Time intervals experienced between first symptom recognition and pathologic diagnosis of breast cancer in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia: a cross-sectional study

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to estimate the magnitude of patient and diagnostic delays and associated factors among women with breast cancer in Addis Ababa.

DESIGN

This is a cross-sectional study.

SETTINGS AND PARTICIPANTS

All women newly diagnosed with breast cancer in seven major healthcare facilities in Addis Ababa (n=441) were included in the study.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Patient interval (time from recognition of first symptom to medical consultation) and diagnostic interval (time from first consultation to diagnosis). Patient intervals >90 days and diagnostic intervals >30 days were considered delays, and associated factors were determined using multivariable Poisson regressions with robust variance.

RESULTS

Thirty-six percent (95% CI [31.1%, 40.3%]) of the patients had patient intervals of >90 days, and 69% (95% CI [64.6%, 73.3%]) of the patients had diagnostic intervals of >30 days. Diagnostic interval exceeded 1 year for 18% of patients. Ninety-five percent of the patients detected the first symptoms of breast cancer by themselves, with breast lump (78.0%) as the most common first symptom. Only 8.0% were concerned about cancer initially, with most attributing their symptoms to other factors. In the multivariable analysis, using traditional medicine before consultation was significantly associated with increased prevalence of patient delay (adjusted prevalence ratio (PR) = 2.13, 95% CI [1.68, 2.71]). First consultation at health centres (adjusted PR = 1.19, 95% CI [1.02, 1.39]) and visiting ≥4 facilities (adjusted PR = 1.24, 95% CI [1.10, 1.40]) were associated with higher prevalence of diagnostic delay. However, progression of symptoms before consultation (adjusted PR = 0.73, 95% CI [0.60, 0.90]) was associated with decreased prevalence of diagnostic delay.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with breast cancer in Addis Ababa have prolonged patient and diagnostic intervals. These underscore the need for public health programme to increase knowledge about breast cancer symptoms and the importance of early presentation and early diagnosis among the general public and healthcare providers.

Cervical cancer in Ethiopia - predictors of advanced stage and prolonged time to diagnosis

Introduction

In Ethiopia, most cervical cancer patients present at advanced cancer stages, long time after they experience first symptoms. We investigated possible predictors of long time spans between symptom onset and pathologic diagnosis (patient intervals). We also aimed to seek out predictors for advanced cancer stage diagnosis.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective cohort study among 1575 cervical cancer patients who were registered at Tikur Anbessa Specialized Hospital (TASH), Addis Ababa, Ethiopia between September 2008 and September 2012. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to find predictors of long patient intervals. Cumulative odds ordinal logistic regression was used to identify predictors of cancer stage at diagnosis.

Results

Median patient interval was 30 weeks, with the interval substantially longer in patients residing in rural than urban areas. Longer patient intervals were associated with more advanced cancer stages at pathologic diagnosis. HIV-positive women had an almost 1.5 times increased risk of diagnosis at a more advanced stage.

Conclusion

Cervical cancer patients are diagnosed after long time periods leading to advanced stages at diagnosis. Measures to raise awareness about cervical cancer, to increase screening and to shorten the time interval from recognition of symptoms to diagnosis are urgently needed.

Temporal Trends in Mortality from Major Cancers by Education in the United States, 2001-2016

Data on recent trends in mortality from major cancers by individual-level socioeconomic status (SES) are lacking in the US. We examined mortality trends and disparities by educational attainment (rate ratio ≤12 vs. ≥16 years of education) from 2001-2016 for lung, colorectal, female breast, and prostate cancers among persons aged 25-74 years. During 2001-2016, death rates continued to decrease in each stratum of sex/education categories for all four cancers, with the steepest decline among those with ≥16 years of education. Consequently, relative educational disparities widened over time. Among men for example, lung cancer death rates from 2001-2016 decreased 2.70% per year in persons with ≤12 years of education compared to 5.44% per year among those with ≥16 years of education, and the rate ratio increased from 2.96 (95%CI, 2.84-3.09) to 4.58 (95%CI, 4.41-4.76). Enhanced interventions targeting low SES populations are needed to reduce the inequality and accelerate progress against cancer.

Breast cancer statistics, 2019

This article is the American Cancer Society's biennial update on female breast cancer statistics in the United States, including data on incidence, mortality, survival, and screening. Over the most recent 5-year period (2012-2016), the breast cancer incidence rate increased slightly by 0.3% per year, largely because of rising rates of local stage and hormone receptor-positive disease. In contrast, the breast cancer death rate continues to decline, dropping 40% from 1989 to 2017 and translating to 375,900 breast cancer deaths averted. Notably, the pace of the decline has slowed from an annual decrease of 1.9% during 1998 through 2011 to 1.3% during 2011 through 2017, largely driven by the trend in white women. Consequently, the black-white disparity in breast cancer mortality has remained stable since 2011 after widening over the past 3 decades. Nevertheless, the death rate remains 40% higher in blacks (28.4 vs 20.3 deaths per 100,000) despite a lower incidence rate (126.7 vs 130.8); this disparity is magnified among black women aged <50 years, who have a death rate double that of whites. In the most recent 5-year period (2013-2017), the death rate declined in Hispanics (2.1% per year), blacks (1.5%), whites (1.0%), and Asians/Pacific Islanders (0.8%) but was stable in American Indians/Alaska Natives. However, by state, breast cancer mortality rates are no longer declining in Nebraska overall; in Colorado and Wisconsin in black women; and in Nebraska, Texas, and Virginia in white women. Breast cancer was the leading cause of cancer death in women (surpassing lung cancer) in four Southern and two Midwestern states among blacks and in Utah among whites during 2016-2017. Declines in breast cancer mortality could be accelerated by expanding access to high-quality prevention, early detection, and treatment services to all women.

High-Deductible Health Plans and Cancer Survivorship: What Is the Association With Access to Care and Hospital Emergency Department Use?

PURPOSE:

To examine the associations among high-deductible health plan (HDHP) enrollment, cancer survivorship, and access to care and utilization.

MATERIALS AND METHODS:

The 2010 to 2017 National Health Interview Survey was used to identify privately insured adults ages 18 to 64 years (cancer survivors, n = 4,321; individuals without a cancer history, n = 95,316). We used multivariable logistic regressions to evaluate the associations among HDHP/health savings account (HSA) status, delayed/forgone care for financial reasons, and hospital emergency department (ED) visits among cancer survivors compared with individuals without a cancer history.

RESULTS:

Among cancer survivors, HDHPs with or without HSA (8.9% and 13.9%, respectively; both P < .05) were associated with more delayed/forgone care compared with low-deductible health plans (LDHPs) (7.9%). HSA enrollment was associated with less delayed/forgone care among HDHP cancer survivors ( P < .05). ED visits were similar by insurance type. Among individuals without a cancer history, HDHP with or without HSA (9.5% and 10.8%, respectively; both P < .05) were both associated with more delayed/forgone care compared with LDHPs (5.9%). HSA enrollment also was associated with less delayed/forgone care among HDHP enrollees without a cancer history. A small difference in ED visits was observed between HDHPs without HSA (15.3%) and LDHPs (14.1%; P < .05) or HDHPs with HSA (13.4%; P < .05) among individuals without a cancer history.

CONCLUSION:

HDHP enrollment and HSA status affect access to care and hospital ED visits similarly by cancer history. HDHP enrollment may serve as a barrier to access to care among cancer survivors, although HSA enrollment coupled with an HDHP may mitigate the impact on access. HDHPs and HSA status were not associated with ED visits among cancer survivors. Improvement to care coordination efforts may be needed to reduce ED visits among privately insured cancer survivors.

Prevalence of 'one and done' in adenoma detection rates: results from the New Hampshire Colonoscopy Registry

Background and study aims  Adenoma detection rate (ADR), the proportion of an endoscopist's screening colonoscopies in which at least one adenoma is found, is an established quality metric. Several publications have suggested that a technique referred to as "one and done," where less attention is paid to additional polyp detection following discovery of one likely adenoma, may be occurring 1 2 3 . To investigate whether this practice occurs and provide additional context to the significance of ADR, we examined ADR by single and multiple adenomas in the statewide New Hampshire Colonoscopy Registry (NHCR). Patients and methods  A total of 25,324 NHCR patients receiving screening colonoscopies between 2009 and 2014 by 69 endoscopists were analyzed. ADR was dichotomized into high (≥ 20 %) and low (< 20 %) based on 2006 recommended targets in place during the time of the study. ADR-plus (the average number of adenomas in colonoscopies with > 1 adenoma) was dichotomized at mean values into high (≥ 1.5) and low (< 1.5). As suggested by others, a high ADR but low ADR-plus was used to indicate the "one and done" approach. Results  Among endoscopists with an ADR ≥ 20 %, only 5 (7.2 %) had low ADR-plus values and were classified as "one and done." Results for serrated polyp detection were similar. ADR and ADR-plus decreased monotonically with increasing years since residency ( P values for trend ADR = 0.02; ADR-plus = 0.003) after adjusting for patient risk factors. Conclusion  "One and done" infrequently occurred among endoscopists with high ADR in a large statewide registry. The need to replace ADR with other polyp detection metrics (such as ADR-plus) to accurately ascertain performance quality is not supported by these findings.

Cancer statistics for adults aged 85 years and older, 2019

Adults aged 85 years and older, the "oldest old," are the fastest-growing age group in the United States, yet relatively little is known about their cancer burden. Combining data from the National Cancer Institute, the North American Association of Central Cancer Registries, and the National Center for Health Statistics, the authors provide comprehensive information on cancer occurrence in adults aged 85 years and older. In 2019, there will be approximately 140,690 cancer cases diagnosed and 103,250 cancer deaths among the oldest old in the United States. The most common cancers in these individuals (lung, breast, prostate, and colorectum) are the same as those in the general population. Overall cancer incidence rates peaked in the oldest men and women around 1990 and have subsequently declined, with the pace accelerating during the past decade. These trends largely reflect declines in cancers of the prostate and colorectum and, more recently, cancers of the lung among men and the breast among women. We note differences in trends for some cancers in the oldest age group (eg, lung cancer and melanoma) compared with adults aged 65 to 84 years, which reflect elevated risks in the oldest generations. In addition, cancers in the oldest old are often more advanced at diagnosis. For example, breast and colorectal cancers diagnosed in patients aged 85 years and older are about 10% less likely to be diagnosed at a local stage compared with those diagnosed in patients aged 65 to 84 years. Patients with cancer who are aged 85 years and older have the lowest relative survival of any age group, with the largest disparities noted when cancer is diagnosed at advanced stages. They are also less likely to receive surgical treatment for their cancers; only 65% of breast cancer patients aged 85 years and older received surgery compared with 89% of those aged 65 to 84 years. This difference may reflect the complexities of treating older patients, including the presence of multiple comorbidities, functional declines, and cognitive impairment, as well as competing mortality risks and undertreatment. More research on cancer in the oldest Americans is needed to improve outcomes and anticipate the complex health care needs of this rapidly growing population.

Determinants and Outcomes of Satisfaction With Healthcare Provider Communication Among Cancer Survivors

Background: Despite the surge of interest in improving provider communication, empirical research is sparse on the determinants and outcomes of cancer survivors' satisfaction with healthcare provider communication. Methods: Longitudinal Medical Expenditure Panel Survey data spanning 2008 through 2014 was used to identify 4,588 respondents who were ever diagnosed with cancer. A composite score was generated by combining 5 measures of satisfaction. We used multivariate logistic regressions and 2-part models to examine the associations between satisfaction ratings and outcomes, including general, mental, and physical health; office visits; and total healthcare, drug, and out-of-pocket expenditures. Results: The study sample comprised 2,257 nonelderly (age 18-64 years) and 2,331 elderly (age ≥65 years) respondents. Among both age groups, higher satisfaction was associated with fewer comorbidities, fewer year 1 office visits, and absence of year 1 emergency department visits. Membership of higher satisfaction tertile in year 1 was associated with better year 2 mental health (tertile 1 [T1]: predictive margin [PM], 27.1%; tertile 2 [T2]: PM, 35.5%; P=.013; tertile 3 [T3]: PM, 37.0%; P=.005) and general health (T1 [ref]: PM, 30.3%; T3: PM, 38.9%; P=.007) among the elderly. Greater satisfaction was associated with fewer year 2 office visits (T1 [ref]: PM, 7.42 visits; T3: PM, 6.26 visits; P=.038) among the nonelderly; and lower year 2 healthcare expenditures (T1 [ref]: PM, $34,071; T3: PM, $26,995; P=.049) among the elderly. Conclusions: We identified potential differences in cancer survivors' needs and expectations of provider communication based on comorbidities and baseline service use. These results emphasize the need for individualized communication strategies for patients with cancer and survivors shaped by their distinct requirements. Our findings of better health, lower service use, and lower expenditures among more satisfied cancer survivors suggest that interventions to improve provider communication could lead to a more efficient use of healthcare resources.

Comparison of Insurance Status and Diagnosis Stage Among Patients With Newly Diagnosed Cancer Before vs After Implementation of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act

Importance

Having health insurance is a strong determinant of cancer outcomes in the United States, and Medicaid expansion under the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (ACA) may have reduced the prevalence of uninsured patients. Prior research has only assessed the aggregate effects of expansions, and little is known about changes in uninsured patients by state and key sociodemographic groups, including sex, race/ethnicity, census tract-level poverty, and rurality.

Objective

To examine changes in the percentage of uninsured patients and stage at diagnosis among nonelderly patients with cancer by state and key sociodemographic groups after implementation of the ACA.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This study used difference-in-differences analysis to determine the percentage of uninsured patients and early-stage cancer diagnoses among patients aged 18 to 64 years from the population-based cancer registries of 40 states before (January 1, 2010, to December 31, 2013) and after (January 1, 2014, to December 31, 2014) the ACA Medicaid expansion. Data analysis was performed from November 2017 to April 2018.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Changes in the percentage of uninsured patients and early-stage diagnoses.

Results

A total of 2 471 154 patients (mean age, 52.7 years; age range, 18-64 years; 51.4% female; 70.9% non-Hispanic white) were included from Medicaid expansion (n = 1 234 156) and nonexpansion (n = 1 236 998) states. In 2014, the percentage of uninsured patients decreased in almost all states. However, decreases were greater in expansion than nonexpansion states and were greatest in expansion states with high baseline uninsured rates. For example, the percentage of uninsured patients decreased from 8.3% before implementation of the ACA to 2.1% (-6.2 difference) after implementation of the ACA in the expansion state of Kentucky compared with 9.1% to 7.5% (-1.5 difference) in the nonexpansion state of Tennessee. In expansion states, the decreases in the percentage of uninsured patients were higher among minorities and patients in high-poverty or rural areas, diminishing or eliminating disparities. In contrast, sociodemographic disparities in the percentage of uninsured patients remained high in nonexpansion states. Stage at diagnosis shifted slightly to earlier stage for most cancer types in Medicaid expansion states.

Conclusions and Relevance

This study found state variation in reductions in the percentage of uninsured patients among nonelderly patients with cancer after implementation of the ACA, with larger decreases in expansion than nonexpansion states. Disparities in the percentage of uninsured patients by race/ethnicity, census tract-level poverty, and rurality were diminished or eliminated in Medicaid expansion states but remained high in nonexpansion states, highlighting the promising role of Medicaid expansion in reducing disparities among sociodemographic subpopulations. Future studies should monitor changes in cancer presentation, treatment, and outcomes after implementation of the ACA.

Estimates of Cancer Incidence in Ethiopia in 2015 Using Population-Based Registry Data

Purpose

Noncommunicable diseases, prominently cancer, have become the second leading cause of death in the adult population of Ethiopia. A population-based cancer registry has been used in Addis Ababa (the capital city) since 2011. Availability of up-to-date estimates on cancer incidence is important in guiding the national cancer control program in Ethiopia.

Methods

We obtained primary data on 8,539 patients from the Addis Ababa population-based cancer registry and supplemented by data on 1,648 cancer cases collected from six Ethiopian regions. We estimated the number of the commonest forms of cancer diagnosed among males and females in Ethiopia and computed crude and age-standardized incidence rates.

Results

For 2015 in Ethiopia, we estimated that 21,563 (95% CI, 17,416 to 25,660) and 42,722 (95% CI, 37,412 to 48,040) incident cancer cases were diagnosed in males and females, respectively. The most common adult cancers were: cancers of the breast and cervix, colorectal cancer, non-Hodgkin lymphoma, leukemia, and cancers of the prostate, thyroid, lung, stomach, and liver. Leukemia was the leading cancer diagnosis in the pediatric age group (age 0 to 14 years). Breast cancer was by far the commonest cancer, constituting 33% of the cancers in women and 23% of all cancers identified from the Addis Ababa cancer registry. It was also the commonest cancer in four of the six Ethiopian regions included in the analysis. Colorectal cancer and non-Hodgkin lymphoma were the commonest malignancies in men.

Conclusion

Cancer, and more prominently breast cancer, poses a substantial public health threat in Ethiopia. The fight against cancer calls for expansion of population-based registry sites to improve quantifying the cancer burden in Ethiopia and requires both increased investment and application of existing cancer control knowledge across all segments of the Ethiopian population.

Employer provided health benefits among cancer survivors in the United States

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Background: Nearly 40% of cancer survivors are of working age in the U.S. Access to high quality diagnosis, treatment, and survivorship care requires both health insurance coverage and sick leave, key components of employer health benefits. This study examines work limitations, paid sick leave, and employer offered health insurance among cancer survivors. Methods: We used the National Health Interview Survey (2001-2017) to identify cancer survivors aged 18-64 years. Work limitations were asked among all cancer survivors regardless of work status (n = 15,247), and categorized into unable to work, limited in type/amount of work, and not limited at all. Paid sick leave and employer offered health insurance offered were asked of cancer survivors who were working in the last week (n = 8741). We used generalized ordinal logistic regressions to examine work limitation and employer health benefits among cancer survivors, controlling for demographic characteristics, time since cancer diagnosis, number of cancer diagnoses, income, and comorbidities. Stratified analyses by type of workplace (private sector, federal/state/local government, and self-employed), and hours worked per week (full time with 35+ hours per week vs part time < 35 hours per week) was conducted. Results: Among cancer survivors aged 18-64 years, 10.7% and 5.3% reported unable to work at all and limited in types/amounts of work, respectively; 57.7% and 67.6% of those working in the last week received paid sick leave and employer offered health insurance, respectively. In stratified analyses, government jobs were associated with the highest paid sick leave and employer insurance (85.7% and 85.6%, respectively), followed by private sector (58.3% and 70.7%, respectively), and self-employed (8.3% and 15.7%), respectively. Moreover, full time jobs had higher paid sick leave (65.2% and 21.9%, respectively) and employer insurance (75.7% and 29.1%, respectively) then part time jobs. Conclusions: Cancer survivors experience work limitations and many working cancer survivors do not receive paid sick leave or health insurance from their employers. Evaluation of the effects of employer-based health benefits on survivorship care and outcomes will be important for future research.

The association between health insurance coverage disruptions and access to care and affordability among cancer survivors in the United States

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Background: Having health insurance is a strong predictor of access to care and affordability. To date, most studies evaluating the effects of insurance coverage measured it only at a single time point. Little is known about the effects of coverage disruptions. This study aims to assess associations of a health insurance coverage disruption with access and affordability among cancer survivors in the United States. Methods: We identified 6476 cancer survivors aged 18-64 years with current health insurance coverage from the 2011-2017 National Health Interview Survey. Coverage disruption was measured by the question “In the past 12 months, was there any time when you did not have any health insurance or coverage?”. Access to care and affordability was measured by: 1) preventive services use (e.g. blood pressure check); and 2) forgoing care because of cost, respectively, in the past 12 months. We used separate multivariable logistic models to evaluate the associations between a coverage disruption and healthcare access and affordability, by current health insurance coverage. Results: Among survivors with current health insurance coverage, 3.7% of those with private and 8.1% with public insurance reported a coverage disruption in the past 12 months. Among survivors with current private coverage, those with a recent coverage disruption reported lower likelihood of any preventive services use (OR = 0.1, 95% CI: 0.1-0.3) and higher likelihood of forgoing any care because of cost (OR = 6.0, 95% CI: 3.9-9.5) compared to those with continuous private coverage. Among survivors with current public coverage, those with a recent coverage disruption reported lower likelihood of any preventive services use (OR = 0.4, 95% CI: 0.2-0.9) and higher likelihood of forgoing any care because of cost (OR = 4.3, 95% CI: 2.5-7.3) compared to those with continuous public coverage. Conclusions: Currently insured cancer survivors with a recent health insurance coverage disruption were more likely to report problems in access to care and affordability compared to the continuously insured. Improving private and public insurance coverage continuity may be effective in addressing these problems.

Cancer-related suicide in the United States, 1999-2015

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Background: Cancer patients have an elevated risk of suicide given the prevalent psychological distress, treatment side effects, and uncontrolled pain. This study aims to examine temporal trends in cancer-related suicide in the US during the past two decades in view of progress in psycho-oncology care and symptom control for cancer patients in the country. Methods: Cancer-related suicide was defined as deaths with suicide as the underlying cause and cancer as a contributing cause in the US Multiple Cause of Death Data. We first calculated annual age-standardized cancer-related suicide rates and overall suicide rates from 1999 to 2015. Then, we fitted the log-transformed age-standardized rates to Joinpoint regression models to calculate the annual percentage change (APC) by demographic factors and overall. Results: Among 599,786 suicides in the US from 1999 to 2015, 5,559 were cancer-related. Seventy-three percent of the cancer-related suicides were committed by firearm and 14% were by poisoning. The age-standardized cancer-related suicide rate per 100,000 persons decreased from 0.17 in 1999 to 0.12 in 2015, with an APC of -2.5% (95% CI: -3.3%, -1.7%). In contrast, the age-standardized overall suicide rate per 10,000 persons increased from 13.22 in 1999 to 16.73 in 2015, with APC of 0.9% (95% CI: 0.4%, 1.3%) from 1999 to 2006 and 2.0% (95% CI: 1.7%, 2.2%) from 2006 to 2015. The decline in cancer-related suicide rate was largest among male (APC = -3.1%, 95% CI: -3.9%, -2.3%), 65-74-year-olds (APC = -3.1%, 95% CI: -4.2%, -2.0%), in the South (APC = -4.0%, 95% CI: -5.8%, -2.3%), and in urban area (APC = -3.0%, 95% CI: -4.2%, -1.7%). Conclusions: Despite the continuous increasing overall suicide rates in the US during the past two decades, cancer-related suicide has been decreasing, suggesting an evolving role of psycho-oncology care and symptom control during this period. Well-designed prospective studies are warranted to identify cancer patients at high-risk of suicide and to develop effective care intervention.

Financial hardship associated health care utilization among cancer survivors in the United States

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Background: A cancer diagnosis is associated with medical financial hardship in the U.S. However, little is known about health consequences associated with financial hardship. This study examines associations between medical and non-medical financial hardship on healthcare utilization among cancer survivors. Methods: We used the National Health Interview Survey (2013-2017) to identify cancer survivors (18-64 years: n = 5200; 65+ years: n = 7326). Medical financial hardship included material (e.g., problems paying medical bills), psychological (e.g., worry about medical bills), and behavioral (e.g., forgoing care due to cost) domains, and non-medical financial hardship included food hardship and worry for other financial needs (e.g. retirement, monthly bills, standard of living, and housing costs). We compared cancer survivors by intensities of medical and non-medical financial hardships in: 1) emergency department (ED) visits; 2) preventive services use (receipt of influenza vaccine, and blood pressure/cholesterol screenings); and 3) cervical/breast/colorectal cancer screenings among eligible cancer survivors. We used generalized ordinal logistic regressions, controlling for demographic characteristics, time since diagnosis, number of cancer diagnoses, insurance, income, and comorbidities. Results: Across age groups, both higher medical and non-medical hardship intensities were associated with higher ED visits and lower use of preventive services. Compared to cancer survivors with lowest intensity, higher percentages of ED visits were observed among those with highest medical hardship intensity (ages 18-64: 42% vs 26.2%; ages 65+: 37.2% vs 27.9%, all p < .01) and highest non-medical hardship intensity (ages 18-64: 37.6% vs 24.3%, p = .01). Moreover, compared to lowest intensity, highest medical hardship intensity was associated with lower influenza vaccination (ages 18-64: 45.6% vs 52.5%; ages 65+: 64.6% vs 75.6%, p < .05) and breast cancer screening (54.4% vs 65.9%, p < .05). Conclusions: Cancer survivors with higher medical and non-medical financial hardships have more ED visits and medical financial hardship was also associated with less use of preventive services and some cancer screening.

National and State Estimates of Lost Earnings From Cancer Deaths in the United States

Importance

Information on the economic burden of cancer mortality can serve as a tool in setting policies and prioritizing resources for cancer prevention and control. However, contemporary data are lacking for the United States nationally and by state.

Objective

To estimate lost earnings due to death from cancer overall and for the major cancers in the United States nationally and by state.

Design, Setting, and Participants

Person-years of life lost (PYLL) were calculated using numbers of cancer deaths and life expectancy data in individuals aged 16 to 84 years who died from cancer in the United States in 2015. The annual median earnings in the United States were used to assign a monetary value for each PYLL by age and sex. Cancer mortality and life expectancy data were obtained from the National Center for Health Statistics and annual median earnings from the US Census Bureau's 2016 Current Population Survey's March Annual Social and Economic Supplement. Data analysis was performed from October 22, 2018, to February 25, 2019.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Lost earnings due to cancer death, represented as estimated future wages in the absence of premature death.

Results

A total of 8 739 939 person-years of life were lost to cancer death in persons aged 16 to 84 years in the United States in 2015, translating to lost earnings of $94.4 billion (95% CI, $91.7 billion-$97.3 billion). For individual cancer sites, lost earnings were highest for lung cancer ($21.3 billion), followed by colorectal ($9.4 billion), female breast ($6.2 billion), and pancreatic ($6.1 billion) cancer. Age-standardized lost earning rates per 100 000 were lowest in the West and highest in the South, ranging from $19.6 million (95% CI, $19.1 million-$20.2 million) in Utah to $35.3 million ($34.4 million-$36.3 million) in Kentucky. Approximately 2.4 million PYLL and $27.7 billion (95% CI, $26.9 billion-$28.5 billion) in lost earnings (29.3% of total that occurred in 2015) would have been avoided in 2015 if all states had the same age-specific PYLL or lost earning rates as Utah.

Conclusions and Relevance

Our findings indicate large state variation in the economic burden of cancer and suggest the potential for substantial financial benefit through delivery of effective cancer prevention, screening, and treatment to minimize premature cancer mortality in all states.

The American Cancer Society 2035 challenge goal on cancer mortality reduction

A summary evaluation of the 2015 American Cancer Society (ACS) challenge goal showed that overall US mortality from all cancers combined declined 26% over the period from 1990 to 2015. Recent research suggests that US cancer mortality can still be lowered considerably by applying known interventions broadly and equitably. The ACS Board of Directors, therefore, commissioned ACS researchers to determine challenge goals for reductions in cancer mortality by 2035. A statistical model was used to estimate the average annual percent decline in overall cancer death rates among the US general population and among college-educated Americans during the most recent period. Then, the average annual percent decline in the overall cancer death rates of college graduates was applied to the death rates in the general population to project future rates in the United States beginning in 2020. If overall cancer death rates from 2020 through 2035 nationally decline at the pace of those of college graduates, then death rates in 2035 in the United States will drop by 38.3% from the 2015 level and by 54.4% from the 1990 level. On the basis of these results, the ACS 2035 challenge goal was set as a 40% reduction from the 2015 level. Achieving this goal could lead to approximately 1.3 million fewer cancer deaths than would have occurred from 2020 through 2035 and 122,500 fewer cancer deaths in 2035 alone. The results also show that reducing the prevalence of risk factors and achieving optimal adherence to evidence-based screening guidelines by 2025 could lead to a 33.5% reduction in the overall cancer death rate by 2035, attaining 85% of the challenge goal.

Cancer treatment and survivorship statistics, 2019

The number of cancer survivors continues to increase in the United States because of the growth and aging of the population as well as advances in early detection and treatment. To assist the public health community in better serving these individuals, the American Cancer Society and the National Cancer Institute collaborate every 3 years to estimate cancer prevalence in the United States using incidence and survival data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results cancer registries; vital statistics from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's National Center for Health Statistics; and population projections from the US Census Bureau. Current treatment patterns based on information in the National Cancer Data Base are presented for the most prevalent cancer types. Cancer-related and treatment-related short-term, long-term, and late health effects are also briefly described. More than 16.9 million Americans (8.1 million males and 8.8 million females) with a history of cancer were alive on January 1, 2019; this number is projected to reach more than 22.1 million by January 1, 2030 based on the growth and aging of the population alone. The 3 most prevalent cancers in 2019 are prostate (3,650,030), colon and rectum (776,120), and melanoma of the skin (684,470) among males, and breast (3,861,520), uterine corpus (807,860), and colon and rectum (768,650) among females. More than one-half (56%) of survivors were diagnosed within the past 10 years, and almost two-thirds (64%) are aged 65 years or older. People with a history of cancer have unique medical and psychosocial needs that require proactive assessment and management by follow-up care providers. Although there are growing numbers of tools that can assist patients, caregivers, and clinicians in navigating the various phases of cancer survivorship, further evidence-based resources are needed to optimize care.

Advanced stage at diagnosis and elevated mortality among US patients with cancer infected with HIV in the National Cancer Data Base

BACKGROUND

People living with HIV (PLWH) are at an increased risk of developing several cancers, but to the authors' knowledge less is known regarding how HIV impacts the rate of progression to advanced cancer or death.

METHODS

The authors compared stage of disease at the time of presentation and mortality after diagnosis between 14,453 PLWH and 6,368,126 HIV-uninfected patients diagnosed with cancers of the oral cavity, stomach, colorectum, anus, liver, pancreas, lung, female breast, cervix, prostate, bladder, kidney, and thyroid and melanoma using data from the National Cancer Data Base (2004-2014). Polytomous logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards regression were used to evaluate the association between HIV, cancer stage, and stage-adjusted mortality after diagnosis, respectively. Regression models accounted for the type of health facility at which cancer treatment was administered and the type of individual health insurance.

RESULTS

HIV-infected patients with cancer were found to be more likely to be uninsured (HIV-infected: 5.0% vs HIV-uninfected: 3.3%; P < .0001) and were less likely to have private health insurance (25.4% vs 44.7%; P < .0001). Compared with those not infected with HIV, the odds of being diagnosed at an advanced stage of disease were significantly elevated in PLWH for melanoma and cancers of the oral cavity, liver, female breast, prostate, and thyroid (odds ratio for stage IV vs stage I range, 1.24-2.06). PLWH who were diagnosed with stage I to stage III disease experienced elevated mortality after diagnosis across 13 of the 14 cancer sites evaluated, with hazard ratios ranging from 1.20 (95% CI, 1.14-1.26) for lung cancer to 1.85 (95% CI, 1.68-2.04), 1.85 (95% CI, 1.51-2.27), and 2.93 (95% CI, 2.08-4.13), respectively, for cancers of the female breast, cervix, and thyroid.

CONCLUSIONS

PLWH were more likely to be diagnosed with advanced-stage cancers and to experience elevated mortality after a cancer diagnosis, even after accounting for health care-related factors.

Prevalence of human papillomavirus and Helicobacter pylori in esophageal and gastroesophageal junction cancer biopsies from a case-control study in Ethiopia

BACKGROUND

Ethiopia lies in the high-risk corridor of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma in East Africa, where individuals with this malignancy often do not report established risk factors, suggesting unidentified etiologies. Here, we report the prevalence of mucosal human papillomavirus (HPV) and of Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori) detection in endoscopy-obtained esophageal and gastroesophageal junction biopsies and in oral cell specimens taken at the time of esophageal cancer diagnosis in a case-control study in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

METHODS

DNA extraction was performed from fresh frozen tissue and oral cell pellets obtained with saline solution gargling subsequently fixed with ethanol. Mucosal HPV and H. pylori DNA was detected using highly sensitive assays that combine multiplex polymerase chain reaction and bead-based Luminex technology. The proportions of specimens testing positive were expressed as percentages, with binomial 95% confidence intervals. Agreement of results between tissue biopsy and oral cell specimens was estimated using the kappa statistic. Comparison of study participants' characteristics by test results was done using the Pearson chi-square test.

RESULTS

HPV DNA was detected in 1 of 62 tumor specimens (2, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0-9%), corresponding to HPV16 type. HPV DNA was detected in the oral cavity of 7 cases (11, 95% CI: 5-22%) and 4 of 56 matched healthy controls (7, 95% CI: 2-17%), with multiple HPV types detected. Detection of H. pylori DNA was 55% (95% CI: 42-68%), and 20 of 34 H. pylori-positive specimens (59, 95% CI: 41-75%) were positive for the cagA gene. Agreement of detection rates between tissue and oral cells in cases was poor for HPV and for H. pylori.

CONCLUSIONS

The prevalence of mucosal-type HPV was very low, whereas H. pylori was more commonly detected, with a high proportion testing positive for the pro-inflammatory gene cagA. These novel findings remain to be replicated in larger studies and with the addition of serological determinations to better understand their biological significance in the context of esophageal and gastroesophageal junction cancers.

Increasing cancer awareness and prevention in Africa

Cancer awareness in the general population is an absolute essential and the basis on which a cancer-control programme can be constructed. Elements that go into cancer awareness and prevention efforts include knowledge of the problem and its solutions, a group of people who respect and care for the populations they want to serve, and resources. This paper discusses the importance of cancer awareness to cancer control and outlines some successful cancer awareness and control programmes in Africa. There is an audience in North America, Europe and Asia with resources that can be used. Awareness campaigns can also be used to recruit assistance and resources from governments, non-governmental organisations and pharmaceutical companies. Potential funders will provide support if they see a well-defined problem, a solution that is likely to be implemented and likely to work and organisations that can implement that solution.

Uptake of Cervical Cancer Screening in Ethiopia by Self-Sampling HPV DNA Compared to Visual Inspection with Acetic Acid: A Cluster Randomized Trial

In Ethiopia, the standard method of cervical cancer screening is using Visual Inspection with Acetic Acid (VIA). Self-collection-based human papillomavirus (HPV) testing is assumed to improve the uptake of screening, especially for hard to reach populations. We investigated whether HPV DNA testing with the self-collection of cervical samples would be associated with increased uptake and adherence to procedures at the population level compared with VIA within defined rural population in Ethiopia. A total of 22 clusters (comprising 2,356 women ages 30-49 years) were randomized in two arms. Following the community mobilization, women of the clusters were invited to go either to the local health post for a self-collection-based HPV DNA testing (arm A) or Butajira Hospital for VIA screening (arm B). In the HPV arm, of the 1,213 sensitized women, 1,020 (84.1%) accessed the health post for self-sampling compared with the VIA arm, where 575 of 1,143 (50.5%) visited the hospital for VIA (P < 0.0001). Of those women who attended the VIA and HPV arms, 40% and 65.4% adhered to all procedures expected after screening, respectively. Out of women positive for high risk HPV, 122 (85%) attended VIA as a follow-up test. The trial demonstrated significantly higher levels of population-based uptake and adherence for self-collection HPV testing. Women were more receptive for VIA after their HPV testing result was positive. Self-collection HPV testing can be done at the local health facility and may significantly improve the uptake of cervical cancer screening in Ethiopia.

Association Between Declared Hurricane Disasters and Survival of Patients With Lung Cancer Undergoing Radiation Treatment

This study uses National Cancer Database data to estimate associations between hurricane disaster declarations, which could disrupt electrical power, and survival of patients undergoing radiotherapy for nonoperative locally advanced non–small cell lung cancer between 2004 and 2014.

Are temporal trends in colonoscopy among young adults concordant with colorectal cancer incidence?

Objective

In the United States, colorectal cancer incidence has increased in adults under age 55. Although debate remains about whether this rise is a result of increased detection because of more colonoscopy utilization, population-based trends in colonoscopy among this age group are unknown. We examined changes in colonoscopy rates, as well as colorectal cancer incidence, among adults aged 40–54, using nationally representative data.

Methods

Recent (past year) colonoscopy rates were computed among 53,175 respondents aged 40–54 in National Health Interview Survey data from 2000 through 2015 by five-year age group. Colorectal cancer incidence rates and incidence rate ratios were estimated from 18 population-based Surveillance Epidemiology and End Result registries during the same period.

Results

Among respondents aged 40–44, past-year colonoscopy rates were stable during 2000–2015, and ranged from 2.3% to 3.5% ( p-value for trend = 0.771). In contrast, colonoscopy rates increased from 2.5% in 2000 to 5.2% in 2015 among ages 45–49, and from 5.0% to 14.1% in ages 50–54 (test for trend p-values < 0.001). During 2000–2015, colorectal cancer incidence rates increased by 28% in people aged 40–44 (incidence rate ratio = 1.28, 95% CI 1.20, 2.37), 15% in those aged 45–49 (incidence rate ratio = 1.15, 95%CI 1.10, 1.21), and 17% in those aged 50–54 (incidence rate ratio = 1.17, 95%CI 1.13, 1.21), respectively.

Conclusion

Increases in colonoscopy rates were confined to ages 45–54, whereas colorectal cancer incidence rates rose in those aged 40–44, 45–49, and 50–54. Colonoscopy trends do not fully align with colorectal cancer incidence patterns.

Abstract LB-171: Global variation in prostate cancer incidence and mortality rates, 1980-2013

Context: Previous studies documented significant international variation in prostate cancer rates due to differences in detection practices, availability of treatment, and genetic factors.

Objective: To provide updated contemporary prostate cancer incidence and mortality patterns across five continents using the most recent cancer incidence data from the International Agency for Research on Cancer and mortality data from the World Health Organization (WHO).

Evidence acquisition: We present estimated age-standardized prostate cancer incidence and mortality rates by country and WHO regions for 2012 based on GLOBOCAN. We examined long-term (1980 onwards) trends in prostate cancer incidence and mortality rates for 38 countries with high quality population-based incidence and mortality data. Trends were expressed as annual percent change using Joinpoint model. We also examined short-term (most recent 5 years) trends in prostate cancer among 44 countries with available incidence data and 71 countries with available mortality data.

Evidence synthesis: The highest incidence rates during the most recent 5 years are found in Brazil, Lithuania, and Australia, whereas the lowest incidence rates are found in Asia (India, Thailand, and Bahrain). The highest mortality rates are found in the Caribbean (Barbados, Trinidad and Tobago, and Cuba), sub-Saharan Africa (South Africa), parts of former Soviet Union (Lithuania, Estonia, and Latvia), whereas the lowest rates are found in Asia (Thailand and Turkmenistan). Of the 44 countries with high quality incidence data, prostate cancer incidence rates during the most recent five data years increased in 4 countries (with Bulgaria showing the largest increase), decreased in 7 countries (with the biggest decrease in the United States), and stabilized in the remaining 31 countries. During the same time period, in contrast, among the 71 countries considered for the mortality trend, rates decreased in 14 countries, increased in 3 countries, and remained stable in 54 countries.

Conclusions: In 2012, prostate cancer was the most commonly diagnosed cancer among men in 96 countries and the leading cause of death in 51 countries. In the most recent 5 years of data examined, prostate cancer incidence and mortality rates are decreasing or stabilizing in most parts of the world. Future studies should monitor trends in mortality rates and late-stage disease to assess the impact of reduction in PSA testing in several countries.

Citation Format: MaryBeth Freeman, Ahmedin Jemal. Global variation in prostate cancer incidence and mortality rates, 1980-2013 [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2019; 2019 Mar 29-Apr 3; Atlanta, GA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2019;79(13 Suppl):Abstract nr LB-171.

Cancer History, Health Insurance Coverage, and Cost-Related Medication Nonadherence and Medication Cost-Coping Strategies in the United States

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the relationship between cancer history and cost-related medication nonadherence (CRN) as well as cost-coping strategies, by health insurance coverage.

METHODS

We used the 2013 to 2016 National Health Interview Survey to identify adults aged 18 to 64 years with (n = 3599) and without (n = 56 909) a cancer history. Cost-related changes in medication use included (1) CRN, measured as skipping, taking less, or delaying medication because of cost, and (2) cost-coping strategies, measured as requesting lower cost medication or using alternative therapies to save money. Separate multivariable logistic regressions were used to calculate the adjusted odds ratios (AORs) of CRN and cost-coping strategies associated with cancer history, stratified by insurance.

RESULTS

Cancer survivors were more likely than adults without a cancer history to report CRN (AOR 1.26; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.10-1.43) and cost-coping strategies (AOR 1.10; 95% CI 0.99-1.19). Among the privately insured, the difference in CRN by cancer history was the greatest among those enrolled in high-deductible health plans (HDHPs) without health savings accounts (HSAs) (AOR 1.78; 95% CI 1.30-2.44). Among adults with HDHP and HSA, cancer survivors were less likely to report cost-coping strategies (AOR 0.62; 95% CI 0.42-0.90). Regardless of cancer history, CRN and cost-coping strategies were the highest for those uninsured, enrolled in HDHP without HSA, and without prescription drug coverage under their health plan (all P<.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Cancer survivors are prone to CRN and more likely to use cost-coping strategies. Expanding options for health insurance coverage, use of HSAs for those with HDHP, and enhanced prescription drug coverage may effectively address CRN.

Changes in Breast and Colorectal Cancer Screening After Medicaid Expansion Under the Affordable Care Act

INTRODUCTION

Medicaid expansions following the Affordable Care Act have improved insurance coverage in low-income adults, but little is known about its impact on cancer screening. This study examined associations between Medicaid expansion timing and colorectal cancer (CRC) and breast cancer (BC) screening.

METHODS

Up-to-date and past 2-year CRC (n=95,400) and BC (women, n=43,279) screening prevalence were computed among low-income respondents aged 50-64 years in 2012, 2014, and 2016 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System data. Respondents were grouped according to Medicaid expansion timing as: very early ([VE] six states expanding March 1, 2010-April 14, 2011), early (21 states expanding January 1, 2014-August 15, 2014), late (five states expanding January 1, 2015-July 1, 2016), and non-expansion states (19 states). Absolute adjusted difference-in-differences (aDDs) were computed in 2018-2019 (ref, non-expansion states).

RESULTS

Between 2012 and 2016, absolute up-to-date CRC screening increased by 8.8%, 2.9%, 2.4%, and 3.8% among low-income adults in VE, early, late, and non-expansion states, respectively. Past 2-year CRC screening increased by 8.0% in VE and 2.8% in non-expansion states, with an aDD of 4.9% (p=0.041). In 2012-2016, up-to-date BC screening increased by 5.1%, 4.9%, and 3.7% among low-income women in VE, early, and non-expansion states, respectively, but aDDs were not statistically significant.

CONCLUSIONS

Prevalence of CRC and BC screening among low-income adults rose in Medicaid expansion states, though increases were significantly higher than those in non-expansion states only for recent CRC screening in VE expansion states. Large-scale improvements in cancer screening may take several years following expansion in access to care.

Trends in cervical cancer incidence rates by age, race/ethnicity, histological subtype, and stage at diagnosis in the United States

Recent trends of cervical cancer incidence by histology and age in the United States (U.S.) have not been reported. We examined contemporary trends in cervical squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) and adenocarcinoma (AC) incidence rates in the U.S. by age group, race/ethnicity, and stage at diagnosis after accounting for hysterectomy. Incidence data (1999-2015) were obtained from the U.S. Cancer Statistics Incidence Analytic Database. Hysterectomy prevalence was estimated using National Health Interview Survey data (2000-2015). Overall SCC incidence rates continued to decrease in all racial/ethnic groups except among non-Hispanic whites in whom rates stabilized in the 2010s, largely driven by stable trends in ages <50 years and a slower pace of decrease in ages 50-59 years. After a stable trend between 1999 and 2002, AC incidence rates among non-Hispanic whites rose during 2002-2015 (1.3% per year), mostly due to increases in ages 40-49 (4.4% annually since 2004) and 50-59 years (5.5% annually since 2011). Overall AC incidence rates during 1999-2015 decreased in blacks and Hispanics but were stable in Asian/Pacific Islanders; in all these race/ethnicities, rates were generally stable in ages <50 years but decreasing in older ages. Rates of distant stage cervical SCC and AC among non-Hispanic whites increased in several age groups but were generally stable in non-whites. Increasing or stabilized incidence trends for AC and attenuation of earlier declines for SCC in several subpopulations underscore the importance of intensifying efforts to reverse the increasing trends and further reduce the burden of cervical cancer in the U.S.

Treatment Patterns Among De Novo Metastatic Cancer Patients Who Died Within 1 Month of Diagnosis

Background

Little is known about patterns of and factors associated with treatment for de novo metastatic cancer patients who die soon after diagnosis. In this study, we examine treatment patterns for patients newly diagnosed with metastatic lung, colorectal, breast, or pancreatic cancer who died within 1 month of diagnosis.

Methods

We identified 100 848 adult patients in the National Cancer Database with de novo metastatic lung, colorectal, breast, and pancreatic cancer, diagnosed between 2004 and 2014 and who died within 1 month. We performed descriptive and multivariable logistic regression analyses to examine receipt of surgery, chemotherapy, radiation, and hormonal therapy by cancer type, adjusting for sociodemographic and clinical variables.

Results

Treatment substantially varied by cancer type, over time, age, insurance, and facility type. Surgery ranged from 0.4% in pancreatic to 28.3% in colorectal cancer (CRC) patients, chemotherapy from 5.8% among CRC to 11% in lung and breast cancer patients, and radiotherapy from 1.3% in pancreatic to 18.7% in lung cancer patients. Use of some treatments (eg, surgery for CRC and breast cancer) progressively declined between 2004 and 2014. Compared with lung cancer patients treated at National Cancer Institute-designated cancer centers, those treated at community cancer centers had 48% lower odds of radiation.

Conclusions

Treatment of patients diagnosed with imminently fatal de novo metastatic cancer varied markedly by cancer type and patient/facility characteristics. These variations warrant more research to better identify patients with imminently fatal de novo metastatic cancer who may not benefit from aggressive and expensive therapies.

Trends in the use of proton beam therapy among newly diagnosed cancer patients in the United States

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Background: Proton Beam Therapy (PBT) is a potentially superior radiotherapy technology for tumors with complex anatomy surrounded by sensitive tissues and for childhood cancers where sparing surrounding normal tissue is better achieved than with photon radiotherapy. The first conditions for payment of PBT claims went into effect in 2009. In 2014, the American Society of Radiation Oncology categorized PBT clinical indications into Group 1, for which health insurance coverage is recommended, and Group 2, for which coverage is recommended only if additional requirements are met. Methods: We evaluated 21,920 newly diagnosed patients in the National Cancer Database (NCDB) who received PBT between 2004 and 2016. Joinpoint analyses were used to evaluate the Annual Percent Change (APC) in the number and characteristics of patients treated with PBT. Results: The number of patients treated with PBT in NCDB facilities increased from 1,114 in 2004 to 3,173 in 2016 (APC = 8.78, p < .001), due mainly to increases in Group 1 cancers after 2010 (from 271 patients in 2010 to 1,124 in 2016, APC = 26.4, p < .001). The number of Group 2 patients treated with PBT increased slower (from 937 in 2004 to 2,049 in 2016, APC = 6.1, p < .05). Breast and prostate cancers were most common, although trends varied substantially by cancer site. Between 2010 and 2016, receipt of PBT increased for breast cancer patients from 40 in 2010 to 405 in 2016 (APC = 48.5, p < .001), but decreased for prostate cancer patients from 1,205 in 2011 to 680 in 2016 (APC = -14.06, p < .001). While most of Group 1 patients had private insurance coverage (59.3% of patients treated in 2016), Medicare was the most common primary insurance type among Group 2 patients (50% of patients treated in 2016). Conclusions: The number of newly diagnosed cancer patients treated with PBT has increased between 2004 to 2016 in the US, with a sharp increase for cancers with clinical indications for health insurance coverage since 2010. While most of these patients have private insurance coverage, the steady increase in the number of patients being treated with PBT for cancers with additional requirements for health insurance coverage is primarily in those with Medicare coverage.

Early mortality after resection of locally advanced rectal cancer in elderly United States patients

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Background: Early mortality after resection of locally advanced rectal cancer in patients age 75 and older has not been studied in the United States. This information could inform clinical decision-making for patients who achieve complete clinical response after neoadjuvant therapy and consider watchful waiting versus surgical resection. Methods: Using the National Cancer Data Base, we identified patients age 75 years and older who underwent surgery for clinical stage II or III rectal cancer between 2004-2015. We performed multivariable logistic regression analyses to assess associations between patient and facility characteristics and 30-day, 90-day, and 6-month mortality. Results: Among 11,326 patients, 94% underwent resection and the remaining 6% underwent local excision. Overall early mortality rates after surgery were 4%, 7.6% and 11% for 30-day, 90-day and six-month, respectably. Six-month mortality varied by age subgroup (8% in 75-79 years old to 17.7% in 85 years and older), and comorbidity score (9.5% for comorbidity score = 0 to 18.5% for comorbidity score ≥ 2). Between 2004 and 2015, six-month mortality declined significantly from 11.9% in 2004-2007 to 9.8% in 2012-2015 ( P trend = 0.0029), with the decline larger among patients age 85 years and older (from 19.4% in 2004-2007 to 15.3% in 2012-2015, P trend = 0.0377). In the multivariable analysis, older age, higher comorbidity score, and lower facility case volume were significantly associated with higher odds of six-month mortality. Patients treated at National Cancer Institute (NCI) designated centers had 32% lower odds of six-month mortality compared with those treated at non-NCI designated teaching/research centers. Conclusions: Post-operative six-month mortality among patients age 75 years and older with locally advanced rectal cancer in the US declined steadily over the past decade. Older age, high comorbidity score, and low facility case volume were associated with higher six-month mortality after surgery. Additional efforts are needed to guide elderly patients and their physicians in discussing treatment options for locally advanced rectal cancer.

Cancer statistics for African Americans, 2019

In the United States, African American/black individuals bear a disproportionate share of the cancer burden, having the highest death rate and the lowest survival rate of any racial or ethnic group for most cancers. To monitor progress in reducing these inequalities, every 3 years the American Cancer Society provides the estimated number of new cancer cases and deaths for blacks in the United States and the most recent data on cancer incidence, mortality, survival, screening, and risk factors using data from the National Cancer Institute, the North American Association of Central Cancer Registries, and the National Center for Health Statistics. In 2019, approximately 202,260 new cases of cancer and 73,030 cancer deaths are expected to occur among blacks in the United States. During 2006 through 2015, the overall cancer incidence rate decreased faster in black men than in white men (2.4% vs 1.7% per year), largely due to the more rapid decline in lung cancer. In contrast, the overall cancer incidence rate was stable in black women (compared with a slight increase in white women), reflecting increasing rates for cancers of the breast, uterine corpus, and pancreas juxtaposed with declining trends for cancers of the lung and colorectum. Overall cancer death rates declined faster in blacks than whites among both males (2.6% vs 1.6% per year) and females (1.5% vs 1.3% per year), largely driven by greater declines for cancers of the lung, colorectum, and prostate. Consequently, the excess risk of overall cancer death in blacks compared with whites dropped from 47% in 1990 to 19% in 2016 in men and from 19% in 1990 to 13% in 2016 in women. Moreover, the black-white cancer disparity has been nearly eliminated in men <50 years and women ≥70 years. Twenty-five years of continuous declines in the cancer death rate among black individuals translates to more than 462,000 fewer cancer deaths. Continued progress in reducing disparities will require expanding access to high-quality prevention, early detection, and treatment for all Americans.

Clinical Characteristics and Survival of Patients with Malignant Ovarian Tumors in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia

BACKGROUND

Ovarian cancer is the third leading cause of cancer death among women in Ethiopia, with about 2,550 diagnosed cases and 2,000 deaths each year. The incidence and mortality rates of this disease have been increasing in Ethiopia and other parts of sub-Saharan Africa over the past decades because of changing lifestyle and reproductive factors. In this study, we describe the clinical characteristics, treatment patterns, and survival of patients with ovarian cancer in Ethiopia.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included 485 patients diagnosed between January 2009 and October 2015 at Addis Ababa University Hospital, Zewditu Memorial Hospital, or registered in the Addis Ababa population-based cancer registry. Follow-up data were obtained via telephone. Primary endpoint was all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

The median age was 46 years (range, 11-95). The estimated 1- and 2-year overall survival rates were 78% (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.741-0.82.5) and 59% (95% CI, 0.538-0.646), respectively. Of those patients with result available (n = 423), 73.0% had epithelial cancers. Almost half were classified as Federation of Gynecology and Oncology stage III or IV (48.2%; stage available n = 201) resulting in worse outcomes (hazard ratio [HR], 2.91 [CI 0.67-12.64] and 3.03 [0.69-15.79], respectively). Four out of five patients received some form of surgery (82%), three out of five received platinum-containing chemotherapy. Patients with residual tumor after surgery (n = 83) showed worse survival outcome (HR, 2.23; 95% CI 1.08-4.49).

CONCLUSION

Our study revealed substantial treatment gaps with respect to surgery and adequate chemotherapy. Higher stage, residual tumor and lack of chemotherapy impaired the outcome. Access to higher standards of ovarian cancer treatment is urgently needed in Ethiopia.

IMPLICATIONS FOR PRACTICE

Ovarian cancer is often a fatal disease in high resource settings; now it is also becoming important in Ethiopia. This study included 485 women with malignant ovarian tumors treated in Addis Ababa who had a mean age of only 46 years because of the young population structure. Three quarters had the typical epithelial cancer, with half presenting with advanced stage III and IV. Improved oncologic surgery and sufficient chemotherapy could possibly improve their outcome. The relatively high proportion of women with nonepithelial cancer need adequate treatment options to have good prognosis.

Heterogeneity of colon and rectum cancer incidence across 612 SEER counties, 2000-2014

Recent analyses have suggested decreases over time in colorectal cancer incidence at older ages (≥55 years) but increases at younger ages (20-54 years). Understanding the geographic heterogeneity of incidence facilitates resource allocation for potential interventions and advances our knowledge of differential etiologies for these cancers. We performed age-period-cohort analysis using 2000-2014 county-level incidence from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, estimating relative risk (RR) and age-adjusted annual percent change (Net Drifts) simultaneously for 612 counties via a hierarchical model, separately for colon and rectum cancer, stratified by age group (20-54 vs. 55-84). We also studied correlates of RR and Net Drift with various county-level characteristics. In all SEER counties, colon and rectum cancer incidence rates increased at ages 20-54, whereas rates decreased at ages 55-84. There was marked heterogeneity in both RR and Net Drift among states and counties for both cancer types. Maps of county RR and Net Drift revealed localized clusters in several states. For both cancer types, counties with high RR and unfavorable Net Drift tended to have higher prevalence of obesity and diabetes and to be of a lower socioeconomic status. Counties with higher overall screening rates tended to have lower Net Drifts for both cancer types. Increasing colorectal cancer incidence in the younger age group is geographically widespread, although there is significant heterogeneity in temporal trends and risk both within and between states. These geographic patterns correlate with different county-level characteristics depending on cancer type and age group.

Cancer incidence in older adults in selected regions of sub-Saharan Africa, 2008-2012

Although the countries of Sub-Sharan Africa represent among the most rapidly growing and aging populations worldwide, no previous studies have examined the cancer patterns in older adults in the region as a means to inform cancer policies. Using data from Cancer Incidence in Five Continents, we describe recent patterns and trends in incidence rates for the major cancer sites in adults aged ≥60 years and in people aged 0-59 for comparison in four selected population-based cancer registries in Kenya (Nairobi), the Republic of South Africa (Eastern Cape Province), Uganda (Kyadondo country), and Zimbabwe (Harare blacks). Over the period 2008-2012, almost 9,000 new cancer cases were registered in older adults in the four populations, representing one-third of all cancer cases. Prostate and esophageal cancers were the leading cancer sites in older males, while breast, cervical and esophageal cancers were the most common among older females. Among younger people, Kaposi sarcoma and non-Hodgkin lymphoma were common. Over the past 20 years, incidence rates among older adults have increased in both sexes in Uganda and Zimbabwe while rates have stabilized among the younger age group. Among older adults, the largest rate increase was observed for breast cancer (estimated annual percentage change: 5% in each country) in females and for prostate cancer (6-7%) in males. Due to the specific needs of older adults, tailored considerations should be given to geriatric oncology when developing, funding and implementing national and regional cancer programmes.

Breast and cervical cancer patients' experience in Addis Ababa city, Ethiopia: a follow-up study protocol

INTRODUCTION

Cancer is an emerging public health problem in Ethiopia, with breast and cervical cancers accounting for over half of all newly diagnosed cancers in women. The majority of women with breast and cervical cancer are diagnosed at late stage of the disease and most patients do not receive care consistent with global standards. However, little is known about the health-seeking behaviours, barriers to early detection and treatment, patient-reported outcomes, financial burden and survival of women with breast and cervical cancer in the country. Therefore, this study aims to document the experience of women with breast and cervical cancer from recognition of symptoms to diagnosis, treatment and survivorship/mortality in Addis Ababa city, Ethiopia.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

A prospective follow-up study using mixed methods (both quantitative and qualitative) will be employed. All women newly diagnosed with breast and cervical cancer from 1 January, 2017 to 30 June 2018 in Addis Ababa will be included in the study. Interviewer-administered questionnaires will be used to collect information about medical consultations after recognition of symptoms, health-seeking behaviours, treatment received, barriers to early detection and treatment, and survivorship care. In-depth interview will be conducted on purposefully selected women with breast and cervical cancer. The primary outcomes of the study are time intervals (patient and diagnostic waiting times), stage at diagnosis and survival. Multivariable analysis will be employed to determine the contributions of independent variables on the outcomes of interest. HRs with 95% CIs will be calculated for time-to-event outcomes. Qualitative data will be analysed using thematic analysis.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

This protocol is ethically approved by Institutional Review Board of Addis Ababa University. Verbal informed consent will be obtained from study participants. Results will be disseminated in international peer-reviewed journals and presented in relevant conferences.

Temporal trends in liver cancer mortality by educational attainment in the United States, 2000-2015

BACKGROUND

Liver cancer is the most rapidly rising cause of cancer death in the United States. However, it is unclear whether the mortality trend differs by socioeconomic and/or hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection status.

METHODS

Joinpoint analyses and Poisson regression modeling were performed to examine trends in death rates from liver cancer by education and HCV infection status among persons aged 25 to 74 years from 2000 to 2015. Disparities in liver cancer mortality were measured as a relative index of inequality by education.

RESULTS

From 2000 to 2015, the overall liver cancer death rate (per 100,000 persons) increased from 7.5 to 11.2 in men and from 2.8 to 3.8 in women. The increase was generally steeper in less educated groups for women and was confined to persons with ≤15 years of education for men. Consequently, the relative disparity increased until 2006 and then levelled off in women, whereas it continued to increase from 3.49 (95% CI, 3.08-3.97) to 7.74 (95% CI, 7.13-8.40) in men, with the increase more pronounced for HCV-related liver cancer than HCV-unrelated liver cancer.

CONCLUSIONS

The increases in liver cancer death rates in the United States have largely been confined to less educated persons, especially among men. Enhanced and targeted efforts are needed to halt and reverse the undue growing burden of liver cancer in lower socioeconomic groups.

Global patterns in excess body weight and the associated cancer burden

The prevalence of excess body weight and the associated cancer burden have been rising over the past several decades globally. Between 1975 and 2016, the prevalence of excess body weight in adults-defined as a body mass index (BMI) ≥ 25 kg/m² -increased from nearly 21% in men and 24% in women to approximately 40% in both sexes. Notably, the prevalence of obesity (BMI ≥ 30 kg/m² ) quadrupled in men, from 3% to 12%, and more than doubled in women, from 7% to 16%. This change, combined with population growth, resulted in a more than 6-fold increase in the number of obese adults, from 100 to 671 million. The largest absolute increase in obesity occurred among men and boys in high-income Western countries and among women and girls in Central Asia, the Middle East, and North Africa. The simultaneous rise in excess body weight in almost all countries is thought to be driven largely by changes in the global food system, which promotes energy-dense, nutrient-poor foods, alongside reduced opportunities for physical activity. In 2012, excess body weight accounted for approximately 3.9% of all cancers (544,300 cases) with proportion varying from less than 1% in low-income countries to 7% or 8% in some high-income Western countries and in Middle Eastern and Northern African countries. The attributable burden by sex was higher for women (368,500 cases) than for men (175,800 cases). Given the pandemic proportion of excess body weight in high-income countries and the increasing prevalence in low- and middle-income countries, the global cancer burden attributable to this condition is likely to increase in the future. There is emerging consensus on opportunities for obesity control through the multisectoral coordinated implementation of core policy actions to promote an environment conducive to a healthy diet and active living. The rapid increase in both the prevalence of excess body weight and the associated cancer burden highlights the need for a rejuvenated focus on identifying, implementing, and evaluating interventions to prevent and control excess body weight.

Abstract PD6-07: Trends in the cost of care for breast cancer among women with commercial insurance

Background: Breast cancer care imposes a significant financial burden to U.S. healthcare systems and has become a key focus in the health care debate. Therapies for breast cancer are expensive, and the economic burden of these therapies may be rising due to the rapid introduction of pricey new drugs and techniques. There are limited data on the health care costs of individuals with breast cancer after initial diagnosis and how these costs have changed over time.

Methods: We conducted a retrospective analysis of commercially insured adult women with newly diagnosed non-metastatic breast cancer (identified via previously published claims-based algorithms) using 2007-2016 data from a large US health plan available in OptumLabs® Data Warehouse. We included patients with continuous health plan coverage for at least 2 years after initial diagnosis 2007-2014 and assessed how total health care spending and out-of-pocket costs (paid amounts) changed over this time. Costs were adjusted to 2016 US dollars using the general Consumer Price Index. Inpatient, outpatient, and outpatient pharmacy costs were evaluated. A multivariable logistic regression model was used to examine predictors of above average cost (cost &gt; mean for that year of diagnosis).

Results: A total of 12,446 newly diagnosed breast cancer patients were identified (mean age, 51.6 years). Forty percent had undergone mastectomy, 38% chemotherapy, and 63% radiation. After adjustment for inflation, total healthcare costs increased 29.7% from 2007 to 2014 (Table 1), with increases primarily observed during the first year after diagnosis. Out-of-pocket costs remained relatively stable, and accounted for 5.3% of the total spending. Approximately 80% of the total costs were related to care received in the outpatient setting. Factors independently associated with above average spending included treatment with mastectomy [OR 1.78 (95% CI 1.5-2.1)], reconstruction [OR 3.0 (95% CI 2.6-3.5)], radiation [OR 4.0 (95% CI 3.4-4.7)] and chemotherapy [OR 18.4 (95% CI 16.6-20.3].

Table 1.Average healthcare spending over time Mean cost during first year after diagnosisMean cost during second year after diagnosisYear of diagnosistotalout-of-pockettotalout-of-pocket2007$80,296.17$4,271.25$16,559.21$1,907.012008$84,126.70$4,445.78$16,785.43$2,205.982009$88,331.45$4,728.42$17,005.68$2,214.932010$91,502.58$5,067.78$17,243.91$2,126.192011$93,826.40$5,089.45$16,862.45$2,027.962012$96,690.06$5,449.91$17,814.09$2,179.262013$104,064.93$5,678.19$17,087.47$2,115.972014$104,169.74$5,620.51$16,714.12$1,590.67

Conclusions: Breast cancer care is increasingly expensive during the first year after diagnosis, and costs are greatest for the recipients of more aggressive treatments. Costs during the second year after diagnosis have remained relatively stable.

Citation Format: Ruddy KJ, Sangaralingham LR, Freedman RA, Jemal A, Mougalian SS, Keegan T, Loprinzi CL, Gross CP, Henk HJ, Shah N. Trends in the cost of care for breast cancer among women with commercial insurance [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2018 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2018 Dec 4-8; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2019;79(4 Suppl):Abstract nr PD6-07.

Emerging cancer trends among young adults in the USA: analysis of a population-based cancer registry

BACKGROUND

Cancer trends in young adults, often under 50 years, reflect recent changes in carcinogenic exposures, which could foreshadow the future overall disease burden. Previous studies reported an increase in early onset colorectal cancer, which could partly reflect the obesity epidemic. We examined age-specific contemporary incidence trends in the USA for 30 common cancers, including 12 obesity-related cancers.

METHODS

We obtained incidence data for invasive cancers among people aged 25-84 years diagnosed from Jan 1, 1995, to Dec 31, 2014, for 25 population-based state registries in the USA. All patients in the registry were included in the analyses. We considered the 20 most common cancer types and 12 obesity-related cancers (30 cancer types in total). We used age-period-cohort modelling to estimate average annual percentage change in incidence rates by 5-year age group (25-29 years to 80-84 years in 5-year increments) and incidence rate ratios (IRR) by birth cohort (10-year overlapping birth cohorts from 1910-19 to 1980-89 in 5-year increments). No exclusion criteria were applied after including all invasive cancer cases based on age group and diagnosis year.

FINDINGS

From 1995 to 2014 there were 14 672 409 incident cases for 30 types of cancer. Incidence significantly increased for six of 12 obesity-related cancers (multiple myeloma, colorectal, uterine corpus, gallbladder, kidney, and pancreatic cancer) in young adults (25-49 years) with steeper rises in successively younger generations. Annual increases ranged from 1·44% (95% CI -0·60 to 3·53) for multiple myeloma to 6·23% (5·32-7·14) for kidney cancer at age 25-29 years, and ranged from 0·37% (0·03-0·72) for uterine corpus cancer to 2·95% (2·74-3·16) for kidney cancer at age 45-49 years. Compared with people born around 1950, IRRs for those born around 1985 ranged from 1·59 (95% CI 1·14-2·21) for multiple myeloma to 4·91 (4·27-5·65) for kidney cancer. Conversely, incidence in young adults increased in successively younger generations for only two cancers (gastric non-cardia cancer and leukaemia), and decreased for eight of the 18 additional cancers, including smoking and HIV infection-associated cancers.

INTERPRETATION

The risk of developing an obesity-related cancer seems to be increasing in a stepwise manner in successively younger birth cohorts in the USA. Further studies are needed to elucidate exposures responsible for these emerging trends, including excess bodyweight and other risk factors.

FUNDING

Intramural Research Department of the American Cancer Society and the Intramural Research Program of the National Cancer Institute.

Incidence Trends of Esophageal and Gastric Cancer Subtypes by Race, Ethnicity, and Age in the United States, 1997-2014

BACKGROUND & AIMS

There is limited information on contemporary incidence rates and trends, by race, ethnicity, and age, for major subtypes of esophageal and gastric cancer in the United States. We examined the most recent nationwide incidence data for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma, esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC), gastric cardia adenocarcinoma (GCA), and gastric non-cardia adenocarcinoma (GNCA) by race, ethnicity, and age in the United States.

METHODS

Average contemporary incidence rates (2010-2014) and annual percent changes in rates (from 1997 through 2014) by race, ethnicity, and age were calculated for each cancer subtype using nationwide data compiled by the North American Association of Central Cancer Registries.

RESULTS

From 1997 through 2014, overall esophageal squamous cell carcinoma incidence rates continuously decreased in both sexes and all racial and ethnic groups, although rates remained stable among younger non-Hispanic white women. Overall, EAC incidence rates decreased or stabilized during the most recent time period (2006-2007 through 2014) in men and women, after increasing from 1997 through 2006 and 2007. However, EAC incidence rates continued to increase from 1997 through 2014 in several subpopulations, including non-Hispanic white men younger than 50 years, non-Hispanic white women younger than 70 years, and Asian/Pacific Islander men (all ages combined). Overall GCA incidence rates increased among non-Hispanic whites, but decreased among Hispanics (men only) and Asian/Pacific Islanders. Although overall GNCA rates decreased in both sexes and all racial and ethnic groups, rates increased in younger age groups among men (all races and ethnicities combined) and non-Hispanic white, non-Hispanic black, and Hispanic women.

CONCLUSIONS

Using high-quality nationwide population-based data, we found increasing incidence trends for EAC, GCA, and GNCA in several subpopulations in the United States.

Disparities by province, age, and sex in site-specific cancer burden attributable to 23 potentially modifiable risk factors in China: a comparative risk assessment

BACKGROUND

Understanding disparities in the burden of cancer attributable to different risk factors is crucial to inform and improve cancer prevention and control. In this report, we estimate the site-specific population-attributable fractions (PAFs) for 23 potentially modifiable risk factors across all provinces in China.

METHODS

In this comparative risk assessment study, we used 2014 cancer mortality data for adults from 978 county-level surveillance points in 31 provinces of mainland China. Risk-factor prevalence estimates were obtained from representative surveys. We used summary relative risks obtained from several recent large-scale pooled analyses or high-quality meta-analyses of studies in China. We calculated PAFs using multiple formulae incorporating exposure prevalence and relative risk data stratified by age, sex and province and then combined to create summary PAFs by sex, cancer site, and risk factors.

FINDINGS

About 1 036 004 cancer deaths (45·2% of all cancer deaths [95% CI 44·0-46·4]) in China in 2014 in adults aged 20 years or older were attributable to 23 evaluated risk factors. The PAF was higher in men (51·2% [95% CI 50·0-52·4]) than in women (34·9% [33·6-36·2]), with the leading risk factors being active smoking in men and low fruit intake in women. By province, the PAF in both sexes combined ranged from 35·2% in Shanghai to 52·9% in Heilongjiang, while the PAF varied from 40·9% in Shanghai to 56·4% in Guangdong among men and from 26·9% in Shanghai to 48·0% in Heilongjiang among women. The highest PAF among men was smoking in all 31 provinces, whereas among women it varied among low fruit intake (14 provinces), hepatitis B virus infection (seven provinces), smoking (six provinces), excess bodyweight (three provinces), and human papilloma virus infection (one province).

INTERPRETATION

The PAFs of cancers attributable to potentially modifiable risk factors vary substantially across provinces in China. Regional adoption of effective primary cancer prevention strategies has a vast potential to reduce the burden of cancer and disparities in China. Smoking, poor diet, and infection warrant particular policy attention as they contributed a large proportion to the total cancer burden.

FUNDING

National Science and Technology Basic Research Special Foundation of China.

Patterns of Coverage Gains Among Young Adult Cancer Patients Following the Affordable Care Act

The dependent coverage expansion (DCE) and Medicaid expansions (ME) under the Affordable Care Act (ACA) may differentially affect eligibility for health insurance coverage in young adult cancer patients. Studies examining temporal patterns of coverage changes in young adults following these policies are lacking. We used data from the National Cancer Database 2003–2015 to conduct a quasi-experimental study of cancer patients ages 19–34 years, grouped as DCE-eligible (19- to 25-year-olds) and DCE-ineligible (27- to 34-year-olds). Although private insurance coverage in DCE-eligible cancer patients increased incrementally following DCE implementation (0.5 per quarter; P < .001), an immediate effect on Medicaid coverage gains was observed after ME in all young adult cancer patients (3.01 for DCE-eligible and 1.62 for DCE-ineligible, both P < .001). Therefore, DCE and ME each had statistically significant and distinct effects on insurance coverage gains. Distinct temporal patterns of ACA policies’ impact on insurance coverage gains likely affect patterns of receipt of cancer care. Temporal patterns should be considered when evaluating the impact of health policies.

Essential TNM: Evaluation of a Training Exercise in Sub-Saharan Africa

Information on cancer stage at diagnosis is largely missing or poorly documented among population-based cancer registries in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). In an early field trial of Essential TNM staging, it was observed that some training was needed to enable cancer registrars to abstract the correct TNM from case records. In November 2018, the Addis Ababa City Cancer Registry hosted a training course attended by 17 participants from 16 cancer registries in SSA. The participants were asked to stage 16 cancer cases (from anonymized photocopies of case records obtained from the Global Initiative for Cancer Registry Development) before and after the training. The discrepancy of the stages from before and after were scored and compared. Results showed that there was a substantial improvement in the participants' performance after the training. The application of the Essential TNM staging system, with training in its use, would allow cancer registrars in SSA to abstract cancer stage at diagnosis in a clinically recognized format, which is crucial for cancer control and public health care policy making.