Dynamic assessments of hepatic encephalopathy and ammonia levels predict mortality in acute-on-chronic liver failure

Hepatic encephalopathy in cirrhosis: therapies and developments

Hepatic encephalopathy (HE) is a frequent decompensation in patients with cirrhosis, which significantly affects morbidity and mortality. Ammonia is a major neurotoxin implicated in the pathogenesis, progression, and severity of HE, and various organs including the gut, muscle, kidney, and brain are involved in its metabolism. Therefore, therapeutic management involves reducing ammonia production and increasing its elimination from the blood and the brain. Prevention of HE in patients at high risk of first and recurrent episodes is important for prolonging survival. Various anti-ammonia therapies with synergistic and complementary actions have been attempted for overt HE and for prophylaxis of the first and recurrent episodes of HE. In the current review, we summarize the currently used and under-development pharmacotherapies/procedure(s) for HE in cirrhosis and their mechanism of action. Primary and secondary prophylaxis with monotherapies and combination therapies are also discussed.

Clinical outcomes and predictors in patients with acute on chronic liver failure in Southern Taiwan

BACKGROUND/AIMS

The study is to analyze the clinical characteristics and identify prognostic factors as well as evaluate predictive models in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) from Southern Taiwan.

METHODS

The cohort study was conducted using the Chang Gung Research Database. We included patients with ACLF based on the definition provided by the Asian-Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver ACLF Research Consortium (AARC).

RESULTS

A total of 231 patients diagnosed with ACLF were included in this study, out of which 26 patients underwent liver transplantation (LT). The primary cause of ACLF was acute exacerbation of hepatitis B virus (HBV) in 68.4% of cases and followed by severe alcoholic hepatitis (20.8%). Among LT-free patients, the 28-day mortality rate was observed to be 31%. Older age, higher INR and ammonia levels, and the presence of severe hepatic encephalopathy on 3-6 days of treatment were independent predictors of 28-day mortality. The CLIF-C ACLF and COSSH-ACLF scores, evaluated on 3-6 days, demonstrated the highest predictive performance for 28-day mortality. The optimal cut-off values for the CLIF-C ACLF and COSSH-ACLF scores were determined to be 47 and 6.3, respectively. Patients with CLIF-C ACLF score >63 or COSSH-ACLF score >8.1 experienced 100% mortality by day 28.

CONCLUSION

The CLIF-C ACLF and COSSH-ACLF scores, evaluated within one week after treatment, exhibit strong predictive capabilities for short-term mortality in ACLF patients. These models are valuable tools for guiding timely decision-making, including the consideration of liver transplantation or withdrawal from treatment.

Prognostic factors for mortality in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure

OBJECTIVE

The aim is to explore significant prognostic factors for 90-day mortality in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) and assist clinicians in the early identification of critically ill ACLF patients.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was conducted on 288 ACLF patients, who were classified into survivors (n = 187) and nonsurvivors (n = 101) based on 90-day outcomes. Multivariate stepwise logistic regression analyses were employed to identify significant prognostic factors and construct a novel prognostic model, the AHUCTPI. The model's performance was assessed and the internal validation was performed. Additionally, the influence of dynamic changes in laboratory markers on 90-day mortality was examined.

RESULTS

Independent risk factors for 90-day mortality included age ≥45 years, presence of hepatic encephalopathy (HE), and upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGB) during hospitalization, imaging-confirmed cirrhosis at admission, elevated baseline total bilirubin (TBIL), reduced baseline platelet-to-neutrophil ratio (PNR), and elevated baseline international normalized ratio (INR) (P < 0.05 for all). The AHUCTPI model's formula is as follows: Logit (p) = -10.019 + 1.808 × age (1 if ≥45 years, 0 if <45 years) + 1.048 × HE (1 if present, 0 if absent) + 1.721 × UGB (1 if present, 0 if absent) + 1.362 × cirrhosis (1 if present, 0 if absent) + 0.008 × TBIL (μmol/L) - 0.039 × PNR + 1.963 × INR. The AUHCTPI model demonstrated superior predictive accuracy compared with the MELD (Model for End-Stage Liver Disease) score, with the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve values of 0.914 and 0.739, respectively, and calibration curves closely approximating the ideal curve.

CONCLUSION

ACLF is a complex, dynamic syndrome. Age, HE, and UGB during hospitalization, imaging-diagnosed cirrhosis at admission, baseline TBIL, PNR, and INR were significant predictors for 90-day mortality in ACLF patients, and the AHUCTPI model provides excellent calibration and discrimination. Dynamic monitoring of laboratory trends enhances prognostic accuracy and supports timely clinical decision-making.

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF): the ‘Kyoto Consensus’—steps from Asia

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a condition associated with high mortality in the absence of liver transplantation. There have been various definitions proposed worldwide. The first consensus report of the working party of the Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver (APASL) set in 2004 on ACLF was published in 2009, and the “APASL ACLF Research Consortium (AARC)” was formed in 2012. The AARC database has prospectively collected nearly 10,500 cases of ACLF from various countries in the Asia–Pacific region. This database has been instrumental in developing the AARC score and grade of ACLF, the concept of the ‘Golden Therapeutic Window’, the ‘transplant window’, and plasmapheresis as a treatment modality. Also, the data has been key to identifying pediatric ACLF. The European Association for the Study of Liver-Chronic Liver Failure (EASL CLIF) and the North American Association for the Study of the End Stage Liver Disease (NACSELD) from the West added the concepts of organ failure and infection as precipitants for the development of ACLF and CLIF-Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) and NACSELD scores for prognostication. The Chinese Group on the Study of Severe Hepatitis B (COSSH) added COSSH-ACLF criteria to manage hepatitis b virus-ACLF with and without cirrhosis. The literature supports these definitions to be equally effective in their respective cohorts in identifying patients with high mortality. To overcome the differences and to develop a global consensus, APASL took the initiative and invited the global stakeholders, including opinion leaders from Asia, EASL and AASLD, and other researchers in the field of ACLF to identify the key issues and develop an evidence-based consensus document. The consensus document was presented in a hybrid format at the APASL annual meeting in Kyoto in March 2024. The ‘Kyoto APASL Consensus’ presented below carries the final recommendations along with the relevant background information and areas requiring future studies.

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF): the 'Kyoto Consensus'-steps from Asia

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a condition associated with high mortality in the absence of liver transplantation. There have been various definitions proposed worldwide. The first consensus report of the working party of the Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver (APASL) set in 2004 on ACLF was published in 2009, and the "APASL ACLF Research Consortium (AARC)" was formed in 2012. The AARC database has prospectively collected nearly 10,500 cases of ACLF from various countries in the Asia-Pacific region. This database has been instrumental in developing the AARC score and grade of ACLF, the concept of the 'Golden Therapeutic Window', the 'transplant window', and plasmapheresis as a treatment modality. Also, the data has been key to identifying pediatric ACLF. The European Association for the Study of Liver-Chronic Liver Failure (EASL CLIF) and the North American Association for the Study of the End Stage Liver Disease (NACSELD) from the West added the concepts of organ failure and infection as precipitants for the development of ACLF and CLIF-Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) and NACSELD scores for prognostication. The Chinese Group on the Study of Severe Hepatitis B (COSSH) added COSSH-ACLF criteria to manage hepatitis b virus-ACLF with and without cirrhosis. The literature supports these definitions to be equally effective in their respective cohorts in identifying patients with high mortality. To overcome the differences and to develop a global consensus, APASL took the initiative and invited the global stakeholders, including opinion leaders from Asia, EASL and AASLD, and other researchers in the field of ACLF to identify the key issues and develop an evidence-based consensus document. The consensus document was presented in a hybrid format at the APASL annual meeting in Kyoto in March 2024. The 'Kyoto APASL Consensus' presented below carries the final recommendations along with the relevant background information and areas requiring future studies.

Gasdermin D deletion prevents liver injury and exacerbates extrahepatic damage in a murine model of alcohol-induced ACLF

Background

Gasdermin D (GSDM-D), a key executor of pyroptosis, is increased in various liver diseases and contributes to disease progression. Alcohol induces inflammasome activation and cell death, which are both linked to GSDM-D activation. However, its role in alcohol-induced acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) remains unclear.

Methods

ACLF was induced in GSDM-D-deficient or wild-type (WT) mice by 28-day bile duct ligation surgery plus a single 5 g/kg alcohol binge leading to acute decompensation. Nine hours after the alcohol binge, blood, liver, kidney and cerebellum specimens were collected for analysis.

Results

Active GSDM-D was significantly increased in humans and mice ACLF livers compared with both healthy controls and cirrhotic livers. GSDM-D-deficient mice with ACLF showed decreased inflammation, neutrophil infiltration and fibrosis in the liver, together with a reduction in pyroptotic, apoptotic and necroptotic death, compared with WT ACLF mice. Notably, GSDM-D-deficient mice also showed decreased liver regeneration and hepatocyte function. This was associated with an increase in senescence and expression of stem-like/cholangiocyte markers in the liver. Interestingly, in the kidney, GSDM-D-deficient mice showed an increase in histopathological damage score, decreased function and increased expression of necroptosis-related genes. In the cerebellum, GSDM-D deficiency increased the expression of neuroinflammation markers, astrocyte activation and apoptosis-related genes.

Conclusion

Our data indicate that GSDM-D deficiency has organ-specific effects in ACLF. While it reduces inflammation, neutrophil activation, cell death and fibrosis in the liver, GSDM-D deficiency impairs the synthetic function and increases senescence in hepatocytes. GSDM-D deficiency also increases kidney injury and neuroinflammation in ACLF.

Down the road towards hepatic encephalopathy. The elusive ammonia- what determines the arterial concentration?

Elevated arterial ammonia is associated with several complications of liver disease as it predicts mortality for in-patients and decompensation, hospitalization and death in out-patients with cirrhosis. In this review, our aim was to estimate how the individual organs contribute to arterial ammonia based on published data from human studies. The brain removes ammonia from arterial blood in a concentration-dependent fashion. Ammonia that is released from the gut to portal blood is mainly from metabolism of glutamine in the enterocytes using this as a source of energy. Ammonia produced by bacterial metabolism of urea and proteins only partially reach portal blood and is likely recycled into bacterial proteins. In general, the liver efficiently removes ammonia from arterial or portal blood in proportion to the delivered concentration. As a result,- and in some contrast to conventional wisdom-, the hepato-splanchnic region only contributes marginally to arterial ammonia; even during a simulated upper GI bleed. The only exception is acute liver failure where hepatocyte necrosis allows large quantities of portal ammonia to pass. The kidneys release ammonia from glutamine metabolism into systemic blood. The renal ammonia release increases during a simulated upper GI bleed or hypokalemia where it becomes a major source of elevated arterial ammonia. In the resting state, muscles remove ammonia in a concentration-dependent manner and muscles are the primary ammonia lowering organ in most situations with elevated arterial ammonia. During strenuous exercise, muscles produce large amounts of ammonia into systemic blood. Thus, the complete pattern of ammonia metabolism is very dynamic and illustrates the difficulties in designing ammonia lowering therapies.

Hepatic encephalopathy post-TIPS: Current status and prospects in predictive assessment

Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) is an essential procedure for the treatment of portal hypertension but can result in hepatic encephalopathy (HE), a serious complication that worsens patient outcomes. Investigating predictors of HE after TIPS is essential to improve prognosis. This review analyzes risk factors and compares predictive models, weighing traditional scores such as Child-Pugh, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD), and albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) against emerging artificial intelligence (AI) techniques. While traditional scores provide initial insights into HE risk, they have limitations in dealing with clinical complexity. Advances in machine learning (ML), particularly when integrated with imaging and clinical data, offer refined assessments. These innovations suggest the potential for AI to significantly improve the prediction of post-TIPS HE. The study provides clinicians with a comprehensive overview of current prediction methods, while advocating for the integration of AI to increase the accuracy of post-TIPS HE assessments. By harnessing the power of AI, clinicians can better manage the risks associated with TIPS and tailor interventions to individual patient needs. Future research should therefore prioritize the development of advanced AI frameworks that can assimilate diverse data streams to support clinical decision-making. The goal is not only to more accurately predict HE, but also to improve overall patient care and quality of life.

Optic nerve sheath diameters predict mortality and severity in hepatic encephalopathy

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to compare the predictive power of optic nerve sheath diameter (ONSD) measured by brain computed tomography (CT) in patients diagnosed with hepatic encephalopathy (HE) in the emergency department, with other factors for mortality and disease severity.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 217 patients aged 18 years and older with acute decompensation of cirrhosis diagnosed with HE in the emergency department were included in the study. To compare with patients diagnosed with HE, a total of 217 individuals were included in the study as the healthy control group. ONSD measurements were performed on both the HE patients and the healthy control group in the brain CT.

RESULTS

The mortality rate of HE patients was 32.7%. Regarding the severity of the disease, 53% of the patients had late-stage HE. The presence of acute-on-chronic liver failure was detected in 51.4% of patients. The mortality rate among acute-on-chronic liver failure patients was 56.6%. According to the study data, ONSD, creatinine, lactate, and procalcitonin were independent predictors of mortality. Meanwhile, Child-Pugh score, direct bilirubin, ONSD, ammonia, and total bilirubin were independent predictors of disease severity. In the receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, the ONSD had the highest predictive power for mortality and disease severity among the determined predictive values.

CONCLUSION

The data from the study suggests that assessing the ONSD through brain CT scans in individuals diagnosed with HE in the emergency department may provide valuable insights for clinicians, aiding in the prediction of both mortality rates and the severity of the disease.

Construction of a prediction model for hepatic encephalopathy in acute-on-chronic liver failure patients

OBJECTIVE

Hepatic encephalopathy (HE) is a serious complication of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) that requires early detection and intervention to positively impact patient prognosis. This study aimed to develop a reliable model to predict HE in ACLF patients during hospitalization.

METHODS

Retrospectively recruiting 255 hepatitis B-related ACLF patients, including 67 who developed HE during hospitalization, the study analysed clinical data and biochemical indices collected during the first week of admission. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) was used to identify characteristic predictors for hospitalization HE events, and a logistic regression model was subsequently developed. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, and bootstrap resampling were used to evaluate the model's discrimination, consistency, and accuracy, and a nomogram was created to visualize the model. An external validation cohort of 236 liver failure patients collected from the same medical centre between 2007 and 2010 was used to validate the model.

RESULTS

The study found that blood urea nitrogen (BUN), alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), international normalized ratio (INR), serum ammonia, and infection complications during hospitalization were risk factors for HE in ACLF patients. The new model predicted the development of HE in ACLF patients with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 85.2%, which was superior to other models. The best threshold for the new model was 0.28, resulting in a specificity of 81.4% and a sensitivity of 80.6%. In the validation group, the new model showed similar results, with an AUROC of 79% and a specificity of 83.6% and a sensitivity of 56.6%.

CONCLUSION

This study developed and validated a new prediction model for HE in ACLF patients offering a useful tool for early identification of patients with a high risk of HE in clinical settings. However, to ascertain the model's general effectiveness, future prospective multicentre studies are warranted.

Managing Multiorgan Failure in Acute on Chronic Liver Failure

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is defined as a clinical syndrome that develops in patients with chronic liver disease characterized by the presence of organ failure and high short-term mortality, although there is still no worldwide consensus on diagnostic criteria. Management of ACLF is mainly based on treatment of "precipitating factors" (the most common are infections, alcohol-associated hepatitis, hepatitis B flare, and bleeding) and support of organ failure, which often requires admission to the intensive care unit. Liver transplantation should be considered in patients with ACLF grades 2 to 3 as a potentially life-saving treatment. When a transplant is not indicated, palliative care should be considered after 3 to 7 days of full organ support in patients with at least four organ failures or a CLIF-C ACLF score of >70. This review summarizes the current knowledge on the management of organ failure in patients with ACLF, focusing on recent advances.

Absence of TNFR1 promotes a protective response in the early phase of hepatic encephalopathy induced by thioacetamide in mice

Hepatic encephalopathy (HE) is a neuropsychiatric syndrome with a wide spectrum of cognitive deficits, motor impairment, and psychiatric disturbances resulting from liver damage. The cytokine TNF has been considered the main cytokine in the development and progression of HE, with a pivotal role in the initiation and amplification of the inflammatory cascade. The aim of the present study was to evaluate the involvement of TNF type 1 receptor (TNFR1) in locomotor deficits and in the levels of TNF, IFN-γ, IL-6, IL-10, IL-12p70, CCL2, CX3CL1 and BDNF from the frontal cortex and hippocampus of TNFR1 knockout mice (TNFR1-/-) mice with HE induced by thioacetamide. Wild-type (WT) animals with HE developed locomotor deficit. The absence of TNFR1 absence of TNFR1 in HE animals attenuated the locomotor activity impairment in parallel with a balanced neuroinflammatory environment 24 h after the administration of thioacetamide. Taken together, the data suggests that the absence of TNFR1 promoted a protective response in the early phase of hepatic encephalopathy induced by thioacetamide in mice.

Definitions, Etiologies, and Outcomes of Acute on Chronic Liver Failure: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a major public health concern. We aimed to assess the definitions, etiologic spectrum, organ failure (OF), and outcomes of ACLF globally.

METHODS

Three databases were searched for studies on ACLF from 1990 until September 2022. Information regarding definitions, acute precipitants, underlying chronic liver disease (CLD), OF, and mortality were extracted. Meta-analyses were performed for pooled prevalence rates (95% confidence interval [CI]) using random-effects model for each definition of ACLF.

RESULTS

Of the 11,451 studies identified, 114 articles (142 cohorts encompassing 210,239 patients) met the eligibility criteria. Most studies (53.2%) used the European Association for the Study of the Liver (EASL) definition, followed by Asia-Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver (APASL) (33.3%). Systemic infection was the major acute precipitant, and alcohol use was the major cause of CLD in EASL-defined studies, whereas alcohol was both the major acute precipitant and cause of CLD in APASL-defined studies. Liver failure was the major OF in APASL-based studies, whereas renal failure was predominant in EASL-based studies. Thirty-day mortality varied across definitions: APASL: 38.9%, 95% CI, 31.2%-46.9%; EASL: 47.9%, 95% CI, 42.2%-53.5%; and NACSELD: 52.2%, 95% CI, 51.9%-52.5%. Diagnostic overlap between definitions ranged from 7.7% to 80.2%. Meta-regression suggested that the World Health Organization region influenced 30-day mortality in studies using EASL definition.

CONCLUSIONS

Heterogeneity in the definition of ACLF proposed by different expert societies and regional preferences in its use result in differences in clinical phenotype and outcomes. A uniform definition would enhance the comparability and interpretation of global data.

Ammonia-induced stress response in liver disease progression and hepatic encephalopathy

Ammonia levels are orchestrated by a series of complex interrelated pathways in which the urea cycle has a central role. Liver dysfunction leads to an accumulation of ammonia, which is toxic and is strongly associated with disruption of potassium homeostasis, mitochondrial dysfunction, oxidative stress, inflammation, hypoxaemia and dysregulation of neurotransmission. Hyperammonaemia is a hallmark of hepatic encephalopathy and has been strongly associated with liver-related outcomes in patients with cirrhosis and liver failure. In addition to the established role of ammonia as a neurotoxin in the pathogenesis of hepatic encephalopathy, an increasing number of studies suggest that it can lead to hepatic fibrosis progression, sarcopenia, immune dysfunction and cancer. However, elevated systemic ammonia levels are uncommon in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease. A clear causal relationship between ammonia-induced immune dysfunction and risk of infection has not yet been definitively proven. In this Review, we discuss the mechanisms by which ammonia produces its diverse deleterious effects and their clinical relevance in liver diseases, the importance of measuring ammonia levels for the diagnosis of hepatic encephalopathy, the prognosis of patients with cirrhosis and liver failure, and how our knowledge of inter-organ ammonia metabolism is leading to the development of novel therapeutic approaches.

Development and Validation of a New Prognostic Model for Predicting Survival Outcomes in Patients with Acute-on-chronic Liver Failure

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Early determination of prognosis in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is crucial for optimizing treatment options and liver allocation. This study aimed to identify risk factors associated with ACLF and to develop new prognostic models that accurately predict patient outcomes.

METHODS

We retrospectively selected 1,952 hospitalized patients diagnosed with ACLF between January 2010 and June 2018. This cohort was used to develop new prognostic scores, which were subsequently validated in external groups.

RESULTS

The study included 1,386 ACLF patients and identified six independent predictors of 28-day mortality through multivariate analysis (all p < 0.05). The new score, based on a multivariate regression model, demonstrated superior predictive accuracy for both 28-day and 90-day mortalities, with Areas under the ROC curves of 0.863 and 0.853, respectively (all p < 0.05). This score can be used to stratify the risk of mortality among ACLF patients with ACLF, showing a significant difference in survival between patients categorized by the cut-off value (log-rank (Mantel-Cox) χ2 = 487.574 and 606.441, p = 0.000). Additionally, the new model exhibited good robustness in two external cohorts.

CONCLUSIONS

This study presents a refined prognostic model, the Model for end-stage liver disease-complication score, which accurately predicts short-term mortality in ACLF patients. This model offers a new perspective and tool for improved clinical decision-making and short-term prognostic assessment in ACLF patients.

The Value of Ammonia as a Biomarker in Patients with Cirrhosis

Ammonia is a product of amino acid metabolism that accumulates in the blood of patients with cirrhosis and plays a pivotal role in the pathogenesis of hepatic encephalopathy (HE). Despite being one of the main drivers of brain dysfunction, for many years international societies stated that increased blood ammonia does not add any diagnostic, staging, or prognostic value for HE in patients with cirrhosis. Nonetheless, in the last decades, evidence is emerging that supports the utility of ammonia for risk stratification, but its role in guiding HE diagnosis, staging, and treatment is unclear and there is equipoise in its use in clinical practice. This review provides the latest evidence on the value of ammonia as a biomarker in patients with cirrhosis. Although correct measurement of ammonia requires disciplined sample collection, it provides extremely useful clinical guidance for the diagnosis of HE, offers prognostic information, and it defines a therapeutic target.

The Story of Ammonia in Liver Disease: An Unraveling Continuum

Hyperammonemia and liver disease are closely linked. Most of the ammonia in our body is produced by transamination and deamination activities involving amino acid, purine, pyrimidines, and biogenic amines, and from the intestine by bacterial splitting of urea. The only way of excretion from the body is by hepatic conversion of ammonia to urea. Hyperammonemia is associated with widespread toxicities such as cerebral edema, hepatic encephalopathy, immune dysfunction, promoting fibrosis, and carcinogenesis. Over the past two decades, it has been increasingly utilized for prognostication of cirrhosis, acute liver failure as well as acute on chronic liver failure. The laboratory assessment of hyperammonemia has certain limitations, despite which its value in the assessment of various forms of liver disease cannot be negated. It may soon become an important tool to make therapeutic decisions about the use of prophylactic and definitive treatment in various forms of liver disease.

Ammonia is associated with liver-related complications and predicts mortality in acute-on-chronic liver failure patients

The relationship between ammonia and liver-related complications (LRCs) in acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) patients is not clearly established. This study aimed to evaluate the association between ammonia levels and LRCs in patients with ACLF. The study also evaluated the ability of ammonia in predicting mortality and progression of LRCs. The study prospectively recruited ACLF patients based on the APASL definition from the ACLF Research Consortium (AARC) from 2009 to 2019. LRCs were a composite endpoint of bacterial infection, overt hepatic encephalopathy (HE), and ascites. A total of 3871 cases were screened. Of these, 701 ACLF patients were enrolled. Patients with LRCs had significantly higher ammonia levels than those without. Ammonia was significantly higher in patients with overt HE and ascites, but not in those with bacterial infection. Multivariate analysis found that ammonia was associated with LRCs. Additionally, baseline arterial ammonia was an independent predictor of 30-day mortality, but it was not associated with the development of new LRCs within 30 days. In summary, baseline arterial ammonia levels are associated with 30-day mortality and LRCs, mainly overt HE and ascites in ACLF patients.

Serum ammonia variation predicts mortality in patients with hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure

BACKGROUND

Hyperammonemia is critical to the development of hepatic encephalopathy (HE) and is associated with mortality in end-stage liver disease. This study investigated the clinical value of ammonia variation in hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) patients.

METHODS

A total of 276 patients with HBV-ACLF were retrospectively recruited. Patients' ammonia levels were serially documented. Baseline ammonia, Peak ammonia (highest level), and Trough ammonia (lowest level) were particularly corrected to the upper limit of normal (AMM-ULN). The primary endpoint was 28-day mortality.

RESULTS

The 28-day, 3-month, and 12-month mortality rates were 19.2, 25.7, and 28.2%, respectively. A total of 51 (18.4%) patients had overt HE (grade 2/3/4). Peak AMM-ULN was significantly higher in patients with overt HE and non-survivors compared with their counterparts (P < 0.001). Following adjustment for significant confounders, high Peak AMM-ULN was an independent predictor of overt HE (hazard ratio, 1.031, P < 0.001) and 28-day mortality (hazard ratio, 1.026, P < 0.001). The cut-off of Peak AMM-ULN was 1.8, determined by using the X-tile. Patients with Peak AMM-ULN appearing on days 1-3 after admission had a higher proportion of overt HE and mortality compared to other groups. Patients with decreased ammonia levels within 7 days had better clinical outcomes than those with increased ammonia.

CONCLUSION

Serum Peak ammonia was independently associated with overt HE and mortality in HBV-ACLF patients. Serial serum ammonia may have prognostic value.

Predictors of 30-day mortality in patients diagnosed with hepatic encephalopathy on admission to the emergency department

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study is to compare the laboratory findings and disease severity scores of patients diagnosed with hepatic encephalopathy (HE) in the emergency department (ED) to predict 30-day mortality.

METHOD

The patients over 18 years old and diagnosed HE in the ED of a tertiary hospital were included in the study. Demographic and clinical characteristics, laboratory parameters, predisposing causes and outcomes of the patients included in the study were recorded in the data form. Severity of liver disease was assessed by Child Pugh Score (CPS), End-stage liver disease model (MELD), MELD-Na and MELD-Lactate scores.

RESULTS

Two hundred fifty-four patients diagnosed with HE were included in the study. 59.1% of the patients were male. The mean age of the patients was 65.2 ± 12.6 years. The mortality rate of the patients was 47.2%. When the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, which determines the predictive properties of laboratory parameters and disease severity scores, was examined, the area under curve value of the MELD-Lactate score (0.858 95% CI 0.812-0.904, P  < 0.001) was the highest. Binary logistic regression analysis for the estimation of patients' 30-day mortality showed that CPS and MELD-Lactate scores and blood ammonia and B-type natriuretic peptide levels were independent predictors of mortality.

CONCLUSION

According to the study data, MELD-Lactate and BNP levels in patients diagnosed with HE in the ED may help the clinician in the prediction of 30-day mortality in the early period.

Growing Evidence for Survival Benefit with Plasma Exchange to Treat Liver Failure

Plasma exchange (PLEX) to treat liver failure patients is gaining increasing momentum in recent years. Most reports have used PLEX to treat patients with acute liver failure (ALF) or acute on chronic liver failure (ACLF). Etiology of liver disease has an important bearing on the prognosis of the illness in these patients. The accruing data suggest survival benefit with PLEX compared with standard medical treatment to treat ALF and ACLF patients, in randomised controlled trials done world-over. The American College of Apheresis now recommends high-volume PLEX as first-line treatment for ALF patients. Most matched cohort studies done from India which recruited patients with a specific etiology of ALF or ACLF report survival benefit with PLEX compared to standard medical treatment. The survival benefit with PLEX appears more pronounced in ALF patients rather than in ACLF patients. Systematic analysis of the efficacy of PLEX to treat ALF and ACLF patients is needed. There is also a need to identify dynamic predictive scores to assess which patients with ALF or ACLF will respond to PLEX.

Clinical determinants of hospital mortality in liver failure: a comprehensive analysis of 62,717 patients

BACKGROUND

Liver failure (LF) is characterised by a loss of the synthetic and metabolic liver function and is associated with a high mortality. Large-scale data on recent developments and hospital mortality of LF in Germany are missing. A systematic analysis and careful interpretation of these datasets could help to optimise outcomes of LF.

METHODS

We used standardised hospital discharge data of the Federal Statistical Office to evaluate current trends, hospital mortality and factors associated with an unfavourable course of LF in Germany between 2010 and 2019.

RESULTS

A total of 62,717 hospitalised LF cases were identified. Annual LF frequency decreased from 6716 (2010) to 5855 (2019) cases and was higher among males (60.51%). Hospital mortality was 38.08% and significantly declined over the observation period. Mortality significantly correlated with patients' age and was highest among individuals with (sub)acute LF (47.5%). Multivariate regression analyses revealed pulmonary (ORARDS: 2.76, ORmechanical ventilation: 6.46) and renal complications (ORacute kidney failure: 2.04, ORhepatorenal syndrome: 2.92) and sepsis (OR: 1.92) as factors for increased mortality. Liver transplantation reduced mortality in patients with (sub)acute LF. Hospital mortality significantly decreased with the annual LF case volume and ranged from 47.46% to 29.87% in low- or high-case-volume hospitals, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Although incidence rates and hospital mortality of LF in Germany have constantly decreased, hospital mortality has remained at a very high level. We identified a number of variables associated with increased mortality that could help to improve framework conditions for the treatment of LF in the future.

Progress on clinical prognosis assessment in liver failure

Liver failure is a group of clinical syndromes with a mortality rate of >50%. The accurate evaluation of severity in patients with liver failure has been a meaningful and hot topic in clinical research and an important guide for liver transplantation. Numerous prognosis studies have emerged in recent years with high accuracy and adequate validity. Nonetheless, different models utilize distinct parameters and have unequal efficiencies, leading to a specific value and unique application situations for each model. This review focused on the progress in recent prognostic studies including the model for end-stage liver disease, sequential organ failure assessment and its derivative models, the Chinese Group on the Study of Severe Hepatitis B Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure, the Tongji prognostic predictor model, and other emerging prognostic models and predictors. This review aims to assist clinicians understand the framework of recent models and choose the appropriate model and treatment.

A novel nomogram to predict 90-day mortality in patients with hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure: a single-center retrospective study

BACKGROUND

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a critical illness with high mortality. Herein, we developed and validated a new and simple prognostic nomogram to predict 90-day mortality in hepatitis B virus-related ACLF (HBV-ACLF) patients.

METHODS

This single-center retrospective study collected data from 181 HBV-ACLF patients treated between June 2018 and March 2020. The correlation between clinical data and 90-day mortality in patients with HBV-ACLF was assessed using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses.

RESULTS

Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that age (p = 0.011), hepatic encephalopathy (p = 0.001), total bilirubin (p = 0.007), international normalized ratio (p = 0.006), and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (p = 0.011) were independent predictors of 90-day mortality in HBV-ACLF patients. A nomogram was created to predict 90-day mortality using these risk factors. The C-index for the prognostic nomogram was calculated as 0.866, and confirmed to be 0.854 via bootstrapping verification. The area under the curve was 0.870 in the external validation cohort. The predictive value of the nomogram was similar to that of the Chinese Group on the Study of Severe Hepatitis B score, and exceeded the performance of other prognostic scores.

CONCLUSION

The prognostic nomogram constructed using the factors identified in multivariate regression analysis might serve as a beneficial tool to predict 90-day mortality in HBV-ACLF patients.

Research progress on short-term prognosis of acute-on-chronic liver failure

INTRODUCTION

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a clinical syndrome characterized as a severe condition with rapid progression, poor therapeutic response and poor prognosis. Early and timely evaluation of the prognosis is helpful for providing appropriate clinical intervention and prolonging patient survival.

AREAS COVERED

Currently, there are no specific dynamic and comprehensive approaches to assess the prognosis of patients with ACLF. This article reviews the progress in evaluating the short-term prognosis of ACLF to provide future directions for more dynamic prospective large-scale multicenter studies and a basis for individualized and precise treatment for ACLF patients. We searched PubMed and Web of Science with the term 'acute on chronic liver failure' and 'prognosis.' There was no date or language restriction, and our final search was on 26 October 2022.

EXPERT OPINION

ACLF is a dynamic process, and the best prognostic marker is the clinical evolution of organ failure over time. New prognostic markers are developing not only in the fields of genetics and histology but also toward diversification combined with imaging. Determining which patients will benefit from continued advanced life support is a formidable challenge, and accurate short-term prognostic assessments of ACLF are a good approach to addressing this issue.

Alterations of gut microbiome and effects of probiotic therapy in patients with liver cirrhosis: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Alterations in the gut microbiome usually occur in liver cirrhosis. Gut microbiome dysregulation damages the liver and accelerates the development of liver fibrosis. Probiotic treatment has gradually become a major method for improving the prognosis of liver cirrhosis and reducing its complications. However, alterations in the gut microbiome have revealed different results, and the therapeutic effects of various probiotics are inconsistent.

METHODS

We searched the PubMed, Medline, EMBASE, ScienceDirect, and Cochrane databases up to August 2022 and conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of 17 relevant studies.

RESULTS

The counts of Enterobacter (standardized mean difference [SMD] -1.79, 95% confidence interval [CI]: -3.08 to -0.49) and Enterococcus (SMD -1.41, 95% CI: -2.26 to -0.55) increased significantly in patients with cirrhosis, while the counts of Lactobacillus (SMD 0.63, 95% CI: 0.12-1.15) and Bifidobacterium (SMD 0.44, 95% CI: 0.12-0.77) decreased significantly. Blood ammonia (weighted mean difference [WMD] 14.61, 95% CI: 7.84-21.37) and the incidence of hepatic encephalopathy (WMD 0.40, 95% CI: 0.27-0.61) were significantly decreased in the probiotic group. As for mortality (MD 0.75, 95% CI: 0.48-1.16) and the incidence of spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (WMD -0.02, 95% CI: -0.07 to 0.03), no significant differences were found between the probiotic and placebo groups.

CONCLUSION

In summary, the gut microbiome in cirrhosis manifests as decreased counts of Lactobacillus and Bifidobacterium and increased counts of Enterobacter and Enterococcus. Targeted supplementation of probiotics in cirrhosis, including Lactobacillus combined with Bifidobacterium or Bifidobacterium alone, can reduce blood ammonia and the incidence of hepatic encephalopathy. The effect is similar to that of lactulose, but it has no obvious effect on mortality and spontaneous bacterial peritonitis.

Plasma ammonia levels predict hospitalisation with liver-related complications and mortality in clinically stable outpatients with cirrhosis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Hyperammonaemia is central in the pathogenesis of hepatic encephalopathy. It also has pleiotropic deleterious effects on several organ systems, such as immune function, sarcopenia, energy metabolism and portal hypertension. This study was performed to test the hypothesis that severity of hyperammonaemia is a risk factor for liver-related complications in clinically stable outpatients with cirrhosis.

METHODS

We studied 754 clinically stable outpatients with cirrhosis from 3 independent liver units. Baseline ammonia levels were corrected to the upper limit of normal (AMM-ULN) for the reference laboratory. The primary endpoint was hospitalisation with liver-related complications (a composite endpoint of bacterial infection, variceal bleeding, overt hepatic encephalopathy, or new onset or worsening of ascites). Multivariable competing risk frailty analyses using fast unified random forests were performed to predict complications and mortality. External validation was carried out using prospective data from 130 patients with cirrhosis in an independent tertiary liver centre.

RESULTS

Overall, 260 (35%) patients were hospitalised with liver-related complications. On multivariable analysis, AMM-ULN was an independent predictor of both liver-related complications (hazard ratio 2.13; 95% CI 1.89-2.40; p <0.001) and mortality (hazard ratio 1.45; 95% CI 1.20-1.76; p <0.001). The AUROC of AMM-ULN was 77.9% for 1-year liver-related complications, which is higher than traditional severity scores. Statistical differences in survival were found between high and low levels of AMM-ULN both for complications and mortality (p <0.001) using 1.4 as the optimal cut-off from the training set. AMM-ULN remained a key variable for the prediction of complications within the random forests model in the derivation cohort and upon external validation.

CONCLUSION

Ammonia is an independent predictor of hospitalisation with liver-related complications and mortality in clinically stable outpatients with cirrhosis and performs better than traditional prognostic scores in predicting complications.

LAY SUMMARY

We conducted a prospective cohort study evaluating the association of blood ammonia levels with the risk of adverse outcomes in 754 patients with stable cirrhosis across 3 independent liver units. We found that ammonia is a key determinant that helps to predict which patients will be hospitalised, develop liver-related complications and die; this was confirmed in an independent cohort of patients.

Development of a Widely Applicable and Simple Prognostic Score for Patients with Acute-on-chronic Liver Failure

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) tends to progress rapidly with high short-term mortality. We aimed to create a widely applicable, simple prognostic (WASP) score for ACLF patients.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort of ACLF cases recruited from three centers in China were divided into training and validation sets to develop the new score. A prospective longitudinal cohort was recruited for further validation.

RESULTS

A total of 541 cases were included in the training set, and seven independent ACLF prognostic factors were screened to construct a new quantitative WASP-ACLF table. In the validation set of 671 cases, WASP-ACLF showed better predictive ability for 28-day and 90-day mortality than the currently used prognostic scores at baseline, day 3, week 1, and week 2. The predictive efficacy and clinical validity of the model improved over time. Patients were assigned to low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups by their WASP-ACLF scores. Compared with the other two groups, intermediate-risk patients had a more uncertain prognosis, with a 90-day mortality of 44.4-50.6%. Sequential assessments at weeks 1 and 2 found the 90-day mortality of intermediate-risk groups was <20% for patients with a ≥2 point decrease in WASP-ACLF and was up to 56% for patients with a ≥2 points increase. Similar results were observed in prospective data.

CONCLUSIONS

The new ACLF prognostic score was simple, widely applicable, and had good predictive efficacy. Continuous assessments and trend of change in WASP-ACLF need to be considered, especially for intermediate-risk patients.

Heretical thoughts into hepatic encephalopathy

Clinical progress in the development of new diagnostic modalities and therapeutic strategies for the management of patients with hepatic encephalopathy has lagged behind the vast knowledge that has been generated from basic studies. In this article, we critically assess matters that should be revisited, such as definition, classification, diagnosis and grading of hepatic encephalopathy, which are difficult to apply reproducibly using the current criteria. Many lines of investigation have confirmed that hepatic encephalopathy is irreversible in many patients and suggest the need for further studies focussing on mechanisms of neuronal injury and death, to guide future drug development for these patients. The clinical evidence behind using lactulose for all severities of hepatic encephalopathy, which is currently considered the standard of care, is poor and placebo-controlled trials for hepatic encephalopathy should be considered ethically sound. This expert opinion identifies current challenges in hepatic encephalopathy and highlights areas which require further debate and investigation in order to help advance the field both scientifically and clinically.

Hepatic encephalopathy

Hepatic encephalopathy (HE) is a prognostically relevant neuropsychiatric syndrome that occurs in the course of acute or chronic liver disease. Besides ascites and variceal bleeding, it is the most serious complication of decompensated liver cirrhosis. Ammonia and inflammation are major triggers for the appearance of HE, which in patients with liver cirrhosis involves pathophysiologically low-grade cerebral oedema with oxidative/nitrosative stress, inflammation and disturbances of oscillatory networks in the brain. Severity classification and diagnostic approaches regarding mild forms of HE are still a matter of debate. Current medical treatment predominantly involves lactulose and rifaximin following rigorous treatment of so-called known HE precipitating factors. New treatments based on an improved pathophysiological understanding are emerging.

Role of SIRT1 in Hepatic Encephalopathy: In Vivo and In Vitro Studies Focusing on the NLRP3 Inflammasome

Hepatic encephalopathy (HE) is a neuropsychiatric disorder resulting from acute or chronic liver failure. This study is aimed at investigating the therapeutic effects and mechanisms of SIRT1 in thioacetamide- (TAA-) induced rat HE models. A selective activator (CAY10602) and inhibitor (EX527) of SIRT1 were used in this study. All male rats were separated into control, TAA, CAY10602+TAA, and EX527+TAA groups. Histological damage, liver function, serum ammonia, behavioral changes, and brain oxidative stress were measured in each group. Western blotting was used to measure SIRT1, NLRP3, ASC, and IL-1β protein expression. The results showed that CAY10602 alleviated liver injury, improved neurological decline, reduced microglial activation and brain oxidative stress, and improved the survival rates of HE rats. Moreover, CAY10602 inhibited activation of the NLRP3 inflammasome in microglia of the brain cortex in HE rats. Next, cell experiments confirmed that CAY10602 inhibited activation of the NLRP3 inflammasome in BV2 microglial cells. However, inhibition of SIRT1 by EX527 or lentivirus could enhance activation of the NLRP3 inflammasome in this process. Finally, CAY10602 reduced the neurotoxicity induced by high levels of ammonia in HT22 cells. Taken together, CAY10602 alleviates TAA-induced HE by suppressing microglial activation and the NLRP3 inflammasome and reducing the neurotoxicity of NH₄Cl in HT22 cells. A pharmacologic activator of SIRT1 may be a promising approach for the treatment of HE.