Antidepressants in pregnancy: applying causal epidemiological methods to understand service-use outcomes in women and long-term neurodevelopmental outcomes in exposed children

Background

Antidepressants are commonly prescribed during pregnancy, despite a lack of evidence from randomised trials on the benefits or risks. Some studies have reported associations of antidepressants during pregnancy with adverse offspring neurodevelopment, but whether or not such associations are causal is unclear.

Objectives

To study the associations of antidepressants for depression in pregnancy with outcomes using multiple methods to strengthen causal inference.

Design

This was an observational cohort design using multiple methods to strengthen causal inference, including multivariable regression, propensity score matching, instrumental variable analysis, negative control exposures, comparison across indications and exposure discordant pregnancies analysis.

Setting

This took place in UK general practice.

Participants

Participants were pregnant women with depression.

Interventions

The interventions were initiation of antidepressants in pregnancy compared with no initiation, and continuation of antidepressants in pregnancy compared with discontinuation.

Main outcome measures

The maternal outcome measures were the use of primary care and secondary mental health services during pregnancy, and during four 6-month follow-up periods up to 24 months after pregnancy, and antidepressant prescription status 24 months following pregnancy. The child outcome measures were diagnosis of autism, diagnosis of attention deficit hyperactivity disorder and intellectual disability.

Data sources

UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink.

Results

Data on 80,103 pregnancies were used to study maternal primary care outcomes and were linked to 34,274 children with at least 4-year follow-up for neurodevelopmental outcomes. Women who initiated or continued antidepressants during pregnancy were more likely to have contact with primary and secondary health-care services during and after pregnancy and more likely to be prescribed an antidepressant 2 years following the end of pregnancy than women who did not initiate or continue antidepressants during pregnancy (odds ratioinitiation 2.16, 95% confidence interval 1.95 to 2.39; odds ratiocontinuation 2.40, 95% confidence interval 2.27 to 2.53). There was little evidence for any substantial association with autism (odds ratiomultivariableregression 1.10, 95% confidence interval 0.90 to 1.35; odds ratiopropensityscore 1.06, 95% confidence interval 0.84 to 1.32), attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (odds ratiomultivariableregression 1.02, 95% confidence interval 0.80 to 1.29; odds ratiopropensityscore 0.97, 95% confidence interval 0.75 to 1.25) or intellectual disability (odds ratiomultivariableregression 0.81, 95% confidence interval 0.55 to 1.19; odds ratiopropensityscore 0.89, 95% confidence interval 0.61 to 1.31) in children of women who continued antidepressants compared with those who discontinued antidepressants. There was inconsistent evidence of an association between initiation of antidepressants in pregnancy and diagnosis of autism in offspring (odds ratiomultivariableregression 1.23, 95% confidence interval 0.85 to 1.78; odds ratiopropensityscore 1.64, 95% confidence interval 1.01 to 2.66) but not attention deficit hyperactivity disorder or intellectual disability; however, but results were imprecise owing to smaller numbers.

Limitations

Several causal-inference analyses lacked precision owing to limited numbers. In addition, adherence to the prescribed treatment was not measured.

Conclusions

Women prescribed antidepressants during pregnancy had greater service use during and after pregnancy than those not prescribed antidepressants. The evidence against any substantial association with autism, attention deficit hyperactivity disorder or intellectual disability in the children of women who continued compared with those who discontinued antidepressants in pregnancy is reassuring. Potential association of initiation of antidepressants during pregnancy with offspring autism needs further investigation.

Future work

Further research on larger samples could increase the robustness and precision of these findings. These methods applied could be a template for future pharmaco-epidemiological investigation of other pregnancy-related prescribing safety concerns.

Funding

This project was funded by the National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) Health Technology Assessment programme (15/80/19) and will be published in full in Health Technology Assessment; Vol. 27, No. 15. See the NIHR Journals Library website for further project information.

Understanding Measurement of postural hypotension: a nationwide survey of primary care practice in England

BACKGROUND

Postural hypotension (PH), the drop in blood pressure (BP) on standing, is associated with falls, all-cause mortality and cognitive decline. PH diagnostic criteria require lying-to-standing BP measurements. PH Prevalence in older adults is 20%, however, it is infrequently recorded in primary care records, suggesting PH testing and/or recording is under-utilised in this setting.

AIM

To understand current PH measurement and management by primary care practitioners in England.

METHOD

Clinical Research Networks circulated an online survey to primary care clinicians involved in measurement of BP. Demographics and responses were summarised as percentages, or median and inter-quartile ranges (IQR), as appropriate. The survey remains open until 30 November 2022; full results will be presented at the conference.

RESULTS

To date, there are 669 replies (341 doctors, 179 nurses, 70 healthcare assistants, 23 pharmacists, 56 other roles); median age 45 (IQR 38 to 53), 72% female. Overall, 597 (89%) responders check for PH, predominantly when symptoms are present (98%). Less common reasons to check include patients being over 80 (24%), Parkinson's disease (21%), hypertension reviews (18%), medication reviews (12%) or diabetes reviews (11%). Sitting-to-standing BP measurements are common (77%); only 22% use lying-to-standing. Only 64% ensure a rest period before sitting or lying BP measurement and only 1 (IQR 1 to 2) standing BP measurement is made, usually (66%) within the first minute of standing.

CONCLUSION

Interim findings suggest that most PH assessments in primary care do not meet current guideline criteria. Full findings from this survey are expected to inform and influence future national guidelines.

Patient perceptions and experiences of medication review: qualitative study in general practice

BACKGROUND

Clinical medication reviews are a recognised strategy to address polypharmacy, a key part of general practice and positively associated with patient safety and clinical effectiveness. To date there has been little investigation of the patient perspective of medication reviews.

OBJECTIVE

To explore patient experiences of medication review including the processes and activities that led up to and shaped the review.

METHODS

Qualitative interview study within 10 general practices in Bristol. Participants were adults with polypharmacy (≥ 4 medications) and ≥ 2 long-term conditions who had a record of medication review with either a GP or pharmacist. Interviews were transcribed verbatim and analysed thematically using a data driven approach. Co-design work was undertaken with four patient and public involvement advisers to design and develop resources to support patient preparation for medication review.

RESULTS

Twenty-one patients were interviewed (10 female, mean age 73 years, range 59-88 years). Medication review was viewed as an opportunity to assess the effectiveness and need for medications. Participants expected the review to focus upon medication related concerns, side-effects and symptoms. Those who were newer to review, were uncertain of the intended purpose, and described their review as a box-ticking exercise. Some participants were unfamiliar with the role of the pharmacist and expressed a lack of confidence in their clinical skills and knowledge. Face-to-face consultation and relationship continuity were considered important for efficient and effective medication review. Results informed co-production of a patient information leaflet to facilitate greater patient engagement and involvement in medication review.

CONCLUSIONS

A lack of understanding of the rationale for medication review can limit the value patients attach to these healthcare encounters. Improved prior communication and information around the intended purpose and potential benefits of medication review may enhance patient engagement and improve patient experience and outcomes.

Cost-Effectiveness of Antihypertensive Deprescribing in Primary Care: a Markov Modelling Study Using Data From the OPTiMISE Trial

BACKGROUND

Deprescribing of antihypertensive medications for older patients with normal blood pressure is recommended by some clinical guidelines, where the potential harms of treatment may outweigh the benefits. This study aimed to assess the cost-effectiveness of this approach.

METHODS

A Markov patient-level simulation was undertaken to model the effect of withdrawing one antihypertensive compared with usual care, over a life-time horizon. Model population characteristics were estimated using data from the OPTiMISE antihypertensive deprescribing trial, and the effects of blood pressure changes on outcomes were derived from the literature. Health-related quality of life was modeled in Quality-Adjusted Life Years (QALYs) and presented as costs per QALY gained.

RESULTS

In the base-case analysis, medication reduction resulted in lower costs than usual care (mean difference £185), but also lower QALYs (mean difference 0.062) per patient over a life-time horizon. Usual care was cost-effective at £2975 per QALY gained (more costly, but more effective). Medication reduction resulted more heart failure and stroke/TIA events but fewer adverse events. Medication reduction may be the preferred strategy at a willingness-to-pay of £20 000/QALY, where the baseline absolute risk of serious drug-related adverse events was ≥7.7% a year (compared with 1.7% in the base-case).

CONCLUSIONS

Although there was uncertainty around many of the assumptions underpinning this model, these findings suggest that antihypertensive medication reduction should not be attempted in many older patients with controlled systolic blood pressure. For populations at high risk of adverse effects, deprescribing may be beneficial, but a targeted approach would be required in routine practice.

Investigating the links between diagnostic uncertainty, emotional exhaustion, and turnover intention in General Practitioners working in the United Kingdom

BACKGROUND

General Practitioners (GPs) report high levels of burnout, job dissatisfaction, and turnover intention. The complexity of presenting problems to general practice makes diagnostic uncertainty a common occurrence that has been linked to burnout. The interrelationship between diagnostic uncertainty with other factors such as burnout, job satisfaction and turnover intention have not been previously examined.

OBJECTIVES

To examine associations between diagnostic uncertainty, emotional exhaustion (EE), depersonalization (DP), job satisfaction, and turnover intention in GPs.

METHODS

Seventy general practices in England were randomly selected through the Oxford-Royal College of General Practitioners Research and Surveillance Centre (RCGP-RSC). A total of 348 GPs within 67 these practices completed a 10-item online questionnaire which included questions on GP characteristics, work-life balance, job satisfaction, sickness presenteeism, diagnostic uncertainty, turnover intention as well as EE and DP. Associations between diagnostic uncertainty and each of EE, DP, job satisfaction, and turnover intention were evaluated in multivariate mixed-effect ordinal logistic regressions whilst adjusting for covariates, to account for the correlation in the three outcomes of interest.

RESULTS

Almost one-third of GPs (n = 101; 29%) reported experiencing >10% of diagnostic uncertainty in their day-to-day practice over the past year. GPs reporting greater diagnostic uncertainty had higher levels of EE [OR = 3.90; 95% CI = (2.54, 5.99)], job dissatisfaction [OR = 2.01; 95% CI = (1.30, 3.13)] and turnover intention [OR = 4.51; 95% CI = (2.86, 7.11)]. GPs with no sickness presenteeism had lower levels of EE [OR = 0.53; 95% CI = (0.35, 0.82)], job dissatisfaction [OR = 0.56; 95% CI = (0.35, 0.88)], and turnover intention [OR = 0.61; 95% CI = (0.41, 0.91)].

CONCLUSION

Diagnostic uncertainty may not only negatively impact on the wellbeing of GPs, but could also have adverse implications on workforce retention in primary care.

STOPP/START interventions to improve medicines management for people aged 65 years and over: a realist synthesis

Background

Drug-related problems and potentially inappropriate prescribing impose a huge burden on patients and the health-care system. The most widely used tools for appropriate prescription in older adults in England and in other European countries are the Screening Tool of Older People’s Prescriptions (STOPP)/Screening Tool to Alert to the Right Treatment (START) tools. STOPP/START tools support medicines optimisation for older adults.

Objectives

To identify, test and refine the programme theories underlying how interventions based on the STOPP/START tools are intended to work, for whom, in what circumstances and why, as well as the resource use and cost requirements or impacts.

Design

A realist synthesis.

Setting

Primary care, hospital care and nursing homes.

Patients

Patients aged ≥ 65 years.

Interventions

Any intervention based on the use of the STOPP/START tools.

Review methods

Database and web-searching was carried out to retrieve relevant evidence to identify and test programme theories about how interventions based on the use of the STOPP/START tools work. A project reference group made up of health-care professionals, NHS decision-makers, older people, carers and members of the public was set up. In phase 1 we identified programme theories about STOPP/START interventions on how, for whom, in what contexts and why they are intended to work. We searched the peer-reviewed and grey literature to identify documents relevant to the research questions. We interviewed experts in the field in our reference group to gain input on our list of candidate context–mechanism–outcome configurations, to identify additional context–mechanism–outcome configurations and to identify additional literature and/or relevant concepts. In phase 2 we reviewed and synthesised relevant published and unpublished empirical evidence and tested the programme theories using evidence from a larger set of empirical studies.

Results

We developed a single logic model structured around three key mechanisms: (1) personalisation, (2) systematisation and (3) evidence implementation. Personalisation: STOPP/START-based interventions are based on shared decision-making, taking into account patient preferences, experiences and expectations (mechanisms), leading to increased patient awareness, adherence, satisfaction, empowerment and quality of life (outcomes). Systematisation: STOPP/START tools provide a standardised/systematic approach for medication reviews (mechanisms), leading to changes in professional and organisational culture and burden/costs (outcomes). Evidence implementation: delivery of STOPP/START-based interventions is based on the implementation of best evidence (mechanisms), reducing adverse outcomes through appropriate prescribing/deprescribing (outcomes). For theory testing, we identified 40 studies of the impact of STOPP/START-based interventions in hospital settings, nursing homes, primary care and community pharmacies. Most of the interventions used multiple mechanisms. We found support for the impact of the personalisation and evidence implementation mechanisms on selected outcome variables, but similar impact was achieved by interventions not relying on these mechanisms. We also observed that the impact of interventions was linked to the proximity of the selected outcomes to the intervention in the logic model, resulting in a clearer benefit for appropriateness of prescribing, adverse drug events and prescription costs.

Limitations

None of the available studies had been explicitly designed for evaluating underlying causal mechanisms, and qualitative information was sparse.

Conclusions

No particular configuration of the interventions is associated with a greater likelihood of improved outcomes in given settings.

Study registration

This study is registered as PROSPERO CRD42018110795.

Funding

This project was funded by the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Health Services and Delivery Research programme and will be published in full in Health Services and Delivery Research; Vol. 9, No. 23. See the NIHR Journals Library website for further project information.

269 Outcomes of Modified Karydakis Flap in The Surgical Management of Sacrococcygeal Pilonidal Disease: A Single Surgeon’s Experience

Aim

To determine the incidence of post-operative complications of patients with sacrococcygeal pilonidal disease who were treated with the Modified Karydakis flap with a specific management bundle. Primary outcomes assessed included the post-operative incidence of seroma, haematoma, SSI, deep SSI, wound dehiscence, re-admissions, return to theatre and flap necrosis. Secondary outcome evaluated was recurrence at 6 months follow up.

Method

It was a retrospective analysis of a single surgeon’s (FA’s) practice results of Modified Karydakis flaps on patients with sacrococcygeal pilonidal disease who were managed according to a specific protocol (fig. 1). Data was collected between June 2017 and June 2020. 96 patients were analysed, of which 9 were excluded as they only had excision without closure. Pre, per and post-operative management of the remaining 87 patients was according to a standardised protocol (fig. 1). Data was collected from patient’s notes and from prospectively and retrospectively maintained patient data bases (Theatre System, Medway).

Results

Primary outcomes:

Secondary outcome:

Conclusions

Good surgical results can be obtained with Modified Karadakis flap, provided meticulous surgical technique is applied. Placement of a suction drain for a minimum of 72 hours reduces incidence of post-operative haematoma and seroma formation. Three post-operative doses of broad-spectrum intravenous antibiotics followed by 5 days of oral antibiotics helps reduce post-operative infections.

Exercise-induced Acute Abdominal Haemorrhage due to Iliopsoas Trauma in Racing Greyhounds

Post-mortem examination of 74 racing greyhounds with sudden, unexpected death was undertaken at the Veterinary School, University of Nottingham, UK, from 2015 to 2019. These investigations revealed severe, acute haemoabdomen with extensive retroperitoneal haemorrhage and an underlying severe, unilateral iliopsoas tear in four cases (5.4%). In all four cases, unilateral trauma and haemorrhage affecting the right iliopsoas muscle was common near the caudal insertion. Despite the acute clinical event, three cases demonstrated histological evidence of previous muscle damage with muscular regeneration, fibrosis and evidence of chronic haemorrhage. To our knowledge, this is the first detailed description of exercise-induced trauma to the iliopsoas muscle leading to extensive haemoretroperitoneum and haemoabdomen with subsequent hypovolaemic shock and death in racing greyhounds.

Characteristics and outcomes of clusters of multimorbid patients in UK general practice

Background

Current clinical specialities, guidelines and quality of care metrics are organised around single diseases and treatments of multiple conditions are rarely coordinated, resulting in insufficient or even conflicting care. This study uses large scale English general practice (GP) records to identify and characterise clusters of patients based on their multimorbidity to allow better design of health services and highlight groups that require additional interventions.

Methods

This is a retrospective cohort study that includes multimorbid adult patients (N = 113,211), from a random sample of 391,669 English patients with valid GP records in 2012 where 38 long-term conditions were defined. Latent class analysis, stratified by age groups, was used to identify multimorbidity clusters. Class solutions are validated and associations between multimorbidity clusters, patient characteristics, public health service utilisation and mortality are assessed.

Results

Poor socioeconomic status is associated with clusters with higher service use and mortality risk. Physical-mental health co-morbidity is a major component of multimorbidity across all age strata. The clusters with highest age-stratified mortality risk in under 65 year olds were linked to alcohol and substance misuse, whereas in over 65 year olds they were linked to cardiovascular disease. The largest cluster in the 85+ years strata (58%) has the lowest number of morbidities, a low degree of service use and mortality. Consistency was seen across identification and validation data.

Conclusions

We find a clear distinction between morbidity clusters, both in the prevalence of long term conditions within them, and in their associations with outcomes (service use and mortality). Specific health services and interventions might be more effective when targeted on the distinct types of multimorbidity we have identified, with a particular focus on the morbidity clusters associated with the worst patient outcomes.

Key messages

The first study to derive age stratified multimorbidity clusters from a large GP record system, whose patients are representative of the English population. Knowledge about particularly dangerous clusters of multimorbidity, such as those involving alcohol and drug use in 18–64 years old, and cardiovascular disease in those 65 years or older.

P2649Do these data apply to me? Examining the applicability of trials assessing strategies for optimal management of blood pressure to older patients in UK primary care

Background

There is debate as to what extent older patients (≥80 years) should be treated for high blood pressure. Existing trials show that blood pressure lowering in this population is effective at preventing stroke and heart failure but also results in an increased risk of adverse events. However, it has been suggested that these studies enrolled healthier patients, who are less representative of the general population and more likely to benefit from treatment.

Purpose

This study aimed to compare the characteristics of patients eligible for three blood pressure management trials and assess the likelihood of eligibility for each trial based on common characteristics of older patients.

Methods

Cross-sectional study of data extracted from the medical records of 15,376 patients aged ≥80 years, registered to 24 general practices in the south of England. Anonymised patient data relating to the eligibility criteria for two previous medication intensification trials (HYVET, SPRINT) and one medication reduction trial (OPTiMISE) were extracted. Patients eligible for each trial were defined according to criteria specified in each trial protocol. Descriptive statistics were used to define the characteristics of each trial population. A logistic regression model was constructed to estimate predictors of eligibility for each trial, with practice included as a random effect.

Results

Approximately 268 (1.7%), 5,290 (34.4%) and 3,940 (25.6%) patients were eligible for HYVET, SPRINT and OPTiMISE trials respectively. There was little overlap in eligibility for each trial (1.0% were eligible for HYVET and SPRINT; 0% were eligible for HYVET and OPTiMISE; 10.2% were eligible for SPRINT and OPTiMISE). Patients eligible for OPTiMISE were comparable to the general population in terms of frailty (eFI 0.12 [OPTiMISE] vs 0.11 [general population]), but had more morbidities (4 vs 3) and cardiovascular medications prescribed (4 vs 2). Patients in HYVET and SPRINT were less frail, multi-morbid and prescribed less cardiovascular medications. Overall, increasing frailty and a history of cardiovascular disease reduced the likelihood of being eligible for any trial.

Conclusions

Patients eligible for OPTiMISE appear to best represent the population aged ≥80 years attending UK primary care. Increasing frailty and/or multi-morbidity reduce the likelihood of eligibility for all three blood pressure trials. Caution should be exercised when applying the results from randomised controlled trials to management of blood pressure in frail and multi-morbid patients.

Acknowledgement/Funding

This study was funded by the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) SPCR and Oxford CLAHRC

Polypharmacy patterns in the last year of life in patients with dementia

PURPOSE

To describe prescribing of medicines in primary care in the last year of life in patients with dementia.

METHOD

A retrospective cohort analysis in UK primary care using routinely collected data from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink. Number of medications and potentially inappropriate medication prescribed one year prior to, and including death, was ascertained.

RESULTS

Dementia patients (n = 6923) aged 86.6 ± 7.3 years (mean ± SD) were prescribed 4.8 ± 4.0 drugs 1 year prior to death, increasing to 5.6 ± 4.0 2 months prior, before falling to 4.9 ± 4.1 at death. One year prior to death, 50% of patients were prescribed a potentially inappropriate medication, falling to 41% at death. Cardiovascular medications were the most common, with decreases in drug count only occurring in the last month prior to death. Prescriptions for gastrointestinal and central nervous system medication increased throughout the year, particularly laxatives/analgaesics, antidepressants and hypnotic/antipsychotics. Women (vs. men) and patients with Alzheimer's (vs. vascular dementia) were prescribed 4.7% (95% CI 2.3%-7%) and 14.6% (11.7-17.3%) fewer medications, respectively. Prescribing decreased with age and increased with additional comorbidities.

CONCLUSIONS

Dementia patients are prescribed high levels of medication, many potentially inappropriate, during their last year of life, with reductions occurring relatively late. Improvements to medication optimisation guidelines are needed to inform decision-making around deprescribing of long-term medications in patients with limited life-expectancy.

Clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of issuing longer versus shorter duration (3-month vs. 28-day) prescriptions in patients with chronic conditions: systematic review and economic modelling

BACKGROUND

To reduce expenditure on, and wastage of, drugs, some commissioners have encouraged general practitioners to issue shorter prescriptions, typically 28 days in length; however, the evidence base for this recommendation is uncertain.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the evidence of the clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of shorter versus longer prescriptions for people with stable chronic conditions treated in primary care.

DESIGN/DATA SOURCES

The design of the study comprised three elements. First, a systematic review comparing 28-day prescriptions with longer prescriptions in patients with chronic conditions treated in primary care, evaluating any relevant clinical outcomes, adherence to treatment, costs and cost-effectiveness. Databases searched included MEDLINE (PubMed), EMBASE, Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature, Web of Science and Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials. Searches were from database inception to October 2015 (updated search to June 2016 in PubMed). Second, a cost analysis of medication wastage associated with < 60-day and ≥ 60-day prescriptions for five patient cohorts over an 11-year period from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink. Third, a decision model adapting three existing models to predict costs and effects of differing adherence levels associated with 28-day versus 3-month prescriptions in three clinical scenarios.

REVIEW METHODS

In the systematic review, from 15,257 unique citations, 54 full-text papers were reviewed and 16 studies were included, five of which were abstracts and one of which was an extended conference abstract. None was a randomised controlled trial: 11 were retrospective cohort studies, three were cross-sectional surveys and two were cost studies. No information on health outcomes was available.

RESULTS

An exploratory meta-analysis based on six retrospective cohort studies suggested that lower adherence was associated with 28-day prescriptions (standardised mean difference -0.45, 95% confidence interval -0.65 to -0.26). The cost analysis showed that a statistically significant increase in medication waste was associated with longer prescription lengths. However, when accounting for dispensing fees and prescriber time, longer prescriptions were found to be cost saving compared with shorter prescriptions. Prescriber time was the largest component of the calculated cost savings to the NHS. The decision modelling suggested that, in all three clinical scenarios, longer prescription lengths were associated with lower costs and higher quality-adjusted life-years.

LIMITATIONS

The available evidence was found to be at a moderate to serious risk of bias. All of the studies were conducted in the USA, which was a cause for concern in terms of generalisability to the UK. No evidence of the direct impact of prescription length on health outcomes was found. The cost study could investigate prescriptions issued only; it could not assess patient adherence to those prescriptions. Additionally, the cost study was based on products issued only and did not account for underlying patient diagnoses. A lack of good-quality evidence affected our decision modelling strategy.

CONCLUSIONS

Although the quality of the evidence was poor, this study found that longer prescriptions may be less costly overall, and may be associated with better adherence than 28-day prescriptions in patients with chronic conditions being treated in primary care.

FUTURE WORK

There is a need to more reliably evaluate the impact of differing prescription lengths on adherence, on patient health outcomes and on total costs to the NHS. The priority should be to identify patients with particular conditions or characteristics who should receive shorter or longer prescriptions. To determine the need for any further research, an expected value of perfect information analysis should be performed.

STUDY REGISTRATION

This study is registered as PROSPERO CRD42015027042.

FUNDING

The National Institute for Health Research Health Technology Assessment programme.

OPtimising Treatment for MIld Systolic hypertension in the Elderly (OPTiMISE): protocol for a randomised controlled non-inferiority trial

INTRODUCTION

Recent evidence suggests that larger blood pressure reductions and multiple antihypertensive drugs may be harmful in older people, particularly frail individuals with polypharmacy and multimorbidity. However, there is a lack of evidence to support deprescribing of antihypertensives, which limits the practice of medication reduction in routine clinical care. The aim of this trial is to examine whether antihypertensive medication reduction is possible in older patients without significant changes in blood pressure control at follow-up.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

This trial will use a primary care-based, open-label, randomised controlled trial design. A total of 540 participants will be recruited, aged ≥80 years, with systolic blood pressure <150 mm Hg and receiving ≥2 antihypertensive medications. Participants will have no compelling indication for medication continuation and will be considered to potentially benefit from medication reduction due to existing polypharmacy, comorbidity and frailty. Following a baseline appointment, individuals will be randomised to a strategy of medication reduction (intervention) with optional self-monitoring or usual care (control). Those in the intervention group will have one antihypertensive medication stopped. The primary outcome will be to determine if a reduction in medication can achieve a proportion of participants with clinically safe blood pressure levels at 12-week follow-up (defined as a systolic blood pressure <150 mm Hg), which is non-inferior (within 10%) to that achieved by the usual care group. Qualitative interviews will be used to understand the barriers and facilitators to medication reduction. The study will use economic modelling to predict the long-term effects of any observed changes in blood pressure and quality of life.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

The protocol, informed consent form, participant information sheet and all other participant facing material have been approved by the Research Ethics Committee (South Central-Oxford A; ref 16/SC/0628), Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency (ref 21584/0371/001-0001), host institution(s) and Health Research Authority. All research outputs will be published in peer-reviewed journals and presented at national and international conferences.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

EudraCT 2016-004236-38; ISRCTN97503221; Pre-results.

The epidemiology of multimorbidity in primary care: a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Multimorbidity places a substantial burden on patients and the healthcare system, but few contemporary epidemiological data are available.

AIM

To describe the epidemiology of multimorbidity in adults in England, and quantify associations between multimorbidity and health service utilisation.

DESIGN AND SETTING

Retrospective cohort study, undertaken in England.

METHOD

The study used a random sample of 403 985 adult patients (aged ≥18 years), who were registered with a general practice on 1 January 2012 and included in the Clinical Practice Research Datalink. Multimorbidity was defined as having two or more of 36 long-term conditions recorded in patients' medical records, and associations between multimorbidity and health service utilisation (GP consultations, prescriptions, and hospitalisations) over 4 years were quantified.

RESULTS

In total, 27.2% of the patients involved in the study had multimorbidity. The most prevalent conditions were hypertension (18.2%), depression or anxiety (10.3%), and chronic pain (10.1%). The prevalence of multimorbidity was higher in females than males (30.0% versus 24.4% respectively) and among those with lower socioeconomic status (30.0% in the quintile with the greatest levels of deprivation versus 25.8% in that with the lowest). Physical-mental comorbidity constituted a much greater proportion of overall morbidity in both younger patients (18-44 years) and those patients with a lower socioeconomic status. Multimorbidity was strongly associated with health service utilisation. Patients with multimorbidity accounted for 52.9% of GP consultations, 78.7% of prescriptions, and 56.1% of hospital admissions.

CONCLUSION

Multimorbidity is common, socially patterned, and associated with increased health service utilisation. These findings support the need to improve the quality and efficiency of health services providing care to patients with multimorbidity at both practice and national level.

Eating out with a food allergy in the UK: Change in the eating out practices of consumers with food allergy following introduction of allergen information legislation

BACKGROUND

Strict allergen avoidance is important in day-to-day management of food allergy and avoidance when eating outside the home can present particular difficulties. EU legislation (EU FIC) introduced in December 2014 aimed to improve food allergen information provision for customers by requiring retailers of non-prepacked foods to provide information related to the content of one or more of 14 specified food allergens within their foods.

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the impact of EU FIC on the behaviours, experiences and attitudes of consumers with food allergy when eating out.

METHODS

As part of longitudinal research, participants with food allergy from across the UK took part in either (A) pre and post legislation in-depth interviews, or (B) pre and post legislation surveys. In-depth interviews were carried out with 28 participants pre and post legislation and analysed using the framework approach. Self-report surveys were completed by 129 participants pre and post legislation, and responses were subject to quantitative analyses.

RESULTS

Improvements in allergen information provision and raised awareness of food allergy in eating out venues were reported following introduction of EU FIC. Whilst participants favoured written allergen information, they expressed greater confidence in communicating with eating out staff and in trusting the allergen information that they provided. Improvements were judged to be gradual, sporadic or inconsistent in implementation.

CONCLUSION & CLINICAL RELEVANCE

For many participants, the "ideal" eating out experience was one in which a range of information resources were available and where written allergen information was complemented by proactive and accommodating staff within an allergy-aware environment. Whilst the onus is on legislators and food providers to ensure that adequate allergen information is provided, clinicians play an important role in encouraging patients with food allergy to pursue their legal right to make allergen enquiries to avoid accidental allergen ingestion when eating out.

Retrospective, multicohort analysis of the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) to determine differences in the cost of medication wastage, dispensing fees and prescriber time of issuing either short (<60 days) or long (≥60 days) prescription lengths in primary care for common, chronic conditions in the UK

OBJECTIVES

To investigate patterns of early repeat prescriptions and treatment switching over an 11-year period to estimate differences in the cost of medication wastage, dispensing fees and prescriber time for short (<60 days) and long (≥60 days) prescription lengths from the perspective of the National Health Service in the UK.

SETTING

Retrospective, multiple cohort study of primary care prescriptions from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink.

PARTICIPANTS

Five random samples of 50 000 patients each prescribed oral drugs for (1) glucose control in type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM); (2) hypertension in T2DM; (3) statins (lipid management) in T2DM; (4) secondary prevention of myocardial infarction; and (5) depression.

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES

The volume of medication wastage from early repeat prescriptions and three other types of treatment switches was quantified and costed. Dispensing fees and prescriber time were also determined. Total unnecessary costs (TUC; cost of medication wastage, dispensing fees and prescriber time) associated with <60 day and ≥60 day prescriptions, standardised to a 120-day period, were then compared.

RESULTS

Longer prescription lengths were associated with more medication waste per prescription. However, when including dispensing fees and prescriber time, longer prescription lengths resulted in lower TUC. This finding was consistent across all five cohorts. Savings ranged from £8.38 to £12.06 per prescription per 120 days if a single long prescription was issued instead of multiple short prescriptions. Prescriber time costs accounted for the largest component of TUC.

CONCLUSIONS

Shorter prescription lengths could potentially reduce medication wastage, but they may also increase dispensing fees and/or the time burden of issuing prescriptions.

Comparison of Kaposi Sarcoma Risk in Human Immunodeficiency Virus-Positive Adults Across 5 Continents: A Multiregional Multicohort Study

BACKGROUND

We compared Kaposi sarcoma (KS) risk in adults who started antiretroviral therapy (ART) across the Asia-Pacific, South Africa, Europe, Latin, and North America.

METHODS

We included cohort data of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-positive adults who started ART after 1995 within the framework of 2 large collaborations of observational HIV cohorts. We present incidence rates and adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs).

RESULTS

We included 208140 patients from 57 countries. Over a period of 1066572 person-years, 2046 KS cases were diagnosed. KS incidence rates per 100000 person-years were 52 in the Asia-Pacific and ranged between 180 and 280 in the other regions. KS risk was 5 times higher in South African women (aHR, 4.56; 95% confidence intervals [CI], 2.73-7.62) than in their European counterparts, and 2 times higher in South African men (2.21; 1.34-3.63). In Europe, Latin, and North America KS risk was 6 times higher in men who have sex with men (aHR, 5.95; 95% CI, 5.09-6.96) than in women. Comparing patients with current CD4 cell counts ≥700 cells/µL with those whose counts were <50 cells/µL, the KS risk was halved in South Africa (aHR, 0.53; 95% CI, .17-1.63) but reduced by ≥95% in other regions.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite important ART-related declines in KS incidence, men and women in South Africa and men who have sex with men remain at increased KS risk, likely due to high human herpesvirus 8 coinfection rates. Early ART initiation and maintenance of high CD4 cell counts are essential to further reducing KS incidence worldwide, but additional measures might be needed, especially in Southern Africa.

An inter-machine comparison of tobacco smoke particle deposition in vitro from six independent smoke exposure systems

There are several whole smoke exposure systems used to assess the biological and toxicological impact of tobacco smoke in vitro. One such system is the Vitrocell® VC 10 Smoking Robot and exposure module. Using quartz crystal microbalances (QCMs) installed into the module, we were able to assess tobacco smoke particle deposition in real-time. We compared regional deposition across the module positions and doses delivered by six VC 10s in four independent laboratories: two in the UK, one in Germany and one in China. Gauge R&r analysis was applied to the total data package from the six VC 10s. As a percentage of the total, reproducibility (between all six VC 10s) and repeatability (error within an individual VC 10) accounted for 0.3% and 7.4% respectively. Thus Gauge R&r was 7.7%, less than 10% overall and considered statistically fit for purpose. The dose-responses obtained from the six machines across the four different locations demonstrated excellent agreement. There were little to no positional differences across the module at all airflows as determined by ANOVA (except for one machine and at three airflows only). These results support the on-going characterisation of the VC 10 exposure system and suitability for tobacco smoke exposure in vitro.

A case–control study of surgical site infection following operative fixation of fractures of the ankle in a large UK trauma unit

Most of the literature on surgical site infections following the surgical treatment of fractures of the ankle is based on small series of patients, focusing on diabetics or the elderly. None have described post-operative functional scores in those patients who develop an infection. We performed an age- and gender-matched case–control study to identify patient- and surgery-related risk factors for surgical site infection following open reduction and internal fixation of a fracture of the ankle. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify significant risk factors for infection and to calculate odds ratios (OR). Function was assessed using the Olerud and Molander Ankle Score. The incidence of infection was 4% (29/717) and 1.1% (8/717) were deep infections. The median ankle score was significantly lower in the infection group compared with the control group (60 vs 90, Mann–Whitney test p < 0.0001). Multivariate regression analysis showed that diabetes (OR = 15, p = 0.031), nursing home residence (OR = 12, p = 0.018) and Weber C fractures (OR = 4, p = 0.048) were significant risk factors for infection.

A low incidence of infection following open reduction and internal fixation of fractures of the ankle was observed. Both superficial and deep infections result in lower functional scores.

Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2014;96-B:636–40.

Preclinical toxicity study of intrathecal administration of the pain relievers dextrorphan, dextromethorphan, and memantine in the sheep model

Objectives To determine the toxicity window for the continuous intrathecal administration of dextrorphan, dextromethorphan, and memantine via an implanted delivery pump. Materials and Methods Using 48 sheep with programmable continuous intrathecal infusion systems we determined the behavioral, motor, neurological, and histopathological changes produced by a 43-day continuous infusion study of dextrorphan, dextromethorphan, and memantine dissolved in 0.9% NaCl. Daily doses of each N-methyl-D-aspartate (NMDA) antagonist were 0.013, 0.051, 0.203, 0.510, 0.811, and 2.533 mg/kg/day, flow rates ranged from 13.25 ml/day to 0.051 ml/day at a concentration of 10 mg/ml. Control animals received saline in the range of 7.9985 ml/day to 1 ml/day. Conclusions Infusion of saline in the control animals produced no behavioral or motor changes. However, infusion of dextrorphan, dextromethorphan, and memantine at the higher doses (> 0.051 mg/kg/day) produced dose-dependent negative behavioral, motor, and histopathologic changes as indicated by a series of nonparametric statistical analyses. The minimal toxic doses were dextrorphan dose 3, dextromethorphan dose 1 and memantine dose 1. This study suggests that continuous intrathecal infusion of dextrorphan, dextromethorphan, and memantine via an implantable pump system can cause significant toxicities at the higher doses studied.

P4-07-14: Circulating Tumor Cells (CTCs) Detection and HER2 Profiling by CellSearch® in Non-Metastatic Breast Cancer: An International Ring Study To Assess Inter-Reader Variability

Background: Preliminary results from the Success and Remagus trials showed that CTC detection by CellSearch® has adverse prognostic value in non-metastatic breast cancer. Moreover, several investigators have characterized HER2 expression on CTCs in early breast cancer. Since the majority of CTC-positive women with non-metastatic breast cancer have only 1 CTC detected / blood volume analyzed, we wanted to evaluate the inter-reader variability in this setting. This is a crucial step before moving forward with multi-lab/multi-center prospective testing of the clinical utility of the CellSearch® technology in non-metastatic breast cancer.

Methods: Five galleries of CellSearch® images from 3 European and one US institution (a total of 307 images) were mailed to 22 independent readers from 14 European and US academic laboratories and 8 readers from two CellSearch® Veridex laboratories in a blinded fashion. These images came mainly from studies on CTC and/or HER2−positive CTC detection in breast cancer and included healthy women (negative controls), women with metastatic (positive controls) and non-metastatic disease (Pierga et al SABCS 2010, Pierga et al ASCO 2011, Riedthorf et al CCR 2010, Ignatiadis et al PLoS ONE 2011). Each reader reported the images as either CTC-negative or CTC-positive/HER2−negative or CTC-positive/HER2−positive. Kappa statistics were used to assess inter-reader agreement. The 8 Veridex readers were summarized by a majority voting system to derive a gold standard in order to compare each independent reader using discordance rates.

Results: Kappa statistics showed moderate to good agreement between independent readers depending on the gallery evaluated (gallery 1 K: 0.55, gallery 2 K:0.57 gallery 3 K:0.64, gallery 4 K:0.72, gallery 5 K:0.85). These differences were attributed to differences in scoring difficulty of each gallery. Discordances in CTC-positive vs CTC-negative events between each reader and the gold standard ranged from 2.3%-31.3% with 7 readers showing discordance rates &lt;5%, 11 readers between 5–10%, 10 readers between 10–14% and only 2 readers showing discordance rates &gt;14% as compared to the gold standard (median discordance rate: 9.3%). Image analysis showed that investigators with high discordance rates compared to the Veridex gold standard were not always taking into account “morphological characteristics” for defining an event as CTC-positive. Discordant results between readers were mainly due to discordance in CTC definition and to a lesser extent in the definition of HER2−positivity. Indeed, discordances in assigning a CTC-positive event as either HER2−negative or HER2−positive ranged from 0.3−13.7% with 19 readers showing discordance rates &lt;5%, 7 readers between 5–10% and 4 readers with discordance rates &gt;10% (median discordance rate: 3.9%).

Conclusion: In non-metastatic breast cancer, we observed low discordance between most independent readers and the gold standard for defining a CellSearch® event as CTC with very few readers showing high discordance rates. Concordance can be improved through appropriate training and the use of all the tools provided by the CellSearch® system for image interpretation.

Citation Information: Cancer Res 2011;71(24 Suppl):Abstract nr P4-07-14.

The kinematics of load carrying in humans and great apes: implications for the evolution of human bipedalism

We present a comparison of loaded and unloaded carrying kinematics in humans, common chimpanzees (Pan troglodytes), bonobos (Pan paniscus), western lowland gorillas (Gorilla gorilla gorilla) and Bornean and Sumatran orang-utans (Pongo pygmaeus and Pongo abelii). Human hindlimb joint and segment angles were collected during treadmill locomotion using infrared motion analysis cameras. Non-human primate fore- and hindlimb joint and segment angles were collected at zoos during free-ranging locomotion using a standard video camera. In quadrupedal locomotion there were small but potentially important changes associated with load carriage leading to a more upright trunk and a shift in shoulder excursion. These changes were exacerbated as locomotion shifts from quadrupedal to tripedal and bipedal gaits when carrying more awkward loads suggesting a possible adaptive sequence. However, food carrying may favour a highly flexed bent-hip bent-knee bipedal gait since it allows simultaneous foraging and hoarding. In bipedal humans no changes in limb kinematics were seen associated with type of load, although asymmetric loads may lead to lateral postural shifts. Carrying may therefore be an important component of the evolutionary shift to habitual bipedalism, although further work is needed to understand the full biomechanical implications.

Evaluating the appropriateness of thromboprophylaxis in an acute care setting using a computerised reminder, through order-entry system

AIMS

Evidence suggests that thromboprophylaxis is still significantly underutilised across the United States despite its relationship with morbidity, mortality and resource expenditure. Previous randomised trials that have incorporated computerised reminders, through order-entry systems, have resulted in increased rates of thromboprophylaxis and lower incidences of clinically diagnosed deep-vein thrombosis or pulmonary embolism. The primary purpose of this prospective, observational study is to evaluate the use and appropriateness of preset computerized thromboprophylaxis regimens for patients in a major county metropolitan hospital over a 1-month period by evaluating the proportion of patients actually receiving recommended thromboprophylaxis according to established hospital guidelines.

METHODS

This prospective, observational study was conducted in a large county hospital that recently established an evidence-based routine computerised policy to decrease risk of venous thromboembolism. Physicians, residents, medical interns, medical students, pharmacy students, and nurses were the targets of the investigation. Data were randomly collected between 10 internal medicine teams from 10 October 2006 to 10 November 2006. Investigators completed one DVT/PE risk assessment form for each patient reviewed and compared this to actual prescribed therapy to determine appropriateness of therapy.

RESULTS

Pharmacological or non-pharmacological thromboprophylaxis was administered to 100% of patients evaluated. Eighty-six patients received recommended DVT/PE prophylaxis based on established hospital guidelines.

DISCUSSION

Reported values seem to indicate that computerized reminders are capable of providing venous thromboprophylaxis for medically ill (non-surgical) patients relative to published norms.

CONCLUSION

Results of this observational study reinforces the evidence that computerized, reminders, through order-entry systems might increase the delivery of thromboprophylaxis for hospitalized patients.

Effective T-cell responses select human immunodeficiency virus mutants and slow disease progression

The possession of some HLA class I molecules is associated with delayed progression to AIDS. The mechanism behind this beneficial effect is unclear. We tested the idea that cytotoxic T-cell responses restricted by advantageous HLA class I molecules impose stronger selection pressures than those restricted by other HLA class I alleles. As a measure of the selection pressure imposed by HLA class I alleles, we determined the extent of HLA class I-associated epitope variation in a cohort of European human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-positive individuals (n=84). We validated our findings in a second, distinct cohort of African patients (n=516). We found that key HIV epitopes restricted by advantageous HLA molecules (B27, B57, and B51 in European patients and B5703, B5801, and B8101 in African patients) were more frequently mutated in individuals bearing the restricting HLA than in those who lacked the restricting HLA class I molecule. HLA alleles associated with clinical benefit restricted certain epitopes for which the consensus peptides were frequently recognized by the immune response despite the circulating virus's being highly polymorphic. We found a significant inverse correlation between the HLA-associated hazard of disease progression and the mean HLA-associated prevalence of mutations within epitopes (P=0.028; R2=0.34). We conclude that beneficial HLA class I alleles impose strong selection at key epitopes. This is revealed by the frequent association between effective T-cell responses and circulating viral escape mutants and the rarity of these variants in patients who lack these favorable HLA class I molecules, suggesting a significant pressure to revert.

Does an oral analgesic protocol improve pain control for patients with cancer? An intergroup study coordinated by the Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group

BACKGROUND

Cancer pain is highly prevalent and commonly undertreated. This study was designed to determine whether dissemination of a clinical protocol for pain management would improve outcomes in community oncology practices.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A pain management protocol was developed based on accepted guidelines. After baseline assessment, oncology practices were randomly assigned to 'analgesic protocol' (AP) sites, where oncologists implemented the guidelines in a group of lung or prostate cancer patients, or to 'physician discretion' (PD) sites, where customary treatment was continued. Patients treated on protocol and a comparison group of patients with pain due to breast cancer or myeloma were monitored for change in pain using the Brief Pain Inventory, and for change in other symptoms or mood.

RESULTS

The protocol terminated early because of poor accrual. We compared groups using proportions of patients who had no or mild pain at follow-up. Although measures of protocol adherence did not suggest the occurrence of major practice change, the proportion of lung or prostate cancer patients with no or mild pain increased significantly from baseline for those treated at AP sites compared with those treated at PD sites. There was no significant difference between the breast and myeloma patients treated at AP sites versus those treated at PD sites.

CONCLUSION

A protocol for cancer pain management can improve pain control. Diffusion of these benefits to other patients was not confirmed. Given the small sample size, these findings require confirmation in a larger trial.