Declining Long-term Risk of Adverse Events after First-time Community-presenting Venous Thromboembolism: The Population-based Worcester VTE Study (1999 to 2009)

Prediction of Venous Thromboembolism in Diverse Populations Using Machine Learning and Structured Electronic Health Records

BACKGROUND

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a major cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. Current risk assessment tools, such as the Caprini and Padua scores and Wells criteria, have limitations in their applicability and accuracy. This study aimed to develop machine learning models using structured electronic health record data to predict diagnosis and 1-year risk of VTE.

METHODS

We trained and validated models on data from 159 001 participants in the Mount Sinai Data Warehouse. We then externally tested them on 401 723 participants in the UK Biobank and 123 039 participants in All of Us. All data sets contain populations of diverse ancestries and clinical histories. We used these data sets to develop small, medium, and large models with increasing features on a range of optimizing portability to maximizing performance. We make trained models publicly available in click-and-run format at https://doi.org/10.17632/tkwzysr4y6.6.

RESULTS

In the holdout and external test sets, respectively, models achieved areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.80 to 0.83 and 0.72 to 0.82 for VTE diagnosis prediction and 0.76 to 0.78 and 0.64 to 0.69 for 1-year risk prediction, significantly outperforming the Padua score. Models also demonstrated robust performance across different VTE types and patient subsets, including ethnicity, age, and surgical and hospitalization status. Models identified both established and novel clinical features contributing to VTE risk, offering valuable insights into its underlying pathophysiology.

CONCLUSIONS

Machine learning models using structured electronic health record data can significantly improve VTE diagnosis and 1-year risk prediction in diverse populations. Model probability scores exist on a continuum, affecting mortality risk in both healthy individuals and VTE cases. Integrating these models into electronic health record systems to generate real-time predictions may enhance VTE risk assessment, early detection, and preventative measures, ultimately reducing the morbidity and mortality associated with VTE.

The external jugular vein is a feasible and safe alternative access for retrieval of inferior vena cava filter

PURPOSE

The purpose is to analyze whether the external jugular vein (EJV) is a feasible and safe alternative access for the retrieval IVCFs designed for the jugular approach.

METHODS

This study was designed as a nonrandomized, controlled study. The patients were divided into two groups: the IJV or EJV access groups. All operations were performed by the vascular surgery team. The main outcome was the technical success rate. The secondary outcomes included (1) the IVCF retrieval rate; (2) the time required to puncture the access vein (min); (3) the number of punctures required for access, and other aspects.

RESULTS

A total of 119 patients were recruited for IVCF retrieval. Seventeen patients refused to join this trial, leaving 58 patients in the IJV group and 44 patients in the EJV group. In the IJV group, technical success was not achieved in one patient who started in the EJV group and was transferred to the IJV group. There was no significant difference in age, comorbidities, or technical success rate between the two groups. Significant differences were observed in puncture time (min), number of punctures, and inadvertent puncture of the carotid artery. All of the patients were discharged 1 or 2 days after the operation.

CONCLUSION

EJV is safe and feasible alternative access for the retrieval of IVCFs that are designed for jugular approaches.

Incidence and Predictors of Recurrence and Mortality Following First Venous Thromboembolism Among the Saudi Population: Single-Center Cohort Study

Background

Little is written about recurrence and mortality rates after a first episode of venous thromboembolism (VTE) among Saudi population.

Aim

Determine incidence rates and assess predictors of recurrence and mortality following the first VTE event.

Patients and Methods

A total of 1124 patients aged ≥18 years with symptomatic VTE confirmed by imaging tests were evaluated. The incidence of VTE recurrence and mortality were assessed. The association between patient characteristics, and VTE recurrence and mortality was explored by estimating the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI). The difference between cancer-related, provoked and unprovoked VTE in terms of recurrence and mortality was explored using Kaplan–Meier curves.

Results

The annual incidence rate of the first VTE was 1.7 per 1000 patients. Of 1124 patients with first VTE, 214 (19%) developed recurrent VTE, and 192 (17%) died with overall incidence rates of 15.8 per 100 person-years (95% CI, 13.8–18.0) and 10.0 per 100 person-years (95% CI, 8.7–11.5). Intensive care unit (ICU) admission (HR, 2.15; 95% CI, 1.67–3.10), presence of active cancer (HR, 2.97; 95% CI, 1.87–3.95), immobilization (HR, 2.52; 95% CI, 1.79–3.67), infection (HR, 2.32; 95% CI, 1.94–3.45), and pulmonary embolism ± deep venous thrombosis (HR, 2.22; 95% CI, 1.56–3.16) were found to be independent predictors of recurrent VTE. Recurrence carries a high hazard of mortality (HR, 5.21; 95% CI, 3.61–7.51). The estimated median time to VTE recurrence was lower in cancer-related VTE (18.7 months) compared with provoked (29.0 months) and unprovoked VTE (28.4 months). The estimated survival median time was lower in cancer-related VTE (21.8 months) compared with provoked (30.5 months) and unprovoked VTE (29.8 months).

Conclusion

Immobilization and presence of active cancer, infection, and PE ± DVT were significant predictors of recurrent VTE. Patients who developed recurrent VTE had a 5.2-fold higher hazard of mortality compared with patients with no VTE recurrence.

The Evaluation of Hemostatic Abnormalities Using a CWA-Small Amount Tissue Factor Induced FIX Activation Assay in Major Orthopedic Surgery Patients

We analyzed the utility for a clot waveform analysis (CWA) of small tissue factor induced FIX activation (sTF/FIXa) assay in patients with major orthopedic surgery (including total hip arthroplasty [THA] and total knee arthroplasty [TKA]) receiving edoxaban for the prevention of venous thromboembolism (VTE). The sTF/FIXa assay using recombinant human TF in platelet-rich plasma (PRP) and platelet-poor plasma (PPP) was performed using a CWA in the above patients to monitor the efficacy of edoxaban administration. Of 147 patients (109 THA and 38 TKA), 21 exhibited deep vein thrombosis (DVT), and 15 had massive bleeding. Increased peak heights of the CWA-sTF/FIX were observed in almost patients after surgery and prolonged peak heights of the CWA-sTF/FIX were observed in almost patients treated with edoxaban. The peak heights and times of the CWA-sTF/FIX were significantly higher and shorter, respectively, in PRP than in PPP. There were no significant differences in parameters of the CWA-sTF/FIXa between the patients with and without DVT or between those with and without massive bleeding. The peak time of CWA-sTF/FIXa were significantly longer in TKA patients than in THA patients on day 1 after surgery. The second derivative peak height of the CWA-sTF/FIXa was significantly lower in TKA patients than in THA patients on day 4. The CWA-sTF/FIX reflected hemostatic abnormalities after surgery and the administration of edoxaban, and the results were better in PRP than PPP. Further studies separately analyzing the THA and TKA subgroups should be conducted.

Once-daily vs. twice-daily dosing of enoxaparin for the management of venous thromboembolism: A systematic review and meta-analysis

The present study aimed to determine whether there is any difference in the efficacy and safety of once-daily vs. twice-daily enoxaparin when used for the initial treatment of venous thromboembolism (VTE). The PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, Science Direct and Google Scholar databases were searched for studies comparing once-daily and twice-daily enoxaparin for the initial treatment of VTE added from inception up to 1st October 2019. Studies utilizing any other low-molecular-weight heparin and using enoxaparin for VTE prophylaxis were excluded. A total of 6 studies were included in the systematic review and 5 in the meta-analysis. Only one study was a randomized controlled trial (RCT). Pooled analysis of 460 patients receiving once-daily enoxaparin and 464 patients receiving twice-daily enoxaparin indicated no significant difference between the two dosing regimens regarding VTE recurrence [odds ratio (OR)=1.48, 95%CI: 0.75-2.89, P=0.26; I²=0%]. No significant difference in major hemorrhagic complications was noted (OR=1.21, 95%CI: 0.52-2.81, P=0.66; I²=0%). Sub-group analysis based on study type and use of enoxaparin for bridging therapy did not change the overall results. In cancer patients, no statistically significant difference in the recurrence of VTE was obtained between once-daily and twice-daily enoxaparin, but the confidence intervals were wide with a tendency to favor twice-daily dosing (OR=2.28, 95%CI: 0.91-5.75, P=0.08; I²=0%). The overall quality of the studies was determined to be average. To conclude, while the present results suggested no significant difference in efficacy and safety of once-daily vs. twice-daily enoxaparin when used for the initial treatment of VTE, the quality of the evidence may not have been sufficiently high to support the conclusions with confidence. Further high-quality and adequately powered RCTs are required to corroborate the present results.

Vascular Teams in Peripheral Vascular Disease

Peripheral vascular disease affects millions of individuals worldwide, and results in significant morbidity and mortality. The complex nature of the disease, the presence of multiple comorbidities, and the existence of a wide variety of therapeutic options suggests that a multidisciplinary approach to treatment has the potential to improve care of these patients. The success of the heart team for complex coronary artery and structural heart disease could serve as a model for the efficient and effective management of patients with peripheral vascular disease. In this paper, the authors propose a multidisciplinary vascular team approach for the treatment of critical limb ischemia, pulmonary embolism, acute ischemic stroke, and acute aortic syndromes. The successful implementation of such vascular teams has the potential to significantly enhance quality of care, improve clinical outcomes, and reduce costs. Prospective evaluation is warranted to determine how to best integrate this approach into routine clinical care.

Treatment and Outcomes of Acute Pulmonary Embolism and Deep Venous Thrombosis: The CVRN VTE Study

BACKGROUND

Few studies describe both inpatient and outpatient treatment and outcomes of patients with acute venous thromboembolism in the United States.

METHODS

A multi-institutional cohort of patients diagnosed with confirmed pulmonary embolism or deep venous thrombosis during the years 2004 through 2010 was established from 4 large, US-based integrated health care delivery systems. Computerized databases were accessed and medical records reviewed to collect information on patient demographics, clinical risk factors, initial antithrombotic treatment, and vital status. Multivariable Cox regression models were used to estimate the risk of death at 90 days.

RESULTS

The cohort comprised 5497 adults with acute venous thromboembolism. Pulmonary embolism was predominantly managed in the hospital setting (95.0%), while 54.5% of patients with lower extremity thrombosis were treated as outpatients. Anticoagulant treatment differed according to thromboembolism type: 2688 patients (92.8%) with pulmonary embolism and 1625 patients (86.9%) with lower extremity thrombosis were discharged on anticoagulants, compared with 286 patients (80.1%) with upper extremity thrombosis and 69 (54.8%) patients with other thrombosis. While 4.5% of patients died during the index episode, 15.4% died within 90 days. Pulmonary embolism was associated with a higher 90-day death risk than lower extremity thrombosis (adjusted hazard ratio 1.23; 95% confidence interval, 1.04-1.47), as was not being discharged on anticoagulants (adjusted hazard ratio 5.56; 95% confidence interval, 4.76-6.67).

CONCLUSIONS

In this multicenter, community-based study of patients with acute venous thromboembolism, anticoagulant treatment and outcomes varied by thromboembolism type. Although case fatality during the acute episode was relatively low, 15.4% of people with thromboembolism died within 90 days of the index diagnosis.

Discretionary Thrombophilia Test Acquisition and Outcomes in Patients With Venous Thromboembolism in a Real-World Clinical Setting

Background The value of thrombophilia test acquisition in improving risk prediction beyond clinical presentation remains unknown. We investigated the effect of thrombophilia test acquisition on venous thromboembolism (VTE) outcomes. Methods and Results We performed a retrospective cohort study of adult patients over a 15-year period (September 2001 and May 2016) with first diagnosis of VTE in a single academic medical center. Participants were identified by International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision (ICD-9), Current Procedural Terminology (CPT) codes and medication history. Participants with thrombophilia testing were matched to control participants without thrombophilia testing using a propensity model. Primary outcomes included recurrent VTE, anticoagulant use 12 months after the index VTE event, bleeding-related hospitalization, and death. From 3590 unique patients who met the inclusion criteria, 747 participants with VTE who underwent thrombophilia testing were matched to a control participant without testing. Tested participants were more likely to have a recurrent event (46.1% versus 28.5%; P<0.001) and an anticoagulant prescription 12 months from the index event (53.9% versus 37.1%; P<0.001) but had no significant difference in bleeding-related hospitalization (11.4% versus 11.8%; P=0.81) compared with untested participants. An abnormal thrombophilia test result, per se, did not predict recurrent VTE (47.8% versus 44.1%; P=0.13), longer duration anticoagulation (53.2% versus 54.8%; P=0.51), bleeding (11.5% versus 11.3%; P=0.70), or mortality (12.2% versus 16.1%; P=0.18) compared with participants who had normal test results. Conclusions The decision to perform thrombophilia testing, but not the test result, is associated with a high risk of recurrent VTE despite a greater likelihood of long-duration anticoagulation.

National and Regional Trends in Deep Vein Thrombosis Hospitalization Rates, Discharge Disposition, and Outcomes for Medicare Beneficiaries

INTRODUCTION

Older adults are at increased risk of developing deep vein thrombosis. Little is known about national trends of deep vein thrombosis hospitalizations in the context of primary and secondary prevention efforts.

METHODS

Medicare standard analytic files were analyzed from 2015-2017 to identify Fee-For-Service patients aged ≥65 years who had a principal discharge diagnosis for deep vein thrombosis from 1999 to 2010. We reported the deep vein thrombosis hospitalization rates per 100,000 person-years as well as 30-day and 1-year mortality rates. We used mixed-effects models to calculate adjusted outcomes.

RESULTS

Overall, there were 726,423 deep vein thrombosis hospitalizations in Medicare Fee-for-Service from 1999 to 2010. Deep vein thrombosis hospitalization rate adjusted for age, sex, and race decreased from 264 per 100,000 person-years in 1999 to 167 per 100,000 person-years in 2010, a relative decline of 36.7% (P < .0001). Hospitalizations decreased for all subgroups by age, sex, and race with the exception of black patients (316 to 382 per 100,000 person-years, a relative increase of 20.8%) (P < .0001). Hospital length of stay decreased from 6.1 days in 1999 to 5.0 days in 2010, and the proportion of patients discharged to home decreased from 57.2% to 44.1%. Risk-adjusted 30-day, 6-month, and 1-year mortality and 30-day readmission rates remained relatively stable across the study period, but were highest among women in recent years.

CONCLUSIONS

The overall deep vein thrombosis hospitalization rate decreased from 1999 to 2010, except for black patients. Decreases in hospitalizations may reflect changes in clinical practice with increased outpatient rather than inpatient management, and faster transitions to outpatient care for management of deep vein thrombosis.

Current incidence of venous thromboembolism and comparison with 1998: a community-based study in Western France

In 1998 we estimated the incidence of venous thromboembolism (VTE) to be 1.8/1,000 per year. The aim of this study was to compare current VTE incidence to that observed in 1998. We prospectively recorded all cases of symptomatic pulmonary embolism (PE) and deep vein thrombosis (DVT) of the lower limbs diagnosed between March 1, 2013 and February 28, 2014 in hospitals and in the community, using the same method and geographic area than in 1998. The 2013 incidence rates of VTE were computed and compared with those of 1998 using age- and sex-specific standardised incidence ratios (SIRs). In 2013, we recorded 576 VTE cases (279 isolated DVT and 297 PE ± DVT). Among 367,911 inhabitants, the overall incidence of VTE was 1.57/1,000 (95 % CI 1.44–1.69). The overall VTE incidence was significantly lower in 2013 as compared with 1998: SIR 0.72 (95 % CI 0.67–0.79) as well as the incidence of isolated DVT: SIR 0.53 (95 % CI 0.47–0.60); conversely, the overall incidence of PE was unchanged: SIR 1.10 (95 % CI, 0.98–1.23) despite an increase in the incidence of isolated PE: SIR 1.29 (95 % CI, 1.10–1.52). In 1998, 4.4 % of PE cases were diagnosed using CTPA as compared with 73.7 % in 2013 (p < 0.001). In conclusion, between 1998 and 2013, the incidence of symptomatic DVT decreased. Conversely, we found no similar reduction in the incidence of symptomatic PE; whether this is due to changes in diagnostic tests and algorithms in the management of suspected PE requires further investigations.

Supplementary Material to this paper is available online at www.thrombosis-online.com.

IQCA-TAVV: To explore the effect of P-selectin, GPIIb/IIIa, IL-2, IL-6 and IL-8 on deep venous thrombosis

Deep vein thrombosis (DVT) associates with considerable morbidity, functional disability and mortality. Due to the lack of suitable inhibitor the correlation of various factors in DVT onset remains unknown. In this context we analyzed the structure of anti-platelet aggregation agent, P-selectin down-regulator, GPIIb/IIIa down-regulator and anti-inflammatory agent, thereby designed N-(3S-1,2,3,4-tetrahydroisoquinoline-3-carbonyl)- Thr-Ala-Arg-Gly-Asp(Val)-Val (IQCA-TAVV) as an inhibitor of DVT to receive evaluations. The docking predicted that IQCA-TAVV can target P-selectin and GPIIb/IIIa. The UV showed that IQCA-TAVV can act on P-selectin and GPIIb/IIIa. ELISA indicated that IQCA-TAVV concentration dependently inhibited activated platelets to express P-selectin and GPIIb/IIIa, and the minimal effective concentration was 1 nM. IC50 of IQCA-TAVV against platelet aggregation induced by arachidonic acid, adenosine diphosphate and platelet activating factor fell within a range of 0.13 nM to 0.30 nM. In vivo IQCA-TAVV dose-dependently inhibited venous thrombosis and the minimal effective dose was 1 nmol/kg. On ear edema model the anti-inflammation activity of 10 nmol/kg IQCA-TAVV equaled that of 1.1mmol/kg aspirin. The concentration of IL-2, IL-6 and IL-8 in the serum of the ear edema mice were also significantly decreased by 10 nmol/kg IQCA-TAVV. Even at 1 μmol/kg of dose IQCA-TAVV still did not injure the kidney, the liver, and the nerves of healthy mice. Thereby IQCA-TAVV depicts a relationship of three levels (inhibiting platelet activation, targeting externalized membrane receptor, decreasing serum inflammatory factor) for the down-regulation of P-selectin, GPIIb/IIIa, IL-2, IL-6 and IL-8 in DVT.

Initiation of a Multidisciplinary, Rapid Response Team to Massive and Submassive Pulmonary Embolism

Pulmonary embolism (PE) can result in rapid clinical decompensation in many patients. With increasing patient complexity and advanced treatment options for PE, multidisciplinary, rapid response teams can optimize risk stratification and expedite management strategies. The Massive And Submassive Clot On-call Team (MASCOT) was created at our institution, which comprised specialists from cardiology, pulmonology, hematology, interventional radiology, and cardiac surgery. MASCOT offers rapid consultation 24 hours a day with a web-based conference call to review patient data and discuss management of patients with high-risk PE. We reviewed patient data collected from MASCOT's registry to analyze patient clinical characteristics and outcomes and describe the composition and operation of the team. Between August 2015 and September 2016, MASCOT evaluated 72 patients. Seventy of the 72 patients were admitted to our institution, accounting for 32% of all patients discharged with a primary diagnosis of PE. Average age was 62 ± 17 years with a female predominance (63%). Active malignancy (31%), recent surgery or trauma (21%), and recent hospitalization (24%) were common. PE clinical severity was massive in 16% and submassive in 83%. Patients were managed with anticoagulation alone in 65% (n = 46), systemic fibrinolysis in 11% (n = 8), catheter-directed therapy in 18% (n = 13), extracorporeal membrane oxygenation in 3% (n = 2), and an inferior vena cava filter was placed in 15% (n = 11). Thirteen percent (n = 9) experienced a major bleed with no intracranial hemorrhage. Survival to discharge was 89% (64% with massive PE and 93% with submassive PE). In conclusion, multidisciplinary, rapid response PE teams offer a unique coordinated approach to patient care.

Monitoring of hemostatic abnormalities in major orthopedic surgery patients treated with edoxaban by APTT waveform

INTRODUCTION

An analysis of the activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT) in major orthopedic surgery patients receiving edoxaban for the prevention of venous thromboembolism (VTE) was carried out.

METHODS

The APTT waveform was analyzed in the above patients to monitor edoxaban administration.

RESULTS

Of these 99 patients, 12 exhibited deep vein thrombosis, and 25 had massive bleeding. An increased biphasic pattern of the APTT waveform was observed after the administration of edoxaban, but there were no significant differences between the patients with and without complications. The peak times of acceleration, velocity, and 1/2 fibrin formation were significantly prolonged after the administration of edoxaban, especially in patients with massive bleeding, and were moderately correlated with the anti-Xa activity. While the heights of velocity and acceleration peak 2 were lower in patients receiving warfarin treatment than in those receiving edoxaban, the widths of these parameters were significantly longer. The height of 1/2 fibrin formation and the width of acceleration peaks 1 and 2 and the velocity were significantly increased after the administration of edoxaban.

CONCLUSION

The peak time of the APTT waveform was significantly prolonged after the administration of edoxaban. The analysis of the APTT waveform may therefore be useful for the prediction of the risk of massive bleeding.

Optimal long-term pharmacological treatment of patients with venous thromboembolism that was unprovoked or associated with weak risk factors

INTRODUCTION

Unprovoked venous thromboembolism (VTE) tend to recur. Many factors, patient- or event-related, influence the individual risk of recurrence. After initial and long-term (usually for 3-6 months) anticoagulant therapy, extended anticoagulation has been recommended in patients at high risk of recurrence, provided they do not have a high risk of bleeding. Areas covered: The effect of different risk factors on the risk of recurrence is discussed, as well as risk factors for bleeding. The estimation of individual balance between these two risks is crucial to decide which can be the best treatment duration in single patients. The use of direct oral anticoagulants, with likely less risk of bleeding, may influence the balance. D-dimer assessment during and after anticoagulation is stopped is also commented for its role to help identifying the individual risk of recurrence. Expert commentary: All patients with a first VTE should be reconsidered after the initial 3-6 months of treatment. Anticoagulation can then be stopped or continued in relation to low or very high risk of recurrence, respectively. Serial D-dimer assessment during the first 2 or 3 months after anticoagulation is stopped is useful in patients with uncertain risk evaluation (especially after unprovoked events).

In-Hospital Mortality with Deep Venous Thrombosis

BACKGROUND

Little is known about the in-hospital mortality of deep venous thrombosis in recent years. This investigation was undertaken to determine trends in in-hospital mortality in patients with deep venous thrombosis and mortality according to age.

METHODS

Administrative data were analyzed from the National (Nationwide) Inpatient Sample, 2003-2012. We determined in-hospital all-cause mortality according to year and age among patients with a primary (first-listed) diagnosis of deep venous thrombosis. We analyzed all such patients and we analyzed those who had none of the comorbid conditions listed in the Charlson Comorbidity Index.

RESULTS

From 2003-2012, 1,603,690 hospitalized patients had a primary diagnosis of deep venous thrombosis. All-cause in-hospital mortality decreased from 1.3% in 2003 to 0.6% in 2012. Mortality increased with age from 0.1% in those aged 18-20 years to 1.5% in those over age 80 years. All-cause in-hospital mortality in those with no comorbid conditions according to the Charlson Comorbidity Index (1,094,184 patients) decreased from 1.1% in 2003 to 0.5% in 2012. Presumably, these deaths were from pulmonary embolism. All-cause mortality in those with no comorbid conditions increased with age from 0.1% in those aged 18-20 years to 1.4% in those over aged 80 years.

CONCLUSION

All-cause death and death due to pulmonary embolism in patients hospitalized with a primary diagnosis of deep venous thrombosis decreased from 2003-2012. The death rate increased with age. The decreased mortality over the period of investigation may have resulted from a shift toward use of low-molecular-weight heparins and newer anticoagulants.

Excess long-term mortality in outpatient deep venous thrombosis patients managed in an ambulatory care setting

BACKGROUND

Deep venous thrombosis (DVT) is increasingly being managed in the outpatient setting, particularly patients deemed low-risk at presentation. The long-term outcomes of these patients remain unclear.

AIM

To determine the long-term outcomes of patients with DVT and those with raised D-dimer without DVT managed exclusively by an ambulatory care pathway.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort analysis.

METHODS

828 consecutive patients assessed at the Ambulatory Care Clinic of a tertiary care university hospital between 1 January and 31 December 2008 for potential lower limb DVT were analysed. Primary and secondary outcome was all-cause mortality and new diagnosis of cancer, respectively. Median follow-up was 6.4 years.

RESULTS

The final cohort comprised 131 patients with DVT, 396 with raised D-dimer without DVT and 165 with normal D-dimer without DVT. Long-term survival was 72.5% for DVT, 75.3% for elevated D-dimer without thrombosis and 93.3% for those with normal D-dimer ( P < 0.0001). The risk of death with DVT remained significant after adjusting for age, gender, previous cancer, recent surgery and previous thromboembolism (HR 2.17, 95% CI [1.07, 4.38]). Cancer accounted for 44.4 and 37.8% of deaths within the first and second groups, respectively. 50% of cancers in the former group were diagnosed during follow-up vs. 95.1% in the latter.

CONCLUSION

The 5-year survival of patients with DVT managed via ambulatory care was worse than expected. An algorithm is urgently needed to identify predictors of adverse outcomes for both these patients as well as those with raised D-dimer without thrombosis.

Recurrence and mortality after first venous thromboembolism in a large population-based cohort

Essentials Reports on recurrence and mortality after a first venous thromboembolism (VTE) vary considerably. We describe rates of recurrence and mortality in patients with a first VTE from the Tromsø study. The overall recurrence rate was 3.9 per 100 person-years, but this varied widely with time. Despite advances in VTE management, the rates of adverse events are still fairly high.

SUMMARY

Background Previous reports on recurrence and mortality rates after a first episode of venous thromboembolism (VTE) vary considerably. Advances in the management and treatment of VTE during the last 15 years may have influenced the rates of clinical outcomes. Aim To estimate the rates of recurrence and mortality after a first VTE in patients recruited from a large population-based cohort. Method From the Tromsø study, patients (n = 710) with a first, symptomatic, objectively confirmed VTE were included and followed in the period 1994-2012. Recurrent episodes of VTE were identified from multiple sources and carefully validated by review of medical records. Incidence rates and cumulative incidence rates with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of VTE recurrence and mortality were calculated. Results The mean age of the patients was 68 years (range 28-102 years), and 166 (23.4%) had cancer at the time of first VTE. There were 114 VTE recurrences and 333 deaths during a median study period of 7.7 years (range 0.04-18.2 years). The risk of recurrence was highest during the first year. The overall 1-year recurrence rate was 7.8 (95% CI 5.8-10.6) per 100 person-years (PY), whereas the recurrence rate in the remaining follow-up period (1-18 years) was 3.0 (95% CI 2.4-3.8) per 100 PY. The overall 1-year all-cause mortality rate was 29.9 (95% CI 25.7-34.8) per 100 PY, and in those without cancer the corresponding rate was 23.6 (95% CI 17.8-31.3) per 100 PY. Conclusion Despite advances in VTE management, the rates of adverse events remained fairly high, particularly in the first year following a first VTE.

DVT Management and Outcome Trends, 2001 to 2014

BACKGROUND

A comprehensive evaluation of temporal trends in the treatment of patients who have DVT may assist with identification of modifiable factors that contribute to short-term outcomes.

METHODS

We assessed temporal trends in length of hospital stay and use of pharmacological and interventional therapies among 26,695 adults with DVT enrolled in the Registro Informatizado de la Enfermedad TromboEmbólica registry between 2001 and 2014. We also examined temporal trends in risk-adjusted rates of all-cause, pulmonary embolism-related, and bleeding-related death to 30 days after diagnosis.

RESULTS

The mean length of hospital stay decreased from 9.0 days in 2001 to 2005 to 7.6 days in 2010 to 2014 (P < .01). For initial DVT treatment, the use of low-molecular-weight heparin decreased from 98% to 90% (P < .01). Direct oral anticoagulants use increased from 0.5% in 2010 to 13.4% in 2014 (P < .001). Risk-adjusted rates of 30-day all-cause mortality decreased from 3.9% in 2001 to 2005 to 2.7% in 2010 to 2014 (adjusted rate ratio per year, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.74-0.96; P < .01). VTE-related mortality showed a nonstatistically significant downward trend (adjusted rate ratio per year, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.44-1.10; P = .13), whereas 30-day bleeding-related mortality significantly decreased from 0.5% in 2001 to 2005 to 0.1% in 2010-2014 (adjusted rate ratio per year, 0.55; 95% CI, 0.40-0.77; P < .01).

CONCLUSIONS

This international registry-based temporal analysis identified reductions in length of stay for adults hospitalized for DVT. The study also found a decreasing trend in adjusted rates of all-cause and bleeding-related mortality.