Accuracy of Medicare claims-based diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction: estimating positive predictive value on the basis of review of hospital records

The clinical outcomes and healthcare resource utilization in IgG4-related disease: a claims-based analysis of commercially insured adults in the United States

OBJECTIVES

IgG4-related disease (IgG4-RD) can affect nearly any organ and is often treated with glucocorticoids, which contribute to organ damage and toxicity. Comorbidities and healthcare utilization in IgG4-RD are poorly understood.

METHODS

We conducted a cohort study using claims data from a US managed care organization. Incident IgG4-RD cases were identified using a validated algorithm; general population comparators were matched by age, sex, race/ethnicity and index date. The frequency of 21 expert-defined clinical outcomes associated with IgG4-RD or its treatment and healthcare-associated visits and costs were assessed 12 months before and 36 months after the index date (date of earliest IgG4-RD-related claim).

RESULTS

There were 524 cases and 5240 comparators. Most cases received glucocorticoids prior to (64.0%) and after (85.1%) the index date. Nearly all outcomes, many being common glucocorticoid toxicities, occurred more frequently in cases vs comparators. During follow-up, the largest differences between cases and comparators were seen for gastroesophageal reflux disease (prevalence difference: +31.2%, P < 0.001), infections (+17.3%, P < 0.001), hypertension (+15.5%, P < 0.01) and diabetes mellitus (+15.0%, P < 0.001). The difference in malignancy increased during follow-up from +8.8% to +12.5% (P < 0.001). Some 17.4% of cases used pancreatic enzyme replacement therapy during follow-up. Over follow-up, cases were more often hospitalized (57.3% vs 17.2%, P < 0.01) and/or had an emergency room visit (72.0% vs 36.7%, P < 0.01); all costs were greater in cases than comparators.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with IgG4-RD are disproportionately affected by adverse outcomes, some of which may be preventable or modifiable with vigilant clinician monitoring. Glucocorticoid-sparing treatments may improve these outcomes.

Herpes zoster and long-term risk of subjective cognitive decline

BACKGROUND

Herpes zoster (HZ), commonly known as "shingles," may contribute to cognitive decline through mechanisms such as neuroinflammation or direct neuronal injury. However, evidence on the longitudinal association between HZ and cognitive decline is conflicting and whether the risk differs by APOE ε4-carrier status has not been studied; prospective cohort studies on the association between HZ vaccination and cognitive decline are also lacking.

METHODS

We included 149,327 participants from three large cohorts-the Nurses' Health Study (NHS), NHSII, and Health Professionals Follow-Up Study (HPFS)-to prospectively examine the association between HZ and subsequent subjective cognitive decline (SCD). Poisson regression was used to estimate the multivariable-adjusted relative risk (MVRR) of a 3-unit increment in SCD score according to years since HZ compared with participants with no history of HZ.

RESULTS

Compared with individuals with no history of HZ, the MVRR (95% CI) of a 3-unit increment in SCD score was significantly and independently higher among individuals with a history of HZ, but the duration of time since HZ when the elevated risk of SCD was statistically significant differed among the cohorts. In NHS, HZ was associated with higher long-term risk of SCD; compared with individuals with no history of HZ, the MVRR (95% CI) of a 3-unit increment in SCD score was 1.14 (1.01, 1.32) for ≥ 13 years since HZ. In NHS II, HZ was associated with higher risk of SCD in both the short-term [MVRR 1.34 (1.18, 1.53) for 1-4 years] and long-term [MVRR 1.20 (1.08, 1.34) for ≥ 13 years since HZ]. In HPFS, an elevated risk of SCD was suggested across all time points. Among the subset of participants with information on APOE ε4, there was a suggestion that the association differed by APOE ε4 carrier status, but the results were not consistent between women and men. Among the subset of women with information on HZ vaccination, there was a suggestion that the long-term risk of SCD may be greater among women who were not vaccinated against HZ.

CONCLUSIONS

Data from three large independent cohorts of women and men showed that HZ was associated with higher long-term risk of SCD, and the risk may differ by APOE ε4-carrier status.

Prognostic value of myocardial flow reserve vs corrected myocardial flow reserve in patients without obstructive coronary artery disease

BACKGROUND

Myocardial flow reserve (MFR) by positron emission tomography (PET) is a validated measure of cardiovascular risk. Elevated resting rate pressure product (RPP = heart rate x systolic blood pressure) can cause high resting myocardial blood flow (MBF), resulting in reduced MFR despite normal/near-normal peak stress MBF. When resting MBF is high, it is not known if RPP-corrected MFR (MFRcorrected) helps reclassify CV risk. We aimed to study this question in patients without obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD).

METHODS

We retrospectively studied patients referred for rest/stress cardiac PET at our center from 2006 to 2020. Patients with abnormal perfusion (summed stress score >3) or prior coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) were excluded. MFRcorrected was defined as stress MBF/corrected rest MBF where corrected rest MBF = rest MBF x 10,000/RPP. The primary outcome was major cardiovascular events (MACE): cardiovascular death or myocardial infarction. Associations of MFR and MFRcorrected with MACE were assessed using unadjusted and adjusted Cox regression.

RESULTS

3276 patients were followed for a median of 7 (IQR 3-12) years. 1685 patients (51%) had MFR <2.0, and of those 366 (22%) had an MFR ≥2.0 after RPP correction. MFR <2.0 was associated with an increased absolute risk of MACE (HR 2.24 [1.79-2.81], P < 0.0001). Among patients with MFR <2.0, the risk of MACE was not statistically different between patients with an MFRcorrected ≥2.0 compared with those with MFRcorrected <2.0 (1.9% vs 2.3% MACE/year, HR 0.84 [0.63-1.13], P = 0.26) even after adjustment for confounders (P = 0.66).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients without overt obstructive CAD and MFR< 2.0, there was no significant difference in cardiovascular risk between patients with discordant (≥2.0) and concordant (<2) MFR following RPP correction. This suggests that RPP-corrected MFR may not consistently provide accurate risk stratification in patients with normal perfusion and MFR <2.0. Stress MBF and uncorrected MFR should be reported to more reliably convey cardiovascular risk beyond perfusion results.

Comparative Safety of Long-Acting vs. Short-Acting Erythropoiesis-Stimulating Agents Among Patients Undergoing Hemodialysis

Both short-acting (epoetin alfa or beta) and long-acting (darbepoetin alfa or PEG-epoetin) erythropoiesis-stimulating agents (ESAs) are commonly prescribed for patients with kidney failure undergoing maintenance hemodialysis. We compared the risks of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and of all-cause mortality associated with receipt of short- vs. long-acting ESAs. This retrospective cohort analysis included Medicare hemodialysis beneficiaries aged ≥ 18 years in the United States Renal Data System from January 2015 to December 2017. We included adults who survived > 90 days after initiating hemodialysis and received either short- or long-acting ESAs. Outcomes were MACE (first occurrence of stroke, acute myocardial infarction, or cardiovascular-related mortality) and all-cause mortality. After stabilized inverse probability of treatment weighting, Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for each outcome. Of 68,607 patients (mean age: 65 years, 45% females), 33,658 (49%) received long-acting ESAs and 34,949 (51%) received short-acting ESAs. There was no difference in the risk of MACE associated with receipt of short- vs. long-acting ESAs (HR: 1.02 (95% CI: 0.98-1.08)). However, long-acting (vs. short-acting) ESA receipt was associated with a lower risk of all-cause mortality (HR: 0.91 (95% CI: 0.87-0.96)). Compared with short-acting ESAs, long-acting ESAs were associated with a lower risk of all-cause mortality, with no difference in the risk of MACE. Future studies with a longer follow-up are needed to confirm these findings.

Effectiveness and safety of empagliflozin: final results from the EMPRISE study

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

Limited evidence exists on the comparative safety and effectiveness of empagliflozin against alternative glucose-lowering medications in individuals with type 2 diabetes with the broad spectrum of cardiovascular risk. The EMPagliflozin compaRative effectIveness and SafEty (EMPRISE) cohort study was designed to monitor the safety and effectiveness of empagliflozin periodically for a period of 5 years with data collection from electronic healthcare databases.

METHODS

We identified individuals ≥18 years old with type 2 diabetes who initiated empagliflozin or dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (DPP-4i) from 2014 to 2019 using US Medicare and commercial claims databases. After 1:1 propensity score matching using 143 baseline characteristics, we identified four a priori-defined effectiveness outcomes: (1) myocardial infarction (MI) or stroke; (2) hospitalisation for heart failure (HHF); (3) major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE); and (4) cardiovascular mortality or HHF. Safety outcomes included lower-limb amputations, non-vertebral fractures, diabetic ketoacidosis (DKA), acute kidney injury (AKI), severe hypoglycaemia, retinopathy progression, and short-term kidney and bladder cancers. We estimated HRs and rate differences (RDs) per 1000 person-years, overall and stratified by age, sex, baseline atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) and heart failure.

RESULTS

We identified 115,116 matched pairs. Compared with DPP-4i, empagliflozin was associated with lower risks of MI/stroke (HR 0.88 [95% CI 0.81, 0.96]; RD -2.08 [95% CI (-3.26, -0.90]), HHF (HR 0.50 [0.44, 0.56]; RD -5.35 [-6.22, -4.49]), MACE (HR 0.73 [0.62, 0.86]; RD -6.37 [-8.98, -3.77]) and cardiovascular mortality/HHF (HR 0.57 [0.47, 0.69]; RD -10.36 [-12.63, -8.12]). Absolute benefits were larger in older individuals and in those with ASCVD/heart failure. Empagliflozin was associated with an increased risk of DKA (HR 1.78 [1.44, 2.19]; RD 1.59 [1.08, 2.09]); decreased risks of AKI (HR 0.62 [0.54, 0.72]; RD -2.39 [-3.08, -1.71]), hypoglycaemia (HR 0.75 [0.67, 0.84]; RD -2.46 [-3.32, -1.60]) and retinopathy progression (HR 0.78 [0.63, 0.96)]; RD -9.49 [-16.97, -2.10]); and similar risks of other safety events.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

Empagliflozin relative to DPP-4i was associated with risk reductions of MI or stroke, HHF, MACE and the composite of cardiovascular mortality or HHF. Absolute risk reductions were larger in older individuals and in those who had history of ASCVD or heart failure. Regarding the safety outcomes, empagliflozin was associated with an increased risk of DKA and lower risks of AKI, hypoglycaemia and progression to proliferative retinopathy, with no difference in the short-term risks of lower-extremity amputation, non-vertebral fractures, kidney and renal pelvis cancer, and bladder cancer.

Cancer and the risk of perioperative arterial ischaemic events

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Most cancer patients require surgery for diagnosis and treatment. This study evaluated whether cancer is a risk factor for perioperative arterial ischaemic events.

METHODS

The primary cohort included patients registered in the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) between 2006 and 2016. The secondary cohort included Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project (HCUP) claims data from 11 US states between 2016 and 2018. Study populations comprised patients who underwent inpatient (NSQIP, HCUP) or outpatient (NSQIP) surgery. Study exposures were disseminated cancer (NSQIP) and all cancers (HCUP). The primary outcome was a perioperative arterial ischaemic event, defined as myocardial infarction or stroke diagnosed within 30 days after surgery.

RESULTS

Among 5 609 675 NSQIP surgeries, 2.2% involved patients with disseminated cancer. The perioperative arterial ischaemic event rate was 0.96% among patients with disseminated cancer vs. 0.48% among patients without (hazard ratio [HR], 2.01; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.90-2.13). In Cox analyses adjusting for demographics, functional status, comorbidities, surgical specialty, anesthesia type, and clinical factors, disseminated cancer remained associated with higher risk of perioperative arterial ischaemic events (HR, 1.37; 95% CI, 1.28-1.46). Among 1 341 658 surgical patients in the HCUP cohort, 11.8% had a diagnosis of cancer. A perioperative arterial ischaemic event was diagnosed in 0.74% of patients with cancer vs. 0.54% of patients without cancer (HR, 1.35; 95% CI, 1.27-1.43). In Cox analyses adjusted for demographics, insurance, comorbidities, and surgery type, cancer remained associated with higher risk of perioperative arterial ischaemic events (HR, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.21-1.42).

CONCLUSION

Cancer is an independent risk factor for perioperative arterial ischaemic events.

Comparative effectiveness of sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors versus glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists in patients with type 2 diabetes and mild/moderate chronic kidney disease

AIM

To determine the comparative effectiveness regarding major cardiovascular events of glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) receptor agonists and sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 (SGLT-2) inhibitors in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and chronic kidney disease (CKD).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We assembled a cohort of commercially insured adult patients with T2DM in the United States (derived from Optum Clinformatics DataMart 2003-2021) who were new users of GLP-1 receptor agonists or SGLT-2 inhibitors. We compared risks of non-fatal myocardial infarction or stroke in patients with and without CKD, and further categorized by CKD stage: stages G1 or G2 [estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) ≥60 ml/min] and A2 (urine albumin to creatinine ratio 30 to <300 mg/g) or A3 (urine albumin to creatinine ratio ≥300 mg/g), stage G3a (eGFR 45 to <60 ml/min/1.73 m2 ) and stage G3b (eGFR 30 to <45 ml/min/1.73 m2 ). We used proportional hazards regression after inverse probability of treatment weighting to compute hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals.

RESULTS

After accounting for the probability of treatment, patients with T2DM and CKD treated with SGLT-2 inhibitors experienced a 14% lower risk of non-fatal myocardial infarction or stroke (hazard ratio 0.86, 95% confidence interval 0.78-0.94) relative to those treated with GLP-1 receptor agonists.

CONCLUSIONS

Recognizing the potential for residual confounding, selection bias and immortal time bias, commercially insured patients in the United States with T2DM and CKD treated with SGLT-2 inhibitors experienced significantly lower risks of non-fatal myocardial infarction or stroke relative to those treated with GLP-1 receptor agonists.

Lipoprotein(a) and Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events in Patients With or Without Baseline Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease

BACKGROUND

Lipoprotein(a) [Lp(a)] is associated with an increased risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). However, whether the optimal Lp(a) threshold for risk assessment should differ based on baseline ASCVD status is unknown.

OBJECTIVES

The purpose of this study was to assess the association between Lp(a) and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) among patients with and without baseline ASCVD.

METHODS

We studied a retrospective cohort of patients with Lp(a) measured at 2 medical centers in Boston, Massachusetts, from 2000 to 2019. To assess the association of Lp(a) with incident MACE (nonfatal myocardial infarction [MI], nonfatal stroke, coronary revascularization, or cardiovascular mortality), Lp(a) percentile groups were generated with the reference group set at the first to 50th Lp(a) percentiles. Cox proportional hazards modeling was used to assess the association of Lp(a) percentile group with MACE.

RESULTS

Overall, 16,419 individuals were analyzed with a median follow-up of 11.9 years. Among the 10,181 (62%) patients with baseline ASCVD, individuals in the 71st to 90th percentile group had a 21% increased hazard of MACE (adjusted HR: 1.21; P < 0.001), which was similar to that of individuals in the 91st to 100th group (adjusted HR: 1.26; P < 0.001). Among the 6,238 individuals without established ASCVD, there was a continuously higher hazard of MACE with increasing Lp(a), and individuals in the 91st to 100th Lp(a) percentile group had the highest relative risk with an adjusted HR of 1.93 (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

In a large, contemporary U.S. cohort, elevated Lp(a) is independently associated with long-term MACE among individuals with and without baseline ASCVD. Our results suggest that the threshold for risk assessment may be different in primary vs secondary prevention cohorts.

Data-driven automated classification algorithms for acute health conditions: applying PheNorm to COVID-19 disease

OBJECTIVES

Automated phenotyping algorithms can reduce development time and operator dependence compared to manually developed algorithms. One such approach, PheNorm, has performed well for identifying chronic health conditions, but its performance for acute conditions is largely unknown. Herein, we implement and evaluate PheNorm applied to symptomatic COVID-19 disease to investigate its potential feasibility for rapid phenotyping of acute health conditions.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

PheNorm is a general-purpose automated approach to creating computable phenotype algorithms based on natural language processing, machine learning, and (low cost) silver-standard training labels. We applied PheNorm to cohorts of potential COVID-19 patients from 2 institutions and used gold-standard manual chart review data to investigate the impact on performance of alternative feature engineering options and implementing externally trained models without local retraining.

RESULTS

Models at each institution achieved AUC, sensitivity, and positive predictive value of 0.853, 0.879, 0.851 and 0.804, 0.976, and 0.885, respectively, at quantiles of model-predicted risk that maximize F1. We report performance metrics for all combinations of silver labels, feature engineering options, and models trained internally versus externally.

DISCUSSION

Phenotyping algorithms developed using PheNorm performed well at both institutions. Performance varied with different silver-standard labels and feature engineering options. Models developed locally at one site also worked well when implemented externally at the other site.

CONCLUSION

PheNorm models successfully identified an acute health condition, symptomatic COVID-19. The simplicity of the PheNorm approach allows it to be applied at multiple study sites with substantially reduced overhead compared to traditional approaches.

Cardiorenal effectiveness of empagliflozin vs. glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists: final-year results from the EMPRISE study

BACKGROUND

No randomized clinical trials have directly compared the cardiorenal effectiveness of empagliflozin and GLP-1RA agents with demonstrated cardioprotective effects in patients with a broad spectrum of cardiovascular risk. We reported the final-year results of the EMPRISE study, a monitoring program designed to evaluate the cardiorenal effectiveness of empagliflozin across broad patient subgroups.

METHODS

We identified patients ≥ 18 years old with type 2 diabetes who initiated empagliflozin or GLP-1RA from 2014 to 2019 using US Medicare and commercial claims databases. After 1:1 propensity score matching using 143 baseline characteristics, we evaluated risks of outcomes including myocardial infarction (MI) or stroke, hospitalization for heart failure (HHF), major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE - MI, stroke, or cardiovascular mortality), a composite of HHF or cardiovascular mortality, and progression to end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) (in patients with chronic kidney disease stages 3-4). We estimated hazard ratios (HR) and rate differences (RD) per 1,000 person-years, overall and within subgroups of age, sex, baseline atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), and heart failure (HF).

RESULTS

We identified 141,541 matched pairs. Compared with GLP-1RA, empagliflozin was associated with similar risks of MI or stroke [HR: 0.99 (0.92, 1.07); RD: -0.23 (-1.25, 0.79)], and lower risks of HHF [HR: 0.50 (0.44, 0.56); RD: -2.28 (-2.98, -1.59)], MACE [HR: 0.90 (0.82, 0.99); RD: -2.54 (-4.76, -0.32)], cardiovascular mortality or HHF [HR: 0.77 (0.69, 0.86); RD: -4.11 (-5.95, -2.29)], and ESKD [0.75 (0.60, 0.94); RD: -6.77 (-11.97, -1.61)]. Absolute risk reductions were larger in older patients and in those with baseline ASCVD/HF. They did not differ by sex.

CONCLUSIONS

The cardiovascular benefits of empagliflozin vs. cardioprotective GLP-1RA agents were larger in older patients and in patients with history of ASCVD or HF, while they did not differ by sex. In patients with advanced CKD, empagliflozin was associated with risk reductions of progression to ESKD.

Stratified analysis in comparative effectiveness studies that emulate randomized trials

PURPOSE

For observational cohort studies that employ matching by propensity scores (PS), preliminary stratification by consequential predictors of outcome better emulates stratified randomization and potentially reduces variance and bias through relaxed dependence on modeling assumptions. We assessed the impact of pre-stratification in two real-life examples. For both, prior evidence from placebo-controlled randomized clinical trials (RCTs) suggested small or no risk reduction, but observational analysis suggested protection, presumably the result of confounding bias.

STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING

The study populations consisted of Medicare beneficiaries (2014-18) with type 2 diabetes initiating either (i) empagliflozin versus dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (DPP-4i) or (ii) empagliflozin versus glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RA). The outcome was myocardial infarction or stroke. We estimated hazard ratios (HR) and rate differences (RD) after controlling for 143 pre-exposure covariates via 1:1 PS matching after (1) PS estimation in the total cohort (total-cohort PS-matching) and (2) PS estimation separately by baseline cardiovascular disease (stratified PS matching).

RESULTS

Stratified PS matching resulted in HRs that exceeded those from total-cohort PS-matching by 13% and 9%, respectively, for the comparisons of empagliflozin to DPP-4i and GLP-1RA. Against both comparators, HRs and RDs after stratified PS matching were closer to the null, with slightly higher variances (2%-3%) than those after total-cohort PS matching.

CONCLUSION

Stratified PS matching produced effect estimates closer to the expected trial findings than total-cohort PS matching. The price paid in increased variance was minimal.

Risk profiles and incidence of cardiovascular events across different cancer types

BACKGROUND

Cancer survivors are at increased risk for cardiovascular (CV) disease, although additional data are needed to better understand the incidence of CV events across different malignancies. This study sought to characterize the incidence of major adverse CV events [myocardial infarction, stroke, unstable angina (MACE), or heart failure (HF)] across multiple cancer types after cancer diagnosis.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patients were identified from a USA-based administrative claims database who had index cancer diagnoses of breast, lung, prostate, melanoma, myeloma, kidney, colorectal, leukemia, or lymphoma between 2011 and 2019, with continuous enrollment for ≥12 months before diagnosis. Baseline CV risk factors and incidence rates of CV events post-index were identified for each cancer. Multivariable Cox hazards models assessed the cumulative incidence of MACE, accounting for baseline risk factors.

RESULTS

Among 839 934 patients across nine cancer types, CV risk factors were prevalent. The cumulative incidence of MACE was highest in lung cancer and myeloma, and lowest in breast cancer, prostate cancer, and melanoma. MACE cumulative incidence for lung cancer was 26% by 4 years (2.7-fold higher relative to breast cancer). The incidence of stroke was especially pronounced in lung cancer, while HF was highest in myeloma and lung cancer.

CONCLUSIONS

CV events were especially increased following certain cancer diagnoses, even after accounting for baseline risk factors. Understanding the variable patient characteristics and associated CV events across different cancers can help target appropriate CV risk factor modification and develop strategies to minimize adverse CV events and improve patient outcomes.

Optimal P2Y12 inhibitor durations in older men and older women following an acute myocardial infarction: A nationwide cohort study using Medicare data

Study objective

Identify optimal P2Y12 inhibitor durations balancing ischemic-benefit and bleeding-risk outcomes after acute myocardial infarction (AMI) in older men and women.

Design

Observational retrospective cohort with 2 years of follow-up, using clone-censor-weight marginal structural models to emulate randomization.

Setting

20 % sample of US Medicare administrative claims data.

Participants

P2Y12 inhibitor new users ≥66 years old following 2008-2013 AMI hospitalization.

Exposures

12- to 24-month P2Y12 inhibitor durations in 1-month intervals.

Main outcome measures

Effectiveness outcome (composite of all-cause mortality, recurrent AMI, ischemic stroke), safety outcome (hospitalized bleed), and negative control outcome (heart failure hospitalization).

Results

Of 28,488 P2Y12 inhibitor new users, 51 % were female, 50 % were > 75 years old, 88 % were White/non-Hispanic, and 93 % initiated clopidogrel. Negative control outcome results for 16- through 24-month durations appeared most likely to meet assumptions of no unmeasured confounding. Compared to men taking 24-month therapy, men taking 16-month therapy had higher 2-year risks of the composite effectiveness outcome (relative risk [RR] = 1.08; 95 % confidence interval [95%CI]:1.00-1.15) with similar bleeding risks (RR = 0.98; 95%CI:0.85-1.13). Compared to women taking 24-month therapy, women taking 16-month therapy had similar 2-year risks of the composite effectiveness outcome (RR = 0.98; 95%CI:0.92-1.04) and lower bleeding risks (RR = 0.88; 95%CI:0.80-0.96).

Conclusions

Older men taking 24-month P2Y12 inhibitor therapy had the lowest composite effectiveness outcome risk with no increased bleeding risk compared to shorter durations. Women taking 16-month versus 24-month P2Y12 inhibitor therapy had similar composite effectiveness outcome risks but a substantially lower hospitalized bleeding risk, suggesting durations beyond 15-17 months lacked benefit while increasing bleeding risk.

Benefits and Harms of Standard Versus Reduced-Dose Direct Oral Anticoagulant Therapy for Older Adults With Multiple Morbidities and Atrial Fibrillation

Background Dose reduction of direct oral anticoagulant (DOAC) medications is inconsistently applied to older adults with multiple morbidities, potentially due to perceived harms and unknown benefits of standard dosing. Methods and Results Using 2013 to 2017 US Medicare claims linked to Minimum Data Set records, we conducted a retrospective cohort study. We identified DOAC initiators (apixaban, dabigatran, rivaroxaban) aged ≥65 years with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation residing in a nursing home. We estimated inverse-probability of treatment weights for DOAC dose using propensity scores. We examined safety (hospitalization for major bleeding) and effectiveness outcomes (all-cause mortality, thrombosis [myocardial infarction, stroke, systemic embolism, venous thromboembolism]). We estimated hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs using cause-specific hazard-regression models. Of 21 878 DOAC initiators, 48% received reduced dosing. The mean age of residents was 82.0 years, 66% were female, and 31% had moderate/severe cognitive impairment. After estimating inverse-probability of treatment weights, standard dosing was associated with a higher rate of bleeding (HR, 1.18 [95% CI, 1.03-1.37]; 9.4 versus 8.0 events per 100 person-years). Standard-dose therapy was associated with the highest rates of bleeding among those aged >80 years (9.1 versus 6.7 events per 100 person-years) and with a body mass index <30 kg/m2 (9.4 versus 7.4 events per 100 person-years). There was no association of dosing with mortality (HR, 0.99 [95% CI, 0.96-1.06]) or thrombotic events (HR, 1.16 [95% CI, 0.96-1.41]). Conclusions In this nationwide study of nursing home residents with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation, we found a higher rate of bleeding and little difference in effectiveness of standard versus reduced-dose DOAC treatment. Our results support the use of reduced-dose DOACs for many older adults with multiple morbidities.

Comparative Cardiovascular Effectiveness and Safety of SGLT-2 Inhibitors, GLP-1 Receptor Agonists, and DPP-4 Inhibitors According to Frailty in Type 2 Diabetes

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the comparative cardiovascular effectiveness and safety of sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT-2is), glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs), and dipeptidyl peptidase 4 inhibitors (DPP-4is) in older adults with type 2 diabetes (T2D) across different frailty strata.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We performed three 1:1 propensity score-matched cohort studies, each stratified by three frailty strata, using data from Medicare beneficiaries (2013-2019) with T2D who initiated SGLT-2is, GLP-1RAs, or DPP-4is. In time-to-event analyses, we assessed the primary cardiovascular effectiveness composite outcome of acute myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, hospitalization for heart failure, and all-cause mortality. The primary safety outcome was a composite of severe adverse events that have been linked to SGLT-2i or GLP-1RA use.

RESULTS

Compared with DPP-4is, the overall hazard ratio (HR) for the primary effectiveness outcome associated with SGLT-2is (n = 120,202 matched pairs) was 0.72 (95% CI 0.69-0.75), corresponding to an incidence rate difference (IRD) of -13.35 (95% CI -15.06 to -11.64). IRD ranged from -6.74 (95% CI -8.61 to -4.87) in nonfrail to -27.24 (95% CI -41.64 to -12.84) in frail people (P for interaction < 0.01). Consistent benefits were observed for GLP-1RAs compared with DPP-4is (n = 113,864), with an overall HR of 0.74 (95% CI 0.71-0.77) and an IRD of -15.49 (95% CI -17.46 to -13.52). IRD in the lowest frailty stratum was -7.02 (95% CI -9.23 to -4.81) and -25.88 (95% CI -38.30 to -13.46) in the highest (P for interaction < 0.01). Results for SGLT-2is versus GLP-1RAs (n = 89,865) were comparable. Severe adverse events were not more frequent with SGLT-2is or GLP-1RAs than DPP-4is.

CONCLUSIONS

SGLT-2is and GLP-1RAs safely improved cardiovascular outcomes and all-cause mortality, with the largest absolute benefits among frail people.

Cardiovascular Outcomes of α-Blockers vs 5-α Reductase Inhibitors for Benign Prostatic Hyperplasia

Importance

The most prescribed class of medications for benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH) is α-blockers (ABs). However, the cardiovascular safety profile of these medications among patients with BPH is not well understood.

Objective

To compare the safety of ABs vs 5-α reductase inhibitors (5-ARIs) for risk of adverse cardiovascular outcomes.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This active comparator, new-user cohort study was conducted using insurance claims data from a 20% random sample of Medicare beneficiaries from 2007 to 2019 to evaluate the 1-year risk of adverse cardiovascular outcomes. Males aged 66 to 90 years were indexed into the cohort at new use of an AB or 5-ARI. Twelve months of continuous enrollment and at least 1 diagnosis code for BPH within 12 months prior to initiation were required. Data were analyzed from January 2007 through December 2019.

Exposures

Exposure was defined by a qualifying prescription fill for an AB or 5-ARI after at least 12 months without a prescription for these drug classes.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Follow-up began at a qualified refill for the study drug. Primary study outcomes were hospitalization for heart failure (HF), composite major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE; hospitalization for stroke, myocardial infarction, or death), composite MACE or hospitalization for HF, and death. Inverse probability of treatment and censoring-weighted 1-year risks, risk ratios (RRs), and risk differences (RDs) were estimated for each outcome.

Results

Among 189 868 older adult males, there were 163 829 patients initiating ABs (mean [SD] age, 74.6 [6.2] years; 579 American Indian or Alaska Native [0.4%], 5890 Asian or Pacific Islander [3.6%], 9179 Black [5.6%], 10 610 Hispanic [6.5%], and 133 510 non-Hispanic White [81.5%]) and 26 039 patients initiating 5-ARIs (mean [SD] age, 75.3 [6.4] years; 76 American Indian or Alaska Native [0.3%], 827 Asian or Pacific Islander [3.2%], 1339 Black [5.1%], 1656 Hispanic [6.4%], and 21 605 non-Hispanic White [83.0%]). ABs compared with 5-ARIs were associated with an increased 1-year risk of MACE (8.95% [95% CI, 8.81%-9.09%] vs 8.32% [95% CI, 7.92%-8.72%]; RR = 1.08 [95% CI, 1.02-1.13]; RD per 1000 individuals = 6.26 [95% CI, 2.15-10.37]), composite MACE and HF (RR = 1.07; [95% CI, 1.03-1.12]; RD per 1000 individuals = 7.40 [95% CI, 2.88-11.93 ]), and death (RR = 1.07; [95% CI, 1.01-1.14]; RD per 1000 individuals = 3.85 [95% CI, 0.40-7.29]). There was no difference in risk for HF hospitalization alone.

Conclusions and Relevance

These results suggest that ABs may be associated with an increased risk of adverse cardiovascular outcomes compared with 5-ARIs. If replicated with more detailed confounder data, these results may have important public health implications given these medications' widespread use.

Validation of ICD-10-CM Diagnostic Codes for Identifying Patients with ST-Elevation and Non-ST-Elevation Myocardial Infarction in a National Health Insurance Claims Database

Purpose

Distinguishing ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) and non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) is crucial in acute myocardial infarction (AMI) research due to their distinct characteristics. However, the accuracy of International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-10-CM) codes for STEMI and NSTEMI in Taiwan's National Health Insurance (NHI) database remains unvalidated. Therefore, we developed and validated case definition algorithms for STEMI and NSTEMI using ICD-10-CM and NHI billing codes.

Patients and Methods

We obtained claims data and medical records of inpatient visits from 2016 to 2021 from the hospital's research-based database. Potential STEMI and NSTEMI cases were identified using diagnostic codes, keywords, and procedure codes associated with AMI. Chart reviews were then conducted to confirm the cases. The performance of the developed algorithms for STEMI and NSTEMI was assessed and subsequently externally validated.

Results

The algorithm that defined STEMI as any STEMI ICD code in the first three diagnosis fields had the highest performance, with a sensitivity of 93.6% (95% confidence interval [CI], 91.7-95.2%), a positive predictive value (PPV) of 89.4% (95% CI, 87.1-91.4%), and a kappa of 0.914 (95% CI, 0.900-0.928). The algorithm that used the NSTEMI ICD code listed in any diagnosis field performed best in identifying NSTEMI, with a sensitivity of 82.6% (95% CI, 80.7-84.4%), a PPV of 96.5% (95% CI, 95.4-97.4), and a kappa of 0.889 (95% CI, 0.878-0.901). The algorithm that included either STEMI or NSTEMI ICD codes listed in any diagnosis field showed excellent performance in defining AMI, with a sensitivity of 89.4% (95% CI, 88.2-90.6%), a PPV of 95.6% (95% CI, 94.7-96.4%), and a kappa of 0.923 (95% CI, 0.915-0.931). External validation confirmed these algorithms' efficacy.

Conclusion

Our results provide valuable reference algorithms for identifying STEMI and NSTEMI cases in Taiwan's NHI database.

Cardiovascular Safety in Postmenopausal Women and Men With Osteoporosis Treated With Denosumab and Zoledronic Acid: A Post-Authorization Safety Study

Osteoporosis and cardiovascular disease are common in older adults. Treatment of osteoporosis reduces the burden of debilitating fractures; however, it is important to understand the benefit versus risk of treatment. This study evaluates the risk of stroke (ischemic or hemorrhagic) and myocardial infarction (MI) among postmenopausal women and men initiating osteoporosis treatment with denosumab (receptor activator of nuclear factor κB ligand [RANKL] inhibitor) or zoledronic acid (bisphosphonate) between October 2010 and June 2019. A retrospective cohort study employing the new user/active comparator design was conducted. Analyses were conducted separately in two national US commercial databases, MarketScan® and Optum® for reproducibility. Inverse probability of treatment and censoring weighting was employed to control for confounding and informative censoring. Cumulative risks at 6-month, 12-month, and 36-month time points were calculated and adjusted risk ratios and differences (with 95% confidence intervals [CIs]) were estimated. In MarketScan® and Optum® databases, 96,611 and 73,127 patients met all study eligibility criteria, respectively. At 36 months, the risk ratio estimates (zoledronic acid referent group) were 1.22 (95% CI, 0.77-1.66) and 0.97 (95% CI, 0.63-1.32) for MI and 1.00 (95% CI, 0.61-1.40) and 0.87 (95% CI, 0.56-1.17) for stroke in MarketScan and Optum, respectively. Most of the treatment associations across the other time periods and outcomes also had 95% CIs including the null value. In these large samples of real-world US patients, no increased risk in MI and stroke were identified for up to 36 months of treatment in denosumab users compared with zoledronic acid users. © 2023 Amgen. JBMR Plus published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.

The risk of major adverse cardiovascular events associated with the use of hypnotics in patients with insomnia

OBJECTIVES

To examine whether hypnotic use in patients with insomnia reduces major adverse cardiovascular events, including all-cause mortality and nonfatal major adverse cardiovascular events.

METHODS

Using the Veterans Affairs Corporate Data Warehouse, we conducted a retrospective cohort study of 16,064 patients who were newly diagnosed with insomnia between January 1, 2010, and December 31, 2019. A pair of 3912 hypnotic users and nonusers were selected based on a 1:1 propensity score methodology. The primary outcome was extended major adverse cardiovascular events, a composite of the first occurrence of all-cause mortality or nonfatal major adverse cardiovascular events.

RESULTS

During the median follow-up of 4.8 years, a total of 2791 composite events occurred, including 2033 deaths and 762 nonfatal major adverse cardiovascular events. Although the incidence rates of major adverse cardiovascular events were comparable between hypnotic users and nonusers in the propensity-matched cohort, users of benzodiazepines and Z-drugs had a higher risk of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio 1.47 [95% CI, 1.17-1.88] and 1.20 [95% CI, 1.03-1.39], respectively), while serotonin antagonist and reuptake inhibitors users had a survival advantage (hazard ratio 0.79 [95% CI, 0.69-0.91]) compared with nonusers. There were no differences in the risk of nonfatal major adverse cardiovascular events between all classes of hypnotics. Male patients and those aged 60 years or younger who were using benzodiazepines or Z-drugs experienced higher major adverse cardiovascular events than their counterparts.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with newly diagnosed insomnia, treatment with hypnotics resulted in higher extended major adverse cardiovascular events but not nonfatal major adverse cardiovascular events with benzodiazepine and Z-drug users compared with nonusers. The use of serotonin antagonist and reuptake inhibitors agents had a protective effect against major adverse cardiovascular events warranting further investigation.

Can traffic-related air pollution trigger myocardial infarction within a few hours of exposure? Identifying hourly hazard periods

INTRODUCTION

Traffic-related air pollution can trigger myocardial infarction (MI). However, the hourly hazard period of exposure to nitrogen dioxide (NO2), a common traffic tracer, for incident MI has not been fully evaluated. Thus, the current hourly US national air quality standard (100 ppb) is based on limited hourly-level effect estimates, which may not adequately protect cardiovascular health.

OBJECTIVES

We characterized the hourly hazard period of NO2 exposure for MI in New York state (NYS), USA, from 2000 to 2015.

METHODS

For nine cities in NYS, we obtained data on MI hospitalizations from the NYS Department of Health Statewide Planning and Research Cooperative System and hourly NO2 concentrations from the US Environmental Protection Agency's Air Quality System database. We used city-wide exposures and a case-crossover study design with distributed lag non-linear terms to assess the relationship between hourly NO2 concentrations over 24 h and MI, adjusting for hourly temperature and relative humidity.

RESULTS

The mean NO2 concentration was 23.2 ppb (standard deviation: 12.6 ppb). In the six hours preceding MI, we found linearly increased risk with increasing NO2 concentrations. At lag hour 0, a 10 ppb increase in NO2 was associated with 0.2 % increased risk of MI (Rate Ratio [RR]: 1.002; 95 % Confidence Interval [CI]: 1.000, 1.004). We estimated a cumulative RR of 1.015 (95 % CI: 1.008, 1.021) for all 24 lag hours per 10 ppb increase in NO2. Lag hours 2-3 had consistently elevated risk ratios in sensitivity analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

We found robust associations between hourly NO2 exposure and MI risk at concentrations far lower than current hourly NO2 national standards. Risk of MI was most elevated in the six hours after exposure, consistent with prior studies and experimental work evaluating physiologic responses after acute traffic exposure. Our findings suggest that current hourly standards may be insufficient to protect cardiovascular health.

Sodium-Glucose Cotransporter-2 Inhibitors After Acute Myocardial Infarction in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes: A Population-Based Investigation

Background Whether the early use of sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitors have cardioprotective effects following acute myocardial infarction is unknown. Thus, we aimed to evaluate the association between the early initiation of SGLT2 inhibitors and cardiac event rates in patients with diabetes with acute myocardial infarction undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention. Methods and Results Based on the National Health Insurance claims data in South Korea, patients who received percutaneous coronary intervention for acute myocardial infarction between 2014 and 2018 were analyzed. Patients given SGLT2 inhibitors or other glucose-lowering drugs were matched based on a propensity score. The primary end point was a composite of all-cause mortality and hospitalizations for heart failure. Major adverse cardiac events (a composite of all-cause death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and ischemic stroke) were compared as the secondary end point. After 1:2 propensity score matching, the SGLT2 inhibitors group (938 patients) and the no use of SGLT2 inhibitors group (1876 patients) were compared. During a median follow-up of 2.1 years, the early use of SGLT2 inhibitors was associated with lower risks of both the primary end point (9.8% versus 13.9%; adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 0.68 [95% CI, 0.54-0.87]; P=0.002) and secondary end point (9.1% versus 11.6%; adjusted HR, 0.77 [95% CI, 0.60-0.99]; P=0.04). All-cause mortality and hospitalizations for heart failure were also significantly lower in early users of SGLT2 inhibitors. Conclusions The early use of SGLT2 inhibitors in patients with diabetes treated with percutaneous coronary intervention for acute myocardial infarction was associated with a significantly lower risk of cardiovascular events, including all-cause mortality, hospitalizations for heart failure, and major adverse cardiac events.

Comparative Safety of Gout Treatment Strategies on Cardiovascular Outcomes Using Observational Data: Clone-censor-weight Target Trial Emulation Approach

BACKGROUND

We sought to examine the cardiovascular safety of intensive treat-to-target serum urate strategies for gout using Medicare claims data linked to electronic health record laboratory data.

METHODS

We selected patients with gout who initiated urate-lowering therapy. We emulated a hypothetical trial comparing the rate of major adverse cardiovascular events (nonfatal myocardial infarction, nonfatal stroke, and cardiovascular death) among seven different strategies over 24 months. Three aspects were considered in defining increasingly intensive strategies: (1) continuation of urate-lowering therapy, (2) serum urate monitoring, and (3) modification of urate-lowering therapy when serum urate >6 mg/dl. We applied the "clone-censor-weight" method to account for baseline and time-varying confounding.

RESULTS

We identified 4402 patients with gout who initiated urate-lowering therapy (mean age 77; male 60%). During a total of 6611 person-years (PY) of follow-up under usual care, the rate of major cardiovascular events (first and recurrent) was 4.5/100 PY (95% CI = 4.0, 5.1). The rate ratios (RRs) suggested reductions (RR point estimates 0.88-0.84) compared with usual care. All 95% CIs were imprecise, but their upper bounds excluded substantial increase in RRs. RRs were closer to 1.0 for the analysis focusing on the first major adverse cardiovascular event during follow-up and on comparison to the strategy requiring continuation of urate-lowering therapy (but not necessarily titration).

CONCLUSIONS

Our treatment strategy trial emulation did not find increased risk of major adverse cardiovascular events with intensive urate-lowering strategies. Results may provide reassurance of the cardiovascular safety of intensive treat-to-target serum urate strategies recommended by rheumatology societies.

Cardiovascular outcomes with SGLT2 inhibitors versus DPP4 inhibitors and GLP-1 receptor agonists in patients with heart failure with reduced and preserved ejection fraction

BACKGROUND

No study has compared the cardiovascular outcomes for sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) head-to-head against other glucose-lowering therapies, including dipeptidyl peptidase 4 inhibitor (DDP4i) or glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist (GLP-1RA)-which also have cardiovascular benefits-in patients with heart failure with reduced (HFrEF) or preserved (HFpEF) ejection fraction.

METHODS

Medicare fee-for-service data (2013-2019) were used to create four pair-wise comparison cohorts of type 2 diabetes patients with: (1a) HFrEF initiating SGLT2i versus DPP4i; (1b) HFrEF initiating SGLT2i versus GLP-1RA; (2a) HFpEF initiating SGLT2i versus DPP4i; and (2b) HFpEF initiating SGLT2i versus GLP-1RA. The primary outcomes were (1) hospitalization for heart failure (HHF) and (2) myocardial infarction (MI) or stroke hospitalizations. Adjusted hazards ratios (HR) and 95% CIs were estimated using inverse probability of treatment weighting.

RESULTS

Among HFrEF patients, initiation of SGLT2i versus DPP4i (cohort 1a; n = 13,882) was associated with a lower risk of HHF (adjusted Hazard Ratio [HR (95% confidence interval)], 0.67 (0.63, 0.72) and MI or stroke (HR: 0.86 [0.75, 0.99]), and initiation of SGLT2i versus GLP-1RA (cohort 1b; n = 6951) was associated with lower risk of HHF (HR: 0.86 [0.79, 0.93]), but not MI or stroke (HR: 1.02 [0.85, 1.22]). Among HFpEF patients, initiation of SGLT2i versus DPP4i (cohort 2a; n = 17,493) was associated with lower risk of HHF (HR: 0.65 [0.61, 0.69]) but not MI or stroke (HR: 0.90 [0.79, 1.02]), and initiation of SGLT2i versus GLP-1RA (cohort 2b; n = 9053) was associated with lower risk of HHF (0.89 [0.83, 0.96]), but not MI or stroke (HR: 0.97 [0.83, 1.14]). Results were robust across range of secondary outcomes (e.g., all-cause mortality) and sensitivity analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

Bias from residual confounding cannot be ruled out. Use of SGLT2i was associated with reduced risk of HHF against DPP4i and GLP-1RA, reduced risk of MI or stroke against DPP4i within the HFrEF subgroup, and comparable risk of MI or stroke against GLP-1RA. Notably, the magnitude of cardiovascular benefit conferred by SGLT2i was similar among patients with HFrEF and HFpEF.

Comparing Effectiveness and Safety of SGLT2 Inhibitors vs DPP-4 Inhibitors in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes and Varying Baseline HbA1c Levels

IMPORTANCE

Sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitor (SGLT2i) therapy has been associated with cardiovascular benefits and a few adverse events; however, whether the comparative effectiveness and safety profiles vary with differences in baseline hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) levels is unknown.

OBJECTIVE

To compare cardiovascular effectiveness and safety of treatment with SGLT2i vs dipeptidyl peptidase 4 inhibitor (DPP-4i) in adults with type 2 diabetes (T2D) (1) overall and (2) at varying baseline HbA1c levels.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

A new-user comparative effectiveness and safety research study was conducted among 144 614 commercially insured adults, initiating treatment with SGLT2i or DPP-4i and with a recorded T2D diagnosis at baseline and at least 1 HbA1c laboratory result recorded within 3 months before treatment initiation.

INTERVENTIONS

The intervention consisted of the initiation of treatment with SGLT2i or DPP-4i.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Primary outcomes were a composite of myocardial infarction, stroke, or all-cause death (modified major adverse cardiovascular events [MACE]) and hospitalization for heart failure (HHF). Safety outcomes were hypovolemia, fractures, falls, genital infections, diabetic ketoacidosis (DKA), acute kidney injury (AKI), and lower-limb amputation. Incidence rate (IR) per 1000 person-years, hazard ratios (HR) and rate differences (RD) with their 95% CIs were estimated controlling for 128 covariates.

RESULTS

A total of 144 614 eligible adults (mean [SD] age, 62 [12.4] years; 54% male participants) with T2D initiating treatment with a SGLT2i (n = 60 523) or a DPP-4i (n = 84 091) were identified; 44 099 had an HbA1c baseline value of less than 7.5%, 52 986 between 7.5% and 9%, and 47 529 greater than 9%. Overall, 87 274 eligible patients were 1:1 propensity score-matched: 24 052 with HbA1c less than 7.5%; 32 290 with HbA1c between 7.5% and 9%; and 30 932 with HbA1c greater than 9% (to convert percentage of total hemoglobin to proportion of total hemoglobin, multiply by 0.01). The initiation of SGLT2i vs DPP-4i was associated with a reduction in the risk of modified MACE (IR per 1000 person-years 17.13 vs 20.18, respectively; HR, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.75-0.95; RD, -3.02; 95% CI, -5.23 to -0.80) and HHF (IR per 1000 person-years 3.68 vs 8.08, respectively; HR, 0.46; 95% CI, 0.35 to 0.57; RD -4.37; 95% CI, -5.62 to -3.12) over a mean follow-up of 8 months, with no evidence of treatment effect heterogeneity across the HbA1c levels. Treatment with SGLT2i showed an increased risk of genital infections and DKA and a reduced AKI risk compared with DPP-4i. Findings were consistent by HbA1c levels, except for a more pronounced risk of genital infections associated with SGLT2i for HbA1c levels of 7.5% to 9% (IR per 1000 person-years 68.5 vs 22.8, respectively; HR, 3.10; 95% CI, 2.68-3.58; RD, 46.22; 95% CI, 40.54-51.90).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

In this comparative effectiveness and safety research study among adults with T2D, SGLT2i vs DPP-4i treatment initiators had a reduced risk of modified MACE and HHF, an increased risk of genital infections and DKA, and a lower risk of AKI, regardless of baseline HbA1c.

Updated estimates for the burden of chronic limb-threatening ischemia in the Medicare population

OBJECTIVE

Estimates of chronic limb-threatening ischemia (CLTI) based on diagnosis codes of the International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-9-CM) suggest a prevalence of 0.23%-0.32% and incidence of 0.20%-0.26% among Medicare patients. ICD-10-CM includes 144 CLTI diagnosis codes, allowing improved specificity in identifying affected patients. We sought to use ICD-10-CM diagnosis codes to determine the prevalence of CLTI among Medicare patients and describe the patient cohort affected by this condition.

METHODS

Using two years of data from Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, we identified all patients that had at least one CLTI diagnosis code to determine prevalence and incidence rates. Sensitivity analyses were performed to compare our methodology to prior publications and quantify the extent of missed diagnoses. The number and type of vascular procedures that occurred after diagnosis were tabulated. A cohort of patients with two or more CLTI diagnosis codes were then identified for further descriptive analysis. Associations between patient demographics and survival were analyzed using Cox proportional hazards models.

RESULTS

Over 65 million patients were enrolled in Medicare in 2017 to 2018. Of these, 480,227 had diagnosis of CLTI, with a corresponding to a 1-year incidence of 0.33% and a 2-year prevalence of 0.74%. Patients underwent an average of 43.6 vascular procedures per 100 person-years. Sensitivity analyses identified 89,805 additional patients that had a diagnosis code of peripheral arterial disease who underwent revascularization or amputation. Patients with CLTI were predominantly male (56.2%), white (76.4%), and qualified for Medicare due to age (64.0%). Thirty-seven percent were dual-eligible. One-year survival was 77.7%, significantly lower than estimated actuarial survival adjusted for age, sex, and race (95.1%; P < .001). Cox proportional hazards models demonstrate significantly increased mortality for men vs women (hazard ratio, 1.07; 95% confidence interval, 1.04-1.10; P < .001), but no association between race and overall survival (hazard ratio, 0.99; 95% confidence interval, 0.98-1.01; P = .83).

CONCLUSIONS

Using ICD-10-CM diagnosis codes, we demonstrated slightly higher incidence and prevalence of CLTI than in published literature, reflecting our more complete methodology. Sensitivity analyses suggest that increased complexity of the highly specific ICD-10-CM coding may diminish capture of CLTI. Inclusion of patients with non-CLTI peripheral arterial disease diagnoses produces moderate increases in incidence and prevalence at the cost of decreased specificity in identifying patients with CLTI. Medicare patients with CLTI are older, and more commonly male, black, and dual eligible compared with the general Medicare population. Observed mid-term survival for patients with CLTI is significantly lower than actuarial estimates, confirming the importance of focused efforts on identifying and aligning goals of care in this complex patient population.

Cardiovascular Disease Risk in Calcium Pyrophosphate Deposition Disease: A Nationwide Study of Veterans

OBJECTIVE

Calcium pyrophosphate deposition (CPPD) disease represents a common crystalline arthritis with a range of manifestations. Our goal was to investigate risks for cardiovascular events in patients with CPPD.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective matched cohort analysis in the Veterans Health Administration Corporate Data Warehouse, 2010-2014. CPPD was defined by ≥1 International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision codes for chondrocalcinosis or calcium metabolism disorder. CPPD patients were age- and sex-matched to approximately 4 patients without codes for CPPD; we excluded patients with a cardiovascular event during the 365 days prior to the index date. Demographic information, traditional cardiovascular risk factors, medications, and health care utilization were assessed at baseline. The primary outcome was a major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE: myocardial infarction, acute coronary syndrome, coronary revascularization, stroke, or death). Secondary outcomes included individual components of MACE. Cox proportional hazards models estimated fully adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs).

RESULTS

We identified 23,124 CPPD patients matched to 86,629 non-CPPD patients with >250,000 person-years of follow-up. The study population was 96% male, mean age was 78 years, and 75% were White. The frequency of traditional cardiovascular risk factors was similar between the 2 cohorts. CPPD was not significantly associated with risk for MACE (HR 0.98 [95% CI 0.94-1.02]) in fully adjusted models, though risks of myocardial infarction, acute coronary syndrome, and stroke were significantly higher in the CPPD cohort compared to the non-CPPD cohort.

CONCLUSION

CPPD did not confer an increased risk for MACE, a composite end point including all-cause mortality. Our results propose CPPD as a novel risk factor for MACE components, including myocardial infarction, acute coronary syndrome, and stroke.

Gout among Patients with Dialysis: Prevalence, Associated Factors, Treatment Patterns, and Outcomes-Population-Based Retrospective Cohort Study

Key Points

Population-based retrospective cohort study to evaluate clinical correlates of gout and its impact on patients undergoing chronic dialysis. 13.5% of US dialysis-dependent patients had gout and were older and male, with a higher prevalence of hypertension and cardiovascular disease. Gout diagnosis was associated with a higher incidence of cardiovascular conditions, levels of anemia, hospitalization, and mortality.

Background

An association between gout and nondialysis chronic renal disease has long been recognized, yet limited research exists regarding prevalence, treatment, anemia management, and outcomes in patients with ESKD undergoing dialysis.

Methods

Using data from United States Renal Data System, we conducted a population-based retrospective cohort study in adult patients covered by Medicare and on dialysis in 2017. Multivariate logistic regression models were used to estimate potential factors and odds of gout diagnosis. Antigout medications and impact on anemia management were assessed and compared between gout and nongout dialysis patients using descriptive and regression analyses. Associations for all-cause mortality and cardiovascular-related hospitalizations during 1 year of study follow-up were compared between gout and nongout patients using multivariate Cox regression models.

Results

Of 231,841 ESKD Medicare patients in 2017 undergoing continuous dialysis, 31,300 (13.5%) had one or more gout diagnostic code(s). Increased odds of having a gout diagnosis were independently associated with older age, male sex, Asian race, obesity, hypertension, and cardiovascular disease. Gout diagnosis was associated with higher prevalence for anemia as indicated by increased erythropoietin-stimulating agent requirements (odds ratio=1.18 for high versus low erythropoietin-stimulating agent dose, 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 1.14 to 1.22) and likelihood of blood transfusions (odds ratio=1.34, 95% CI, 1.30 to 1.38). During the 1-year study follow-up, mortality among gout versus nongout patients was higher by 3% (95% CI, 0 to 6) and a composite association of mortality and cardiovascular disease hospitalization was higher by 6% (95% CI, 3 to 9) after adjusting for comorbid conditions.

Conclusions

A gout diagnosis was found in 13.5% of US dialysis-dependent patients and was associated with a higher burden of comorbid cardiovascular conditions as well as an elevated incidence of hospitalization and mortality. These observations improve our current understanding of gout among the dialysis population and highlight the importance of new and better treatments to improve outcomes.

Comparative effectiveness of Empagliflozin in reducing the burden of recurrent cardiovascular hospitalizations among older adults with diabetes in routine clinical care

BACKGROUND

The effect of sodium glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) on the total (first and recurrent) burden of cardiovascular (CV) hospitalizations, including hospitalization for heart failure, myocardial infarction, and stroke, is poorly understood.

OBJECTIVE

To assess the effect of empagliflozin, an SGLT2i, on total CV hospitalizations among older adults with T2D.

METHODS

Using data from Medicare fee-for-service (08/2014-09/2017), we identified 1:1 propensity score-matched cohorts of patients with T2D initiating empagliflozin versus sitagliptin or empagliflozin versus glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RA), balancing >140 baseline covariates. We compared the risk of first and recurrent hospitalizations with any CV condition as the primary discharge diagnosis (ICD-9: 390-459; ICD-10: I00-I99), hospitalizations for heart failure (HHF), and myocardial infarctions (MI) or stroke. We estimated treatment effects based on the Ghosh-Lin semiparametric model for recurrent events as primary and joint frailty model as secondary analysis.

RESULTS

We included 11,429 matched-pairs of empagliflozin and sitagliptin initiators and 17,502 matched-pairs of empagliflozin and GLP1-RA initiators with an average age of 72 years. Empagliflozin was associated with a reduced risk of total CV hospitalizations (0.80 [0.69-0.93] vs sitagliptin; 0.88 [0.77-1.00] vs GLP-1RA) and total HHF (0.70 [0.51-0.98] vs sitagliptin; 0.76 [0.56-1.03] vs GLP1-RA) over a mean follow up of 6.3 months. No differences between treatments were observed for MI or stroke. Results were consistent for joint frailty models.

CONCLUSION

Empagliflozin, compared to sitagliptin or to a lesser extent GLP1-RA, was associated with a reduction in the burden of total CV hospitalizations and HHF in older patients with T2D.

Cardiovascular and Mortality Risk with Intravitreal Vascular Endothelial Growth Factor Inhibitors in Patients with Diabetic Retinopathy

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the cardiovascular (CV) safety associated with intravitreal anti-VEGF injections (IAVIs) in patients with diabetic retinopathy (DR).

DESIGN

Population-based cohort study using Medicare and 2 commercial insurance claims databases in the United States from January 2009 to December 2017.

SUBJECTS

Patients with DR aged ≥ 18 years in whom treatment with either IVAIs or laser procedure or intravitreal steroid injections was initiated.

METHODS

We estimated the propensity score (PS) using multivariable logistic regression models, including 85 baseline covariates and PS-matched patients in a 1:1 ratio. We estimated the pooled hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Subgroup analyses based on prior history of CV events were also conducted.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

A composite CV outcome of myocardial infarction (MI) or stroke, its individual components, and all-cause mortality in 180 and 365 days after treatment initiation.

RESULTS

We identified 61 508 PS-matched patients in a 1:1 ratio in whom either IVAIs or laser or steroid treatment was initiated. Compared with laser or steroid treatment, IAVIs were not associated with an increased risk of the composite CV outcome (HR, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.83-1.09), MI (HR, 0.93; 95% CI, 0.76-1.13), or stroke (HR, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.80-1.19) or the risk of all-cause mortality (HR, 1.25; 95% CI, 0.97-1.62) at 180 days of follow-up. At 365 days, the risk of the composite CV outcome, stroke, and MI remained similar between the 2 groups, although the risk of all-cause mortality was increased with IAVIs (HR, 1.35; 95% CI, 1.14-1.60). The subgroup analysis showed that the risk of all-cause mortality was increased in patients with a prior history of CV events.

CONCLUSIONS

Among > 60 000 patients with DR, those who received IAVIs had a risk of CV events similar to those who received laser or steroid treatment. However, the risk of all-cause mortality was higher in patients who received IAVIs for DR.

Kidney Transplantation and Cardiovascular Events Among Patients With End-Stage Renal Disease Due to Lupus Nephritis: A Nationwide Cohort Study

OBJECTIVE

To assess the potential impact of kidney transplantation on cardiovascular (CV) events among patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD) due to lupus nephritis (LN).

METHODS

In a nationwide cohort study, we identified all patients with LN-ESRD enrolled in the US Renal Data System who were waitlisted for a kidney transplant and enrolled in Medicare between January, 2000 and December, 2016. The primary outcome was incident CV events, including myocardial infarction (MI) and ischemic cerebrovascular accident (CVA). We used time-dependent Cox regression to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) of these outcomes associated with kidney transplant as a time-varying exposure, adjusting for sex, age, race, ethnicity, geographic region, year of ESRD onset, first ESRD treatment modality (e.g., hemodialysis or peritoneal dialysis), Charlson Comorbidity Index score, and history of prior organ transplants.

RESULTS

Of 5,963 waitlisted patients with LN-ESRD, 3,209 (54%) had a kidney transplant during the study period. The majority were female (82%), and African American patients represented 48% of waitlisted patients and 43% of transplanted patients. Kidney transplantation was associated with a lower risk of incident CV events (adjusted HR 0.31 [95% confidence interval (95% CI) 0.18-0.53]) as well as lower risks of MI and CVA (adjusted HRs 0.13 [95% CI 0.08-0.34] and 0.30 [95% CI 0.16-0.54], respectively).

CONCLUSION

Kidney transplantation was associated with a reduced risk of CV events, including MI and CVA, in patients with LN-ESRD. Our findings highlight the importance of identifying barriers to transplantation in this population, as improved access could reduce CV morbidity.

Comparative Effectiveness of Empagliflozin vs Liraglutide or Sitagliptin in Older Adults With Diverse Patient Characteristics

IMPORTANCE

Limited evidence is available on the comparative effectiveness of empagliflozin vs alternative second-line glucose-lowering agents in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) receiving routine care who have a broad spectrum of cardiorenal risk.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the association of empagliflozin with cardiovascular outcomes relative to liraglutide and sitagliptin, stratified by age, sex, baseline atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), heart failure (HF), and chronic kidney disease (CKD).

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This retrospective comparative effectiveness cohort study used deidentified Medicare claims data from August 1, 2014, to September 30, 2018, with follow-up from drug initiation until treatment changes, death, or gap in Medicare enrollment (>30 days). Data analysis was performed from October 1, 2021, to April 30, 2022. Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries older than 65 years with T2D were included. A total of 45 788 patients (22 894 propensity score-matched pairs initiating treatment with either empagliflozin or liraglutide) were included in cohort 1, and 45 624 patients (22 812 propensity score-matched pairs initiating treatment with either empagliflozin or sitagliptin) were included in cohort 2.

EXPOSURES

Empagliflozin vs liraglutide (cohort 1) or empagliflozin vs sitagliptin (cohort 2).

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Primary outcomes were (1) modified major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs), including a composite of myocardial infarction, stroke, and all-cause mortality, and (2) hospitalization for heart failure (HHF). Hazard ratios (HRs) and rate differences (RDs) per 1000 person-years were estimated, adjusting for 143 baseline covariates using 1:1 propensity score matching.

RESULTS

Among 45 788 patients in cohort 1, the mean (SD) age was 71.9 (5.1) years; 23 396 patients (51.1%) were female, 22 392 (48.9%) were male, and 38 049 (83.1%) were White. Among 45 624 patients in cohort 2, the mean (SD) age was 72.1 (5.1) years; 21 418 patients (46.9%) were female, 24 206 (53.1%) were male, and 37 814 (82.9%) were White. Relative to patients initiating liraglutide, those initiating empagliflozin had a similar risk of the modified MACE outcome (HR, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.79-1.03) and a reduced risk of HHF (HR, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.52-0.82). Across subgroups, empagliflozin was associated with a lower risk of the modified MACE outcome in patients with a history of ASCVD (HR, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.71-0.98) and HF (HR, 0.77; 95% CI, 0.60-1.00) compared with liraglutide, and potential heterogeneity in estimates was observed by sex (male: HR, 0.85 [95% CI, 0.71-1.01]; female: HR, 1.16 [95% CI, 0.94-1.42]; P = .02 for homogeneity). However, reductions in the risk of HHF were observed across most subgroups (eg, ASCVD: HR, 0.66 [95% CI, 0.51-0.85]; HF: HR, 0.66 [95% CI, 0.49-0.88]). Compared with sitagliptin, empagliflozin was associated with reduced risks of the modified MACE outcome (HR, 0.68; 95% CI, 0.60-0.77) and HHF (HR, 0.45; 95% CI, 0.36-0.56), which were consistent across all subgroups. Absolute benefits of empagliflozin vs sitagliptin were larger in patients with a history of ASCVD (modified MACE: RD, -17.6 [95% CI, -24.9 to -10.4]; HHF: RD, -16.7 [95% CI, -21.7 to -11.9]), HF (modified MACE: RD, -41.1 [95% CI, -59.9 to -22.6]; HHF: RD, -50.4 [95% CI, -67.5 to -33.9]), or CKD (modified MACE: RD, -26.7 [95% CI, -41.3 to -12.3]; HHF: RD, -31.9 [95% CI, -43.5 to -20.8]).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

In this comparative effectiveness study of older adults, empagliflozin was associated with a lower risk of HHF (relative to both liraglutide and sitagliptin) and the modified MACE outcome (relative to sitagliptin), with larger absolute benefits in patients with established cardiorenal diseases. These findings suggest that older adults with T2D might benefit more from empagliflozin vs liraglutide or sitagliptin with respect to the risk of HHF; with respect to the risk of MACEs, empagliflozin might be preferable to liraglutide only in patients with cardiovascular disease history and to sitagliptin across all patient subgroups.

Comparative Safety and Effectiveness of Aldosterone Antagonists Versus Beta-Blockers as Fourth Agents in Patients With Apparent Resistant Hypertension

BACKGROUND

Limited evidence exists regarding long-term effectiveness and safety of aldosterone antagonists (AAs) versus beta blockers (BBs) as fourth-line antihypertensive agents in patients with resistant hypertension (RH). We evaluated the comparative effectiveness and safety of aldosterone AA versus BB.

METHODS

We conducted a real-world retrospective cohort study using IBM MarketScan commercial claims and Medicare Supplemental claims (2007-2019). Patients with RH entered the cohort (ie, index date) when they newly initiated either AA or BB. The effectiveness outcome was major adverse cardiovascular events. Safety outcomes were hyperkalemia, gynecomastia, and kidney function deterioration. Potential confounding was addressed by adjustment for baseline characteristics via stabilized inverse probability of treatment weighting (SIPTW) based on propensity scores. Cox proportional hazards regression with SIPTWs were used to estimate adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) and 95% CI comparing risk for outcomes between AA and BB groups.

RESULTS

We identified 80 598 patients with RH (mean age: 61 years, 51% males), of which 6626 initiated AA and 73 972 initiated BB as the fourth antihypertensive agent. Among patients with RH, initiation of AA as a fourth-line antihypertensive agent did not significantly reduce major adverse cardiovascular event risk relative to BB initiation (aHR, 0.77 [95% CI, 0.50-1.19]) but did substantially increase the risk of hyperkalemia (aHR, 3.86 [95% CI, 2.78-5.34]), gynecomastia (aHR, 9.51 [95% CI, 5.69-15.89]), and kidney function deterioration (aHR, 1.63 [95% CI, 1.34-1.99]).

CONCLUSIONS

Long-term clinical trials powered to assess major adverse cardiovascular events are necessary to understand the risk-benefit trade-off of AA as fourth-line therapy for RH.

Racial Disparities in Hospitalization Among Patients Who Receive a Diagnosis of Acute Coronary Syndrome in the Emergency Department

Background Timely hospitalization of patients who are diagnosed with an acute coronary syndrome (ACS) at the emergency department (ED) is a crucial step to lower the risk of ACS mortality. We examined whether there are racial and ethnic differences in the risk of being discharged home among patients who received a diagnostic code of ACS at the ED and whether having health insurance plays a role. Methods and Results We examined 51 022 910 discharge records of ED visits in Florida, New York, and Utah in the years 2008, 2011, 2014, and 2016/2017 using state-specific data from the Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project. We identified ED admissions for acute myocardial infarction or unstable angina using the International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision (ICD-9)/International Statistical Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision (ICD-10) diagnostic codes. We used generalized estimating equation models to compare the risk of being discharged home across racial and ethnic groups. We used Poisson marginal structural models to estimate the mediating role of health insurance status. The proportion discharged home with a diagnostic code of ACS was 12% among Black patients, 6% among White patients, 9% among Hispanic patients, and 9% among Asian/Pacific Islander patients. The incidence risk ratio for being discharged home was 1.26 (95% CI, 1.18-1.34) in Black patients, 1.23 (95% CI, 1.15-1.32) in Hispanic patients, and 1.11 (95% CI, 0.93-1.31) in Asian/Pacific Islander patients compared with White patients. Race and ethnicity were marginally associated with discharge home via pathways not mediated by health insurance. Conclusions Racial and ethnic disparities exist in the hospitalization of patients who received a diagnostic code of ACS in the ED. Possible causes need to be investigated.

Risk of cardiovascular events in patients having had acute calcium pyrophosphate crystal arthritis

OBJECTIVES

Calcium pyrophosphate deposition (CPPD) disease, broadly defined, has been associated with increased risk of cardiovascular (CV) events. We investigated risk of CV events in patients with acute CPP crystal arthritis, the acute manifestation of CPPD.

METHODS

Cohort study using Mass General Brigham electronic health record (EHR) data, 1991-2017. Patients with acute CPP crystal arthritis were identified using a published machine learning algorithm with positive predictive value 81%. Comparators were matched on year of EHR entry and index date of patients with acute CPP crystal arthritis (first positive synovial fluid CPP result or mention of 'pseudogout', or matched encounter). Major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE) was a composite of non-fatal CV event (myocardial infarction, acute coronary syndrome, coronary revascularisation, stroke) and death. We estimated incidence rates (IRs) and adjusted hazard ratios for MACE, non-fatal CV event and death, allowing for differential estimates during years 0-2 and 2-10. Sensitivity analyses included: (1) patients with acute CPP crystal arthritis diagnosed during outpatient visits, (2) patients with linked Medicare data, 2007-2016 and (3)patients matched on number of CV risk factors.

RESULTS

We matched 1200 acute CPP crystal arthritis patients to 3810 comparators. IR for MACE in years 0-2 was 91/1000 person-years (p-y) in acute CPP crystal arthritis and 59/1000 p-y in comparators. In years 2-10, IR for MACE was 58/1000 p-y in acute CPP crystal arthritis and 53/1000 p-y in comparators. Acute CPP crystal arthritis was significantly associated with increased risk for MACE in years 0-2 (HR 1.32, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.73) and non-fatal CV event in years 0-2 (HR 1.92, 95% CI 1.12 to 3.28) and years 2-10 (HR 2.18, 95% CI 1.27 to 3.75), but not death. Results of sensitivity analyses were similar to the primary analysis; in the outpatient-only analysis, risk of non-fatal CVE was significantly elevated in years 2-10 but not in years 0-2.

CONCLUSIONS

Acute CPP crystal arthritis was significantly associated with elevated short and long-term risk for non-fatal CV event.

Anticoagulation in new-onset postoperative atrial fibrillation: An analysis from the Society of Thoracic Surgeons Adult Cardiac Surgery Database

Background

New-onset postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) is the most common complication after cardiac surgery and is associated with increased long-term stroke and mortality. Anticoagulation has been suggested as a potential therapy, but data on safety and efficacy are scant.

Objectives

To determine the association between anticoagulation for POAF and long-term outcomes.

Methods

Adult patients with POAF after isolated coronary artery bypass surgery (CABG) were identified through the Society of Thoracic Surgeons Adult Cardiac Surgery Database and linked to the Medicare Database. Propensity-matched analyses were performed for all-cause mortality, stroke, myocardial infarction, and major bleeding for patients discharged with or without anticoagulation. Interaction between anticoagulation and CHA₂DS₂-VASc score was also assessed.

Results

Of 38,936 patients, 9861 (25%) were discharged on oral anticoagulation. After propensity score matching, discharge anticoagulation was associated with increased mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 1.16, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.06–1.26). There was no difference in ischemic stroke between groups (HR 0.97, 95% CI 0.82–1.15), but there was significantly higher bleeding (HR 1.60, 95% CI 1.38–1.85) among those discharged on anticoagulation. Myocardial infarction was lower in the first 30 days for those discharged on anticoagulation, but this effect decreased over time. The incidence of all complications was higher for patients with CHA₂DS₂-VASc scores ≥5 compared to patients with scores of 2–4. Anticoagulation did not appear to benefit either subgroup.

Conclusion

Anticoagulation is associated with increased mortality after new-onset POAF following CABG. There was no reduction in ischemic stroke among those discharged on anticoagulation regardless of CHA₂DS₂-VASc score.

Cardiovascular Risks of Hydroxychloroquine vs Methotrexate in Patients With Rheumatoid Arthritis

BACKGROUND

Hydroxychloroquine is often used as a first-line treatment of rheumatoid arthritis despite limited evidence on its cardiovascular risk.

OBJECTIVES

We conducted a cardiovascular safety evaluation comparing hydroxychloroquine to methotrexate among patients with rheumatoid arthritis.

METHODS

Using Medicare data (2008-2016), we identified 54,462 propensity score-matched patients with rheumatoid arthritis, aged ≥65 years, who initiated hydroxychloroquine or methotrexate. Primary outcomes were sudden cardiac arrest or ventricular arrythmia (SCA/VA) and major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE). Secondary outcomes were cardiovascular mortality, all-cause mortality, myocardial infarction, stroke, and hospitalized heart failure (HF). We also examined treatment effect modification by history of HF.

RESULTS

Hydroxychloroquine was not associated with risk of SCA/VA (HR: 1.03; 95% CI: 0.79-1.35) or MACE (HR: 1.07; 95% CI: 0.97-1.18) compared with methotrexate. In patients with history of HF, hydroxychloroquine initiators had a higher risk of MACE (HR: 1.30; 95% CI: 1.08-1.56), cardiovascular mortality (HR: 1.34; 95% CI: 1.06-1.70), all-cause mortality (HR: 1.22; 95% CI: 1.04-1.43), myocardial infarction (HR: 1.74; 95% CI: 1.25-2.42), and hospitalized HF (HR: 1.29; 95% CI: 1.07-1.54) compared to methotrexate initiators. Cardiovascular risks were not different in patients without history of HF except for an increased hospitalized HF risk (HR: 1.57; 95% CI: 1.30-1.90) among hydroxychloroquine initiators.

CONCLUSIONS

In older patients with rheumatoid arthritis, hydroxychloroquine and methotrexate showed similar SCA/VA and MACE risks; however, hydroxychloroquine initiators with history of HF had higher risks of MACE, cardiovascular mortality, all-cause mortality, and myocardial infarction. An increased hospitalized HF risk was observed among hydroxychloroquine initiators regardless of an HF history.

Cardiovascular Outcomes in Patients Initiating First-Line Treatment of Type 2 Diabetes With Sodium-Glucose Cotransporter-2 Inhibitors Versus Metformin : A Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Evidence on the risk for cardiovascular events associated with use of first-line sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT-2i) compared with metformin is limited.

OBJECTIVE

To assess cardiovascular outcomes among adults with type 2 diabetes (T2D) who initiated first-line treatment with SGLT-2i versus metformin.

DESIGN

Population-based cohort study.

SETTING

Claims data from 2 large U.S. commercial and Medicare databases (April 2013 to March 2020).

PARTICIPANTS

Patients with T2D aged 18 years and older (>65 years in Medicare) initiating treatment with SGLT-2i or metformin during April 2013 to March 2020, without any use of antidiabetic medications before cohort entry, were identified. After 1:2 propensity score matching in each database, pooled hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs were reported.

INTERVENTION

First-line SGLT-2i (canagliflozin, empagliflozin, or dapagliflozin) or metformin.

MEASUREMENTS

Primary outcomes were a composite of hospitalization for myocardial infarction (MI), hospitalization for ischemic or hemorrhagic stroke or all-cause mortality (MI/stroke/mortality), and a composite of hospitalization for heart failure (HHF) or all-cause mortality (HHF/mortality). Safety outcomes including genital infections were assessed.

RESULTS

Among 8613 first-line SGLT-2i initiators matched to 17 226 metformin initiators, SGLT-2i initiators had a similar risk for MI/stroke/mortality (HR, 0.96; 95% CI, 0.77 to 1.19) and a lower risk for HHF/mortality (HR, 0.80; CI, 0.66 to 0.97) during a mean follow-up of 12 months. Initiators receiving SGLT-2i showed a lower risk for HHF (HR, 0.78; CI, 0.63 to 0.97), a numerically lower risk for MI (HR, 0.70; CI, 0.48 to 1.00), and similar risk for stroke, mortality, and MI/stroke/HHF/mortality compared with metformin. Initiators receiving SGLT-2i had a higher risk for genital infections (HR, 2.19; CI, 1.91 to 2.51) and otherwise similar safety as those receiving metformin.

LIMITATION

Treatment selection was not randomized.

CONCLUSION

As first-line T2D treatment, initiators receiving SGLT-2i showed a similar risk for MI/stroke/mortality, lower risk for HHF/mortality and HHF, and a similar safety profile except for an increased risk for genital infections compared with those receiving metformin.

PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE

Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School.

Inpatient Gastroenterology Consultation and Outcomes of Cirrhosis-Related Hospitalizations in Two Large National Cohorts

BACKGROUND

Little is known about use of specialty care among patients admitted with cirrhosis complications.

AIMS

We sought to characterize the use and impact of gastroenterology/hepatology (GI/HEP) consultations in hospitalized patients with cirrhosis. We studied two national cohorts-the Veterans Affairs Costs and Outcomes in Liver Disease (VOCAL) and a nationally representative database of commercially insured patients (Optum Clinformatics™ DataMart).

METHODS

Cirrhosis-related admissions were classified by ICD9/10 codes for ascites, hepatic encephalopathy, alcohol-associated hepatitis, spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, or infection related. We included 20,287/222,166 index admissions from VOCAL/Optum from 2010 to 2016. Propensity-matched analyses were conducted to balance clinical characteristics. Mortality and readmission were evaluated using competing risk regression (subhazard ratios, sHR), and length of stay (LOS) was assessed using negative binomial regression.

RESULTS

GI/HEP consultations were completed among 37% and 42% patients in VOCAL and Optum, respectively. In propensity-matched analyses for VOCAL, GI/HEP consultation was associated with adjusted estimates of increased LOS (1.55 + 1.03 additional days), 90-day mortality (sHR 1.23, 95% CI 1.14-1.36), and lower 30-day readmissions (sHR 0.82, 95% CI 0.75-0.89). In Optum, inpatient consultation was associated with higher LOS (1.13 + 1.01 additional days), higher 90-day mortality (sHR 1.57, 95% CI 1.43-1.72), and higher 30-day readmission risk (sHR 1.04, 95% CI 1.02-1.05). Post-discharge primary and specialty care was higher among admissions receiving GI/HEP consultation in both cohorts.

CONCLUSIONS

Use of GI/HEP consultation for cirrhosis-related admissions was low. Patients who received consultation had higher disease severity, and consultation was not associated with lower mortality but was associated with lower 30-day readmissions in the VA cohort only.

Cardiovascular outcomes associated with prescription of sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitors versus dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors in patients with diabetes and chronic kidney disease

AIM

To determine the association with cardiovascular (CV) outcomes of sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 (SGLT-2) inhibitors compared with dipeptidyl peptidase-4 (DPP-4) inhibitors in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and chronic kidney disease (CKD).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We conducted a population-based cohort study of new users of SGLT-2 inhibitors and DPP-4 inhibitors with T2D and CKD using data from Optum Clinformatics DataMart. We assembled three cohorts: T2D/no CKD, T2D/CKD 1-2, and T2D/CKD 3a. The study outcomes were (a) time to first heart failure (HF) hospitalization and (b) time to a composite CV endpoint comprised of non-fatal myocardial infarction (MI) or stroke. After inverse probability of treatment weighting, we used proportional hazards regression to estimate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI).

RESULTS

New users of SGLT-2 inhibitors versus DPP-4 inhibitors had lower risks of HF hospitalization in the T2D/no CKD (HR, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.70, 0.82) and T2D/CKD 1-2 (HR, 0.63; 95% CI, 0.48, 0.84) cohorts, but no significant association was present in the T2D/CKD 3a cohort. Compared with prescription of DPP-4 inhibitors, SGLT-2 inhibitors were associated with lower risks of non-fatal MI or stroke of 23% (HR, 0.77; 95% CI, 0.70, 0.85) in the T2D/no CKD cohort, but no significant associations were present in the T2D/CKD 1-2 and T2D/CKD 3a cohorts.

CONCLUSIONS

Incident prescription of SGLT-2 inhibitors was associated with lower risks of HF hospitalization but not with non-fatal MI or stroke despite suggesting benefit, relative to prescription of DPP-4 inhibitor across different stages of CKD.

Event Rates and Risk Factors for Recurrent Cardiovascular Events and Mortality in a Contemporary Post Acute Coronary Syndrome Population Representing 239 234 Patients During 2005 to 2018 in the United States

Background

Patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) are recognized by guidelines as remaining at high risk for adverse outcomes. Evidence from contemporary, representative ACS populations in a clinical practice setting is necessary to identify subgroups and strategies for improving patient outcomes. We aimed to describe event rates and risk factors in an ACS population over prolonged follow‐up for cardiovascular end points.

Methods and Results

We identified 239 234 patients in the Optum Research Database (57.2% men; mean [standard deviation] age, 69.2 [12.2] years) with evidence of an ACS hospitalization (index ACS) during January 1, 2005 through December 30, 2018. Subgroups were based on index ACS event (myocardial infarction/unstable angina and revascularization status) and the Thrombolysis In Myocardial Infarction Risk Score for Secondary Prevention. The 5‐year event rate for the primary end point representing nonfatal myocardial infarction, nonfatal ischemic stroke, and cardiovascular death was 33.4% (95% CI, 33.1%–33.7%; P<0.001). The risk of experiencing the primary end point was ≈6‐fold higher immediately after discharge (≈40.9% annualized risk) as compared with the period 1+ years after hospitalization (≈6.4% annualized risk). Among subgroups, the 5‐year primary end point event rate was highest for myocardial infarction without revascularization and a Thrombolysis In Myocardial Infarction Risk Score for Secondary Prevention ≥4, at 47.9% (95% CI, 47.3%–48.4%; P<0.001) and 56.7% (95% CI, 55.9%–57.4%; P<0.001), respectively.

Conclusions

Patients with ACS remain at very high risk of experiencing recurrent cardiovascular events, particularly early after discharge, with identifiable subgroups at multifold higher risk of specific clinical end points.

Long-term Outcomes Following Multiply Recurrent Clostridioides difficile Infection and Fecal Microbiota Transplantation

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Fecal microbiota transplantation (FMT) is a commonly used therapy for multiply recurrent Clostridioides difficile (mrCDI). By altering the gut microbiota, there is the potential for FMT to impact the risk for cardiometabolic, intestinal or immune-mediated conditions. Likewise, the microbiota disturbance associated with mrCDI could potentially lead to these conditions. We aimed to assess the associations of mrCDI and FMT with cardiometabolic, immune-mediated diseases, and irritable bowel syndrome.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study using a United States commercial claims database included persons diagnosed with CDI or undergoing FMT. We created 2 pairwise comparisons: mrCDI vs non-mrCDI, and non-mrCDI or mrCDI treated with FMT vs mrCDI without FMT.

RESULTS

We found no significant association between mrCDI (vs non-mrCDI) and inflammatory bowel disease (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) = 1.65; 95% confidence interval, 0.67-4.04), rheumatoid arthritis (HR = 0.86; 0.47-1.56), psoriasis (HR = 0.72; 0.23-2.27), diabetes (aHR = 0.97; 0.67-1.40), hypertension (aHR = 1.05; 0.76-1.44), myocardial infarction (aHR = 0.82; 0.63-1.06), stroke (aHR = 0.83; 0.62-1.12), or irritable bowel syndrome (HR = 0.94; 0.61-1.45). Similarly, we found no association of CDI with FMT (vs mrCDI without FMT) and diabetes (aHR = 0.92; 0.27-3.11), hypertension (aHR = 1.41; 0.64-3.15), stroke (aHR = 1.27; 0.69-2.34) or inflammatory bowel syndrome (aHR = 0.80; 0.26-2.46). However, the incidence of myocardial infarction was increased following FMT (aHR = 1.68; 1.01-2.81).

CONCLUSION

Relative to those with CDI, persons with mrCDI do not appear to be intrinsically at higher risk of cardiometabolic, immune-mediated diseases, or irritable bowel syndrome. However, those who underwent FMT for CDI had a higher incidence of myocardial infarction. Future studies should assess this association to assess reproducibility.

Effectiveness and safety of empagliflozin in routine care patients: Results from the EMPagliflozin compaRative effectIveness and SafEty (EMPRISE) study

AIM

To investigate effectiveness and safety outcomes among patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) initiating empagliflozin versus dipeptidyl peptidase-4 (DPP-4) inhibitor treatment across the broad spectrum of cardiovascular risk.

METHODS

In a population-based cohort study we identified 39 072 pairs of 1:1 propensity score-matched adult patients with T2D initiating empagliflozin or DPP-4 inhibitors, using data from 2 US commercial insurance databases and Medicare between August 2014 and September 2017. The primary outcomes were a composite of myocardial infarction (MI)/stroke, and hospitalization for heart failure (HHF). Safety outcomes were bone fractures, lower-limb amputations (LLAs), diabetic ketoacidosis (DKA), and acute kidney injury (AKI). We estimated pooled hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) adjusting for more than 140 baseline covariates.

RESULTS

Study participants had a mean age of 60 years and only 28% had established cardiovascular disease. Compared to DPP-4 inhibitors, empagliflozin was associated with similar risk of MI/stroke (HR 0.99 [95% CI 0.81-1.21]), and lower risk of HHF (HR 0.48 [95% CI 0.35-0.67] and 0.63 [95% CI 0.54-0.74], based on a primary and any heart failure discharge diagnosis, respectively). The HR was 0.52 (95% CI 0.38-0.72) for all-cause mortality (ACM) and 0.83 (95% CI 0.70-0.98) for a composite of MI/stroke/ACM. Empagliflozin was associated with a similar risk of LLA and fractures, an increased risk of DKA (HR 1.71 [95% CI 1.08-2.71]) and a decreased risk of AKI (HR 0.60 [95% CI 0.43-0.85]).

CONCLUSIONS

In clinical practice, the initiation of empagliflozin versus a DPP-4 inhibitor was associated with a lower risk of HHF, ACM and MI/stroke/ACM, a similar risk of MI/stroke, and a safety profile consistent with documented information.

Cardiovascular Effectiveness of Sodium-Glucose Cotransporter 2 Inhibitors and Glucagon-Like Peptide-1 Receptor Agonists in Older Patients in Routine Clinical Care With or Without History of Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Diseases or Heart Failure

Background Randomized trials demonstrate the cardioprotective effects of sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) and glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RA). We evaluated their relative cardiovascular effectiveness in routine care populations with a broad spectrum of atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) or heart failure (HF). Methods and Results We identified Medicare beneficiaries from 2013 to 2017, aged >65 years, initiating SGLT2i (n=24 747) or GLP-1RA (n=22 596) after a 1-year baseline. On the basis of diagnoses during baseline, we classified patients into: (1) no HF or CVD, (2) HF but no CVD, (3) no HF but CVD, and (4) both HF and CVD. We identified hospitalized HF and atherosclerotic CVD outcomes from drug initiation until treatment changes, death, or disenrollment. We estimated propensity score-weighted 2-year risk ratios (RRs) and risk differences, accounting for measured confounding, informative censoring, and competing risk. In patients with no CVD or HF, SGLT2i reduced the hospitalized HF risk compared with GLP-1RA (propensity score-weighted RR, 0.65; 95% CI, 0.43-0.96). The association was strongest in those who had HF but no CVD (RR, 0.48; 95% CI, 0.25-0.85). The combined myocardial infarction, stroke, and mortality outcome risk was slightly higher for SGLT2i compared with GLP-1RA in those without CVD or HF (RR, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.09-1.56). The association was favorable toward SGLT2i in subgroups with a history of HF. Conclusions SGLT2i reduced the cardiovascular risk versus GLP-1RA in patients with a history of HF but no CVD. Atherosclerotic CVD events were less frequent with GLP-1RA in those without prior CVD or HF.

Comparative safety of inhaled corticosteroids and macrolides in Medicare enrollees with bronchiectasis

Introduction

Bronchiectasis is an increasingly common chronic inflammatory airway disease. We evaluated secondary safety outcomes in a comparative effectiveness study of chronic inhaled corticosteroids (ICS) and macrolide monotherapy in bronchiectasis patients.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective study using US Medicare Parts A, B and D (but not C) 2006–2014 datasets. Among those with a pulmonologist-associated bronchiectasis claim (ICD-9-CM 494.0 or 494.1), without cystic fibrosis, we identified the first new use of either chronic (>28 days) ICS or macrolide monotherapy. For each drug exposure, we calculated crude incidence rates of the secondary safety outcomes: arrhythmia, myocardial infarction, sensorineural hearing loss, hip fracture and opportunistic infections. We calculated a propensity score (PS) for ICS use using demographic, clinical and utilisation characteristics and compared risks of macrolides versus ICS for each outcome using PS decile-adjusted Cox regression models.

Results

Of 285 043 Medicare patients with bronchiectasis, we identified 6500 (2%) macrolide and 83 589 (29%) ICS new users. Key covariates were balanced across exposure groups within decile. Myocardial infarction, hip fracture and opportunistic infection were not significantly associated with treatment. Macrolides were associated with a decreased risk of arrhythmia (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 0.87, 95% CI 0.80–0.94) and an increased risk of sensorineural hearing loss (aHR 1.38, 95% CI 1.56–1.22) compared to ICS.

Conclusions

Macrolides were not associated with an elevated risk of acute cardiac events compared to ICS. The increased risk of hearing loss in macrolide users compared to ICS users in older bronchiectasis patients should be balanced against known benefits of macrolides.

Comparison of risks of cardiac outcomes (arrhythmia and myocardial infarction), hearing loss, opportunistic infections and hip fracture between macrolide and ICS users with bronchiectasis using a robust propensity-score adjusted new-user methodologyhttps://bit.ly/3KIVp0O

Disparities by sex in P2Y12 inhibitor therapy duration, or differences in the balance of ischaemic-benefit and bleeding-risk clinical outcomes in older women versus comparable men following acute myocardial infarction? A P2Y12 inhibitor new user retrospective cohort analysis of US Medicare claims data

OBJECTIVES

To determine if comparable older women and men received different durations of P2Y₁₂ inhibitor therapy following acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and if therapy duration differences were justified by differences in ischaemic benefits and/or bleeding risks.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort.

SETTING

20% sample of 2007-2015 US Medicare fee-for-service administrative claims data.

PARTICIPANTS

≥66-year-old P2Y₁₂ inhibitor new users following 2008-2013 AMI hospitalisation (N=30 613). Older women compared to older men with similar predicted risks of study outcomes.

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES

Primary outcome: P2Y₁₂ inhibitor duration (modelled as risk of therapy discontinuation).

SECONDARY OUTCOMES

clinical events while on P2Y₁₂ inhibitor therapy, including (1) death/hospice admission, (2) composite of ischaemic events (AMI/stroke/revascularisation) and (3) hospitalised bleeds. Cause-specific risks and relative risks (RRs) estimated using Aalen-Johansen cumulative incidence curves and bootstrapped 95% CIs.

RESULTS

10 486 women matched to 10 486 men with comparable predicted risks of all 4 study outcomes. No difference in treatment discontinuation was observed at 12 months (women 31.2% risk; men 30.9% risk; RR 1.01; 95% CI 0.97 to 1.05), but women were more likely than men to discontinue therapy at 24 months (54.4% and 52.9% risk, respectively; RR 1.03; 95% CI 1.00 to 1.05). Among patients who did not discontinue P2Y₁₂ inhibitor therapy, women had lower 24-month risks of ischaemic outcomes than men (13.1% and 14.7%, respectively; RR 0.90; 95% CI 0.84 to 0.96), potentially lower 24-month risks of death/hospice admission (5.0% and 5.5%, respectively; RR 0.91; 95% CI 0.82 to 1.02), but women and men both had 2.5% 24-month bleeding risks (RR 0.98; 95% CI 0.82 to 1.14).

CONCLUSIONS

Risks for death/hospice and ischaemic events were lower among women still taking a P2Y₁₂ inhibitor than comparable men, with no difference in bleeding risks. Shorter P2Y₁₂ inhibitor durations in older women than comparable men observed between 12 and 24 months post-AMI may reflect a disparity that is not justified by differences in clinical need.