Diabetes distress and self-reported health in a sample of Alabama Medicaid-covered adults before and during the COVID-19 pandemic

Temporary closures of outpatient health facilities and transitions to virtual care during the COVID-19 pandemic interrupted the care of millions of patients with diabetes contributing to worsening psychosocial factors and enhanced difficulty in managing type 2 diabetes mellitus. We explored associations between COVID time period and self-reported diabetes distress on self-reported health among a sample of Alabama Medicaid-covered adults with diabetes pre-COVID (2017-2019) and during-COVID (2020-2021).

Method

In this cross-sectional study, we surveyed a population-based sample of adults with type 2 diabetes covered by the Alabama Medicaid Agency. Participants were dichotomized into pre-COVID (March 2017 to October 2019) vs during-COVID (October 2020 to May 2021) groups. Participants with missing data were removed from analyses. We assessed diabetes related stress by the Diabetes Distress Scale. We measured self-reported health using a single item with a 5-point Likert scale. We ran logistic regressions modeling COVID time period on self-reported poor health controlling for demographics, severity of diabetes, and diabetes distress.

Results

In this sample of 1822 individuals, median age was 54, 74.5% were female and 59.4% were Black. Compared to pre-COVID participants, participants surveyed during COVID were younger, more likely to be Black (64.1% VS 58.2%, p=0.01) and female (81.8% VS 72.5%, p<0.001). This group also had fewer individuals from rural areas (29.2% VS 38.4%, p<0.001), and shorter diabetes duration (7 years VS 9 years, p<0.001). During COVID individuals reported modestly lower levels of diabetes distress (1.2 VS 1.4, p<0.001) when compared to the pre-COVID group. After adjusting for demographic differences, diabetes severity, and diabetes distress, participants responding during COVID had increased odds of reporting poor health (Odds ratio [OR] 1.41, 95% Confidence Interval [CI] 1.11-1.80).

Discussion

We found respondents were more likely to report poorer health during COVID compared to pre-COVID. These results suggest that increased outreach may be needed to address diabetes management for vulnerable groups, many of whom were already at high risk for poor outcomes prior to the pandemic.

Association of Transthyretin Val122Ile Variant With Incident Heart Failure Among Black Individuals

IMPORTANCE

A genetic variant in the TTR gene (rs76992529; Val122Ile), present more commonly in individuals with African ancestry (population frequency: 3%-4%), causes misfolding of the tetrameric transthyretin protein complex that accumulates as extracellular amyloid fibrils and results in hereditary transthyretin amyloidosis.

OBJECTIVE

To estimate the association of the amyloidogenic Val122Ile TTR variant with the risk of heart failure and mortality in a large, geographically diverse cohort of Black individuals.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

Retrospective population-based cohort study of 7514 self-identified Black individuals living in the US participating in the REGARDS (Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke) study with genetic data available and without heart failure at baseline. The participants were enrolled at the baseline visit (2003-2007). The end of follow-up for the majority of outcomes was on December 31, 2018. All-cause mortality data were available through December 31, 2020.

EXPOSURES

TTR Val122Ile (rs76992529) genotype.

MAIN OUTCOME AND MEASURES

The primary outcome was incident heart failure (first hospitalization for heart failure or death due to heart failure). The secondary outcomes were heart failure mortality, cardiovascular mortality, and all-cause mortality. The multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression analyses were adjusted for genetic ancestry and demographic, clinical, and social factors.

RESULTS

Among 7514 Black participants (median age, 64 years [IQR, 57-70 years]; 61% women), the population frequency of the TTR Val122Ile variant was 3.1% (232 variant carriers and 7282 noncarriers). During a median follow-up of 11.1 years (IQR, 5.9-13.5 years), incident heart failure occurred in 535 individuals (34 variant carriers and 501 noncarriers) and the incidence of heart failure was 15.64 per 1000 person-years among variant carriers vs 7.16 per 1000 person-years among noncarriers (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 2.43 [95% CI, 1.71-3.46]; P < .001). Deaths due to heart failure occurred in 141 individuals (13 variant carriers and 128 noncarriers) and the incidence of heart failure mortality was 6.11 per 1000 person-years among variant carriers vs 1.85 per 1000 person-years among noncarriers (adjusted HR, 4.19 [95% CI, 2.33-7.54]; P < .001). Deaths due to cardiovascular causes occurred in 793 individuals (34 variant carriers and 759 noncarriers) and the incidence of cardiovascular death was 15.18 per 1000 person-years among variant carriers vs 10.61 per 1000 person-years among noncarriers (adjusted HR, 1.69 [95% CI, 1.19-2.39]; P = .003). Deaths due to any cause occurred in 2715 individuals (100 variant carriers and 2615 noncarriers) and the incidence of all-cause mortality was 41.46 per 1000 person-years among variant carriers vs 33.94 per 1000 person-years among noncarriers (adjusted HR, 1.46 [95% CI, 1.19-1.78]; P < .001). There was no significant interaction between TTR variant carrier status and sex on incident heart failure and the secondary outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

Among a cohort of Black individuals living in the US, being a carrier of the TTR Val122Ile variant was significantly associated with an increased risk of heart failure.

Depressive Symptoms and Incident Hospitalization for Heart Failure: Findings From the REGARDS Study

Background Depressive symptoms are risk factors for several forms of cardiovascular disease including coronary heart disease (CHD). However, it is unclear whether depressive symptoms are associated with incident heart failure (HF), including hospitalization for HF overall or by subtype: HF with preserved (HFpEF) or reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). Methods and Results Among 26 268 HF-free participants in the REGARDS (Reasons for Geographic And Racial Differences in Stroke) study, a prospective biracial cohort of US community-dwelling adults ≥45 years, baseline depressive symptoms were defined as a score ≥4 on the 4-item Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression scale. Incident HF hospitalizations were expert-adjudicated and categorized as HFpEF (EF ≥50%) and HFrEF, including mid-range EF (EF<50%). Over a median of 9.2 [IQR 6.2-10.9] years of follow-up, there were 872 incident HF hospitalizations, 526 among those without CHD and 334 among those with CHD. The age-adjusted HF hospitalization incidence rates per 1000 person-years were 4.9 (95% CI 4.0-5.9) for participants with depressive symptoms versus 3.2 (95% CI 3.0-3.5) for those without depressive symptoms (P<0.001). For overall HF, the elevated risk became attenuated after controlling for covariates. When HFpEF was assessed separately, depressive symptoms were associated with incident hospitalization after controlling for all covariates (hazard ratio [HR] 1.48, 95% CI 1.00-2.18) among those without baseline CHD. In contrast, depressive symptoms were not associated with incident HFrEF hospitalizations. Conclusions Among individuals free of CHD at baseline, depressive symptoms were associated with incident hospitalization for HFpEF, but not for HFrEF, or among those with baseline CHD.

Primary care visits and ambulatory care sensitive diabetes hospitalizations among adult Alabama Medicaid beneficiaries

PURPOSE

To describe patterns of care use for Alabama Medicaid adult beneficiaries with diabetes and the association between primary care utilization and ambulatory care sensitive (ACS) diabetes hospitalizations.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study analyzes Alabama Medicaid claims data from January 2010 to April 2018 for 52,549 covered adults ages 19-64 with diabetes. Individuals were characterized by demographics, comorbidities, and health care use including primary, specialty, mental health and hospital care. Characteristics of those with and without any ACS diabetes hospitalization are reported. A set of 118,758 observations was created, pairing information on primary care use in one year with ACS hospitalizations in the following year. Logistic regression analysis was used to assess the impact of primary care use on the occurrence of an ACS hospitalization.

RESULTS

One third of the cohort had at least one ACS diabetes hospitalization over their observed periods; hospital users tended to have multiple ACS hospitalizations. Hospital users had more comorbidities and pharmaceutical and other types of care use than those with no ACS hospitalizations. Controlling for other types of care use, comorbidities and demographics, having a primary care visit in one year was significantly associated with a reduced likelihood of ACS hospitalization in the following year (odds ratio comparing 1-2 visits versus none 0.79, 95% confidence interval 0.73-0.85).

CONCLUSIONS

Program and population health interventions that increase access to primary care can have a beneficial effect of reducing excess inpatient hospital use for Medicaid covered adults with diabetes.

Partnership status and time to viral suppression and sustained viral suppression among newly diagnosed heterosexual people with HIV

BACKGROUND

Previous studies examining the role of partnership on HIV care outcomes have primarily focused on the men who have sex with men population in the United States, leaving a gap in the literature on this phenomenon among the heterosexual persons with HIV (PWH). This study examined association between partnership around diagnosis (married, unmarried-partnered, and un-partnered) with time to viral suppression (TVS) and sustained viral suppression (SVS) in newly diagnosed heterosexual PWH from a HIV clinic in Birmingham, Alabama.

METHODS

TVS [time to first viral load (VL) <200 copies/ml] was measured using VLs from 12 months following diagnosis using Kaplan-Meier and proportional hazard model for interval censoring (n=153) to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). SVS was measured using VLs for 12 months after first VS using logistic regression model (n=137) to calculate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% CIs. Models were adjusted for confounding demographics and clinical characteristics.

RESULTS

The study population comprised of 77% Black, 57% male, and 46% aged 31-49 years; 24% were married, 35% unmarried-partnered, and 41% un-partnered. The median TVS (days) was 57 for married, 73 for unmarried-partnered, and 75 for un-partnered. Compared to un-partnered individuals, unmarried-partnered had similar, whereas married had 69% higher [HR (95% CI): 1.69 (1.02, 2.78)] hazard of TVS. Compared to un-partnered, unmarried-partnered and married individuals had similar odds of achieving SVS.

CONCLUSION

Married, newly diagnosed, heterosexual PWH had faster TVS than un-partnered individuals suggesting that intimate partners may help achieve HIV care goals.

The Dietary Approach to Stop Hypertension (DASH) diet is associated with a lower risk of heart failure: A cohort study

AIMS

Trials demonstrate that following the DASH diet lowers blood pressure, which may prevent development of heart failure (HF). We investigated the association between long-term adherence to the DASH diet and food substitutions within the DASH diet on the risk of HF.

METHODS

Men and women aged 45-83 years without previous HF, ischemic heart disease or cancer at baseline in 1998 from the Cohort of Swedish Men (n = 41,118) and the Swedish Mammography Cohort (n = 35,004) were studied. The DASH diet emphasizes intake of fruit, vegetables, whole grains, nuts and legumes and low-fat dairy and deemphasizes red and processed meat, sugar-sweetened beverages and sodium. DASH diet scores were calculated based on diet assessed by food frequency questionnaires in late 1997 and 2009. Incidence of HF was ascertained using the Swedish Patient Register. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI).

RESULTS

During the median 22 years of follow-up (1998-2019) 12,164 participants developed HF. Those with the greatest adherence to the DASH diet had a lower risk of HF compared to those with the lowest adherence (HR 0.85, 95% CI 0.80, 0.91 for baseline diet and HR 0.83, 95% CI 0.78, 0.89 for long-term diet, comparing quintiles). Replacing 1 serving/day of red and processed meat with emphasized DASH diet foods was associated with an 8-12% lower risk of HF.

CONCLUSION

Long-term adherence to the DASH diet and relevant food substitutions within the DASH diet were associated with a lower risk of HF.

Social Determinants of Health and 30-Day Readmissions Among Adults Hospitalized for Heart Failure in the REGARDS Study

BACKGROUND

It is not known which social determinants of health (SDOH) impact 30-day readmission after a heart failure (HF) hospitalization among older adults. We examined the association of 9 individual SDOH with 30-day readmission after an HF hospitalization.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Using the REGARDS study (Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke), we included Medicare beneficiaries who were discharged alive after an HF hospitalization between 2003 and 2014. We assessed 9 SDOH based on the Healthy People 2030 Framework: race, education, income, social isolation, social network, residential poverty, Health Professional Shortage Area, rural residence, and state public health infrastructure. The primary outcome was 30-day all-cause readmission. For each SDOH, we calculated incidence per 1000 person-years and multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios of readmission. Among 690 participants, the median age was 76 years at hospitalization (interquartile range, 71-82), 44.3% were women, 35.5% were Black, 23.5% had low educational attainment, 63.0% had low income, 21.0% had zip code-level poverty, 43.5% resided in Health Professional Shortage Areas, 39.3% lived in states with poor public health infrastructure, 13.1% were socially isolated, 13.3% had poor social networks, and 10.2% lived in rural areas. The 30-day readmission rate was 22.4%. In an unadjusted analysis, only Health Professional Shortage Area was significantly associated with 30-day readmission; in a fully adjusted analysis, none of the 9 SDOH were individually associated with 30-day readmission.

CONCLUSIONS

In this modestly sized national cohort, although prevalent, none of the SDOH were associated with 30-day readmission after an HF hospitalization. Policies or interventions that only target individual SDOH to reduce readmissions after HF hospitalizations may not be sufficient to prevent readmission among older adults.

Relation of Abdominal Obesity to Risk of Atrial Fibrillation (From the Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke [REGARDS] Study)

Our knowledge of the association between abdominal obesity (AO) and the risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) after adjusting for body mass index (BMI) is limited. We included 11,617 Black and White participants (mean age 63.0 ± 8.4 years) from the Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) national cohort study who were free of AF at baseline. A multivariable logistic regression model was used to estimate the odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) of incident AF associated with AO. We also evaluated the association between waist circumference (WC) and incident AF. Over a median follow-up of 9.4 years, 999 participants developed AF. AO was associated with an increased risk of AF in a multivariable model adjusted for sociodemographic, lifestyle, and cardiovascular risk factors (OR 1.43, 95% CI 1.24 to 1.65, p <0.001). The association was attenuated after adjusting for BMI (OR 1.13, 95% CI 0.95 to 1.35, p = 0.16). There was no evidence of interaction between AO and incident AF by age category (age >65 vs age ≤65), gender, race, obesity, or BMI category. Conversely, a 10cm increase in WC was associated with a higher incidence of AF after controlling for BMI (OR 1.18 95% CI 1.09 to 1.29, p <0.001), in both nonobese (OR 1.14, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.28, p = 0.02) and obese (OR 1.26, 95% CI 1.11 to 1.42, p <0.001) people. In conclusion, there was an association between AO and incident AF, but the association was weakened after adjusting for BMI. There was a significant association between WC and incident AF, after taking other AF risk factors and BMI into account. WC is a potentially modifiable risk factor for AF, and further research is warranted to explore the effect of decreasing WC on the population AF burden.

Health care experiences during the COVID-19 pandemic by race and social determinants of health among adults age ≥ 58 years in the REGARDS study

BACKGROUND

Understanding health care experiences during the COVID-19 pandemic may provide insights into patient needs and inform policy. The objective of this study was to describe health care experiences by race and social determinants of health.

METHODS

We conducted a telephone survey (July 6, 2020-September 4, 2021) among 9492 Black and White participants in the longitudinal REasons for Geographic And Racial Differences in Stroke cohort study, age 58-105 years, from the continental United States. Among participants with symptoms of COVID-19, outcomes were: 1. Sought care or advice for the illness; 2. Received a SARS-CoV-2 test for the illness; and 3. Tested positive. Among participants without symptoms of COVID-19, outcomes were: 1. Wanted a test; 2. Wanted and received a test; 3. Did not want but received a test; and 4. Tested positive. We examined these outcomes overall and in subgroups defined by race, household income, marital status, education, area-level poverty, rural residence, Medicaid expansion, public health infrastructure ranking, and residential segregation.

RESULTS

The average age of participants was 76.8 years, 36% were Black, and 57% were female. Among participants with COVID-19 symptoms (n = 697), 74% sought care or advice for the illness, 50% received a SARS-CoV-2 test, and 25% had a positive test (50% of those tested). Among participants without potential COVID-19 symptoms (n = 8795), 29% wanted a SARS-CoV-2 test, 22% wanted and received a test, 8% did not want but received a test, and 1% tested positive; a greater percentage of participants who were Black compared to White wanted (38% vs 23%, p < 0.001) and received tests (30% vs 18%, p < 0.001) and tested positive (1.4% vs 0.8%, p = 0.005).

CONCLUSIONS

In this national study of older US adults, many participants with potential COVID-19 symptoms and asymptomatic participants who desired testing did not receive COVID-19 testing.

Prescriptions for Potentially Inappropriate Medications from the Beers Criteria Among Older Adults Hospitalized for Heart Failure

BACKGROUND

We sought to better understand patterns of potentially inappropriate medications (PIMs) from the Beers criteria among older adults hospitalized with heart failure (HF). This observational study of hospitalizations was derived from the geographically diverse REasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke cohort.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We examined participants aged 65 years and older with an expert-adjudicated hospitalization for HF. The Beers criteria medications were abstracted from medical records. The prevalence of PIMs was 61.1% at admission and 64.0% at discharge. Participants were taking a median of 1 PIM (interquartile range [IQR] 0-1 PIM) at hospital admission and a median of 1 PIM (IQR 0-2 PIM) at hospital discharge. Between admission and discharge, 19.1% of patients experienced an increase in the number of PIMs, 15.1% experienced a decrease, and 37% remained on the same number between hospital admission and discharge. The medications with the greatest increase from admission to discharge were proton pump inhibitors (32.6% to 38.6%) and amiodarone (6.2% to 12.2%). The strongest determinant of potentially harmful prescribing patterns was polypharmacy (relative risk 1.34, 95% confidence interval 1.16-1.55, P < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

PIMs are common among older adults hospitalized for HF and may be an important target to improve outcomes in this vulnerable population.

The University of Alabama at Birmingham COVID-19 Collaborative Outcomes Research Enterprise: Developing an institutional learning health system in response to the global pandemic

Introduction

As a local response to the COVID‐19 global pandemic, the University of Alabama at Birmingham (UAB) established the UAB COVID‐19 Collaborative Outcomes Research Enterprise (CORE), an institutional learning health system (LHS) to achieve an integrated health services outcomes and research response.

Methods

We developed a network of expertise and capabilities to rapidly develop and deploy an institutional‐level interdisciplinary LHS. Based upon a scoping review of the literature and the Knowledge to Action Framework, we adopted a LHS framework identifying contributors and components necessary to developing a system within and between the university academic and medical centers. We used social network analysis to examine the emergence of informal work patterns and diversified network capabilities based on the LHS framework.

Results

This experience report details three principal characteristics of the UAB COVID‐19 CORE LHS development: (a) identifying network contributors and components; (b) building the institutional network; and (c) diversifying network capabilities. Contributors and committees were identified from seven components of LHS: (a) collaborative and executive leadership committee, (b) research coordinating committee, (c) oversight and ethics committee, (d) thematic scientific working groups, (e) programmatic working groups, (f) informatics capabilities, and (g) patient advisory groups. Evolving from the topical interests of the initial CORE participants, scientific working groups emerged to support the learning system network. Programmatic working groups were charged with developing a comprehensive and mutually accessible COVID‐19 database.

Discussion

Our LHS framework allowed for effective integration of multiple academic and medical centers into a cohesive institutional‐level learning system. Network analysis indicated diversity of institutional disciplines, professional rank, and topical focus pertaining to COVID‐19, with each center leveraging existing institutional responsibilities to minimize gaps in network capabilities.

Conclusion

Incorporating an adapted LHS framework designed for academic medical centers served as a foundational resource supporting further institutional‐level efforts to develop agile and responsive learning networks.

Sacubitril/Valsartan Initiation Among Veterans Who Are Renin-Angiotensin-Aldosterone System Inhibitor Naïve With Heart Failure and Reduced Ejection Fraction

Background

Sacubitril/valsartan, a first‐in‐class angiotensin receptor neprilysin inhibitor, received US Food and Drug Administration approval in 2015 for heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). Our objective was to describe the sacubitril/valsartan initiation rate, associated characteristics, and 6‐month follow‐up dosing among veterans with HFrEF who are renin‐angiotensin‐aldosterone system inhibitor (RAASi) naïve.

Methods and Results

Retrospective cohort study of veterans with HFrEF who are RAASi naïve defined as left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) ≤40%; ≥1 in/outpatient heart failure visit, first RAASi (sacubitril/valsartan, angiotensin‐converting enzyme inhibitor [ACEI]), or angiotensin‐II receptor blocker [ARB]) fill from July 2015 to June 2019. Characteristics associated with sacubitril/valsartan initiation were identified using Poisson regression models. From July 2015 to June 2019, we identified 3458 sacubitril/valsartan and 29 367 ACEI or ARB initiators among veterans with HFrEF who are RAASi naïve. Sacubitril/valsartan initiation increased from 0% to 26.5%. Sacubitril/valsartan (versus ACEI or ARB) initiators were less likely to have histories of stroke, myocardial infarction, or hypertension and more likely to be older and have diabetes mellitus and lower LVEF. At 6‐month follow‐up, the prevalence of ≥50% target daily dose for sacubitril/valsartan, ACEI, and ARB initiators was 23.5%, 43.2%, and 47.1%, respectively.

Conclusions

Sacubitril/valsartan initiation for HFrEF in the Veterans Administration increased in the 4 years immediately following Food and Drug Administration approval. Sacubitril/valsartan (versus ACEI or ARB) initiators had fewer baseline cardiovascular comorbidities and the lowest proportion on ≥50% target daily dose at 6‐month follow‐up. Identifying the reasons for lower follow‐up dosing of sacubitril/valsartan could support guideline recommendations and quality improvement strategies for patients with HFrEF.

Abstract 02: Distribution Of Predicted Cardiovascular And All-cause Mortality Benefit Of Intensive Vs Standard Blood Pressure Control Among Us Adults Eligible For The Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial

Introduction: If resources are scarce, achieving national SBP control goals will require prioritizing treatment among those likely to benefit. To identify patients with greatest predicted benefit with intensive SBP treatment and estimate population sizes, we applied algorithms to community samples who met the SPRINT enrollment criteria.

Methods: The published algorithms separately predict the absolute risk reduction in CVD events and mortality at 3.26 years with intensive (<120 mm Hg) vs standard (<140 mm Hg) SBP lowering. We applied and calibrated the algorithms to SPRINT standard arm participants (n=4 399) and samples meeting SPRINT enrollment criteria from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES, n=1 297) and the Reasons for Geographic And Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS, n=2 785). Predicted absolute risk reduction estimated number needed to treat (NNT), categorized as <50, 50-100, and ≥100. Observed 3.26 year CVD event (SPRINT, REGARDS) and mortality rates (all cohorts) were calculated.

Results: The median ages were 67 (SPRINT), 69 (NHANES), and 72 (REGARDS). Greater proportions of NHANES and REGARDS vs SPRINT had predicted NNT <100 for CVD events (NHANES 94.8%, REGARDS 99.2%, SPRINT 87.8%) and mortality (NHANES 64.3%, REGARDS 63.7%, SPRINT 38.8%) ( Table ). Event rates were comparable within NNT groups.

Conclusions: Predicted NNT distributions differ between cohorts but event rates are similar. Most adults who meet SPRINT enrollment criteria have predicted NNT <100 for CVD and mortality with intensive SBP treatment. These results suggest that published algorithms can identify those most likely to benefit and can guide implementation.

Association Between Intracerebral Hemorrhage and Subsequent Arterial Ischemic Events in Participants From 4 Population-Based Cohort Studies

Importance

Intracerebral hemorrhage and arterial ischemic disease share risk factors, to our knowledge, but the association between the 2 conditions remains unknown.

Objective

To evaluate whether intracerebral hemorrhage was associated with an increased risk of incident ischemic stroke and myocardial infarction.

Design, Setting, and Participants

An analysis was conducted of pooled longitudinal participant-level data from 4 population-based cohort studies in the United States: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study, the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS), the Northern Manhattan Study (NOMAS), and the Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) study. Patients were enrolled from 1987 to 2007, and the last available follow-up was December 31, 2018. Data were analyzed from September 1, 2019, to March 31, 2020.

Exposure

Intracerebral hemorrhage, as assessed by an adjudication committee based on predefined clinical and radiologic criteria.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The primary outcome was an arterial ischemic event, defined as a composite of ischemic stroke or myocardial infarction, centrally adjudicated within each study. Secondary outcomes were ischemic stroke and myocardial infarction. Participants with prevalent intracerebral hemorrhage, ischemic stroke, or myocardial infarction at their baseline study visit were excluded. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to examine the association between intracerebral hemorrhage and subsequent arterial ischemic events after adjustment for baseline age, sex, race/ethnicity, vascular comorbidities, and antithrombotic medications.

Results

Of 55 131 participants, 47 866 (27 639 women [57.7%]; mean [SD] age, 62.2 [10.2] years) were eligible for analysis. During a median follow-up of 12.7 years (interquartile range, 7.7-19.5 years), there were 318 intracerebral hemorrhages and 7648 arterial ischemic events. The incidence of an arterial ischemic event was 3.6 events per 100 person-years (95% CI, 2.7-5.0 events per 100 person-years) after intracerebral hemorrhage vs 1.1 events per 100 person-years (95% CI, 1.1-1.2 events per 100 person-years) among those without intracerebral hemorrhage. In adjusted models, intracerebral hemorrhage was associated with arterial ischemic events (hazard ratio [HR], 2.3; 95% CI, 1.7-3.1), ischemic stroke (HR, 3.1; 95% CI, 2.1-4.5), and myocardial infarction (HR, 1.9; 95% CI, 1.2-2.9). In sensitivity analyses, intracerebral hemorrhage was associated with arterial ischemic events when updating covariates in a time-varying manner (HR, 2.2; 95% CI, 1.6-3.0); when using incidence density matching (odds ratio, 2.3; 95% CI, 1.3-4.2); when including participants with prevalent intracerebral hemorrhage, ischemic stroke, or myocardial infarction (HR, 2.2; 95% CI, 1.6-2.9); and when using death as a competing risk (subdistribution HR, 1.6; 95% CI, 1.1-2.1).

Conclusions and Relevance

This study found that intracerebral hemorrhage was associated with an increased risk of ischemic stroke and myocardial infarction. These findings suggest that intracerebral hemorrhage may be a novel risk marker for arterial ischemic events.

Frailty and Post-hospitalization Outcomes in Patients With Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction

Given the role of comorbid conditions in the pathophysiology of HFpEF, we aimed to identify and rank the importance of comorbid conditions associated with post-hospitalization outcomes of older adults hospitalized for HFpEF. We examined data from 4,605 Medicare beneficiaries hospitalized in 2007-2014 for HFpEF based on ICD-9-CM codes for acute diastolic heart failure (428.31 or 428.33). To identify characteristics with high importance for prediction of mortality, all-cause rehospitalization, rehospitalization for heart failure, and composite outcome of mortality or all-cause rehospitalization up to 1 year, we developed boosted decision tree ensembles for each outcome, separately. For interpretability, we estimated hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) using Cox proportional hazards models. Age and frailty were the most important characteristics for prediction of mortality. Frailty was the most important characteristic for prediction of rehospitalization, rehospitalization for heart failure, and the composite outcome of mortality or all-cause rehospitalization. In Cox proportional hazards models, a 1-SD higher frailty score (0.1 on theoretical range of 0 to 1) was associated with a HR of 1.27 (1.06 to 1.52) for mortality, 1.16 (1.07 to 1.25) for all-cause rehospitalization, 1.24 (1.14 to 1.35) for HF rehospitalization, and 1.15 (1.07 to 1.25) for the composite outcome of mortality or all-cause rehospitalization. In conclusion, frailty is an important predictor of mortality and rehospitalization in adults aged ≥66 years with HFpEF.

Abstract MP50: Neighborhood Social And Economic Environment And Heart Failure Risk Among Adults With & Without Diabetes: The Reasons For Geographic And Racial Differences In Stroke (regards) Study

Background: Heart failure (HF) mortality rates have been increasing since 2011. Individual-level education and occupation have been inversely associated with HF mortality among those with diabetes mellitus (DM) but not among those without DM. However, less is known about the association between neighborhood social and economic environment (NSEE) and HF risk and whether this association varies by DM status.

Methods: This study included 21,244 Black and White adults age >=45 years at baseline (2003-07) from the REGARDS Study. NSEE quartiles were created using z-scores based on 6 census tract variables from year 2000 (% <high school education, % unemployed, % household with <$30,000, % living in poverty, % on public assistance, % without car). Incident HF events (fatal or non-fatal) were adjudicated based on hospitalization with HF signs and symptoms, supportive imaging or biomarkers. Diabetes was defined as fasting glucose >=126 mg/dL or random glucose >=200 mg/dL or use of diabetes medications. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to obtain hazard ratios (95% CI) with HF follow-up through 2016.

Results: Mean age was 65 years, 54% were women, 61% were White and 18% had prevalent DM at baseline. During a median 10.1 years, 829 incident HF events occurred. Among adults with DM, neighborhood disadvantage was associated with an increased HF risk , but this association was not statistically significant (Table). Among adults without DM, the risk of HF was higher for participants living in any neighborhood that was not the most advantaged, and the magnitude of association was smiliar across NSEE quartiles.

Conclusion: Adults living in disadvantaged neighborhoods had a higher risk of HF, particularly among those without DM. Addressing neighborhood social and economic conditions may be important for HF prevention.

Atrial fibrillation and risk of incident heart failure with reduced versus preserved ejection fraction

OBJECTIVE

Associations between atrial fibrillation (AF) and heart failure (HF) have been established. We compared the extent to which AF is associated with each primary subtype of HF, with reduced (HFrEF) versus preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF).

METHODS

We included 25 787 participants free of baseline HF from the REGARDS (REasons for Geographic And Racial Differences in Stroke) cohort. Baseline AF was ascertained from ECG and self-reported history of physician diagnosis. Incident HF events were determined from physician-adjudicated review of hospitalisation medical records and HF deaths. Based on left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) at the time of HF event, HFrEF, HFpEF, and mid-range HF were defined as LVEF <40%, ≥50% and 40%-49%, respectively. Multivariable Cox proportional-hazards models examined the association between AF and HF. The Lunn-McNeil method was used to compare associations of AF with incident HFrEF versus HFpEF.

RESULTS

Over a median of 9 years of follow-up, 1109 HF events occurred (356 HFpEF, 388 HFrEF, 77 mid-range and 288 unclassified). In a model adjusted for sociodemographics, cardiovascular risk factors, and incident coronary heart disease, AF was associated with increased risk of all HF events (HR 1.67, 95% CI 1.38 to 2.01). The associations of AF with HFrEF versus HFpEF events did not differ significantly (HR 1.87 (95% CI 1.38 to 2.54) and HR 1.65 (95% CI 1.20 to 2.28), respectively; p value for difference=0.581). These associations were consistent in sex and race subgroups.

CONCLUSIONS

AF is associated with both HFrEF and HFpEF events, with no significant difference in the strength of association among these subtypes.

The Dietary Approaches to Stop Hypertension (DASH) Diet Pattern and Incident Heart Failure

BACKGROUND

The Dietary Approaches to Stop Hypertension (DASH) diet pattern has shown some promise for preventing heart failure (HF), but studies have been conflicting.

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether the DASH diet pattern was associated with incident HF in a large biracial and geographically diverse population.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Among participants in the REasons for Geographic And Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) cohort study of adults aged ≥45 years who were free of suspected HF at baseline in 2003-2007, the DASH diet score was derived from the baseline food frequency questionnaire. The main outcome was incident HF defined as the first adjudicated HF hospitalization or HF death through December 31, 2016. We estimated hazard ratios for the associations of DASH diet score quartiles with incident HF, and incident HF with reduced ejection fraction and HF with preserved ejection fraction using the Lunn-McNeil extension to the Cox model. We tested for several prespecified interactions, including with age. Compared with the lowest quartile, individuals in the second to fourth DASH diet score quartiles had a lower risk for incident HF after adjustment for sociodemographic and health characteristics: quartile 2 hazard ratio, 0.69 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.56-0.85); quartile 3 hazard ratio, 0.71 (95% CI, 0.58-0.87); and quartile 4 hazard ratio, 0.73 (95% CI, 0.58-0.92). When stratifying results by age, quartiles 2-4 had a lower hazard for incident HF among those age <65 years, quartiles 3-4 had a lower hazard among those age 65-74, and the quartiles had similar hazard among those age ≥75 years (Pinteraction = .003). We did not find a difference in the association of DASH diet with incident HF with reduced ejection fraction vs HF with preserved ejection fraction (P = .11).

CONCLUSIONS

DASH diet adherence was inversely associated with incident HF, specifically among individuals <75 years old.

Social support and diabetes distress among adults with type 2 diabetes covered by Alabama Medicaid

AIMS

Diabetes distress affects approximately 36% of adults with diabetes and is associated with worse diabetes self-management and poor glycaemic control. We characterized participants' diabetes distress and studied the relationship between social support and diabetes distress.

METHODS

In this cross-sectional study, we surveyed a population-based sample of adults with type 2 diabetes covered by Alabama Medicaid. We used the Diabetes Distress Scale assessing emotional burden, physician-related, regimen-related and interpersonal distress. We assessed participants' level of diabetes-specific social support and satisfaction with this support, categorized as low or moderate-high. We performed multivariable logistic regression of diabetes distress by level of and satisfaction with social support, adjusting for demographics, disease severity, self-efficacy and depressive symptoms.

RESULTS

In all, 1147 individuals participated; 73% were women, 41% White, 58% Black and 3% Hispanic. Low level of or satisfaction with social support was reported by 11% of participants; 7% of participants had severe diabetes distress. Participants with low satisfaction with social support were statistically significantly more likely to have severe diabetes distress than those with moderate-high satisfaction, adjusted odds ratio 2.43 (95% CI 1.30, 4.54).

CONCLUSIONS

Interventions addressing diabetes distress in adults with type 2 diabetes may benefit from a focus on improving diabetes-specific social support.

Collaborative Cohort of Cohorts for COVID-19 Research (C4R) Study: Study Design

The Collaborative Cohort of Cohorts for COVID-19 Research (C4R) is a national prospective study of adults at risk for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) comprising 14 established United States (US) prospective cohort studies. For decades, C4R cohorts have collected extensive data on clinical and subclinical diseases and their risk factors, including behavior, cognition, biomarkers, and social determinants of health. C4R will link this pre-COVID phenotyping to information on SARS-CoV-2 infection and acute and post-acute COVID-related illness. C4R is largely population-based, has an age range of 18-108 years, and broadly reflects the racial, ethnic, socioeconomic, and geographic diversity of the US. C4R is ascertaining severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection and COVID-19 illness using standardized questionnaires, ascertainment of COVID-related hospitalizations and deaths, and a SARS-CoV-2 serosurvey via dried blood spots. Master protocols leverage existing robust retention rates for telephone and in-person examinations, and high-quality events surveillance. Extensive pre-pandemic data minimize referral, survival, and recall bias. Data are being harmonized with research-quality phenotyping unmatched by clinical and survey-based studies; these will be pooled and shared widely to expedite collaboration and scientific findings. This unique resource will allow evaluation of risk and resilience factors for COVID-19 severity and outcomes, including post-acute sequelae, and assessment of the social and behavioral impact of the pandemic on long-term trajectories of health and aging.

Racial Differences in Atrial Cardiopathy Phenotypes in Patients With Ischemic Stroke

OBJECTIVE

To test the hypothesis that thrombogenic atrial cardiopathy may be relevant to stroke-related racial disparities, we compared atrial cardiopathy phenotypes between Black vs White patients with ischemic stroke.

METHODS

We assessed markers of atrial cardiopathy in the Greater Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky Stroke Study, a study of stroke incidence in a population of 1.3 million. We obtained ECGs and reports of echocardiograms performed during evaluation of stroke during the 2010/2015 study periods. Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) or flutter (AFL) were excluded. Investigators blinded to patients' characteristics measured P-wave terminal force in ECG lead V1 (PTFV1), a marker of left atrial fibrosis and impaired interatrial conduction, and abstracted left atrial diameter from echocardiogram reports. Linear regression was used to examine the association between race and atrial cardiopathy markers after adjustment for demographics, body mass index, and vascular comorbidities.

RESULTS

Among 3,426 ischemic stroke cases in Black or White patients without AF/AFL, 2,391 had a left atrial diameter measurement (mean, 3.65 ± 0.70 cm). Black race was associated with smaller left atrial diameter in unadjusted (β coefficient, -0.11; 95% confidence interval [CI], -0.17 to -0.05) and adjusted (β, -0.15; 95% CI, -0.21 to -0.09) models. PTFV1 measurements were available in 3,209 patients (mean, 3,434 ± 2,525 μV*ms). Black race was associated with greater PTFV1 in unadjusted (β, 1.59; 95% CI, 1.21-1.97) and adjusted (β, 1.45; 95% CI, 1.00-1.80) models.

CONCLUSIONS

We found systematic Black-White racial differences in left atrial structure and pathophysiology in a population-based sample of patients with ischemic stroke.

CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE

This study provides Class II evidence that atrial cardiopathy phenotypes differ in Black people with acute stroke compared to White people.

Association of Black Race With Early Recurrence After Minor Ischemic Stroke or Transient Ischemic Attack: Secondary Analysis of the POINT Randomized Clinical Trial

Importance

Stroke incidence is higher among black than white individuals in the United States. It is unclear whether black individuals have a higher risk of stroke recurrence after a minor ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA), a high-risk setting in which focused preventive efforts can be effective.

Objective

To examine the association between black race and early ischemic stroke recurrence.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This cohort study analyzed data from the Platelet Oriented Inhibition in New TIA and Minor Ischemic Stroke (POINT) trial conducted at 269 sites from May 28, 2010, to December 19, 2017. The trial enrolled 4881 adults within 12 hours of onset of a minor ischemic stroke (National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score, 0-3) or high-risk TIA (ABCD2 score, ≥4). For this analysis, we excluded 598 patients enrolled outside the United States and 239 US patients with missing race/ethnicity data.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The primary outcome for this analysis was ischemic stroke within 90 days after randomization. Covariates included age, sex, Hispanic ethnicity, study assignment to take clopidogrel vs placebo, index stroke vs TIA, vascular risk factors, statin use, study drug adherence, and index event etiological subtype.

Results

Among 4044 patients included in the analysis, 918 (22.7%) were black. In an adjusted Cox model, black race was associated with a higher risk of recurrence compared with white race (hazard ratio, 1.6; 95% CI, 1.1-2.3). Findings were similar in subgroup analyses and in analyses limited to sites that enrolled black patients.

Conclusions and Relevance

Among US participants in the POINT trial, black individuals faced a higher risk of early stroke recurrence after a minor ischemic stroke or TIA. Our findings support research into black-white racial differences in the underlying mechanisms of recurrent stroke. In the meantime, extra effort should be made to ensure that black patients have access to proven secondary prevention measures.

Trial Registration

clinicaltrials.gov Identifier: NCT00991029.

965. Partnering with State Health Departments: A Road Map for Collaboration Using Public Health Enhanced HIV/AIDS Reporting System (eHARS)

Background

Academic and public health partnerships are a critical component of the Ending the HIV Epidemic: A Plan for America (EHE). The Enhanced HIV/AIDS Reporting System (eHARS) is a standardized document-based surveillance database used by state health departments to collect and manage case reports, lab reports, and other documentation on persons living with HIV. Innovative analysis of this data can inform targeted, evidence-based interventions to achieve EHE objectives. We describe the development of a distributed data network strategy at an academic institution in partnership with public health departments to identify geographic differences in time to HIV viral suppression after HIV diagnosis using eHARS data.

Figure 1. Distributed Data Network

Methods

This project was an outgrowth of work developed at the University of Alabama at Birmingham Center for AIDS Research (UAB CFAR) and existing relationships with the state health departments of Alabama, Louisiana, and Mississippi. At a project start-up meeting which included study investigators and state epidemiologists, core objectives and outcome measures were established, key eHARS variables were identified, and regulatory and confidentiality procedures were examined. The study methods were approved by the UAB Institutional Review Board (IRB) and all three state health department IRBs.

Results

A common data structure and data dictionary across the three states were developed. Detailed analysis protocols and statistical code were developed by investigators in collaboration with state health departments. Over the course of multiple in-person and virtual meetings, the program code was successfully piloted with one state health department. This generated initial summary statistics, including measures of central tendency, dispersion, and preliminary survival analysis.

Conclusion

We developed a successful academic and public health partnership creating a distributed data network that allows for innovative research using eHARS surveillance data while protecting sensitive health information. Next, state health departments will transmit summary statistics to UAB for combination using meta-analytic techniques. This approach can be adapted to inform delivery of targeted interventions at a regional and national level.

Disclosures

All Authors: No reported disclosures

Cardiovascular Disease Events and Mortality After Myocardial Infarction Among Black and White Adults: REGARDS Study

BACKGROUND

Despite improvements in prognosis following myocardial infarction (MI), racial disparities persist. The objective of this study was to examine disparities between Black and White adults in cardiovascular disease (CVD), coronary heart disease, stroke, heart failure (HF), and mortality after MI and characteristics that may explain the disparities.

METHODS

This prospective cohort study included 1122 REGARDS (Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke) study participants with incident MI between 2003 and 2016. We followed participants for subsequent CVD events (MI, stroke, HF hospitalization, or death from CVD; n=431), coronary heart disease events (MI or death from coronary heart disease; (n=277), stroke (n=68), HF events (HF hospitalization or death from HF; n=191), and all-cause mortality (n=527; 3-year median follow-up after MI).

RESULTS

Among 1122 participants with incident MI, 37.5% were Black participants, 45.4% were women, and mean age was 73.2 (SD, 9.5) years. The unadjusted hazard ratio for CVD events comparing Black to White participants was 1.42 (95% CI, 1.17-1.71). Adjusting for sociodemographic characteristics did not attenuate the association (1.41 [95% CI, 1.14-1.73]), but further adjusting for pre-MI health status (1.25 [95% CI, 1.00-1.56]) and characteristics of the MI (1.01 [95% CI, 0.80-1.27]) resulted in substantial attenuation. Similar patterns were observed for the other outcomes, although the number of strokes was small.

CONCLUSIONS

Black individuals had a higher risk of CVD events and mortality after MI than White individuals. The disparities were explained by health status before MI and characteristics of the MI. These findings suggest that both primordial prevention of risk factors and improved acute treatment strategies are needed to reduce disparities in post-MI outcomes.

Risk for cardiovascular events following 'microsize' versus usual myocardial infarctions

BACKGROUND

Microsize myocardial infarction (MI) is a recently described phenomenon that meets rigorous criteria for MI with very low peak troponin elevations. We aim to compare the risk for cardiovascular events and mortality following microsize versus usual MIs.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Prospective cohort analysis of REasons for Geographic And Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) study participants without a history of coronary heart disease (CHD) who had an incident MI between 2003 and 2015. Incident MIs were classified as microsize MI (peak troponin <0.5 ng/mL) or usual MI (peak troponin ≥0.5 ng/mL). Participants were followed for a composite of cardiovascular events that included recurrent MI, coronary revascularisation, fatal CHD and heart failure, and all-cause mortality. Overall, 1024 participants with an incident MI were included in the analysis (328 with microsize MI and 696 with usual MI). Participants with microsize MI were more likely to be older and black. The multivariable-adjusted adjustment HR for cardiovascular events among participants with microsize versus usual MI after a median follow-up of 1.7 years was 1.11 (95% CI 0.86 to 1.44). The multivariable-adjusted HR for all-cause mortality after 28 days from incident MI among participants with microsize versus usual MI after a median follow-up of 3.6 years was 1.09 (95% CI 0.81 to 1.45).

CONCLUSION

Microsize MIs have a prognostic value for future cardiovascular events and mortality comparable to usual MIs. These findings should encourage clinicians to initiate secondary prevention strategies in patients with microsize MI until this emerging clinical entity is better understood.

Prompt Outpatient Care For Older Adults Discharged From The Emergency Department Reduces Recidivism

INTRODUCTION

Older adults present unique challenges to both emergency clinicians and health systems. These challenges are especially evident with respect to discharge after an emergency department (ED) visit as older adults are at risk for short-term, negative outcomes including repeat ED visits. The aim of this study was to evaluate characteristics and risk factors associated with repeat ED utilization by older adults.

METHODS

ED visits among participants in the Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) study between 2003-2016 were examined using linked Medicare claims data to identify such visits and resulting disposition. Multilevel proportional hazards models examined associations of age, comorbidity status, race, gender, Medicaid dual eligibility status, social support characteristics (living alone or caregiver support), and use of ambulatory primary and subspecialty care with repeat ED utilization.

RESULTS

Older adults discharged from the ED seen by a primary care provider (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.93, confidence interval [CI], 0.87-0.98, p = 0.01) or subspecialist (HR = 0.91, CI 0.86-0.97, P <0.01) after the ED visit were less likely to return to the ED within 30 days compared to those who did not have such post-ED ambulatory visits. Additionally, comorbidity (HR =1.14, 95% CI, 1.13-1.16, P <0.01) and dual eligibility for Medicare and Medicaid (HR = 1.34, 95% CI, 1.20-1.50, p<0.01) were associated with return to the ED within 30 days. Those who were older (HR = 1.10, 95% CI, 1.05-1.15), had more comorbidities (HR = 1.17, 95% CI 1.15-1.18), Black (HR = 1.23, 95% CI, 1.14-1.33,P <0.01), and dually eligible (HR =1.23, 95% CI, 1.14-1.33, P <0.01) were more likely to return within 31-90 days after their initial presentation. The association of outpatient visits with repeat ED visits was no longer seen beyond 30 days. Patients without a caregiver or who lived alone were no more likely to return to the ED in the time periods evaluated in our study.

CONCLUSION

Both primary care and subspecialty care visits among older adults who are seen in the ED and discharged are associated with less frequent repeat ED visits within 30 days.

Benefits of Methotrexate Use on Cardiovascular Disease Risk Among Rheumatoid Arthritis Patients Initiating Biologic Disease-modifying Antirheumatic Drugs

OBJECTIVE

Methotrexate (MTX) has been associated with reduced risk for cardiovascular disease (CVD) events among patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) not exposed to biologic disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (bDMARDs). The effect of concomitant MTX on CVD risk among RA patients initiating bDMARDs remains unknown.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study was conducted to assess the effect of MTX on CVD risk using 2006-2015 Medicare claims data for patients with RA initiating bDMARD. The main exposure was current use of MTX, updated in a time-varying fashion. The primary outcome was a composite of incident myocardial infarction (MI), stroke, and fatal CVD. Secondary outcomes were each event that comprised the primary outcome. Incidence rates (IR) and 95% CI were calculated using Poisson regression. Associations between MTX and risk of CVD were assessed using Cox regression.

RESULTS

A total of 88,255 bDMARD initiations and 1861 CVD events were included in this study. Mean age was 64.6 (12.3) years, 84.0% were female, and 68.2% were non-Hispanic White. The crude IRs (95% CI) for CVD were 17.9 (16.9-18.8) and 12.1 (11.1-13.2) per 1000 patient-years among MTX unexposed and exposed, respectively. The multivariable adjusted HR (95% CI) for CVD events associated with MTX was 0.76 (0.68-0.85). Multivariable adjusted HRs were 0.78 (0.66-0.91), 0.74 (0.62-0.88), 0.77 (0.68-0.86), and 0.82 (0.73-0.93) for MI, stroke, MI or stroke, and a composite CVD outcome, respectively. Results were robust in sensitivity and subgroup analyses.

CONCLUSION

Among patients with RA receiving biologics, concomitant MTX use was associated with a 24% lower risk for CVD events.

Polypharmacy in Older Adults Hospitalized for Heart Failure

BACKGROUND

Despite potential harm that can result from polypharmacy, real-world data on polypharmacy in the setting of heart failure (HF) are limited. We sought to address this knowledge gap by studying older adults hospitalized for HF derived from the REGARDS study (Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke).

METHODS

We examined 558 older adults aged ≥65 years with adjudicated HF hospitalizations from 380 hospitals across the United States. We collected and examined data from the REGARDS baseline assessment, medical charts from HF-adjudicated hospitalizations, the American Hospital Association annual survey database, and Medicare's Hospital Compare website. We counted the number of medications taken at hospital admission and discharge; and classified each medication as HF-related, non-HF cardiovascular-related, or noncardiovascular-related.

RESULTS

The vast majority of participants (84% at admission and 95% at discharge) took ≥5 medications; and 42% at admission and 55% at discharge took ≥10 medications. The prevalence of taking ≥10 medications (polypharmacy) increased over the study period. As the number of total medications increased, the number of noncardiovascular medications increased more rapidly than the number of HF-related or non-HF cardiovascular medications.

CONCLUSIONS

Defining polypharmacy as taking ≥10 medications might be more ideal in the HF population as most patients already take ≥5 medications. Polypharmacy is common both at admission and hospital discharge, and its prevalence is rising over time. The majority of medications taken by older adults with HF are noncardiovascular medications. There is a need to develop strategies that can mitigate the negative effects of polypharmacy among older adults with HF.

Trends in Blood Pressure Control Among US Adults With Hypertension, 1999-2000 to 2017-2018

IMPORTANCE

Controlling blood pressure (BP) reduces the risk for cardiovascular disease.

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether BP control among US adults with hypertension changed from 1999-2000 through 2017-2018.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

Serial cross-sectional analysis of National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey data, weighted to be representative of US adults, between 1999-2000 and 2017-2018 (10 cycles), including 18 262 US adults aged 18 years or older with hypertension defined as systolic BP level of 140 mm Hg or higher, diastolic BP level of 90 mm Hg or higher, or use of antihypertensive medication. The date of final data collection was 2018.

EXPOSURES

Calendar year.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Mean BP was computed using 3 measurements. The primary outcome of BP control was defined as systolic BP level lower than 140 mm Hg and diastolic BP level lower than 90 mm Hg.

RESULTS

Among the 51 761 participants included in this analysis, the mean (SD) age was 48 (19) years and 25 939 (50.1%) were women; 43.2% were non-Hispanic White adults; 21.6%, non-Hispanic Black adults; 5.3%, non-Hispanic Asian adults; and 26.1%, Hispanic adults. Among the 18 262 adults with hypertension, the age-adjusted estimated proportion with controlled BP increased from 31.8% (95% CI, 26.9%-36.7%) in 1999-2000 to 48.5% (95% CI, 45.5%-51.5%) in 2007-2008 (P < .001 for trend), remained stable and was 53.8% (95% CI, 48.7%-59.0%) in 2013-2014 (P = .14 for trend), and then declined to 43.7% (95% CI, 40.2%-47.2%) in 2017-2018 (P = .003 for trend). Compared with adults who were aged 18 years to 44 years, it was estimated that controlled BP was more likely among those aged 45 years to 64 years (49.7% vs 36.7%; multivariable-adjusted prevalence ratio, 1.18 [95% CI, 1.02-1.37]) and less likely among those aged 75 years or older (37.3% vs 36.7%; multivariable-adjusted prevalence ratio, 0.81 [95% CI, 0.65-0.97]). It was estimated that controlled BP was less likely among non-Hispanic Black adults vs non-Hispanic White adults (41.5% vs 48.2%, respectively; multivariable-adjusted prevalence ratio, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.81-0.96). Controlled BP was more likely among those with private insurance (48.2%), Medicare (53.4%), or government health insurance other than Medicare or Medicaid (43.2%) vs among those without health insurance (24.2%) (multivariable-adjusted prevalence ratio, 1.40 [95% CI, 1.08-1.80], 1.47 [95% CI, 1.15-1.89], and 1.36 [95% CI, 1.04-1.76], respectively). Controlled BP was more likely among those with vs those without a usual health care facility (48.4% vs 26.5%, respectively; multivariable-adjusted prevalence ratio, 1.48 [95% CI, 1.13-1.94]) and among those who had vs those who had not had a health care visit in the past year (49.1% vs 8.0%; multivariable-adjusted prevalence ratio, 5.23 [95% CI, 2.88-9.49]).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

In a series of cross-sectional surveys weighted to be representative of the adult US population, the prevalence of controlled BP increased between 1999-2000 and 2007-2008, did not significantly change from 2007-2008 through 2013-2014, and then decreased after 2013-2014.

Association of Urine Albumin Excretion With Incident Heart Failure Hospitalization in Community-Dwelling Adults

OBJECTIVES

This study examined the association between urinary albumin excretion and incident heart failure (HF) hospitalization.

BACKGROUND

Excess urinary albumin excretion is more strongly associated with incident stroke and coronary heart disease risk in black than in white individuals. Whether similar associations extend to HF is unclear.

METHODS

This study examined the associations between the urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR) and incident hospitalization for HF overall in 24,433 REGARDS (Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke) study participants free of suspected HF at baseline; findings were stratified by race and HF subtype (preserved vs. reduced ejection fraction). Models were adjusted for sociodemographic, clinical, and laboratory variables including estimated glomerular filtration rate, and multiple imputation was used to account for missing covariate data.

RESULTS

After a median follow-up of 9.2 years, 881 incident HF events (332 preserved ejection fraction, 447 reduced ejection fraction, 102 unspecified) were observed. Compared to the lowest ACR category (<10 mg/g), the risk of incident HF increased with increasing ACR categories (10 to 29 mg/g hazard ratio [HR]: 1.49; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.26 to 1.78; 30 to 300 mg/g HR: 2.32; 95% CI: 1.93 to 2.78; >300 mg/g HR: 4.42; 95% CI: 3.36 to 5.83) in the fully adjusted model. Results did not differ by race. The magnitude of the association between ACR and HF with preserved ejection fraction was greater than with HF with reduced ejection fraction (HR comparing highest vs. lowest ACR category: 6.20; 95% CI: 4.15 to 9.26 vs. HR: 4.37; 95% CI: 3.00 to 6.25, respectively; p = 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Higher ACR was associated with greater risk of incident HF hospitalization in community-dwelling black and white adults.

Evaluation of Racial Disparities in Hospice Use and End-of-Life Treatment Intensity in the REGARDS Cohort

IMPORTANCE

Although hospice use is increasing and patients in the US are increasingly dying at home, racial disparities in treatment intensity at the end of life, including hospice use, remain.

OBJECTIVE

To examine differences between Black and White patients in end-of-life care in a population sample with well-characterized causes of death.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This study used data from the Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) study, an ongoing population-based cohort study with enrollment between January 25, 2003, and October 3, 2007, with linkage to Medicare claims data. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to examine racial and regional differences in end-of-life outcomes and in stroke mortality among 1212 participants with fee-for-service Medicare who died between January 1, 2013, and December 31, 2015, owing to natural causes and excluding sudden death, with oversampling of Black individuals and residents of Southeastern states in the United States. Initial analyses were conducted in March 2019, and final primary analyses were conducted in February 2020.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

The primary outcomes of interest were hospice use of 3 or more days in the last 6 months of life derived from Medicare claims files. Other outcomes included multiple hospitalizations, emergency department visits, and use of intensive procedures in the last 6 months of life. Cause of death was adjudicated by an expert panel of clinicians using death certificates, proxy interviews, autopsy reports, and medical records.

RESULTS

The sample consisted of 1212 participants (630 men [52.0%]; 378 Black individuals [31.2%]; mean [SD] age at death, 81.0 [8.6] years) of 2542 total deaths. Black decedents were less likely than White decedents to use hospice for 3 or more days (132 of 378 [34.9%] vs 385 of 834 [46.2%]; P < .001). After stratification by cause of death, substantial racial differences in treatment intensity and service use were found among persons who died of cardiovascular disease but not among patients who died of cancer. In analyses adjusted for cause of death (dementia, cancer, cardiovascular disease, and other) and clinical and demographic variables, Black decedents were significantly less likely to use 3 or more days of hospice (odds ratio [OR], 0.72; 95% CI, 0.54-0.96) and were more likely to have multiple emergency department visits (OR, 1.35; 95% CI, 1.01-1.80) and hospitalizations (OR, 1.39; 95% CI, 1.02-1.89) and undergo intensive treatment (OR, 1.94; 95% CI, 1.40-2.70) in the last 6 months of life compared with White decedents.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

Despite the increase in the use of hospice care in recent decades, racial disparities in the use of hospice remain, especially for noncancer deaths. More research is required to better understand racial disparities in access to and quality of end-of-life care.

Multiple Vulnerabilities to Health Disparities and Incident Heart Failure Hospitalization in the REGARDS Study

BACKGROUND

Socially determined vulnerabilities (SDVs) to health disparities often cluster within the same individual. SDVs are separately associated with increased risk of heart failure (HF). The objective of this study was to determine the cumulative effect of SDVs to health disparities on incident HF hospitalization.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Using the REGARDS (Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke) cohort study, we studied 25 790 participants without known HF and followed them for 10+ years. Our primary outcome was an incident HF hospitalization through December 31, 2016. Guided by the Healthy People 2020 framework for social determinants of health, we examined 10 potential SDVs. We retained SDVs associated with incident HF hospitalization (P<0.10) and created an SDV count (0, 1, 2, 3+). Using the count, we estimated Cox proportional hazard models to examine associations with incident HF hospitalization, adjusting for potential confounders. Models were stratified by age (45-64, 65-74, and 75+ years) because past reports suggest greater disparities in HF incidence at younger ages. Participants were followed for a median of 10.1 years (interquartile range, 6.5-11.9). Black race, low educational attainment, low annual household income, zip code poverty, poor public health infrastructure, and lack of health insurance were associated with incident HF hospitalization. In adjusted models, among those 45 to 64 years, compared with having no SDV, having 1 SDV (hazard ratio, 1.85 [95% CI, 1.12-3.05]), 2 SDVs (hazard ratio, 2.12 [95% CI, 1.28-3.50]), and 3+ SDVs (hazard ratio, 2.45 [95% CI, 1.48-4.04]) were significantly associated with incident HF hospitalization (P for trend, 0.001). We observed no significant associations for older individuals.

CONCLUSIONS

A greater number of SDVs significantly increased risk of incident HF hospitalization among adults <65 years, which persisted after adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors. Using a simple SDV count that could be obtained from a social history during clinical assessment may identify younger individuals at increased risk.

Risk factors for 'microsize' vs. usual myocardial infarctions in the REasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) study

AIMS

A recently described phenomenon is that of myocardial infarction (MI) events that meet criteria for MI, but that have very low peak troponin elevations, so-called 'microsize MI'. These events are very common and associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality. Our aim is to compare risk factors for microsize MI vs. usual MI events.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Among 24 470 participants of the Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) cohort free of coronary heart disease at baseline, heart-related hospitalizations were expert adjudicated for MI using published guidelines. Myocardial infarctions were classified as microsize MI (peak troponin <0.5 ng/mL) or usual MI (peak troponin ≥0.5 ng/mL). Competing risk analyses assessed associations between baseline risk factors and incident microsize vs. usual MI. Between 2003 and 2013 there were 891 MIs; 279 were microsize MI and 612 were usual MI. Risk factors for both usual MI and microsize MI include age, gender, diabetes, and urinary albumin to creatinine ratio. Risk factors for only usual MI include Residence in the Stroke Belt and Buckle regions and current smoking. Black race was associated with a uniquely lower risk of usual MI.

CONCLUSION

The similarities in risk profiles suggest a possible common aetiology and should encourage clinicians to both treat reversible risk factors for microsize MI and to initiate secondary prevention strategies following these events until this emerging clinical entity is better understood. Future studies should further assess the clinical outcomes of these two entities and their effect on future management.

Association of Region and Hospital and Patient Characteristics With Use of High-Intensity Statins After Myocardial Infarction Among Medicare Beneficiaries

Importance

High-intensity statin use after myocardial infarction (MI) varies by patient characteristics, but little is known about differences in use by hospital or region.

Objective

To explore the relative strength of associations of region and hospital and patient characteristics with high-intensity statin use after MI.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This retrospective cohort analysis used Medicare administrative claims and enrollment data to evaluate fee-for-service Medicare beneficiaries 66 years or older who were hospitalized for MI from January 1, 2011, through June 30, 2015, with a statin prescription claim within 30 days of discharge. Data were analyzed from January 4, 2017, through May 12, 2019.

Exposures

Beneficiary characteristics were abstracted from Medicare data. Hospital characteristics were obtained from the 2014 American Hospital Association Survey and Hospital Compare quality metrics. Nine regions were defined according to the US Census.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Intensity of the first statin claim after discharge characterized as high (atorvastatin calcium, 40-80 mg, or rosuvastatin calcium, 20-40 mg/d) vs low to moderate (all other statin types and doses). Trends in high-intensity statins were examined from 2011 through 2015. Associations of region and beneficiary and hospital characteristics with high-intensity statin use from January 1, 2014, to June 15, 2015, were examined using Poisson distribution mixed models.

Results

Among the 139 643 fee-for-service beneficiaries included (69 968 men [50.1%] and 69 675 women [49.9%]; mean [SD] age, 76.7 [7.5] years), high-intensity statin use overall increased from 23.4% in 2011 to 55.6% in 2015, but treatment gaps persisted across regions. In models considering region and beneficiary and hospital characteristics, region was the strongest correlate of high-intensity statin use, with 66% higher use in New England than in the West South Central region (risk ratio [RR], 1.66; 95% CI, 1.47-1.87). Hospital size of at least 500 beds (RR, 1.15; 95% CI, 1.07-1.23), medical school affiliation (RR, 1.11; 95% CI, 1.05-1.17), male sex (RR, 1.10; 95% CI, 1.07-1.13), and patient receipt of a stent (RR, 1.35; 95% CI, 1.31-1.39) were associated with greater high-intensity statin use. For-profit hospital ownership, patient age older than 75 years, prior coronary disease, and other comorbidities were associated with lower use.

Conclusions and Relevance

This study's findings suggest that geographic region is the strongest correlate of high-intensity statin use after MI, leading to large treatment disparities.

Population-Attributable Risk for Cardiovascular Disease Associated With Hypertension in Black Adults

Importance

The prevalence of hypertension and the risk for hypertension-related cardiovascular disease (CVD) are high among black adults. The population-attributable risk (PAR) accounts for both prevalence and excess risk of disease associated with a risk factor.

Objective

To examine the PAR for CVD associated with hypertension among black adults.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This prospective cohort study used data on 12 497 black participants older than 21 years without CVD at baseline who were enrolled in the Jackson Heart Study (JHS) from September 26, 2000, through March 31, 2004, and cardiovascular events were adjudicated through December 31, 2015. The Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) study participants were enrolled from July 1, 2003, through September 12, 2007, and cardiovascular events were adjudicated through March 31, 2016. Data analysis was performed from March 26, 2018, through July 10, 2019.

Exposures

Normal blood pressure and hypertension were defined using the 2017 American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association blood pressure guideline thresholds.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The PAR for CVD associated with hypertension, calculated using multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for CVD, coronary heart disease, heart failure, and stroke associated with hypertension vs normal blood pressure. Prevalence of hypertension among non-Hispanic black US adults 21 years and older without CVD was calculated using data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, 2011-2014.

Results

Of 12 497 participants, 1935 had normal blood pressure (638 [33.0%] male; mean [SD] age, 53.5 [12.4] years), 929 had elevated blood pressure (382 [41.1%] male; mean [SD] age, 58.6 [11.8] years), and 9633 had hypertension (3492 [36.3%] male; mean [SD] age, 62.0 [10.3] years). For a maximum 14.3 years of follow-up, 1235 JHS and REGARDS study participants (9.9%) experienced a CVD event. The multivariable-adjusted HR associated with hypertension was 1.91 (95% CI, 1.48-2.46) for CVD, 2.41 (95% CI, 1.59-3.66) for coronary heart disease, 1.52 (95% CI, 1.01-2.30) for heart failure, and 2.20 (95% CI, 1.44-3.36) for stroke. The prevalence of hypertension was 53.2% among non-Hispanic black individuals. The PAR associated with hypertension was 32.5% (95% CI, 20.5%-43.6%) for CVD, 42.7% (95% CI, 24.0%-58.4%) for coronary heart disease, 21.6% (95% CI, 0.6%-40.8%) for heart failure, and 38.9% (95% CI, 19.4%-55.6%) for stroke. The PAR was higher among those younger than 60 years (54.6% [95% CI, 37.2%-68.7%]) compared with those 60 years or older (32.0% [95% CI, 11.9%-48.1%]). No differences were present in subgroup analyses.

Conclusions and Relevance

These findings suggest that a substantial proportion of CVD cases among black individuals are associated with hypertension. Interventions to maintain normal blood pressure throughout the life course may reduce the incidence of CVD in this population.

The association of hypertension, hypertension duration, and control with incident heart failure in black and white adults

Associations between hypertension and some cardiovascular diseases are stronger in black vs white adults. We examined associations of hypertension, hypertension duration, and control with incident heart failure (HF) in black and white REasons for Geographic And Racial Differences in Stroke study participants (n = 25 770) who were followed for incident HF hospitalization (n = 947) from enrollment in 2003-2007 through 2015. Hypertension was defined, using updated US guidelines, as systolic or diastolic blood pressure (BP) ≥130/80 mm Hg or antihypertensive medication use. Duration was assessed at baseline, and control was defined as treated BP < 130/80 mm Hg. Compared with no hypertension, hypertension was associated with higher risk of incident HF (HRwhites 1.90 [95% CI 1.49, 2.41], HRblacks 2.36 [95% CI 1.53, 3.65]), HF with preserved ejection fraction (HRwhites 2.01 [95% CI 1.34, 3.01], HRblacks 2.70 [95% CI 1.25, 2.53]), and HF with reduced/mid-range ejection fraction (HRwhites 1.69 [95% CI 1.23, 2.33], HRblacks 2.29 [95% CI 1.26, 4.15]). Hypertension duration <10 years and ≥10 years were associated with higher risk for incident HF compared with no hypertension. Although risk of incident HF was highest among participants with uncontrolled BP, even controlled BP vs no hypertension was associated with increased risk of HF (HRwhites 1.93 [95% CI 1.44, 2.58], HRblacks 2.01 [95% CI 1.22, 3.29]). Interactions with race were not statistically significant. The risk of HF associated with hypertension, even with shorter duration or controlled BP, suggests that both prevention and therapeutic management of hypertension are important in reducing HF risk.

Social Determinants of Health and 90-Day Mortality After Hospitalization for Heart Failure in the REGARDS Study

Background

Outcomes following heart failure (HF) hospitalizations are poor, with 90‐day mortality rates of 15% to 20%. Although prior studies found associations between individual social determinants of health (SDOH) and post‐discharge mortality, less is known about how an individuals’ total burden of SDOH affects 90‐day mortality.

Methods and Results

We included participants of the REGARDS (Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke) Study who were Medicare beneficiaries aged ≥65 years discharged alive after an adjudicated HF hospitalization. Guided by the Healthy People 2020 Framework, we examined 9 SDOH. First, we examined age‐adjusted associations between each SDOH and 90‐day mortality; those associated with 90‐day mortality were used to create an SDOH count. Next, we determined the hazard of 90‐day mortality by the SDOH count, adjusting for confounders. Over 10 years, 690 participants were hospitalized for HF at 440 unique hospitals in the United States; there were a total of 79 deaths within 90 days. Overall, 28% of participants had 0 SDOH, 39% had 1, and 32% had ≥2. Compared with those with 0, the age‐adjusted hazard ratio for 90‐day mortality among those with 1 SDOH was 2.89 (95% CI, 1.46–5.72) and was 3.06 (1.51–6.19) among those with ≥2 SDOH. The adjusted hazard ratio was 2.78 (1.37–5.62) and 2.57 (1.19–5.54) for participants with 1 SDOH and ≥2, respectively.

Conclusions

While having any of the SDOH studied here markedly increased risk of 90‐day mortality after an HF hospitalization, a greater burden of SDOH was not associated with significantly greater risk in our population.

Gout is associated with an increased risk for incident heart failure among older adults: the REasons for Geographic And Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) cohort study

Background

Gout has been associated with a higher risk for coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke in some prior studies. Few studies have assessed the association of gout with incident heart failure (HF).

Methods

We analyzed data from 5713 black and white men and women ≥ 65.5 years of age in the population-based REasons for Geographic And Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) cohort study who had Medicare coverage without a history of HF, CHD, or stroke at baseline between 2003 and 2007. Gout was defined by ≥ 1 hospitalization or ≥ 2 outpatient visits with a diagnosis code for gout in Medicare claims prior to each participant’s baseline study examination. REGARDS study participants were followed for HF hospitalization, CHD, stroke, and all-cause mortality as separate outcomes through December 31, 2016. Analyses were replicated in a random sample of 839,059 patients ≥ 65.5 years of age with Medicare coverage between January 1, 2008, and June 30, 2015, who were followed through December 31, 2017.

Results

Among REGARDS study participants included in the current analysis, the mean age at baseline was 72.6 years, 44.9% were men, 31.4% were black, and 3.3% had gout. Over a median follow-up of 10.0 years, incidence rates per 1000 person-years among participants with and without gout were 13.1 and 4.4 for HF hospitalization, 16.0 and 9.3 for CHD, 9.3 and 8.2 for stroke, and 55.0 and 37.1 for all-cause mortality, respectively. After multivariable adjustment for sociodemographic variables and cardiovascular risk factors, hazard ratios (95% CI) comparing participants with versus without gout were 1.97 (1.22, 3.19) for HF hospitalization, 1.21 (0.79, 1.84) for CHD, 0.83 (0.48, 1.43) for stroke, and 1.08 (0.86, 1.35) for all-cause mortality. The multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio for HF hospitalization with reduced and preserved left ventricular ejection fraction among participants with versus without gout was 1.77 (95% CI 0.83, 3.79) and 2.32 (95% CI 1.12, 4.79), respectively. The multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio for heart failure hospitalization associated with gout among the 839,059 Medicare beneficiaries was 1.32 (95% CI 1.25, 1.39).

Conclusion

Among older adults, gout was associated with an increased risk for incident HF but not for incident CHD, incident stroke, or all-cause mortality.

Interferon gamma-induced protein 10 (IP-10) and cardiovascular disease in African Americans

Biomarkers of chronic inflammation (such as C-reactive protein) have long been associated with cardiovascular disease and mortality; however, biomarkers involved in antiviral cytokine induction and adaptive immune system activation remain largely unexamined. We hypothesized the cytokine interferon gamma inducible protein 10 (IP-10) would be associated with clinical and subclinical cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality in African Americans. We assessed these associations in the Jackson Heart Study (JHS) cohort and the REasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) study. There was a modest association of IP-10 with higher odds of left ventricular hypertrophy (OR = 1.20 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.03, 1.41) per standard deviation (SD) higher natural log-transformed IP-10 in JHS). We did not observe associations with ankle brachial index, intima-media thickness, or arterial calcification. Each SD higher increment of ln-transformed IP-10 concentration was associated with incident heart failure (hazard ratio (HR) 1.26; 95% CI 1.11, 1.42, p = 4x10-4) in JHS, and with overall mortality in both JHS (HR 1.12 per SD, 95% CI 1.03, 1.21, p = 7.5x10-3) and REGARDS (HR 1.31 per SD, 95% CI 1.10, 1.55, p = 2.0 x 10-3), adjusting for cardiovascular risk factors and C-reactive protein. However, we found no association between IP-10 and stroke or coronary heart disease. These results suggest a role of IP-10 in heart failure and mortality risk independent of C-reactive protein. Further research is needed to investigate how the body's response to chronic viral infection may mediate heart failure and overall mortality risk in African Americans.

Risk of Atrial Fibrillation in Black Versus White Medicare Beneficiaries With Implanted Cardiac Devices

Background

Black individuals in the United States experience higher rates of ischemic stroke than other racial groups but have lower rates of clinically apparent atrial fibrillation (AF). It is unclear whether blacks truly have less AF or simply more undiagnosed AF.

Methods and Results

We performed a retrospective cohort study using inpatient and outpatient claims from 2009 to 2015 for a 5% nationally representative sample of Medicare beneficiaries. We included patients aged ≥66 years with at least 1 documented Current Procedural Terminology code for interrogation of an implantable pacemaker, cardioverter‐defibrillator, or loop recorder and no documented history of AF, atrial flutter, or stroke before their first device interrogation. Kaplan–Meier statistics and Cox proportional hazards models were used to examine the association between black race and the composite outcome of AF or atrial flutter while adjusting for age, sex, and vascular risk factors. Among 47 417 eligible patients, the annual incidence of AF/atrial flutter was 12.2 (95% CI, 11.5–13.1) per 100 person‐years among blacks and 17.6 (95% CI, 17.4–17.9) per 100 person‐years among non‐black beneficiaries. After adjustment for confounders, black beneficiaries faced a lower hazard of AF/atrial flutter than non‐black beneficiaries (hazard ratio, 0.75; 95% CI, 0.70–0.80). Despite the lower risk of AF, black patients faced a higher hazard of ischemic stroke (hazard ratio, 1.37; 95% CI, 1.22–1.53).

Conclusions

Among Medicare beneficiaries with implanted cardiac devices capable of detecting atrial rhythm, black patients had a lower incidence of AF despite a higher burden of vascular risk factors and a higher risk of stroke.

Assembling and validating a heart failure-free cohort from the Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) study

Background

Studies examining incident heart failure (HF) have been limited to select populations. To examine incident HF with broader generalizability, there is need to assemble a HF-free cohort using a geographically-diverse sample. We aimed to develop and validate a simple medication-based strategy for assembling a HF-free cohort from the REasons for Geographic And Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) study.

Methods

We examined REGARDS participants with ≥6 months of Medicare inpatient and outpatient claims data at the time of the baseline in-home study examination. To assemble a HF-free cohort, we identified and excluded participants taking HF-specific medications. To validate this approach, we evaluated event rates among this cohort and assessed diagnostic performance using Medicare claims-based definitions of HF as the referent standard.

Results

Among 28,884 eligible participants, 3125 were excluded from the proposed HF-free cohort, leaving a total of 25,759 (89%) participants. Depending on the Medicare definition used as the referent, the negative predictive value of this approach ranged from 95.0–99.2%. Negative predictive value was stable across age, sex, and race strata.

Conclusions

The approach to assemble a HF-free cohort in REGARDS can serve as the basis for future studies to examine incident HF in REGARDS and similar studies.

Dietary Patterns and Incident Heart Failure in U.S. Adults Without Known Coronary Disease

BACKGROUND

Dietary patterns and associations with incident heart failure (HF) are not well established in the United States.

OBJECTIVES

The purpose of this study was to determine associations of 5 dietary patterns with incident HF hospitalizations among U.S. adults.

METHODS

The REGARDS (REasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke) trial is a prospective cohort of black and white adults followed from 2003 to 2007 through 2014. Inclusion criteria included completion of a food frequency questionnaire and no baseline coronary heart disease or HF. Five dietary patterns (convenience, plant-based, sweets, Southern, and alcohol/salads) were derived from principal component analysis. The primary endpoint was incident HF hospitalization.

RESULTS

This study included 16,068 participants (mean age 64.0 ± 9.1 years, 58.7% women, 33.6% black participants, 34.0% residents of the stroke belt). After a median of 8.7 years of follow-up, 363 participants had incident HF hospitalizations. Compared with the lowest quartile, the highest quartile of adherence to the plant-based dietary pattern was associated with a 41% lower risk of HF in multivariable-adjusted models (hazard ratio: 0.59; 95% confidence interval: 0.41 to 0.86; p = 0.004). Highest adherence to the Southern dietary pattern was associated with a 72% higher risk of HF after adjusting for age, sex, and race and for other potential confounders (education, income, region of residence, total energy intake, smoking, physical activity, and sodium intake; hazard ratio: 1.72; 95% confidence interval: 1.20 to 2.46; p = 0.005). However, the association was attenuated and no longer statistically significant after further adjusting for body mass index in kg/m², waist circumference, hypertension, dyslipidemia, diabetes mellitus, atrial fibrillation, and chronic kidney disease. No statistically significant associations were observed with incident HF with reduced or preserved ejection fraction hospitalizations and the dietary patterns. No associations were observed with the other 3 dietary patterns.

CONCLUSIONS

Adherence to a plant-based dietary pattern was inversely associated with incident HF risk, whereas the Southern dietary pattern was positively associated with incident HF risk.

Physical activity trends and metabolic health outcomes in people living with HIV in the US, 2008-2015

Despite its potential to improve metabolic health outcomes, longitudinal physical activity (PA) patterns and their association with cardiometabolic disease among people living with HIV (PLWH) have not been well characterized. We investigated this relationship among PLWH in the Centers for AIDS Research Network of Integrated Clinical Systems with at least one PA self-report between 2008 and 2015. The 4-item Lipid Research Clinics PA instrument was used to categorize habitual PA levels as: Very Low, Low, Moderate, or High. We analyzed demographic differences in PA patterns. Multivariable generalized estimating equation regression models were fit to assess longitudinal associations of PA with blood pressure, lipid, and glucose levels. Logistic regression modeling was used to assess the odds of being diagnosed with obesity, cardiovascular disease (CVD), cerebrovascular disease, hypertension, diabetes, or multimorbidity. A total of 40,462 unique PA assessments were provided by 11,719 participants. Only 13% of PLWH reported High PA, while 68% reported Very Low/Low PA at baseline and did not increase PA levels during the study period. Compared to those reporting High PA, participants with Very Low PA had almost 2-fold increased risk for CVD. Very Low PA was also associated with several risk factors associated with CVD, most notably elevated triglycerides (odds ratio 25.4), obesity (odds ratio 1.9), hypertension (odds ratio 1.4), and diabetes (odds ratio 2.3; all p < 0.01). Low levels of PA over time among PLWH are associated with increased cardiometabolic disease risk.

Human Papillomavirus Vaccination Schedule: Adherence Among Commercially Insured Adolescents and Young Adults in the United States, 2011–2017

Objectives. To determine rates of human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine adherence to the 2011 and 2016 Advisory Committee for Immunization Practices (ACIP) recommendations in the United States.

Methods. We conducted a retrospective cohort study by using the 2011 to 2017 Marketscan data for beneficiaries aged 9 to 26 years who had at least 1 claim for HPV vaccination between January 1, 2011, and January 1, 2017. According to the 2011 ACIP recommendation, adherence is defined as 30 to 90 days between the first and second vaccination and 168 to 212 days between the first and third vaccination. According to the 2016 recommendation, preadolescents are classified as adherent if they had 2 claims of vaccination within 168 to 212 days. We calculated proportions of completion and adherence by recommendation.

Results. Among patients classified under the 2011 ACIP recommendation (n = 2 164 096), 8.3% completed all 3 doses of the vaccine series. Of those who completed, 69.6% were considered adherent to the recommended schedule. Completion and adherence increased to 9.6% and 70.8%, respectively, among patients who were classified under the 2016 ACIP recommendation.

Conclusions. Simpler recommendations lead to better adherence to the HPV vaccination schedule.

Association of Food Access, Recreational Opportunities, and Natural Amenities with Engagement in the Veterans MOVE! Weight Management Program

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to examine the association of county-level food access, recreational opportunities, and natural amenities with participant engagement in a weight management program.

METHODS

In this cohort study, participants in the Veterans Health Administration MOVE! weight management program between October 1, 2007, and September 30, 2013, were observed for 12 months after enrollment. Engagement was measured as the number of program visits per year at 12 months. Cross-sectional analysis and spatial regression were used to examine county characteristics associated with greater participant engagement at 12 months.

RESULTS

A total of 321,624 participants in 2,708 counties were included. Greater engagement was associated with older age, female sex, white race, being married, and being retired. After accounting for similarities between nearby communities, engagement at 12 months was 3.1 visits higher for each additional farmers' market per 1,000 population (P = 0.01). Engagement was highest for participants living in counties with the most natural amenities (P < 0.001). Recreational opportunities had only a small effect on engagement in the program (β = 0.02 visits at 12 months; P = 0.002).

CONCLUSIONS

Consideration of a participant's county characteristics in addition to other known demographics and program factors may help to explain variation in engagement in weight management programs.

Distracted Driving and Risk of Crash or Near-Crash Involvement Among Older Drivers Using Naturalistic Driving Data With a Case-Crossover Study Design

BACKGROUND

The purpose of this study was to examine the association between secondary task involvement and risk of crash and near-crash involvement among older drivers using naturalistic driving data.

METHODS

Data from drivers aged ≥70 years in the Strategic Highway Research Program (SHRP2) Naturalistic Driving Study database was utilized. The personal vehicle of study participants was equipped with four video cameras enabling recording of the driver and the road environment. Secondary task involvement during a crash or near-crash event was compared to periods of noncrash involvement in a case-crossover study design. Conditional logistic regression was used to generate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CI).

RESULTS

Overall, engaging in any secondary task was not associated with crash (OR = 0.94, 95% CI 0.68-1.29) or near-crash (OR = 1.08, 95% CI 0.79-1.50) risk. The risk of a major crash event with cell phone use was 3.79 times higher than the risk with no cell phone use (95% CI 1.00-14.37). Other glances into the interior of the vehicle were associated with an increased risk of near-crash involvement (OR = 2.55, 95% CI 1.24-5.26). Other distractions external to the vehicle were associated with a decreased risk of crash involvement (OR = 0.53, 95% CI 0.30-0.94). Interacting with a passenger and talking/singing were not associated with crash or near-crash risk.

CONCLUSIONS

Older drivers should avoid any cell phone use and minimize nondriving-related eye glances towards the interior of the vehicle while driving. Certain types of events external to the vehicle are associated with a reduced crash risk among older drivers.