1
|
Avramov M, Gabriele-Rivet V, Milwid RM, Ng V, Ogden NH, Hongoh V. A conceptual health state diagram for modelling the transmission of a (re)emerging infectious respiratory disease in a human population. BMC Infect Dis 2024; 24:1198. [PMID: 39448915 PMCID: PMC11515510 DOI: 10.1186/s12879-024-10017-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/11/2024] [Accepted: 09/30/2024] [Indexed: 10/26/2024] Open
Abstract
Mathematical modelling of (re)emerging infectious respiratory diseases among humans poses multiple challenges for modellers, which can arise as a result of limited data and surveillance, uncertainty in the natural history of the disease, as well as public health and individual responses to outbreaks. Here, we propose a COVID-19-inspired health state diagram (HSD) to serve as a foundational framework for conceptualising the modelling process for (re)emerging respiratory diseases, and public health responses, in the early stages of their emergence. The HSD aims to serve as a starting point for reflection on the structure and parameterisation of a transmission model to assess the impact of the (re)emerging disease and the capacity of public health interventions to control transmission. We also explore the adaptability of the HSD to different (re)emerging diseases using the characteristics of three respiratory diseases of historical public health importance. We outline key questions to contemplate when applying and adapting this HSD to (re)emerging infectious diseases and provide reflections on adapting the framework for public health-related interventions.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Marc Avramov
- Department of Biology, Carleton University, 1125 Colonel By Drive, Ottawa, ON, K1S 5B6, Canada
- Ottawa Research and Development Centre, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada, 960 Carling Avenue, Ottawa, ON, K1A 0C6, Canada
- Public Health Risk Sciences Division, Scientific Operations and Response, National Microbiology Laboratory Branch, Public Health Agency of Canada, 3200 Rue Sicotte, C.P. 5000, Saint-Hyacinthe, QC, J2S 2M2, Canada
- Groupe de Recherche en Épidémiologie des Zoonoses et Santé Publique, Faculté de Médecine Vétérinaire, Université de Montréal, 3190 Rue Sicotte, Saint-Hyacinthe, QC, J2S 2M1, Canada
| | - Vanessa Gabriele-Rivet
- Public Health Risk Sciences Division, Scientific Operations and Response, National Microbiology Laboratory Branch, Public Health Agency of Canada, 3200 Rue Sicotte, C.P. 5000, Saint-Hyacinthe, QC, J2S 2M2, Canada
- Groupe de Recherche en Épidémiologie des Zoonoses et Santé Publique, Faculté de Médecine Vétérinaire, Université de Montréal, 3190 Rue Sicotte, Saint-Hyacinthe, QC, J2S 2M1, Canada
| | - Rachael M Milwid
- Public Health Risk Sciences Division, Scientific Operations and Response, National Microbiology Laboratory Branch, Public Health Agency of Canada, 3200 Rue Sicotte, C.P. 5000, Saint-Hyacinthe, QC, J2S 2M2, Canada
- Groupe de Recherche en Épidémiologie des Zoonoses et Santé Publique, Faculté de Médecine Vétérinaire, Université de Montréal, 3190 Rue Sicotte, Saint-Hyacinthe, QC, J2S 2M1, Canada
| | - Victoria Ng
- Public Health Risk Sciences Division, Scientific Operations and Response, National Microbiology Laboratory Branch, Public Health Agency of Canada, 3200 Rue Sicotte, C.P. 5000, Saint-Hyacinthe, QC, J2S 2M2, Canada
| | - Nicholas H Ogden
- Public Health Risk Sciences Division, Scientific Operations and Response, National Microbiology Laboratory Branch, Public Health Agency of Canada, 3200 Rue Sicotte, C.P. 5000, Saint-Hyacinthe, QC, J2S 2M2, Canada
- Groupe de Recherche en Épidémiologie des Zoonoses et Santé Publique, Faculté de Médecine Vétérinaire, Université de Montréal, 3190 Rue Sicotte, Saint-Hyacinthe, QC, J2S 2M1, Canada
| | - Valerie Hongoh
- Public Health Risk Sciences Division, Scientific Operations and Response, National Microbiology Laboratory Branch, Public Health Agency of Canada, 3200 Rue Sicotte, C.P. 5000, Saint-Hyacinthe, QC, J2S 2M2, Canada.
- Groupe de Recherche en Épidémiologie des Zoonoses et Santé Publique, Faculté de Médecine Vétérinaire, Université de Montréal, 3190 Rue Sicotte, Saint-Hyacinthe, QC, J2S 2M1, Canada.
| |
Collapse
|
2
|
Yan R, He H, Deng X, Zhou Y, Tang X, Zhu Y, Liang H, Chen Y, Yang M, Du Y, Chen C, Chen J, Yang S. A Serological Survey of Measles and Rubella Antibodies among Different Age Groups in Eastern China. Vaccines (Basel) 2024; 12:842. [PMID: 39203968 PMCID: PMC11359031 DOI: 10.3390/vaccines12080842] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/30/2024] [Revised: 07/15/2024] [Accepted: 07/17/2024] [Indexed: 09/03/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Measles and rubella are vaccine-preventable diseases targeted for elimination in most World Health Organization regions, and China is considered to have momentum towards measles elimination. Therefore, this study aimed to assess the population immunity levels against measles and rubella in Zhejiang Province in China in order to provide valuable insights for informing future public health measures and contributing to the ongoing global campaign against these diseases. MATERIALS AND METHODS A cross-sectional serological survey was conducted in 2022. A total of 2740 blood samples were collected from healthy individuals spanning the age range of 0-59 years, representing diverse demographic strata across 11 prefectures in Zhejiang Province in China. The sera were tested for measles and rubella IgG antibodies to determine positivity rates and geometric mean concentrations (GMCs). RESULTS The overall positivity rate for the measles IgG antibody was 85.3%, with a GMC of 588.30 mIU/mL. The positivity rate for the rubella IgG antibody was 70.9%, and the GMC was 35.30 IU/mL. Measles IgG antibody positivity rates across the 0-11 months, 12-23 months, 24-35 months, 3-5 years, 6-9 years, 10-14 years, 15-19 years, 20-29 years, and 30-59 years age groups were 63.1%, 92.5%, 97.0%, 94.0%, 85.8%, 77.3%, 86.9%, 84.9%, and 88.7%, respectively (trend χ2 = 118.34, p < 0.001). Correspondingly, rubella antibody positivity rates for these same age brackets were 55.9%, 87.9%, 94.7%, 88.2%, 69.9%, 54.2%, 72.6%, 67.5%, and 74.3% (trend χ2 = 199.18, p < 0.001). Both univariate and multivariate analyses consistently demonstrated that age, immunization history, and differing economic levels were significant factors contributing to variations in antibody levels. CONCLUSIONS The seroprevalence of measles and rubella was lower than that required for herd immunity. Periodic vaccination campaigns should be launched to increase immunity.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Rui Yan
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Second Affiliated Hospital, Hangzhou 310000, China; (R.Y.); (C.C.); (J.C.)
- Zhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Hangzhou 310057, China (H.L.); (M.Y.)
| | - Hanqing He
- Zhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Hangzhou 310057, China (H.L.); (M.Y.)
| | - Xuan Deng
- Zhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Hangzhou 310057, China (H.L.); (M.Y.)
| | - Yang Zhou
- Zhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Hangzhou 310057, China (H.L.); (M.Y.)
| | - Xuewen Tang
- Zhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Hangzhou 310057, China (H.L.); (M.Y.)
| | - Yao Zhu
- Zhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Hangzhou 310057, China (H.L.); (M.Y.)
| | - Hui Liang
- Zhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Hangzhou 310057, China (H.L.); (M.Y.)
| | - Yaping Chen
- Zhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Hangzhou 310057, China (H.L.); (M.Y.)
| | - Mengya Yang
- Zhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Hangzhou 310057, China (H.L.); (M.Y.)
| | - Yuxia Du
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Second Affiliated Hospital, Hangzhou 310000, China; (R.Y.); (C.C.); (J.C.)
| | - Can Chen
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Second Affiliated Hospital, Hangzhou 310000, China; (R.Y.); (C.C.); (J.C.)
| | - Jiaxin Chen
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Second Affiliated Hospital, Hangzhou 310000, China; (R.Y.); (C.C.); (J.C.)
| | - Shigui Yang
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Second Affiliated Hospital, Hangzhou 310000, China; (R.Y.); (C.C.); (J.C.)
| | | |
Collapse
|
3
|
Zibolenová J, Malobická E, Ulbrichtová R, Novák M, Chladná Z, Waczulíková I, Litvová S, Mikas J, Mečochová A, Hudečková H. Probability of exposure to the wild measles virus in adult population - Estimation from seroepidemiology and historical data. Vaccine 2024; 42:1648-1655. [PMID: 38342718 DOI: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2024.02.005] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/09/2023] [Revised: 01/30/2024] [Accepted: 02/01/2024] [Indexed: 02/13/2024]
Abstract
Vaccination against measles is one of the most effective public health interventions which has saved millions of lives and interrupted circulation of the natural virus in the population. However, it is widely accepted that the immunity after vaccination can wane, especially in those who have had no contact with the virus. This study aimed to classify the particular birth cohorts of adults with regard to their exposure to the wild measles virus in the population with a long history of mandatory vaccination. We introduced two methods. In the first, we estimated the probability of exposure to the wild virus through an analysis of antibody levels from the Immunologic Survey performed in the Slovak Republic in 2018, while the second was based on historical epidemiological data. Both methods resulted in similar estimations. Cohorts born in Slovakia before 1964 can be considered to be cohorts in which most people were exposed to the wild measles virus. Cohorts born after 1977 can be designated as cohorts that most likely did not come into the contact with the wild virus. Cohorts born between 1965 and 1976 are composed of a mixture, with a decreasing proportion of people exposed to the wild virus with increasing year of birth. The proposed methods can help identify potential immunity gaps in the adult population. They can be applied in other countries with high measles vaccination coverage to estimate the probability of exposure to the wild measles virus in particular birth cohorts.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Jana Zibolenová
- Department of Public Health, Jessenius Faculty of Medicine in Martin, Comenius University in Bratislava, Malá Hora 11149/4B, 036 01 Martin, Slovakia
| | - Eva Malobická
- Department of Public Health, Jessenius Faculty of Medicine in Martin, Comenius University in Bratislava, Malá Hora 11149/4B, 036 01 Martin, Slovakia
| | - Romana Ulbrichtová
- Department of Public Health, Jessenius Faculty of Medicine in Martin, Comenius University in Bratislava, Malá Hora 11149/4B, 036 01 Martin, Slovakia
| | - Martin Novák
- Department of Public Health, Jessenius Faculty of Medicine in Martin, Comenius University in Bratislava, Malá Hora 11149/4B, 036 01 Martin, Slovakia.
| | - Zuzana Chladná
- Department of Applied Mathematics and Statistics, Faculty of Mathematics, Physics and Informatics, Comenius University in Bratislava, Mlynská dolina F1, 842 48 Bratislava, Slovakia
| | - Iveta Waczulíková
- Department of Nuclear Physics and Biophysics, Faculty of Mathematics, Physics and Informatics, Comenius University in Bratislava, Mlynská dolina F1, 842 48 Bratislava, Slovakia
| | - Slávka Litvová
- Faculty of Healthcare, Alexander Dubcek University of Trencin, Trencin, Slovakia
| | - Ján Mikas
- Public Health Authority of the Slovak Republic, Trnavská cesta 52, 826 45 Bratislava, Slovakia
| | - Adriana Mečochová
- Public Health Authority of the Slovak Republic, Trnavská cesta 52, 826 45 Bratislava, Slovakia
| | - Henrieta Hudečková
- Department of Public Health, Jessenius Faculty of Medicine in Martin, Comenius University in Bratislava, Malá Hora 11149/4B, 036 01 Martin, Slovakia
| |
Collapse
|
4
|
Akash S, Islam MR, Rahman MM. Measles virus outbreak: a new concern for public health, pathogenesis, diagnosis, genomic features, and treatment criteria - correspondence. Int J Surg 2023; 109:201-203. [PMID: 36799852 PMCID: PMC10389219 DOI: 10.1097/js9.0000000000000238] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/31/2022] [Accepted: 01/16/2023] [Indexed: 02/18/2023]
Affiliation(s)
| | | | - Md. Mominur Rahman
- Department of Pharmacy, Faculty of Allied Health Sciences, Daffodil International University, Dhaka, Bangladesh
| |
Collapse
|
5
|
Measles epidemic in Southern Vietnam: an age-stratified spatio-temporal model for infectious disease counts. Epidemiol Infect 2022; 150:e169. [PMID: 36093597 PMCID: PMC9980966 DOI: 10.1017/s0950268822001431] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/14/2022] Open
Abstract
Measles resurged in Vietnam between 2018 and 2020, especially in the Southern region. The proportion of children with measles infection showed quite some variation at the provincial level. We applied a spatio-temporal endemic-epidemic modelling framework for age-stratified infectious disease counts using measles surveillance data collected in Southern Vietnam between 1 January 2018 and 30 June 2020. We found that disease transmission within age groups was greatest in young children aged 0-4 years whereas a relatively high between-group transmission was observed in older age groups (5-14 years, 15-24 years and 25+ years groups). At the provincial level, spatial transmission followed an age-dependent distance decay with measles spread mainly depending on local and neighbouring transmission. Our study helped to clarify the measles transmission dynamics in a more detailed fashion with respect to age strata, time and space. Findings from this study may help determine proper strategies in measles outbreak control including promotion of age-targeted intervention programmes in specific areas.
Collapse
|
6
|
Ami N, Eyal N, Asaf B, Chen A, Adi B, Drorit A, Neta P, Hajar D, Stav R, Eli S. Safety of measles, rubella and mumps vaccines in adults: a prospective cohort study. J Travel Med 2021; 28:6295126. [PMID: 34101817 DOI: 10.1093/jtm/taab071] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/13/2021] [Revised: 03/14/2021] [Accepted: 04/27/2021] [Indexed: 01/13/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND In recent years, multiple outbreaks of measles associated with vaccine hesitancy occurred in high-income countries, where measles incidence had previously been low. Most safety data about the measles, mumps and rubella (MMR) vaccine are derived from studies conducted among children, whereas evidence regarding the safety profile of the vaccine in adults is scarce. METHODS In 2017, during an outbreak of measles in Europe, Israeli travellers to high-risk locations who were incompletely vaccinated, were urged to complete the two MMR vaccination schedule before their travel. In this prospective cohort study, we analysed adverse events (AEs) of MMR and MMRV (measles, mumps, rubella and varicella) vaccines among these travellers. All participants were followed up using structured questionnaires 2-4 weeks after vaccination. RESULTS Seven hundred and eighty-five adult travellers whose median age was 49.2 years were vaccinated and followed up. Any AEs were reported by 25.2% of all participants; 11.6% reported local AEs, and 18.6% reported systemic AEs, none of which were severe. In general, AEs were much more common among female travellers (19.4% of males vs 30.1% of females (P < 0.001)). Local AEs, overall systemic AEs, headache and arthralgia were much more common among females, whereas rates of general malaise and fever were not statistically different between genders. We did not observe any significant differences in the rates of total, local or systemic AEs between the MMR and MMRV vaccines. Higher rates of systemic AEs were observed among participants who were younger and probably immunized once with MMR compared to older vaccines immunized once to measles only and to those who were never immunized. CONCLUSIONS The current study demonstrated low rates of systemic AEs and no serious AEs following either MMR or MMRV administration. More AEs were reported among females, and rates of AEs were similar after either MMR or MMRV.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Neuberger Ami
- Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion, HaAliya HaShniya St, Haifa, 3109601, Israel.,Division of Internal Medicine, Rambam Health Care Campus, HaAliya HaShniya St, Haifa, 3109601, Israel.,Unit of Infectious Diseases, Rambam Healthcare Campus, HaAliya HaShniya St, Haifa, 3109601, Israel
| | - Nadir Eyal
- Infectious Diseases Unit, Kaplan Medical Center, Derech Pasternak 1, Rehovot, 7610001, Israel.,Clalit Health Services, Jerusalem District, 9514622, Israel
| | - Biber Asaf
- The Center for Geographic Medicine and Tropical Diseases, Sheba Medical Center, Tel Hashomer, Ramat Gan, 52621, Israel
| | - Avni Chen
- The Center for Geographic Medicine and Tropical Diseases, Sheba Medical Center, Tel Hashomer, Ramat Gan, 52621, Israel
| | - Brom Adi
- The Center for Geographic Medicine and Tropical Diseases, Sheba Medical Center, Tel Hashomer, Ramat Gan, 52621, Israel
| | | | - Petersiel Neta
- Division of Internal Medicine, Rambam Health Care Campus, HaAliya HaShniya St, Haifa, 3109601, Israel.,Unit of Infectious Diseases, Rambam Healthcare Campus, HaAliya HaShniya St, Haifa, 3109601, Israel
| | - Dallashi Hajar
- Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion, HaAliya HaShniya St, Haifa, 3109601, Israel
| | - Rakedzon Stav
- Division of Internal Medicine, Rambam Health Care Campus, HaAliya HaShniya St, Haifa, 3109601, Israel
| | - Schwartz Eli
- The Center for Geographic Medicine and Tropical Diseases, Sheba Medical Center, Tel Hashomer, Ramat Gan, 52621, Israel.,Maoz Travel Clinic, Jerusalem, 94622, Israel.,Sackler Faculty of Medicine, Tel-Aviv University, Tel Aviv, 69978, Israel
| |
Collapse
|
7
|
Abstract
PURPOSE OF REVIEW Understanding the pathophysiology of COVID-19 and the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) virus that causes the disease has demonstrated the complexity of acute respiratory viruses that can cause neurologic manifestations. This article describes the most common respiratory viruses that have neurologic manifestations, with a focus on SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19. RECENT FINDINGS In vitro and in vivo studies have better elucidated the neurotropism of various respiratory viruses. Understanding host cell receptors that mediate viral binding and entry not only demonstrates how viruses enter host cells but also provides possible mechanisms for therapeutic interventions. Elucidation of SARS-CoV-2 binding and fusion with host cells expressing the angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE2) receptor may also provide greater insights into its systemic and neurologic sequelae. Respiratory virus neurotropism and collateral injury due to concurrent inflammatory cascades result in various neurologic pathologies, including Guillain-Barré syndrome, encephalopathy, encephalitis, ischemic stroke, intracerebral hemorrhage, and seizures. SUMMARY Numerous respiratory viruses can infect the cells of the peripheral and central nervous systems, elicit inflammatory cascades, and directly and indirectly cause various neurologic manifestations. Patients with neurologic manifestations from respiratory viruses are often critically ill and require mechanical ventilation. Neurologists and neurointensivists should be familiar with the common neurologic manifestations of respiratory viruses and the unique and still-evolving sequelae associated with COVID-19.
Collapse
|
8
|
Crooke SN, Riggenbach MM, Ovsyannikova IG, Warner ND, Chen MH, Hao L, Icenogle JP, Poland GA, Kennedy RB. Durability of humoral immune responses to rubella following MMR vaccination. Vaccine 2020; 38:8185-8193. [PMID: 33190948 DOI: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2020.10.076] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/14/2020] [Revised: 10/20/2020] [Accepted: 10/23/2020] [Indexed: 10/23/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND While administration of the measles-mumps-rubella (MMR-II®) vaccine has been effective at preventing rubella infection in the United States, the durability of humoral immunity to the rubella component of MMR vaccine has not been widely studied among older adolescents and adults. METHODS In this longitudinal study, we sought to assess the durability of rubella virus (RV)-specific humoral immunity in a healthy population (n = 98) of adolescents and young adults at two timepoints: ~7 and ~17 years after two doses of MMR-II® vaccination. Levels of circulating antibodies specific to RV were measured by ELISA and an immune-colorimetric neutralization assay. RV-specific memory B cell responses were also measured by ELISpot. RESULTS Rubella-specific IgG antibody titers, neutralizing antibody titers, and memory B cell responses declined with increasing time since vaccination; however, these decreases were relatively moderate. Memory B cell responses exhibited a greater decline in men compared to women. CONCLUSIONS Collectively, rubella-specific humoral immunity declines following vaccination, although subjects' antibody titers remain well above the currently recognized threshold for protective immunity. Clinical correlates of protection based on neutralizing antibody titer and memory B cell ELISpot response should be defined.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Stephen N Crooke
- Mayo Clinic Vaccine Research Group, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA
| | | | | | - Nathaniel D Warner
- Division of Biomedical Statistics and Informatics, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA
| | - Min-Hsin Chen
- Division of Viral Diseases, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - Lijuan Hao
- Division of Viral Diseases, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - Joseph P Icenogle
- Division of Viral Diseases, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - Gregory A Poland
- Mayo Clinic Vaccine Research Group, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA
| | - Richard B Kennedy
- Mayo Clinic Vaccine Research Group, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA.
| |
Collapse
|
9
|
Xia Y, Zhong L, Tan J, Zhang Z, Lyu J, Chen Y, Zhao A, Huang L, Long Z, Liu NN, Wang H, Li S. How to Understand "Herd Immunity" in COVID-19 Pandemic. Front Cell Dev Biol 2020. [PMID: 33072741 DOI: 10.3389/fcell.2020.547314/full] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/13/2022] Open
Abstract
The COVID-19 pandemic has been a global threat. Through rapid and effective surveillance and control, the newly confirmed patients have been fluctuated at a very low level and imported case explained most of them through March, 2020 to the present, indicating China's response has achieved a stage victory. By contrast, the epidemic of COVID-19 in other countries out of China is bursting. Different countries are adopting varied response strategy in terms of their public health system to prevent the spread. Herd immunity has been a hot topic since the outbreak of COVID-19 pandemic. Can it be a possible strategy to combat COVID-19? To fully interpret the knowledge regarding the term upon the background of COVID-19-related health crisis, we aim to systematically review the definition, describe the effective measures of acquiring herd immunity, and discuss its feasibility in COVID-19 prevention. Findings from this review would promote and strengthen the international cooperation and joint efforts when confronting with COVID-19.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Yuanqing Xia
- School of Public Health, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.,International Peace Maternity & Child Health Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Lumin Zhong
- Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, University College London, London, United Kingdom
| | - Jingcong Tan
- School of Public Health, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Zhiruo Zhang
- School of Public Health, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Jiajun Lyu
- School of Public Health, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Yiting Chen
- School of Public Health, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Anda Zhao
- Shanghai Ninth People's Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Lili Huang
- School of Public Health, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Zichong Long
- School of Public Health, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Ning-Ning Liu
- School of Public Health, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Hui Wang
- School of Public Health, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Shenghui Li
- School of Public Health, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.,The Ministry of Education of the People's Republic of China (MOE)-Shanghai Key Laboratory of Childre's Environmental Health, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| |
Collapse
|
10
|
Xia Y, Zhong L, Tan J, Zhang Z, Lyu J, Chen Y, Zhao A, Huang L, Long Z, Liu NN, Wang H, Li S. How to Understand "Herd Immunity" in COVID-19 Pandemic. Front Cell Dev Biol 2020; 8:547314. [PMID: 33072741 PMCID: PMC7543944 DOI: 10.3389/fcell.2020.547314] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/31/2020] [Accepted: 09/02/2020] [Indexed: 12/18/2022] Open
Abstract
The COVID-19 pandemic has been a global threat. Through rapid and effective surveillance and control, the newly confirmed patients have been fluctuated at a very low level and imported case explained most of them through March, 2020 to the present, indicating China’s response has achieved a stage victory. By contrast, the epidemic of COVID-19 in other countries out of China is bursting. Different countries are adopting varied response strategy in terms of their public health system to prevent the spread. Herd immunity has been a hot topic since the outbreak of COVID-19 pandemic. Can it be a possible strategy to combat COVID-19? To fully interpret the knowledge regarding the term upon the background of COVID-19-related health crisis, we aim to systematically review the definition, describe the effective measures of acquiring herd immunity, and discuss its feasibility in COVID-19 prevention. Findings from this review would promote and strengthen the international cooperation and joint efforts when confronting with COVID-19.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Yuanqing Xia
- School of Public Health, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.,International Peace Maternity & Child Health Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Lumin Zhong
- Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, University College London, London, United Kingdom
| | - Jingcong Tan
- School of Public Health, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Zhiruo Zhang
- School of Public Health, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Jiajun Lyu
- School of Public Health, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Yiting Chen
- School of Public Health, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Anda Zhao
- Shanghai Ninth People's Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Lili Huang
- School of Public Health, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Zichong Long
- School of Public Health, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Ning-Ning Liu
- School of Public Health, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Hui Wang
- School of Public Health, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Shenghui Li
- School of Public Health, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.,The Ministry of Education of the People's Republic of China (MOE)-Shanghai Key Laboratory of Childre's Environmental Health, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| |
Collapse
|
11
|
El Zarif T, Kassir MF, Bizri N, Kassir G, Musharrafieh U, Bizri AR. Measles and mumps outbreaks in Lebanon: trends and links. BMC Infect Dis 2020; 20:244. [PMID: 32216754 PMCID: PMC7098136 DOI: 10.1186/s12879-020-04956-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/03/2019] [Accepted: 03/10/2020] [Indexed: 01/12/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Lebanon has experienced several measles and mumps outbreaks in the past 20 years. In this article, a case-based surveillance of both measles and mumps outbreaks in Lebanon was carried out in an attempt to outline factors contributing to the failure of elimination plans and to provide potential solutions. The relationship between the outbreaks of both diseases was described and explored. METHODS A retrospective descriptive study of confirmed cases of measles and mumps in Lebanon between 2003 and 2018 collected from the Lebanese Ministry of Public Health Epidemiological Surveillance Unit public database was carried out. The information collected was graphically represented taking into consideration dates of reported cases, age groups affected, and vaccination status. RESULTS The mean number of measles cases was 150.25 cases/year in the 1-4 years age group, 87 cases/year in individuals aging between 5 and 14, and 63.68 cases/year in those > 14 years old. In the latter group, only 18.05% were unvaccinated. The mean number of mumps cases was 30.4 cases/year in the < 4 year age group and 53.8 cases/year in the 10-19 years age group. During the study period, every spike in measles cases was followed by a similar spike in mumps. 9.66% of measles cases occurred in individuals who received at least 2 doses of the vaccine, 52.26% in the unvaccinated, and 38% in those whose vaccination status was undetermined. CONCLUSIONS Measles in Lebanon is a disease of the pediatric population, but adults remain at risk. Outbreaks of mumps followed those of measles and were mainly among adolescents. Presence of a large number of Syrian refugees in the country may further complicate the situation. Vaccination activities need to be intensified.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Talal El Zarif
- Faculty of Medicine, Lebanese University, Beirut, Lebanon
| | | | - Nazih Bizri
- Faculty of Medicine, University of Balamand, Koura, Lebanon
| | - Ghida Kassir
- Faculty of Medicine, American University of Beirut Medical Center, Beirut, Lebanon
| | - Umayya Musharrafieh
- Department of Family Medicine, American University of Beirut Medical Center, Beirut, Lebanon
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Internal Medicine, American University of Beirut Medical Center, Beirut, Lebanon
| | - Abdul Rahman Bizri
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Internal Medicine, American University of Beirut Medical Center, Beirut, Lebanon
| |
Collapse
|
12
|
Zheng H, Jia KM, Sun R, Hu P, Wang MH, Zee BCY, Liang W, Chong KC. Epidemiological changes in measles infections in southern China between 2009 and 2016: a retrospective database analysis. BMC Infect Dis 2020; 20:197. [PMID: 32138688 PMCID: PMC7059666 DOI: 10.1186/s12879-020-4919-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/23/2019] [Accepted: 02/26/2020] [Indexed: 11/15/2022] Open
Abstract
Background The incidence rate of measles in China reached a nadir in 2012 after 2 supplementary immunization activities (SIAs) were undertaken in 2009 and 2010. However, the disease began re-emerging in 2013, with a high prevalence rate observed in 2013–2014 in the southern province of Guangdong. In this study, we assessed the changes that occurred in measles epidemiology during 2009–2016, particularly between 2009 and 2011 (when the influence of the SIAs were in full effect) and between 2012 and 2016 (when this influence subsided). Methods Data from 22,362 patients with measles diagnosed between 2009 and 2016, and whose diagnoses were confirmed clinically and/or with laboratory testing, were extracted from the National Infectious Disease Monitoring Information System. Descriptive analyses were performed, and changes in epidemiological characteristics between 2009 and 2011 and 2012–2016 were compared. Results There was a substantial surge in 0–8-month-old patients after 2012; the incidence rate increased from 4.0 per 100,000 population in 2011 (10.3% of the total) to 280 per 100,000 population in 2013 (32.8% of the total). Patients aged 0–6 years represented 73.4% of the total increase between 2011 and 2013. Compared with 2009–2011, adults aged ≥25 years accounted for a higher proportion of patients in 2013 and after (p < 0.01), and were highest in 2016 (31% of the patient total). Conclusion Despite the remarkable results achieved by SIAs in terms of providing herd immunity, the 2013 resurgence of measles revealed insufficient immunization coverage among children. Therefore routine immunization programs should be strengthened, and supplementary vaccinations targeting adults should also be contemplated.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Huizhen Zheng
- Center for Disease Control and Prevention of Guangdong Province, Guangzhou, China
| | - Katherine Min Jia
- Jockey Club School of Public Health and Primary Care, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.
| | - Riyang Sun
- Jockey Club School of Public Health and Primary Care, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
| | - Pui Hu
- Center for Disease Control and Prevention of Guangdong Province, Guangzhou, China
| | - Maggie Haitian Wang
- Jockey Club School of Public Health and Primary Care, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.,Clinical Trials and Biostatistics Laboratory, Shenzhen Research Institute, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen, China
| | - Benny Chung-Ying Zee
- Jockey Club School of Public Health and Primary Care, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.,Clinical Trials and Biostatistics Laboratory, Shenzhen Research Institute, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen, China
| | - Wenjia Liang
- Center for Disease Control and Prevention of Guangdong Province, Guangzhou, China.
| | - Ka Chun Chong
- Jockey Club School of Public Health and Primary Care, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China. .,Clinical Trials and Biostatistics Laboratory, Shenzhen Research Institute, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen, China.
| |
Collapse
|
13
|
Karami M, Khazaei S, Zahraei SM, Mokhtari Azad T, Zahiri A, Moradi AR, Bathaei J, Javaheri M, Amiri J. Measles Outbreak in a Rural Population in Bahar District, Hamadan Province, West of Iran in 2018. J Res Health Sci 2020; 20:e00470. [PMID: 32814694 PMCID: PMC7585754 DOI: 10.34172/jrhs.2020.05] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/27/2019] [Accepted: 02/19/2020] [Indexed: 12/02/2022] Open
Abstract
Background: Measles is in elimination phase in Iran. Following occurrence of two cases of measles in two children under six years old with the history of measles immunization in one of the villages affiliated to Bahar District, west of Hamadan Province, northwest of Iran, this study was conducted to determine the immunity status of people living in the village affected by the measles outbreak in spring of 2018.
Study design: A cross-sectional (descriptive-analytical) study.
Methods: Overall, 272 populations of 0-40 yr old in the village affected by outbreak were enrolled. Multistage sampling was used for choosing participants. The data collection tool was a researcher-made checklist used to collect epidemiological data including demographic characteristics and vaccination status. Blood samples were taken from them and sent to the measles reference laboratory for IgG testing. The amount of optical density (OD) greater than 0.2 was considered as positive and less than 0.1 negative, respectively.
Results: The mean age of the study population was 17.4 ±11.8 yr and the sex ratio was almost the same. Levels of antibodies against measles were positive in 63.24%, intermediate in 12.5% and negative in 24.26%. There was no significant difference between the immunity status of the subjects with gender (P=0.236) and age group (P=0.113). Pearson correlation results showed that in males there was a significant positive correlation between the age of the participants and the serum IgG level (r = 0.26, P=0.003).
Conclusion: Measles immunity in communities is not sufficient to prevent outbreaks and small epidemics, and it is recommended that periodically, serological assessments carried out at community level and especially at high-risk groups.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Manoochehr Karami
- Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Hamadan University of Medical Sciences, Hamadan, Iran
| | - Salman Khazaei
- Research Center for Health Sciences, Hamadan University of Medical Sciences, Hamadan, Iran
| | - Seyed Mohsen Zahraei
- Center for Communicable Diseases Control, Ministry of Health and Medical Education, Tehran, Iran
| | - Talat Mokhtari Azad
- Center for Communicable Diseases Control, Ministry of Health and Medical Education, Tehran, Iran
| | - Ali Zahiri
- Deputy of Health, Hamadan University of Medical Sciences, Hamadan, Iran
| | - Ali Reza Moradi
- Deputy of Health, Hamadan University of Medical Sciences, Hamadan, Iran
| | - Jalal Bathaei
- Deputy of Health, Hamadan University of Medical Sciences, Hamadan, Iran
| | - Masoumeh Javaheri
- Deputy of Health, Hamadan University of Medical Sciences, Hamadan, Iran
| | - Jalaleddin Amiri
- Department of Pediatrics, School of Medicine, Hamadan University of Medical Sciences, Hamadan, Iran.
| |
Collapse
|
14
|
Qin S, Ding Y, Yan R, He H. Measles in Zhejiang, China, 2004-2017: Population Density and Proportion of Floating Populations Effects on Measles Epidemic. Health Secur 2019; 17:193-199. [PMID: 31206323 DOI: 10.1089/hs.2019.0011] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
The target of eliminating measles has not been achieved, and measles has resurged in Zhejiang, China, since 2013. In this study, we hypothesized that population density and the proportion of the floating population were the potential causes of measles persistence in Zhejiang. Measles cases in Zhejiang from 2004 through 2017 were analyzed using data from the National Notifiable Diseases Reporting System (NNDRS). Reported measles incidence and annual incidence by age were described. Spearman correlation coefficients were used to assess correlations between measles incidence and population density and the proportion of floating population. A total of 48,648 measles cases were reported during the 14-year period. Two large measles epidemics occurred in 2005 (14,317 cases, incidence of 29.38/100,000) and 2008 (12,782 cases, incidence of 25.26/100,000). A higher proportion of cases occurred in young adults aged 20 to 34 years and infants under 1 year of age. A positive correlation was observed between measles incidence and either population density or proportion of inter-provincial floating populations. In general, Zhejiang suffers from a high incidence of measles partly because of its high population density and the low vaccination rates among inter-provincial floating populations. To meet the target of measles elimination, convincing susceptible young adults and migrant children to get vaccinated remains a critical issue.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Shangren Qin
- Shangren Qin, PhD, is a Lecturer, School of Medicine, Hangzhou Normal University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China. Ye Ding, MS, is an Experimentalist, Department of Public Health, Hangzhou Medical College, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China. Rui Yan, MS, is an Attending Physician, and Hanqing He, MS, is Associate Chief Physician, both at Institute of Immunization and Prevention, Zhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China
| | - Ye Ding
- Shangren Qin, PhD, is a Lecturer, School of Medicine, Hangzhou Normal University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China. Ye Ding, MS, is an Experimentalist, Department of Public Health, Hangzhou Medical College, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China. Rui Yan, MS, is an Attending Physician, and Hanqing He, MS, is Associate Chief Physician, both at Institute of Immunization and Prevention, Zhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China
| | - Rui Yan
- Shangren Qin, PhD, is a Lecturer, School of Medicine, Hangzhou Normal University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China. Ye Ding, MS, is an Experimentalist, Department of Public Health, Hangzhou Medical College, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China. Rui Yan, MS, is an Attending Physician, and Hanqing He, MS, is Associate Chief Physician, both at Institute of Immunization and Prevention, Zhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China
| | - Hanqing He
- Shangren Qin, PhD, is a Lecturer, School of Medicine, Hangzhou Normal University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China. Ye Ding, MS, is an Experimentalist, Department of Public Health, Hangzhou Medical College, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China. Rui Yan, MS, is an Attending Physician, and Hanqing He, MS, is Associate Chief Physician, both at Institute of Immunization and Prevention, Zhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China
| |
Collapse
|
15
|
Zahraei SM, Mokhtari-Azad T, Izadi S, Mohammadi M, Sabouri A. Seroprevalence of anti-rubella and anti-measles antibodies in women at the verge of marriage in Iran. Vaccine 2019; 38:235-241. [PMID: 31668816 DOI: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2019.10.026] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/17/2018] [Revised: 10/09/2019] [Accepted: 10/09/2019] [Indexed: 11/30/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Measles and rubella as two highly contagious eruptive diseases are on the agenda to be eliminated in Iran by 2020. To evaluate the seroimmunity of the future mothers against rubella and measles, a nationwide serosurvey was implemented in 10 provinces, selected at random from 31 provinces in the country. METHODS using a multistage sampling method, 1600 participants were interviewed and blood sampled in 40 'Pre-marriage Consultation Centers' across 40 districts. Using ELISA method, the sera were tested for anti-rubella and anti-measles IgG antibodies in the National Reference Laboratory for Measles and Rubella, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran. RESULTS Of the 1600 initial participants, the sera of 1573 participants were tested for rubella and 1569 for measles. The total seroprevalence of anti-rubella and anti-measles antibodies were 90.6% (95%CI: 89.1 to 92.0%) and 80.7% (95%CI: 78.7 to 82.6%) respectively. After 14 years, the effect of the immunization campaign of 2003 against rubella and measles on the age group of 5 to 25 years, was still apparent, i.e., there was a sharp difference between the seroprevalence of antibody (against both measles and rubella) of those who at the time of the present study were above 18 years with the younger age cohorts. For both diseases, higher seroprevalence of antibodies was detected in women above 18 years old. CONCLUSION Implementation of a Supplemental Immunization activity or revision of the national immunization schedule to add a third dose of measles and rubella containing vaccine during adolescence are/might be considered as possible options for bridging the gap in the seroimmunity of the younger age groups.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Seyed Mohsen Zahraei
- Centre for Communicable Diseases Control, Ministry of Health and Medical Education, Tehran, Iran
| | - Talat Mokhtari-Azad
- National Reference Laboratory for Measles and Rubella, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Shahrokh Izadi
- Health Promotion Research Centre, School of Public Health, Zahedan University of Medical Sciences, Zahedan, Iran.
| | - Mahdi Mohammadi
- Health Promotion Research Centre, School of Public Health, Zahedan University of Medical Sciences, Zahedan, Iran
| | - Azam Sabouri
- Focal Point for Measles and Rubella Surveillance, Centre for Communicable Diseases Control, Ministry of Health and Medical Education, Tehran, Iran
| |
Collapse
|
16
|
Yan R, He H, Zhou Y, Xie S, Deng X, Tang X. Study on factors associated with seroprotection after measles vaccination in children of 6–14 years in Eastern China. Vaccine 2019; 37:5185-5190. [DOI: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2019.07.075] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/15/2019] [Revised: 07/02/2019] [Accepted: 07/23/2019] [Indexed: 12/16/2022]
|
17
|
Seroprevalence and durability of rubella virus antibodies in a highly immunized population. Vaccine 2019; 37:3876-3882. [PMID: 31126859 DOI: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2019.05.049] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/26/2018] [Revised: 03/12/2019] [Accepted: 05/14/2019] [Indexed: 11/21/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Although the administration of the measles-mumps-rubella (MMR) vaccine has been widespread in the United States for decades, gaps in vaccine coverage still persist for various reasons. The maintenance of herd immunity against rubella virus (RV) is important to controlling the spread and resurgence of rubella and congenital rubella syndrome. METHODS In this study, we sought to assess the seroprevalence of RV-specific antibodies in an adult population from a defined geographic area in Olmsted County, MN, and the surrounding municipalities, with relatively high vaccine coverage and no documented evidence of circulating RV in the past 24 years. Rubella-specific IgG antibodies were measured by ELISA in a large set of serum samples (n = 1393) obtained from the Mayo Clinic Biobank. This cohort was 80.2% female and ranged from 20 to 44 years of age. RESULTS In total, 97.8% of subjects were seropositive for rubella-specific IgG antibodies, with a median titer of 40.56 IU/mL, suggesting a high degree of immunization; however, 2.2% of subjects were found to be seronegative. Interestingly, 25.1% of subjects were seropositive but had titers lower than 25 IU/mL, indicating either a population of low responders or individuals that could potentially be at risk of waning immunity. No significant associations or differences were found between RV-specific titers and demographic variables such as age, sex, or body mass index (BMI). CONCLUSIONS A high rate of seropositivity for rubella was found among this young adult cohort, but a significant percent of the cohort had lower titers that may indicate poor initial vaccine response and potential risk if their antibody titers decline.
Collapse
|
18
|
Targeting Adults for Supplementary Immunization Activities of Measles Control in Central China: A Mathematical Modelling Study. Sci Rep 2018; 8:16124. [PMID: 30382120 PMCID: PMC6208397 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-018-34461-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/10/2018] [Accepted: 10/18/2018] [Indexed: 11/17/2022] Open
Abstract
Routine immunizations and supplementary immunization activities (SIAs) have significantly improved measles control over the past two decades in China. Progress towards eliminating measles currently faces multiple challenges as the infection age increases, and adult-targeted SIA strategies are being considered. This study developed an age-stratified susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered model using a recently published contact matrix to depict measles transmissions between individuals in seven age groups. Hubei, a high measles-incidence province in central China, was the selected setting. The baseline scenario was calibrated by fitting with the 2012–2015 age-stratified incidence data. SIAs targeting multiple age groups were simulated. Adult-targeted (>29 years) two-year SIA cycles produced the greatest annual incidence rate decrease, reducing incidences by half over a long timespan with 90% coverage levels. Incidences could remain below 10/100,000 until 2030 if SIAs were provided to individuals ≥6 years old with at least 50% coverage. These findings will help officials prioritize supplementary vaccination strategies. Public health officials in China should consider adult-to-adult transmissions and provide adult-targeted SIAs. Although officials have reported approximately 90% SIA coverage in the past, SIAs for the adult population should be provided on shorter intervals, particularly for the aging population with decreased immunity.
Collapse
|
19
|
Mallory ML, Lindesmith LC, Baric RS. Vaccination-induced herd immunity: Successes and challenges. J Allergy Clin Immunol 2018; 142:64-66. [PMID: 29803799 DOI: 10.1016/j.jaci.2018.05.007] [Citation(s) in RCA: 55] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/10/2018] [Revised: 04/26/2018] [Accepted: 05/04/2018] [Indexed: 01/13/2023]
Affiliation(s)
- Michael L Mallory
- Department of Epidemiology, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC
| | - Lisa C Lindesmith
- Department of Epidemiology, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC
| | - Ralph S Baric
- Department of Epidemiology, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC.
| |
Collapse
|
20
|
Hu Y, Chen Y, Wang Y, Liang H. Evaluation of potentially achievable vaccination coverage of the second dose of measles containing vaccine with simultaneous administration and risk factors for missed opportunities among children in Zhejiang province, east China. Hum Vaccin Immunother 2018; 14:875-880. [PMID: 29252094 DOI: 10.1080/21645515.2017.1419111] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/18/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES This study aimed to evaluate the potential achievable coverage of the second dose of measles containing vaccine (MCV2) when the protocol of simultaneous administration of childhood vaccines was fully implemented. Risk factors for missed opportunity (MO) for simultaneous administration of MCV2 were also investigated. METHODS Children born from 1 January 2005 to 31 December 2014 and registered in Zhejiang provincial immunization information system were enrolled in this study. The MO of simultaneous administration of MCV2, the actual age-appropriate coverage (AAC) of MCV2 and the potentially achievable coverage (PAC) of MCV2 were evaluated and compared across different birth cohorts, by different socio-demographic variables. For the 2014 birth cohort, logistic regression model was used to detect the risk factors of MOs, from both socio-demographic and vaccination service providing aspects. RESULTS Compared to the AAC, the PAC of MCV2 increased significantly from 2005 birth cohort to 2014 birth cohort (p<0.001), with a median of 12.7 percentage points. Higher birth order of children, resident children, higher maternal education background, higher socio-economic development level of resident areas, less frequent vaccination service, and shorter vaccination service time were significant risk factors of MO for simultaneous administration of MCV2, with all p-value < 0.05. CONCLUSION The findings in this study suggest that fully utilization of all opportunities for simultaneous administration of all age-eligible vaccine doses at the same vaccination visit is critical for achieving the coverage target of 95% for MCV2. Future interventions focusing on the group with risk factors observed could substantially eliminate MOs for simultaneous administration of MCV2, further to improve the coverage of fully immunization of MCV, and finally achieve the goal of eliminating measles.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Yu Hu
- a Institute of Immunization and Prevention, Zhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention , Hangzhou , Zhejiang , China
| | - Yaping Chen
- a Institute of Immunization and Prevention, Zhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention , Hangzhou , Zhejiang , China
| | - Ying Wang
- a Institute of Immunization and Prevention, Zhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention , Hangzhou , Zhejiang , China
| | - Hui Liang
- a Institute of Immunization and Prevention, Zhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention , Hangzhou , Zhejiang , China
| |
Collapse
|
21
|
Pei L, Yang Y, Zhao X, Zhang S, Yuan L, Liu Y, Yu Y. Identify the susceptibility profile to measles in the general population: Serological survey of measles antibodies in Shaanxi province, China, in 2016. Vaccine 2017; 35:7250-7255. [PMID: 29153585 DOI: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2017.11.012] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/31/2017] [Revised: 09/17/2017] [Accepted: 11/07/2017] [Indexed: 12/12/2022]
Abstract
The reported coverage with two doses of the measles vaccine (MCV) in Shaanxi Province, China, is greater than 95%, but the measles incidence over the whole province remains high. Cross-sectional serological surveys of measles antibodies in Shaanxi Province were conducted in 2016 to assess the population's immunity. The measles IgG levels were measured in serum samples using ELISA. The geometric means concentration (GMC) levels and seroprevalence rates with 95% CIs were calculated by region, gender, and age. A total of 3574 serum samples were collected from participants aged from 2 months to 49 years. The GMC of measles antibodies was 471.3 mIU/ml (95% CI: 445.9-498.2 mIU/ml), and the seroprevalence was only 85.9% (95% CI: 84.8-87.1%). A significant difference in the GMC (P < .05) but not the seroprevalence (P > .05) was observed among the 3 regions. The report measles incidences were high in individuals aged 0-7 months (33.2/100 000) and 8-17 months (26.8/100 000). Although both measles immunity (90.7%) and MCV coverage (89.7%) were low in children aged 8-17 months, the measles seroprevalence in adults was high at greater than 90%. These results revealed that further actions may be taken to increase vaccination coverage in children aged 8 months to 5 years over the whole province and teenagers in the south region. In particular, timely administration of the first MCV dose should be emphasized to prevent measles epidemics in children aged 8-17 months. Vaccination strategies may be varied by age and region.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Lin Pei
- School of Public Health, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi'an, Shaanxi 710061, China; Northwest Women's and Children's Hospital, Xi'an, Shaanxi 710003, China
| | - Yuxuan Yang
- Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi'an, Shaanxi 710061, China
| | - Xiaodan Zhao
- Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi'an, Shaanxi 710061, China
| | - Shaobai Zhang
- Shaanxi Province Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Xi'an, Shaanxi 710054, China
| | - Lingyun Yuan
- School of Public Health, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi'an, Shaanxi 710061, China; Ankang Center for Disease Control and Prevention, An Kang, Shaanxi 725000, China
| | - Yamei Liu
- School of Public Health, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi'an, Shaanxi 710061, China; Yulin Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Yu Lin, Shaanxi 719000, China
| | - Yan Yu
- School of Public Health, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi'an, Shaanxi 710061, China.
| |
Collapse
|
22
|
Wang X, Ma M, Hui Z, Terry PD, Zhang Y, Su R, Wang M, Gu W, Li L. Seroprevalence of Measles Antibodies and Predictors for Seropositivity among Chinese Children. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2017; 14:E605. [PMID: 28587279 PMCID: PMC5486291 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph14060605] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/13/2017] [Revised: 05/22/2017] [Accepted: 06/02/2017] [Indexed: 11/17/2022]
Abstract
Background: Supplementary measles immunization has been implemented since 2010 throughout China, yet few studies have reported its effect in the northwest regions. Methods: A cross-sectional study was conducted among children aged 2 to 4 years old (n = 755) from February to September 2014 in 25 towns of Qian County, Shaanxi Province. Blood samples were analyzed for measles antibodies using enzyme-linked immunosorbent immunoglobulin G (IgG) assays. Socio-demographic factors were assessed by questionnaire. Data on vaccine dose were collected from town medical records. Univariate and logistic regression analyses were used to determine factors associated with measles antibody seropositivity. Results: Measles antibody seroprevalence was 91.13% (95% CI: 89.52-92.83) in our sample. Compared with children whose mother's highest education was primary school, seroprevalence was higher in children whose maternal education was middle school (adjusted OR: 1.4, 95% CI: 0.7-2.8), high school (adjusted OR: 2.4, 95% CI: 1.3-7.7), and college/university (adjusted OR: 2.9, 95% CI: 1.2-9.3). Vaccine dose was positively associated with seropositivity. Conclusions: Measles seroprevalence is high in China and is associated with the mother's education and vaccine dose.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Xiaoqin Wang
- Department of Public Health, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi'an 710061, China.
| | - Mei Ma
- Department of Public Health, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi'an 710061, China.
| | - Zhaozhao Hui
- Department of Public Health, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi'an 710061, China.
| | - Paul D Terry
- Department of Medicine, University of Tennessee Medical Center, Knoxville, TN 37920, USA.
| | - Yue Zhang
- Department of Public Health, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi'an 710061, China.
| | - Rui Su
- Center for Disease Control and Prevention in Qian County, Xianyang 713300, China.
| | - Mingxu Wang
- Department of Public Health, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi'an 710061, China.
| | - Wei Gu
- Department of Public Health, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi'an 710061, China.
| | - Ling Li
- Department of Public Health, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi'an 710061, China.
| |
Collapse
|
23
|
Tang L, Zhou Y, Pan Y, Zhu H. Measles epidemics and seroepidemiology of population in Wujin, Changzhou city, Jiangsu province, China 2015. Vaccine 2017; 35:2925-2929. [PMID: 28433329 DOI: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2017.04.018] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/10/2017] [Revised: 04/08/2017] [Accepted: 04/11/2017] [Indexed: 11/18/2022]
Abstract
The measles epidemic was rather severe in Wujin 2015, and a seroprevalence survey of measles antibody was conducted during June to September 2015 in Wjin district of Changzhou city. Blood samples were collected from community health population and convenient samples of residual blood from hospitals. Measles-specific IgG levels were measured by ELISA assay. A total of 122 measles cases were reported 2015 in Wujin district with an incidence of 8.31 per 100000 populations. A large proportion of measles cases were adults ≥20years (62.30%) and infants aged <18months (28.69%). Floating population accounted for 68.57% of all cases. 1070 blood samples aged from 9months to 49years old were collected and the overall seroprevalence and geometric mean titer (GMT) of measles were 82.71% and 551.19mIU/ml, respectively. Although the seroprevalence among children aged 9months to 4years was consistently over 90%, it began to decrease since 24months, and till the age of ≥10years, the seroprevalences were all <80%, however, the seroprevalence rised to above 80% in people over 40years. There were no significant differences between the two blood sample sources in the level of seroprevalence and GMT. Also no significant differences were observed in the seroprevalence of measles and GMT levels between genders. The seroprevalence and GMT in people with measles vaccination were higher than those without measles vaccination or people whose measles vaccination are unknown (P<0.001). Our study indicated that the adult measles cases have become a serious problem in Wujin district, which may mainly relate to the increasing size of the floating population with low measles vaccine coverage. The seroprevalence of measles decreased dramatically with increasing age since teenagers, which may mainly caused by waning vaccine-induced immunity. Therefore, it is necessary to strengthen measles vaccine in these people especially floating population.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Lingyan Tang
- Department of Epidemic Prevention, Wujin District Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Changzhou 213164, Jiangsu Province, China.
| | - Yihong Zhou
- Department of Epidemic Prevention, Wujin District Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Changzhou 213164, Jiangsu Province, China
| | - Yingzi Pan
- Department of Epidemic Prevention, Wujin District Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Changzhou 213164, Jiangsu Province, China
| | - Hongming Zhu
- Department of Epidemic Prevention, Wujin District Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Changzhou 213164, Jiangsu Province, China
| |
Collapse
|
24
|
Emek M, Islek D, Atasoylu G, Ozbek OA, Ceylan A, Acikgoz A, Tay Z, Demiral Y, Oktem MA, Unal B. Association between seroprevalence of measles and various social determinants in the year following a measles outbreak in Turkey. Public Health 2017; 147:51-58. [PMID: 28404496 DOI: 10.1016/j.puhe.2017.01.026] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/07/2016] [Revised: 11/25/2016] [Accepted: 01/25/2017] [Indexed: 11/24/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Despite an ongoing measles elimination programme, a measles outbreak occurred in 2013 in Turkey. Population-based seroprevalence studies are needed to determine seronegativity and explore the reasons for this outbreak. This study aimed to explore the seroprevalence of measles and its association with various social determinants in a provincial population in Turkey in the year following a measles outbreak. STUDY DESIGN Cross-sectional study. METHODS This study was conducted in Manisa Province in 2014 in a sample of 1740 people aged >2 years. The dependent variable was the seroprevalence of measles. Independent variables were sex, age, migration, household size, household density, income, education level, existence of chronic disease and occupational class. Blood samples were collected from participants at family health centres. The presence of specific measles antibodies in serum samples was determined using an anti-measles virus IgG enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay test. Chi-squared test and logistic regression analysis were performed. RESULTS Overall, data from 1250 people were analysed. The seroprevalence of measles in the whole study population was 82.2% (95% confidence interval 80.0-84.2). Seroprevalence was 55.4% among subjects aged 2-9 years, 48.7% among subjects aged 10-19 years, 74.1% among subjects aged 20-29 years and 93.6% among subjects aged 30-39 years (P < 0.01). Seroprevalence in subjects aged >40 years was >95%. The lowest seroprevalence was found in primary school children (40.2%), followed by those below the age for primary education (69.8%) and secondary school graduates (75.1%). The prevalence of measles seronegativity was not associated with any of the social determinants when adjusted for age. CONCLUSIONS The seroprevalence of measles was lower than expected in the study population and was particularly low in subjects aged <30 years of age despite previous vaccination. Seroprevalence was not associated with social determinants of health that confirmed either an even distribution of virus exposure or fair access to vaccination services. However, the current seroprevalence cannot be sufficiently effective to reach the measles elimination targets, suggesting that it may be necessary to re-evaluate the need for an extra dose of measles vaccine.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- M Emek
- Department of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, Dokuz Eylul University, Izmir, Turkey
| | - D Islek
- Department of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, Dokuz Eylul University, Izmir, Turkey.
| | - G Atasoylu
- Manisa Directorate of Public Health, Manisa, Turkey
| | - O A Ozbek
- Department of Medical Microbiology, Faculty of Medicine, Dokuz Eylul University, Izmir, Turkey
| | - A Ceylan
- Department of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, Dokuz Eylul University, Izmir, Turkey
| | - A Acikgoz
- Department of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, Dokuz Eylul University, Izmir, Turkey
| | - Z Tay
- Manisa Directorate of Public Health, Manisa, Turkey
| | - Y Demiral
- Department of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, Dokuz Eylul University, Izmir, Turkey
| | - M A Oktem
- Department of Medical Microbiology, Faculty of Medicine, Dokuz Eylul University, Izmir, Turkey
| | - B Unal
- Department of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, Dokuz Eylul University, Izmir, Turkey
| |
Collapse
|
25
|
Chong KC, Zhang C, Zee BCY, Luo T, Wang L, Tam GCH, Jia KM, Sun R, Wang MH, Guan X. Interpreting the transmissibility of measles in two different post periods of supplementary immunization activities in Hubei, China. Vaccine 2017; 35:1024-1029. [DOI: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2017.01.010] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/07/2016] [Revised: 01/03/2017] [Accepted: 01/05/2017] [Indexed: 11/26/2022]
|
26
|
He H, Yan R, Tang X, Zhou Y, Deng X, Xie S. Vaccination in secondary school students expedites rubella control and prevents congenital rubella syndrome. BMC Infect Dis 2016; 16:723. [PMID: 27899091 PMCID: PMC5129219 DOI: 10.1186/s12879-016-2046-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/20/2016] [Accepted: 11/18/2016] [Indexed: 12/03/2022] Open
Abstract
Background In order to control the spread of rubella and reduce the risk for congenital rubella syndrome, an additional rubella vaccination program was set up for all secondary school students since 2008 in Zhejiang, China. Methods We conducted a descriptive analysis of rubella incidence among different age groups from 2005 to 2015 and a serosurvey of female subjects aged 15–39 years to understand the possible effects of this immunization program. Results The average annual rubella incidence rate had decreased from 15.86 per 100,000 population (2005–2007) to 0.75 per 100,000 population (2013–2015) in Zhejiang. The decrease in the rate of rubella incidence in girls aged 15–19 years was more accelerated (from 138.30 to 0.34 per 100,000) than in the total population during 2008–2015 (from 32.20 to 0.46 per 100,000). Of 1225 female subjects in the serosurvey, 256 (20.9%) were not immune to rubella. The proportion of subjects immune to rubella was significantly different among different age groups (Wald χ2 = 22.19, p = 0.000), and subjects aged 15–19 years old had the highest immunity (88.0%). Rubella antibody levels were significantly lower in women aged 25–30 years with 26.7% of them not immune, followed by the group aged 20–24 years (25.0%) and 30–35 years (24.5%). Conclusions Rubella vaccine included in the Expanded Program on Immunization together with vaccination activities for secondary school students can help in rubella control, particularly in targeted age groups in the program. Seroprevalence of antibodies to the rubella virus amongst the female population within childbearing age in Zhejiang, China, is still too low to provide immunity. In addition to vaccination programs in the secondary schools, rubella vaccination should also be encouraged in women of childbearing age, which can be done effectively combined with pre-marital examination in China.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Hanqing He
- Zhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Hangzhou, 310051, People's Republic of China
| | - Rui Yan
- Zhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Hangzhou, 310051, People's Republic of China
| | - Xuewen Tang
- Zhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Hangzhou, 310051, People's Republic of China
| | - Yang Zhou
- Zhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Hangzhou, 310051, People's Republic of China
| | - Xuan Deng
- Zhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Hangzhou, 310051, People's Republic of China
| | - Shuyun Xie
- Zhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Hangzhou, 310051, People's Republic of China.
| |
Collapse
|
27
|
A 16-year review of seroprevalence studies on measles and rubella. Vaccine 2016; 34:4110-4118. [PMID: 27340097 DOI: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2016.06.002] [Citation(s) in RCA: 21] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/28/2015] [Revised: 05/15/2016] [Accepted: 06/01/2016] [Indexed: 01/31/2023]
Abstract
The determination of the seroprevalence of vaccine-preventable diseases is critical in monitoring the efficacy of vaccination programmes and to assess the gaps in population immunity but requires extensive organisation and is time and resource intensive. The results of the studies are frequently reported in peer-reviewed scientific, government and non-government publications. A review of scientific literature was undertaken to advise the development of WHO guidelines for the assessment of measles and rubella seroprevalence. A search of the National Library of Medicine's PubMed online publications using key words of 'measles', 'rubella', combined with 'serosurvey', 'seroprevalence', 'immunity' and 'population immunity' was conducted. A total of 97 articles published between January 1998 and June 2014 were retrieved, 68 describing serosurveys for measles and 58 serosurveys for rubella, conducted in 37 and 36 different countries respectively. Only 13 (19%) and 8 (14%) respectively were UN classified "least developed countries". The study sample varied markedly and included combinations of male and female infants, children, adolescents and adults. The study sizes also varied with 28% and 33% of measles and rubella studies respectively, having greater than 2000 participants. Microtitre plate enzyme immunoassays were used in 52 (76%) measles studies and 40 (69%) rubella studies. A total of 39 (57%) measles and 44 (76%) rubella studies reported quantitative test results. Seroprevalence ranged from 60.8% to 95.9% for measles and 53.0% to 99.3% for rubella studies. The review highlighted that infants lost maternally-acquired immunity within 9months of birth and were unprotected until vaccination. Two groups at higher risk of infection were identified: young adults between the ages of 15 and 30years and immigrants.
Collapse
|
28
|
Boulton ML, Wang X, Zhang Y, Montgomery JP, Wagner AL, Carlson BF, Ding Y, Li X, Gillespie B, Su X. A population profile of measles susceptibility in Tianjin, China. Vaccine 2016; 34:3037-3043. [PMID: 27151881 DOI: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2016.04.094] [Citation(s) in RCA: 20] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/15/2016] [Revised: 04/26/2016] [Accepted: 04/27/2016] [Indexed: 10/21/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Measles is a highly infectious illness requiring herd immunity of 95% to interrupt transmission. Measles is targeted for elimination in China, which has not reached elimination goals despite high vaccination coverage. We developed a population profile of measles immunity among residents aged 0-49 years in Tianjin, China. METHODS Participants were either from community population registers or community immunization records. Measles IgG antibody status was assessed using dried blood spots. We examined the association between measles IgG antibody status and independent variables including urbanicity, sex, vaccination, measles history, and age. RESULTS 2818 people were enrolled. The proportion measles IgG negative increased from 50.7% for infants aged 1 month to 98.3% for those aged 7 months. After 8 months, the age of vaccination eligibility, the proportion of infants and children measles IgG negative decreased. Overall, 7.8% of participants 9 months of age or older lacked measles immunity including over 10% of those 20-39 years. Age and vaccination status were significantly associated with measles IgG status in the multivariable model. The odds of positive IgG status were 0.337 times as high for unvaccinated compared to vaccinated (95% CI: 0.217, 0.524). CONCLUSIONS The proportion of persons in Tianjin, China immune to measles was lower than herd immunity threshold with less than 90% of people aged 20-39 years demonstrating protection. Immunization programs in Tianjin have been successful in vaccinating younger age groups although high immunization coverage in infants and children alone would not provide protective herd immunity, given the large proportion of non-immune adults.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Matthew L Boulton
- Department of Epidemiology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109, USA; Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Infectious Diseases, University of Michigan, MI 48109, USA.
| | - Xiexiu Wang
- Tianjin Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Tianjin 300011, People's Republic of China
| | - Ying Zhang
- Tianjin Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Tianjin 300011, People's Republic of China
| | - JoLynn P Montgomery
- Department of Epidemiology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109, USA
| | - Abram L Wagner
- Department of Epidemiology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109, USA
| | - Bradley F Carlson
- Department of Epidemiology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109, USA
| | - Yaxing Ding
- Tianjin Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Tianjin 300011, People's Republic of China
| | - Xiaoyan Li
- Tianjin Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Tianjin 300011, People's Republic of China
| | - Brenda Gillespie
- Department of Biostatistics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109, USA
| | - Xu Su
- Tianjin Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Tianjin 300011, People's Republic of China
| |
Collapse
|
29
|
Gonwong S, Chuenchitra T, Khantapura P, Islam D, Mason CJ. Measles susceptibility in young Thai men suggests need for young adult measles vaccination: a cross sectional study. BMC Public Health 2016; 16:309. [PMID: 27067256 PMCID: PMC4827213 DOI: 10.1186/s12889-016-2987-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/17/2015] [Accepted: 03/25/2016] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Measles remains a major public health concern in Thailand despite the introduction of vaccination since 1984. Similar to other countries, Thailand has experienced numerous measles outbreaks including adult communities such as university student dormitories, prisons, refugee camps, and military recruit camps. These outbreaks raise questions on the seroprotective antibody level in Thai adults. Methods To better understand measles susceptibility in young Thai adults, a retrospective measles seroprevalence study on repository serum specimens obtained with informed consent from young Thai men entering the Royal Thai Army (RTA) during 2007–2008 was conducted. A total of 7760 stratified randomized samples were chosen by residence province. Measles IgG titer was measured using a commercial IgG quantitative ELISA kit following the manufacturer’s instructions. An antibody level ≥ 250 International Units per Liter (IU/L) was interpreted as seropositive. Results The overall measles seroprevalence was 78.5 % (95 % Confidence Interval: 77.6–79.4 %) with geometric mean titer of 738 IU/L (95 % Confidence Interval: 716–760 IU/L). The measles seroprevalence by province ranged from 59.6 % to 93.1 %. A trend of decreasing seroprevalence in the younger cohorts despite increasing immunization coverage was found. Lower seroprevalence than vaccination coverage was observed in the youngest age group. Conclusions To achieve long term measles control and elimination, an integrated two doses vaccination strategy has been implemented in children in Thailand. This nationwide measles seroprevalence study in young adult RTA recruits found a measles seroprevalence lower than WHO’s recommendation for measles outbreak prevention and elimination. These results raise concerns for measles control in Thailand. Supplementary immunization in young adults is essential especially in high-risk and densely populated communities to establish herd immunity for outbreak prevention and elimination.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Siriphan Gonwong
- Department of Enteric Diseases, Armed Forces Research Institute of Medical Sciences, 315/6 Rajvithi Road, Bangkok, 10400, Thailand.
| | - Thippawan Chuenchitra
- Division of Research, Armed Forces Research Institute of Medical Sciences, Bangkok, 315/6 Rajvithi Road, Bangkok, 10400, Thailand
| | - Patchariya Khantapura
- Department of Enteric Diseases, Armed Forces Research Institute of Medical Sciences, 315/6 Rajvithi Road, Bangkok, 10400, Thailand
| | - Dilara Islam
- Department of Enteric Diseases, Armed Forces Research Institute of Medical Sciences, 315/6 Rajvithi Road, Bangkok, 10400, Thailand
| | - Carl J Mason
- Department of Enteric Diseases, Armed Forces Research Institute of Medical Sciences, 315/6 Rajvithi Road, Bangkok, 10400, Thailand
| |
Collapse
|
30
|
An assessment of measles vaccine effectiveness, Australia, 2006-2012. Western Pac Surveill Response J 2015; 6:43-50. [PMID: 26668766 DOI: 10.5365/wpsar.2015.6.2.007] [Citation(s) in RCA: 22] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/20/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Vaccine effectiveness analysis serves as a critical evaluation for immunization programmes and vaccination coverage. It also contributes to maintaining public confidence with the vaccine providers. This study estimated measles vaccine effectiveness at the population level using Australian national notifications data between 2006 and 2012. METHODS Notification data were obtained from the National Notifiable Diseases Surveillance System. Vaccination status was classified according to whether a case had received zero, one or two doses of measles-containing vaccine. Cases aged less than 1 year and those with unknown vaccination status were excluded. All children with disease onset between 1 January 2006 and 31 December 2012 who were born after 1996 were included. Cases were matched to controls extracted from the Australian Childhood Immunization Register according to date of birth and jurisdiction of residence. Vaccine effectiveness was estimated by conditional logistic regression. Sensitivity analyses were conducted to test data robustness. RESULTS Vaccine effectiveness was estimated at 96.7% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 94.5-98.0%) for one dose and 99.7% (95% CI: 99.2-99.9%) for two doses of measles vaccine. For at least one dose, effectiveness was estimated at 98.7% (95% CI: 97.9-99.2%). Sensitivity analyses did not significantly alter the base estimates. DISCUSSION Vaccine effectiveness estimates suggested that the measles vaccine was protective at the population level between 2006 and 2012. However, vaccination coverage gaps may have contributed to recent measles outbreaks and may represent a serious barrier for Australia to maintain measles elimination status.
Collapse
|
31
|
Does an education seminar intervention improve the parents' knowledge on vaccination? Evidence from Yiwu, East China. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2015; 12:3469-79. [PMID: 25811770 PMCID: PMC4410197 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph120403469] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/23/2014] [Revised: 03/16/2015] [Accepted: 03/18/2015] [Indexed: 01/22/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND caregivers' knowledge on vaccination is an important impact factor for their children's vaccination status. The aims of this study were to evaluate the caregivers' knowledge of vaccination, and to assess effectiveness of a health education seminar for improving caregivers' knowledge on immunization. METHODS pre- and post-assessment design was adopted for a single group to evaluate the effectiveness of the health education seminar on vaccination. The seminar consisted of a lecture using simple understandable language. Improvements in total knowledge score before and after the seminar were assessed using a validated questionnaire that included ten questions. Description analysis and non-parametric tests were applied to evaluate and compare the vaccination knowledge level before and after the seminar. RESULTS 378 caregivers participated in this study. The majority were mothers. Of the ten questions, the correct response rates had significantly increased for nine questions after the education seminar. The mean total score of the assessment before the seminar was 5.2 ± 1.2 while that was 8.4 ± 0.9 for the assessment after the seminar, with a significant increase of 3.18 points. CONCLUSION a short education seminar designed for caregivers had a remarkable effect on their vaccination knowledge. Health education on vaccination targeting migrant caregivers, caregivers with lower education level or household income, and employed caregivers are needed in future.
Collapse
|
32
|
Haralambieva IH, Simon WL, Kennedy RB, Ovsyannikova IG, Warner ND, Grill DE, Poland GA. Profiling of measles-specific humoral immunity in individuals following two doses of MMR vaccine using proteome microarrays. Viruses 2015; 7:1113-33. [PMID: 25763865 PMCID: PMC4379563 DOI: 10.3390/v7031113] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/18/2014] [Accepted: 02/20/2015] [Indexed: 12/27/2022] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Comprehensive evaluation of measles-specific humoral immunity after vaccination is important for determining new and/or additional correlates of vaccine immunogenicity and efficacy. METHODS We used a novel proteome microarray technology and statistical modeling to identify factors and models associated with measles-specific functional protective immunity in 150 measles vaccine recipients representing the extremes of neutralizing antibody response after two vaccine doses. RESULTS Our findings demonstrate a high seroprevalence of antibodies directed to the measles virus (MV) phosphoprotein (P), nucleoprotein (N), as well as antibodies to the large polymerase (L) protein (fragment 1234 to 1900 AA). Antibodies to these proteins, in addition to anti-F antibodies (and, to a lesser extent, anti-H antibodies), were correlated with neutralizing antibody titer and/or were associated with and predictive of neutralizing antibody response. CONCLUSION Our results identify antibodies to specific measles virus proteins and statistical models for monitoring and assessment of measles-specific functional protective immunity in vaccinated individuals.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Iana H Haralambieva
- Mayo Vaccine Research Group, Mayo Clinic, Guggenheim 611C, 200 First Street SW, Rochester, MN 55905, USA.
- Program in Translational Immunovirology and Biodefense, Mayo Clinic and Foundation, Rochester, MN 55905, USA.
| | - Whitney L Simon
- Mayo Vaccine Research Group, Mayo Clinic, Guggenheim 611C, 200 First Street SW, Rochester, MN 55905, USA.
| | - Richard B Kennedy
- Mayo Vaccine Research Group, Mayo Clinic, Guggenheim 611C, 200 First Street SW, Rochester, MN 55905, USA.
- Program in Translational Immunovirology and Biodefense, Mayo Clinic and Foundation, Rochester, MN 55905, USA.
| | - Inna G Ovsyannikova
- Mayo Vaccine Research Group, Mayo Clinic, Guggenheim 611C, 200 First Street SW, Rochester, MN 55905, USA.
- Program in Translational Immunovirology and Biodefense, Mayo Clinic and Foundation, Rochester, MN 55905, USA.
| | - Nathaniel D Warner
- Division of Biomedical Statistics and Informatics, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN 55905, USA.
| | - Diane E Grill
- Division of Biomedical Statistics and Informatics, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN 55905, USA.
| | - Gregory A Poland
- Mayo Vaccine Research Group, Mayo Clinic, Guggenheim 611C, 200 First Street SW, Rochester, MN 55905, USA.
- Program in Translational Immunovirology and Biodefense, Mayo Clinic and Foundation, Rochester, MN 55905, USA.
- Department of General Internal Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN 55905, USA.
| |
Collapse
|
33
|
Wang FJ, Sun XJ, Wang FL, Jiang LF, Xu EP, Guo JF. An outbreak of adult measles by nosocomial transmission in a high vaccination coverage community. Int J Infect Dis 2014; 26:67-70. [PMID: 25008769 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijid.2014.05.006] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/03/2014] [Revised: 05/04/2014] [Accepted: 05/06/2014] [Indexed: 10/25/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES The aims of this study were to determine the mechanism of an outbreak of measles in adults and to provide scientific measures for putting forward a measles elimination program. METHODS We performed a cross-sectional investigation during the measles outbreak to identify a possible communication link. RESULTS From November 1, 2011 to January 26, 2012, the town reported 11 cases of measles in total. The case study identified an obvious propagation chain, which showed ordered and intimate exposure between cases. CONCLUSIONS Hospital exposure 1-2 weeks before infection with measles was the main cause of the measles outbreak. We must be fully aware of the possibility of nosocomial infection in an outbreak of measles; controlling nosocomial infections is a vital step in the prevention and control of the propagation of measles.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Fen-juan Wang
- Xiaoshan Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Hangzhou, Zhejiang 311201, China.
| | - Xiang-jue Sun
- Xiaoshan Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Hangzhou, Zhejiang 311201, China
| | - Fu-liang Wang
- Xiaoshan Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Hangzhou, Zhejiang 311201, China
| | - Long-fang Jiang
- Xiaoshan Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Hangzhou, Zhejiang 311201, China
| | - Er-ping Xu
- Hangzhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Zhejiang, China
| | - Jian-feng Guo
- Xiaoshan Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Hangzhou, Zhejiang 311201, China
| |
Collapse
|
34
|
Similar immunogenicity of measles–mumps–rubella (MMR) vaccine administrated at 8 months versus 12 months age in children. Vaccine 2014; 32:4001-5. [DOI: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2014.04.044] [Citation(s) in RCA: 20] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/31/2013] [Revised: 02/28/2014] [Accepted: 04/17/2014] [Indexed: 10/25/2022]
|
35
|
Liu Y, Lu P, Hu Y, Wang Z, Deng X, Ma F, Tao H, Jia C, Ding X, Yang H, Liu P, Min J. Cross-sectional surveys of measles antibodies in the Jiangsu Province of China from 2008 to 2010: the effect of high coverage with two doses of measles vaccine among children. PLoS One 2013; 8:e66771. [PMID: 23825562 PMCID: PMC3692513 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0066771] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/15/2013] [Accepted: 05/12/2013] [Indexed: 11/19/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Changes in the epidemiological characteristics of measles since 2007 appeared in the Jiangsu province. Although the reported coverage with two doses of measles vaccine was greater than 95% in most regions of the province, measles incidence remained high across the whole province. Cross-sectional serological surveys of measles antibodies in the Jiangsu province of China were conducted from 2008 to 2010 to assess and track population immunity. METHODS Measles-specific IgG levels were measured in serum samples using ELISA. GMTs and seroprevalence with 95% CIs were calculated by region, gender, and age. ANOVA and χ(2) tests were used to test for statistically significant differences between groups for GMT levels and seroprevalence, respectively. RESULTS Seroprevalence showed a significantly increasing trend annually (CMH χ(2) = 40.32, p<0.0001). Although the seroprevalence among children aged 2-15 years was consistently over 95%, vaccine-induced measles antibodies may wane over time. Measles seropositivity in the Jiangsu province was 91.7% (95% CI: 90.1-93.2%) in 2010. Among adults aged 15 to 29-year-olds, the seropositivity rate was 88.4% (95% CI: 82.7-92.8%). CONCLUSIONS Vaccination strategies may need to be adjusted depending on the individual age and regions, particularly individuals between the ages of 8 months-14 years old and 20-29 years old. Additional SIAs are likely required to eliminate measles in China.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Yuanbao Liu
- Department of Expanded Programme on Immunization, Jiangsu Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Nanjing, Jiangsu Province, China
| | - Peishan Lu
- Department of Expanded Programme on Immunization, Jiangsu Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Nanjing, Jiangsu Province, China
| | - Ying Hu
- Department of Expanded Programme on Immunization, Jiangsu Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Nanjing, Jiangsu Province, China
| | - Zhiguo Wang
- Department of Expanded Programme on Immunization, Jiangsu Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Nanjing, Jiangsu Province, China
| | - Xiuying Deng
- Department of Expanded Programme on Immunization, Jiangsu Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Nanjing, Jiangsu Province, China
| | - Fubao Ma
- Department of Expanded Programme on Immunization, Jiangsu Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Nanjing, Jiangsu Province, China
| | - Hong Tao
- Department of Expanded Programme on Immunization, Jiangsu Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Nanjing, Jiangsu Province, China
| | - Chengmei Jia
- Department of Expanded Programme on Immunization, Jiangsu Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Nanjing, Jiangsu Province, China
| | - Xiaoyan Ding
- Department of Expanded Programme on Immunization, Jiangsu Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Nanjing, Jiangsu Province, China
| | - Haitao Yang
- Department of Expanded Programme on Immunization, Jiangsu Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Nanjing, Jiangsu Province, China
| | - Pei Liu
- Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Southeast University, Nanjing, Jiangsu Province, China
| | - Jie Min
- Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Southeast University, Nanjing, Jiangsu Province, China
| |
Collapse
|