Morbidity and mortality of pneumonia in adults in six Latin American countries

Cost-effectiveness analysis of the pediatric 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine compared with lower-valent alternatives in Argentina

OBJECTIVES

The 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) has been recommended for infants in Argentina's national immunization program (NIP) in a 2 + 1 schedule since 2012. Licensure of the 15-valent vaccine (PCV15) is anticipated soon, and the 20-valent vaccine (PCV20) recently received regulatory approval. This cost-effectiveness analysis examined the public health and economic implications of transitioning from PCV13 to either PCV15 or PCV20 in Argentina's pediatric NIP.

METHODS

A decision-analytic Markov model was used with a 10-year time horizon and a 3.0% annual discount rate for costs and benefits. Vaccine effectiveness estimates were derived from Argentinian surveillance data, PCV13 clinical effectiveness and impact studies, and PCV7 efficacy studies. Population, epidemiologic, and economic inputs were obtained from literature and Argentinian-specific data. The study adopted a healthcare system perspective; sensitivity and scenario analyses were conducted to assess input parameters and structural uncertainty.

RESULTS

Compared with PCV13, PCV20 was estimated to avert an additional 7,378, 42,884, and 172,389 cases of invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD), all-cause pneumonia, and all-cause otitis media (OM), respectively, as well as 3,308 deaths, resulting in savings of United States Dollars (USD) 50,973,962 in direct medical costs. Compared with PCV15, PCV20 was also estimated to have greater benefit, averting an additional 6,140, 35,258, and 142,366 cases of IPD, pneumonia, and OM, respectively, as well as 2,624 deaths, resulting in savings of USD 37,697,868 in direct medical costs. PCV20 was associated with a higher quality-adjusted life year gain and a lower cost (i.e., dominance) versus both PCV13 and PCV15. Results remained robust in sensitivity analyses and scenario assessments.

CONCLUSION

Over a 10-year horizon, vaccination with PCV20 was expected to be the dominant, cost-saving strategy versus PCV13 and PCV15 in children in Argentina. Policymakers should consider the PCV20 vaccination strategy to achieve the greatest clinical and economic benefit compared with lower-valent options.

Cost-Effectiveness of 20-Valent Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine in Argentinean Adults

INTRODUCTION

In Argentina, vaccination with 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) followed by 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPSV23; PCV13 → PPSV23) has been recommended for all adults aged ≥ 65 years and younger adults with chronic medical ("moderate-risk") or immunocompromising ("high-risk") conditions since 2017. With the approval of a 20-valent PCV (PCV20), we evaluated the cost-effectiveness of PCV20 versus current recommendations for moderate-/high-risk adults aged 18-64 years and all adults 65-99 years.

METHODS

A probabilistic cohort model was used to project lifetime outcomes and costs associated with invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) and all-cause non-bacteremic pneumonia (NBP), and the expected impact of vaccination. Clinical outcomes were projected annually based on Argentinean data. Economic costs were estimated based on cases and corresponding medical costs (adjusted to 2023 USD) and costs of vaccine and administration. Cost-effectiveness of PCV20 was evaluated versus the current strategy, PCV13 → PPSV23, and alternatively, versus sequentially administered 15-valent PCV and PPSV23 (PCV15 →  PPSV23), and presented as cost per quality-adjusted life year gained; a healthcare system perspective was used. Costs and benefits were discounted at 3%/year.

RESULTS

PCV20 in lieu of PCV13 → PPSV23 among moderate-/high-risk adults aged 18-64 years and all adults 65-99 years (N = 13.4M) prevented 3838 IPD, 4377 inpatient NBP, and 6003 outpatient NBP cases, and 1865 disease-related deaths; relative to PCV15 → PPSV23 the corresponding reductions were 2775, 3285, 4518, and 1348. PCV20 was projected to be the dominant strategy versus PCV13 → PPSV23 and PCV15 → PPSV23 as overall costs were lower by $87.6M and $80.8M, respectively. In probabilistic sensitivity analyses, PCV20 was dominant (i.e., more effective, less costly) in 100% of 1000 simulations.

CONCLUSIONS

Analyses suggest implementing a PCV20 vaccination program in moderate-/high-risk adults aged 18-64 years and all adults ≥ 65 years-in lieu of PCV13 → PPSV23-would yield substantial reductions in pneumococcal disease and would be cost saving to the Argentinean healthcare system.

Bacterial etiology of community-acquired pneumonia among adult patients in Ethiopia: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Background and objective

According to the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors, lower respiratory infections cause more than 2.3 million deaths globally, with a majority occurring in sub-Saharan Africa, including Ethiopia.Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is a major contributor to global mortality and morbidity. Understanding the prevalence and common bacterial causes of CAP is crucial for clinicians to accurately diagnose and improve patient satisfaction. The purpose of this systematic review was to report the pooled prevalence and common bacterial etiologies of CAP among adult patients in Ethiopia.

Methods

This review was conducted based on the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis (PRISMA) guidelines. A comprehensive search of the published articles between January 2000 and October 2022 was performed using open access electronic databases such as PUBMED, Science Direct, CINAHL, HINARI, Google Scholar, and local university repositories. Cochrane Q and I2 values were used to assess heterogeneity among the studies. Publication bias was assessed using funnel plots and Egger's test. The random-effects model was used to estimate the pooled prevalence.

Results and conclusions

Of all the publications that were thoroughly searched, 9 studies with 2496 participants met the criteria for analysis. All of the studies were cross-sectionally designed and most of the studies used convenient sampling techniques. The included studies consisted of two conducted among adult patients diagnosed with CAP and living with HIV/AIDS, while the remaining seven studies were conducted among adult patients diagnosed with CAP without HIV/AIDS. The combined prevalence of bacterial causes of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) among adult patients was found to be 39.18% (CI 36.34-42.02), with an I2 of 52.6 and a P value of 0.032. The primary bacterial cause was Klebsiella pneumoniae (9.1%), followed by Streptococcus pneumoniae (8.11%), and Staphylococcus aureus (6.8%). Therefore, it is advisable to introduce a diagnostic tool for identifying specific causative agents and drug resistance, which could lead to improved treatment and better patient outcomes by reducing the need for empirical treatments.

Sequence Type 5 (ST5) as a Possible Predictor of Bacterial Persistence in Adult Patients with Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcus aureus Pneumonia Treated with Vancomycin

Vancomycin remains the mainstay of treatment for methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) pneumonia. This study assessed risk factors for vancomycin failure in 63 patients with MRSA pneumonia through detailed clinical, microbiological, pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic, and genetic analyses of prospective multicenter studies conducted from February 2012 to July 2018. Therapeutic drug monitoring was performed during vancomycin treatment, and the 24-h area under the curve (AUC_0-24) was calculated. All baseline strains were collected for MIC determination, heterogeneous vancomycin-intermediate S. aureus (hVISA) screening, and biofilm determination. Whole-genome sequencing was performed on the isolates to analyze their molecular typing and virulence and adhesion genes. Clinical signs and symptoms improved in 44 patients (44/63, 69.8%), with vancomycin daily dose (P = 0.045), peak concentration (P = 0.020), and sdrC (P = 0.047) being significant factors. Isolates were eradicated in 51 patients (51/63, 81.0%), with vancomycin daily dose (P = 0.009), cardiovascular disease (P = 0.043), sequence type 5 (ST5; P = 0.017), tst (P = 0.050), and sec gene (P = 0.044) associated with bacteriological failure. Although the AUC_0-24/MIC was higher in the groups with bacterial eradication, the difference was not statistically significant (P = 0.108). Multivariate analysis showed that no variables were associated with clinical efficacy; ST5 was a risk factor for bacterial persistence (adjusted odds ratio, 4.449; 95% confidence interval, 1.103 to 17.943; P = 0.036). ST5 strains had higher frequencies of the hVISA phenotype, biofilm expression, and presence of some adhesion and virulence genes such as fnbB, tst, and sec than non-ST5 strains. Our study suggests that ST5 is a possible predictor of bacterial persistence in MRSA pneumonia treated with vancomycin. IMPORTANCE Few studies have simultaneously examined the influence of clinical characteristics of patients with pneumonia, the vancomycin pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic (PK/PD) index, and the phenotypic and genetic characteristics of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) strains. We assessed risk factors for vancomycin failure in patients with MRSA pneumonia by analyzing these influences in a prospective multicenter study. Sequence type 5 (ST5) was a possible predictor of bacterial persistence in adult patients with MRSA pneumonia (adjusted odds ratio, 4.449). We found that this may be related to ST5 strains having higher levels of vancomycin heterogeneous resistance, biofilms, and the presence of adhesion and virulence genes such as fnbB, tst, and sec.

Frontline workers: Mediators of mucosal immunity in community acquired pneumonia and COVID-19

The current COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted a need to further understand lung mucosal immunity to reduce the burden of community acquired pneumonia, including that caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus. Local mucosal immunity provides the first line of defence against respiratory pathogens, however very little is known about the mechanisms involved, with a majority of literature on respiratory infections based on the examination of peripheral blood. The mortality for severe community acquired pneumonia has been rising annually, even prior to the current pandemic, highlighting a significant need to increase knowledge, understanding and research in this field. In this review we profile key mediators of lung mucosal immunity, the dysfunction that occurs in the diseased lung microenvironment including the imbalance of inflammatory mediators and dysbiosis of the local microbiome. A greater understanding of lung tissue-based immunity may lead to improved diagnostic and prognostic procedures and novel treatment strategies aimed at reducing the disease burden of community acquired pneumonia, avoiding the systemic manifestations of infection and excess morbidity and mortality.

The Association Between Antihypertensive Drug Use and Hospitalization for Pneumonia in the General Population: A Case-Crossover Study Using the National Health Insurance Database of Korea

BACKGROUND

Previous studies have reported an association between pneumonia risk and the use of certain drugs. We investigated the relationship between antihypertensive drugs and pneumonia in the general population.

METHODS

This case-crossover study utilized the nationwide data of South Korea. We included participants who were hospitalized for pneumonia. A single case period was defined as 30 days before pneumonia onset, and two control periods were established (90-120 and 150-180 days before pneumonia onset). Further, we performed sensitivity and subgroup analyses (according to the presence of diabetes, documented disability, and whether participants were aged ≥ 70 years). We used conditional logistic regression models adjusted for covariates, such as angiotensin-converting-enzyme (ACE) inhibitors, angiotensin receptor blockers (ARBs), other antihypertensives, statins, antipsychotics, benzodiazepine, and the number of outpatient visits.

RESULTS

In total, 15,463 subjects were included in this study. ACE inhibitors (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 0.660; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.558-0.781), ARBs (aOR, 0.702; 95% CI, 0.640-0.770), and other antihypertensive drugs (aOR, 0.737; 95% CI, 0.665-0.816) were significantly associated with reduced pneumonia risk. Subgroup analyses according to the presence of diabetes mellitus, documented disability, and whether participants were aged ≥ 70 years consistently showed the association of antihypertensives with a reduced risk of hospitalization for pneumonia.

CONCLUSION

All antihypertensive drug types were related to a lower risk of hospitalization for pneumonia in the general population. Our results implied that frequent medical service usage and protective immunity were primarily related to a reduced risk of pneumonia in the general population of South Korea.

Systematic review and meta-analysis of comorbidities and associated risk factors in Indian patients of community-acquired pneumonia

Objective:

Comorbidities and risk factors have a major implication on incidence, complications, mortality, and management of community-acquired pneumonia complications and treatment outcomes. This study attempts to identify the same in the Indian population through a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Methods:

We screened observational studies (between January 1990 and February 2021) that reported potential comorbidities and other factors associated with increased risk of community-acquired pneumonia in the Indian population (⩾12 years) using PubMed, Google Scholar, and manual search. The risk of bias was identified using the Joanna Briggs Institute checklist for prevalence studies. Meta-analysis was conducted by using the random intercept logistic regression model.

Results:

Twenty-three studies were included in this analysis. The most prevalent comorbidities were chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (24.2%; 95% confidence interval: 16.4%–34.2%), hypertension (23.7%; 95% confidence interval: 13.6%–38.1%), and diabetes mellitus (16%; 95% confidence interval: 9.9%–24.7%). The prevalence of community-acquired pneumonia was high in patients with a current or previous history of smoking (51.4%; 95% confidence interval: 42.3%–61%) and advanced age ⩾50 years: (55.8%; 95% confidence interval: 48.4%–62%).

Conclusions:

Comorbid conditions like chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, hypertension, and diabetes mellitus and factors like advanced age and smoking history were common risk factors for community-acquired pneumonia in the Indian population.

Incidence, aetiology and serotype coverage for pneumococcal vaccines of community-acquired pneumonia in adults: a population-based prospective active surveillance study in Brazil

OBJECTIVES

To determine the incidence, aetiology and pneumococcal serotype distribution of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) in Brazilian adults during a 2-year period.

DESIGN

Prospective population-based surveillance study.

SETTING

Patients from two emergency hospitals in Brazil were consecutively included in this study.

PARTICIPANTS

A total of 111 adults aged 50 years and older with radiographically-confirmed CAP requiring an emergency department visit were prospectively enrolled between January 2018 and January 2020.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Incidence rates of CAP were calculated according to age and pathogen. Pathogens were identified by conventional microbiological methods. Additionally, a novel, Luminex-based serotype specific urinary antigen detection assay was used to detect serotypes included in pneumococcal vaccines.

RESULTS

Mean age of participants was 64 years and 31% were aged ≥70 years. Aetiology was established in 61 (57%) patients; among identified cases, the most common pathogens were Streptococcus pneumoniae (42/61, 69%) and influenza (4/61, 7%). Among serotypes identified from the 42 cases of pneumococcal CAP, estimated coverage ranged by pneumococcal vaccine formulations from 47.6% (13-valent), 59.5% (20-valent, licenced in the USA only) and 71.4% (23-valent). In patients with CAP, 20-valent pneumococcal vaccine serotypes were identified 2.5 times more frequently than 10-valent pneumococcal vaccine serotypes (22.5% vs 9.0%). The incidence rate for CAP in adults aged ≥50 years was 20.1 per 10 000 person-years. In general, the incidence of CAP increased consistently with age, reaching 54.4 (95% CI 36.8 to -76.6) per 10 000 in adults 80 years or older.

CONCLUSIONS

We observed a high burden of pneumococcal CAP among adults in Brazil. Despite the routine immunisation of children and high-risk adults against pneumococcal disease in the Brazilian national vaccination programme, a persistent burden of pneumococcal CAP caused by vaccine serotypes remains in this population.

Community-acquired pneumonia: Trends in and research on drug resistance and advances in new antibiotics

Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) refers to infectious inflammation of the lung parenchyma developing outside of a hospital. CAP has quite a high mortality and morbidity rate worldwide, and especially among elderly patients. The increasing burden of CAP is due to antibiotic resistance, the growth of the elderly population, and underlying comorbidities. Streptococcus pneumoniae remains the most common bacterial pathogen causing CAP, but multi-drug resistance bacteria and potential pathogens have increased the difficulty and challenges of managing CAP. Although preventive measures, diagnostic techniques, and treatment strategies are constantly advancing and improving, the susceptibility of multi-drug resistant pathogens, such as including Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA), Klebsiella pneumoniae, and Pseudomonas aeruginosa, has not improved significantly in recent decades, thus highlighting the importance and necessity of developing new antibiotics for the treatment of CAP. New antimicrobials have been approved over the past few years that will expand treatment options for CAP, and especially for patients with potential comorbidities. This situation also offers the chance to reduce the abuse of antibiotics, their toxicities, and their adverse reactions and to provide effective personalized antibiotic treatment.

An evaluation of the Unyvero pneumonia system for rapid detection of microorganisms and resistance markers of lower respiratory infections-a multicenter prospective study on ICU patients

Rapid diagnosis of microorganisms and antibiotic resistance is vital for the appropriate treatment of patients with lower respiratory infections, especially for patients in Intensive Care Unit. We conducted a multicenter prospective study to evaluate the ability of the Unyvero pneumonia system for rapid detection from bronchoalveolar lavage fluid (BALF) in China. Eighty-four patients with lower respiratory infections were enrolled, and their BALF samples were collected, and Unyvero, a rapid molecular diagnostic sample-to-answer solution based on multiple PCRs, was applied to detect 21 types of pathogens and 19 types of resistance markers, compared to a routine bacterial culture method. The overall concordance of Unyvero and routine culture was 69/84 (82.1%). Unyvero detected more microorganisms than routine culture (38.1% vs 27.4%, P<0.05) and reported multi-pathogens in more patients than routine culture (10.7% vs 2.4%, P=0.01). The overall sensitivity and specificity of Unyvero for bacteria detection were 84.0% and 98.0%. Besides, Unyvero showed a good performance for antibiotic-resistant bacteria, except Pseudomonas aeruginosa. The concordance was 87.5-100% for methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus and carbapenem-resistant isolates but was only 20-33.3% for Pseudomonas aeruginosa. The high-level semi-quantitative signal intensity of microorganisms detected positive by Unyvero correlates well with positive bacterial cultures. For specimens that were exposed to antibiotic treatment, the Unyvero pneumonia system showed a high concordance with routine bacterial culture and performs well for the detection of antibiotic-resistant bacteria, especially, carbapenem-resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae. It shows promise in guiding the clinical use of antibiotics, such as ceftazidime/avibactam. However, the system needs improvement in detecting resistance markers of Pseudomonas aeruginosa.

Factors associated with lethality from pneumonia in an acute care for the elderly unit: a retrospective cohort

Introduction: Pneumonia is the leading cause of death due to infection in the world, mainly affecting the older adult population. Objective: To determine the risk factors associated with lethality at 30 days in patients with pneumonia in an acute care for the elderly unit. Materials and methods: We conducted an observational, analytical retrospective cohort study including 114 patients aged 60 years and older hospitalized in an acute care geriatric unit with a diagnosis of pneumonia. The primary outcome was lethality at 30 days. Bivariate and multivariable log-binomial regression analyzes were performed to explore the relationship between independent variables and the primary outcome. Results: The 30-day lethality was 26.3% and the mean age was 84.45 ± 7.37 years; 54.4% of participants were men. In the multivariable analysis, age ≥90 years (Relative Risk, RR=1.62, 95% CI: 1.05-2.68, p=0.04), multilobar commitment (RR=1.92, 95% CI:1.12-3.32, p=0.02), elevated urea nitrogen (≥22.5 the median; RR=3.93, 95% CI:1.67-9.25, p<0.01), and a score of zero in the Lawton index at admission (RR=3.20, 95% CI:1.05-9.78, p=0.04) were independent predictors of 30-day lethality from pneumonia. Conclusion: In older adults hospitalized for pneumonia in an acute care geriatric unit, advanced age, the presence of multilobar commitment, dependency in functional status, and elevated ureic nitrogen levels were the main predictors of short-term lethality risk.

Education and pneumonia mortality: a trend analysis of its inequalities in Colombian adults

OBJECTIVE

To explore the existence and trends of social inequalities related to pneumonia mortality in Colombian adults using educational level as a proxy of socioeconomic status.

METHODS

We obtained individual and anonymised registries from death certificates due to pneumonia for 1998-2015. Educational level data were gathered from microdata of the Colombian Demography Health Surveys. Rate ratios (RR) were estimated by using Poisson regression models, comparing mortality of educational groups with mortality in the highest education group. Relative index of inequality (RII) was measured to assess changes in disparities, regressing mortality on the midpoint of the cumulative distribution of education, thereby considering the size of each educational group.

RESULTS

For adults 25+ years, the risk of dying was significantly higher among lower educated. The RRs depict increased risks of dying comparing lower and highest education level, and this tendency was stronger in woman than in men (RR for primary education=2.34 (95% CI 2.32 to 2.36), RR for secondary education=1.77 (95% CI 1.75 to 1.78) versus RR for primary education=1.83 (95% CI 1.81 to 1.85), RR for secondary education=1.51 (95% CI 1.50 to 1.53)). According to age groups, young adults (25-44 years) showed the largest inequality in terms of educational level; RRs for pneumonia mortality regarding the tertiary educated groups show increased mortality in the lower and secondary educated, and these differences decreased with ages. RII in pneumonia mortality among adult men was 2.01 (95% CI 2.00 to 2.03) and in women 2.46 (95% CI 2.43 to 2.48). The RII was greatest at young ages, for both sexes. Time trends showed steadily significant increases for RII in both men and women (estimated annual percentage change (EAPC)men=3.8; EAPCwomen=2.6).

CONCLUSION

A significant increase on the educational inequalities in mortality due to pneumonia during all period was found among men and women. Efforts to reduce pneumonia mortality in adults improving population health by raising education levels should be strengthened with policies that assure widespread access to economic and social opportunities.

Community-Acquired Bacterial Pneumonia-Changing Epidemiology, Resistance Patterns, and Newer Antibiotics: Spotlight on Delafloxacin

Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is a major cause of morbidity and mortality both in the USA and globally. As the burden of CAP continues to increase due to several factors, the advances in its diagnosis, prevention, and treatment have taken on even greater interest and importance. The majority of CAP patients are treated empirically, and selection of appropriate antibiotic treatment is increasingly difficult because the epidemiology of CAP is changing, in part due to antimicrobial resistance, and the causative CAP pathogens differ between countries and regions. There is also an increasing prevalence of chronic co-morbid diseases among CAP patients. Treatment of CAP has become challenging because of these factors along with the varying safety profiles and efficacy of well-established antibiotics, as well as limited new therapeutic options. Recently, however, new antibiotics have been approved, which will expand the treatment options for CAP, particularly in those patients with underlying complications. Recently approved delafloxacin, an anionic fluoroquinolone, has a unique structure and distinct chemical characteristics; it demonstrated non-inferiority to moxifloxacin in a phase III clinical trial, but was shown to be superior to moxifloxacin at early clinical response in CAP patients who also have chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) or asthma as a co-morbidity, and in CAP patients who may have severe illness. Delafloxacin could offer an additional therapy against resistant isolates and among these difficult-to-treat patients. This review summarizes the development, latest research, and safety profile of the new antibiotic delafloxacin, and its potential future role in the treatment of CAP.

Triaging Total Hip Arthroplasty During the COVID-19 Pandemic

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

The purpose of this review was to evaluate the available literature to determine what may be considered urgent indications for total hip arthroplasty, in the unprecedented setting of the worldwide COVID-19 pandemic.

RECENT FINDINGS

SARS-CoV-2 is a novel coronavirus currently presenting in the form of a global pandemic, referred to as COVID-19. In this setting, multiple states have issued executive orders prohibiting "elective" surgery, including arthroplasty, in order to preserve healthcare resources. However, during this unprecedented reduction in elective surgery, there is likely to be some controversy as to what constitutes a purely "elective" procedure, versus an "urgent" procedure, particularly regarding hip arthroplasty. We reviewed the available literature for articles discussing the most commonly encountered indications for primary, conversion, and revision hip arthroplasty. Based upon the indications discussed in these articles, we further stratified these indications into "elective" versus "urgent" categories. In patients presenting with hip arthroplasty indications, the decision to proceed urgently with surgery should be based upon (a) the potential harm incurred by the patient if the surgery was delayed and (b) the potential risk incurred by the patient in the context of COVID-19 if surgery was performed. The authors present a decision-making algorithm for determining surgical urgency in three patients who underwent surgery in this context. Urgent total hip arthroplasty in the setting of the COVID-19 pandemic is a complex decision-making process, involving clinical and epidemiological factors. These decisions are best made in coordination with a multidisciplinary committee of one's peers. Region-specific issues such as hospital resources and availability of PPE may also inform the decision-making process.

Burden of Community-Acquired Pneumonia and Unmet Clinical Needs

Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is the leading cause of death among infectious diseases and an important health problem, having considerable implications for healthcare systems worldwide. Despite important advances in prevention through vaccines, new rapid diagnostic tests and antibiotics, CAP management still has significant drawbacks. Mortality remains very high in severely ill patients presenting with respiratory failure or shock but is also high in the elderly. Even after a CAP episode, higher risk of death remains during a long period, a risk mainly driven by inflammation and patient-related co-morbidities. CAP microbiology has been altered by new molecular diagnostic tests that have turned viruses into the most identified pathogens, notwithstanding uncertainties about the specific role of each virus in CAP pathogenesis. Pneumococcal vaccines also impacted CAP etiology and thus had changed Streptococcus pneumoniae circulating serotypes. Pathogens from specific regions should also be kept in mind when treating CAP. New antibiotics for CAP treatment were not tested in severely ill patients and focused on multidrug-resistant pathogens that are unrelated to CAP, limiting their general use and indications for intensive care unit (ICU) patients. Similarly, CAP management could be personalized through the use of adjunctive therapies that showed outcome improvements in particular patient groups. Although pneumococcal vaccination was only convincingly shown to reduce invasive pneumococcal disease, with a less significant effect in pneumococcal CAP, it remains the best therapeutic intervention to prevent bacterial CAP. Further research in CAP is needed to reduce its population impact and improve individual outcomes.

Factors associated with death in bedridden patients in China: A longitudinal study

BACKGROUND

Immobility is common and associated with adverse outcomes in hospitalized patients, especially older people. However, the factors contributing to mortality in bedridden patients are not well known. This study aimed to estimate short-term mortality and analyze risk factors that affect the prognosis of bedridden patients.

METHODS

This was a multicenter study in China involving 23,738 patients admitted to 25 hospitals between November 2015 and June 2016. All-cause mortality was recorded for 90 days after enrollment regardless of whether death occurred before or after discharge. Socio-demographic and clinical information was obtained from an electronic database. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to identify factors associated with mortality.

RESULTS

In total, 23,738 hospitalized bedridden patients, there were 1,114 (4.7%) observed deaths. The overall mortality rate was therefore 4.7%. Of these, 318 (1.4%) died while hospitalized and 796 (3.4%) after discharge. The univariate Cox regression analysis showed that variables significantly associated with 90-day mortality included total time spent bedridden, urinary tract infection and pulmonary infection (p<0.05). The multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that the independent risk factors for death were age (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.006, 95% CI 1.000-1.011), and pulmonary infection (aHR 1.439, 95% CI 1.266-1.635). The hazard ratios for mortality were reduced with urinary tract infection and more time spent bedridden.

CONCLUSIONS

The mortality after discharge was significantly higher than mortality in hospital. The factors affecting short-term mortality in bedridden patients included age, time spent bedridden, urinary tract infection and pulmonary infection. This suggests these factors may be potential predictors of mortality in bedridden patients. It is essential for medical staff to improve health education of patients and family members, pay more attention to follow up after discharge and meet care needs at home.

Factors associated with in-hospital mortality from community-acquired pneumonia in Portugal: 2000-2014

Background

Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is one of the leading causes of morbidity and mortality worldwide, often leading to hospital admissions. In Portugal, the factors associated with in-hospital mortality due to CAP are not fully documented. The aim of this study was to characterize the trends of CAP hospitalization in all age groups and the factors associated with their mortality between 2000 and 2014.

Methods

We conducted a cross-sectional study using CAP hospitalization data in all age groups, in Portugal Mainland. Logistic regression was used to identify the factors associated with in-hospital mortality.

Results

Between 2001 and 2011, CAP hospitalization rate increased from 2.8 to 4.3 per 1000 population. Hospitalization rates were higher in the extreme ages ( ≤ 4 and  ≥ 75 years). However, a decrease in the hospitalization rate and its mortality was observed, in the younger ages.

A total of 548,699 hospitalization CAP episodes, between 2000 and 2014, were analyzed, with male (56.2%) and elderly ≥65 years (91.7%) predominance, resulting in 101,740 deaths (18.5%). Men had a significantly lower mean age (64.3 ± 26.4 years versus 67.9 ± 27.5 years; p < 0.001). During the studied 15 years, there was an increase of 45.2% in the number of annual hospitalizations, concomitant with the admission increase of individuals aged over 75 years. Since 2012 a decrease in hospitalizations and associated deaths were detected.

The increase in age represented a progressive and significant rise in the probability of death, except for the age group 1–4 years. The age group ≥85 years old (Adjusted OR = 124.256; 95%CI: 97.838–157.807) and males (Adjusted OR = 1.261; 95%CI: 1.243–1.280) were significantly associated with death risk for CAP hospitalization. After 2010, this risk decreased (Adjusted OR = 0.961; 95%CI: 0.940–0.982). The main factors affecting mortality were age, sex, unemployment rate, number of performed procedures and admission quinquennia.

Conclusions

Despite a trend of decrease in CAP hospitalizations and associated death since 2012, the numbers of in-hospital mortality showed, in the 15 years under analysis, an overall increase over time, mainly associated with age, in particular very old people ( ≥ 75 years), males and a higher parish unemployment rate. Therefore, the implementation of CAP preventive measures should be reinforced in these vulnerable groups.

Stoszek S, Gallichan S, Kieffer A, Demont C, Denouel A, Cheret A, Gavart S, Aerssens J, Fuentes R, Rosen B, Nair H, Campbell H, Shi T, Zhang S, Li Y, Openshaw P, Wedzicha J, Falsey A, Miller M, Beutels P, Bont L, Pollard A, Molero E, Martinon-Torres F, Heikkinen T, Meijer A, Kølsen Fischer T, van den Berge M, Giaquinto C, Mikolajczyk R, Hackett J, Cai B, Knirsch C, Leach A, K. Stoszek S, Gallichan S, Kieffer A, Demont C, Denouel A, Cheret A, Gavart S, Aerssens J, Fuentes R, Rosen B. Global and Regional Burden of Hospital Admissions for Pneumonia in Older Adults: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Pneumonia constitutes a substantial disease burden among adults overall and those who are elderly. We aimed to identify all studies investigating the disease burden among older adults (age, ≥65 years) admitted to the hospital with pneumonia. We estimated the hospital admission rate and in-hospital case-fatality ratio (CFR) of pneumonia in older adults, stratified by age and economic status (industrialized vs developing), with data from a systematic review of studies published from 1996 through 2017 and from 8 unpublished population-based studies. We applied these rate estimates to population estimates for 2015 to calculate the global and regional burden in older adults who would have been admitted to the hospital with pneumonia that year. We estimated the number of in-hospital pneumonia deaths by combining in-hospital CFRs with hospital admission estimates from hospital-based studies. We identified 109 eligible studies; 73 used clinical pneumonia as the case definition, and 36 used radiologically confirmed pneumonia as the case definition. We estimated that, in 2015, 6.8 million episodes (uncertainty range [UR], 5.8–8.0 episodes) of clinical pneumonia resulted in hospital admissions of older adults worldwide. The hospital admission rate increased with advancing age and was higher in men. The total disease burden was likely underestimated when using the definition of radiologically confirmed pneumonia. Based on data from 52 hospital studies reporting data on pneumonia mortality, we estimated that about 1.1 million in-hospital deaths (UR, 0.9–1.4 in-hospital deaths) occurred among older adults. The burden of pneumonia requiring hospitalization among older adults is substantial. Appropriate prevention and management strategies should be developed to reduce its impact.

The burden of community-acquired bacterial pneumonia in the era of antibiotic resistance

INTRODUCTION

Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is a significant global health problem and leading cause of death and hospitalization in both the US and abroad. Increasing macrolide resistance among Streptococcus pneumoniae and other pathogens results in a greater disease burden, along with changing demographics and a higher preponderance of comorbid conditions. Areas covered: This review summarizes current data on the clinical and economic burden of CAP, with particular focus on community-acquired bacterial pneumonia (CABP). Incidence, morbidity and mortality, and healthcare costs for the US and other regions of the world are among the topics covered. Major factors that are believed to be contributing to the increased impact of CABP, including antimicrobial resistance, the aging population, and the incidence of comorbidities are discussed, as well as unmet needs in current CABP management. Expert commentary: The clinical and economic burden of CABP is staggering, far-reaching, and expected to increase in the future as new antibiotic resistance mechanisms emerge and the world's population ages. Important measures must be initiated to stabilize and potentially decrease this burden. Urgent needs in CABP management include the development of new antimicrobials, adjuvant therapies, and rapid diagnostics.

Modeling the sustained use of the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine compared to switching to the 10-valent vaccine in Mexico

Introduction: Pneumococcal diseases caused by Streptococcus pneumoniae represent a significant health and economic burden. Mexico has benefited from the inclusion of the 7-valent (PCV7) and 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCV13) since their inclusion in the National Immunization Program (NIP) in 2006 and 2010, respectively. The objective of this study is to estimate the impact of the existing program and predict future implications of a change in the current program.

Methods: A previously published model was updated to estimate the historic impact of the PCV programs relative to pre-PCV implementation. Future disease trends were forecasted based on historical serotype behaviors for each PCV13 serotype and non-vaccine serotypes across different age groups. Costs and outcomes were estimated over a 10-year period based on continued use of PCV13 compared to a switch to PCV10.

Results: The PCV7 and subsequent PCV13 NIP were estimated to prevent over 1.5 million cases of pneumococcal disease and 1,854 deaths, corresponding to a net savings of $34.50 Billion MXN. Continued use of PCV13 was estimated to save over 300 thousand cases of pneumococcal disease and 373 deaths compared to switching to PCV10 over a 10-year period. Despite a higher vaccine cost, maintaining PCV13 was cost-saving compared to PCV10, saving $6.71 billion MXN over 10 years.

Conclusion: The PCV program in Mexico has provided a significant return on investment. Sustained PCV13 use was estimated to provide the greatest healthcare and economic impact in Mexico. Changes to the pneumococcal vaccination program could result in serotype replacement and reduction in herd effects.

Infections Up to 76 Days After Stroke Increase Disability and Death

Early infection after stroke is associated with a poor outcome. We aimed to determine whether delayed infections (up to 76 days post-stroke) are associated with poor outcome at 90 days. Data came from the international Efficacy of Nitric Oxide Stroke (ENOS, ISRCTN99414122) trial. Post hoc data on infections were obtained from serious adverse events reports between 1 and 76 days following stroke in this large cohort of patients. Regression models accounting for baseline covariates were used to analyse fatalities and functional outcomes (modified Rankin Scale (mRS), Barthel Index, Euro-Qol-5D) at 90 days, in patients with infection compared to those without infection. Of 4011 patients, 242 (6.0%) developed one or more serious infections. Infections were associated with an increased risk of death (p < 0.001) and an increased likelihood of dependency (measured by mRS) compared to those of all other patients (p < 0.001). This remained when only surviving patients were analysed, indicating that the worsening of functional outcome is not due to mortality (p < 0.001). In addition, the timing of the infection after stroke did not alter its detrimental association with fatality (p = 0.14) or functional outcome (p = 0.47). In conclusion, severe post-stroke infections, whether occurring early or late after stroke, are associated with an increased risk of death and poorer functional outcome, independent of differences in baseline characteristics or treatment. Not only are strategies needed for reducing the risk of infection immediately after stroke, but also during the first 3 months following a stroke. This study is registered: ISRCTN registry, number ISRCTN99414122, ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier, NCT00989716.

Epidemiological burden of invasive pneumococcal disease in children and adolescents with predisposing risk factors

OBJECTIVE

Some medical conditions constitute important risk factors for the development of invasive pneumococcal diseases in children and adolescents aged from 5 to 19 years. Conjugate vaccines have potential efficacy in this scenario, but are not available in many Latin American public healthcare systems for this age group. This study aimed to estimate the preventable fraction of invasive pneumococcal diseases among individuals aged from 5 to 19 years with associated risk factors for its development.

METHODS

Data regarding the Latin America population, risk factors prevalence and conjugate vaccines efficacy were obtained from the literature.

RESULTS

Total population at risk ranged from 17.3 to 64.6 million of individuals and asthma was the most impacting risk factor. According to SIREVA, PCV13 provided a 62.9% serotypes coverage in individuals from 5 to 29 years in 2012, potentially increasing the covered population from [8,338,457-31,057,620] with PCV10 to [10,906,356-40,622,078] with PCV13. To date, according to available efficacy data, the hypothetically immunized population ranged from 11.4 to 42.4 million, representing 7.0% to 26.0% of the total population in this age group.

CONCLUSIONS

Vaccination in risk groups should be encouraged, as it potentially contributes to the reduction in the number of cases of invasive pneumococcal disease.

Open-label trial of immunogenicity and safety of a 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in adults ≥ 50 years of age in Mexico

This open-label multicenter clinical trial conducted in Mexico assessed the immunogenicity and safety of a 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) in adults ≥ 50 years of age not previously vaccinated with the 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPSV23). The PCV13 elicited a robust immune response in this study population, as reflected by the magnitude of fold rises in functional antibody levels measured by serotype-specific opsonophagocytic activity (OPA) assays before and 1 month after vaccination. Although the prevaccination OPA geometric mean titers (GMTs) for the majority of the serotypes were significantly lower in the 50- to 64-year age group than those in the ≥ 65-year age group, the postvaccination immune responses were generally similar. The overall immune responses were higher for the majority of the serotypes in the Mexican study population than those in similar adult study populations who received the PCV13 in Europe and the United States. PCV13 was well tolerated, and there were no vaccine-related serious adverse events. In conclusion, PCV13 is safe and immunogenic when administered to adults ≥ 50 years of age in Mexico and has the potential to protect against vaccine-type pneumococcal disease. (This study has been registered at ClinicalTrials.gov under registration no. NCT01432262.).

Impact of a combined pediatric and adult pneumococcal immunization program on adult pneumonia incidence and mortality in Nicaragua

BACKGROUND

In 2010, Nicaragua implemented an adult immunization program with the 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPSV-23) and a pediatric immunization program with the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV-13). We assessed incidence rates of ambulatory visits and hospitalizations for pneumonia and pneumonia-related mortality in adults over the age of 50 years before and after the program's implementation in the Department of León, Nicaragua.

METHODS

We collected visit diagnoses from all 107 public health facilities between 2008 and 2012 in León. We compared incidence rates of ambulatory visits for pneumonia, pneumonia hospitalizations, and pneumonia-related mortality in the pre-vaccine (2008-2009) and vaccine (2011-2012) periods among older adults using Poisson regression with generalized estimating equations (GEE), controlling for age group, municipality, and proportions of adults who were immunized against influenza. Exposure time was estimated by official municipality population estimates.

RESULTS

We did not observe lower incidence rates of ambulatory visits or hospitalizations for pneumonia among adults during the vaccine period versus the pre-vaccine period. However, pneumonia-related mortality was lower in the vaccine period versus the pre-vaccine period, with an adjusted incidence rate ratio (IRRa) of 0.73 (0.56, 0.94) among adults aged 50-64 years, and 0.55 (0.43, 0.70) among adults aged ≥65 years.

CONCLUSIONS

These early results following introduction of a combined pediatric and adult pneumococcal immunization program in Nicaragua show a probable impact of the program on the reduction of pneumonia-related deaths in older adults, but a less clear impact on the reduction of health facility visits for pneumonia.