A practical guide to propensity score analysis for applied clinical research

Age-related immune response disparities between adults and children with severe COVID-19: a case-control study in China

Background

Elucidation of immune response differences is critical for uncovering underlying mechanisms and developing potential intervention measures among adults and children with COVID-19.

Methods

In this retrospective study, we analyzed serum biochemical markers and cytokine profiles among adults and children with COVID-19 in the First People's Hospital of Chenzhou in Hunan, China from 1 December 2022 to 13 February 2023. A case-control study was conducted using propensity score matching (PSM) to mitigate possible confounding factors.

Results

The significant differences observed included lymphocyte exhaustion, an increased neutrophil-to-lymphocyte (NEU/LYM) ratio, high levels of C-reactive protein (CRP), and a cytokine storm, characterized by high levels of Th1 proinflammatory cytokines, including interleukin 1β (IL-1β), IL-6, IL-8, interferon type I (IFN-γ), and tumor necrosis factor (TNF-α) in the lung among severe adult COVID-19 patients. Additionally, systemic immune responses were observed in children with COVID-19.

Conclusion

Significant differences in immune responses between adults and children with COVID-19 highlight the different mechanisms and potential intervention measures of COVID-19.

Influence of Food Desert Residence on Breastfeeding Initiation

Introduction: Breastfeeding is associated with improved health outcomes. Several social drivers of health impact breastfeeding initiation (BFI). Prior research using ecological data demonstrated that food desert residence (FDR) is associated with lower rates of BFI. The primary objective was to assess the relationship between FDR and BFI using individual-level data. The secondary objective was to assess the relationship between FDR and BFI at the county level. Methods: Individual-level birth data from the Florida Department of Health were linked to food access data from the United States Department of Agriculture Food Access Research Atlas in 2010, 2015, and 2019. Food deserts were identified per the United States Department of Agriculture definition. Adjusted risk ratios (aRR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated using modified Poisson regression models in 573,368 births. Models were adjusted for confounders and stratified by race/ethnicity. We assessed the association between the percent of the population in low-income and low-access census tracts aggregated to the county level and the percent of mothers initiating breastfeeding per county in Florida (Center for Disease Control and Prevention) using Pearson's correlation and a bivariate map. Results: FDR was associated with BFI (aRR: 1.23, CI: 1.20-1.27). The adjusted risk of not-initiating breastfeeding for those living in a food desert was greatest among non-Hispanic Black women (aRR: 1.29, CI: 1.24-1.35) and Hispanic women (aRR: 1.29, CI: 1.21-1.37). Maternal education was the most significant predictor of BFI. Women who had 9th through 12th-grade education but without a diploma were five times (aRR: 4.96, CI: 4.72-5.20) less likely to initiate breastfeeding relative to college graduates. There was no association between FDR and BFI at the county level, though regional trends were noted. Conclusions: FDR is an important risk factor for not-initiating breastfeeding. Among Floridians, education was the most significant risk factor. Understanding how FDR influences breastfeeding can help target interventions to improve breastfeeding outcomes.

Prognostic utility of gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase to platelet ratio in patients with solitary hepatitis B virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatectomy

BACKGROUND

The prognostic impact of preoperative gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase to platelet ratio (GPR) levels in patients with solitary hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) following radical resection has not been established.

AIM

To examine the clinical utility of GPR for prognosis prediction in solitary HBV-related HCC patients.

METHODS

A total of 1167 solitary HBV-related HCC patients were retrospectively analyzed. GPR levels were compared with 908 non-HCC individuals. Overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) were evaluated, and cox proportional hazard model analyses were performed to identify independent risk factors. Differences in characteristics were adjusted by propensity score matching (PSM). Subgroup and stratified survival analyses for HCC risks were performed, and a linear trend of the hazard ratio (HR) according to GPR levels was constructed.

RESULTS

GPR levels of patients with solitary HBV-related HCC were higher than those with hepatic hemangiomas, chronic hepatitis B and healthy control (adjusted P < 0.05). Variable bias was diminished after the PSM balance test. The low GPR group had improved OS (P < 0.001) and RFS (P < 0.001) in the PSM analysis and when combined with other variables. Multivariate cox analyses suggested that low GPR levels were associated with a better OS (HR = 0.5, 95%CI: 0.36-0.7, P < 0.001) and RFS (HR = 0.57, 95%CI: 0.44-0.73, P < 0.001). This same trend was confirmed in subgroup analyses. Prognostic nomograms were constructed and the calibration curves showed that GPR had good survival prediction. Moreover, stratified survival analyses found that GPR > 0.6 was associated with a worse OS and higher recurrence rate (P for trend < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Preoperative GPR can serve as a noninvasive indicator to predict the prognosis of patients with solitary HBV-related HCC.

Efficacy and safety of different oral prednisone tapering courses in adult anti-NMDAR encephalitis: A multicenter prospective cohort study

OBJECTIVE

In adult anti-N-methyl-d-aspartate receptor (NMDAR) encephalitis, corticosteroids are commonly used as first-line treatment. However, the optimal oral prednisone tapering (OPT) following intravenous methylprednisolone pulse therapy remains unclear. We aim to compare the efficacy and safety of different OPT courses in anti-NMDAR encephalitis.

METHODS

The CHASE study, a multicenter prospective observational cohort study, enrolled patients with autoimmune encephalitis from October 2011 to March 2023. Patients were grouped based on oral prednisone tapering course: ≤3 months (Group ≤3 month), 3-6 months (Group 3-6 months, including 3 months), and >6 months (Group > 6 months). Kaplan-Meier plots were used to analyze time to relapse and time to total recovery within 2 years.

RESULTS

Among 666 screened patients, 171 (median [IQR] age 27 [21.0-36.5] years, 55.0% female) met selection criteria. Responders at 3 months were prevalent in Group ≤3 months (OR 7.251 [95% CI 2.252 to 23.344] and Group 3-6 months (OR, 3.857 [95% CI 1.107 to 13.440] than in Group >6 months. Clinical Assessment Scale for Autoimmune Encephalitis (CASE) scores at 12 months were higher in Group >6 months than in Group ≤3 months and Group 3-6 months (β, -2.329 [95% CI -3.784 to -.875]; β, -2.871 [95% CI -4.490, -1.253]). CASE seizures subscore was higher in Group >6 months than in Group 3-6 months (β, -.452 [95% CI -.788 to -.116]). No significant difference in seizure freedom rates among the groups. Adverse events were higher in Group 3-6 months and Group >6 months than in Group ≤3 months (OR 6.045 [95% CI 2.352 to 15.538]; OR 6.782 [95% CI 1.911 to 24.073]).

SIGNIFICANCE

Longer oral prednisone courses for adult patients with anti-NMDAR encephalitis did not show superior effects compared to shorter courses in improving modified Rankin Scale (mRS) scores and CASE scores, reducing the risk of relapse within 2 years, or achieving seizure freedom. Instead, extended prednisone courses may lead to more side effects- particularly weight gain. This outcome recommends evaluating the possibility of shortening the duration of oral prednisone after a thorough patient assessment.

Balance diagnostics in propensity score analysis following multiple imputation: A new method

The combination of propensity score analysis and multiple imputation has been prominent in epidemiological research in recent years. However, studies on the evaluation of balance in this combination are limited. In this paper, we propose a new method for assessing balance in propensity score analysis following multiple imputation. A simulation study was conducted to evaluate the performance of balance assessment methods (Leyrat's, Leite's, and new method). Simulated scenarios varied regarding the presence of missing data in the control or treatment and control group, and the imputation model with/without outcome. Leyrat's method was more biased in all the studied scenarios. Leite's method and the combine method yielded balanced results with lower mean absolute difference, regardless of whether the outcome was included in the imputation model or not. Leyrat's method had a higher false positive ratio and Leite's and combine method had higher specificity and accuracy, especially when the outcome was not included in the imputation model. According to simulation results, most of time, Leyrat's method and Leite's method contradict with each other on appraising the balance. This discrepancy can be solved using new combine method.

The Association of Dental Caries or Dental Implant Placement Within One Year of Primary Total Hip Arthroplasty on Medical and Implant Complications

BACKGROUND

Total hip arthroplasty (THA) adverse events among patients who have dental diagnoses remain unclear. We sought to determine if dental caries or dental implant placements increased (1) 90-day medical complications, (2) 90-day readmissions, and (3) 2-year implant-related complications, including periprosthetic joint infections (PJIs) after THA.

METHODS

A nationwide database for primary THAs from 2010 to 2021 was queried to compare 3 patient cohorts. Patients who had a history of dental implants or caries within 12 months prior to THA (n = 1,179) or 12 months after THA (n = 1,218) were case-matched to patients who did not have dental history (n = 6,090) by age and comorbidities. Outcomes included 90-day complications, 90-day readmissions, and 2-year implant-related complications. Logistic regression models computed the odds ratios (ORs) of complications and readmissions. P values less than .006 were significant.

RESULTS

Patients who had dental caries or implant placement 12 months before or after THA experienced 1.6-fold greater odds of 90-day medical complications compared to case-matched patients. Readmissions within 90 days increased for patients who had a dental history before (11.7% versus 8.3%; OR: 1.49, P < .0001) and after (14.2% versus 8.3%; OR: 1.84, P < .0001) THA compared to case-matched patients. A dental caries diagnosis or dental implant placement within 12 months following THA increased 2-year implant complications compared to case-matched patients (15.2% versus 9.3%; OR: 1.69, P < .0001), including PJIs (5.3% versus 2.8%; OR: 1.98, P < .0001), dislocations (4.4% versus 2.7%; OR: 1.63, P = .002), and THA revisions (3.9% versus 2.5%; OR: 1.61, P = .005).

CONCLUSIONS

Dental diagnoses within 12 months of THA are associated with increased medical complications. Dental diagnoses occurring 12 months after THA are associated with greater implant-related complications, including PJIs. Delaying invasive dental procedures for 12 months after THA may be advisable.

How effective and cost-effective is water fluoridation for adults and adolescents? The LOTUS 10-year retrospective cohort study

OBJECTIVE

To pragmatically assess the clinical and cost-effectiveness of water fluoridation for preventing dental treatment and improving oral health in a contemporary population of adults and adolescents, using a natural experiment design.

METHODS

A 10-year retrospective cohort study (2010-2020) using routinely collected NHS dental treatment claims data. Participants were patients aged 12 years and over, attending NHS primary dental care services in England (17.8 million patients). Using recorded residential locations, individuals exposed to drinking water with an optimal fluoride concentration (≥0.7 mg F/L) were matched to non-exposed individuals using propensity scores. Number of NHS invasive dental treatments, DMFT and missing teeth were compared between groups using negative binomial regression. Total NHS dental treatment costs and cost per invasive dental treatment avoided were calculated.

RESULTS

Matching resulted in an analytical sample of 6.4 million patients. Predicted mean number of invasive NHS dental treatments (restorations 'fillings'/extractions) was 3% lower in the optimally fluoridated group (5.4) than the non-optimally fluoridated group (5.6) (IRR 0.969, 95% CI 0.967, 0.971). Predicted mean DMFT was 2% lower in the optimally fluoridated group (IRR 0.984, 95% CI 0.983, 0.985). There was no difference in the predicted mean number of missing teeth per person (IRR 1.001, 95% CI 0.999, 1.003) and no compelling evidence that water fluoridation reduced social inequalities in dental health. Optimal water fluoridation in England 2010-2020 was estimated to cost £10.30 per person (excludes initial set-up costs). NHS dental treatment costs for optimally fluoridated patients 2010-2020 were 5.5% lower, by £22.26 per person (95% CI -£21.43, -£23.09).

CONCLUSIONS

Receipt of optimal water fluoridation 2010-2020 resulted in very small positive health effects which may not be meaningful for individuals. Existing fluoridation programmes in England produced a positive return on investment between 2010 and 2020 due to slightly lower NHS dental care utilization. This return should be evaluated against the projected costs and lifespan of any proposed capital investment in water fluoridation, including new programmes.

To drain or not to drain: A propensity score analysis of abdominal drainage after colorectal surgery for endometriosis

AIM

To assess the benefit of prophylactic abdominal drainage (AD) after colorectal surgery for endometriosis.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective study of 215 patients who underwent colorectal surgery for endometriosis using a mini-invasive approach in our center from February 2019 to July 2023. A propensity score matched (PSM) analysis (1:1 ratio) identified two groups of patients with similar characteristics. Postoperative outcomes were then compared.

RESULTS

In the unmatched cohort, 151 patients (70 %) had AD at the end of surgery and 64 (30 %) did not. Clinical characteristics and surgical procedures were comparable between the groups after PSM. After PSM, AD was associated with a longer hospital stay (p < 0.001) and a greater number of postoperative complications (p = 0.03). There were no differences for readmission, repeat surgery, or severe postoperative complications.

CONCLUSION

In this retrospective cohort of patients undergoing colorectal resection for endometriosis using a mini-invasive approach, prophylactic AD was not found to be beneficial.

Negative effects of undernutrition on sputum smear conversion and treatment success among retreatment cases in Uganda: A quasi-experimental study

Rationale

The causal relationship between undernutrition and response to anti-tuberculosis (TB) treatment and TB treatment outcomes among people with retreatment TB is understudied.

Objective

To evaluate the effect of undernutrition on treatment success and sputum smear conversion among people with retreatment drug-susceptible TB in Kampala, Uganda.

Methods

We conducted a quasi-experimental study utilizing propensity score weighting among people with retreatment drug-susceptible TB aged ≥ 15 years treated between 2012 and 2022 in Kampala. The primary exposure was undernutrition assessed using the mid-upper arm circumference at the time of TB diagnosis. The primary outcome was treatment success defined as cure or treatment completion at month 6. Sputum smear conversion was the secondary outcome and was measured as a change in sputum smear status from positive to negative at months 2, 5, and 6. We estimated the causal effect of undernutrition on the outcomes using a propensity-score weighted modified Poisson regression model with robust error variance.

Measurements and main results

Of the 605 participants, 432 (71.4 %) were male, 215 (35.5 %) were aged 25-34 years, 427 (70.6 %) had bacteriologically confirmed pulmonary TB, 133 (22.0 %) were undernourished and 398 (65.8 %) achieved treatment success. Of participants with bacteriologically confirmed pulmonary TB, 232 (59.0 %), 327 (59.3 %), and 360 (97.6 %) achieved sputum smear conversion at months 2, 5, and 6, respectively. Undernutrition reduced treatment success (RR 0.42, 95 % CI 0.32-0.55) as well as sputum smear conversion at months 2 (RR 0.45, 95 % CI 0.42-0.49) and 5 (RR 0.46, 95 % CI 0.43-0.51) but not month 6 (RR 0.99, 95 % CI 0.97-1.02).

Conclusion

Undernutrition negatively impacts treatment outcomes. Therefore, nutritional assessment should be an integral component of TB care, with nutritional counseling and support offered to those undernourished to optimize their TB treatment response and outcomes.

Effect of fluoridated water on invasive NHS dental treatments for adults: the LOTUS retrospective cohort study and economic evaluation

Background

Most water fluoridation studies were conducted on children before the widespread introduction of fluoride toothpastes. There is a lack of evidence that can be applied to contemporary populations, particularly adolescents and adults.

Objective

To pragmatically assess the clinical and cost effectiveness of water fluoridation for preventing dental treatment and improving oral health in a contemporary population of adults, using a natural experiment design.

Design

Retrospective cohort study using routinely collected National Health Service dental claims (FP17) data.

Setting

National Health Service primary dental care: general dental practices, prisons, community dental services, domiciliary settings, urgent/out-of-hours and specialised referral-only services.

Participants

Dental patients aged 12 years and over living in England (n = 6,370,280).

Intervention and comparison

Individuals exposed to drinking water with a fluoride concentration ≥ 0.7 mg F/l between 2010 and 2020 were matched to non-exposed individuals on key characteristics using propensity scores.

Outcome measures

Primary: number of National Health Service invasive dental treatments (restorations/'fillings' and extractions) received per person between 2010 and 2020. Secondary: decayed, missing and filled teeth, missing teeth, inequalities, cost effectiveness and return on investment.

Data sources

National Health Service Business Services Authority dental claims data. Water quality monitoring data.

Primary outcome

Predicted mean number of invasive dental treatments was 3% lower in the optimally fluoridated group than in the sub/non-optimally fluoridated group (incidence rate ratio 0.969, 95% CI 0.967 to 0.971), a difference of -0.173 invasive dental treatments (95% CI -0.185 to -0.161). This magnitude of effect is smaller than what most stakeholders we engaged with (n = 50/54) considered meaningful.

Secondary outcomes

Mean decayed, missing and filled teeth were 2% lower in the optimally fluoridated group, with a difference of -0.212 decayed, missing and filled teeth (95% CI -0.229 to -0.194). There was no statistically significant difference in the mean number of missing teeth per person (0.006, 95% CI -0.008 to 0.021). There was no compelling evidence that water fluoridation reduced social inequalities in treatments received or missing teeth; however, decayed, missing and filled teeth data did not demonstrate a typical inequalities gradient. Optimal water fluoridation in England in 2010-20 was estimated to cost £10.30 per person (excluding original setup costs). Mean National Health Service treatment costs for fluoridated patients 2010-20 were 5.5% lower per person, by £22.26 (95% CI -£23.09 to -£21.43), and patients paid £7.64 less in National Health Service dental charges per person (2020 prices).

Limitations

Pragmatic, observational study with potential for non-differential errors of misclassification in fluoridation assignment and outcome measurement and residual and/or unmeasured confounding. Decayed, missing and filled teeth data have not been validated. Water fluoridation cost estimates are based on existing programmes between 2010 and 2020, and therefore do not include the potentially significant capital investment required for new programmes.

Conclusions

Receipt of optimal water fluoridation between 2010 and 2020 resulted in very small health effects, which may not be meaningful for individuals, and we could find no evidence of a reduction in social inequalities. Existing water fluoridation programmes in England produced a positive return on investment between 2010 and 2020 due to slightly lower National Health Service treatment costs. These relatively small savings should be evaluated against the projected costs and lifespan of any proposed capital investment in water fluoridation, including new programmes.

Future work

National Health Service dental data are a valuable resource for research. Further validation and measures to improve quality and completeness are warranted.

Trial registrations

This trial is registered as ISRCTN96479279, CAG: 20/CAG/0072, IRAS: 20/NE/0144.

Funding

This award was funded by the National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) Public Health Research programme (NIHR award ref: NIHR128533) and is published in full in Public Health Research; Vol. 12, No. 5. See the NIHR Funding and Awards website for further award information.

Attributable mortality of acute kidney injury among critically ill patients with sepsis: a multicenter, retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Sepsis and acute kidney injury (AKI) are common severe diseases in the intensive care unit (ICU). This study aimed to estimate the attributable mortality of AKI among critically ill patients with sepsis and to assess whether AKI was an independent risk factor for 30-day mortality.

METHODS

The information we used was derived from a multicenter prospective cohort study conducted in 18 Chinese ICUs, focusing on septic patients post ICU admission. The patients were categorized into two groups: those who developed AKI (AKI group) within seven days following a sepsis diagnosis and those who did not develop AKI (non-AKI group). Using propensity score matching (PSM), patients were matched 1:1 as AKI and non-AKI groups. We then calculated the mortality rate attributable to AKI in septic patients. Furthermore, a survival analysis was conducted comparing the matched AKI and non-AKI septic patients. The primary outcome of interest was the 30-day mortality rate following the diagnosis of sepsis.

RESULTS

Out of the 2175 eligible septic patients, 61.7% developed AKI. After the application of PSM, a total of 784 septic patients who developed AKI were matched in a 1:1 ratio with 784 septic patients who did not develop AKI. The overall 30-day attributable mortality of AKI was 6.6% (95% CI 2.3 ∼ 10.9%, p = 0.002). A subgroup analysis revealed that the 30-day attributable mortality rates for stage 1, stage 2, and stage 3 AKI were 0.6% (95% CI -5.9 ∼ 7.2%, p = 0.846), 4.7% (95% CI -3.1 ∼ 12.4%, p = 0.221) and 16.8% (95% CI 8.1 ∼ 25.2%, p < 0.001), respectively. Particularly noteworthy was that stage 3 AKI emerged as an independent risk factor for 30-day mortality, possessing an adjusted hazard ratio of 1.80 (95% CI 1.31 ∼ 2.47, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The overall 30-day attributable mortality of AKI among critically ill patients with sepsis was 6.6%. Stage 3 AKI had the most significant contribution to 30-day mortality, while stage 1 and stage 2 AKI did not increase excess mortality.

Red Blood Cell Transfusion and Pulmonary Complications: The Society of Thoracic Surgeons Adult Cardiac Surgery Database Analysis

BACKGROUND

Intraoperative packed red blood cell (PRBC) transfusion during cardiac surgery is associated with increased postoperative morbidity and mortality; however, data on the association between PRBC transfusion and postoperative pulmonary complications (PPCs) are somewhat conflicting. Using The Society of Thoracic Surgeons Adult Cardiac Surgery Database, we sought to determine whether intraoperative PRBC transfusion was associated with PPCs as well as with longer intensive care unit (ICU) stay after isolated coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) surgery.

METHODS

A registry-based cohort study was performed on 751,893 patients with isolated CABG between January 1, 2015, to December 31, 2019. Using propensity score-weighted regression analysis, we analyzed the effect of intraoperative PRBC on the incidence of PPCs (hospital-acquired pneumonia [HAP], mechanical ventilation for >24 hours, or reintubation), ICU length of stay, and ICU readmission.

RESULTS

Transfusion of 1, 2, 3, and ≥4 units of PRBCs was associated with increased odds for HAP (odds ratios [ORs], 1.24 [95% CI, 1.21-1.26], 1.28 [95% CI, 1.26-1.32], 1.36 [95% CI, 1.33-1.39], 1.31 [95% CI, 1.28-1.34]), reintubation (ORs, 1.23 [95% CI, 1.21-1.25], 1.38 [95% CI, 1.35-1.40], 1.57 [95% CI, 1.55-1.60], 1.70 [95% CI, 1.67-1.73]), prolonged ventilation (ORs, 1.34 [95% CI, 1.33-1.36], 1.56 [95% CI, 1.53-1.58], 1.97 [95% CI, 1.94-2.00], 2.27 [95% CI, 2.24-2.30]), initial ICU length of stay (mean difference in hours, 6.79 [95% CI, 6.00-7.58], 9.55 [95% CI, 8.71-10.38], 17.26 [95% CI, 16.38-18.15], 22.14 [95% CI, 21.22-23.06]), readmission to ICU (ORs, 1.14 [95% CI, 1.12-1.64], 1.15 [95% CI, 1.12-1.17], 1.15 [95% CI, 1.13-1.18], 1.32 [95% CI, 1.29-1.35]), and additional ICU length of stay (mean difference in hours, 0.55 [95% CI, 0.18-0.92], 0.38 [95% CI, 0.00-0.77], 1.02 [95% CI, 0.61-1.43], 1.83 [95% CI, 1.40-2.26]), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Intraoperative PRBC transfusion was associated with increased incidence of PPCs, prolonged ICU stay, and ICU readmissions after isolated CABG surgery.

Attributable mortality of ARDS among critically ill patients with sepsis: a multicenter, retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Both sepsis and acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) are common severe diseases in the intensive care unit (ICU). There is no large-scale multicenter study to clarify the attributable mortality of ARDS among septic patients. This study aimed to evaluate the excess mortality of ARDS in critically ill patients with sepsis.

METHODS

The data were obtained from a multicenter, prospective cohort study in 18 Chinese ICUs between January 2014 and August 2015. The study population was septic patients after ICU admission. The patients were categorized into two groups: those who developed ARDS (ARDS group) within seven days following a sepsis diagnosis and those who did not develop ARDS (non-ARDS group). Applying propensity score matching (PSM), patients were matched 1:1 as ARDS and non-ARDS groups. Mortality attributed to ARDS was calculated. Subsequently, we conducted a survival analysis to estimate the impact of ARDS on mortality. The primary endpoint was 30-day mortality after sepsis diagnosis.

RESULTS

2323 septic patients were eligible, 67.8% developed ARDS. After PSM, 737 patients with ARDS were matched 1:1 with 737 non-ARDS patients. ARDS's overall 30-day attributable mortality was 11.9% (95% CI 7.5-16.3%, p < 0.001). Subgroup analysis showed that the 30-day attributable mortality of mild, moderate, and severe ARDS was 10.5% (95% CI 4.0-16.8%, p < 0.001), 11.6% (95% CI 4.7-18.4%, p < 0.001) and 18.1% (95% CI 4.5-30.9%, p = 0.006), respectively. ARDS was an independent risk factor for 30-day mortality, with adjusted hazard ratios of 1.30 (95% CI 1.03-1.64, p = 0.027), 1.49 (95% CI 1.20-1.85, p < 0.001), and 1.95 (95% CI 1.51-2.52, p < 0.001) for mild, moderate, and severe ARDS, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The overall 30-day attributable mortality of ARDS among critically ill patients with sepsis was 11.9%. Compared with mild and moderate ARDS, severe ARDS contributed more to death. ARDS was significantly associated with an increase in the 30-day mortality.

Clinical Outcomes of Diffuse Angiogram-Negative Subarachnoid Hemorrhage Versus Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage: A Propensity Score-Matched Analysis

BACKGROUND

The outcome of diffuse angiogram-negative subarachnoid hemorrhage (dan-SAH) compared with aneurysmal SAH (aSAH) remains unclear. This study aimed to compare outcomes using propensity score matching.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Sixty-five patients with dan-SAH and 857 patients with aSAH admitted between January 2018 and December 2022 were retrospectively reviewed. Propensity score matching resulted in matching 65 patients with dan-SAH to 260 patients with aSAH, and clinical outcomes were compared between the groups. Compared with patients with dan-SAH, patients with aSAH were more likely to experience rehemorrhage (8.8% versus 0%, P=0.027), death (11.2% versus 1.5%; odds ratios [OR] 8.04 [95% CI, 1.07-60.12]; P=0.042), or delayed cerebral ischemia (12.3% versus 3.1%; OR, 4.42 [95% CI, 1.03-18.95]; P=0.045). Multivariate analysis revealed that Hunt-Hess grade 4 to 5 (OR, 3.13 [95% CI, 2.11-4.64]; P<0.001), presence of intraventricular hemorrhage (OR, 3.58 [95% CI, 1.72-7.46]; P=0.001), and smoking (OR, 2.44 [95% CI, 1.12-5.28]; P=0.024) were independently associated with the incidence of unfavorable outcomes (modified Rankin scale score >2 at 3 months), whereas dan-SAH was not (OR, 0.66 [95% CI, 0.25-1.73]; P=0.40).

CONCLUSIONS

Compared with patients with dan-SAH, patients with aSAH had higher rehemorrhage rates and in-hospital mortality, as well as a higher incidence of delayed cerebral ischemia. Unfavorable outcomes were associated with admission Hunt-Hess grade, the presence of intravenetricular hemorrhage, and smoking history, but there was no relation with the  pathogenesis of the hemorrhage (dan-SAH versus aSAH).

Identifying Causal Risk Factors for Self-Harm Among Adolescents With U.S. Child Protective Services Contact

OBJECTIVES

To estimate effects of potentially modifiable risk factors for self-harm among adolescents in the Child Protective Services (CPS) system.

METHODS

Data came from the National Survey of Child and Adolescent Well-being, a nationally representative longitudinal survey. Candidate risk factors included child's feelings of worthlessness, the presence of supportive adults in the child's life, and parental psychological aggression. Propensity score weighting (PSW) was used to control for observed confounders, and the average effect of experiencing the risk factor among those who did was estimated using weighted logistic regression.

RESULTS

Odds ratios for self-harm comparing youth with low and high parental psychological aggression to none were 0.93 (0.35-2.45) and 1.25 (0.55-2.82), respectively. The OR for feelings of worthlessness was 1.73 (0.70-4.27), and for supportive adults 0.58 (0.28-1.19). The combination of survey and propensity score weights may have affected statistical power.

CONCLUSIONS

Preventing self-harm in adolescents requires a multifaceted approach given the existing evidence base and lack of strong associations with individual risk factors. Fostering supportive relationships with adults merits future research given the observed, non-significant 42% reduction in odds of self-harm among CPS involved youth who had a supportive relationship with an adult, compared to those who did not.

The attributable mortality of sepsis for acute kidney injury: a propensity-matched analysis based on multicenter prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Both sepsis and AKI are diseases of major concern in intensive care unit (ICU). This study aimed to evaluate the excess mortality attributable to sepsis for acute kidney injury (AKI).

METHODS

A propensity score-matched analysis on a multicenter prospective cohort study in 18 Chinese ICUs was performed. Propensity score was sequentially conducted to match AKI patients with and without sepsis on day 1, day 2, and day 3-5. The primary outcome was hospital death of AKI patients.

RESULTS

A total of 2008 AKI patients (40.9%) were eligible for the study. Of the 1010 AKI patients with sepsis, 619 (61.3%) were matched to 619 AKI patients in whom sepsis did not develop during the screening period of the study. The hospital mortality rate of matched AKI patients with sepsis was 205 of 619 (33.1%) compared with 150 of 619 (24.0%) for their matched AKI controls without sepsis (p = 0.001). The attributable mortality of total sepsis for AKI patients was 9.1% (95% CI: 4.8-13.3%). Of the matched patients with sepsis, 328 (53.0%) diagnosed septic shock. The attributable mortality of septic shock for AKI was 16.2% (95% CI: 11.3-20.8%, p < 0.001). Further, the attributable mortality of sepsis for AKI was 1.4% (95% CI: 4.1-5.9%, p = 0.825).

CONCLUSIONS

The attributable hospital mortality of total sepsis for AKI were 9.1%. Septic shock contributes to major excess mortality rate for AKI than sepsis.

REGISTRATION FOR THE MULTICENTER PROSPECTIVE COHORT STUDY

registration number ChiCTR-ECH-13003934.

Therapeutic modalities and clinical outcomes in a large cohort with LRBA deficiency and CTLA4 insufficiency

BACKGROUND

LPS-responsive beige-like anchor (LRBA) deficiency (LRBA-/-) and cytotoxic T-lymphocyte-associated antigen-4 (CTLA4) insufficiency (CTLA4+/-) are mechanistically overlapped diseases presenting with recurrent infections and autoimmunity. The effectiveness of different treatment regimens remains unknown.

OBJECTIVE

Our aim was to determine the comparative efficacy and long-term outcome of therapy with immunosuppressants, CTLA4-immunoglobulin (abatacept), and hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) in a single-country multicenter cohort of 98 patients with a 5-year median follow-up.

METHODS

The 98 patients (63 LRBA-/- and 35 CTLA4+/-) were followed and evaluated at baseline and every 6 months for clinical manifestations and response to the respective therapies.

RESULTS

The LRBA-/- patients exhibited a more severe disease course than did the CTLA4+/- patients, requiring more immunosuppressants, abatacept, and HSCT to control their symptoms. Among the 58 patients who received abatacept as either a primary or rescue therapy, sustained complete control was achieved in 46 (79.3%) without severe side effects. In contrast, most patients who received immunosuppressants as primary therapy (n = 61) showed either partial or no disease control (72.1%), necessitating additional immunosuppressants, abatacept, or transplantation. Patients with partial or no response to abatacept (n = 12) had longer disease activity before abatacept therapy, with higher organ involvement and poorer disease outcomes than those with a complete response. HSCT was performed in 14 LRBA-/- patients; 9 patients (64.2%) showed complete remission, and 3 (21.3%) continued to receive immunosuppressants after transplantation. HSCT and abatacept therapy gave rise to similar probabilities of survival.

CONCLUSIONS

Abatacept is superior to immunosuppressants in controlling disease manifestations over the long term, especially when started early, and it may provide a safe and effective therapeutic alternative to transplantation.

Investigating Weekend Effect in the Management of Upper and Lower Extremity Degloving Injuries

Background

Weekend presentation has been associated with adverse outcomes in emergent conditions, including stroke, myocardial infarction, and critical limb ischemia. We examine whether a weekend effect exists in the management of and outcomes after extremity degloving injuries.

Methods

The cohort included adults presenting with open extremity degloving injuries to a tertiary level one trauma center between June 2018 and May 2022. We collected demographics, comorbidities, injury information, interventions, and complications. Propensity score weighting was used to minimize confounding differences between those presenting on weekends (Sat-Sun) versus weekdays (Mon-Fri). Weighted regressions were used to examine differences in interventions by day of presentation. Multivariable weighted regressions accounting for differences in interventions received were used to examine whether weekend presentation was associated with amputation risk, complications, or functional deficits.

Results

Ninety-five patients with 100 open extremity degloving injuries were included. In total, 39% of injuries were weekend-presenting. There was a higher rate of noninsulin-dependent diabetes among patients presenting on weekends (P = 0.03). Weekend-presenting injuries had higher median Injury Severity Scores (P = 0.04). Propensity-weighted regression analysis revealed differences in interventions received on weekends, including lower rates of pedicled and free flaps and bone graft, and increased rates of negative-pressure wound therapy (P ≤ 0.02). Multivariable regression analysis revealed weekend presentation was a significant independent risk factor for amputation of the affected extremity [odds ratio 2.27, 95% CI (1.01-5.33), P = 0.05].

Conclusion

Weekend presentation may impact interventions received and amputation risk in patients presenting with open extremity degloving injuries.

Second-Line Biologic Therapy Following Tumor Necrosis Factor Antagonist Failure: A Real-World Propensity Score-Weighted Analysis

BACKGROUND& AIMS

Tumor necrosis factor (TNF) antagonists often are used as first-line medications to treat moderate to severe inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), but many patients do not achieve or maintain response. Our aim was to compare the effectiveness of second-line treatments (ustekinumab, vedolizumab, or a second TNF antagonist) after TNF antagonist exposure in patients with Crohn's disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis (UC) from 2 electronic health records-based cohorts.

METHODS

We identified patients with prior TNF antagonist exposure who switched to a different biologic in the Mount Sinai Health System (MSHS) electronic health records (CD, n = 527; UC, n = 165) and the Study of a Prospective Adult Research Cohort (SPARC) from the Inflammatory Bowel Disease Plexus Program of the Crohn's & Colitis Foundation (CD, n = 412; UC, n = 129). Treatment failure was defined as the composite of any IBD-related surgery, IBD-related hospitalization, new prescription of oral/intravenous corticosteroids, or need to switch to a third biologic agent. Time-to-event analysis was conducted with inverse probability of treatment-weighted data.

RESULTS

Overall, treatment failure occurred in 85% of MSHS and 72% of SPARC CD patients. In SPARC, the likelihood of treatment failure was significantly lower with ustekinumab compared with vedolizumab as second-line treatment (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.54-0.82; P < .001), a trend confirmed in MSHS (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.89; 95% CI, 0.77-1.04; P = .15). In both cohorts, the superiority of ustekinumab compared with vedolizumab was shown when considering treatment failure as prescription of steroids or a third biologic agent. In UC, no differences between second-line treatment groups were identified.

CONCLUSIONS

In 2 independent real-world cohort settings, second-line therapy in CD with ustekinumab after TNF antagonist treatment failure was associated with a lower likelihood of treatment failure than second-line vedolizumab.

Association of Intraoperative Red Blood Cell Transfusions With Venous Thromboembolism and Adverse Outcomes After Cardiac Surgery

OBJECTIVE

We determined whether intraoperative packed red blood cell (PRBC) transfusion was associated with a higher incidence of hospital-acquired venous thromboembolic (HA-VTE) complications and adverse outcomes after isolated coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) surgery.

BACKGROUND

Intraoperative PRBC has been associated with increased risk for postoperative deep venous thrombosis after cardiac surgery, but validation of these findings in a large, multi-institutional, national cohort of cardiac surgery patients has been lacking.

METHODS

A registry-based cohort study of 751,893 patients with isolated CABG between January 1, 2015, to December 31, 2019. Using propensity score-weighted regression analysis, we analyzed the effect of intraoperative PRBC on the incidence of HA-VTE and adverse outcomes.

RESULTS

Administration of 1, 2, 3, and ≥4 units of PRBC transfusion was associated with increased odds for HA-VTE [odds ratios (ORs): 1.27 (1.22-1.32), 1.21 (1.16-1.26), 1.93 (1.85-2.00), 1.82 (1.75-1.89)], deep venous thrombosis [ORs: 1.39 (1.33-1.46), 1.38 (1.32-1.44), 2.18 (2.09-2.28), 1.82 (1.74-1.91], operative mortality [ORs: 1.11 (1.08-1.14), 1.16 (1.13-1.19), 1.29 (1.26-1.32), 1.47 (1.43-1.50)], readmission within 30 days [ORs: 1.05 (1.04-1.06), 1.16 (1.13-1.19), 1.29 (1.26-1.32), 1.47 (1.43-1.50)], and a prolonged postoperative length of stay [mean difference in days, 0.23 (0.19-0.27), 0.34 (0.30-0.39), 0.69 (0.64-0.74), 0.77 (0.72-0.820]. The odds of pulmonary venous thromboembolism were lower for patients transfused with 1 or 2 units [ORs: 0.98 (0.91-1.06), 0.75 (0.68-0.81)] of PRBC but remained significantly elevated for those receiving 3 and ≥4 units [ORs: 1.19 (1.09-1.29), 1.35 (1.25-1.48)].

CONCLUSIONS

Intraoperative PRBC transfusion was associated with HA-VTE and adverse outcomes after isolated CABG surgery.

Observational study of surgical resection in small non-functional pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors: AS SEER-based study

The potential benefits of surgical resection for small non-functional pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (NF-PNETs) in terms of survival remain uncertain. This study aimed to evaluate the impact of surgical treatment on patients with NF-PNETs. Using SEER data, we identified 1102 patients from 2004 to 2015 with well and moderately differentiated pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (PNETs). The associations between continuous variables and receipt of surgery were assessed using Wilcoxon rank-sum tests. Kaplan-Meier survival curves for OS were compared using the log-rank test. We compared outcomes in patients who received surgical resection with those in patients who did not, using a univariable Cox model with inverse probability weighting according to the propensity score and propensity-score matching. Among the cohort of 1102 patients, a majority of 965 individuals (87%) underwent surgical intervention. Upon conducting univariate analysis, we observed that surgical treatment significantly prolonged patients' survival [HR = 0.41, 95% CI [0.26-0.65] P < 0.001]. However, the old [HR = 3.27, 95% CI (2.24-4.76), P 0.001], male gender [HR = 1.82, 95% CI (1.23-2.68), P = 0.003], and moderately well-differentiated factors [HR = 1.71, 95% CI (1.04-2.80), P = 0.034] were found to potentially decrease patients' survival time. In the multivariate analysis, male gender [HR = 1.73, 95% CI (1.15-2.61), P = 0.009] and the old factor [HR = 3.52, 95% CI (2.33-5.31), P < 0.001] emerged as influential predictors with higher hazard ratios. Notably, surgical treatment remained a significant factor associated with improved overall survival [HR = 0.53, 95% CI (0.33-0.84), P = 0.007]. Propensity-score matching and inverse probability weighting were employed as analytical techniques. The univariate analysis results showed favorable outcomes in the weight group [HR = 0.48, 95% CI (0.29-0.78), P = 0.003] and matched group [HR = 0.44, 95% CI (0.22-0.85), P = 0.015], respectively. Survival analysis further confirmed that surgical treatment contributed to increased overall survival (log rank, P < 0.05) in both the matching and weight groups. Patients diagnosed with small, non-functioning pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors who undergo surgical intervention exhibit improved overall survival (OS) outcomes. Therefore, surgery is strongly recommended for this patient population.

Ex vivo coronary endothelial cell activation associated with indoor coal combustion initiated atherosclerosis

Plenty of rural populations still chronically exposed to indoor coal burning, which tremendously raises the risk of cardiovascular disease, in China. This study aimed to further investigate the association between indoor coal burning exposure and atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases to search for relevant markers for disease prevention. Herein, we conducted a cross-sectional study, carried out on 752 local long-term residents with or without bituminous coal for cooking and heating indoor, in Nangong County, Hebei Province, China. We utilized a nearest neighbor propensity score match (PSM) with a caliper distance equal to 0.001 to eliminate bias caused by confounding factors. The expression of genes associated with endothelial activation (CCL2, CCL5, CXCL8, CXCL12, VCAM, ICAM, SELP) in primary human coronary artery endothelial cells (HCAECs) were quantified through ex vivo biosensor assay. Multiple linear regression models with stratification analyses by gender and binary logit regression models were used to evaluate the association between mRNA expression of biosensor genes and indoor coal burning pollution or carotid atherosclerosis, respectively. Protein secretion level was detected by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). The prevalence of carotid atherosclerosis in exposure group was higher than control (P = 0.023), before PSM. The gene expression of CCL2 in exposure group was significantly higher than control (P = 0.002). Indoor coal burning exposure was correlated with gene expression of CCL2 (β = 3.45, 95 % CI: 0.04-6.87, P = 0.047) and CXCL8 (β = 1.25, 95 % CI: 0.02-2.49, P = 0.046) in female. A higher risk of carotid atherosclerosis was observed in the same as the increase expression of CCL2 (OR = 1.07, 95 % CI: 1.01-1.14, P = 0.020). In conclusion, prolonged exposure to indoor coal burning could elevate the gene expression of CCL2 by activating vascular endothelial cells and was relative to the initiation of carotid atherosclerosis.

The impact of the armed conflict in Afghanistan on vegetation dynamics

Armed conflicts disturb the environment and impair land productivity. Afghanistan has been submerged in conflict for >20 years, affecting the environment dramatically. In this study, we used the Normalised difference vegetation index (NDVI) to investigate vegetation's spatial and temporal changes and the potential underpinned mechanisms. We found a 16.44 % increase in NDVI in Afghanistan from 2000 to 2021. The average NDVI growth rate was 11.33 % (within 5 km distance from the armed conflict), higher in the conflict group than in the non-conflict group. People migration may have reduced the human impacts on the environment. The relative contribution of armed conflict to vegetation growth was 3.17 %. Our results showed that the vegetation in Afghanistan increased, confirming the idea that depopulation increase greenness. Despite the reduced variance explained by the war (R² values around 0.3), our study provides empirical evidence on the linkages between the war and vegetation change in Afghanistan.

Comparison of polysomnography in people with Alzheimer's disease and insomnia versus non-demented elderly people with insomnia

BACKGROUND

We used baseline polysomnography (PSG) data obtained during the clinical program development for suvorexant to compare the PSG profiles of people with Alzheimer's disease and insomnia (ADI) versus age-matched elderly individuals with insomnia (EI).

METHODS

Sleep laboratory baseline PSG data from participants age 55-80 years from 2 trials in people with insomnia and a trial in people with ADI were included. ADI participants had dementia of mild-to-moderate severity. Diagnostic criteria for insomnia, exclusion for other sleep problems, PSG recording procedures, and endpoint derivations were similar across the trials. All participants underwent a night of in-laboratory PSG prior to the baseline night to allow for screening/adaptation. Participants in the EI and ADI groups were compared with regard to sleep architecture, sleep micro-structure, and quantitative EEG power spectral endpoints. The analysis was performed on a post hoc basis using propensity score matching to compare sleep parameters separately in women and men while accounting for age group and total sleep time.

RESULTS

A total of 837 EI and 239 ADI participants were included, with the majority in each population (∼65%) being women. Compared to EI, those with ADI had a lower percentage of time spent in slow wave sleep (and a corresponding higher percentage of time spent in the lighter N1 sleep), a lower number of spindles per minute of N2 sleep, and lower absolute EEG power during NREM sleep, particularly in the lower-frequency bands. Trends for lower REM sleep percentage in ADI did not reach statistical significance.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings in this large data set, in which the influence of sleep problems was effectively subtracted out (since both groups had insomnia), provide strong confirmatory support of results from previous smaller studies in indicating that AD of mild-to-moderate severity is associated with less slow wave sleep, spindles, and lower-frequency EEG power.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov, numbers NCT01097616, NCT01097629, NCT02750306.

COVID-19 vaccine uptake and effectiveness in adults aged 50 years and older in Wales UK: a 1.2m population data-linkage cohort approach

Vaccination programs against COVID-19 vary globally with estimates of vaccine effectiveness (VE) affected by vaccine type, schedule, strain, outcome, and recipient characteristics. This study assessed VE of BNT162b2 and ChAdOx1 vaccines against PCR positive SARS-CoV-2 infection, hospital admission, and death among adults aged 50 years and older in Wales, UK during the period 7 December 2020 to 18 July 2021, when Alpha, followed by Delta, were the predominant variants. We used individual-level linked routinely collected data within the Secure Anonymized Information Linkage (SAIL) Databank. Data were available for 1,262,689 adults aged 50 years and over; coverage of one dose of any COVID-19 vaccine in this population was 92.6%, with coverage of two doses 90.4%. VE against PCR positive infection at 28-days or more post first dose of any COVID-19 vaccine was 16.0% (95%CI 9.6-22.0), and 42.0% (95%CI 36.5-47.1) seven or more days after a second dose. VE against hospital admission was higher at 72.9% (95%CI 63.6-79.8) 28 days or more post vaccination with one dose of any vaccine type, and 84.9% (95%CI 78.2-89.5) at 7 or more days post two doses. VE for one dose against death was estimated to be 80.9% (95%CI 72.1-86.9). VE against PCR positive infection and hospital admission was higher for BNT162b2 compared to ChAdOx1. In conclusion, vaccine uptake has been high among adults in Wales and VE estimates are encouraging, with two doses providing considerable protection against severe outcomes. Continued roll-out of the vaccination programme within Wales, and globally, is crucial in our fight against COVID-19.

Long-term Survival Benefit From Revascularization Compared With Medical Therapy in Patients With or Without Diabetes Undergoing Myocardial Perfusion Single Photon Emission Computed Tomography

OBJECTIVE

To explore the long-term association of survival benefit from early revascularization with the magnitude of ischemia in patients with diabetes compared with those without diabetes using a large observational cohort of patients undergoing single photon emission computed tomography myocardial perfusion imaging (SPECT-MPI).

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

Of 41,982 patients who underwent stress and rest SPECT-MPI from 1998 to 2017, 8,328 (19.8%) had diabetes. A propensity score was used to match 8,046 patients with diabetes to 8,046 patients without diabetes. Early revascularization was defined as occurring within 90 days after SPECT-MPI. The percentage of myocardial ischemia was assessed from the magnitude of reversible myocardial perfusion defect on SPECT-MPI.

RESULTS

Over a median 10.3-year follow-up, the annualized mortality rate was higher for the patients with diabetes compared with those without diabetes (4.7 vs. 3.6%; P < 0.001). There were significant interactions between early revascularization and percent myocardial ischemia in patients with and without diabetes (all interaction P values <0.05). After adjusting for confounding variables, survival benefit from early revascularization was observed in patients with diabetes above a threshold of >8.6% ischemia and in patients without diabetes above a threshold of >12.1%. Patients with diabetes receiving insulin had a higher mortality rate (6.2 vs. 4.1%; P < 0.001), but there was no interaction between revascularization and insulin use (interaction P value = 0.405).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with diabetes, especially those on insulin treatment, had higher mortality rate compared with patients without diabetes. Early revascularization was associated with a mortality benefit at a lower ischemic threshold in patients with diabetes compared with those without diabetes.

Processed Electroencephalographic Use During Anesthesia and Outcomes: Analysis of The Society of Thoracic Surgeons Adult Cardiac Surgery Database

BACKGROUND

This study assessed associations between processed electroencephalographic (pEEG) use during anesthesia, surgery- and anesthesia-related risk factors, and neurologic outcomes and mortality after cardiac surgery.

METHODS

Drawing from The Society of Thoracic Surgeons Adult Cardiac Surgery Database and its Adult Cardiac Anesthesiology Section, we identified 42 932 records for elective, urgent, and emergency cardiac surgical procedures between July 1, 2017 and December 31, 2019. Using propensity score-weighted regression analysis, we analyzed the associations between pEEG use during anesthesia on the primary outcome, postoperative delirium (POD), and secondary outcomes of stroke, encephalopathy, coma, and operative mortality.

RESULTS

The rate of pEEG use during anesthesia use was 32.8% (n = 14 086), and its use was not associated with decreased odds for POD (odds ratio [OR], 0.88; 95% CI, 0.78-1.02) or encephalopathy (OR, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.70-1.03). Intraoperative pEEG monitoring use was also not associated with increased odds for stroke (OR, 1.17; 95% CI, 0.97-1.42) or coma (OR, 1.44; 95% CI, 0.82-2.52). In contrast, pEEG use during anesthesia was associated with higher odds for operative mortality (OR, 1.23; 95% CI, 1.05-1.44). This association remained significant after adjusting for POD (OR, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.03-1.41), stroke (OR, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.04-1.42), and encephalopathy (OR, 1.28; 95% CI, 1.07-1.52).

CONCLUSIONS

This large retrospective database study found no association between pEEG use during cardiac surgery and postoperative neurologic outcomes such as POD, stroke, encephalopathy, or coma. However, patients who underwent pEEG monitoring during anesthesia experienced higher mortality, even after adjustment for neurologic outcomes.

The Role of Nondiabetic Hyperglycemia in Critically Ill Patients with Acute Ischemic Stroke

In this study, we aim to elucidate the association between nondiabetic hyperglycemia and the short-term prognosis of critically ill patients with acute ischemic stroke. We extracted data using the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV from 2008 to 2019. The primary outcomes were set as intensive care units (ICU) and in-hospital mortality. We developed a Cox proportional hazards model to determine the nonlinear association between serum glucose levels and primary outcomes. Of the 1086 patients included, 236 patients had hyperglycemia. Patients with hyperglycemia were associated with higher ages, female gender, higher Charlson Comorbidity Index scores, and higher Acute Physiology Score III scores. After propensity score matching, 222 pairs remained. The hyperglycemia group had a significantly higher ICU mortality (17.6% vs. 10.8%; p = 0.041). Meanwhile, no significant differences in ICU length of stay (5.2 vs. 5.2; p = 0.910), in-hospital mortality (26.6% vs. 18.9%, p = 0.054), and hospital length of stay (10.0 vs. 9.1; p = 0.404) were observed between the two groups. The Kaplan–Meier curves for ICU and in-hospital survival before matching suggested significant differences; however, after matching, they failed to prove any disparity. Non-diabetic patients with acute ischemic stroke have poor clinical characteristic while encountering hyperglycemic events; therefore, careful monitoring in the acute phase is still required.

Using probabilistic record linkage and propensity-score matching to identify a community-based comparison population

In retrospective cohort studies of interventions disseminated to communities, it is challenging to find comparison groups with high-quality data for evaluation. We present one methodological approach as part of our study of birth outcomes of second-born children in a home visiting (HV) program targeting first-time mothers. We used probabilistic record linkage to link Connecticut's Nurturing Families Network (NFN) HV program and birth-certificate data for children born from 2005 to 2015. We identified two potential comparison groups: a propensity-score-matched group from the remaining birth certificate sample and eligible-but-unenrolled families. An analysis of interpregnancy interval (IPI) is presented to exemplify the approach. We identified the birth certificates of 4822 NFN families. The propensity-score-matched group had 14,219 families (3-to-1 matching) and we identified 1101 eligible-but-unenrolled families. Covariates were well balanced for the propensity-score-matched group, but poorly balanced for the eligible-but-unenrolled group. No program effect on IPI was found. By combining propensity-score matching and probabilistic record linkage, we were able to retrospectively identify relatively large comparison groups for quasi-experimental research. Using birth certificate data, we accessed outcomes for all of these individuals from a single data source. Multiple comparison groups allow us to confirm findings when each method has some limitations. Other researchers seeking community-based comparison groups could consider a similar approach.

A tutorial comparing different covariate balancing methods with an application evaluating the causal effects of substance use treatment programs for adolescents

Randomized controlled trials are the gold standard for measuring causal effects. However, they are often not always feasible, and causal treatment effects must be estimated from observational data. Observational studies do not allow robust conclusions about causal relationships unless statistical techniques account for the imbalance of pretreatment confounders across groups and key assumptions hold. Propensity score and balance weighting (PSBW) are useful techniques that aim to reduce the observed imbalances between treatment groups by weighting the groups to look alike on the observed confounders. Notably, there are many methods available to estimate PSBW. However, it is unclear a priori which will achieve the best trade-off between covariate balance and effective sample size for a given application. Moreover, it is critical to assess the validity of key assumptions required for robust estimation of the needed treatment effects, including the overlap and no unmeasured confounding assumptions. We present a step-by-step guide to the use of PSBW for estimation of causal treatment effects that includes steps on how to evaluate overlap before the analysis, obtain estimates of PSBW using multiple methods and select the optimal one, check for covariate balance on multiple metrics, and assess sensitivity of findings (both the estimated treatment effect and statistical significance) to unobserved confounding. We illustrate the key steps using a case study examining the relative effectiveness of substance use treatment programs and provide a user-friendly Shiny application that can implement the proposed steps for any application with binary treatments.

Levosimendan's effect on venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation weaning

BACKGROUND

Veno-arterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (V-A ECMO) provides temporary haemodynamic support in refractory cardiogenic shock. Recent retrospective studies on levosimendan on V-A ECMO weaning had conflicting results. This study aimed to determine the association between levosimendan on V-A ECMO weaning success in a tertiary centre in Hong Kong.

METHODS

This retrospective study was conducted in an intensive care unit in Hong Kong. All adult patients requiring V-A ECMO from January 2016 to September 2020 were included. Patients who were given levosimendan were compared to patients who were not, on rates of successful V-A ECMO weaning. The groups were also compared after propensity matching based on covariates closely associated with the use of levosimendan.

RESULTS

A total of 119 patients were included in the study, with 38 in the levosimendan group and 81 in the non-levosimendan group. Patients treated with levosimendan trended towards improved weaning success, but the difference was not statistically significant (63% vs 53%, p = 0.404). In the propensity-matched groups, there was no difference in weaning success (odds ratio 1.00, 95% CI 0.23-8.00). The levosimendan group was associated with lower vasopressor requirement, lower lactate levels, and more significant drop in lactate in the first 2 days of V-A ECMO. The levosimendan group had longer ECMO duration. There was no difference in other secondary outcomes including mortality, length of stay in ICU and hospital and duration of mechanical ventilation. There was no difference in the rate of ventricular arrhythmias.

CONCLUSION

Levosimendan did not improve V-A ECMO weaning success in our cohort with refractory cardiogenic shock.

Increased Safety Behavior and COVID-19-Related Fear in Adults with Cystic Fibrosis during the Pandemic

People with cystic fibrosis (pwCF) face great challenges during the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. Recent research found equal levels of distress in pwCF and healthy controls (HC). The current study aimed to investigate the mental health burden and safety behavior in pwCF. Sixty-nine adult pwCF and sixty-nine propensity-score-matched HC participated in this study. Participants completed an anonymous online questionnaire assessing distress, generalized anxiety, depressive symptoms, COVID-19-related variables, self-reported adherent safety behavior (ASB), and dysfunctional safety behavior (DSB). PwCF showed equal amounts of distress (W = 2481.0, p = 0.669), depressive symptoms (W = 2632.5, p = 0.268), and generalized anxiety symptoms (W = 2515.5, p = 0.565) compared to the HC. COVID-19-related fear (W = 1872.0, p = 0.028), ASB (W = 1630.0, p = 0.001), and DSB (W = 1498.5, p < 0.001) were significantly elevated in pwCF. The pwCF estimated that the probability of suffering from symptoms (W = 954.5, p < 0.001), experiencing a severe course (W = 806.5, p < 0.001), or dying (W = 1079.0, p < 0.001) from COVID-19 is significantly higher than that of the HC. ASB was associated with a CF diagnosis, COVID-19-related fear, and a subjective level of information (R2 = 0.414, F(13, 124) = 6.936, p ≤ 0.001). DSB was associated with a diagnosis of CF and COVID-19-related fear (R2 = 0.196, F(13, 124) = 3.169, p ≤ 0.001). The data suggest that pwCF show functional and adequate behaviors towards the risk caused by the pandemic. Therefore, functional coping behaviors may provide advantages in addressing pandemic challenges.

Implementing a flipped classroom model in an evidence-based medicine curriculum for pre-clinical medical students: evaluating learning effectiveness through prospective propensity score-matched cohorts

BACKGROUND

In a flipped classroom (FC) model, blended learning is used to increase student engagement and learning by having students finish their readings at home and work on problem-solving with tutors during class time. Evidence-based medicine (EBM) integrates clinical experience and patient values with the best evidence-based research to inform clinical decisions. To implement a FC and EBM, students require sufficient information acquisition and problem-solving skills. Therefore, a FC is regarded as an excellent teaching model for tutoring EBM skills. However, the effectiveness of a FC for teaching EBM competency has not been rigorously investigated in pre-clinical educational programs. In this study, we used an innovative FC model in a pre-clinical EBM teaching program.

METHODS

FC's teaching was compared with a traditional teaching model by using an assessment framework of prospective propensity score matching, which reduced the potential difference in basic characteristics between the two groups of students on 1:1 ratio. For the outcome assessments of EBM competency, we used an analysis of covariance and multivariate linear regression analysis to investigate comparative effectiveness between the two teaching models. A total of 90 students were prospectively enrolled and assigned to the experimental or control group using 1:1 propensity matching.

RESULTS

Compared with traditional teaching methods, the FC model was associated with better learning outcomes for the EBM competency categories of Ask, Acquire, Appraise, and Apply for both written and oral tests at the end of the course (all p-values< 0.001). In particular, the "appraise" skill for the written test (6.87 ± 2.20) vs. (1.47 ± 1.74), p < 0.001), and the "apply" skill for the oral test (7.34 ± 0.80 vs. 3.97 ± 1.24, p < 0.001) had the biggest difference between the two groups.

CONCLUSIONS

After adjusting for a number of potential confunding factors, our study findings support the effectiveness of applying an FC teaching model to cultivate medical students' EBM literacy.

Propensity score analysis of psychological intimate partner violence and preterm birth

Psychological intimate partner violence (IPV), a global public health problem, affects mothers during pregnancy. We evaluated its relationship with preterm birth. We established a cohort of 779 consecutive mothers receiving antenatal care and giving birth in 15 public hospitals in Spain. Trained midwives collected IPV data using the Index of Spouse Abuse validated in the Spanish language. Preterm was defined as birth before 37 completed weeks of gestation. Gestational age was estimated by early ultrasound. With multivariate logistic regression we estimated the relative association of IPV with preterm birth as adjusted odds ratios (AOR), with 95% confidence intervals (CI). In propensity score analysis, using weighting by inverse probability of exposure to IPV, the whole sample was used for estimating the absolute difference in probability of preterm amongst offspring born to mothers with and without IPV. Socio-demographic and other pregnancy characteristics served as covariates in both analyses. Preterm occurred in 57 (7.3%) pregnancies. Psychological IPV, experienced by 151 (21%) mothers, was associated with preterm birth (11.9% vs 6.5%; AOR = 2.4; 95% CI = 1.1-5.0; p = 0.01). The absolute preterm difference in psychological IPV compared to normal was 0.08 (95% CI = 0.01-0.16; p = 0.04). The probability of preterm birth was 8% higher on average in women with psychological IPV during pregnancy. As our analysis controlled for selection bias, our findings give credence to a causal inference. Screening and management for psychological IPV during pregnancy is an important step in antenatal care to prevent preterm birth.

Early experience of laparoscopic resection and comparison with open surgery for gastric gastrointestinal stromal tumor: a multicenter retrospective study

The advantages of laparoscopic resection over open surgery in the treatment of gastric gastrointestinal stromal tumor (GIST) are not conclusive. This study aimed to evaluate the postoperative and oncologic outcome of laparoscopic resection for gastric GIST, compared to open surgery. We retrospectively reviewed the prospectively collected database of 1019 patients with gastric GIST after surgical resection at 13 Korean and 2 Japanese institutions. The surgical and oncologic outcomes were compared between laparoscopic and open group, through 1:1 propensity score matching (PSM). The laparoscopic group (N = 318) had a lower rate of overall complications (3.5% vs. 7.9%, P = 0.024) and wound complications (0.6% vs. 3.1%, P = 0.037), shorter hospitalization days (6.68 ± 4.99 vs. 8.79 ± 6.50, P < 0.001) than the open group (N = 318). The superiority of the laparoscopic approach was also demonstrated in patients with tumors larger than 5 cm, and at unfavorable locations. The recurrence-free survival was not different between the two groups, regardless of tumor size, locational favorableness, and risk classifications. Cox regression analysis revealed that tumor size larger than 5 cm, higher mitotic count, R1 resection, and tumor rupture during surgery were independent risk factors for recurrence. Laparoscopic surgery provides lower rates of complications and shorter hospitalizations for patients with gastric GIST than open surgery.

Atrial Fibrillation Is Not an Independent Determinant of Mortality Among Critically Ill Acute Ischemic Stroke Patients: A Propensity Score-Matched Analysis From the MIMIC-IV Database

Background/Objective

This study was conducted to investigate the clinical characteristics and outcomes of patients with acute ischemic stroke and atrial fibrillation (AF) in intensive care units (ICUs).

Methods

In the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV database, 1,662 patients with acute ischemic stroke were identified from 2008 to 2019. Of the 1,662 patients, 653 had AF. The clinical characteristics and outcomes of patients with and without AF were compared using propensity score matching (PSM). Furthermore, univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyzes were performed.

Results

Of the 1,662 patients, 39.2% had AF. The prevalence of AF in these patients increased in a stepwise manner with advanced age. Patients with AF were older and had higher Charlson Comorbidity Index, CHA2DS2-VASc Score, HAS-BLED score, and Acute Physiology Score III than those without AF. After PSM, 1,152 patients remained, comprising 576 matched pairs in both groups. In multivariate analysis, AF was not associated with higher ICU mortality [hazard ratio (HR), 0.95; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.64–1.42] or in-hospital mortality (HR, 1.08; 95% CI, 0.79–1.47). In Kaplan–Meier analysis, no difference in ICU or in-hospital mortality was observed between patients with and without AF.

Conclusions

AF could be associated with poor clinical characteristics and outcomes; however, it does not remain an independent short-term predictor of ICU and in-hospital mortality among patients with acute ischemic stroke after PSM with multivariate analysis.

The attributable mortality of new-onset acute kidney injury among critically ill patients: a propensity-matched analysis based on a multicentre prospective cohort study

Purpose

This study aimed to evaluate the attributable mortality of new-onset acute kidney injury (AKI).

Methods

The data in the present study were derived from a multi-center, prospective cohort study in China that was performed at 18 Chinese ICUs. A propensity-matched analysis was performed between matched patients with and without AKI selected from all eligible patients to estimate the attributable mortality of new-onset AKI.

Results

A total of 2872 critically ill adult patients were eligible. The incidence of new-onset AKI was 29.1% (n = 837). After propensity score matching, 788 patients with AKI were matched 1:1 with 788 controls (patients without AKI). Thirty-day mortality was significantly higher among the patients with AKI than among their matched controls (25.5% versus 17.4%, p < 0.001). Subgroup analysis in terms of AKI classification showed that there was no significant difference (p = 0.509) in 30-day mortality between patients with stage 1 AKI and their matched controls. The attributable mortality values of stage 2 and stage 3 AKI were 12.4% [95% confidence interval (CI) 2.6–21.8%, p = 0.013] and 16.1% (95% CI 8.2–23.8%, p < 0.001), respectively. The attributable mortality of persistent AKI was 15.7% (95% CI 8.8–22.4%, p = 0.001), while no observable difference in 30-day mortality was identified between transient AKI patients and their matched non-AKI controls (p = 0.229).

Conclusion

The absolute excess 30-day mortality that is statistically attributable to new-onset AKI is substantial (8.1%) among general ICU patients. However, neither stage 1 AKI nor transient AKI increases 30-day mortality.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11255-021-03087-z.

Is Adjuvant Chemotherapy Necessary for Obstructing Stage II Colon Cancer? Results From a Propensity Score Analysis of the French Surgical Association Database

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to compare the survival of patients with stage II obstructing colon cancer (OCC) who had adjuvant chemotherapy with those who did not.

SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA

The need for adjuvant chemotherapy in stage II colon cancer is still debated.

METHODS

All consecutive patients treated for a stage II OCC in a curative intent (with primary tumor resection) between January 2000 and December 2015 were included in this retrospective, multicenter cohort study which included a propensity score analysis using an odds of treatment weighting (Average Treatment effect on the Treated, ATT). The endpoint was the comparison between the 2 groups for overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) according to whether or not patients received adjuvant chemotherapy.

RESULTS

During the study period, 504 patients underwent a curative colectomy for a stage II OCC. Among these patients, 179 (35.5%) had adjuvant chemotherapy and 325 (64.5%) had no adjuvant treatment. Among the 179 patients who received adjuvant chemotherapy, 108 patients (60%) received oxaliplatin based regimen and 99 patients (55%) completed all scheduled cycles. At multivariate analysis, after weighting by the odds (ATT analysis) and adjustment, adjuvant chemotherapy after resection of a stage II OCC was associated with improvements in OS [hazard ratio (HR) = 0.42 (0.17-0.99), P = 0.0498] and DFS [HR = 0.57 (0.37-0.88), P = 0.0116].

CONCLUSION

This study suggests that adjuvant chemotherapy after curative resection of stage II OCC may improve oncological outcomes.

Association of site of treatment with clinical outcomes following intravenous antimicrobial treatment of a pulmonary exacerbation

BACKGROUND

In the STOP2 (Standardized Treatment of Pulmonary Exacerbations-2) study, intravenous (IV) antimicrobial treatment duration for adults with cystic fibrosis (CF) experiencing pulmonary exacerbations (PEx) was determined based on initial treatment response. The impact of home vs hospital care remains an important clinical question in CF. Our hypothesis was that STOP2 participants treated at home would have less improvement in lung function compared to those treated in the hospital.

METHODS

Treating clinicians determined PEx treatment location, which was a stratification factor for STOP2 randomization. Lung function, weight, and symptom recovery were evaluated by treatment location. Propensity scores and inverse probability treatment weighting were used to test for differences in clinical response by treatment location.

RESULTS

In all, 33% of STOP2 participants received IV antimicrobials in the hospital only, 46% both in the hospital and at home, and 21% at home only. Mean (95% CI) ppFEV₁ improvement was significantly (p < 0.05) lower for those treated at home only, 5.0 (3.5, 6.5), compared with at home and in the hospital, 7.0 (5.9, 8.1), and in the hospital only, 8.0 (6.7, 9.4). Mean weight (p < 0.001) and symptom (p < 0.05) changes were significantly smaller for those treated at home only compared to those treated in the hospital only.

CONCLUSIONS

Compared to PEx treatment at home only, treatment in the hospital was associated with greater mean lung function, respiratory symptom, and weight improvements. The limitations of home IV therapy should be addressed in order to optimize outcomes for adults with CF treated at home.

Accounting for Confounding in Observational Studies

The goal of this review is to enable clinical psychology researchers to more rigorously test competing hypotheses when studying risk factors in observational studies. We argue that there is a critical need for researchers to leverage recent advances in epidemiology/biostatistics related to causal inference and to use innovative approaches to address a key limitation of observational research: the need to account for confounding. We first review theoretical issues related to the study of causation, how causal diagrams can facilitate the identification and testing of competing hypotheses, and the current limitations of observational research in the field. We then describe two broad approaches that help account for confounding: analytic approaches that account for measured traits and designs that account for unmeasured factors. We provide descriptions of several such approaches and highlight their strengths and limitations, particularly as they relate to the etiology and treatment of behavioral health problems.

Impact of the DREAMS interventions on educational attainment among adolescent girls and young women: Causal analysis of a prospective cohort in urban Kenya

BACKGROUND

DREAMS promotes a comprehensive HIV prevention approach to reduce HIV incidence among adolescent girls and young women (AGYW). One pathway that DREAMS seeks to impact is to support AGYW to stay in school and achieve secondary education. We assessed the impact of DREAMS on educational outcomes among AGYW in Nairobi, Kenya.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

In two informal settlements in Nairobi, 1081 AGYW aged 15-22 years were randomly selected in 2017 and followed-up to 2019. AGYW reporting invitation to participate in DREAMS during 2017-18 were classified as "DREAMS beneficiaries". Our main outcome was being in school and/or completed lower secondary school in 2019. We used multivariable logistic regression to quantify the association between being a DREAMS beneficiary and the outcome; and a causal inference framework to estimate proportions achieving the outcome if all, versus no, AGYW were DREAMS beneficiaries, adjusting for the propensity to be a DREAMS beneficiary. Of AGYW enrolled in 2017, 79% (852/1081) were followed-up to 2019. In unadjusted analysis, DREAMS beneficiaries had higher attainment than non-beneficiaries (85% vs 75% in school or completed lower secondary school, Odds Ratio (OR) = 1.9; 95%CI: 1.3,2.8). The effect weakened with adjustment for age and other confounders, (adjusted OR = 1.4; 95%CI: 0.9,2.4). From the causal analysis, evidence was weak for an impact of DREAMS (estimated 83% vs 79% in school or completed lower secondary school, if all vs no AGYW were beneficiaries, difference = 4%; 95%CI: -2,11%). Among AGYW out of school at baseline, the estimated differences were 21% (95%CI: -3,43%) among 15-17 year olds; and 4% (95%CI: -8,17%) among 18-22 year olds.

CONCLUSIONS

DREAMS had a modest impact on educational attainment among AGYW in informal settlements in Kenya, by supporting both retention and re-enrolment in school. Larger impact might be achieved if more AGYW were reached with educational subsidies, alongside other DREAMS interventions.

A new inflammatory parameter can predict delayed intracranial hemorrhage following ventriculoperitoneal shunt

Delayed intracerebral hemorrhage (DICH) secondary to ventriculoperitoneal (VP) shunt is considered to be a potentially severe event. This study aimed to investigate the association between a ratio of postoperative neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio to preoperative neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLRR) and DICH secondary to VP shunt. We performed a retrospective review of patients who underwent VP shunt between January 2016 and June 2020. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to assess the association of DICH and NLRR. Then patients were divided into two groups according to the optimal cut-off point of NLRR, propensity score matching (PSM) method was performed to reconfirm the result. A total of 130 patients were enrolled and DICH occurred in 29 patients. Elevated NLRR and history of craniotomy were independent risk factors for DICH secondary to VP shunt. The optimal cut off point of NLRR was 2.05, and the sensitivity was 89.7%, the specificity was 63.4%. Patients with NLRR > 2.05 had much higher incidence of DICH (40.6% vs 4.5%). Our finding suggested that DICH following VP shunt was not a rare complication and elevated NLRR could independently predict DICH. Inflammatory responses might play an important role in the development of DICH following VP shunt.

Survival Outcomes in Patients With 2018 FIGO Stage IA2-IIA2 Cervical Cancer Treated With Laparoscopic Versus Open Radical Hysterectomy: A Propensity Score-Weighting Analysis

Objective

To compare the survival and recurrence outcomes between open and laparoscopic radically hysterectomy (RH) for stage IA2-IIA2 cervical cancer based on Federation International of Gynecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) 2018.

Methods

Data of 1,373 early cervical cancer patients undergoing open or laparoscopic radically hysterectomy at ShengJing Hospital of China Medical University between January 1, 2013, and December 31, 2016, were retrospectively reviewed. Propensity score-based inverse probability of treatment weighting (PS-IPTW) was used to balance the covariates between the two groups.

Results

A total of 705 cervical cancer patients of FIGO 2009 stage IA2-IIA2 were finally enrolled in this study. After IPTW adjustment, the OS (HR = 2.095, 95% CI: 1.233-3.562, P = 0.006) and PFS (HR = 1.950, 95%CI: 1.194-3.184, P = 0.008) rates were significantly higher in the open RH (ORH) group compared with the laparoscopic RH (LRH) group. Then after re-staging according to the FIGO 2018 staging system, 561 patients still belonged to stage IA2-IIA2, 144 patients were upgraded to stage IIIC1p-IIIC2p. The ORH group had a significantly superior OS (HR = 1.977, 95%CI: 1.077-3.626, P = 0.028) and PFS (HR = 1.811, 95%CI: 1.046-3.134, P = 0.034) compared with the LRH group after PS-IPTW analysis. Furthermore, in patients with no high and intermediate risks, difference of the OS (HR = 1.386, 95%CI: 0.287-6.69, P = 0.684) and PFS (HR = 1.524, 95%CI: 0.363-6.396, P = 0.565) rates between the two groups were with no statistical meaning.

Conclusions

Outcomes of this retrospective cohort study were in compliance with indications for ORH recommended by the National Comprehensive Cancer Network guidelines Version 1, 2021. However, LRH showed non-inferiority for patients with no prognostic risk factors compared with ORH.

Associations between hepatitis B virus exposure and the risk of extrahepatic digestive system cancers: A hospital-based, case-control study (SIGES)

OBJECTIVES

This case-control study was aimed to investigate associations between HBV infection and extrahepatic digestive system cancers.

METHODS

The patients of gastric, small intestinal, colonic, rectal, anal, biliary tract, and pancreatic cancers were retrospectively collected between 2016.5 and 2017.12. Simultaneously, the healthy controls were collected from the health check-up registry, and cancer-free status was confirmed based on medical records. Propensity score matching was performed to reduce bias. Multinomial logit model and conditional logistic regression model were used to assess the risk of individual cancer according to HBV serological markers and classifications.

RESULTS

Totally, 4748 patients involving seven cancers, and 57,499 controls were included. After matching, HBsAg was associated with increased risk of gastric cancer (aOR = 1.39, 95% CI: 1.05-1.85), and anti-HBs served as a protective factor for gastric (aOR = 0.72, 95% CI: 0.61-0.85), colonic (aOR = 0.73, 95% CI: 0.60-0.89), rectal (aOR = 0.73, 95% CI: 0.63-0.85), and pancreatic (aOR = 0.58, 95% CI: 0.42-0.82) cancers. Compared to subgroups with non-infection and vaccination status, inactive HBsAg carriers and active HBV infection subgroup were correlated with gastric carcinogenesis (aOR = 1.41, 95% CI: 1.03-1.93). However, no clear association was found between HBV infection and other cancers.

CONCLUSIONS

HBV infection was potentially associated with an increased risk of gastric cancer. The development mechanism of HBV-associated gastric cancer needs to investigate further.

Hysterectomy and ischemic heart disease: An observational study using propensity score methods in NHANES 2007-2018

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The association between hysterectomy and cardiovascular disease (CVD) remains controversial and research focusing on different types of CVD, especially ischemic heart disease, is scant.

METHODS

This observational study was conducted with the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 2007-2018 using propensity score matching, propensity score overlap weighting, and logistic regression.

RESULTS

Among 15,257 women, 3476 (22.78%) had hysterectomy. Compared with non-hysterectomized women, hysterectomized women are more likely to be older, obese, with lower education level, and lower annual family income. Less favorable outcomes often occurred in unadjusted analysis. In adjusted, matched, and weighted analyses, the associations between hysterectomy and all outcomes were consistent, including ischemic heart disease (OR_unadjusted = 3.18[95%CI, 2.76-3.66]; OR_adjusted = 1.38[95%CI, 1.09-1.73]; OR_matched = 1.37[95%CI, 1.07-1.75]; OR_weighted = 1.38[95%CI, 1.12-1.71]), coronary heart disease (OR_unadjusted = 3.31[95%CI, 2.71-4.05]; OR_adjusted = 1.43[95%CI, 1.04-1.98]; OR_matched = 1.46[95%CI, 1.04-2.05]; OR_weighted = 1.45[95%CI, 1.06-1.99]), heart attack (OR_unadjusted = 3.04[95%CI, 2.51-3.68]; OR_adjusted = 1.47[95%CI, 1.09-1.99]; OR_matched = 1.42[95%CI, 1.03-1.95]; OR_weighted = 1.45[95%CI, 1.10-1.91]) and angina pectoris (OR_unadjusted = 3.29[95%CI, 2.66-4.08]; OR_adjusted = 1.34[95%CI, 0.95-1.89]; OR_matched = 1.30[95%CI, 0.91-1.87]; OR_weighted = 1.33[95%CI, 0.98-1.81]). In hysterectomized women, there were no significant associations between bilateral ovariectomy and ischemic heart disease (OR_unadjusted = 1.24[95%CI, 0.99-1.54]; OR_adjusted = 1.05[95%CI, 0.80-1.38]; OR_matched = 1.16[95%CI, 0.86-1.55]; OR_weighted = 0.93[95%CI, 0.68-1.27]), female hormones use and ischemic heart disease (OR_unadjusted = 0.94[95%CI, 0.76-1.16]; OR_adjusted = 0.81[95%CI, 0.62-1.07]; OR_matched = 0.89[95%CI, 0.66-1.20]; OR_weighted = 1.14[95%CI, 0.88-1.49]).

CONCLUSIONS

Hysterectomy may increase the risk of ischemic heart disease, especially for coronary heart disease and heart attack, but not for angina pectoris. As for the hysterectomized women, bilateral ovariectomy and female hormones use do not affect ischemic heart disease.

Dexmedetomidine, Delirium, and Adverse Outcomes: Analysis of the STS Adult Cardiac Surgery Database

BACKGROUND

We tested the hypothesis that dexmedetomidine was associated with a reduced incidence of postoperative delirium (POD) and adverse outcomes in cardiac surgery patients from the Society of Thoracic Surgeons (STS) Adult Cardiac Surgery Database (ACSD) including the Adult Cardiac Anesthesiology subsection.

METHODS

We identified 55905 patients in the STS ACSD who underwent cardiac surgery between July 2014 and December 2018. Using propensity score weighted regression analysis, we analyzed the effect of intraoperative dexmedetomidine (intraDex) on the primary (POD) and secondary outcomes (highest pain score on day 3 and at discharge, stroke, prolonged ventilation, postoperative intubation/reintubation, additional postoperative hours ventilated, renal failure, atrial fibrillation, and 30-day mortality). In separate propensity score weighted analyses, we examined the effect of postoperative dexmedetomidine (postopDex) on the highest postoperative pain score at discharge and 30-day mortality.

RESULTS

The rate of intraDex use was 25.5% (n=13963), and its administration was associated with increased odds for POD (odds ratio [OR], 1.85; 95% CI, 1.60-2.13), a small higher average pain score on day 3 (difference in mean [MD], 0.08; 95% CI, 0.02 to 0.14), increased odds for postoperative intubation/reintubation (OR, 1.29; 95% CI, 1.12-1.48), and a small lower average pain score at discharge (MD, -0.31; 95% CI, -0.21 to -0.41). PostDex was associated with a small higher average pain score at discharge (MD, 0.27, 95% CI, 0.21 to 0.34), and higher odds for 30-day mortality (OR, 1.25, 95% CI, 1.07-1.46).

CONCLUSIONS

In this registry of cardiac surgical patients dexmedetomidine administration was associated with POD and adverse outcomes.

Comparison of treatment modalities for selected advanced laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma

PURPOSE

The authors aimed to clarify the optimal treatment strategy and the indication of different treatments in managing advanced laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma (LSCC).

METHODS

A total of 9700 patients with advanced (T3-4aN0-3M0) LSCC who treated with (1) surgery alone, (2) surgery plus adjuvant radiation with or without chemotherapy (aCRT/RT), or (3) definitive CRT/RT was retrieved from the SEER database. The propensity score matching (PSM) was applied to balance confounding factors. Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazards regression were used to comparing the overall survival (OS) of patients.

RESULTS

After optimal matching, 907 patients were screened from each treatment cohort. Kaplan-Meier and multivariate analyses presented that patients treated with surgery plus aCRT/CT had significantly longer OS than those treated with either surgery alone or CRT/RT, even after PSM. However, significant interactions were tested in treatment effects in stratified analyses of the primary subsite, T stage, N stage, and insurance status (P_Interaction < 0.05 for all). Specifically, surgery plus aCRT/CT significantly improved the OS of patients with supraglottic, T4a, and N + tumors (P < 0.001 for all), while three treatment modalities achieved equal OS rates for patients with glottic, T3, and N0 tumors (P > 0.05 for all). Besides, supraglottic tumors presented a poorer prognosis than glottic subsite.

CONCLUSION

Current study suggests that surgery with aCRT/RT is the preferred initial therapy for patients with T4a tumors, whereas patients with T3 tumors could be treated with either surgery (followed by aCRT/RT if it presents N +) or definitive CRT/RT for achieving laryngeal preservation. More-intense treatment should be emphasized for advanced supraglottic cancer.

Prognostic value of tumor deposits in locally advanced rectal cancer: a retrospective study with propensity score matching

BACKGROUND

The actual risks posed by tumor deposits (TDs) in colorectal cancer are still incompletely assessed. We explored the prognostic value of TDs in locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) patients using propensity score matching (PSM) method.

METHODS

Consecutive LARC patients in Peking University First Hospital between 2011 and 2015 were retrospectively analyzed. Kaplan-Meier methods and Cox proportional hazard regression analysis were conducted to explore prognostic values of TDs. PSM method was conducted to minimize selection bias. The correlation between TDs number and prognosis was explored.

RESULTS

Four hundred and fifty-one LARC patients were recruited, and 78 (17.3%) patients were with TDs. Multivariate Cox analysis identified that the presence of TDs was an independent prognostic risk factor for overall survival (OS) (P = 0.044). PSM identified 76 matched pairs of LARC patients, and Kaplan-Meier curves revealed that patients with TDs experienced worse  OS (log-rank P = 0.0220) and relapse-free survival (RFS) (log-rank P = 0.0117). Subgroup analysis of 50 pairs extracted by PSM from 246 LARC patients with lymph node metastasis (LNM) further proved that TDs were significantly associated with worse OS (log-rank P = 0.0415), and the association was barely significant for RFS (log-rank P = 0.0527). There were non-significant tendencies towards higher mortality in TDs ≥ 2 than TD = 1 group (log-rank P = 0.348 for OS, log-rank P = 0.087 for RFS).

CONCLUSION

Our study manifested that the presence of TDs was an independent risk factor for LARC patients. The prognostic value of TDs for LARC patients with LNM should not be ignored.

Haloperidol and Quetiapine for the Treatment of ICU-Associated Delirium in a Tertiary Pediatric ICU: A Propensity Score-Matched Cohort Study

PURPOSE

The aim of this study was to evaluate outcomes of pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) patients with delirium treated with haloperidol or quetiapine compared with propensity-matched, untreated patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A single-center retrospective cohort study was conducted including PICU admissions of ≥ 48 h for children ≥ 2 months old with a positive delirium screening score (Cornell Assessment of Pediatric Delirium ≥ 9). We generated propensity scores for the likelihood of receiving treatment with haloperidol or quetiapine using logistic regression, and matched untreated to treated patients 2:1 to compare outcomes between groups.

RESULTS

Among 846 eligible admissions, 27 were treated with haloperidol or quetiapine (3.2%). Time to first delirium-free score was similar for treated versus untreated patients. Treated patients had no significant change in delirium scores following treatment, while untreated patients' scores improved after the comparable matching time. Compared with untreated patients, haloperidol-treated patients had more subsequent days of delirium and exposure to neuromuscular blockade. Quetiapine-treated patients had more subsequent days of mechanical ventilation and exposure to neuromuscular blockade, longer PICU length of stay, and higher likelihood of functional decline at ICU discharge.

CONCLUSIONS

In our small, single-center study, patients treated with haloperidol or quetiapine showed no short-term improvement in delirium screening scores after starting treatment when compared with untreated, propensity score-matched patients. In addition, clinical outcomes were not improved or were worse among treated patients. A prospective trial is needed to evaluate whether antipsychotic medications benefit PICU patients with delirium.