Differentiating responders and non-responders to rTMS treatment for depression after one week using resting EEG connectivity measures

Alzheimer's disease with depressive symptoms: Clinical effect of intermittent theta burst stimulation repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation

BACKGROUND

Alzheimer's disease (AD), characterized by the ongoing deterioration of neural function, often presents alongside depressive features and greatly affects the quality of life of individuals living with the condition. Although several treatment methods exist, their efficacy is limited. In recent years, repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation (rTMS) utilizing the theta burst stimulation (TBS) mode, specifically the intermittent TBS (iTBS), has demonstrated promising therapeutic potential in the management of neuropsychiatric disorders.

AIM

To examine the therapeutic efficacy of iTBS mode of rTMS for treating depressive symptoms in patients with AD.

METHODS

This retrospective study enrolled 105 individuals diagnosed with AD with depressive symptoms at Huzhou Third Municipal Hospital, affiliated with Huzhou University, between January 2020 and December 2023. Participants received standard pharmacological interventions and were categorized into control (n = 53) and observation (n = 52) groups based on treatment protocols. The observation group received iTBS mode of rTMS, while the control group received pseudo-stimulation. A comparative analysis evaluated psychological well-being, adverse events, and therapeutic at initiation of hospitalization (T0) and 15 days post-treatment (T1).

RESULTS

At T1, both groups exhibited a marked reduction in self-rating depression scale and Hamilton depression scale scores compared to T0. Furthermore, the observation group showed a more pronounced decrease than the control group. By T1, the Mini-mental state examination scores for both groups had increased markedly from their initial T0 assessments. Importantly, the increase was particularly more substantial in the observation group than in the control group. Fourteen patients in the control group had ineffective treatment effects, while five patients in the observation group experienced the same. Additionally, the observation group experienced a substantially reduced incidence of ineffective treatment as compared to the control group (both P < 0.05); there were no recorded serious adverse events in either group.

CONCLUSION

The iTBS model of rTMS effectively treated AD with depression, improving depressive symptoms and cognitive function in patients without serious adverse reactions, warranting clinical consideration.

Neurophysiological and neuroimaging markers of repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation treatment response in major depressive disorder: A systematic review and meta-analysis of predictive modeling studies

Predicting repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation (rTMS) treatment outcomes in major depressive disorder (MDD) could reduce the financial and psychological risks of treatment failure. We systematically reviewed and meta-analyzed studies that leveraged neurophysiological and neuroimaging markers to predict rTMS response in MDD. Five databases were searched from inception to May 25, 2023. The primary meta-analytic outcome was predictive accuracy pooled from classification models. Regression models were summarized qualitatively. A promising marker was identified if it showed a sensitivity and specificity of 80% or higher in at least two independent studies. Searching yielded 36 studies. Twenty-two classification modeling studies produced an estimated area under the summary receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.87 (95% CI = 0.83-0.92), with 86.8% sensitivity (95% CI = 80.6-91.2%) and 81.9% specificity (95% CI = 76.1-86.4%). Frontal theta cordance measured by electroencephalography is closest to proof of concept. Predicting rTMS response using neurophysiological and neuroimaging markers is promising for clinical decision-making. However, replications by different research groups are needed to establish rigorous markers.

Explainable multimodal prediction of treatment-resistance in patients with depression leveraging brain morphometry and natural language processing

Although 20 % of patients with depression receiving treatment do not achieve remission, predicting treatment-resistant depression (TRD) remains challenging. In this study, we aimed to develop an explainable multimodal prediction model for TRD using structured electronic medical record data, brain morphometry, and natural language processing. In total, 247 patients with a new depressive episode were included. TRD-predictive models were developed based on the combination of following parameters: selected tabular dataset features, independent components-map weightings from brain T1-weighted magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), and topic probabilities from clinical notes. All models applied the extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) algorithm via five-fold cross-validation. The model using all data sources showed the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic of 0.794, followed by models that used combined brain MRI and structured data, brain MRI and clinical notes, clinical notes and structured data, brain MRI only, structured data only, and clinical notes only (0.770, 0.762, 0.728, 0.703, 0.684, and 0.569, respectively). Classifications of TRD were driven by several predictors, such as previous exposure to antidepressants and antihypertensive medications, sensorimotor network, default mode network, and somatic symptoms. Our findings suggest that a combination of clinical data with neuroimaging and natural language processing variables improves the prediction of TRD.

Evaluating Robustness of Brain Stimulation Biomarkers for Depression: A Systematic Review of Magnetic Resonance Imaging and Electroencephalography Studies

Noninvasive brain stimulation (NIBS) treatments have gained considerable attention as potential therapeutic intervention for psychiatric disorders. The identification of reliable biomarkers for predicting clinical response to NIBS has been a major focus of research in recent years. Neuroimaging techniques, such as electroencephalography (EEG) and functional magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), have been used to identify potential biomarkers that could predict response to NIBS. However, identifying clinically actionable brain biomarkers requires robustness. In this systematic review, we aimed to summarize the current state of brain biomarker research for NIBS in depression, focusing only on well-powered studies (N ≥ 88) and/or studies that aimed at independently replicating previous findings, either successfully or unsuccessfully. A total of 220 studies were initially identified, of which 18 MRI studies and 18 EEG studies met the inclusion criteria. All focused on repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation treatment in depression. After reviewing the included studies, we found the following MRI and EEG biomarkers to be most robust: 1) functional MRI-based functional connectivity between the dorsolateral prefrontal cortex and subgenual anterior cingulate cortex, 2) functional MRI-based network connectivity, 3) task-induced EEG frontal-midline theta, and 4) EEG individual alpha frequency. Future prospective studies should further investigate the clinical actionability of these specific EEG and MRI biomarkers to bring biomarkers closer to clinical reality.

Resting-state EEG connectivity recorded before and after rTMS treatment in patients with treatment-resistant depression

Repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation (rTMS) has shown efficacy and tolerability in Major Depressive Disorder (MDD). However, the underlying mechanisms of its antidepressant effects remain unclear. This open-label study investigated electroencephalography (EEG) functional connectivity markers associated with response and the antidepressant effects of rTMS. Resting-state EEG data were collected from 28 participants with MDD before and after a four-week rTMS course. Source-space functional connectivity between 38 cortical regions was compared using an orthogonalised amplitude approach. Depressive symptoms significantly improved following rTMS, with 43 % of participants classified as responders. While the study's functional connectivity findings did not withstand multiple comparison corrections, exploratory analyses suggest an association between theta band connectivity and rTMS treatment mechanisms. Fronto-parietal theta connectivity increased after treatment but did not correlate with antidepressant response. Notably, low baseline theta connectivity was associated with greater response. However, due to the exploratory nature and small sample size, further replication is needed. The findings provide preliminary evidence that EEG functional connectivity, particularly within the theta band, may reflect the mechanisms by which rTMS exerts its therapeutic effects.

Converging Evidence for Frontopolar Cortex as a Target for Neuromodulation in Addiction Treatment

Noninvasive brain stimulation technologies such as transcranial electrical and magnetic stimulation (tES and TMS) are emerging neuromodulation therapies that are being used to target the neural substrates of substance use disorders. By the end of 2022, 205 trials of tES or TMS in the treatment of substance use disorders had been published, with heterogeneous results, and there is still no consensus on the optimal target brain region. Recent work may help clarify where and how to apply stimulation, owing to expanding databases of neuroimaging studies, new systematic reviews, and improved methods for causal brain mapping. Whereas most previous clinical trials targeted the dorsolateral prefrontal cortex, accumulating data highlight the frontopolar cortex as a promising therapeutic target for transcranial brain stimulation in substance use disorders. This approach is supported by converging multimodal evidence, including lesion-based maps, functional MRI-based maps, tES studies, TMS studies, and dose-response relationships. This review highlights the importance of targeting the frontopolar area and tailoring the treatment according to interindividual variations in brain state and trait and electric field distribution patterns. This converging evidence supports the potential for treatment optimization through context, target, dose, and timing dimensions to improve clinical outcomes of transcranial brain stimulation in people with substance use disorders in future clinical trials.

Predicting response to repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation in patients with chronic insomnia disorder using electroencephalography: A pilot study

Predicting responsvienss to repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation (rTMS) can facilitate personalized treatments with improved efficacy; however, predictive features related to this response are still lacking. We explored whether resting-state electroencephalography (rsEEG) functional connectivity measured at baseline or during treatment could predict the response to 10-day rTMS targeted to the right dorsolateral prefrontal cortex (DLPFC) in 36 patients with chronic insomnia disorder (CID). Pre- and post-treatment rsEEG scans and the Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index (PSQI) were evaluated, with an additional rsEEG scan conducted after four rTMS sessions. Machine-learning approaches were employed to assess the ability of each connectivity measure to distinguish between responders (PSQI improvement > 25%) and non-responders (PSQI improvement ≤ 25%). Furthermore, we analyzed the connectivity trends of the two subgroups throughout the treatment. Our results revealed that the machine learning model based on baseline theta connectivity achieved the highest accuracy (AUC = 0.843) in predicting treatment response. Decreased baseline connectivity at the stimulated site was associated with higher responsiveness to TMS, emphasizing the significance of functional connectivity characteristics in rTMS treatment. These findings enhance the clinical application of EEG functional connectivity markers in predicting treatment outcomes.

Non-linear processing and reinforcement learning to predict rTMS treatment response in depression

BACKGROUND

Forecasting the efficacy of repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation (rTMS) therapy can lead to substantial time and cost savings by preventing futile treatments. To achieve this objective, we've formulated a machine learning approach aimed at categorizing patients with major depressive disorder (MDD) into two groups: individuals who respond (R) positively to rTMS treatment and those who do not respond (NR).

METHODS

Preceding the commencement of treatment, we obtained resting-state EEG data from 106 patients diagnosed with MDD, employing 32 electrodes for data collection. These patients then underwent a 7-week course of rTMS therapy, and 54 of them exhibited positive responses to the treatment. Employing Independent Component Analysis (ICA) on the EEG data, we successfully pinpointed relevant brain sources that could potentially serve as markers of neural activity within the dorsolateral prefrontal cortex (DLPFC). These identified sources were further scrutinized to estimate the sources of activity within the sensor domain. Then, we integrated supplementary physiological data and implemented specific criteria to yield more realistic estimations when compared to conventional EEG analysis. In the end, we selected components corresponding to the DLPFC region within the sensor domain. Features were derived from the time-series data of these relevant independent components. To identify the most significant features, we used Reinforcement Learning (RL). In categorizing patients into two groups - R and NR to rTMS treatment - we utilized three distinct classification algorithms including K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN), Support Vector Machine (SVM), and Multilayer Perceptron (MLP). We assessed the performance of these classifiers through a ten-fold cross-validation method. Additionally, we conducted a statistical test to evaluate the discriminative capacity of these features between responders and non-responders, opening the door for further exploration in this field.

RESULTS

We identified EEG features that can anticipate the response to rTMS treatment. The most robust discriminators included EEG beta power, the sum of bispectrum diagonal elements in the delta and beta frequency bands. When these features were combined into a single vector, the classification of responders and non-responders achieved impressive performance, with an accuracy of 95.28 %, specificity at 94.23 %, sensitivity reaching 96.29 %, and precision standing at 94.54 %, all achieved using SVM.

CONCLUSIONS

The results of this study suggest that the proposed approach, utilizing power, non-linear, and bispectral features extracted from relevant independent component time-series, has the capability to forecast the treatment outcome of rTMS for MDD patients based solely on a single pre-treatment EEG recording session. The achieved findings demonstrate the superior performance of our method compared to previous techniques.

Identifying predictive biomarkers for repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation response in depression patients with explainability

Repetitive Transcranial Magnetic Stimulation (rTMS) is an evidence-based treatment for depression. However, the patterns of response to this treatment modality are inconsistent. Whilst many people see a significant reduction in the severity of their depression following rTMS treatment, some patients do not. To support and improve patient outcomes, recent work is exploring the possibility of using Machine Learning to predict rTMS treatment outcomes. Our proposed model is the first to combine functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) connectivity with deep learning techniques to predict treatment outcomes before treatment starts. Furthermore, with the use of Explainable AI (XAI) techniques, we identify potential biomarkers that may discriminate between rTMS responders and non-responders. Our experiments utilize 200 runs of repeated bootstrap sampling on two rTMS datasets. We compare performances between our proposed feedforward deep neural network against existing methods, and compare the average accuracy, balanced accuracy and F1-score on a held-out test set. The results of these experiments show that our model outperforms existing methods with an average accuracy of 0.9423, balanced accuracy of 0.9423, and F1-score of 0.9461 in a sample of 61 patients. We found that functional connectivity measures between the Subgenual Anterior Cingulate Cortex and Centeral Opercular Cortex are a key determinant of rTMS treatment response. This knowledge provides psychiatrists with further information to explore the potential mechanisms of responses to rTMS treatment. Our developed prototype is ready to be deployed across large datasets in multiple centres and different countries.

Reliability of resting-state EEG modulation by continuous and intermittent theta burst stimulation of the primary motor cortex: a sham-controlled study

Theta burst stimulation (TBS) is a form of repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation designed to induce changes of cortical excitability that outlast the period of TBS application. In this study, we explored the effects of continuous TBS (cTBS) and intermittent TBS (iTBS) versus sham TBS stimulation, applied to the left primary motor cortex, on modulation of resting state electroencephalography (rsEEG) power. We first conducted hypothesis-driven region-of-interest (ROI) analyses examining changes in alpha (8-12 Hz) and beta (13-21 Hz) bands over the left and right motor cortex. Additionally, we performed data-driven whole-brain analyses across a wide range of frequencies (1-50 Hz) and all electrodes. Finally, we assessed the reliability of TBS effects across two sessions approximately 1 month apart. None of the protocols produced significant group-level effects in the ROI. Whole-brain analysis revealed that cTBS significantly enhanced relative power between 19 and 43 Hz over multiple sites in both hemispheres. However, these results were not reliable across visits. There were no significant differences between EEG modulation by active and sham TBS protocols. Between-visit reliability of TBS-induced neuromodulatory effects was generally low-to-moderate. We discuss confounding factors and potential approaches for improving the reliability of TBS-induced rsEEG modulation.

Irremediability in psychiatric euthanasia: examining the objective standard

BACKGROUND

Irremediability is a key requirement for euthanasia and assisted suicide for psychiatric disorders (psychiatric EAS). Countries like the Netherlands and Belgium ask clinicians to assess irremediability in light of the patient's diagnosis and prognosis and 'according to current medical understanding'. Clarifying the relevance of a default objective standard for irremediability when applied to psychiatric EAS is crucial for solid policymaking. Yet so far, a thorough examination of this standard is lacking.

METHODS

Using treatment-resistant depression (TRD) as a test case, through a scoping review in PubMed, we analyzed the state-of-the-art evidence for whether clinicians can accurately predict individual long-term outcome and single out irremediable cases, by examining the following questions: (1) What is the definition of TRD; (2) What are group-level long-term outcomes of TRD; and (3) Can clinicians make accurate individual outcome predictions in TRD?

RESULTS

A uniform definition of TRD is lacking, with over 150 existing definitions, mostly focused on psychopharmacological research. Available yet limited studies about long-term outcomes indicate that a majority of patients with long-term TRD show significant improvement over time. Finally, evidence about individual predictions in TRD using precision medicine is growing, but methodological shortcomings and varying predictive accuracies pose important challenges for its implementation in clinical practice.

CONCLUSION

Our findings support the claim that, as per available evidence, clinicians cannot accurately predict long-term chances of recovery in a particular patient with TRD. This means that the objective standard for irremediability cannot be met, with implications for policy and practice of psychiatric EAS.

Personalized repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation (prtms®) for post-traumatic stress disorder (ptsd) in military combat veterans

Emerging data suggest that post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) arises from disrupted brain default mode network (DMN) activity manifested by dysregulated encephalogram (EEG) alpha oscillations. Hence, we pursued the treatment of combat veterans with PTSD (n = 185) using an expanded form of repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation (rTMS) termed personalized-rTMS (PrTMS). In this treatment methodology spectral EEG based guidance is used to iteratively optimize symptom resolution via (1) stimulation of multiple motor sensory and frontal cortical sites at reduced power, and (2) adjustments of cortical treatment loci and stimulus frequency during treatment progression based on a proprietary frequency algorithm (PeakLogic, Inc. San Diego) identifying stimulation frequency in the DMN elements of the alpha oscillatory band. Following 4 - 6 weeks of PrTMS® therapy in addition to routine PTSD therapy, veterans exhibited significant clinical improvement accompanied by increased cortical alpha center frequency and alpha oscillatory synchronization. Full resolution of PTSD symptoms was attained in over 50% of patients. These data support DMN involvement in PTSD pathophysiology and suggest a role in therapeutic outcomes. Prospective, sham controlled PrTMS® trials may be warranted to validate our clinical findings and to examine the contribution of DMN targeting for novel preventive, diagnostic, and therapeutic strategies tailored to the unique needs of individual patients with both combat and non-combat PTSD.

Resting-state EEG delta and alpha power predict response to cognitive behavioral therapy in depression: a Canadian biomarker integration network for depression study

Cognitive behavioral therapy (CBT) is often recommended as a first-line treatment in depression. However, access to CBT remains limited, and up to 50% of patients do not benefit from this therapy. Identifying biomarkers that can predict which patients will respond to CBT may assist in designing optimal treatment allocation strategies. In a Canadian Biomarker Integration Network for Depression (CAN-BIND) study, forty-one adults with depression were recruited to undergo a 16-week course of CBT with thirty having resting-state electroencephalography (EEG) recorded at baseline and week 2 of therapy. Successful clinical response to CBT was defined as a 50% or greater reduction in Montgomery-Åsberg Depression Rating Scale (MADRS) score from baseline to post-treatment completion. EEG relative power spectral measures were analyzed at baseline, week 2, and as early changes from baseline to week 2. At baseline, lower relative delta (0.5-4 Hz) power was observed in responders. This difference was predictive of successful clinical response to CBT. Furthermore, responders exhibited an early increase in relative delta power and a decrease in relative alpha (8-12 Hz) power compared to non-responders. These changes were also found to be good predictors of response to the therapy. These findings showed the potential utility of resting-state EEG in predicting CBT outcomes. They also further reinforce the promise of an EEG-based clinical decision-making tool to support treatment decisions for each patient.

A review of critical brain oscillations in depression and the efficacy of transcranial magnetic stimulation treatment

Repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation (rTMS) and intermittent theta burst stimulation (iTBS) have been proven effective non-invasive treatments for patients with drug-resistant major depressive disorder (MDD). However, some depressed patients do not respond to these treatments. Therefore, the investigation of reliable and valid brain oscillations as potential indices for facilitating the precision of diagnosis and treatment protocols has become a critical issue. The current review focuses on brain oscillations that, mostly based on EEG power analysis and connectivity, distinguish between MDD and controls, responders and non-responders, and potential depression severity indices, prognostic indicators, and potential biomarkers for rTMS or iTBS treatment. The possible roles of each biomarker and the potential reasons for heterogeneous results are discussed, and the directions of future studies are proposed.

Alterations in EEG functional connectivity in individuals with depression: A systematic review

The brain works as an organised, network-like structure of functionally interconnected regions. Disruptions to interconnectivity in certain networks have been linked to symptoms of depression and impairments in cognition. Electroencephalography (EEG) is a low-burden tool by which differences in functional connectivity (FC) can be assessed. This systematic review aims to provide a synthesis of evidence relating to EEG FC in depression. A comprehensive electronic literature search for terms relating to depression, EEG, and FC was conducted on studies published before the end of November 2021, according to PRISMA guidelines. Studies comparing EEG measures of FC of individuals with depression to that of healthy control groups were included. Data was extracted by two independent reviewers, and the quality of EEG FC methods was assessed. Fifty-two studies assessing EEG FC in depression were identified: 36 assessed resting-state FC, and 16 assessed task-related or other (i.e., sleep) FC. Somewhat consistent findings in resting-state studies suggest for no differences between depression and control groups in EEG FC in the delta and gamma frequencies. However, while most resting-state studies noted a difference in alpha, theta, and beta, no clear conclusions could be drawn about the direction of the difference, due to considerable inconsistencies between study design and methodology. This was also true for task-related and other EEG FC. More robust research is needed to understand the true differences in EEG FC in depression. Given that the FC between brain regions drives behaviour, cognition, and emotion, characterising how FC differs in depression is essential for understanding the aetiology of depression.

Altered electroencephalography resting state network coherence in remitted MDD

Individuals with remitted depression are at greater risk for subsequent depression and therefore may provide a unique opportunity to understand the neurophysiological correlates underlying the risk of depression. Research has identified abnormal resting-state electroencephalography (EEG) power metrics and functional connectivity patterns associated with major depression, however little is known about these neural signatures in individuals with remitted depression. We investigate the spectral dynamics of 64-channel EEG surface power and source-estimated network connectivity during resting states in 37 individuals with depression, 56 with remitted depression, and 49 healthy adults that did not differ on age, education, and cognitive ability across theta, alpha, and beta frequencies. Average reference spectral EEG surface power analyses identified greater left and midfrontal theta in remitted depression compared to healthy adults. Using Network Based Statistics, we also demonstrate within and between network alterations in LORETA transformed EEG source-space coherence across the default mode, fronto-parietal, and salience networks where individuals with remitted depression exhibited enhanced coherence compared to those with depression, and healthy adults. This work builds upon our currently limited understanding of resting EEG connectivity in depression, and helps bridge the gap between aberrant EEG power and brain network connectivity dynamics in this disorder. Further, our unique examination of remitted depression relative to both healthy and depressed adults may be key to identifying brain-based biomarkers for those at high risk for future, or subsequent depression.

Deep learning and machine learning in psychiatry: a survey of current progress in depression detection, diagnosis and treatment

Informatics paradigms for brain and mental health research have seen significant advances in recent years. These developments can largely be attributed to the emergence of new technologies such as machine learning, deep learning, and artificial intelligence. Data-driven methods have the potential to support mental health care by providing more precise and personalised approaches to detection, diagnosis, and treatment of depression. In particular, precision psychiatry is an emerging field that utilises advanced computational techniques to achieve a more individualised approach to mental health care. This survey provides an overview of the ways in which artificial intelligence is currently being used to support precision psychiatry. Advanced algorithms are being used to support all phases of the treatment cycle. These systems have the potential to identify individuals suffering from mental health conditions, allowing them to receive the care they need and tailor treatments to individual patients who are mostly to benefit. Additionally, unsupervised learning techniques are breaking down existing discrete diagnostic categories and highlighting the vast disease heterogeneity observed within depression diagnoses. Artificial intelligence also provides the opportunity to shift towards evidence-based treatment prescription, moving away from existing methods based on group averages. However, our analysis suggests there are several limitations currently inhibiting the progress of data-driven paradigms in care. Significantly, none of the surveyed articles demonstrate empirically improved patient outcomes over existing methods. Furthermore, greater consideration needs to be given to uncertainty quantification, model validation, constructing interdisciplinary teams of researchers, improved access to diverse data and standardised definitions within the field. Empirical validation of computer algorithms via randomised control trials which demonstrate measurable improvement to patient outcomes are the next step in progressing models to clinical implementation.

Machine learning approaches and non-linear processing of extracted components in frontal region to predict rTMS treatment response in major depressive disorder

Predicting the therapeutic result of repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation (rTMS) treatment could save time and costs as ineffective treatment can be avoided. To this end, we presented a machine-learning-based strategy for classifying patients with major depression disorder (MDD) into responders (R) and nonresponders (NR) to rTMS treatment. Resting state EEG data were recorded using 32 electrodes from 88 MDD patients before treatment. Then, patients underwent 7 weeks of rTMS, and 46 of them responded to treatment. By applying Independent Component Analysis (ICA) on EEG, we identified the relevant brain sources as possible indicators of neural activity in the dorsolateral prefrontal cortex (DLPFC). This was served through estimating the generators of activity in the sensor domain. Subsequently, we added physiological information and placed certain terms and conditions to offer a far more realistic estimation than the classic EEG. Ultimately, those components mapped in accordance with the region of the DLPFC in the sensor domain were chosen. Features extracted from the relevant ICs time series included permutation entropy (PE), fractal dimension (FD), Lempel-Ziv Complexity (LZC), power spectral density, correlation dimension (CD), features based on bispectrum, frontal and prefrontal cordance, and a combination of them. The most relevant features were selected by a Genetic Algorithm (GA). For classifying two groups of R and NR, K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN), Support Vector Machine (SVM), and Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) were applied to predict rTMS treatment response. To evaluate the performance of classifiers, a 10-fold cross-validation method was employed. A statistical test was used to assess the capability of features in differentiating R and NR for further research. EEG characteristics that can predict rTMS treatment response were discovered. The strongest discriminative indicators were EEG beta power, the sum of bispectrum diagonal elements in delta and beta bands, and CD. The Combined feature vector classified R and NR with a high performance of 94.31% accuracy, 92.85% specificity, 95.65% sensitivity, and 92.85% precision using SVM. This result indicates that our proposed method with power and nonlinear and bispectral features from relevant ICs time-series can predict the treatment outcome of rTMS for MDD patients only by one session pretreatment EEG recording. The obtained results show that the proposed method outperforms previous methods.

Electroencephalography for predicting antidepressant treatment success: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Patients suffering from major depressive disorder (MDD) regularly experience non-response to treatment for their depressive episode. Personalized clinical decision making could shorten depressive episodes and reduce patient suffering. Although no clinical tools are currently available, machine learning analysis of electroencephalography (EEG) shows promise in treatment response prediction.

METHODS

With a systematic review and meta-analysis, we evaluated the accuracy of EEG for individual patient response prediction. Importantly, we included only prediction studies that used cross-validation. We used a bivariate model to calculate prediction success, as expressed by area-under the curve, sensitivity and specificity. Furthermore, we analyzed prediction success for separate antidepressant interventions.

RESULTS

15 studies with 12 individual patient samples and a total of 479 patients were included. Research methods varied considerably between studies. Meta-analysis of results from this heterogeneous set of studies resulted in an area under the curve of 0.91, a sensitivity of 83 % (95 % CI 74-89 %), and a specificity of 86 % (95 % CI 81-90 %). Classification performance did not significantly differ between treatments. Although studies were all internally validated, no externally validated studies have been reported. We found substantial risk of bias caused by methodological shortcomings such as non-independent feature selection, though performance of non-biased studies was comparable.

LIMITATIONS

Sample sizes were relatively small and no study used external validation, increasing the risk of overestimation of accuracy.

CONCLUSIONS

Electroencephalography can predict the response to antidepressant treatment with high accuracy. However, future studies with more rigorous validation are needed to produce a clinical tool to guide interventions in MDD.

PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER

CRD42021268169.

Prognostic factors in major depressive disorder: comparing responders and non-responders to Repetitive Transcranial Magnetic Stimulation (rTMS), a naturalistic retrospective chart review

AIM

Repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation (rTMS) is widely utilized as an effective treatment for major depressive disorder (MDD) with varying response rates. Factors associated with better treatment outcome remain scarce. This naturalistic retrospective chart review hopes to shed light on easily obtainable and measurable predictive factors for patients referred to rTMS.

METHODS

Protocol parameters, medication, rated scales, rTMS protocols, and treatment outcomes were reviewed for 196 patients with MDD who received rTMS at Saint Boniface Hospital between 2013 and 2019. Logistic regression and marginal effects were used to assess the different predictor variables for response (50% reduction or more on the Hamilton Depression Rating Scale (Ham-D)) and remission (Ham-D of ≤7 by the last session).

RESULTS

HamD at 10 sessions was predictive of remission, and Sheehan Disability Scale (SDS) at 10 sessions was predictive of response to rTMS. Ham-D, SDS, and Beck Anxiety Inventory were predictive of remission and response by Beck Anxiety Inventory 20 sessions. High frequency rTMS had a similar response and remission rate to low frequency, but higher response rate to intermittent Theta Burst Stimulation with no difference in remission rate. Positive predictive factors of response were lower age and bupropion use. Negative predictive factors were antipsychotics, anticonvulsants, or benzodiazepine use. For remission, antipsychotics or anticonvulsants use were negative predictors; bupropion use and higher resting motor threshold were positive predictors. Severity of depression as measured by baseline HamD was not associated with different probabilities of treatment success.

Cognitive functioning as predictor and marker of response to repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation in depressive disorders: A systematic review

OBJECTIVE

Cognitive performance in Major Depressive Disorder (MDD) is frequently impaired and related to functional outcomes. Repetitive Transcranial Magnetic Stimulation (rTMS) may exert its effects on MDD acting both on depressive symptoms and neurocognition. Furthermore, cognitive status could predict the therapeutic response of depressive symptoms to rTMS. However, cognitive performances as a predictor of rTMS response in MDD has not been thoroughly investigated. This review aims to evaluate the role of pre-treatment cognitive performance as a predictor of clinical response to rTMS, and the effects of rTMS on neurocognition in MDD.

METHOD

A systematic review of studies evaluating neurocognition in MDD as an outcome and/or predictor of response to rTMS was conducted using PubMed/Medline and Embase.

RESULTS

Fifty-eight articles were identified: 25 studies included neurocognition as a predictor of response to rTMS; 56 used cognitive evaluation as an outcome of rTMS. Baseline cognitive performance and cognitive improvements after rTMS predicted clinical response to rTMS. Moreover, rTMS improved cognition in MDD.

CONCLUSIONS

Cognitive assessment could predict improvement of depression in MDD patients undergoing rTMS and help selecting patients that could have beneficial effects from rTMS. A routine cognitive assessment might stratify MDD patients and track rTMS related cognitive improvement.

Computational approaches to treatment response prediction in major depression using brain activity and behavioral data: A systematic review

Major depressive disorder is a heterogeneous diagnostic category with multiple available treatments. With the goal of optimizing treatment selection, researchers are developing computational models that attempt to predict treatment response based on various pretreatment measures. In this paper, we review studies that use brain activity data to predict treatment response. Our aim is to highlight and clarify important methodological differences between various studies that relate to the incorporation of domain knowledge, specifically within two approaches delineated as data-driven and theory-driven. We argue that theory-driven generative modeling, which explicitly models information processing in the brain and thus can capture disease mechanisms, is a promising emerging approach that is only beginning to be utilized in treatment response prediction. The predictors extracted via such models could improve interpretability, which is critical for clinical decision-making. We also identify several methodological limitations across the reviewed studies and provide suggestions for addressing them. Namely, we consider problems with dichotomizing treatment outcomes, the importance of investigating more than one treatment in a given study for differential treatment response predictions, the need for a patient-centered approach for defining treatment outcomes, and finally, the use of internal and external validation methods for improving model generalizability.

Predicting treatment response using EEG in major depressive disorder: A machine-learning meta-analysis

Selecting a course of treatment in psychiatry remains a trial-and-error process, and this long-standing clinical challenge has prompted an increased focus on predictive models of treatment response using machine learning techniques. Electroencephalography (EEG) represents a cost-effective and scalable potential measure to predict treatment response to major depressive disorder. We performed separate meta-analyses to determine the ability of models to distinguish between responders and non-responders using EEG across treatments, as well as a performed subgroup analysis of response to transcranial magnetic stimulation (rTMS), and antidepressants (Registration Number: CRD42021257477) in Major Depressive Disorder by searching PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science for articles published between January 1960 and February 2022. We included 15 studies that predicted treatment responses among patients with major depressive disorder using machine-learning techniques. Within a random-effects model with a restricted maximum likelihood estimator comprising 758 patients, the pooled accuracy across studies was 83.93% (95% CI: 78.90-89.29), with an Area-Under-the-Curve (AUC) of 0.850 (95% CI: 0.747-0.890), and partial AUC of 0.779. The average sensitivity and specificity across models were 77.96% (95% CI: 60.05-88.70), and 84.60% (95% CI: 67.89-92.39), respectively. In a subgroup analysis, greater performance was observed in predicting response to rTMS (Pooled accuracy: 85.70% (95% CI: 77.45-94.83), Area-Under-the-Curve (AUC): 0.928, partial AUC: 0.844), relative to antidepressants (Pooled accuracy: 81.41% (95% CI: 77.45-94.83, AUC: 0.895, pAUC: 0.821). Furthermore, across all meta-analyses, the specificity (true negatives) of EEG models was greater than the sensitivity (true positives), suggesting that EEG models thus far better identify non-responders than responders to treatment in MDD. Studies varied widely in important features across models, although relevant features included absolute and relative power in frontal and temporal electrodes, measures of connectivity, and asymmetry across hemispheres. Predictive models of treatment response using EEG hold promise in major depressive disorder, although there is a need for prospective model validation in independent datasets, and a greater emphasis on replicating physiological markers. Crucially, standardization in cut-off values and clinical scales for defining clinical response and non-response will aid in the reproducibility of findings and the clinical utility of predictive models. Furthermore, several models thus far have used data from open-label trials with small sample sizes and evaluated performance in the absence of training and testing sets, which increases the risk of statistical overfitting. Large consortium studies are required to establish predictive signatures of treatment response using EEG, and better elucidate the replicability of specific markers. Additionally, it is speculated that greater performance was observed in rTMS models, since EEG is assessing neural networks more likely to be directly targeted by rTMS, comprising electrical activity primarily near the surface of the cortex. Prospectively, there is a need for models that examine the comparative effectiveness of multiple treatments across the same patients. However, this will require a thoughtful consideration towards cumulative treatment effects, and whether washout periods between treatments should be utilised. Regardless, longitudinal cross-over trials comparing multiple treatments across the same group of patients will be an important prerequisite step to both facilitate precision psychiatry and identify generalizable physiological predictors of response between and across treatment options.

Resting and TMS-EEG markers of treatment response in major depressive disorder: A systematic review

Electroencephalography (EEG) is a non-invasive method to identify markers of treatment response in major depressive disorder (MDD). In this review, existing literature was assessed to determine how EEG markers change with different modalities of MDD treatments, and to synthesize the breadth of EEG markers used in conjunction with MDD treatments. PubMed and EMBASE were searched from 2000 to 2021 for studies reporting resting EEG (rEEG) and transcranial magnetic stimulation combined with EEG (TMS-EEG) measures in patients undergoing MDD treatments. The search yielded 966 articles, 204 underwent full-text screening, and 51 studies were included for a narrative synthesis of findings along with confidence in the evidence. In rEEG studies, non-linear quantitative algorithms such as theta cordance and theta current density show higher predictive value than traditional linear metrics. Although less abundant, TMS-EEG measures show promise for predictive markers of brain stimulation treatment response. Future focus on TMS-EEG measures may prove fruitful, given its ability to target cortical regions of interest related to MDD.

The evidence is in: Repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation is an effective, safe and well-tolerated treatment for patients with major depressive disorder

Despite more than 25 years of research establishing the antidepressant efficacy of repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation, there remains uncertainty about the depth and breadth of this evidence base, resulting in confusion as to where repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation fits in the therapeutic armamentarium in the management of patients with mood disorders. The purpose of this article is to provide a concise description of the evidence base supporting the use of repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation in the context of the stages of research that typically accompanies the development of evidence for a new therapy. The antidepressant efficacy for the use of repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation in the treatment of depression has been established through a relatively traditional pathway beginning with small case series, progressing to single-site clinical trials and then to larger multisite randomised double-blind controlled trials. Antidepressant effects have been confirmed in numerous meta-analyses followed more recently by large network meta-analysis and umbrella reviews, with evidence that repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation may have greater efficacy than alternatives for patients with treatment-resistant depression. Finally, repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation has been shown to produce meaningful response and remission rates in real-world samples of greater than 5000 patients. The evidence for the antidepressant efficacy of repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation therapy is overwhelming, and it should be considered a routine part of clinical care wherever available.

High-Frequency Transcranial Magnetic Stimulation Combined With Functional Magnetic Resonance Imaging Reveals Distinct Activation Patterns Associated With Different Dorsolateral Prefrontal Cortex Stimulation Sites

OBJECTIVES

Transcranial magnetic stimulation (TMS) has been extensively used for the treatment of depression, obsessive-compulsive disorder, and certain neurologic disorders. Despite having promising treatment efficacy, the fundamental neural mechanisms of TMS remain understudied.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In this study, 15 healthy adult participants received simultaneous TMS and functional magnetic resonance imaging to map the modulatory effect of TMS when it was applied over three different sites in the dorsolateral prefrontal cortex. Independent component analysis (ICA) was used to identify the networks affected by TMS when applied over the different sites. The standard general linear model (GLM) analysis was used for comparison.

RESULTS

ICA showed that TMS affected the stimulation sites as well as remote brain areas, some areas/networks common across all TMS sites, and other areas/networks specific to each TMS site. In particular, TMS site and laterality differences were observed at the left executive control network. In addition, laterality differences also were observed at the dorsal anterior cingulate cortex and dorsolateral/dorsomedial prefrontal cortex. In contrast with the ICA findings, the GLM-based results mainly showed activation of auditory cortices regardless of the TMS sites.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings support the notion that TMS could act through a top-down mechanism, indirectly modulating deep subcortical nodes by directly stimulating cortical regions.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

The Clinicaltrials.gov registration number for the study is NCT03394066.

Predicting the Effects of Repetitive Transcranial Magnetic Stimulation on Cognitive Functions in Patients With Alzheimer's Disease by Automated EEG Analysis

Alzheimer's disease (AD) is a progressive, neurodegenerative brain disorder that generally affects the elderly. Today, after the limited benefit of the pharmacological treatment strategies, numerous noninvasive brain stimulation techniques have been developed. Transcranial magnetic stimulation (TMS), based on electromagnetic stimulation, is one of the most widely used methods. The main problem in the use of TMS is the existence of large individual variability in the results. This causes a waste of money, time, and more importantly, a burden for delicate patients. Hence, it is a necessity to form an efficient and personalized TMS application protocol. In this paper, we performed a machine-learning analysis to see whether it is possible to predict the responses of patients with AD to TMS by analyzing their electroencephalography (EEG) signals. For that purpose, we analyzed both the EEG signals collected before and after the TMS application (EEG1 and EEG2, respectively). Through correlating EEG1 and repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation (rTMS) outcomes, we tried to see whether it is possible to predict patients' responses before the treatment application. On the other hand, by EEG2 analysis, we investigated TMS impacts on EEG, more importantly if this impact is correlated with patients' response to the treatment. We used the support vector machine (SVM) classifier due to its multiple advantages for the current task with feature selection processes by stepwise linear discriminant analysis (SWLDA) and SVM. However, to justify our numerical analysis framework, we examined and compared the performances of different feature selection and classification techniques. Since we have a limited sample number, we used the leave-one-out method for the validation with the Monte Carlo technique to eliminate bias by a small sample size. In the conclusion, we observed that the correlation between rTMS outcomes and EEG2 is stronger than EEG1, since we observed, respectively, 93 and 79% of accuracies during our data analysis. Besides the informative features of EEG2 are focused on theta band, it indicates that TMS is characterizing the theta band signals in patients with AD in direct relation to patients' response to rTMS. This shows that it is more possible to determine patients' benefit from the TMS at the early stages of the treatment, which would increase the efficiency of rTMS applications in patients with Alzheimer's disease.

Efficacy of repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation for improving lower limb function in individuals with neurological disorders: A systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized sham-controlled trials

OBJECTIVE

To determine the efficacy of repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation vs sham stimulation on improving lower-limb functional outcomes in individuals with neurological disorders.

DATA SOURCES

PubMed, CINAHL, Embase and Scopus databases were searched from inception to 31 March 2020 to identify papers (n = 1,198). Two researchers independently reviewed studies for eligibility. Randomized clinical trials with parallel-group design, involving individuals with neurological disorders, including lower-limb functional outcome measures and published in scientific peer-reviewed journals were included.

DATA EXTRACTION

Two researchers independently screened eligible papers (n = 27) for study design, clinical population characteristics, stimulation protocol and relevant outcome measures, and assessed study quality.

DATA SYNTHESIS

Studies presented a moderate risk of selection, attrition and reporting bias. An overall effect of repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation was found for outcomes: gait (effect size [95% confidence interval; 95% CI]: 0.51 [0.29; 0.74], p = 0.003) and muscle strength (0.99 [0.40; 1.58], p = 0.001) and disorders: stroke (0.20 [0.00; 0.39], p = 0.05), Parkinson's disease (1.01 [0.65; 1.37], p = 0.02) and spinal cord injury (0.50 [0.14; 0.85], p = 0.006), compared with sham. No effect was found for outcomes: mobility and balance.

CONCLUSION

Supplementary repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation may promote rehabilitation focused on ambulation and muscle strength and overall lower-limb functional recovery in individuals with stroke, Parkinson's disease and spinal cord injury. Further evidence is needed to extrapolate these findings.

Theta oscillations: A rhythm difference comparison between major depressive disorder and anxiety disorder

BACKGROUND

Due to substantial comorbidities of major depressive disorder (MDD) and anxiety disorder (AN), these two disorders must be distinguished. Accurate identification and diagnosis facilitate effective and prompt treatment. EEG biomarkers are a potential research hotspot for neuropsychiatric diseases. The purpose of this study was to investigate the differences in EEG power spectrum at theta oscillations between patients with MDD and patients with AN.

METHODS

Spectral analysis was used to study 66 patients with MDD and 43 patients with AN. Participants wore 16-lead EEG caps to measure resting EEG signals. The EEG power spectrum was measured using the fast Fourier transform. Independent samples t-test was used to analyze the EEG power values of the two groups, and p < 0.05 was statistically significant.

RESULTS

EEG power spectrum of the MDD group significantly differed from the AN group in the theta oscillation on 4-7 Hz at eight electrode points at F3, O2, T3, P3, P4, FP1, FP2, and F8.

CONCLUSION

Participants with anxiety demonstrated reduced power in the prefrontal cortex, left temporal lobe, and right occipital regions. Confirmed by further studies, theta oscillations could be another biomarker that distinguishes MDD from AN.

Conditioning to Enhance the Effects of Repetitive Transcranial Magnetic Stimulation on Experimental Pain in Healthy Volunteers

OBJECTIVE

In this proof-of-concept study we sought to explore whether the combination of conditioning procedure based on a surreptitious reduction of a noxious stimulus (SRPS) could enhance rTMS hypoalgesic effects [i.e., increase heat pain threshold (HPT)] and augment intervention expectations in a healthy population.

METHODS

Forty-two healthy volunteers (19-35 years old) were enrolled in a randomized crossover-controlled study and were assigned to one of two groups: (1) SRPS and (2) No SRPS. Each participant received two consecutive sessions of active or sham rTMS over the M1 area of the right hand on two visits (1) active, (2) sham rTMS separated by at least one-week interval. HPT and the temperature needed to elicit moderate heat pain were measured before and after each rTMS intervention on the right forearm. In the SRPS group, conditioning consisted of deliberately decreasing thermode temperature by 3°C following intervention before reassessing HPT, while thermode temperature was held constant in the No SRPS group. Intervention expectations were measured before each rTMS session.

RESULTS

SRPS conditioning procedure did not enhance hypoalgesic effects of rTMS intervention, neither did it modify intervention expectations. Baseline increases in HPT were found on the subsequent intervention session, suggesting variability of this measure over time, habituation or a possible "novelty effect."

CONCLUSION

Using a SRPS procedure in healthy volunteers did not enhance rTMS modulating effects on experimental pain sensation (i.e., HPT). Future studies are therefore needed to come up with a conditioning procedure which allows significant enhancement of rTMS pain modulating effects in healthy volunteers.

Clinical predictors of treatment response towards exposure therapy in virtuo in spider phobia: A machine learning and external cross-validation approach

While being highly effective on average, exposure-based treatments are not equally effective in all patients. The a priori identification of patients with a poor prognosis may enable the application of more personalized psychotherapeutic interventions. We aimed at identifying sociodemographic and clinical pre-treatment predictors for treatment response in spider phobia (SP). N = 174 patients with SP underwent a highly standardized virtual reality exposure therapy (VRET) at two independent sites. Analyses on group-level were used to test the efficacy. We applied a state-of-the-art machine learning protocol (Random Forests) to evaluate the predictive utility of clinical and sociodemographic predictors for a priori identification of individual treatment response assessed directly after treatment and at 6-month follow-up. The reliability and generalizability of predictive models was tested via external cross-validation. Our study shows that one session of VRET is highly effective on a group-level and is among the first to reveal long-term stability of this treatment effect. Individual short-term symptom reductions could be predicted above chance, but accuracies dropped to non-significance in our between-site prediction and for predictions of long-term outcomes. With performance metrics hardly exceeding chance level and the lack of generalizability in the employed between-site replication approach, our study suggests limited clinical utility of clinical and sociodemographic predictors. Predictive models including multimodal predictors may be more promising.

Establishing Evidence for Clinical Utility of a Neuroimaging Biomarker in Major Depressive Disorder: Prospective Testing and Implementation Challenges

BACKGROUND

Although a number of neuroimaging biomarkers for response have been proposed, none have been tested prospectively for direct effects on treatment outcomes. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first prospective test of the clinical utility of the use of an imaging biomarker to select treatment for patients with major depressive disorder.

METHODS

Eligible participants (n = 60) had a primary diagnosis of major depressive disorder and were assigned to either escitalopram or cognitive behavioral therapy based on fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography activity in the right anterior insula. The overall study remission rate after 12 weeks of treatment, based on the end point Hamilton Depression Rating Scale score, was then examined for futility and benefit of the strategy.

RESULTS

Remission rates demonstrated lack of futility at the end of stage 1 (37%, 10/27), and the study proceeded to stage 2. After adjustment for the change in stage 2 sample size, the complete remission rate did not demonstrate evidence of benefit (37.7%, 95% confidence interval, 26.3%-51.4%, p = .38). However, total remission rates (complete and partial remission) did reach significance in post hoc analysis (49.1%, 95% confidence interval, 37.6%-60.7%, p = .020).

CONCLUSIONS

The study shows some evidence for a role of the right anterior insula in the clinical choice of major depressive disorder monotherapy. The effect size, however, is insufficient for the use of insula activity as a sole predictive biomarker of remission. The study also demonstrates the logistical difficulties in establishing clinical utility of biomarkers.

Resting-state electroencephalographic functional network alterations in major depressive disorder following magnetic seizure therapy

Magnetic seizure therapy (MST) is emerging as a safe and well-tolerated experimental intervention for major depressive disorder (MDD), with very minimal cognitive side-effects. However, the underlying mechanism of action of MST remains uncertain. Here, we used resting-state electroencephalography (RS-EEG) to characterise the physiological effects of MST for treatment resistant MDD. We recorded RS-EEG in 21 patients before and after an open label trial of MST applied over the prefrontal cortex using a bilateral twin coil. RS-EEG was analysed for changes in functional connectivity, network topology, and spectral power. We also ran further baseline comparisons between the MDD patients and a cohort of healthy controls (n = 22). Network-based connectivity analysis revealed a functional subnetwork of significantly increased theta connectivity spanning frontal and parieto-occipital channels following MST. The change in theta connectivity was further found to predict clinical response to treatment. An additional widespread subnetwork of reduced beta connectivity was also elucidated. Graph-based topological analyses showed an increase in functional network segregation and reduction in integration in the theta band, with a decline in segregation in the beta band. Finally, delta and theta power were significantly elevated following treatment, while gamma power declined. No baseline differences between MDD patients and healthy subjects were observed. These results highlight widespread changes in resting-state brain dynamics following a course of MST in MDD patients, with changes in theta connectivity providing a potential physiological marker of treatment response. Future prospective studies are required to confirm these initial findings.

The promise of machine learning in predicting treatment outcomes in psychiatry

For many years, psychiatrists have tried to understand factors involved in response to medications or psychotherapies, in order to personalize their treatment choices. There is now a broad and growing interest in the idea that we can develop models to personalize treatment decisions using new statistical approaches from the field of machine learning and applying them to larger volumes of data. In this pursuit, there has been a paradigm shift away from experimental studies to confirm or refute specific hypotheses towards a focus on the overall explanatory power of a predictive model when tested on new, unseen datasets. In this paper, we review key studies using machine learning to predict treatment outcomes in psychiatry, ranging from medications and psychotherapies to digital interventions and neurobiological treatments. Next, we focus on some new sources of data that are being used for the development of predictive models based on machine learning, such as electronic health records, smartphone and social media data, and on the potential utility of data from genetics, electrophysiology, neuroimaging and cognitive testing. Finally, we discuss how far the field has come towards implementing prediction tools in real-world clinical practice. Relatively few retrospective studies to-date include appropriate external validation procedures, and there are even fewer prospective studies testing the clinical feasibility and effectiveness of predictive models. Applications of machine learning in psychiatry face some of the same ethical challenges posed by these techniques in other areas of medicine or computer science, which we discuss here. In short, machine learning is a nascent but important approach to improve the effectiveness of mental health care, and several prospective clinical studies suggest that it may be working already.

Conducting double-blind placebo-controlled clinical trials of transcranial alternating current stimulation (tACS)

Many psychiatric and neurological illnesses can be conceptualized as oscillopathies defined as pathological changes in brain network oscillations. We previously proposed the application of rational design for the development of non-invasive brain stimulation for the modulation and restoration of cortical oscillations as a network therapeutic. Here, we show how transcranial alternating current stimulation (tACS), which applies a weak sine-wave electric current to the scalp, may serve as a therapeutic platform for the treatment of CNS illnesses. Recently, an initial series of double-blind, placebo-controlled treatment trials of tACS have been published. Here, we first map out the conceptual underpinnings of such trials with focus on target identification, engagement, and validation. Then, we discuss practical aspects that need to be considered for successful trial execution, with particular regards to ensuring successful study blind. Finally, we briefly review the few published double-blind tACS trials and conclude with a proposed roadmap to move the field forward with the goal of moving from pilot trials to convincing efficacy studies of tACS.

Task-Modulated Brain Activity Predicts Antidepressant Responses of Prefrontal Repetitive Transcranial Magnetic Stimulation: A Randomized Sham-Control Study

Background

Prolonged intermittent theta-burst stimulation (piTBS) and repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation (rTMS) are effective antidepressant interventions for major depressive disorder (MDD). Cognition-modulated frontal theta (frontalθ) activity had been identified to predict the antidepressant response to 10-Hz left prefrontal rTMS. However, whether this marker also predicts that of piTBS needs further investigation.

Methods

The present double-blind randomized trial recruited 105 patients with MDD who showed no response to at least one adequate antidepressant treatment in the current episode. The recruited patients were randomly assigned to one of three groups: group A received piTBS monotherapy; group B received rTMS monotherapy; and group C received sham stimulation. Before a 2-week acute treatment period, electroencephalopgraphy (EEG) and cognition-modulated frontal theta changes (Δfrontalθ) were measured. Depression scores were evaluated at baseline, 1 week, and 2 weeks after the initiation of treatment.

Results

The Δfrontalθ at baseline was significantly correlated with depression score changes at week 1 (r = -0.383, p = 0.025) and at week 2 for rTMS group (r = -0.419, p = 0.014), but not for the piTBS and sham groups. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for Δfrontalθ was 0.800 for the rTMS group (p = 0.003) and was 0.549 for the piTBS group (p = 0.619).

Conclusion

The predictive value of higher baseline Δfrontalθ for antidepressant efficacy for rTMS not only replicates previous results but also implies that the antidepressant responses to rTMS could be predicted reliably at baseline and both piTBS and rTMS could be effective through different neurobiological mechanisms.

The Heart-Brain Connection in Depression: Can it inform a personalised approach for repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation (rTMS) treatment?

There is growing enthusiasm into the frontal-vagal network theory of major depressive disorder (MDD) and the potential role of a frontal-vagal network in the therapeutic mechanism of repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation (rTMS) treatment for MDD. A review of the autonomic nervous system (ANS) in MDD and its role in antidepressant treatment for MDD is timely. The literature supports the well-established notion of ANS dysfunction in MDD and the benign effect of selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors, but not tricyclic antidepressants, on perturbed ANS function in MDD. Notwithstanding, there is some evidence that ANS measures have the capacity to inform response to antidepressant medication treatment. While there is a paucity of studies on the effects of rTMS on the ANS, critically, there is preliminary support that rTMS may alleviate ANS dysfunction in MDD and that ANS measures are associated with rTMS treatment response. These observations are consistent with the frontal-vagal theory of depression and the emerging literature on the use of ANS measures for personalising and optimising rTMS treatment of MDD.

Fronto-limbic neuroimaging biomarkers for diagnosis and prediction of treatment responses in major depressive disorder

The neuroimaging is an important tool for understanding the biomarkers and predicting treatment responses in major depressive disorder (MDD). The potential biomarkers and prediction of treatment response in MDD will be addressed in the review article. The brain regions of cognitive control and emotion regulation, such as the frontal and limbic regions, might represent the potential targets for MDD biomarkers. The potential targets of frontal lobes might include anterior cingulate cortex (ACC), dorsolateral prefrontal cortex (DLPFC) and orbitofrontal cortex (OFC). For the limbic system, hippocampus and amygdala might be the potentially promising targets for MDD. The potential targets of fronto-limbic regions have been found in the studies of several major neuroimaging modalities, such as the magnetic resonance imaging, near-infrared spectroscopy, electroencephalography, positron emission tomography, and single-photon emission computed tomography. Additional regions, such as brainstem and midbrain, might also play a part in the MDD biomarkers. For the prediction of treatment response, the gray matter volumes, white matter tracts, functional representations and receptor bindings of ACC, DLPFC, OFC, amygdala, and hippocampus might play a role in the prediction of antidepressant responses in MDD. For the response prediction of psychotherapies, the fronto-limbic, reward regions, and insula will be the potential targets. For the repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation, the DLPFC, ACC, limbic, and visuospatial regions might represent the predictive targets for treatment. The neuroimaging targets of MDD might be focused in the fronto-limbic regions. However, the neuroimaging targets for the prediction of treatment responses might be inconclusive and beyond the fronto-limbic regions.

Face Recognition Brain Functional Connectivity in Patients With Major Depression: A Brain Source Localization Study by ERP

Objective: Patients with major depressive disorder (MDD) presents with face recognition defects. These defects negatively affect their social interactions. However, the cause of these defects is not clear. This study sought to explore whether MDD patients develop facial perceptual processing disorders with characteristics of brain functional connectivity (FC). Methods: Event-related potential (ERP) was used to explore differences between 20 MDD patients and 20 healthy participants with face and non-face recognition tasks based on 64 EEG parameters. After pre-processing of EEG data and source reconstruction using the minimum-norm estimate (MNE), data were converted to AAL90 template to obtain a time series of 90 brain regions. EEG power spectra were determined using Fieldtrip incorporating a Fast Fourier transform. FC was determined for all pairs of brain signals for theta band using debiased estimate of weighted phase-lag index (wPLI) in Fieldtrip. To explore group differences in wPLI, independent t-tests were performed with p < 0.05 to indicate statistical significance. False discovery rate (FDR) correction was used to adjust p-values. Results: The findings showed that amplitude induction by face pictures was higher compared with that of non-face pictures both in MDD and healthy control (HC) groups. Face recognition amplitude in MDD group was lower compared with that in the HC group. Two time periods with significant differences were then selected for further analysis. Analysis showed that FC was stronger in the MDD group compared with that in the HC group in most brain regions in both periods. However, only one FC between two brain regions in HC group was stronger compared with that in the MDD group. Conclusion: Dysfunction in brain FC among MDD patients is a relatively complex phenomenon, exhibiting stronger and multiple connectivity with several brain regions of emotions. The findings of the current study indicate that the brain FC of MDD patients is more complex and less efficient in the initial stage of face recognition.

Resting EEG theta connectivity and alpha power to predict repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation response in depression: A non-replication from the ICON-DB consortium

OBJECTIVE

Our previous research showed high predictive accuracy at differentiating responders from non-responders to repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation (rTMS) for depression using resting electroencephalography (EEG) and clinical data from baseline and one-week following treatment onset using a machine learning algorithm. In particular, theta (4-8 Hz) connectivity and alpha power (8-13 Hz) significantly differed between responders and non-responders. Independent replication is a necessary step before the application of potential predictors in clinical practice. This study attempted to replicate the results in an independent dataset.

METHODS

We submitted baseline resting EEG data from an independent sample of participants who underwent rTMS treatment for depression (N = 193, 128 responders) (Krepel et al., 2018) to the same between group comparisons as our previous research (Bailey et al., 2019).

RESULTS

Our previous results were not replicated, with no difference between responders and non-responders in theta connectivity (p = 0.250, Cohen's d = 0.1786) nor alpha power (p = 0.357, η_p² = 0.005).

CONCLUSIONS

These results suggest that baseline resting EEG theta connectivity or alpha power are unlikely to be generalisable predictors of response to rTMS treatment for depression.

SIGNIFICANCE

These results highlight the importance of independent replication, data sharing and using large datasets in the prediction of response research.

An update on the clinical use of repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation in the treatment of depression

BACKGROUND

Repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation (rTMS) is an increasingly used treatment for patients with depression. The use of rTMS in depression is supported by over 20 years of clinical trials. There has been a significant increase in knowledge around the use of rTMS in recent years.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this paper was to review the use of rTMS in depression to provide an update for rTMS practitioners and clinicians interested in the clinical use of this treatment.

METHODS

A targeted review of the literature around the use of rTMS treatment of depression with a specific focus on studies published in the last 3 years.

RESULTS

High-frequency rTMS applied to the left dorsolateral prefrontal cortex is an effective treatment for acute episodes of major depressive disorder. There are several additional methods of rTMS delivery that are supported by clinical trials and meta-analyses but no substantive evidence that any one approach is any more effective than any other. rTMS is effective in unipolar depression and most likely bipolar depression. rTMS courses may be repeated in the management of depressive relapse but there is less evidence for the use of rTMS in the maintenance phase.

CONCLUSIONS

The science around the use of rTMS is rapidly evolving and there is a considerable need for practitioners to remain abreast of the current state of this literature and its implications for clinical practice. rTMS is an effective antidepressant treatment but its optimal use should be continually informed by knowledge of the state of the art.

Modulation of functional network properties in major depressive disorder following electroconvulsive therapy (ECT): a resting-state EEG analysis

Electroconvulsive therapy (ECT) is a highly effective neuromodulatory intervention for treatment-resistant major depressive disorder (MDD). Presently, however, understanding of its neurophysiological effects remains incomplete. In the present study, we utilised resting-state electroencephalography (RS-EEG) to explore changes in functional connectivity, network topology, and spectral power elicited by an acute open-label course of ECT in a cohort of 23 patients with treatment-resistant MDD. RS-EEG was recorded prior to commencement of ECT and again within 48 h following each patient’s final treatment session. Our results show that ECT was able to enhance connectivity within lower (delta and theta) frequency bands across subnetworks largely confined to fronto-central channels, while, conversely, more widespread subnetworks of reduced connectivity emerged within faster (alpha and beta) bands following treatment. Graph-based topological analyses revealed changes in measures of functional segregation (clustering coefficient), integration (characteristic path length), and small-world architecture following ECT. Finally, post-treatment enhancement of delta and theta spectral power was observed, which showed a positive association with the number of ECT sessions received. Overall, our findings indicate that RS-EEG can provide a sensitive measure of dynamic neural activity following ECT and highlight network-based analyses as a promising avenue for furthering mechanistic understanding of the effects of convulsive therapies.

Resting-state and task-based centrality of dorsolateral prefrontal cortex predict resilience to 1 Hz repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation

Repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation (rTMS) is used to investigate normal brain function in healthy participants and as a treatment for brain disorders. Various subject factors can influence individual response to rTMS, including brain network properties. A previous study by our group showed that “virtually lesioning” the left dorsolateral prefrontal cortex (dlPFC; important for cognitive flexibility) using 1 Hz rTMS reduced performance on a set‐shifting task. We aimed to determine whether this behavioural response was related to topological features of pre‐TMS resting‐state and task‐based functional networks. 1 Hz (inhibitory) rTMS was applied to the left dlPFC in 16 healthy participants, and to the vertex in 17 participants as a control condition. Participants performed a set‐shifting task during fMRI at baseline and directly after a single rTMS session 1–2 weeks later. Functional network topology measures were calculated from resting‐state and task‐based fMRI scans using graph theoretical analysis. The dlPFC‐stimulated group, but not the vertex group, showed reduced setshifting performance after rTMS, associated with lower task‐based betweenness centrality (BC) of the dlPFC at baseline (p = .030) and a smaller reduction in task‐based BC after rTMS (p = .024). Reduced repeat trial accuracy after rTMS was associated with higher baseline resting state node strength of the dlPFC (p = .017). Our results suggest that behavioural response to 1 Hz rTMS to the dlPFC is dependent on baseline functional network features. Individuals with more globally integrated stimulated regions show greater resilience to rTMS effects, while individuals with more locally well‐connected regions show greater vulnerability.

Glycogen synthase kinase-3: The missing link to aberrant circuit function in disorders of cognitive dysfunction?

Elevated GSK-3 activity has been implicated in cognitive dysfunction associated with various disorders including Alzheimer's disease, schizophrenia, type 2 diabetes, traumatic brain injury, major depressive disorder and bipolar disorder. Further, aberrant neural oscillatory activity in, and between, cortical regions and the hippocampus is consistently present within these same cognitive disorders. In this review, we will put forth the idea that increased GSK-3 activity serves as a pathological convergence point across cognitive disorders, inducing similar consequent impacts on downstream signaling mechanisms implicated in the maintenance of processes critical to brain systems communication and normal cognitive functioning. In this regard we suggest that increased activation of GSK-3 and neuronal oscillatory dysfunction are early pathological changes that may be functionally linked. Mechanistic commonalities between these disorders of cognitive dysfunction will be discussed and potential downstream targets of GSK-3 that may contribute to neuronal oscillatory dysfunction identified.

The Impact of Repetitive Transcranial Magnetic Stimulation on Functional Connectivity in Major Depressive Disorder and Bipolar Disorder Evaluated by Directed Transfer Function and Indices Based on Graph Theory

The objective of this work was to study the impact of repetitive Transcranial Magnetic Stimulation (rTMS) on the EEG connectivity evaluated by indices based on graph theory, derived from Directed Transfer Function (DTF), in patients with major depressive disorder (MDD) or with bipolar disorder (BD). The results showed the importance of beta and gamma rhythms. The indices density, degree and clustering coefficient increased in MDD responders in beta and gamma bands after rTMS. Interestingly, the density and the degree changed in theta band in both groups of nonresponders (decreased in MDD nonresponders but increased in BD nonresponders). Moreover, both indices of integration (the characteristic path length and the global efficiency) as well as the clustering coefficient increased in BD nonresponders for gamma band. In BD responders, the activity increased in the frontal lobe, mainly in the left hemisphere, while in MDD responders in the central posterior part of brain. The fronto-posterior asymmetry decreased in both groups of responders in delta and beta bands. Changes in inter-hemispheric asymmetry were found only in BD nonresponders in all bands, except gamma band. Comparison between groups showed that the degree increased in delta band independently on disease (BD, MDD). These preliminary results showed that the DTF may be a useful marker allowing for evaluation of effectiveness of the rTMS therapy as well for group differentiation between MDD and BD considering separately groups of responders and nonresponders. However, further investigation should be performed over larger groups of patients to confirmed our findings.

The Effect of Ketamine on Electrophysiological Connectivity in Major Depressive Disorder

Major depressive disorder (MDD) is highly prevalent and frequently disabling. Only about 30% of patients respond to a first-line antidepressant treatment, and around 30% of patients are classified as "treatment-resistant" after failing to respond to multiple adequate trials. While most antidepressants target monoaminergic targets, ketamine is an N-methyl-D-aspartate (NMDA) antagonist that has shown rapid antidepressant effects when delivered intravenously or intranasally. While there is evidence that ketamine exerts its effects via enhanced α-amino-3-hydroxy-5-methyl-4-isoxazolepropionic acid (AMPA) throughput, its mechanism for relieving depressive symptoms is largely unknown. This study acquired resting-state magnetoencephalography (MEG) recordings after both ketamine and placebo infusions and investigated functional connectivity using a multilayer amplitude-amplitude correlation technique spanning the canonical frequency bands. Twenty-four healthy volunteers (HVs) and 27 unmedicated participants with MDD took part in a double-blind, placebo-controlled, crossover trial of 0.5 mg/kg IV ketamine. Order of infusion was randomized, and participants crossed over to receive the second infusion after two weeks. The results indicated widespread ketamine-induced reductions in connectivity in the alpha and beta bands that did not correlate with magnitude of antidepressant response. In contrast, the magnitude of ketamine's antidepressant effects in MDD participants was associated with cross-frequency connectivity for delta-alpha and delta-gamma bands, with HVs and ketamine non-responders showing connectivity decreases post-ketamine and ketamine responders demonstrating small increases in connectivity. These results may indicate functional subtypes of MDD and also suggest that neural responses to ketamine are fundamentally different between responders and non-responders.

Brainwaves Oscillations as a Potential Biomarker for Major Depression Disorder Risk

Major depressive disorder (MDD) is a multidimensional disorder that is characterized by the presence of alterations in mood, cognitive capacity, sensorimotor, and homeostatic functions. Given that about half of the patients diagnosed with MDD do not respond to the various current treatments, new techniques are being sought to predict not only the course of the disease but also the characteristics that differentiate responders from non-responders. Using the electroencephalogram, a noninvasive and inexpensive tool, most studies have proposed that patients with MDD have some lateralization in brain electrical activity, with alterations in alpha and theta rhythms being observed, which would be related to dysfunctions in emotional capacity such as the absence or presence of responses to the different existing treatments. These alterations help in the identification of subjects at high risk of suffering from depression, in the differentiation into responders and nonresponders to various therapies (pharmacological, electroconvulsive therapy, and so on), as well as to establish in which period of the disease the treatment will be more effective. Although the data are still inconclusive and more research is needed, these alpha and theta neurophysiological markers could support future clinical practice when it comes to establishing an early diagnosis and treating state disorders more successfully and accurately of mood disorders.