Plasma metabolite predictors of metabolic syndrome incidence and reversion

BACKGROUND

Metabolic Syndrome (MetS) is a progressive pathophysiological state defined by a cluster of cardiometabolic traits. However, little is known about metabolites that may be predictors of MetS incidence or reversion. Our objective was to identify plasma metabolites associated with MetS incidence or MetS reversion.

METHODS

The study included 1468 participants without cardiovascular disease (CVD) but at high CVD risk at enrollment from two case-cohort studies nested within the PREvención con DIeta MEDiterránea (PREDIMED) study with baseline metabolomics data. MetS was defined in accordance with the harmonized International Diabetes Federation and the American Heart Association/National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute criteria, which include meeting 3 or more thresholds for waist circumference, triglyceride, HDL cholesterol, blood pressure, and fasting blood glucose. MetS incidence was defined by not having MetS at baseline but meeting the MetS criteria at a follow-up visit. MetS reversion was defined by MetS at baseline but not meeting MetS criteria at a follow-up visit. Plasma metabolome was profiled by LC-MS. Multivariable-adjusted Cox regression models and elastic net regularized regressions were used to assess the association of 385 annotated metabolites with MetS incidence and MetS reversion after adjusting for potential risk factors.

RESULTS

Of the 603 participants without baseline MetS, 298 developed MetS over the median 4.8-year follow-up. Of the 865 participants with baseline MetS, 285 experienced MetS reversion. A total of 103 and 88 individual metabolites were associated with MetS incidence and MetS reversion, respectively, after adjusting for confounders and false discovery rate correction. A metabolomic signature comprised of 77 metabolites was robustly associated with MetS incidence (HR: 1.56 (95 % CI: 1.33-1.83)), and a metabolomic signature of 83 metabolites associated with MetS reversion (HR: 1.44 (95 % CI: 1.25-1.67)), both p < 0.001. The MetS incidence and reversion signatures included several lipids (mainly glycerolipids and glycerophospholipids) and branched-chain amino acids.

CONCLUSION

We identified unique metabolomic signatures, primarily comprised of lipids (including glycolipids and glycerophospholipids) and branched-chain amino acids robustly associated with MetS incidence; and several amino acids and glycerophospholipids associated with MetS reversion. These signatures provide novel insights on potential distinct mechanisms underlying the conditions leading to the incidence or reversion of MetS.

Urinary Vitamin D Binding Protein: A Marker of Kidney Tubular Dysfunction in Patients at Risk for Type 2 Diabetes

Context

Recent studies have reported elevated urinary vitamin D binding protein (uVDBP) concentrations in patients with diabetic kidney disease, although the utility of uVDBP to predict deterioration of kidney function over time has not been examined.

Objective

Our objective was to assess the association of uVDBP with longitudinal changes in kidney function.

Methods

Adults at-risk for type 2 diabetes from the Prospective Metabolism and Islet Cell Evaluation (PROMISE) study had 3 assessments over 6 years (n = 727). Urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR) and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) were used as measures of kidney function. Measurements of uVDBP were performed with enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay and normalized to urine creatinine (uVDBP:cr). Generalized estimating equations (GEEs) evaluated longitudinal associations of uVDBP and uVDBP:cr with measures of kidney function, adjusting for covariates.

Results

Renal uVDBP loss increased with ACR severity at baseline. Individuals with normoalbuminuria, microalbuminuria, and macroalbuminuria had median log uVDBP:cr concentrations of 1.62 μg/mmol, 2.63 μg/mmol, and 2.48 μg/mmol, respectively, and ACR positively correlated with uVDBP concentrations (r = 0.37; P < .001). There was no significant association between uVDBP and eGFR at baseline. Adjusted longitudinal GEE models indicated that each SD increase both in baseline and longitudinal uVDBP:cr was significantly associated with higher ACR over 6 years (β = 30.67 and β = 32.91, respectively). Conversely, neither baseline nor longitudinal uVDBP:cr measures showed a significant association with changes in eGFR over time. These results suggest that loss of uVDBP:cr over time may be a useful marker for predicting renal tubular damage in individuals at risk for diabetes.

Precision stratification of prognostic risk factors associated with outcomes in gestational diabetes mellitus: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

The objective of this systematic review is to identify prognostic factors among women and their offspring affected by gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM), focusing on endpoints of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and type 2 diabetes (T2D) for women, and cardiometabolic profile for offspring.

METHODS

This review included studies published in English language from January 1st, 1990, through September 30th, 2021, that focused on the above outcomes of interest with respect to sociodemographic factors, lifestyle and behavioral characteristics, traditional clinical traits, and 'omics biomarkers in the mothers and offspring during the perinatal/postpartum periods and across the lifecourse. Studies that did not report associations of prognostic factors with outcomes of interest among GDM-exposed women or children were excluded.

RESULTS

Here, we identified 109 publications comprising 98 observational studies and 11 randomized-controlled trials. Findings indicate that GDM severity, maternal obesity, race/ethnicity, and unhealthy diet and physical activity levels predict T2D and CVD in women, and greater cardiometabolic risk in offspring. However, using the Diabetes Canada 2018 Clinical Practice Guidelines for studies, the level of evidence was low due to potential for confounding, reverse causation, and selection biases.

CONCLUSIONS

GDM pregnancies with greater severity, as well as those accompanied by maternal obesity, unhealthy diet, and low physical activity, as well as cases that occur among women who identify as racial/ethnic minorities are associated with worse cardiometabolic prognosis in mothers and offspring. However, given the low quality of evidence, prospective studies with detailed covariate data collection and high fidelity of follow-up are warranted.

Olive oil consumption, plasma metabolites, and risk of type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease

BACKGROUND

Olive oil consumption has been inversely associated with the risk of type 2 diabetes (T2D) and cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, the impact of olive oil consumption on plasma metabolites remains poorly understood. This study aims to identify plasma metabolites related to total and specific types of olive oil consumption, and to assess the prospective associations of the identified multi-metabolite profiles with the risk of T2D and CVD.

METHODS

The discovery population included 1837 participants at high cardiovascular risk from the PREvención con DIeta MEDiterránea (PREDIMED) trial with available metabolomics data at baseline. Olive oil consumption was determined through food-frequency questionnaires (FFQ) and adjusted for total energy. A total of 1522 participants also had available metabolomics data at year 1 and were used as the internal validation sample. Plasma metabolomics analyses were performed using LC-MS. Cross-sectional associations between 385 known candidate metabolites and olive oil consumption were assessed using elastic net regression analysis. A 10-cross-validation (CV) procedure was used, and Pearson correlation coefficients were assessed between metabolite-weighted models and FFQ-derived olive oil consumption in each pair of training-validation data sets within the discovery sample. We further estimated the prospective associations of the identified plasma multi-metabolite profile with incident T2D and CVD using multivariable Cox regression models.

RESULTS

We identified a metabolomic signature for the consumption of total olive oil (with 74 metabolites), VOO (with 78 metabolites), and COO (with 17 metabolites), including several lipids, acylcarnitines, and amino acids. 10-CV Pearson correlation coefficients between total olive oil consumption derived from FFQs and the multi-metabolite profile were 0.40 (95% CI 0.37, 0.44) and 0.27 (95% CI 0.22, 0.31) for the discovery and validation sample, respectively. We identified several overlapping and distinct metabolites according to the type of olive oil consumed. The baseline metabolite profiles of total and extra virgin olive oil were inversely associated with CVD incidence (HR per 1SD: 0.79; 95% CI 0.67, 0.92 for total olive oil and 0.70; 0.59, 0.83 for extra virgin olive oil) after adjustment for confounders. However, no significant associations were observed between these metabolite profiles and T2D incidence.

CONCLUSIONS

This study reveals a panel of plasma metabolites linked to the consumption of total and specific types of olive oil. The metabolite profiles of total olive oil consumption and extra virgin olive oil were associated with a decreased risk of incident CVD in a high cardiovascular-risk Mediterranean population, though no associations were observed with T2D incidence.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

The PREDIMED trial was registered at ISRCTN ( http://www.isrctn.com/ , ISRCTN35739639).

Association of Serum Very-Long-Chain Saturated Fatty Acids With Changes in Insulin Sensitivity and β-Cell Function: The Prospective Metabolism and Islet Cell Evaluation (PROMISE) Cohort

A unique group of circulating very-long-chain saturated fatty acids (VLCSFAs), including arachidic acid (20:0), behenic acid (22:0), and lignoceric acid (24:0), have been associated with a lower risk of type 2 diabetes, although associations with early metabolic risk phenotypes preceding type 2 diabetes have received limited study. We aimed to examine the associations of VLCSFAs with longitudinal changes in insulin sensitivity and β-cell function in a cohort at risk for type 2 diabetes. VLCSFAs in the four main serum pools (phospholipid, triacylglycerol, cholesteryl ester, and nonesterified fatty acid) were extracted from fasting baseline samples (n = 467). Generalized estimating equations were used to determine the associations between VLCSFAs and changes over 9 years in validated indices of insulin sensitivity (HOMA2-%S [insulin sensitivity as percentage of normal population and ISI) and β-cell function (insulinogenic index [IGI], IGI divided by HOMA-insulin resistance [IGI/IR], and insulin secretion sensitivity index 2 [ISSI-2]). Associations of VLCSFAs with outcomes were strongest in the triacylglycerol lipid pool: 20:0 was positively associated with both insulin sensitivity and β-cell function (5.01% increase in HOMA2-%S and 4.01-6.28% increase in IGI/IR and ISSI-2 per SD increase in 20:0); 22:0 was positively associated with insulin sensitivity, with a 6.55% increase in HOMA2-%S and a 5.80% increase in ISI per SD increase in 22:0. Lastly, 24:0 was positively associated with insulin sensitivity and β-cell function (7.94-8.45% increase in HOMA2-%S and ISI, and a 4.61-6.93% increase in IGI/IR and ISSI-2 per SD increase in 24:0). Fewer significant associations were observed in the cholesteryl ester and nonesterified pools. Overall, our results indicate positive longitudinal associations of VLCSFAs with insulin sensitivity and β-cell function, especially within the triacylglycerol pool.

ARTICLE HIGHLIGHTS

Second international consensus report on gaps and opportunities for the clinical translation of precision diabetes medicine

Precision medicine is part of the logical evolution of contemporary evidence-based medicine that seeks to reduce errors and optimize outcomes when making medical decisions and health recommendations. Diabetes affects hundreds of millions of people worldwide, many of whom will develop life-threatening complications and die prematurely. Precision medicine can potentially address this enormous problem by accounting for heterogeneity in the etiology, clinical presentation and pathogenesis of common forms of diabetes and risks of complications. This second international consensus report on precision diabetes medicine summarizes the findings from a systematic evidence review across the key pillars of precision medicine (prevention, diagnosis, treatment, prognosis) in four recognized forms of diabetes (monogenic, gestational, type 1, type 2). These reviews address key questions about the translation of precision medicine research into practice. Although not complete, owing to the vast literature on this topic, they revealed opportunities for the immediate or near-term clinical implementation of precision diabetes medicine; furthermore, we expose important gaps in knowledge, focusing on the need to obtain new clinically relevant evidence. Gaps include the need for common standards for clinical readiness, including consideration of cost-effectiveness, health equity, predictive accuracy, liability and accessibility. Key milestones are outlined for the broad clinical implementation of precision diabetes medicine.

Association of circulating branched chain fatty acids with insulin sensitivity and beta cell function in the PROMISE cohort

Branched chain fatty acids (BCFAs) are mainly saturated fatty acids with a methyl branch on the penultimate or antepenultimate carbon atom. While BCFAs are endogenously produced via the catabolism of branched chain amino acids, the primary exogenous source of BCFAs in the human body is via the diet, including dairy products. Recently, BCFAs have been identified as having a potentially protective role in the etiology of cardiometabolic disorders although current literature is limited. We aimed to investigate the longitudinal associations of circulating BCFAs across four serum pools with insulin sensitivity, beta cell function, and glucose concentrations in the PROMISE Cohort. Estimates of insulin sensitivity were assessed using Matsuda's insulin sensitivity index (ISI) and the homeostasis model assessment of insulin sensitivity (HOMA2). Estimates of beta cell function were determined using the insulinogenic index divided by HOMA insulin resistance and the insulin secretion-sensitivity index-2 (ISSI-2). Baseline serum samples were analyzed for BCFAs using gas-chromatography flame ionization detection. Longitudinal associations were determined using generalized estimating equations. In the free fatty acid (FFA) pool, iso15:0 and anteiso15:0 were positively associated with logHOMA2 (iso15:0 logHOMA2-%S: β = 6.86, 95% CI: [1.64, 12.36], p < 0.05, anteiso15:0 logHOMA2-%S: β = 6.36, 95% CI: [0.63, 12.42], p < 0.05) while anteiso14:0 was inversely associated with measures of insulin sensitivity (iso14:0 logHOMA2-%S: β = -2.35, 95% CI: [-4.26, -0.40], p < 0.05, logISI: β = -2.30, 95% CI: [-4.32, -0.23], p < 0.05, anteiso14:0 logHOMA2-%S: β = -4.72, 95% CI: [-7.81, -1.52], p < 0.05, logISI: β = -6.13, 95% CI: [-9.49, -2.66], p < 0.01). Associations in other pools were less consistent. We identified the potential importance of specific BCFAs, specifically iso14:0, anteiso14:0, iso15:0, anteiso15:0, in cardiometabolic phenotypes underlying type 2 diabetes.

Predictors and risk factors of short-term and long-term outcomes among women with gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) and their offspring: Moving toward precision prognosis?

As part of the American Diabetes Association Precision Medicine in Diabetes Initiative (PMDI) - a partnership with the European Association for the Study of Diabetes (EASD) - this systematic review is part of a comprehensive evidence evaluation in support of the 2 ^nd International Consensus Report on Precision Diabetes Medicine. Here, we sought to synthesize evidence from empirical research papers published through September 1 ^st , 2021 to evaluate and identify prognostic conditions, risk factors, and biomarkers among women and children affected by gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM), focusing on clinical endpoints of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and type 2 diabetes (T2D) among women with a history of GDM; and adiposity and cardiometabolic profile among offspring exposed to GDM in utero. We identified a total of 107 observational studies and 12 randomized controlled trials testing the effect of pharmaceutical and/or lifestyle interventions. Broadly, current literature indicates that greater GDM severity, higher maternal body mass index, belonging to racial/ethnic minority group; and unhealthy lifestyle behaviors would predict a woman's risk of incident T2D and CVD, and an unfavorable cardiometabolic profile among offspring. However, the level of evidence is low (Level 4 according to the Diabetes Canada 2018 Clinical Practice Guidelines for diabetes prognosis) largely because most studies leveraged retrospective data from large registries that are vulnerable to residual confounding and reverse causation bias; and prospective cohort studies that may suffer selection and attrition bias. Moreover, for the offspring outcomes, we identified a relatively small body of literature on prognostic factors indicative of future adiposity and cardiometabolic risk. Future high-quality prospective cohort studies in diverse populations with granular data collection on prognostic factors, clinical and subclinical outcomes, high fidelity of follow-up, and appropriate analytical approaches to deal with structural biases are warranted.

Abstract 26: Plasma Metabolomic Profile of Adiposity in Childhood: Gen3G Study

Objective: Childhood obesity is associated with long-term adverse outcomes including increased risk of cardiometabolic diseases. The integration of metabolomics in determining metabolites specific to excess adiposity could identify novel markers of adverse adiposity accumulation and insights into the pathogenesis of obesity-related outcomes, but investigations in childhood are limited. Thus, our aim was to identify metabolite networks associated with adiposity in childhood using gold-standard measurements.

Methods: This study used cross-sectional data from 329 children at mid-childhood (age 5.3 ± 0.3 years) from the Gen3G prospective pre-birth cohort. We quantified 1,038 plasma metabolites including 798 annotated and 240 unannotated molecules. We measured adiposity using the gold-standard dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA), as well as skinfold, waist circumference and body mass index (BMI). We applied weighted-correlation network analysis to identify networks of highly correlated metabolites. Spearman’s partial correlations were applied to determine the associations of adiposity measures with metabolite networks and individual metabolites, adjusting for age and sex, with false discovery rate correction.

Results: We identified a network of 23 metabolites (MEmagenta on Figure), primarily comprised of lipids (primary and secondary bile acids metabolism sub-pathways), that showed positive correlations with DXA total and truncal fat (ρ adjusted = 0.11 to 0.19), skinfold measures (ρ adjusted = 0.09 to 0.26), and BMI and waist circumference (ρ adjusted = 0.15 and 0.18, respectively). Within this network, glycol-alpha-muricholate and glycol-beta-muricholate metabolites, bile acid sub-species associated with glucose and lipid metabolism, appeared to be driving the associations. These correlations remained consistent when stratified by sex.

Conclusions: A unique network of metabolites was associated with adiposity measures at 5 years of age.

Association of branched chain fatty acids with cardiometabolic disorders in humans: a systematic review

CONTEXT

Despite advances in treatments for cardiometabolic disorders such as type 2 diabetes mellitus and obesity, the increasing frequency of these conditions is of major clinical and public health concern. Therefore, primary prevention including diet and lifestyle approaches continues to play a key role in risk reduction. Meta-analyses of prospective cohort studies have documented inverse associations of dairy consumption with the incidence of different cardiometabolic disorders. Dairy is the largest dietary contributor of branched chain fatty acids (BCFAs), which have been suggested to not only serve as biomarkers of dairy consumption but may also have bioactive properties contributing to reducing the risk of cardiometabolic outcomes. To date, however, the literature on this topic has not been systematically reviewed.

OBJECTIVE

The aim here was to report the results of a systematic review of the association of BCFAs with cardiometabolic disorders in humans.

DATA SOURCES

Search terms were developed and run through the Ovid MEDLINE, Ovid Embase, and the Cochrane Library databases.

DATA EXTRACTION

Articles were selected on the basis of prespecified inclusion criteria and assessed for risk of bias by independent reviewers.

RESULTS

Four studies (n = 2 cross sectional; n = 1 randomized feeding trial and n = 1 pre-post study) were identified. Two studies reported significant inverse associations between serum BCFAs and insulin resistance, triglycerides and/or body mass index. One study identified an inverse association between adipose tissue monomethyl BCFAs and skeletal muscle insulin resistance. In contrast, the randomized feeding trial reported no significant differences to stool BCFA concentrations or body mass index in obese participants following assignment to fruit-vegetable or whole-grain diet groups compared with a refined-grain control group.

CONCLUSIONS

Current evidence suggests beneficial associations of circulating BCFAs with cardiometabolic risk phenotypes, although data in human participants are limited, indicating that additional research is required.

PROSPERO REGISTRATION NO

CRD42021224975.

Lifestyle Factors Associated with Circulating Very Long-Chain Saturated Fatty Acids in Humans: A Systematic Review of Observational Studies

Recent observational studies have documented inverse associations of circulating very long-chain saturated fatty acids (VLCSFAs), namely arachidic acid (20:0), behenic acid (22:0), and lignoceric acid (24:0), with cardiometabolic outcomes. In addition to their endogenous production, it has been suggested that dietary intake or an overall healthier lifestyle may influence VLCSFA concentrations; however, a systematic review of the modifiable lifestyle contributors to circulating VLCSFAs is lacking. Therefore, this review aimed to systematically assess the effects of diet, physical activity, and smoking on circulating VLCSFAs. Following registration on PROSPERO (International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews) (ID: CRD42021233550), a systematic search of observational studies was conducted in MEDLINE, EMBASE, and The Cochrane databases up to February 2022. A total of 12 studies consisting of mostly cross-sectional analyses were included in this review. The majority of the studies documented the associations of dietary intake with total plasma or red blood cell VLCSFAs, in which a range of macronutrients and food groups were examined. Two cross-sectional analyses showed a consistent positive association between total fat and peanut intake with 22:0 and 24:0 and an inverse association between alcohol intake and 20:0 and 22:0. Furthermore, a moderate positive association between physical activity and 22:0 and 24:0 was observed. Lastly, there were conflicting results on the effects of smoking on VLCSFA. Although most studies had a low risk of bias; the findings of this review are limited by the bi-variate analyses presented in the majority of the included studies, therefore, the impact of confounding is unclear. In conclusion, although the current observational literature examining lifestyle determinants of VLCSFAs is limited, existing evidence suggests that circulating 22:0 and 24:0 may be influenced by higher total and saturated fat consumption and nut intake.

Metabolomic profile of combined healthy lifestyle behaviours in humans: A systematic review

A combination of healthy lifestyle behaviours (i.e. regular physical activity, nutritious diet, no smoking, moderate alcohol, and healthy body mass) has been consistently associated with beneficial health outcomes including reduced risk of cardiometabolic diseases. Metabolomic profiles, characterized by distinct sets of biomarkers, have been described for healthy lifestyle behaviours individually and in combination. However, recent literature calls for systematic evaluation of these heterogenous data to identify potential clinical biomarkers relating to a combined healthy lifestyle. The objective was to systematically review existing literature on the metabolomic profile of combined healthy lifestyle behaviours. MEDLINE, EMBASE and Cochrane databases were searched through March 2022. Studies in humans outlining the metabolomic profile of a combination of two or more healthy lifestyle behaviours were included. Collectively, the metabolomic profile following regular adherence to combined healthy lifestyle behaviours points to a positive association with beneficial fatty acids and phosphocreatine, and inverse associations with triglycerides, trimethylamine N-oxide, and acylcarnitines. The findings suggest that a unique metabolomic profile is associated with combined healthy lifestyle behaviours. Additional research is warranted to further describe this metabolomic profile using targeted and untargeted metabolomic approaches along with uniform definitions of combined healthy lifestyle variables across populations. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

Changes in adiposity mediate the associations of diet quality with insulin sensitivity and beta-cell function

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

To examine the mediating role of adiposity on the associations of diet quality with longitudinal changes in insulin sensitivity and beta-cell function.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Adults at-risk for type 2 diabetes (T2D) in the PROMISE cohort had 4 assessments over 9 years (n = 442). Alternate Healthy Eating Index (AHEI) scores were used to assess diet quality. Generalized Estimating Equations (GEE) evaluated the associations between the AHEI and longitudinal changes in insulin sensitivity (HOMA2-%S and ISI) and beta-cell function (IGI/HOMA-IR and ISSI-2). The proportion of the mediating effect of waist circumference changes was estimated using the difference method. In the primary longitudinal analysis, AHEI was positively associated with insulin sensitivity and beta-cell function over time (% difference per standard deviation increase of AHEI for HOMA2-%S (β = 11.0, 95%CI 5.43-17.0), ISI (β = 10.4, 95%CI 4.35-16.8), IGI/HOMA-IR (β = 7.12, 95%CI 0.98-13.6) and ISSI-2 (β = 4.38, 95%CI 1.05-7.80), all p < 0.05). There was no significant association between AHEI and dysglycemia incidence (OR = 0.95, 95%CI 0.77-1.17). Adjustments for longitudinal changes in waist circumference substantially attenuated all associations of AHEI with insulin sensitivity and beta-cell function. Mediation analysis indicated that waist circumference mediated 73%, 70%, 83% and 81% of the association between AHEI and HOMA2-%S, ISI, IGI/HOMA-IR, and ISSI-2, respectively (all p < 0.01).

CONCLUSION

In a Canadian population at-risk for T2D, AHEI score was positively associated with changes in insulin sensitivity and beta-cell function. These associations were substantially mediated by waist circumference, suggesting that changes in adiposity may represent an important pathway linking diet quality with risk phenotypes for T2D.

The association of soluble CD163, a novel biomarker of macrophage activation, with type 2 diabetes mellitus and its underlying physiological disorders: A systematic review

This systematic review investigates the association of sCD163, a novel biomarker of macrophage activation, with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), insulin resistance, and beta-cell dysfunction. Sixteen studies (seven cross-sectional, two case-control, one nested case-control, three prospective cohort, and three experimental) were identified. Most studies demonstrated that elevated sCD163 concentrations were associated with increased insulin resistance. Cross-sectional, case-control, and nested case-control studies showed higher sCD163 in subjects with T2DM compared with healthy individuals. An 18-year follow-up prospective cohort study showed that elevated baseline sCD163 was a strong predictor of T2DM incidence. Prospective cohort studies demonstrated that baseline measures and longitudinal changes in sCD163 were positively associated with insulin resistance; however, associations with beta-cell function were inconsistent. Two experimental studies evaluated the relationship of sCD163 with T2DM and HOMA-IR after weight-reducing interventions. After very low-calorie diet treatments, sCD163 concentration declined significantly in patients with T2DM but was not associated with insulin resistance. Bariatric surgery did not significantly impact sCD163 levels. In a double-blind randomized controlled trial, resveratrol supplementation significantly reduced circulating sCD163 in T2DM patients. Current studies demonstrate the potential utility of sCD163 as an early biomarker of T2DM risk and highlight a potential mechanism linking obesity with T2DM onset.

Adipose Tissue Insulin Resistance Is Longitudinally Associated With Adipose Tissue Dysfunction, Circulating Lipids, and Dysglycemia: The PROMISE Cohort

OBJECTIVE

To determine the association of adipose tissue insulin resistance with longitudinal changes in biomarkers of adipose tissue function, circulating lipids, and dysglycemia.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

Adults at risk for type 2 diabetes in the Prospective Metabolism and Islet Cell Evaluation (PROMISE) cohort had up to four assessments over 9 years (n = 468). Adipose tissue insulin resistance was determined using a novel validated index, Adipo-IR, calculated as the product of fasting insulin and nonesterified fatty acids measured at baseline. Fasting serum was used to measure biomarkers of adipose tissue function (adiponectin and soluble CD163 [sCD163]), circulating lipids (total cholesterol, HDL, LDL, triglyceride [TG]), and systemic inflammation (interleukin-6 [IL-6] and tumor necrosis factor-α [TNF-α]). Incident dysglycemia was defined as the onset of impaired fasting glucose, impaired glucose tolerance, or type 2 diabetes at follow-up. Generalized estimating equation (GEE) models were used to assess the relationship of Adipo-IR with longitudinal outcomes.

RESULTS

GEE analyses showed that elevated Adipo-IR was longitudinally associated with adipose tissue dysfunction (adiponectin -4.20% [95% CI -6.40 to -1.95]; sCD163 4.36% [1.73-7.06], HDL -3.87% [-5.15 to -2.57], TG 9.26% [5.01-13.69]). Adipo-IR was associated with increased risk of incident dysglycemia (odds ratio 1.59 [95% CI 1.09-2.31] per SD increase). Associations remained significant after adjustment for waist circumference and surrogate indices for insulin resistance. There were no significant longitudinal associations of Adipo-IR with IL-6, TNF-α, total cholesterol, or LDL.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings demonstrate that adipose tissue insulin resistance is prospectively associated with adipose tissue function, HDL, TG, and incident dysglycemia.

Effect of Intermittent Fasting Strategies on Cardiometabolic Risk Factors: A Systematic Review and Network Meta-Analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials

Objectives

Intermittent fasting (IF) is a popular trending diet, yet there is limited evidence-based support considering its clinical impact on cardiometabolic outcomes. In an effort to inform the European Association for the Study of Diabetes (EASD) clinical practice guidelines for nutrition therapy, we conducted a network meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) comparing IF strategies and continuous energy restriction (CER) on cardiometabolic outcomes using the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluation (GRADE) approach.

Methods

MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Cochrane databases were searched through Nov 2020. We included RCTs assessing the effect of IF strategies (alternate-day fasting (ADF), whole-day periodic fasting (WDF), time-restricted feeding (TRF)), CER, and ad libitum diet. Outcomes included body weight, fasting glucose and LDL-cholesterol. Two independent researchers extracted data and assessed risk of bias. A network meta-analysis was performed and data were expressed as mean differences (MD) with 95% confidence intervals (CI). The certainty of the evidence was assessed using GRADE.

Results

We identified 19 RCTs (n = 590) including adults of varying health backgrounds. ADF and CER both showed a benefit for body weight reduction compared to ad libitum diet (18 trials, n = 520; MD −3.95 kg [95% CI −6.09, −1.81] and MD −2.85 kg [95% CI −4.99, −0.71], respectively). For fasting glucose (17 trials, n = 590), TRF showed a benefit compared to ad libitum diet (MD −0.39 mmol/L [95% CI −0.59, −0.20]), to CER (MD −0.25 mmol/L [95% CI, −0.45 to −0.06]) and to WDF (MD −0.20 mmol/L [95% CI, −0.45, −0.05]). Furthermore, ADF showed a benefit in reducing LDL-cholesterol (17 trials, n = 590) compared to ad libitum diet (MD −0.21 mmol/L [95% CI −0.40, −0.1]), and to CER (MD −0.15 mmol/L [95% CI −0.31, −0.01]). The certainty of the evidence ranged from high to moderate due to variable downgrades for imprecision.

Conclusions

Current evidence provides a good indication that IF strategies have similar benefits to CER for weight loss but may have additional benefits for fasting glucose and LDL-cholesterol. Long-term high quality RCTs are needed to clarify the effect of different IF strategies on cardiometabolic outcomes.

Funding Sources

Diabetes and Nutrition Study Group of the EASD, Canadian Institutes of Health Research (CIHR), Diabetes Canada.

Association of Major Food Sources of Fructose-Containing Sugars With Incident Metabolic Syndrome: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

IMPORTANCE

Sugar-sweetened beverages (SSBs) are associated with increased risk of metabolic syndrome (MetS). However, the role of other important food sources of fructose-containing sugars in the development of MetS remains unclear.

OBJECTIVE

To examine the association of major food sources of fructose-containing sugars with incident MetS.

DATA SOURCES

MEDLINE, Embase, and Cochrane Library were searched from database inception to March 24, 2020, in addition to manual searches of reference lists from included studies using the following search terms: sugar-sweetened beverages, fruit drink, yogurt, metabolic syndrome, and prospective study.

STUDY SELECTION

Inclusion criteria included prospective cohort studies of 1 year or longer that investigated the association of important food sources of fructose-containing sugars with incident MetS in participants free of MetS at the start of the study.

DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS

Study quality was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. Extreme quantile risk estimates for each food source with MetS incidence were pooled using a random-effects meta-analysis. Interstudy heterogeneity was assessed (Cochran Q statistic) and quantified (I2 statistic). Dose-response analyses were performed using a 1-stage linear mixed-effects model. The certainty of the evidence was assessed using GRADE (Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluation). Results were reported according to the Meta-analysis of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (MOOSE) and Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses (PRISMA) reporting guidelines.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Pooled risk ratio (RR) of incident MetS (pairwise and dose response).

RESULTS

Thirteen prospective cohort studies (49 591 participants [median age, 51 years; range, 6-90 years]; 14 205 with MetS) that assessed 8 fructose-containing foods and MetS were included. An adverse linear dose-response association for SSBs (RR for 355 mL/d, 1.14; 95% CI, 1.05-1.23) and an L-shaped protective dose-response association for yogurt (RR for 85 g/d, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.58-0.76) and fruit (RR for 80 g/d, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.78-0.86) was found. Fruit juices (mixed and 100%) had a U-shaped dose-response association with protection at moderate doses (mixed fruit juice: RR for 125 mL/d, 0.58; 95% CI, 0.42-0.79; 100% fruit juice: RR for 125 mL/d, 0.77; 95% CI, 0.61-0.97). Honey, ice cream, and confectionary had no association with MetS incidence. The certainty of the evidence was moderate for SSBs, yogurt, fruit, mixed fruit juice, and 100% fruit juice and very low for all other food sources.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

The findings of this meta-analysis suggest that the adverse association of SSBs with MetS does not extend to other food sources of fructose-containing sugars, with a protective association for yogurt and fruit throughout the dose range and for 100% fruit juice and mixed fruit juices at moderate doses. Therefore, current policies and guidelines on the need to limit sources of free sugars may need to be reexamined.

The Macrophage Activation Marker Soluble CD163 is Longitudinally Associated With Insulin Sensitivity and β-cell Function

CONTEXT

Chronic inflammation arising from adipose tissue macrophage (ATM) activation may be central in type 2 diabetes etiology. Our objective was to assess the longitudinal associations of soluble CD163 (sCD163), a novel biomarker of ATM activation, with insulin sensitivity, β-cell function, and dysglycemia in high-risk subjects.

METHODS

Adults at risk for type 2 diabetes in the Prospective Metabolism and Islet Cell Evaluation (PROMISE) study had 3 assessments over 6 years (n = 408). Levels of sCD163 were measured using fasting serum. Insulin sensitivity was assessed by HOMA2-%S and the Matsuda index (ISI). β-cell function was determined by insulinogenic index (IGI) over HOMA-IR and insulin secretion-sensitivity index-2 (ISSI-2). Incident dysglycemia was defined as the onset of impaired fasting glucose, impaired glucose tolerance, or type 2 diabetes. Generalized estimating equations (GEE) evaluated longitudinal associations of sCD163 with insulin sensitivity, β-cell function, and incident dysglycemia adjusting for demographic and lifestyle covariates. Areas under receiver-operating-characteristic curve (AROC) tested whether sCD163 improved dysglycemia prediction in a clinical model.

RESULTS

Longitudinal analyses showed significant inverse associations between sCD163 and insulin sensitivity (% difference per standard deviation increase of sCD163 for HOMA2-%S (β = -7.01; 95% CI, -12.26 to -1.44) and ISI (β = -7.60; 95% CI, -11.09 to -3.97) and β-cell function (ISSI-2 (β = -4.67; 95 %CI, -8.59 to -0.58) and IGI/HOMA-IR (β = -8.75; 95% CI, -15.42 to -1.56)). Increased sCD163 was associated with greater risk for incident dysglycemia (odds ratio = 1.04; 95% CI, 1.02-1.06; P < 0.001). Adding sCD163 data to a model with clinical variables improved prediction of incident dysglycemia (AROC=0.6731 vs 0.638; P < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

sCD163 was longitudinally associated with core disorders that precede the onset of type 2 diabetes.

Determinants of longitudinal change in insulin clearance: the Prospective Metabolism and Islet Cell Evaluation cohort

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate multiple determinants of the longitudinal change in insulin clearance (IC) in subjects at high risk for type 2 diabetes (T2D).

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

Adults (n=492) at risk for T2D in the Prospective Metabolism and Islet Cell Evaluation cohort, a longitudinal observational cohort, had four visits over 9 years. Values from oral glucose tolerance tests collected at each assessment were used to calculate the ratios of both fasting C peptide-to-insulin (IC_FASTING) and areas under the curve of C peptide-to-insulin (IC_AUC). Generalized estimating equations (GEE) evaluated multiple determinants of longitudinal changes in IC.

RESULTS

IC declined by 20% over the 9-year follow-up period (p<0.05). Primary GEE results indicated that non-European ethnicity, as well as increases in baseline measures of waist circumference, white cell count, and alanine aminotransferase, was associated with declines in IC_FASTING and IC_AUC over time (all p<0.05). There were no significant associations of IC with sex, age, physical activity, smoking, or family history of T2D. Both baseline and longitudinal IC were associated with incident dysglycemia.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that non-European ethnicity and components of the metabolic syndrome, including central obesity, non-alcoholic fatty liver disease, and subclinical inflammation, may be related to longitudinal declines in IC.

Added sugars in kids' meals from chain restaurants

Objective

To analyze the added sugars in kids' meals from Canadian chain restaurants in relation to the World Health Organization's proposed sugar recommendation (less than 5% of total daily calories should come from added sugars) and current recommendation (less than 10% of total daily calories should come from added sugars).

Methods

Total sugar levels were retrieved from the websites of 10 fast-food and 7 sit-down restaurants in 2010. The added sugar levels in 3178 kids' meals from Canadian chain restaurants were calculated in 2014 (in Toronto, Canada) by subtracting all naturally occurring sugars from the total sugar level.

Results

The average amount of added sugars in restaurant kids' meals (25 ± 0.36 g) exceeded the WHO's proposed daily recommendation for sugar intake. There was a wide range of added sugar levels in kids' meals ranging from 0 g to 114 g. 50% of meals exceeded the WHO's proposed daily sugar recommendation, and 19% exceeded the WHO's current daily sugar recommendation.

Conclusion

There is a wide range of sugar levels in kids' meals from restaurants, and many contain more than a day's worth of sugar.

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The amount of added sugars in kids’ meals (25 ± 0.36 g) was equivalent to the WHO’s proposed daily sugar recommendation.

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There was a wide range of added sugar levels in kids’ meals ranging from 0 g to 114 g.

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50% of meals exceeded the WHO’s proposed daily sugar recommendation.

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19% exceeded the WHO’s current daily sugar recommendation.