A novel approach for estimating and predicting uncertainty in water quality index model using machine learning approaches

A novel coupling interpretable machine learning framework for water quality prediction and environmental effect understanding in different flow discharge regulations of hydro-projects

Machine learning models (MLMs) have been increasingly used to forecast water pollution. However, the "black box" characteristic for understanding mechanism processes still limits the applicability of MLMs for water quality management in hydro-projects under complex and frequently artificial regulation. This study proposes an interpretable machine learning framework for water quality prediction coupled with a hydrodynamic (flow discharge) scenario-based Random Forest (RF) model with multiple model-agnostic techniques and quantifies global, local, and joint interpretations (i.e., partial dependence, individual conditional expectation, and accumulated local effects) of environmental factor implications. The framework was applied and verified to predict the permanganate index (CODMn) under different flow discharge regulation scenarios in the Middle Route of the South-to-North Water Diversion Project of China (MRSNWDPC). A total of 4664 sampling cases data matrices, including water quality, meteorological, and hydrological indicators from eight national stations along the main canal of the MRSNWDPC, were collected from May 2019 to December 2020. The results showed that the RF models were effective in forecasting CODMn in all flow discharge scenarios, with a mean square error, coefficient of determination, and mean absolute error of 0.006-0.026, 0.481-0.792, and 0.069-0.104, respectively, in the testing dataset. A global interpretation indicated that dissolved oxygen, flow discharge, and surface pressure are the three most important variables of CODMn. Local and joint interpretations indicated that the RF-based prediction model provides a basic understanding of the physical mechanisms of environmental systems. The proposed framework can effectively learn the fundamental environmental implications of water quality variations and provide reliable prediction performance, highlighting the importance of model interpretability for trustworthy machine learning applications in water management projects. This study provides scientific references for applying advanced data-driven MLMs to water quality forecasting and a reliable methodological framework for water quality management and similar hydro-projects.

Natural background level, source apportionment and health risk assessment of potentially toxic elements in multi-layer aquifers of arid area in Northwest China

Groundwater contaminated by potentially toxic elements has become an increasing global concern for human health. Therefore, it is crucial to identify the sources and health risks of potentially toxic elements, especially in arid areas. Despite the necessity, there is a notable research gap concerning the sources and risks of these elements within multi-layer aquifers in such regions. To address this gap, 54 phreatic and 24 confined groundwater samples were collected from an arid area in Northwest China. This study aimed to trace the sources and evaluate the human health risks of potentially toxic elements by natural background level (NBL), positive matrix factorization (PMF) model, and health risk model. Findings revealed exceeding levels of potentially toxic elements existed in phreatic and confined aquifers. Source apportionment and NBL results indicated that mineral dissolution, evaporation, redox reactions, and human activities were the main factors for elevated concentrations of potentially toxic elements. High Fe and Mn concentrations were attributed to reduction environments, while F accumulation resulted from slow runoff, and irrigation from the Yellow River. Due to high F levels, more than one-third of groundwater samples (phreatic: 33.14 %, confined: 56.22 %) posed non-carcinogenic health risks to population groups. Adults displayed higher carcinogenic risks (phreatic: 19.47 %, confined: 34.16 %) than infants (phreatic: 0 %, confined: 0 %) and children (phreatic: 1.26 %, confined: 7.97 %) owing to the toxic elements of Cr. The confined aquifer presented greater health risks than the phreatic aquifer. Consequently, controlling the levels of F and Cr in multi-layered aquifers is key to reducing health risks. These findings provide valuable insights into protecting groundwater from contamination by potentially toxic elements in multi-layered aquifers worldwide.

Enhancing local-scale groundwater quality predictions using advanced machine learning approaches

Assessing groundwater quality typically involves labor-intensive, time-consuming, and costly laboratory tests, making real-time monitoring impractical, especially at the local level. Groundwater quality projections at the local scale using broad spatial datasets have been inaccurate due to variations in hydrogeology, human activities, industrial operations, groundwater extraction, and waste disposal. This study aims to identify the most dependable and resilient machine learning algorithms for forecasting groundwater quality at nearby monitoring locations by utilizing simple water quality metrics that can be quickly assessed without extensive sampling and laboratory testing. The Entropy-weighted Water Quality Index (EWQI) was calculated using a large spatial and temporal dataset (2014-2021) of 977 wells with parameters including pH, total hardness (TH), calcium (Ca2⁺), magnesium (Mg2⁺), sodium (Na⁺), potassium (K⁺), sulfate (SO₄2⁻), chloride (Cl⁻), nitrate (NO₃⁻), total dissolved solids (TDS), and fluoride (F⁻). Further, similar parameters were also observed in 33 open wells at the three local monitoring sites from December 2022 to March 2023. The EWQI was predicted using a Random Forest (RF), eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGB), and Deep Neural Network (DNN). The pH, TH, and TDS were used as input variables for EWQI predictions, as they can be easily measured using handheld probes or multi-parameters. The model performance was evaluated using R2, MAE, and RMSE. During the training stage, all three models predicted the EWQI with an R2 greater than 90%, with minimal errors when pH, TH, and TDS were input variables. To validate the models at a local scale, the EWQI was predicted at the village level (e.g., Antoli, Balapura, and Lapodiaya) using pH, TH, and TDS as input variables. The machine learning models were able to predict the EWQI very closely to the actual EWQI, with an R2 greater than 90%. It is also evident that the models could predict the EWQI using basic parameters that are easily measured, providing an overall idea of the water quality for a small area. Hence, these machine learning models could be useful for accurately representing groundwater quality, thereby avoiding the use of time-consuming and costly laboratory techniques.

Characterizing sector-oriented roadside exposure to ultrafine particles (PM0.1) via machine learning models: Implications of covariates influences on sectors variability

Ultrafine particles (UFPs; PM0.1) possess intensified health risk due to their smaller size and unique spatial variability. One of major emission sources for UFPs is vehicle exhaust, which varies based on the traffic composition in each type of roadside sector. The current challenge of epidemiological UFPs study is limited characterization ability due to expensive instruments. This study assessed the UFPs particle number concentrations (UFPs PNC) exposure dose for typical healthy adults and children at three different roadside sectors, including industrial roadside (IN), residential roadside (RS), and urban background (UB). Furthermore, this study also developed and utilized machine learning (ML) algorithms that could accurately characterize the UFPs exposure dose and explain the covariates effects on the model outputs, representing the intra-urban variability of UFPs between sectors. It was found that the average inhaled UFPs dose for healthy adults and children during off-peak season (warm period) were 1.71 ± 0.19 × 1010; 1.28 ± 0.22 × 1010; 1.09 ± 0.18 × 1010 #/hour and 1.33 ± 0.15 × 1010; 0.99 ± 0.17 × 1010; 0.86 ± 0.14 × 1010 #/hour at IN, RS, UB. Inhaled UFPs were mainly deposited in tracheobronchial (TB) respiratory fraction for adults (67.7%) and in alveoli (ALV) fraction for children (67.5%). Among three ML algorithms implemented in this study, XGBoost possessed the highest UFPs PNC exposure dose estimation performances with R2 = 0.965; 0.959; 0.929 & RMSE = 0.79 × 108; 0.54 × 108; 0.15 × 105 #/hour at IN, RS, and UB which then followed by multiple linear regression (MLR), and random forest (RF). Furthermore, SHAP analysis from the XGBoost model has successfully pointed out the spatial variability of each roadside sector by quantifying the approximated contributions of covariates to the model's output. Findings in this study highlighted the potential use of ML models as an alternative for preliminary particle exposure source apportionment.

Assessment of drinking water quality and identifying pollution sources in a chromite mining region

Water sources near mining regions are often susceptible to contamination from toxic elements. This study employs machine learning (ML) techniques to evaluate drinking water quality and identify pollution sources near a chromite mine in Iran. Human health risks were assessed using both deterministic and probabilistic approaches. Findings revealed that concentrations of calcium (Ca), chromium (Cr), lithium (Li), magnesium (Mg), and sodium (Na) in the water samples exceeded international safety standards. The Unweighted Root Mean Square water quality index (RMS-WQI) and Weighted Quadratic Mean (WQM-WQI) categorized all water samples as 'Fair', with average scores of 67.95 and 67.19, respectively. Of the ML models tested, the Extra Trees (ET) algorithm emerged as the top predictor of WQI, with Mg and strontium (Sr) as key variables influencing the scores. Principal component analysis (PCA) identified three distinct clusters of water quality parameters, highlighting influences from both local geology and anthropogenic activities. The highest average hazard quotient (HQ) for Cr was 1.71 for children, 1.27 for adolescents, and 1.05 for adults. Monte Carlo simulation for health risk assessment indicated median hazard index (HI) of 4.48 for children, 3.58 for teenagers, and 2.98 for adults, all exceeding the acceptable threshold of 1. Total carcinogenic risk (TCR) exceeded the EPA's acceptable level for 99.38 % of children, 98.24 % of teenagers, and 100 % of adults, with arsenic (As) and Cr identified as the main contributors. The study highlights the need for urgent mitigation measures, recommending a 99 % reduction in concentrations of key contaminants to lower both carcinogenic and non-carcinogenic risks to acceptable levels.

Harnessing machine learning for assessing climate change influences on groundwater resources: A comprehensive review

Climate change is a major concern for a range of environmental issues including water resources especially groundwater. Recent studies have reported significant impact of various climatic factors such as change in temperature, precipitation, evapotranspiration, etc. on different groundwater variables. For this, a range of tools and techniques are widely used in the literature including advanced machine learning (ML) and artificial intelligence (AI) approaches. To the best of the authors' knowledge, this review is one of the novel studies that offers an in-depth exploration of ML/AI models for evaluating climate change impact on groundwater variables. The study primarily focuses on the efficacy of various ML/AI models in forecasting critical groundwater parameters such as levels, discharge, storage, and quality under various climatic pressures like temperature and precipitation that influence these variables. A total of 65 research papers were selected for review from the year 2017-2023, providing an up-to-date exploration of the advancements in ML/AI methods for assessing the impact of climate change on various groundwater variables. It should be noted that the ML/AI model performance depends on the data attributes like data types, geospatial resolution, temporal scale etc. Moreover, depending on the research aim and objectives of the different studies along with the data availability, various sets of historical/observation data have been used in the reviewed studies Therefore, the reviewed studies considered these attributes for evaluating different ML/AI models. The results of the study highlight the exceptional ability of neural networks, random forest (RF), decision tree (DT), support vector machines (SVM) to perform exceptionally accurate in predicting water resource changes and identifying key determinants of groundwater level fluctuations. Additionally, the review emphasizes on the enhanced accuracy achieved through hybrid and ensemble ML approaches. In terms of Irish context, the study reveals significant climate change risks posing threats to groundwater quantity and quality along with limited research conducted in this avenue. Therefore, the findings of this review can be helpful for understanding the interplay between climate change and groundwater variables along with the details of the various tools and techniques including ML/AI approaches for assessing the impacts of climate changes on groundwater.

A multidirectional pairwise coupling approach with spectral features unmixing to quantify total phosphorus, total nitrogen, and chlorophyll-a in urban rivers

Comprehensive and effective water quality monitoring is vital to water environment management and prevention of water quality from degradation. Unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) remote sensing techniques have gradually matured and prevailed in monitoring water quality of urban rivers, posing great opportunity for more effective and flexible quantitative estimation of water quality parameter (WQP) than satellite remote sensing techniques. However, current UAV remote sensing methods often entail large quantities of cost-prohibitive in-situ collected training samples with corresponding chemical analysis in different monitoring watersheds, laying time and fiscal pressure on local environmental protection department. They suffer relatively low calculation accuracy and stability and their applicability in various watersheds is constrained. This study developed a unified two-stage method, multidirectional pairwise coupling (MDPC) with information sharing and delivery of different modeling stages to efficiently predict concentrations of WQPs including total phosphorus (TP), total nitrogen (TN), and chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) from hyperspectral data. MDPC incorporates exterior and interior feature interaction and gravity model variant to improve prediction accuracy and stability with consideration of mutual effect in the proximity. The structure design and workflow of MDPC ensure high robustness and application prospect due to achievement of good performance with less training samples, improving applicability and feasibility. The experiments show that MDPC has achieved good performance on retrieval of WQPs concentrations including TP, TN, and Chl-a, the results mean absolute percent error (MAPE) and coefficient of determination (R2) ranging from 6.34 % to 11.94 % and from 0.74 to 0.93. This study provides a systematic and scientific reference to formulate a feasible and efficient water environment management scheme.

An integrated deep learning approach for modeling dissolved oxygen concentration at coastal inlets based on hydro-climatic parameters

Climate change has a significant impact on dissolved oxygen (DO) concentrations, particularly in coastal inlets where numerous human activities occur. Due to the various water quality (WQ), hydrological, and climatic parameters that influence this phenomenon, predicting and modeling DO variation is a challenging process. Accordingly, this study introduces an innovative Deep Learning Neural Network (DLNN) methodology to model and predict DO concentrations for the Egyptian Rashid coastal inlet, leveraging field-recorded WQ and hydroclimatic datasets. Initially, statistical and exploratory data analyses are performed to provide a thorough understanding of the relationship between DO fluctuations and associated WQ and hydroclimatic stressors. As an initial step towards developing an effective DO predictive model, conventional Machine Learning (ML) approaches such as Gaussian Process Regression (GPR), Support Vector Regression (SVR), and Decision Tree Regressor (DTR) are employed. Subsequently, a DLNN approach is utilized to validate the prediction capabilities of the investigated conventional ML approaches. Finally, a sensitivity analysis is conducted to evaluate the impact of WQ and hydroclimatic parameters on predicted DO. The outcomes demonstrate that DLNN significantly improves DO prediction accuracy by 4% compared to the best-performing ML approach, achieving a Correlation Coefficient of 0.95 with a root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.42 mg/l. Solar radiation (SR), pH, water levels (WL), and atmospheric pressure (P) emerge as the most significant hydroclimatic parameters influencing DO fluctuations. Ultimately, the developed models could serve as effective indicators for coastal authorities to monitor DO changes resulting from accelerated climate change along the Egyptian coast.

Ecological restoration for eutrophication mitigation in urban interconnected water bodies: Evaluation, variability and strategy

Many urban water bodies grapple with low flow flux and weak hydrodynamics. To address these issues, projects have been implemented to form integrated urban water bodies via interconnecting artificial lake or ponds with rivers, but causing pollution accumulation downstream and eutrophication. Despite it is crucial to assess eutrophication, research on this topic in urban interconnected water bodies is limited, particularly regarding variability and feasible strategies for remediation. This study focused on the Loucun river in Shenzhen, comprising an pond, river and artificial lake, evaluating water quality changes pre-(post-)ecological remediation and establishing a new method for evaluating the water quality index (WQI). The underwater forest project, involving basement improvement, vegetation restoration, and aquatic augmentation, in the artificial lake significantly reduced total nitrogen (by 43.58%), total phosphorus (by 79.17%) and algae density (by 36.90%) compared to pre-remediation, effectively controlling algal bloom. Rainfall, acting as a variable factor, exacerbated downstream nutrient accumulation, increasing total phosphorus by 4.56 times and ammonia nitrogen by 1.30 times compared to the dry season, and leading to algal blooms in the non-restoration pond. The improved WQI method effectively assesses water quality status. The interconnected water body exhibits obvious nutrient accumulation in downstream regions. A combined strategy that reducing nutrient and augmenting flux was verified to alleviate accumulation of nutrients downstream. This study provides valuable insights into pollution management strategies for interconnected pond-river-lake water bodies, offering significant reference for nutrient mitigation in such urban water bodies.

A machine learning approach to investigate the impact of land use land cover (LULC) changes on groundwater quality, health risks and ecological risks through GIS and response surface methodology (RSM)

Groundwater resources are enormously affected by land use land cover (LULC) dynamics caused by increasing urbanisation, agricultural and household discharge as a result of global population growth. This study investigates the impact of decadal LULC changes in groundwater quality, human and ecological health from 2009 to 2021 in a diverse landscape, West Bengal, India. Using groundwater quality data from 479 wells in 2009 and 734 well in 2021, a recently proposed Water Pollution Index (WPI) was computed, and its geospatial distribution by a machine learning-based 'Empirical Bayesian Kriging' (EBK) tool manifested a decline in water quality since the number of excellent water category decreased from 30.5% to 28% and polluted water increased from 44% to 45%. ANOVA and Friedman tests revealed statistically significant differences (p < 0.0001) in year-wise water quality parameters as well as group comparisons for both years. Landsat 7 and 8 satellite images were used to classify the LULC types applying machine learning tools for both years, and were coupled with response surface methodology (RSM) for the first time, which revealed that the alteration of groundwater quality were attributed to LULC changes, e.g. WPI showed a positive correlation with built-up areas, village-vegetation cover, agricultural lands, and a negative correlation with surface water, barren lands, and forest cover. Expansion in built-up areas by 0.7%, and village-vegetation orchards by 2.3%, accompanied by a reduction in surface water coverage by 0.6%, and 2.4% in croplands caused a 1.5% drop in excellent water and 1% increase in polluted water category. However, ecological risks through the ecological risk index (ERI) exhibited a lower risk in 2021 attributed to reduced high-risk potential zones. This study highlights the potentiality in linking LULC and water quality changes using some advanced statistical tools like GIS and RSM for better management of water quality and landscape ecology.

Enhancing groundwater quality assessment in coastal area: A hybrid modeling approach

Monitoring of groundwater (GW) resources in coastal areas is vital for human needs, agriculture, ecosystems, securing water supply, biodiversity, and environmental sustainability. Although the utilization of water quality index (WQI) models has proven effective in monitoring GW resources, it has faced substantial criticism due to its inconsistent outcomes, prompting the need for more reliable assessment methods. Therefore, this study addressed this concern by employing the data-driven root mean squared (RMS) models to evaluate groundwater quality (GWQ) in the coastal Bhola district near the Bay of Bengal, Bangladesh. To enhance the reliability of the RMS-WQI model, the research incorporated the extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) machine learning (ML) algorithm. For the assessment of GWQ, the study utilized eleven crucial indicators, including turbidity (TURB), electric conductivity (EC), pH, total dissolved solids (TDS), nitrate (NO3 -), ammonium (NH4 +), sodium (Na), potassium (K), magnesium (Mg), calcium (Ca), and iron (Fe). In terms of the GW indicators, concentration of K, Ca and Mg exceeded the guideline limit in the collected GW samples. The computed RMS-WQI scores ranged from 54.3 to 72.1, with an average of 65.2, categorizing all sampling sites' GWQ as "fair." In terms of model reliability, XGBoost demonstrated exceptional sensitivity (R2 = 0.97) in predicting GWQ accurately. Furthermore, the RMS-WQI model exhibited minimal uncertainty (<1 %) in predicting WQI scores. These findings implied the efficacy of the RMS-WQI model in accurately assessing GWQ in coastal areas, that would ultimately assist regional environmental managers and strategic planners for effective monitoring and sustainable management of coastal GW resources.

Assessing and predicting water quality index with key water parameters by machine learning models in coastal cities, China

The water quality index (WQI) is a widely used tool for comprehensive assessment of river environments. However, its calculation involves numerous water quality parameters, making sample collection and laboratory analysis time-consuming and costly. This study aimed to identify key water parameters and the most reliable prediction models that could provide maximum accuracy using minimal indicators. Water quality from 2020 to 2023 were collected including nine biophysical and chemical indicators in seventeen rivers in Yancheng and Nantong, two coastal cities in Jiangsu Province, China, adjacent to the Yellow Sea. Linear regression and seven machine learning models (Artificial Neural Network (ANN), Self-Organizing Maps (SOM), K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN), Support Vector Machines (SVM), Random Forest (RF), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGB) and Stochastic Gradient Boosting (SGB)) were developed to predict WQI using different groups of input variables based on correlation analysis. The results indicated that water quality improved from 2020 to 2022 but deteriorated in 2023, with inland stations exhibiting better conditions than coastal ones, particularly in terms of turbidity and nutrients. The water environment was comparatively better in Nantong than in Yancheng, with mean WQI values of approximately 55.3-72.0 and 56.4-67.3, respectively. The classifications "Good" and "Medium" accounted for 80 % of the records, with no instances of "Excellent" and 2 % classified as "Bad". The performance of all prediction models, except for SOM, improved with the addition of input variables, achieving R2 values higher than 0.99 in models such as SVM, RF, XGB, and SGB. The most reliable models were RF and XGB with key parameters of total phosphorus (TP), ammonia nitrogen (AN), and dissolved oxygen (DO) (R2 = 0.98 and 0.91 for training and testing phase) for predicting WQI values, and RF using TP and AN (accuracy higher than 85 %) for WQI grades. The prediction accuracy for "Medium" and "Low" water quality grades was highest at 90 %, followed by the "Good" level at 70 %. The model results could contribute to efficient water quality evaluation by identifying key water parameters and facilitating effective water quality management in river basins.

Balancing aquaculture and estuarine ecosystems: machine learning-based water quality indices for effective management

This study delves into the environmental impact of inland aquaculture on estuarine ecosystems by examining the water quality of four estuarine streams within the key inland aquaculture zone of South India. In this region, extensive and intensive aquaculture practices are common, posing potential challenges to estuarine health. The research explores the predictive capabilities of the Gaussian elimination method (GEM) and machine learning techniques, specifically multi-linear regression (MLR) and support vector regressor (SVR), in forecasting the water quality index of these streams. Through comprehensive evaluation using performance metrics such as coefficient of determination (R2) and average mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), MLR and SVR demonstrate higher prediction efficiency. Notably, employing key water parameters as inputs in machine learning models is also more effective. Biochemical oxygen demand (BOD) emerges as a critical water parameter, identified by both MLR and SVR, exhibiting high specificity in predicting water quality. This suggests that MLR and SVR, incorporating key water parameters, should be prioritized for future water quality monitoring in intensive aquaculture zones, facilitating timely warnings and interventions to safeguard water quality.

Assessment of hydrochemical characteristics, health risks and quality of groundwater for drinking and irrigation purposes in a mountainous region of Pakistan

Renowned for its agriculture, livestock, and mining, Zhob district, Pakistan, faces the urgent problem of declining groundwater quality due to natural and human-induced factors. This deterioration poses significant challenges for residents who rely on groundwater for drinking, domestic, and irrigation purposes. Therefore, this novel study aimed to carry out a comprehensive assessment of groundwater quality in Zhob district, considering various aspects such as hydrochemical characteristics, human health risks, and suitability for drinking and irrigation purposes. While previous studies may have focused on one or a few of these aspects, this study integrates multiple analyses to provide a holistic understanding of the groundwater quality situation in the region. Additionally, the study applies a range of common hydrochemical analysis methods (acid-base titration, flame atomic absorption spectrometry, and ion chromatography), drinking water quality index (WQI), irrigation indices, and health risk assessment models, using 19 water quality parameters. This multi-method approach enhances the robustness and accuracy of the assessment, providing valuable insights for decision-makers and stakeholders. The results revealed that means of the majority of water quality parameters, such as pH (7.64), electrical conductivity (830.13 μScm-1), total dissolved solids (562.83 mgL-1), as well as various anions, and cations, were in line with drinking water norms. However, the water quality index (WQI) predominantly indicated poor drinking water quality (range = 51-75) at 50% sites, followed by good quality (range = 26-50) at 37% of the sites, with 10% of the sites exhibiting very poor quality (range = 76-100). For irrigation purposes, indices such as sodium percent (mean = 31.37%), sodium adsorption ratio (mean = 0.98 meqL-1), residual sodium carbonate (- 3.15 meqL-1), Kelley's index (mean = 0.49), and permeability (mean = 49.11%) indicated suitability without immediate treatment. However, the magnesium hazard (mean = 46.11%) and potential salinity (mean = 3.93) demonstrated that prolonged application of groundwater for irrigation needs soil management to avoid soil compaction and salinity. Water samples exhibit characteristics of medium salinity and low alkalinity (C2S1) as well as high salinity and low alkalinity (C3S1) categories. The Gibbs diagram results revealed that rock weathering, including silicate weathering and cation exchange, is the primary factor governing the hydrochemistry of groundwater. The hydrochemical composition is dominated by mixed Ca-Mg-Cl, followed by Na-Cl and Mg-Cl types. Furthermore, the human health risk assessment highlighted that fluoride (F-) posed a higher risk compared with nitrate (NO3-). Additionally, ingestion was found to pose a higher risk to health compared to dermal contact, with children being particularly vulnerable. The average hazard index (HI) for children was 1.24, surpassing the allowable limit of 1, indicating detrimental health effects on this subpopulation. Conversely, average HI values for adult females (0.59) and adult males (0.44) were within safe levels, suggesting minimal concerns for these demographic groups. Overall, the study's interdisciplinary approach and depth of analysis make a significant contribution to understanding groundwater quality dynamics and associated risks in Zhob district, potentially informing future management and mitigation strategies.

A critical analysis of parameter choices in water quality assessment

The determination of water quality heavily depends on the selection of parameters recorded from water samples for the water quality index (WQI). Data-driven methods, including machine learning models and statistical approaches, are frequently used to refine the parameter set for four main reasons: reducing cost and uncertainty, addressing the eclipsing problem, and enhancing the performance of models predicting the WQI. Despite their widespread use, there is a noticeable gap in comprehensive reviews that systematically examine previous studies in this area. Such reviews are essential to assess the validity of these objectives and to demonstrate the effectiveness of data-driven methods in achieving these goals. This paper sets out with two primary aims: first, to provide a review of the existing literature on methods for selecting parameters. Second, it seeks to delineate and evaluate the four principal motivations for parameter selection identified in the literature. This manuscript categorizes existing studies into two methodological groups for refining parameters: one focuses on preserving information within the dataset, and another ensures consistent prediction using the full set of parameters. It characterizes each group and evaluates how effectively each approach meets the four predefined objectives. The study presents that the minimal WQI approach, common to both categories, is the only approach that has successfully reduced recording costs. Nonetheless, it notes that simply reducing the number of parameters does not guarantee cost savings. Furthermore, the group of studies classified as preserving information within the dataset has demonstrated potential to decrease the eclipsing problem, whereas studies in the consistent prediction group have not been able to mitigate this issue. Additionally, since data-driven approaches still rely on the initial parameters chosen by experts, they do not eliminate the need for expert judgment. The study further points out that the WQI formula is a straightforward and expedient tool for assessing water quality. Consequently, the paper argues that employing machine learning solely to reduce the number of parameters to enhance WQI prediction is not a standalone solution. Rather, this objective should be integrated with a more comprehensive set of research goals. The critical analysis of research objectives and the characterization of previous studies lay the groundwork for future research. This groundwork will enable subsequent studies to evaluate how their proposed methods can effectively achieve these objectives.

Exploring Spatiotemporal Patterns of Algal Cell Density in Lake Dianchi with Explainable Machine Learning

The escalating global occurrence of algal blooms poses a growing threat to ecosystem services. In this study, the spatiotemporal heterogeneity of water quality parameters was leveraged to partition Lake Dianchi into three clusters. Considering water quality parameters and both the delayed and instantaneous effects of meteorological factors, ensemble learning, and quasi-Monte Carlo methods were employed to predict daily algal cell density (AD) between January 2021 and January 2024. Consistently, superior predictive accuracy across all three clusters was exhibited by the Stacking-Elastic-Net regularization model. Furthermore, the minimum combination of drivers that achieved near-optimal accuracy for each cluster was identified, striking a balance between accuracy and cost. The ranking of the effect of drivers on AD varied by cluster, while the delayed effect of meteorological factors on AD generally outweighed their instantaneous effect for all clusters. Additionally, the heterogeneous or homogeneous thresholds and responses between drivers and AD were explored. These findings could serve as a scientific and cost-effective basis for government agencies to develop regional sustainable strategies for managing water quality.

Research on provincial water resources carrying capacity and coordinated development in China based on combined weighting TOPSIS model

With the continuous development of the economy and society, along with the sustained population growth, the issue of water resources carrying capacity in China has attracted increasing attention. This paper constructs a model for evaluating the provincial water resources carrying capacity in China from four dimensions: water, economy, society, and ecology. Utilizing this model, we analyze the spatiotemporal variations in water resources carrying capacity among 31 provinces in China from 2005 to 2021. Additionally, we delve into the coupling coordination and influencing factors of water resources carrying capacity. The study reveals an overall increasing trend in China's water resources carrying capacity index, with the ecological indicator exhibiting the most significant growth while the water resources sub-indicator lags behind. There are notable regional differences, with higher water resources carrying capacity observed in the eastern coastal areas and relatively lower capacity in the western regions. The ecological criterion becomes a core factor constraining water resources carrying capacity from 2005 to 2015, gradually giving way to the prominence of the social criterion since 2015. The coordination degree is relatively higher in the eastern regions, more scattered in the western regions, and relatively stable in the central regions. Based on the research findings, a series of recommendations are proposed, including strengthening environmental protection policies, optimizing water resources management mechanisms, improving water use efficiency, and promoting economic structural diversification. These suggestions aim to facilitate the sustainable development of water resources carrying capacity in China.

Data-driven evolution of water quality models: An in-depth investigation of innovative outlier detection approaches-A case study of Irish Water Quality Index (IEWQI) model

Recently, there has been a significant advancement in the water quality index (WQI) models utilizing data-driven approaches, especially those integrating machine learning and artificial intelligence (ML/AI) technology. Although, several recent studies have revealed that the data-driven model has produced inconsistent results due to the data outliers, which significantly impact model reliability and accuracy. The present study was carried out to assess the impact of data outliers on a recently developed Irish Water Quality Index (IEWQI) model, which relies on data-driven techniques. To the author's best knowledge, there has been no systematic framework for evaluating the influence of data outliers on such models. For the purposes of assessing the outlier impact of the data outliers on the water quality (WQ) model, this was the first initiative in research to introduce a comprehensive approach that combines machine learning with advanced statistical techniques. The proposed framework was implemented in Cork Harbour, Ireland, to evaluate the IEWQI model's sensitivity to outliers in input indicators to assess the water quality. In order to detect the data outlier, the study utilized two widely used ML techniques, including Isolation Forest (IF) and Kernel Density Estimation (KDE) within the dataset, for predicting WQ with and without these outliers. For validating the ML results, the study used five commonly used statistical measures. The performance metric (R2) indicates that the model performance improved slightly (R2 increased from 0.92 to 0.95) in predicting WQ after removing the data outlier from the input. But the IEWQI scores revealed that there were no statistically significant differences among the actual values, predictions with outliers, and predictions without outliers, with a 95 % confidence interval at p < 0.05. The results of model uncertainty also revealed that the model contributed <1 % uncertainty to the final assessment results for using both datasets (with and without outliers). In addition, all statistical measures indicated that the ML techniques provided reliable results that can be utilized for detecting outliers and their impacts on the IEWQI model. The findings of the research reveal that although the data outliers had no significant impact on the IEWQI model architecture, they had moderate impacts on the rating schemes' of the model. This finding indicated that detecting the data outliers could improve the accuracy of the IEWQI model in rating WQ as well as be helpful in mitigating the model eclipsing problem. In addition, the results of the research provide evidence of how the data outliers influenced the data-driven model in predicting WQ and reliability, particularly since the study confirmed that the IEWQI model's could be effective for accurately rating WQ despite the presence of the data outliers in the input. It could occur due to the spatio-temporal variability inherent in WQ indicators. However, the research assesses the influence of data input outliers on the IEWQI model and underscores important areas for future investigation. These areas include expanding temporal analysis using multi-year data, examining spatial outlier patterns, and evaluating detection methods. Moreover, it is essential to explore the real-world impacts of revised rating categories, involve stakeholders in outlier management, and fine-tune model parameters. Analysing model performance across varying temporal and spatial resolutions and incorporating additional environmental data can significantly enhance the accuracy of WQ assessment. Consequently, this study offers valuable insights to strengthen the IEWQI model's robustness and provides avenues for enhancing its utility in broader WQ assessment applications. Moreover, the study successfully adopted the framework for evaluating how data input outliers affect the data-driven model, such as the IEWQI model. The current study has been carried out in Cork Harbour for only a single year of WQ data. The framework should be tested across various domains for evaluating the response of the IEWQI model's in terms of the spatio-temporal resolution of the domain. Nevertheless, the study recommended that future research should be conducted to adjust or revise the IEWQI model's rating schemes and investigate the practical effects of data outliers on updated rating categories. However, the study provides potential recommendations for enhancing the IEWQI model's adaptability and reveals its effectiveness in expanding its applicability in more general WQ assessment scenarios.

Hybrid WT-CNN-GRU-based model for the estimation of reservoir water quality variables considering spatio-temporal features

Water quality indicators (WQIs), such as chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) and dissolved oxygen (DO), are crucial for understanding and assessing the health of aquatic ecosystems. Precise prediction of these indicators is fundamental for the efficient administration of rivers, lakes, and reservoirs. This research utilized two unique DL algorithms-namely, convolutional neural network (CNNs) and gated recurrent units (GRUs)-alongside their amalgamation, CNN-GRU, to precisely gauge the concentration of these indicators within a reservoir. Moreover, to optimize the outcomes of the developed hybrid model, we considered the impact of a decomposition technique, specifically the wavelet transform (WT). In addition to these efforts, we created two distinct machine learning (ML) algorithms-namely, random forest (RF) and support vector regression (SVR)-to demonstrate the superior performance of deep learning algorithms over individual ML ones. We initially gathered WQIs from diverse locations and varying depths within the reservoir using an AAQ-RINKO device in the study area to achieve this. It is important to highlight that, despite utilizing diverse data-driven models in water quality estimation, a significant gap persists in the existing literature regarding implementing a comprehensive hybrid algorithm. This algorithm integrates the wavelet transform, convolutional neural network (CNN), and gated recurrent unit (GRU) methodologies to estimate WQIs accurately within a spatiotemporal framework. Subsequently, the effectiveness of the models that were developed was assessed utilizing various statistical metrics, encompassing the correlation coefficient (r), root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) throughout both the training and testing phases. The findings demonstrated that the WT-CNN-GRU model exhibited better performance in comparison with the other algorithms by 13% (SVR), 13% (RF), 9% (CNN), and 8% (GRU) when R-squared and DO were considered as evaluation indices and WQIs, respectively.

Predicting reservoir sedimentation using multilayer perceptron - Artificial neural network model with measured and forecasted hydrometeorological data in Gibe-III reservoir, Omo-Gibe River basin, Ethiopia

The estimation and prediction of the amount of sediment accumulated in reservoirs are imperative for sustainable reservoir sedimentation planning and management and to minimize reservoir storage capacity loss. The main objective of this study was to estimate and predict reservoir sedimentation using multilayer perceptron-artificial neural network (MLP-ANN) and random forest regressor (RFR) models in the Gibe-III reservoir, Omo-Gibe River basin. The hydrological and meteorological parameters considered for the estimation and prediction of reservoir sedimentation include annual rainfall, annual water inflow, minimum reservoir level, and reservoir storage capacity. The MLP-ANN and RFR models were employed to estimate and predict the amount of sediment accumulated in the Gibe-III reservoir using time series data from 2014 to 2022. ANN-architecture N4-100-100-1 with a coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.97 for the (80, 20) train-test approach was chosen because it showed better performance both in training and testing (validation) the model. The MLP-ANN and RFR models' performance evaluation was conducted using MAE, MSE, RMSE, and R2. The models' evaluation result revealed that the MLP-ANN model outperformed the RFR model. Regarding the train data simulation of MLP-ANN and RFR shown R2 (0.99) and RMSE (0.77); and R2 (0.97) and RMSE (1.80), respectively. On the other hand, the test data simulation of MLP-ANN and RFR demonstrated R2 (0.98) and RMSE (1.32); and R2 (0.96) and RMSE (2.64), respectively. The MLP-ANN model simulation output indicates that the amount of sediment accumulation in the Gibe-III reservoir will increase in the future, reaching 110 MT in 2030-2031, 130 MT in 2050-2051, and above 137 MTin 2071-2072.

Spatiotemporal pattern of coastal water pollution and its driving factors: implications for improving water environment along Hainan Island, China

In the context of human activities and climate change, the gradual degradation of coastal water quality seriously threatens the balance of coastal and marine ecosystems. However, the spatiotemporal patterns of coastal water quality and its driving factors were still not well understood. Based on 31 water quality parameters from 2015 to 2020, a new approach of optimizing water quality index (WQI) model was proposed to quantitatively assess the spatial and temporal water quality along tropical Hainan Island, China. In addition, pollution sources were further identified by factor analysis and the effects of pollution source on water quality was finally quantitatively in our study. The results showed that the average water quality was moderate. Water quality at 86.36% of the monitoring stations was good while 13.53% of the monitoring stations has bad or very bad water quality. Besides, the coastal water quality had spatial and seasonal variation, along Hainan Island, China. The water quality at "bad" level was mainly appeared in the coastal waters along large cities (Haikou and Sanya) and some aquaculture regions. Seasonally, the average water quality in March, October and November was worse than in other months. Factor analysis revealed that water quality in this region was mostly affected by urbanization, planting and breeding factor, industrial factor, and they played the different role in different coastal zones. Waters at 10.23% of monitoring stations were at the greatest risk of deterioration due to severe pressure from environmental factors. Our study has significant important references for improving water quality and managing coastal water environment.

Advances in machine learning and IoT for water quality monitoring: A comprehensive review

Water holds great significance as a vital resource in our everyday lives, highlighting the important to continuously monitor its quality to ensure its usability. The advent of the. The Internet of Things (IoT) has brought about a revolutionary shift by enabling real-time data collection from diverse sources, thereby facilitating efficient monitoring of water quality (WQ). By employing Machine learning (ML) techniques, this gathered data can be analyzed to make accurate predictions regarding water quality. These predictive insights play a crucial role in decision-making processes aimed at safeguarding water quality, such as identifying areas in need of immediate attention and implementing preventive measures to avert contamination. This paper aims to provide a comprehensive review of the current state of the art in water quality monitoring, with a specific focus on the employment of IoT wireless technologies and ML techniques. The study examines the utilization of a range of IoT wireless technologies, including Low-Power Wide Area Networks (LpWAN), Wi-Fi, Zigbee, Radio Frequency Identification (RFID), cellular networks, and Bluetooth, in the context of monitoring water quality. Furthermore, it explores the application of both supervised and unsupervised ML algorithms for analyzing and interpreting the collected data. In addition to discussing the current state of the art, this survey also addresses the challenges and open research questions involved in integrating IoT wireless technologies and ML for water quality monitoring (WQM).

Long-term (2003-2021) evolution trend of water quality in the Three Gorges Reservoir: An evaluation based on an enhanced water quality index

The degradation of water quality induced by the construction of large-scale hydraulic projects is one of the primary public concerns; however, it is rarely addressed with long-term field observation data. Here, we reported the long-term (2003-2021) trends, seasonal patterns, and overall condition of water quality of the Three Gorges Reservoir (TGR) with an enhanced water quality index (WQI). Specifically, to emphasize the importance of the biological role in water quality assessment, chlorophyll-a (Chla) was incorporated into WQI, and then a novel workflow using machine learning approach based on Random Forest (RF) model was constructed to develop a minimal water quality index (WQImin). The enhanced WQI indicated an overall "good" water quality condition, exhibiting a gradually improving trend subsequent to the reservoir impoundment in 2003. Meanwhile, the assessment revealed that the water quality has discernible seasonal patterns, characterized by poorer conditions in the spring and summer seasons. Furthermore, the RF model identified Chla, dissolved oxygen (DO), ammonium nitrogen (NH4-N), water temperature (WT), pH, and total nitrogen (TN) as key parameters for the WQImin, with Chla emerging as the most important factor in determining WQImin in our study. Moreover, weighted WQImin models exhibited improved performance in estimating WQI. Our study emphasizes the importance of biological parameters in water quality assessment, and introduces a systematic workflow to facilitate the development of WQImin for accurate and cost-efficient water quality assessment. Furthermore, our study makes a substantial contribution to the advancement of knowledge regarding long-term trends and seasonal patterns in water quality of large reservoirs, which provides a foundational basis for guiding water quality management practices for reservoirs worldwide.

Tracing spatial patterns of lacustrine groundwater discharge in a closed inland lake using stable isotopes

Tracing lacustrine groundwater discharge (LGD) is essential for understanding the hydrological cycle and water chemistry behaviour of lakes. LGD usually exhibits large spatial variability, but there are few reports on quantitatively revealing the spatial patterns of LGD at the whole lake scale. This study investigated the spatial patterns of LGD in Daihai Lake, a typical closed inland lake in northern China, based on the stable isotopes (δ2H and δ18O) of groundwater, surface water, and sediment pore water (SPW). The results showed that there were significant differences between the δ2H and δ18O values of different water bodies in the Daihai Lake Basin: groundwater < SPW < lake water. The LGD through SPW was found to be an important recharge pathway for the lake. Accordingly, stable isotopes of SPW showed that LGD in the northeastern and northwestern of Daihai Lake was significantly greater both horizontally and vertically than that in the other regions, and the proportions of groundwater in SPW in these two regions were 55.53% and 29.84%, respectively. Additionally, the proportion of groundwater in SPW showed a significant increase with profile depth, and the proportion reached 100% at 50 cm below the sediment surface in the northeastern of the lake where the LGD intensity was strongest. The total LGD to Daihai Lake was 1.47 × 107 m3/a, while the LGD in the northeastern and northwestern of the lake exceeded 1.9 × 106 m3/a. This study provides new insights into assessing the spatial patterns of LGD and water resource management in lakes.

Spatiotemporal assessment of groundwater quality and quantity using geostatistical and ensemble artificial intelligence tools

The study investigated the spatiotemporal relationship between surface hydrological variables and groundwater quality/quantity using geostatistical and AI tools. AI models were developed to estimate groundwater quality from ground-based measurements and remote sensing images, reducing reliance on laboratory testing. Different Kriging techniques were employed to map ground-based measurements and fill data gaps. The methodology was applied to analyze the Maragheh aquifer in northwest Iran, revealing declining groundwater quality due to industrial. discharges and over-extraction. Spatiotemporal analysis indicated a relationship between groundwater depth/quality, precipitation, and temperature. The Root Mean Square Scaled Error (RMSSE) values for all variables ranged from 0.8508 to 1.1688, indicating acceptable performance of the semivariogram models in predicting the variables. Three AI models, namely Feed-Forward Neural Networks (FFNNs), Support Vector Regression (SVR), and Adaptive Neural Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS), predicted groundwater quality for wet (June) and dry (October) months using input variables such as groundwater depth, temperature, precipitation, Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), and Digital Elevation Model (DEM), with Groundwater Quality Index (GWQI) as the target variable. Ensemble methods were employed to combine the outputs of these models, enhancing performance. Results showed strong predictive capabilities, with coefficient of determination values of 0.88 and 0.84 for wet and dry seasons. Ensemble models improved performance by up to 6% and 12% for wet and dry seasons, respectively, potentially advancing groundwater quality modeling in the future.

Predicting and analyzing the algal population dynamics of a grass-type lake with explainable machine learning

Algal blooms, exacerbated by climate change and eutrophication, have emerged as a global concern. In this study, we introduce a novel interpretable machine learning (ML) workflow tailored for investigating the dynamics of algal populations in grass-type lakes, Liangzi lake. Utilizing seven ML methods and incorporating the covariance matrix adaptation evolution strategy (CMA-ES), we predict algal density across three distinct time periods, resulting in the construction of a total of 30 ML models. The CMA-ES-CatBoost model consistently demonstrates superior predictive accuracy and generalization capability across these periods. Through the collective validation of various interpretable tools, we identify water temperature and permanganate index as the two most critical water quality parameters (WQIs) influencing algal density in Liangzi Lake. Additionally, we quantify the independent and interactive effects of WQIs on algal density, pinpointing key thresholds and trends. Furthermore, we determine the minimum combination of WQIs that achieves near-optimal predictive performance, striking a balance between accuracy and cost-effectiveness. These findings offer a scientific and economically efficient foundation for governmental agencies to formulate strategies for water quality management and sustainable development.

Measuring the impact of responsible factors on CO2 emission using generalized additive model (GAM)

The indicators of economic and sustainable development ultimately significantly depend on carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions in every country. In Bangladesh, there is an increasing trend in population, industrialization, as well as electricity demand generated from different sources, ultimately increasing CO2 emissions. This study explores the relationship between CO2 emissions and other significant relevant indicators. Moreover, the authors aimed to identify which model is effective at predicting CO2 emissions and assess the accuracy of the prediction of different models. The secondary data from 1971 to 2020, was collected from the World Bank and the Bangladesh Road Transport Authority's publicly accessible website. The generalized additive model (GAM), the polynomial regression (PR), and multiple linear regression (MLR) were used for modeling CO2 emissions. The model performance is evaluated using the Bayesian information criterion (BIC), Akaike information criterion (AIC), Root mean square error (RMSE), R-square, and mean square error (MSE). Results revealed that there are few multicollinearity problems in the datasets and exhibit a nonlinear relationship among CO2 emissions. Among the models considered in this study, the GAM model has the lowest value of RMSE = 0.008, MSE = 0.000063, AIC = -303.21, BIC = -266.64 and the highest value of R-squared = 0.996 compared to the MLR and PR models, suggesting the most appropriate model in predicting CO2 emissions in Bangladesh. Findings revealed that the total CO2 emissions and other relevant risk factors is non-linear. The study suggests that the Generalized additive model regression technique can be used as an effective tool for predicting CO2 emissions in Bangladesh. The authors believed that the findings would be helpful to policymakers in designing effective strategies in the areas of a low-carbon economy, encouraging the use of renewable energy sources, and focusing on technological advancement that reduces CO2 emissions and ensures a sustainable environment in Bangladesh.

High-frequency data significantly enhances the prediction ability of point and interval estimation

Accurate prediction of dissolved oxygen (DO) dynamics is crucial for understanding the influence of environmental factors on the stability of aquatic ecosystem. However, limited research has been conducted to determine the optimal frequency of water quality monitoring that ensures continuous assessment of water health while minimizing costs. To address these challenges, the present study developed a hybrid stochastic hydrological model (i.e., ARIMA-GARCH hybrid model) and machine learning (ML) models. The objective of this study is to identify the best-performing model and establish the optimal monitoring frequency. Results revealed that high-frequency DO monitoring data exhibit greater variability compared to low-frequency data. Moreover, the ARIMA-GARCH model demonstrates promising potential in predicting DO concentrations for low-frequency monitoring data, surpassing ML models in performance. Furthermore, increasing the monitoring frequency significantly improves the prediction accuracy of models, regardless of whether point (with lower R2 values of 0.64 and 0.51 for daily detection than these of every 15 min (0.96 and 0.99) at CHQ and LHT, respectively) or interval predictions (with RIW higher values of 2.00 and 1.55 for daily detection higher than these of 0.02 and 0.16 in every 15 min at CHQ and LHT, respectively) are considered. Additionally, a 4 hourly monitoring frequency was found to be optimal for water quality assessment using each model. These findings identify the superior performing of the ARIMA-GARCH model and highlight the crucial role of monitoring frequency in enhancing DO prediction and improving model performance.

HDTO-DeepAR: A novel hybrid approach to forecast surface water quality indicators

Water is a vital resource supporting a broad spectrum of ecosystems and human activities. The quality of river water has declined in recent years due to the discharge of hazardous materials and toxins. Deep learning and machine learning have gained significant attention for analysing time-series data. However, these methods often suffer from high complexity and significant forecasting errors, primarily due to non-linear datasets and hyperparameter settings. To address these challenges, we have developed an innovative HDTO-DeepAR approach for predicting water quality indicators. This proposed approach is compared with standalone algorithms, including DeepAR, BiLSTM, GRU and XGBoost, using performance metrics such as MAE, MSE, MAPE, and NSE. The NSE of the hybrid approach ranges between 0.8 to 0.96. Given the value's proximity to 1, the model appears to be efficient. The PICP values (ranging from 95% to 98%) indicate that the model is highly reliable in forecasting water quality indicators. Experimental results reveal a close resemblance between the model's predictions and actual values, providing valuable insights for predicting future trends. The comparative study shows that the suggested model surpasses all existing, well-known models.

An innovative approach for predicting groundwater TDS using optimized ensemble machine learning algorithms at two levels of modeling strategy

Groundwater salinization in coastal aquifers is a major socioeconomic challenge in Oman and many other regions worldwide due to several anthropogenic activities and natural drivers. Therefore, assessing the salinization of groundwater resources is crucial to ensure the protection of water resources and sustainable management. The aim of this study is to apply a novel approach using predictive optimized ensemble trees-based (ETB) machine learning models, namely Catboost regression (CBR), Extra trees regression (ETR), and Bagging regression (BA), at two levels of modeling strategy for predicting groundwater TDS as an indicator for seawater intrusion in a coastal aquifer, Oman. At level 1, ETR and CBR models were used as base models or inputs for BA in level 2. The results show that the models at level 1 (i.e., ETR and CBR) yielded satisfactory results using a limited number of inputs (Cl, K, and Sr) from a few sets of 40 groundwater wells. The BA model at level 2 improved the overall performance of the modeling by extracting more information from ETR and CBR models at level 1 models. At level 2, the BA model achieved a significant improvement in accuracy (MSE = 0.0002, RSR = 0.062, R2 = 0.995 and NSE = 0.996) compared to each individual model of ETR (MSE = 0.0007, RSR = 0.245, R2 = 0.98 and NSE = 0.94), and CBR (MSE = 0.0035, RSR = 0.258, R2 = 0.933 and NSE = 0.934) at level 1 models in the testing dataset. BA model at level 2 outperformed all models regarding predictive accuracy, best generalization of new data, and matching the locations of the polluted and unpolluted wells. Our approach predicts groundwater TDS with high accuracy and thus provides early warnings of water quality deterioration along coastal aquifers which will improve water resources sustainability.

A unified deep learning framework for water quality prediction based on time-frequency feature extraction and data feature enhancement

Deep learning methods exhibited significant advantages in mapping highly nonlinear relationships with acceptable computational speed, and have been widely used to predict water quality. However, various model selection and construction methods resulted in differences in prediction accuracy and performance. Hence, a unified deep learning framework for water quality prediction was established in the paper, including data processing module, feature enhancement module, and data prediction module. In the established model, the data processing module based on wavelet transform method was applied to decomposing complex nonlinear meteorology, hydrology, and water quality data into multiple frequency domain signals for extracting self characteristics of data cyclic and fluctuations. The feature enhancement module based on Informer Encoder was used to enhance feature encoding of time series data in different frequency domains to discover global time dependent features of variables. Finally, the data prediction module based on the stacked bidirectional long and short term memory network (SBiLSTM) method was employed to strengthen the local correlation of feature sequences and predict the water quality. The established model framework was applied in Lijiang River in Guilin, China. The maximum relative errors between the predicted and observed values for dissolved oxygen (DO), chemical oxygen demand (CODMn) were 12.4% and 20.7%, suggesting a satisfactory prediction performance of the established model. The validation results showed that the established model was superior to all other models in terms of prediction accuracy with RMSE values 0.329, 0.121, MAE values 0.217, 0.057, SMAPE values 0.022, 0.063 for DO and CODMn, respectively. Ablation tests confirmed the necessity and rationality of each module for the established model framework. The established method provided a unified deep learning framework for water quality prediction.

Predicting dissolved oxygen level using Young's double-slit experiment optimizer-based weighting model

Accurate prediction of the dissolved oxygen level (DOL) is important for enhancing environmental conditions and facilitating water resource management. However, the irregularity and volatility inherent in DOL pose significant challenges to achieving precise forecasts. A single model usually suffers from low prediction accuracy, narrow application range, and difficult data acquisition. This study proposes a new weighted model that avoids these problems, which could increase the prediction accuracy of the DOL. The weighting constructs of the proposed model (PWM) included eight neural networks and one statistical method and utilized Young's double-slit experimental optimizer as an intelligent weighting tool. To evaluate the effectiveness of PWM, simulations were conducted using real-world data acquired from the Tualatin River Basin in Oregon, United States. Empirical findings unequivocally demonstrated that PWM outperforms both the statistical model and the individual machine learning models, and has the lowest mean absolute percentage error among all the weighted models. Based on two real datasets, the PWM can averagely obtain the mean absolute percentage errors of 1.0216%, 1.4630%, and 1.7087% for one-, two-, and three-step predictions, respectively. This study shows that the PWM can effectively integrate the distinctive merits of deep learning methods, neural networks, and statistical models, thereby increasing forecasting accuracy and providing indispensable technical support for the sustainable development of regional water environments.

AI-based prediction of the improvement in air quality induced by emergency measures

Several cities in the developing world, of which the capital city of India, New Delhi, is an example, often experience air quality in which pollutant levels go way above the levels considered hazardous for human health. To bring down the air quality to within permissible limits quickly, the measures typically taken involve shutting down certain high-polluting activities for some time to enable the air quality to recover temporarily. This paper presents a first-ever model based on artificial neural networks to forecast the extent of reduction in air quality parameters that can be achieved and the time period within which a change can be experienced when the source of the emissions is cut off temporarily. The model is based on the extensive data on the extent of reduction in air quality parameters that occurred during the lockdown that was imposed during the COVID-19 pandemic. The non-linear autoregressive exogenous network-based model chosen for the purpose employs the hour since stopping of emissions, relative humidity, wind speed, wind direction, and ambient temperature as input parameters to predict the rate of change of PM2.5 with respect to the concentration at the start of the stopping of the emissions. Air quality data from a key monitoring station in New Delhi was used to develop the model. The model predicted the rate of drop in PM2.5 with an R and MSE of 0.0044 and 0.9736, respectively, while training and 0.0095 and 0.9583 while testing. The model was then tested with data from 19 other stations in New Delhi, and accuracy of the model was found to be exceptionally accurate, with the correlation between the measured and the predicted PM2.5 levels ranging from 0.74 to 0.94 and the MSE ranging from 0.0110 to 1.0746. Thus, the model can be employed to determine the number of hours of temporary stoppage of emissions required for the PM2.5 concentration to reach safe levels. The methodology of development of the model can be extrapolated to construct models tailored for use in other parts of the world as well.

Optimisation and interpretation of machine and deep learning models for improved water quality management in Lake Loktak

Loktak Lake, one of the largest freshwater lakes in Manipur, India, is critical for the eco-hydrology and economy of the region, but faces deteriorating water quality due to urbanisation, anthropogenic activities, and domestic sewage. Addressing the urgent need for effective pollution management, this study aims to assess the lake's water quality status using the water quality index (WQI) and develop advanced machine learning (ML) tools for WQI assessment and ML model interpretation to improve pollution management decision making. The WQI was assessed using entropy-based weighting arithmetic and three ML models - Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM), Random Forest (RF) and Deep Neural Network (DNN) - were optimised using a grid search algorithm in the H2O Application Programming Interface (API). These models were validated by various metrics and interpreted globally and locally via Partial Dependency Plot (PDP), Accumulated Local Effect (ALE) and SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP). The results show a WQI range of 72.38-100, with 52.7% of samples categorised as very poor. The RF model outperformed GBM and DNN and showed the highest accuracy and generalisation ability, which is reflected in the superior R2 values (0.97 in training, 0.9 in test) and the lower root mean square error (RMSE). RF's minimal margin of error and reliable feature interpretation contrasted with DNN's larger margin of error and inconsistency, which affected its usefulness for decision making. Turbidity was found to be a critical predictive feature in all models, significantly influencing WQI, with other variables such as pH and temperature also playing an important role. SHAP dependency plots illustrated the direct relationship between key water quality parameters such as turbidity and WQI predictions. The novelty of this study lies in its comprehensive approach to the evaluation and interpretation of ML models for WQI estimation, which provides a nuanced understanding of water quality dynamics in Loktak Lake. By identifying the most effective ML models and key predictive functions, this study provides invaluable insights for water quality management and paves the way for targeted strategies to monitor and improve water quality in this vital freshwater ecosystem.

Assessment of human health risk from potentially toxic elements and predicting groundwater contamination using machine learning approaches

The Rooppur Nuclear Power Plant (RNPP) at Ishwardi, Bangladesh is planning to go into operation within 2024 and therefore, adjacent areas of RNPP is gaining adequate attention from the scientific community for environmental monitoring purposes especially for water resources management. However, there is a substantial lack of literature as well as environmental datasets for earlier years since very little was done at the beginning of the RNPP's construction phase. Therefore, this study was conducted to assess the potential toxic elements (PTEs) contamination in the groundwater and its associated health risk for residents at the adjacent part of the RNPP during the year of 2014-2015. For the purposes of achieving the aim of the study, groundwater samples were collected seasonally (dry and wet season) from nine sampling sites and afterwards analyzed for water quality indicators such as temperature (Temp.), pH, electrical conductivity (EC), total dissolved solid (TDS), total hardness (TH) and for PTEs including Iron (Fe), Manganese (Mn), Copper (Cu), Lead (Pb), Chromium (Cr), Cadmium (Cd) and Arsenic (As). This study adopted the newly developed Root Mean Square water quality index (RMS-WQI) model to assess the scenario of contamination from PTEs in groundwater whereas the human health risk assessment model was utilized to quantify the risk of toxicity from PTEs. In most of the sampling sites, PTEs concentration was found higher during the wet season than the dry season and Fe, Mn, Cd and As exceeded the guideline limit for drinking water. The RMS score mostly classified the groundwater in terms of PTEs contamination into "Fair" condition. The non-carcinogenic risks (expressed as Hazard Index-HI) revealed that around 44% and 89% of samples for adults and 67% and 100% of samples for children exceeded the threshold limit set by USEPA (HI > 1) and possessed risks through the oral pathway during dry and wet season, respectively. Furthermore, the calculated cumulative HI score was found higher for children than the adults throughout the study period. In terms of carcinogenic risk (CR) from PTEs, the magnitude of risk decreased following the pattern of Cr > As > Cd. Although the current study is based on old dataset, the findings might serve as a baseline for monitoring purposes to reduce future hazardous impact from the power plant.

Data-driven modelling for assessing trophic status in marine ecosystems using machine learning approaches

Assessing eutrophication in coastal and transitional waters is of utmost importance, yet existing Trophic Status Index (TSI) models face challenges like multicollinearity, data redundancy, inappropriate aggregation methods, and complex classification schemes. To tackle these issues, we developed a novel tool that harnesses machine learning (ML) and artificial intelligence (AI), enhancing the reliability and accuracy of trophic status assessments. Our research introduces an improved data-driven methodology specifically tailored for transitional and coastal (TrC) waters, with a focus on Cork Harbour, Ireland, as a case study. Our innovative approach, named the Assessment Trophic Status Index (ATSI) model, comprises three main components: the selection of pertinent water quality indicators, the computation of ATSI scores, and the implementation of a new classification scheme. To optimize input data and minimize redundancy, we employed ML techniques, including advanced deep learning methods. Specifically, we developed a CHL prediction model utilizing ten algorithms, among which XGBoost demonstrated exceptional performance, showcasing minimal errors during both training (RMSE = 0.0, MSE = 0.0, MAE = 0.01) and testing (RMSE = 0.0, MSE = 0.0, MAE = 0.01) phases. Utilizing a novel linear rescaling interpolation function, we calculated ATSI scores and evaluated the model's sensitivity and efficiency across diverse application domains, employing metrics such as R2, the Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE), and the model efficiency factor (MEF). The results consistently revealed heightened sensitivity and efficiency across all application domains. Additionally, we introduced a brand new classification scheme for ranking the trophic status of transitional and coastal waters. To assess spatial sensitivity, we applied the ATSI model to four distinct waterbodies in Ireland, comparing trophic assessment outcomes with the Assessment of Trophic Status of Estuaries and Bays in Ireland (ATSEBI) System. Remarkably, significant disparities between the ATSI and ATSEBI System were evident in all domains, except for Mulroy Bay. Overall, our research significantly enhances the accuracy of trophic status assessments in marine ecosystems. The ATSI model, combined with cutting-edge ML techniques and our new classification scheme, represents a promising avenue for evaluating and monitoring trophic conditions in TrC waters. The study also demonstrated the effectiveness of ATSI in assessing trophic status across various waterbodies, including lakes, rivers, and more. These findings make substantial contributions to the field of marine ecosystem management and conservation.

Exploring the impact of social capital, institutional quality and political stability on environmental sustainability: New insights from NARDL-PMG

The social aspect of sustainable development is often considered the least strong component, particularly in terms of its analytical and theoretical foundations. Although there has been a recent increase in focus on social sustainability, the relationship between the environmental aspect and social capital is still not well understood. This research seeks to explore initial concepts on frameworks for analyzing the interface between environmental and social capital. However, to demonstrated the core connection of social capital, institutional quality, income and renewable energy consumption with sustainability level (CO2 emissions) in the BRICS economies from 1996 to 2021. Specifically, this study uses advanced techniques such as Non-ARDL, Pooled Mean Group, the Augmented Mean Group and Common Correlated Effect Mean Group. However, under the linear outcomes, social capital, law & order, government stability, political stability and income decline the emissions levels. However, renewable energy consumption shows the positive association with rising emissions in BRICS countries. Interestingly, under the non-linear form, study outcomes describe social capital, and law & order contribute to environmental quality, while government & political stability spur the level of emissions in the long-run. Also, this study provides some core implications to meet the desired sustainability level.

Application of Machine Learning in Modeling the Relationship between Catchment Attributes and Instream Water Quality in Data-Scarce Regions

This research delves into the efficacy of machine learning models in predicting water quality parameters within a catchment area, focusing on unraveling the significance of individual input variables. In order to manage water quality, it is necessary to determine the relationship between the physical attributes of the catchment, such as geological permeability and hydrologic soil groups, and in-stream water quality parameters. Water quality data were acquired from the Iran Water Resource Management Company (WRMC) through monthly sampling. For statistical analysis, the study utilized 5-year means (1998-2002) of water quality data. A total of 88 final stations were included in the analysis. Using machine learning methods, the paper gives relations for 11 in-stream water quality parameters: Sodium Adsorption Ratio (SAR), Na+, Mg2+, Ca2+, SO42-, Cl-, HCO3-, K+, pH, conductivity (EC), and Total Dissolved Solids (TDS). To comprehensively evaluate model performance, the study employs diverse metrics, including Pearson's Linear Correlation Coefficient (R) and the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE). Notably, the Random Forest (RF) model emerges as the standout model across various water parameters. Integrating research outcomes enables targeted strategies for fostering environmental sustainability, contributing to the broader goal of cultivating resilient water ecosystems. As a practical pathway toward achieving a delicate balance between human activities and environmental preservation, this research actively contributes to sustainable water ecosystems.

Comparison between the WFD approaches and newly developed water quality model for monitoring transitional and coastal water quality in Northern Ireland

This study aims to evaluate existing approaches for monitoring and assessing water quality in waterbodies in the North of Ireland using newly developed methodologies. The results reveal significant differences between the new technique and the existing "one-out, all-out" approach in rating water quality. The new approach found the water quality status to be "good," "fair," and "marginal," whereas the existing "one-out, all-out" technique classified water quality as "good," and "moderate," respectively. The new technique outperformed existing approaches in rating the water quality of different waterbody types, with high R2 = 1, NSE = 0.99, and MEF = 0 values. Furthermore, the final assessment of water quality using the new methodologies had the lowest uncertainty (<1 %), whereas the efficiency measures (NSE and MEF) indicate that the new approaches are bias-free to assess water quality at any geographic scale. The results of this study reveal that the newly proposed methodologies are effective in assessing the water quality states of transitional and coastal waterbodies in the North of Ireland. The study also highlighted the limitations of existing approaches and the importance of updating water resource management systems for better protection of these waterbodies. The findings have significant implications for water resource management and planning in the North of Ireland and other similar regions.

A water quality prediction model based on signal decomposition and ensemble deep learning techniques

Accurate water quality predictions are critical for water resource protection, and dissolved oxygen (DO) reflects overall river water quality and ecosystem health. This study proposes a hybrid model based on the fusion of signal decomposition and deep learning for predicting river water quality. Initially, complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (CEEMDAN) is employed to split the internal series of DO into numerous internal mode functions (IMFs). Subsequently, we employed multi-scale fuzzy entropy (MFE) to compute the entropy values for each IMF component. Time-varying filtered empirical mode decomposition (TVFEMD) is used to further extract features in high-frequency subsequences after linearly aggregating the high-frequency sequences. Finally, support vector machine (SVM) and long short-term memory (LSTM) neural networks are used to predict low- and high-frequency subsequences. Moreover, by comparing it with single models, models based on 'single layer decomposition-prediction-ensemble' and combination models using different methods, the feasibility of the proposed model in predicting water quality data for the Xinlian section of Fuhe River and the Chucha section of Ganjiang River was verified. As a result, the combined prediction approach developed in this work has improved generalizability and prediction accuracy, and it may be used to forecast water quality in complicated waters.

Assessing the impact of COVID-19 lockdown on surface water quality in Ireland using advanced Irish water quality index (IEWQI) model

The COVID-19 pandemic has significantly impacted various aspects of life, including environmental conditions. Surface water quality (WQ) is one area affected by lockdowns imposed to control the virus's spread. Numerous recent studies have revealed the considerable impact of COVID-19 lockdowns on surface WQ. In response, this research aimed to assess the impact of COVID-19 lockdowns on surface water quality in Ireland using an advanced WQ model. To achieve this goal, six years of water quality monitoring data from 2017 to 2022 were collected for nine water quality indicators in Cork Harbour, Ireland, before, during, and after the lockdowns. These indicators include pH, water temperature (TEMP), salinity (SAL), biological oxygen demand (BOD5), dissolved oxygen (DOX), transparency (TRAN), and three nutrient enrichment indicators-dissolved inorganic nitrogen (DIN), molybdate reactive phosphorus (MRP), and total oxidized nitrogen (TON). The results showed that the lockdown had a significant impact on various WQ indicators, particularly pH, TEMP, TON, and BOD5. Over the study period, most indicators were within the permissible limit except for MRP, with the exception of during COVID-19. During the pandemic, TON and DIN decreased, while water transparency significantly improved. In contrast, after COVID-19, WQ at 7% of monitoring sites significantly deteriorated. Overall, WQ in Cork Harbour was categorized as "good," "fair," and "marginal" classes over the study period. Compared to temporal variation, WQ improved at 17% of monitoring sites during the lockdown period in Cork Harbour. However, no significant trend in WQ was observed. Furthermore, the study analyzed the advanced model's performance in assessing the impact of COVID-19 on WQ. The results indicate that the advanced WQ model could be an effective tool for monitoring and evaluating lockdowns' impact on surface water quality. The model can provide valuable information for decision-making and planning to protect aquatic ecosystems.

An integrated approach for evaluating freshwater ecosystems under the influence of high salinity: a case study of Manchar Lake in Pakistan

Manchar Lake, Pakistan's biggest lake in the arid zone, faces human-induced salinity issues. This study investigated its effects on the multifaceted ecosystem services, including serving as a source of drinking and irrigation water and aquatic health through assessing fish diversity and characteristics. Analyses of 189 water samples from 21 sites revealed spatiotemporal variations in major ions contributing to lake water salinity. The study assessed water suitability for drinking and agriculture using the water quality index (WQI), sodium adsorption ratio (SAR), magnesium hazard (MH), sodium percent (Na%), and Kelly's ratio (KR). The WQI, ranging from 141 to 408, indicated that the lake water was unfit for drinking. In some seasons, such as the pre-monsoon period, the lake water was deemed unsuitable for irrigation due to high SAR values (18 ± 4 g/L, average ± standard deviation), consistently rising MH values exceeding 66 in all seasons and elevated sodium percentages surpassing 66% in both the pre-monsoon and monsoon seasons. The KR remained acceptable (averaging 0.8 to 2.5) in all seasons. Fish health in highly saline conditions was assessed using data from interviews, focus group discussions, and fish sampling (1684 fish from 10 sites). Results depicted that high salt contamination severely impacted fish length and weight. The study found low richness (Simpson's biodiversity: 0.697 and Shannon Weaver: 1.51) and evenness (Pielou's index: 0.48) among the fish populations. Since 1998, Manchar Lake has seen a decline in fish varieties from 32 to 23, with changes in fish species' feeding habits. To improve lake water quality, the study recommends diverting saline water to the sea before and after the monsoon season while utilizing freshwater from alternative sources to fill any water deficit.

Marine waters assessment using improved water quality model incorporating machine learning approaches

In marine ecosystems, both living and non-living organisms depend on "good" water quality. It depends on a number of factors, and one of the most important is the quality of the water. The water quality index (WQI) model is widely used to assess water quality, but existing models have uncertainty issues. To address this, the authors introduced two new WQI models: the weight based weighted quadratic mean (WQM) and unweighted based root mean squared (RMS) models. These models were used to assess water quality in the Bay of Bengal, using seven water quality indicators including salinity (SAL), temperature (TEMP), pH, transparency (TRAN), dissolved oxygen (DOX), total oxidized nitrogen (TON), and molybdate reactive phosphorus (MRP). Both models ranked water quality between "good" and "fair" categories, with no significant difference between the weighted and unweighted models' results. The models showed considerable variation in the computed WQI scores, ranging from 68 to 88 with an average of 75 for WQM and 70 to 76 with an average of 72 for RMS. The models did not have any issues with sub-index or aggregation functions, and both had a high level of sensitivity (R2 = 1) in terms of the spatio-temporal resolution of waterbodies. The study demonstrated that both WQI approaches effectively assessed marine waters, reducing uncertainty and improving the accuracy of the WQI score.

Application of uncertainty quantification to artificial intelligence in healthcare: A review of last decade (2013-2023)

Uncertainty estimation in healthcare involves quantifying and understanding the inherent uncertainty or variability associated with medical predictions, diagnoses, and treatment outcomes. In this era of Artificial Intelligence (AI) models, uncertainty estimation becomes vital to ensure safe decision-making in the medical field. Therefore, this review focuses on the application of uncertainty techniques to machine and deep learning models in healthcare. A systematic literature review was conducted using the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines. Our analysis revealed that Bayesian methods were the predominant technique for uncertainty quantification in machine learning models, with Fuzzy systems being the second most used approach. Regarding deep learning models, Bayesian methods emerged as the most prevalent approach, finding application in nearly all aspects of medical imaging. Most of the studies reported in this paper focused on medical images, highlighting the prevalent application of uncertainty quantification techniques using deep learning models compared to machine learning models. Interestingly, we observed a scarcity of studies applying uncertainty quantification to physiological signals. Thus, future research on uncertainty quantification should prioritize investigating the application of these techniques to physiological signals. Overall, our review highlights the significance of integrating uncertainty techniques in healthcare applications of machine learning and deep learning models. This can provide valuable insights and practical solutions to manage uncertainty in real-world medical data, ultimately improving the accuracy and reliability of medical diagnoses and treatment recommendations.

Ground water quality evaluation using hydrogeochemical characterization and novel machine learning in the Chikun Local Government Area of Kaduna State, Nigeria

The investigation collected 50 random water samples from wells and bore holes in the five wards. In the meantime, the Water Quality Index (WQI) in this region was assessed using a novel machine learning model. In this sphere of science, the Emotional Artificial Neural Network (EANN) was used as an innovative technique. The training dataset comprised 80% of the available data, while the remaining 20% was used to assess the performance of the network. The laboratory analysis revealed that the levels of magnesium (0.581 mg/L), mercury (0.0143 mg/L), iron (0.82 mg/L), lead (0.69 mg/L), calcium (2.03 mg/L), and total dissolved solid (105 mg/L) in the water sample were quite high and exceeded the maximum permissible limits established by the National Standard Water Quality (NSWQ) and Water Quality Association (WQA). Except for magnesium, mercury, iron, and lead, all physicochemical parameters are below the utmost permissible limit. Results showed that hydrogeological effects and anthropogenic activities, such as waste management and land use, impact groundwater pollution in the Chikun Local Government Area of Kaduna State up to 60 m deep. The results of the EANN showed that R2 index and normalized root mean square error (RMSENormalized) values for the training and test stages are 0.89 and 0.18, and 0.83 and 0.23, respectively.

Assessment of hydrogeochemistry in groundwater using water quality index model and indices approaches

Groundwater resources around the world required periodic monitoring in order to ensure the safe and sustainable utilization for humans by keeping the good status of water quality. However, this could be a daunting task for developing countries due to the insufficient data in spatiotemporal resolution. Therefore, this research work aimed to assess groundwater quality in terms of drinking and irrigation purposes at the adjacent part of the Rooppur Nuclear Power Plant (RNPP) in Bangladesh. For the purposes of achieving the aim of this study, nine groundwater samples were collected seasonally (dry and wet season) and seventeen hydro-geochemical indicators were analyzed, including Temperature (Temp.), pH, electrical conductivity (EC), total dissolved solids (TDS), total alkalinity (TA), total hardness (TH), total organic carbon (TOC), bicarbonate (HCO3-), chloride (Cl-), phosphate (PO43-), sulfate (SO42-), nitrite (NO2-), nitrate (NO3-), sodium (Na+), potassium (K+), calcium (Ca2+) and magnesium (Mg2+). The present study utilized the Canadian Council of Ministers of the Environment water quality index (CCME-WQI) model to assess water quality for drinking purposes. In addition, nine indices including EC, TDS, TH, sodium adsorption ratio (SAR), percent sodium (Na%), permeability index (PI), Kelley's ratio (KR), magnesium hazard ratio (MHR), soluble sodium percentage (SSP), and Residual sodium carbonate (RSC) were used in this research for assessing the water quality for irrigation purposes. The computed mean CCME-WQI score found higher during the dry season (ranges 48 to 74) than the wet season (ranges 40 to 65). Moreover, CCME-WQI model ranked groundwater quality between the "poor" and "marginal" categories during the wet season implying unsuitable water for human consumption. Like CCME-WQI model, majority of the irrigation index also demonstrated suitable water for crop cultivation during dry season. The findings of this research indicate that it requires additional care to improve the monitoring programme for protecting groundwater quality in the RNPP area. Insightful information from this study might be useful as baseline for national strategic planners in order to protect groundwater resources during the any emergencies associated with RNPP.

Assessing and forecasting water quality in the Danube River by using neural network approaches

The health and quality of the Danube River ecosystems is strongly affected by the nutrients loads (N and P), degree of contamination with hazardous substances or with oxygen depleting substances, microbiological contamination and changes in river flow patterns and sediment transport regimes. Water quality index (WQI) is an important dynamic attribute in the characterization of the Danube River ecosystems health and quality. The WQ index scores do not reflect the actual condition of water quality. We proposed a new forecast scheme for water quality based on the following qualitative classes very good (0-25), good (26-50), poor (51-75), very poor (76-100) and extremely polluted/non-potable (>100). Water quality forecasting by using Artificial Intelligence (AI) is a meaningful method of protecting public health because of its possibility to provide early warning regarding harmful water pollutants. The main objective of the present study is to forecast the WQI time series data based on water physical, chemical and flow status parameters and associated WQ index scores. The Cascade-forward network (CFN) models, along with the Radial Basis Function Network (RBF) as a benchmark model, were developed using data from 2011 to 2017 and WQI forecasts were produced for the period 2018-2019 at all sites. The nineteen input water quality features represent the initial dataset. Moreover, the Random Forest (RF) algorithm refines the initial dataset by selecting eight features considered the most relevant. Both datasets are employed for constructing the predictive models. According to the results of appraisal, the CFN models produced better outcomes (MSE = 0.083/0,319 and R-value 0.940/0.911 in quarter I/quarter IV) than the RBF models. In addition, results show that both the CFN and RBF models could be effective for predicting time series data for water quality when the eight most relevant features are used as input variables. Also, the CFNs provide the most accurate short-term forecasting curves which reproduce the WQI for the first and fourth quarters (the cold season). The second and third quarters presented a slightly lower accuracy. The reported results clearly demonstrate that CFNs successfully forecast the short-term WQI as they may learn historic patterns and determine the nonlinear relationships between the input and output variables.

Prediction of ammonia contaminants in the aquaculture ponds using soft computing coupled with wavelet analysis

Intensive aquaculture practices generate highly polluted organic effluents such as biological oxygen demand (BOD), alkalinity, total ammonia, nitrates, calcium, potassium, sodium, iron, and chlorides. In recent years, Inland aquaculture ponds in the western delta region of Andhra Pradesh have been intensively expanding and are more concerned about negative environmental impact. This paper presents the water quality analysis of aquaculture waters in 64 random locations in the western delta region of Andhra Pradesh. The average water quality index (WQI) was 126, with WQI values ranging from 21 to 456. Approximately 78% of the water samples were very poor and unsafe for drinking and domestic usage. The mean ammonia content in aquaculture water was 0.15 mg/L, and 78% of the samples were above the acceptable limit set by the World Health Organization (WHO) of 0.5 mg/L. The quantity of ammonia in the water ranged from 0.05 to 2.8 mg/L. The results show that ammonia levels exceed the permissible limits and are a significant concern in aquaculture waters due to toxicity. This paper also presents an intelligent soft computing approach to predicting ammonia levels in aquaculture ponds, using two novel approaches, such as the pelican optimization algorithm (POA) and POA coupled with discrete wavelet analysis (DWT-POA). The modified and enhanced POA with DWT can converge to higher performance when compared to standard POA, with an average percentage error of 1.964 and a coefficient of determination (R²) value of 0.822. Moreover, it was found that prediction models were reliable with good accuracy and simple to execute. Furthermore, these prediction models could help stakeholders and policymakers to make a real-time prediction of ammonia levels in intensive farming inland aquaculture ponds.

Macroalgae for biomonitoring of trace elements in relation to environmental parameters and seasonality in a sub-tropical mangrove estuary

Being a resourceful ecosystem, mangrove estuaries have always been subjected to trace elements (TEs) contamination, and therefore, the biomonitoring approach holds immense potential for surveilling the aquatic environment. To investigate the potentiality of mangrove macroalgae as biomonitors, estuarine water, intertidal-sediment, and macroalgal samples were collected from the Pasur River estuary of Sundarbans mangrove ecosystem, Bangladesh, and afterward studied through Atomic Absorption Spectrometer to quantify the levels of six concerned TEs (Fe, Mn, Zn, Cu, Pb, and Cd). This study utilized the geo-environmental and ecological indices and sediment characterization approaches (sediment quality guidelines-SQGs) for assessing the contamination scenario of the adjacent environment to macroalgae whereas the performance of studied algal groups was evaluated using Bio-contamination factor, Comprehensive bio-concentration index, and Metal accumulation index. Metal occurrence scheme in the water followed the order of Fe > Zn > Mn > Pb > Cd while Fe > Mn > Zn > Cu > Pb > Cd for both sediment and macroalgae. Both Pb and Cd exceeded the guideline limit in estuarine water and the indices approach manifested low to moderate contamination with enrichment from anthropogenic origin of Mn, Zn, and Cu in sediment. Moreover, the SQGs revealed rare biological effects of Cu on an aquatic community. Within algal samples, Chlorophyta contributed the highest biomass production, followed by Phaeophyta and Rhodophyta. Statistical relationship disclosed the influence of environmental variables on TE's accumulation in Chlorophyta. By contrast, hydrochemical's association showed prevalence over the TEs accumulation process for Phaeophyta and Rhodophyta. Bioaccumulation performance analysis revealed that the ability to accumulate TEs in macroalgal groups varied with seasons. Therefore, biomonitoring with macroalgae for the region of interest might require further temporal considerations.

Drinking water quality monitoring, assessment and management in Pakistan: A review

In this review, the importance of a robust frame work for drinking water quality monitoring, assessment and management has been discussed. This review presents the global overview of the drinking water quality, illuminating the global challenges of water supply system from catchment to consumers and briefly discussing appropriate regulatory frameworks and risk analysis tools. It also presents meticulous summaries of water reports released by the government and non-governmental organizations with special emphasis on health-based targets, proposed strategies related to preventive risk management (through water safety planning), environmental impact assessment (EIA), and independent surveillance in Pakistan. This paper reviews various studies published in national and international journals and reports, released by the government and non-governmental organizations, to provide a summary of the current knowledge with regards to the contemporary water quality management system that is still developing in the country. Role of agencies and their policies for water quality management and monitoring is one of the most important impact categories that has been covered in this review. The reviewed publications provide strong support for claims that impacts of unsafe water on health and economy of a country are very dangerous. Improved access to safe drinking water by a development-oriented strategy can have tangible improvements in socioeconomic status of a country.