Efficacy of a herbal mouthwash for management of periodontitis and radiation-induced mucositis - A consolidated report of two randomized controlled clinical trials

BACKGROUND

Oral diseases like periodontitis and mucositis often require home care using topical agents in the form of mouthwashes. Many herbal mouthwashes are found to be beneficial; however lack proper scientific evidence to support their use.

OBJECTIVES

Study 1 evaluated clinical efficacy of herbal mouthwash in the management of chronic periodontitis in comparison with chlorhexidine mouthwash. Study 2 aimed at assessment of herbal mouthwash in patients of radiation-induced mucosititis.

METHODS

The novel herbal mouthwash used in the present study wa prepared from extracts of five plants namely Emblica Officinalis, Terminalia chebula, Terminalia bellerica, Glycyrrhiza glabra, and Azadirachta indica. 50 periodontitis patients were randomly allocated to two groups. As per allocation, they were instructed to use either herbal mouthwash or chlorhexidine mouthwash twice daily for two weeks after nonsurgical periodontal therapy. Similarly, patients with radiation-induced mucositis were randomly given herbal mouthwash and soda saline mouthwash. Intergroup and intragroup comparisons of continuous variables were conducted using paired and unpaired t-tests. Categorical variables were compared using the chi-square test.

RESULTS

Significant reductions in gingival bleeding, plaque accumulation, and pocket depth were noticed in periodontitis patients in both groups. Patients reported acceptable taste, freshness, and satisfaction after the use of herbal mouthwash. The herbal mouthwash group noticed a significant reduction in the severity of radiation-induced mucositis and analgesic requirements. The intensity of pain, dryness of mouth, oral hygiene, and need for the use of antibiotic and antifungal during radiotherapy was not significant among the groups.

CONCLUSION

The results of this preliminary clinical trial support the use of the tested herbal formulation mouthwash as an adjunct in the treatment of periodontitis as well as radiation-induced mucositis.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

For Study 1: CTRI/2019/10/021574, Study 2: CTRI/2020/04/024851.

Treatment Outcomes of Adenoid Cystic Carcinomas of the Head and Neck Region-A Single-Institution Experience

Malu RafiObjectives  This study was undertaken to evaluate the characteristics and treatment outcomes of patients with adenoid cystic carcinomas of the head and neck region treated at a tertiary cancer center in south India. Materials and Methods  This was a retrospective study done on patients treated at the institute between 2004 and 2011. Clinicopathological details and treatment outcomes were captured from the treatment records to estimate the treatment outcomes and factors affecting them. Results  There were a total of 140 patients with mean age of presentation of 46 years and a median follow-up of 65 months. The most common single site of presentation was the oral cavity. One-hundred eighteen patients (84.3%) underwent primary surgical resection in which 38% had negative surgical margins. Ninety-nine patients were given adjuvant radiotherapy and 18 patients received radical radiotherapy, mostly for surgically inaccessible and inoperable tumors. Median time to recurrence and distant metastasis was 37 and 34 months, respectively. The overall survival and disease-free survival estimate using the Kaplan-Meier method were 92.3 and 71.9%, respectively, at 5 years. Surgical removal of the primary tumor and the nodal stage had the most significant impact on the overall survival outcomes of these patients. Conclusion  Surgery remains the most impactful treatment modality in the management of these rare epithelial tumors. The use of adjuvant radiotherapy may help to tackle the issues of perineural spread and inadequate surgical margins in technically difficult sites. Radical radiotherapy also has impressive response rates.

Perspective on oral cancer screening: Time for implementation research and beyond

Screening aims to detect cancer in asymptomatic populations. In oral cancer, clinical oral examination is the current standard method for screening. Oral cancer screening may be performed by a physician or a healthcare workers and is an affordable and feasible method. There is some evidence that this low-cost method is effective in decreasing mortality from oral cancer in high risk population. The cluster-randomised trial in India that had 15 years of follow-up reported an 81 % mortality reduction in high-risk populations of tobacco and/or alcohol users who adhered to four screening rounds. The observational studies similarly reported 21-22 % reduction in advanced oral cancer and 24-26 % reduction in oral cancer mortality among high risk population. Implementation and evaluation of oral cancer screening programmes in high risk population will support the goals of the World Health Organisation on global oral health.

Effectiveness of triennial screening with clinical breast examination: 14-years follow-up outcomes of randomized clinical trial in Trivandrum, India

BACKGROUND

This study presents the preliminary results of a randomized controlled trial (RCT) initiated in January 2006 in India to evaluate the effectiveness of clinical breast examination (CBE) in reducing breast cancer mortality as compared to a no-screening control group reported significant downstaging in the intervention group. The present manuscript reports long-term follow-up outcomes.

METHODS

Women 30-69 years old from 133 intervention clusters and 141 control clusters were invited to participate. Women in the intervention arm underwent three rounds of CBE every 3 years. CBE-positive women were reexamined by a physician, and triple-assessment was performed on those confirmed to have abnormalities. All participants were followed through home visits and linkage with population-based cancer registry.

RESULTS

Of the 55,843 eligible women in the intervention arm, 95.7% had CBE at least once and 11.5% were CBE-positive. Breast cancers were diagnosed in 335 participants in the intervention group and 273 in the control group (N = 59,447). Age-standardized incidence rate of early cancer was 30.4 of 100,000 in the intervention and 21.9 of 100,000 in the control group, with a rate ratio (RR) of 1.4 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.1-1.8). The age-standardized breast cancer mortality rates were 11.3 and 11.1 per 100,000 in intervention and control arms, respectively (RR, 1.1; 95% CI, 0.8-1.5) after 15 years. Five-year breast cancer survival rates were 77.0% in the intervention and 71.2% in the control groups (overall p value = .043).

CONCLUSIONS

Triennial CBE screening failed to demonstrate any mortality benefit despite achieving a shift toward earlier stage at detection and improved survival in the intervention arm. CBE is a valuable tool for diagnosis of breast cancer in symptomatic women especially in areas where mammography and/or breast cancer screening programs are not widely available.

Epstein-Barr virus dynamics and its prognostic impact on nasopharyngeal cancers in a non-endemic region

Background

Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA quantification in nasopharyngeal cancer (NPC) is an indicator of the tumour burden, stage and survival. Although EBV dynamics in endemic regions has been extensively studied and reported, the data from non-endemic regions is sparse. This study attempts to investigate the EBV dynamics in NPC patients from a non-endemic region and also to identify the factors impacting the outcomes.

Materials and methods

This was a prospective observational study conducted at a tertiary care centre in South India and enrolled patients with non-metastatic, biopsy proven NPC, who were suitable for radical chemo-radiotherapy with or without induction chemotherapy. Two blood samples, one prior to initiation of any anticancer treatment, and second at 6 weeks post treatment, were collected to quantify EBV DNA using real-time quantitative polymerase chain reaction. Antibodies against EBV viral capsid antigen (EBV VCA IgM), EBV Early Antigen (EBV EA IgG) and EBV Nuclear Antigen (EBV EBNA IgG) were also measured in the sample. The impact of EBV dynamics on the outcomes was then analysed.

Results

The study included a total of 35 patients. Thirty-three had identifiable EBV DNA (94.3%) and a histological diagnosis of non-keratinising undifferentiated type of squamous cell carcinoma. There was no correlation between the EBV DNA and anti-EBV antibodies. There was a significant association between composite stage and pre-treatment DNA titre (p = 0.030). The mean EBV DNA titre was lower for patients with no clinically demonstrable disease at last follow-up and the reduction in EBV DNA titres was significant (p = 0.020) for those patients who remained disease free.

Conclusion

Plasma EBV DNA is an accurate and reliable biomarker for NPC for WHO type 2 and 3 tumours even in non-endemic regions.

Outcomes of organ preservation treatment in advanced laryngeal carcinoma: A retrospective analysis from a single institution

Chemoradiation is the standard treatment for patients with locally advanced laryngeal carcinoma with intact cartilage and functional larynx. The aim of this retrospective study was to assess overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) of patients with locally advanced (stage III and stage IV) squamous cell carcinoma of the larynx who have been treated with definitive radical radiotherapy (RT) with or without chemotherapy in a tertiary cancer center in India between January 1, 2006 and December 31, 2015. Data were collected using structured proforma. The patients were treated with RT alone, induction chemotherapy (IC) followed by RT, concurrent chemoradiation therapy (CCRT) or IC followed by CCRT. Response assessment was conducted at 3-4 months post-treatment. Patient-, tumor- and treatment-related factors were documented and were associated with DFS and OS. Survival curves were generated using the Kaplan-Meier method and the statistical significance of survival curves was assessed using the log-rank test. Prognostic factors were assessed using the Cox proportional hazards regression model. A total of 630 patients were included in the present study. The most common age group at presentation was 50-70 years (n=477; 75.7%) and 95.4% (n=601) patients were male. The most common stage at presentation was stage III (n=367, 58.1%). The median follow-up period for the entire group of was 59 months (range, 2-175 months). A complete response after treatment was seen in 549 patients (87.1%). Salvage surgery was performed for 11 patients with residual disease. A total of 134 patients (21.3%) had developed locoregional and distant relapses, and salvage surgery was performed for 31 out of 102 patients with locoregional relapse. The 5-year OS was 48.7% and the 5-year DFS was 45.7%. The stage-wise OS rates were 58.9, 34.9 and 30.4% (P=0.001) and the stage-wise DFS rates were 56.3, 32.0 and 21.7 (P=0.001) for stage III, IVa and IVb, respectively. Results from the present study demonstrated the feasibility of delivery of chemoradiation protocols with good results in a developing country.

Stage migration and treatment outcome in carcinoma tongue - A comparison of seventh and eighth AJCC pathological staging systems

Background

The eighth edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) for oral cancer has incorporated additional pathological features like depth of invasion (DOI) and extranodal extension (ENE) into T and N staging. The incorporation of these two factors will impact the staging and, hence, the treatment decisions. The aim of the study was to clinically validate the new staging system in predicting the outcome in patients treated for carcinoma oral tongue. The study also examined the correlation of pathological risk factors with survival.

Methods

We studied 70 patients with squamous cell carcinoma of the oral tongue who underwent primary surgical treatment at a tertiary care center in the year 2012. All these patients were restaged pathologically according to the new AJCC eighth staging system. The 5-year overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Akaike information criterion and concordance index were calculated between both staging systems to identify a better predictive model. Log-rank test and univariate Cox regression analysis were conducted to find out the significance of different pathological factors on outcome.

Results

Incorporation of DOI and ENE resulted in 47.2% and 12.8% stage migration, respectively. DOI less than 5 mm was associated with a 5-year OS and DFS of 100% and 92.9%, respectively, compared to 88.7% and 85.1%, respectively, when the DOI was more than 5 mm. Presence of lymph node involvement, ENE, and perineural invasion (PNI) were associated with inferior survival. The eighth edition had lower Akaike information criterion and improved concordance index values compared with the seventh edition.

Conclusion

The eighth edition of AJCC allows better risk stratification. Restaging of cases based on the eighth edition AJCC staging manual resulted in significant upstaging with difference in survival.

Risk-Based Selection of Individuals for Oral Cancer Screening

PURPOSE

We evaluated proof of principle for resource-efficient, risk-based screening through reanalysis of the Kerala Oral Cancer Screening Trial.

METHODS

The cluster-randomized trial included three triennial rounds of visual inspection (seven clusters, n = 96,516) versus standard of care (six clusters, n = 95,354) and up to 9 years of follow-up. We developed a Cox regression-based risk prediction model for oral cancer incidence. Using this risk prediction model to adjust for the oral cancer risk imbalance between arms, through intention-to-treat (ITT) analyses that accounted for cluster randomization, we calculated the relative (hazard ratios [HRs]) and absolute (rate differences [RDs]) screening efficacy on oral cancer mortality and compared screening efficiency across risk thresholds.

RESULTS

Oral cancer mortality was reduced by 27% in the screening versus control arms (HR = 0.73; 95% CI, 0.54 to 0.98), including a 29% reduction in ever-tobacco and/or ever-alcohol users (HR = 0.71; 95% CI, 0.51 to 0.99). This relative efficacy was similar across oral cancer risk quartiles (P interaction = .59); consequently, the absolute efficacy increased with increasing model-predicted risk-overall trial: RD in the lowest risk quartile (Q1) = 0.5/100,000 versus 13.4/100,000 in the highest quartile (Q4), P trend = .059 and ever-tobacco and/or ever-alcohol users: Q1 RD = 1.0/100,000 versus Q4 = 22.5/100,000; P trend = .026. In a population akin to the Kerala trial, screening of 100% of individuals would provide 27.1% oral cancer mortality reduction at number needed to screen (NNS) = 2,043. Restriction of screening to ever-tobacco and/or ever-alcohol users with no additional risk stratification would substantially enhance efficiency (43.4% screened for 23.3% oral cancer mortality reduction at NNS = 1,029), whereas risk prediction model-based screening of 50% of ever-tobacco and/or ever-alcohol users at highest risk would further enhance efficiency with little loss in program sensitivity (21.7% screened for 19.7% oral cancer mortality reduction at NNS = 610).

CONCLUSION

In the Kerala trial, the efficacy of oral cancer screening was greatest in individuals at highest oral cancer risk. These results provide proof of principle that risk-based oral cancer screening could substantially enhance the efficiency of screening programs.

Phase IIb trial comparing two concurrent cisplatin schedules in locally advanced head and neck cancer

Background:

Concurrent chemoradiation with 3 weekly cisplatin (100 mg/m²) is the standard of care for locally advanced head and neck cancer. However, this regimen has been shown to be associated with lesser compliance and higher toxicities. Hence, there is a need to explore alternative concurrent cisplatin regimens.

Objectives:

The objective of this study was to compare the efficacy and toxicities of 3 weekly cisplatin (100 mg/m²) with weekly cisplatin (40 mg/m²) concurrently with radiation in patients with locally advanced head and neck cancer.

Patients and Methods:

This phase IIb trial randomized 56 patients with Stage III and IV squamous cell carcinoma of oropharynx, hypopharynx, and larynx to Arm A or Arm B. Arm A received cisplatin 100 mg/m² 3 weekly and Arm B received cisplatin 40 mg/m² weekly concurrently with radiation. The primary end point was disease-free survival (DFS) and secondary end points were overall survival (OS) and acute toxicity. DFS and OS were estimated using Kaplan–Meier method, and log-rank test was used to assess the difference in these distributions with respect to treatment.

Results:

The 2-year DFS in Arm A and Arm B was 64.5% and 52.8%, respectively (P = 0.67). The OS at 2 years was 71% and 61.1% in Arm A and Arm B, respectively (P = 0.61). There were no significant differences in acute hematological, renal, or mucosal toxicities between the two arms.

Conclusion:

This study showed a nonsignificant improvement in DFS and OS in the 3 weekly cisplatin arm over the weekly arm with comparable toxicities. The trial is registered with Clinical Trial Registry of India (CTRI registration number: CTRI/2013/05/003703, URL-http://ctri.nic.in).

Sociodemographic Factors and Stage of Cancer at Diagnosis: A Population-Based Study in South India

PURPOSE

Lower socioeconomic status is associated with inferior cancer survival in high-income countries, but whether this applies to low- and middle-income countries is not well described. Here, we use a population-based cancer registry to explore the association between educational level and stage of cancer at diagnosis in South India.

METHODS

We used the Trivandrum District population-based cancer registry to identify all cases of breast and cervical cancer (women) and oral cavity (OC) and lung cancer (men) who were diagnosed from 2012 to 2014. Educational status—classified as illiterate/primary school, middle school, or secondary school or higher—was the primary exposure of interest. Primary outcome was the proportion of patients with advanced stage disease at diagnosis defined as stage III and IV (breast, cervix, or OC) or regional/metastatic (lung).

RESULTS

The study population included 4,547 patients with breast (n = 2,283), cervix (n = 481), OC (n = 797), and lung (n = 986) cancer. Educational status was 22%, 19%, and 26% for illiterate/primary, middle, and secondary school or higher, respectively. Educational status was missing for 33% of patients. The proportion of all patients with advanced stage disease was 37% (breast), 39% (cervix), 67% (OC), and 88% (lung). Patients with illiterate/primary school educational status were considerably more likely to have advanced breast cancer (50% v 39% v 36%; P < .001), cervix cancer (46% v 43% v 24%; P = .002), and OC cancer (77% v 76% v 59%; P < .001) compared with patients with higher educational levels. The proportion of patients with advanced lung cancer did not vary across educational levels (89% v 84% v 88%; P = .350).

CONCLUSION

A substantial proportion of patients in South India have advanced cancer at the time of diagnosis. This is particularly true among those with the lowest levels of education. Future health awareness and preventive interventions must target less-educated communities to reduce delays in seeking medical care for cancer.

Setup uncertainties and PTV margins at different anatomical levels in intensity modulated radiotherapy for nasopharyngeal cancer

AIM

To determine the systematic error (∑), random error (σ) and derive PTV margin at different levels of the target volumes in Nasopharyngeal Cancer (NPC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A retrospective offline review was done for patients who underwent IMRT for NPC from June 2015 to May 2016 at our institution. Alternate day kV images were matched with digitally reconstructed radiographs to know the setup errors. All radiographs were matched at three levels - the clivus, third cervical (C3) and sixth cervical (C6) vertebra. The shifts in positions along the vertical, longitudinal and lateral axes were noted and the ∑ and σ at three levels were calculated. PTV margins were derived using van Herk's formula.

RESULTS

Twenty patients and 300 pairs of orthogonal portal films were reviewed. The ∑ for the clivus, C3 and C6 along vertical, longitudinal and lateral directions were 1.6 vs. 1.8 vs. 2 mm; 1.2 vs. 1.4 vs. 1.4 mm and 0.9 vs. 1.6 and 2.3 mm, respectively. Similarly, the random errors were 1.1 vs. 1.4 vs. 1.8 mm; 1.1 vs. 1.2 vs. 1.2 mm and 1.2 vs. 1.3 vs. 1.6 mm. The PTV margin at the clivus was 4.4 mm along the vertical, 4 mm along the longitudinal direction and 3.2 m in the lateral direction. At the C3 level, it was 5.5 mm in the vertical, 5 mm in the lateral direction and 4.4 mm in the longitudinal direction. At the C6 level, it was 6.4 mm in the vertical, 6.9 mm in the lateral direction and 4.4 mm in the longitudinal direction.

CONCLUSION

A differential margin along different levels of target may be necessary to adequately cover the target.

Associations of body mass index, smoking, and alcohol consumption with prostate cancer mortality in the Asia Cohort Consortium

Many potentially modifiable risk factors for prostate cancer are also associated with prostate cancer screening, which may induce a bias in epidemiologic studies. We investigated the associations of body mass index (weight (kg)/height (m)(2)), smoking, and alcohol consumption with risk of fatal prostate cancer in Asian countries where prostate cancer screening is not widely utilized. Analysis included 18 prospective cohort studies conducted during 1963-2006 across 6 countries in southern and eastern Asia that are part of the Asia Cohort Consortium. Body mass index, smoking, and alcohol intake were determined by questionnaire at baseline, and cause of death was ascertained through death certificates. Analysis included 522,736 men aged 54 years, on average, at baseline. During 4.8 million person-years of follow-up, there were 634 prostate cancer deaths (367 prostate cancer deaths across the 11 cohorts with alcohol data). In Cox proportional hazards analyses of all cohorts in the Asia Cohort Consortium, prostate cancer mortality was not significantly associated with obesity (body mass index >25: hazard ratio (HR) = 1.08, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.85, 1.36), ever smoking (HR = 1.00, 95% CI: 0.84, 1.21), or heavy alcohol intake (HR = 1.00, 95% CI: 0.74, 1.35). Differences in prostate cancer screening and detection probably contribute to differences in the association of obesity, smoking, or alcohol intake with prostate cancer risk and mortality between Asian and Western populations and thus require further investigation.

Efficacy of Varunadi Ghritha (polyherbal compound) in treated head and neck cancer cases as a biological response modifier

BACKGROUND

Persistent immune suppression is reported in Head and Neck Cancers (HNC) even after treatment and a higher recurrence rate was observed in patients with poor CD3 count. Loco regional recurrences and second primary tumours are the common forms of failure in head and neck cancers. Several agents have been tried to overcome this problem without much benefit. In Ayurveda, several plant based products have been reported to have anti-tumour and immunomodulatory properties.

AIM

To test the role of Varunadi Ghritha, as an immunomodulator in apparently healthy, treated and controlled HNC patients and to evaluate its effectiveness in preventing locoregional relapses and development of second primary tumours.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Total 78 patients of treated head and neck cancers were randomly selected for intervention and control group. Patients in the intervention group (n = 38) received Varunadi Ghritha, 5gms twice daily for one year and followed up to two years. Patients in the control group (n = 40) were followed up at regular intervals. Immune parameters were assessed in the peripheral blood at base line and at the end of administration of the study compound.

RESULTS

In the intervention group, mean percentage increase in CD3, CD19 and CD16 positive cells were significantly higher after the administration of the study compound compared to the control group indicating an immunomodulatory effect of the study compound. A non-significant improvement in disease control was observed in patients with advanced stage of disease in the intervention group.

CONCLUSION

Administration of Varunadi Ghritha resulted in an increase in T cell counts in patients with treated HNC.

Burden of total and cause-specific mortality related to tobacco smoking among adults aged ≥ 45 years in Asia: a pooled analysis of 21 cohorts

BACKGROUND

Tobacco smoking is a major risk factor for many diseases. We sought to quantify the burden of tobacco-smoking-related deaths in Asia, in parts of which men's smoking prevalence is among the world's highest.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

We performed pooled analyses of data from 1,049,929 participants in 21 cohorts in Asia to quantify the risks of total and cause-specific mortality associated with tobacco smoking using adjusted hazard ratios and their 95% confidence intervals. We then estimated smoking-related deaths among adults aged ≥45 y in 2004 in Bangladesh, India, mainland China, Japan, Republic of Korea, Singapore, and Taiwan-accounting for ∼71% of Asia's total population. An approximately 1.44-fold (95% CI = 1.37-1.51) and 1.48-fold (1.38-1.58) elevated risk of death from any cause was found in male and female ever-smokers, respectively. In 2004, active tobacco smoking accounted for approximately 15.8% (95% CI = 14.3%-17.2%) and 3.3% (2.6%-4.0%) of deaths, respectively, in men and women aged ≥45 y in the seven countries/regions combined, with a total number of estimated deaths of ∼1,575,500 (95% CI = 1,398,000-1,744,700). Among men, approximately 11.4%, 30.5%, and 19.8% of deaths due to cardiovascular diseases, cancer, and respiratory diseases, respectively, were attributable to tobacco smoking. Corresponding proportions for East Asian women were 3.7%, 4.6%, and 1.7%, respectively. The strongest association with tobacco smoking was found for lung cancer: a 3- to 4-fold elevated risk, accounting for 60.5% and 16.7% of lung cancer deaths, respectively, in Asian men and East Asian women aged ≥45 y.

CONCLUSIONS

Tobacco smoking is associated with a substantially elevated risk of mortality, accounting for approximately 2 million deaths in adults aged ≥45 y throughout Asia in 2004. It is likely that smoking-related deaths in Asia will continue to rise over the next few decades if no effective smoking control programs are implemented. Please see later in the article for the Editors' Summary.

Managing the changing burden of cancer in Asia

Asia accounts for 60% of the world population and half the global burden of cancer. The incidence of cancer cases is estimated to increase from 6.1 million in 2008 to 10.6 million in 2030, due to ageing and growing populations, lifestyle and socioeconomic changes. Striking variations in ethnicity, sociocultural practices, human development index, habits and dietary patterns are reflected in the burden and pattern of cancer in different regions. The existing and emerging cancer patterns and burden in different regions of Asia call for political recognition of cancer as an important public health problem and for balanced investments in public and professional awareness. Prevention as well as early detection of cancers leads to both better health outcomes and considerable savings in treatment costs. Cancer health services are still evolving, and require substantial investment to ensure equitable access to cancer care for all sections of the population. In this review, we discuss the changing burden of cancer in Asia, along with appropriate management strategies. Strategies should promote healthy ageing via healthy lifestyles, tobacco and alcohol control measures, hepatitis B virus (HBV) and human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination, cancer screening services, and vertical investments in strengthening cancer healthcare infrastructure to improve equitable access to services.

Association between body mass index and cardiovascular disease mortality in east Asians and south Asians: pooled analysis of prospective data from the Asia Cohort Consortium

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the association between body mass index and mortality from overall cardiovascular disease and specific subtypes of cardiovascular disease in east and south Asians.

DESIGN

Pooled analyses of 20 prospective cohorts in Asia, including data from 835,082 east Asians and 289,815 south Asians. Cohorts were identified through a systematic search of the literature in early 2008, followed by a survey that was sent to each cohort to assess data availability.

SETTING

General populations in east Asia (China, Taiwan, Singapore, Japan, and Korea) and south Asia (India and Bangladesh).

PARTICIPANTS

1,124,897 men and women (mean age 53.4 years at baseline).

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Risk of death from overall cardiovascular disease, coronary heart disease, stroke, and (in east Asians only) stroke subtypes.

RESULTS

49,184 cardiovascular deaths (40,791 in east Asians and 8393 in south Asians) were identified during a mean follow-up of 9.7 years. East Asians with a body mass index of 25 or above had a raised risk of death from overall cardiovascular disease, compared with the reference range of body mass index (values 22.5-24.9; hazard ratio 1.09 (95% confidence interval 1.03 to 1.15), 1.27 (1.20 to 1.35), 1.59 (1.43 to 1.76), 1.74 (1.47 to 2.06), and 1.97 (1.44 to 2.71) for body mass index ranges 25.0-27.4, 27.5-29.9, 30.0-32.4, 32.5-34.9, and 35.0-50.0, respectively). This association was similar for risk of death from coronary heart disease and ischaemic stroke; for haemorrhagic stroke, the risk of death was higher at body mass index values of 27.5 and above. Elevated risk of death from cardiovascular disease was also observed at lower categories of body mass index (hazard ratio 1.19 (95% confidence interval 1.02 to 1.39) and 2.16 (1.37 to 3.40) for body mass index ranges 15.0-17.4 and <15.0, respectively), compared with the reference range. In south Asians, the association between body mass index and mortality from cardiovascular disease was less pronounced than that in east Asians. South Asians had an increased risk of death observed for coronary heart disease only in individuals with a body mass index greater than 35 (hazard ratio 1.90, 95% confidence interval 1.15 to 3.12).

CONCLUSIONS

Body mass index shows a U shaped association with death from overall cardiovascular disease among east Asians: increased risk of death from cardiovascular disease is observed at lower and higher ranges of body mass index. A high body mass index is a risk factor for mortality from overall cardiovascular disease and for specific diseases, including coronary heart disease, ischaemic stroke, and haemorrhagic stroke in east Asians. Higher body mass index is a weak risk factor for mortality from cardiovascular disease in south Asians.

Determinants of participation in a breast cancer screening trial in trivandrum district, India

BACKGROUND

Conspicuous differences in participation rates for breast self-examination (BSE), clinical breast examination (CBE), and referral for further investigations have been observed indicating involvement of a number of different factors. This study analysed determinants for participation in different levels of the breast cancer screening process in Indian females.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

An intervention group of 52,011 women was interviewed in a breast cancer screening trial in Trivandrum district, India. In order to assess demographic, socio-economic, reproductive, and cancer-related determinants of participation in BSE, CBE, and referral, uni- and multi-variate logistic regression was employed.

RESULTS

Of the interviewed women, 23.2% reported practicing BSE, 96.8% had attended CBE, and 49.1% of 2,880 screen-positives attended referral. Results showed an influence of various determinants on participation; women who were currently not married or who had no family history of cancer were significantly less likely to attend the screening process at any level.

CONCLUSIONS

Increasing awareness about breast cancer, early detection methods, and the advantages of early diagnoses among women, and their families, as well as health care workers offering social support, could help to increase participation over the entire screening process in India.

Clinical breast examination: preliminary results from a cluster randomized controlled trial in India

A cluster randomized controlled trial was initiated in the Trivandrum district (Kerala, India) on January 1, 2006, to evaluate whether three rounds of triennial clinical breast examination (CBE) can reduce the incidence rate of advanced disease incidence and breast cancer mortality. A total of 275 clusters that included 115,652 healthy women, aged 30-69 years, were randomly allocated to intervention (CBE; 133 clusters; 55,844 women) or control (no screening; 142 clusters; 59,808 women) groups. Performance characteristics (sensitivity, specificity, false-positive rate, and positive predictive value) of CBE were evaluated. An intention-to-treat analysis was performed for comparison of incidence rates between the intervention and control groups. Preliminary results for incidence are based on follow-up until May 31, 2009, when the first round of screening was completed. Of the 50,366 women who underwent CBE, 30 breast cancers were detected among 2880 women with suspicious findings in CBE screening that warranted further investigations. Sensitivity, specificity, false-positive rate, and positive predictive value of CBE were 51.7% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 38.2% to 65.0%), 94.3% (95% CI = 94.1% to 94.5%), 5.7% (95% CI = 5.5% to 5.9%), and 1.0% (95% CI = 0.7% to 1.5%), respectively. The age-standardized incidence rates for early-stage (stage IIA or lower) breast cancer were 18.8 and 8.1 per 100,000 women and for advanced-stage (stage IIB or higher) breast cancer were 19.6 and 21.7 per 100,000 women, in the intervention and control groups, respectively.

Socio-economic factors & longevity in a cohort of Kerala State, India

BACKGROUND & OBJECTIVES

Even though Kerala State is well-known for its egalitarian policies in terms of healthcare, redistributive actions and social reforms, and its health indicators close to those of high-resource countries despite a poor per-capita income, it is not clear whether socio-economic disparities in terms of life expectancy are observed. This study was therefore carried out to study the impact of socio-economic level on life expectancy in individuals living in Kerala.

METHODS

A cohort of 1,67,331 participants aged 34 years and above in Thiruvananthapuram district, having completed a lifestyle questionnaire at baseline in 1995, was followed up for mortality and cause of death until 2005. Survival estimates were based on the participants' vital status and death rates were calculated separately for men and women and for several socio-economic factors, stratified by age.

RESULTS

At 40 years, men and women were expected to live another 34 and 37 years, respectively. Life expectancy varied across the participants' different socio-economic categories: those from high income households with good housing conditions, materially privileged households and small households, had a 2-3 years longer life expectancy as compared to the deprived persons. Also, those who went to college lived longer than the illiterates. The gaps between categories were wider in men than in women.

INTERPRETATION & CONCLUSIONS

Socio-economic disparity in longevity was observed: wealthy people from Kerala State presented a longer life expectancy.

Association between body-mass index and risk of death in more than 1 million Asians

BACKGROUND

Most studies that have evaluated the association between the body-mass index (BMI) and the risks of death from any cause and from specific causes have been conducted in populations of European origin.

METHODS

We performed pooled analyses to evaluate the association between BMI and the risk of death among more than 1.1 million persons recruited in 19 cohorts in Asia. The analyses included approximately 120,700 deaths that occurred during a mean follow-up period of 9.2 years. Cox regression models were used to adjust for confounding factors.

RESULTS

In the cohorts of East Asians, including Chinese, Japanese, and Koreans, the lowest risk of death was seen among persons with a BMI (the weight in kilograms divided by the square of the height in meters) in the range of 22.6 to 27.5. The risk was elevated among persons with BMI levels either higher or lower than that range--by a factor of up to 1.5 among those with a BMI of more than 35.0 and by a factor of 2.8 among those with a BMI of 15.0 or less. A similar U-shaped association was seen between BMI and the risks of death from cancer, from cardiovascular diseases, and from other causes. In the cohorts comprising Indians and Bangladeshis, the risks of death from any cause and from causes other than cancer or cardiovascular disease were increased among persons with a BMI of 20.0 or less, as compared with those with a BMI of 22.6 to 25.0, whereas there was no excess risk of either death from any cause or cause-specific death associated with a high BMI.

CONCLUSIONS

Underweight was associated with a substantially increased risk of death in all Asian populations. The excess risk of death associated with a high BMI, however, was seen among East Asians but not among Indians and Bangladeshis.

Completed suicide in adults of rural Kerala: rates and determinants

BACKGROUND

India has witnessed a dramatic increase in suicide rates during the past few decades. The southern state of Kerala has been reporting the highest rates of suicide. Since suicide rates are estimated from death registries, they are likely to be under-reported because the civil registration system is incomplete and suicide deaths are poorly reported.

METHODS

A cohort of 132 000 participants (age 35 years and above) in Thiruvananthapuram (erstwhile Trivandrum) district, Kerala was followed up for mortality from 1996 to 2005, after having filled-in a lifestyle questionnaire at baseline. The cause of death was based on verbal autopsy. Suicide methods were recorded and rates were estimated, and suicide risks were calculated according to several socioeconomic factors.

RESULTS

During the follow up period, a total of 11 608 deaths, of which 385 were suicides (3.3% of total deaths), were registered. The overall suicide rate was 39.3/100 000 person-years among adults 35-90 years of age (men: 78/ 100000; women: 16.5/100000). The predominant methods of suicide were hanging, followed by poisoning and drowning. The suicide determinants were male gender, middle-age (40-60 years), Hindu, alcohol drinkers and secondary education level (< or = 7 years). Neither low socioeconomic level, living alone, nor being a married woman was associated with suicide risk.

CONCLUSION

Suicide rates were consistent with the official rates of Thiruvananthapuram district (37/100 000). However, our study population did not include the 14-34-year-old age-group which represents more than 37% of all suicides and hence it is more likely that the official rates are under-reported. Determinants of suicide were in line with previous studies.

Alcohol intake and oral cavity cancer risk among men in a prospective study in Kerala, India

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the study was to evaluate the role of alcohol drinking and patterns of consumption in oral cancer incidence and mortality in a cohort study using data from the Trivandrum Oral Cancer Screening Study, India.

METHODS

At baseline, the study participants completed a lifestyle questionnaire including items on frequency and duration of alcohol consumption. They were followed up for oral cancer incidence and mortality. Data from 32 347 subjects, of whom 134 eventually developed oral cancer, were analysed to estimate risk of oral cancer incidence and mortality according to drinking patterns, using a Cox regression model adjusted for age, religion, education, occupation, body mass index (BMI), standard of living index, chewing habits, smoking habits, and vegetable and fruit intake.

RESULTS

Current and past drinkers were each associated with significantly increased risk of developing oral cancer. The hazard ratio increased significantly by 49% (95% CI = 1-121%) among current drinkers and 90% (95% CI = 13-218%) among past drinkers. A significant dose-response relationship between intake frequency, duration and oral cancer risk (incidence and mortality) was observed.

CONCLUSIONS

As with other lifestyle factors, alcohol intake plays an important role in oral carcinogenesis in this population, and understanding this role is relevant to developing public health policies targeting at-risk population.

Cost-effectiveness of oral cancer screening: results from a cluster randomized controlled trial in India

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate oral cancer screening by visual inspection.

METHODS

A cluster randomized controlled trial was initiated in Trivandrum district, Kerala, India. Of 13 population clusters, seven were randomly allocated to three rounds of screening between 1996 and 2004, while standard care was provided in six (control arm). An activity-based approach was employed to calculate costs associated with various components of the screening trial. Information on the resources used and on clinical events in each trial arm was derived from trial databases. Total costs for each cluster were estimated in 2004 United States dollars (US$). The incremental cost per life-year saved was calculated for all eligible individuals and for high-risk individuals (i.e. tobacco or alcohol users).

FINDINGS

The proportion of oral cancers detected at an early stage (i.e. stage I or II) was higher in the intervention arm than the control arm (42% versus 24%, respectively). The incremental cost per life-year saved was US$ 835 for all individuals eligible for screening and US$ 156 for high-risk individuals. Oral cancer screening by visual inspection was performed for under US$ 6 per person.

CONCLUSION

The most cost-effective approach to oral cancer screening by visual inspection is to offer it to the high-risk population. Targeted screening of this group will ensure that screening can be offered at a reasonable cost in a limited-resource setting.

Body mass index, weight change and mortality risk in a prospective study in India

BACKGROUND

Although the detrimental effect of overweight and obesity has been extensively reported in Western populations, little is known on the association between body weight, weight change and mortality in Asian populations whose weight distribution and mortality differ considerably from the West.

METHODS

A cohort of 75 868 subjects aged 35 years and above, participants of the Trivandrum Oral Cancer Study-a cluster-randomized controlled trial originally implemented to evaluate the efficacy of visual inspection on oral cancer, in Kerala State, South India-were followed up from 1995 to 2004. Weight and height were measured both at baseline and in 3.5-year follow-up surveys. Early years of follow-up were excluded from the analyses. Relative risks of overall death and cause-specific death were estimated according to the body mass index (BMI) category of the WHO Asian population definitions, and to weight changes between two surveys.

RESULTS

Low BMI was a predictor of mortality, while high BMI was not. Mortality risks in men adjusted for age, smoking habits and other potential confounders, as compared with a BMI 18.5-22.9 kg/m(2), were 1.26 (95% CI 1.03-1.55) for BMI < 16 kg/m(2); 1.16 (1.03-1.32) for BMI = 16-18.4 kg/m(2); 0.95 (0.81-1.12) for BMI = 23-24.9 kg/m(2); 0.85 (0.69-1.05) for BMI = 25-27.4 kg/m(2); and 0.89 (0.65-1.21) for BMI >/= 27.5 kg/m(2). Similar findings were observed in women. BMI was not associated with deaths from cancer, cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases, and diabetes. A low BMI (<16 kg/m(2)) was associated with increased deaths from chronic respiratory diseases. Smoking and socio-economical status did modify the association. A moderate weight gain of 4-10% between the two surveys was associated with decreased risk of death, while moderate and severe weight loss were predictive factors of death. Similar results were observed in both men and women.

CONCLUSIONS

Among this Indian rural population, mild to severe leanness (BMI < 16 kg/m(2)) and weight loss were important determinants of mortality, especially from chronic respiratory diseases, while overweight and above (BMI > 23 kg/m(2)) did not show any detrimental effect.

Association between diabetes mellitus and pre-malignant oral diseases: A cross sectional study in Kerala, India

Recent studies have suggested role of diabetes mellitus in the development of periodontal diseases, oral inflammatory and neoplastic lesions. We analysed data from randomised oral cancer screening trial in Kerala, India, to study the association between chronic diseases in general, diabetes mellitus in particular, and pre-malignant oral lesions and conditions. A total of 927 subjects with oral leukoplakia, 170 with oral submucous fibrosis, 100 with erythroplakia lesions and 47,773 apparently healthy subjects constituted the cases and controls respectively for our present study. The odds ratio (OR) for oral leukoplakia among women with a history of diabetes mellitus was found to be 2.0 (95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.4-2.9) whereas that for erythroplakia was 3.2 (95% CI = 1.3-7.9), after adjusting for potential confounders. No statistically significant association between diabetes mellitus and oral submucous fibrosis and pre-cancerous lesions/conditions in men was found. An association between diabetes mellitus and pre-malignant oral lesions among women has been observed in our study, although the underlying mechanisms are not clear. This needs to be further evaluated in other settings.

Cervical and oral cancer screening in India

Incidence of both cervical and oral cancer are high in India. Although there are no organized cervical or oral screening programmes in the country, a number of research projects are ongoing or recently completed. In cervical screening, a number of studies of visual inspection with various aids and studies of human papillomavirus (HPV) testing are in progress. Long-term follow-up of these will inform policy on cervical screening in limited resource countries. A randomized trial of oral visual inspection for cancer or premalignant lesions in 192,053 subjects has been conducted in Kerala, South India. In the trial population as a whole, the study group showed a non-significant 21% reduction in mortality from oral cancer compared with the control group. In users of alcohol, tobacco or both, in which more than 90% of oral cancer deaths occurred, the reduction was a significant 34% (relative risk = 0.66, 95% confidence interval 0.45-0.95). On the basis of these results, screening for oral abnormalities has the potential to prevent 37,000 deaths per year worldwide.

High expression levels of nuclear factor kappa B and gelatinases in the tumorigenesis of oral squamous cell carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The cellular mechanisms involved in transformation of a premalignant/potentially malignant oral lesion to a malignant one remain unclear. Previous studies have documented a direct involvement of matrix metalloproteinase (MMP) overexpression in the development and progression of head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC). MMP activation, particularly MMP2 and MMP9, observed in different cancers, has been shown to be mediated via the transcription factor nuclear factor kappa B (NF-kappaB). The present study analyzes the clinical significance of gelatinases and NF-kappaB in various histologic phases of human oral tumor progression.

METHODS

Methodology included immunohistochemistry for MMP2, MMP9, p50, and p65 components of NF-kappaB and IkappaBalpha (inhibitor kappaBalpha). Gelatin zymography was carried out to determine the extent of gelatinolytic activity. Western blotting was used to confirm the gelatinolytic bands of zymogram, and electrophoretic mobility shift assay (EMSA) was carried out to confirm NF-kappaB activation.

RESULTS

A gradual increase was evident in the intensity of the expression and gelatinolytic activity of gelatinase paralleling the histologic progression of malignancy. This finding supports the histologic evidence of tumor invasion occurring in the transition between premalignancy and invasive cancer. Nuclear translocation of NF-kappaB (p50-p65 form) gradually progresses through the premalignant phase of oral tissue to the invasive phase, showing NF-kappaB activation during oral tumorigenesis. NF-kappaB activation correlatively paralleled the pattern of expression of gelatinases.

CONCLUSIONS

The results of this study suggest a regulatory role for NF-kappaB on activation of gelatinases during malignant transformation in the oral mucosa.

Single nucleotide polymorphisms of DNA repair genes XRCC1 and XPD and its molecular mapping in Indian oral cancer

Tobacco users with diminished ability to repair somatic mutations may be more susceptible to tobacco attributable cancers. The distribution of single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in DNA repair genes XRCC1 and XPD in 110 oral carcinoma cases, 84 leukoplakia and 110 controls belonging to the Travancore South Indian population were examined. SNPs investigated included Arg194Trp, Arg280His, and Arg399Gln of the XRCC1 gene and Lys751Gln of the XPD gene. In addition, one of the variants positions, A399G, was mapped onto the BRCT I domain model built by comparative modeling (threading). Presence of the polymorphic variant of XRCC1 codon 194 and 399 and XPD was associated with increased risk of oral cancer compared to the wild genotype. Smokers and betel quid chewers with the variant allele of XRCC1 399 codon and XPD also exhibited increased risk of oral cancer. The A399G variant position mapped onto the surface of the BRCT I domain provides a possible rationale for altered XRCC1 function. These results suggest that polymorphisms in functionally important repair genes, specifically, those that map onto the protein surface may alter protein function without significantly affecting its structure.

Effect of screening on oral cancer mortality in Kerala, India: a cluster-randomised controlled trial

BACKGROUND

Oral cancer is common in men from developing countries, and is increased by tobacco and alcohol use. We aimed to assess the effect of visual screening on oral cancer mortality in a cluster-randomised controlled trial in India.

METHODS

Of the 13 clusters chosen for the study, seven were randomised to three rounds of oral visual inspection by trained health workers at 3-year intervals and six to a control group during 1996-2004, in Trivandrum district, Kerala, India. Healthy participants aged 35 years and older were eligible for the study. Screen-positive people were referred for clinical examination by doctors, biopsy, and treatment. Outcome measures were survival, case fatality, and oral cancer mortality. Oral cancer mortality in the study groups was analysed and compared by use of cluster analysis. Analysis was by intention to treat.

FINDINGS

Of the 96,517 eligible participants in the intervention group, 87,655 (91%) were screened at least once, 53,312 (55%) twice, and 29,102 (30%) three times. Of the 5145 individuals who screened positive, 3218 (63%) complied with referral. 95,356 eligible participants in the control group received standard care. 205 oral cancer cases and 77 oral cancer deaths were recorded in the intervention group compared with 158 cases and 87 deaths in the control group (mortality rate ratio 0.79 [95% CI 0.51-1.22]). 70 oral cancer deaths took place in users of tobacco or alcohol, or both, in the intervention group, compared with 85 in controls (0.66 [0.45-0.95]). The mortality rate ratio was 0.57 (0.35-0.93) in male tobacco or alcohol users and 0.78 (0.43-1.42) in female users.

INTERPRETATION

: Oral visual screening can reduce mortality in high-risk individuals and has the potential of preventing at least 37,000 oral cancer deaths worldwide.

Socioeconomic status, lifestyle factors and oral premalignant lesions

Several studies have suggested that low socioeconomic status (SES) is associated with a higher risk of oral cancer, but the association with oral premalignant lesions has not yet been explored. The aim of this study was to examine the association of education, occupation, income and SES index with oral premalignant lesions. A case-control study was conducted with data from the baseline screening of a randomized oral cancer screening trial in Kerala, India. There were a total of 927 oral leukoplakia, 170 oral submucous fibrosis, 100 erythroplakia and 115 multiple oral premalignant lesion cases and 47,773 controls. Subjects with high SES index had protective ORs for oral premalignant lesions, ranging from 0.6 to 0.7, after adjustment for age, sex, BMI, tobacco chewing, smoking, drinking and fruit/vegetable intake. Higher education levels were also associated with decreased risk of all four oral premalignant lesions. Protective ORs for income were observed for oral leukoplakia and possibly oral submucous fibrosis and erythroplakia. SES may be associated with oral premalignant lesions because of access to medical care, health related behaviors, living environment or psychosocial factors. Though the mechanism for the association is not clear, higher SES index, education and income were associated with decreased risk of oral premalignant lesions in our study.

Interim results from a cluster randomized controlled oral cancer screening trial in Kerala, India

A cluster randomized controlled oral cancer screening trial is on-going in the Trivandrum district, India, to evaluate the efficacy of screening in reducing oral cancer mortality. Subjects, aged 35 years and above, in 13 clusters in the Trivandrum district, India, were randomized to the intervention (screening) group (7 clusters, 78969 subjects) to receive three rounds of screening by oral visual inspection by trained health workers at 3-year intervals or to a control group (6 clusters, 74739 subjects). Two rounds of screening were completed between 1995 and 2002 during which 69896 (88.5%) subjects were screened at least once, and 59.7% of the 4408 screen-positive subjects were further investigated. In the intervention group, 344404 person-years were accrued and 329326 person-years were in the control group. In the intervention group, 149 incident oral cancer cases and 65 deaths from oral cancer were observed, and 106 incident cases and 62 deaths from oral cancer were observed in the control group. The programme sensitivity for detection of oral precancerous lesions and cancer was 81.5% and the programme specificity was 84.8%; the programme positive predictive value was 39.6%. In the intervention group 37.6% of the cases were in stages I-II, as opposed to 18.9% in the control group. The 3 year survival rate was 57.5% in the intervention and 38.8% in the control group (P<0.05). The age standardized oral cancer mortality rates were 21.2/100000 person-years in the intervention and 21.3/100000 in the control group. After completing two rounds of screening, oral cancer mortality rates were similar in both study groups.

Genetic polymorphism of CYP1A1, GSTM1 and GSTT1 genes in Indian oral cancer

Oral cancer ranks first among all cancers in males and is the third most common among females in India. Tobacco-derived carcinogens are involved in the development of oral cancer. Environment-gene interaction in oral carcinogenesis is well demonstrated by phase I and II enzymes that are involved in the metabolism of carcinogens. This study looked at the significance of genetic polymorphisms in CYP1A1, GSTM1 and GSTT1 genes in patients with oral cancer. The study included 98 oral cancer patients and 60 age and sex matched healthy controls. Genotypes of CYP1A1, GSTM1 and GSTT1 were determined by PCR-RFLP. GSTM1 null deletion was observed in 49% of oral cancer cases and 33% of control subjects. For GSTT1, 18% of carcinomas and 8% of controls had the null genotype. In the case of CYP1A1 m2 allele, 51% of oral cancers and 17% of normal controls, respectively, had one or both alleles with the isoleucine-->valine substitution. Digestion of the PCR products with enzyme Nco1 revealed polymorphism for CYP1A1 m2 with bands at 263 bp. There was no association between genotypes with tumor size, stage, grade, and age. Since null genotype individuals may possibly be poor detoxifiers with reduced ability to neutralise the reactive carcinogenic intermediates, they may be a high risk category. The frequency distribution of CYP1A1 m2 (Ile/val) genotypes among oral cancer patients was significantly different that from normal controls. The risk of CYP1A1 can be supported by the functional difference between presence of valine and isoleucine; valine type has higher catalytic and mutagenic activity towards benzo[a] pyrene than the isoleucine type. In conclusion, our results suggest that polymorphism in CYP1A1 m2 gene and/or GSTM1 and GSTT1 null genotype may confer an increased risk for oral cancer.

Apoptosis, angiogenesis and proliferation: trifunctional measure of tumour response to radiotherapy for oral cancer

Local recurrence is a significant problem following radiotherapy in oral carcinoma and hence there is a paramount need for predictive markers. This study therefore analysed the predictive value of pre-treatment status of angiogenesis, apoptosis, expression of apoptosis regulatory p53, bax and bcl-2 proteins as well as tissue proliferation in relation to tumour response to radiotherapy. Sixty-nine histologically defined invasive carcinoma lesions were included in the study. Extent of apoptosis was defined morphologically and by the TUNEL (Tdt-mediated dUTP biotin nick end labelling) assay. Expression of apoptosis regulatory p53, bax and bcl-2 proteins were evaluated by immunocytochemistry. Mutant p53 protein was detected using a mutant p53-specific ELISA. The extent of tissue proliferation was evaluated by cyclin D1 expression. Angiogenesis was evaluated by CD34 antigen expression. All patients were treated with radical radiotherapy and followed up for 36 months. High levels of p53 protein detected by immunocytochemistry were found to be associated with poor response to treatment or disease relapse. Detection of mutant p53 protein also showed significant association with poor prognosis. Low levels of angiogenesis had a correlation with recurrence status. Tumours showing less vascularisation as well as increased apoptosis had a poor prognosis. Expression of p53 and bcl-2 proteins showed direct correlation with angiogenesis. There was no correlation between clinical status and any of the experimental parameters with histopathological grades of invasive lesions. Presence of mutant p53 protein is suggestive of poor tumour response to radiotherapy. Expression of p53 and increased apoptosis in less vascularised tumours is associated with treatment resistance. A predictive assay based on these results designed to analyse individual tumour samples showed presence of apoptotic cells near the vasculature to be indicative of good prognosis, while absence of apoptotic cells or highly proliferative cells and/or expression of bcl-2 protein in cells around the vasculature to be an indicator of poor prognosis.