and 5 years there were 96, 64, 61 and 35 participants. Mean (SD) age at baseline was 56 (4.9) years, 84% were females. There was no statistically significant change in test performances (lifting low and high, carrying, static overhead work, repetitive bending, repetitive rotations) between the 4 measurements. Male sex, younger age and better self-reported function were statistically significant (p < 0.05) determinants of higher performance on most of the tests; having a paid job, BMI and progression of time were not. Three trajectories were identified: 'weak giving way', 'stable and able', and 'strong with decline'. Discussion In subgroups of participants with early symptomatic OA, determined by age, sex and self-reported function, physical work capacity seems to be a stable characteristic over 5 years.

General hospital admission rates in people diagnosed with personality disorder

OBJECTIVE

To determine the frequency of all-cause general hospital admissions for individuals with personality disorder (PD) in a large clinical population using linked secondary mental healthcare and hospitalisation data.

METHOD

A retrospective cohort study, using anonymised electronic mental health records from South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust (SLaM), linked to Hospital Episodes Statistics in England. People with PD aged 15 years or older, receiving care within SLaM between April 2007 and March 2013, were identified and compared to residents from the local catchment area. Standardised admission ratios (SARs) were calculated for all major categories of causes of general hospital admission for this defined group, with local residents in 2011 UK Census as the standard population.

RESULTS

For the 7677 people identified with PD, SAR for all causes of admission was 2.75 (95% CI: 2.70, 2.81). Both men and women with PD had increased SARs across multiple ICD-10 categories, including circulatory, respiratory, digestive, nervous, and musculoskeletal system disorders and endocrine, blood and infectious disorders. Sensitivity analysis (removing the impact of repeated admissions by same individual for same diagnosis in the same year) yielded similar findings.

CONCLUSIONS

By comparison with members of the general population, individuals with a diagnosis of personality disorder are at significantly higher risk of hospital admission resulting from a wide range of physical health problems.

Serotonin and aggressive behaviour in children and adolescents: a systematic review

OBJECTIVE

The role of serotonin (5-HT) in human aggression has been the subject of a large number of studies, mostly with adults. Meta-analyses indicate a small but significant inverse relationship between central nervous 5-HT availability and aggression, but genetically informed studies suggest two pathways: one to reactive aggression and the other to proactive aggression.

METHOD

We conducted a systemic review on central nervous 5-HT function in children and adolescents, with attention to the function of aggression.

RESULTS

In total, 675 articles were screened for relevance, with 45 reviewed. These included blood assays (e.g. plasma, 5-HIAA; platelet 5-HTR_2A ), epigenetic studies, retrospective PET studies and 5-HT challenge paradigms (e.g. tryptophan depletion). Overall, findings were mixed, with support both for negative and for positive associations of central nervous 5-HT function with aggression in children and adolescents.

CONCLUSION

We propose factors that may be blurring the picture, including problems in the conceptualization and measurement of aggression in young people, the lack of prospective designs and the bias towards clinical samples of boys. Research needs to account for variance in the both motivation for and implementation of aggression, and look to the behavioural economics literature to consider the roles of reward, vengeance and self-control more clearly.

Long-term antipsychotic polypharmacy prescribing in secondary mental health care and the risk of mortality

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the association between long-term antipsychotic polypharmacy use and mortality; and determine whether this risk varies by cause of death and antipsychotic dose.

METHODS

Using data from a large anonymised mental healthcare database, we identified all adult patients with serious mental illness (SMI) who had been prescribed a single antipsychotic or polypharmacy, for six or more months between 2007 and 2014. Multivariable Cox regression models were constructed, adjusting for sociodemographic, socioeconomic, clinical factors and smoking, to examine the association between APP use and the risk of death.

RESULTS

We identified 10 945 adults with SMI who had been prescribed long-term antipsychotic monotherapy (76.9%) or APP (23.1%). Patients on long-term APP had a small elevated risk of mortality, which was significant in some but not all models. The adjusted hazard ratios for death from natural and unnatural causes associated with APP were 1.2 (0.9-1.4, P = 0.111) and 1.1 (0.7-1.9, P = 0.619) respectively. The strengths of the associations between APP and mortality outcomes were similar after further adjusting for % BNF antipsychotic dose (P = 0.031) or olanzapine equivalence (P = 0.088).

CONCLUSION

The findings suggest that the effect of long-term APP on mortality is not clear-cut, with limited evidence to indicate an association, even after controlling for the effect of dose.