Association of NT-ProBNP, Blood Pressure, and Cardiovascular Events: The ARIC Study

Modeling the Impact of Biomarker-Guided Versus ASCVD Risk-Guided Drug Treatment in US Adults With Stage 1 Hypertension: The National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, 1999 to 2004

BACKGROUND

Guidelines recommend antihypertensive medication for adults with both stage 1 hypertension (systolic blood pressure, 130-139 mm Hg or diastolic blood pressure, 80-89 mm Hg) and 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk ≥10%. Cardiac biomarkers could facilitate a more targeted approach to the treatment of stage 1 hypertension.

METHODS

We studied 1999 to 2004 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey participants aged ≥20 years with untreated stage 1 hypertension without heart failure or ASCVD. We measured hs-cTnI (high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I), hs-cTnT (high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T) and NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide) in stored serum. We used the Pooled Cohort Equations to predict 10-year ASCVD risk. All participants had linked mortality follow-up through December 31, 2019.

RESULTS

Overall, 17.5% of US adults (32.2 million) had untreated stage 1 hypertension. Among these 32.2 million persons, 15.7% had ASCVD risk ≥10%, 5.6% had elevated hs-cTnI, 4.7% had elevated hs-cTnT, and 9.5% had elevated NT-proBNP. Among adults aged 65 to 79 years with untreated stage 1 hypertension, 80.5% had ASCVD risk ≥10%, 13.0% had elevated hs-cTnI, 15.2% had elevated hs-cTnT, and 29.4% had elevated NT-proBNP. Less than half of the adults aged ≥80 years with untreated stage 1 hypertension had elevated biomarkers. The cardiovascular disease mortality rates among all adults with untreated stage 1 hypertension and with either ASCVD risk ≥10%, elevated hs-cTnI, elevated hs-cTnT, or elevated NT-proBNP were 7.51, 7.74, 8.75, and 5.87 per 1000 person-years, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Cardiac biomarkers may be more selective for informing risk-based treatment decisions in stage 1 hypertension, particularly among adults aged ≥65 years.

Reservoir-excess pressure parameters are independently associated with NT-proBNP in older adults

AIMS

Parameters derived from reservoir-excess pressure analysis have been demonstrated to predict cardiovascular events. Thus, altered reservoir-excess pressure parameters could have a detrimental effect on highly-perfused organs like the heart. We aimed to cross-sectionally determine whether reservoir-excess pressure parameters were associated with N-terminal pro-brain-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) in older adults.

METHODS

We studied 868 older adults with diverse cardiovascular risk. Reservoir-excess pressure parameters were obtained through radial artery tonometry including reservoir pressure integral, peak reservoir pressure, excess pressure integral (INTXSP), systolic rate constant (SRC) and diastolic rate constant (DRC). Plasma levels of NT-proBNP, as a biomarker of cardiac overload, were analysed by the Proximity Extension Assay technology.

RESULTS

Multivariable linear regression analyses revealed that all reservoir-excess pressure parameters studied were associated with NT-proBNP after adjusting for age and sex. After further adjustments for conventional cardiovascular risk factors, INTXSP [β = 0.191 (95% confidence interval, CI: 0.099, 0.283), P < 0.001], SRC [β = -0.080 (95% CI: -0.141, -0.019), P = 0.010] and DRC [β = 0.138 (95% CI: 0.073, 0.202), P < 0.001] remained associated with NT-proBNP. Sensitivity analysis found that there were occasions where the association between SRC and NT-proBNP was attenuated, but both INTXSP and DRC remained consistently associated with NT-proBNP.

CONCLUSIONS

The observed associations between reservoir-excess pressure parameters and NT-proBNP suggest that altered reservoir-excess pressure parameters may reflect an increased load inflicted on the left ventricular cardiomyocytes and could have a potential to be utilized in the clinical setting for cardiovascular risk stratification.

Cardiometabolic Co-morbidity Burden and Circulating Biomarkers in Patients With Chronic Coronary Disease in the ISCHEMIA Trials

Cardiometabolic co-morbidities, diabetes (DM), hypertension (HTN), and obesity contribute to cardiovascular disease. Circulating biomarkers facilitate prognostication for patients with cardiovascular disease. We explored the relation between cardiometabolic co-morbidity burden in patients with chronic coronary disease and biomarkers of myocardial stretch, injury, inflammation, and platelet activity. We analyzed participants from the International Study of Comparative Health Effectiveness with Medical and Invasive Approaches (ISCHEMIA) trials biorepository with plasma biomarkers (N-terminal probrain natriuretic peptide, high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, interleukin-6, soluble CD40 ligand, and growth differentiation factor-15) and clinical risk factors (hemoglobin A1c [HbA1c], systolic blood pressure [SBP], and body mass index [BMI]) at baseline. We defined cardiometabolic co-morbidities as DM, HTN, and obesity at baseline. Co-morbidity burden is characterized by the number and severity of co-morbidities. Controlled co-morbidities were defined as HbA1c <7% for those with DM, SBP <130 mm Hg for those with HTN, and BMI <30 kg/m2. Severely uncontrolled was defined as HbA1c ≥8%, SBP ≥160 mm Hg, and BMI ≥35 kg/m2. We performed linear regression analyses to examine the association between co-morbidity burden and log-transformed biomarker levels, adjusting for age, gender, estimated glomerular filtration rate controlled for hemodialysis, and left ventricular ejection fraction. A total of 752 participants (mean age 66 years, 19% women, 84% White) were included in this analysis. Self-reported Black race, current smokers, history of myocardial infarction, and heart failure had a greater cardiometabolic co-morbidity burden. The presence of ≥1 severely uncontrolled co-morbidity was associated with significantly higher baseline levels of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, interleukin-6, and growth differentiation factor-15 than participants with no co-morbidities. In conclusion, increasing cardiometabolic co-morbidity burden in patients with chronic coronary disease is associated with higher levels of circulating biomarkers of myocardial injury and inflammation.

A prediction model for estimating NT-proBNP in a general Japanese population: the Toon Health Study

AIMS

As part of the Toon Health Study, which is an ongoing population-based cohort study, we aimed to develop a prediction model for N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) in a general Japanese population. We sought to explore the influence of various demographic and clinical factors on NT-proBNP levels and assess the model's performance. In addition, our objectives included internal validation and investigation of the diagnostic potential of the observed-to-predicted NT-proBNP ratio (OPR) at baseline for predicting the risk of heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF).

METHODS AND RESULTS

In this prospective cohort study, participants were recruited from Toon City, Japan, as part of the larger Toon Health Study, focusing on cardiovascular risk factors. We measured the NT-proBNP levels and used linear regression with penalization (ridge regression) to develop the model. The model incorporated 10 prespecified predictors (age, gender, body mass index, diastolic blood pressure, heart rate, haemoglobin, albumin, total cholesterol, haemoglobin A1c, and estimated glomerular filtration rate) and underwent assessment using R2 and root mean squared error (RMSE). Internal validation was conducted through bootstrapping. In a post hoc analysis, we explored the OPR's diagnostic potential using 5 year follow-up data (n = 636) to predict the elevation of NT-proBNP > 125 pg/mL at the 5 year follow-up as the risk of HFpEF. A total of 2505 participants (age: 60.4 ± 12.9 years, men: 35%) were enrolled in this study. There was a linear relationship between the observed and predicted values of NT-proBNP in which the logarithm of observed NT-proBNP was <6, which corresponds to 403 pg/mL in NT-proBNP. The prediction model demonstrated satisfactory performance (R2: 0.291, RMSE: 0.688), with age identified as a dominant predictor. The stability of the model was underscored by the internal validation. The OPR at baseline predicted NT-proBNP > 125 pg/mL at the 5 year follow-up with an area under the curve of 0.793.

CONCLUSIONS

This study introduces the first prediction model for NT-proBNP in a general Japanese population. Although the model has acceptable performance, ongoing refinement is essential. Our transparent approach to model development, alongside a web-based interactive tool, lays the groundwork for further improvements and external validation. The OPR holds potential for predicting the future risk of HFpEF. This research contributes to understanding the nuanced influence of patient backgrounds on levels of NT-proBNP in asymptomatic individuals within the context of a broader population-based cohort study.

Serum Brain Natriuretic Peptide Levels Correlate with the Severity of Hypertension in a Population of Nigerian Patients

Background

Hypertension is a major global health concern requiring precise risk assessment. Brain Natriuretic Peptide (BNP) has emerged as a potential biomarker, but its relationship with hypertension severity requires exploration to evaluate its potential as a risk prediction tool. This study aimed to assess the relationship between serum BNP levels and the severity of hypertension in a population of Nigerian patients.

Methodology

This was an analytical cross-sectional case-controlled study involving 103 hypertensive patients and 98 controls. Participants were grouped based on World Health Organization (WHO) criteria for diagnosis of Hypertension and the severity of hypertension was categorized based on blood pressure readings. The mean BNP levels were assessed among different hypertension grades, while logistic regression was used to assess the odds of higher severity with elevated BNP.

Results

Serum BNP levels were significantly higher in hypertensive individuals (616.5 ± 66.3 pg/mL) compared to controls (501.1 ± 84.6 pg/mL) and varied significantly across different hypertension grades (p = 0.000). A positive correlation was observed between serum BNP and hypertension severity (r = 0.736, p < 0.001). Logistic regression analysis indicated increasing odds of higher severity with elevated BNP from Grade 1 to Grade 3 hypertension.

Conclusion

This study established a positive correlation between serum BNP levels and hypertension severity, indicating its potential as a predictive biomarker for risk stratification in hypertensive individuals.

Liver fibrosis, NT-ProBNP and mortality in patients with MASLD: A population-based cohort study

BACKGROUND & AIM

Liver fibrosis is the strongest predictor of liver-related mortality in many chronic liver diseases. NT-ProBNP is independently associated with cardiovascular mortality in general population settings. Here, we evaluate the relative contribution of non-invasively identified liver fibrosis and NT-ProBNP on all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in patients with metabolic (dysfunction)-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD).

METHODS AND RESULTS

Serum NT-ProBNP levels were measured in 4229 patients with MASLD from the general population without a known history of heart failure that participated in the 1999-2004 cycles of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. Presence of liver fibrosis was estimated using the Fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4). We applied Cox proportional hazard models adjusted for cardiovascular risk factors to evaluate the association between NT-ProBNP and FIB-4 levels and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality through December 2019. Mortality was lower for participants with normal levels of both biomarkers, intermediate if a single biomarker was elevated and highest when both were above the chosen threshold. In the multivariable-adjusted models, both elevated FIB-4 (≥2.67) and elevated NT-ProBNP levels (≥125 pg/ml) were independently associated with higher risks of all-cause mortality (HR 2.2, 95 % CI 1.5-3.2 and HR 1.6, 95 % CI 1.4-2.0, respectively) and cardiovascular mortality (HR 2.1, 95 % CI 1.2-3.7 and HR 2.1, 95 % CI 1.5-2.9, respectively). The associations remained consistent in subgroup analyses based on sex, obesity and age.

CONCLUSIONS

Both FIB-4 and NT-ProBNP are independently associated with higher mortality in patients with MASLD. Their combined use might prove useful to risk-stratify patients in clinical practice.

The multidimensional value of natriuretic peptides in heart failure, integrating laboratory and clinical aspects

Natriuretic peptides (NP) play an essential role in heart failure (HF) regulation, and their measurement has improved diagnostic and prognostic accuracy. Clinical symptoms and objective measurements, such as NP levels, should be included in the HF definition to render it more reliable and consistent among observers, hospitals, and healthcare systems. BNP and NT-proBNP are reasonable surrogates for cardiac disease, and their measurement is critical to early diagnosis and risk stratification of HF patients. NPs should be measured in all patients presenting with dyspnea or other symptoms suggestive of HF to facilitate early diagnosis and risk stratification. Both BNP and NT-proBNP are currently used for guided HF management and display comparable diagnostic and prognostic accuracy. Standardized cutoffs for each NP assay are essential for data comparison. The value of NP testing is recognized at various levels, including patient empowerment and education, analytical and operational issues, clinical HF management, and cost-effectiveness.

Dietary Sodium Reduction Is Best for Reducing Blood Pressure: Controversies in Hypertension

The global burden of cardiovascular disease (CVD) continues to grow, as does the incidence of hypertension, one of the most important modifiable risk factors of CVD. Non-pharmacologic, population level interventions are critically needed to halt the hypertension pandemic, but there is an ongoing debate as to whether public policy efforts should focus more on dietary sodium reduction or increasing potassium. In this commentary, we summarize arguments in favor of policy geared towards reduced sodium intake. Recognizing increasing dietary sodium as one of the drivers of the hypertension pandemic is critical to developing public policy to reduce population level sodium exposure and blood pressure. We draw from a robust field of evidence to show that reducing sodium intake improves blood pressure in a linear fashion, across the lifespan, at an individual level and a population level, and may even reduce CVD events. While potassium plays an important role in blood pressure regulation, potassium interventions are less effective at reducing blood pressure, carry risk of hyperkalemia in select populations, and are more logistically challenging. There is an urgent need for nation-wide policies to reduce sodium intake to help stem the hypertension pandemic and prevent CVD.

High-Sensitivity Cardiac Troponins I and T and Cardiovascular Outcomes: Findings from the Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial (SPRINT)

BACKGROUND

Cardiac troponins are associated with adverse cardiovascular disease (CVD) outcomes. The value of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I (hs-cTnI) independently and in concert with troponin T (hs-cTnT) in the management of hypertension has not been well studied.

METHODS

We assessed the utility of hs-cTnI independently and with hs-cTnT in identifying the highest risk individuals in the Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial (SPRINT). Among 8796 eligible SPRINT participants, hs-cTnI was measured at baseline and 1 year. The association of baseline level and 1-year change in hs-cTnI with CVD events and all-cause death was evaluated using adjusted Cox regression models. We further assessed the complementary value of hs-cTnI and hs-cTnT by identifying concordant and discordant categories and assessing their association with outcomes.

RESULTS

hs-cTnI was positively associated with composite CVD risk [myocardial infarction, other acute coronary syndrome, stroke, or cardiovascular death: hazard ratio 1.23, 95% confidence interval 1.08-1.39 per 1-unit increase in log(troponin I)] independent of traditional risk factors, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, and hs-cTnT. Intensive blood pressure lowering was associated with greater absolute risk reduction (4.5% vs 1.7%) and lower number needed to treat (23 vs 59) for CVD events among those with higher baseline hs-cTnI (≥6 ng/L in men, ≥4 ng/L in women). hs-cTnI increase at 1 year was also associated with increased CVD risk. hs-cTnI and hs-cTnT were complementary, and elevations in both identified individuals with the highest risk for CVD and death.

CONCLUSIONS

Baseline levels and change in hs-cTnI over 1 year identified higher-risk individuals who may derive greater cardiovascular benefit with intensive blood pressure treatment. hs-TnI and hs-TnT have complementary value in CVD risk assessment. ClinicalTrials.gov Registration Number: NCT01206062.

The Prevention of the New Onset of Heart Failure in Hypertensive Patients

In 2014, Japan was estimated to have approximately 27 million patients with hypertension (HT), and the ultimate goal of treatment is to prevent complications of HT, including heart failure (HF). The major structural changes in the heart that cause HF are left ventricular (LV) hypertrophy (LVH) and the resulting LV diastolic dysfunction. However, in patients with HT with well-controlled blood pressure (BP), whether they are in HF stage A (only HT) or B (with organic heart disease) is often unclear. It has been reported that strict BP control suppresses LVH, and the improvement of LVH leads to the suppression of cardiovascular complications. Thus, detecting HF stage B HT and providing appropriate treatment lead to the suppression of HF onset. This review focuses on the detection and treatment of organic heart disease in HT.

Biomarkers and cardiovascular events in patients with stable coronary disease in the ISCHEMIA Trials

IMPORTANCE

Biomarkers may improve prediction of cardiovascular events for patients with stable coronary artery disease (CAD), but their importance in addition to clinical tests of inducible ischemia and CAD severity is unknown.

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the prognostic value of multiple biomarkers in stable outpatients with obstructive CAD and moderate or severe inducible ischemia.

DESIGN AND SETTING

The ISCHEMIA and ISCHEMIA CKD trials randomized 5,956 participants with CAD to invasive or conservative management from July 2012 to January 2018; 1,064 participated in the biorepository.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Primary outcome was cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction (MI), or hospitalization for unstable angina, heart failure, or resuscitated cardiac arrest. Secondary outcome was cardiovascular death or MI. Improvements in prediction were assessed by cause-specific hazard ratios (HR) and area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC) for an interquartile increase in each biomarker, controlling for other biomarkers, in a base clinical model of risk factors, left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) and ischemia severity. Secondary analyses were performed among patients in whom core-lab confirmed severity of CAD was ascertained by computed cardiac tomographic angiography (CCTA).

EXPOSURES

Baseline levels of interleukin-6 (IL-6), high sensitivity troponin T (hsTnT), growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15), N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), lipoprotein a (Lp[a]), high sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP), Cystatin C, soluble CD 40 ligand (sCD40L), myeloperoxidase (MPO), and matrix metalloproteinase 3 (MMP3).

RESULTS

Among 757 biorepository participants, median (IQR) follow-up was 3 (2-5) years, age was 67 (61-72) years, and 144 (19%) were female; 508 had severity of CAD by CCTA available. In an adjusted multimarker model with hsTnT, GDF-15, NT-proBNP and sCD40L, the adjusted HR for the primary outcome per interquartile increase in each biomarker was 1.58 (95% CI 1.22, 2.205), 1.60 (95% CI 1.16, 2.20), 1.61 (95% 1.22, 2.14), and 1.46 (95% 1.12, 1.90), respectively. The adjusted multimarker model also improved prediction compared with the clinical model, increasing the AUC from 0.710 to 0.792 (P < .01) and 0.714 to 0.783 (P < .01) for the primary and secondary outcomes, respectively. Similar findings were observed after adjusting for core-lab confirmed atherosclerosis severity.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

Among ISCHEMIA biorepository participants, biomarkers of myocyte injury/distension, inflammation, and platelet activity improved cardiovascular event prediction in addition to risk factors, LVEF, and assessments of ischemia and atherosclerosis severity. These biomarkers may improve risk stratification for patients with stable CAD.

Prevalence of Elevated NT-proBNP and its Prognostic Value by Blood Pressure Treatment and Control

BACKGROUND

The prognostic utility of NT-proBNP in the setting of hypertension has not been well-characterized in the general US adult population.

METHODS

We measured NT-proBNP in stored blood samples collected from participants 1 year or older who participated in the 1999-2004 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. In adults 20 years or older without a history of cardiovascular disease, we assessed the prevalence of elevated NT-pro-BNP by blood pressure (BP) treatment and control categories. We examined the extent to which NT-proBNP identifies participants at higher risk for mortality across BP treatment and control categories.

RESULTS

Among US adults without CVD, the prevalence of elevated NT-proBNP (≥125 pg/ml) was 27.2% among those with untreated hypertension, 24.9% among those with treated controlled hypertension, and 43.3% among those with treated uncontrolled hypertension. Over a median follow-up of 17.3 years and after adjusting for demographic and clinical risk factors, US adults with treated controlled hypertension and elevated NT-proBNP had increased risk of all-cause mortality (HR 2.29, 95% CI 1.79, 2.95) and cardiovascular mortality (HR 3.83, 95% CI 2.34, 6.29), compared to adults without hypertension and with low levels of NT-proBNP (<125 pg/ml). Across all levels of SBP and irrespective of antihypertensive medication use, elevated NT-proBNP was associated with an increased risk of mortality, compared to low levels of NT-proBNP.

CONCLUSIONS

Among a general population of adults free of CVD, NT-proBNP can provide additional prognostic information within and across categories of BP. Measurement of NT-proBNP may have potential for clinical use to optimize hypertension treatment.

Age-Related Differences in the Contribution of Systolic Blood Pressure and Biomarkers to Cardiovascular Disease Risk Prediction: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study

We sought to determine how biomarkers known to be associated with hypertension-induced end-organ injury complement the use of systolic blood pressure (SBP) for cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk prediction at different ages. Using data from visits 2 (1990 to 1992) and 5 (2011 to 2013) of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study, 3 models were used to predict CVD (composite of coronary heart disease, stroke, and heart failure). Model A included traditional risk factors (TRFs) except SBP, model B-TRF plus SBP, and model C-TRF plus biomarkers (high-sensitivity troponin T [hsTnT] and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide [NT-proBNP]). Harrel's C-statistics were used to assess risk discrimination for CVD comparing models B and A and C and B. At visit 2, the addition of SBP to TRF (model B vs model A) significantly improved the C-statistic (∆C-statistic, 95% confidence interval 0.010, 0.007 to 0.013) whereas the addition of hsTnT to TRF (model C vs model B) decreased the C-statistic (∆C-statistic -0.0038, -0.0075 to -0.0001) compared with SBP. At visit 5, the addition of SBP to TRF did not significantly improve the C-statistic (∆C-statistic 0.001, -0.002 to 0.005) whereas the addition of both hsTnT and NT-proBNP to TRF significantly improved the C-statistic compared with SBP (∆C-statistic 0.028, 0.015 to 0.041 and 0.055, 0.036 to 0.074, respectively). In summary, the incremental value of SBP for CVD risk prediction diminishes with age whereas the incremental value of hsTnT and NT-proBNP increases with age.

Associations of Cardiac Biomarkers With Peripheral Artery Disease and Peripheral Neuropathy in US Adults Without Prevalent Cardiovascular Disease

BACKGROUND

NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide), high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-troponin T), and high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I (hs-troponin I) are increasingly being recommended for risk stratification for a variety of cardiovascular outcomes. The aims of our study were to establish the prevalence and associations of elevated NT-proBNP, hs-troponin T, and hs-troponin I with lower extremity disease, including peripheral artery disease (PAD) and peripheral neuropathy (PN), in the US general adult population without known cardiovascular disease. We also assessed whether the combination of PAD or PN and elevated cardiac biomarkers was associated with an increased risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality.

METHODS

We conducted a cross-sectional analysis of the associations of NT-proBNP, hs-troponin T, and hs-troponin I with PAD (based on ankle-brachial index <0.90) and PN (diagnosed by monofilament testing) in adult participants aged ≥40 years of age without prevalent cardiovascular disease in NHANES (National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey) 1999 to 2004. We calculated the prevalence of elevated cardiac biomarkers among adults with PAD and PN and used multivariable logistic regression to assess the associations of each cardiac biomarker, modeled using clinical cut points, with PAD and PN separately. We used multivariable Cox proportional hazards models to assess the adjusted associations of cross categories of clinical categories of each cardiac biomarker and PAD or PN with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality.

RESULTS

In US adults aged ≥40 years, the prevalence (±SE) of PAD was 4.1±0.2% and the prevalence of PN was 12.0±0.5%. The prevalence of elevated NT-proBNP (≥125 ng/L), hs-troponin T (≥6 ng/L), and hs-troponin I (≥6 ng/L for men and ≥4 ng/L for women) was 54.0±3.4%, 73.9±3.5%, and 32.3±3.7%, respectively, among adults with PAD and 32.9±1.9%, 72.8±2.0%, and 22.7±1.9%, respectively, among adults with PN. There was a strong, graded association of higher clinical categories of NT-proBNP with PAD after adjusting for cardiovascular risk factors. Clinical categories of elevated hs-troponin T and hs-troponin I were strongly associated with PN in adjusted models. After a maximum follow-up of 21 years, elevated NT-proBNP, hs-troponin T, and hs-troponin I were each associated with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, with higher risks of death observed among adults with elevated cardiac biomarkers plus PAD or PN compared with elevated biomarkers alone.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study establishes a high burden of subclinical cardiovascular disease defined by cardiac biomarkers in people with PAD or PN. Cardiac biomarkers provided prognostic information for mortality within and across PAD and PN status, supporting the use of these biomarkers for risk stratification among adults without prevalent cardiovascular disease.

A case-cohort study of the association between adiponectin and mortality in EPIC-Heidelberg: NT-proBNP may explain the adiponectin paradox

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

NT-proBNP has been hypothesized as a possible explanation for the paradoxical association between adiponectin and cardiovascular and all-cause mortality. We examined the heterogeneities by NT-proBNP, sex, BMI, smoking status, hypertension and diabetes status in the association between adiponectin and cardiovascular disease risk and mortality.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We used a case-cohort design nested within the EPIC-Heidelberg cohort, including 1387 incident cases of myocardial infarction or stroke, 582 deaths from cardiovascular causes and 2352 total deaths. We estimated hazard ratios for the association between 1SD increase in log-transformed total adiponectin levels and cardiovascular disease risk, cardiovascular mortality and mortality using Prentice-weighted Cox-proportional hazard models and assessed heterogeneity of the associations across strata of covariates. Overall, adiponectin was significantly associated with all-cause mortality [HR = 1.09, 95% CI: 1.03-1.16, p = 0.004]. The association with cardiovascular mortality did not reach statistical significance [1.10 (0.99-1.37), p = 0.073]. There was significant heterogeneity by NT-proBNP in the association between total adiponectin and all-cause mortality (phet = 0.019) such that significant increase in hazards of mortality were restricted to participants in the highest tertile of NT-proBNP. Among these participants, adiponectin showed a dose-response relationship with total mortality such that; compared to participants in the lowest quintile, those in the third, fourth and fifth were at 1.22 (0.87-1.70), 1.50 (1.07-2.11), and 1.59 (1.15-2.21) higher hazards of mortality respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Significant association between adiponectin and mortality was only observed in the context of high NT-proBNP. Our findings provide further support for hypothesis that NT-proBNP may explain the adiponectin paradox.

Reclassification of Pre-Heart Failure Stages Using Cardiac Biomarkers: The ARIC Study

BACKGROUND

The recent heart failure (HF) guideline recommends the inclusion of cardiac biomarkers in defining Stage B HF.

OBJECTIVES

The authors evaluated the impact of incorporating cardiac biomarkers to reclassify HF in 5,324 participants (mean age: 75.8 years) without prevalent HF enrolled in the ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities) study and assessed prognosis of Stage B using cardiac biomarkers.

METHODS

Using N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (<125 pg/mL or ≥125 pg/mL), high-sensitivity troponin T (<14 ng/L or ≥14 ng/L), and abnormal cardiac structure/function by echocardiography, individuals were classified as Stage Anew and Stage Bnew HF, respectively. Stage Bnew was further evaluated as elevated biomarker only, abnormal echocardiogram only, and abnormalities in both (echo + biomarker). The authors assessed risk for incident HF and all-cause death using Cox regression.

RESULTS

Overall, 4,326 (81.3%) individuals were classified as Stage Bnew with 1,123 (21.1%) meeting criteria for elevated biomarkers only. Compared with Stage Anew, Stage Bnew was associated with increased risk for incident HF (HR: 3.70 [95% CI: 2.58-5.30]) and death (HR: 1.94 [95% CI: 1.53-2.46]). Stage Bbiomarkers only and Stage Becho only were associated with increased HF risk, whereas Stage Bbiomarkers only was also associated with increased death. Stage Becho+biomarker had the highest risk for HF (HR: 6.34 [95% CI: 4.37-9.19]) and death (HR: 2.53 [95% CI: 1.98-3.23]).

CONCLUSIONS

Incorporating biomarkers based on the new HF guideline reclassified approximately 1 in 5 older adults without prevalent HF to Stage B. The routine measurement of biomarkers can help to identify individuals at higher HF risk who may benefit most from HF prevention efforts.

Prevalence of Elevated NT-proBNP and its Prognostic Value by Blood Pressure Treatment and Control- National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, 1999-2004

Background

The prognostic utility of NT-proBNP in the setting of hypertension has not been well-characterized in the general US adult population.

Methods

We measured NT-proBNP among adults aged 20 years who participated in the 1999-2004 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. In adults without a history of cardiovascular disease, we assessed the prevalence of elevated NT-pro-BNP by blood pressure (BP) treatment and control categories. We examined the extent to which NT-proBNP identifies participants at higher risk for mortality across BP treatment and control categories.

Results

The number of US adults without CVD with elevated NT-proBNP (≥125 pg/ml) was 6.2 million among those with untreated hypertension, 4.6 million among those with treated controlled hypertension, and 5.4 million among those with treated uncontrolled hypertension. After adjusting for age, sex, body mass index, and race/ethnicity, participants with treated controlled hypertension and elevated NT-proBNP had increased risk of all-cause mortality (HR 2.29, 95% CI 1.79, 2.95) and increased risk of cardiovascular mortality (HR 3.83, 95% CI: 2.34, 6.29), compared to those without hypertension and with low levels of NT-proBNP (<125 pg/ml). Among those on antihypertensive medication, those with SBP 130-139 mm Hg and elevated NT-proBNP had increased risk of all-cause mortality, compared to those with SBP<120 mm Hg and low levels of NT-proBNP.

Conclusions

Among a general population of adults free of cardiovascular disease, NT-proBNP can provide additional prognostic information within and across categories of BP. Measurement of NT-proBNP may have potential for clinical use to optimize hypertension treatment.

Association of a Multiancestry Genome-Wide Blood Pressure Polygenic Risk Score With Adverse Cardiovascular Events

BACKGROUND

Traditional cardiovascular risk factors and the underlying genetic risk of elevated blood pressure (BP) determine an individual's composite risk of developing adverse cardiovascular events. We sought to evaluate the relative contributions of the traditional cardiovascular risk factors to the development of adverse cardiovascular events in the context of varying BP genetic risk profiles.

METHODS

Genome-wide polygenic risk score (PRS) was computed using multiancestry genome-wide association estimates among US adults who underwent whole-genome sequencing in the Trans-Omics for Precision program. Individuals were stratified into high, intermediate, and low genetic risk groups (>80th, 20-80th, and <20th centiles of systolic BP [SBP] PRS). Based on the ACC/AHA Pooled Cohort Equations, participants were stratified into low and high (10 year-atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease [CVD] risk: <10% or ≥10%) cardiovascular risk factor profile groups. The primary study outcome was incident cardiovascular event (composite of incident heart failure, incident stroke, and incident coronary heart disease).

RESULTS

Among 21 897 US adults (median age: 56 years; 56.0% women; 35.8% non-White race/ethnicity), 1 SD increase in the SBP PRS, computed using 1.08 million variants, was associated with SBP (β: 4.39 [95% CI, 4.13-4.65]) and hypertension (odds ratio, 1.50 [95% CI, 1.46-1.55]), respectively. This association was robustly seen across racial/ethnic groups. Each SD increase in SBP PRS was associated with a higher risk of the incident CVD (multivariable-adjusted hazards ratio, 1.07 [95% CI, 1.04-1.10]) after controlling for ACC/AHA Pooled Cohort Equations risk scores. Among individuals with a high SBP PRS, low atherosclerotic CVD risk was associated with a 58% lower hazard for incident CVD (multivariable-adjusted hazards ratio, 0.42 [95% CI, 0.36-0.50]) compared to those with high atherosclerotic CVD risk. A similar pattern was noted in intermediate and low genetic risk groups.

CONCLUSIONS

In a multiancestry cohort of >21 000 US adults, genome-wide SBP PRS was associated with BP traits and adverse cardiovascular events. Adequate control of modifiable cardiovascular risk factors may reduce the predisposition to adverse cardiovascular events among those with a high SBP PRS.

NT-ProBNP and mortality across the spectrum of glucose tolerance in the general US population

Background

Even though hyperglycemia is a well-known cardiovascular risk factor, the absolute risk of cardiovascular events varies to a great extent within each glycemic category. The aim of this study is to evaluate whether N-terminal pro-B natriuretic peptide (NT-ProBNP) could help identify subjects at higher cardiovascular risk, independently of blood glucose levels.

Methods

Serum NT-ProBNP levels were measured in 5502 people aged 45–79 years without heart failure from the general population (3380 with normoglycemia, 1125 with pre-diabetes and 997 with diabetes) that participated in the 1999–2004 cycles of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. We applied Cox and Fine Gray models adjusted for cardiovascular risk factors to evaluate the association between NT-ProBNP levels and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality through December 2015.

Results

After a median follow-up of 13 years, 1509 participants died, 330 of cardiovascular causes. In the multivariable-adjusted models, compared with participants with NT-ProBNP < 100 pg/ml, those with levels 100–300 pg/ml and ≥ 300 pg/ml had a higher incidence of both all-cause mortality (HR 1.61, 95% CI 1.12–2.32, p = 0.012 and HR 2.96, 95% CI 1.75–5.00, p < 0.001, respectively) and cardiovascular mortality (HR 1.57, 95% CI 1.17–2.10, p = 0.011 and HR 2.08, 95% CI 1.47–2.93, p < 0.001, respectively). The association was consistent in subgroup analyses based on glycemic status, obesity, age and sex.

Conclusions

Elevated NT-ProBNP is independently associated with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in the general population and could help identify patients at the highest risk. Further studies are needed to evaluate whether intensification of treatment based on biomarker data might lead to improvements in cardiovascular risk reduction.

Cognition impairment and risk of subclinical cardiovascular disease in older adults: The atherosclerosis risk in communities study

Background

Clinical cardiovascular disease (CVD) and cognition impairment are common and often coexist in aging populations, and CVD is associated with greater cognition impairment risk; however, the association between cognition impairment and CVD risk is inconsistent. It is unknown if pathways that contribute to CVD are caused by impaired cognition. We hypothesized that cognition impairment would be associated with greater subclinical CVD including subclinical myocardial damage [assessed by high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT)] and cardiac strain or dysfunction [assessed by N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP)].

Methods

This analysis included Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study (ARIC) participants who underwent global cognition z-score tests between 1991 and 1993. Cardiac biomarkers were measured from stored plasma samples collected between 1996 and 1999. Logistic regression models were used to determine the association of cognitive function with subclinical CVD risk.

Results

There were 558/9216 (6.1%) and 447/9097 (5.0%) participants with incident elevated hs-CTnT (≥14 ng/L) and NT-proBNP (≥300 pg/mL) levels, respectively. Comparing the lowest and highest quartiles of global cognition z-scores, a higher incidence of elevated hs-CTnT [odds ratio (OR) = 1.511, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.093–2.088, P = 0.013] and NT-proBNP (OR = 1.929, 95% CI: 1.350–2.755, P &lt; 0.001) were observed, respectively. In structural equation modeling, the indirect effect of global cognition z-score on major adverse cardiac events was 42.1% (P &lt; 0.05).

Conclusion

Impairments in baseline cognitive function were associated with subclinical myocardial damage or wall strain. Although future studies are warranted to investigate the pathophysiological mechanisms behind these associations, our study suggests common pathways between cognitive and cardiac dysfunction.

Subclinical cardiovascular disease and frailty risk: the atherosclerosis risk in communities study

Background

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is associated with a greater frailty risk, but it remains unknown if pathways that contribute to CVD are associated with the frailty risk. Thus, we aimed to investigate whether elevations in high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) for those without known CVD at baseline are associated with a higher frailty risk.

Methods

This study used data from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study. Cardiac biomarkers were measured from stored plasma samples collected at Visit 2 (1991–1993). Frailty was recorded at Visit 5 (2011–2013). Cox regression models were used to determine the association of cardiac biomarkers with frailty risk.

Results

Overall, 360/5199 (6.9%) participants aged 55.1 ± 5.1 years developed frailty during a median follow-up of 21.7 years. The incidence of frailty was significantly higher in participants with hs-cTnT ≥14 ng/L (vs. < 14 ng/L: 17.9% vs. 6.7%) or NT-proBNP ≥300 pg/ml (vs. < 300 pg/ml: 19.7% vs. 6.8%) (all P < 0.001). Comparing higher vs. lower cut-off levels of either hs-cTnT (14 ng/l) or NT-proBNP (300 pg/ml) demonstrated a greater than two-fold higher frailty risk, with hazard ratios (HRs) of 2.13 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.130–4.01, P = 0.020) and 2.61 (95% CI: 1.28–5.33, P = 0.008), respectively. Individuals with both elevated hs-cTnT and NT-proBNP had a higher frailty risk than those without it (HR: 4.15; 95% CI: 1.50–11.48, P = 0.006).

Conclusions

High hs-cTnT and NT-proBNP levels are strongly associated with incident frailty in the community-dwelling population without known CVD. Subclinical cardiac damage (hs-cTnT) and/or wall strain (NT-proBNP) may be the key pathway of CVD patients developing frailty. Detection of hs-cTnT and NT-proBNP may help for early screening of high-risk frailty and providing individualised intervention.

Trial registration

URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT00005131.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12877-022-02974-z.

The association of fibroblast growth factor 23 at mid-life and late-life with subsequent risk of cardiovascular disease: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study

Background

Fibroblast growth factor 23 (FGF-23) regulates phosphorus and is associated with cardiovascular disease (CVD), particularly in patients with chronic kidney disease. However, data are limited regarding its contribution to different CVD subtypes across wide age ranges in the general population.

Methods

Using data from ARIC, we evaluated the associations of FGF-23 with heart failure (HF), coronary heart disease (CHD), stroke, and composite CVD (any CVD event) in 12,039 participants at mid-life (visit 3 [1993-1995], mean age 60.0 [SD 5.7] years) and 5608 of the same participants at late-life (visit 5 [2011-2013], 75.5 [5.1] years).

Results

During a median of 9.0 years from visit 3 and 6.9 years from visit 5, we observed 1636 and 1137 composite CVD events, respectively. Higher FGF-23 at visit 5, but not necessarily at visit 3, was significantly associated with the risk of CVD independently of potential confounders including kidney function (adjusted HRs for top vs. bottom quartile, 1.56 [95% CI, 1.30-1.87] at visit 5 and 1.10 [95% CI, 0.95-1.27] at visit 3, p-for-difference < 0.001). We observed similar patterns in key demographic and clinical subgroups without interactions. Among CVD subtypes, HF was the only subtype robustly associated with higher FGF-23 at both visits.

Conclusion

Higher FGF-23 concentrations at late-life but not necessarily at mid-life were independently associated with the risk of CVD. Among CVD subtypes tested, only HF showed robust associations with FGF-23 at both mid-life and late-life.

Adherence to a Healthy Lifestyle and the Risk of All-Cause Mortality and Cardiovascular Events in Individuals With Diabetes: The ARIC Study

Objective: The relationship between combined healthy lifestyle and cardiovascular (CV) events in diabetes is unclear. We aim to investigate the association between a healthy lifestyle score (HLS) and the risk of mortality and CV events in diabetes.

Methods: We examined the associations of six lifestyle factors scores (including healthy diet, moderate alcohol and regular coffee intakes, never smoking, physical activity, and normal weight) with diabetes in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study of 3,804 participants with diabetes from the United States at baseline. Primary outcomes included all-cause mortality, CV mortality, and composite CV events (heart failure hospitalizations, myocardial infarction, fatal coronary heart disease, and stroke).

Results: Among these diabetic participants, 1,881 (49.4%), 683 (18.0%), and 1,600 (42.0%) cases of all-cause mortality, CV mortality, and CV events were documented, respectively, during the 26 years of follow-up. Further, the prevalence of these adverse events became lower with the increase of HLS (all P < 0.001). In the risk-factors adjusted Cox regression model, compared to participants with HLS of 0, participants with HLS of 2 had significant lower risk of all-cause mortality (HR = 0.811, 95% CI: 0.687–0.957, P = 0.013), CV mortality (HR = 0.744, 95% CI: 0.576–0.962, P = 0.024), and CV events (HR = 0.789, 95% CI: 0.661–0.943, P = 0.009). The association of HLS with CV events was stronger for women than men (P for interaction <0.05).

Conclusion: Adherence to a healthy lifestyle was associated with a lower risk of CV events and mortality in diabetics. Our findings suggest that the promotion of a healthy lifestyle would help reduce the increasing healthcare burden of diabetes.

Clinical Trial Registration:https://clinicaltrials.gov, Identifier: NCT00005131.

Development and Validation of Machine Learning-Based Race-Specific Models to Predict 10-Year Risk of Heart Failure: A Multicohort Analysis

BACKGROUND

Heart failure (HF) risk and the underlying risk factors vary by race. Traditional models for HF risk prediction treat race as a covariate in risk prediction and do not account for significant parameters such as cardiac biomarkers. Machine learning (ML) may offer advantages over traditional modeling techniques to develop race-specific HF risk prediction models and to elucidate important contributors of HF development across races.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective analysis of 4 large, community cohort studies (ARIC [Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities], DHS [Dallas Heart Study], JHS [Jackson Heart Study], and MESA [Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis]) with adjudicated HF events. The study included participants who were >40 years of age and free of HF at baseline. Race-specific ML models for HF risk prediction were developed in the JHS cohort (for Black race-specific model) and White adults from ARIC (for White race-specific model). The models included 39 candidate variables across demographic, anthropometric, medical history, laboratory, and electrocardiographic domains. The ML models were externally validated and compared with prior established traditional and non-race-specific ML models in race-specific subgroups of the pooled MESA/DHS cohort and Black participants of ARIC. The Harrell C-index and Greenwood-Nam-D'Agostino χ2 tests were used to assess discrimination and calibration, respectively.

RESULTS

The ML models had excellent discrimination in the derivation cohorts for Black (n=4141 in JHS, C-index=0.88) and White (n=7858 in ARIC, C-index=0.89) participants. In the external validation cohorts, the race-specific ML model demonstrated adequate calibration and superior discrimination (Black individuals, C-index=0.80-0.83; White individuals, C-index=0.82) compared with established HF risk models or with non-race-specific ML models derived with race included as a covariate. Among the risk factors, natriuretic peptide levels were the most important predictor of HF risk across both races, followed by troponin levels in Black and ECG-based Cornell voltage in White individuals. Other key predictors of HF risk among Black individuals were glycemic parameters and socioeconomic factors. In contrast, prevalent cardiovascular disease and traditional cardiovascular risk factors were stronger predictors of HF risk in White adults.

CONCLUSIONS

Race-specific and ML-based HF risk models that integrate clinical, laboratory, and biomarker data demonstrated superior performance compared with traditional HF risk and non-race-specific ML models. This approach identifies distinct race-specific contributors of HF.

Clocks, Rhythms, Sex, and Hearts: How Disrupted Circadian Rhythms, Time-of-Day, and Sex Influence Cardiovascular Health

Cardiovascular diseases are the top cause of mortality in the United States, and ischemic heart disease accounts for 16% of all deaths around the world. Modifiable risk factors such as diet and exercise have often been primary targets in addressing these conditions. However, mounting evidence suggests that environmental factors that disrupt physiological rhythms might contribute to the development of these diseases, as well as contribute to increasing other risk factors that are typically associated with cardiovascular disease. Exposure to light at night, transmeridian travel, and social jetlag disrupt endogenous circadian rhythms, which, in turn, alter carefully orchestrated bodily functioning, and elevate the risk of disease and injury. Research into how disrupted circadian rhythms affect physiology and behavior has begun to reveal the intricacies of how seemingly innocuous environmental and social factors have dramatic consequences on mammalian physiology and behavior. Despite the new focus on the importance of circadian rhythms, and how disrupted circadian rhythms contribute to cardiovascular diseases, many questions in this field remain unanswered. Further, neither time-of-day nor sex as a biological variable have been consistently and thoroughly taken into account in previous studies of circadian rhythm disruption and cardiovascular disease. In this review, we will first discuss biological rhythms and the master temporal regulator that controls these rhythms, focusing on the cardiovascular system, its rhythms, and the pathology associated with its disruption, while emphasizing the importance of the time-of-day as a variable that directly affects outcomes in controlled studies, and how temporal data will inform clinical practice and influence personalized medicine. Finally, we will discuss evidence supporting the existence of sex differences in cardiovascular function and outcomes following an injury, and highlight the need for consistent inclusion of both sexes in studies that aim to understand cardiovascular function and improve cardiovascular health.