Presalvage prostate-specific antigen (PSA) and PSA doubling time as predictors of biochemical failure of salvage cryotherapy in patients with locally recurrent prostate cancer after radiotherapy

A multicenter, prospective, phase II trial of second-line aflibercept plus FOLFIRI in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer refractory to an anti-EGFR antibody: HGCSG1801

Aflibercept (AFL) plus FOLFIRI prolongs overall survival (OS) in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). However, there is limited evidence on the efficacy and safety of AFL plus FOLFIRI previously treated with anti-epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) agents. Therefore, we conducted a prospective open-label phase II trial evaluating the efficacy and safety of AFL plus FOLFIRI in Japanese patients with mCRC failing a prior oxaliplatin-based chemotherapy plus an anti-EGFR agent. AFL (4 mg/kg iv) followed by FOLFIRI (irinotecan 180 mg/m2, leucovorin 200 mg/m2 iv, bolus 5-fluorouracil [5-FU] 400 mg/m2, and infusional 5-FU 2400 mg/m2/46 h) was given every 2 weeks until progression or unacceptable toxicities. The primary endpoint was progression-free survival (PFS) rate at 6 months. Forty three patients were enrolled between November 2019 and October 2022. The primary endpoint was met: 6-month PFS rate was 58.8% (90% confidence interval [CI], 45.7%-72.0%). Median PFS and OS were 7.3 months (95% CI, 5.5-11.0 months) and 18.8 months (95% CI, 12.9-26.6 months), respectively. The overall response rate was 20.9% (95% CI, 10.0-36.0%) and disease control rate was 88.4% (95% CI, 74.9-96.1%). The main grade ≥3 adverse events included hypertension (62.8%), neutropenia (55.8%), leukopenia (25.6%), febrile neutropenia (11.6%), fatigue (9.3%), anorexia (9.3%), proteinuria (9.3%), and diarrhea (7.0%). No deaths and no new safety signals with a causal relation to the study treatment were observed. This study suggests that AFL plus FOLFIRI shows a high response rate and a manageable safety profile in Japanese patients with mCRC who failed prior oxaliplatin-based chemotherapy plus an anti-EGFR agent.

Language barriers in head and neck cancer: Matched pair analysis of outcomes between non-English speaking and English-speaking patients

PURPOSE

As society grows in cultural diversity, an increasing proportion of patients are expected to be from non-English speaking backgrounds. This study sought to compare the clinical outcomes between non-English speakers and English speakers treated by radiation therapy for head and neck cancer.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

Seventy-five non-English speaking patients with squamous cell carcinoma of the head and neck were matched to English-speaking controls based on patient and disease variables; clinical outcomes were compared.

RESULTS

Non-English speaking patients had inferior 3-year overall survival (64% vs. 77%, p = 0.02) and progression-free survival (59% vs. 73%, p = 0.01) compared with the English-speaking cohort. On logistical regression, non-English-speaking status was associated with a significantly increased risk of overall death (OR = 1.41; 95% CI, 1.09-1.92).

CONCLUSIONS

Prognosis differed significantly between non-English speaking and English-speaking patients. Culturally tailored programs to address language barriers should be considered to ameliorate disparities in outcome.

Head-to-head comparison of treatment sequences in advanced pancreatic cancer-Real-world data from the prospective German TPK clinical cohort study

There are no clear guidelines regarding the optimal treatment sequence for advanced pancreatic cancer, as head-to-head phase III randomised trials are missing. We assess real-world effectiveness of three common sequential treatment strategies by emulating a hypothetical randomised trial. This analysis included 1551 patients with advanced pancreatic cancer from the prospective, clinical cohort study Tumour Registry Pancreatic Cancer receiving FOLFIRINOX (n = 613) or gemcitabine/nab-paclitaxel (GEMNAB; n = 938) as palliative first-line treatment. We used marginal structural modelling to compare overall survival (OS) and time to deterioration (TTD) of health-related quality of life (HRQoL) between three common first- to second-line treatment sequences, adjusting for time-varying potential confounding. The sequences were: FOLFIRINOX→GEMNAB, GEMNAB→FOLFOX/OFF and GEMNAB→nanoliposomal irinotecan (NALIRI) + 5-fluorouracil. Outcome was also calculated stratified by patients' prognostic risk according to the Pancreatic Cancer Score. Median OS and TTD of HRQoL independent of risk were 10.7 [8.9, 11.9] and 6.4 [4.8, 7.7] months for FOLFIRINOX→GEMNAB, 8.4 [7.4, 9.7] and 5.8 [4.6, 7.1] months for GEMNAB→FOLFOX/OFF and 8.9 [7.8, 10.4] and 4.6 [4.1, 6.1] months for GEMNAB→NALIRI+5-fluorouracil. Compared to FOLFIRINOX→GEMNAB, OS and TTD were worse for poor-risk patients with GEMNAB→FOLFOX/OFF (OS: HR 2.09 [1.47, 2.98]; TTD: HR 1.97 [1.19, 3.27]) and those with GEMNAB→NALIRI+5-fluorouracil (OS: HR 1.35, [0.76, 2.39]; TTD: HR 2.62 [1.56, 4.42]). Brackets denote 95%-confidence intervals. The estimated real-world effectiveness of the three treatment sequences evaluated were largely comparable. Poor-risk patients might benefit from intensified treatment with FOLFIRINOX→GEMNAB in terms of clinical and patient-reported outcomes. Future randomised trials on sequential treatments in advanced pancreatic cancer are warranted.

Prognostic significance of circulating tumor cells and tumor related transcripts in small cell lung cancer: A step further to clinical implementation

Small-cell lung cancer (SCLC) is a fatal disease with limited treatment options. Circulating tumor cells (CTCs) in liquid biopsy samples may serve as predictive and prognostic biomarkers; but the analysis of CTCs is still challenging. By using microfluidic or density gradient CTC enrichment in combination with immunofluorescent (IF) staining or qPCR of CTC-related transcripts, we achieved a 60.8% to 88.0% positivity in SCLC blood samples. Epithelial and neuroendocrine transcripts including the druggable target DLL3 were associated with shorter overall survival (OS), indicating the clinical value of these markers in terms of differential diagnosis and treatment decisions. High CTC counts and the presence of CTC duplets detected by IF staining were prognostic for OS, and thus may serve as indicators of disease progression or therapy failure. In patient samples with high CTC load detected by IF staining, a concordance of the transcripts positivity in circulating free plasma RNA and CTCs was observed. Our data emphasize the role of CTCs and CTC-related transcripts and underline the clinical value of liquid biopsy analysis in SCLC.

Extended distal femur resection: Megaprosthesis with telescopic bone allograft augmentation versus total femur prosthesis

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Oncological distal femur resections can leave a proximal femur too short to host a stem. Reconstructive techniques are then challenging. The purpose of the study is to compare implant survival, complication rate and MSTS of two different options.

METHODS

We retrospectively divided 33 patients with primary bone tumours of distal femur in Group 1 (16 patients reconstructed with knee megaprosthesis with proximal bone augmentation, APC) and Group 2 (17 patients reconstructed with total femur prosthesis, TFP). Less than 12 cm of remaining proximal femur were planned for all resections.

RESULTS

MSTS score at 2 years is 25 ± 5 for Group 1 and 19 ± 7 for Group 2 (confidence interval [C.I.] 95%, p = 0.02). At 5 years it is 27 ± 2 for Group 1 and 22 ± 6 for Group 2 (C.I. 95%, p = 0.047). Failure and complication rates are lower for Group 1, but no statistical significance was reached. In APC reconstruction, union at the host-allograft junction was achieved in 16 out of 16 patients using the telescopic bone augmentation technique.

CONCLUSIONS

APC provides higher functional results compared to TFP after extended distal femur resection. In APC reconstruction, telescopic augmentation is excellent for achieving union at the host-allograft junction.

Patient-reported outcomes in advanced NSCLC before and during the COVID-19 pandemic: Real-world data from the German prospective CRISP Registry (AIO-TRK-0315)

Patients with lung cancer under treatment have been associated with a high risk of COVID-19 infection and potentially worse outcome, but real-world data on patient-reported outcomes (PROs) are rare. We assess patients' characteristics and PROs before and during the COVID-19 pandemic in an advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) cohort in Germany. Patients with locally advanced or metastatic NSCLC from the prospective, multicentre, observational CRISP Registry (NCT02622581) were categorised as pre-pandemic (March 2019 to Feb 2020, n = 1621) and pandemic (March 2020 to Feb 2021, n = 1317). From baseline to month 15, patients' health-related quality of life (HRQoL) was assessed by FACT-L, anxiety and depression by PHQ-4. Association of pandemic status with time to deterioration (TTD) in QoL scales adjusted for potential covariates was estimated using Cox modelling. PROs were documented for 1166 patients (72%) in the pre-pandemic, 979 (74%) in the pandemic group. Almost 60% of patients were male, median age was 66 years, comorbidities occurred in 85%. Regarding HRQoL, mean-change-from-baseline plots hardly differed between both samples. Approximately 15%-21% of patients reported anxiety, about 19%-27% signs of depression. For the pandemic group, TTD was slightly, but statistically significantly, worse for the physical well-being-FACT-G subscale (HR 1.15 [95%CI 1.02-1.30]) and the anxiety-GAD-2 subscale (HR 1.14 [95%CI 1.01-1.29]). These prospectively collected real-world data provide valuable insights into PROs before and during the COVID-19 pandemic in advanced NSCLC. For the patients, the pandemic seemed to be less of a burden than the disease itself, as there was a considerable proportion of patients with anxiety and depression in both groups.

Correlation between marital status and the prognosis of older patients with cerebrovascular disease in intensive care units: A retrospective cohort study

Background and Aims

Marital status has been shown to be associated with mortality, but evidence in critically ill elder intensive care unit (ICU) patients with cerebrovascular diseases (CeVD) is limited. This study was to explore the correlation between marital status and the prognosis of patients with CeVD aged 65 years and over in the ICU.

Methods

In the present study, 3564 patients were enrolled in the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV database (version 2.2). Patients were divided into four groups based on marital status: married, single, divorced, and widowed. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality as patients were followed up for 3-, 6-, 9-, and 12-month. All-cause mortality risk for patients with different marital status was compared. Univariate and multivariable logistic regression analyses, survival curves and stratified analyses were performed to determine the correlation between marital status and mortality in critically ill patients with CeVD aged ≥65 years.

Results

Of the patients, 51.2% (1825/3564) were married, followed by 23.8% (847/3564) were widowed, 18.2% (647/3564) were single, and 6.9% (245/3567) were divorced. Compared with the married, the unmarried had a higher proportion of female (p < 0.001), older (p < 0.001), and less proportion of mechanical ventilation (p = 0.045). Multivariate analyses showed that no differences were observed for mortality risk among different marital statuses (p > 0.05), while at late follow-up, widowed had a significance higher mortality risk than the married (9-month: odds ratio [OR]: 1.30, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.05-1.61, p = 0.02; 12-month: OR: 1.38, 95% CI: 1.12-1.71, p = 0.003). Stratified analyses indicated a stable correlation between marital status and 12-month mortality rate in sub-analysis for gender (p = 0.46) and age (p = 0.35).

Conclusion

Marital status is associated with long-term prognosis in older patients with CeVD admitted to ICU. Widowed people should receive more societal attention irrespective of sex or age.

Canadian cancer trials group LY.17: A randomized phase II study evaluating novel salvage therapy pre-autologous stem cell transplant in relapsed/refractory diffuse large B-cell lymphoma-outcome of rituximab-dose-intensive cyclophosphamide, etoposide, cisplatin (R-DICEP) versus R-GDP

The Canadian Cancer Trials Group (CCTG) LY.17 is an ongoing multi-arm randomized phase II trial evaluating novel salvage therapies compared with R-GDP (rituximab, gemcitabine, dexamethasone and cisplatin) in autologous stem cell transplantation (ASCT)-eligible patients with relapsed/refractory diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (RR-DLBCL). This component of the LY.17 trial evaluated a dose-intensive chemotherapy approach using a single cycle of inpatient R-DICEP (rituximab, dose-intensive cyclophosphamide, etoposide and cisplatin) to achieve both lymphoma response and stem cell mobilization, shortening time to ASCT. This report is the result of the protocol-specified second interim analysis of the 67 patients who were randomized to either 1 cycle of R-DICEP or to 3 cycles of R-GDP. The overall response rate (ORR) was 65.6% for R-DICEP and 48.6% for R-GDP. The ASCT rate was 71.9% versus 54.3%, and 1-year progression-free survival rate was 42% versus 32%, respectively, for R-DICEP versus R-GDP. Although the improvement in ORR for R-DICEP versus R-GDP exceeded the pre-specified 10% threshold to proceed to full accrual of 64 patients/arm, higher rates of grade 3-5 toxicities, and the need for hospitalization led to the decision to stop this arm of the study. CCTG LY.17 will continue to evaluate different salvage regimens that incorporate novel agents.

Nivolumab plus chemotherapy or ipilimumab versus chemotherapy in patients with advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (CheckMate 648): 29-month follow-up from a randomized, open-label, phase III trial

BACKGROUND

First-line nivolumab plus chemotherapy and nivolumab plus ipilimumab both demonstrated significant overall survival (OS) benefit versus chemotherapy in previously untreated patients with advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) in the CheckMate 648 trial, leading to approvals of both nivolumab-containing regimens in many countries. We report longer-term follow-up data.

METHODS

This open-label, phase III trial (NCT03143153) enrolled adults with previously untreated, unresectable, advanced, recurrent, or metastatic ESCC. Patients were randomized 1:1:1 to nivolumab plus chemotherapy, nivolumab plus ipilimumab, or chemotherapy. Primary endpoints were OS and progression-free survival (PFS) by blinded independent central review. Hierarchical testing was performed first in patients with tumor cell programmed death ligand 1 (PD-L1) expression of ≥1% and then in the overall population.

RESULTS

A total of 970 patients were randomly assigned. After 29 months of minimum follow-up, nivolumab plus chemotherapy continued to demonstrate improvement in OS versus chemotherapy (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.59 [95% CI: 0.46-0.76]) in patients with tumor cell PD-L1 expression of ≥1% and in the overall population (HR = 0.78 [95% CI: 0.65-0.93]) and with nivolumab plus ipilimumab versus chemotherapy (HR = 0.62 [95% CI: 0.48-0.80]) in patients with tumor cell PD-L1 expression of ≥1% and in the overall population (HR = 0.77 [95% CI: 0.65-0.92]). In patients with tumor cell PD-L1 expression of ≥1%, nivolumab plus chemotherapy demonstrated PFS benefit versus chemotherapy (HR = 0.67 [95% CI: 0.51-0.89]); PFS benefit was not observed with nivolumab plus ipilimumab versus chemotherapy (HR = 1.04 [95% CI: 0.79-1.36]). Among all treated patients (n = 936), Grade 3-4 treatment-related adverse events were reported in 151 (49%, nivolumab plus chemotherapy), 105 (32%, nivolumab plus ipilimumab), and 110 (36%, chemotherapy) patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Nivolumab plus chemotherapy and nivolumab plus ipilimumab continued to demonstrate clinically meaningful OS benefit versus chemotherapy with no new safety signals identified with longer follow-up, further supporting use as first-line standard treatment options for patients with advanced ESCC.

Utility of allogeneic stem cell transplantation for adult Ph+ALL with complete molecular remission

This study aimed to investigate the usefulness of allogeneic stem cell transplantation (allo-SCT) for Philadelphia chromosome-positive acute lymphoblastic leukemia (Ph+ALL) in the first complete remission (CR1) with complete molecular remission (CMR). We compared the outcomes between Ph+ALL patients who did or did not undergo allo-SCT in CR1. We included patients enrolled in the prospective clinical studies in the tyrosine kinase inhibitor era conducted by the Japan Adult Leukemia Study Group, who achieved CMR within 3 months. A total of 147 patients (allo-SCT: 101; non-SCT: 46) were eligible for this analysis. In the multivariate analyses, allo-SCT was significantly associated with both superior overall survival (OS) (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR): 0.54; 95% CI: 0.30-0.97; p = .04) and relapse-free survival (RFS) (aHR: 0.21; 95% CI: 0.12-0.38; p < .001). The 5-year adjusted OS and RFS were 73% and 70% in the allo-SCT cohort, whereas they were 50% and 20% in the non-SCT cohort. Despite the higher non-relapse mortality (aHR: 3.49; 95% CI: 1.17-10.4; p = .03), allo-SCT was significantly associated with a lower relapse rate (aHR: 0.10; 95% CI: 0.05-0.20; p < .001). In addition, allo-SCT was also associated with superior graft-versus-host disease-free, relapse-free survival (aHR: 0.43; 95% CI: 0.25-0.74; p = .002). Propensity score-matched analyses confirmed the results of the multivariate analyses. In patients who achieved CMR within 3 months, allo-SCT in CR1 had superior survival and lower relapse compared with the non-SCT cohort.

Adolescents and young adults with rhabdomyosarcoma: A report from the Soft Tissue Sarcoma Committee of the Children's Oncology Group

INTRODUCTION

The impact of established prognostic factors on survival outcomes for childhood rhabdomyosarcoma (RMS) have not been well described in the adolescent and young adult (AYA) RMS patient population.

METHODS

This is a retrospective analysis of patients with newly diagnosed RMS enrolled between 1997 and 2016 on seven previously reported Children's Oncology Group (COG) clinical trials. Demographics, clinical features, treatment details, and outcome data were collected. Five-year event-free survival (EFS) and overall survival (OS) were estimated for patients diagnosed at age 15-39 years and those diagnosed under age 15 years using the Kaplan-Meier method. Log-rank test was used to compare prognostic factors for EFS and OS. Factors significant in the univariable analysis were included in a Cox proportional hazards regression model. Nonsignificant covariates were removed from the multiple regression model.

RESULTS

Total 2151 patients including 402 AYAs were analyzed. AYAs were more likely to present with primary tumors ≥5 cm in size, metastatic disease, alveolar histology, and have FOXO1 fusions compared to children. Five-year EFS for the AYA cohort was 44.2% versus 67% for children (p < .001), and 5-year OS was 52% for the AYA cohort versus 78% for children (p < .001). Multivariable analysis revealed tumor site, size and invasiveness, clinical group, and histology were prognostic in AYAs.

CONCLUSION

AYAs with RMS have a poorer prognosis compared to younger children due to multiple factors. Further research focused on AYAs to better understand RMS biology and improve treatments is critical to improve survival.

Beyond 5-year survival. A report from the Cooperative Osteosarcoma Study Group (COSS)

PURPOSE

Prognostic factors have been well described for osteosarcoma, but analyses evaluating the further course of long-term survivors are lacking. We used the large database of the Cooperative Osteosarcoma Study Group (COSS) to perform such an analysis.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

The COSS database 1980-04/2019 was searched for 5-year survivors of primary high-grade central osteosarcoma of the extremities or trunk. Identified patients were analyzed for their further survival outcomes, assessing potentially prognostic and predictive factors already evident at initial disease presentation and treatment as well as their disease course during the first 5 years of follow-up.

RESULTS

Two thousand and nine former eligible patients were identified (median age at initial diagnosis 15.1 (2.5-63.0) years; male vs. female 1149 (57.2%) vs. 860 (42.8%); extremities vs. trunk 1927 (95.9%) vs. 82 (4.1%); extremity primaries <1/3 vs. ≥1/3 of the involved bone 997 (67.8%) vs. 474 (32.2%) (456 unknown); localized vs. primary metastatic 1881 (93.6%) vs. 128 (6.4%); osteosarcoma as a secondary malignancy 41/2009 (2.0%)). Therapy starting by chemotherapy versus primary surgery 1860 (92.6%) versus 149 (7.4%); definitive tumor surgery by limb salvage versus ablative 1347 (67.0%) versus 659 (1 no surgery, 2 unknown); tumor response to preoperative chemotherapy documented for 1765 (94.9%) patients receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy, good (<10% viable tumor) versus poor 1130 (64.0%) versus 635 (36.0%), local radiotherapy documented for 19 (0.9%) tumors. Recurrence during preceding 5 years no versus yes 1681 (83.7%) versus 328 (16.3%). Median follow-up starting 5 years after initial diagnosis 6.1 (0.002-32.2) years; 1815 survivors and 194 deaths. Overall survival after another 5/10/15/20 years 91.7%/88.9%/85.8%/83.4% for all patients; 97.5%/95.2%/92.4%/89.9% if in remission years 1-5 versus 62.7%/57.3%/53.0%/51.2% if recurrence year 1-5 (p < 0.001). Significant predictors of survival for all patients age at diagnosis (p = 0.038), tumor site (p = 0.030), having experienced the osteosarcoma as secondary malignancy (p < 0.001), tumor response to preoperative chemotherapy (p = 0.002). Multivariate Cox regression testing possible for 1759 (87.6%) patients with complete dataset: Having had a recurrence in years 1-5 (p < 0.001), older age at diagnosis (p = 0.009), and osteosarcoma as secondary malignancy (p = 0.013) retained significance.

DISCUSSION

Highly important predictors of death such as the extent of tumor response to chemotherapy no longer remain valid after 5-year survival. The individual history of malignancies and their outcomes seems to gain pivotal importance.

CONCLUSION

This benchmark analysis clearly defined risk factors for the further course of 5-year survivors from osteosarcoma. It argues for large disease-oriented databases as well as for very long follow-up periods. Novel findings will most likely require innovative statistical models to analyze such cohorts.

Extracranial germ cell tumours: Mature and immature (1990-2015). First report by the South African Association of Paediatric Haematology Oncology (SAAPHO)

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Outcomes of rare paediatric teratomas have not previously been reported nor treatment regimens standardised in low- and middle-income settings. We sought to evaluate treatment outcomes of children and adolescents with histologically confirmed extracranial germ cell tumours, both mature teratomas (MT) and immature teratomas (IT) in preparation for the development of the South African national treatment guideline.

METHODS

Retrospective data by folder review were collated from nine South African paediatric oncology units. Kaplan-Meier analysis with Cox regression was performed to determine 5-year overall survival (OS) and prognostic factors.

RESULTS

From January 1990 to December 2015, 60 patients were diagnosed with MTs; 14 males (median age 2 months; interquartile range [IQR]: 0-8.75 months) and 46 females (median age 9 months; IQR: 0-88.5 months). Forty patients were diagnosed with ITs; 10 males (median age less than 1 month; IQR: 0-1.75 months) and 30 females (median age 4.5 months; IQR: 1-162 months). There were high rates of upfront surgical resections in patients with MTs (58/60; 96.6%) and ITs (36/40; 90%), and similarly satisfactory rates of complete resection in patients with both MTs (55/60; 91.7%) and ITs (32/40; 80%). The 5-year OS for the whole group was 85.4%, significantly influenced by stage: Stage I (96.9%), Stage II (100%), Stage III (38.9%) (p < .001 [MT]; p = .013 [IT]). The event-free survival (EFS) ratio for the whole cohort was 78.7%.

CONCLUSIONS

Five-year OS for those with low-stage disease was excellent, but was poorer for patients with advanced disease. The implementation of a national treatment guideline will facilitate the standardising of surgical approaches, indications for chemotherapy and specifications for follow-up to improve survival and to collect more robust late effects data.

Variant histology of pediatric nodular lymphocyte-predominant Hodgkin lymphoma with IgD and CD30 expression

BACKGROUND

Nodular lymphocyte-predominant Hodgkin lymphoma (NLPHL), recently known as nodular lymphocyte-predominant B-cell lymphoma (NLPBL), accounts for 5%-10% of Hodgkin lymphoma (HL). Different morphologic patterns of NLPBL are identified and categorized as typical patterns (type A and B) and variant histologic patterns (types C, D, E, and F).

PATIENTS AND METHOD

We investigated different morphologic patterns, CD30 and IgD expression in pediatric patients with NLPBL diagnosed at the Children's Cancer Hospital Egypt.

RESULTS

Forty-six (53%) of the patients exhibited a typical histologic pattern, whereas the remaining (47%) exhibited variant histologic pattern. Variant histology is associated with unfavorable clinical characteristics, such as advanced stages, B-symptoms, and extranodal involvements, particularly bone marrow and bone infiltration, with p-values of .06, .05, and 0.01%, respectively. Additionally, 39% of patients with variant histology experienced disease progression or relapse, compared to only 15.2% of patients with typical patterns (p = .009). Types C and D are related to decreased event-free survival (EFS), as shown by a p-value of .05. The 5-year EFS for patients with variant histology was 94.4% for the rituximab, cyclophosphamide, vincristine, doxorubicin, and prednisone (RCHOP) versus 33.3% for the adriamycin, bleomycin, vinblastine, and dacarbazine (ABVD). IgD expression in lymphocyte-predominant (LP) cells was detected in 44 (50%) patients, while CD30 expression in LP cells was found in 39 (44%) patients.

CONCLUSION

Variant histology of NLPBL was associated with advanced disease stages and a poor prognosis, while expression of IgD and CD30 in LP cells was not. The poor outcome of variant histology improved with the RCHOP regimen.

Survival outcomes and surgical morbidity based on surgical approach to pulmonary metastasectomy in pediatric, adolescent and young adult patients with osteosarcoma

BACKGROUND

Thoracotomy is considered the standard surgical approach for the management of pulmonary metastases in osteosarcoma (OST). Several studies have identified the advantages of a thoracoscopic approach, however, the clinical significance of thoracotomy compared to thoracoscopy is yet to be evaluated in a randomized trial.

AIMS

The primary aim was to determine the survival outcomes in OST patients based on surgical approach for pulmonary metastasectomy (PM) and secondary aim was to assess the post-operative morbidities of OST PM through various surgical approaches.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We conducted a single institution retrospective study to compare survival outcomes and surgical morbidity according to the surgical approach of the management of pulmonary metastases in patients with OST.

RESULTS

Sixty-one patients with OST underwent PM. Twenty-one patients were metastatic at diagnosis and underwent PM during primary treatment; nine had thoracotomy, six thoracoscopy, and six combined thoracoscopy with thoracotomy (CTT). Forty-three patients with first pulmonary relapse or progression underwent PM; 18 had thoracotomy, 16 thoracoscopy and nine CTT. There was no difference in survival between surgical approaches. There were significantly more postoperative morbidities associated with thoracotomy for initial PM (pain and postoperative chest tube placement), and for PM at first relapse (pneumothoraces, pain, Foley catheter use and prolonged hospitalizations).

CONCLUSION

Our study demonstrates that patients with OST pulmonary metastases have comparable poor outcomes despite varying surgical approaches for PM. There were significantly more postoperative morbidities associated with thoracotomy for PM. Surgical bias and other competing risks could not be assessed given the limitations of a retrospective study and may be addressed in a prospective trial evaluating surgical approach for PM in OST.

Automated, machine learning-based alerts increase epilepsy surgery referrals: A randomized controlled trial

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether automated, electronic alerts increased referrals for epilepsy surgery.

METHODS

We conducted a prospective, randomized controlled trial of a natural language processing-based clinical decision support system embedded in the electronic health record (EHR) at 14 pediatric neurology outpatient clinic sites. Children with epilepsy and at least two prior neurology visits were screened by the system prior to their scheduled visit. Patients classified as a potential surgical candidate were randomized 2:1 for their provider to receive an alert or standard of care (no alert). The primary outcome was referral for a neurosurgical evaluation. The likelihood of referral was estimated using a Cox proportional hazards regression model.

RESULTS

Between April 2017 and April 2019, at total of 4858 children were screened by the system, and 284 (5.8%) were identified as potential surgical candidates. Two hundred four patients received an alert, and 96 patients received standard care. Median follow-up time was 24 months (range: 12-36 months). Compared to the control group, patients whose provider received an alert were more likely to be referred for a presurgical evaluation (3.1% vs 9.8%; adjusted hazard ratio [HR] = 3.21, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.95-10.8; one-sided p = .03). Nine patients (4.4%) in the alert group underwent epilepsy surgery, compared to none (0%) in the control group (one-sided p = .03).

SIGNIFICANCE

Machine learning-based automated alerts may improve the utilization of referrals for epilepsy surgery evaluations.

Autologous peripheral blood stem cell transplantation for Philadelphia chromosome-positive acute lymphoblastic leukemia is safe but poses challenges for long-term maintenance of molecular remission: Results of the Auto-Ph17 study

Autologous hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (SCT) is not a standard treatment option for Philadelphia chromosome-positive acute lymphoblastic leukemia (Ph+ALL); however, its position has been reassessed since the introduction of tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs). We prospectively analyzed the efficacy and safety of autologous peripheral blood SCT (auto-PBSCT) for Ph+ALL patients aged between 55 and 70 years who had achieved complete molecular remission. Melphalan, cyclophosphamide, etoposide, and dexamethasone were used for conditioning. A total of 12 courses of maintenance therapy, including dasatinib, were performed. The required number of CD34⁺ cells was harvested in all five patients. No patient died within 100 days after auto-PBSCT, and no unexpected serious adverse events were observed. Although 1-year event-free survival was 100%, hematological relapse was observed in three patients at a median of 801 days (range, 389-1088 days) after auto-PBSCT. Molecular progressive disease was observed in the other two patients, although they maintained their first hematological remission at the last visit. Auto-PBSCT can be safely performed for Ph+ALL with TKIs. A limitation of auto-PBSCT was suggested, despite the increase in the intensity of a single treatment. The development of long-term therapeutic strategies by including new molecular targeted drugs is warranted to maintain long-term molecular remission.

Bendamustine plus rituximab for the treatment of Waldenström Macroglobulinemia: Patient outcomes and impact of bendamustine dosing

Bendamustine and rituximab (BR) therapy is commonly used in the treatment of Waldenström Macroglobulinemia (WM). The impact dose of Bendamustine dose on response and survival outcomes is not well-established, and the impact of its use in different treatment settings is not clear. We aimed to report response rates and survival outcomes following BR, and clarify the impact of depth of response and bendamustine dose on survival. A total of 250 WM patients treated with BR in the frontline or relapsed settings were included in this multicenter, retrospective cohort analysis. Rates of partial response (PR) or better differed significantly between the frontline and relapsed cohorts (91.4% vs 73.9%, respectively; p < 0.001). Depth of response impacted survival outcomes: two-year predicted PFS rates after achieving CR/VGPR vs PR were 96% versus 82%, respectively (p = 0.002). Total bendamustine dose was predictive of PFS: in the frontline setting, PFS was superior in the group receiving ≥1000 mg/m² compared with those receiving 800-999 mg/m² (p = 0.04). In the relapsed cohort, those who received doses of <600 mg/m² had poorer PFS outcomes compared with those who received ≥600 mg/m² (p = 0.02). Attaining CR/VGPR following BR results in superior survival, and total bendamustine dose significantly impacts response and survival outcomes, in both frontline and relapsed settings.

Potential of fungi of the genus Trichoderma for biocontrol of Philaenus spumarius, the insect vector for the quarantine bacterium Xylella fastidosa

BACKGROUND

The meadow spittlebug Philaenus spumarius L. is the vector for the bacterium Xylella fastidiosa subspecies pauca, involved in olive quick decline syndrome (OQDS) in Salento (Italy). Control of P. spumarius is key to limiting transmission of the bacterium, and an innovative approach can be based on effective natural compounds and biocontrol agents. Entomopathogenic fungi are an important source of bioactive natural molecules that play a role in the relationship between microorganisms and insects.

RESULTS

Pathogenicity bioassays, performed by dipping adults of P. spumarius in either fungal culture suspension (120 mg mL^-1 ) or cell-free culture supernatant of Trichoderma chlorosporum GJS 91-150, showed, respectively, 97% and 87% death within 24 h. The effect was dose-dependent. In laboratory bioassays, the powdered fungal culture of T. chlorosporum GJS 91-150 did not exhibit pathogenic activity when injected into nymph spittle.

CONCLUSIONS

T. chlorosporum GJS 91-150 affected the survival of P. spumarius adults. The lethal effect was not associated with the development of mycelium on the cuticle, but seems due, at least partly, to fungal metabolites released in the culture medium. The fungus tested here has good potential for the development of effective low-environmental impact control strategies for P. spumarius and suppression of X. fastidiosa. © 2022 Society of Chemical Industry.

FOLFIRINOX or gemcitabine/nab-paclitaxel in advanced pancreatic adenocarcinoma: A novel validated prognostic score to facilitate treatment decision-making in real-world

There is no prospective, randomised head-to-head trial comparing first-line FOLFIRINOX and gemcitabine/nab-paclitaxel in advanced pancreatic cancer. We assess real-world effectiveness and quality of life (QoL) of both regimens using a new prognostic score. This analysis includes 1540 patients with advanced pancreatic cancer from the prospective, clinical cohort study Tumour Registry Pancreatic Cancer separated into learning (n = 1027) and validation sample (n = 513). The Pancreatic Cancer Score (PCS) was developed using multivariate Cox regression. We compared overall survival (OS) and time to deterioration (TTD) for longitudinal QoL between first-line FOLFIRINOX (n = 407) and gemcitabine/nab-paclitaxel (n = 655) according to patients' prognostic risk, after inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) by propensity score analysis. The PCS includes nine independent prognostic factors for survival: female sex, BMI ≥24/unknown, ECOG performance status ≥1, Charlson comorbidity index ≥1, tumour staging IV/unknown at primary diagnosis, liver metastases, bilirubin >1.5× upper limit of normal (ULN), leukocytes >ULN and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio ≥4. Median OS of the validation sample was 11.4 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 10.4-14.4), 8.5 (95% CI: 6.8-9.6) and 5.9 months (95% CI: 4.0-7.4) for favourable- (0-3 risk factors), intermediate- (4-5 factors) and poor-risk group (6-9 factors), respectively. After IPTW, only poor-risk patients had significantly longer median OS and TTD of overall QoL with FOLFIRINOX (OS: 6.9 months, 95% CI: 3.9-13.3; TTD: 10.6 months, 95% CI: 2.0-14.1) vs gemcitabine/nab-paclitaxel (OS: 4.0 months, 95% CI: 2.8-4.8; TTD: 4.1 months, 95% CI: 2.4-4.5). Our novel PCS may facilitate treatment decisions in clinical routine of advanced pancreatic cancer, since only poor-risk, but not favourable-risk patients, seem to benefit from intensified treatment with FOLFIRINOX.

A comparison of statistical methods for animal oncology studies

In pre-clinical oncology studies, tumor-bearing animals are treated and observed over a period of time in order to measure and compare the efficacy of one or more cancer-intervention therapies along with a placebo/standard of care group. A data analysis is typically carried out by modeling and comparing tumor volumes, functions of tumor volumes, or survival. Data analysis on tumor volumes is complicated because animals under observation may be euthanized prior to the end of the study for one or more reasons, such as when an animal's tumor volume exceeds an upper threshold. In such a case, the tumor volume is missing not-at-random for the time remaining in the study. To work around the non-random missingness issue, several statistical methods have been proposed in the literature, including the rate of change in log tumor volume and partial area under the curve. In this work, an examination and comparison of the test size and statistical power of these and other popular methods for the analysis of tumor volume data is performed through realistic Monte Carlo computer simulations. The performance, advantages, and drawbacks of popular statistical methods for animal oncology studies are reported. The recommended methods are applied to a real data set.

Multi-organ carcinogenicity by inhalation exposure to 2-Bromopropane in rats

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study was to investigate the carcinogenicity of 2-bromopropane (2-BP) in rats.

METHODS

Male and female F344 rats were exposed by whole body inhalation to 2-BP vapor at concentrations of 0, 67, 200, and 600 ppm for 6 h/day, 5 days/week for 2 years.

RESULTS

All rats of both sexes exposed to 600 ppm died or became moribund within 85 weeks. Death/moribundity was caused by 2-BP induced tumors. In males, significantly increased tumors were malignant Zymbal's gland tumors; sebaceous adenoma and basal cell carcinoma of the skin/appendage; adenocarcinoma of the small/large intestine; follicular cell adenoma of the thyroid; fibroma of the subcutis, and malignant lymphoma of the lymph node. In addition, an increased trend in tumor incidence was found in the preputial gland, lung, forestomach, pancreas islet, brain, and spleen. In females, significantly increased tumors were adenocarcinoma and fibroadenoma of the mammary gland, squamous cell papilloma of the vagina, and large granular lymphocytic leukemia of the spleen. In addition, an increased trend in tumor incidence was found in Zymbal's gland, the clitoral gland, skin, large intestine, pancreas islet, uterus, and subcutis. Particularly, malignant Zymbal's gland tumors were induced even in males exposed to the lowest concentration, 67 ppm.

CONCLUSION

Two-year inhalation exposure to 2-BP resulted in multi-organ carcinogenicity in rats. Based on sufficient evidence of carcinogenicity in this study, 2-BP has the potential to be a human carcinogen.

Postexposure-vaccine-prophylaxis against COVID-19

During the COVID-19 pandemic, postexposure-vaccine-prophylaxis is not a practice. Following exposure, only patient isolation is imposed. Moreover, no therapeutic prevention approach is applied. We asked whether evidence exists for reduced mortality rate following postexposure-vaccine-prophylaxis. To estimate the effectiveness of postexposure-vaccine-prophylaxis, we obtained data from the Israeli Ministry of Health registry. The study population consisted of Israeli residents aged 12 years and older, identified for the first time as PCR-positive for SARS-CoV-2, between December 20th, 2020 (the beginning of the vaccination campaign) and October 7th, 2021. We compared "recently injected" patients-that proved PCR-positive on the same day or on 1 of the 5 consecutive days after first vaccination (representing an unintended postexposure-vaccine-prophylaxis)s-to unvaccinated control group. Among Israeli residents identified PCR-positive for SARS-CoV-2, 11 687 were found positive on the day they received their first vaccine injection (BNT162b2) or on 1 of the 5 days thereafter. In patients over 65 years, 143 deaths occurred among 1412 recently injected (10.13%) compared to 255 deaths among the 1412 unvaccinated (18.06%), odd ratio (OR) 0.51 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.41-0.64; p < 0.001). A significant reduction in the death toll was observed among the 55-64 age group, with 8 deaths occurring among the 1320 recently injected (0.61%) compared to 24 deaths among the 1320 unvaccinated control (1.82%), OR 0.33 (95% CI: 0.13-0.76; p = 0.007). Postexposure-vaccine-prophylaxis is effective against death in COVID-19 infection.

Propensity score matching and stratification using multiparty data without pooling

Matching and stratification based on confounding factors or propensity scores (PS) are powerful approaches for reducing confounding bias in indirect treatment comparisons. However, implementing these approaches requires pooled individual patient data (IPD). The research presented here was motivated by an indirect comparison between a single-armed trial in acute myeloid leukemia (AML), and two external AML registries with current treatments for a control. For confidentiality reasons, IPD cannot be pooled. Common approaches to adjusting confounding bias, such as PS matching or stratification, cannot be applied as 1) a model for PS, for example, a logistic model, cannot be fitted without pooling covariate data; 2) pooling response data may be necessary for some statistical inference (e.g., estimating the SE of mean difference of matched pairs) after PS matching. We propose a set of approaches that do not require pooling IPD, using a combination of methods including a linear discriminant for matching and stratification, and secure multiparty computation for estimation of within-pair sample variance and for calculations involving multiple control sources. The approaches only need to share aggregated data offline, rather than real-time secure data transfer, as required by typical secure multiparty computation for model fitting. For survival analysis, we propose an approach using restricted mean survival time. A simulation study was conducted to evaluate this approach in several scenarios, in particular, with a mixture of continuous and binary covariates. The results confirmed the robustness and efficiency of the proposed approach. A real data example is also provided for illustration.

Outcomes after repeat hepatectomy for colorectal liver metastases from the colorectal liver operative metastasis international collaborative (COLOMIC)

BACKGROUND

Resection of colorectal liver metastasis (CLM) is beneficial when feasible. However, the benefit of second hepatectomy for hepatic recurrence in CLM remains unclear.

METHODS

The Colorectal Liver Operative Metastasis International Collaborative retrospectively examined 1004 CLM cases from 2000 to 2018 from a total of 953 patients. Hepatic recurrence after initial hepatectomy was identified in 218 patients. Kaplan-Meier analysis was performed for overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS). Propensity score matching (PSM) was performed to offset selection bias. Cox proportional-hazards regression was performed to identify risk factors associated with OS.

RESULTS

A total of 51 patients underwent second hepatectomy. Unadjusted median OS was 60.1 months in repeat-hepatectomy versus 38.3 months in the single-hepatectomy group (p = 0.015). In the PSM population, median OS remained significantly better in the repeat-hepatectomy group (60.1 vs. 33.1 months; p = 0.0023); median RFS was 12.4 months for the repeat-hepatectomy group, versus 9.8 months in the single-hepatectomy group (p = 0.0050). Repeat hepatectomy was associated with lower risk of death (hazard ratio: 0.283; p = 0.000012). Obesity, tobacco use, and high intraoperative blood loss were associated with significant risk of death (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

In CLM with hepatic recurrence, second hepatectomy was beneficial for OS. With PSM, the OS benefit of performing a second hepatectomy remained significant.

Time-dependent prediction of mortality and cytomegalovirus reactivation after allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation using machine learning

Allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) effectively treats high-risk hematologic diseases but can entail HCT-specific complications, which may be minimized by appropriate patient management, supported by accurate, individual risk estimation. However, almost all HCT risk scores are limited to a single risk assessment before HCT without incorporation of additional data. We developed machine learning models that integrate both baseline patient data and time-dependent laboratory measurements to individually predict mortality and cytomegalovirus (CMV) reactivation after HCT at multiple time points per patient. These gradient boosting machine models provide well-calibrated, time-dependent risk predictions and achieved areas under the receiver-operating characteristic of 0.92 and 0.83 and areas under the precision-recall curve of 0.58 and 0.62 for prediction of mortality and CMV reactivation, respectively, in a 21-day time window. Both models were successfully validated in a prospective, non-interventional study and performed on par with expert hematologists in a pilot comparison.

Integrin alpha 6 is upregulated and drives hepatocellular carcinoma progression through integrin α6β4 complex

Integrin α6 (ITGA6) forms integrin receptors with either integrin β1 (ITGB1) or integrin β4 (ITGB4). How it functions to regulate hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) progression is not well-elucidated. We found that ITGA6 RNA and protein expression levels are significantly elevated in human HCC tissues in comparison with paired adjacent nontumor tissues by RNA sequencing, RT-qPCR, Western blotting and immunofluorescence staining. Stable knockdown of ITGA6 with different ITGA6 shRNA expression lentivectors significantly inhibited proliferation, migration and anchorage-independent growth of HCC cell lines in vitro, and xenograft tumor growth in vivo. The inhibition of anchorage-dependent and -independent growth of HCC cell lines was also confirmed with anti-ITGA6 antibody. ITGA6 knockdown was shown to induce cell-cycle arrest at G0/G1 phase. Immunoprecipitation assay revealed apparent interaction of ITGA6 with ITGB4, but not ITGB1. Expression studies showed that ITGA6 positively regulates the expression of ITGB4 with no or negative regulation of ITGB1 expression. Finally, while high levels of ITGA6 and ITGB4 together were associated with significantly worse survival of HCC patients in TCGA data set, the association was not significant for high levels of ITGA6 and ITGB1. In conclusion, ITGA6 is upregulated in HCC tumors and has a malignant promoting role in HCC cells through integrin α6β4 complex. Thus, integrin α6β4 may be a therapeutic target for treating patients with HCC.

Pattern and predictors of sites of relapse in neuroblastoma: A report from the International Neuroblastoma Risk Group (INRG) project

PURPOSE

We sought to analyze biologic, clinical, and prognostic differences according to pattern of failure at the time of first relapse in neuroblastoma.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Children <21 years diagnosed with neuroblastoma between 1989 and 2017 with known site of first relapse (isolated local vs. distant only vs. combined local and distant sites) were identified from the International Neuroblastoma Risk Group (INRG) database. Data were compared between sites of relapse according to clinical features, biologic features, initial treatment, time to first relapse, and overall survival (OS) from time of first relapse.

RESULTS

Pattern of first relapse among 1833 children was 19% isolated local; 65% distant only; and 16% combined sites. All evaluated clinical and biologic variables with exception of tumor diagnosis differed statistically by relapse pattern, with patients with isolated local failure having more favorable prognostic features. Patients with stage 3 disease were more likely to have isolated local failure compared to all other stages (49% vs. 16%; p < .001). OS significantly differed by relapse pattern (5-year OS ± SE): isolated local: 64% ± 3%; distant only: 23% ± 2%; and combined: 26% ± 4% (p < .001). After controlling for age, stage, and MYCN status, patients with isolated local failure (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] = 0.46; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.33-0.62; p < .001) and distant-only failure (adjusted HR = 0.57; 95% CI: 0.45-0.71; p < .001) remained at decreased risk for death as compared to patients with combined failure.

CONCLUSION

Patients with distant-only and combined failures have a higher proportion of unfavorable clinical and biological features, and a lower survival than those with isolated local relapse.

Cardiovascular medications and long-term mortality among stroke survivors in the Brazilian Study of Stroke Mortality and Morbidity (EMMA)

AIM

To investigate the association between medication use and long-term all-cause mortality in a Brazilian stroke cohort.

METHODS

Both ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke were evaluated. Medication use was assessed as: never, only pre-stroke, only post-stroke, and continuous use. We evaluated anti-hypertensives, anti-diabetics, lipid-lowering drugs, anti-platelets, and anti-coagulants. Cox regression models were adjusted for sociodemographic and cardiovascular risk factors.

RESULTS

Among 1173 incident stroke cases (median age: 68; 86.8% were ischemic, 70% first-ever stroke), medication use was low (overall: 17.5% pre-stroke, 26.4% post-stroke, and 40% were under continuous use). Anti-hypertensives and anti-platelets (aspirin) were the continuous cardiovascular medications used most often, at 83.5% and 72%, respectively, while statins (39.7%) and anti-diabetics (31.3%) were the least used. Medication use (pre-stroke, post-stroke and continuous use) was associated with a reduction in all-cause mortality risk, particularly among those under continuous use (multivariable hazard ratio, 0.52; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.46-0.66) compared with never-users. Among ischemic stroke patients, this effect was similar (multivariable hazard ratio, 0.52; 95% CI, 0.40-0.68). No significant associations were evident among hemorrhagic stroke patients.

CONCLUSIONS

The risk of all-cause mortality was reduced by 48% among those with ischemic stroke under continuous use of medications. Secondary prevention should be emphasized more strongly in clinical practice. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2022; ••: ••-••.

Adjuvant immunotherapy in patients with high-risk muscle-invasive urothelial carcinoma: The potential impact of informative censoring

BACKGROUND

The results of 2 studies exploring adjuvant immune checkpoint inhibition (aCPI) in high-risk muscle-invasive urothelial cancer have yielded conflicting results. A trial employing placebo as the control arm demonstrated a significant prolongation in disease-free survival (DFS) whereas a trial employing observation as the control arm (IMvigor010) demonstrated no prolongation in DFS with CPI. Here, the authors aimed to estimate the aCPI benefit and to model the potential impact of informative censoring on trial results.

METHODS

Survival data from 1518 patients was reconstructed from Kaplan-Meier curves. A network meta-analysis approach was used to estimate aCPI benefit through the restricted mean disease-free survival time (RMDFST). To estimate the potential impact of informative censoring on IMvigor010, a simulation was performed. The minimum proportion of informative censoring on the observation arm that could account for the lack of observed improvement in DFS was estimated. Random variability from the time of censoring to progression was modeled using the exponential distribution.

RESULTS

Patients receiving aCPI had better DFS: ΔRMDFST at 36 months of 2.2 (95% CI, 0.6-3.7, P = .006) months relative to observation/placebo. In IMvigor010, in the observation arm, 20.5% of patients were censored due to consent withdrawal, protocol violation and/or noncompliance, or lost to follow-up versus 8.2% in the treatment arm. On simulation, it was found that the lack of observed improvement in DFS could have resulted from as few as 14% of the censored patients on observation arm not being censored at random (simulated DFS with 14% informative censoring hazard ratio, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.69-0.99; P = .049).

CONCLUSIONS

Phase 3 trials comparing adjuvant therapies to observation are at risk for informative censoring that could potentially impact interpretation of study results.

Efficacy of post-induction therapy for high-risk neuroblastoma patients with end-induction residual disease

BACKGROUND

High-risk neuroblastoma patients with end-induction residual disease commonly receive post-induction therapy in an effort to increase survival by improving the response before autologous stem cell transplantation (ASCT). The authors conducted a multicenter, retrospective study to investigate the efficacy of this approach.

METHODS

Patients diagnosed between 2008 and 2018 without progressive disease with a partial response or worse at end-induction were stratified according to the post-induction treatment: 1) no additional therapy before ASCT (cohort 1), 2) post-induction "bridge" therapy before ASCT (cohort 2), and 3) post-induction therapy without ASCT (cohort 3). χ2 tests were used to compare patient characteristics. Three-year event-free survival (EFS) and overall survival (OS) were estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method and survival curves were compared by log-rank test.

RESULTS

The study cohort consisted of 201 patients: cohort 1 (n = 123), cohort 2 (n = 51), and cohort 3 (n = 27). Although the end-induction response was better for cohort 1 than cohorts 2 and 3, the outcomes for cohorts 1 and 2 were not significantly different (P = .77 for EFS and P = .85 for OS). Inferior outcomes were observed for cohort 3 (P < .001 for EFS and P = .06 for OS). Among patients with end-induction stable metastatic disease, 3-year EFS was significantly improved for cohort 2 versus cohort 1 (P = .04). Cohort 3 patients with a complete response at metastatic sites after post-induction therapy had significantly better 3-year EFS than those with residual metastatic disease (P = .01).

CONCLUSIONS

Prospective studies to confirm the benefits of bridge treatment and the prognostic significance of metastatic response observed in this study are warranted.

Finding the right hazard function for time‐to‐event modeling: A tutorial and Shiny application

Parametric time‐to‐event analysis is an important pharmacometric method to predict the probability of an event up until a certain time as a function of covariates and/or drug exposure. Modeling is performed at the level of the hazard function describing the instantaneous rate of an event occurring at that timepoint. We give an overview of the parametric time‐to‐event analysis starting with graphical exploration by Kaplan–Meier plotting for the event data including censoring and nonparametric hazard estimators such as the kernel‐based visual hazard comparison for the underlying hazard. The most common hazard functions including the exponential, Gompertz, Weibull, log‐normal, log‐logistic, and circadian functions are described in detail. A Shiny application was developed to graphically guide the modeler which of the most common hazard functions presents a similar shape compared to the data in order to guide which hazard functions to test in the parametric time‐to‐event analysis. For the chosen hazard function(s), the Shiny application can additionally be used to explore corresponding parameter values to inform on suitable initial estimates for parametric modeling as well as on possible covariate or treatment relationships to certain parameters. Moreover, it can be used for the dissemination of results as well as communication, training, and workshops on time‐to‐event analysis. By guiding the modeler on which functions and what parameter values to test and compare as well as to assist in dissemination, the Shiny application developed here greatly supports the modeler in complicated parametric time‐to‐event modeling.

Survival outcomes of perineural spread in head and neck cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma

AIM

To present an institution's experience and survival outcomes for patients with head and neck cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (HNcSCC) and perineural spread (PNS).

METHOD

Retrospective study of patients with HNcSCC and PNS treated between January 2010 and August 2020 from the Sydney Head and Neck Cancer Institute database, Sydney, Australia; a high-volume, tertiary, academic head and neck centre. Patient demographics, primary site, involved cranial nerves, treatment modality, loco-regional failure and survival data were obtained.

RESULTS

Forty-five patients were identified, of which 32 patients were male (71%). Mean age at diagnosis was 68.7 years (range 43-90). Median follow-up was 16.1 months (range 1-107). The trigeminal nerve was most frequently involved (n = 30, 66.6%) followed by facial nerve (n = 13, 28.9%). Most patients underwent surgery followed by radiotherapy (n = 33, 73%) and eight received definitive radiotherapy. The median overall survival (OS) was 4.5 years (95% CI 3.71-5.38), median disease-specific survival 5.1 years (95% CI 4.21-5.97) and median disease-free survival (DFS) was 1.7 years (95% CI 1.11-2.22). The estimated 5-year OS and DFS were 45% and 25%, respectively. Patients treated with surgery and adjuvant radiotherapy with a clear proximal nerve margin had favourable DFS (P = 0.035) and trended towards better OS (P = 0.134) compared with patients with an involved nerve margin. Patients treated surgically with involved proximal nerve margins had similar outcomes compared with patients with treated definitive radiotherapy (HR 0.80, 95% CI 0.29-2.22, P = 0.664).

CONCLUSION

The likelihood of achieving a clear proximal nerve margin should be a strong consideration in the selection of appropriate patients for primary surgery.

Predictors and Outcomes of Dose Reduction of Methotrexate and Cyclosporin Graft-Versus-Host-Disease Prophylaxis Following Allogeneic Haematopoietic Cell Transplantation

BACKGROUND

Concern regarding dose-related toxicities of methotrexate (MTX) and cyclosporin (CYA) GVHD prophylaxis occasionally lead to dose alterations post allogeneic haematopoietic cell transplant (alloHCT).

AIM

To clarify causes of MTX and CYA dose alteration and assess impact on patient outcomes including GVHD, relapse, non-relapse mortality (NRM), and overall survival (OS).

METHOD

Analysis of retrospective data was performed in a single tertiary centre of patients who underwent alloHCT for any indication and who received GVHD prophylaxis with CYA and MTX between the years 2011 and 2015. Univariate analysis was conducted using the log-rank test for OS and using competing risk regression for NRM, relapse and GVHD. Fisher exact tests were used to determine if an association existed between each of the pre-transplant variables and MTX alteration. Multivariate models for OS and NRM were constructed using Cox proportional hazards modelling and competing risk regression respectively.

RESULTS

54/196 (28%) had MTX alterations and 61/187 (33%) had CYA alterations. Reasons for MTX alteration included mucositis, renal or liver impairment, fluid overload and sepsis. Causes of CYA alteration were numerous but most commonly due to acute kidney impairment. MTX alteration was associated with inferior OS (HR 2.4, P=<0.001) and higher NRM (OR 4.6, P<0.001) at 6 years(y) post-landmark. CYA alteration was associated with greater NRM (OR 2.7, P= 0.0137) at 6y. GVHD rates were unaffected by dose alteration.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest dose alteration in MTX and CYA GVHD prophylaxis is associated with adverse survival outcomes in alloHCT, without a significant impact on GVHD rates. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

Obesity in children with acute promyelocytic leukemia: What is its prevalence and prognostic significance?

OBJECTIVE

To compare outcomes of obese and nonobese pediatric patients with acute promyelocytic leukemia (APL) from the Cancer and Leukemia Group B trial (CALGB) 9710 and the Children's Oncology Group trial AAML0631.

METHODS

Data including demographics, adverse events, overall and event-free survival (EFS) were analyzed.

RESULTS

The prevalence of obesity was 34% on C9710 and 35% on AAML0631. There was significantly lower overall and EFS in the obese population on multivariable analysis on AAML0631 but not on CALGB 9710. Eleven patients died during therapy or in follow-up.

CONCLUSION

The prevalence of obesity is higher in pediatric patients with APL compared to the general population. The decreased EFS and OS in obese patients on AAML0631 suggest that the presence of obesity can influence outcomes using the most current treatment. These findings support the need for further research on the potential role of obesity in pediatric APL leukemogenesis.

The role of genetically engineered soybean and Amaranthus weeds on biological and reproductive parameters of Spodoptera cosmioides (Lepidoptera: Noctuidae)

BACKGROUND

In soybean fields containing insecticide- and herbicide-resistant genetically engineered varieties, some weed species have increasingly become difficult to manage and may favor the population growth of secondary pests like Spodoptera cosmioides (Walker) (Lepidoptera: Noctuidae). To test this hypothesis, we measured life-history traits, population growth parameters and adult nutrient content of S. cosmioides reared on foliage from four Amaranthus species, from Cry1Ac Bt and non-Bt soybean varieties, and on meridic artificial diet.

RESULTS

Larvae reared on A. palmeri and A. spinosus had a shorter development time (5-7 days) than larvae raised on the soybean varieties and A. hybridus. Armyworm survival probability was zero on A. viridis and highest (80% and 71%) on soybeans and A. palmeri. The latter and the artificial diet produced the heaviest larvae and pupae, in contrast to the non-Bt soybean variety. Body nutrient content diverged mostly for adults reared on artificial diet compared with those raised on the soybean varieties. The intrinsic rate of population increase (overall fitness) was 27.88% higher for the armyworms on A. palmeri, Cry1Ac Bt soybean and artificial diet compared with those on non-Bt soybean, A. spinosus and A. hybridus.

CONCLUSIONS

Cry1Ac soybean fields infested by some Amaranthus weeds, especially A. palmeri, are conducive to the population growth of S. cosmioides. Integrated pest management programs may be needed to properly manage S. cosmioides in soybean fields, with surveillance for population peaks and judicious control measures when needed. © 2022 Society of Chemical Industry.

Knockdown of ecdysteroid synthesis genes results in impaired molting and high mortality in Bactericera cockerelli (Hemiptera: Triozidae)

BACKGROUND

RNA-mediated interference (RNAi) has become a promising biopesticide technology with which to direct sequence-specific gene knockdown of key targets in the potato psyllid (PoP) Bactericera cockerelli, resulting in significant mortality. In this study, three strategically selected target genes, ATF4, C7 and D24, essential for the biosynthesis and regulation of ecdysteroids, were evaluated for knockdown and mortality using oral delivery of individual, paired and all three double-stranded RNAs (dsRNAs), in five replicated experiments. Knockdown was determined as the fold-change in gene expression using a quantitative polymerase chain reaction.

RESULTS

Knockdown of the D24 target, at 39%-45%, resulted in 51% PoP mortality by 10 days post-ingestion (dpi) of dsRNA. Knockdown of C7, at 38%-61%, resulted in 53% mortality by 10 dpi, whereas dsD24 ingestion resulted in 65% mortality by 10 dpi when dsD24 and dsC7 were co-delivered. Three phenotypes, INCOMEC, PREMEC and SWOLLEN, were observed at a frequency of 4%-12%, and are consistent with incomplete ecdysis in immature and/or adult PoP. Adult PoP exhibiting INCOMEC survived for several days but were unable to mate or fly, whereas SWOLLEN and PREMEC were lethal to the immature instars. Knockdown of ATF4 did not result in the mortality or malformations in immature and adult PoP.

CONCLUSIONS

Compared with knockdown of individual D24 and C7 targets, significantly greater RNAi penetrance was achieved following delivery of combined dsRNAs. The highest knockdown that resulted in incomplete ecdysis and/or mortality was obtained for targets with predicted involvement in the same or interacting pathway(s). Knockdown of ATF4 was apparently "rescued" by uncharacterized compensatory gene(s) or effects. © 2022 Society of Chemical Industry.

HSCT with mismatched unrelated donors: Bone marrow versus peripheral blood stem cells sources in pediatric patients

BACKGROUND

Allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) from an unrelated HLA-mismatched donor (MMUD) is one of the alternatives where an HLA-matched donor is not found. The aim of this study was to compare bone marrow (BM) versus peripheral blood stem cells (PBSC) as hematopoietic rescue following allogeneic unrelated mismatched stem cell transplantation (MMUD).

METHODS

The patients were divided into two groups: 43 pediatric patients were treated with BM and 17 pediatric patients with PBSC. The study was registered at ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04598789.

RESULTS

The 3-year Overall Survival (OS) was 74% versus 31% (p = .0011). Transplant related mortality (TRM) was 16% versus 33% (p = .025), and relapse incidence (RI) was 16% versus 35% (p = .005). The day-100 acute Graft-versus-host disease (GvHD) incidence grade II-IV and III-IV was 30% versus 28% (p = NS) and 17% versus 17% (p = NS). The 3-year chronic GvHD incidence was 22% versus 33% (p = NS).

CONCLUSION

Despite all the limits of this retrospective study we were able to show how the combination of BM and ATG is able to prevent GvHDs and guarantee a high OS. Future studies addressing the issue of a post-transplant cellular therapy approach may potentially reduce relapses when GvHD is absent.

Critical impact of radiotherapy protocol compliance and quality in the treatment of retroperitoneal sarcomas: Results from the EORTC 62092-22092 STRASS trial

BACKGROUND

The European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer 22092-62092 STRASS trial failed to demonstrate the superiority of neoadjuvant radiotherapy (RT) over surgery alone in patients with retroperitoneal sarcoma. Therefore, an RT quality-assurance program was added to the study protocol to detect and correct RT deviations. The authors report results from the trial RT quality-assurance program and its potential effect on patient outcomes.

METHODS

To evaluate the effect of RT compliance on survival outcomes, a composite end point was created. It combined the information related to planning target volume coverage, target delineation, total dose received, and overall treatment time into 2 groups: non-RT-compliant (NRC) for patients who had unacceptable deviation(s) in any of the previous categories and RT-compliant (RC) otherwise. Abdominal recurrence-free survival (ARFS) and overall survival were compared between the 2 groups using a Cox proportional hazard model adjusted for known prognostic factors.

RESULTS

Thirty-six of 125 patients (28.8%) were classified as NRC, and the remaining 89 patients (71.2%) were classified as RC. The 3-year ARFS rate was 66.8% (95% confidence interval [CI], 55.8%-75.7%) and 49.8% (95% CI, 32.7%-64.8%) for the RC and NRC groups, respectively (adjusted hazard ratio, 2.32; 95% CI, 1.25-4.32; P = .008). Local recurrence after macroscopic complete resection occurred in 13 of 89 patients (14.6%) versus 2 of 36 patients (5.6%) in the RC and NRC groups, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The current analysis suggests a significant benefit in terms of ARFS in favor of the RC group. This association did not translate into less local relapses after complete resection in the RC group. Multidisciplinary collaboration and review of cases are critical to avoid geographic misses, especially for rare tumors like retroperitoneal sarcoma.

Malignant extracranial germ cell tumours: A first national report by the South African Children's Cancer Study Group

OBJECTIVE

To determine the overall survival (OS) and prognostic factors influencing outcomes in children and adolescents with malignant extracranial germ cell tumours (MEGCTs) in preparation for the development of a harmonised national treatment protocol.

METHODS

A retrospective folder review was undertaken at nine South African paediatric oncology units to document patient profiles, tumour and treatment-related data and outcomes for all children with biopsy-proven MEGCTs from birth up to and including 16 years of age.

RESULTS

Between 1 January 2000 and 31 December 2015, 218 patients were diagnosed with MEGCTs. Female sex (hazard ratio [HR] 0.284, p = .037) and higher socio-economic status (SES) (HR 0.071, p = .039) were associated with a significantly lower risk of death. Advanced clinical stage at diagnosis significantly affected 5-year OS: stage I: 96%; stage II: 94.3%; stage III: 75.5% (p = .017) and stage IV (60.1%; p < .001). There was a significant association between earlier stage at presentation and higher SES (p = .03). Patients with a serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level of more than 33,000 ng/ml at diagnosis had significantly poorer outcomes (p = .002). The use of chemotherapy significantly improved survival, irrespective of the regimen used (p < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

The cohort demonstrated a 5-year OS of 80.3% with an event-free survival (EFS) of 75.3%. Stage, the use of chemotherapy and an elevated serum AFP level of more than 33,000 ng/ml were independently predictive of outcome. The relationship between SES and outcome is important as the implementation of the new national protocol hopes to standardise care across the socio-economic divide.

Sex-based disparities in outcome in pediatric acute lymphoblastic leukemia: a Children's Oncology Group report

BACKGROUND

Boys with acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) have historically experienced inferior survival compared to girls. This study determined whether sex-based disparities persist with contemporary therapy and whether patterns of treatment failure vary by sex.

METHODS

Patients 1 to 30.99 years old were enrolled on frontline Children's Oncology Group trials between 2004 and 2014. Boys received an additional year of maintenance therapy. Sex-based differences in the distribution of various prognosticators, event-free survival (EFS) and overall survival (OS), and subcategories of relapse by site were explored.

RESULTS

A total of 8202 (54.4% male) B-cell ALL (B-ALL) and 1562 (74.3% male) T-cell ALL (T-ALL) patients were included. There was no sex-based difference in central nervous system (CNS) status. Boys experienced inferior 5-year EFS and OS (EFS, 84.6% ± 0.5% vs 86.0% ± 0.6%, P = .009; OS, 91.3% ± 0.4% vs 92.5% ± 0.4%, P = .02). This was attributable to boys with B-ALL, who experienced inferior EFS (hazard ratio [HR], 1.2; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 1.1-1.3; P = .004) and OS (HR, 1.2; 95% CI, 1.0-1.4; P = .046) after adjustment for prognosticators. Inferior B-ALL outcomes in boys were attributable to more relapses (5-year cumulative incidence 11.2% ± 0.5% vs 9.6% ± 0.5%; P = .001), particularly involving the CNS (4.2% ± 0.3% vs 2.5% ± 0.3%; P < .0001). There was no difference in isolated bone marrow relapses (5.4% ± 0.4% vs 6.2% ± 0.4%; P = .49). There were no sex-based differences in EFS or OS in T-ALL.

CONCLUSIONS

Sex-based disparities in ALL persist, attributable to increased CNS relapses in boys with B-ALL. Studies of potential mechanisms are warranted. Improved strategies to identify and modify treatment for patients at highest risk of CNS relapse may have particular benefit for boys.

Long-term outcome of immunologic autograft engineering

Our phase III trial reported that autograft-absolute lymphocyte count (A-ALC) improved survival post-autologous peripheral blood hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (APBHSCT) for a short-term follow-up of 2 years. We evaluated retrospectively in our phase III trial patients that the A-ALC still confers survival benefit with a longer follow-up. With a median follow-up of 127.6 months, patients infused with an A-ALC ≥ 0.5 × 10⁹ cells/kg experienced better overall survival (HR = 0.392, 95% confidence of interval [CI]: 0.224-0.687, p < 0.001) and progression-free survival (HR = 0.413, 95% CI: 0.253-0.677), p < 0.0004). This study supports that A-ALC provides long-term survival benefit post APBHSCT.

Doxorubicin in combination with cisplatin, 5-flourouracil, and vincristine is feasible and effective in unresectable hepatoblastoma: A Children's Oncology Group study

BACKGROUND

The Children's Oncology Group (COG) adopted cisplatin, 5-flourouracil, and vincristine (C5V) as standard therapy after the INT-0098 legacy study showed statistically equivalent survival but less toxicity in comparison with cisplatin and doxorubicin. Subsequent experience demonstrated doxorubicin to be effective in patients with recurrent disease after C5V, and this suggested that it could be incorporated to intensify therapy for patients with advanced disease.

METHODS

In this nonrandomized, phase 3 COG trial, the primary aim was to explore the feasibility and toxicity of a novel therapeutic cisplatin, 5-flourouracil, vincristine, and doxorubicin (C5VD) regimen with the addition of doxorubicin to C5V for patients considered to be at intermediate risk. Patients were eligible if they had unresectable, nonmetastatic disease. Patients with a complete resection at diagnosis and local pathologic evidence of small cell undifferentiated histology were also eligible for an assessment of feasibility.

RESULTS

One hundred two evaluable patients enrolled between September 14, 2009, and March 12, 2012. Delivery of C5VD was feasible and tolerable: the mean percentages of the target doses delivered were 96% (95% CI, 94%-97%) for cisplatin, 96% (95% CI, 94%-97%) for 5-fluorouracil, 95% (95% CI, 93%-97%) for doxorubicin, and 90% (95% CI, 87%-93%) for vincristine. Toxicity was within expectations, with death as a first event in 1 patient. The most common adverse events were febrile neutropenia (n = 55 [54%]), infection (n = 48 [47%]), mucositis (n = 31 [30%]), hypokalemia (n = 39 [38%]), and elevated aspartate aminotransferase (n = 28 [27%]). The 5-year event-free and overall survival rates for the 93 patients who did not have complete resection at diagnosis were 88% (95% CI, 79%-93%) and 95% (95% CI, 87%-98%), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The addition of doxorubicin to the previous standard regimen of C5V is feasible, tolerable, and efficacious, and this suggests that C5VD is a good regimen for future clinical trials.

Efficacy and Toxicity of Whole Pelvic Radiotherapy Versus Prostate-Only Radiotherapy in Localized Prostate Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Background

There is little level 1 evidence regarding the relative efficacy and toxicity of whole pelvic radiotherapy (WPRT) compared with prostate-only radiotherapy (PORT) for localized prostate cancer.

Methods

We used Cochrane, PubMed, Embase, Medline databases, and ClinicalTrials.gov to systematically search for all relevant clinical studies. The data on efficacy and toxicity were extracted for quality assessment and meta-analysis to quantify the effect of WPRT on biochemical failure-free survival (BFFS), progression-free survival (PFS), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS), overall survival (OS), gastrointestinal (GI) toxicity, and genitourinary (GU) toxicity compared with PORT. The review is registered on PROSPERO, number: CRD42021254752.

Results

The results revealed that compared with PORT, WPRT significantly improved 5-year BFFS and PFS, and it was irrelevant to whether the patients had undergone radical prostatectomy (RP). In addition, for the patients who did not receive RP, the 5-year DMFS of WPRT was better than that of PORT. However, WPRT significantly increased not only the grade 2 or worse (G2+) acute GI toxicity of non-RP studies and RP studies, but also the G2+ late GI toxicity of non-RP studies. Subgroup analysis of non-RP studies found that, when the pelvic radiation dose was >49 Gy (equivalent-doses-in-2-Gy-fractions, EQD-2), WPRT was more beneficial to PFS than PORT, but significantly increased the risk of G2+ acute and late GU toxicity.

Conclusions

Meta-analysis demonstrates that WPRT can significantly improve BFFS and PFS for localized prostate cancer than PORT, but the increased risk of G2+ acute and late GI toxicity must be considered.

Systematic Review Registration

PROSPERO CRD42021254752.

Palbociclib plus endocrine therapy significantly enhances overall survival of HR+/HER2- metastatic breast cancer patients compared to endocrine therapy alone in the second-line setting-a large institutional study

Cyclin-dependent-kinase-4/6 inhibitor (CDKi) plus endocrine therapy (ET) is standard of care for patients with advanced hormone receptor (HR)-positive, HER2-negative breast cancer (BC). The Breast Medical Oncology database at MD Anderson Cancer Center (MDACC) was analyzed to assess effectiveness of the CDKi palbociclib plus ET compared to ET alone. From a total of 5402 advanced HR+ HER2- BC patients referred to MDACC between 1997 and 2020, we identified eligible patients who received palbociclib in combination with first- (n=778) and second-line (n=410) ET. We further identified "control" patients who received ET alone in the first- (n=2452) and second-line (n=1183) settings. Propensity score matching analysis was conducted to balance baseline demographic and clinical characteristics between palbociclib and control cohorts to assess the effect of palbociclib treatment on progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). For propensity-matched-cohort in the first-line setting (n=708), palbociclib group had significantly longer median PFS (17.4 vs. 11.1 months; p<0.0001) compared to controls. Median OS (44.3 vs. 40.2 months) did not show a statistically significant benefit in the first line setting. However, in the second-line setting, with 380 propensity-matched-cohort, the palbociclib group had significantly longer PFS (10 vs 5 months, p<0.0001) as well as OS (33 vs 24 months; p < 0.022), compared to controls. We conclude that in this single center analysis of a large cohort of metastatic HR+ HER2- BC patients, palbociclib in combination with ET was associated with improved PFS in both first- and second-line settings and OS in the second-line setting compared with ET alone cohort.

Kidney Failure in Bardet-Biedl Syndrome

The aim of this study was to explore kidney failure (KF) in Bardet–Biedl syndrome (BBS), focusing on high‐risk gene variants, demographics, and morbidity. We employed the Clinical Registry Investigating BBS (CRIBBS) to identify 44 (7.2%) individuals with KF out of 607 subjects. Molecularly confirmed BBS was identified in 37 KF subjects and 364 CRIBBS registrants. KF was concomitant with recessive causal variants in 12 genes, with BBS10 the most predominant causal gene (26.6%), while disease penetrance was highest in SDCCAG8 (100%). Two truncating variants were present in 67.6% of KF cases. KF incidence was increased in genes not belonging to the BBSome or chaperonin‐like genes (p < 0.001), including TTC21B, a new candidate BBS gene. Median age of KF was 12.5 years, with the vast majority of KF occurring by 30 years (86.3%). Females were disproportionately affected (77.3%). Diverse uropathies were identified, but were not more common in the KF group (p = 0.672). Kidney failure was evident in 11 of 15 (73.3%) deaths outside infancy. We conclude that KF poses a significant risk for premature morbidity in BBS. Risk factors for KF include female sex, truncating variants, and genes other than BBSome/chaperonin‐like genes highlighting the value of comprehensive genetic investigation.

A retrospective multi-center study of treatment, outcome, and prognostic factors in 34 dogs with disseminated aspergillosis in Australia

BACKGROUND

Disseminated aspergillosis (DA) in dogs has a guarded prognosis and there is a lack of a gold standard treatment protocol.

OBJECTIVE

To retrospectively assess survival times and factors influencing survival times.

ANIMALS

Dogs diagnosed with DA from January 2007 to June 2017.

METHODS

Disseminated aspergillosis case data were retrieved from 13 Australian veterinary referral centers, with a diagnosis confirmed with culture or PCR. Factors influencing survival time after diagnosis were quantified using a Cox proportional hazards regression model.

RESULTS

Thirty-four dogs met the study inclusion criteria. Twenty-two dogs were treated with antifungal treatment and 12 dogs received no antifungal treatment. Accounting for censoring of dogs that were either still alive on the date of data collection or were loss to follow-up, dogs treated with itraconazole alone (n = 8) had a median survival time (MST) of 63 (95% CI: 20-272) days compared to 830 (95% CI: 267-1259) days for the n = 14 dogs that received multimodal antifungal therapy ( χ 2 test statistic 8.6; df = 1; P < .01). The daily hazard of death (DHOD) for dogs with abnormally high serum creatinine concentration at the time of diagnosis was 7.4 (95% CI: 1.9-29) times that of dogs with serum creatinine within the reference interval.

CONCLUSION AND CLINICAL IMPORTANCE

Serum creatinine concentration at the time of diagnosis is a useful prognostic indicator for survival after a diagnosis of DA. The MST for dogs treated with multimodal antifungal therapy is longer than itraconazole alone and warrant further investigation (P < .01).

Estimation of a treatment policy estimand for time to event data using data collected post discontinuation of randomised treatment

Discontinuation from randomised treatment is a common intercurrent event in clinical trials. When the target estimand uses a treatment policy strategy to deal with this intercurrent event, data after cessation of treatment is relevant to estimate the estimand and all efforts should be made to collect such data. Missing data may nevertheless occur due to participants withdrawing from the study and assumptions regarding the values for data that are missing are required for estimation. A missing-at-random assumption is commonly made in this setting, but it may not always be viewed as appropriate. Another potential approach is to assume missing values are similar to data collected after treatment discontinuation. This idea has been previously proposed in the context of recurrent event data. Here we extend this approach to time-to-event outcomes using the hazard function. We propose imputation models that allow for different hazard rates before and after treatment discontinuation and use the posttreatment discontinuation hazard to impute events for participants with missing follow-up periods due to study withdrawal. The imputation models are fitted as Andersen-Gill models. We illustrate the proposed methods with an example of a clinical trial in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.

On a new piecewise regression model with cure rate: Diagnostics and application to medical data

In this article, we discuss an extension of the classical negative binomial cure rate model with piecewise exponential distribution of the time to event for concurrent causes, which enables the modeling of monotonic and non-monotonic hazard functions (ie, the shape of the hazard function is not assumed as in traditional parametric models). This approach produces a flexible cure rate model, depending on the choice of time partition. We discuss local influence on this negative binomial power piecewise exponential model. We report on Monte Carlo simulation studies and application of the model to real melanoma and leukemia datasets.