Neutrophil lymphocyte ratio in outcome prediction after emergency abdominal surgery in the elderly

Inflammatory Index as a Predictor of Mortality in Elderly Patients With Intracapsular Femoral Neck Fracture

A femoral neck fracture is a major cause of mortality in the elderly population, and intracapsular femoral neck fractures (ICFNFs) are commonly treated with hemiarthroplasty. The 30-day mortality rate for elderly hip fracture patients ranges from 1.0% to 6.5%, and one-year mortality increases significantly to 37.3%. Identifying predictors of mortality in these patients is crucial for better management. Inflammatory indices, such as neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), and monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR), have gained popularity for assessing mortality risk in various diseases. Several studies have demonstrated the value of these indices in predicting mortality after hip fracture. The pan-inflammatory immune value (PIV), which combines hematological parameters, has been shown to predict mortality in cancer patients. However, its role in predicting mortality in ICFNF patients treated with hemiarthroplasty has yet to be explored. This study aimed to assess the association of PIV, SII, NLR, and MLR with 30-day and one-year mortality in ICFNF patients. We also investigated the impact of surgical delay time (≤24h, 24-48h, ≥48h) on these inflammatory indices and mortality. Data from 522 patients with ICFNF treated with hemiarthroplasty were retrospectively collected. We observed 30-day and one-year mortality rates of 5.24% and 21.2%, respectively. Age, gender, and American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) score were identified as significant predictors of mortality. Preoperative PIV, SII, NLR, and MLR were significant predictors in the evaluation of early mortality. However, postoperatively, only NLR on the third day (NLR3rd) demonstrated statistical significance. Stepwise logistic regression further confirmed NLR3rd as the most effective predictor for early mortality. For mortality occurring between 30 to 365 days, NLR3rd remained statistically significant, albeit with diminished sensitivity. No other inflammatory index demonstrated significant predictive power for mortality during this later period. Our findings suggest different inflammatory indices may have varying predictive abilities depending on the mortality period. We recommend considering NLR3rd as a valuable and reliable predictor for early mortality in ICFNF patients treated with hemiarthroplasty. Respiratory system disease and preoperative chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) were identified as risk factors for mortality in our study, in line with previous research. In conclusion, our study highlights the potential of specific inflammatory indexes, particularly NLR3rd, in predicting mortality in elderly patients with ICFNFs treated with hemiarthroplasty. Further research is needed to validate these findings and optimize risk assessment in orthopedic practice.

The predictive value of perioperative circulating markers on surgical complications in patients undergoing robotic-assisted radical prostatectomy

BACKGROUND

The occurrence of postoperative complications was associated with poor outcomes for patients undergoing robotic-assisted radical prostatectomy. A prediction model with easily accessible indices could provide valuable information for surgeons. This study aims to identify novel predictive circulating biomarkers significantly associated with surgical complications.

METHODS

We consecutively assessed all multiport robotic-assisted radical prostatectomies performed between 2021 and 2022. The clinicopathological factors and perioperative levels of multiple circulating markers were retrospectively obtained from the included patients. The associations of these indices with Clavien-Dindo grade II or greater complications, and surgical site infection were assessed using univariable and multivariable logistic regression models. Further, the models were validated for the overall performance, discrimination, and calibration.

RESULTS

In total, 229 patients with prostate cancer were enrolled in this study. Prolonged operative time could independently predict surgical site infection (OR, 3.39; 95% CI, 1.09-10.54). Higher RBC (day 1-pre) implied lower risks of grade II or greater complications (OR, 0.24; 95% CI, 0.07-0.76) and surgical site infection (OR, 0.23; 95% CI, 0.07-0.78). Additionally, RBC (day 1-pre) independently predicted grade II or greater complications of obese patients (P value = 0.005) as well as those in higher NCCN risk groups (P value = 0.012). Regarding the inflammatory markers, NLR (day 1-pre) (OR, 3.56; 95% CI, 1.37-9.21) and CRP (day 1-pre) (OR, 4.16; 95% CI, 1.69-10.23) were significantly associated with the risk of grade II or greater complications, and both the indices were independent predictors in those with higher Gleason score, or in higher NCCN risk groups (P value < 0.05). The NLR (day 0-pre) could also predict the occurrence of surgical site infection (OR, 5.04; 95% CI, 1.07-23.74).

CONCLUSIONS

The study successfully identified novel circulating markers to assess the risk of surgical complications. Postoperative increase of NLR and CRP were independent predictors for grade II or greater complications, especially in those with higher Gleason score, or in higher NCCN risk groups. Additionally, a marked decrease of RBC after the surgery also indicated a higher possibility of surgical complications, especially for the relatively difficult procedures.

Prognostic Serum Biomarkers of Inflammaging in Patients Undergoing Emergency Laparotomy

Surgeons are increasingly faced with an ageing and frail patient population. There is a significant absence of biomarkers capable of risk stratifying patients undergoing emergency laparotomy. Inflammaging describes a state of chronic inflammation associated with ageing and frailty that may predict worse outcomes after surgery. This retrospective observational study evaluated pre-morbid inflammatory markers in the prognostication of older adult patients undergoing emergency laparotomy. Patients aged ≥65 years undergoing surgery between 1 April 2017 and 1 April 2022 were identified. Pre-admission and acute C-reactive protein (CRP), erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), total white cell count (WCC), neutrophil count (NC) and lymphocyte count (LC) datapoints were captured. Pre-operative risk stratification scores and post-operative outcomes were recorded using the National Emergency Laparotomy Audit (NELA) database. A cohort of 196 patients was included: 57.7% were female, median age 74.5 years. High risk (NELA risk of mortality ≥ 5%) and frail (clinical frailty scale ≥ 4) patients experienced a significantly longer hospital and critical care stay (p < 0.05). Pre-admission ESR ≥ 16 and LC ≥ 4.1 were significantly associated with a longer critical care stay (p < 0.05); no statistical significance was observed with CRP, WCC and NC in predicting adverse outcomes. We found that an elevated pre-morbid ESR and LC identifies a potential inflammaging cohort that demonstrates worse outcomes following emergency laparotomy. The prognostication of older adult surgical patients remains a challenge and represents an area of research deserving of future attention.

Assessment of prognostic value of preoperative neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio for postoperative mortality and morbidity

Background

The preoperative elevated neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) was reported to be associated with poorer outcomes after cancer and cardiovascular surgeries. It is unclear, however, if the predictive value is particular or if it may be applied to other types of surgery. We aimed to assess the prognostic value of preoperative NLR levels for morbidity and mortality after various surgery and determine an optimal threshold for NLR.

Methods

We conducted a cohort analysis on patients receiving surgery at Sichuan University West China Hospital between 2018 and 2020. Multivariable piecewise regression analysis were used to determine the optimal cutoff value of NLR. Subgroup analysis were performed to verify the correlation. Sensitivity analysis was used to explore the effect of different thresholds.

Results

We obtained data from 136,347 patients. The optimal cutoff of NLR was determined as 3.6 [95% CI (3.0, 4.1)] by piecewise regression method. After multivariable adjustment, preoperative high NLR remained significantly associated with increased in-hospital mortality (aOR, 2.19; 95% CI, 1.90–2.52; p &lt; 0.001) and ICU admission after surgery (aOR, 1.69; 95% CI, 1.59–1.79; p &lt; 0.001). Subgroup analyses confirmed the predictive value of high NLR in multiple surgical subgroups, including general, orthopedic, neurosurgical, and thoracic surgery subgroups, otorhinolaryngology, head and neck surgery, and burn plastic surgery. A NLR threshold of 3.6 gave excellent predictive value, whether employed alone or added in an extended model.

Conclusions

In conclusion, the association of elevated NLR with higher mortality and ICU admission can be extended to a wider range of procedures. NLR threshold of 3.6 could provide good prognostic value for the prognostic model.

Proximal Femur Fractures in the Elderly-A Novel Modality to Predict Mortality: The Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio

Background: The assessment and identification of elderly patients with proximal femur fractures (PFF) who are at high risk of postoperative mortality may influence the treatment decision-making process. The purpose of this study was to determine whether the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) could be used to predict postoperative mortality in the elderly population. Methods: A four-year retrospective cohort study of electronic medical records was conducted at a single tertiary care hospital between 2015 and 2018. Data from 1551 patients aged 65 years and older who underwent surgical treatment for PFF were collected and analyzed. The data included complete blood counts at admission, demographic information, underlying illnesses, type of surgery, and postoperative mortality and complications during the first year of follow-up. A survival analysis model was utilized. Results: The mean age was 90.76 ± 1.88 years, 1066 (68.7%) women. Forty-four (2.8%) patients experienced postoperative infection. A higher NLR0 was independently associated with higher all-cause mortality rates in patients who underwent surgical treatment for PFF (p = 0.041). Moreover, the mean NLR0 value was higher when the death occurred earlier after surgery (p < 0.001). Conclusions: When combined with other clinical and laboratory findings, NLR0 levels may serve as a potentially valuable, inexpensive, and reliable prognostic biomarker to improve risk stratification for elderly patients who are candidates for PFF surgery. Furthermore, with additional research, we could potentially develop a treatment algorithm to identify patients at high risk of postoperative mortality.

Inflammatory markers may predict post-operative complications and recurrence in Crohn's disease patients undergoing gastrointestinal surgery

BACKGROUND

Most Crohn's Disease (CD) patients will require surgical intervention over their lifetime, with considerably high rates of post-operative complications. Risk stratification with reliable prognostic tools may facilitate clinical decision making in these patients. Blood cell interaction based inflammatory markers have proven useful in predicting patient outcomes in oncological and benign diseases. The aim of this study was to investigate their prognostic value in CD patients undergoing surgery.

METHODS

A retrospective single institution study of CD patients who underwent surgery between the years 2008 and 2019 was conducted. Data were collected from medical records and analysed for association of Platelet-to-Lymphocyte Ratio (PLR), Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio (NLR), Lymphocyte-to-Monocyte Ratio (LMR) and the modified Systemic Inflammatory Score (mSIS) with post-operative outcomes.

RESULTS

A total of 81 patients were included in the analysis. Half were females; mean age was 36 ± 15.54 years. Fifty seven percent (n = 46) were operated in expedited settings, with 23.5% developing post-operative complications. In elective patients, higher pre-operative NLR (P = 0.029) and PLR (P = 0.034) were associated with major post-operative complications, higher NLR (P = 0.029) and PLR (P = 0.034) were associated with re-operation and higher PLR correlated with Clavien-Dindo score (P = 0.032). In patients operated in expedited operations, higher pre-operative NLR (P = 0.021) and lower pre-operative LMR (P = 0.018) were associated with thromboembolic events and higher mSIS was associated with major post-operative complications (P = 0.032).

CONCLUSIONS

Blood cell interaction based inflammatory markers confer an association with post-operative complications in CD patients undergoing surgery. These indices may facilitate patient selection and optimization when considering the risks and benefits of surgical interventions.

Identification of risk factors for 1-year mortality among critically ill older adults with hip fractures surgery: A single medical center retrospective study

Aim

The purpose of this study was to analyze the potential risk factors for mortality 1 year after hip fracture surgery in critically ill older adults.

Methods

We reviewed 591 critically ill older adults who underwent hip surgery at our institution from January 2018 to April 2021. We collected baseline demographics, clinical information, and 1-year survival status of the sample patients by means of medical record systems and follow-up phone calls. Patients were divided into survival and mortality groups based on survival within 1 year after surgery.

Results

Based on the results of the 1-year postoperative follow-up of patients, we obtained 117 cases in the death group and 474 cases in the survival group, and this led to a 1-year mortality rate of 19.8% (117/591) after hip fracture in critically ill older adults at our hospital. The risk factors that influenced the 1-year postoperative mortality were identified as advanced age (HR:1.04, 95%, 1.01–1.06), preoperative arrhythmia (HR: 1.95, 95%, 1.26–2.70), high level of NLR (HR:1.03, 95%, 1.01–1.06), respiratory failure (HR: 2.63, 95%, 1.32–5.23), and acute cardiovascular failure. 5.23) and acute cardiovascular events (HR: 1.65, 95%, 1.05–2.59).

Conclusion

Advanced age, preoperative arrhythmias, high levels of NLR, postoperative respiratory failure, and acute cardiovascular events were independent risk factors for survival of critically ill older adults with hip fracture at 1 year after surgery. Therefore, laboratory tests such as high levels of preoperative NLR can be an important indicator of patient prognosis.

Inflammatory Indexes as Predictive Biomarkers of Postoperative Complications in Oncological Thoracic Surgery

The role of inflammatory responses in predicting outcomes in oncological thoracic surgery is still unclear. The aim of this study was to evaluate a series of blood count inflammation indexes as predicting factors for postoperative complications. We retrospectively studied 249 patients undergoing elective thoracic surgery in our institution between 2008 and 2020. A total of 184 patients underwent open surgery, and 65 underwent VATS. The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte (NLR), monocyte-to-lymphocyte (MLR), and platelet-to-lymphocyte (PLR) ratios, Systemic Inflammation Response Index (SIRI) were calculated preoperatively and on the first and fourth postoperative days, as well as a new derivative index, the Aggregate Inflammation Systemic Index (AISI). Univariate correlations evidenced a statistically significant association between the NLR at the fourth postoperative day and the occurrence of surgical complications in the global cohort (rho = 0.15, p = 0.03). A similar significant association with MLR on the fourth postoperative day is found in the open group (rho = −0.15, p = 0.048). NLR and LMR on the fourth postoperative day are associated with postoperative complications in the whole and open groups, respectively. Simple, easy-to-perform and inexpensive, blood cell count indexes may be useful in predicting complications in oncological thoracic surgery. A greater number of broader, prospective, randomized studies are necessary to confirm these findings.

Correlation between neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and postoperative mortality in elderly patients with hip fracture: a meta-analysis

Introduction

The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is a crucial prognosis predictor following several major operations. However, the association between NLR and the outcome after hip fracture surgery is unclear. In this meta-analysis, we investigated the correlation between NLR and postoperative mortality in geriatric patients following hip surgery.

Method

PubMed, Embase, Cochrane library, and Google Scholar were searched for studies up to June 2021 reporting the correlation between NLR and postoperative mortality in elderly patients undergoing surgery for hip fracture. Data from studies reporting the mean of NLR and its 95% confidence interval (CI) were pooled. Both long-term (≥ 1 year) and short-term (≤ 30 days) mortality rates were included for analysis.

Result

Eight retrospective studies comprising a total of 1563 patients were included. Both preoperative and postoperative NLRs (mean difference [MD]: 2.75, 95% CI: 0.23–5.27; P = 0.03 and MD: 2.36, 95% CI: 0.51–4.21; P = 0.01, respectively) were significantly higher in the long-term mortality group than in the long-term survival group. However, no significant differences in NLR were noted between the short-term mortality and survival groups (MD: − 1.02, 95% CI: − 3.98 to 1.93; P = 0.5).

Conclusion

Higher preoperative and postoperative NLRs were correlated with a higher risk of long-term mortality following surgery for hip fracture in the geriatric population, suggesting the prognostic value of NLR for long-term survival. Further studies with well-controlled confounders are warranted to clarify the predictive value of NLR in clinical practice in geriatric patients with hip fracture.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s13018-021-02831-6.

Preoperative serum cholinesterase levels as a risk factor of postoperative complications for the elderly undergoing emergency surgery

PURPOSES

An accurate assessment of preoperative malnutrition in the elderly is critically important to predicting postoperative complications. The aim of this study is to evaluate the predictive value of the preoperative serum cholinesterase levels as a risk factor for postoperative complications in the elderly who have undergone emergency surgery.

METHODS

The study comprised 60 elderly patients who had undergone emergency major gastroenterological surgery. We retrospectively investigated the relationship between the preoperative serum cholinesterase levels and postoperative complications (Clavien-Dindo classification ≥ II). Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to evaluate the risk factors for postoperative complications.

RESULTS

Thirty-three patients (55%) developed postoperative complications. According to the univariate analysis, hemoglobin (P = 0.018), albumin (P = 0.0036), cholinesterase (P < 0.001), C-reactive protein (P = 0.043), prognostic nutritional index (P = 0.0050), the Physiologic and Operative Severity Score for the enUmeration of Mortality and Morbidity (P < 0.001) and operation time (P = 0.042) were identified to be risk factors for postoperative complications. According to the multivariate analysis, low preoperative serum cholinesterase levels were found to be an independent risk factor for postoperative complications (P = 0.029). In the extremely elderly (80-95 years), the cholinesterase-low group had a higher complication rate compared to the cholinesterase-high group (77.8 vs 43.8%, P = 0.028).

CONCLUSION

The preoperative serum cholinesterase levels may be a risk factor for postoperative complications in elderly patients after emergency surgery, thus suggesting the significance of cholinesterase in evaluating the nutritional status.

Development and validation of a five-factor score for prediction of pathologic pneumatosis

BACKGROUND

The significance of pneumatosis intestinalis (PI) remains challenging. While certain clinical scenarios are predictive of transmural ischemia, risk models to assess the presence of pathologic PI are needed. The aim of this study was to determine what patient factors at the time of radiographic diagnosis of PI predict the risk for pathologic PI.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study examining patients with PI from 2010 to 2016 at a multicenter hospital network. Multivariate logistic regression was used to develop a predictive model for pathologic PI in a derivation cohort. Using regression-coefficient-based methods, the final multivariate model was converted into a five-factor-based score. Calibration and discrimination of the score were then assessed in a validation cohort.

RESULTS

Of 305 patients analyzed, 102 (33.4%) had pathologic PI. We identified five factors associated with pathologic PI at the time of radiographic diagnosis: small bowel PI, age 70 years or older, heart rate 110 bpm or greater, lactate of 2 mmol/L or greater, and neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio 10 or greater. Using this model, patients in the validation cohort were assigned risk scores ranging from 0 to 11. Low-risk patients were categorized when scores are 0 to 4; intermediate, score of 5 to 6; high, score of 7 to 8; and very high risk, 9+. In the validation cohort, very high-risk patients (n = 17; 18.1%) had predicted rates of pathologic pneumatosis of 88.9% and an observed rate of 82.4%. In contrast, patients labeled as low risk (n = 37; 39.4%) had expected rates of pathologic pneumatosis of 1.3% and an observed rate of 0%. The model showed excellent discrimination (area under the curve, 0.90) and good calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit, p = 0.37).

CONCLUSION

Our score accurately stratifies patient risk of pathologic pneumatosis. This score has the potential to target high-risk individuals for expedient operation and spare low-risk individuals invasive interventions.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Prognostic Study, Level III.

Meta-analysis of mortality risk in octogenarians undergoing emergency general surgery operations

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to quantify the risk of perioperative mortality in octogenarians undergoing emergency general surgical operations and to compare such risk between octogenarians and nonoctogenarians.

METHODS

A systematic review was performed in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses standards to identify studies reporting the mortality risk in patients aged over 80 years undergoing emergency general surgery operations. The primary outcome measure was 30-day mortality, which was stratified based on American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) status and procedure type. The certainty of evidence was assessed using the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluation system. Random-effects models were applied to calculate pooled outcome data.

RESULTS

Analysis of 66,701 octogenarians from 22 studies showed that the risk of 30-day mortality was 26% (95% confidence interval 18%-34%) for all operations: 29% (95% confidence interval 25%-33%) for emergency laparotomy; 9% (95% confidence interval 1%-23%) for nonlaparotomy emergency operations; 21% (95% confidence interval 13%-30%) for colon resection; 17% (95% confidence interval 11%-25%) for small bowel resection; 9% (95% confidence interval 7%-11%) for adhesiolysis; 6% (95% confidence interval 5.9%-6.8%) for perforated ulcer repair; 3% (95% confidence interval 2.6%-4%) for appendicectomy; 3% (95% confidence interval 2.8%-3.3%) for cholecystectomy; and 5% (95% confidence interval 0.2%-14%) for hernia repair. When stratified based on the patient's ASA status, the risk was 11% (95% confidence interval 4%-20%) for ASA 2 status, 22% (95% confidence interval 10%-36%) for ASA 3 status, 39% (95% confidence interval 29%-48%) for ASA 4 status, and 94% (95% confidence interval 77%-100%) for ASA 5 status. The risk was higher in octogenarians compared with nonoctogenarians (odds ratio: 4.07, 95% confidence interval 2.40-6.89), patients aged 70 to 79 (odds ratio: 1.21, 95% confidence interval 1.13-1.31), and patients aged 50 to 79 (odds ratio: 2.03, 95% confidence interval 1.68-2.45).

CONCLUSION

The risk of perioperative mortality in octogenarians undergoing emergency general surgical operations is high. The risk of perioperative death in this group is higher than in younger patients. Laparotomy, bowel resection, and ASA status above 3 carry the highest risk.

Admission neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio to predict 30-day and 1-year mortality in geriatric hip fractures

INTRODUCTION

Elderly patients with hip fractures exhibit a high incidence of mortality and morbidity. The aim of this study was to evaluate the factors that may predict mortality in patients with geriatric hip fracture.

METHODS

Included in this retrospective study were 241 patients who were admitted to the hospital with hip fractures between May 2017 and March 2019. The effect of the modified 5-item frailty index (mFI-5) on 30-day and 1-year mortality was evaluated. In addition, admission neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratios (NLRs) and monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratios (MLRs) were also examined.

RESULTS

The mFI-5 was not found to be a statistically significant predictive indicator for 30-day and 1-year mortality (P = 0.485 and P = 0.484, respectively). Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease or current pneumonia was found to increase mortality by 2.702 times (P = 0.002). The 30-day mortality rates of patients aged ≥80 years were significantly higher than those aged 65-79 years (P < 0.05). However, there was no statistical difference in the mortality rates between the age groups after 30 days postoperatively (P = 0.114). Admission NLRs and MLRs were significantly higher in the 30-day and 1-year mortality groups. The cut-off values of the admission NLRs and MLRs for 30-day mortality were calculated as 6.55 and 0.65, respectively, while the same cut-off values for 1-year mortality were calculated as 6.55 and 0.635, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Admission NLRs and MLRs are useful hematological data for the prediction of 30-day and 1-year mortality in geriatric hip fracture patients.

Improved Understanding of Acute Incisional Hernia Incarceration: Implications for Addressing the Excess Mortality of Emergent Repair

BACKGROUND

Incisional hernia develops in up to 20% of patients undergoing abdominal operations. We sought to identify characteristics associated with poor outcomes after acute incisional hernia incarceration.

STUDY DESIGN

We performed a retrospective cohort study of adult patients with incisional hernias undergoing elective repair or with acute incarceration between 2010 and 2017. The primary end point was 30-day mortality. Logistic regression was used to determine adjusted odds associated with 30-day mortality. The American College of Surgeons Surgical Risk Calculator was used to estimate outcomes had these patients undergone elective repair.

RESULTS

A total of 483 patients experienced acute incarceration; 30-day mortality was 9.52%. Increasing age (adjusted odds ratio 1.05; 95% CI, 1.02 to 1.08) and bowel resection (adjusted odds ratio 3.18; 95% CI, 1.45 to 6.95) were associated with mortality. Among those with acute incarceration, 231 patients (47.9%) had no documentation of an earlier surgical evaluation and 252 (52.2%) had been evaluated but had not undergone elective repair. Among patients 80 years and older, 30-day mortality after emergent repair was high (22.9%) compared with estimated 30-day mortality for elective repair (0.73%), based on the American College of Surgeons Surgical Risk Calculator. Estimated mortality was comparable with observed elective repair mortality (0.82%) in an age-matched cohort. Similar mortality trends were noted for patients younger than 60 years and aged 60 to 79 years.

CONCLUSIONS

Comparison of predicted elective repair and observed emergent repair mortality in patients with acute incarceration suggests that acceptable outcomes could have been achieved with elective repair. Almost one-half of acute incarceration patients had no earlier surgical evaluation, therefore, targeted interventions to address surgical referral can potentially result in fewer incarceration-related deaths.

Risk factors for mortality after emergency laparotomy: scoping systematic review

BACKGROUND

Emergency laparotomy (EL) is a common procedure with high mortality leading to several efforts to record and reduce mortality. Risk scores currently used by quality improvement programmes either require intraoperative data or are not specific to EL. To be of utility to clinicians/patients, estimation of preoperative risk of mortality is important. We aimed to explore individual preoperative risk factors that might be of use in developing a preoperative mortality risk score.

METHODS

Two independent reviewers identified relevant articles from searches of MEDLINE, EMBASE and Cochrane databases from January 1980 to January 2018. We selected studies that evaluated only preoperative predictive factors for mortality in EL patients.

RESULTS

The search yielded 6648 articles screened, with 22 studies included examining 157 728 patients. The combined post-operative 30-day mortality was 13%. All, but one small study, were at low risk of bias. A meta-analysis of results was not possible due to the heterogeneity of populations and outcomes. Age, American Society of Anesthesiologists, preoperative sepsis, dependency status, current cancer and comorbidities were associated with increased mortality. Acute physiological derangements seen in renal, albumin and complete blood count assays were strongly associated with mortality. Delay to surgery and diabetes did not influence mortality. Higher body mass index was protective.

CONCLUSION

Preoperatively, risk factors identified can be used to develop and update risk scores specific for EL mortality. This scoping review focused on the preoperative setting which helps tailor treatment decisions. It highlights the need for further research to test the relevance of newer risk factors such as frailty and nutrition.

Preoperative neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio and platelet to lymphocyte ratio are associated with major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events in coronary heart disease patients undergoing non-cardiac surgery

BACKGROUND

Preoperative risk prediction in patients at elevated cardiovascular risk shows limited accuracy. Platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR) and neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) indicate systemic inflammation. Both have been investigated for outcome prediction in the field of oncology and cardiovascular medicine, as well as risk prediction of adverse cardiovascular events in non-surgical patients at increased cardiovascular risk.

METHODS

For this post-hoc analysis, we included all 38 coronary heart disease patients from the Leukocytes and Cardiovascular Perioperative Events cohort-1 study scheduled for elective non-cardiac surgery. We evaluated preoperative differential blood counts for association with major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCE) defined as the composite endpoint of death, myocardial ischemia, myocardial infarction, myocardial injury after non-cardiac surgery, or embolic or thrombotic stroke within 30 days after surgery. We used Youden's index to calculate cut-off values for PLR and NLR. Additive risk-predictive values were assessed using receiver operating characteristic curve and net reclassification (NRI) improvement analyses.

RESULTS

Patients with the composite endpoint MACCE had higher PLR and NLR (309 [206; 380] vs. 160 [132; 203], p = 0.001; 4.9 [3.5; 8.1] vs. 2.6 [2.2; 3.4]), p = 0.001). Calculated cut-offs for PLR > 204.4 and NLR > 3.1 were associated with increased risk of 30-day MACCE (OR 7, 95% CI [1.2; 44.7], p = 0.034; OR 36, 95% CI [1.8; 686.6], p = 0.001). Furthermore, NLR improved risk prediction in coronary heart disease patients undergoing non-cardiac surgery when combined with hs-cTnT or NT-proBNP (NRI _total = 0.23, p = 0.008, NRI _total = 0.26, p = 0.005).

CONCLUSIONS

Both PLR and NLR were associated with perioperative cardiovascular adverse events in coronary heart disease patients. NLR proved to be of additional value for preoperative risk stratification. Both PLR and NLR could be used as inexpensive and broadly available tools for perioperative risk assessment.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

NCT02874508, August 22, 2016.

Blood cell count indexes as predictors of anastomotic leakage in elective colorectal surgery: a multicenter study on 1432 patients

Background

The aim of this study was to evaluate a series of blood count inflammation indexes in predicting anastomotic leakage (AL) in elective colorectal surgery.

Methods

Demographic, pathologic, and clinical data of 1432 consecutive patients submitted to colorectal surgery in eight surgical centers were retrospectively evaluated. The neutrophil to lymphocyte (NLR), derived neutrophil to lymphocyte (dNLR), lymphocyte to monocyte (LMR), and platelet to lymphocyte (PLR) ratios were calculated before surgery and on the 1st and 4th postoperative days, in patients with or without AL.

Results

There were 106 patients with AL (65 males, mean age 67.4 years). The NLR, dNLR, and PLR were significantly higher in patients with AL in comparison to those without, on both the 1st and 4th postoperative days, but significance was greater on the 4th postoperative day. An NLR cutoff value of 7.1 on this day showed the best area under the curve (AUC 0.744; 95% CI 0.719–0.768) in predicting AL.

Conclusions

Among the blood cell indexes of inflammation evaluated, NLR on the 4th postoperative day showed the best ability to predict AL. NLR is a low cost, easy to perform, and widely available index, which might be potentially used in clinical practice as a predictor of AL in patients undergoing elective colorectal surgery.

The Usefulness of Inflammation-based Prognostic Scores for the Prediction of Postoperative Mortality in Patients Who Underwent Intestinal Resection for Acute Intestinal Ischemia

Objective

The current study was conducted to clarify whether the neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) are clinically useful in predicting postoperative mortality among patients undergoing surgery for acute intestinal ischemia (AII).

Materials and methods

The study was conducted as a retrospective investigation of 37 consecutive patients operated for AII between January 2014 and September 2019. Data regarding potential prognostic factors, including age, sex, preoperative white blood cell count (WBC), C-reactive protein (CRP), neutrophil, lymphocyte, and platelet counts were obtained from medical records.

Results

Univariate analysis revealed that age, WBC, and neutrophil count were predictors of postoperative mortality. In multivariate analysis, age (OR =1.14; 95% CI, 1.005-1.303; P=0.02) was found to be the only independent variable predicting postoperative mortality.

Conclusions

Preoperative NLR and PLR cannot be used as independent variables to predict postoperative 30-day mortality in patients with AII who underwent surgery.

Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio is independently associated with inflammatory activity and fibrosis grade in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease

BACKGROUND AND AIM

The progression of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) to nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is believed to be the driver for future development of fibrosis and cirrhosis. Nevertheless, there remains a lack of noninvasive methods for the diagnosis of NASH. The aim of the present study was to determine the role of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in predicting histological severity in NAFLD.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We performed a single-center retrospective study in EMMS Nazareth Hospital from July 2014 to May 2017. Liver biopsies were evaluated using the steatosis, activity, and fibrosis scoring system, which includes three components: (i) steatosis (0-3), (ii) activity grade (0-4), and (iii) fibrosis (0-4). Patients were divided into two groups. The first group was considered to have NAFLD when fibrosis grade was 0-1 and inflammatory activity was 0-1, whereas the second group included patients with fibrosis grade of 2-4 and inflammatory activity grade of 2-3, considered to have NASH.

RESULTS

Ninety-one (91) patients with biopsy-proven fatty liver were included. The average age was 42.13 ± 11.5 (18-74) years. Fifty-seven (62.6%) patients were male. Univariate analysis revealed several factors to be associated with advanced fibrosis and inflammatory activity, including NLR, C-reactive protein, and HOMA-IR, which correlated with fibrosis [odds ratio (OR): 1.405, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.21-1.63, P < 0.0001; OR: 1.329, 95% CI: 1.05-1.68, P = 0.016; and OR: 1.922, 95% CI: 1.18-3.11, P = 0.007, respectively], and NLR, triglycerides, and HOMA-IR, which correlated with hepatocyte inflammation (OR: 1.210, 95% CI: 1.08-1.35, P = 0.0009; OR: 0.984, 95% CI: 0.97-0.99, P = 0.01; and OR: 2.069, 95% CI: 1.28-3.34, P = 0.003, respectively). On multivariate logistic regression analysis, NLR remains independently associated with advanced fibrosis grade and inflammatory activity (OR: 0.734, 95% CI: 0.631-0.854, P < 0.0001, area under the curve: 0.8622 and OR: 0.836, 95% CI: 0.74-0.95, P = 0.006, area under the curve: 0.7845, respectively). Our second major finding was defining an NLR cut-off point that was associated with inflammatory activity and fibrosis grade using receiver operating characteristic analysis based on the Youden index (J), which is defined by the maximal sensitivity and specificity.

CONCLUSION

NLR showed significant independent correlation with advanced inflammation and fibrosis in patients with NAFLD. This simple available laboratory tool may be incorporated into future diagnostic scores.

Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte and Platelet-to-Lymphocyte Ratios Are Correlated with Complicated Diverticulitis and Hinchey Classification: A Simple Tool to Assess Disease Severity in the Emergency Department

Background and Aim

Rapid identification of patients with complications related to acute diverticulitis who require urgent intervention in the emergency department (ED) is essential. The aim of our study was to determine the role of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) in predicting severity of diverticulitis as assessed by Hinchey classification.

Patients and Methods

We performed a single retrospective study in EMMS Nazareth Hospital from 4/2014 to 4/2018. Patients were categorized into two groups: group A with mild to moderate complicated diverticulitis (Hinchey 1-2) and group B with severe complicated diverticulitis (Hinchey 3-4).

Results

Two hundred twenty-five patients were included. Two hundred seven patients were in group A, and 18 patients were in group B. On univariate analysis, age, NLR, and PLR correlated with advanced Hinchey classification and disease severity (stages 3-4) (OR 1.038, 95% CI 1.001–1.076, P=0.0416; OR 1.192, 95% CI 1.093–1.300, P < 0.0001; and OR 1.011, 95% CI 1.005–1.017, P=0.0005, respectively). On multivariate logistic regression analysis, the NLR and PLR remain significantly correlated with Hinchey 3-4 (OR 1.174, 95% CI 1.071–1.286, P=0.0006, and OR 1.008, 95% CI 1.001–1.015, P=0.0209, respectively). The area under the curve (AUC) for the NLR and PLR on univariate analysis was 0.7526 and 0.6748, respectively, and 0.7760 and 0.7391 on multivariate logistic regression analysis, respectively, and receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curves were drawn.

Conclusion

The NLR and PLR independently associated with diverticulitis severity and positively correlated with advanced Hinchey classification. This simple available laboratory tool can be implemented into clinical practice to optimize patient management.

Perioperative lymphocytopenia predicts mortality and severe complications after intestinal surgery

Background

Patterns of white blood cells differential count with low lymphocyte number have been associated with poor outcome following sepsis, burns and trauma. Lymphocytopenia, measured preoperatively or in response to surgical stress, may affect complications after bowel resection.

Methods

Clinical characteristics and white blood cells differential count values, measured both pre- and post-operatively of a cohort of patients submitted to intestinal resection and anastomosis from June 2014 to June 2017 in our General Surgery Division, were retrospectively analyzed. Multivariate logistic regression was used to determine the dependence of mortality and postoperative complications from the clinical characteristics of patients and white blood cells differential count values.

Results

A total of 301 consecutive patients were studied; 165 (54.8%) were male; mean age was 70 years. Overall, the rate of in-hospital 30-day mortality was 4%. Post-operative morbidity was observed in 124 (41.2%). On multivariate analysis, age adjusted Charlson Comorbidity Index, low preoperatively lymphocyte count, high preoperative monocyte count, high postoperative neutrophil count and anastomotic leak were independently associated with increased in-hospital mortality. Preoperative lymphocytopenia and rectal resection were independently associated with high morbidity rate, while low postoperative lymphocyte count was associated with an increased risk of anastomotic leak.

Conclusions

Perioperative lymphocytopenia is associated with 30-days mortality, severe complications and anastomotic leak after bowel resection surgery. These routinely available laboratory data could help to identify patients at high-risk for developing complications.

Peripheral blood neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio in preterm infants with intraventricular hemorrhage

OBJECTIVES

Intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH) remains a major complication of prematurity, affecting 20-25% of premature infants of very low birth weight. Preterm infants with IVH are at risk for developing significant complications, including posthemorrhagic hydrocephalus and seizures. Multiple studies have reported an association between the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in peripheral blood and outcomes after acute intracranial hemorrhage in adults. However, the prognostic value of the NLR in preterm infants, particularly those with IVH, has not been investigated previously.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This retrospective, observational cohort study included premature infants with IVH and a neonatal reservoir placed between January 2013 and January 2018. For each patient, peripheral blood and available cerebrospinal fluid laboratory results within 50 days of IVH diagnosis were averaged. NLR was calculated by dividing the absolute neutrophil count by the absolute lymphocyte count. Differences in NLR levels for patients with seizures or shunt placement were analyzed.

RESULTS

Data for 13 surviving preterm infants (mean gestational age, 26.5 ± 3.0 weeks) were analyzed. The mean peripheral NLR (n = 13) was 1.6 ± 1.3 for all patients. Patients who experienced seizures had significantly higher peripheral blood NLR (p = 1.2 × 10^-6, t-test) than those who did not, and an NLR > 3 correlated with seizure outcomes (p = 0.0035, Fisher's exact). Patients with sepsis or meningitis also had NLR values >3 (p = 0.01 and 0.005, respectively) but there was no correlation between the sepsis/meningitis and seizures patients. No significant correlation was found between NLR and the development of hydrocephalus.

CONCLUSION

The development of seizures in preterm infants with IVH is known to significantly increase morbidity. In this study, higher peripheral blood NLR (>3) correlated with the development of seizures, independent of sepsis or meningitis. Further prospective validation of the role of NLR as a predictive marker for seizures in preterm infants is warranted.

The Length of Surgical Skin Incision in Postoperative Inflammatory Reaction

Background and Objectives:

Surgery provokes inflammatory and immune responses, so efforts have been made to reduce host response by using less invasive techniques. The purpose of this experimental study was to investigate the surgical stress induced by skin incision and the role of liver response in this process.

Methods:

Seventy male anesthetized Wistar rats were subjected to a midline incision confined strictly to the skin (dermis) of either 1 cm long (n = 20), 10 cm long (n = 20), or no incision (n = 20) or served as controls (n = 10). Skin trauma was left open for a 20-minutes period, and then was meticulously sutured. At 3 and 24 hours later, laparotomy was performed on half the rats of each group, for blood and liver sampling. In serum and liver homogenates, cytokine-induced neutrophil chemoattractant (CINC)1/interleukin (IL)-8 and tumor necrosis factor (TNF)-α levels were measured with enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays and nitric oxide (NO) using a Griess reaction.

Results:

Skin trauma was found to significantly (P < .01) increase all inflammatory mediators tested (CINC1/IL-8, TNF-α, NO) in serum of operated rats versus controls, the increase being proportionally dependent on the length of skin incision. In liver homogenates, CINC1/IL-8 was significantly (P < .01) increased in operated animals versus controls, similarly to serum levels. In contrast, liver TNF-α levels were inversely related to serum levels, and a significant (P < .01) decrease in TNF-α was observed in liver homogenates of operated animals compared with the controls, indicating that the increased TNF-α in blood reflects liver TNF-α secretion.

Conclusion:

Our findings suggest that inflammatory and immune reactions induced by skin-only surgical trauma are closely correlated to the length of skin incision.

Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio, Monocyte-to-Lymphocyte Ratio, Platelet-to-Lymphocyte Ratio, and Mean Platelet Volume-to-Platelet Count Ratio as Biomarkers in Critically Ill and Injured Patients: Which Ratio to Choose to Predict Outcome and Nature of Bacteremia?

Background

Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and mean platelet volume-to-platelet count (MPV/PC) ratio are readily available parameters that might have discriminative power regarding outcome. The aim of our study was to assess prognostic value of these biomarkers regarding outcome in critically ill patients with secondary sepsis and/or trauma.

Methods

A total of 392 critically ill and injured patients, admitted to surgical ICU, were enrolled in a prospective observational study. Leukocyte and platelet counts were recorded upon fulfilling Sepsis-3 criteria and for traumatized Injury Severity Score > 25 points. Patients were divided into four subgroups: peritonitis, pancreatitis, trauma with sepsis, and trauma without sepsis.

Results

NLR and MPV/PC levels were significantly higher in nonsurvivors (AUC/ROC of 0.681 and 0.592, resp., in the peritonitis subgroup; 0.717 and 0.753, resp., in the pancreatitis subgroup); MLR and PLR did not differ significantly. There was no significant difference of investigated biomarkers between survivors and nonsurvivors in trauma patients with and without sepsis except for PLR in the trauma without sepsis subgroup (significantly higher in nonsurvivors, AUC/ROC of 0.719). Independent predictor of lethal outcome was NLR in the whole cohort and in the peritonitis subgroup as well as MPV in the pancreatitis subgroup. Also, there were statistically significant differences in MPV/PC, MLR, and PLR values regarding nature of bacteremia. In general, the lowest levels had been found in patients with Gram-positive blood cultures.

Conclusions

NLR and MPV were very good independent predictors of lethal outcome. For the first time, we demonstrate that nature of bacteremia influences MPV/PC, MLR, and PLR. In heterogeneous cohort subgroup, analysis is essential.

Prognostic value of preoperative neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio in Crohn's disease

Background

The Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte-ratio has recently gained increased attention as a prognostic marker for malignant disease and short term outcomes. There is little data available in patients with Crohn’s disease, thus the present study was conducted to correlate preoperative Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte-ratio values with disease phenotype and postoperative course.

Methods

We comprised 373 patients, who underwent intestinal resection for symptomatic Crohn’s disease at an academic tertiary referral centre between 2000 and 2014. Preoperative Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte-ratio values were calculated and analyzed in regard to disease phenotype and 30-day morbidity rate. All relevant data were obtained from the institutional database and individual chart review.

Results

Male patients had significantly higher preoperative Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte-ratio values compared to female patients (5 vs. 4; p = 0.0075). A higher Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte-ratio was also found in patients with an acute indication for surgery (6.15 vs. 4.3; p = 0.0374), presenting with abscesses (5.36 vs. 4.28; p = 0.0254), inflammatory masses (5.23 vs. 4.08; p = 0.0294) or malignancy in the resected specimen (9.06 vs. 4.35, p = 0.0231). Surprisingly, patients developing postsurgical complications showed significantly lower Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte-ratio values (3.77 vs. 4.67; p = 0.0461).

Conclusions

Elevated preoperative Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte-ratio in symptomatic Crohn’s disease is not predictive for complications. However, Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte-ratio showed a significant correlation with specific disease phenotypes. Most strikingly, Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte-ratio was highly elevated in patients with a colorectal cancer in the resected specimen, which needs to be addressed in future studies.

The role of the neutrophil:lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and the CRP:albumin ratio (CAR) in predicting mortality following emergency laparotomy in the over 80 age group

INTRODUCTION

Emergency laparotomy in the elderly is an increasingly common procedure which carries high morbidity and mortality. Risk prediction tools, although imperfect, can help guide management decisions. Novel markers of surgical outcomes may contribute to these scoring systems. The neutrophil:lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and CRP:albumin ratio (CAR) have been associated with outcomes in malignancy and sepsis. We assessed the use of ratio NLR and CAR as prognostic indicators in patients over the age of 80 undergoing emergency laparotomy.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of all patients over the age of 80 who underwent emergency laparotomy during a 3 year period was conducted. Pre and post-operative NLR and CAR were assessed in relation to outcome measures including inpatient, 30-day and 90-day mortality. Statistical analysis was conducted with Mann-Whitney U, receiver operating characteristics, Spearmans rank correlation coefficient and chi-squared tests.

RESULTS

One hundred and thirty-six patients over the age of 80 underwent emergency laparotomy. Median age was 84 years (range 80-96 years). Overall inpatient mortality was 19.2%. Pre-operative and post-operative NLR and CAR were significantly raised in patients with sepsis v no sepsis (p < 0.05). Pre-operative NLR was significantly associated with inpatient (p = 0.046), 30-day (p = 0.02) and 90-day mortality (p = 0.01) in patients with visceral perforation. A pre-operative NLR value of greater than 8 was associated with significantly increased mortality (p = 0.016, AUC:0.78). CAR was not associated with mortality.

CONCLUSION

Pre-operative NLR is associated with mortality in patients with visceral perforation undergoing emergency laparotomy. NLR > 8 is associated with a poorer outcome in this group of patients. CAR was not associated with mortality in over-80s undergoing emergency laparotomy.

Postoperative Elevation of the Neutrophil: Lymphocyte Ratio Predicts Complications Following Esophageal Resection

BACKGROUND

Complications following esophagectomy are a significant source of morbidity. The aim of this study was to investigate the utility of the neutrophil:lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in the early identification of complications following esophagectomy, as compared to other routinely available parameters.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective cohort study of patients undergoing Ivor-Lewis esophagectomy at a single centre. Baseline characteristics and complications occurring within the first 30 days of surgery were recorded. White blood cell counts and C-reactive protein (CRP) levels immediately following surgery (day 0) and over the subsequent three postoperative days were analysed.

RESULTS

Sixty-five patients were included, of whom 29 (45 %) developed complications. The median NLR was similar among patients with and without a complicated recovery on day 0 (12.7 vs 13.6, p = 0.70) and day 1 (10.0 vs 9.3, p = 0.29). Patients who subsequently developed complications had a higher NLR on day 2 (11.8 vs 7.5, p < 0.001) and day 3 (9.0 vs 6.5, p = 0.001) compared to those whose recovery was uncomplicated. Receiver-operating-characteristic plots for the diagnostic performance of the NLR, neutrophil count, lymphocyte count and CRP level at each time point demonstrated that the NLR on day 2 had the greatest discriminatory ability in predicting complications, with an area under the curve of 0.83 (95 % CI 0.73-0.94). An NLR of >8.3 on day 2 had a sensitivity of 93 % and a specificity of 72 % for predicting complications.

CONCLUSION

The NLR is a simple and routinely available parameter which has a high sensitivity in the early detection of complications following esophagectomy.

Natural history and risk stratification of patients undergoing non-invasive ventilation in a non-ICU setting for severe COPD exacerbations

Non-invasive ventilation (NIV) delivered in an intensive care unit (ICU) has become the cornerstone in the treatment of patients with severe chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) exacerbations. A trend towards managing these patients in non-ICU setting has emerged in recent years, although out-of-hospital survival by this approach and how to prognosticate it is unknown. We aimed to investigate these issues. We consecutively recruited 100 patients (49 males; median age 82 years) who received NIV treatment for acute respiratory failure due to COPD exacerbation in non-ICU medical wards of our hospital, between November 2008 and July 2012. We assessed survival (both in-hospital and out-of-hospital) of all these patients, and analyzed baseline parameters in a Cox proportional hazards model to develop a prognostic score. The median survival in the study population was 383 days (240-980). Overall survival rates were 71.0, 65.3, and 52.7 % at 1, 3, and 12 months, respectively. Age >85 years, a history of heart disorders and a neutrophil count ≥10 × 10(9) were associated with higher mortality at Cox's analysis (χ (2) = 35.766, p = 0.0001), and were used to build a prognostic score (NC85). The presence of two or more factors determined the deepest drop in survival (when NC85 ≥2, mortality at 1, 3, and 12 was 60.7, 70.4, and 77.2 %, respectively, while when NC85 = 0 were 4.0, 4.0, and 14.0 %). A simple model, based on three variables (age, neutrophil count and history of heart disease), accurately predicts survival of COPD patients receiving NIV in a non-ICU setting.

The association of neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio and platelet/lymphocyte ratio with clinical outcomes in geriatric patients with stage 3-5 chronic kidney disease

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study was to investigate the association of the neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio and platelet/lymphocyte ratio with the clinical outcomes in geriatric patients with stage 3-5 chronic kidney disease (CKD).

MATERIAL AND METHODS

A total of 165 patients over the age of 65, with stage 3-5 CKD, were enrolled in the study. The primary endpoints were all-cause of deaths and requirement of renal replacement therapy. The patients were divided into two groups according to delta neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio such as increased (group 1) and decreased or stable (group 2) groups.

RESULTS

The mean age was 73.8 ± 6.1 years and the mean follow-up was 30 ± 13 months. Thirty-one (18.7%) patients died during the follow-up period and 21 (13.4%) patients required renal replacement therapy. The neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio increased in 95 (57.5%) patients. The mortality rate (24.2%, 11.4%; p = 0.03) and requirement of renal replacement therapy (19.1%, 5.7%; p = 0.01) were higher in group 1 compared to group 2. In the Cox regression analysis, the basal neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio was the independent predictor of death (HR: 1.23 (95% CI 1.02-1.47), p = 0.02), and the basal eGFR was the independent predictor of requirement of renal replacement therapy (HR:0.938, 95% CI: 0.888-0.991, p = 0.02). However, platelet/lymphocyte ratio was not associated with death and requirement of renal replacement therapy independently.

CONCLUSION

The neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio predicts all-cause of mortality in geriatric patients with chronic kidney disease.

Use of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio as a component of a score to predict postoperative mortality after surgery for hip fracture in elderly subjects

Background

Hip fracture precedes death in 12–37 % of elderly people. Identification of high risk patients may contribute to target those in whom optimal management, resource allocation and trials efficiency are needed. The aim of this study is to evaluate a predictive score of mortality after hip fracture in older persons on the basis of the objective prognostic factors easily available: age, sex and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and C-reactive protein (CRP).

Patients and methods

After the ethical committee approval, we analyzed our prospective database including 286 consecutive older patients (>64 years) with hip fracture. A score [range 0–4] was constructed, based on a previous analysis, combining age (1 point per decade above 74 years), sex (1 point for male gender) and NLR at postoperative day +5 (1 point if > 5). A receiver-operating curve (ROC) analysis was performed. Similar analyses were performed with CRP (1 point if > 7.65 mg/dL).

Results

In the 286 patients (male 31 %), the median age was 84 (65–102) years, and the mean NLR values were 6.47 ± 6.07. At 1 year, 82/286 patients died (28.7 %). In the 235 patients with complete data, significant differences in term of mortality risk are observed (P < 0.001). Performance analysis shows an AUC of 0.72[95 % CI 0.65–0.79]. CRP performed less than NLR (AUC for CRP alone: 0.53[95 % CI 0.45–0.61], P = 0.42, with a sensitivity of 58.5 % and a specificity of 57.1 % for a cut-off value of 7.65 mg/dL; and for NLR alone: 0.59 [95 % CI 0.51–0.66]; P = 0.02, with a sensitivity of 55 % and a specificity of 65 % for a cut-off value of 4.9).

Conclusion

A discrete 0–4 scoring systems based on age, sex and the NLR was shown to be predictive of mortality in elderly patients during the first postoperative year following surgery for hip fracture repair.

The Neutrophil to Lymphocyte Ratio on Admission and Short-Term Outcomes in Orthogeriatric Patients

AIM

To investigate the association of the neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) at admission with presence of fracture, comorbid conditions, and its prognostic value for short-term outcomes in orthogeriatric patients.

METHODS

On 415 consecutive patients (mean age 78.8 ±8.7[SD] years, 281 women, 255 with a non-vertebral bone fracture, including 167 with a hip fracture, HF) admitted to the Department of Orthopaedic Surgery at the Canberra hospital (2010 - 2011) data on clinical and laboratory characteristics were collected prospectively. The validation dataset included 294 consecutive patients (mean age 82.1 ± 8.0 years, 72.1% women) with HF.

RESULTS

Multivariate regression revealed four variables, presence of HF, hypoalbuminaemia (<33g/L), anaemia (<120g/L) and hyperparathyroidism (PTH>6.8 pmol/L), as independent determinants of admission NLR≥5.1. There was a dose-graded relationship between presence of fracture, especially HF, postoperative complications and levels of NLR categorized as tertiles. Compared to patients with NLR<5.1(first tertile), patients with NLR 5.1-8.5 (second tertile) had a 1.8-, 3.1-, 2.6-, and 2.5-fold higher risk for presence of any fracture, HF, developing postoperative myocardial injury (troponin I rise) and a high inflammatory response/infection (CRP>100mg/L after the 3rd postoperative day), respectively, while in subjects with NLR>8.5 (third tertile) these risks were 2.6-, 4.9-, 5.9- and 4.5-times higher, respectively; subjects with NLR>8.5 had a 9.7 times higher chance of dying in the hospital compared to patients with NLR 5.1-8.5; the NLR retained its significance on multivariate analyses. The NLR ≥5.1 predicted postoperative myocardial injury with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.626, CRP>100mg/L with AUC of 0.631 and the NLR >8.5 predicted in-hospital mortality with an AUC of 0.793, showing moderately high sensitivity (86.7%, 80% and 90%, respectively) and negative predictive value (92.9%, 71.2%, 99.6%, respectively), but low specificity. Admission NLR was superior to other, except hypoalbuminaemia, prognostic markers; combined use of both NLR≥5.1 and albumin<33g/L only moderately increased the accuracy of prediction. The validation study confirmed the prognostic value of the admission NLR.

CONCLUSIONS

In orthogeriatric patients, high NLR on admission is an independent indicator of fracture presence, a significant risk factor and moderate predictor of postoperative myocardial injury, high inflammatory response/infection and in-hospital death.

Reversal of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte count ratio in early versus late death from septic shock

Introduction

Septic shock is one of the most frequent causes of admission to the intensive care unit (ICU) and is associated with a poor prognosis. Early and late death in septic shock should be distinguished because they may involve different underlying mechanisms. In various conditions, the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte count ratio (NLCR) has been described as an easily measurable parameter to express injury severity. In the present study, we investigated whether the timing of death was related to a particular NLCR.

Methods

We conducted a prospective, single-center, observational study that included consecutive septic shock patients. Severity scores, early (before day 5) or late (on or after day 5 of septic shock onset) ICU mortality, and daily leukocyte counts were collected during the ICU stay. We assessed the association between leukocyte counts at admission and their evolution during the first 5 days with early or late death. The association between patient characteristics (including cell counts) and prognosis was estimated using Cox proportional cause-specific hazards models.

Results

The study included 130 patients who were diagnosed with abdominal (n = 99) or extra-abdominal (n = 31) septic shock. The median (interquartile range) NLCR was 12.5 (6.5–21.2) in survivors and 6.2 (3.7–12.6) in nonsurvivors (p = 0.001). The NLCR at admission was significantly lower in patients who died before day 5 than in survivors (5 [3.5–11.6] versus 12.5 [6.5–21.2], respectively; p = 0.01). From day 1 to day 5, an increased NLCR related to an increase in neutrophil count and a decrease in lymphocyte count was associated with late death (+34.8 % [−8.2 to 305.4] versus −20 % [−57.4 to 45.9]; p = 0.003). Those results were present in patients with abdominal origin sepsis as well as in those with extra-abdominal sepsis, who were analyzed separately.

Conclusions

In the present study, a reversed NLCR evolution was observed according to the timing of death. Septic shock patients at risk of early death had a low NLCR at admission, although late death was associated with an increased NLCR during the first 5 days.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s13054-015-1144-x) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Effects of Immunonutrition for Cystectomy on Immune Response and Infection Rates: A Pilot Randomized Controlled Clinical Trial

After radical cystectomy (RC), patients are at risk for complications including infections. The expansion of myeloid-derived suppressor cells (MDSCs) after surgery may contribute to the lower resistance to infection. Immune response and postoperative complications were compared in men consuming either specialized immunonutrition (SIM; n=14) or an oral nutrition supplement (ONS; n=15) before and after RC. MDSC count (Lin- CD11b+ CD33+) was significantly different between the groups over time (p=0.005) and significantly lower in SIM 2 d after RC (p<0.001). MDSC count expansion from surgery to 2 d after RC showed a weak association with an increase in infection rate 90 d after surgery (p=0.061). Neutrophil:lymphocyte ratio was significantly lower in SIM compared with ONS 3h after the first incision (p=0.039). Participants receiving SIM had a 33% reduction in postoperative complication rate (95% confidence interval [CI], 1-64; p=0.060) and a 39% reduction in infection rate (95% CI, 8-70; p=0.027) during late-phase recovery. The small sample size limits the study findings.

PATIENT SUMMARY

Results show that the immune response to surgery and late infection rates differ between radical cystectomy patients receiving specialized immunonutrition versus oral nutrition supplement in the perioperative period.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov NCT01868087.

Predictors of postoperative complications in elderly and oldest old patients with gastric cancer

BACKGROUND

The incidence of gastric cancer has been increasing among elderly persons in Japan. This study aimed to clarify risk factors for postoperative complications in oldest old patients with gastric cancer.

METHODS

One-hundred ninety patients more than 75 years old with gastric cancer underwent gastrectomy between 2000 and 2011. Patients were classified into two groups: group A included 29 patients who were 85 years or older (oldest old patients), and group B included 161 patients who were 75-84 years of age. Perioperative parameters associated with complications were compared in each group.

RESULTS

The preoperative estimated glomerular filtration rate was significantly lower in group A (p = 0.03). The two groups significantly differed in performance status (p = 0.018). Patients in group A received a lesser extent of lymph node dissection and had fewer lymph nodes excised. As a result, the duration of the operation was significantly shorter in group A. There were no significant differences in the frequency or grade of total complications or mortality between the two groups. Operative hemorrhage (>300 ml) and Hiroshima POSSUM (predicted morbidity risk >40) were risk factors in both groups A and B; the risk factors of preoperative serum albumin level and prognostic nutritional index (PNI) were specific to group A.

CONCLUSIONS

Adjustments to the extent of surgery among oldest old patients most likely reduces the incidence of postoperative complications in this group. Preoperative serum albumin level and PNI are significant predictors of postoperative complications in oldest old patients with gastric cancer.

Major hepatectomies for perihilar cholangiocarcinoma: Predictors for clinically relevant postoperative complications using the International Study Group of Liver Surgery definitions

BACKGROUND/AIM

Major hepatectomies are widely used in curative-intent surgery for perihilar cholangiocarcinoma, but morbidity rates are high. The aim of the study is to explore potential predictors for clinically relevant complications after major hepatectomies for perihilar cholangiocarcinoma.

METHODS

Seventy patients were included. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed for risk factors of morbidities using the International Study Group of Liver Surgery definitions.

RESULTS

Severe morbidity rate was 36.5%. Clinically relevant posthepatectomy liver failure, bile leak, and hemorrhage rates were 24%, 22%, and 8.5%, respectively. A neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio > 3.3 is an independent prognostic factor for severe complications (hazard ratio = 1.258; 95% confidence interval 1.008-1.570; p = 0.042) while the number of blood units > 3 is an independent prognostic factor for clinically relevant liver failure (hazard ratio = 1.254; 95% confidence interval 1.082-1.452; p = 0.003). Biliary drainage and portal vein resection were not statistically correlated with any postoperative complication (p ≥ 0.101). Significantly higher bilirubinemia levels were observed in patients with postoperative hemorrhage (p = 0.023).

CONCLUSION

Clinically relevant morbidity rates after major hepatectomies for perihilar cholangiocarcinoma are high. Liver failure represents the main complication and is correlated with the number of transfused blood units. A patient with increased bilirubinemia appears to have a high risk for postoperative hemorrhage. Biliary drainage and portal vein resection does not appear to have a detrimental effect on morbidities. Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio is a novel independent predictor for severe morbidity after major hepatectomies for perihilar cholangiocarcinoma and may contribute to better and informed decision-making.

Neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio as predictor of mortality and morbidity in cardiovascular surgery: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

Neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is an emerging biomarker of inflammation and predicts poorer outcome in cancer surgery. The prognostic value of NLR in cardiovascular surgery is unclear.

METHODS

Systematic review and meta-analysis of studies of in cardiovascular surgical patients were conducted to assess the role of perioperative NLR in predicting post-operative mortality and morbidity. Electronic searches were conducted on Ovid Medline, EMBASE, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials and Cochrane Database of Systemic Reviews for all prospective clinical studies reporting on NLR and post-operative morbidity and mortality in cardiovascular surgical patient population. Our primary end point was all-cause post-operative mortality and the secondary end point was post-operative morbidity. Mortality outcome from prospective studies were pooled for a meta-analysis using a random-effect model.

RESULTS

Of the 999 citations identified, five studies with 3487 patients met the inclusion criteria. In a pooled analysis of three prospective studies of 3108 patients, a preoperative increase in NLR (>3.3 in cardiac surgery, >5 in vascular surgery) was associated with increased mortality at a mean follow-up of 34.8 months (hazard ratio 1.85, 95% confidence interval 1.46-2.36; P < 0.00001). Raised NLR value was also associated with increased cardiac mortality, amputation in vascular operations and raised risk of post-operative re-intubation.

CONCLUSIONS

Elevated NLR were associated with increased long-term mortality and morbidity after major cardiac and vascular surgery. NLR may guide perioperative management and risk-stratification of patients.

Limited utility of inflammatory markers in the early detection of postoperative inflammatory complications after pancreatic resection: Cohort study and meta-analyses

PURPOSE

To examine the diagnostic accuracy of systemic inflammatory markers in early prediction of inflammatory postoperative complications (IPC) and clinically-relevant pancreatic fistula (PF).

METHODS

Preoperative and postoperative [until postoperative day (POD) 4)] measurements of hemoglobin, white blood cell counts (WBC), neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and C-reactive protein (CRP) were correlated with IPC and PF. Meta-analyses of biochemical predictors were performed.

RESULTS

Ninety-two out of 378 patients developed IPC, PF occurred in 31. Preoperative WBC (OR 1.0001, 95% CI: 1.0001-1.0002, p = 0.02), NLR on POD2 (OR 1.05, 95% CI: 1.006-1.1, p = 0.02) and CRP on POD4 (OR 1.006, 95% CI: 1.002-1.01, p = 0.02) predicted IPC at multivariate analysis. The model including these three variables showed a diagnostic accuracy of 76.8% (sensitivity 20, specificity 97%.14; PPV 71.43, PPN 77.27) and, at logistic regression analysis an OR of 8.5 (95% CI: 2.5-28.6, p < 0.001). Only CRP >272 on POD3 (OR 3.32, 95% CI: 1.46-7.52, p = 0.003) was associated with PF with a diagnostic accuracy of 74% (sensitivity 54.5, specificity 78.5; PPV 16.88, NPV 94.25). Meta-analyses of available data suggested sensitivity of 75.3% (95% CI 66.7-82.6) and specificity of 75.5% (95% CI 61.3-85.7). However, these studies were significantly heterogeneous.

CONCLUSIONS

Readily available, routine tests have limited utility in predicting IPC. Further research is required to develop novel biomarkers to aid management of these patients.

Is the Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio more correlated than C-reactive protein with postoperative complications after major abdominal surgery?

Background. The Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio (NLR) is an inflammatory marker that has proven usefulness for predicting late complications. Whether it is associated with immediate postoperative complications after abdominal surgery is not known. In this study, we attempted to correlate the NLR and the C-reactive protein (CRP) with postoperative complications rate.

Methods. We performed a post-hoc analysis of previously collected data concerning 82 consecutive patients (median age: 62 years, range: 27–80, female/male 32/50) undergoing major abdominal surgeries. For each patient, we recorded preoperative characteristics, the NLR and CRP values, and postoperative complications (between D + 8 and D + 30) such as infections (N = 29), cardiovascular complications (N = 12) and other complications (N = 28). We performed uni- and multivariate analyses using logistic/linear regression models.

Results. Patients with complications did not present a higher preoperative NLR than those without, but a higher ratio at D + 7 (10.73 ± 9.86 vs. 4.73 ± 3.38 without complication) (P < 0.001). In the univariate analysis, the NLR at D + 7 was associated with postoperative complications (P < 0.001). At D + 7, in the multivariate analysis, an increased NLR was associated with more complications (P < 0.001), whereas none of the other factors, including CRP, showed any correlation.

Conclusion. Postoperative NLR at day 7 after major abdominal surgery is associated with complications during the first postsurgical month, in contrast with the CRP level. The NLR is a simple and interesting parameter in the perioperative period.

Prognostic factors for morbidity and mortality in elderly patients undergoing acute gastrointestinal surgery: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

Elderly patients undergoing acute gastrointestinal (GI) surgery experience increased morbidity and mortality compared with younger and elective patients. Prognostic factors can be used to counsel patients of these risks and, if modifiable, to minimize them. We reviewed the literature on prognostic factors for adverse outcomes in elderly patients undergoing acute GI surgery.

METHODS

We searched PubMed and Embase using a strategy developed in collaboration with an expert librarian. Studies examining independent associations between prognostic factors and morbidity or mortality in patients aged 65 and older undergoing acute GI surgery were selected. We extracted data using a standardized form and assessed study quality using the QUIPS tool.

RESULTS

Nine cohort studies representing 2958 patients satisfied our selection criteria. All studies focused on postoperative mortality. Thirty-four prognostic factors were examined, with significant variability across studies. There was limited or conflicting evidence for most prognostic factors. Meta-analysis was only possible for the American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) score, which was found to be associated with mortality in 4 studies (pooled odds ratio 2.77, 95% confidence interval 0.92-8.41).

CONCLUSION

While acute GI surgery in elderly patients is becoming increasingly common, the literature on prognostic factors for morbidity and mortality in this patient population lags behind. Further research is needed to help guide patient care and potentially improve outcomes.

Perspectives in anaesthesia for cancer surgery

BACKGROUND

It is a fact that inflammatory scores are important prognostic factors in cancer surgery. Many data have been published last year showing that inflammation is a causative event in many cancers and a concomitant event in all malignant tumours. MONITORING OF THE INFLAMMATION: What is new is that we can assess inflammatory status during the preoperative period of our cancer patients with simple and widely available parameters, such as the neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio. This kind of biomarkers will be helpful, for the clinicians, to stratify the patients and, for the researcher, to incorporate it in clinical trials. RATIONALE FOR TRIALS AFTER DATABASE ANALYSES: Promising clinical trials, focusing on perioperative inflammation, are ongoing. Rationale for these trials came from database analyses. This kind of analyses must be extended to follow the long-term effects of our interventions. NON-STEROIDAL ANTI-INFLAMMATORY DRUGS: We have shown a correlation between non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs, especially ketorolac, and improved outcome (metastasis-free survival and/or overall survival) in breast and lung cancer patients.

CONCLUSION

Focusing on a high-risk group with preoperative inflammation could lead to a clinical trial to test the effect of ketorolac on cancer outcome.