Differential Associations of Chronic Inflammatory Diseases With Incident Heart Failure

Risk of heart failure in inflammatory bowel disease: a Swedish population-based study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Dysregulation of inflammatory and immune responses has been implicated in the pathogenesis of heart failure (HF). But even if inflammation is a prerequisite for inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), little is known about HF risk in IBD.

METHODS

In this Swedish nationwide cohort, patients with biopsy-confirmed IBD were identified between 1969 and 2017 [n = 81 749, Crohn's disease (CD, n = 24 303), ulcerative colitis (UC, n = 45 709), and IBD-unclassified (IBD-U, n = 11 737)]. Each patient was matched with up to five general population reference individuals (n = 382 190) and IBD-free full siblings (n = 95 239) and followed until 31 December 2019. Flexible parametric survival models estimated the adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) and standardized cumulative incidence for HF, with 95% confidence intervals (CI).

RESULTS

There were 5582 incident HF identified in IBD patients (incidence rate [IR]: 50.3/10 000 person-years) and 20 343 in reference individuals (IR: 37.9) during a median follow-up of 12.4 years. IBD patients had a higher risk of HF than reference individuals (aHR 1.19, 95% CI 1.15-1.23). This increased risk remained significant ≥20 years after IBD diagnosis, leading to one extra HF case per 130 IBD patients until then. The increased risk was also observed across IBD subtypes: CD (IR: 46.9 vs. 34.4; aHR 1.28 [1.20-1.36]), UC (IR: 50.1 vs. 39.7; aHR 1.14 [1.09-1.19]), and IBD-U (IR: 60.9 vs. 39.0; aHR 1.28 [1.16-1.42]). Sibling-controlled analyses showed slightly attenuated association (IBD: aHR 1.10 [1.03-1.19]).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with IBD had a moderately higher risk of developing HF for ≥20 years after IBD diagnosis than the general population.

Designing target trials using electronic health records: A case study of second-line disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drugs and cardiovascular disease outcomes in patients with rheumatoid arthritis

BACKGROUND

Emulation of the "target trial" (TT), a hypothetical pragmatic randomized controlled trial (RCT), using observational data can be used to mitigate issues commonly encountered in comparative effectiveness research (CER) when randomized trials are not logistically, ethically, or financially feasible. However, cardiovascular (CV) health research has been slow to adopt TT emulation. Here, we demonstrate the design and analysis of a TT emulation using electronic health records to study the comparative effectiveness of the addition of a disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drug (DMARD) to a regimen of methotrexate on CV events among rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients.

METHODS

We used data from an electronic medical records-based cohort of RA patients from Northwestern Medicine to emulate the TT. Follow-up began 3 months after initial prescription of MTX (2000-2020) and included all available follow-up through June 30, 2020. Weighted pooled logistic regression was used to estimate differences in CVD risk and survival. Cloning was used to handle immortal time bias and weights to improve baseline and time-varying covariate imbalance.

RESULTS

We identified 659 eligible people with RA with average follow-up of 46 months and 31 MACE events. The month 24 adjusted risk difference for MACE comparing initiation vs non-initiation of a DMARD was -1.47% (95% confidence interval [CI]: -4.74, 1.95%), and the marginal hazard ratio (HR) was 0.72 (95% CI: 0.71, 1.23). In analyses subject to immortal time bias, the HR was 0.62 (95% CI: 0.29-1.44).

CONCLUSION

In this sample, we did not observe evidence of differences in risk of MACE, a finding that is compatible with previously published meta-analyses of RCTs. Thoughtful application of the TT framework provides opportunities to conduct CER in observational data. Benchmarking results of observational analyses to previously published RCTs can lend credibility to interpretation.

Risk of extended major adverse cardiovascular event endpoints with tofacitinib versus TNF inhibitors in patients with rheumatoid arthritis: a post hoc analysis of a phase 3b/4 randomised safety study

OBJECTIVES

Compare the risk of extended major adverse cardiovascular (CV) event (MACE) composite outcomes and component events in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) treated with tofacitinib versus tumour necrosis factor inhibitors (TNFi) in Oral Rheumatoid Arthritis Trial (ORAL) Surveillance.

METHODS

Patients with RA aged ≥50 years and with ≥1 additional CV risk factor received tofacitinib 5 mg or 10 mg two times per day or TNFi. MACE (non-fatal myocardial infarction (MI), non-fatal stroke or CV death (MACE-3)) was extended by sequential addition of CV events (hospitalisation for unstable angina (MACE-4), coronary revascularisation (MACE-5), transient ischaemic attack (MACE-6), peripheral vascular disease (MACE-7)), heart failure (HF) hospitalisation (MACE-8) and venous thromboembolism (VTE; (MACE-8 plus VTE)). HRs (tofacitinib vs TNFi) were evaluated for MACE and individual components.

RESULTS

HRs for MACE-4 to MACE-8 with combined and individual tofacitinib doses versus TNFi were similar. Risk of MACE-8 plus VTE appeared similar with tofacitinib 5 mg two times per day versus TNFi (HR 1.12 (0.82 to 1.52)), but higher with tofacitinib 10 mg two times per day versus TNFi (HR 1.38 (1.02 to 1.85)). Risk of MI was higher with tofacitinib versus TNFi, but difference in risk of other individual CV events was not suggested. Across extended MACE definitions, risk appeared higher with tofacitinib versus TNFi in those with atherosclerotic CV disease or age ≥65 years.

CONCLUSION

In ORAL Surveillance, risk of composite CV endpoints combining all ischaemic CV events and HF did not appear different with tofacitinib versus TNFi. The totality of CV risk was higher with tofacitinib 10 mg two times per day versus TNFi, driven by an increase in VTE.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT02092467.

Left ventricular systolic function assessed by standard and advanced echocardiographic techniques in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus: A systemic review and meta-analysis

Objectives

Aim of the study was to perform a systemic review and meta-analysis of the current case-control studies based on the assessment of the left ventricular (LV) systolic function with standard and advanced echocardiographic methods.

Materials and methods

Objectives of the study, methods of statisticalanalysis, literature search strategy, inclusion andexclusion criteria, and outcome measurementswere defined according to Cochrane Collaborationsteps, 13 including recommendations for metaanalysisof observational studies in epidemiology (MOOSE).

Results

A total of 850 papers were collected. Of those, eight papers (10 groups) including 174,442 SLE patients and 45,608,723 controls with heart failure (HF), 20 papers including 1,121 SLE patients and 1,010 controls with an evaluated LV ejection fraction (LVEF), and eight studies (nine groups) including 462 SLE patients and 356 controls with a measured LV global longitudinal strain (LVGLS) met the predefined inclusion criteria. HF rate in SLE patients was 2.39% (4,176 of 174,442 patients with HF), and SLE patients showed a 3.4 times higher risk for HF compared to controls. SLE patients had a lower LVEF compared to controls. LVGLS was more impaired in SLE patients compared to controls, irrespective of two-dimensional or three-dimensional speckle tracking echocardiography.

Conclusion

Heart failure rate in SLE patients is high, and SLE patients showed a 3.4 times higher risk in patients with SLE compared to controls. LV systolic function, as measured by LVEF and LVGLS, is significantly affected in SLE patients, and LVGLS potentially represents a new tool for the early assessment of LV function.

Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction and atrial fibrillation: clinical management in the context of recent therapeutic advances in heart failure and electrophysiology

Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) and atrial fibrillation (AF) have emerged as major age-related epidemics within cardiology. Both conditions carry overlapping symptomatology, and delineating between AF and HFpEF from a diagnostic standpoint is challenging as echocardiographic and biomarker assessments used to diagnose HFpEF may be impacted by AF. Indeed, these two conditions are commonly found in the same individual, so much so that AF has been used in proposed diagnostic criteria for HFpEF. The frequent concomitant presence of these two conditions is associated with poorer quality of life, exertional capacity, as well as increased risk for decompensated heart failure and all-cause mortality. Though these deleterious effects of AF in HFpEF patients are well described, we currently have only a superficial understanding of the complex interplay between these two conditions. Preliminary studies on intervening in AF in HFpEF are very small, with mixed data on whether modifying the natural history of AF can lead to improvement in heart failure (HF) outcomes in HFpEF. In this review, we will describe the clinical implications of carrying both cardiovascular conditions, address recent advances in HFpEF and AF, and highlight preliminary studies targeted at reduction of effects associated with AF burden in HFpEF.

Emerging Roles for Dendritic Cells in Heart Failure

The field of cardio-immunology has emerged from discoveries that define roles for innate and adaptive immune responses associated with myocardial inflammation and heart failure. Dendritic cells (DCs) comprise an important cellular compartment that contributes to systemic immune surveillance at the junction of innate and adaptive immunity. Once described as a singular immune subset, we now appreciate that DCs consist of a heterogeneous pool of subpopulations, each with distinct effector functions that can uniquely regulate the acute and chronic inflammatory response. Nevertheless, the cardiovascular-specific context involving DCs in negotiating the biological response to myocardial injury is not well understood. Herein, we review our current understanding of the role of DCs in cardiac inflammation and heart failure, including gaps in knowledge and clinical relevance.

Mortality in heart failure with and without autoimmune disease

AIMS

Autoimmune diseases (AIDs) are associated with a higher risk of heart failure (HF). However, data on the prognosis of HF patients with a history of AID are limited. The aim was to investigate the rates of all-cause mortality and HF hospitalization in a large, nationwide cohort of patient with HF according to a history of 29 AIDs.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Using Danish nationwide registries, each HF patient (diagnosed 2000-18) with a history of AID was matched with four HF patients without AID by age, sex, and year of HF diagnosis. Rates of outcomes were compared by Cox regression models. The prevalence of AID in patients with HF was 10.7%. In total, 21 256 HF patients with a history of AID were matched with 85 024 HF patients without AID (median age 77 years; 58.9% female). During a median follow-up of 3.2 years, the incidence rates per 100 person-years for all-cause mortality were 17.1 (95% confidence interval, 16.9-17.4) and 14.4 (14.3-14.6) in patients with and without AID, respectively. The corresponding rates for HF hospitalization were 5.0 (4.9-5.1) and 5.2 (5.1-5.4), respectively. A history of AID was associated with higher rate of all-cause mortality [hazard ratio (HR) 1.14 (1.12-1.17)], but not HF hospitalization [HR 1.00 (0.96-1.04)] compared with no AID.

CONCLUSIONS

In a nationwide cohort study, patients with HF and a history of AID had a higher associated rate of mortality than those without a history of AID.

A review of the impact, pathophysiology, and management of atrial fibrillation in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction

Patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) and atrial fibrillation (AF) have increased mortality and increased risk of stroke. Due to the heterogeneous nature of both disease processes, it is difficult to ascertain whether the diagnosis and progression of AF is the cause of deterioration or if it is a symptom of worsening heart failure. This presents physicians with a clinical conundrum of whether optimizing their heart failure will decrease the overall AF burden or if restoration of sinus rhythm is necessary to optimize patients with HFpEF. In this paper, we will review the impact of AF in patients with HFpEF, the pathophysiology and heterogeneity of HFpEF and AF, and the management of these patients. As HFpEF and AF become more prevalent, managing these disease processes needs standardization to improve outcomes. Further research is needed to understand the complex interplay between AF and HFpEF to help determine the best management strategy.

Association Between End-Stage Liver Disease and Incident Heart Failure in an Integrated Health System

BACKGROUND

End-stage liver disease (ESLD) and heart failure (HF) often coexist and are associated with significant morbidity and mortality. However, the true incidence of HF among patients with ESLD remains understudied.

OBJECTIVE

This study aims to evaluate the association between ESLD and incident HF in a real-world clinical cohort.

DESIGN AND PARTICIPANTS

A retrospective electronic health records database analysis of individuals with ESLD and frequency-matched controls without ESLD in a large integrated health system.

MAIN MEASURES

The primary outcome was incident HF, which was defined by the International Classification of Disease codes and manually adjudicated by physician reviewers. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to estimate the cumulative incidence of HF. Multivariate proportional hazards models adjusted for shared metabolic factors (diabetes, hypertension, chronic kidney disease, coronary heart disease, body mass index) were used to compare the risk of HF in patients with and without ESLD.

KEY RESULTS

Of 5004 patients (2502 with ESLD and 2502 without ESLD), the median (Q1-Q3) age was 57.0 (55.0-65.0) years, 59% were male, and 18% had diabetes. Over a median (Q1-Q3) follow-up of 2.3 (0.6-6.0) years, 121 incident HF cases occurred. Risk for incident HF was significantly higher for patients with ESLD compared with the non-ESLD group (adjusted HR: 4.67; 95% CI: 2.82-7.75; p < 0.001), with the majority of the ESLD group (70.7%) having HF with preserved ejection fraction (ejection fraction ≥ 50%).

CONCLUSION

ESLD was significantly associated with a higher risk of incident HF, independent of shared metabolic risk factors, with the predominant phenotype being HF with preserved ejection fraction.

Cardiovascular magnetic resonance imaging in myocardial involvement of systemic lupus erythematosus

Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is a chronic autoimmune disorder that primarily affects young women. Myocardial involvement in SLE frequently occurs and it is rather challenging to make the diagnosis in current clinical settings, mainly due to the extensive clinical presentation of signs and symptoms. As a noninvasive imaging reference in diagnosing cardiomyopathy and myocarditis, cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging can provide new insight into myocardial abnormalities including inflammation, fibrosis, and microcirculation. Therefore, the main aim of this work was to systematically review the pathology, clinical features, and diagnosis, while illustrating the clinical role of CMR on myocardial involvement of SLE.

Gut Failure: A Review of the Pathophysiology and Therapeutic Potentials in the Gut-Heart Axis

Despite considerable advances in the field, heart failure (HF) still poses a significant disease burden among affected individuals since it continues to cause high morbidity and mortality rates. Inflammation is considered to play a key role in disease progression, but the exact underlying pathophysiological mechanisms involved have not yet been fully elucidated. The gut, as a potential source of inflammation, could feasibly explain the state of low-grade inflammation seen in patients with chronic HF. Several derangements in the composition of the microbiota population, coupled with an imbalance between favorable and harmful metabolites and followed by gut barrier disruption and eventually bacterial translocation, could contribute to cardiac dysfunction and aggravate HF. On the other hand, HF-associated congestion and hypoperfusion alters intestinal function, thereby creating a vicious cycle. Based on this evidence, novel pharmaceutical agents have been developed and their potential therapeutic use has been tested in both animal and human subjects. The ultimate goal in these efforts is to reverse the aforementioned intestinal derangements and block the inflammation cascade. This review summarizes the gut-related causative pathways implicated in HF pathophysiology, as well as the associated therapeutic interventions described in the literature.

Chronic rheumatologic disorders and cardiovascular disease risk in women

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a major health threat to women worldwide. In addition to traditional CVD risk factors, autoimmune conditions are increasingly being recognized as contributors to adverse CVD consequences in women. Chronic systemic autoimmune and inflammatory disorders can trigger premature and accelerated atherosclerosis, microvascular dysfunction, and thrombosis. The presence of comorbid conditions, duration of the autoimmune condition, disease severity, and treatment of underlying inflammation are all factors that impact CVD risk and progression. Early identification and screening of CVD risk factors in those with underlying autoimmune conditions may attenuate CVD in this population. Treatment with non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs, corticosteroids, disease modifying agents and biologics may influence CVD risk factors and overall risk. Multi-disciplinary and team-based care, clinical trials, and collaborative team-science studies focusing on systemic autoimmune conditions will be beneficial to advance care for women.

Association of Cumulative Viral Load With the Incidence of Hypertension and Diabetes in People With HIV

BACKGROUND

HIV induces several metabolic derangements that contribute to cardiovascular disease, but it is unclear if HIV increases diabetes or hypertension risk. Refining longitudinal relationships between HIV-specific factors and cardiovascular disease risk factors across different care settings may help inform cardiovascular disease prevention among people with HIV (PWH).

METHODS

We tested the hypothesis that long-term higher cumulative viral load (viremia-copy-year) is associated with higher risk of diabetes and hypertension by analyzing electronic records of PWH from 2 distinct health systems in Chicago (Northwestern Medicine and Howard Brown Health Care) receiving care in 2004 to 2019. We used joint longitudinal-survival models to assess multivariable-adjusted associations. Subgroup analyses per site were also conducted.

RESULTS

We observed 230 (3.0%) incident diabetes cases in 7628 PWH without baseline diabetes and 496 (6.7%) hypertension cases in 7450 PWH without baseline hypertension. Pooled analysis showed a direct association of viremia-copy-year with incident hypertension (hazards ratio, 1.20 [95% CI, 1.14-1.26]) but not with diabetes (hazards ratio, 1.03 [95% CI, 0.96-1.10]). However, site-specific differences existed whereby the Northwestern-only analysis demonstrated a significant association of viremia-copy-year with hypertension (hazards ratio, 1.29 [95% CI, 1.08-1.32]). Additionally, higher social deprivation index (both sites) and diagnosis of mental health disorder (Howard Brown Health only) was associated with higher diabetes and hypertension risk.

CONCLUSIONS

Cumulative viral load may be associated with incident hypertension among PWH. Associations of HIV control with cardiovascular disease risk factors among PWH may differ by health care system context.

Prevention of heart failure, tachyarrhythmias and sudden cardiac death in HIV

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

To summarize the state-of-the-art literature on the epidemiology, disease progression, and mediators of heart failure, tachyarrhythmias, and sudden cardiac death in people living with HIV (PLWH) to inform prevention strategies.

RECENT FINDINGS

Recent studies corroborate the role of HIV as a risk enhancer for heart failure and arrhythmias, which persists despite adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors and unhealthy behaviors. Immune activation and inflammation contribute to the risk. Heart failure occurs more frequently at younger ages, and among women and ethnic minorities living with HIV, highlighting disparities. Prospective outcome studies remain sparse in PLWH limiting prevention approaches. However, subclinical cardiac and electrophysiologic remodeling and dysfunction detected by noninvasive testing are powerful disease surrogates that inform our mechanistic understanding of HIV-associated cardiovascular disease and offer opportunities for early diagnosis.

SUMMARY

Aggressive control of HIV viremia and cardiac risk factors and abstinence from unhealthy behaviors remain treatment pillars to prevent heart failure and arrhythmic complications. The excess risk among PLWH warrants heightened vigilance for heart failure and arrhythmic symptomatology and earlier testing as subclinical abnormalities are common. Future research needs include identifying novel therapeutic targets to prevent heart failure and arrhythmias and testing of interventions in diverse groups of PLWH.

The risk of organ-based comorbidities in psoriasis: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

The close relationship between psoriasis and concomitant diseases is widely accepted. However, a comprehensive analysis of organ-based comorbidities in psoriasis is still lacking.

Objective

The authors aimed to present the risk of organ-based comorbidities in psoriasis by comparing the general population.

Methods

The authors retrieved a search of Pubmed, EMBASE, and Cochrane databases for studies reporting organ-based comorbidities in psoriasis versus the general population. Observational studies that met the following criteria were assessed: 1) Psoriasis diagnosis; 2) Cardiovascular or kidney or liver or respiratory or cerebrovascular outcomes; 3) Comparison group of individuals without psoriasis. Pooled Relative Risks (pRRs) and 95% Confidence Intervals (CIs) were calculated by using the random-effect model.

Results

Fifteen observational studies with 216,348 psoriatic patients and 9,896,962 individuals from the general population were included. Psoriasis showed a greater risk of organ-based comorbidities. Compared to the general population, pRR for all organ-based comorbidities was 1.20 (95% CI 1.11‒1.31) in psoriasis, and pRR was lower in mild 0.61 (95% CI 0.46‒0.81) than in moderate/severe patients. pRR was 1.20 (95% CI 1.11‒1.30) for cardiovascular, 1.56 (95% CI 1.20‒2.04), and 1.75 (95% CI 1.33‒2.29) for cerebrovascular and liver diseases, respectively. pRR for coexisting renal and cardiovascular events was 1.09 (95% CI 1.01‒1.18). pRR for coexisting renal and cerebrovascular events was 1.28 (95% CI 0.99‒1.66). pRR for coexisting renal and liver diseases was 1.46 (95% CI 1.10‒1.94). pRR for coexisting cardiovascular and liver diseases was 1.41 (95% CI 1.11‒1.80).

Study limitations

There is heterogeneity.

Conclusion

Psoriasis has a higher risk of single and multiple organ-based comorbidities than the general population. The present study will further improve attention to psoriasis as a systemic inflammatory disease.

Pharmacological management of severe plaque psoriasis in patients with cardiovascular disease

INTRODUCTION

There is compelling evidence about the independent association between psoriasis and an increased risk of cardiovascular diseases, in particular myocardial infarction, chronic heart failure and cardiac arrythmia. This is due to both the higher prevalence of traditional cardiovascular risk factors (including hypertension, diabetes, hyperlipidemia, obesity, and smoking) and an independent contribution of chronic systemic inflammation associated with psoriasis. Inflammation is not only important in atherosclerosis, but also is increasingly recognized as a contributing factor to heart failure and arrythmia through microvascular dysfunction and myocardial fibrosis. When treating a patient with severe psoriasis, it is recommended to take into consideration this enhanced cardiovascular risk. Moreover, the use of a systemic treatment in a patient with already existing cardiovascular comorbidities should always be considered with caution, assessing the pro and cons of these drugs.

AREAS COVERED

Herein, the authors review the pharmacological management of severe plaque psoriasis in patients with cardiovascular disease, providing their expert opinion and future perspectives on the subject.

EXPERT OPINION

Theoretically, anti-inflammatory drugs may not only dampen the systemic burden associated with psoriasis, but also potentially contribute to prevent long-term cardiovascular events in psoriasis. On the other hand, some treatments may also induce negative effects on the cardiovascular system.

Whether findings from observational studies or ones evaluating surrogates of cardiovascular risk translate into reductions in cardiovascular events needs to be investigated by long-term clinical trials with clinically meaningful endpoints.

Phenotypic Presentations of Heart Failure Among Patients With Chronic Inflammatory Diseases

Objective

Characterize incident heart failure (HF) phenotypes among patients with various chronic inflammatory diseases (CIDs).

Background

Several CIDs are associated with increased HF risk, but differences in HF phenotypes across CIDs are incompletely understood. No prior studies to our knowledge have manually adjudicated HF phenotypes across a CID spectrum.

Methods

We screened for patients with—and controls without—CIDs who had possible HF, then hand-adjudicated HF endpoints. Possible HF resulted from a single HF administrative code; HF was deemed definite/probable vs. absent using standardized, validated criteria. We queried adjudicated HF patients' charts to define specific HF phenotypes, then compared clinical, demographic, and HF phenotypic characteristics for HF patients with specific CIDs vs. non-CID controls using Fisher's exact test.

Results

Out of 415 possible HF patients, 192 had definite/probable HF. Significant differences in HF phenotypes existed across CIDs. Isolated right-sided HF was present in 27.8% of patients with SSc and adjudicated HF, which is more than twice as common as it was in any other CID. Left ventricular systolic dysfunction was most common in patients with HIV and lupus (SLE); mean LVEF was 45.0% ± 18.6% for HIV and 41.3% ± 17.1% for SLE, but was 57.7% ± 10.7% for SSc. Those with HIV and multiple CIDs were most likely to have coronary artery disease.

Conclusions

Different CIDs present with different phenotypes of physician-adjudicated HF, potentially reflecting different underlying inflammatory pathophysiologies. Larger studies are needed to confirm these findings, as are mechanistic studies focused on understanding specific immunoregulatory contributors to HF.

Moving the Paradigm Forward for Prediction and Risk-Based Primary Prevention of Heart Failure in Special Populations

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Heart failure (HF) treatment paradigms increasingly recognize the importance of primary prevention. This review explores factors that enhance HF risk, summarizes evidence supporting the pharmacologic primary prevention of HF, and notes barriers to the implementation of primary prevention of HF with a focus on female and sexual and gender minority patients.

RECENT FINDINGS

HF has pathophysiologic sex-specific distinctions, suggesting that sex-specific preventive strategies may be beneficial. Pharmacologic agents that have shown benefit in reducing the risk of HF address the pathobiology underpinning these sex-specific risk factors. The implementation of pharmacologic therapies for primary prevention of HF needs to consider a risk-based model. Current pharmacotherapies hold mechanistic promise for the primary prevention of HF in females and gender and sexual minorities, although research is needed to understand the specific populations most likely to benefit. There are significant systemic barriers to the equitable provision of HF primary prevention.

Association of primary Sjögren’s syndrome with incident heart failure: a secondary analysis of health claims data in Taiwan

Objective:

Mounting evidence has demonstrated that various chronic inflammatory diseases are associated with incident heart failure (HF). However, there is scarce evidence about the association between primary Sjögren’s syndrome (pSS) and HF. We aimed to explore this association using a nationwide database in Taiwan.

Methods:

We selected patients with incident pSS and no history of HF. Using propensity score matching based on age, sex, cohort entry time, comorbidities, and concomitant medications, cohorts of patients with and without pSS (as controls) were created in a 1:1 ratio and the groups were compared. The cumulative incidence of HF was calculated using Kaplan–Meier estimation. Cox proportional hazard regression analysis was used to measure the hazard ratio (HR) of HF-related hospitalization for the pSS cohort compared with the comparison group.

Results:

A total of 16,466 pairs of patients with pSS and those without pSS were identified. The cumulative incidence of HF-related hospitalization at 3, 5, and 10 years in patients with pSS was 1.05%, 1.89%, and 4.33%, respectively. The risk of HF-related hospitalization was not higher in patients with pSS than in the general population (HR: 0.98, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.84–1.14). There was no difference in survival probability after the first episode of HF-related hospitalization between pSS and non-pSS groups.

Conclusion:

Our results suggest that distinct inflammatory spectrums in each chronic inflammatory disease might have differential impacts on cardiac function and subsequent risk of HF. Future studies are needed to elucidate the complex and diverse mechanisms of HF in various chronic autoimmune diseases.

Greenspace, Inflammation, Cardiovascular Health, and Cancer: A Review and Conceptual Framework for Greenspace in Cardio-Oncology Research

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a leading cause of global morbidity and mortality. Cancer survivors have significantly elevated risk of poor cardiovascular (CV) health outcomes due to close co-morbid linkages and shared risk factors between CVD and cancer, as well as adverse effects of cancer treatment-related cardiotoxicity. CVD and cancer-related outcomes are exacerbated by increased risk of inflammation. Results from different pharmacological interventions aimed at reducing inflammation and risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) have been largely mixed to date. Greenspaces have been shown to reduce inflammation and have been associated with CV health benefits, including reduced CVD behavioral risk factors and overall improvement in CV outcomes. Greenspace may, thus, serve to alleviate the CVD burden among cancer survivors. To understand pathways through which greenspace can prevent or reduce adverse CV outcomes among cancer survivors, we review the state of knowledge on associations among inflammation, CVD, cancer, and existing pharmacological interventions. We then discuss greenspace benefits for CV health from ecological to multilevel studies and a few existing experimental studies. Furthermore, we review the relationship between greenspace and inflammation, and we highlight forest bathing in Asian-based studies while presenting existing research gaps in the US literature. Then, we use the socioecological model of health to present an expanded conceptual framework to help fill this US literature gap. Lastly, we present a way forward, including implications for translational science and a brief discussion on necessities for virtual nature and/or exposure to nature images due to the increasing human-nature disconnect; we also offer guidance for greenspace research in cardio-oncology to improve CV health outcomes among cancer survivors.

Associations of Social Vulnerability Index With Pathologic Myocardial Findings at Autopsy

Background: Social vulnerability is an important determinant of cardiovascular health. Prior investigations have shown strong associations of social determinants of health with cardiovascular risk factors, imaging findings, and clinical events. However, limited data exist regarding the potential role of social vulnerability and related physiologic stressors on tissue-level pathology. Methods: We analyzed clinical data and linked autopsy reports from 853 decedent individuals who underwent autopsy from 4/6/2002 to 4/1/2021 at a large urban medical center. The mean age at death was 62.9 (SD = 15.6) and 49% of decedent individuals were men. The primary exposure was census-tract level composite social vulnerability index based on the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Social Vulnerability Index (SVI). Individuals were geocoded to census tracts and assigned SVI accordingly. Four myocardial tissue-level outcomes from autopsy were recorded as present or absent: any coronary atherosclerosis, severe/obstructive coronary atherosclerosis, myocardial fibrosis, and/or myopericardial inflammation. Multivariable-adjusted logistic regression models were constructed with SVI as the primary exposure and covariates including age, sex, race, body mass index (BMI), diabetes, and hypertension. Additional analyses were performed stratified by clinical diagnoses of heart failure (HF) and coronary artery disease (CAD). Results: In the overall cohort, SVI was not associated with outcomes on cardiac pathology in multivariable-adjusted models. However, in stratified multivariable-adjusted analyses, higher SVI (higher social vulnerability) was associated with a higher odds of myocardial fibrosis among individuals without clinical diagnoses of HF. Conclusions: Higher indices of social vulnerability are associated with a higher odds of myocardial fibrosis at autopsy among individuals without known clinical diagnoses of HF. Potential pathophysiological mechanisms and implications for prevention/treatment of myocardial dysfunction require further study.

Heart Failure in Chronic Infectious and Inflammatory Conditions: Mechanistic Insights from Clinical Heterogeneity

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

The balance between inflammation and its resolution plays an important and increasingly appreciated role in heart failure (HF) pathogenesis. In humans, different chronic inflammatory conditions and immune-inflammatory responses to infection can lead to diverse HF manifestations. Reviewing the phenotypic and mechanistic diversity of these HF presentations offers useful clinical and scientific insights.

RECENT FINDINGS

HF risk is increased in patients with chronic inflammatory and autoimmune disorders and relates to disease severity. Inflammatory condition-specific HF manifestations exist and underlying pathophysiologic causes may differ across conditions. Although inflammatory disease-specific presentations of HF differ, chronic excess in inflammation and auto-inflammation relative to resolution of this inflammation is a common underlying contributor to HF. Further studies are needed to phenotypically refine inflammatory condition-specific HF pathophysiologies and prognoses, as well as potential targets for intervention.

Changes in proportionate cardiovascular mortality in patients with chronic infectious and inflammatory conditions in the United States, 1999-2018

Treatment options for several chronic infectious and inflammatory conditions have expanded in recent years. This may have implications for evolving competing risks for chronic inflammation-associated comorbidities, including cardiovascular diseases (CVDs). Yet sparse data exist on patterns over time in cardiovascular mortality for chronic infectious and inflammatory conditions. We used data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 1999–2018 Multiple Causes of Death database to investigate patterns in CVD mortality from January 1, 1999 to December 31, 2018 in several infectious and inflammatory conditions. Specifically, we determined age-adjusted proportionate CVD mortality separately for patients with the following conditions (as well as the general population): hepatitis C virus (HCV), human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), inflammatory bowel diseases (IBD), psoriasis (PSO), rheumatoid arthritis (RA), and systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). Proportionate CVD mortality differed significantly in 1999 and 2018 for each condition compared with the general population (p < 0.0001). Proportionate CVD mortality decreased steadily in the general population (40.9 to 30.6%) but increased for patients with HCV (7.0 to 10.2%) and HIV (1.9 to 6.7%). For IBD, PSO, RA, and SLE, proportionate CVD mortality initially decreased followed by plateauing or increasing rates. Underlying disease-specific pathophysiologies, changes in natural history, and competing risks of chronic end-organ diseases contributing to these differences merit further study.

Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction: An alternative paradigm to explain the clinical implications of atrial fibrillation

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with exercise intolerance, stroke, and all-cause mortality. However, whether this can be solely attributable to the arrhythmia itself or alternative mechanisms remains controversial. Heart failure with preserved ejection (HFpEF) commonly coexists with AF and may contribute to the poor outcomes associated with AF. Indeed, several invasive hemodynamic studies have confirmed that patients with AF are at increased risk of underlying HFpEF and that the presence of HFpEF may have important prognostic implications in these patients.

Mechanistically, AF and HFpEF are closely linked. Both conditions are driven by the presence of common cardiovascular risk factors and are associated with left atrial (LA) myopathy, characterized by mechanical and electrical dysfunction. Progressive worsening of this left atrial (LA) myopathy is associated with both increased AF burden and worsening HFpEF. In addition, there is growing evidence to suggest that worsening LA myopathy is associated with poorer outcomes in both conditions and that reversal of the LA myopathy could improve outcomes. In this review article, we will present the epidemiologic and mechanistic evidence underlying the common coexistence of AF and HFpEF, discuss the importance of a progressive LA myopathy in the pathogenesis of both conditions, and review the evidence from important invasive hemodynamic studies. Finally, we will review the prognostic implications of HFpEF in patients with AF and discuss the relative merits of AF burden reduction vs HFpEF reduction in improving outcomes of patients with AF and HFpEF.

Comparative Risk of Incident Coronary Heart Disease Across Chronic Inflammatory Diseases

Background: Chronic inflammatory diseases (CIDs) are considered risk enhancing factors for coronary heart disease (CHD). However, sparse data exist regarding relative CHD risks across CIDs. Objective: Determine relative differences in CHD risk across multiple CIDs: psoriasis, rheumatoid arthritis (RA), systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), systemic sclerosis (SSc), and inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). Methods: The cohort included patients with CIDs and controls without CID in an urban medical system from 2000 to 2019. Patients with CIDs were frequency-matched with non-CID controls on demographics, hypertension, and diabetes. CHD was defined as myocardial infarction (MI), ischemic heart disease, and/or coronary revascularization based on validated administrative codes. Multivariable-adjusted Cox models were used to determine the risk of incident CHD and MI for each CID relative to non-CID controls. In secondary analyses, we compared CHD risk by disease severity within each CID. Results: Of 17,049 patients included for analysis, 619 had incident CHD (202 MI) over an average of 4.4 years of follow-up. The multivariable-adjusted risk of CHD was significantly higher for SLE [hazard ratio (HR) 1.9, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.2, 3.2] and SSc (HR 2.1, 95% CI 1.2, 3.9). Patients with SLE also had a significantly higher risk of MI (HR 3.6, 95% CI 1.9, 6.8). When CIDs were categorized by markers of disease severity (C-reactive protein for all CIDs except HIV, for which CD4 T cell count was used), greater disease severity was associated with higher CHD risk across CIDs. Conclusions: Patients with SLE and SSc have a higher risk of CHD. CHD risk with HIV, RA, psoriasis, and IBD may only be elevated in those with greater disease severity. Clinicians should personalize CHD risk and treatment based on type and severity of CID.

Inflammatory bowel disease and cardiovascular diseases: a concise review

Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) remain the leading cause of morbidity and mortality despite aggressive treatment of traditional risk factors. Chronic inflammation plays an important role in the initiation and progression of CVDs. Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) is a systemic state of inflammation exhibiting increased levels of pro-inflammatory cytokines including tumour necrosis factor-α (TNF-α), interleukin (IL)-1β, and IL-6. Importantly, IBD is associated with increased risk for CVDs especially in women and young adults, including coronary artery disease, stroke, thromboembolic diseases, and arrhythmias. Potential mechanisms underlying the increased risk for CVDs in IBD patients include increased levels of inflammatory cytokines and oxidative stress, altered platelet function, hypercoagulability, decreased numbers of circulating endothelial progenitor cells, endothelial dysfunction, and possible interruption of gut microbiota. Although IBD does not appear to exacerbate the traditional risk factors for CVDs, including hypertension, hyperlipidaemia, diabetes mellitus, and obesity, aggressive risk stratifications are important for primary and secondary prevention of CVDs for IBD patients. Compared to 5-aminosalicylates and corticosteroids, anti-TNF-α therapy in IBD patients was consistently associated with decreasing cardiovascular events. In the absence of contraindications, low-dose aspirin and statins appear to be beneficial for IBD patients. Low-molecular-weight heparin is also recommended for patients who are hospitalized with acute IBD flares without major bleeding risk. A multidisciplinary team approach should be considered for the management of IBD patients.

Long-Term Trajectories of Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction in Patients With Chronic Inflammatory Diseases and Heart Failure: An Analysis of Electronic Health Records

BACKGROUND

Immune regulation and inflammation play a role in the pathogenesis and progression of acute and chronic heart failure (HF). Although the clinical course of acute, severe inflammatory cardiomyopathy is well described, the effects of chronic systemic inflammation on cardiovascular function over time are less clear. To investigate this question, we compared trajectories over time in left ventricular ejection fraction for patients with HF with different chronic inflammatory diseases (CIDs): HIV, systemic lupus erythematosus, systemic sclerosis, rheumatoid arthritis, inflammatory bowel disease, and/or psoriasis.

METHODS

Using a database of patients receiving care in a large metropolitan health care system since January 1, 2000, we analyzed serial, clinically indicated echocardiograms from patients with HF with CIDs and frequency-matched patients with HF without CIDs. We included patients with ≥3 serial echocardiograms (N=974; median 6.1 years between first and most recent echo). We assessed left ventricular ejection fraction trajectories over time using latent trajectory models, then investigated differences in left ventricular ejection fraction trajectories for specific CID subtypes compared with controls.

RESULTS

Overall, the majority of patients studied (N=687; 70.5%) had left ventricular ejection fraction trajectories consistent with HF with preserved or midrange EF, whereas 255 (26.2%) had HF with reduced EF and 32 (3.3%) had HF with recovered EF. Compared with non-CID controls with HF, patients with rheumatoid arthritis, inflammatory bowel disease, and systemic lupus erythematosus were significantly more likely than controls to have HF with preserved or midrange EF whereas patients with HIV were significantly more likely to have HF with reduced EF.

CONCLUSIONS

Among patients with HF with CIDs, distinct left ventricular ejection fraction trajectory patterns associate with different specific individual CIDs. This highlights the heterogeneity of HF subtypes and changes over time across different CIDs.

Disparity in the Setting of Incident Heart Failure Diagnosis

BACKGROUND

Early heart failure (HF) recognition can reduce morbidity, yet HF is often initially diagnosed only after a patient clinically worsens. We sought to identify characteristics that predict diagnosis in the acute care setting versus the outpatient setting.

METHODS

We estimated the proportion of incident HF diagnosed in the acute care setting (inpatient hospital or emergency department) versus outpatient setting based on diagnostic codes from a claims database covering commercial insurance and Medicare Advantage between 2003 and 2019. After excluding new-onset HF potentially caused by a concurrent acute cause (eg, acute myocardial infarction), we identified demographic, clinical, and socioeconomic predictors of diagnosis setting. Patients were linked to their primary care clinicians to evaluate diagnosis setting variation across clinicians.

RESULTS

Of 959 438 patients with new HF, 38% were diagnosed in acute care. Of these, 46% had potential HF symptoms in the prior 6 months. Over time, the relative odds of acute care diagnosis increased by 3.2% annually after adjustment for patient characteristics (95% CI, 3.1%-3.3%). Acute care diagnosis setting was more likely for women compared with men (adjusted odds ratio, 1.11 [95% CI, 1.10-1.12]) and for Black patients compared with White patients (adjusted odds ratio, 1.18 [95% CI, 1.16-1.19]). The proportion of acute care diagnosis varied substantially (interquartile range: 24%-39%) among clinicians after adjusting for patient-level risk factors.

CONCLUSIONS

A large proportion of first HF diagnoses occur in the acute care setting, particularly among women and Black patients, yet many had potential HF symptoms in the months before acute care visits. These results raise concerns that many HF diagnoses are missed in the outpatient setting. Earlier diagnosis could allow for timelier high-value interventions, addressing disparities and reducing the progression of HF.

Assessment of Subclinical Left Ventricular Systolic Dysfunction and Structural Changes in Patients with Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease

BACKGROUND

Patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) can develop left ventricular (LV) systolic dysfunction and geometric changes due to several reasons. We investigated subclinical LV systolic dysfunction and structural features in patients with COPD, and its correlation with the severity of airway obstruction, identified by GOLD classification.

METHODS

We studied 52 patients with COPD and 29 age and sex-matched controls, without any cardiac disease. In addition to conventional echocardiographic evaluation speckle tracking echocardiography (STE) based strain imaging were performed to analyze sub-clinical LV systolic dysfunction. Also LV volumes were measured by using three dimensional real time echocardiography (3DRTE). All patients underwent spirometry.

RESULTS

Conventional echocardiographic parameters (LV wall thickness and diameters, LV EF) and LV volume measurements were similar between the groups. LV global longitudinal peak systolic strain (-14.76 ± 2.69% to -20.27 ± 1.41%, p < 0.001) and strain rate (0.75 ± 0.25 1/s to 1.31 ± 0.41 1/s, p < 0.001) were significantly impaired in patients, compared to controls demonstrating sub-clinical ventricular systolic dysfunction. Significant positive correlation was obtained between LV strain/strain rate and spirometry parameters (FEV 1, FEV%, FEV 1/ FVC, PEF %) (r = 0.78/0,68, p < 0.001; r = 0,83/0.70, p < 0.001); r = 0.74/0.55, p < 0.001; r = 0.72/0.65, p < 0.001, respectively). In addition, there was significant negative correlation between LV strain/strain rate and GOLD classification (r = -0.80/ -0.69, p < 0.001, respectively).

CONCLUSION

Subclinical LV systolic dysfunction can occur in COPD patients despite normal EF. STE is a technique that provides additional information for detailed evaluation of subtle changes in LV myocardial contractility, significantly associated with the severity of the disease in COPD patients. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

From Systemic Inflammation to Myocardial Fibrosis: The Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction Paradigm Revisited

In accordance with the comorbidity-inflammation paradigm, comorbidities and especially metabolic comorbidities are presumed to drive development and severity of heart failure with preserved ejection fraction through a cascade of events ranging from systemic inflammation to myocardial fibrosis. Recently, novel experimental and clinical evidence emerged, which strengthens the validity of the inflammatory/profibrotic paradigm. This evidence consists among others of (1) myocardial infiltration by immunocompetent cells not only because of an obesity-induced metabolic load but also because of an arterial hypertension-induced hemodynamic load. The latter is sensed by components of the extracellular matrix like basal laminin, which also interact with cardiomyocyte titin; (2) expression in cardiomyocytes of inducible nitric oxide synthase because of circulating proinflammatory cytokines. This results in myocardial accumulation of degraded proteins because of a failing unfolded protein response; (3) definition by machine learning algorithms of phenogroups of patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction with a distinct inflammatory/profibrotic signature; (4) direct coupling in mediation analysis between comorbidities, inflammatory biomarkers, and deranged myocardial structure/function with endothelial expression of adhesion molecules already apparent in early preclinical heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HF stage A, B). This new evidence paves the road for future heart failure with preserved ejection fraction treatments such as biologicals directed against inflammatory cytokines, stimulation of protein ubiquitylation with phosphodiesterase 1 inhibitors, correction of titin stiffness through natriuretic peptide-particulate guanylyl cyclase-PDE9 (phosphodiesterase 9) signaling and molecular/cellular regulatory mechanisms that control myocardial fibrosis.

Human Immunodeficiency Virus Infection and Incident Heart Failure: A Meta-Analysis of Prospective Studies

OBJECTIVES

To systematically analyze available prospective evidence on the association between HIV infection and incident heart failure (HF).

METHODS

A systematic search of PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science, and manual search of relevant articles through June 1st, 2020, was conducted. Two authors independently performed full-text assessments and data extraction. The pooled relative risk with 95% confidence interval was estimated using DerSimonian and Laird random-effects models, with inverse-variance fixed-effects meta-analysis used as a sensitivity analysis. Heterogeneity was explored using subgroup analyses and meta-regressions.

RESULTS

We included 8 reports among 8,848,569 participants with 101,335 incident cases of HF [1941 among 131,632 people living with HIV (PLWH) and 99,394 among 8,716,937 control participants]. In the overall analysis using a random-effect model, HIV infection was positively associated with incident HF [relative risk, 1.80 (95% confidence interval: 1.51 to 2.15)], although with significant heterogeneity. A similar association was observed with a fixed-effects model, 1.59 (1.50 to 1.68). In subgroup analyses, associations between HIV infection and HF were nominally stronger in younger adults (age < 50 years), women, and individuals with low CD4 count (<200 cells/mm3). Publication bias was suggested from visual examination of funnel plots, correcting for this did not abolish the association, 1.52 (1.25 to 1.85).

CONCLUSIONS

Our meta-analysis provides additional evidence that HIV is associated with an increased risk of HF, particularly among younger adults, women, and individuals with low CD4 count.

Inflammatory markers and incident heart failure in older men: the role of NT-proBNP

Aim:

To determine the relationship between baseline inflammation (CRP and IL-6) with natriuretic peptide (NP) activity (measured by NT-proBNP) and incident heart failure (HF) in older men.

Methods & results:

In the British Regional Heart Study, 3569 men without prevalent myocardial infarction or HF were followed for mean 16.3 years; 327 developed HF. Baseline CRP and IL-6 were significantly and positively associated with NT-proBNP. Those in the highest CRP and IL-6 quartiles had an elevated risk of HF after age and BMI adjustment (HR = 1.42 [1.01–1.98] and 1.71 [1.24–2.37], respectively), which markedly attenuated after NT-proBNP adjustment (HR = 1.15 [0.81–1.63] and 1.25 [0.89–1.75], respectively).

Conclusion:

NP activity is associated with pro-inflammatory biomarkers and may explain the link between inflammation and incident HF.

Inflammation describes the body’s natural response to infections, injuries and toxins. Inflammation is a helpful response in the short term, but it is thought that long-lasting inflammation – for example, due to illnesses such as diabetes or obesity – may have harmful effects. Previous studies have found that people with higher levels of inflammatory molecules in the blood seem to be more likely to develop heart failure (HF) later on. The amount of fluid in the body is controlled, in part, by molecules in the blood known as ‘natriuretic peptides' (NPs). People with HF have much higher levels of NPs in their blood, and these are used to help diagnose HF. There are suggestions that inflammation and natriuretic peptides are linked to one another. Using a sample of men aged 60–79 years, who did not have HF, we compared blood markers of inflammation and NPs at a baseline examination. Men with higher blood inflammatory markers tended to have higher blood NP levels. We then followed these men up for an average of 16.3 years. Men with higher blood inflammatory markers at baseline were more likely to develop HF, as expected, even after accounting for differences in age and BMI. However, when we accounted for NP levels at baseline, the increased risk of HF with inflammation disappeared. This suggests that NP activity is important in the relationship between inflammation and the risk of HF. Future studies should account for this when examining the link. It is possible that NPs or, more likely, whatever is driving their release, may explain why people with inflammation are more likely to get HF.

Risk-Based Approach for the Prediction and Prevention of Heart Failure

Targeted prevention of heart failure (HF) remains a critical need given the high prevalence of HF morbidity and mortality. Similar to risk-based prevention of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, optimal HF prevention strategies should include quantification of risk in the individual patient. In this review, we discuss incorporation of a quantitative risk-based approach into the existing HF staging landscape and the clinical opportunity that exists to translate available data on risk estimation to help guide personalized decision making. We first summarize the recent development of key HF risk prediction tools that can be applied broadly at a population level to estimate risk of incident HF. Next, we provide an in-depth description of the clinical utility of biomarkers to personalize risk estimation in select patients at the highest risk of developing HF. We also discuss integration of genomics-enhanced approaches (eg, Titin [TTN]) and other risk-enhancing features to reclassify risk with a precision medicine approach to HF prevention. Although sequential testing is very likely to identify low and high-risk individuals with excellent accuracy, whether or not interventions based on these risk models prevent HF in clinical practice requires prompt attention including randomized placebo-controlled trials of candidate therapies in risk-enriched populations. We conclude with a summary of unanswered questions and gaps in evidence that must be addressed to move the field of HF risk assessment forward.

Immune Dysregulation in Myocardial Fibrosis, Steatosis, and Heart Failure: Current Insights from HIV and the General Population

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

HIV is an independent risk factor for heart failure (HF). Cardiac imaging studies in people with HIV (PWH) have identified myocardial pathologies, namely fibrosis and steatosis, that likely contribute to the higher risk of HF. In this review, we survey existing epidemiological, clinical, and mechanistic literature to identify potential pathways that may contribute to the burden of myocardial fibrosis and steatosis among PWH.

RECENT FINDINGS

Multiple cohort studies over the past 20 years have demonstrated a roughly 2-fold higher risk of incident HF in PWH, as well as a disproportionate burden of myocardial fibrosis and steatosis in PWH without HF. Both myocardial fibrosis and steatosis are known contributors to HF in adults without HIV. Pathways involving the NLRP3 inflammasome, TGF-β1, and adipocyte dysfunction are known to play a crucial role in the development of myocardial fibrosis and steatosis. Upregulation of these pathways in HIV due to direct effects of viral proteins, persistent immune dysregulation, gut epithelial breakdown and dysbiosis, and toxicities from antiretroviral therapy may contribute to myocardial dysfunction in HIV. Understanding these pathways may lead to more precise diagnostic and therapeutic targets to curb HF in PWH. During the past three decades, observational and mechanistic studies have provided important insights into risk factors and pathways that may contribute to the increased HF risk in PWH. Future work is needed to characterize these pathways more precisely in mechanistic studies of PWH, with the goal of ultimately deriving valuable targets for prevention, early diagnosis, and treatment of HF in PWH.

COVID-19 myocarditis and prospective heart failure burden

Introduction: COVID-19 is causing considerable morbidity and mortality worldwide. Serious respiratory complications aside, the heart is also frequently involved. The mechanisms and the extent of the myocardial injury, along with the short and long-term cardiovascular (CV) outcomes in COVID-19 survivors remain unclear. Areas covered: myocardial injury has been found in a considerable proportion of hospitalized COVID-19 patients and is associated with a worse prognosis. The late onset of CV complications with myocarditis-like changes revealed by CMR has been reported in COVID-19 survivors. Previous observational studies on viral myocarditis provide evidence of a significant incomplete recovery with residual dysfunction and remodeling of left ventricle. Incomplete recovery is thought to be the result of persistent myocardial inflammation due to a post-viral autoimmune response. Considering the significant inflammatory nature of COVID-19, COVID-19 survivors may be at risk of developing persistent residual myocardial injury, the sequelae of which are unclear. Expert commentary: COVID-19 is an emerging threat for the heart. The extent of CV injury, along with the short and long-term sequelae, requires further investigation. The early detection of residual myocardial changes in COVID-19 survivors is of utmost importance in order to identify those patients at risk of CV complication development.

Predictive Accuracy of Heart Failure-Specific Risk Equations in an Electronic Health Record-Based Cohort

BACKGROUND

Guidelines recommend identification of individuals at risk for heart failure (HF). However, implementation of risk-based prevention strategies requires validation of HF-specific risk scores in diverse, real-world cohorts. Therefore, our objective was to assess the predictive accuracy of the Pooled Cohort Equations to Prevent HF within a primary prevention cohort derived from the electronic health record.

METHODS

We retrospectively identified patients between the ages of 30 to 79 years in a multi-center integrated healthcare system, free of cardiovascular disease, with available data on HF risk factors, and at least 5 years of follow-up. We applied the Pooled Cohort Equations to Prevent HF tool to calculate sex and race-specific 5-year HF risk estimates. Incident HF was defined by the International Classification of Diseases codes. We assessed model discrimination and calibration, comparing predicted and observed rates for incident HF.

RESULTS

Among 31 256 eligible adults, mean age was 51.4 years, 57% were women and 11% Black. Incident HF occurred in 568 patients (1.8%) over 5-year follow-up. The modified Pooled Cohort Equations to Prevent HF model for 5-year risk prediction of HF had excellent discrimination in White men (C-statistic 0.82 [95% CI, 0.79-0.86]) and women (0.82 [0.78-0.87]) and adequate discrimination in Black men (0.69 [0.60-0.78]) and women (0.69 [0.52-0.76]). Calibration was fair in all race-sex subgroups (χ²<20).

CONCLUSIONS

A novel sex- and race-specific risk score predicts incident HF in a real-world, electronic health record-based cohort. Integration of HF risk into the electronic health record may allow for risk-based discussion, enhanced surveillance, and targeted preventive interventions to reduce the public health burden of HF.