Evolution of in-hospital patient characteristics and predictors of death in the COVID-19 pandemic across four waves: are they moving targets with implications for patient care?

Objectives

The aim of this work was to study characteristics, outcomes and predictors of all-cause death in inpatients with SARS-CoV-2 infection across the pandemic waves in one large teaching hospital in Italy to optimize disease management.

Methods

All patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection admitted to our center from March 2020 to June 2022 were included in this retrospective observational cohort study. Both descriptive and regression tree analyses were applied to identify factors influencing all-cause mortality.

Results

527 patients were included in the study (65.3% with moderate and 34.7% with severe COVID-19). Significant evolutions of patient characteristics were found, and mortality increased in the last wave with respect to the third wave notwithstanding vaccination. Regression tree analysis showed that in-patients with severe COVID-19 had the greatest mortality across all waves, especially the older adults, while prognosis depended on the pandemic waves in patients with moderate COVID-19: during the first wave, dyspnea was the main predictor, while chronic kidney disease emerged as determinant factor afterwards.

Conclusion

Patients with severe COVID-19, especially the older adults during all waves, as well as those with moderate COVID-19 and concomitant chronic kidney disease during the most recent waves require more attention for monitoring and care. Therefore, our study drives attention towards the importance of co-morbidities and their clinical impact in patients with COVID-19 admitted to hospital, indicating that the healthcare system should adapt to the evolving features of the epidemic.

Interleukin-62/lymphocyte as a proposed predictive index for COVID-19 patients treated with monoclonal antibodies

In a convenience sample of 93 patients treated with monoclonal antibodies (moAbs) against SARS-CoV-2, the interleukin-62/lymphocyte count ratio (IL-62/LC) was able to predict clinical worsening both in early stages of COVID-19 and in oxygen-requiring patients. Moreover, we analysed 18 most at-risk patients with asymptomatic or mild disease treated with both moAbs and antiviral treatment and found that only 2 had clinical progression, while patients with a similar risk were reported to have an unfavourable outcome in most cases from recent data. In only one of our 18 patients, clinical progression was attributable to COVID-19, and in the other cases, clinical progression was observed despite IL-62/LC being above the risk cut-off. In conclusion, IL-62/LC may be a valuable method to identify patients requiring more aggressive treatments both in earlier and later stages of the disease; however, most at-risk patients can be protected from clinical worsening by combining moAbs and antivirals, even if levels of the IL-62/LC biomarker are lower than the risk cut-off.

SARS CoV-2 spike protein-guided exosome isolation facilitates detection of potential miRNA biomarkers in COVID-19 infections

OBJECTIVES

Nearly three years into the pandemic, SARS-CoV-2 infections are occurring in vaccinated and naturally infected populations. While humoral and cellular responses in COVID-19 are being characterized, novel immune biomarkers also being identified. Recently, an increase in angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 expressing (aka, ACE2 positive) circulating exosomes (ExoACE2) were identified in the plasma of COVID-19 patients (El-Shennawy et al.). In this pilot study, we describe a method to characterize the exosome-associated microRNA (exo-miRNA) signature in ACE2-positive and ACE2-negative exosomal populations (non-ExoACE2).

METHODS

We performed a sorting protocol using the recombinant biotin-conjugated SARS CoV-2 spike protein containing the receptor binding domain (RBD) on plasma samples from six patients. Following purification, exo-miRNA were characterized for ACE2-positive and ACE2-negative exosome subpopulations by RT-PCR.

RESULTS

We identified differential expression of several miRNA. Specifically let-7g-5p and hsa-miR-4454+miR-7975 were upregulated, while hsa-miR-208a-3p and has-miR-323-3p were downregulated in ExoACE2 vs. non-ExoACE2.

CONCLUSIONS

The SARS CoV-2 spike-protein guided exosome isolation permits isolation of ExoACE2 exosomes. Such purification facilitates detailed characterization of potential biomarkers (e.g. exo-miRNA) for COVID-19 patients. This method could be used for future studies to further the understanding mechanisms of host response against SARS CoV-2.

Efficacy of cefiderocol- versus colistin-containing regimen for treatment of bacteremic ventilator-associated pneumonia caused by carbapenem-resistant Acinetobacter baumannii in COVID-19 patients

INTRODUCTION

ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP) caused by carbapenem-resistant Acinetobacter baumannii (CRAB) in patients hospitalized in intensive care units (ICU) is an important and challenging complication, including in COVID-19 patients. Considering the poor lung penetration of most antibiotics, including intravenous colistin due to the poor PK/PD at the infection site, the choice of the best antibiotic regimen is still being debated.

METHODS

this was a single-center, observational study conducted from March 2020 to August 2022, including all patients hospitalized consecutively with VAP and concomitant bloodstream infection due to CRAB in the COVID-ICU. The main goal of the study was to evaluate risk factors associated with survival or death at 30 days from VAP onset. A propensity score for receiving therapy was added to the model.

RESULTS

during the study period, 73 patients who developed VAP and concomitant positive blood cultures caused by CRAB were enrolled in the COVID-ICU. Of these patients, 67 (91.7%) developed septic shock, 42 (57.5%) died at 14 days and 59 (80.8%) died at 30 days. Overall, 54 (74%) patients were treated with a colistin-containing regimen and 19 (26%) with a cefiderocol-containing regimen. COX regression analysis showed that COPD, and age were independently associated with 30-day mortality. Conversely, cefiderocol-containing regimens and the combination of a cefiderocol plus fosfomycin-containing regimen were independently associated with 30-day survival, as confirmed by propensity score analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

this real-life study in patients with bacteremic VAP caused by CRAB provides useful suggestions for clinicians, showing a possible benefit of cefiderocol and its association with fosfomycin.

Lessons learned and implications of early therapies for coronavirus disease in a territorial service centre in the Calabria region: a retrospective study

Background

Monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) and antivirals have been approved for early therapy of coronavirus disease (COVID-19), however, in the real-life setting, there are difficulties to prescribe these therapies within few days from symptom onset as recommended, and effectiveness of combined use of these drugs have been hypothesised in most-at-risk patients (such as those immunocompromised) but data supporting this strategy are limited.

Methods

We describe the real-life experience of SARS-CoV-2 antivirals and/or monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) and focus on the hospitalisation rate due to the progression of COVID-19. Clinical results obtained through our risk-stratification algorithm and benefits achieved through a strategic proximity territorial centre are provided. We also report a case series with an in-depth evaluation of SARS-CoV-2 genome in relationship with treatment strategy and clinical evolution of patients.

Results

Two hundred eighty-eight patients were analysed; 94/288 (32.6%) patients were treated with mAb monotherapy, 171/288 (59.4%) patients were treated with antivirals, and 23/288 (8%) patients received both mAbs and one antiviral drug. Haematological malignancies were more frequent in patients treated with combination therapy than in the other groups (p = 0.0003). There was a substantial increase in the number of treated patients since the opening of the centre dedicated to early therapies for COVID-19. The provided disease-management and treatment appeared to be effective since 98.6% patients recovered without hospital admission. Moreover, combination therapy with mAbs and antivirals seemed successful because all patients admitted to the hospital for COVID-19 did not receive such therapies, while none of the most-at-risk patients treated with combination therapy were hospitalized or reported adverse events.

Conclusions

A low rate of COVID-19 progression requiring hospital admission was observed in patients included in this study. The dedicated COVID-19 proximity territorial service appeared to strengthen the regional sanitary system, avoiding the overwhelming of other services. Importantly, our results also support early combination therapy: it is possible that this strategy reduces the emergence of escape mutants of SARS-CoV-2, thereby increasing efficacy of early treatment, especially in immunocompromised individuals.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12879-022-07774-9.

Role of the T2Dx magnetic resonance assay in patients with suspected bloodstream infection: a single-centre real-world experience

BACKGROUND

T2Dx was approved by the US Food and Drug Administration for the rapid detection of a modified panel of ESKAPE bacterial species or Candida spp. causing bloodstream infection (BSI).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We performed a retrospective, observational study from January 1, 2018 to December 31, 2019 of all hospitalised patients with suspected BSI who underwent assessment using T2Dx in addition to standard blood culture (BC). T2-positive patients (cases) were compared to a matched group of patients with BSI documented only by BC (1:2 ratio) to investigate the possible impact of T2Dx on the appropriateness of empirical antimicrobial therapy and 21-day mortality.

RESULTS

In total, 78 T2Dx-analysed samples (49 patients) were analysed. The T2Dx assay result was positive for18 patients and negative for 31 patients. The concordance rates of the T2Bacteria Panel and T2Candida Panel results with those of standard BC were 74.4% and 91.4%, respectively. In the matched analysis, inappropriate empiric antimicrobial therapy administration was significantly less frequent in cases than in comparators (5.5% vs. 38.8%). The 21-day mortality rate was twofold lower in cases than in comparators (22.2% vs. 44.4%), although the difference was not significant. No other analysed variables were significantly different between the two groups.

CONCLUSIONS

This study illustrated that T2Dx might be associated with an increase in the appropriateness of empiric antimicrobial therapy in patients with BSI. Further studies are needed to evaluate whether the T2Dx assay can improve patient outcomes.

Prevalence of Antibiotic Resistance Over Time in a Third-Level University Hospital

This study evaluated the spread and possible changes in resistance patterns of ESKAPE bacteria to first-choice antibiotics from 2015 to 2019 at a third-level university hospital after persuasive stewardship measures were implemented. Isolates were divided into three groups (group 1, low drug-resistant; group 2, multidrug/extremely drug-resistant; and group 3, pan-resistant bacteria) and a chi-squared test (χ²) was applied to determine differences in their distributions. Among the 2,521 isolates, Klebsiella pneumoniae was the most frequently detected (31.1%). From 2015 to 2019, the frequency of isolates in groups 2 and 3 decreased from 70.1% to 48.6% (χ² = 63.439; p < 0.0001). Stratifying isolates by bacterial species, for K. pneumoniae, the frequency of PDR isolates decreased from 20% to 1.3% (χ² = 15.885; p = 0.003). For Acinetobacter baumannii, a statistically significant decrease was found in groups 2 and 3: from 100% to 83.3% (χ² = 27.721; p < 0.001). Also, for Pseudomonas aeruginosa and Enterobacter spp., the frequency of groups 2 and 3 decreased from 100% to 28.3% (χ² = 225.287; p < 0.001) and from 75% to 48.7% (χ² = 15.408; p = 0.003), respectively. These results indicate that a program consisting of persuasive stewardship measures, which were rolled out during the time frame of our study, may be useful to control drug-resistant bacteria in a hospital setting.

Clinical characteristics and predictors of mortality associated with COVID-19 in elderly patients from a long-term care facility

Since December 2019, coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has spread from China all over the world and many COVID-19 outbreaks have been reported in long-term care facilities (LCTF). However, data on clinical characteristics and prognostic factors in such settings are scarce. We conducted a retrospective, observational cohort study to assess clinical characteristics and baseline predictors of mortality of COVID-19 patients hospitalized after an outbreak of SARS-CoV-2 infection in a LTCF. A total of 50 patients were included. Mean age was 80 years (SD, 12 years), and 24/50 (57.1%) patients were males. The overall in-hospital mortality rate was 32%. At Cox regression analysis, significant predictors of in-hospital mortality were: hypernatremia (HR 9.12), lymphocyte count < 1000 cells/µL (HR 7.45), cardiovascular diseases other than hypertension (HR 6.41), and higher levels of serum interleukin-6 (IL-6, pg/mL) (HR 1.005). Our study shows a high in-hospital mortality rate in a cohort of elderly patients with COVID-19 and hypernatremia, lymphopenia, CVD other than hypertension, and higher IL-6 serum levels were identified as independent predictors of in-hospital mortality. Given the small population size as major limitation of our study, further investigations are necessary to better understand and confirm our findings in elderly patients.

Virological and Clinical Outcome of DAA Containing Regimens in a Cohort of Patients in Calabria Region (Southern Italy)

Background and objectives: In Italy, Hepatitis C Virus (HCV) infections are most prevalent in people older than 50 years of age, who often experience multi-morbidities, take co-medications, and have a long history of liver disease. These characteristics could potentially affect tolerability of HCV treatments and adherence in this subgroup. After achievement of sustained virological response (SVR), retention into care is very important both to detect the onset of possible complications and prevent further infections. In this study, SVR rates and retention into care of patients treated with directly acting antivirals (DAAs) of a single-center cohort in Southern Italy were evaluated. Materials and Methods: Patients treated with directly acting antivirals from 2014 to 2018 were included. Patients were stratified by age (i.e., <65 vs. ≥65 years) and by cirrhosis presence (i.e., liver stiffness >14.6 KPa or clinical/ultrasound cirrhosis vs. absence of these criteria). Primary outcome was availability of SVR at Weeks 12–24 after the end of treatment. Inter- and intra-group comparisons were performed along the follow-up for significant laboratory parameters. Results: In total, 212 patients were treated; 184 (87%) obtained SVR after the first treatment course and 4 patients after retreatment. Twenty-two (10.4%) patients were lost to follow-up before assessment of SVR, and two patients died before the end of treatment for liver decompensation. Considering only the first treatment episode, per protocol analysis (i.e., excluding patients lost to follow-up) showed the following rates of SVR: 97% (overall), 97% (older age group), 96% (age group <65 years), 94% (cirrhotics), and 100% (non-cirrhotics). By contrast, at the intention to treat analysis (i.e., patients lost were computed as failures), SVR percentages were significantly lower for patients <65 years of age (80%) and for non-cirrhotics (85%). Conclusions: High rates of SVR were obtained. However, younger patients and those without cirrhosis displayed an apparent high risk of being lost to follow-up. This may have important implications: since those who are lost may transmit HCV in case SVR is not achieved, these subpopulations should receive appropriate counselling during treatment.