Bilirubin alone as a biomarker for short-term mortality in acute-on-chronic liver failure: an important prognostic indicator

Antibiotics With or Without Rifaximin for Acute Hepatic Encephalopathy in Critically Ill Patients With Cirrhosis: A Double-Blind, Randomized Controlled (ARiE) Trial

INTRODUCTION

Critically ill patients with cirrhosis admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) are usually on broad-spectrum antibiotics because of suspected infection or as a hospital protocol. It is unclear if additional rifaximin has any synergistic effect with broad-spectrum antibiotics in ICU patients with acute overt hepatic encephalopathy (HE).

METHODS

In this double-blind trial, patients with overt HE admitted to ICU were randomized to receive antibiotics (ab) alone or antibiotics with rifaximin (ab + r). Resolution (or 2 grade reduction) of HE, time to resolution of HE, in-hospital mortality, nosocomial infection, and changes in endotoxin levels were compared between the 2 groups. A subgroup analysis of patients with decompensated cirrhosis and acute-on-chronic liver failure was performed.

RESULTS

Baseline characteristics and severity scores were similar among both groups (92 in each group). Carbapenems and cephalosporin with beta-lactamase inhibitors were the most commonly used ab. On Kaplan-Meier analysis, 44.6% (41/92; 95% confidence interval [CI], 32-70.5) in ab-only arm and 46.7% (43/92; 95% CI, 33.8-63) in ab + r arm achieved the primary objective ( P = 0.84).Time to achieve the primary objective (3.65 ± 1.82 days and 4.11 ± 2.01 days; P = 0.27) and in-hospital mortality were similar among both groups (62% vs 50%; P = 0.13). Seven percent and 13% in the ab and ab + r groups developed nosocomial infections ( P = 0.21). Endotoxin levels were unaffected by rifaximin. Rifaximin led to lower in-hospital mortality (hazard ratio: 0.39 [95% CI, 0.2-0.76]) in patients with decompensated cirrhosis but not in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (hazard ratio: 0.99 [95% CI, 0.6-1.63]) because of reduced nosocomial infections.

DISCUSSION

Reversal of overt HE in those on ab was comparable with those on ab + r.

DERIVATION OF A MORTALITY PREDICTION MODEL IN CRITICAL CARE PATIENTS WITH CIRRHOSIS AND SEPSIS

ABSTRACT

Objective : The aim of the study is to develop a predictive model for in-hospital mortality in critically ill patients with cirrhosis and sepsis, using clinical and laboratory data. Design : This is a retrospective cohort study. Setting: Medical and mixed intensive care units (ICUs) of a tertiary medical center. Patients : Cirrhotic adults were admitted with sepsis to the ICUs from January of 2007 to May of 2017. Interventions : None. Measurements and Main Results : Of 2,595 ICU admissions of patients with cirrhosis, 277 with first ICU admission for sepsis were included in the analysis, and 37% died in the hospital. Patients who stayed in the ICU for at least 6 h (n = 275) were considered for the multivariate model. Ten-fold cross-validation was used to estimate best parameter values and model performance, and the final model was chosen as the model maximizing area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve. Variables in order of impact were Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) III score, initial serum lactate, conjugated bilirubin, serum creatinine, model for end-stage liver disease score, age, body mass index, and serum hemoglobin. The final best model from cross-validation presented an area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.75, using a cut-point of 50% estimated probability, sensitivity and specificity were 0.46 and 0.90, respectively, with positive predictive value of 0.72 and negative predictive value of 0.74. These results were similar to the APACHE III only model (AUC = 0.74, sensitivity = 0.43, specificity = 0.89, positive predictive value = 0.69, negative predictive value = 0.73). Conclusion : The combination of initial serum lactate level, conjugated bilirubin, initial serum creatinine, model for end-stage liver disease score, age, body mass index, and serum hemoglobin did not yield meaningful improvement in the AUC and did not provide advantage over the APACHE III score for the prediction of in-hospital mortality in critically ill patients with cirrhosis and sepsis.

Label-Free Detection of Unbound Bilirubin and Nitrophenol Explosives in Water by a Mechanosynthesized Dual Functional Zinc Complex: Recognition of Picric Acid in Various Common Organic Media

High levels of unconjugated bilirubin (UB) in serum lead to asymptomatic and neonatal jaundice and brain dysfunctions. Herein, we have reported the detection of UB at as low as 1 μM in an aqueous alkaline medium using a Zn(II) complex. The specificity of the complex has been validated by the HPLC in the concentration window 6-90 μM, which is rare. The sensory response of the probe at physiological pH against nitro explosives developed it as an instant-acting fluorosensor for picric acid (PA) and 2,4-dinitrophenol (2,4-DNP). Spectroscopic titration provided a binding constant of 4×105  M-1 with PA. The naked eye detection was found to be 15 μM. The solid-state photoluminescent nature of the complex enabled it for PA sensing in the solid phase. Interestingly, the probe remained fluorescent in various volatile and non-volatile organic solvents. As a result, it can also detect PA and 2,4-DNP in a wide range of common organic media. NMR studies revealed the coordination of PA, 2,4-DNP, and UB to the Zn(II) center of the probe, which is responsible for the observed quenching of the probe with the analytes.

Development and validation of modified Liaoning score for predicting the prognosis of liver cirrhosis: a retrospective, international multicenter, observational study

BACKGROUND

Liaoning score has been developed and validated to predict the risk of esophageal varices in liver cirrhosis. This study aimed to further modify the Liaoning score by combining clinical and laboratory parameters to predict the long-term outcome of cirrhotic patients.

METHODS

First, 474 cirrhotic patients were retrospectively enrolled from Shenyang, China as the training cohort. Independent predictors for death were identified by competing risk analyses, and then a new prognostic model, called as modified Liaoning score, was developed. Its performance was externally validated at three centers from Fuzhou, China (n = 1944), Jinan, China (n = 485), and São Paulo, Brazil (n = 221).

RESULTS

Age, total bilirubin (TBIL), albumin (ALB), serum creatinine (SCr), and Liaoning score were independently associated with death in the training cohort. Modified Liaoning score = 0.159×Liaoning score + 0.010×TBIL(µmol/L)+0.029×age(years)+0.011×SCr(µmol/L)-0.037×ALB(g/L). The area under curve of modified Liaoning score was 0.714 (95%CI = 0.655-0.773), which was higher than that of Child-Pugh score (0.707, 95%CI = 0.645-0.770), MELD score (0.687, 95%CI = 0.623-0.751), and Liaoning score (0.583, 95%CI = 0.513-0.654). A modified Liaoning score of ≥ 1.296 suggested a higher cumulative incidence of death in liver cirrhosis (p < 0.001). Modified Liaoning score still had the highest prognostic performance in Chinese and Brazilian validation cohorts.

CONCLUSIONS

Modified Liaoning score can be considered for predicting the long-term outcome of cirrhotic patients.

Anti-Arthritic and Immunomodulatory Potential of Methanolic, n-Hexane, and Ethyl Acetate Fractions of Bark of Acacia modesta on Complete Freund's Adjuvant-Induced Arthritis in Rats

Rheumatoid arthritis is an autoimmune disorder and topic of interest for researchers due to its increasing frequency and limited treatment. Acacia modesta Wall is known to treat rheumatic disorders in the traditional system of medicinal plants. Traditional medicines are still required for the treatment of this disease due to the large number of side-effects caused by commercial medicines. In the current study, the antiarthritic potential of methanolic extract (AM-metha), n-hexane (AM-hexa) fraction, and ethyl acetate (AM-etha) fraction of the bark of A. modesta against a complete Freund's adjuvant rat model was evaluated. Evaluation using a digital plethysmometer, macroscopic evaluation, and histopathological evaluation were conducted to determine the paw volume and arthritic scoring. ELISA was performed to assess the PGE2 levels. RT-PCR was used to evaluate the expression levels of MMP2, MMP3, MMP9, NF-κB, IL6, IL1β, TNFα, and VEGF. Biochemical and hematological analyses were also conducted. GC/MS was also carried out to analyze the presence of medicinal compounds. The data revealed a marked reduction in the paw volume, arthritic scoring, and histopathological parameters, indicating the anti-arthritic potential of the plant. Treatment with plant extracts and fractions markedly down-regulated MMP2, MMP3, MMP9, NF-κB, IL6, IL1β, TNFα, and VEGF levels. Similarly, PGE2 levels were also found to be ameliorated in the treatment groups, indicating the immunomodulatory property of plant bark. Plant treatment nearly normalized hematological parameters such as counts of WBCs, RBCs, and platelets, along with Hb content, thereby validating the anti-arthritic activity. GC/MS analysis disclosed the presence of strong anti-inflammatory compounds such as lupeol, oleic acid, and squalene. The study showed that A. modesta possesses anti-arthritic and immunomodulatory potential linked to significant down-regulation of pro-inflammatory and inflammatory biomarkers.

Toxic effects and toxicological mechanisms of chlorinated paraffins: A review for insight into species sensitivity and toxicity difference

Chlorinated paraffins (CPs), a group of chlorinated alkane mixtures, are frequently detected in various environmental matrices and human bodies. Recently, CPs have garnered considerable attention owing to their potential to induce health hazards in wildlife and human. Several reviews have discussed short-chain CPs (SCCPs) induced ecological risk; however, a comprehensive understanding of the underlying toxic mechanisms and a comparison among SCCPs, medium-, and long-chain CPs (MCCPs and LCCPs, respectively) are yet to be established. This review summarizes the latest research progress on the toxic effects and the underlying molecular mechanisms of CPs. The main toxicity mechanisms of CPs include activation of several receptors, oxidative stress, disturbance of energy metabolism, and inhibition of gap junction-mediated communication. The sensitivity of different species to CP-mediated toxicities varies markedly, with aquatic organisms exhibiting the highest sensitivity to CP-induced toxicity. The toxicity comparison analysis indicated that MCCPs may be unsafe as potential substitutes for SCCPs.

Circular RNA Tmcc1 improves astrocytic glutamate metabolism and spatial memory via NF-κB and CREB signaling in a bile duct ligation mouse model: transcriptional and cellular analyses

BACKGROUND

Hepatic encephalopathy-induced hyperammonemia alters astrocytic glutamate metabolism in the brain, which is involved in cognitive decline. To identify specific therapeutic strategies for the treatment of hepatic encephalopathy, various molecular signaling studies, such as non-coding RNA functional study, have been conducted. However, despite several reports of circular RNAs (circRNAs) in the brain, few studies of circRNAs in hepatic encephalopathy-induced neuropathophysiological diseases have been conducted.

METHODS

In this study, we performed RNA sequencing to identify whether the candidate circRNA cirTmcc1 is specifically expressed in the brain cortex in a bile duct ligation (BDL) mouse model of hepatic encephalopathy.

RESULTS

Based on transcriptional and cellular analysis, we investigated the circTmcc1-dysregulation-induced changes in the expression of several genes that are associated with intracellular metabolism and astrocyte function. We found that the circTmcc1 binds with the NF-κB p65-CREB transcriptional complex and regulates the expression of the astrocyte transporter EAAT2. Furthermore, circTmcc1 contributed to the secretion of proinflammatory mediators and glutamate metabolism in astrocytes and subsequently modulated an improvement in spatial memory by mediating neuronal synaptic plasticity.

CONCLUSIONS

Thus, circTmcc1 may be a promising circRNA candidate for targeted interventions to prevent and treat the neuropathophysiological complications that occur due to hepatic encephalopathy.

Dealing With Missing, Imbalanced, and Sparse Features During the Development of a Prediction Model for Sudden Death Using Emergency Medicine Data: Machine Learning Approach

BACKGROUND

In emergency departments (EDs), early diagnosis and timely rescue, which are supported by prediction modes using ED data, can increase patients' chances of survival. Unfortunately, ED data usually contain missing, imbalanced, and sparse features, which makes it challenging to build early identification models for diseases.

OBJECTIVE

This study aims to propose a systematic approach to deal with the problems of missing, imbalanced, and sparse features for developing sudden-death prediction models using emergency medicine (or ED) data.

METHODS

We proposed a 3-step approach to deal with data quality issues: a random forest (RF) for missing values, k-means for imbalanced data, and principal component analysis (PCA) for sparse features. For continuous and discrete variables, the decision coefficient R² and the κ coefficient were used to evaluate performance, respectively. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and the area under the precision-recall curve (AUPRC) were used to estimate the model's performance. To further evaluate the proposed approach, we carried out a case study using an ED data set obtained from the Hainan Hospital of Chinese PLA General Hospital. A logistic regression (LR) prediction model for patient condition worsening was built.

RESULTS

A total of 1085 patients with rescue records and 17,959 patients without rescue records were selected and significantly imbalanced. We extracted 275, 402, and 891 variables from laboratory tests, medications, and diagnosis, respectively. After data preprocessing, the median R² of the RF continuous variable interpolation was 0.623 (IQR 0.647), and the median of the κ coefficient for discrete variable interpolation was 0.444 (IQR 0.285). The LR model constructed using the initial diagnostic data showed poor performance and variable separation, which was reflected in the abnormally high odds ratio (OR) values of the 2 variables of cardiac arrest and respiratory arrest (201568034532 and 1211118945, respectively) and an abnormal 95% CI. Using processed data, the recall of the model reached 0.746, the F₁-score was 0.73, and the AUROC was 0.708.

CONCLUSIONS

The proposed systematic approach is valid for building a prediction model for emergency patients.

Liver diseases as a novel risk factor for delirium in the ICU-Delirium and hepatic encephalopathy are two distinct entities

BACKGROUND

Delirium prevalence is high in critical care settings. We examined the incidence, risk factors, and outcome of delirium in a medical intensive care unit (MICU) with a particular focus on liver diseases. We analyzed this patient population in terms of delirium risk prediction and differentiation between delirium and hepatic encephalopathy.

METHODS

We conducted an observational study and included 164 consecutive patients admitted to an MICU of a university hospital. Patients were assessed for delirium using the Confusion Assessment Method for ICUs and the Richmond Agitation-Sedation Scale (RASS). On admission and at the onset of delirium Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score was determined. A population of patients with liver disease was compared to a population with gastrointestinal diseases. In the population with liver diseases, hepatic encephalopathy was graded according to the West Haven classification. We analyzed the incidence, subtype, predisposing, precipitating, and health-care setting-related factors, treatment, outcome of delirium and the association between delirium and hepatic encephalopathy in patients with liver diseases.

RESULTS

The incidence of delirium was 32.5% (n = 53). Univariable binary regression analyses adjusted by the Holm-Bonferroni method showed that the development of delirium was significantly determined by 10 risk factors: Alcohol abuse (p = 0.016), severity of disease (Simplified Acute Physiology Score (SAPS) II, p = 0.016), liver diseases (p = 0.030) and sepsis (p = 0.016) compared to the control group (gastrointestinal (GI) diseases and others), increased sodium (p = 0.016), creatinine (p = 0.030), urea (p = 0.032) or bilirubin (p = 0.042), decreased hemoglobin (p = 0.016), and mechanical ventilation (p = 0.016). Of note, we identified liver diseases as a novel and relevant risk factor for delirium. Hepatic encephalopathy was not a risk factor for delirium. Delirium and hepatic encephalopathy are both life-threatening but clearly distinct conditions. The median SOFA score for patients with delirium at delirium onset was significantly higher than the SOFA score of all patients at admission (p = 0.008). Patients with delirium had five times longer ICU stays (p = 0.004) and three times higher in-hospital mortality (p = 0.036). Patients with delirium were five times more likely to be transferred to an intensive medical rehabilitation unit for post-intensive care (p = 0.020). Treatment costs per case were more than five times higher in patients with delirium than in patients without delirium (p = 0.004).

CONCLUSIONS

The 10 risk factors identified in this study should be assessed upon admission to ICU for effective detection, prevention, and treatment of delirium. Liver diseases are a novel risk factor for delirium with a level of significance comparable to sepsis as an established risk factor. Of note, in patients with liver diseases delirium and hepatic encephalopathy should be recognized as distinct entities to initiate appropriate treatment. Therefore, we propose a new algorithm for efficient diagnosis, characterization, and treatment of altered mental status in the ICU. This algorithm integrates the 10 risk factor prediction-model for delirium and prompts grading of the severity of hepatic encephalopathy using the West Haven classification if liver disease is present or newly diagnosed.

Adverse events, short- and long-term outcomes of extra corporeal liver therapy in the intensive care unit: 16 years experience with MARS® in a single center

Background

Molecular Adsorbent Recirculating System (MARS®) is a non-biological artificial liver device. The benefit risk ratio between uncertain clinical effects and potential adverse events remains difficult to assess. We sought to describe adverse events related to MARS® therapy as well as biological and clinical effects.

Methods

All intensive care unit (ICU) admissions to whom MARS® therapy was prescribed from March 2005 to August 2021 were consecutively and prospectively included. The main endpoint was the incidence of adverse events related to MARS® therapy. Secondary endpoints were the biological and clinical effects of MARS® therapy.

Results

We reported 180 admissions treated with MARS® therapy. Among the 180 admissions, 56 (31.1%) were for acute-on-chronic liver failure, 32 (17.8%) for acute liver failure, 28 (15.5%) for post-surgery liver failure, 52 (28.9%) for pruritus and 12 (6.7%) for drug intoxication. At least one adverse event occurred in 95 (52.8%) admissions. Thrombocytopenia was the most frequent adverse event which was recorded in 55 admissions (30.6%). Overall, platelets count was 131 (± 95) × 10⁹/L before and 106 (± 72) × 10⁹/L after MARS® therapy (p < .001). After MARS® therapy, total bilirubin was significantly decreased in all groups (p < 0.05). Hepatic encephalopathy significantly improved in both the acute-on-chronic and in the acute liver failure group (p = 0.01). In the pruritus group, pruritus intensity score was significantly decreased after MARS® therapy (p < 0.01).

Conclusion

In this large cohort of patients treated with MARS® therapy we report frequent adverse events. Thrombocytopenia was the most frequent adverse event. In all applications significant clinical and biological improvements were shown with MARS® therapy.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s13054-022-04165-z.

Novel nomogram model for predicting 6-week mortality in liver cirrhosis patients with acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding

OBJECTIVE

To develop and validate a nomogram for predicting 6-week mortality in patients with liver cirrhosis and acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) and to compare it with other commonly used scoring systems.

METHODS

This retrospective study included cirrhotic patients with acute UGIB hospitalized between January 2013 and December 2020. Random sampling was used to divide patients into the training (n = 676) and validation cohorts (n = 291) at a 7:3 ratio. Multivariate logistic stepwise regression was used to establish a model for predicting 6-week mortality. Multiple indicators were used to validate the nomogram, including the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

RESULTS

In the training cohort, total bilirubin (TBIL) (odds ratio [OR] 1.75, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.22-2.50), hemoglobin (Hb) (OR 0.97, 95% CI 0.95-0.99), C-reactive protein (OR 2.79, 95% CI 1.30-6.07), prothrombin time (OR 1.17, 95% CI 1.05-1.30), and hepatic encephalopathy (stage I-II: OR 4.15, 95% CI 1.73-9.61; stage III-IV: OR 19.6, 95% CI 5.33-76.8) were identified as independent factors of 6-week mortality. The AUROC of the UGIB-LC score was 0.873 (95% CI 0.820-0.927), which was higher than that of the Child-Pugh score (0.781), model for end-stage liver disease score (0.766), and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (0.716).

CONCLUSION

The UGIB-LC score is useful for predicting 6-week mortality in patients with liver cirrhosis and acute UGIB, which is superior to the other three scoring systems.

A purely solid-state based method for bilirubin levels determination in plasma

In the past half-century, the advent of solid-state electronics, i.e., microcontrollers, transistors, photodiodes, light-emitting diodes and more, has led to the improvement of the tools we, as a human race, need and use in our daily lives. Solid-state electronics has specifically contributed significantly to the field of biomedical engineering and has allowed various round-the-clock point-of-care testing applications. These include handheld, wearable, and implantable sensors and devices for accelerated interventions. Furthermore, miniaturization has accelerated the implementation of low-cost and energy-efficient systems with increased performance. In this paper, we have used optical techniques along with the benefits of solid-state electronics to measure bilirubin concentration in plasma with concentrations projected from healthy individuals to hyperbilirubinemia (0 - 30 mg/dL). Traditionally, full-range spectrophotometry is the gold standard optical method and provides the most accurate results but suffers from instrument complexity. Thus, this paper proposes and investigates the measurement of bilirubin by using a dual-wavelength approach combined with photodegradation kinetics. By tracking the changes in the spectral characteristics of bilirubin for 10 minutes (~3 J/cm2), a new model was built to measure bilirubin concentrations and distinguish between low vs high and risky vs non-risky levels. Results show a high positive correlation between the optical responses and concentration (R-square > 0.93) with an average accuracy of ~1.4 mg/dL. On top of that, the technique's viability for point-of-care testing of bilirubin levels was studied using a system-on-chip optical module. Thus, this could help suggest neonatal therapeutic interventions, including enteral feeding, phototherapy, and blood transfusion.

Safety and efficacy of terlipressin in acute-on-chronic liver failure with hepatorenal syndrome-acute kidney injury (HRS-AKI): a prospective cohort study

Terlipressin with albumin, the recommended treatment for hepatorenal syndrome-acute kidney injury (HRS-AKI), is associated with adverse events. Furthermore, the course of AKI in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is unknown. We aimed to analyze the safety and efficacy of terlipressin infusion and AKI course in patients with ACLF. We prospectively enrolled consecutive adult patients with ACLF with HRS-AKI (satisfying EASL criteria) treated with terlipressin infusion between 14 October 2019 and 24 July 2020. The objectives were to assess the incidence of adverse events, response to terlipressin, course of HRS-AKI and predictors of mortality. A total of 116 patients were included. Twenty-one percent of patients developed adverse effects. Only 1/3rd of patients who developed adverse events were alive at day 90. Sixty-five percent of the patients responded to terlipressin. Nearly 22% developed recurrence of HRS, and 5.2% progressed to HRS-chronic kidney disease. TFS was 70.4% at day 30 and 57.8% at day 90. On multivariate stepwise Cox regression analysis terlipressin non-response (hazard ratio [HR], 3.49 [1.85–6.57]; P < 0.001) and MELD NA score (HR,1.12 [1.06–1.18]; P < 0.001) predicted mortality at day-90. Patients with ACLF who develop terlipressin related adverse events have dismal prognoses. Terlipressin non-response predicts mortality in patients with ACLF and HRS-AKI.

Acute and sub-chronic toxicity assessment and evaluation of the gastro-protective activity of polyherbal formulation “Mystomate4®” against gastric ulcer in experimental laboratory animal

Background

Ulcer remains a health challenge worldwide with antibiotics and proton pump inhibitors as major management therapy. The study investigated the acute, sub-chronic toxicity and gastrointestinal protective activity of a polyherbal formulation (Mystomate4®) used locally in Nigeria.

Methods

Oral LD50 and the sub-chronic toxicity test were determined in mice and rats. Mice were grouped into 8 groups of 8 mice each. They were dosed a graded concentration of the formulation (1.28, 2.56; 5.12; 10.24; 20.48; 40.96; 81.92; 163.84 g/kg body weight). The graded dose used was arrived at after an initial pilot study. Thereafter doses were chosen around the dose obtained from the pilot study. Animal were dosed orally and observed for sign of toxicity and number of death recorded after 24 h. The sub-chronic toxicity study was carried out for 3 months in rats at a dose of 2.5 and 5.0 g/kg body weight arrived at by titrating down the LD50 value after which some vital tissues were harvested and assessed for toxicity using relevant biomarkers. Anti-ulcer activity was evaluated in rats using ethanol, indomethacin and pylorus ligation induced ulcer models. Data were analysed with Graph Pad Prism version 5.0 using appropriate statistical method and significant level placed at p ≤ 0.05.

Results

The acute toxicity study showed an LD50 result of 22,837.21 g/kg. The sub-chronic toxicity study resulted in a significant reduction in body weight due to significant decrease (p ≤ 0.05) in feed consumption. Biochemical analyses of the blood samples showed a significant increase (p ≤ 0.05) in creatinine and albumin level in the 2.5 mg/kg female group. ALT was significantly increased in all the treated rats except in 2 mg/kg female rats. Alkaline phosphatase significantly increased in high dosed male (HM) group while blood urea:creatinine ratio was significantly lowered in all the treated groups. There was a significant increase in serum TGL in all rats while LDL was significantly increased and decreased in HM and high dosed female (HF) respectively.

Conclusion

Mystomate4® showed significant protection against ethanol and indomethacin-induced ulcer models but did not modify the gastric parameters in pylorus ligation-induced ulcer model. The polyherbal formulation is nontoxic with promising potentials for treating experimental peptic ulcer.

Value of Liver Function Tests in Cirrhosis

The liver comprises both parenchymal and non-parenchymal cells with varying functions. Cirrhosis is often complicated by the development of portal hypertension and its associated complications. Hence, assessment of liver in cirrhosis should include assessment of its structural, function of both hepatic and non-hepatic tissue and haemodynamic assessment of portal hypertension. There is no single test that can evaluate all functions of liver and assess prevalence and severity of portal hypertension. Commonly available tests like serum bilirubin, liver enzymes (alanine [ALT] and aspartate aminotransferase [AST], serum alkaline phosphatase [ALP], gamma glutamyl transpeptidase [GGT]), serum albumin and prothrombin time for assessment of liver functions partly assess liver functions. quantitative liver functions like indocyanine clearance tests [ICG-K], methacetin breath test [MBT] were developed to assess dynamic status of liver but has its own limitation and availability. Imaging based assessment of liver by transient elastography, MRI based 99 mTc-coupled asialoglycoprotein mebrofenin scan help the clinician to assess liver function, functional volume of liver left after surgery and portal hypertension [PH]. Hepatic venous pressure gradient still remains the gold standard for the assessment of portal hypertension but is invasive and not available in all centres. Combinations of blood parameters in form of various indices like fibrosis score of 4 [FIB-4], Lok index, scores like model for end stage liver disease (MELD) and Child-Turcotte Pugh score are commonly used for assessing liver function in clinical practice.

Metabolic associated fatty liver disease and acute-on-chronic liver failure: common themes for common problems

Metabolic associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) affects 20-30% of the worldwide population and is becoming the most common cause of chronic liver disease, cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). MAFLD is the hepatic expression of metabolic dysfunction correlated with a variety of metabolic comorbidities including obesity, dyslipidemia, hypertension and type 2 diabetes (T2DM). Obesity, altered gut permeability, chronic inflammation and dysbiosis related to MAFLD might predispose patients with cirrhosis to the development of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF); however, this relationship remains unclear. ACLF is a syndrome with high short-term mortality, presenting with acute hepatic decompensation associated with organ failures in patients with underlying chronic liver disease with or without an identifiable precipitating event. While this syndrome can occur in any patient with cirrhosis, the increasing prevalence of cirrhosis due to MAFLD is of great concern because, in a recent analysis, MAFLD was the fastest rising cause of cirrhosis associated with ACLF among patients listed for LT in the US. In this review, we will discuss the current knowledge on MAFLD and the development of ACLF.

Predictive Value of Blood Parameters and Comorbidities on Three-Month Mortality in Elderly Patients With Hip Fracture

Background Knowing the factors that increase the risk of death in patients with hip fractures will help us to take precautions and intervene when necessary in the pre- and postoperative periods. Therefore, it is important to have inexpensive and practical biomarkers that can predict postoperative complications and mortality. The present study aimed to identify the factors that contribute to early mortality in elderly patients with hip fractures in the first three months after trauma, as well as the parameters that may be determinants of mortality. Methods The data of 1,015 patients over 65 years of age with femoral neck and intertrochanteric fractures admitted between January 2009 and January 2020 were retrospectively reviewed. A total of 763 patients who met the inclusion criteria were included in the study. Our study was designed to include 110 (14.4%) patients in Group 1 who were determined to have died within three months after the diagnosis of hip fracture and 653 (85.6%) patients in Group 2 who were determined not to have died within one year after the trauma. Age, gender, comorbid diseases, American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) score, type of anesthesia, operation time, type of implant used, time until surgery, and some biochemical blood values were compared between the two groups. Our data were analyzed statistically using the IBM Statistical Product and Service Solutions (SPSS) software for Windows, v. 25.0 (IBM SPSS Statistics for Windows, Armonk, NY). Results Of all of the patients, 370 (48.5%) were female and 393 (51.5%) were male. The patients who survived had an average age of 76.08, while the patients who died had an average age of 80.57. The mean age among the groups is significantly higher in patients who died. High creatinine, alanine aminotransferase (ALT), lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), and low albumin values were found to be associated with mortality. Conclusion It has been determined that advanced age, delayed operation time, high ASA score, and the number of comorbid diseases are associated with mortality in elderly patients with hip fractures, and biomarkers, such as creatinine, ALT, and LDH, can be used as markers for early mortality. With the increase of studies of similar nature, it will be possible to calculate a systematic risk map for mortality in elderly patients with a proximal femur fracture.

Predictive scoring systems for in-hospital mortality due to acutely decompensated liver cirrhosis in Indonesia

Background

Acutely decompensated liver cirrhosis is associated with high medical costs and negatively affects productivity and quality of life. Data on factors associated with in-hospital mortality due to acutely decompensated liver cirrhosis in Indonesia are scarce. This study aims to identify predictors of in-hospital mortality and develop predictive scoring systems for clinical application in acutely decompensated liver cirrhosis patients.

Methods

This was a retrospective cohort study using a hospital database of acutely decompensated liver cirrhosis data at Cipto Mangunkusumo National General Hospital, Jakarta (2016–2019). Bivariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify the predictors of in-hospital mortality. Two scoring systems were developed based on the identified predictors.

Results

A total of 241 patients were analysed; patients were predominantly male (74.3%), had hepatitis B (38.6%), and had Child–Pugh class B or C cirrhosis (40% and 38%, respectively). Gastrointestinal bleeding was observed in 171 patients (70.9%), and 29 patients (12.03%) died during hospitalization. The independent predictors of in-hospital mortality were age (adjusted OR: 1.09 [1.03–1.14]; p = 0.001), bacterial infection (adjusted OR: 6.25 [2.31–16.92]; p < 0.001), total bilirubin level (adjusted OR: 3.01 [1.85–4.89]; p < 0.001) and creatinine level (adjusted OR: 2.70 [1.20–6.05]; p = 0.016). The logistic and additive scoring systems, which were developed based on the identified predictors, had AUROC values of 0.899 and 0.868, respectively.

Conclusion

The in-hospital mortality rate of acutely decompensated liver cirrhosis in Indonesia is high. We have developed two predictive scoring systems for in-hospital mortality in acutely decompensated liver cirrhosis patients.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12876-021-01972-6.

A novel optical assay system for bilirubin concentration measurement in whole blood

As a biomarker for liver disease, bilirubin has been utilized in prognostic scoring systems for cirrhosis. While laboratory-based methods are used to determine bilirubin levels in clinical settings, they do not readily lend themselves to applications outside of hospitals. Consequently, bilirubin monitoring for cirrhotic patients is often performed only intermittently; thus, episodes requiring clinical interventions could be missed. This work investigates the feasibility of measuring bilirubin concentration in whole porcine blood samples using dual-wavelength transmission measurement. A compact and low-cost dual-wavelength transmission measurement setup is developed and optimized to measure whole blood bilirubin concentrations. Using small volumes of whole porcine blood (72 L), we measured the bilirubin concentration within a range corresponding to healthy individuals and cirrhotic patients (1.2-30 mg/dL). We demonstrate that bilirubin levels can be estimated with a positive correlation (R-square > 0.95) and an accuracy of 1.7 mg/dL, with higher reliability in cirrhotic bilirubin concentrations (> 4 mg/dL) critical for high-risk patients. The optical and electronic components utilized are economical and can be readily integrated into a miniature, low-cost, and user-friendly system. This could provide a pathway for point-of-care monitoring of blood bilirubin outside of medical facilities (e.g. patients home).

Non-uniformity of Changes in Drug-Metabolizing Enzymes and Transporters in Liver Cirrhosis: Implications for Drug Dosage Adjustment

Liver cirrhosis is a chronic disease that affects the liver structure, protein expression, and overall metabolic function. Abundance data for drug-metabolizing enzymes and transporters (DMET) across all stages of disease severity are scarce. Levels of these proteins are crucial for the accurate prediction of drug clearance in hepatically impaired patients using physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) models, which can be used to guide the selection of more precise dosing. This study aimed to experimentally quantify these proteins in human liver samples and assess how they can impact the predictive performance of the PBPK models. We determined the absolute abundance of 51 DMET proteins in human liver microsomes across the three degrees of cirrhosis severity (n = 32; 6 mild, 13 moderate, and 13 severe), compared to histologically normal controls (n = 14), using QconCAT-based targeted proteomics. The results revealed a significant but non-uniform reduction in the abundance of enzymes and transporters, from control, by 30–50% in mild, 40–70% in moderate, and 50–90% in severe cirrhosis groups. Cancer and/or non-alcoholic fatty liver disease-related cirrhosis showed larger deterioration in levels of CYP3A4, 2C8, 2E1, 1A6, UGT2B4/7, CES1, FMO3/5, EPHX1, MGST1/3, BSEP, and OATP2B1 than the cholestasis set. Drug-specific pathways together with non-uniform changes of abundance across the enzymes and transporters under various degrees of cirrhosis necessitate the use of PBPK models. As case examples, such models for repaglinide, dabigatran, and zidovudine were successful in recovering disease-related alterations in drug exposure. In conclusion, the current study provides the biological rationale behind the absence of a single dose adjustment formula for all drugs in cirrhosis and demonstrates the utility of proteomics-informed PBPK modeling for drug-specific dose adjustment in liver cirrhosis.

Bilirubin adsorption versus plasma exchange for hyperbilirubinemia in patients after cardiac surgery: a retrospective study

Objective

Hyperbilirubinemia after cardiac surgery increases in-hospital mortality and is associated with poor prognosis. Our present study aimed to compare the efficacy of bilirubin adsorption (BA) and plasma exchange (PEX) in patients with hyperbilirubinemia after cardiac surgery.

Methods

We retrospectively included patients who underwent BA treatment or PEX treatment due to severe hyperbilirubinemia after cardiac surgery at our center from 2015 to 2020. We collected results from urine and liver function tests before and after treatment and compared the in-hospital mortality and morbidity between the two treatment groups.

Results

A total of 56 patients were enrolled in this study: 14 patients received BA treatment, and 42 patients received PEX treatment. Compared to the PEX group, the BA group exhibited a statistically significant reduction in total bilirubin (p = 0.016) and direct bilirubin (p = 0.036) levels. The in-hospital mortality was 85.7% (48/56) in the whole group, and the BA group had a lower mortality than the PEX group (71.4% vs. 90.5%, p = 0.078). The BA group showed better circulatory support, including lower risks of IABP (21.4% vs. 52.4%, p = 0.044), ECMO (21.4% vs. 50.0%, p = 0.061), reintubation (64.3% vs. 40.5%, p = 0.122) and ventricular arrhythmias (64.3% vs. 45.2%, p = 0.217). The in-hospital mortality was still lower in the BA treatment group than in the PEX treatment group (71.4% vs. 100%, p = 0.049) in the matched cohort.

Conclusions

Compared to PEX treatment, BA treatment had a higher bilirubin removal ability in patients with hyperbilirubinemia and could reduce the mortality and risks of poor clinical outcomes. BA treatment should be considered an effective treatment method for patients with higher total bilirubin or direct bilirubin levels.

Rat Model Investigation on the Role of Biomarkers in Hepatic Ischemia-Reperfusion Injury

OBJECTIVES

Liver function is affected by ischemiareperfusion. Ischemia-reperfusion injury to the liver often follows hepatobiliary surgery. Here, we investigated biomarkers of liver ischemia-reperfusion injury using an animal model.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

For this study, 24 male Sprague Dawley rats (146-188 g) were divided into 4 groups: group A was the control group, group B was the partial hepatic ischemia-reperfusion group, group C was the total hepatic ischemia-reperfusion group, and group D was the intermittent total hepatic ischemiareperfusion group. Laboratory liver function levels were measured before ischemia, after ischemia, and after reperfusion. We used liver and renal biopsies for histopathological examination at the end of the study.

RESULTS

After clamping and reperfusion, alanine aminotransferase and cystatin C levels in groups B, C, and D were significantly higher than levels in group A. In group B, after clamping, neutrophil gelatinaseassociated lipocalin levels were higher than in groups A and D, with significantly higher level than in group D after reperfusion. Neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin levels decreased significantly in groups B, C, and D after reperfusion. There was significantly greater hepatic damage in groups B, C, and D compared with group A but no significant differences in renal injury scores among the groups. There was a significant positive correlation between hepatic damage and renal injury. With regard to histopathological examination versus laboratory results, a statistically significant positive correlation was shown between grade of hepatic damage and serum alanine aminotransferase and cystatin C levels. Similarly, there was a positive correlation between renal damage score and alanine aminotransferase level.

CONCLUSIONS

In our animal model, alanine amino - transferase and cystatin C levels tended to increase with ischemia-reperfusion injury levels but neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin decreased during reperfusion. In liver ischemia, we suggest that neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin may be an important biomarker for distinguishing the reperfusion phase.

Measurement and clinical usefulness of bilirubin in liver disease

Elevated plasma bilirubin levels are a frequent clinical finding. It can be secondary to alterations in any stage of its metabolism: (a) excess bilirubin production (i.e., pathologic hemolysis); (b) impaired liver uptake, with elevation of indirect bilirubin; (c) impaired conjugation, prompted by a defect in the UDP-glucuronosyltransferase; and (d) bile clearance defect, with elevation of direct bilirubin secondary to defects in clearance proteins, or inability of the bile to reach the small bowel through bile ducts. A liver lesion of any cause reduces hepatocyte cell number and may impair the uptake of indirect bilirubin from plasma and diminish direct bilirubin transport and clearance through the bile ducts. Various analytical methods are currently available for measuring bilirubin and its metabolites in serum, urine and feces. Serum bilirubin is determined by (1) diazo transfer reaction, currently, the gold-standard; (2) high-performance liquid chromatography (HPLC); (3) oxidative, enzymatic, and chemical methods; (4) direct spectrophotometry; and (5) transcutaneous methods. Although bilirubin is a well-established marker of liver function, it does not always identify a lesion in this organ. Therefore, for accurate diagnosis, alterations in bilirubin concentrations should be assessed in relation to patient anamnesis, the degree of the alteration, and the pattern of concurrent biochemical alterations.

Bilirrubina: Medición y utilidad clínica en la enfermedad hepática

Un aumento en los niveles plasmáticos de bilirrubina es una alteración frecuente. Puede deberse a cualquier causa que altere alguna de las fases de su metabolismo: a) producción excesiva de bilirrubina (ej. hemólisis patológica); b) defecto en la captación hepática, con aumento de bilirrubina indirecta); c) defecto de conjugación, por alteración del enzima encargada (UDP-glucuronosiltransferasa); y d) defecto de excreción biliar, con aumento de bilirrubina directa, por defectos en las proteínas encargadas de la excreción, o bien por la imposibilidad del paso de la bilis a través de los conductos biliares hasta el intestino. Una lesión hepática de cualquier causa, al disminuir el número de hepatocitos, puede producir una disminución de la captación de bilirrubina indirecta desde el plasma y una disminución del transporte y excreción de la bilirrubina directa hacia los conductillos biliares. Se pueden usar diferentes técnicas analíticas para medir la bilirrubina y sus metabolitos en el suero, la orina y las heces. La bilirrubina sérica se mide mediante (1) la "reacción diazo", actualmente el método de referencia; (2) cromatografía líquida de alta resolución (HPLC); (3) métodos oxidativos, enzimáticos y químicos; (4) espectrofotometría directa; y (5) métodos transcutáneos. Aunque la bilirrubina es un marcador clásico de disfunción hepática, no siempre indica una lesión de este órgano. Por tanto, para obtener un diagnóstico preciso, el significado de las alteraciones de este parámetro biológico ha de valorarse en conjunción con la anamnesis del paciente, la magnitud de la alteración, y el patrón de las alteraciones bioquímicas. acompañantes.

Exploring and predicting mortality among patients with end-stage liver disease without cancer: a machine learning approach

OBJECTIVE

End-stage liver disease is a global public health problem with a high mortality rate. Early identification of people at risk of poor prognosis is fundamental for decision-making in clinical settings. This study created a machine learning prediction system that provides several related models with visualized graphs, including decision trees, ensemble learning and clustering, to predict mortality in patients with end-stage liver disease.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study was conducted: the training data were from patients enrolled from January 2009 to December 2010 and followed up to December 2014; validation data were from patients enrolled from January 2015 to December 2016 and followed up to January 2019. Hospitalized patients with noncancer-related chronic liver disease were identified from the hospital's electrical medical records.

RESULTS

In traditional multivariable logistic regression and Cox proportional hazard model, prothrombin time of international normalized ratio, which was significant with P value = 0.002, odds ratio = 2.790 and hazard ratio 1.363. Besides, blood urea nitrogen and C-reactive protein were also significant, with P value <0.001 and 0.026. The area under the curve was 0.771 in the receiver operating characteristic curve. In machine learning, blood urea nitrogen and age were regarded as the primary factors for predicting mortality. Creatinine, prothrombin time of international normalized ratio and bilirubin were also significant mortality predictors. The area under the curve of the random forest and AdaBoost was 0.838 and 0.792.

CONCLUSION

The machine learning techniques provided a comprehensive assessment of patient conditions; it could help physicians make an accurate diagnosis of chronic liver disease and improve healthcare management.

Direct Bilirubin Is More Valuable than Total Bilirubin for Predicting Prognosis in Patients with Liver Cirrhosis

Background/Aims

Most prognostic prediction models for patients with liver cirrhosis include serum total bilirubin (TB) level as a component. This study investigated prognostic performance of serum direct bilirubin (DB) and developed new DB level-based prediction models for cirrhosis.

Methods

A total of 983 hospitalized patients with liver cirrhosis were included. DB-Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score was calculated using MELD score formula, with serum DB level replacing TB level.

Results

Mean age of study population was 56.1 years. Alcoholic liver disease was the most frequent underlying condition (471 patients, 47.9%). Within 6 months, 144 patients (14.6%) died or received liver transplantation due to severe liver dysfunction. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) for prediction of 6-month mortality with DB level was significantly higher than that with TB level (p<0.001). The AUROC of DB-MELD score for prediction of 6-month mortality was significantly higher than that of MELD score (p<0.001). Patients were randomly divided into training (n=492) and validation (n=491) cohorts. A new prognostic prediction model, “Direct Bilirubin, INR, and Creatinine” (DiBIC) score, was developed based on the most significant predictors of 6-month mortality. In training set, AUROC of DiBIC score for prediction of 6-month mortality was 0.892, which was significantly higher than that of the MELD score (0.875, p=0.017), but not different from that of DB-MELD score (0.886, p=0.272). Similar results were observed in validation set.

Conclusions

New prognostic models, DB-MELD and DiBIC scores, have good prognostic performance in liver cirrhosis patients, outperforming other currently available models.

Predictors of early mortality among patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure

Background and Aim

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a transpiring entity, which possesses high short-term/early mortality (28 days). Several mortality predictors have been studied, but none were proved reliable. Serum ferritin, an acute phase reactant and marker of hepatic necro-inflammation, is found to predict mortality in multiple liver diseases. We aimed to evaluate the role of serum ferritin and other clinical features, biochemical parameters and conventional scoring systems in predicting early mortality among ACLF.

Methods

A prospective cohort study was done from October 2017 to March 2019 at a tertiary care (non-transplant) center in eastern India. A total of consecutive 50 ACLF patients diagnosed, based on Asia Pacific Association for the Study of liver disease definition, were investigated for ferritin and other laboratory parameters on day-0, day-7, and followed up for 28 days.

Results

Although the majority did not have organ failure (ACLF grade 0) according to European Association for Study of Liver-chronic liver failure sequential organ failure assessment criteria, early mortality was high (56%). On undergoing univariate analysis, multiple variables (ascites, HE, creatinine, total leucocyte count (TLC), bilirubin, albumin) predicted mortality. However, on multivariate analysis, only total bilirubin independently predicted. None of the scores on day-0 were predictive, while model for end-stage liver disease [area under the receiver operating characteristics (AUROC)-0.703, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.535-0.859] and Child-Turcotte-Pugh (AUROC-0.697, 95% CI: 0.550-0.855) on day-7 did.

Conclusion

ACLF is a dynamic process; day-7 assessment with above predictors, to be considered a milestone for prognostication and opting treatment modalities. Serum ferritin does not predict early mortality in ACLF.

The association of liver function biomarkers with internal exposure of short- and medium-chain chlorinated paraffins in residents from Jinan, China

Chlorinated paraffins (CPs) are pervasive environmental pollutants which have been reported to be hepatotoxic by laboratory cell and animal studies. However, the related epidemiological reports on their hepatotoxic effects to humans are sparse. In this study, we evaluated the associations between six liver enzymes and serum short-chain CP (SCCP) or medium-chain CP (MCCP) concentrations of 197 residents in Jinan, China. Serum S/MCCPs were detected by quadrupole time-of-flight high-resolution mass spectrometry coupled with atmospheric pressure chemical ionization source (APCI-QTOF-HRMS), and quantified by pattern deconvolution method. The associations between total serum S/MCCP concentrations (ΣS/MCCPs) and continuous liver enzyme levels were assessed by linear regression. Odds ratios (ORs) for the effects of serum ΣS/MCCPs concentrations on liver function biomarkers dichotomized by clinical reference intervals were predicted by logistic regression, either treating ΣS/MCCPs as continuous or categorical dependents. After multivariable adjustment, linear regression results illustrated that 1-ln unit increase in serum ΣSCCPs was negatively associated with male PA levels [-6.08, 95% confidence interval (CI): -11.90, -3.25, p < 0.05], positively associated with male TB levels (1.80, 95% CI: 0.28, 3.31, p < 0.05), and positively associated with female AST levels (1.39, 95% CI: 0.07, 2.70, p < 0.05). One-ln unit increase in serum ΣMCCPs was negatively associated male PA levels (-7.56, 95% CI: -17.15, -4.03, p < 0.05). Logistic regression results suggested that male serum ΣSCCPs were associated with increased prevalence of abnormal PA (OR = 1.47 per 1 ln-unit increase, CI = 1.18, 1.82) and TB (OR = 1.75, 95% CI = 1.12, 2.76) levels, and male serum ΣMCCPs were significantly associated with increased prevalence of abnormal PA (OR = 1.43, 95% CI = 1.03, 1.97) levels. In addition, male participants with concentrations above the median ΣS/MCCPs were associated with increased risk for abnormal PA levels [SCCPs, 2.11-fold (95% CI = 1.15, 3.87); MCCPs, 1.94-fold (95% CI = 1.24, 3.03)]. Male participants with concentrations above the median ΣSCCPs were also associated with increased risk for abnormal TB levels (OR = 1.75, 95% CI = 1.12, 2.76). Conclusively, our results revealed that CP internal exposure was associated with disturbed liver biomarker levels, suggesting the hepatotoxicity of both SCCPs and MCCPs to humans.

Machine-Learning Monitoring System for Predicting Mortality Among Patients With Noncancer End-Stage Liver Disease: Retrospective Study

Background

Patients with end-stage liver disease (ESLD) have limited treatment options and have a deteriorated quality of life with an uncertain prognosis. Early identification of ESLD patients with a poor prognosis is valuable, especially for palliative care. However, it is difficult to predict ESLD patients that require either acute care or palliative care.

Objective

We sought to create a machine-learning monitoring system that can predict mortality or classify ESLD patients. Several machine-learning models with visualized graphs, decision trees, ensemble learning, and clustering were assessed.

Methods

A retrospective cohort study was conducted using electronic medical records of patients from Wan Fang Hospital and Taipei Medical University Hospital. A total of 1214 patients from Wan Fang Hospital were used to establish a dataset for training and 689 patients from Taipei Medical University Hospital were used as a validation set.

Results

The overall mortality rate of patients in the training set and validation set was 28.3% (257/907) and 22.6% (145/643), respectively. In traditional clinical scoring models, prothrombin time-international normalized ratio, which was significant in the Cox regression (P<.001, hazard ratio 1.288), had a prominent influence on predicting mortality, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve reached approximately 0.75. In supervised machine-learning models, the concordance statistic of ROC curves reached 0.852 for the random forest model and reached 0.833 for the adaptive boosting model. Blood urea nitrogen, bilirubin, and sodium were regarded as critical factors for predicting mortality. Creatinine, hemoglobin, and albumin were also significant mortality predictors. In unsupervised learning models, hierarchical clustering analysis could accurately group acute death patients and palliative care patients into different clusters from patients in the survival group.

Conclusions

Medical artificial intelligence has become a cutting-edge tool in clinical medicine, as it has been found to have predictive ability in several diseases. The machine-learning monitoring system developed in this study involves multifaceted analyses, which include various aspects for evaluation and diagnosis. This strength makes the clinical results more objective and reliable. Moreover, the visualized interface in this system offers more intelligible outcomes. Therefore, this machine-learning monitoring system provides a comprehensive approach for assessing patient condition, and may help to classify acute death patients and palliative care patients. Upon further validation and improvement, the system may be used to help physicians in the management of ESLD patients.

Warfarin prevented de novo portal vein thrombosis after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt: A retrospective study

Portal vein thrombosis (PVT) might impair the prognosis of cirrhotic patients. However, formation of de novo PVT after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) in cirrhotic patients without preexisting PVT was rarely reported. Moreover, it is not known whether warfarin is efficient in preventing de novo PVT after TIPS. The current study aimed to investigate retrospectively the incidence and location of de novo PVT, and preventive effects of warfarin on de novo PVT after TIPS for cirrhotic patients. Patients who received TIPS placement between March 1, 2015 and March 1, 2016 in our hospital were screened retrospectively. Patients without preexisting PVT before TIPS and those who were followed up for at least 12 months were included. There were 2 groups: 1 group received warfarin (warfarin group) post-TIPS, while another group (control group) did not receive prophylactic drug to prevent PVT. Their baseline characteristics and follow-up data were retrieved. The occurrence of PVT, adverse events due to warfarin, difference in stent patency and clinical complications such as stent dysfunction, hepatic encephalopathy, mortality, liver cancer, variceal bleeding, infection, and liver failure, and results of follow-up biochemical examination were compared. Eighty-three patients without preexisting PVT were included. There were 56 patients in the control group and 27 in the warfarin group. The incidence of PVT in the warfarin group was 14.8% (4/27), whereas the incidence in the control group was 42.9% (24/56, P = .013). The location of de novo PVT was mainly at left portal vein. Adverse events due to warfarin was mostly mild, such as hemorrhinia and gingival hemorrhage. No significant difference regarding to stent patency and clinical complications between the 2 groups was found. At 24-month after-TIPS, for the remaining patients in both groups, the total bilirubin was significantly increased while the red blood cell count was significantly decreased in control group compared with those in warfarin group (P < .05). PVT could commonly occur after TIPS in patients without preexisting PVT. Warfarin could prevent PVT in these patients, and might improve patient's liver function.

A comparison among three different apheretic techniques for treatment of hyperbilirubinemia

Liver failure is associated to high mortality due to the accumulation of protein-bound metabolites, such as bilirubin, not removed by conventional hemodialysis. Different methods can efficiently remove them, such as the molecular adsorbent recirculating system (MARS), plasma exchange (PEX), and bilirubin or plasma adsorption perfusion (PAP). No direct comparison exists between MARS, PEX and PAP, and current guidelines do not specify which method (and when) to use. We have retrospectively evaluated MARS, PEX and PAP in their effectiveness in lowering plasma bilirubin concentration, and their effects on liver and kidney function. A total of 98 patients have been recruited, which comprised 68 patients treated with PAP (177 sessions), 16 patients with PEX (41 sessions) and 11 patients with MARS (21 sessions). Bilirubin, creatinine, liver enzymes were analyzed before and after the first treatment with each technique. The three methods did not differ for bilirubin lowering efficiency, with MARS showing only slightly less effective reductions. Finally, the three techniques did not differ in the amount of change of cholinesterase, but a lower reduction in AST was found using PAP. Our retrospective observation is one of the largest case series of hepatic failure treated with bilirubin absorption. The choice of the technique cannot be based on the desired reduction in bilirubin concentration. Based on costs and duration of treatment, we suggest that PAP could be considered as a first-line approach. In case of kidney involvement, MARS remains a valuable option.

Albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score at admission predicts possible outcomes in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure

The albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score is a new model for assessing the severity of liver dysfunction. The purpose of the present study is to investigate the prognostic value of the ALBI score in predicting the 3-month outcome of patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (AoCLF).This study included 84 patients with HBV-AoCLF, 56 chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients, and 48 healthy controls (HCs). The virological parameters and biochemical examination of blood were obtained after 12 hours of fasting. The follow-up of AoCLF patients lasted for at least 3 months, and the relationships between the prognosis and ALBI score were analyzed.A significantly higher ALBI score was detected in AoCLF patients than in the HC and CHB groups (both P = .001). The ALBI score was positively correlated with the model of the end-stage liver disease (MELD) score and Child-Pugh score. Moreover, ALBI scores were higher among non-survivors than survivors in AoCLF patients. Multivariate analysis suggested that both the ALBI and MELD scores were independent predictors of the 3-month mortality in AoCLF patients (P < .001).A high ALBI score measured at admission may be used as a predictor for the 3-month mortality rate in patients with HBV-AoCLF.

Disease spectrum of alcoholic liver disease in Beijing 302 Hospital from 2002 to 2013: A large tertiary referral hospital experience from 7422 patients

Alcohol consumption in China has substantially increased over the last 3 decades and the number of patients with alcoholic liver disease (ALD) is rising at an alarming rate. However, accurate and representative data on time trends in its hospitalization rates are not available. The aim of this study is to assess the current status and burden of ALD in China by analyzing the data from a large tertiary referral hospital, Beijing 302 Hospital.Data were retrospectively recorded from patients diagnosed as ALD in Beijing 302 Hospital from 2002 to 2013. The disease spectrum and biochemical parameters of each patient were collected.The patients with ALD accounted for 3.93% (7422) of all patients (188,902) with liver diseases between 2002 and 2013. The number of patients hospitalized with ALD increased from 110 in 2002 to 1672 in 2013. The ratio of patients hospitalized with ALD to all patients hospitalized with liver diseases was rising almost continuously and increased from 1.68% in 2002 to 4.59% in 2013. Most patients with ALD were male. Age distribution of ALD hospitalization showed that the highest rate was in 40- to 49-year-old group in subjects. Notably, the annual proportion of severe alcoholic hepatitis (SAH) increased 2.43 times from 2002 to 2013. We found the highest levels of mean corpuscular volume, the aspartate aminotransferase/alanine aminotransferase ratio, total bilirubin, international normalized ratio, and alkaline phosphatase in SAH patients, while serum levels of hemoglobin, albumin, and cholinesterase were significantly decreased in SAH group. Among these ALD, the SAH patient population has the worst prognosis. Alcoholic cirrhosis (ALC) is the most common ALD, and annual admissions for ALC increased significantly during the analyzed period.The number of hospitalized patients with ALD and the annual hospitalization rate of ALD were increasing continuously in Beijing 302 Hospital from 2002 to 2013. More attention should be paid to develop population-based effective strategy to control ALD.

The Relationship between Serum Bilirubin and Elevated Fibrotic Indices among HBV Carriers: A Cross-Sectional Study of a Chinese Population

The study probed the association between bilirubin and hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection and progression. A cross-sectional analysis of 28,500 middle aged and elderly Chinese participants was performed to analyze the differences of bilirubin in terms of hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) positive or negative and the correlation between bilirubin and severity of hepatic fibrosis estimated by non-invasive indices. Bilirubin was significantly higher in the HBsAg (+) group than the HBsAg (−) group. Higher bilirubin levels were consistently associated with elevated liver fibrosis indices among HBsAg carriers. Compared with quartile 1 of total bilirubin (TBil), the multivariable-adjusted ORs (95% CIs) for elevated fibrosis indices of quartile 4 were 2.24 (95% CIs, 1.57–3.21) estimated by fibrosis 4 score (FIB-4) and 2.22 (95% CIs, 1.60–3.08) estimated by aspartate transaminase to platelet ratio index (APRI). In addition, direct bilirubin (DBil) had a stronger association with elevated liver fibrosis indices than did indirect bilirubin (IBil). Furthermore, the relationship between DBil and elevated fibrosis indices was more robust among participants who were female, overweight or had central fat distribution. These findings suggested that bilirubin levels, especially DBil, were independently associated with an increased risk of increased fibrosis indices.

Short-term changes in liver tests predict long-term mortality

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether short-term changes in liver tests (bilirubin, albumin, gamma glutamyl transferase, alkaline phosphatase, alanine aminotransferase (ALT) and aspartate aminotransferase) predict 12-month mortality and, if so, which test is most informative.

DESIGN

Retrospective review of general medicine inpatients at a tertiary hospital (2005-2012) identified non-elective admissions of minimum 7 days' duration. Patients with liver disease, malignancy, admission to the intensive care unit or inpatient mortality were excluded. Linear spline modelled the vector of intra-admission change from admission. The association between 12-month mortality and admission and intra-admission changes in liver tests was assessed by logistic regression modelling, adjusted for age, gender, comorbidity index and heart failure.

RESULTS

12-month mortality was 17% in 4160 patients analysed. 12-month mortality for patients with abnormally low albumin at admission was 5% higher per 1 g/L below 34 g/L (OR 0.95, 95% CI 0.93 to 0.98, p<0.001). Albumin and ALT were the only tests for which an intra-admission change significantly predicted mortality; the predictive effects were additive. 12-month mortality was greater by 4% per 1 g/L intra-admission decrement in albumin (OR 1.04, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.06, p<0.001) and 6% per 100 IU/L intra-admission increment in ALT (OR 1.06, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.1, p=0.005). Intra-admission changes were superior to admission values in predicting mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Changes in liver tests predict long-term mortality better than a single value and provide prognostic information more quickly than long-term monitoring. In the absence of known liver disease, albumin predicts long-term mortality better than transaminases. The patient whose albumin decreases in the short term is at high risk of death within 1 year, even from a normal baseline.

Predictors of intravenous amiodarone induced liver injury

Background

Intravenous (IV) amiodarone may be associated with liver injury that may necessitate drug discontinuation. The prediction of amiodarone induced liver injury (AILI) and its severity may help careful patient monitoring or the choice of other measures alternative to amiodarone in high risk patients. Little is known regarding predictors of AILI.

Objectives

To address the predictors of AILI and its severity.

Methods

The study included 180 patients indicated for IV amiodarone therapy who were divided into 2 groups: cases (90 patients) who developed AILI, and controls (90 patients) who did not develop AILI. AILI was defined as aminotransferase (ALT and AST) elevation by ⩾2 folds of baseline levels. Severe AILI was defined as enzyme elevation by >5 folds of baseline values.

Results

Multivariate analysis showed that the presence of cardiomyopathy (P = 0.032), congestive hepatomegaly (P = 0.001), increasing baseline total bilirubin (P < 0.0001), direct current cardioversion (P = 0.015), and increasing dose of amiodarone (P = 0.014) to be independent predictors for AILI. Regarding severity of AILI, inotropic support (P = 0.034), congestive hepatomegaly (P = 0.012), increasing baseline total bilirubin (P = 0.001), and increasing dose of amiodarone (P = 0.002) were found to be independent predictors for severe AILI. Among cases, linear regression analysis showed that baseline ALT was the only significant independent predictor of post-amiodarone ALT (P < 0.0001), while baseline AST (P < 0.0001) and EF (P = 0.012) were the only significant independent predictors of post-amiodarone AST.

Conclusions

Compromised cardiac, hepatic, and hemodynamic conditions, with increasing dose of IV amiodarone were associated with AILI. Severity of liver injury had linear relationship with baseline aminotransferase levels and left ventricular systolic function.