Limitations and biases of the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database

Hepatocellular carcinoma national burden across different geographical regions in the United States between 2001 and 2020

BACKGROUND

While prior data showed an increasing incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in the United States, there are limited comprehensive and comparative data on the geographical variations of HCC trends in different demographic-specific populations.

AIM

To evaluate sex and age-specific incidence rates and time trends in different geographical regions in the United States.

METHODS

Age-adjusted HCC incidence rates were collected from the United States Cancer Statistics (USCS) database which covers approximately 98% of the population in the United States. HCC rates were stratified by sex, age, and geographical region. annual percentage change (APC) and average APC (AAPC) were estimated using Joinpoint Regression. A pairwise comparison was conducted between sex-specific trends.

RESULTS

There were 467344 patients diagnosed with HCC in the United States in the USCS database between 2001 and 2020. The rates and trends varied by geographical region. When looking at the West region (115336 patients), incidence rates of HCC were overall increasing and also increasing in older adults. However, when evaluating younger adults, HCC incidence rates decreased in men but not in women with a sex-specific absolute AAPC-difference of 2.15 (P = 0.005). When evaluating the Midwest region (84612 patients), similar results were seen. While incidence rates were increasing in the overall population and in older adults as well, they were decreasing in younger men but not in women with a sex-specific absolute AAPC-difference of 1.61 (P < 0.001). For the Northeast region (87259 patients), the analysis showed similar results with decreasing HCC incidence rates in younger men but not counterpart women (Sex-specific AAPC-difference = 3.26, P < 0.001). Lastly, when evaluating the south (180137 patients), the results were also decreasing in younger men but not in women (Sex-specific AAPC-difference = 2.55, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Nationwide analysis covering around 98% of the United States population shows an increasing incidence of HCC across all geographical regions, most notably in the South. While younger men experienced decreasing HCC incidence, younger women had a stable trend and this was noted across all regions as well. Our study offers insight into the epidemiology of HCC in different demographic groups across various United States geographical regions. While the reasons contributing to our findings are unclear, they can be related to sex and regional disparities in healthcare access and utilization. Future research is warranted to characterize the temporal change in HCC risk factors across different United States regions.

Racial and ethnic disparities in gallbladder cancer: A two-decade analysis of incidence and mortality rates in the US

BACKGROUND

Gallbladder cancer (GBC) is an aggressive malignancy that is usually diagnosed at a late stage. Prior data showed increasing incidence of GBC in the US. However, little is known about race/ethnic-specific incidence and mortality trends of GBC per stage at diagnosis. Therefore, we aimed to conduct a time-trend analysis of GBC incidence and mortality rates categorized by race/ethnicity and stage-at-diagnosis.

METHODS

Age-adjusted GBC incidence and mortality rates were calculated using SEER*Stat software from the United States Cancer Statistics database (covers ~98% of US population between 2001 and 2020) and NCHS (covers ~100% of the US population between 2000 and 2020) databases, respectively. Race/Ethnic groups were Non-Hispanic-White (NHW), Non-Hispanic-Black (NHB), Hispanic, Non-Hispanic-Asian/Pacific-Islander (NHAPI), and Non-Hispanic-American-Indian/Alaska-Native (NHAIAN). Stage-at-diagnoses were all stages, early, regional, and distant stages. Joinpoint regression was used to generate time-trends [annual percentage change (APC) and average APC (AAPC)] with parametric estimations and a two-sided t-test (p-value cut-off 0.05).

RESULTS

76,873 patients were diagnosed with GBC with decreasing incidence rates in all races/ethnicities except NHB who experienced an increasing trend between 2001 and 2014 (APC = 2.08, p < 0.01) and plateauing afterward (APC = -1.21, p = 0.31); (AAPC = 1.03, p = 0.03). Among early-stage tumors (9927 patients), incidence rates were decreasing only in Hispanic (AAPC = -4.24, p = 0.006) while stable in other races/ethnicities (NHW: AAPC = -2.61, p = 0.39; NHB: AAPC = -1.73, p = 0.36). For regional-stage tumors (29,690 patients), GBC incidence rates were decreasing only in NHW (AAPC = -1.61, p < 0.001) while stable in other races/ethnicities (NHB: AAPC = 0.73, p = 0.34; Hispanic: AAPC = -1.58, p = 0.24; NHAPI: AAPC = -1.22, p = 0.07). For distant-stage tumors (31,735 patients), incidence rates were increasing in NHB (AAPC = 2.72, p < 0.001), decreasing in Hispanic (AAPC = -0.64, p = 0.04), and stable in NHW (AAPC = 0.07, p = 0.84) and NHAPI (AAPC = 0.79, p = 0.13). There were 43,411 deaths attributed to GBC with decreasing mortality rates in all races/ethnicities except NHB who experienced a stable trend (AAPC = 0.25, p = 0.25).

CONCLUSION

Nationwide data over the last two decades show that NHB patients experienced increasing GBC incidence between 2001 and 2014 followed by stabilization of the rates. This increase was driven by late-stage tumors and occurred in the first decade. NHB also experienced non-improving GBC mortality, compared to other race and ethnic groups who had decreasing mortality. This can be due to lack of timely-access to healthcare leading to delayed diagnosis and worse outcomes. Future studies are warranted to investigate contributions to the revealed racial and ethnic disparities, especially in NHB, to improve early detection.

The association of type and number of high-risk criteria with cancer-specific mortality in prostate cancer patients treated with radical prostatectomy

Objectives

This study aimed to test the association between of type and number of D'Amico high-risk criteria (DHRCs) with cancer-specific mortality (CSM) in high-risk prostate cancer patients treated with radical prostatectomy.

Materials and methods

In the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database (2004-2016), we identified 31,281 radical prostatectomy patients with at least 1 DHRC, namely, prostate-specific antigen (PSA) >20 ng/mL (hrPSA), biopsy Gleason Grade Group (hrGGG) score of 4 and 5, or clinical tumor stage ≥T3 (hrcT). Multivariable Cox regression models and competing risks regression models (adjusting for other cause mortality) tested the association between DHRCs and 5-year CSM.

Results

Of 31,281 patients, 14,394 (67%) exclusively harbored hrGGG, 3189 (15%) harbored hrPSA, and 1781 (8.2%) harbored hrcT. Only 2132 patients (6.8%) harbored a combination of the 2 DHRCs, and 138 (0.6%) had all 3 DHRCs. Five-year CSM rates ranged from 0.9% to 3.0% when any individual DHRC was present (hrcT, hrPSA, and hrGGG, in that order), 1.6% to 5.9% when 2 DHRCs were present (hrPSA-hrcT, hrcT-hrGGG, and hrPSA-hrGGG, in that order), and 8.1% when all 3 DHRCs were present. Cox regression models and competing risks regression confirmed the independent predictor status of DHRCs for 5-year CSM that was observed in univariable analyses, with hazard ratios from 1.00 to 2.83 for 1 DHRC, 2.35 to 5.88 for combinations of 2 DHRCs, and 7.13 for all 3 DHRCs.

Conclusions

Within individual DHRCs, hrcT and hrPSA exhibited weaker effects than hrGGG did. Moreover, a dose-response effect was identified according to the number of DHRCs. Accordingly, the type and number of DHRCs allow further risk stratification within the high-risk subgroup.

The National Landscapes of Gastric Mucosa-Associated Lymphoid Tissue Lymphoma: Stable Trends in Black Populations and Late-Stage Tumors

BACKGROUND

Helicobacter pylori (H. Pylori) eradication has been the mainstream for preventing and treating gastric mucosa-associated lymphoid tissue (MALT) lymphoma. Prior data showed disparities in eradication rates of H. Pylori between different populations. This can potentially impact the occurrence of gastric MALT lymphoma. There are limited data on the incidence and mortality rates and trends of gastric MALT lymphoma in the US. Therefore, the aim of the current study was to conduct a time-trend analysis of gastric MALT lymphoma incidence and mortality rates in different populations.

METHODS

The incidence rates of gastric MALT lymphoma were calculated from the United States Cancer Statistics (USCS) database (which covers nearly 98% of the US population) between 2001-2020 and were age-adjusted to the standard 2000 US population using SEER*Stat software (version 8.4.3, national cancer institute "NCI"). Incidence-based mortality (IBM) rates, also age-adjusted to the standard 2000 US population, were calculated from the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database. Tumor location was specified using ICD-O-3 codes C 160-C 169 with malignant behavior. Histopathology was specified using the ICD-O-3 code 9699. The rates were categorized by sex, age, race/ethnicity, and tumor stage at diagnosis. Age groups were older adults (aged 55 years or older) and younger adults (aged younger than 55 years). Race/ethnic groups included Non-Hispanic White (White), Non-Hispanic Black (Black), Hispanic, Non-Hispanic Asian/Pacific Islander (API), and Non-Hispanic American Indian/Alaska Native (AI/AN), as reported in the database. Stage at diagnosis included early stage (in situ and localized tumors) and late stage (regional and distant site tumors). Joinpoint Regression Software (version 5.0.2, NCI) using the weighted Bayesian Information Criteria method was used to generate time trends. Trends were reported as annual percentage change (APC) and average APC (AAPC). Parametric estimations were used with a two-sided t-test to evaluate the trends with a p-value cutoff at 0.05.

RESULTS

There were 21,625 patients diagnosed with gastric MALT lymphoma in the US between 2001 and 2020. Overall, incidence rates were significantly decreasing over the study period (AAPC = -1.93). This decrease was seen in males (AAPC = -1.67) and in females (AAPC = -1.66) (Figure). When categorized by age groups, older adults also experienced a significant decrease in gastric MALT lymphoma incidence rates (AAPC = -1.66). While this was also seen in younger adults, the rates were decreasing at a slower pace (AAPC = -1.38). When categorizing the trends by race/ethnicity, incidence rates were significantly decreasing in White (AAPC = -2.09), Hispanic (AAPC = -1.61), and API (AAPC = -3.92) populations. However, the rates were stable among Blacks. While early-stage tumors experienced a significant decrease (AAPC = -1.10), the rates were stable for late-stage tumors. When evaluating mortality, there were 11,036 patients whose death was attributed to gastric MALT lymphoma between 2000 and 2020. IBM rates were decreasing in males (AAPC = -1.47), older adults (AAPC = -1.55), Whites (AAPC = -1.23), Hispanics (AAPC = -1.73), APIs (AAPC = -2.30), and early-stage tumors (AAPC = -1.08). On the other hand, IBM rates were stable in females, younger adults, Blacks, and late-stage tumors.

DISCUSSION

An extensive nationwide data analysis encompassing nearly 98% of patients diagnosed with gastric MALT lymphoma in the US unveils a declining trend in the incidence of cancer overall over the past two decades. This decline is observed in both sexes and various age groups. When stratifying by race and ethnicity, this incidence has been decreasing in all populations except among Black individuals. While early-stage tumors have also demonstrated a significant decrease in incidence rates, late-stage tumors have shown no parallel decline. Mortality evaluation also revealed an improvement in most of the US population except among females, younger adults, Black individuals, and late-stage tumors. While the cause of our findings is unclear, it could be driven by disproportionate exposure to risk factors, including H. Pylori, and disparities in screening, management, and outcomes. Future studies are warranted to investigate factors contributing to worse outcomes of gastric MALT lymphoma, especially in the Black population.

Trends in cancer-related suicide in the United States: a population-based epidemiology study spanning 40 years of data

Large cohort studies examining trends in cancer-related suicide are lacking. We analyzed data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, encompassing a total of 4,870,410 patients diagnosed with cancer from 1975 to 2017 in the United States. Joinpoint regression was used to estimate the annual percent change (APC) and average annual percentage change (AAPC) of age-adjusted rates of suicide. In the past 40 years, we revealed a gradual increase in cancer-related suicide rates from 1975 to 1989, followed by a gradual decrease from 1989 to 2013, and a marked decrease from 2013 to 2017. These trends suggested the potential impact of advancements in psychosocial care for patients with cancer in contributing to the observed decrease in suicide rates.

Learning interpretable causal networks from very large datasets, application to 400,000 medical records of breast cancer patients

Discovering causal effects is at the core of scientific investigation but remains challenging when only observational data are available. In practice, causal networks are difficult to learn and interpret, and limited to relatively small datasets. We report a more reliable and scalable causal discovery method (iMIIC), based on a general mutual information supremum principle, which greatly improves the precision of inferred causal relations while distinguishing genuine causes from putative and latent causal effects. We showcase iMIIC on synthetic and real-world healthcare data from 396,179 breast cancer patients from the US Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program. More than 90% of predicted causal effects appear correct, while the remaining unexpected direct and indirect causal effects can be interpreted in terms of diagnostic procedures, therapeutic timing, patient preference or socio-economic disparity. iMIIC's unique capabilities open up new avenues to discover reliable and interpretable causal networks across a range of research fields.

Geographical Variations in Early Onset Colorectal Cancer in the United States between 2001 and 2020

BACKGROUND

Colorectal cancer remains the second leading cause of cancer-related death in the US. As early-onset colorectal cancer (EO-CRC) becomes more prevalent in the US, research attention has shifted towards identifying at-risk populations. Previous studies have highlighted the rising rate of early-onset adenocarcinoma (ADC) and neuroendocrine tumors (NET) in the US. However, data on geographical variations of EO-CRC are scarce. Hence, our study aims to analyze time trends in EO-CRC incidence rates across various US regions and to assess these trends by sex and histopathological subtypes (ADC and NET).

METHODS

We analyze data spanning from 2001 to 2020 from the United States Cancer Statistics (USCS) database, covering nearly 98% of the US population. Using SEER*Stat software version (8.4.2, NCI), we calculated EO-CRC incidence rates among adults aged 20-54 years, adjusting for the age standard 2000 US population. The rates were categorized by sex and US geographical regions into west, midwest, northeast, and south. Time trends, reported as annual percentage change (APC) and average APC (AAPC), were generated via Joinpoint Regression software (v.5.0.2, NCI) utilizing the weighted Bayesian Information Criteria "BIC" method to generate the best-fit trends with a two-sided p-value cutoff at 0.05. The rates were also stratified by histopathology into ADC and NET.

RESULTS

Between 2001 and 2020, a total of 514,875 individuals were diagnosed with early-onset CRC in the US, with 54.78% being men. Incidence rates and trends varied across geographical regions. In the western region (comprising 106,685 patients, 54.85% men), incidence rates significantly increased in both women (AAPC = 1.37, p < 0.001) and men (AAPC = 1.34, p < 0.001). Similarly, in the midwestern region (with 110,380 patients, 55.46% men), there were significant increases in incidence rates among women (AAPC = 1.06, p < 0.001) and men (AAPC = 1.35, p < 0.001). The northeastern region (with 94,758 patients, 54.53% men) also witnessed significant increases in incidence rates for both women (AAPC = 0.71, p < 0.001) and men (AAPC = 0.84, p < 0.001). In contrast, the southern region (with 203,052 patients, 54.48% men) experienced slower increases in incidence rates among both women and men (AAPC = 0.25, p < 0.05 in women; AAPC = 0.66, p < 0.05 in men). When stratified by histopathology, incidence rates for adenocarcinomas (ADC) increased in all regions, most notably in the west (AAPC = 1.45, p < 0.05), and least in the south (AAPC = 0.46, p < 0.05). Conversely, for neuroendocrine tumors (NET), while incidence rates increased similarly across all regions, the pace was notably faster compared to ADC, particularly in the west (AAPC = 3.26, p < 0.05) and slower in the south (AAPC = 2.24, p < 0.05) Discussion: Our analysis of nationwide US data spanning two decades and encompassing over half a million early-onset CRC patients, representing nearly 98% of the US population, highlights significant temporal variation in incidence rates across various geographical regions. The most substantial increases in incidence rates were observed in the west, while the least pronounced changes were noted in the south, affecting both men and women. These trends persisted across the main CRC histopathological subtypes, with NET exhibiting a notably swifter pace of increase compared with ADC. These findings hold important implications for public health strategies and underscore the need for targeted interventions to address the rising burden of early-onset CRC across different regions in the US.

Hepatocellular Carcinoma Incidence and Mortality in the USA by Sex, Age, and Race: A Nationwide Analysis of Two Decades

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

While the incidence rates of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are increasing, there are limited comprehensive data on demographic-specific incidence and mortality trends in the USA. We aimed to evaluate recent trends in HCC incidence and mortality among different demographic groups in the USA.

METHODS

Age-adjusted HCC incidence rates were calculated from the Centers for Disease Control's United States Cancer Statistics database, which combines incidence data on newly diagnosed cancer cases and covers approximately 98% of the population in the USA. Additionally, age-adjusted HCC mortality rates were obtained from the Centers for Disease Control's National Center for Health Statistics database, which offers comprehensive coverage spanning nearly 100% of deaths attributed to HCC in the USA. Rates were stratified by sex, age (older [≥55 years] and younger [<55 years] adults), race and ethnicity (Non-Hispanic White, Non-Hispanic Black, Hispanic, Non-Hispanic Asian/Pacific Islander, and Non-Hispanic American Indian/Alaska Native), and tumor stage at diagnosis (early and late). Annual and average annual percentage change (AAPC) were calculated using joinpoint regression. A sex-specific pairwise comparison was conducted.

RESULTS

Between 2001 and 2020, there were 467,346 patients diagnosed with HCC (26.0% women), with increasing incidence in both sexes without significant difference (p=0.65). In younger adults (78,169 patients), the incidence decreased in men but not in women (AAPC difference=-2.39, p=0.002). This was seen in various racial and ethnic groups, mostly driven by early-stage tumors (AAPC difference=-2.65, p=0.02). There were 329,973 deaths attributed to HCC between 2000 and 2020 (28.4% women). In younger adults (43,093 deaths), mortality decreased in men at a greater rate than in women (AAPC difference=1.61, p=0.007). This was seen in various racial and ethnic groups, most notably in non-Hispanic American Indian/Alaska Natives (AAPC difference=-4.51, p=0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

Nationwide USA data, covering nearly all HCC cases, show an increasing incidence and mortality over the last two decades. In younger adults, there was a decreasing incidence in men but not in women, due to early-stage tumors. Mortality improved in younger men at a greater rate than in women, especially in Non-Hispanic American Indian/Alaska Natives. Future studies are warranted to identify the risk factors associated with the occurrence and outcomes of HCC in demographic-specific populations, especially younger women.

Early-Onset Colorectal Cancer: Are Neuroendocrine Tumors or Adenocarcinomas the Culprit? Analysis of the Largest U.S. Cancer Incidence Database, 2001-2020

(1) Background: While prior data showed an increasing incidence of colorectal cancer (CRC) in young adults, the contribution of adenocarcinoma (ADC) and neuroendocrine tumors (NETs) to this trend is not well studied. Therefore, we conducted a comparative analysis of the incidence rates and time trends of colorectal ADC and NETs in young adults (aged 24-54) using the United States Cancer Statistics (USCS) database. (2) Methods: Age-adjusted CRC incidence rates between 2001 and 2020 were calculated and categorized by sex, histopathology, and stage at diagnosis. Annual percentage change (APC) and average APC (AAPC) were computed via joinpoint regression utilizing weighted Bayesian information criteria to generate the simplest trend. Pairwise comparative analysis of ADC and NETs was conducted using tests of identicalness and parallelism. (3) Results: In this study, 514,875 patients were diagnosed with early-onset-CRC between 2001 and 2020 (54.8% men). While CRC incidence was significantly increased, including both ADC (448,670 patients) and NETs (36,205 patients), a significantly greater increase was seen for NETs (AAPC = 2.65) compared to ADC (AAPC = 0.91), with AAPC difference = 1.73 (p = 0.01) and non-identical non-parallel trends (p-values < 0.001). This was most notable in males (AAPC difference = 1.81, p = 0.03) and for early-stage tumors (AAPC difference = 3.56, p < 0.001). (4) Conclusions: Our study, covering ~98% of the U.S. population provides the first comparative analysis of early-onset CRC histopathological subtypes, showing that the rate of increase of NETs in young adults is much greater than that of ADC. Given that patients with NETs with malignant behavior can experience significant mortality, our findings are importance, highlighting the rapidly increasing NET incidence in young adults and encouraging early screening that can improve outcomes.

The Incidence of Rectal Neuroendocrine Tumors Is Increasing in Younger Adults in the US, 2001-2020

Prior non-comparative data showed increasing incidence of rectal neuroendocrine tumors (RNET) in the US. We aimed to evaluate age-specific RNET incidence rates and time-trends in demographic- and tumor-specific populations. The RNET age-adjusted incidence rates were calculated from the United States Cancer Statistics (USCS) database between 2001 and 2020. The population was stratified by age into older (≥55 years) and younger adults (<55 years), as well as by sex and race. The tumors were categorized by their stage at diagnosis into early and late. The annual percentage change (APC) and average APC (AAPC) were estimated using joinpoint regression and Monte Carlo permutation analysis. Pairwise comparison assessed for parallelism and coincidence. There were 59,846 patients diagnosed with RNET between 2001 and 2020 (50.3% women). Overall, the RNET incidence rates during this period were increasing in younger but not older adults (AAPC = 3.12 vs. -1.10; AAPC difference = 4.22, p < 0.001), with non-identical non-parallel data (p-values < 0.001). While similar results were seen in men, a greater age-specific difference was noted in women (AAPC = 3.31 vs. -1.10; AAPC difference = 4.41, p = 0.003). The difference between younger and older adults was seen in non-Hispanic White (AAPC-difference = 4.89; p < 0.001) and non-Hispanic Black (AAPC-difference = 3.33; p = 0.03) patients, and, in most years, among Hispanic and Non-Hispanic Asian/Pacific Islander patients, and it was mostly driven by early-stage tumors (AAPC-difference = 3.93; p < 0.001). The nationwide data show a significantly increasing RNET incidence in younger adults, most notably in younger women and in early-stage tumors, seen in various races. Future studies should evaluate RNET risk factors and outcomes in demographic-specific populations.

Real-World Data: Applications and Relevance to Cancer Clinical Trials

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are the gold standard for comparative-effectiveness research (CER). Since the 1980s, there has been a rise in the creation and utilization of large national cancer databases to provide readily accessible "real-world data" (RWD). This review article discusses the role of RCTs in oncology, and the role of RWD from the national cancer database in CER. RCTs remain the preferred study type for CER because they minimize confounding and bias. RCTs have challenges to conduct, including extensive time and resources, but these factors do not impact the internal validity of the result. Generalizability and external validity are potential limitations of RCTs. RWD is ideal for studying cancer epidemiology, patterns of care, disparities in care delivery, quality-of-care evaluation, and applicability of RCT data in specific populations excluded from RCTs. However, retrospective databases with RWD have limitations in CER due to unmeasured confounders and are often suboptimal in identifying causal treatment effects.

Long-Term Survival in Patients with Cancers: Surveillance, epidemiology and end results-based analysis

Objectives

This study aimed to explore real-world data on the long-term survival of cancer patients using historical records from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Programme. Long-term survival is an important endpoint in the management of different malignancies. It is rarely assessed due to the unfeasibility of follow-up for a long duration of time. Besides reporting the five-year relative survival, the 10- and 20-year survival rates for different types of cancers were analysed. Additionally, survival trends as a function of time, age and tumour type were reviewed and reported.

Methods

The study used SEER*Stat (Version 8.3.6.1) for data acquisition from the SEER 9 Regs (November 2019) database. Data from patients diagnosed with cancer between 1975 and 2014 were retrieved and included in the analysis.

Results

For patients diagnosed with any malignant disease (N = 4,412,024), there was a significant increase in median overall survival over time (P <0.001). The 20-, 10-, and 5-year survival rates were higher in solid tumours compared to haematological malignancies (50.8% versus 38%; 57% versus 47.4%; and 62.2% versus 57.4%, respectively). The highest 20-year relative survival rates were observed in thyroid cancer (95.2%), germ cell and trophoblastic neoplasms (90.3%), melanoma (86.8%), Wilms' tumour (86.2%) and prostate cancer (83.5%).

Conclusion

Long-term follow-up data were suggestive of high 20-year relative survival rates for most tumour types. Relative survival showed an improving trend over time, especially in solid tumours.

Disparities in primary pancreatic adenocarcinoma survival by Medicaid-status: A national population-based risk analysis

BACKGROUND

Pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PAC) has one of the highest mortality rates among all malignancies. While previous research has analyzed socioeconomic factors' effect on PAC survival, outcomes of Medicaid patients are understudied.

METHODS

Using the SEER-Medicaid database, we studied non-elderly, adult patients with primary PAC diagnosed between 2006 and 2013. Five-year disease-specific survival analysis was performed using the Kaplan-Meier method and adjusted analysis using Cox proportional-hazards regression.

RESULTS

Among 15,549 patients (1799 Medicaid, 13,750 non-Medicaid), Medicaid patients were less likely to receive surgery (p < .001) and more likely to be non-White (p < .001). The 5-year survival of non-Medicaid patients (8.13%, 274 days [270-280]) was significantly higher than that of Medicaid patients (4.97%, 152 days, [151-182], p < .001). Among Medicaid patients, those in high poverty areas had significantly lower survival rates (152 days [122-154]) than those in medium poverty areas (182 days [157-213], p = .008). However, non-White (152 days [150-182]) and White Medicaid patients (152 days [150-182]) had similar survival (p = .812). On adjusted analysis, Medicaid patients were still associated with a significantly higher risk of mortality (aHR 1.33 [1.26-1.41], p < .0001) compared to non-Medicaid patients. Unmarried status and rurality were associated with a higher risk of mortality (p < .001).

DISCUSSION

Medicaid enrollment prior to PAC diagnosis was generally associated with a higher risk of disease-specific mortality. While there was no difference in the survival between White and non-White Medicaid patients, Medicaid patients living in high poverty areas were shown to be associated with poor survival.

Impact of Age on Overall Survival Among Children With Wilms Tumor: A Population-based Registry Analysis

OBJECTIVES

International trials have reported conflicting findings on whether the association between age and worse overall survival (OS) among children with Wilms tumor (WT) is due to age as an independent prognostic factor or the observation of more advanced disease at older ages. We sought to further elucidate this relationship using a population-based registry analysis.

METHODS

The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database was queried for all patients diagnosed with WT under the age of 20. The association between age and OS was assessed using multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression.

RESULTS

In this study, 3463 patients (54% female) were diagnosed with WT between 1975 and 2016. More advanced stage, larger primary tumor size, lymph node involvement, disease requiring radiotherapy, and omission of surgery were associated with worse OS ( P <0.05). More advanced stage, larger primary tumor size, and disease requiring radiotherapy were also associated with older age, whereas bilateral disease was associated with younger age ( P <0.001). On average, each year of age conferred an incremental hazard ratio (HR) of 1.07 (95% CI, 1.01 to 1.12, P =0.018) independent of relevant covariates. The rise in adjusted OS HR was most pronounced after the transitions in diagnosis age from 2 to 3 (HR age 3-15 vs. 0-2 1.77, 95% CI, 1.11 to 2.82, P =0.016) and from 15 to 16 (HR age 16-19 vs. 3-15 2.58, 95% CI, 1.06 to 6.25, P =0.036).

CONCLUSIONS

Diagnosis of pediatric WT at an older age was found to be independently associated with worse OS. Although additional prospective studies are warranted to examine tumor biology and other potential correlates, more aggressive treatment of older children based on age, especially as they approach early adulthood, may be considered in the multidisciplinary management of WT.

Increasing Pancreatic Cancer Incidence in Young Women in the United States: A Population-Based Time-Trend Analysis, 2001-2018

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Previous studies have shown an increasing incidence of pancreatic cancer (PC), especially in younger women; however, this has not been externally validated. In addition, there are limited data about contributing factors to this trend. We report age and sex-specific time-trend analysis of PC age-adjusted incidence rates (aIRs) using the National Program of Cancer Registries database without Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results data.

METHODS

PC aIR, mortality rates, annual percentage change, and average annual percentage change (AAPC) were calculated and assessed for parallelism and identicalness. Age-specific analyses were conducted in older (≥55 years) and younger (<55 years) adults. PC incidence based on demographics, tumor characteristics, and mortality were evaluated in younger adults.

RESULTS

A total of 454,611 patients were diagnosed with PC between 2001 and 2018 with significantly increasing aIR in women (AAPC = 1.27%) and men (AAPC = 1.14%) without a difference (P = .37). Similar results were seen in older adults. However, in younger adults (53,051 cases; 42.9% women), women experienced a greater increase in aIR than men (AAPCs = 2.36%, P < .001 vs 0.62%, P = 0.62) with nonparallel trends (P < .001) and AAPC difference of 1.74% (P < .001). This AAPC difference appears to be due to rising aIR in Blacks (2.23%; P < .001), adenocarcinoma histopathologic subtype (0.89%; P = .003), and location in the head-of-pancreas (1.64%; P < .001). PC mortality was found to be unchanged in women but decreasing in counterpart men (AAPC difference = 0.54%; P = .001).

CONCLUSION

Using nationwide data, covering ≈64.5% of the U.S. population, we externally validate a rapidly increasing aIR of PC in younger women. There was a big separation of the incidence trend between women and men aged 15-34 years between 2001 and 2018 (>200% difference), and it did not show slowing down.

Impact of Race and Age and their Interaction on Survival Outcomes in Patients With Diffuse Large B-Cell Lymphoma

BACKGROUND

Advances in treatment for patients with Diffuse Large B-Cell Lymphoma (DLBCL) have led to improved patient outcomes but the magnitude of these disparities remains understudied with regards to improved survival outcomes. We sought to describe changes in DLBCL survival trends over time and explore potential differential survival patterns by patients' race/ethnicity and age.

METHODS

We utilized the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database to identify patients diagnosed with DLBCL from 1980 to 009 and determined 5-year survival outcomes for all patients, categorizing patients by year of diagnosis. We used descriptive statistics and logistic regression, adjusting for stage and year of diagnosis, to describe changes in 5-year survival rates over time by race/ethnicity and age.

RESULTS

We identified 43,564 patients with DLBCL eligible for this study. Median age was 67 years (ages: 18-64 = 44.2%, 65-79 = 37.1%, 80 + = 18.7%). Most patients were male (53.4%) and had advanced stage III/IV disease (40.0%). Most patients were White race (81.4%), followed by Asian/Pacific Islander (API) (6.3%), Black (6.3%), Hispanic (5.4%), and American Indian/Alaska Native (AIAN) (0.05%). Overall, the 5-year survival rate improved from 35.1% in 1980 to 52.4% in 2009 across all races and age groups (odds ratio [OR] for 5-year survival with increasing year of diagnosis = 1.05, P < .001). Patients in racial/ethnic minority groups (API: OR = 0.86, P < .0001; Black: OR = 0.57, P < .0001; AIAN: OR = 0.51, P = .008; Hispanic: 0.76, P = 0.291) and older adults (ages 65-79: OR = 0.43, P < .0001; ages 80+: OR = 0.13, P < .0001) had lower 5-year survival rates after adjusting for race, age, stage, and diagnosis year. We found consistent improvement in the odds of 5-year survival for year of diagnosis across all race and ethnicity groups (White: OR = 1.05, P < .001; API: OR = 1.04, P < .001; Black: OR = 1.06, p<.001; AIAN: OR = 1.05, P < .001; Hispanic: OR = 1.05, P < .005) and age groups (ages 18-64: OR = 1.06, P < .001; ages 65-79: OR = 1.04, P < .001; ages 80+: OR = 1.04, P < .001).

CONCLUSION

Patients with DLBCL experienced improvements in 5-year survival rates from 1980 to 2009, despite persistently lower survival among patients in racial/ethnic minority groups and older adults.

Is the Number of National Database Research Studies in Musculoskeletal Sarcoma Increasing, and Are These Studies Reliable?

BACKGROUND

Large national databases have become a common source of information on patterns of cancer care in the United States, particularly for low-incidence diseases such as sarcoma. Although aggregating information from many hospitals can achieve statistical power, this may come at a cost when complex variables must be abstracted from the medical record. There is a current lack of understanding of the frequency of use of the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database and the National Cancer Database (NCDB) over the last two decades in musculoskeletal sarcoma research and whether their use tends to produce papers with conflicting findings.

QUESTIONS/PURPOSES

(1) Is the number of published studies using the SEER and NCDB databases in musculoskeletal sarcoma research increasing over time? (2) What are the author, journal, and content characteristics of these studies? (3) Do studies using the SEER and the NCDB databases for similar diagnoses and study questions report concordant or discordant key findings? (4) Are the administrative data reported by our institution to the SEER and the NCDB databases concordant with the data in our longitudinally maintained, physician-run orthopaedic oncology dataset?

METHODS

To answer our first three questions, PubMed was searched from 2001 through 2020 for all studies using the SEER or the NCDB databases to evaluate sarcoma. Studies were excluded from the review if they did not use these databases or studied anatomic locations other than the extremities, nonretroperitoneal pelvis, trunk, chest wall, or spine. To answer our first question, the number of SEER and NCDB studies were counted by year. The publication rate over the 20-year span was assessed with simple linear regression modeling. The difference in the mean number of studies between 5-year intervals (2001-2005, 2006-2010, 2011-2015, 2016-2020) was also assessed with Student t-tests. To answer our second question, we recorded and summarized descriptive data regarding author, journal, and content for these studies. To answer our third question, we grouped all studies by diagnosis, and then identified studies that shared the same diagnosis and a similar major study question with at least one other study. We then categorized study questions (and their associated studies) as having concordant findings, discordant findings, or mixed findings. Proportions of studies with concordant, discordant, or mixed findings were compared. To answer our fourth question, a coding audit was performed assessing the concordance of nationally reported administrative data from our institution with data from our longitudinally maintained, physician-run orthopaedic oncology dataset in a series of patients during the past 3 years. Our orthopaedic oncology dataset is maintained on a weekly basis by the senior author who manually records data directly from the medical record and sarcoma tumor board consensus notes; this dataset served as the gold standard for data comparison. We compared date of birth, surgery date, margin status, tumor size, clinical stage, and adjuvant treatment.

RESULTS

The number of musculoskeletal sarcoma studies using the SEER and the NCDB databases has steadily increased over time in a linear regression model (β = 2.51; p < 0.001). The mean number of studies per year more than tripled during 2016-2020 compared with 2011-2015 (39 versus 13 studies; mean difference 26 ± 11; p = 0.03). Of the 299 studies in total, 56% (168 of 299) have been published since 2018. Nineteen institutions published more than five studies, and the most studies from one institution was 13. Orthopaedic surgeons authored 35% (104 of 299) of studies, and medical oncology journals published 44% (130 of 299). Of the 94 studies (31% of total [94 of 299]) that shared a major study question with at least one other study, 35% (33 of 94) reported discordant key findings, 29% (27 of 94) reported mixed key findings, and 44% (41 of 94) reported concordant key findings. Both concordant and discordant groups included papers on prognostic factors, demographic factors, and treatment strategies. When we compared nationally reported administrative data from our institution with our orthopaedic oncology dataset, we found clinically important discrepancies in adjuvant treatment (19% [15 of 77]), tumor size (21% [16 of 77]), surgery date (23% [18 of 77]), surgical margins (38% [29 of 77]), and clinical stage (77% [59 of 77]).

CONCLUSION

Appropriate use of databases in musculoskeletal cancer research is essential to promote clear interpretation of findings, as almost two-thirds of studies we evaluated that asked similar study questions produced discordant or mixed key findings. Readers should be mindful of the differences in what each database seeks to convey because asking the same questions of different databases may result in different answers depending on what information each database captures. Likewise, differences in how studies determine which patients to include or exclude, how they handle missing data, and what they choose to emphasize may result in different messages getting drawn from large-database studies. Still, given the rarity and heterogeneity of sarcomas, these databases remain particularly useful in musculoskeletal cancer research for nationwide incidence estimations, risk factor/prognostic factor assessment, patient demographic and hospital-level variable assessment, patterns of care over time, and hypothesis generation for future prospective studies.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Level III, therapeutic study.

Cause-specific mortality among patients with renal cell carcinoma in the United States from 2000 to 2018

OBJECTIVES

There has been little focus on the non-cancer causes of death in patients with renal cell carcinoma (RCC). Therefore, we aimed to assess the frequency and risk of different causes of death, stratified by tumor stage, and demographics, after a diagnosis of RCC in the United States.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Data on eligible patients with RCC from January 1, 2000, to December 31, 2018, in the United States were retrieved from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Standardized mortality ratios for causes of death were calculated using the SEER*Stat software 8.3.9.2 for the overall population and stratified subgroups.

RESULTS

A total of 165,969 patients with RCC were included and 60,290 (36.3%) died during follow-up. The majority of deaths were due to kidney cancer (51.3%) but a significant proportion was non-cancer causes (37.6%). The proportion of deaths attributed to RCC decreased with increasing follow-up with non-cancer causes becoming dominant after the fifth year following RCC diagnosis. Overall, cardiovascular diseases and cerebrovascular diseases were the most common non-RCC-related causes of death. AJCC stage I and localized RCC had the most deaths attributed to non-cancerous causes (66.2% and 61.2%, respectively) while AJCC stage IV and distant RCC had the most deaths due to RCC (86.2% and 86.5%, respectively).

CONCLUSION

A large proportion of RCC patients die of non-cancerous causes especially early-stage patients and advanced-stage patients who survive >5 years. Coordination of multidisciplinary care with relevant specialists depending on the stage of the disease is needed to better prevent death overtime from non-cancer causes.

New staging systems for left-sided colon cancer based on the number of retrieved and metastatic lymph nodes provide a more accurate prognosis

Objectives: We aimed to explore reasonable lymph node classification strategies for left-sided colon cancer (LCC) patients. Methods: 48,425 LCC patients from 2010 to 2015 were identified in the US Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. We proposed an innovative revised nodal (rN) staging of the 8th American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) Tumor/Node/Metastasis (TNM) classification based on the cut-off value of retrieved lymph nodes and survival analyses in patients with LCC. Log odds of positive lymph nodes (LODDS) stage is a numerical classification strategy obtained by a formula that incorporates the numbers of retrieved and positive lymph nodes. To develop the TrN or TLODDS classification, patients with similar survival rates were grouped by combining T and rN or LODDS stage. The TrN or TLODDS classification was further evaluated in a validation set of 12,436 LCC patients from 2016 to 2017 in the same database and a Chinese application set of 958 LCC patients. Results: We developed novel TrN and TLODDS classifications for LCC patients that incorporated 7 stages with reference to the AJCC staging system. In comparison to the 8th AJCC TNM and TrN classifications, TLODDS classification demonstrated significantly better discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.650 vs. 0.656 vs. 0.661, p < 0.001), better model-fitting (Akaike information criteria, 309,287 vs. 308,767 vs. 308,467), and superior net benefits. The predictive performance of the TrN and TLODDS classifications was further verified in the validation and application sets. Conclusion: Both the TrN and TLODDS classifications have better discriminatory ability, model-fitting, and net benefits than the existing TNM classification, and represent an alternative to the current TNM classification for LCC patients.

Analysis of Clinical Characteristics and Survival in Patients With Functional Neuroendocrine Tumors of Gastrointestinal Origin

OBJECTIVES

Functional neuroendocrine tumors (FNETs) are characterized by excess secretion of disease-specific hormones. In this study, we attempted to define survival trends in patients with some of these uncommon tumors.

METHODS

Using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database, 529 patients with FNETs (gastrinoma, insulinoma, glucagonoma, VIPoma, and somatostatinoma) were identified. We analyzed patient and tumor characteristics, overall survival, and cancer-specific survival.

RESULTS

Functional neuroendocrine tumors were found to be more predominant in White patients older than 50 years. Most common FNETs were gastrinoma (56.3%) and insulinoma (23.8%). Most FNETs were found in the pancreas, with the second most common location being the small bowel. Surgery was the primary modality of treatment, used in 55.8% of the cases. Median overall survival was 9.8 years (95% confidence interval [CI], 7.9-11.8) with a median cancer-specific survival of 18.5 years (95% CI, 12.8-24.2). In multivariate analysis, age >50 years (hazard ratio [HR], 2.7; 95% CI, 2.02-3.64), no surgical resection (HR, 1.88; 95% CI, 1.43-2.46), metastasis (HR, 3.0; 95% CI, 2.0-4.5), and poor differentiation were associated with poor survival. Site and histology did not have a significant impact on survival (P = 0.82 and 0.57 respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Our study highlights the most important prognostic factors for gastrointestinal FNETs.

Suicide and Cardiovascular Death Among Patients With Multiple Primary Cancers in the United States

Background

Previous studies have demonstrated that patients with a cancer diagnosis have an elevated risk of suicide and cardiovascular death. However, the effects of the diagnosis of multiple primary cancers (MPCs) on the risk of suicide and cardiovascular death remain unclear. This study aimed to identify the risk of suicide and cardiovascular death among patients with MPCs in the United States.

Methods

Patients with a single or MPC(s) between 1975 and 2016 were selected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database in a retrospective cohort study. Mortality rates and standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) of suicides and cardiovascular diseases among patients with MPCs were estimated.

Results

Of the 645,818 patients diagnosed with MPCs included in this analysis, 760 and 36,209 deaths from suicides and cardiovascular diseases were observed, respectively. The suicide and cardiovascular-disease mortality rates were 1.89- (95% CI, 1.76-2.02) and 1.65-times (95% CI, 1.63-1.67), respectively, that of the general population. The cumulative mortality rate from both suicides and cardiovascular diseases among patients with MPCs were significantly higher than those of patients with a single primary cancer (Both p < 0.001). In patients with MPCs diagnosed asynchronously, the cumulative incidence rates of suicides and cardiovascular deaths were higher than those diagnosed synchronously. Among all MPCs, cancers of the pancreas and esophagus had the highest SMRs of suicide (5.98 and 5.67, respectively), while acute myeloid leukemia and brain cancer had the highest SMRs of cardiovascular diseases (3.87 and 3.62, respectively). The SMR of suicide was highest within 1 year after diagnosis, while that of cardiovascular diseases was highest 5 years after diagnosis.

Conclusions

This study showed that the mortality rates from suicides and cardiovascular diseases among patients with MPCs were higher than those with a single primary cancer. Therefore, our results underscore the need for psychological assessment and targeted preventive interventions for suicides and cardiovascular diseases among patients with MPCs.

Survival outcomes and epidemiology of Merkel cell carcinoma of the lower limb and hip: A Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results analysis 2000-2018

Background

Merkel cell carcinoma of lower limb and hip skin is a rare skin tumor that has a high recurrence rate.

Objective

To assess epidemiology and survival outcomes of the lower limb and hip Merkel cell carcinoma, which are less addressed in the literature.

Methods

The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database was searched for all cases of skin Merkel cell carcinoma between 2000 and 2018. Demographic and clinicopathologic features were compared between lower limb and other skin localizations using the t test or χ² test. The overall survival (OS) of lower limb Merkel cell carcinoma was calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Subgroups were compared using the log rank test. Multivariate cox regression was used to identify independent prognostic factors.

Results

In total, 976 patients were identified. The mean age was 72.7 years. The median OS was 68 months, better than that of other localizations. Older age, regional lymph node, and distant metastasis were associated with low OS. Surgery with >1-cm margins, when associated with radiotherapy, had the best OS. Age, tumor size, lymph node status, presence of metastasis, and treatment sequence were identified as independent prognostic factors.

Conclusion

Lower limb and hip Merkel cell carcinomas have better OS than tumors in other skin localizations. In this dataset, the best OS was ensured using surgery with >1-cm margins and adjuvant radiotherapy.

Epidemiology of bone metastases

BACKGROUND

This study evaluated the incidence of de novo bone metastasis across all primary cancer sites and their impact on survival by primary cancer site, age, race, and sex.

QUESTIONS/PURPOSES

Our objectives were (I) characterize the epidemiology of de novo bone metastasis with respect to patient demographics, (II) characterize the incidence by primary site, age, and sex (2010-2015), and (III) compare survival of de novo metastatic cancer patients with and without bone metastasis.

METHODS

This is a retrospective, population-based study using nationally representative data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program, 2010-2015. Incidence rates by year of diagnosis, annual percentage changes, Kaplan-Meier, univariate and multiple Cox regression models are included in the analysis.

RESULTS

Of patients with cancer in the SEER database, 5.1% were diagnosed with metastasis to bone, equaling ~18.8 per 100,000 bone metastasis diagnoses in the US per year (2010-2015). For adults >25, lung cancer is the most common primary site (2015 rate: 8.7 per 100,000) with de novo bone metastases, then prostate and breast primaries (2015 rates: 3.19 and 2.38 per 100,000, respectively). For patients <20 years old, endocrine cancers and soft tissue sarcomas are the most common primaries. Incidence is increasing for prostate (Annual Percentage Change (APC) = 4.6%, P < 0.001) and stomach (APC = 5.0%, P = 0.001) cancers. The presence of de novo bone metastasis was associated with a limited reduction in overall survival (HR = 1.02, 95%, CI = [1.01-1.03], p < 0.001) when compared to patients with other non-bone metastases.

CONCLUSION

The presence of bone metastasis versus metastasis to other sites has disease site-specific impact on survival. The incidence of de novo bone metastasis varies by age, sex, and primary disease site.

It's Not About the Money: Continued Treatment and Survival Outcome Disparities in Minority Rectal Cancer Patients After Controlling for Socioeconomic Factors

BACKGROUND

While the disparities for minority patients with cancer have been well established, few studies have illustrated disparities in cancer outcomes while controlling for potential confounding factors. The current study was designed to address these confounding variables and how they influence the treatment and survival time for patients with rectal cancer.

METHODS

Using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database, black and Hispanic patients were compared with white patients with rectal cancer for the rates of chemotherapy, radiation, and surgery in addition to survival time after diagnosis. Following this analysis, confounding variables were controlled for and analysis was repeated with groups of comparable demographic variables.

RESULTS

Before controlling for confounding variables, there were significant differences in treatment and survival for both Hispanic and black patients compared with white. Following matching, black patients continued to have lower rates of treatment and shorter survival times.

CONCLUSIONS

These differences in treatment methods and survival outcomes for minorities, particularly black patients, highlight the need for more advocacy and focus on these underrepresented populations with rectal cancer.

Prognostic and Treatment Differences Between T1a and T1b Glottic Cancer

OBJECTIVES

This study was designed to evaluate significant differences in treatment and survival outcomes between patients with T1a and T1b glottic cancer.

METHODS

Patients within the SEER Research Plus, 18 Registries dataset who were diagnosed with Stage I T1a or T1b cancer of the glottis between 2004 and 2015 were included in this study. Data prior to 2004 could not be included, as the SEER database did not distinguish between T1a and T1b glottic cancer until that year.

RESULTS

The 5-year disease-specific survival for T1a patients was significantly better than that of patients diagnosed with T1b glottic cancer. Age and year of diagnosis were also independent factors that impacted mortality. More patients who were diagnosed with T1b glottic cancer underwent external beam radiation than those diagnosed with T1a glottic cancer.

CONCLUSION

Our data shows that there are several independent factors effecting mortality including T classification, age at time of diagnosis, and year of diagnosis. T1a glottic cancers also show a significantly better prognosis compared with T1b. T1b glottic cancers are much more likely to be treated with primary radiotherapy compared with surgery.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

4 Laryngoscope, 2022.

Comparison of the treatment of men with prostate cancer between the US and England: an international population-based study

INTRODUCTION

The treatment of prostate cancer varies between the United States (US) and England, however this has not been well characterised using recent data. We therefore investigated the extent of the differences between US and English patients with respect to initial treatment.

METHODS

We used the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database to identify men diagnosed with prostate cancer in the US and the treatments they received. We also used the National Prostate Cancer Audit (NPCA) database for the same purposes among men diagnosed with prostate cancer in England. Next, we used multivariable regression to estimate the adjusted risk ratio (aRR) of receiving radical local treatment for men with non-metastatic prostate cancer according to the country of diagnosis (US vs. England). The five-tiered Cambridge Prognostic Group (CPG) classification was included as an interaction term.

RESULTS

We identified 109,697 patients from the SEER database, and 74,393 patients from the NPCA database, who were newly diagnosed with non-metastatic prostate cancer between April 1st 2014 and December 31st 2016 with sufficient information for risk stratification according to the CPG classification. Men in the US were more likely to receive radical local treatment across all prognostic groups compared to men in England (% radical treatment US vs. England, CPG1: 38.1% vs. 14.3% - aRR 2.57, 95% CI 2.47-2.68; CPG2: 68.6% vs. 52.6% - aRR 1.27, 95% CI 1.25-1.29; CPG3: 76.7% vs. 67.1% - aRR 1.12, 95% CI 1.10-1.13; CPG4: 82.6% vs. 72.4% - aRR 1.09, 95% CI 1.08-1.10; CPG5: 78.2% vs. 71.7% - aRR 1.06, 95% CI 1.04-1.07) CONCLUSIONS: Treatment rates were higher in the US compared to England raising potential over-treatment concerns for low-risk disease (CPG1) in the US and under-treatment of clinically significant disease (CPG3-5) in England.

Incidence and characteristics of death from peptic ulcer among cancer patients in the United States

Most cancer patients die of non-cancer causes, and peptic ulcer is one cause that deserves attention. To characterize the incidence and risk factors of death from peptic ulcer among cancer patients, we extracted the data of cancer patients registered in the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) program from 1975 to 2016. Out of the 8,471,051 patients extracted from SEER, 4,698 died from peptic ulcer, with a mortality rate of 9.08/100,000 person-years. Meanwhile, the mortality rate in the general population was 5.09/100,000 person-years, giving a standardized mortality ratio (SMR) of 1.78 (95% confidence interval, 1.73–1.84). Patients who are female, of other race, unmarried, and with distant tumor stage have greater SMRs. A higher SMR was associated with a younger age at diagnosis. Among those aged < 40 years at diagnosis, the plurality of fatal peptic ulcers occurred in patients with leukemia and lymphoma, while in patients aged > 40 years, the majority occurred in those with prostate, breast, colorectum, and lung cancer. Patients with upper digestive system malignancies had the highest SMRs and hazard ratios (HRs), which could be ascribed to radiotherapy-induced damage to the gastroduodenum. The risk declined rapidly one year after diagnosis. However, the SMRs in the upper digestive system cancer survivors increased significantly over ten years after diagnosis. Upper digestive system cancers adjacent to the gastroduodenum were associated with higher SMRs and HRs compared with other types of cancer, possibly contributing partially to the damage caused by radiotherapy on the radiosensitive gastroduodenum.

Demographics, Changes in Treatment Patterns, and Outcomes of Bone and Soft Tissue Sarcomas in Korea-A Sarcoma-Specific, Institutional Registry-Based Analysis

Purpose

Because of the heterogeneity of sarcomas, establishing a well-collected, sarcoma-specific database is important for sarcoma research. We analyzed the first histology-based, sarcoma-specific institutional registry in Korea, which collected 28 years of patient data according to a predefined data format.

Patients and Methods

Adult bone and soft tissue sarcoma patients who were treated from June 1989 to January 2017 were identified and analyzed, based on the ICD-O-3 codes.

Results

Among the 3420 patients included, soft tissue and bone sarcomas comprised 77.8% (n = 2661) and 22.2% (n = 759), respectively. Median age at diagnosis was 50 (range, 16-98) in soft tissue sarcomas and 37 (range, 16-85) in bone sarcomas. Males and females comprised 45.5% and 54.5% of soft tissue sarcomas and 52.7% and 47.3% of bone sarcomas, respectively. Among the 3407 patients with treatment data available, 90.5% of the patients with soft tissue sarcomas and 80.8% of the patients with bone sarcomas received surgery first, of which 57.8% and 71.7% did not receive any subsequent treatment, respectively. Overall, the proportion of patients who received surgery alone decreased from 85.7% to 60.5% from the pre-2000 period to the 2010-2017 period. However, the use of adjuvant chemotherapy increased in patients with soft tissue sarcomas (from 8.0% to 17.2% in the same period), and the use of perioperative radiotherapy also increased in both groups (from 1.4% to 22.7% in soft tissue sarcomas, and 0% to 14.5% in bone sarcomas in the same period). In both soft tissue and bone sarcomas, old age (≥65 years) and diagnosis in the early study period were associated with poorer survival.

Conclusion

We presented a comprehensive summary of our sarcoma registry, including the demographics, changes in treatment patterns, and survival outcomes. This study will provide a framework for future studies.

Incidence of Pancreatic Cancer by Age and Sex in the US, 2000-2018

This study uses data from the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results database to perform an age- and sex-specific time trend analysis of pancreatic cancer incidence rates in US adults.

External validation of the American Joint Committee on Cancer melanoma staging system eighth edition using the surveillance, epidemiology, and end results program

AIM

The American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) melanoma staging system eighth edition (AJCC-8) was recently released to provide accurate staging reflecting advances in the treatment of melanoma. Using population registry data, this study independently validates and compares the prognostic performance of AJCC-8 to the seventh edition (AJCC-7).

METHODS

We extracted patient-, tumor-related, and survival data from the SEER-18 registry between 2010 and 2015. To assess overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) for AJCC-7 and AJCC-8, we performed Kaplan-Meier analysis and computed cumulative hazard functions using Nelson-Aalen function.

RESULTS

Of 126,408 individuals, 59,989 (47%) and 60,411 (48%) had available data for pathological and clinical-stage OS analysis, respectively. The 3-year OS for AJCC-7 among pathologically staged patients was: stage IA 97%, stage IB 95%, stage IIA 87%, stage IIB 76%, stage IIC 57%, stage IIIA 86%, stage IIIB 69%, stage IIIC 50%, and stage IV 24%. The 3-year OS for AJCC-8 patients was similar but was 56% for stage IIIC and 30% for stage IIID. Stage IV individuals with an elevated LDH had worse OS and CSS at all measured time-points up to 60 months compared to those with a normal LDH.

CONCLUSION

The discriminatory ability of AJCC-8 and AJCC-7 appear comparable. Changes in AJCC-8 identified stage IIID as a poor prognostic subgroup among stage III patients and elevated LDH in stage IV. However, patients with advanced T-stage, node-negative tumors experienced worse survival compared to those with earlier T-stage, node-positive tumors, and the results of ongoing trials should inform adjuvant therapy in this subset of patients.

Incidence of Clinically Relevant Thyroid Cancers Remains Stable for Almost a Century: A Population-Based Study

OBJECTIVE

To examine the trends in incidence of clinically relevant thyroid cancers within the overall rising incidence of thyroid cancers.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This is a population-based cohort study conducted using the Rochester Epidemiology Project database to identify all new cases of thyroid cancer in Olmsted County, Minnesota, between January 1, 1935, and December 31, 2018. We extracted information about demographics and tumor pathologic type, size, and invasiveness. Clinically relevant cancers included aggressive histology or presence of metastatic disease, size larger than 4 cm, and gross extrathyroidal tumor invasion.

RESULTS

Between 1935 and 2018, 596 thyroid cancer cases were diagnosed (mean age, 46.4 years; 72% female; 87% papillary cancers; and median tumor size, 1.5 cm). The sex- and age-adjusted incidence of thyroid cancer increased from 1.3 per 100,000 person-years (p-y) from 1935-1949 to 12.0 per 100,000 p-y in 2010-2018, corresponding to an absolute change per decade of 1.4 (95% CI, 0.7 to 2.2). There was a nonsignificant period absolute change for patients with tumor greater than 4 cm (0.03; 95% CI, -0.2 to 0.3), with evidence of tumor invasion (0.1; 95% CI, -0.1 to 0.4), and with aggressive histology or presence of metastatic disease (0.2; 95% CI, -0.1 to 0.6). Thyroid cancer mortality was unchanged over the observation period.

CONCLUSION

Incidence rates of clinically relevant thyroid cancers, as defined by histology, size, and invasiveness, have not changed significantly in 80 years. The rising thyroid cancer incidence is driven by indolent thyroid cancers.

Medical Service Use and Charges for Cancer Care in 2018 for Privately Insured Patients Younger Than 65 Years in the US

IMPORTANCE

Currently, there are limited published data regarding resource use and spending on cancer care in the US.

OBJECTIVE

To characterize the most frequent medical services provided and the associated spending for privately insured patients with cancer in the US.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This cohort study used data from the MarketScan database for the calendar year 2018 from a sample of 27.1 million privately insured individuals, including patients with a diagnosis of the 15 most prevalent cancers, predominantly from large insurers and self-insured employers. Overall societal health care spending was estimated for each cancer type by multiplying the mean total spending per patient (estimated from MarketScan) by the number of privately insured patients living with that cancer in 2018, as reported by the National Cancer Institute's Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program. Analyses were performed from February 1, 2018, to July 8, 2021.

EXPOSURES

Evaluation and management as prescribed by treating care team.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Current Procedural Terminology and Healthcare Common Procedure Coding System codes based on cancer diagnosis code.

RESULTS

The estimated cost of cancer care in 2018 for 402 115 patients with the 15 most prevalent cancer types was approximately $156.2 billion for privately insured adults younger than 65 years in the US. There were a total of 38.4 million documented procedure codes for 15 cancers in the MarketScan database, totaling $10.8 billion. Patients with breast cancer contributed the greatest total number of services (10.9 million [28.4%]), followed by those with colorectal cancer (3.9 million [10.2%]) and prostate cancer (3.6 million [9.4%]). Pathology and laboratory tests contributed the highest number of services performed (11.7 million [30.5%]), followed by medical services (6.3 million [16.4%]) and medical supplies and nonphysician services (6.1 million [15.9%]). The costliest cancers were those of the breast ($3.4 billion [31.5%]), followed by lung ($1.1 billion [10.2%]) and colorectum ($1.1 billion [10.2%]). Medical supplies and nonphysician services contributed the highest total spent ($4.0 billion [37.0%]), followed by radiology ($2.1 billion [19.4%]) and surgery ($1.8 billion [16.7%]).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

This analysis suggests that patients with breast, colorectal, and prostate cancers had the greatest number of services performed, particularly for pathology and laboratory tests, whereas patients with breast, lung, lymphoma, and colorectal cancer incurred the greatest costs, particularly for medical supplies and nonphysician services. The cost of cancer care in 2018 for the 15 most prevalent cancer types was estimated to be approximately $156.2 billion for privately insured adults younger than 65 years in the US.

Socioeconomic disparities in survival after high-risk neuroblastoma treatment with modern therapy

BACKGROUND

Modern therapeutic advances in high-risk neuroblastoma have improved overall survival (OS), but it is unclear whether these survival gains have been equitable. This study examined the relationship between socioeconomic status (SES) and overall survival (OS) in children with high-risk neuroblastoma and whether SES-associated disparities have changed over time.

PROCEDURE

In this population-based cohort study, children <18 years diagnosed with high-risk neuroblastoma (diagnosis at age ≥12 months with metastatic disease) from 1991 to 2015 were identified through the National Cancer Institute's Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. Associations of county-level SES variables and OS were tested with univariate Cox proportional hazards regression. For a subcohort diagnosed after 2007, insurance status was examined as an individual-level SES variable. Multivariable regression analyses with treatment era and interaction terms were performed when SES variables reached near-significance (p ≤ .1) in univariate and bivariate modeling with treatment era.

RESULTS

Among 1217 children, 2-year OS improved from 53.0 ± 3.4% in 1991-1998 to 76.9 ± 2.9% in 2011-2015 (p < .001). In univariate analyses, children in high-poverty counties (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.74, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.17-2.60, p = .007), and those with Medicaid (HR = 1.40, 95% CI = 1.05-1.86, p = .02) experienced an increased hazard of death. No interactions between treatment era and SES variables were statistically significant in multivariable analyses, indicating that differences in the OS between SES groups did not change over time.

CONCLUSIONS

Survival disparities among children with high-risk neuroblastoma have not widened over time, suggesting equitable access to and benefit from therapeutic advances. However, children of low SES experience persistently inferior survival. Interventions to narrow this disparity are paramount.

Risk factors associated with suicide among esophageal carcinoma patients from 1975 to 2016

Throughout the world, esophageal cancer patients had a greater suicidal risk compared with ordinary people. Thus, we aimed to affirm suicide rates, standardized mortality rates, and underlying suicide-related risk factors of esophageal cancer patients. Patients suffering esophageal cancer were chosen from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results repository in 1975–2016. Suicide rates as well as standardized mortality rates in the patients were measured. Univariable and multivariable Cox regression had been adopted for establishing the latent suicide risk factors among patients suffering esophageal cancer. On multivariable Cox regression, gender (male vs. female, HR: 6.37), age of diagnosis (70–105 vs. 0–55, HR: 2.69), marital status, race (white race vs. black race, HR: 6.64; American Indian/Alaska Native, Asian/Pacific Islander vs. black race, HR: 8.60), histologic Grade (Grade III vs. Grade I, HR: 2.36), no surgery performed (no/unknown vs. yes, HR: 2.01), no chemotherapy performed were independent risk factors related to suicide in patients suffering esophageal cancer. Male sex, the older age, unmarried state, non-black race, histologic Grade III, no surgery performed, no chemotherapy performed were strongly related to suicide in patients suffering esophageal cancer.

Presentation, treatment, and prognosis of colorectal adenosquamous carcinoma: A contemporary analysis of the surveillance, epidemiology, and end results database

INTRODUCTION

Colorectal adenosquamous carcinoma (ASC) represents <0.1% of colorectal cancers. Due to its rarity, there is paucity of data regarding its prognosis and treatment compared to other colorectal cancers. The aim of the study was to evaluate presentation, treatment and prognosis of colorectal ASC in comparison to adenocarcinoma (AC) and squamous cell carcinoma (SCC).

METHODS

Adult patients diagnosed with colorectal AC, SCC, and ASC between 2000 and 2017 were identified using Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database.

RESULTS

Among the 446,132 patients diagnosed with colorectal cancer, 0.06% had ASC and were more likely to present with higher T stage and distant metastases compared to AC and SCC (p < 0.001). Major surgery was the primary treatment for colonic ASC, while for rectal ASC, chemotherapy and/or radiation were mainly utilized. Localized and distant colonic ASC had an unadjusted 5-year cause-specific survival that was worse than AC, while rectal ASC had the worst survival across all stages.

CONCLUSION

Colorectal ASC usually present with advanced stage and have overall worse prognosis. Standardization of treatment strategies may improve survival in colorectal ASC.

Overall survival of black and white men with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC): a 20-year retrospective analysis in the largest healthcare trust in England

BACKGROUND

Prostate cancer in black men is associated with poorer outcomes than their white counterparts. However, most studies reporting this disparity were conducted in localized prostate cancer and primarily in the United States.

METHODS

Data regarding prostate cancer incidence and mortality for East London between 2008 and 2010 were obtained from the UK National Disease Registration Service. We further evaluated survival outcomes of 425 cases of mCRPC in St Bartholomew's Hospital, East London, between 1997 and 2016, and analyzed whether ethnicity impacted on responses to different treatment types.

RESULTS

The incidence of prostate cancer in black men was higher than white men in East London. Prostate cancer-specific mortality was proportional to incidence based on ethnic groups. In the detailed analysis of 425 patients, 103 patients (24%) were black (B), and the remainder white (W). Baseline characteristics were comparable in both groups, although black patients had a lower baseline hemoglobin (p < 0.001). Median overall survival for the total cohort was 25.5 months (B) vs 21.8 months (W) (hazard ratio (HR) = 0.81, p = 0.08). There was prolonged survival in the black population in those who only received hormone-based treatment throughout their treatment course; 39.7 months (B) vs 17.1 months (W) (HR = 0.54, p = 0.019).

CONCLUSION

Black men may do better than white men with mCRPC, in the context of equal access to healthcare. The study also suggests a greater margin of benefit of hormone-based therapy in the black subpopulation.

Immediate risk of non-cancer deaths after a cancer diagnosis

BACKGROUND

Receiving a cancer diagnosis may trigger immediate fatal non-cancer health outcomes in addition to dying of cancer itself. We aim to investigate the full pattern of non-cancer deaths in patients within a year of a cancer diagnosis.

METHODS

Patients diagnosed with cancer between 1990 and 2016 were identified from the SEER program. Standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) were calculated to characterize the relative risks of non-cancer deaths compared with the general population.

RESULTS

Among 7,366,229 patients, 241,575 non-cancer deaths (15.9%) were recorded in the first year following a cancer diagnosis. The relative risk of non-cancer deaths was 2.34-fold (95% confidence interval (CI): 2.33-2.35) that of the general population. The majority of non-cancer deaths were caused by cardiovascular diseases (21.8%), followed by infectious diseases (7.2%). Significant elevations in mortality risks were observed for nearly all non-cancer causes, particularly in infectious diseases (SMR: 5.08; 95% CI: 5.03-5.13). Patients with liver cancer (SMR: 12.29; 95% CI: 12.06-12.53) were at the highest risk of early non-cancer deaths. The risks of non-cancer deaths were highest within the first month after diagnosis, and decreased rapidly thereafter.

CONCLUSIONS

Risks of non-cancer deaths vary by the types of causes and anatomic sites of cancer. Our data underscore the importance of close observation and early multidisciplinary care for noncancer conditions in patients who have recently received a cancer diagnosis.

Causes of Death Among Patients With Metastatic Prostate Cancer in the US From 2000 to 2016

IMPORTANCE

Owing to improved survival among US patients with prostate cancer (PC), patients tend to live long enough after a PC diagnosis for non-cancer-related comorbidities to be associated with their overall survival. Although studies have investigated causes of death among patients with localized PC, data are lacking regarding causes of death among patients with metastatic PC.

OBJECTIVE

To assess causes of death among US patients with metastatic PC from 2000 to 2016.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This retrospective cohort study used data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program database to analyze a sample of 26 168 US men who received a diagnosis of metastatic PC from January 1, 2000, to December 31, 2016. Data were analyzed from February 2 to July 28, 2020.

EXPOSURE

Diagnosis of metastatic PC.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) for different causes of death were calculated by dividing the observed number of deaths from each cause of death by the expected number of deaths in the age-matched US male population for the same period, adjusting for age and race/ethnicity.

RESULTS

Of 26 168 patients with metastatic PC included in the analysis, 48.9% were aged 50 to 70 years (mean age at diagnosis, 70.83 years); 74.5% were White individuals, and 72.7% received a diagnosis of stage M1b metastatic PC. A total of 16 732 patients (63.9%) died during the follow-up period. The mean age at death was 74.13 years. Most deaths (59.0%) occurred within the latency period of 2 years after diagnosis of metastatic PC, whereas 31.6% occurred 2 to 5 years after diagnosis and 9.4% occurred more than 5 years after diagnosis. Of the total deaths, 13 011 (77.8%) were from PC, 924 (5.5%) were from other cancers, and 2797 (16.7%) were from noncancer causes. During all latency periods, the most common noncancer causes of death were cardiovascular diseases (SMR, 1.34; 95% CI, 1.26-1.42), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (SMR, 1.19; 95% CI, 1.03-1.36), and cerebrovascular diseases (SMR, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.13-1.50).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

In this cohort study, deaths from noncancer causes, including cardiovascular disease, constituted a substantial number of deaths among men with metastatic PC. Therapy and follow-up should be tailored to the needs of each patient with metastatic PC, and counseling regarding future health risks should be provided.

Socioeconomic Status and Survival in Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma: A Population-Based Study

OBJECTIVES/HYPOTHESIS

To evaluate survival for nasopharyngeal carcinoma in relation to socioeconomic status.

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Census Tract-level Socioeconomic Status Database (2000-2016).

METHODS

Patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma diagnosed between 2000 and 2016 were identified. Data were stratified based on socioeconomic status, divided into three groups: group 1 being the poorest and group 3 the wealthiest. Univariate analysis as well as multivariate Cox regression analysis adjusted for individual variables was performed.

RESULTS

A total of 5,527 patients were included in the study, with 33% in group 1, 34% in group 2, and 33% in group 3. There was a significant difference between groups in regard to age at diagnosis, race, histologic subtype, overall stage, tumor stage, nodal stage, and whether or not they received radiation. Patients in group 1, the poorest socioeconomic status, were more likely to be young (P = .003), black (P < .0001), present with higher overall stage (P = .009), tumor stage (P = .01), and nodal stage (P = .02), and less likely to receive radiation (P = .005). In multivariate analysis, there was a significant difference in survival between the groups, with group 1 patients less likely to survive compared to group 3 (hazard ratio = 1.28; 95% CI 1.07-1.57).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients in the poorest socioeconomic status presented with more advanced nasopharyngeal cancer and were less likely to receive radiation when compared with individuals of higher socioeconomic status. The poorest socioeconomic status groups were less likely to survive from their disease when controlling for other variables.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

NA Laryngoscope, 2021.

Might changes in diagnostic practice explain increasing incidence of brain and central nervous system tumors? A population-based study in Wales (United Kingdom) and the United States

BACKGROUND

Increasing incidence of central nervous system (CNS) tumors has been noted in some populations. However, the influence of changing surgical and imaging practices has not been consistently accounted for.

METHODS

We evaluated average annual percentage change (AAPC) in age- and gender-stratified incidence of CNS tumors by tumor subtypes and histological confirmation in Wales, United Kingdom (1997-2015) and the United States (2004-2015) using joinpoint regression.

FINDINGS

In Wales, the incidence of histologically confirmed CNS tumors increased more than all CNS tumors (AAPC 3.62% vs 1.63%), indicating an increasing proportion undergoing surgery. Grade II and III glioma incidence declined significantly (AAPC -3.09% and -1.85%, respectively) but remained stable for those with histological confirmation. Grade IV glioma incidence increased overall (AAPC 3.99%), more markedly for those with histological confirmation (AAPC 5.36%), suggesting reduced glioma subtype misclassification due to increased surgery. In the United States, the incidence of CNS tumors increased overall but was stable for histologically confirmed tumors (AAPC 1.86% vs 0.09%) indicating an increase in patients diagnosed without surgery. An increase in grade IV gliomas (AAPC 0.28%) and a decline in grade II gliomas (AAPC -3.41%) were accompanied by similar changes in those with histological confirmation, indicating the overall trends in glioma subtypes were unlikely to be caused by changing diagnostic and clinical management.

CONCLUSIONS

Changes in clinical practice have influenced the incidence of CNS tumors in the United Kingdom and the United States. These should be considered when evaluating trends and in epidemiological studies of putative risk factors for CNS tumors.

Effects of Adjuvant Endocrine Therapy Adherence and Radiation on Recurrence and Survival Among Older Women with Early-Stage Breast Cancer

BACKGROUND

The Cancer and Leukemia Group-B 9343 (CALGB 9343) trial demonstrated that women aged ≥ 70 years with early-stage breast cancer can safely omit radiation therapy (RT) and be treated with breast-conserving surgery (BCS) and adjuvant endocrine therapy (AET) alone. AET adherence is low, leaving an undertreated cohort who may be at increased risk of recurrence and death. We hypothesized that AET adherence and adjuvant treatment choice impact recurrence and survival among CALGB 9343 eligible women.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

SEER-Medicare was used to identify CALGB 9343 eligible women who underwent BCS between 2007 and 2016. Medicare claims were used to identify AET use, and the proportion of days covered by AET was used to categorize adherent (PDC ≥ 0.80) versus nonadherent patients (PDC < 0.80). Recurrence-free, cancer-specific, and overall survival were assessed using Cox proportional hazards models.

RESULTS

In total, 10,719 women were identified, of whom 780 (7.3%) underwent BCS alone, 1490 (13.9%) underwent BCS + RT, 1663 (15.5%) underwent BCS + AET, and 6786 (63.3%) had BCS + RT + AET. Among women treated with BCS + AET, adherent patients had lower recurrence than did nonadherent patients (HR = 0.65, 95% CI: 0.50-0.85). With respect to adjuvant treatment combinations, there was no recurrence difference between the BCS + RT + AET group and BCS + AET group (HR = 0.81, 95% CI: 0.54-1.21). There was equivalent cancer-specific but worse overall survival in the BCS + AET group versus the BCS + AET + RT group.

CONCLUSIONS

While BCS + RT + AET may represent overtreatment for some, AET nonadherent women who omit RT are at risk for worse outcomes. Treatment decisions regarding RT omission should be tailored to the individual patient, taking into consideration the chances of AET nonadherence and the patients' own risk tolerance.

Dysplasia and carcinoma of the gallbladder: pathological evaluation, sampling, differential diagnosis and clinical implications

Pathological evaluation of gallbladder neoplasia remains a challenge. A significant proportion of cases presents as clinically and grossly inapparent lesions, and grossing protocols are not well established. Among epithelial alterations, pseudo-pyloric gland metaplasia is ubiquitous and of no apparent consequence, whereas goblet cell metaplasia and a foveolar change in surface cells require closer attention. Low-grade dysplasia is difficult to objectively define and appears to be clinically inconsequential by itself; however, extra sampling is required to exclude the possibility of accompanying more significant lesions. For high-grade dysplasia ('high-grade BilIN', also known as 'carcinoma in situ'), a complete sampling is necessary to rule out invasion. Designating in-situ or minimally invasive carcinomas limited to muscularis or above as early gallbladder carcinoma (EGBC) helps to alleviate the major geographical differences (West/East) in the criteria for 'invasiveness' to assign a case to pTis or pT1. Total sampling is crucial in proper diagnosis of such cases. A subset of invasive GBCs (5-10%) arise from the intracholecystic neoplasm (ICN, 'adenoma-carcinoma sequence') category. Approximately two-thirds of ICNs have invasive carcinoma. However, this propensity differs by subtype. True 'pyloric gland adenomas' (> 1 cm) are uncommon and scarcely associated with invasive carcinoma. A distinct subtype of ICN composed of tubular, non-mucinous MUC6⁺ glands [intracholecystic tubular non-mucinous neoplasm (ICTN)] forms a localised pedunculated polyp. Although it is morphologically complex and high-grade, it appears to be invasion-resistant. Some of the invasive carcinoma types in the gallbladder have been better characterised recently with adenosquamous, neuroendocrine, poorly cohesive and mucinous carcinomas often being more advanced and aggressive.

Deaths from COPD in patients with cancer: a population-based study

Features of the deaths caused by COPD (chronic obstructive pulmonary disease) in cancer patients remained a controversial issue. This study aimed to characterize the demographic characteristics and mortality rates of the deaths from COPD in patients with cancer. In total, 7,846,370 cancer patients aged 40 years or older in the United States were identified from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database (1975–2016). Mortality rates and SMRs (standardized mortality ratios) adjusted by age, race, sex, and calendar year were calculated to investigate the risk of COPD deaths in cancer survivors and to compare it with the general population. A total of 119,228 COPD deaths in patients with cancer were recorded, with a mortality rate of 261.5/100,000 person-years, nearly two-fold that of the general population (SMR, 2.17; 95% CI [confidence interval], 2.16–2.18). The proportion of cancer survivors dying from COPD increased from 0.9% in 1975 to 3.4% in 2016. Patients with lung cancer had a higher overall risk (SMR, 9.23; 95% CI, 9.12–9.35) than those with extrapulmonary malignancies. Among all extrapulmonary sites, laryngeal (SMR, 5.54; 95% CI, 5.34–5.75) and esophageal cancers (SMR, 4.33; 95% CI, 4.04–4.63) had the highest SMR. The risk of death from COPD increased with follow-up time.

Risk factors associated with suicide among hepatocellular carcinoma patients: A surveillance, epidemiology, and end results analysis

BACKGROUND

Throughout the world, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains the primary type of liver cancer. The suicide risk was higher among patients with HCC than the general population. Hence, the purpose of this study was to confirm the suicide rates, standardized mortality ratios (SMRs), and the potential risk factors associated with suicide among HCC patients.

METHODS

HCC patients were collected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database during 1975-2016. Suicide rates and SMRs among these patients were calculated, and the general population of the United States (U.S.) during 1975-2016 was used as a reference. Univariable and multivariable Cox regression were taken to find out the underlying risk factors of suicide in HCC patients.

RESULTS

There were 70 suicides identified among 102,567 individuals with HCC observed for 160,500.88 person years. The suicide rate was 43.61 per 100,000 person-years, and SMR was 2.26 (95% CI: 1.78-2.84). On Cox regression, year of diagnosis (1975-1988 vs. 2003-2016, HR: 3.00, 95% CI: 1.01-8.89, P = 0.047; 1989-2002 vs. 2003-2016, HR: 1.92, 95% CI: 1.10-3.34, P = 0.021), gender (male vs. female, HR: 8.72, 95% CI: 2.73-27.81, P < 0.001), age at diagnosis (63-105 years old vs. 0-55 years old, HR: 2.28, 95% CI: 1.21-4.31, P = 0.011), race (white race vs. American Indian/Alaska Native, Asian/Pacific Islander, HR: 3.02, 95% CI: 1.35-6.76, P = 0.007) were independent risk factors of suicide among HCC patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Diagnosed in the early years (1975-2002), male sex, the older age (63-105 years old), white race, survival months (＜2 months) were significantly associated with suicide among HCC patients. For the sake of preventing suicide behaviors, the government, clinicians, and family members should take adequate measures to decrease the rate of suicide, especially in patients with high-risk factors of suicide.

Factors associated with chemotherapy benefit in breast cancer patients with midrange Oncotype DX breast recurrence scores

Chemotherapy for patients with hormone receptor-positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-negative, node-negative breast cancer, and with midrange Oncotype DX breast recurrence scores (RS) still needs to be further individualized. To improve the treatment decision making, we aimed to develop a method that provides a single score based on multiple factors associated with chemotherapy benefit. We analyzed Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results registry data from 31,731 patients with hormone receptor-positive, HER2-negative, node-negative breast cancer and midrange RS characterized by sociodemographic (age and marital status) and clinicopathologic (tumor size, histologic grade, progesterone receptor status, broad histological classification, lesion laterality, and lesion overlap) features and stratified by RS ranges. For the entire sample and for each characteristic, overall survival was compared between patients who underwent chemotherapy and those who did not (or status unknown) within each RS stratum. There was no any association between chemotherapy and survival for patients with RS = 11-15. However, for patients with RS = 16-25, a chemotherapy benefit was associated with tumor size, histologic grade, progesterone receptor status, histological type, and lesion laterality. In addition, overlapping lesion of breast and married at diagnosis might provide additional predictive information of chemotherapy benefit when RS = 21-25. A simple and effective algorithm was designed by combining these factors to output a novel and personalized chemotherapy benefit score to effectively identify patients with RS = 16-25 who would most likely benefit from chemotherapy, which might facilitate improved treatment by providing individualized recommendations.

A Proposed Staging System for Improved Prognostication of MDM2-amplified Liposarcoma

Despite the release of anatomic site-specific staging systems for soft tissue sarcomas in the eighth edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) Cancer Staging Manual, the algorithms for sarcomas arising in the extremities/trunk and retroperitoneum differ only in the staging of lymph node metastasis. The retroperitoneum not only provides a larger potential space for tumor growth before the clinical presentation, but its anatomic complexities complicate surgical resection and adversely affect disease-free survival. Here, we propose a new staging system for MDM2-amplified liposarcomas (well-differentiated and dedifferentiated subtypes) that properly emphasizes retroperitoneal localization, degree of differentiation (histologic subtype), and presence of distant metastasis. A retrospective cohort of 4146 adult patients with surgically resected liposarcoma was extracted from the SEER database to compare the natural history of MDM2-amplified liposarcomas arising in the extremities/trunk or retroperitoneum. Separate training and validation datasets were created, and Cox proportional hazard regression, multivariable nonlinear regression, and nomographic analyses determined the most significant parameters in predicting sarcoma-specific death. A new staging system was derived and its predictive accuracy was compared with the AJCC, eighth edition system using areas under receiver operating characteristic curves and multiple concordance indices. Multivariable analysis showed that dedifferentiation (hazard ratio [HR]=3.7±0.5; P<0.0005), retroperitoneal location (HR=3.2±0.5; P<0.0005), and distant metastasis (HR=2.4±0.6; P=0.002), but not categorized tumor size (pT category), had the largest effects on sarcoma-specific survival. A new staging system based on these predictive factors demonstrated better discrimination between tumor stages, higher concordance with clinical outcomes, and greater predictive accuracy than the AJCC eighth edition staging system (86±1% vs. 83±2%; P=0.005). Statistical analysis of a large national cohort failed to confirm that categorized tumor size is a useful criterion by which to stage MDM2-amplified liposarcoma. A simplified staging system based on anatomic location and dedifferentiation outperforms the current AJCC staging system. Anatomic localization and histologic grade, and not tumor size, should be included in any future liposarcoma-specific staging system.

Cause of death among patients with colorectal cancer: a population-based study in the United States

CRC (Colorectal cancer) is one of the most common causes of death worldwide and in the US (United States). In this study, we aim to perform a population-based analysis on the cause of death among patients with CRC in the US. A total of 834,510 CRC patients diagnosed between 1975 and 2016 in the US were selected from the SEER (Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results) program. Causes of death among CRC patients were characterized and SMRs (standardized mortality ratios) of death from non-cancer causes were calculated. Among all CRC patients included in this study, a total of 531,507 deaths were recorded, of which 51.3% were due to CRC, 10.3% were due to other cancers, and 38.4% were due to non-cancer causes. Recently, there has been a relative decrease in index-cancer deaths and an increase in non-cancer causes among CRC patients. The mortality risk from non-cancer rises with accumulating age and longer follow-up time. Cardiovascular diseases are the most prevalent non-cancer causes, accounting for 20.3% of all deaths among CRC patients. Compared with the general population, the mortality rate of non-cancer deaths among CRC patients is doubled (SMR, 2.02; 95% confidence interval, 2.01-2.03).

Oncotype DX Breast Recurrence Score Distribution and Chemotherapy Benefit Among Women of Different Age Groups With HR-Positive, HER2-Negative, Node-Negative Breast Cancer in the SEER Database

Objective: To explore the distribution of Oncotype DX Breast Recurrence Score (RS), the proportion of receiving chemotherapy, and the relationship between RS and chemotherapy benefit according to detailed age groups in women with hormone receptor-positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative, node-negative (HR+/HER2−/N0) breast cancer.

Methods: This was an extensive, comprehensive, population-based retrospective study. Data on individuals with breast cancer were obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program. The cohort was divided into five groups by age (≤ 35, 36–50, 51–65, 66–80, >80 years). RS distribution and chemotherapy proportion among different age groups were analyzed, and the overall survivals between patients receiving chemotherapy and those not/unknown were compared in each age group.

Results: The study cohort comprised 49,539 patients and the largest age group was 51–65 years. The percentage of patients with low-risk RS (0–10) increased with age, whereas those with intermediate-risk RS (11–25) decreased with age (except for the group of 36–50 years, which had the highest rate of intermediate-risk RS). The age group ≤35 years has the greatest rate of high-risk RS (26–100). The proportion of receiving chemotherapy decreased with age in all RS risk categories. Overall survival was benefited by chemotherapy only in the age group of 66–80 years with intermediate- and high-risk RS, and chemotherapy seemed to do more harm than good for patients older than 80 years.

Conclusions: In the present study, we identified the distribution of RS, the proportion of receiving chemotherapy, and the relationship between RS and chemotherapy benefit according to a detailed age grouping for women with HR+/HER2−/N0 breast cancer, which may help in making individualized clinical decisions.