Pre-transplant diabetes predicts atherosclerotic vascular events and cardiovascular mortality in liver transplant recipients: a long-term follow-up study

A narrative review: predicting liver transplant graft survival using artificial intelligence modeling

Liver transplantation is the only treatment for patients with liver failure. As demand for liver transplantation grows, it remains a challenge to predict the short- and long-term survival of the liver graft. Recently, artificial intelligence models have been used to evaluate the short- and long-term survival of the liver transplant. To make the models more accurate, suitable liver transplantation characteristics must be used as input to train them. In this narrative review, we reviewed studies concerning liver transplantations published in the PubMed, Web of Science, and Cochrane databases between 2017 and 2022. We picked out 17 studies using our selection criteria and analyzed them, evaluating which medical characteristics were used as input for creation of artificial intelligence models. In eight studies, models estimating only short-term liver graft survival were created, while in five of the studies, models for the prediction of only long-term liver graft survival were built. In four of the studies, artificial intelligence algorithms evaluating both the short- and long-term liver graft survival were created. Medical characteristics that were used as input in reviewed studies and had the biggest impact on the accuracy of the model were the recipient's age, recipient's body mass index, creatinine levels in the recipient's serum, recipient's international normalized ratio, diabetes mellitus, and recipient's model of end-stage liver disease score. To conclude, in order to define important liver transplantation characteristics that could be used as an input for artificial intelligence algorithms when predicting liver graft survival, more models need to be created and analyzed, in order to fully support the results of this review.

Impact of Pretransplant Diabetes on Outcomes After Liver Transplantation: An Updated Meta-analysis With Systematic Review

BACKGROUND

Preliver transplant diabetes mellitus (pre-LT DM) is a common comorbidity in LT recipients associated with poorer post-transplant survival. However, its relationship with other important outcomes, including cardiovascular and renal outcomes, remains unclear. This meta-analysis aims to provide an updated analysis of the impact of pre-LT DM on key post-LT outcomes.

METHODS

A search was conducted in Medline and Embase databases for articles comparing the post-transplant outcomes between patients with and without pre-LT DM. Pairwise analysis using random effects with hazard ratios (HRs) was used to assess the longitudinal post-LT impacts of pre-LT DM. In the absence of HR, pooled odds ratios analysis was conducted for secondary outcomes.

RESULTS

Forty-two studies involving 77,615 LT recipients were included in this analysis. The pooled prevalence of pre-LT DM amongst LT recipients was 24.79%. Pre-LT DM was associated with significantly lower overall survival (HR, 0.65; 95% confidence interval, 0.52-0.81; P <0.01) and significantly increased cardiovascular disease-related mortality (HR, 1.78; 95% confidence interval, 1.11-2.85; P =0.03). Meta-regression of other patient characteristics identified Asian ethnicity and hypertension to be significant predictors of worse overall survival, whereas African-American ethnicity was associated with significantly improved overall survival in patients with pre-LT DM. Further analysis of secondary outcomes revealed pre-LT DM to be a significant predictor of post-LT cardiovascular events and end-stage renal disease.

CONCLUSIONS

The present study illustrates the impact of pre-LT DM on post-LT survival, and cardiovascular and renal outcomes and provides a sound basis for revision of preoperative management of pre-LT DM.

Clinical characteristics of new-onset diabetes after liver transplantation and outcomes

Background

We aimed to identify the characteristics of new-onset diabetes after liver transplantation (LT) (NODAT) and investigate its impacts on post-transplant outcomes.

Methods

Adult LT patients between 2014 and 2020 who used tacrolimus as initial immunosuppression and survived 3 months at least were evaluated. Patients who developed NODAT within 3 months after LT were classified as NODAT group. Also, patients were further classified as history of diabetes before LT (PHDBT) and non-diabetes (ND) groups. Patient characteristics, post-LT outcomes, and cardiovascular and/or pulmonary complications were compared.

Results

A total of 83, 225, and 263 patients were classified into NODAT, PHDBT, and ND groups. The proportion of cholestatic liver disease and rejection within 90 days were higher in NODAT group. Mean serum tacrolimus concentration trough level in the first week after LT was 7.12, 6.12, and 6.12 ng/mL (p < 0.001). Duration of corticosteroids was significantly longer in NODAT compared to PHDBD or ND (416, 289, and 228 days, p < 0.001). Three-year graft and patient survival were significantly worse in NODAT than ND (80.5% vs. 95.0%, p < 0.001: 82.0% vs. 95.4%, p < 0.001) but similar to PHDBT. Adjusted risks of 3-year graft loss and patient death using Cox regression analysis were significantly higher in NODAT compared to ND (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 3.41, p = 0.004; aHR 3.61, p = 0.004). Incidence rates of cardiovascular or pulmonary complications after LT in NODAT were significantly higher than ND but similar to PHDBT.

Conclusion

Higher initial tacrolimus concentration and early rejection might be risk factors for NODAT. NODAT was associated with worse post-transplant outcomes.

Evolution of pretransplant cardiac risk factor burden and major adverse cardiovascular events in liver transplant recipients over time

Major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) are the leading cause of early (<1 y) complications after liver transplantation (LT). NASH, the leading indication for waitlisting for LT, is associated with high cardiac risk factor burden. The contemporary prevalence and temporal trends in pretransplant cardiac risk factor burden and post-LT MACE among LT recipients (LTRs) with and without NASH are unknown. The aim of this study was to evaluate (1) the evolution of post-LT cardiac risk factors in LTRs over time and (2) post-LT MACE over time, stratified by NASH status. This is a retrospective cohort of 1775 adult LTRs at a single transplant center (2003-2020). MACE was defined as death or hospitalization from myocardial infarction, revascularization, stroke, heart failure during the first post-LT year. Between 2003 and 2020, there was a significant increase in pre-LT NASH ( ptrend <0.05). There was also a significant increase in pre-LT obesity, atherosclerotic cardiovascular (CV) disease, and older age (≥65 y old) ( ptrend <0.05 for all). There was no significant change in the proportion of LTRs with diabetes, chronic kidney disease, or heart failure. Unexpectedly, there were no changes in the rate of post-LT MACE over the study period (-0.1% per year, ptrend =0.44). The lack of change in MACE despite an increase in CV risk factor prevalence may reflect advancement in the identification and management of CV risk factors in LTRs. With projected continued increase in cardiac risk burden and the proportion of patients transplanted for NASH, it is critical for LT programs to develop and implement quality improvement efforts to optimize CV care in LTRs.

Nutritional Strategies to Manage Malnutrition and Sarcopenia following Liver Transplantation: A Narrative Review

Persisting or newly developed malnutrition and sarcopenia after liver transplant (LT) are correlated with adverse health outcomes. This narrative review aims to examine the literature regarding nutrition strategies to manage malnutrition and sarcopenia after LT. The secondary aims are to provide an overview of the effect of nutrition strategies on the incidence of infections, hospital length of stay (LOS), acute cellular rejection (ACR), and mortality after LT. Four databases were searched. A total of 25 studies, mostly of mid-high quality, were included. Six studies found a beneficial effect on nutritional parameters using branched-chain amino acids (BCAA), immunomodulating diet (IMD), or enteral nutrition (EN) whereas two studies using beta-hydroxy-beta-methylbutyrate (HMB) found a beneficial effect on muscle mass and function. Fourteen studies using pre- or pro-biotics, IMD, and EN were effective in lowering infection and six studies using IMD, BCAA or HMB reported reduced hospital LOS. Finally, four studies using HMB and vitamin D were effective in reducing ACR and one study reported reduced mortality using vitamin D after LT. In conclusion, nutritional intervention after LT has different beneficial effects on malnutrition, sarcopenia, and other advert outcomes. Additional large and well-constructed RCTs using validated tools to assess nutritional status and sarcopenia are warranted to ensure more robust conclusions.

Predictors of renal recovery in recipients of liver transplant alone who met 2017 simultaneous liver-kidney transplant criteria

BACKGROUND

Severe renal dysfunction is common among liver transplant (LT) candidates and often prompts simultaneous liver-kidney transplantation (SLKT) consideration. In view of 2017 United Network of Organ Sharing (UNOS) criteria for SLKT, we investigated the likelihood and predictors of renal recovery among patients who met the aforementioned criteria yet received liver transplant alone (LTA).

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed relative renal recovery (RRR; increase in eGFR to >30 ml/min) in adult LTA recipients between 1/2009 and 1/2019.

RESULTS

Of 1165 LT recipients, 54 met 2017 UNOS criteria, with 37 receiving LTA. RRR occurred in 84% of LTA recipients, none of whom had pre-LT eGFR <20 ml/min. Sustained RRR (>180 days) occurred in 43% of patients. While prolonged pre-LT severe renal impairment (eGFR <30 ml/min) predicted failure to have sustained RRR (HR .19 per 90-day, CI .04-.87, p < .005), having an eGFR measurement of >30 ml/min within 90 days pre-LT (HR 5.52, CI 1.23-24.79, p .01) associated with achieving sustained RRR. Sustained RRR was protective against the composite outcome of renal replacement therapy, kidney transplant, and death (HR .21, p .01).

CONCLUSION

LT candidates who meet 2017 UNOS criteria for SLKT yet undergo LTA can still have relative renal recovery post-LT, exceeding 80% on short-term follow-up and 40% on long-term follow-up. eGFR trends within 90 days pre-LT can predict sustained renal recovery, which appears protective of adverse outcomes. These recovery rates advocate for applying the more restrictive criteria for SLKT outlined in this article and increasing utilization of the safety net (SN) policy for those who do not meet the proposed criteria.

Predictors of solid extra-hepatic non-skin cancer in liver transplant recipients and analysis of survival: A long-term follow-up study

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

De novo malignancies represent an important cause of death for liver transplant recipients. Our aim was to analyze predictors of extra-hepatic non-skin cancer (ESNSC) and the impact of ESNSC on the long-term outcome.

PATIENTS

We examined data from patients transplanted between 2000 and 2005 and followed-up in five Italian transplant clinics with a retrospective observational cohort study. Cox Regression was performed to identify predictors of ESNSC. A 1:2 cohort sub-study was developed to analyze the impact of ESNSC on 10-year survival.

RESULTS

We analyzed data from 367 subjects (median follow-up: 15 years). Patients with ESNSC (n = 47) more often developed post-LT diabetes mellitus (DM) (57.4% versus 35,9%, p = 0.004). At multivariate analysis, post-LT DM independently predicted ESNSC (HR 1.929, CI 1.029-3.616, p = 0.040). Recipients with ESNSC showed a lower 10-year survival than matched controls (46,8% versus 68,1%, p = 0.023).

CONCLUSIONS

Post-LT DM seems to be a relevant risk factor for post-LT ESNSC. ESNSC could have a noteworthy impact on the long-term survival of LT recipients.

Designing and Psychometric Properties of Appraisal Adherence to Care and Treatment Scale in Liver Transplantation Recipients

Background: Care and treatment adherence are important factors for given good liver transplantation outcomes. Objectives: Design and validate an instrument to appraise adherence to care and treatment in liver transplantation recipients. Methods: A mixed-methods sequential exploratory study was conducted in two phases from 2017 to 2019, in the Liver Transplantation Clinic Tehran, Iran. In the qualitative phase, the concept of care and treatment adherence in liver transplantation recipients extracted by a conventional content analysis was performed on semi-structural interviews that were conducted on 18 liver transplantation recipients that were recruited through purposive sampling technique. Also, two physicians, one nurse coordinator of the liver transplantation team, and two family members were interviewed. The scale was developed based on operational definitions extracted from the qualitative phase. The validity was assessed by face, content, construct validity, and confirmatory factor analysis. The reliability was also evaluated by calculating test-retest intraclass correlation coefficient and Cronbach's alpha. The exploratory factor analysis was carried out with 286 filled the questionnaire. Results: Four factors were extracted in factor analysis. These factors explained 45.622% of the variance. The final version of the scale consisted of 20 items. The Cronbach's alpha coefficient reported as 0.889 for the total scale and the intraclass correlation coefficient was reported as 0.912. The confirmatory factor analysis led to a fitting model. Chi-square indices were reported as CMIN/DF = 2.34, NFI = 0.94, CFI = 0.96, and RAMSEA = 0.067. Conclusions: With a four factors structure, validity and reliability of adherence to care and treatment scale are acceptable; therefore, it can be used for appraisal care and treatment adherence in liver transplant recipients.

2020 Clinical Update in Liver Transplantation

The gold standard treatment of end-stage liver disease continues to be liver transplantation (LT). The challenges of LT require skilled anesthesiologists to anticipate physiologic changes associated with end-stage liver disease and surgical considerations that affect multiple organ systems. While on the waiting list, patients may be placed on new anticoagulation medications that can confound already complex coagulopathy in LT patients. Pain management often is an afterthought for such a complex procedure, but appropriate medications can help control pain while limiting opioid medications. Surgical stress and medications for immunosuppression can affect perioperative glucose management in ways that have implications for patient and graft survival. The coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic in 2020 provided a new challenge for anesthesiologists. The uncertainty of the novel respiratory virus challenged providers beyond just LT patients.

Sudden cardiac death following liver transplantation: Incidence, trends and risk predictors

BACKGROUND

Cardiovascular events are a leading cause of mortality following liver transplantation (LT). Although a preponderance of sudden cardiac death (SCD) in this population has been reported, there is a paucity of data evaluating the incidence, timing and predictors of SCD following LT.

METHODS

Using the prospectively collected Australian and New Zealand Liver Transplant Registry, a cohort study of all adult LTs from 1985 to 2017 was performed to ascertain the incidence and predictors of SCD. Recipient cause of death was adjudicated by an interdisciplinary panel.

RESULTS

4265 LT patients were followed-up for 37,409 person-years. SCD was the leading mode of cardiovascular death with an incidence rate of 165 per 100,000 person-years. There was a significant increase in the hazard of SCD in the contemporary (1996-2017) vs early era (1985-1995) (hazard ratio [HR] 2.42, 95%CI 1.10-5.40; p = 0.02). On Cox regression after adjusting for significant univariate predictors including age, coronary artery disease and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis, pre-transplant diabetes was the only independent predictor of SCD (HR 2.5 95%CI 1.1-6.0).

CONCLUSION

SCD is the leading mode of cardiovascular cause-specific mortality following LT and diabetes was associated with a two-fold higher risk for its occurrence. Given the escalating cardiovascular risk factor profile of LT candidates, targeted therapies especially in patients with diabetes are needed to mitigate risk of post-transplant SCD.

Metabolic Disorders After Liver Transplantation

Early after surgery, liver transplant (LT) recipients often develop weight gain due to an increase of caloric intake and fat mass (without recovery of muscle frame). This modification of body composition together with a negative metabolic impact of immunosuppressive drugs leads to a high prevalence of all the main metabolic disorders. Indeed, as expected, transplanted patients show a higher cardiovascular risk in comparison with general population. Notably, seeing the increase of mean age of transplanted population, metabolic disorders represent the true challenge for the transplant community. Considering the lack of evidences or clear indications about prevention, early diagnosis and treatment of metabolic disorders after LT, it would be mandatory to develop targeted further studies on this matter.